Pivot - Does social media cause terrorism?
Episode Date: March 22, 2019Kara and Scott talk about terrorism against the Muslim community in New Zealand and how social media may be exacerbating this type of violence. They talk about admissions scandal and how colleges are ...harming the middle class with their exclusivity. Of course, Scott shouts out his man-crush Beto. His prediction is a white man becomes the 2020 Democratic nominee for president. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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                                         Hi everyone, this is Pivot from the Vox Media Podcast Network. I'm Kara Swisher, and we are back from South by Southwest.
                                         
                                         Scott, where are you this week?
                                         
                                         Somewhere else.
                                         
                                         I'm in the public library in Aspen.
                                         
                                         Why?
                                         
                                         We're out here.
                                         
                                         It's ski week for the kids, so I came out yesterday.
                                         
                                         And I'm going full house on the mountain.
                                         
    
                                         Everything is full house.
                                         
                                         I've decided that's my new term, full house.
                                         
                                         All right.
                                         
                                         Okay. All right. Okay.
                                         
                                         All right.
                                         
                                         But why the public library?
                                         
                                         Is that the only studio in Aspen?
                                         
                                         They don't have studios there?
                                         
    
                                         Because when you have kids, trying to find a quiet place is near impossible, and this
                                         
                                         is what we've been relegated to is the public library.
                                         
                                         They couldn't be nicer here.
                                         
                                         How is the public library?
                                         
                                         When's the last time you were in a public library?
                                         
                                         You know, just in general, when's the last time you were in a public library?
                                         
                                         I like libraries a lot. I go to the library in Delray. I find the one in New York inspiring.
                                         
                                         I think libraries are sexy, and I think they're making a comeback.
                                         
    
                                         Are they? I don't know. Like books. Did you see that picture of all those supermodels carrying
                                         
                                         books? Please forward it to me. Please forward it to my private text message account.
                                         
                                         It's from the New York Post. It's ridiculous. It's so insulting to both supermodels and books.
                                         
                                         Anyway, let's go through the stories this week.
                                         
                                         Obviously, there's more serious stories.
                                         
                                         There's a lot of huge stories.
                                         
                                         So we have a lot to break down.
                                         
                                         Obviously, the aftermath of the New Zealand terrorist attack that was streamed on Facebook
                                         
    
                                         is just one more horrific mess the company has to clean up.
                                         
                                         I had written last week in the New York Times about the worst
                                         
                                         week ever for Facebook, and this was the day before the New Zealand attacks. They and YouTube
                                         
                                         and others have tried mightily to clean it up, but it's still a giant mess. And I just love to
                                         
                                         know what you think about that. Obviously, social media played a role in this. I don't know if it
                                         
                                         was the key role, but it was definitely a major role. So, Cara, Germany might be a model here, and that is because of the history around fascism in
                                         
                                         Europe, they've decided that they're more comfortable violating the tension of First
                                         
                                         Amendment to try and put out or, if you will, arrest dangerous content before it goes viral,
                                         
    
                                         if you will. And as a result, because they've decided that social media platforms incur greater
                                         
                                         liability if something bad happens as a result of content on Facebook in Germany, there are a lot
                                         
                                         more editors and screeners in Germany. So the bottom line is when you make these companies
                                         
                                         responsible and liable for this stuff, they figure out a way to put more people
                                         
                                         screening this content. And then the very basic the kind of the very basic question is if, if, if all the other media channels in the world have figured out a way to screen this
                                         
                                         content, specifically, they pay people to put up the content and they screen it.
                                         
                                         Why have we decided that these guys are exonerated from that? Why is, should we have a default
                                         
                                         notion that they are allowed because of the nature of these platforms, to not be responsible for the content that ends up on their platforms.
                                         
    
                                         Yes, exactly.
                                         
                                         I think what's interesting is the question that they have done a really good job blocking ISIS, for example.
                                         
                                         There was a great story in BuzzFeed about this.
                                         
                                         They've done a great job blocking ISIS.
                                         
                                         Why can't they just take white supremacy or other areas like that and just do the same thing,
                                         
                                         just make a decision on certain kinds of content.
                                         
                                         And that will, of course, raise the hackles of free speech and that.
                                         
                                         And I've been getting attacked for saying some things like this,
                                         
    
                                         but I don't care.
                                         
                                         These platforms are not benefiting from this hate speech,
                                         
                                         and at some point they're going to have to make a choice
                                         
                                         unless they just want to be free-for-alls,
                                         
                                         and that's what they've become.
                                         
                                         And so they could do it because they've done it with terrorist content
                                         
                                         or tried to really hard. And so that's a big question for them And so they could do it because they've done it with terrorist content or tried to really hard.
                                         
                                         And so that's a big question for them, whether they just want to say, look, we're just not going to be for white supremacy, which doesn't seem to me to be that hard.
                                         
    
                                         Or that whole – all those memes.
                                         
                                         We're not going to be a platform for it.
                                         
                                         And I think that's – we'll see.
                                         
                                         I don't think they're going to do that, but they could.
                                         
                                         They certainly – there's examples like in Germany or with ISIS that they have done it relatively –
                                         
                                         it's just a question of whether they have the guts to do it or they have the whatever to do it.
                                         
                                         Look at YouTube, Twitter, and Facebook.
                                         
                                         In terms of the Gestalt of management, who do you think is most serious about trying to address this problem?
                                         
    
                                         Probably YouTube.
                                         
                                         Probably YouTube.
                                         
                                         I would guess. Most serious about it? I think they? Probably YouTube. Probably YouTube. I would guess.
                                         
                                         Most serious about it?
                                         
                                         I think they're the most concerned about it.
                                         
                                         I think they know they've got a problem.
                                         
                                         At least, you know, I do think Facebook is concerned about it,
                                         
                                         but I think they are.
                                         
    
                                         It's just I think they don't know what to do.
                                         
                                         There's so many.
                                         
                                         Every answer is a bad answer, essentially.
                                         
                                         Every solution has its own thorny hooks.
                                         
                                         And so that's a problem i think
                                         
                                         they don't they're not like i said they're ill-equipped to handle these massive discussions
                                         
                                         and again uh maybe the government will step in i don't know we'll see there's been you know there's
                                         
                                         lots of talk about that and it will be interesting what happens i'd love to get an interview with the
                                         
    
                                         new zealand prime minister who like in two seconds banned assault rifles like what does she think of
                                         
                                         of the way these platforms were used by this terrorist?
                                         
                                         And so it's a good question.
                                         
                                         I think it will ultimately come down to regulation as it will.
                                         
                                         And speaking of regulation, the admissions scandal,
                                         
                                         it sounds like a weird thing from all these murders to this,
                                         
                                         but another really interesting scandal that happened
                                         
                                         in this age. And there were obviously more internet connections than you think because of
                                         
    
                                         videos by some of these kids and things like that. But it was really something. I'm doing my
                                         
                                         kids' college thing right now. So it sort of was fascinating to read about it and horrifying at the same time. Yeah, there's so much here. You have, whenever typically you have this level of income inequality,
                                         
                                         you have these mechanisms for self-correction, and they're usually war, famine, or revolution.
                                         
                                         And I think we're going through sort of a, almost like a soft revolution where we're now
                                         
                                         shaming wealthy people who are basically, Bob Dylan said that money doesn't talk, it curses.
                                         
                                         And basically, this is an example of the wealthy cursing at the middle class. Because when Stanford
                                         
                                         only takes 4% of its applicants, and every company within a 10 mile radius of Stanford
                                         
                                         has figured out a way to scale their product to millions and millions or billions of people,
                                         
    
                                         and yet Stanford has tripled the amount of applicants, but hasn't increased their supply
                                         
                                         because they want to maintain the exclusivity. We have a problem. And who's getting hurt here? It's interesting. If you're an
                                         
                                         impressive kid who's overcome the obstacles of being raised in a low-income household,
                                         
                                         we're bringing as many or more of those kids into the university system as ever before.
                                         
                                         Rich kids have no problem getting in. There's 38 universities, top universities, including five Ivies,
                                         
                                         that have more kids from the top 1% of households, income-earning households,
                                         
                                         than the bottom 60%.
                                         
                                         The kids that are really getting squeezed here are probably the majority of the kids
                                         
    
                                         that we knew or grew up with, and that is kids who are good but maybe not remarkable,
                                         
                                         don't have a patent, from middle-class households.
                                         
                                         So those are the ones that don't have the seats.
                                         
                                         And while they're still going to college, what you're seeing across the board is that kids are going to less prestigious
                                         
                                         colleges than their parents. And I don't know about you, but I can't be at a party where someone
                                         
                                         doesn't say, I would never get into, you know, name of university, right? I would never get in.
                                         
                                         No, I wouldn't get into my college. I would never.
                                         
                                         But here's the thing. People say it with some pride, and that's not a good thing because on a risk-adjusted basis, your kid might be a little bit less impressive than you.
                                         
    
                                         He or she might be more impressive than you.
                                         
                                         But most likely, they're kind of similar to you on character, academic achievement, discipline, which means they're not going to have the same opportunities as you because we have a caste system in the U.S.
                                         
                                         It's called higher education.
                                         
                                         because we have a caste system in the U.S.
                                         
                                         It's called higher education.
                                         
                                         Give me a kid's zip code, his family wealth,
                                         
                                         and most importantly, his certification or his pedigree in the form of a college degree,
                                         
                                         and I'm going to tell you how much money this kid's going to make.
                                         
    
                                         It's an interesting question of how much, you know,
                                         
                                         because you know Silicon Valley doesn't think colleges matter at all.
                                         
                                         I think a lot of people do.
                                         
                                         I'm not so sure college mattered as much for me.
                                         
                                         I have to say I'm weirdly in a Peter Thiel camp on this kind of thing.
                                         
                                         I would have rather worked.
                                         
                                         But I do think that the achievement,
                                         
                                         you know, hamster wheel
                                         
    
                                         is really spinning faster than ever.
                                         
                                         And you're right.
                                         
                                         This is not,
                                         
                                         the game has gotten worse and worse
                                         
                                         for especially a certain kind of kid,
                                         
                                         for sure.
                                         
                                         But it's definitely,
                                         
                                         it makes you think about
                                         
    
                                         how education should be done. And why
                                         
                                         isn't Stanford open to more people online? Why aren't these colleges everyone's dying to go to
                                         
                                         and cheating to go to have different ways to present themselves? It's an interesting,
                                         
                                         they haven't increased applications that way. Disney has managed to triple the number of people
                                         
                                         who can come to their parks every year. I mean, Google is now at $3 billion, but Harvard has decided, Harvard said,
                                         
                                         the head of admissions last year at Harvard said, we could have doubled the incoming freshman class
                                         
                                         and not sacrificed any quality. And my viewpoint is, well, yeah, with a $38 billion endowment,
                                         
                                         why not? So we should start taxing these endowments unless they grow their admissions or their seats faster than the rate of population growth. Because when you're growing your endowment. Why not? So we should start taxing these endowments unless they grow their admissions or their seats faster than the rate of population growth. Because when you're growing your
                                         
    
                                         endowment faster than your public service, you're not a not-for-profit, you're a private enterprise.
                                         
                                         And one of the biggest problems, Kara, as I look at the man in the mirror, is that we academics
                                         
                                         at top universities have become drunk on exclusivity. We now believe that we're luxury
                                         
                                         brands, not public goods. We brag about
                                         
                                         the fact that we turn away 95% of our applicants, which is tantamount to a homeless shelter saying,
                                         
                                         wow, we're such an amazing shelter. We turn away 95% of the people who show up every night.
                                         
                                         This is not- That's an interesting metaphor.
                                         
                                         This is not a good thing. No, it's not.
                                         
    
                                         This exclusivity, this notion of turning away good kids, such that only like freakishly good kids can now get into great schools.
                                         
                                         It's really a crisis in the U.S. because if you think about, and I'm really on my soapbox now, Cara, but if you think about the greatest things, I believe, forces of good in society, I would argue that capitalism and the U.S. middle class are right up there, turned away.
                                         
                                         Hitler arrested AIDS, and the lubricant for the middle class is education.
                                         
                                         And kids from the middle class are being squeezed out or squeezed down.
                                         
                                         They are.
                                         
                                         These games are like – were you surprised by these games?
                                         
                                         They're sort of semi-wealthy because they're really wealthy to be able to just buy libraries for colleges, and then they go.
                                         
                                         That kind of thing.
                                         
    
                                         The Jared Kushner manner of getting into Harvard, for example.
                                         
                                         But these little tricks were so weird and like complex.
                                         
                                         It was – I was just – I can't even imagine.
                                         
                                         I was talking to my kid about it and I was like, what would you do if I ever – he's like, I wouldn't speak to you.
                                         
                                         Like it was just – and all these kids are getting like thrown out, possibly getting thrown out.
                                         
                                         It's just the whole schmagegi is like weird as can be, I have to say.
                                         
                                         And I felt bad enough having my kid in like an SAT prep course.
                                         
                                         Like, you know, I felt bad about that.
                                         
    
                                         I was like, well, he's getting kind of an advantage, but, you know, I can afford it kind of thing.
                                         
                                         And then they do this, and I'm like, well, I don't feel quite that bad anymore for that,
                                         
                                         but I don't feel great about it for sure.
                                         
                                         Well, there's a lot of nuance here, right?
                                         
                                         The backdoor, the people who give millions of dollars, I would argue that, look,
                                         
                                         we live in a capitalist society.
                                         
                                         Spoiler alert, the kids of rich people do have an advantage.
                                         
                                         And if someone gives $10 million to a university and their son or their nephew gets in, I'm okay with that because that 10 million
                                         
    
                                         bucks will actually probably increase the number of seats available to kids who might not otherwise.
                                         
                                         I do think there is a rationale. And let's be honest, someone gives a lot of money to a
                                         
                                         university, they're going to get favorable treatment. And I'm not sure that's a bad thing.
                                         
                                         favorable treatment. And I'm not sure that's a bad thing. But when people, I mean, when you talk about people bribing coaches, and I mean, some of this stuff got so ugly, so fast. And just a shout
                                         
                                         out, you know, who has not lost the script is my alma mater, University of California, I went to
                                         
                                         UCLA undergrad, and they got ensnared in the scandal. And then Berkeley, the ranking of the
                                         
                                         10 universities that have the most income disparity, the most people from the lowest
                                         
                                         quintile on up, seven of them are University of California campuses. Berkeley will graduate more
                                         
    
                                         kids from low-income households this year than the entire Ivy League combined. So there are still
                                         
                                         universities who have stayed true to their mission. But this is going to, I think, require a lot of overdue
                                         
                                         scrutiny around, one, are we academics drunk with exclusivity? And two, should tenure be banished,
                                         
                                         which is nothing but social welfare for the overeducated? And three, should we be thinking
                                         
                                         about some sort of way to increase the supply of seats such that we can return to the 70s and 80s
                                         
                                         when I was applying? It's all online.
                                         
                                         Online is how you do it, right?
                                         
                                         100% or a hybrid, right?
                                         
    
                                         Half online, half offline.
                                         
                                         But we need to bring down costs and increase supply and stop thinking of ourselves as luxury
                                         
                                         goods, but as public servants.
                                         
                                         Anyways.
                                         
                                         Yes, luxury goods.
                                         
                                         Thank you for that rant, Scott.
                                         
                                         It was not as good as your South by Southwest rant.
                                         
                                         There you go.
                                         
    
                                         But we're going to take a quick break.
                                         
                                         There were several rants there.
                                         
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                                         and come back with wins and fails and predictions.
                                         
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                                         One challenge that fraud fighters like Ian face is that scam victims sometimes feel too ashamed to discuss what happened to them.
                                         
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                                         what do you do if you have text messages you don't recognize?
                                         
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                                         Even my own father fell victim to a, thank goodness,
                                         
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                                         Corporation. We're back to our show with Scott Galloway, who's in Aspen in some library,
                                         
                                         God knows why. We were just talking about the college admission scandal, the situation in New Zealand, and the culpability of online platforms. Now we're going to talk about wins and fails of
                                         
                                         this week. You know, I'm going to go, I'm going to start with the win of George Conway.
                                         
                                         And I know it's the stupidest, most ludicrous story of all time, but he's brilliant on Twitter
                                         
                                         and driving the president crazy. Now, it may be part of some elaborate reality show to take our
                                         
                                         minds off this ridiculous budget that the Trump administration put through, or maybe the Mueller
                                         
                                         report, or any number of things that are headed this way.
                                         
                                         But it's a really interesting use of technology, both by President Trump against John McCain on the other side and then whacking back at George Conway.
                                         
    
                                         And one of my favorite tweets, and the Twitter sphere is fantastic on this, I have to say
                                         
                                         it's been very funny, is the idea that George Conway, who is the husband of Kellyanne Conway, who works for President Trump, and John McCain have rented
                                         
                                         an Airbnb inside the head of Donald Trump.
                                         
                                         And it's all being played out on Twitter.
                                         
                                         And at the same time, the Devin Cow thing with Devin Nunes, who's suing Twitter.
                                         
                                         Devin Nunes is obviously a fail, but the cow is a winner, has now surpassed users
                                         
                                         on Twitter. It's a silly, stupid, both silly, stupid things, but totally enjoyable.
                                         
                                         That's hard to beat. Well, you brought up earlier, Prime Minister, I don't know, I hope I don't get
                                         
    
                                         her name wrong, Jacinda Ardern. You know, 49 people are massacred. And then a week later,
                                         
                                         they say, you know what, we're going to ban assault rifles. And they ban assault rifles. They ban high capacity magazines.
                                         
                                         They ban the devices that turn regular rifles into assault weapons. And the opposition party,
                                         
                                         that's generally a little bit more pro-gun, goes, yeah, that seems reasonable. And they don't oppose
                                         
                                         it. And within seven days, they kind of make, they bust this move to sanity. And what's
                                         
                                         interesting is that the entire world was fixated on what happened in New Zealand. Yet we lost 40,
                                         
                                         54 people were murdered at a country music festival in Las Vegas. We lost 49 people in an
                                         
                                         Orlando shooting. I mean, this is happening every six to 12 months for us, yet we can't seem to find
                                         
    
                                         the same sanity that New Zealand found in seven days.
                                         
                                         So my win is Prime Minister.
                                         
                                         Why do you think that is?
                                         
                                         What do you think that's for, the Prime Minister?
                                         
                                         Okay, what do you think that's because?
                                         
                                         Americans being Americans or the way this social media thing creates these ludicrous
                                         
                                         things that are one after the next after the next?
                                         
                                         It's like a reality show, really.
                                         
    
                                         No, I think it's because there are some very well-organized lobbies, including big tech
                                         
                                         and including the NRA, where they have taken advantage of the fact that because
                                         
                                         of Citizens United and gerrymandering and hard left and hard right districts, that effectively
                                         
                                         government has become pay for play. And well-organized, well-financed organizations
                                         
                                         can promote or delay and obfuscate sane legislation that even the majority of the U.S.
                                         
                                         The majority of the U.S. is against assault weapons.
                                         
                                         But we can't seem to get this done.
                                         
                                         So I think it's money and politics that is the culprit here, not anything that's about social media.
                                         
    
                                         Not noisiness because it's real noisy out there.
                                         
                                         They're all using – it's so noisy.
                                         
                                         The noisiness is really – and the ability to get sucked into this bread and circuses, you know, like these ridiculous – it feels like that with a lot of this stuff, some of which are amusing like Devon Cow.
                                         
                                         I have to say I totally enjoy Devon Cow.
                                         
                                         But you do get sort of dragged into the – like the George – the Twitter war of George Conyers.
                                         
                                         I can't tell you how much time I spent watching, only because he's so funny.
                                         
                                         And, like, he infuriates Trump.
                                         
                                         He is so your man crush.
                                         
    
                                         He is so your man crush.
                                         
                                         I do.
                                         
                                         I don't know what's with him.
                                         
                                         Oh, my God.
                                         
                                         He's so funny.
                                         
                                         Come on.
                                         
                                         You really love him, huh?
                                         
                                         The whole narcissistic personality and his responses.
                                         
    
                                         Well, only because his responses are so clever.
                                         
                                         They're like, I'm like, wow, where did he, like, he's one of these, like, Ocasio-Cortez, he's good at it.
                                         
                                         They're like – I'm like, wow, where did he – like he's one of these – like Ocasio-Cortez, he's good at it.
                                         
                                         And every day, you know, it's just like his little thing.
                                         
                                         It's just his little – now he's moved into the Devin Nunes area too, which is like even better.
                                         
                                         And then every now and then he posts pictures of corgis, which is like insane.
                                         
                                         It's like really – it's wonderful and awful.
                                         
                                         So, yes, I do love it.
                                         
    
                                         I do. I have to say it makes kellyanne conway seem more human that that she decided to spend her life with this guy
                                         
                                         no right um no you won't acknowledge that point but the whole no i don't i don't want to know
                                         
                                         about their relation i'm sure they're good i mean it seems like they're getting it was i know she
                                         
                                         she defended trump which was interesting, which is fascinating.
                                         
                                         So another winner, our man.
                                         
                                         Speaking of dreamy, Beto O'Rourke, $6.1 million in the first 24 hours.
                                         
                                         Isn't that crazy?
                                         
                                         Whatever.
                                         
    
                                         You're not down with Beto? It is.
                                         
                                         He's your man.
                                         
                                         He's not my man.
                                         
                                         Oh, my God, dreamy.
                                         
                                         Dreamy, I could shower in that guy's sweat.
                                         
                                         I'd take Biden over him.
                                         
                                         I'd take Biden over him.
                                         
                                         You see the predictions about Stacey Abrams,
                                         
    
                                         who I adore, being
                                         
                                         a possible vice presidential candidate for
                                         
                                         Biden. That was interesting. Yeah, that's not
                                         
                                         going to happen. We almost never elect
                                         
                                         the third term of any one administration,
                                         
                                         and that's his strategy. I don't think it's going to work.
                                         
                                         I also think his age probably
                                         
                                         takes him out. We'll see.
                                         
    
                                         I don't know. They're all so old.
                                         
                                         Beto. You and that Beto, man.
                                         
                                         Oh my God. That guy's, come on, dreamy
                                         
                                         with a capital D.
                                         
                                         That Vanity Fair cover with him and his sad
                                         
                                         looking dog. It's like, oh my God,
                                         
                                         that dog is so sad.
                                         
                                         He's going to be...
                                         
    
                                         I thought Margaret Sullivan from the Washington Post
                                         
                                         had a great column about the three Bs, all the boys.
                                         
                                         It was just so typical.
                                         
                                         I'm going to move you on to something you actually know about
                                         
                                         instead of beta, which is the non-topic.
                                         
                                         And if you bring it up again, I'm going to have to do something about it.
                                         
                                         It's this Instagram letting you
                                         
                                         buy things
                                         
    
                                         directly in the app now. Instagram will keep
                                         
                                         a small cut of the sale for facilitating the purchase
                                         
                                         and it's partnering with PayPal to process the payments.
                                         
                                         What do you think of this? Is this an Amazon
                                         
                                         herder?
                                         
                                         Facebook's tried to get into commerce a zillion times.
                                         
                                         Yeah, except this one's going to work.
                                         
                                         This is staggeringly powerful.
                                         
    
                                         Tell me why.
                                         
                                         Because you take someone to the bottom.
                                         
                                         It's the same reason the Amazon Media Group is so powerful,
                                         
                                         because they can serve you an ad seamlessly right at the bottom of the funnel.
                                         
                                         So if you have Huggies in your cart, they can say to P&G,
                                         
                                         would you like to run an ad for Pampers
                                         
                                         as they're about to check out with Huggies?
                                         
                                         And the answer is yes,
                                         
    
                                         and they'll pay a lot of money.
                                         
                                         When you're on what is effectively
                                         
                                         the Conde Nast of our generation,
                                         
                                         which is Instagram,
                                         
                                         and you see this beautiful image
                                         
                                         of a Manolo Blahnik shoe.
                                         
                                         The Conde Nast of our generation.
                                         
                                         You like that?
                                         
    
                                         Like the old...
                                         
                                         You like that?
                                         
                                         I like it.
                                         
                                         I actually like it.
                                         
                                         I think it's smart.
                                         
                                         Yes, it's very smart.
                                         
                                         You mean like the, I don't know, Vogue's full of ads, right? The ads it. I actually like it. I think it's smart. Yes, it's very smart.
                                         
                                         You mean like the, I don't know, Vogue's full of ads, right?
                                         
    
                                         The ads are what you're looking at. Yeah, but not only full of ads.
                                         
                                         They're beautiful ads.
                                         
                                         That's right.
                                         
                                         Condé Nast is able to bring together this unbelievable talent and make the ads,
                                         
                                         these Annie Leibovitz shots of Kate Moss in a moment in time.
                                         
                                         And you think, wow, I would really like to buy that $90 fragrance.
                                         
                                         I'm not sure why, but I'd like to buy it. And if I could buy it right now in this irrational moment where I am
                                         
                                         moved emotionally, I would. And Instagram is giving you the ability. They're bringing together
                                         
    
                                         that kind of top of the funnel, beautiful moment in time and the ability to buy it with a touch
                                         
                                         and it's on its way. Yeah, they're, you know, Glossier has done very well on there. A lot of products have done,
                                         
                                         they've also got stuff like opiate.
                                         
                                         They've got to clean up
                                         
                                         some of the stuff they're selling.
                                         
                                         But I have to say,
                                         
                                         I have thought about buying
                                         
                                         a lot of things on Instagram
                                         
    
                                         and not an ability to do it.
                                         
                                         And so this is an interesting,
                                         
                                         I bet I would, I bet I would.
                                         
                                         I literally realized I had gone to hell
                                         
                                         and that social media
                                         
                                         had taken over my brain
                                         
                                         when I actually noticed,
                                         
                                         I saw an ad for a cruise
                                         
    
                                         and I thought, wow, a cruise doesn't sound awful.
                                         
                                         I'm like, oh my God, I'm 105.
                                         
                                         When a cruise doesn't sound like hell,
                                         
                                         you're like, okay, I'm 105.
                                         
                                         I hate cruises.
                                         
                                         You know, I get sick on boats, you know?
                                         
                                         Oh God, I get sick watching boats.
                                         
                                         Anyways, and then where I really had gone to hell and back
                                         
    
                                         is all of a sudden, you know what I bought
                                         
                                         because I saw it on Instagram?
                                         
                                         I bought a pair of Allbirds.
                                         
                                         What is wrong with me?
                                         
                                         I need an intervention.
                                         
                                         I bought a pair of Allbirds.
                                         
                                         Oh, my God.
                                         
                                         But have you seen how incredible the ads are, but creepy in a good way?
                                         
    
                                         They're incredible.
                                         
                                         I have never.
                                         
                                         I like the guy who found Allbirds, but no, none.
                                         
                                         It's like you and every VC in Silicon Valley love those things.
                                         
                                         Anyways.
                                         
                                         And do you like your all birds?
                                         
                                         Are they nice?
                                         
                                         They're delicious.
                                         
    
                                         They're super comfy.
                                         
                                         Literally.
                                         
                                         I could wear these things everywhere.
                                         
                                         But I like to signal.
                                         
                                         That's lovely, Scott.
                                         
                                         I like to signal.
                                         
                                         I bet you and Beto could bond over all birds.
                                         
                                         He seems like he'd wear all birds.
                                         
    
                                         Between your lips and God's ears.
                                         
                                         Between your lips and God's ears. Between your lips and God's ears.
                                         
                                         Bring it, Beto.
                                         
                                         You know, I'm going to get an interview with him.
                                         
                                         And then I'm doing Mayor Pete from Indiana soon.
                                         
                                         I'm really excited to talk to him.
                                         
                                         I'm excited.
                                         
                                         He's so smart.
                                         
    
                                         He doesn't wear Allbirds.
                                         
                                         He wears sensible shoes.
                                         
                                         Anyway, predictions, Scott.
                                         
                                         Predictions.
                                         
                                         Go ahead.
                                         
                                         Add whatever you predict.
                                         
                                         We've been good on predictions.
                                         
                                         We've been winning on predictions
                                         
    
                                         what did we
                                         
                                         what did we predict
                                         
                                         we had a bunch
                                         
                                         that we were right about
                                         
                                         you predicted Amazon
                                         
                                         you predicted Amazon
                                         
                                         was going to leave
                                         
                                         New York 24 hours
                                         
    
                                         before it happened
                                         
                                         yes
                                         
                                         but then there was
                                         
                                         another one we did
                                         
                                         last
                                         
                                         someone was pointing
                                         
                                         to it
                                         
                                         I can't tell
                                         
    
                                         which one of us
                                         
                                         did it
                                         
                                         it was
                                         
                                         oh Facebook
                                         
                                         executives would leave
                                         
                                         yeah that's
                                         
                                         I think that was
                                         
                                         you or me
                                         
    
                                         we both agreed
                                         
                                         on that one
                                         
                                         that was good
                                         
                                         and they did
                                         
                                         Chris Cox
                                         
                                         left and so did the head of
                                         
                                         whoever his name is, the guy who runs
                                         
                                         WhatsApp. That was right. That wasn't
                                         
    
                                         that hard to predict. Think of another prediction, Scott.
                                         
                                         I need a prediction from you.
                                         
                                         Well, my prediction is I think Beto is going to jump out ahead
                                         
                                         in the polls. I think that
                                         
                                         this is, I know
                                         
                                         I know
                                         
                                         you're going to hate this. I think a white male is going to be the
                                         
                                         Democratic nominee because I think deep down everyone is freaked out. The number one criteria
                                         
    
                                         for the Democratic Party will be whoever can beat Trump. And I think people are freaked out that a
                                         
                                         woman spent a billion dollars to lose to a criminal and they're going to go safe and they're going to
                                         
                                         nominate a white male. That one? Okay.
                                         
                                         A white male.
                                         
                                         But he lost to Ted Cruz.
                                         
                                         All right.
                                         
                                         He lost to –
                                         
                                         We'll take the other side of that, though.
                                         
    
                                         There's so many of them.
                                         
                                         I saw Hickenlooper on CNN last night.
                                         
                                         What did you think of Hickenlooper?
                                         
                                         People think he's kind of a character, kind of an odd duck.
                                         
                                         In any other era, he could have won.
                                         
                                         In any other era.
                                         
                                         That's what I thought.
                                         
                                         I was like, in any other era, he would have been a very acceptable candidate.
                                         
    
                                         But he wasn't exciting enough.
                                         
                                         He tried.
                                         
                                         He plays a guitar, apparently.
                                         
                                         That was interesting.
                                         
                                         Samantha Bee did a great
                                         
                                         rundown of the Democratic candidates
                                         
                                         and it was very funny.
                                         
                                         And she said that,
                                         
    
                                         the funniest thing I think
                                         
                                         that she said was that
                                         
                                         Bernie Sanders should borrow
                                         
                                         Amy Klobuchar's comb,
                                         
                                         which I thought was funny.
                                         
                                         How's your buddy Kamala doing?
                                         
                                         I'll tweet it.
                                         
                                         How do you feel about Kamala's campaign?
                                         
    
                                         I love her.
                                         
                                         She's great.
                                         
                                         She's my candidate.
                                         
                                         I like her.
                                         
                                         If I had to pick among all of them, I think she's strong.
                                         
                                         I like a lot of them.
                                         
                                         I like a lot of them.
                                         
                                         There's several really good choices, but not the one you like.
                                         
    
                                         But that's okay.
                                         
                                         I'll get behind whatever one.
                                         
                                         But I would like one that could win.
                                         
                                         I would like one that could win.
                                         
                                         What's your prediction?
                                         
                                         It would be great. Oh, this Mueller report is coming, right? I don't know. I think it might be. I'm torn between it being a nothing burger and something really significant.
                                         
                                         So that's where I'm torn. I don't know. I think people will be disappointed because a lot of the stuff has been out there and a lot of these indictments. And so if it doesn't say that he, like, did something just criminal,
                                         
                                         I think it'll be a big downer for everyone
                                         
    
                                         and that Trump will take advantage of that
                                         
                                         and, you know, keep repeating his incessant lies about things.
                                         
                                         Oh, I have a media recommendation.
                                         
                                         It just popped into my mind.
                                         
                                         I've been binge-watching something called Afterlife with Ricky Gervais.
                                         
                                         Is that how you say his name?
                                         
                                         Yeah, I heard that's great.
                                         
                                         It's really, really wonderful. That guy brings together kind of dark comedy. He's wonderful. It is real. It's
                                         
    
                                         a fantastic program. After Life. It's really well done and really moving and funny and all that.
                                         
                                         All right. Is that a prediction? No. A prediction that I'll like it? I need a prediction.
                                         
                                         You're going to enjoy it. Yeah, you're going to enjoy it. I'm done. It's the altitude. It's the
                                         
                                         altitude and the edibles that are sold everywhere like Big Macs around this place.
                                         
                                         All right.
                                         
                                         Next, we're going to talk about all these IPOs.
                                         
                                         So you better start thinking about it.
                                         
                                         Try to like calm yourself down.
                                         
    
                                         A lot of stuff coming.
                                         
                                         A lot of stuff coming.
                                         
                                         A lot of IPOs.
                                         
                                         By the way, just a quick shout out.
                                         
                                         Lyft was supposed to be $20 billion.
                                         
                                         Now I'm finally hitting my stride as we're running over here.
                                         
                                         Levi Strauss and Company going public.
                                         
                                         The Haas family, the original gangsters of progressive values,
                                         
    
                                         they were giving domestic partner benefits.
                                         
                                         They were giving paternity and maternity leave before it was cool.
                                         
                                         These are people who advertise their product as being about sex, drugs, and rock and roll,
                                         
                                         but these are incredibly decent people
                                         
                                         who kept the company private so they could walk the walk and through a lot of incredible expense
                                         
                                         to shareholder value, really implement progressive values around the workforce.
                                         
                                         They want the money.
                                         
                                         Well, it's actually a very interesting case study because Levi Strauss and Company in the mid-90s,
                                         
    
                                         largest apparel company in the world, but it was a manufacturer's model, stuffing it through JCPenney's and Sears, and then running great advertisements about the time
                                         
                                         people were spending less time watching ads. So who took over, Kara? Trivia question, who became
                                         
                                         the biggest apparel company? The Gap, who decided that brand building was moving to the stores.
                                         
                                         And by 2002, The Gap was the most valuable apparel company in the world. And now Levi's
                                         
                                         has made a nice comeback with more control over their distribution,
                                         
                                         great product.
                                         
                                         Anyways, shout out to the Haas family and Levi Strauss & Company going public.
                                         
                                         A good brand and good people.
                                         
    
                                         Not a prediction.
                                         
                                         Okay, the stock's going to pop.
                                         
                                         No predictions.
                                         
                                         The stock's going to pop.
                                         
                                         I gave a very, very bold prediction that the Democratic nominee is going to be a white male.
                                         
                                         All right, okay.
                                         
                                         Okay, we're going to have to wait for that one.
                                         
                                         We've come to grips.
                                         
    
                                         Get ready on your IPOs for next week.
                                         
                                         We're talking IPOs next week.
                                         
                                         I will study up.
                                         
                                         I'll study up.
                                         
                                         And the numbers, the $20 billion, the $120 billion, that kind of stuff.
                                         
                                         Yeah, Lyft's going to make it out first.
                                         
                                         Crazy stuff.
                                         
                                         Crazy stuff, Kara.
                                         
    
                                         Enjoy yourself on the slopes with your Allbirds.
                                         
                                         I hope you enjoy yourself
                                         
                                         you're perfectly dressed
                                         
                                         for Aspen
                                         
                                         you elitist
                                         
                                         you terrible elitist
                                         
                                         all of those things
                                         
                                         I'm wearing tree thorns
                                         
    
                                         that I re-sew
                                         
                                         every three
                                         
                                         every six months
                                         
                                         anyway
                                         
                                         it's time to go
                                         
                                         thanks Cara
                                         
                                         we'll talk to you soon
                                         
                                         have a good week
                                         
    
                                         thank you
                                         
                                         Rebecca Sinanis
                                         
                                         produces this show
                                         
                                         Nishat Kerwa
                                         
                                         is the executive producer
                                         
                                         thanks also to Eric Johnson
                                         
                                         thanks for listening to Pivot
                                         
                                         from Vox Media
                                         
    
                                         we'll be back next week with more of a breakdown
                                         
                                         of all things tech and business.
                                         
                                         If you like what you heard, please subscribe,
                                         
                                         rate and review Pivot on Apple Podcasts
                                         
                                         and please say what you think about Scott's new Allbirds. Support for this show is brought to you by Nissan Kicks.
                                         
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