Pivot - ChatGPT Will See You Now, and Silicon Valley Bank Fallout Continues
Episode Date: March 17, 2023The Biden administration tells Tiktok to leave ByteDance or leave the US. Meta's year of Zuck-ficiency continues, with another 10,000 layoffs. Kara and Scott unpack the decision to backstop Silicon Va...lley Bank, as Credit Suisse deals with its own potential issues. Also, ChatGPT gains the power of sight, and a listener worries about the growth of legalized gambling. Send us your questions! Call 855-51-PIVOT or go to nymag.com/pivot. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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Hi, everyone.
This is Pivot from New York Magazine and the Vox Media Podcast Network.
Or should I say award-winning
Pivot.
I'm Cara Swisher.
And I'm Scott Galloway.
Congratulations, Cara.
First off, congratulations to us.
We won the Best Tech Podcast in the iHeart Podcast Awards, and I won the Audible Audio
Pioneer Vanguard Award.
That's a lot to say, but I won it.
Pioneering Vanguard of podcasting.
You sound like an ETF. I know. Pioneer and Vanguard are kind of financial services brands.
Vanguard. That's going to be my wrestling name.
That's kind of cool, though. You're a Pioneering Vanguard.
So I did a speech in which, I just had to give it one minute, it was all virtual speech,
in which I said, I bet they didn't play it, I don't know, where I said,
you know, thank you so much. I want to dedicate this to Bob Pittman, who runs iHeart,
because when I went in to ask about doing podcasts,
he said it was the stupidest idea I've ever had,
and I shouldn't do it, and I should be on radio.
And I want to thank him for being, me not listening to him and stuff.
It was very funny.
But he did.
That actually happened.
He was like, podcasting seems like.
Wasn't a fan?
No, and now they're big in podcasting.
Yeah, and you were early.
You deserve the award. It's nice recognition
for you. Yeah, it's true. I'm a
pioneering vanguard. I would say Marc Maron
is the most vanguard-y of all of them.
But there's a bunch. There's a whole bunch of people who did
early stuff. Anyway, congratulations
to us. Let's focus on us.
We are the best technology podcast.
Mm-hmm. I think that's good.
This is very exciting. It goes back to I'm even more at someone in a line,
a buffet line in another country pointed at me and said,
podcast is addy.
Because they listened to our,
and I was thinking about it
and I wish I'd had a better answer.
I actually think, I'm curious what you think,
but I do think that podcasting increases my relative level of attractiveness more than yours.
Wait, wait, wait.
Well, hold on.
No, I think I'm more attractive as a podcaster.
Can I finish?
Yes, go ahead.
Can I finish?
I said relatively speaking, only because, and it's very base, I think men get turned on with their eyes and women get turned on with their ears.
Now, I don't know how this plays out in the gay community
and I don't want to even go there
because I'll say something stupid.
Say something stupid, yeah.
But you don't need to say that before I say it.
You don't need to say it in unison with me.
It's kind of silent.
But I've always said to young men,
if you can make a woman laugh,
eventually she's going to want to kiss you.
Anyways, so I think podcasting makes me the zaddy. Zaddy. It's's going to want to kiss you anyways so i think podcasting
makes me the zaddy zaddy it's just going to make you rich it's just going to make you a pioneering
vanguard i was at a party last night for jen saki she's launching her show and the photographer
was like where's scott i literally it happens all the time the person who's taking pictures
this great woman named shannon we appreciate all our people. We appreciate all the fans. And we try to do better and better. And we're going to win it every year.
That's our plan to do that. We're winning all the awards. That is our plan. Well, you know what they
say about pioneers, mud on your face, arrows on your back, but enjoy it while you can. No, no,
there's no arrows in my back. Anyway, I'm so glad to have beaten all the other people.
I'm kind of the Angela Bassett school of winning.
You remember when I went to Jamie Lee Curtis? Angela Bassett school of winning.
Okay.
When she lost the supporting actress at the Oscars, she had a face.
She deserved an Oscar, by the way.
She deserves one.
And so she, you know how most when you lose the Oscar or you lose an award, you have that face like, yay, for the winner.
She was not having it.
I love Jamie Lee Curtis. She was pissed off? No, she just face like, yay, for the winner. She was not having it. I love
Jamie Lee Curtis. She was pissed off. No, she just was like, yeah, fuck that. She had a fuck that
look. So I'm so happy to beat all the others. That's how I feel about these things, including
some other tech podcasts who we don't like. So today, we have so much to talk about. We do.
Silicon Valley Bank Rescue. OpenAI releases the new version of ChatGPT, ChatGPT4, that writes We do. face a ban in the U.S. They're sort of doubling down. The company responded saying a sale wouldn't
address security risks any more than what they've done, actually, but promises to spend over a
billion dollars to safeguard programs for U.S. data. However, Bloomberg reports that TikTok is
considering separating from ByteDance as a last resort if the existing security plan is not
approved. I think this is going to be a spinoff. There was some investment last week,
valuing it at slightly less than it was, but a tough, tough situation here. What do you think
is going to happen, Scott? Well, we've been saying this, and so far it's playing out as we had
initially speculated, and that is the only thing you have to remember in a negotiation is, one,
don't make it a win-lose or get emotional, and two, show a willingness to walk away. And the
willingness to walk away with respect to the government's position is we are serious, we're
going to ban you. And I think it's finally looking like the CCP and ByteDance are like, yeah, this
shit's getting real. They probably are going to ban us and there's bipartisan support for the
first time around an issue. And on the eve of the banning, they're going to figure it
out because there's somewhere between 200 billion and a trillion reasons to figure it out.
If TikTok is banned and has to come off of the Google and Apple app stores, I mean,
that takes that valuation. That is a existential decline in value. And I think the CCP and ByteDance and everyone involved would just love to just keep on
trucking the way things are.
But when it becomes clear that's not going to happen, I think they're going to either
figure out things that security protocols that satisfy the administration or they're
going to spin it.
I think they will.
This is the government's coming to play.
They have to. I think it's over because I think they thought the U.S. would back down,
there would be fighting among and between. And there's very little pushback, actually. There's
some, there's a little bit, but it's not a good, being for China right now in Washington is not a
thing. And it's very, when I say bipartisan is everyone, no one's going to blink here on this thing. And that's what
the Chinese had counted upon. The other thing is the inability to put US products in China,
similar products, not being able to be there. They don't have a whole lot of legs to stand on
in that regard. And the argument that it's going to be just as safe, that might be true with the
stuff they're putting in. It might be just as safe, but it doesn't matter. They're not going
to get away with it without it being a US company. And then I just, at the last minute,
I don't know if China will do it, you know, because it looks like given all our other aggression
between the two countries, I don't know if they want to look like they gave up something. That
would be my only... If they were to let this happen and have it be banned now, I mean, the chill,
were to let this happen and have it be banned though, I mean, the chill, the chill around the internet economy in China and Xi Jinping still has to bring millions if not tens of millions of
people out of poverty. Otherwise there's probably revolution. And to take your national champions
and literally kneecap them, I mean, not even kneecap them, take them behind the shed and shoot them.
What's this going to do when it's like, okay, you're telling me I can build an unbelievable company and you refuse to, you know, for what seems...
Why would you do anything? Right, yeah.
Yeah, why would you start a company? So, I think that they're going to figure it out.
And that figuring it out, well, as you've said, will either be a spin or some sort of additional certainty or regulatory scrutiny.
I don't think additional certainty will work now.
I think it could have.
And also, they've taken their eye off the ball of the business.
It's all about this and not about anything else.
And so, Reels is doing better.
You know, I think a lot of people, I was talking to, I was at this NBC dinner, and they were talking about it.
And nobody wanted to put their stuff on TikTok suddenly.
Right?
Even though it's super popular, they're like, oh.
And really just in the last 90 days,
think about how much it's pivoted,
how much the brand and the kind of issues surrounding it
have pivoted.
The balloon did not help.
It's kind of the perfect storm of bad things for them.
I say they're not going to
ban, but they will spend. And then all the rich US people will get rich. Chinese will get rich.
And just covering up the shame part that they were made to do this, that's the part I'm
still not figured out. But they'll keep arguing it until the last minute, and then they'll do it.
Also, the year of zuck-ficiency continues. Meta is cutting another 10,000 jobs. We'll end up spending billions in restructuring costs.
Not a surprise. That's what it costs when you cut lots of jobs. Mark Zuckerberg told employees to
expect cancellations of lower priority projects and overall flattening of the organization. He
loves the word flattening. Meta stock, again, is up 6% following the news. Scott, what a great
stock choice you made.
Zuckerberg also noted the company should prepare for this economic reality to continue for many years.
It may or may not.
The economy may get better, but he's decided he wants to flatten things.
You said layoffs are the beginning.
What about the many years part?
I just think he wants to get back to basics, this guy.
The Valley and growth companies have just discovered Osempic, and it's firing people.
They're literally, oh, wait, you're telling me I can take this pill called layoffs.
I can work with HR.
I can say, okay, identify, have our top managers identify the bottom performing 15% of their staff, get those lists, and then fire 15% of them.
I mean, think about it. If you have, call it 30 or 40% operating margins, which is unbelievable,
you can either cut a dollar in expense or grow your top line by two and a half dollars.
And over the last 24 months, what's become increasingly clear is it's easier to cut
a dollar in expense than it is to create an incremental two and a half dollars in revenue.
So this is the strategy that keeps on
giving. And on the announcement of this cut, their stock goes up, what, $25 billion? And again,
we've said this, the most impactful business strategy of 2023 in terms of actual on the ground,
what's happening as an AI, as in supply chain, is that every CEO of every tech company is like, we've been stuffing calories down the throat of
this thing. There's fat everywhere. Let's fire 10, 20, 30% of our staff. I mean,
Salesforce announces layoffs, boom, record earning stock way up. The math here is so
clear and present that everybody, you know, Vox, we laid off 7% of our staff and the value of
the company probably went up. This is a natural, healthy part of the cycle. It's not to say it
doesn't impact or rock people's worlds. But when it started, whenever it started six months ago,
we said, it's just starting. It's literally just starting.
They do have even more so, more than
companies like Box, but a lot of these tech companies have people you don't know what they do.
Honestly, they just hire to hire. And then they do sort of projects. Google's the most famous for
this, obviously, you know. And they made fun of it on the show Silicon Valley, you know, up on the
roof, resting, investing, essentially. Why are you guys still coming in? Rest and vest.
Oh, because in order to fully vest your options,
you've got to wait until your contracts are up.
I get it.
You catch on slow, you'll fit right in here.
But there's a lot of projects that you're like,
what?
Like, huh?
Like, why?
All the time.
And so I think, you know, I don't,
efficiency is really hard.
And if you're someone like Mark Zuckerberg, and you look around, and now you started off at the small place, and now you have this ridiculously large, insane headquarters that people aren't
going to probably, they have a kind of a cool headquarters down south, you're probably going,
what do I need this for? And you want to simplify, simplify, simplify.
I don't know.
It's also a psychic thing, I think, for these people as they realize they've gotten like fat and not happy,
actually fat and unhappy.
Well, it's incentives.
Companies don't operate for profits.
They certainly don't operate for societal good.
They operate to get the stock price
and the compensation of senior managers up.
That is the tail that wags the dog
across corporate America.
And if it's reporting metrics that show growth
and lower profitability, then we will manage to that.
If it's showing pivoting from growth to profitability,
like Netflix, we'll do that.
Because at the end of the day,
the people who get to make the decisions
are focused on their own self-interest,
which is a key component of capitalism,
and their self-interests are linked to the stock price.
And so the strategy
du jour right now and for a while is going to be, okay, the market believes any announcement around
layoffs is going to flow straight to the bottom line and the consumer and the end customer isn't
going to miss these people at all. A company I started was acquired by a big company. And what
became clear to me about two days into the earn out is, you know what they wanted me to do?
Fucking nothing. Specifically, they didn't want me to compete. All of a sudden, I was
out of every strategy meeting, not really doing anything. And I'm like, I'm not pulling my weight
here. And it's like, it became clear, we're going to pay you a shit ton of money just to not go out
and compete with us. And take that times a million. That's what's happened in
Silicon Valley. And by the way, it's super expensive and wasteful. And I think right now
they're saying, okay, we were going to let you rest and rest, but you're not really doing anything.
We'll take the risk that you might go start a competitor. You're out. Here's your two,
three-month severance. The psychology has shifted.
two, three-month severance, the psychology has shifted.
And that's the correct way to go. Now, listen, the stock is way up, let's just say, but its high was $376 and change in September 2021, a little less than two years ago. Now it's 196. So it's
not back where, you know, that it's his maximum high was then.
Yeah, but Cara, it's almost doubled.
It's almost doubled since they started firing people.
It has.
No, that's what I'm saying.
That's what I'm saying.
Absolutely.
Fire people, stock doubles.
I get that.
But I'm saying it's not where it was.
And it actually is where it is, oddly enough.
It's a little less than 2018.
It's kind of getting back to 2018 numbers because it really
went down to $90 a share. Crazy in November. November, four months ago, was it 90 bucks?
Now it's at 197. Crazy.
What has happened since November and now? Is it the metaverse has taken off? No. The only thing
that's happened between November and now is 20,000
people have been fired and the stock's doubled. Yep. Is there another stock you'd pick? Because
Tesla seems to be sort of staying in the same arena, things like that.
I've said one of my predictions in my 2023 deck is that Amazon, the big guys, Amazon, Alphabet,
But Amazon, the big guys, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, Apple, see their revenue growth slow down and have their most profitable quarters in history towards the back end of this year.
Because they're all going to do something they haven't done in 15 years.
They're going to cut costs.
Yeah.
Well, we'll see.
Amazon's still bumping along the bottom, but go ahead. But they're just going to find entire departments, entire business lines, entire regional offices that when they close them and they let those people go, no one notices.
I think every company, and I hate to acknowledge it, but I think every company in the world,
every tech company at least, is like, wait, check this?
Wait, you're kidding me.
Musk laid off 80% of the
workforce in about four months. And granted, he did it poorly, but the company's still there.
The product's still there. I would put that off to the side because in this case,
Facebook is still operating well. Yeah, they're still growing.
We don't know what the cost of what he's done at Twitter is until we know what the cost of what he's done at Twitter is.
But they're still making great products.
They're not screwing up.
It's not breaking down.
We'll see.
I don't know about it for years, but I think he's just putting that in their heads to get them acclimated to the new reality.
Anyway, let's get on to our first big story.
Scott, the government took your advice and also Bill Cohen's. All the depositors with
Silicon Valley Bank are safe. Now the question, who's to blame? There are accusations that
panicked all caps tweets from VCs helped cause the bankrupt. Those are my accusations and others too,
by the way. And critics are zeroing in on a 2018 law that weakened oversight of mis-sized banks,
although that might be a
little overstated too. In that story, Dodd-Frank passed in response to the global financial crisis.
The act forced many banks with more than $50 billion in assets to pass an annual stress test.
In 2018, Congress upped that number to $250 billion, had bipartisan approval, and then
that's what some people are blaming. Meanwhile, a Wall Street Journal columnist wrote that the bank was distracted by diversity demands,
which was an inane woke bank thing.
Well, Fox News pushed a bogus claim that the bank donated tens of millions of dollars to Black Lives Matter.
It didn't, but that's not really the point.
And let me just say, I have to say it's Andy Kasler who wrote this insane idea.
I like some of his stuff, but boy, was this stupid.
He popped it in at the bottom of just a sort of basic article about what happened.
You have diversity efforts, one, because it's the right thing to do for society.
When you wake up and everyone on your board and every senior manager is one demographic, that's just not good for society.
All right?
it's just not good for society, all right? But in addition, the shareholder-driven reason to do it,
not the societal reason, which is enough on its own, is that the key to risk management,
the key to innovation is diversification of thought. And when you have people from the same background all saying, no, interest rates would never go up this fast, no,
we should take these kind of risks. You all end up barking up
the same tree and you all end up stupid. So diversity not only matters from a demographic
standpoint, the reason why companies benefit from people with different backgrounds is they're
likely going to have a different set of experiences and a different viewpoint that will result in
better decisions. So diversity is not only the right thing to do, it's the smart thing to do.
You don't want, as a CEO, it is your job to make sure not everyone is telling you the
same fucking thing every day.
But you know what?
They just like that.
Let me just, they just like it.
But nonetheless, that article was fucking nonsense.
He stepped in it.
That's how I look at it.
He stepped in it.
That was... Whatever. It was a big talking point all over in it. That's how I look at it. He stepped in it. That was...
Whatever.
It was a big talking point
all over the place.
It's ridiculous.
It's just fucking ridiculous.
But also, quite frankly,
on the far left,
they were publishing pictures
of like the chief risk officer
and demonizing these people.
And they shouldn't have done that either.
Agreed.
Although I think the right
did distinguish itself
for nonsense on this one
more than others.
So after our emergency pod, what do you think?
What do you think of the situation?
I'm fascinated by this and I have a lot to say about it.
All right, go for it.
Well, the first is people's narrative is often shaped by their own personal incentives.
So I want to be transparent.
I'm either the founder of, a director, or an investor in four companies that had low tens of millions of deposits at
Silicon Valley Bank. And none of us got our money out. And the majority of us didn't even try.
And by the way, that might've been the wrong thing to do. It did look for a certain amount
of time on Friday, according to the Washington Post, that Janet Yellen and some of the regulators
in DC were saying, we're not sure and some of the regulators in D.C. were
saying, we're not sure we're comfortable with bailing out depositors, supposedly. But when I
heard from the CEOs and the venture capitalists, I mean, this is what just, I am a bit in the mix
here. And what I saw going on, or my experience, was the following, distinct of what you're reading
about or what you would think if you just were on Twitter. Every VC of my companies that I'm involved in, ranging from General Catalyst to Andreessen
Horowitz, immediately called the CEO and said, you're covered, you're fine. If there's a problem
with liquidity, which may or may not happen, we'll do what's required. Don't worry about payroll.
There wasn't a sense of hair on fire panic. I mean, it just wasn't there.
In addition, and I tweeted about this, I wasn't worried.
And maybe I should have been.
But all I did, and I think what you needed to do to realize that all paths led to them backstopping depositors is the following.
In the last 10 years, there have been 73 bank failures.
following. In the last 10 years, there have been 73 bank failures. 72 have had their depositors guaranteed, and the 73rd was such a small bank that if you lost more than $250,000, it gives
you an 800 number to call where I think they figure out a way to get your money back. In some,
I looked at this and I'm like, every bank, the depositors get bailed out,
whatever you want to call it, backstopped, bailed out, guaranteed.
It's not bailed out because they own the treasuries.
Bailed out would mean they don't get anything in return, but go ahead.
Well, my point is, whatever the nomenclature is, the shareholders got wiped out, the unsecured
debtors get wiped out.
In every bank failure for the last 10 years, the depositors get 100 cents on the dollar.
So my attitude is keep calm and carry on.
But what I would also say is to the VCs who pulled their money out, that's their right.
You have the right to pull your money out.
You are allocating risk and capital for fiduciaries.
So if you believe there's a chance that this company is going to be impaired for whatever
reason, it is your right to pull it out.
I think there's going to be investigations on how they pulled it out. I think that government's
got to look into it. Was it coordinated in any way? Were there any kind of anything? And I think
they should be investigating this entire thing, even if it may be just a regular bank run and
the money wasn't, you know, and a fire sale of treasuries and simple as that. But they definitely
should be looking about the mechanics of how it
ran because this was unusual in that people had so much online ability to create both the run
itself very quickly and also to create fear mongering. And so they have to look at this thing
in a new fresh. This is the first time I've ever seen so much fear mongering going on.
They created a problem. And I agree with you.
We on Saturday, we were like, calm the fuck down because everybody, because the government
is working at it.
And I was talking to some government officials recently, some high ranking ones.
And the only question is, what is wrong with them?
What do they think?
We were playing pickleball all weekend.
Like, of course, they were moving on this. You know, I think even if Janet Yellen and the others that initially didn't know what to do, I think they were trying to figure out what to do over the weekend and what was the best thing. And they were bringing in all kinds of opinions. And quieter Silicon Valley people like Reid Hoffman and others contributed in that way. They helped them figure it out. Like not just, just not with Silicon Valley people, but all kinds of people. And so calm the fuck down was really, and they didn't even
understand what the screaming was about. They understood that they needed to act, but it was
kind of ridiculous. And I think they should look into that. I do think they should look into that.
Well, I'm writing about it for this week's No Mercy No Malice. And there's two kind of,
I'm trying to find what's original or is there any insight here? And I have two major themes. One is brand and one is bifurcation. And the reason why this has gotten
so much attention and the reason why this has been kind of a societal polemic with a lot of
people thinking, all right, I'm uncomfortable with what's happened here, is that if this bank
had been called First Agricultural of Iowa, it would have been no problem. We're here to shore up. Deposits are backed by
100 cents on the dollar. But what you have is the brand that has fallen furthest fastest in the last
six months is Elon Musk's brand. The brand that has fallen the second furthest is the brand
Silicon Valley. And there's a general sense that, all right, you have a group of very
fortunate and very talented people who take a lot of risk with their own capital and other people's
capital, and they capture all of the upside or the majority of the upside, and they weaponize
government to ensure that, oh, if you're a founder or a VC of a company, your first 10 million or 10
times your investment is tax-free. That's literally a law, right?
That they capture so much and more of the upside relative to other entrepreneurs that capture
upside. In addition, and this is what angers people, is that the downside risk, specifically
the externalities, are borne by other people. That when you create a social media platform
and you capture hundreds of billions of upside,
and there's externalities, that it's parents' teenage daughters that pay the price.
That when you gamify with VC money, you gamify investing, that young men become addicted.
And again, parents and young men pay the price.
When you finance a ride-hailing company that is not profitable, but you capture tens of billions of dollars in upside, it's union workers and contractors who no longer get worker benefits because of a $120 million proposition that's passed by the industry that they pay the price, that other people are constantly paying the price for the downside risk here. And then when you have this bank
called Silicon Valley Bank, and some of this is unfair and lacks nuance, but the way I think
the American public sees it is, all right, you guys created your own bank. What do you know?
It was super risky to your benefit. You got venture debt, you got low mortgages. And then
when shit gets real, and by the way, many of you have been saying the government should just get out of the way, that we know best, that you're the great regulator,
you're the great handicapper, you're hamstring us, just get out of the way and let us run.
And then when shit gets real and all the risk you've been taking starts to cost a lot of money,
you start sounding the alarm that the government who you've been saying should get the fuck out of the way, needs to show up right now. And that they're probably stupid. To me,
it reminds me of election denial. It's like you've been hammering away at the government
for a long time, and you're still doing it when they're actually probably doing just what you
want, right? That was the part that was particularly irritating. The first is brand.
The second is bifurcation. And that is, there are now two tiers of banking being formed. If the depositors had not been bailed out,
that march towards two tiers would be a stampede. Specifically, there's going to be smaller regional
banks that service people, 250,000 or less, FDIC insured. And then there's going to be the big
banks that are bulletproof and are just much biggerured. And then there's going to be the big banks that are bulletproof
and are just more much bigger balance sheets. There's just going to be a massive leaking of
capital to those banks. We have created a two-tier banking system. It's going to happen more slowly
now, but it's definitely going to happen. We've also in Silicon Valley created two tiers of
venture capitalists. And that is there are venture capitalists like Reid Hoffman,
who you mentioned, Hermann Taneja, who tried to get a group of VCs together, Kleiner, Lightspeed,
General Catalyst to say, we support the bank, we're here, we're not panicking. They were trying
to facilitate an acquisition by making the asset more attractive to make the government's
expenditures here lower. They were trying to be good citizens.
Reid Hoffman was working with Nancy Pelosi and Governor Newsom to keep the White House informed.
There were people behind the scenes who are venture capitalists who see that we play a
larger role in society. And then there's another group of people that I call venture catastrophists.
And what they see is that there's a large element of our
society and the media which subscribes to catastrophism. And catastrophism is a belief
that the world is shaped by a series of unpredictable, short, and violent global
events that reshape the world, and that it's 9-11 and Pearl Harbor and FTX that shaped the world. In addition, these venture catastrophists
recognize that in an attention economy, you can be famous for being famous and you can monetize
your fame. So the temptation to catastrophize is huge. And they go on Twitter and say,
these are exact quotes, you should be terrified, all caps.
Chaos will ensue, all caps.
On Monday, there are lines around banks.
Some people get their money out.
Most do not.
That does not help.
No, it does not.
They thought they helped and they took a lap.
You know, the real hero here is a Reid Hoffman, not these people.
We had Bill Cohen on and I thought he characterized it correctly.
He talked about the idea that betting on this zero interest rate policy was stupid,
colossally stupid, as he said, that this bank did.
And so he talked about that and he goes, and that would have been stupid enough, but probably
not fatal unless another thing happened.
And that was something nobody could anticipate or imagine,
largely because people aren't wired to imagine the unimaginable. This is the asshole theory.
For whatever reasons, rumors started circulating Silicon Valley ecosystem and the Silicon Valley
Bank was in financial trouble. And some depositors decided to take their money out immediately.
There was a total meltdown in confidence. We'll see why that happened, right?
But I think the assholes theory, you're correct. You're calling it the catastrophe. Venture catastrophists.
Yeah, but I think they're just assholes and they do not care what they break as long as they can
get theirs. And that's what they're like. And they also like to shoot at anybody on the way down.
Whatever they're doing, it's always someone else's fault. They're the ultimate victims
and everybody's stupid. Everybody's stupid but them. And I had a back and forth with these
people you're quoting from this week. And I'm like, I don't agree with you. And they called
me vitriolic. I was like, are you kidding me? You're the winners of the vitriolic Olympics here, people. But they don't, they have to insult and demean and then get theirs.
And that, and there's a very, they're right.
There's two different kinds of venture capitalists now.
There's two different kinds of people.
Those who want to constantly rag on people and act like victims and talk about catastrophe,
you're right.
And some that are just, let's fix this.
Let's have some solutions going
here. Well, it comes down to what kind of leader do you want to be? What kind of business person
do you want to be? What kind of citizen do you want to be? And I think there's a lack of citizenship
and more of a survivalist mentality, and that is, I'm going to build a bunker.
Yeah, they have bunkers. All these people have bunkers.
Most of these people, there's a thick vein of the survivalist mentality. And the government are suckers. I'm going to sell my
analytics into the CIA and NSA, or I'm going to get you, I'm going to gamify you to get as many
subsidies as possible, or I'm going to give money to a ton of Congress people to lower my taxes.
Government is there to kind of be abused and used, but they're idiots and I have no
respect for them. And then I'm going to start mixing potions in my backyard that might result
in amazing things. I take risk, I innovate, I come up with all sorts of cool stuff. Occasionally,
there's a fire from the shit I'm mixing in the backyard. And I immediately start saying the
whole state is going to burn alive. And I get angry and start shitposting the government when the Coast Guard doesn't show up on time with the fire department dumping flame retardants at cost to taxpayers when I need government. Government are idiots. And I want to be a survivalist until unless I can either sell shit into them or I need them right now. And it comes down to, I was thinking of us talking to a class,
they want to use a case.
And I'm like, what kind of leader do you want to be?
And quite frankly, to be blunt,
what kind of man do you want to be?
Do you want to be the guy in the foxhole
that when shit gets real,
assesses the situation,
calms everyone down.
The person with the biggest sack here,
who was the biggest man around all of this,
his name is Janet Yellen. She wasn't panicking anybody. She was talking to people.
When I was at business school, Professor Yellen was a professor there. I can't think
of more capable hands for the economy to be in than hers. And she's like, who do you want to be?
Do you want to calm everybody down,
assess the situation, make thoughtful, purposeful decisions, and get to the right decision by talking to a lot of people? Or when the first bullet flies over your head, do you want to
start screaming, we're all dead? The world is ending. That just, that doesn't help.
When they do that, it's part of their game. It's also,
in the background, they're playing another game that you don't even know to advantage themselves.
They're really loathsome people. They're just loathsome. I'm going to, speaking of government, this Dodd-Frank Act, I do think a little bit, blaming on this too, is early. It's not clear
it would have helped. And I think if it was at the same levels,
could this have been avoided? Maybe, maybe not. And of course, not just Elizabeth Warren,
Josh Hawley tweeted that it's time to bring back Glass-Steagall, the law that puts limitations on
banks investing depositors' funds. I mean, it is not a time to over-regulate, and it's also not a
time to under-regulate. Let's listen to this Warren idea
about banking. Banking should be boring. And anybody who wants to take a lot of risk and make
a lot of money should not be in banking. I can't agree with her totally on that one. I don't think
that's true. I don't think that's true either. The base is one of the pillars of our society is a
banking system that loans out money and invests more than it has to grow the economy.
It's kind of how you create money and how you create growth.
And you put in place certain standards so there isn't meltdowns everywhere.
Or recklessness with loans.
That's happened.
This bank was brought down for two reasons.
An unprecedented increase in interest rates and poor risk management at the bank.
And a bank run.
Yeah, and a bank run.
and interest rates and poor risk management at the bank.
And a bank run.
Yeah, and a bank run, 100%. That some people arguably contributed to unnecessarily for fame and for so they can.
Who was the guy?
There was a cop in 1984 that planted a bomb under the bus.
Oh, yeah, I remember that.
So it said he could take credit for it.
You got the feeling on Twitter that these people were actually hoping for a bank run,
that they were taking some pride. It was like
schadenfreude times a million here. But the government did exactly what it was supposed to do.
It came in, it backed the depositors and said, sorry, investors, you lost all of your money.
It may not even cost them that much money. And we're going to see in the banking system,
essentially, and I mean, this has been a giant kind of stress test
for the U.S. The problem is the stress test is going to start to wave across the world. And I
don't think, I think a lot of banks aren't going to shore up as well. Yeah. Credit Suisse, the
Saudi National Bank said it wouldn't shore up the finances of Credit Suisse, where it's its largest
shareholder. The Swiss National Bank did offer. So things calmed down again internationally. You
have to calm and get confidence back. The
shares of all the banking sector are down. That doesn't really matter what the shares cost at all,
but it still creates havoc. What's really interesting is what's going to happen to this
bank. And from what I've been told, they tried to sell it, but they didn't quite get what they
wanted. I thought that was smart not to sell it over the weekend. You don't want to do a too quick
a sale if you're not getting what you want and have to, you know,
take a lot of things. There's an auction happening right now for this bank and we'll see who gets it.
100%. There's real value there.
Yes. Yeah. And so there will be an auction to sell the bank and carefully. And the question
is who gets it, who gets the bank, whether they trade it as you guys talked
about to a big important bank like Goldman Sachs or JP Morgan, but there's a lot of other candidates
or someone else and that would be interesting to see if they're able to sell this bank.
Another just brief point that was, I thought, illuminating. So a group of venture capitalists,
I'll call kind of old school venture capitalists, The Kleiner Perkins, the General Callas put out a statement saying, we support the bank, and they were trying to be
helpful. That statement was more interesting or was more illuminated in terms of who was clearly
called and said, we're not putting our name on that. And the question is, do certain venture
capitalists have an incentive to see the banking system and the U.S. dollar unravel because of their investments in crypto.
They want to bank themselves.
Guess who needs a bank?
Well, I'm not even saying banking themselves.
I'm saying, okay, we have raised and invested tens of billions of dollars in Web3 token and Bitcoin-related assets.
Do we really not want banks to fail?
Do we not want to see the US banking system and the US dollar
really take a hit? Because what would happen to the value of our crypto-based investments?
Bitcoin's up.
Bitcoin is up about, I think, 20 plus percent. And so it comes down to incentives and that is,
is this community consistently figuring out ways to capture all of the upside of risk while,
again, socializing the downside? And are there incentives
to really be good citizens? Or are they kind of hoping that things unravel? Are they agents of
chaos? Oh, of course. They want to see it all burn. I'm telling you. I have said this over and
over again. Let me read finally from Edward Ungweso Jr., who's been on Pivot before. He's
in one of our quarter review episodes. he wrote the following on Slate.
It's not obvious to me why venture capitalists should be so in control of what tech gets funded, who designs it, how it gets developed, why it gets deployed, and where the returns go.
We can and should explore alternatives to the privately run VC system prioritizing tech that degrades and commodifies more of our life, gambles on these developments with other people's money, and in the blink of an eye, causes regular panics that threaten to upend life for countless people.
I got to say, he has a point. The house burners really are not good citizens. They're just not.
Well, everybody got to the same place, that they needed to back the depositors, but they did it
holding their nose because they're like, these are the first people who shit post-government.
These are the first people that say government should stay out of the way,
and then the first to scream the government needs to be here.
I mean, when shit gets real.
It's just sort of, it's really kind of, I don't know, unseemly.
They should be ashamed of themselves. They really should.
Anyway, we have to move along, but we're going to quick break.
When we come back, ChatGPT gains the power,
speaking of a very powerful technology that once again, the government's not in charge of, but these guys are the power of sight.
We'll take a listener question.
We'll be right back.
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Scott, we're back with our second big story. AI is getting smarter. At least that's what the AI
says. OpenAI released ChatGPT-4 this week.
The upgrade adds a few new bells and whistles.
The reviews are mixed, but better, better.
Users can now ask the chatbot to analyze images.
That's kind of cool.
In one example, the bot created a recipe
from a photo of possible ingredients.
The new bot also performs better on academic tests,
passing several AP exams, but not English lit.
And of course,
it can be used for gimmicks and gags. One user told the bot to make as much money as possible
on a budget of $100 and chat GPT pitch and affiliate marketing sites themed around eco
friendly products. One of them, of course, told jokes at which I thought was funny. I don't know
if you saw that making dad jokes. It was one Madonna joke. But many people report they're still flawed.
It can generate text that's wrong. It has hallucinations. It can't do much in the future.
It's not good at the future. So anyway, this just ups the game and the sort of arms race
between OpenAI slash Microsoft, DeepMind owned by Alphabet, and what Meta is doing,
and Amazon also, and Apple. So there's also been an enormous amount of funding into AI
for startups. So, there is going to be a lot of startups happening, and it'll benefit lots of
people here as the computing goes up. So, what do you think of this latest situation?
I think this technology is incredibly exciting. I think it's going to result
in a lot of short-term anxiety, but medium and long-term prosperity. I'm even thinking somebody is probably
working on now some sort of large language model or some sort of AI that takes numbers instead of
words and does mock stress tests on each of the 8,000 U.S. banks and then sells them back that
research and says to the model, look at every number here, look at every word before the number,
categorize the risk of the
word before the number. Is it mortgage-backed security? Is it treasury? What is the duration?
And train this model and feed in data sets from publicly disclosed documents and start doing
private stress tests. And then go to each of these banks and go, we've done a private stress test,
and we've identified your 11 points of weakness. Would you like that report? The number of businesses that could be started using this
technology can make you giddy if you really start thinking about it. So I'm just super excited. I
think it's really, I'm glad America's in front here. Yeah, it is. It's like the early internet.
I think there's reason to worry about where it goes and in whose hands it is. And one of the things that the complaints, OpenAI had shared plenty of benchmark and test
results for GPT-4, as well as some intriguing demos, but offered essentially no information
on the data used to train the system, its energy costs or specific hardware. It's not really open.
And so some people thought that, you know, it's essentially a for-profit experience
going on here. But OpenAI's chief scientist, this is from The Verge, you know, it's essentially a for-profit experience going on here.
But OpenAI's chief scientist, this is from The Verge, expanded saying, OpenAI's reasons
for not sharing more information about chat GPT-4, fear of competition and fears of our
safety were self-evident.
On a competitive front, it's competitive out there.
GPT-4 is not easy to develop.
It took pretty much all of OpenAI working together for a very long time to produce this
thing.
And there are many companies who would want to do the same thing. So from a competitive
side, you can see it is a maturation of the field. Well, I'm not surprised.
Another example, take every press release issued by every publicly traded company,
correlate it with stock movements, and figure out what terms, what phrases,
what messaging results in the greatest stock increases. I mean,
and start advising people. If you're Edelman, incorporate AI into your advice.
Of what messaging? Huh, that's interesting. Are you starting like a lot of companies right now,
Scott Galloway? I'm investing in a lot of companies that are, the way I think of this is
processing power came along. And if you didn't
figure out a way to incorporate processing power into whatever business you were in,
you didn't keep up with the competition. When the web came along or it's e-commerce,
people don't remember. Williams-Sonoma wasn't selling anything online for a while. Hermes and
Shemelf refused to sell things online. So with these technologies, whoever adopts them fastest and really leverages
them and puts them to work outperform the rest. So every company needs to be thinking about whether
you're a communications firm, whether you're health services, whether you're a consulting firm,
how do I use this unbelievable technology to inform my product and my service delivery?
I think the services business, my God, if I was Edelman, I know, Richard,
I'd have some sort of AI model that says,
in general, we find that this type of phrasing and language around this type of situation
results in the lowest hit to your stock price, right?
I mean-
You know, they're not even thinking about this.
You know that, they're not.
All the regular people aren't, for sure.
But it's gonna be super exciting,
and some will, and it'll inspire others to start thinking about it.
I think it's really, really cool.
All right.
So what do you think the worries are?
Microsoft just laid off an entire team of AI ethicists.
Is it that kind of stuff?
The inappropriate conversations are there.
The opportunity to cheat and to trick is much higher.
How do you balance that against, you know, I think one of the things that we didn't do
at the beginning of the internet
was think about the bad things.
And I know you think the media is negative,
but it was such a cheerleader for the internet
at the beginning and a cheerleader for social media
until far too late.
So is there, how do you incorporate these worries,
and their legitimate worries,
into being excited about the companies?
Well, one, I mean, just some basics. I'm really hoping that AI is more subscription-based than
attention-based because I find that attention-based models just lead to terrible places.
It could have gone that way many years ago. I was talking to someone about that.
The other thing is I hope that there are regulatory bodies formed that have real teeth and early hit somebody really hard that
produces propaganda about mRNA vaccines that ends up creating misinformation. And I don't know how
it impacts 230. I don't think they're protected. Which is awesome. Which is awesome. Because if
you think about it, all of these technologies have been a net good for the world,
but the problem is with the word net.
If we'd had better regulation
and held them accountable,
we just wouldn't have as much self-harm.
I think you're 100% right
on the advertising part.
If we at the beginning
had been able to have subscription
or a payment system,
micropayment system,
totally different ballgame.
In terms of climate change,
there's been three big puffs into the
atmosphere. One is the suburbanization of America. The second is the industrialization of China. And
I would argue that the bigger puff into the atmosphere is coming out of Palo Alto, and that
is an attention-based economy, a lack of appreciation for what it means to be citizen in
terms of who could potentially incur the downside of these enormous risks we're taking. We don't pay attention to that,
and we've created these attention-based monsters
that create depression, division,
and that has inhibited and basically totally hamstrung
our capability to deal with everything
from carbon emissions to every other thing.
The biggest coal-fired plants in the world
aren't in Kentucky or Shenzhen or in Palo Alto. Right. No, I would agree. But I want to address the most important issue of all,
which is dad jokes. GPT-3-5 had, this is, tell me a novel joke about Singer Madonna.
The answer was, why did Madonna go to the bank? To get a material loan. That's not very funny.
Tell me a novel joke about Singer Madonna for GPT-4.
Why did Madonna study geometry?
Because she wanted to learn how to strike a pose in every angle.
Scott, they are still funnier than you.
Wait, so you're still, you're not, clearly not a pro at AI yet.
What you have to do is say, tell me a dad joke in the voice of Richard Pryor, in the voice of, and it'll give you, you can ask them to tell you a dad joke
in the voice of Scott Galloway.
I have enough content out there now
that it'll make slightly off color,
like inappropriate dad jokes,
if you ask it to do it in my voice.
But you can do it in the voice of George Carlin,
in the voice of a lawyer,
in the voice of a Vice President Harris.
This is not a good development.
We need a law to stop this.
It is intoxicating how exciting this is. But whether it's globalization or outsourcing or
the web, you have to have regulators thinking really hard around, okay, how could this go
really bad and put in place early some guardrails? Yeah. It's interesting. There was one person was
showing me there, I've been looking at a lot of the studies, that you can have someone call your phone and you speak like your kid answers
and says, hello, who's there? They can take that and make a voice of it using this stuff and then
call you and say, mom, dad, I need my social security number. And it sounds- Or I've been
kidnapped. Or I've been kidnapped. This is the kind of stuff they can do quick.
And hopefully what we've learned, hopefully the immunities are, when open AI's lobbyists are in Washington saying this would hamstring the community, that the senators and congresspeople say, you know what, that dog's not going to hunt again.
Anybody who's producing misinformation that reduces or damages national security, health-related issues, results in the prosecution and persecution and violence against vulnerable communities, you are liable.
And we're coming for your ass. Lawyers.
Lawyers.
I do think 230 does not apply to these people.
And that's a good thing.
I've always talked about liability and privacy legislation can do a lot of good things for this. And it's good for them, too, to have some structure around that. It's better rather than them making their own decisions because you know what the decisions they make will be because they're rather self-interested, as are most people.
I'm going to go on it today and ask Dad Joke and Scott Galloway's voice, and I shall bring it back for us, our next show.
Okay, Scott, let's pivot to a listener
question. You've got, you've got, I can't believe I'm going to be a mailman. You've got mail.
This question comes from Alec in New York City. He writes, Hi, Karen Scott. What are your thoughts
on the rise of the new gambling and betting industry? It seems like it's impossible to
escape news and advertisements from this industry with all new casinos opening in city centers like New York? Isn't it just another ticking bomb that will disproportionately affect
young men? Everything with young men is so interesting. They come to Scott to ask this
question. So, Scott? I'm really torn on this, Kara. I don't, I think as the bottom line is,
I don't know how you outlaw gambling. It doesn't make sense when it's just sequestered to certain
geographies or certain communities. It's not. 30 states have legalized it,
and Washington, D.C. Right, 30 of the 50. I can see the arguments both ways. I think what we have
to do is, I almost, I don't want to say be more thoughtful parents or incorporate into,
I think it would help to have certain what I'll call non-STEM-based classes in high school. I
think people should be taught mating dynamics.
What is it called, like the behavior self course?
Well, okay.
How do you approach a person
that you're romantically interested in
while making them feel safe?
This is how relationships form.
This is what it means to be a good partner.
I think this would be helpful for kids
in their teenage and their formative years.
I think it's important to say,
this is what's happening in your prefrontal cortex. And by the way, as a young man, you are more
vulnerable to gamification that results in gambling, that results in addiction. And by the
way, gambling more than any other addiction has a greater suicide rate. And the reason why is
because you can go down a rabbit hole and no one knows. If you're addicted to meth,
people figure it out pretty fast and they intervene or they try to intervene. You can lose
your house, your parents' money, and be hundreds of thousands in debt with gambling and nobody
knows. And so you decide there's no way out. There needs to be education. But I don't,
and I know that's a pat answer. I think parents have to be very aware of
these dangers, especially with young men. Yeah. No, and they don't do well. They don't do well.
There's interesting statistics. According to debt.org, more than 20% of compulsive gamblers
end up filing for bankruptcy and over $7 billion in legal bets on Super Bowl 2022,
according to the American Gaming. I mean, people love it. It's an addiction.
It's just like a lot of things.
Oh, it's a huge thrill.
I mean, to a certain extent, in the stock market, you get a little bit of that thrill.
And I don't know.
I don't understand how you suppress it or age-gate it.
And also, I think the best regulation in the world is mistakes and doing stupid things.
So I don't think you want to infantilize people.
Do you gamble a lot?
I don't gamble at all. Oh, I love. Do you gamble a lot? I don't gamble at
all. Oh, I love, this is exactly what I do. I go to Vegas, I take a kilt, I get super fucked up.
What? I take $5,000, I go down to the casino, I play craps, which I don't even understand. I just
start yelling out shit like baby needs new shoes. And there's a gamble in the house. I get
ridiculously fucked up and I lose it all and it's worth it.
And there's a lesson there.
No, it's enjoyable.
It's consumption.
Gambling is consumption.
The moment you start thinking you need to leave Vegas
with as much or more money than you came with,
you're gonna be heartbroken and depressed
because it's not gonna happen.
There's a reason they can afford white tigers
and Cirque du Soleil in the rainbow room.
It's consumption. Take money.
Craps is actually where you can make money, but go ahead, from what I understand.
Well, no, no. Craps is the place you lose the least. There isn't a game in Vegas over time
you will make money. And so I think part of education, I can tell my 12-year-old's totally
into Vegas and wants to go to Vegas. I'm like, gambling is fun. Dad loves to gamble.
And this is what dad does.
What do you love about it?
It bores us living day like that.
Oh, it's so much fun.
Vegas is so awesome.
Oh my God, it's hilarious.
People are friendly, it's fun.
I have no addictive tendencies.
It's so interesting, except for maybe Twitter use.
Yeah, but it's not an addiction.
If you look at it like, I love to drink, it's consumption.
I love to buy cool tennis shoes, that's consumption. I love to buy cool tennis shoes.
That's consumption.
I don't love that.
So you just have to think of gambling as consumption.
But assume, start from a position of the following, like buying a cool pair of tennis shoes, like going to Disneyland, like going to a strip club, however you consume.
Expect to leave with no money money and then you're fine.
But don't talk yourself into believing you have some strategy or insight into this thing.
Yeah, I see. So a little decompression and you have the number that you're going to spend. I
think it's when people say they're going to spend $500.
That's a ton of fun.
Yeah, I get it. But they're going to say they're going to spend $500 and then they keep going. And
that's where it gets dangerous is when they keep going.
All right. That's what it means to be an adult, right?
So if we went to Vegas,
I would be at like the shows
and you would be in the kilt spending the money, correct?
Oh my God, I am so much fun in Vegas.
I am a good drunk.
I love to gamble.
I know the best places there.
It is a ton of fun.
I would go to Cirque du Soleil.
I like Vegas.
I like Vegas.
It's a ton of fun.
I love Vegas. I don't mind a strip
club. Some of them are okay, but I like a show. I like a show. That's what I like. So I would do
that. That's it. But the problem is when you push out gambling to every device and it's constantly
in your face and you gamify it and maybe you prey on people who are in a weak moment thinking,
maybe you prey on people who are in a weak moment thinking, I could get back to paying my rent or I could, it just, I got to be honest, it makes me uncomfortable, but I don't know how to address it.
It's heady. Do you really wear a kilt?
Oh, 100%. It's a ton of fun. It's a great conversation starter.
Do you wear underwear with that kilt?
Yeah, big Edna twins need a little support at my age.
Okay, all right. It's like a set, just to care without underwear. It's like a sad anteater. It's nobody
needs to see my junk. It's really, it's not a good look. All right, Vegas, you're safe. Don't
worry about it if Scott shows up in a kilt. It's not a, speaking of which, I need to manscape and
hit up my testosterone this afternoon. I don't want to hear this. I don't want to hear this.
Now we've moved on to things I don't have any interest in. Anyway, you've got a question of your own. That was a great one. And
you'd like answered and send it our way so you can hear about Scott's various and sundry hijinks.
Go to nymag.com slash pivot to submit a question for the show or call 855-51-PIVOT. All right,
Scott, one more quick break. We'll be back for predictions.
One more quick break.
We'll be back for predictions.
Okay, Scott, let's hear a prediction.
Well, I'll make an obvious one. So J.P. Morgan's about to have their best quarter in history.
The torrent, the torrent, the tidal wave, the tsunami.
What happens in a tsunami is the water. That's how you know a tsunami is going out.
The water level goes dramatically lower.
Like all of a sudden you go to the beach and like, where's the water?
And that is a disturbance.
That's pre, that's pre as before.
A disturbance is sucking all the water out and it's about to come back with a vengeance.
Well, the water level has gone down.
People are withdrawing their money from regional banks.
And the tsunami is going to be the wave of capital that goes into J.P. Morgan and is going in.
Just J.P. Morgan or Goldman or what?
Oh, all of them will benefit, but no one's going to benefit like J.P. Morgan.
I had a board meeting this morning for Ledger, which is this cold storage hardware wallet.
We had a, guess what? Best day ever? Sunday, right?
Oh, because everyone's putting.
Everyone wants out of USD and banks and wants custodian, wants cold storage and wants to know
for certain they have my coins, my keys. I get a hundred cents on the dollar here. There's
volatility risk in the asset, but nobody can fuck with it. No one
can invest it in securities. Did gold go up? Did gold go up? I didn't even look.
I don't know. But whenever there's a flight to safety, the dollar usually goes up and
treasuries usually go up. And we're finding the same thing at Ledger, but the biggest beneficiary
in banks, oh my God, wait till the earnings call, the next earnings call when Jamie Dimon says,
we took in more capital that we can now loan out at a higher interest rate than we pay than we were
expecting for the next three to five years. And we did it in three to five days.
Yeah, gold is way up to highs, up to high five-year highs.
So the next few articles are going to be on knock-on effects. There's going to be a lot of
The next few articles are going to be on knock-on effects.
There's going to be a lot of scapegoating.
I actually think those guys who are the venture catastrophists are going to get probably more than their fair share of criticism.
But they're going to get a lot of criticism.
There's going to be an enormous analysis of which other banks are slowly but surely going to leak capital.
Who benefits here? I'll be honest.
I think the American Who benefits here? I'll be honest. I
think the American government benefits here. I think the U.S. government were the adults in the
room. I think this was a great day to be. I mean, it sounds passe. I think it was a really good
slash great day to be an American. The government did. Yeah. Hey, stupid venture capitalists. They
weren't playing pickleball. They were doing their jobs. Super smart people. Super smart people doing their jobs. They are. If you spend time with them, you're like,
and came in with a full faith and grub. And one of my portfolio company CEOs went to Silicon Valley
Bank Monday morning, waited in line to figure out if they had money and if he could get it out
and transfer it. We decided we couldn't decide what to do. So we've decided we're leaving half
with SVB and moving half elsewhere just as like smart risk management. Okay, maybe there's some truth that you shouldn't have all your money with one
bank. So we're putting half somewhere else, but we want to be good citizens and invest in the
ecosystem. And we think SVB is actually does a good job. But when he was in line, this guy pulled
up in a black sedan 10 minutes before, true story, 10 minutes before the bank doors open,
this big handsome guy in a black
suit wearing black sunglasses with a big name tag that said, you know, Bob something FDIC. And he
went down the line and he said, my name's Bob from the FDIC. I'm a special officer at the FDIC.
Your deposits are safe here. And went down the line and shook everybody's hand. And I'm like,
that's the US fucking government. The government is-
When it's at its best. There's always problems.
But what is it supposed to do? The US government is supposed to do things the private sector can't
do. Generally speaking, the private sector, you don't want the government, and this is a
fundamental difference between capitalism, socialism, the means of production, you primarily
want to put in private hands when you can. Now, occasionally-
As in China. As in China, I think they're going to suffer.
And now occasionally, we can do,
the government can do something better than private sector.
They do a better job running the Navy
than probably a private company would
because there's no profit motive there.
Or when there is no profit incentive,
it's better for the government.
But also they want to do things that no one else can do.
And they were able to come in
and essentially calm the waters in zero time flat
because only they can do it. And you know what's going to happen? We're going to find out. It's
not going to cost them that much. When the waters calm here and already interest rates have come
down and those bonds have increased in value, you're going to find when the dust settles,
it really didn't cost taxpayers very much. Didn't cost at all. Didn't cost, you know,
it's just their, it's their job. That's why, that's why we have the government. Yeah. It's a great day to be, I mean, it sounds,
it's a great day to be an American. And by the way, all of you who keep telling America to get
out of the way, and then, you know, all these arsonists who complain that the fire department
is, is underfunded and late when you have a problem, that's, that you're not being a citizen,
you're being a survivalist but the circling back the
prediction jp morgan oh my gosh jp morgan good to be jamie diamond and we'll see what happens
with bitcoin uh it was at of course 61 000 and 500 in november of 2021 now it's a 24 but that's
certainly up uh quite a bit from the lows that it has suffered down in 11.
You know, they had lows.
So it's up.
People feel like that.
They want to diversify.
Diversity.
Diverse at banks.
Diverse bank.
Woke.
Wokeness in your diversity of spending.
That's how I look at it.
Anyway, Scott, that's the show.
We'll be back on Tuesday with more pivot and more.
Pioneering Vanguard.
You Vanguarding Pioneer. That's what you are. You kilt-wearing
gambler. Daddy's a good time in Vegas. I don't know what else to say about you. And congratulations
to us for winning. We deserve it completely. That's how I feel. I'm just saying we're a good
pair. You've never invested in our relationship. I'm in this to win it. Until the kids are out
of the house, I'm here. Okay, great. Read us out. Okay, today's show was produced by Lara Naiman, Evan Engel, and Taylor Griffin.
Ernie Indertot, engineer in this episode.
Thanks also to Drew Burrows and Mia Silverio.
Make sure you subscribe to the show wherever you listen to podcasts.
Thank you for listening to Pivot from New York Magazine and Vox Media.
We'll be back next week for another breakdown of all things tech and business.
Who do you want in your foxhole?
Janet Yellen or a bunch of venture catastrophists?
Jesus Christ, what bitches?