Pivot - Decoder: Barack Obama on AI, Free Speech, and the Future of the Internet

Episode Date: November 24, 2023

Happy Thanksgiving! While Kara and Scott take a break after a crazy week of news, enjoy this episode of Decoder, featuring Nilay Patel's interview with former President Obama on AI, free speech, regul...ation, and more. Kara and Scott will return next week! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:01:00 Just go to Indeed.com slash podcast right now and say you heard about Indeed on this podcast. Indeed.com slash podcast. Terms and conditions apply. Need to hire? You need Indeed. Hi, everyone. I'm Kara Swisher. And I'm Scott Galloway. Today, we're bringing you a special episode of Decoder, Neelay Patel's recent conversation with former President Barack Obama. The two talked about AI and the role of that free speech and government regulation play,
Starting point is 00:01:32 topics we've been talking about a lot on Pivot lately. And while this is a serious conversation, there's a lighter moment when President Obama is asked about his iPhone home screen and which four apps he has in that dock at the bottom. Scott, I'm curious, what are your four apps? Anything interesting? Well, hold on. YouPorn and Caviar, but let me get this.
Starting point is 00:01:52 You get the head of diversity and inclusion from the Forestry Service and Neelai gets Obama. I know, I had Obama, I interviewed Obama. My favorite apps, I love, I hate to, I have this new app called Wheelie and I use Caviar when I'm in New York. Wheelie, it's kind of a high-end Uber. It's like douche Uber, duber.
Starting point is 00:02:10 Douche, duber, okay. Yeah. What else do I use? I guess that's about it. I don't use, oh, Spotify. Spotify. I love Spotify. Okay.
Starting point is 00:02:17 I have Mail, Messages, Phone, and Settings on my four apps at the bottom. Oh, you mean at the bottom? This should actually use. Oh, okay. That's different. But I like that wheelie, and I use those. Those are good ones. Those are nice ones to have. And my stock market app.
Starting point is 00:02:33 I don't even know what that's called. Does it even have a name? It's stocks. Stocks. Stocks. Yeah, I don't use Twitter. Twitter's back in some file now. I have news apps.
Starting point is 00:02:42 I have my news apps and threads, actually, near the top, too. Anyway, and weather, obviously. CNN. I'm sorry, CNN. CNN. Okay, good. I have my news apps and threads actually near the top too. Anyway, and weather, obviously. CNN. I'm sorry, CNN. CNN.
Starting point is 00:02:48 Okay, good. Well, good, good, good, good. Anyway,
Starting point is 00:02:51 enjoy the episode, everyone, and happy Thanksgiving. Are you doing Thanksgiving in London, Scott? No, I'm actually doing it in Florida.
Starting point is 00:02:59 I'm really excited. I'm going to go see friends. It's going to be great. Cool. Some weather, some warm weather, sand. Anyway,
Starting point is 00:03:03 while Scott's sunning himself on the Florida beaches, we'll be back next week with more Pivot. Hello and welcome to Decoder. I'm Neil I. Patel, editor-in-chief of The Verge, and Decoder is my show about big ideas and other problems. We've got a good one today. I'm talking to former President Barack Obama about AI, social networks, and how to think about democracy as both of those things collide. I sat down with Obama last week at his offices in Washington, D.C., just hours after President Biden signed a sweeping executive order about AI. That order covers quite a bit, from labeling AI-generated content to coming up with safety protocols for the companies working on the most advanced AI models. You'll hear Obama say he's
Starting point is 00:03:45 been talking to the Biden administration and leaders across the tech industry about AI and how best to regulate it. And he has a particularly unique experience here, since President Obama is one of the most deepfaked people in the entire world. You'll also hear him say that he joined our show because he wanted to reach you, the Decoder audience, and get you all thinking about these problems. One of Obama's worries is that the government needs insight and expertise to properly regulate AI. And you'll hear him make a pitch for why people with that expertise should take a tour of duty in the government to make sure we get these things right.
Starting point is 00:04:20 We're going to get right into it, but some notes before we start. My idea here was to talk to Obama, the constitutional law professor, more than Obama, the politician. So this one got wonky fast. You'll hear him mention Nazis in Skokie. That's a reference to a famous Supreme Court case from the 70s where the ACLU argued that the town of Skokie, Illinois, banning a Nazi group from marching was a violation of the First Amendment. You'll hear me get excited about a case called Red Lion v. FCC, a 1969 Supreme Court decision that said the government could impose something called the Fairness Doctrine on radio and television broadcasters because the public owns the airwaves and can thus impose requirements on how they're used. There's no similar framework
Starting point is 00:05:01 for cable TV or the internet, which don't use public airwaves, and that makes them much harder, if not impossible, to regulate. Obama says he disagrees with the idea that social networks are something called common carriers that have to distribute all information equally. That's an idea floated most notably by Justice Clarence Thomas in a 2021 concurrence, and which forms the basis of laws regulating social media in Texas and Florida. Those laws are currently headed to the Supreme Court for review. Lastly, Obama says he talked to a tech executive who told him the best comparison to AI's impact on the world would be
Starting point is 00:05:36 electricity. And you'll hear me say that I have to guess who it is. So here's my guess. It's Google's Sundar Pichai, who has been saying AI is more profound than electricity or fire since 2018. But that's my guess. You all take a listen. Let me know what you think. Oh, and one more thing. I definitely asked Obama what apps were on his home screen. I mean, come on. You would have done the same thing. Okay. President Barack Obama. Here we go. President Barack Obama, you're the 44th president of the United States. We're here at the Obama Foundation. Welcome to Decoder. It is great to be here. Thank you for having me. I am really excited to talk to you. There's a lot to talk about. Yeah. We are here on the occasion of President Biden signing executive order about AI.
Starting point is 00:06:29 I would describe this order as sweeping. I think it's over 100 pages long. There's a lot of ideas in it. Everything from regulating biosynthesis with AI. There's some safety regulations in there. It mandates something called red teaming, transparency, watermarking. These feel like new challenges, like very new challenges for the government's relationship with technology. I want to start with a decoder question. What is your framework for thinking about these challenges and how you evaluate them? This is something that I've been interested in for a while. So back in 2015, 2016, as we were watching the landscape transformed by social media and the information
Starting point is 00:07:08 revolution impacting every aspect of our lives, I started getting in conversations about artificial intelligence and this next phase, this next wave that might be coming. And I think one of the lessons that we got from the transformation of our media landscape was that incredible innovation, incredible promise, incredible good can come out of it, but there are a bunch of unintended consequences and that we have to be maybe a little more intentional about how our democracies interact with what is primarily being generated out of the private sector. And what rules of the road are we setting up? And how can we make sure that we maximize the good and maybe minimize some of the bad? So I commissioned my science guy,
Starting point is 00:08:00 John Holdren, along with John Podesta, who had been a former chief of staff and worked on climate change issues. Let's pull together some experts to figure this out. And we issued a big report in my last year. The interesting thing even then was people felt enormously promising technology, but we may be over-hyping how quick it's going to come. And as we've seen just in the last year or two, even those who are developing these large language models who are in the weeds with these programs are starting to realize this thing is moving faster and is potentially even more powerful than we originally imagined. So my framework and in conversations with government officials, private sector, academics, the framework I
Starting point is 00:08:54 emerged from is that this is going to be a transformative technology. It's already in all kinds of small ways, but very broadly changing the shape of our economy in some ways, even our search engines, basic stuff that we take for granted is already operating under some AI principles, but this is going to be turbocharged. It's going to impact how we make stuff, how we deliver services, how we get information. stuff, how we deliver services, how we get information, and the potential for us to have enormous medical breakthroughs, the potential for us to be able to provide individualized tutoring for kids in remote areas, the potential for us to solve some of our energy challenges and deal with greenhouse gases. This could unlock amazing innovation, but that it can also do some harm.
Starting point is 00:09:51 We can end up with powerful AI models in the hands of somebody in a basement who develops a new smallpox variant or non-state actors who suddenly, because of a powerful AI tool, can hack into critical infrastructure. Or maybe less dramatically, AI infiltrating the lives of our children in ways that we didn't intend, in some cases the way social media has. So what that means then is, is that I think the government, as an expression of our democracy, needs to be aware of what's going on.
Starting point is 00:10:30 Those who are developing these frontier systems need to be transparent. I don't believe that we should try to put the genie back in the bottle and be anti-tech because of all the enormous potential. But I think we should put some guardrails around some risks that we can anticipate and have enough flexibility that it doesn't destroy innovation, but also is guiding and steering this technology in a way that maximizes not just individual company profits, but also the public good. So let me make the comparison for you. I would say that the problem in tech regulation for the past 15 years has been social media. How do we regulate social media? How do we get more
Starting point is 00:11:17 good stuff, less bad stuff, make sure that really bad stuff is illegal. You came to the presidency on the back of social media. I was the first digital president. You had a BlackBerry. I remember people were very excited about your BlackBerry. I wrote a story about your iPad. That was transformative. That's young people are going to take to the political environment. They're going to use these tools. We're going to change America with it. You can make an argument. I wouldn't have been elected had it not been for social networks. Now we're on the other side of that. There was another guy who got elected on the back
Starting point is 00:11:45 of social networks. There was another movement in America that has been very negative on the back of that election. We have basically failed to regulate social networks, I'd say. There's no comprehensive privacy bill even. There was already a framework for regulating media in this country. We could apply a lot of what we knew about should we have good media to social networks. There are some First amendment questions in there, what have you, important ones, but there was an existing framework. With AI, it's, we're going to tell computers to do stuff and they're going to go do it. We have no framework for that.
Starting point is 00:12:18 We hope they do what we think we're telling them to do. We also have, we ask computers a question, they might just confidently lie to us or help us lie at scale. There is no framework for that. What do you think you can pull from the sort of failure to regulate social media into this new environment such that we get it right this time? Or do anything at all?
Starting point is 00:12:39 Well, this is part of the reason why I think what the Biden administration did today in putting out the EO, the work they've done is so important. Not because it's the end point, but because it's really the beginning of building out a framework. When you mentioned how this executive order has a bunch of different stuff in it, what that reflects is we don't know all the problems that are going to arise out of this. We don't know all the promising potential of AI, but we're starting to put together sort of the foundations for what we hope will be a smart framework for dealing with it. In some cases, what AI is going to do is to accelerate advances in, let's say, medicine.
Starting point is 00:13:33 We've already seen, for example, with things like protein folding and the breakthroughs that can take place that would not have happened had it not been for some of these AI tools. And we want to make sure that that's done safely. We want to make sure that it's done responsibly. And it may be that we already have some laws in place that can manage that. There may be some novel developments in AI where an existing agency, an existing law just doesn't work. If we're dealing with the alignment problem and we want to make sure that some of these large
Starting point is 00:14:11 language models where even the developers aren't entirely confident about what these models are doing, what the computer is thinking or doing, well, in that case, we're going to have to figure out what are the red teaming, what are the testing regiments. And in talking to the companies themselves, they will acknowledge that their safety protocols and their testing regiments, et cetera, may not be where they need to be. And I think it's entirely appropriate then for us to say, to plant a flag and say, all right, to say, to plant a flag and say, all right, frontier companies, you need to disclose what your safety protocols are to make sure that we don't have rogue programs going off and hacking into our financial system, for example.
Starting point is 00:14:57 Tell us what tests you're using. Make sure that we have some independent verification that right now this stuff is working. make sure that we have some independent verification that right now this stuff is working. But that framework can't be a fixed framework because these models are developing so quickly that oversight and any regulatory framework is going to have to be flexible, and it's going to have to be nimble. And by the way, it's also going to require some really smart people who understand how these programs and these models are working, not just in the companies themselves, but also in the nonprofit sector and in government. of the executive order is specifically calling on a bunch of hotshot young people who are interested in AI to do a stint outside of the companies themselves and go work for government for a while, go work with some of the research institutes that are popping up in places like the Harvard Lab or
Starting point is 00:16:02 the Stanford AI Center and some other nonprofits, because we're going to need to make sure that everybody can have confidence that whatever journey we're on here with AI, that it's not just being driven by a few people without any kind of interaction or voice from ordinary folks, regular people who are going to be using these products and impacted by these products. We have to take a quick break. When we're back, President Obama and I talk about how regulation should shape the future of AI. Fox Creative.
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Starting point is 00:18:57 Download Thumbtack today. We're back with President Barack Obama talking about the importance of AI regulation. There's ordinary folks and there's the people who are building it who need to go help write regulations. And there's a split there. The conventional wisdom in the Valley for years is the government is too slow. It doesn't understand technology. And by the time it actually writes a functional rule, the technology it was aiming to regulate will be obsolete.
Starting point is 00:19:29 This is markedly different, right? The AI doomers are the ones asking for regulation the most. The big companies have asked for regulation. Sam Altman has toured the capitals of the world politely asking to be regulated. Why do you think there's such a fervor for that regulation? Is it just incumbents wanting to cement their position? Well, look, you're raising an important point, which is,
Starting point is 00:19:50 and rightly, there's some suspicion, I think, among some people that, yeah, these companies want regulation because they want to lock out competition. And as you know, historically, lockout competition. And as you know, historically, sort of a central principle of tech culture has been open source. We want everything out there. Everybody's able to play with models and applications and create new products. And that's how innovation happens. Here, regulation starts looking like, well, maybe we start having closed systems and the big frontier companies, the Microsofts, the Googles, the open AIs, Anthropics, that they're going to somehow lock us out. But in my conversations with the tech leaders on this, I think there is, for the first time, some genuine humility because they are seeing the power that these models may have. I talked to one executive, and look, there's no shortage of
Starting point is 00:20:57 hyperbole in the tech world, right? But this is a pretty sober guy, like an adult who's- Now I have to guess who it is. Who's seen a bunch of these cycles and been through boom and bust. And I asked him, I said, well, when you say this technology you think is going to be transformative, give me sort of some analogy. He said, you know, I sat with my team and we talked about it. And after going around and around, what we decided was maybe the best analogy was electricity. And I thought, well, yeah, electricity, that was a pretty big deal. And if that's the case, I think what they recognize is it's in their own commercial
Starting point is 00:21:35 self-interest that there's not some big screw up on this. If in fact it is as transformative as they expect it to be. Having some rules, some protections that create a competitive field, allow everybody to participate, come up with new products, compete on price, compete on functionality, but that none of us are taking such big risks. Yeah. There's a view in the valley. The whole thing blows up in our faces. I do think that there is sincere concern that if we just have an unfettered race to the
Starting point is 00:22:12 bottom, that this could end up choking off the goose that might be laying a bunch of golden eggs. There is the view in the valley though, that any constraint on technology is bad. Yeah. And I disagree with that. Any caution, any principle where you might slow down is the enemy of progress. The net good is better if we just race that as fast as possible. In fairness, that's not just in the Valley.
Starting point is 00:22:32 That's in every business I know. It's not like Wall Street loves regulation. It's not as if manufacturers are really keen for government to micromanage how they produce goods. are really keen for government to micromanage how they produce goods. But one of the things that we've learned through the industrial age and the information age over the last century is that you can over-regulate, you can have over-bureaucratize things, but that if you have smart regulations that set some basic goals and standards, making sure you're not creating products that are unsafe to consumers, making sure that if you're selling food, people who go in the grocery store can trust that they're not going to die from salmonella or E. coli, making sure that if somebody buys a car that the brakes work,
Starting point is 00:23:28 making sure that if I take my electric whatever and I plug it into a socket anywhere, any place in the country, that it's not going to shock me and blow up on my face. It turns out all those various rules, standards actually create marketplaces and are good for business. And innovation then develops around those rules. So it's not an argument that, I think part of what happens in the tech community is the sense that we're smarter than everybody else. And these people slowing us down
Starting point is 00:24:05 are impeding rapid progress. And when you look at the history of innovation, it turns out that having some smart guideposts around which innovation takes place not only doesn't slow things down, in some cases, it actually raises standards and accelerates progress. There were a bunch of folks who said, look, you know, you're going to kill the automobile if you
Starting point is 00:24:29 put airbags in there. Well, it turns out actually people figured out, you know what, we can actually put airbags in there and make them safer. And over time, the costs go down and everybody's better off. There's a really difficult part in this EO about provenance. Yeah. Watermarking content, making sure people can see it's AI generated. You are among the most deep faked people in the world. Well, because what I realized when I left office, I'd probably been filmed and recorded more than any human in history
Starting point is 00:25:01 just because I happened to be the first president when the smartphone came out. I'm assuming you have some very deep personal feelings about being de-picked in this way. There's a big First Amendment issue here, right? I can use Photoshop one way, and the government doesn't say I have to put a label on it. I use it a slightly different way.
Starting point is 00:25:20 The government's going to show up and tell Adobe, you've got to put a label on this. How do you square that circle? Well, look. It seems very challenging to me. I think this is going to be an iterative process. I don't think you're going to be able to create a blanket rule. But the truth is that's been how our governance of information,
Starting point is 00:25:38 media, speech, that's how it's developed for a couple hundred years now. With each new technology, we have to adapt and figure out some new rules of the road. So let's take my example. A deep fake of me that is used for political satire or just to, you know, somebody doesn't like me and they want to deep fake me. I was the president of the United States, and there are some pretty formidable rules that have been set up to protect people from making fun of public figures. I'm a public figure, and what you are doing to me as a public figure is different than what you do to a 13-year-old girl, a freshman in high school.
Starting point is 00:26:26 So we're going to treat that differently. And that's okay. We should have different rules for public figures than we do for private citizens. We should have different rules for what is clearly sort of political commentary and satire versus cyberbullying or... Where do you think those rules land? Do they land on individuals? Do they land on the people making the tools like Adobe or Google? Do they land on the distribution networks like Facebook? But I think the key thing to understand is, and look, I taught constitutional law. I'm close to a First Amendment absolutist in the sense that I generally don't believe that even offensive speech, mean speech, et cetera, should be certainly not regulated by the government. And I'm even game to argue that on social media platforms,
Starting point is 00:27:27 et cetera, that the default position should be free speech rather than censorship. I agree with all that. But keep in mind, we've never had completely free speech, right? We have laws against child pornography. We have laws against human trafficking. We have laws against certain kinds of speech that we deem to be really harmful to the public health and welfare. The courts, when they evaluate that, they say, they come up with a whole bunch of time, place, manner restrictions that may be acceptable in some cases, aren't acceptable in others. You get a bunch of case law that develops. There's arguments about it in the public square. We may disagree. Should Nazis be able to protest in Skokie? Well, that's a tough one, but we can figure this out. And that, I think, is how
Starting point is 00:28:27 this is going to develop. I do believe that the platforms themselves are more than just common carriers like the phone company. They're not passive. There's always some content moderation taking place. And so once that line has been crossed, it's perfectly reasonable for the broader society to say, well, we don't want to just leave that entirely to a private company. I think we need to at least know how you're making those decisions, what things you might be amplifying through your algorithm and what things you aren't. And it may be that what you're doing isn't illegal, but we should at least be able to
Starting point is 00:29:10 know how some of these decisions are made. I think it's going to be that kind of process that takes place. What I don't agree with is the large tech platforms suggesting somehow that we want to be treated entirely as a common carrier and like we're just class if you. It's the parents Thomas view, right? Yeah, which, but on the other hand, we know you're selling advertising based on the idea that you're making a bunch of decisions about your products. Well, this is very challenging, right? If you say you're a common carrier, then you are in fact regulating them. You're saying you can't make any decisions. You say you are exercising editorial control. They are protected by the first amendment.
Starting point is 00:29:52 And then regulations get very, very difficult. It feels like even with AI, when we talk about content generation with AI or with social networks, we run right into the first amendment over and over again. And most of our approaches, this is what I worry about, is we try to get around it so we can make some speech regulations without saying we're going to make some speech regulations.
Starting point is 00:30:12 Copyright law is the most effective speech regulation on the internet because everyone will agree, okay, Disney owns that, bring it down. Well, because there's property involved. There's money involved. There's money. Maybe less property than money,
Starting point is 00:30:23 but there's definitely money. Well, IP There's money. Maybe less property than money, but there's definitely money. IP and hence money. Well, look, here's my general view. Yeah. But do you worry that we're making fake speech translations without actually public conversation around these rules and agree reflect our broad adherence to democracy. But the point I guess I'm emphasizing here is this is not the first time we've had to do this. We had to do this when radio emerged. We had to do this when television emerged. It was easier to do back then,
Starting point is 00:31:38 in part because you had three or five companies or the public through the government technically owned the airwaves and so you could make these No, this is a square my bingo card if I could get to the red line case with you I've I've won right there is a there was a framework here that said the government owns the airwaves It's gonna allocate them to people in some way and we can make some decisions and that is an effective and appropriate That was the can you bring that to the internet? I think you have to find a different kind of hook. Sure. But ultimately, even though the idea that the public and the government own the airwaves, that was really just another way of saying this affects everybody. And so we should all have a say in how this operates. And we
Starting point is 00:32:23 believe in capitalism and we don't mind you making a bunch of money through the innovation and the products that you're creating and the content that you're putting out there. But we want to have some say in what our kids are watching or how things are being advertised, et cetera. If you were the president now, and I was with my family last night, and the idea that the Chinese TikTok teaches kids to be scientists and doctors, in our TikTok, the algorithm is different, and we should have a regulation like China has that teaches our kids to be doctors. It came up, and all the parents around the table said,
Starting point is 00:32:59 yeah, we're super into that. We should do that. How would you write a rule like that? Is it even possible with our first amendment? Well, look, for a long time, let's say under television, there were requirements around children's television. It kept on getting watered down to the point where anything qualified as children's television, right? We had a fairness doctrine that made sure that there was some balance in terms of how views were presented.
Starting point is 00:33:26 And I'm not arguing good or bad in either of those things. I'm simply making the point that we've done it before. And there was no sense that somehow that was anti-democratic or it was that squashing innovation. It was just an understanding that we live in a democracy, so we kind of set up rules so that we think the democracy works as better rather than worse, and everybody has some say in it. The idea behind the First Amendment is we're going to have a marketplace of ideas that these ideas battle themselves at, and ultimately we can all judge of ideas that these ideas battle themselves out. And ultimately, we can all judge better ideas versus worse ideas. And I deeply believe in that core principle. We are going to have to adapt to the fact that now there is so much content, there are so few regulators. Everybody can throw up any idea out there, even if it's
Starting point is 00:34:27 sexist, racist, violent, et cetera. And that makes it a little bit harder than it did when we only had three TV stations or a handful of radio stations or what have you. But the principle still applies, which is how do we create a deliberative process where the average citizen can hear a bunch of different viewpoints and then say, you know what, here's what I agree with, here's what I don't agree with, and hopefully through that process we get better outcomes. We need to take another break. When we return, we'll talk to President Obama about what happens when AI and social media collide.
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Starting point is 00:35:24 for your money. Terms and conditions for our different programs and policies apply. Details at fizz.ca. We're back with President Barack Obama, and we're ready to dive into what generative AI means for free speech and the internet. Let me crash the two themes of our conversation together, AI and the social platforms. Meta just had earnings. Mark Zuckerberg was on the earnings call. And he said, for our feed apps, Instagram, Facebook, threads, for the feed apps, I think that over time, more of the content that people consume is either going to be generated or edited by AI. So he envisions a world in which social networks are showing people perhaps exactly what they want to see inside of their preferences, much like advertising that keeps them engaged.
Starting point is 00:36:12 Should we regulate that away? Should we tell them to stop? Should we embrace this as a way to show people more content that they're willing to see that might expand their worldview? This is something I've been wrestling with for a while. I gave a speech about misinformation and our information silos at Stanford last year. I am concerned about business models that just feed people exactly what they already believe and agree with and all designed to sell them stuff. Do I think that's great for democracy? No. Do I think that that's something that the government
Starting point is 00:36:54 itself can regulate? I'm skeptical that you can come up with perfect regulations there. What I actually think probably needs to happen though, is that we need to think about different platforms and different models, different business models, so that it may be that I'm perfectly happy to have AI mediate how I buy jeans online, right? That could be very efficient. I'm perfectly happy with it. If it's a shopping app or a thread, fine. When we're talking about political discourse, when we're talking about culture, et cetera, can we create other places for people to go that broaden their perspective, make them curious about how other people are seeing the world, where they actually learn something as opposed to just reinforce their existing biases. But I don't think that's
Starting point is 00:37:59 something that government is going to be able to sort of legislate. I think that's something that consumers interacting with companies are going to have to discover and find alternatives. The interesting thing, look, I'm not obviously 12 years old. I didn't grow up with my thumbs on these screens. So I'm an old ass, you know, 62 year old guy who sometimes can't really work all the apps on my phone. But I do have two daughters who are in their 20s. And it's interesting the degree to which at a certain point,
Starting point is 00:38:38 they have found almost every app, social media app thread getting kind of boring after a while. It gets old. Precisely because all it's doing is telling me what you already know or what the program thinks you want to know or what you want to see. So you're not surprised anymore. You're not discovering anything anymore. You're not surprised anymore. You're not discovering anything anymore. You're not learning anymore. So I think there's a promise to how we can,
Starting point is 00:39:09 there's a market, let's put it that way. I think there's a market for products that don't just do that. It's the same reason why, you know, people have asked me around AI, you know, are there going to still be artists around and singers and actors, or is it all going to be computer-generated stuff? And my answer is, for elevator music, AI is going to work fine. A bunch of elevator musicians just freaked out, dude. For the average, even legal brief, or let's say a research memo in a law firm, AI can probably do as good a job as a second year law associate.
Starting point is 00:39:54 Certainly as good a job as I would have. Exactly. But Bob Dylan or Stevie Wonder. There's one thing. Or Stevie Wonder. There's one thing. That is different. And the reason is because part of the human experience, part of the human genius is it's almost a mutation. It's not predictable.
Starting point is 00:40:11 It's messy. It's new. It's different. It's rough. It's weird. That is the stuff that ultimately taps into something deeper in us. And I think there is going to be a market for that. So you, in addition to being the former president, you are a best-selling author. You have a
Starting point is 00:40:30 production company with your wife. You're in the IP business, which is why you think it's property. It's good. I appreciate that. The thing that will stop AI in its tracks in this moment is copyright lawsuits, right? You ask a generative AI model to spit out a Barack Obama speech and it will do it to some level of passability. Yeah. Probably C plus. That's my estimation. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:40:51 C plus. It'd be one of my worst speeches, but it might sound sort of- You fire a can of C plus content at any business model on the internet, you upend it. Yeah. But there are a lot of authors, musicians now, artists suing the companies saying this is not fair use to train on our data to just ingest all of it.
Starting point is 00:41:09 Where do you stand on that? Do you think that as an author, do you think it's appropriate for them to ingest this much content? Set me aside for a second because Michelle and I, we've already sold a lot of books and we're doing fine. So I'm not overly stressed about it personally. books and we're doing fine. And so I'm not overly stressed about it personally. But what I do think President Biden's executive order speaks to, but there's a lot more work that has to be done on this. And copyright is just one element of this. If AI turns out to be as pervasive and as powerful as its proponents expect, and I have to say, the more I look into it, I think it is going to be that disruptive. We are going to have to think about not just
Starting point is 00:41:53 intellectual property. We're going to have to think about jobs and the economy differently. And not all these problems are going to be solved inside of industry. So what do I mean by that? I think with respect to copyright law, you will see people with legitimate claims financing lawsuits and litigation and through the courts and various other regulatory mechanisms, people who are creating content, they're going to figure out ways to get paid and to protect the stuff they create. It may impede the development of large language models for a while, but over the long term, I don't think, that'll just be a speed bump. The broader question is going to be what happens when 10% of existing jobs now definitively can be done better by some large language model or other variant of AI? Are we going to have to re-examine
Starting point is 00:42:57 how we educate our kids and what jobs are going to be available. And the truth of the matter is that during my presidency, there was, I think, a little bit of naivete where people would say, the answer to lifting people out of poverty and making sure they have high enough wages is we're going to retrain them and we're going to educate them and they should all become coders because that's the future. Well, if AI is coding better than all but the very best coders, if chat GPT can generate a research memo better than the third, fourth year associate, maybe not the partner who's got a particular expertise or judgment, now what are you telling young people coming up? I think we're going to have to start having conversations about how do we pay those jobs
Starting point is 00:43:54 that can't be done by AI? How do we pay those better? Healthcare, nursing, teaching, childcare, processing, teaching, childcare, art, things that are really important to our lives, but maybe commercially, historically have not paid as well. Are we going to have to think about the length of the work week and how we share jobs? Are we going to have to think about the fact that more people choose to operate like independent contractors, but where are they getting their healthcare from and where are they getting their retirement from, right? Those are the kinds of conversations that I think we're going to have to start having to deal with. And that's why I'm glad that President Biden's EO begins that conversation. Again, I can't emphasize enough because I think you'll see some people saying, well, we still don't have tough regulations. Where's the teeth in this?
Starting point is 00:44:51 We're not forcing these big companies to do X, Y, Z as quickly as we should. That I think this administration understands, and I've certainly emphasized in conversations with them, this is just the start. And this is going to unfold over the next two, three, four, five years. And by the way, it's going to be unfolding internationally. There's going to be a conference this week in England around international safety standards on AI. Vice President Harris is going to be attending. international safety standards on AI. Vice President Harris is going to be attending. I think that's a good thing because part of the challenge here is we're going to have to have some cross-border frameworks and regulations and standards and norms. That's part of what makes this different and harder to manage than the advent of radio and television because the internet, by definition,
Starting point is 00:45:46 is a worldwide phenomenon. I got to ask, have you used these tools? Have you had the aha moment where the computer's talking to you and you generated a picture of yourself? I have used some of these tools during the course of these conversations and this research.
Starting point is 00:46:03 And, you know, it's fun. Has Bing flirted with you yet? It flirts with everybody, I hear. Bing didn't flirt with me, but, you know, the way they're designed, and I've actually raised this with some of the designers. In some cases, they're designed to anthropomorphize, to make it feel like you are talking to a human, right? It's like, can we pass the Turing test, right? That's a specific objective because it makes it seem more magical. And in some cases, it improves function,
Starting point is 00:46:33 but in some cases, it just makes it cooler. And so there's a little pizzazz there and people are interested in it. I have to tell you that generally speaking, though, the way I think about AI is as a tool, not a buddy. And I think part of what we're going to need to do as these models get more powerful, and this is where I do think government can help, is also just educating the public on what
Starting point is 00:47:02 these models can do and what they can't do. educating the public on what these models can do and what they can't do. These are really powerful extensions of yourself and tools, but also reflections of yourself. And so don't get confused and think that somehow what you're seeing in the mirror is some other consciousness. A lot of times this is just feeding back to you. You just want Bing to flirt with you. This is what I felt personally very deeply. All right, last question. I need to know this.
Starting point is 00:47:33 It's very important to me. What are the four apps in your iPhone dock? Four apps. At the bottom, you've got Safari. Key. I've got my text, you know, the green box. You're a blue bubble. Do you give people any crap for being a green bubble?
Starting point is 00:47:52 No. No, I'm okay. All right. I've got my email and I have my music. That's it. So this is like the stock set. Yeah. You know, if you asked the ones that I probably go to more
Starting point is 00:48:08 than I should, I might have to put like words with friends on there where I think I waste a lot of time and maybe my NBA league pass. Oh, that's pretty good. That's pretty good. But, but you know, I try not to overdo it on those. Link pass is just one click above the doc. That's what I'm getting at. That's exact. President Obama, thank you so much for being on Decoder. I really appreciated this conversation.
Starting point is 00:48:33 I really enjoyed it. And I want to emphasize once again, because you've got an audience that understands this stuff, cares about it, is involved in it and working at it. that understands this stuff, cares about it, is involved in it and working at it. If you are interested in helping to shape all these amazing questions that are going to be coming up, go to AI.gov and see if there are opportunities for you fresh out of school, or you might be an experienced tech coder who's done fine, bought the house, got everything set up, and says, you know what? I want to do something for the common good. Sign up. This is part of what we set up during my presidency, U.S. Digital Services. It's remarkable how many really high-level folks decided that for six months, for a year, for two years,
Starting point is 00:49:26 them devoting themselves to questions that are bigger than just, you know, what the latest app, you know, or video game was, turned out to be really important to them and meaningful to them. And attracting that kind of talent into this field with that perspective, I think is going to be vital. Yeah, sounds like it. All right. Great to talk to you. Thanks so much. You bet. I'd like to thank President Barack Obama for taking the time to join Decoder,
Starting point is 00:49:59 and I'd like to thank you for listening. I hope you enjoyed it. Here's some news. Next year, we're planning to bring you more episodes of Decoder every week. And so I'd love to hear what you want us to do more of. You can email us at decoderattheverge. I really do read every email. Or you can hit me up directly on threads. I'm at reckless1280. We also have a TikTok. You can check it out. It's at decoderpod. It's a lot of fun. I have been told I need to start a TikTok account so I can start replying to the comments. I'm going to do it. If you like Decoder, please share it with your friends and subscribe wherever you get your podcasts. If you really like the show, hit us with that five-star review. Decoder is a production of The Verge and part of the Vox Media Podcast Network.
Starting point is 00:50:34 Today's episode was produced by Kate Cox and Nick Statt. It was edited by Callie Wright. The Decoder music is by Breakmaster Cylinder, and our executive producer is Eleanor Donovan. We'll see you next time.

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