Pivot - "It's not a meritocracy, it's a mirror-tocracy"

Episode Date: April 5, 2019

Kara and Scott talk about the avalanche of recent Facebook news -- including Zuckerberg's new professed want for regulations. They also talk about YouTube and how the company actively seems to be over...looking all the toxic things that end up on the platform. We reached out to Managing Editor of AfroTech, John Ketchum, to talk about the late-Nipsey Hussle's contributions to tech and entrepreneurship as a way to uplift his community. It's part of a broader trend of affluent black celebrities putting their money into tech entrepreneurship. Speaking of rap/entrepreneurship (eye-roll implied), Elon Musk dropped a rap about Harambe on SoundCloud. Meanwhile, Patagonia is refusing to sell tech-bros vests and we are here for it. And finally, Scott revisits predictions about Lyft and Amazon. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:01:29 That's right. It's the last week of our survey for Recode Decode, and we really want to hear from anyone who listens to this show. We really want your feedback. Fill out the survey. Win a trip to Knott's Berry Farm. Yeah. No.
Starting point is 00:01:41 Scott, fill out a survey and tell us what they think of it so we can make changes if we want. Do you really want feedback? I don't want feedback. No, I do not fill out a survey and tell us what they think of it so we can make changes. Do you really want feedback? I don't want feedback. No, I do not, but I do. I do. Others do here, and that's so fine. I honestly know. I don't care what anybody thinks, but that's okay. Anyway, you can do it on Twitter, but seriously, if you listen to Recode Decode, please go to recode.net slash podsurvey.
Starting point is 00:02:00 Will you please do that, Scott? Yeah, I'm in. Okay. Leave me alone. Enough already. I want to make sure they heard the URL. That's recode.net slash podsurvey. Will you please do that, Scott? Yeah, I'm in. Okay. Leave me alone. Enough already. I want to make sure they heard the URL. That's Rico.net slash Podsurvey. Go.
Starting point is 00:02:19 Hi, everyone. This is Pivot from the Vox Media Podcast Network. I'm Kara Swisher. And this is Aunt Becky. You love that. You love that. I don't like it. She was in court this week with Felicity Huffman and others.
Starting point is 00:02:31 So by the way, that's the beginning of the revolution, income inequality. Oh, come on. You start shaming rich people. It's a little ridiculous. They're shameless. How do you shame shameless people?
Starting point is 00:02:39 Give me a break. I know, enough already. They'll come out on top. Enough already. They don't care. They don't care. What's next, Bob Saget? Come on, leave leave him alone he's a dirty bird i understand that's what i understand yeah that's called being a man in hollywood no but he's a pretend you didn't think
Starting point is 00:02:53 you know whatever his name is have you seen neverland i'm totally no my kids saw it the other night i fell asleep and my kids watched it and then were traumatized for the next two days well having not seen it you've seen it because guess what? A guy with a glittery glove who hung out with monkeys and Ferris wheels and had little kids sleeping in his room, he molested them. Spoiler alert. I know. My kids were particularly disturbed by how –
Starting point is 00:03:18 It's really disturbing. Yeah, I didn't – It is really rattling. They haven't seen the second – yeah, that's what everybody says. And then they moved back to Game of Thrones for the week, which just premiered the new season. Last night, and I wasn't invited. And I know all these people at HBO, and I wasn't invited.
Starting point is 00:03:30 Anyway, let's get to big stories. Speaking of dismembering people, Facebook again, once again. What have you heard? Any news here at all? Every day. I think they kept it on a hard drive and gave it to the Russians, all the information about everybody. There was several hack stories and everything else. And then, of course, Mark Zuckerberg wrote an op-ed in the Washington Post asking to be regulated.
Starting point is 00:03:55 Please regulate me. Except on his terms, obviously. So that was kind of odd and strange. And it was very presumptuous that he should sort of start to talk about this. And of course, the way I read it was that he wanted to have them clean up his mess and help us paint his fence. So I noted on CNBC we don't want to paint billionaires' fences for them. Yeah, the Tom Sawyer thing. Yeah, it's just weird. I don't know.
Starting point is 00:04:19 So there's a lot here. He's in Europe too. He's in Europe. So Facebook is the digital Donald Trump and that is any one of these things would be disqualifying for most people. But because every two or three days you hear something outrageous, you become numb to it. So it's like, oh, okay. He said something ridiculously racist. Oh, wait.
Starting point is 00:04:37 He is a racist. Oh, wait. He also attacks people. He also is – He pushed over an old lady at the intersection. You just keep hearing all these things and because it's one after the other. Wells Fargo did the whole loan dock scandal. Their big mistake was not being more felonious, not doing more and more bad stuff repeatedly because what happens is you become numb to it and that's what's literally happening.
Starting point is 00:05:01 Well, I don't think everyone can get away with it. But you're right. It is an astonishing every week. There's something different. You're like, what did they think everyone can get away with it, but you're right. It is an astonishing every week. There's something different. You're like, what did they do again? Didn't they do that already? Yeah, you know. I agree.
Starting point is 00:05:09 And now he's appearing like he's doing an interview with George Stephanopoulos and stuff like that and whatever. He talks a lot. He gets out there a lot and says almost nothing because these are not challenging interviews, let's just say. And so they do. They keep talking or they post op-eds or something like that. So they're active too.
Starting point is 00:05:29 So it's not like they're hiding, which I think is really interesting. They have 600 PR and communications people. They do. They do. I've visited all of them. And there might be 700 by now. And by the way, that op-ed, it was brilliant. It was really well written.
Starting point is 00:05:39 You think? Well, let me be clear on that. I mean brilliant. The strategy that has created a quarter of a trillion dollars in shareholder value or at least preserved it is very simple, delay and obfuscation. If they were more honest, we would start calling Mark Zuckerberg delay and Sheryl Sandberg obfuscation. They resent that. They resent that characterization. I resent genocide and my kids being addicted to your bullshit.
Starting point is 00:06:01 So anyways, you have Zuckerberg, all right, new privacy and security controls are coming. That was eight years ago. And then when people started getting angry, they employed the ultimate nuclear weapon of mass distraction, this incredibly attractive, incredibly compelling, incredible personal story weapon called Sheryl Sandberg that said, hey, look over here, everybody. And for about 24 to 36 months, if you went after Facebook or Sheryl Sandberg, you were sort of implicitly going after all women. So no one wanted to say anything bad about Facebook because their public figure, 100%. You go after Facebook, you're going after
Starting point is 00:06:42 Sheryl Sandberg, you're going after the entire overdue conversation about gender imbalance in the workplace. People got fed up with that. Now they move to, okay, we're building this nation-state security screening apparatus. Remember last year or a year ago they were talking about they're hiring tens of thousands of people to screen their content? Have you noticed we haven't heard anything about that recently? Because clearly you had exactly the right term. You said, okay, this has gotten away from them. This whole thing has gotten away from them.
Starting point is 00:07:09 So that's not working. So what's their next excuse? I know. Let's throw up our arms and say, you know what? We need to be regulated. You guys need to regulate us. Meanwhile, and this is a tactic and it's brilliant, the incumbent who sits on half a trillion dollars in market cap can shape regulation to create a barrier of entry and benefit the incumbent. This is what – this is my new concept I'll be writing about soon, apex predators.
Starting point is 00:07:34 That's what they do. That's an awesome term. Thank you. That's my new Instagram handle. Actually, I'm starting a boy band called Apex Predators. Well, they are. They're like – I'm going to be the mysterious sullen one.
Starting point is 00:07:43 He recognizes there's a threat here. And so that's when he acknowledges fear. Like when he, when he wants to, like, you know, he puts his head down a little bit, like the kind of thing. But again,
Starting point is 00:07:54 it's more distraction. Yes, I would agree. That's the wrong. I think it'll be interesting to see what regulation happens. And I do think there is regulation, especially among the Democrats. But it's, it's an interesting time for them.
Starting point is 00:08:07 Like if they can, you're right, the Donald Trump, they can just be noisy long enough. People will forget the last 50 things that they did that violated privacy. But having like, there was one story this week about them having a lot of information on a text file on an Amazon server. You know, it's just like, what are you doing?
Starting point is 00:08:23 Like, why aren't you careful with this data? That's your job. It reflects the gestalt, because the gestalt at Facebook is this hacker mentality, incredible creativity, incredible engineering talent around the development of these incredible targeting tools. They do have some outstanding things about their culture. They also have a culture of, dude just don't care. If it has privacy, just don't worry about it. If there's anything around security or controls, it's an open platform or a platform. We're not a media company.
Starting point is 00:08:54 And you see all these things happening everywhere. And it's pretty clear that no one ever gets compensated. As a matter of fact, they probably get punished if they say, hey, you know, there's 40 million accounts on this public AWS server that people could access. It's just like, no, we don't really want to hear about that. You know, meanwhile, here in Washington, it's Joe, Uncle Creepy and whatever. Who's Uncle Creepy? Orange and Origins, Joe Biden.
Starting point is 00:09:18 You know, it's funny being here. I'm going to delve into these waters. You think Uncle Joe's creepy? No, it's what they're calling him, Uncle Creepy. I don't know. It's stupid. I've seen him do it. I've seen him do it.
Starting point is 00:09:30 And you think it's uncomfortable and creepy. I think women just haven't said stop it and now they're saying stop it. Like it is uncomfortable and creepy when people do that. I've had it happen to me dozens of times. And you just have to be like, oh, God, you fucking asshole. Like you just – you literally – like it happens all the time. It's like – and now people are like, wait a minute. Why am I putting up with this?
Starting point is 00:09:49 There you go. So the other story obviously in this genre is YouTube, which a great story by Mark Bergen who used to work for Recode many moons ago. Not many moons ago. Recently. And he wrote a story about – he had covered Google for us and now this is a story about YouTube that he's done for Bloomberg. It was interesting about how there was a number of – it was very scoopy because Mark's that way, but it was all about stuff they've done to have plausible deniability in the company over their free-for-all platform and how they were looking into things that would increase virality, and in increasing virality would increase toxicity, and how they wanted to look away and not see the filth that goes over their system.
Starting point is 00:10:29 It was really interesting. You know, it's – they probably see it a different way. I know they see it a different way. But it really is the idea of like trying not to see what you're making. You know, like you're making cigarettes and it's killing people. Oh, they're not – you know, that kind of thing. Like it's that kind of mentality. But there's a – this is part of a broader trend and I think it's a dangerous one that needs to be revisited along the lines of antitrust and breaking these guys up.
Starting point is 00:10:53 Is that non-competes, non-solicitations, forced arbitration, you know, this gestalt of don't put it in email. of don't put it in email. We never want to actually have any evidence that we've actually acknowledged the problem because then we have to deny that we knew there was a problem or acknowledge we knew there was a problem. And all of these things accrete power to the incumbents and the biggest players
Starting point is 00:11:14 because you should be able to leave and start your own firm. You should be able to, you know, the non, quote unquote, the non-solicit, the informal non-solicit that Jobs had with Eric Schmidt at Google. They said all that does is suppress wages. And I think all these things need to be looked at because the key to our economy
Starting point is 00:11:31 is that smart, talented young people leave big firms and start new firms. And if something bad happens to them at work, whether it's Uncle Creepy or if it's intimidation or if it's reporting on a topic that's sensitive, they don't get stuffed into arbitration where it's intimidation or if it's reporting on a topic that's sensitive, they don't get stuffed into arbitration where it's not public. And so all of these things need to be visited because at the end of the day, all they are is weapons of mass entrenchment across very powerful corporations. Yeah, I agree.
Starting point is 00:11:57 One of the things that was interesting, I did a live podcast thing this week in Washington about AI and one of the people was from the AI Now Institute who also works at Google, Meredith Whitaker, and she was talking about the idea of employees stepping up. She was one of the leaders of the Google walkout and she was talking about the idea of people stepping up and saying things and being whistleblowers
Starting point is 00:12:18 within these companies and that's why the story at YouTube was interesting is they didn't want people to look into the dirty parts. One person internally had created a tool that showed how popular alt-right sites were that veered into white nationalism, and they didn't want to know. Like they didn't want to know what was actually going on and, you know, is there gambling going on in this place kind of idea. And so she was talking about the idea that these – that she has a lot of faith in employees of some of these companies coming forward. And this is the case in the story, coming forward and saying, you know, there's all kinds of stuff they're doing.
Starting point is 00:12:50 That they say one thing publicly or create these panels or content moderation, you know, super bodies to help us figure it out. And it's a lot of it's PR versus what they really are doing. 100%. Interesting. All right, when we get back, we're going to have a new thing called Friend of Pivot. We're going to take a quick break now, and we'll be back to our show.
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Starting point is 00:16:11 slash Claude. All right, I'm here with Scott Galloway, who is in New York City. I'm in the District of Columbia. We're going to have a new segment there. We're going to test something out new this week and talk to some friends of Pivot about some new ideas. As you know, Scott and I practically live on Twitter. This week it was filled with tributes to Nipsey Hussle. He was a rapper and entrepreneur who was killed earlier this week. A lot of the tributes are about how he was using his money
Starting point is 00:16:39 to invest in tech and STEM education in low-income neighborhoods of Los Angeles. So we called up Afrotech Editor-in-Chief John Ketchum to talk about the larger trend of how young Black entrepreneurs are investing in tech. So Nipsey Hussle was a staunch advocate for STEM and entrepreneurship and its impact on his community. He founded Vector90, which is a STEM program and co-working space in the Los Angeles area. He was very, very vocal about the impact that technology and entrepreneurship could have in his community, both economically and in terms of education. Over the past couple of years, we've seen a big trend of these young Black celebrities, young Black people with money,
Starting point is 00:17:26 really seeing tech and entrepreneurship as a way that we can, quite frankly, catch up. So there are a lot of other entertainers, musicians, and athletes who are involved in the tech and entrepreneurship space and using those things as an engine to drive change in their communities. So for example, Serena Williams, she just became an investor in the Bumble Fund, which specifically targets female entrepreneurs of color. Another example of this is Steph and Ayesha Curry. Their foundation just launched a scholarship that goes to a young girl in the Bay Area who is going into STEM education for college. And another instance of this is Rich Dennis, the CEO of Sundial Brands. He's working on a project to turn Madam C.J. Walker's house into a hub for women of color entrepreneurs. This is a
Starting point is 00:18:18 bigger trend. A lot of young Black folks with money are seeing the benefits that come from these two areas. And they're trying to make sure that, you know, everybody gets a piece. I think Nipsey was committed to showing the world that the people in his community were geniuses. Yeah, this is this is something that, you know, I followed for a long time. Oddly enough, one of the one of the early investors was MC Hammer was around early in the internet age. He was friends with Ron Conway, who's a big investor. But it's a chance. The rapper was doing it, Maverick and LeBron James.
Starting point is 00:18:56 All kinds of – a chameleon is in the Lyft IPO, for example. There's been an interesting trend this way. It's nothing very big, though. It is celebrities like Serena Williams or Steph Curry and his wife. They're focusing money there. But it's still been up
Starting point is 00:19:15 and down, which is the real power still remains within a small group of largely white people in Silicon Valley. It is interesting when you start to I just did an interview with the white combinator. They're trying to move money in different ways. They're trying to get money into other talent.
Starting point is 00:19:37 They're not doing the same thing. And it's a very difficult and slow-moving thing largely because they pattern match with the people they're comfortable with. And I'm not sure how that's going to change, but it's really, really important that people start thinking this way because – I'll finish with this. One of the things Gene Case who just wrote a recent book said is that it's not a question of talent. It's a question of opportunity every time and it's not talent because there's talent everywhere. 100 percent.
Starting point is 00:20:00 So there's a lot here. I mean when I saw the notes, I didn't like the story and that was the first time I heard the gentleman from Afrotech be. If they aspire to be athletes or entertainers, there's about a 98, 99% unemployment rate in those industries. Whereas if you can create a role models around investing in tech or tech entrepreneurs, there's about a 99% employment rate in those industries. And I think that anything that helps lower income and middle class kids aspire to be tech entrepreneurs is probably a pretty good thing. Yeah, definitely. And then what you're talking about, aggregating the same people.
Starting point is 00:20:53 My gosh, did you see that New York Times article with the infographic around who benefited from the windfall of the Lyft IPO? Oh, no, I didn't. Tell me about it. Oh, Jesus Christ, it's powerful. It's literally the same fucking dudes. Yep, it is. It's like the it. Oh, Jesus Christ. It's powerful. It's literally the same fucking dudes. Yep, it is. It's like the same. Oh, who made a billion dollars?
Starting point is 00:21:08 The guy at Greycroft who made a billion dollars off of Salesforce and Adobe and Amazon. Oh, what do you know? It's Jeff Bezos. Oh, what do you know? It's this white guy at Sequoia. I mean it's literally the same dudes. Yeah, they are. Over and over and over.
Starting point is 00:21:21 You know my saying, don't you? It's not a meritocracy. It's a meritocracy. But you have – so as an asset class, venture capital has returned zero. It's been totally flat. It's been a terrible asset class because it's not only a small number of firms that are accreting all the wealth. It's a small number of people at a small number of firms who get all the deal flow, are included in every deal. Everybody wants Mark Andreessen on the board.
Starting point is 00:21:45 Everyone wants A16 or Andreessen Horowitz or everybody wants Sequoia. And as a result, they get more deal flow. More money. They can raise so much money. It's the same white guy. It's the same endowment firm, Yale, that are accreting all of the revenues, who, by the way, doesn't expand their enrollment. They just triple their applications so academics like me can be be drunk on exclusivity and the wheel spins, Cara.
Starting point is 00:22:09 The wheel spins. That is true. The wheel spins. I did an interesting podcast with Arlen Hamilton and Wendy Davis at South by Southwest. And there was a story later about Arlen not being able to get the capital. She is. She's an African-American woman who's been trying, doing a VC, who's a VC. And the difficulty she faces are quantum, you know,
Starting point is 00:22:28 I mean, and there's all kinds of like, who's good, who's not good, who's not good. But she gets harder time than others who are either equal or lesser than her. It's really an interesting thing. And so it's very hard. The idea of collecting capital and having it available and doing it as a matter of course and seeing talent where it isn't.
Starting point is 00:22:47 There is, I think, a real – if someone could really crack this idea of finding talent in places that everybody isn't fishing in the same fishing hole would be – to me, it's one of those things that could – and not just here, globally too. It's really – people have tried it, but it's always done in not the biggest way. It just seems like we're leaving behind – we're leaving a lot of talented people. Anyway, wins and fails. Okay. So let's talk about – So a couple wins, a couple politicians. Mayor Pete.
Starting point is 00:23:19 Yeah, love him. Wow. Is that guy impressive? I've asked him to code. Mayor Pete, come to code. My sons love Mayor Pete. My sons were going on about Mayor Pete last night. His CNN town hall, super impressive.
Starting point is 00:23:29 And let's talk a little bit about Mayor Pete. Despite his youth, he has more executive or elective experience than the president. He has more. Military. More elected leadership, executive, hands-on elected leadership experience than the vice president. of hands-on elected leadership experience in the vice president. By the way, he had the ultimate, the ultimate one-liner basically summing up Mike Pence, and that is he said – and I'm going to try and do this justice.
Starting point is 00:24:00 He said, did Mike Pence stop believing in scripture when he began believing in Donald Trump? And I'm like, boom. That just perfectly summarizes his book is amazing. Hypocrisy. That is Mike Pence, who believes Jesus is coming back. And well, Mr. Vice President, if Jesus does, in fact, as you believe, come back, he's going to find your office and throw up on you. Yeah, that's probably Jesus. This guy. So Mayor Pete and the other guy who I think is a big winner this week. And then I'm just a huge fan of is colorado junior senator michael bennett i love michael bennett you know that he's fantastic he announced he's uh battling prostate cancer and has decided that he's likely going to enter the presidential race and as i think happens and one
Starting point is 00:24:36 of the reasons i love or i embrace atheism is i think a finite nature of of your own mortality makes you more deliberate and more grateful and makes you less fearful. And I think this guy said, you know what? I have something to say. I can contribute. And he's basically saying to cancer, I can beat this. And we have such a wonderful science, the warm hand of science now. More people survive cancer than die of it.
Starting point is 00:25:02 And I'm sure the Republicans will go after him. And I'd like to remind them that a 71-year-old obese man is going to die a lot sooner than a 54-year-old man who's healthy, who's struggling with prostate cancer. So Mayor Pete and Senator Bennett. Thank you, Dr. Scott. That's right. Let me just say I have spent some time with Michael Bennett. He actually happens to be the brother of James Bennett who runs the New York Times Opinion Section who is sort of my boss a little bit where I write there. He is so brainy. I had such a delightful I write there. He is so brainy. I had such a delightful discussion with him.
Starting point is 00:25:27 He's like – he's super brainy. I think – it's really interesting. These are two very brainy guys. That's right. White guys nonetheless but still super brainy, super not scared of their brains, not scared of talking about smart things. And really good people. Anyways, wins.
Starting point is 00:25:41 Who are your wins? Do you have a win? I'm sorry. Yes, I did an interview with Rose Marcario. She's the CEO of Patagonia and I loved it. She used to be in finance and then she's now running Patagonia, which is a hugely successful
Starting point is 00:25:54 clothing manufacturer and really cool stuff also. And they do a lot of moral stances on things and so they're refusing to sell their power vest to some high-tech, high-up tech and finance organizations, which I love. The Patagonia thing?
Starting point is 00:26:09 Yes. And she was great. She calls people. And they're doing really well. They're very – it's a really interesting way you're talking about this idea of being woke. They've been woke forever. And they stick with it no matter what.
Starting point is 00:26:20 They sue the president. They sue this. They do this. Anyway, this one, this is an audio clip from the interview I did with her a year ago in Portland, Oregon. You know, business needs to stand up. They can't be quiet. You know, this is what makes me mad about the tech companies right now. Right.
Starting point is 00:26:36 All right. Well, talk about that because that's where I come from. Yeah. So explain your weenie concept. Yeah. So, you know, look, these guys, what's Zuckerberg worth? $60 billion? What's Larry Page worth?
Starting point is 00:26:50 $100 billion? I don't know. Like, we're talking about billions of dollars. Yeah. They create, you know, they've made so much money off this platform. I don't know. I have family in the military that fight for this country. And it's our democracy that's at stake.
Starting point is 00:27:05 And we got attacked. And we got attacked on their platforms. And they haven't done anything about it. They won't step up and explain the problem. They won't come out in plain English and say what they're doing about it. And it's pathetic. That's why I say they're weenies. I love her. She was saying this long, this is where I sort of got my – when I started writing about this a lot was she impacted me because she was like – she just said it plain and she's this amazing – and by the way, Patagonia is doing great as a business too. So you don't have to like choose one or the other and that's why I really like her and the whole company. Yeah, I liked her. I like the emotion of her. So Patagonia, I love this.
Starting point is 00:27:45 So I want to switch this back to my favorite topic, me. When in the early 2000s, I was advising. How good you look in Patagonia. There you go. And you bring in all the analysts to hear your idea. And they were all wearing Patagonia fleece vests or Patagonia vests. And it's so hilarious in finance. They all have like a tattoo or a nipple ring or they wear leather things around the wrist because they basically want to say, I'm hip.
Starting point is 00:28:12 At night I have friends in fashion and I don't want you to think I'm lame because I can't find a more interesting way to make a living. So they all have these like quirky things and they literally all wore Patagonia. And I think that different sort of PG-13 derivatives of bigotry are taking hold. And a few of them, first off, in tech ageism. But also I think there's an emerging feel or emerging ism of coolism. And that is, for example, the Soho House here in New York have basically kicked out all members who are in finance. And Patagonia a little bit here is saying, if you're in finance, we don't want to do corporate wear for you. And I do think it's sort of a little bit of an ism. By the way, if you want to, I'm convinced that corporate wear,
Starting point is 00:28:54 branded apparel is saving thousands of marriages across the United States. Because if you're at a conference and you see Bob and you want to kiss Bob and you start going over and Bob's wearing Oracle Cloud Stack t-shirt. You're like, that's it. I'm not having anything to do with Bob. All right. So literally corporate wear has saved millions of marriages around the United States. Last one. But Patagonia, that's a form of bigotry.
Starting point is 00:29:16 I mean, it's the whole like we're not – basically this whole thing started. They're backtracking, but they're basically saying we're not going to put Vess on people in finance. All right. Last one, which you think is a fail, but I think it is not a fail. I think it's a win. My son loved it. Elon Musk dropped a rap about Harambe on SoundCloud this week, and my kids loved it, although some people did not. My kids loved it.
Starting point is 00:29:45 So this is one of our predictions. I think this is, we said this is South by Southwest. I think this is the year that Tesla literally comes undone. Yeah, they had some trouble this week. So let's go to predictions. So this is, you were right. They had some trouble. They had a lot of trouble this week.
Starting point is 00:29:59 Yeah, but I think sometimes it's darkest before it's pitch black. I think Tesla is really about to come undone because going back to your conversation around talent, the team of the best players wins and every player is leaving Tesla. And despite the fact we think he's one of our new Jesus Christ, the agency – or excuse me, greatness is accomplished in the agency of others. And all the others are leaving Tesla. And that's a very negative forward-looking indicator. Other big fail, Karen, I know you love the guys. I still think he has done more to move this forward. I had this argument with the Ford CTO this week in a podcast.
Starting point is 00:30:35 That doesn't mean Tesla can't fail. Tucker built a great auto company. Where is the Tucker? It's not Tucker. It's much more important than that. Okay, I get it. I give credit here. They can say all they want is they were going to get into it. None of them
Starting point is 00:30:46 were until Tesla was born. Interestingly, I hit a Tesla this week in my car driving. Good for you. That's why I'm getting rid of cars. I was thinking they're going to have a hard time getting it fixed. You know what? You get a free pass. I think your insurance company shouldn't raise your rates
Starting point is 00:31:02 if you hit a Tesla. Just a little dent. But I did. It was like, oh, my God, it's a Tesla. I can't believe it. Anyway, prediction, Scott. I predict I'm not going to hit any more Teslas. I'm not driving anymore. But go ahead. Okay.
Starting point is 00:31:12 So, look, I think the whole ride-hailing space, the combined market capitalization, and this is kind of today, private and public market capitalization, is greater than American, Delta, Ford, Embraer, which makes awesome planes, by the way, Mattson Shipping, Royal Caribbean, and add in, I don't know, add in like JetBlue. That is not sustainable. And by the way, and I know you like these guys, I don't know them, but the Lyft website and the IPO said
Starting point is 00:31:42 great things can happen when something great, when great people do great things. I'm like, yeah, fuck you. This is what has happened but the Lyft website and the IPO said great things can happen when something great – when great people do great things. I'm like, yeah, fuck you. This is what has happened with the Lyft IPO, all right? Those guys collect a billion dollars. You know what the drivers are getting? I know. I agree.
Starting point is 00:31:54 Okay, hold on. I'll tell you. I've done the research. I actually read the damn prospectus. Unlike anyone who was stupid enough to buy that stock. You have – if you've done 1,000've done a thousand rides, I'm sorry, 10,000 rides, you get a thousand dollars. So you put those guys, put those CEOs who are new billionaires in the back of a car. And every time they do a ride, have them throw a dime at the
Starting point is 00:32:14 driver because that is what they're doing. And they claim, oh, but wait, ride hailing gives flexibility to the driver. Well, let me tell you something, boss, as someone who's hired hundreds of people, I'm really being indignant and virtue signaling right now, giving employees flexibility doesn't exonerate you from providing health care insurance or minimum wage protection. Ride-hailing care is literally the tobacco of the gig economy. We figured out a way to sequester the 4,100 mostly white, mostly college-educated people with their mostly white, mostly college-educated investors so they can split $24 billion, the value of Chrysler, while the 1.4 million mostly non-white, mostly non-college-educated people get flexibility and $8.50 an hour and the founders throwing a dime at their head. Fuck you, Lyft. Oh, my god.
Starting point is 00:33:03 This was the most fantastic Screamfest. Oh, I haven't eaten. I haven't eaten. Where's my Chipotle? That's clear. Too much? No, it's fine. Too much?
Starting point is 00:33:14 It's fine. It's fine. It's good. You like those guys, right? No, I think their finances are insane. Like, come on. Anyone can read, do math. I can add and subtract.
Starting point is 00:33:23 I think they're going to get bought. They'll get bought by someone. Have you sold the Fiesta? What someone have you sold the fiesta what have you sold i have them back to san francisco my neighbor selling it for me yeah my neighbor is a car guy he's gonna sell it for me bob nice bob sell the car yes and then i'm gonna give away the money because i just to something like a climate oh by the way our prediction so we, prediction. So last week we predicted – now I feel bad that I was so profane around Lyft. I don't hate them that much. Okay. They're very nice guys.
Starting point is 00:33:51 I feel bad. It's like when I get angry and then I get depressed the next day. Maybe you could have been mad at the Uber guys. Yeah, we'll see. I'm just mad at ride hailing. I think it's a giant income inequality vehicle. But anyways, sorry. So we predicted that
Starting point is 00:34:05 lyft would come out at 100 bucks we were wrong it came out at 90 and our prediction is within six months that it gets cut in half at least and then other prediction and this is the most underreported story of the last week did you notice what amazon is doing did you notice the new skills that amazon has released no tell me health care six new skills that Amazon has released? No, tell me. Healthcare. Six new skills in healthcare, including basic healthcare information on kids. They are now, Amazon is now HIPAA compliant. Oh, really? So prediction, Amazon stock up 50%
Starting point is 00:34:35 on the back of the Jedi mind trick they're about to perform on the most inefficient, most disruptible industry in the world right now, and that is the $3.5 trillion healthcare industry. Because when Amazon all of a sudden, when you show up and you have an Amazon show and it says, hey, and 80% of wealthy households have an Amazon Alexa device, and it says, would you like to hear more about, would you like to lower your healthcare costs by 50%?
Starting point is 00:35:00 And Amazon says, hey, we've identified you. They're going to sell us everything. A hundred percent. Yep. And Amazon says, hey, we've identified you. They're going to sell us everything. 100%. But all they need to do is threaten, just threaten to sell you healthcare. And the incredibly inefficient insurance industry where 45% of costs are around administrative costs, not the actual delivery of healthcare, is about to get taken to the woodshed, Cara. I would agree with you on this. So predictions, Tesla way down and Amazon way up on the backs of health care. Big health.
Starting point is 00:35:31 It's coming. Anyway, Scott, as usual, we will talk next week. There's so much. I have a lot going on next week here in D.C. I have many famous politicians to see. Who's rubbing your feet? No one's rubbing my feet. I'm just going to be.
Starting point is 00:35:44 I have a lot i've got i got an event new york where oprah will be is going on right after me which i'm very excited about and i'm interviewing uh some uh some people about facebook's platform and the difficulties of it some really amazing people as you'll see i cannot see um and uh and then i am going to be going to a very big political event where I will be interviewing a very big politician. Well, it's small. If that didn't sound so incredibly boring, I'd ask you who. It's going to be Nancy Pelosi.
Starting point is 00:36:15 Anyway, you managed to get out of this week without getting fired. It's great. Good for you. Well played, Scott. There's hopes for next week. Anyway, Rebecca Sinan is produces his show nishad kerwa is the executive producer thanks also to eric johnson thanks for listening to
Starting point is 00:36:31 pivot from vox media we'll be back next week with more of a breakdown of all things tech and business if you like what you heard please subscribe rate and review pivot on apple podcast like me more scott less that's fine if you have to do that. Please do. Alright, easy. Easy, thanks. Do you feel like your leads never lead anywhere? And you're making content that no one sees and it takes forever to build a campaign? Well, that's why we built HubSpot. It's an AI-powered customer platform
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