Pivot - Cook vs. Zuckerberg vs. consumer privacy

Episode Date: February 1, 2019

Kara and Scott talk about Apple and Facebook's latest gaffes and how Apple might be the only force left regulating Facebook. There's a-latte to say about Howard Schultz's presidential ambitions. Nancy... Pelosi was a big winner this week (and Scott for predicting the shutdown would end on last week's episode!) We also hear from a historian who told the Davos crowd that a top-marginal tax has historically worked in the United States.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:01:20 Hi everyone, this is Pivot from the Vox Media Podcast Network. I'm Cara Swisher, and I'm here in freezing D.C. where the government is back up and running for the moment. And this is Scott Galloway coming to you from the polar vortex of Delray Beach, Florida, where it is 65 degrees. It's unbearable, Cara. You know what? Stop. It's unbearable. Don't, don't, because people in the Midwest are dying. Don't make—no, no, no, no. The White Walkers are coming. Not allowed. Not allowed. I just rode.
Starting point is 00:01:46 Okay, I just rode a scooter here to get here on time. I rode very fast. You got to stop that. I was leaving the house fast. You got to stop the scooter thing, Kara. My face froze. It was lovely. It really did.
Starting point is 00:01:54 I love the scooter thing. That's just nuts. I wear a helmet. It's good. You're going to slip and break a hip. People our age shouldn't be on scooters. We shouldn't be on scooters. You should be home watching Murder, She Wrote.
Starting point is 00:02:05 Speak for yourself. I'm very fit. Not on a scooter. No, I'm very fit. I'm very fit. I do SoulCycle. I had a lovely SoulCycle yesterday. It was great.
Starting point is 00:02:13 I'm in very good shape. You know what I did this morning? I did CrossFit. Oh, did you? Do you like that stuff? All the internet people love that stuff. Well, you know how you can tell if someone does CrossFit. How?
Starting point is 00:02:21 They tell you. Damaged. They tell you. It's total signaling. Oh, they tell you. That's right. It's like going to Harvard. Okay. Yeah, That's right. It's like going to Harvard. Okay.
Starting point is 00:02:26 Yeah, that's right. All right, good to know. No, I went to school in Boston. All right, we got lots of stories this week. We have so many stories this week. There are so many. Let's start, like, I know we have to get to Facebook again. Once again, we had Apple beginning the week by doing something that was not good, by having,
Starting point is 00:02:39 it wasn't a bug, it was a mistake in the FaceTime, which allowed people to listen in. So privacy, snafu, right? And then they didn't tell about it for a week. But they did talk about it. They did turn it off. They did all the things you're supposed to do and then admitted it. It just took them a long time. And they're right in the middle of that, also announcing pretty earnings that people were not thrilled with. And then Facebook is at it again. And this time they were caught paying teenagers to collect their data on an app. And in doing so, even though they got consent of teenagers, I don't know how that works to start with,
Starting point is 00:03:16 they violated Apple's very strict terms of service on the kind of certificate. It's called an enterprise certificate. I'm not going to go into technical. But they were using it in a consumer-facing way. So Apple, you know, shut them down, including internal apps that Facebook uses on their staff's iPhones. You know, like, I don't know, a parking app or a cafeteria.
Starting point is 00:03:40 I don't know what apps they're using, but there's a whole bunch of internal apps that these companies use, and now Facebook isn't allowed to use them. And so Apple pulled all their rights to do that, which was making Apple sort of the regulator of Facebook. What do you think about this? Let's unpack both of those. So the first one was the Apple bug where on Facebook you got to listen to the conversation before people actually answered the phone.
Starting point is 00:04:02 I'm sorry, FaceTime. Excuse me. Thank you. Not Facebook. Yeah. I think it's actuallyTime. Excuse me. Thank you. Not Facebook. Yeah. I think it's actually kind of a little bit of a nothing burger. And the only thing I take away from it is that there's kind of a universal karmic response that when you go on an indignant store about privacy, you're going to start violating people's
Starting point is 00:04:18 privacy. It's just, it's sort of, they kind of had it coming. I don't think it's a big deal. I think they fixed it. I don't, I really, I think it makes for an interesting it coming. I don't think it's a big deal. I think they fixed it. I don't – I really – I think it makes for an interesting headline, but I don't – I think it's a big nothing. They act appropriately when it happens. I mean some people have that battery thing. Shut it down. They fixed it. Done next.
Starting point is 00:04:35 The thing, the fight between – I mean the other stuff, I actually think Facebook, what they – Facebook didn't. As you know, neither of us I, are big, huge fans of Facebook. Companies do this all the time. And it was about 10% of the people were teenagers or under the age of 18. They did get parental consent. Right, research. What's more interesting. No, it's not clear they got parental consent.
Starting point is 00:04:58 Oh, I thought that they've shown that parents did, were in fact contacted and that there was a consent flow was the term they used. I love the terms that Facebook puts out. But it's not, I don't think it's anything that other companies don't do every day. I don't. No, no, they all do them. And Facebook does a lot of it. Obviously, they want a lot of data.
Starting point is 00:05:16 They all do. Google does them. What you have is, and what's interesting is that, so the analogy I would use is, in the 80s and 90s, if you were black and sold white people marijuana, you got stuck in jail. And then when you got out, you were on probation and
Starting point is 00:05:31 anything including having pornography on your computer was reason to put you back in jail. And that's where Facebook is. Facebook is on probation. Nobody believes them. Everything they do that is slightly questionable, everybody assumes is really malicious and covert and awful. And this management team has absolutely no credibility, and everybody always assumes the worst. And I don't think it's going to end until they turn But breaking the TOS is not, should we care that they do that? Because Apple has slapped other companies, and in fact, had slapped Facebook before for an app they had called Innovo, which was a data collecting app that they had bought many years ago. And I remember when they did it, I'm like, oh, they're trying to collect data on lots of different app usage.
Starting point is 00:06:13 That's what they're doing it for. This is the worst celebrity death match. This is Ali Frazier turned hall monitor past work between Zuckerberg and Tim Cook. This is personal. There's nothing here except two people who hate each other and they're going after each other and all being indignant. It's not so what. I don't think it's a big story.
Starting point is 00:06:32 I think the back story here is that Zuck and Tim Cook hate each other and they're now fighting in public. Yeah. Yeah, yeah, yeah, which they have been doing. I got Tim to say those things about Mark on my interview with him this March and March. And Apple, I mean, Facebook slapped back about it being indignant, Apple for being indignant. And it just goes on. But I think it still is getting to that.
Starting point is 00:06:54 There was a really good thing that I tweeted. It was a thing of what they did. And when others do it, Apple hits back harder. And most people feel that Apple didn't hit back hard enough. Others feel like, wow, this was really sort of screwing up their internal systems was a nice little dig. But it's very clear. Apple has always been super strict in its app store, and for Facebook to do a go-around because they didn't like the rules just seems like – I don't know. They can't not like the rules.
Starting point is 00:07:18 They shouldn't operate on the platform. They can go over and use. So I think Facebook – I think the more interesting story, Kara, and this wasn't in our notes, but I think the most underreported story in tech right now and the bigger deal that no one's talking about is Facebook's integration
Starting point is 00:07:31 of their backend among WhatsApp, Instagram, and the core platform, Facebook. Yes, 100%. Please go on. Please keep going.
Starting point is 00:07:38 Okay, so I would like to give Mark Zuckerberg and Sheryl Sandberg broader reach and a more robust platform said no person ever. And that's what's going on here. We have these giant dials. It's like, if you think about Einstein, I love the Einstein quote. They said, how will the third world war be fought? With what weapons?
Starting point is 00:07:55 And he said, I don't know, but I know the fourth world war will be fought with sticks and stones. And I'm beginning to believe that the third world war is going to be fought with likes and retweets, that we have figured out a way to create these giant dials that if you put a hand on it, you can create rage from one community to another. And I think that Russians have been able to get their hands on these dials and are literally breaking us apart, these Western democracies. And I know that sounds paranoid, but just because I'm paranoid doesn't mean I'm wrong. And I know that sounds paranoid, but just because I'm paranoid doesn't mean I'm wrong. What we've done here's bow and say, look, if you integrate these three things, be careful. We can still
Starting point is 00:08:52 break your ass up. And what they're clearly doing is they're trying to create what I would call a Siamese triplets defense. And they're going to be able to say, look, if you break us up, if you try and separate us, the whole thing's going to die. And the notion that they're going to have. This is the reason Kevin Systrom left. He saw this. 100%. And also the guys, and the guys at WhatsApp, the guys who knew what was going on were disturbed
Starting point is 00:09:15 by this. And yet nobody's talking about it. Right. That is a very fair point. But this was something they're going to do. They want, you know, the main Facebook business is so lagging among young people and others that they have to sort of bring them together. I think it's bloated.
Starting point is 00:09:29 The big blue app is bloated, essentially. And so they're trying to be dynamic in other parts but control it all from a centralized thing. Now, if you were Mark Zuckerberg, this is precisely what you would do, right? I mean, what else do you have to do? You get consent from teenagers and you would do this because you need as much data as possible. Even though today they turned in, or last night,
Starting point is 00:09:48 they turned in amazing results. Unbelievable. Because there's nowhere else to go. But we've been saying this despite all the headlines. When is that over? Despite all the headlines. You're saying it doesn't matter. I don't think it is over.
Starting point is 00:09:58 Look, in the 80s and 90s, tobacco companies were killing half a million people a year. And they were fantastic stocks to own. And that's what we have here. We have a fantastic stock. This company is massively undervalued, even as we speak today with it up 13% today. There is absolutely no evidence of the deceleration in the business because it's a duopoly. And because these, I mean, these tools on Facebook, if you ever want, I think all marketing classes should force their kids to go on Facebook and use their ad tools just to see how incredibly robust and powerful this platform is. And if you look at their numbers yesterday, I mean, this company literally from a business standpoint is a juggernaut.
Starting point is 00:10:39 And we'd like to think that all this bad behavior translates to a reduction in their power in the business community? 100% not. This is tobacco in the 80s and 90s killing people and growing earnings massively. Well, there you have it. I didn't think it would. Someone asked me earlier this week, I was on a stage, how do you think they're going to do? I said, great. I said, you know, analysts and stock market, they own the digital advertising market with Google. And so why wouldn't they be? It doesn't matter. I think eventually it does matter, though. In the end is how products get less and less interesting.
Starting point is 00:11:12 And if they embarrass people who advertise there, that's really where they're at. But so far, they haven't embarrassed them. We'll see if they can continue to do so. And you're right. But their trust is way down. And I don't think that's a great place to be. That's how it started for Microsoft. I don't know.
Starting point is 00:11:27 People overestimate the power of trust. Everybody at DLD was talking about trust. I think the majority of the products we use and love, we don't trust the companies. I don't think it matters. Yeah. All right. Well, we'll see.
Starting point is 00:11:36 Speaking of what people like, someone and people having a lot of feels, we'll finish up with Howard Schultz, the former CEO of Starbucks, very tech-savvy guy. I've known him for many years. He says he's running for president, and there have been a lot of feels. Let's play a clip from the event that he spoke at that kind of sums up the whole thing.
Starting point is 00:11:51 Well, let's begin with what I said on national TV last night so I can frame the answer. What I said last night is that I am seriously considering running for president as a centrist independent. And I wanted to clarify the word independent, which I view merely as a designation on the ballot. Don't help elect Trump, you egotistical billionaire a**hole. Go back to getting Ray June on Twitter. go back to getting Ray June on Twitter go back to Davos with the other billionaire elite
Starting point is 00:12:28 who think they know how to run the world that's not what democracy means okay someone doesn't like Howard Schultz and there was a fantastic column in the Washington Post where you know there's going to be a latte trouble with this guy
Starting point is 00:12:43 and there was tons and tons of trouble brewing everyone wants DaVenti and stuff like that there's going to be a latte trouble with this guy. And there was tons and tons of trouble brewing. Everyone wants to venti and stuff like that. There's tons of coffee jokes you can make. He's running for president of Venti Venti 2020. Right, exactly. That's my coffee joke. You know what, Kara? What do you think of this?
Starting point is 00:12:59 We should do what Gary Vee does and have a camera follow us around all the time, although you and I, I think, have been together in the same room twice. But I'm thinking you and I go into a Starbucks and start handing out cups to the employees saying, what the fuck is your boss thinking? Yeah, he's not their boss. You know how they had those cups? The former.
Starting point is 00:13:14 The boss is Kevin Johnson from Microsoft. But yes, he made it into a big thing. What do you think of this? He's running against the Democrats, which is fascinating because he's all mad about taxes and Andrea Ocasio has gotten under his skin in some fashion. So what do you think? What do you think about this? I know him pretty well. Look, Ross Perot and Ralph Nader both handed the presidency to, Ross Perot gave it to Clinton and Ralph Nader gave it to Bush. And that's what independents do. They're spoilers. And so the notion that he's going to create some great centrist movement,
Starting point is 00:13:51 I mean, it's very idealistic and it's unrealistic. And the guy kind of summed it up perfectly. Look, you billionaire asshole, you're going to reelect Trump. I mean, that's a pretty heavy dose of truth, I think. It's too bad. My sense of him is he's a very thoughtful, civic-minded guy. He is. I think he's a principled guy.
Starting point is 00:14:10 I think he could do a tremendous amount of good. I think what he should do is what Sheldon Adelson does and have this Agora in Seattle and basically hand out a couple hundred million bucks to the people he likes and promote his values and then go be ambassador to Britain or something. Yeah. But running as an independent, it's just terrible.
Starting point is 00:14:27 He doesn't give away a lot of money. He's very thoughtful. He's written me several thoughtful emails about what he wanted to do. And so I don't know. It's interesting. You're right. You don't want him to be the spoiler here in a situation given that there's 412 Democrats running for office,
Starting point is 00:14:40 including Bloomberg who's moved sort of over to the Democratic Party. Anyway, it's going to be fascinating to watch as we move forward. We're going to take a short break and when we get back, we'll be talking about wins and fails and all the other people who got ratioed this week. And I have to give congratulations to Scott for another fantastic prediction. Fox Creative. This is advertiser content from Zelle. When you picture an online scammer, what do you see?
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Starting point is 00:17:10 you love about city life in the all-new, reimagined Nissan Kicks. Learn more at www.nissanusa.com slash 2025 dash kicks. Available feature, Bose is a registered trademark of the Bose Corporation. Okay, we're back to our show. Scott, we're going to go to wins and fails. We're going to go to predictions at the end because you are clairvoyant again. But obviously, Nancy Pelosi and the people going back to work was a big win for Nancy Pelosi and the workers. Thoughts? You're right. Huge win for her. I think a lot of people doubted her leadership.
Starting point is 00:17:53 She had, you know, there was some noise about her not being the best Speaker of the House. And she's been outstanding. I mean, she's really kind of, you know, say my name, Nancy Pelosi. This is the Heisenberg of, I don't know if you watch Breaking Bad, but she's just an incredible, she's shown incredible leadership. And if you're a Democrat, you were really excited to kind of see her basically just, you know, body slam the president. If you go in the middle of the country and the rest of the country, it's not about political victories. It's about the fact that the greatest democracy and experiment in the history of mankind was shut down. And I don't think it's any accident that Russian bombers are trolling our coast or
Starting point is 00:18:31 that Venezuelan politics are being infiltrated by foreign entities, because I think people are bumping us now. I think they see us as weak. I think when the government shuts down, it reflects weakness to the rest of the world. So I think it's generally, which is bad for America. Yeah, I would agree. I would agree. And it also, when there's, when even the Republicans are arguing with each other, which they are today about Syria and all kinds of things about shutting down the, do you, we're going to get to your prediction in a minute, but they, you know, the fighting now between Trump and the entire Congress, which is interesting. I'm not so sure the Republicans are that fight fighting with him, but they're at least pushing back on certain things. He yelled at his spy chiefs this week
Starting point is 00:19:09 because they disagreed with him on the facts. His were made up. Theirs were actual from actual doing work. So it should be a very interesting couple of months, I think, going forward, especially in the next few weeks when they have to decide on this immigration stuff, which doesn't look like it's going anywhere fast, pretty much.
Starting point is 00:19:28 And there are wins and fails, Scott. Anything else? So I always feel, for me, you're like me living in San Francisco. Again, I'm a progressive, but living in San Francisco is enough to turn me into almost a conservative because I just got... So I always like to bring up a win that you would never in a million years say is a win. I was on Fox on Tuesday. I was in the green room with Chris Christie. Who were you on? Were you on...
Starting point is 00:19:51 You know, I was on Stuart Varney. I love Stuart Varney. I think he's a gentleman and a scholar. I like Varney. I really like Neil Cavuto, too. I'm equal opportunity. I'm a total media whore. I'll pretty much go anywhere you ask me.
Starting point is 00:20:09 We all understand that, Scott. Anyways, I was in the room with Chris Christie, and I actually think Chris Christie, his media tour around his book, I think it's been a win for him. I think he comes across as smart. I don't like his politics, but I do think he comes across as smart and a straight't like his politics, but I do think he comes across as smart and a straight shooter. And I don't think his career is over. What I don't understand is how
Starting point is 00:20:31 naive he was that he thought he was going to get a job in administration where he put a family member's father in jail. I mean, was he really shocked he didn't get a job? I know. That kind of people have a tendency not to forget when you put their dads in jail, which he did to Jared. Yeah. He doubled down on it too. He's like, that was the most disgusting prosecution. That kind of – people have a tendency not to forget when you put their dads in jail, which he did to Jared. Yeah. But I thought it was a win for him. He doubled down on it too. He's like, that was the most disgusting prosecution. I was glad I did it.
Starting point is 00:20:51 Like he's not even backing off that in a lot of ways. Yeah, he's not apologizing. But have you seen any of the media interviews he's done over the last 24 hours? Yeah, he's good. He's always very – he's a smart man. Although, you know, I don't love his denials of what happened in wherever the heck when he was stopping up the traffic on the bridge. Bridgegate? Yeah, Bridgegate.
Starting point is 00:21:08 Yeah. Yeah, I think he's a liar about that. I think all his people did it. I don't, I think. Anyways, my win, Governor Christie. Okay, all right. Your win. My win is historian Rutger Bregman, who called out the billionaires at Davos for not talking about tax avoidance. And he got a back, him and Winnie Bayanima from Oxfam had a back and forth
Starting point is 00:21:30 with someone I know very well, the former CFO of Yahoo, Ken Goldman, about it. Let's listen to Mr. Bregman talk about this. The answer is very simple. Just stop talking about philanthropy and start talking about taxes. Taxes, taxes. I mean, just two days ago, there was a billionaire in here, what's his name? Michael Dell. just stop talking about philanthropy and start talking about taxes taxes taxes we need to i mean just two days ago there was a billionaire in here what's his name michael dell and uh he asked a question like name me one country where a top marginal tax rate of 70 has actually worked
Starting point is 00:21:56 and you know i'm a historian the united states that's where it has actually worked in the 1950s during republican president eisenhower you know the war veteran the top has actually worked in the 1950s during Republican President Eisenhower You know the war veteran the top marginal tax rate in the US was 91% For people like Michael Dell, you know the top estate tax for people like Michael Dell was more than 70% I mean, this is not rocket science. I mean we can talk for a very long time about all these stupid philanthropy schemes We can divide bono once more. Come on, we've got to be talking about taxes. That's it, taxes, taxes, taxes. All the rest is bullshit, in my opinion.
Starting point is 00:22:30 Thank you. So here he is, making the salient point that we had it in this country for years. This is not... I love we can talk for a very long time about all these stupid philanthropy schemes. We can invite Bono once more, that was my favorite. What do you think of this? Taxes, taxes, taxes. You don't like taxes, I'm guessing. Well, complexity favors the wealthy in our tax system slowly but surely, whether it's capital gains on stocks, the top 1% on 50% of the stocks. So capital gains tax deduction is nothing but a
Starting point is 00:23:03 transfer of wealth from the poor to the rich. Even I would argue mortgage tax, mortgage interest tax deduction is nothing but a transfer of wealth from the poor to the rich. Because who owns homes? Old rich people who rents young middle class people. So our tax system slowly but surely has been nothing but an elegant transfer of wealth from the poor to the rich. I would love somebody to do an analysis. from the poor to the rich. I would love somebody to do an analysis.
Starting point is 00:23:27 I believe the most valuable company in the world and the wealthiest man in the world, Amazon and Jeff Bezos respectively, have not only not paid any tax, but I believe they've been subsidized by the government. I think when New York gives $3 billion in subsidies to Amazon as a function of this incredibly deft gamification of the Commonwealth, with Bezos owning 16% of the company, effectively the government has written a check to Jeff Bezos personally
Starting point is 00:23:50 for $500 million. And if you look at what Bezos has likely done with his wealth, he never sells shares, so he never incurs a tax liability. He just borrows against his shares from J.P. Morgan at probably a 2% interest rate, and keeps rolling, but never actually pays taxes. And then he'll put all his wealth into trusts, and it'll be transferred without taxes.
Starting point is 00:24:17 So he's basically building a dynasty that's been subsidized by taxpayers. The wealthiest man in the world, the most valuable company in the world, not paying any taxes. Yeah, but we can invite Bono once more. That's what we can do. I think this does resonate with a lot of people. Or someone from Brazil who paints with their feet. You've got to find someone who paints with their feet. You know, I think it does resonate in this election.
Starting point is 00:24:35 I think this topic is going to be a bit, what do we do about the rich kind of thing. I think it's really interesting because the Silicon Valley people all of a sudden are like, rah, taxes. It's really fascinating because I think they're sort of in the know that they're not really paying their fair share and how it ruins innovation. And they'll trot out everything else.
Starting point is 00:24:50 But it's a really interesting thing that it's being discussed as much as it is. I don't know if it'll go anywhere because it's not just Bregman. It's Ocasio and others, the marginal tax rate. And we'll see if it goes anywhere. It will certainly affect tech given how much money they all have.
Starting point is 00:25:04 So it'll be interesting where different tech people come down on this issue and what taxes they're willing to pay or what's willing to go through. So it should be an ongoing – it's going to be an ongoing story. And some people will think of it as an attack, a class war kind of thing. I'm not so sure that's the case. I think a lot of people are laying out very good arguments for what's going on. But we'll see if that matters. But what's interesting about it, it's a nuanced argument because you know who gets really screwed, Kara, is what I would refer to as the workhorses.
Starting point is 00:25:33 And that is people who earn, call it between $100,000 or $150,000 in a million dollars a year in current income. If you live in New York or California, you're paying an effective tax rate of between 48 and 52 percent. So the kind of what you call the wealthy current income workhorses, the partners in law firms, the entrepreneurs, the people who don't pay their fair share are the people who get the majority of their income through capital gains, basically the investors and kind of the capital owners. But the people who do get, who do I think pay an unfair share to the high end are who a lot of people would deem as wealthy, the workhorses. So I think it's a nuanced argument, but we should have it. I think the Democrats are screwing up by proposing even using the term 70%
Starting point is 00:26:20 that we should go back to a super tax. I don't think that's a winner. I don't think that's, whether it's right or wrong, it's not a winnable argument. And you can see the ads for the Republicans now. Yeah, they can twist it because that's what they do for a living. They'll just put the number 70 on the screen and go, okay, your choice. Is this what you want? You want 70% tax rates. All right. We're going to get to predictions now. We get to run out. We're not going to even talk about Roger Stone's back tattoo of Richard Nixon. I just didn't want to go there at all. That guy, I just want him in jail.
Starting point is 00:26:46 That's pretty gangster though. That causes some conversation. He's such a weird. I'm sorry. He needs to just go away. A Nixon tattoo? He needs to move along. I think that's actually pretty cool.
Starting point is 00:26:54 He needs to go wherever Cato Kaelin's gone. That's where he needs to go. Anyway, all right, Scott, someone on Twitter called you clairvoyant with your predictions. But last week, I predicted I'd never buy a new car. And later that day, it was announced that Apple laid off 200 employees in their Project Titan division, which is working on autonomous cars. So cars are over. I get a little credit for predictions. No, I actually don't.
Starting point is 00:27:15 I think there's going to be autonomous cars, and I'm going to be in them. But you were predicting that the government would reopen. Now I need some more predictions about the national emergency, et cetera, et cetera. So go for it. Let's hear your predictions on this. And you can take a run around, like a big cheering run around, whatever you run around when you cheer. You're so jealous of the big dog's prediction. I just have one word.
Starting point is 00:27:38 You're calling yourself the big dog? Come on. Who called it? Who called it, Kara? Friday morning we said, you and I said that the government shutdown was coming to an end. Friday afternoon, they announced it. So my predictions are pretty boring. to just rock it up in the next three months. Be clear, bad for our democracy, bad for the planet. But this stock and this company have a supernova business model.
Starting point is 00:28:15 I think it's up 13% today. And I think it's just getting started. And it's dangerous to make stock predictions. So I won't make a stock prediction. But I think the underlying business results of Facebook are just incredible. Amazon reports. Amazon comes out tonight. Look for Amazon Media Group to all of a sudden be the third player in the Facebook-Google duopoly. It's now the fastest-growing media company in the world, over a billion dollars.
Starting point is 00:28:40 Advertising. That's true. All right. So that's your prediction. All right. Anything else about the next government shutdown? Do you want to, like, go there? Is there going to be one?
Starting point is 00:28:48 It won't happen, Cara. There's no way either party wants to go there again because I think if we went to another shutdown, people would just move to, okay, let's vote them all out. And the one thing that scares all of them is the notion of not being reelected. So, no, the government won't be shut down. So what about the national emergency? Are they going to declare it? You know what? I don't have a viewpoint.
Starting point is 00:29:10 What's your view? I don't know. He'll probably try to declare it and then it'll never happen. You know what I mean? Like the lawyers will go to a town and it'll go on and then there's not going to be an office or he's not going to control either the House or the Senate, something like that. I think he's kind of – he's never getting that wall. And Mexico's definitely not paying for it. In terms of negotiating, what is it, Sun Tzu?
Starting point is 00:29:30 In terms of negotiating, you don't want to, unless you give your competitor absolutely no out, if you give them no out, what you're basically saying, I'm going to slaughter you. And I think the Democrats and Pelosi have won. And I think for them to give a little bit, whatever that little bit might look like, such that the Republicans and specifically POTUS can sort of declare victory or at least not be totally shamed. He's not getting the five.
Starting point is 00:29:53 They're never going to give him the five. They'll give him some drones, a bunch of people. They'll give him something. Yeah, but he wants that wall. He's obsessed with the wall. He's got Ann Coulter on his back, you know, yelling at him about that. So he seems to respond to whatever she says. Talk about where Cato Kaelin goes. Why do we even use the word Ann Coulter on his back, you know, yelling at him about that. So he seems to respond to whatever she says. Talk about where Cato Kaelin goes.
Starting point is 00:30:07 Why do we even use the word Ann Coulter? Like what qualifies her for us to care? Because she has that. You know, I was at a dinner party and someone said this and someone else correctly said because the president listens to her and he happens to be the president of the United States. So there you have it. You know. What do you think is going to happen with the national emergency? I think he's going to try to declare it.
Starting point is 00:30:25 I do. He likes the idea of it. He's going to declare it. He's like, it's a little Mussolini move, and he'll do it, and then it'll go nowhere. I think eventually he'll end up indicted somehow. I just do. He's a sloppy criminal. So, I don't know.
Starting point is 00:30:40 That's where I see it. Yeah, the Southern District. Except he's a sloppy one. Like, I think about all these other, you just eventually, you run out of tricks. Well, when everyone around you has an ankle monitor, it's not a good sign. Yeah. But have you seen, you have two teenage sons. Have you seen Honey Badger Just Don't Care, that video about honey badgers?
Starting point is 00:31:00 Yeah, of course, yeah. Honey badger don't care. Honey badger don't give a shit. It just takes what it wants. Whenever it's hungry, it just, ew. Okay, so don't care. Honey Badger don't give a shit. It just takes what it wants. Whenever it's hungry, it just ew. Okay, so I think the new Honey Badger is the Southern District. I just don't think they care. I think they're going after
Starting point is 00:31:12 the guy. It's like Southern District. He's the president. These aren't hard crimes. It's like Southern District just don't care. They don't care. They are coming for him. They don't care. Yeah, I think we're going to hear those two words, Southern District, a lot over the next couple months. It'll be interesting to see what happens with his taxes when they finally reveal them, which I think eventually will out itself.
Starting point is 00:31:33 But we'll see. We'll see. He's always also shown himself to get out of things, get out of jams. So we'll see. We'll see if he can keep getting out of it. I think you eventually do not get out of jams no matter how much. You know how he gets reelected, Tara? How?
Starting point is 00:31:46 Well, this should be another lose. I think the politically correct beliefs that went after Tom Brokaw for his comments, which I thought were wrong, but I thought the other journalists on Meet the Press handled it really well and basically said, no, you're wrong. He had said essentially that the Latino community needed to have a conversation around assimilating better, which was a wrong, which is just factually wrong. But the level of hate that came out against him on Twitter, forcing him to apologize, I feel as if we're at a point where people are so sick of this indignance on both sides that the way Donald Trump gets elected is he says, he basically runs on a campaign of like, you know, screw you, snowflake.
Starting point is 00:32:29 And I think we have to be better about being a little bit more generous with people and saying, okay, let's have the conversation and you might be wrong. But just the response, again, we talked about this last week with some of the stuff that, between you and Fox,
Starting point is 00:32:44 this gotcha culture really hurts. I think it hurts our chances. Except he started it. That's the thing is he started it. I do think people are – all my Trumpy relatives, I'm going to see some Trumpy people this weekend. They are tired of him. It's like the show. I watched that show for years.
Starting point is 00:32:58 Again, I'm the only person who's watched every episode of The Apprentice. And I got tired of it after a while. I think the show gets boring and it gets ridiculous. And the stuff that you liked about it gets tiresome. I think tiresome ratings is going to take him down. That's what's going to happen. People are sick of it. And I know I can see my Trumpy relatives already being like,
Starting point is 00:33:16 oh, shut up, that kind of stuff. So that's what I think. They're fed up. They're sick of it. It's just like, oh, shut the hell up. That's exactly what they're like. They don't want to hear it. They don't even want It's just like, oh, shut the hell up. That's exactly what they're like. They don't want to hear it. They don't even want to defend it saying, oh, it's just him.
Starting point is 00:33:28 They're just like, oh, God, stop talking and go away. I think that's one of the things that I think. And if the Democrats have a relative – And who is Kara Swisher supporting for president or who do you like out of the gates? Did you see – by the way, did you see Kamala Harris' talk at some point? Kamala Harris, yeah. I like her. I thought she did a great job.
Starting point is 00:33:44 I thought she was great on the CNN thing. I think she's gotten very appealing. I've interviewed her many times. Yeah, she was really strong. And I thought she's improved drastically in her interview style, I have to say, because she was a little flat when I interviewed her. So I think she plays it right. She's very appealing in lots of ways.
Starting point is 00:34:02 Well, so who do you like? Her. Who does Kara Swisher like? I like Kamala Harris. Really? I do. does Kara Swisher like? I like Kamala Harris. Really? I do. I do. I do.
Starting point is 00:34:07 I like all the women. I like Amy Klobuchar. I have hopes for her. We'll see. One of them. Yeah, you've always been a fan of Senator Klobuchar. I think it is time to elect a lady. I know I don't like Beto, as you know.
Starting point is 00:34:22 I'm not a Beto fan. You don't like Beto. Stop it. Stop it. How Beto, as you know. I'm not a Beto fan. You don't like Beto. Stop it. Stop it. How can you not like Beto? Because he's a man child. Oh, he's outstanding. No, he's not.
Starting point is 00:34:32 He's not. Oh, my God. Women don't agree. Well, no, not women. A lot of women like him. What am I talking about? Anyway, we will go on to this. You, me, and Beto at South by Southwest, we would slay it.
Starting point is 00:34:43 Oh, my God. Oh, my gosh. A little Tex-Mex. He's like every boyfriend that made me a lesbian. I don't know what else to say. He's just like the boyfriend. Every boyfriend that made you a lesbian? Oh, this is getting better. Can we go another half hour?
Starting point is 00:34:55 No, we can't. No, we're stopping. Okay, Scott, let's see. Oh my gosh. I'm looking forward to seeing what next week brings. Rebecca Sinanis produces the show. Nishat Kerwa is Vox Media's executive producer of audio. Thanks also to Eric Johnson.
Starting point is 00:35:10 Thanks for listening to Pivot from Vox Media. We'll be back next week with more of a breakdown of all things tech and business and whatever screwed up thing Facebook manages to pull in the next seven days. If you like what you heard, please subscribe on Apple Podcasts or wherever you're listening. Bye, Scott. I'll see you soon. Stay warm, Kara. Support for this show is brought to you by Nissan Kicks. It's never too late to try new things,
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