Pivot - Disney+ pioneers at-home movie premieres and Facebook signs a lease in Manhattan, with guest host Stephanie Ruhle
Episode Date: August 7, 2020Kara and guest host MSNBC anchor Stephanie Ruhle talk about Disney launching its first big budget movie release for rent on their streaming app. They also discuss Facebook inking a new lease in midtow...n Manhattan and what that means for New York City's recovery after the pandemic. We also hear listener mail response to Stephanie's question about what listeners are most anxious about during these times. And Stephanie has a prediction about the November elections. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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Hi everyone, this is Pivot from New York Magazine
and the Vox Media Podcast Network.
I'm Kara Swisher.
Scott is out this week gallivanting wherever the hell Scott Galloway gallivants.
And I'm joined by MSNBC anchor and NBC News senior business correspondent, Stephanie Ruhl.
Hi, Cara.
How you doing?
You just came off of a broadcast, right?
You're doing your TV thing because you have an outfit on.
I just came off.
Well, yeah, but I'm wearing pajama pants, so not really an outfit.
Oh, are you?
Oh, good. I'm wearing pajamas, but I'm wearing a bra and a
shirt, which means I'm going on TV, but I'm wearing pajama pants. Right, you have a sheep's shirt.
Yes. Can you just give us a quick insight into what you're all doing? I can't tell who's home,
who's in the studio. What's the situation among the anchors? So I left New York in early March,
and I came down to the promised land, otherwise known as New Jersey, where both you and I are actual native Jersey girls.
Yes, that is right.
And I'm down here on the shore.
Inside my house.
The shore.
The shore.
Inside my house are my children and my mother.
My husband is back in New York working.
But I'm actually next door in an apartment above my garage where my producer has been living for almost six months.
Oh, wow.
And this is where we do my show every day.
Wow.
So you have – I see you set up sort of like noise canceling and everything else.
And what's in the background?
Do they do that at NBC or what do they do?
Yes.
NBC came and we've got a full studio here.
And until two days ago, you would have thought we were 100% in New York.
Storms.
And then the hurricane hit.
Storms. And storms. We lost power for two days ago, you would have thought we were 100% in New York. Storms. And then the hurricane hit. Storms.
And storms.
We lost power for two days.
Yeah.
I had myself at Home Depot yesterday morning at 5.45 a.m.
Yeah.
Where I was there for the shipment of generators.
And then the thing about generators is it's like the most Marie Antoinette
let them eat cake thing ever because they're so unbelievably loud.
Right.
You have an entire
street of darkness, and then your house, which is like, with your entire neighborhood's iPads
and phones plugged into one generator. Do you think Anderson Cooper has this problem? Do you
think he does? No, I do not. Do they go in? Anderson Cooper probably has a wind machine.
Probably in his house. But different people, like I know, I was talking to Poppy Harlow,
she goes in to Hudson Yards where no people are, she says, as before.
But what is the plan for the networks?
Are you going to go in or never going to 30 Rock again?
I'm actually going to 30 Rock tomorrow because I'm doing my show there and then I'm interviewing Jamie Dimon.
So I have to be in New York.
So some people are in New York, but they're basically just trying to risk reduce as much as possible.
But it's complicated. My kids go back to school in a few weeks and right now,
technically their schools are open and I'm trying to figure out what to do because what happens at
three o'clock when school's over? It's great if school can be open and they can be safe, but then
you don't have any activities, you don't have any sports, you're going to sit in your house and
what, play video games for a hundred hours? So I don't know what's going to happen.
Yeah. I mean, I think it's very, it's a really interesting thing of how everyone's going to be
returning, but you won't be in regular studios where there's makeup and everything else for a
long, long time. Right. I don't believe so. But I'll tell you, I think that's been a huge positive.
I mean, I was on nightly news yesterday with my curly hair all jammed up on my head and a pair
of glasses.
And if it had been two years ago, you know, you feel like you're in a scene out of the movie Knocked Up where they're like, well, just tighten it up.
How do you feel about that hair right now?
A little too much?
Nobody's asking if your hair is a little too messy or a little too much.
They're just happier on TV.
Oh, very good to know.
I like to know the scenes from real anchor people because, you know, again, Anderson or Brian Wilms, not going to tell me the
truth about anything. I just, I can't tell where they are and I'm trying to figure it out. I don't
feel that, you know, if my hair doesn't look the way it normally does, or God forbid, I have a
ponytail in, I don't fear that the wrath is coming of a, Oh, you have a new look. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah.
Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Except for my mother, which we will discuss it.
And mine.
Yeah, and mine.
All right.
So let's get into, there's so much going on and we're going to be talking about Disney Plus in a minute, speaking of things for your kids to do.
But a couple of things.
Let's see, where should we start?
Instagram launched Reels, its short video app, competitor to TikTok, right as TikTok's in distress.
This is a complete lift.
I have seen it and it is the most lifty lift I've
ever seen. How do you look at that happening? I mean, when you say lift, I think you mean
copycat, right? Yes, exactly. Like beyond belief, not even one fresh thing.
A hundred percent. But the question is, are they allowed to do it? If they're allowed to do it,
well then sure, they're going to go for it and they're going to scrape as much business as they possibly can, more power to them.
Does the government wake up or does TikTok wake up and say this technology should be patented?
And if they didn't, oh, well.
I mean, look what happened to Tom's Shoes, right?
Tom's Shoes was the first one to have this amazing idea.
You buy these shoes and then we're going to donate a pair of shoes.
Oh, my gosh, that's incredible.
I got a zillion of those for my kids when they were born. And then every other
socially conscious business woke up and said, I'm going to do that too. And then they stole
that business. Like it is what it is. I want to talk about how you feel about it,
because I mean, here's Facebook not making, they do it from Snapchat, they borrow it. Do you,
do you think it should be allowed or should you just mock them for doing it? Or do you think that's just like old Microsoft behavior from back in the day? I take issue less with them lifting this and
copycatting than I do with them crushing small businesses and not allowing those technologies
to thrive. Right. Right. But if they want to copy a business, like, hello, like it's a free market
system. Go for it. All right. Okay. What do you think? I think it shows lack of product innovation forever.
I think it shows that this is a company that all they do is pillage and land grab and neutralize.
And I just don't, I don't know.
I think it's part of the same pattern that you have an issue with.
And so when you don't see fresh innovation from companies, it really is depressing to think about.
Okay, yes.
But then you know what?
Then they're going to get a nasty write-up from you.
The fast company is going to say they're not cool and innovative.
But if they win business and make money out of it, they don't care.
Yeah, I know.
I know.
I get it.
I just feel like them putting themselves up as innovators is irritating.
Anyway, speaking of which, Satya Nadella is the CEO of Microsoft.
Both you and I know him.
He's wading deeper into the U.S.-China trade wars
by doing the deal with TikTok.
Wall Street Journal had a pretty good article about this,
how he sort of has, like Tim Cook,
has sort of had a relationship with China
and one with the Trump administration.
What do you think this is?
Is he going to go into Jeff Bezos' territory here?
Because TikTok's not a favored app of the president.
You know, I think it's interesting
or it's somewhat of a positive
when you see the likes of a Satya Nadella or a Tim Cook
who are very, very thoughtful leaders.
And I don't see them as just, you know,
monsters glomming onto any business they can
and kissing up to Trump when they, you know,
I mean, yes, that letter that they wrote
was certainly a little tushy smoochy. But I think Satya Nadella is as good as it gets. And I don't think it's a bad
thing to have him in this mix. Right. And do you think a Satya Nadella or over a Peter Thiel any
day, wouldn't you? Yes, a hundred percent. And it'll be interesting to see if they can get this
deal done by the 15th. As someone who has done deals and knows about this, what do you imagine
they have till September 15th to come to a price, to come to all kinds of things?
I know they have bankers and lawyers.
Can they do a deal this quickly and one that ByteDance will accept?
They can do a deal.
Listen, any deal can happen quickly.
Look what happened in the financial crisis.
You know, Bear Stearns, Countrywide, Lehman Brothers.
You know, with enough motivation and a gun to the back of your head and money, you can do anything.
Right.
The question is, can you satisfy all parties?
And that includes the Trump administration, who's saying, oh, by the way, we'd like to get a cut of this.
Right, which they're not going to get.
That is not correct.
That is not happening.
Yes, but guess what?
I mean, the thing is, Cara, the American people are never actually going to know if the government got a piece of the TikTok deal. But the president says it on the podium, and it feeds into this whole narrative
that works for him, that now you've got a businessman who's worried about the U.S. economy
and the government not getting taken advantage of, and the likes of my mother and potentially
yours buy into that. I'm going to disagree. I think people are not paying attention to this
at all, and they're paying attention to school openings, which I think are worrying a lot of people as they begin to open or close.
Now, most of the many big school operations have decided not to shutter Chicago, D.C.,
Los Angeles. New York is open. I think it's going to close. Most people do.
Nobody's really listening. And you see these sort of horror stories from Georgia and other places
where they're being forced to go to school. How do you think this is going to shake out? I think this has much more impact,
parents and teachers and everybody else. A hundred percent. I mean, you're seeing
schools reopen in some part under the pressure that if they don't, they are going to lose funding
from this president. But remember, just because they open doesn't mean they're going to stay open.
Take New York, for example. It's not just that schools are going to open.
Well, people are going to be taking the subway.
They're going to be taking buses.
You know, there's so many more complications.
The schools aren't in a bubble like the NBA down in Orlando.
I wish we were putting the kind of resources and support to schools, which is the foundation for everything, that we are to totally pimped out NFL stadiums or
what we're doing for the NBA. But I would make one other point just yesterday. I read about a
school in Ohio, and they were super proud of the kids, the teenagers, because they protested and
they fought back, and they're going to have sports this season. Well, I'm like, and it was funny
because the reporter I was hearing, they were applauding these kids for standing up and speaking out.
Well, hold on a second.
My kids would love nothing more than to go back to their sports and go back to their lives.
We're not not having school or sports to punish our kids.
We're in a health crisis.
And people seem to forget that.
Yeah.
No, I don't think they forget.
As soon as they start to get really serious COVID outbreaks, which they're going to.
I'm really, my kids' school is still on, but I can't imagine it will stay on.
Wait, I want to ask you, what do you think about Facebook removing a post that Donald
Trump put up saying that young kids don't get coronavirus?
I thought it was exactly the right thing to do.
It's misinformation.
That's what they should have been doing before.
They should have been doing it for a long time.
They have laid out a stake to claim to be doing something about this, and they did.
So that's how I feel about that. They're doing their job.
What do you think about the fact that the president continues to say things like this,
though?
I don't know what to say about that. There's nothing we can do about that.
So I think it's up to companies like Facebook and other organizations, whether it's you
saying this is untrue the minute
he says it. I wouldn't air it at all, but some of the TV stations do. It's on Twitter. I take it
down when he says it. But do you think the misinformation he spreads about corona will
actually have a negative impact for him? Yes. And what I mean by that is the president can say,
oh, the caravan from Mexico is filled with criminals and drug dealers. And what I mean by that is the president can say, oh, the caravan from Mexico is filled
with criminals and drug dealers. And people might believe that because they're never going to see
the caravan. But when he continues to lie about the impact of coronavirus, how do you lie to a
country where somebody is getting sick every minute? Somebody is dying every 80 seconds.
Well, I agree with you. I agree with you. But first, we're going to move on to the big story.
That's going to be a big story later. We're going to talk about that issue around
Facebook and also the recovery of New York. First big story. Disney Plus will be launching
their live action movie, Mulan, in September. Speaking of things for your kids to do,
the additional $30 on top of the subscription price for the streaming platform. It'll be
available in all major markets in the world, bypassing rigid rules that usually require a movie to stay
in theaters for 75 days. Bob Chappick, Disney's CEO, called this type of release a one-off and
that its upcoming releases are slated to go to theaters, but he added the style of the release
will be an interesting experiment for future models of the release. The film rental will
not appear on Apple TV or Amazon Video.
And Disney had a tough week this week. Stephanie, I mean, this is $30. A lot of people say you'd spend double or triple that going to the movies. So how do you look at this, this shift by Disney?
They have to do it. I think this pivot is going to work, right? Again, it's easy for someone in
my position to say, oh, $30 isn't a lot of money. Spend it. But A, compared to going to the movies,
and B,
parents have kids at home for an unlimited amount of time. The amount of screen time they're getting
watching the same YouTube garbage endlessly is crushing parents. So no, I think this is a good
move. Yes, he's going to say this is a one-off because he doesn't want to send AMC and other
movie theaters chains jumping off a bridge. But given what's happened to the business
that theme parks have been closed this long, yeah, it's a good move. What do you think?
I think it's a good move. I think they're going to do it for all the releases. And the thing is,
they have to have a platform. Any of these studios have to have platforms. So they're
going to have to go hat in hand to the platforms. Disney has its Disney Plus.
Luckily, they have introduced that. I think others are going to have a bigger problem.
Say they've moved, like, the James Bond movies, the Top Gun,
all the big movies further and further down, and I think they can't.
I mean, the pipeline problem is real.
Now, they're not really making movies either, so they won't necessarily,
but they've lost it.
Like, the numbers for Disney were really, you know,
you had Bob Iger going out on a big, clap, clap, clap and now devastated, I think.
For Bob Iger, the timing couldn't have been better in terms of, I mean, he is.
He's still there.
He's still there.
Yes.
But in terms of the day to day stress and problems that he faces, yes, all these places are going to need a platform.
But right now, if you've got good content, people are going to find it wherever it is. The bigger issue is that they're not making
any movies right now on what happens in the foreseeable future for that whole industry.
Right. Absolutely. Now, Amazon and Apple don't have the same big budget theater releases that
Disney does. Do you think it attracts a lot of people to the platform to sign up just to see it?
Yes, because it's Disney. But if it were less than Disney,
no. But Disney is such a brand marquee name, especially with a young audience,
especially with parents who are concerned with our kids who are on YouTube kids that are delving
down into a twisted, oh, it just started as a cupcake video. And the next thing you know,
God only knows what you're watching. But Disney is a trusted brand, and I think parents are going to buy into it in a heartbeat.
Well, there's other movies, Wonder Woman. There's some other ones that were supposed to come out.
Would you advise, if you were talking to these theaters, just to put them out and get as much
money as they can or hold on to them? Put them out? Listen, we have no idea what's
going to come in the future. We really, really don't. Put it out right now.
And then guess what?
If it's a movie like Wonder Woman,
you could end up putting it out in the theater
six months from now.
Because if I liked Wonder Woman on TV,
I'm sure as you know what,
going to love it on the big screen.
Right.
So you would put them all out.
You just say, this is the way it is.
Yes.
And not call them one of us.
Get the money when I can right now,
put them out,
and then visit what I'm going to do in six months and six months.
And $30 is, you think, a reasonable thing for most people, for a lot of people, not everybody, obviously.
I think if you consider what it costs going to the movies, yes.
So it's, what, $15 tickets now per person and food?
Snacks and stuff like that.
So you think this is it.
What does Disney do, Stephanie, from your perspective? I mean, they are really like they're exposed in so many ways. If you're running a major
entertainment company like this, what is your option just to sit it out and wait?
Kara, think about the theme park. Have you ever been to Disney World?
Yes, unfortunately, yes.
Okay. I was refusing to take my kids there ever only because I said, if I go once,
they're going to want to go a zillion times. They're going to hate every nature-loving
vacation that I take them on. But I went once. It's so, so expensive. Yet when I was there,
every hotel is booked up. You know, it's hours and hours of lines to get on the rides.
I don't even think we can put into words
how economically crippling this is
for those kinds of businesses.
And then-
And people keep saying,
oh my gosh, the economy is doing so well.
It's because they're looking at a small sliver
of monster businesses.
But if you're a company like Disney,
this is, I don't know how to describe it anyway,
besides paralyzing.
Paralyzing, absolutely.
Except if you're a big
retailer like Walmart, which is seeing an uptick of sales because they were in the essential area.
You talked about that before. But most retail businesses are getting killed. It's really kind
of amazing how many... The economic impact of this is still not... I actually think we're missing
this whole section in the middle where we're talking about the 30 million people on unemployment.
And all the people say, well, they don't want to go back to work.
I'd love to know who are these businesses out there desperate to hire people who won't go back to work.
We're forgetting all of these American dreams in the middle, right, where you and I both grew up.
Think about your downtown, your dance studio, your gym,
your barbershop, your restaurant. Those businesses are barely staying alive right now,
and they probably won't be open by the end of the year. And there's not really a program for them,
and we're not thinking about it and talking about it. And those jobs really are American Dream
jobs. I know we keep thinking like, oh, American Dream is if you're Tim Cook. It's not. When I was growing up, American dream was like my mom's friend whose husband was an
accountant and she owned like a women's dress shop in town. Who do you know who owns a women's
boutique, a bridal store? They don't exist. And if they do, they're going under.
They're going under. Absolutely. This has repercussions, I think.
Whoever takes over in November is going to have a rather large rob,
and it's going to be problematic.
Anyway, we're going to go to a quick break and come back to talk about
Facebook making moves in New York City, speaking of returns of cities,
and a listener mail question for a question you asked, Stephanie.
We'll be back after this.
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And we are back here with MSNBC anchor and NBC News senior business correspondent Stephanie Ruhl
filling in for Scott and doing an able job of it.
This week, Facebook signed a lease for a huge new office in Midtown Manhattan.
Let's talk about what this means for the future of the headquarters post-COVID-19 and economic
recovery in New York. Facebook has told employees they can work from home through the pandemic and
possibly permanently. They have said that up to half of their employees will be working from home
within 10 years. This is a move Facebook was already moving towards.
The new Facebook office, though, in New York could bring up to 8,500 new workers to New York.
Google, Apple, and Amazon obviously have enormous headquarters in Manhattan.
So, Stephanie, how does New York come back?
I'm bringing my kid there to go to NYU if it stays open.
Now, supposedly, I'm going to be checked at the bridges and tunnels, so that's unclear from Bill de Blasio. How does New York return? Because this is an area that
was already suffering from storefronts. There was lots of stories about areas and stuff like that.
So what happens to New York, which is sort of the world city?
Cara, this is going to be devastating. I think this is worse for New York than most other cities.
Most other cities, when you think about kind of secondary cities, the Phillies, the Baltimore's of the world, they weren't as dependent on sales tax from retail, from theater, from restaurants.
That wasn't what they were about.
That's the heart and soul of New York.
Right.
So when you keep hearing, well, restaurants just need to pivot to drive through and take out.
Good luck. That's never going to happen in New York where restaurants,
their number one overhead cost is their rent, right?
Me, I'm not going to go pick up takeout if I'm getting a $15 cocktail in a plastic cup
and a $32 entree.
So cities like New York, to me, are going to be hurt for a really long period of time.
Do I think it's permanently devastating? No, New York, to me, are going to be hurt for a really long period of time. Do I think it's
permanently devastating? No, New York always comes back. But for a while, this is going to be brutal.
So if Facebook wants to sign a big, giant lease and pay a whole lot of money to our city, come on
over, Mark Zuckerberg. But Cara, I also thought Amazon, when they were originally going to bring
their second headquarters to New York, I didn't think that was a bad idea. The bad idea was that they, in my opinion, did that complete baloney beauty pageant
asking all those cities to give them a gazillion dollars worth of free demographic data, which
Amazon then took and kept all that data. And then they ended up picking the prettiest girl in school
anyway, New York City. That was the BS around it. But I thought Amazon should have come.
Well, one of the things was the gimmies.
I think that was around all the cities.
They were going to do it anyway.
And Scott and I were talking about this sort of as a ridiculous circus.
But why would Facebook do this now from your perspective?
Or why would a big company be signing big new leases in New York City?
Is it just this is while the getting's good, it's cheaper prices, it's a good time just to have it, we want to go there anyway?
I think traditionally, one of the reasons you would see all sorts of businesses that didn't
need to come to New York, come to New York for the sad, pathetic reason of our work ethic.
People in New York, and it was led originally by the banking industry, but it's across the board.
It's the only city in the United States where it's completely normal to work 80 hours a week.
I remember when I was in college, that was the first time I started dating like a young guy who was an investment banker.
And I was 100% sure he must have been married or a drug dealer because how the hell would anybody be like, oh, it's a Tuesday and I'm at work at 3 a.m.
Oh, it's a Sunday and I'm going to work at 8 a.m. And I'm like, what's the deal? But when all of these companies come
to New York, they are hiring people who say, oh, I think it's normal to work like an animal.
Right. So how do you get back to that in New York? Because I think, you know,
it's unusually quiet from people who tell me my mom is there and stuff like that.
How do you return in that way? And how do you get people back to that pace? And what do you have to do? Look, Bill de Blasio is leaving when? How long is he
mayor until? I know. Yeah. The sigh of a New Yorker. Yeah. Yeah. So how do you get that back?
I mean, how do you move as we move? I think it's a great question because I don't know if you get
the genie back in the bottle. When this thing first started, I remember even COVID, I mean, I remember having a conversation with Mike Bloomberg
and Mike Bloomberg has done a ton as far as research and contact tracing. But even Mike was
like, people aren't going to leave New York. People aren't going to not send their kids to
school. Like we're New Yorkers. But suddenly here we are, here I am in New Jersey wishing that I
didn't own my house in New York because I'd really like to stay here.
And I think you have all sorts of people who spent the last 30 years of their career eating at Michael's or the Four Seasons for lunch.
And now they've been home for a while.
And with the exception of people who hate their spouses and don't want to be home, I think they really like their new lifestyle.
So you think there's been a lot of stories in the Times that people moving out.
Do you think this has happened before, this exodus, 9-11, there was the banking crisis,
people move in and out of this city, and then always seem to come back?
You really want to live at the Jersey Shore, Stephanie Wolf.
That's the thing where, like, I don't know if I buy it.
Because just in the last couple of years, when I bought my house in New York City,
I remember just before we bought it, like in the final throes of it, I was like, I can't believe
I'm spending this amount of money for a place that doesn't even have a decent bathtub. And I
remember looking at real estate prices in Greenwich, Connecticut and saying, oh my God,
I could live like the Queen of England in Greenwich. But they were giving away houses
in Greenwich and Westport.
People going, how much do I have to spend for landscaping?
I don't need this.
And suddenly when you're trapped at home with COVID,
you're saying, I do want space.
So this all depends on how long this lasts.
And what about people who can't afford a house in Greenwich?
I mean, what happens to the people who live?
This is the most important and most devastating thing, okay?
We're all having this conversation.
How do we feel about our kids and what are they going to do after school?
What are their after school activities?
Give me a break.
Kara, if you or I were a single mom living in the South Bronx and we lived in a building with no Wi-Fi, with no air conditioning, and there were no camps, schools, basketball courts, or parks to go to,
that's a torture. And that's an entire generation we're going to lose. And the problem is the biggest decision makers right now are people who aren't suffering personally. I don't mean health
wise. I mean, lifestyle wise from the consequences of COVID. I think it's crushing.
So it's just going to be Facebook and that's it in New York
City. No, I think it's a positive that Facebook is coming. We definitely need it. And I think
people are going to come back, but I do think things are going to change for a while.
But the tech companies have sort of led the way. We're going to get to a reader question,
listener question in a minute, but the tech companies led the way and work from home,
stay at home. This is the new way.
Do you think it is the new way or? I don't, because I think there's some level of baloney
there. Like, listen, it's awesome to work from home, right? I love that I don't have to commute,
all that nonsense. But people who say your productivity, or at least for me, is just as
high working from home. It's not, right? We're getting by, but we aren't, at least me, we're not coming
up with great collaborations. We don't have unbelievable new products or projects. You're
disconnected. Yeah. Yeah. Well, I've always worked from home, Stephanie. So here I am. And I never
left the city, just so you know. I'm sticking to cities. Kara Swisher is not moving to the country
in any case. Well, you can come to the Jersey Shore anytime. I've been to the Jersey Shore.
Maybe.
I will.
We will.
We'll drive up when things are clear.
Me and a bunch of ladies will drive up and visit you.
Okay.
Earlier in the week, Stephanie, you asked listeners to send us what they thought their
most anxious moments are at this moment.
So here's one from Sean Murphy.
You've got, you've got, I can't believe I'm going to be a mailman.
You've got mail.
Hey, Squish, Ruel, Murph Dogg from Florida calling here. You were asking about what is the biggest
concern. I'm dealing with the economy going forward. I have the pleasure to help folks
navigate through the unemployment process through one state, and I am very concerned. It also makes me realize just the income inequality gap is going
to further widen. Some of these folks, I just don't see how the economy recovers. I don't see
how people get back up on their feet. I don't see how jobs are coming back and people are still
able to make the same earnings they were previously. Obviously, that's going to then
impact the housing market. While the housing market currently is hot, I don't see that
continuing. At a certain price point and above, yes, the housing market will always be hot,
simply because the income inequality gap allows it to be. But that certain number and below, I think that number is going to decrease
drastically and other people simply aren't going to be able to afford housing. And I just wanted
to get your thoughts. Thanks, ladies. Bye-bye. That's a bummer.
It is. But first of all, we need to thank Murph Dogg. Murph Dogg. If you heard what he said in the beginning, he helps people in the state of Florida navigate the unemployment system.
Florida is one of the most difficult states to get unemployment.
It's like the system was designed for people not to be able to get the benefit.
So we should, A, thank him for doing that work.
All of his fears, I think, are real.
And I even think this hot housing market, I don't get it.
Like, I don't understand it. Like, I don't
understand all these people that have all this money to buy houses. I live a really comfortable
life. And I don't know about you, Cara, but I'm in money saving mode right now. I am not in a,
let me go out there and spend. But to his point, I don't see all these jobs coming back. Right?
You've got tens of thousands of businesses closing every day, and especially people that work in the service industry and hospitality. I think we are going to face a huge crisis, and all the inequality a stupid romantic optimist, this will be a true call to action that we need a jobs program, an infrastructure program, maybe truly a year of national service.
You have a son going to college.
Kara, right now, if he could spend the year doing some sort of service project rather than going to school, would you send him?
Absolutely.
100%.
I felt sick paying for college.
It kind of seemed silly.
And then at the same time, I was watching the other day,
and I was thinking jobs, like, what are people going to do
when they become truly desperate?
And this whole thing around Congress, you know,
not deciding on any of this stuff and going back and forth
and back and forth is really, really untoward. It's like not thinking of the body politic as a whole, which has been so
fractured. And again, I think the partisanship has gotten so bad. It's really hard to imagine
where you have a come together moment, where everybody can stop, put their fists down for a
second and start to, but you know, we've come back, look, we've come back from the Civil War,
we've come back from all kinds of fights that go on through the Nixon administration,
et cetera, et cetera, McCarthyism. It's just like, what is it? What does, what's the thing
that shifts everybody back except pure exhaustion? But then let this be a moment to actually create
a program. We've talked about things like national service before. Yeah. But now there's a catalyst that could say, let's actually do this.
We have thousands of 18-year-olds going to college, 22-year-olds getting out of college.
What if we actually sent them across the country to try to help especially young kids get better and smarter?
We have a huge void in education.
They could work on community projects.
Right.
All right.
education. They could work on community projects. Right. All right. What about, what would you do right now to, right now, if you were Congress to, to, and the president to stop the widening of the
income inequality, the one thing. So national service, what else? Right now I would focus
all the energy I have as far as COVID testing and jobs to reopening schools safely. Okay. But put
money into the schools. Yes, put money into schools the schools, not this sort of add-on terrifying.
No, so the teachers' union has said in order to reconfigure schools and do it safely,
it would take something like $118 billion.
Right.
Thus far, the federal government has earmarked $13 billion.
So we're about $100 billion short.
Focus on getting schools open safely.
Right, okay, and child care goes along with that, by the way.
Right.
When we talk about child care in the country, we act, and it is, oh, it's kids zero to five.
No, it's not.
What happens if you, what happens to you, right?
I have a seven-year-old.
So great.
So let's say I was in a position that I didn't have, you know, private child care.
What would happen while my husband and I were at work all day and school's over at 2.30?
Right. What would happen while my husband and I are at work all day and school's over at 2.30? Right? We need an actual, we need something to actually support the kids in this country.
If you want social and economic mobility, it starts with good education.
So money, that's a very good thing.
Now, speaking of real estate, is it a good time for people to invest in real estate?
I can't sell my house.
I'm working out of one.
I had a house I bought and I was going to sell this one.
I can't. So I'm sort of working here. So it works fine because I work
here and have a studio, but what, but I can't sell it. I'd like to sell it. It makes me worried.
What, what, what, is it a good time to invest in real estate or just everybody?
Interest rates are really, really low. So if people can afford to buy real estate,
you are where I live. You're seeing a lot of people take money out of the stock market because
they think it's irrationally high and put it in real estate.
But things could turn on a dime.
I happen to think we're headed for a worse economy than we're seeing just yet.
Right?
Like, we're saying, oh, it's a free market system.
The Fed has done so much to keep pumping the
system up. We're doing a ton to rescue corporations and certain industries, but I think we're going to
see the bottom fall out, especially for people who are at the bottom or the middle of our economy.
And so is it a good time to invest in real estate? I don't know. I would say if you can
afford to buy a home, it's a good time to buy a home. The people who are really getting screwed are people who are renting.
Right, renting so that they should get lower rates.
Yeah.
Yeah, get lower rates in major cities, which is an opportunity for people too at the same time.
It's also an opportunity to buy Kara Swisher's home.
You can go look at it online right now.
I took it off the market.
I was like, I refinanced it, put a mortgage on it.
I'm going to deduct it and that's it. I'm just going to hopefully wait it out, wait it out,
wait it out. That's Kara Swisher's policy on everything. I'm a waiter out of Stephanie.
All right. One more quick break. We'll be back for predictions. Stephanie's going to do a
prediction and it's going to be, it's going to knock Scott out of the prediction market.
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Okay, Stephanie, this is usually Scott's thing,
but you're in the hot seat.
I asked you to do a prediction.
What is it and what do you think we can expect,
you know, from the news cycle in months to,
I'm going to add an extra one on.
So what is your prediction? And then what do you think is going to happen next?
I think that in the next few months, President Trump is going to reveal himself.
His borderline jihad against mail-in voting is going to expose that the president is basically
saying the more people who are allowed to vote, the less likely it is that I will win.
And I think the thing that to me is the most revealing
recently are the amount of people that are supporting that. Okay, there was an article I
read yesterday with the likes of Steve Schwartzman from Blackstone, one of the best investors out
there, the founder of New Balance, Jim Dolan from MSG, actually giving to Republican organizations that are continuing to block mail-in voting.
To me, this is the most modern example of simply trying to stop people from voting, Cara.
That, to me, doesn't feel partisan.
It feels un-American.
And if highly educated people are putting that much money and support into blocking people from voting, well, then I feel like they're revealing themselves that they don't care about the country being better, smarter, or more fair.
So my prediction is buckle up.
The things that you're going to see in the next 89 days, the unorthodox things that are going to keep people from exercising their right to vote is like
nothing we've ever seen.
Will it work?
I'm thinking.
I think if we don't pay attention to it, it will.
But if we pay attention to this kind of behavior, then that should spark every person in the
country to wake up and say, hold on, this isn't about politics.
This is about democracy.
And I'm going to drag my ass out of bed. And if I have to wait in line all day on this one particular election
in the rain and the snow and the sleet, I'm going to go out and do it. So pay attention to every
single thing that happens in the next 89 days. All right. That's an excellent prediction. And
so news cycle is crazy, crazy news cycle, not between Beirut, which was a horrible,
horrible disaster. And it's not even our top story. Yeah, not even Beirut, which was a horrible, horrible disaster.
And it's not even our top story.
Yeah, not even our top story and so many others. Is there any story you think has got, you know,
whatever interview Trump does, of course, turns into disaster. Let me ask you one last question.
Wait, can I ask you this? What did you think about Jonathan Swan's interview with the president?
I thought it was excellent. I thought it was a good bookend to Chris Wallace's. I think it was a different type of interview, although I think they were the same. They
revealed the same thing. I think Chris Wallace was more polite and yet sort of had the same effect
of sort of, I think John is this one sort of was like a lot of reporters is like, what are you
saying? So I thought it was very effective in many ways. At the same time, I don't, you know,
it doesn't seem to stick. This guy can make 50 gaffes and it seems to just go to the next thing.
Why do you think Trump?
Because he's so present.
He's so present all the time.
That's why.
Because he never stops talking to us.
Why do you think he did the interview?
I mean, a year ago, Jonathan Swan did an equally devastating interview, in my opinion, with Jared Kushner.
Why would Trump go back for more?
I don't know.
I don't know what the decision making is.
Maybe they feel like I can do it.
I think he probably has a lot of control over this.
And he's like, I can take him.
I can take him.
Why do people keep talking to me?
I don't know.
I don't know.
I can take.
Why didn't they talk to you, Stephanie?
I mean, how would you conduct that interview with President Trump?
I think Jonathan was masterful.
I mean, honestly, I think Biden or whatever anti-Trump group should be
sending Jonathan Swan a honey-baked ham or a donation to his favorite charity because they
just got, you know, free advertising for the next 80. I mean, it was, but the thing that was so great
about it was that it was this common sense interview where he wasn't ticking through,
but I got to get to my 11th question.
Every time the president would say something that didn't make sense,
Jonathan was finally that person that we all are in front of our TV going, I'm sorry, what?
Right. And I just thought it was awesome.
Yeah. I thought it, but I thought Chris Wallace's work too, by the silence. And he actually,
every now and then had a few digs, like backwards and things like that i think what's really it was like as if it was a a white house press
conference with one person he couldn't avoid you know he calls on the next person when uh
yamiche alcindor or someone else really gets him um he moves on he couldn't move on and he kind of
wanted to have the conversation it was it was a weird dynamic and the graphs that he kept throwing papers around was on.
But my issue is I don't know if it matters to regular voters.
Okay, this is what I want you to answer because it matters to this universe of people who already think a certain thing.
I know my mom didn't see that interview.
Did yours?
Yes, I made her watch it.
Yes.
And what did she say?
Well, he's an idiot.
But I like his policies.
No, just like, well, everyone knows he's an idiot. It's like the same thing with the sex stuff.
Everyone knows he's a, he's a, he's a horrible sexual harasser. Like, okay. Why do you think we forgive him for it? I don't think they forgive him. They just are like, I already know that about
my shitty husband kind of thing. I don't, you know what I mean? That's what I think it is. You know, I already know that. Okay. But hold on. A lot of people, a lot of women would say, I already know that about my shitty husband kind of thing. You know what I mean? That's what I think it is.
You know, I already know that.
Okay, but hold on.
A lot of people, a lot of women would say, I already know that about my shitty husband,
but he's my shitty husband and he's a father of my kids.
Now they have the chance to say, oh, I can finally kick that shitty husband out and I
still get to keep my house and I get to have a different husband.
Why are they going to vote for him again?
I don't know.
I don't know if my mother is.
I don't know.
We'll have to see. We'll have to find out. I should stand over her and find out. I don't
know. I don't know, Stephanie. I don't know. We'll see. I just do. I think the constant repetition
ultimately does count, but we'll see if that's, if that's, that has any stinging points. So thank
you so much for doing this this week. I hope you had a good time. You're excellent.
I had a great time.
We're going to have you come back with Scott.
Scott was all mad again yesterday about the whole thing.
And of course, everybody's sitting.
He was mad because his bald head got sunburned on vacation.
Wherever he is.
I don't know where he is.
I don't even know.
He's always in a daze either in Montana or Florida or anything else.
He's glamorous.
He's a glamorous guy.
And we really appreciate it.
And you will be back to talk to both of us, I hope.
Yes, thank you for having me.
Next week, Squawk Box's Andrew Ross Sorkin will be filling in for Scott.
Any advice for him, Stephanie?
Do his homework.
Do his homework.
Yeah, you're serious.
You know, I'm a huge Andrew fan.
Yeah.
I can't wait to listen. I'm definitely looking.
Andrew's the best, the best, the best.
He is.
Andrew himself has to do some combat some mornings on Squawk Box.
Oh, I know.
I didn't invite that guy.
Oh, I get that.
There you go.
That guy.
I've had some tangles with that guy, too, but Andrew handles it rather well.
He does.
I would have popped him one well many years ago.
Anyway, by the way, this week we did our first live stream episode, speaking of Scott, of Pivot School.
It was a major success.
We had thousands of people there.
You can get tickets for next week's show at pivotschool.com.
We have amazing people coming up like Google's Sundar Pichai, Dharakos Vashahi of Uber, all kinds of people.
We had Vanessa Pappas from TikTok last week.
You can watch it in a couple of weeks too.
Our next episode will be about a new generation of innovators. If you
already have tickets and want to be part of the show, please send us a video question
about innovation spurred by COVID-19. Email it to school at voxmedia.com.
Hold on. Are you going to have any mask innovators? You know, I just read this morning,
it's predicted to be a $9 billion industry cloth mask. And look at Etsy stock.
Yeah.
It's shooting up.
It is.
Because of all these masks.
That's a great idea.
We, in fact, are giving away masks from a mask innovator.
One has a jungle cat on it and one has a dog on it.
We're very excited about our masks from emerging heroes.
Anyway, thank you for that suggestion, Stephanie.
Anyway, today's show was produced by Rebecca Sinanis.
Fernando Fanate engineered this episode. Eric Anderson is Pivot's executive producer. Thanks again to Stephanie Rule for co-hosting with me this week, one of the badass women I know and adore.
or frankly, wherever you listen to podcasts.
If you like the show, please recommend it to a friend.
Thanks for listening to Pivot from New York Magazine and Vox Media.
We'll be back next week with Andrew Ross Sorkin
co-hosting for two days,
our breakdown of all things tech and business.
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