Pivot - Linda Yaccarino Steps Down, Grok's Rant, and Tariffs Galore
Episode Date: July 11, 2025Kara and Scott discuss Linda Yaccarino's exit from X, the major problems with xAI's chatbot Grok, and President Trump’s continued tariff chaos. Plus, trouble at Tesla, a big shake-up at Apple, and S...hein's IPO filing in Hong Kong. Watch this episode on the Pivot YouTube channel. Follow us on Instagram and Threads at @pivotpodcastofficial. Follow us on Bluesky at @pivotpod.bsky.social. Follow us on TikTok at @pivotpodcast. Send us your questions by calling us at 855-51-PIVOT, or at nymag.com/pivot. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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Hi, everyone. This is Pivot from New York Magazine and the Vox Media Podcast Network.
I'm Kara Swisher.
And I'm Scott Galloway.
What are you drinking there?
What are you drinking?
I got a grapefruit juice and I got a latte.
Oh, nice.
And I'm here.
In Los Angeles.
Yeah, I'm here at my second home, the Beverly Hills Hotel, where they greet me.
They're like, hello, Mr. Galloway.
It's so good to have you back.
Oh, yeah.
That's their job.
It's called hospitality.
You do know that, right?
Yeah, it's called $1,400 a night for people to be nice to you.
But then I go down, went down to the Polo Lounge right now,
made eye contact with a woman from Ukraine.
Oh, great.
Yeah, hello.
And boy did she find me charming.
Oh my God, she found me charming.
Listen to me, do you see any famous people in the Polo Ranch?
It was pretty quiet last night.
I actually ate outside. It was beautiful.
I always run into Ted Sarandos there.
Really? I love Ted Sarandos.
Yeah, he's always there making deals.
That's when I was there.
The seldom times I was there.
I went with the Tinder guys once there.
You know who I run into here?
It feels like WME agents are crawling the halls
to try and find deals, wondering if like a new mini series
is gonna spill out of a room here or something.
I ran into a guy, an agent named Sam in the elevator.
Oh, I'm Sam, this lovely young man.
All these like super, he's like,
hi, I'm Sam Rabinowitz.
And before he even said, I'm an agent at WME
and love your work, I knew he was an agent from WME
and loves my work.
WME, it's like their second,
I think they've decided to go remote
and they just work out of the lobby here.
Lobby, that's a great idea.
I'm actually in New York.
I took a very early morning train.
So are you in my house?
I'm not, in fact, I didn't.
I was trying to be nice,
but I have to stay in Brooklyn this weekend
because I'm doing more secret filming.
Oh God, here we go. How to live forever.
I'm getting a full body scan.
You've gone full, like, what is this?
You've gone full Sumner Redstone.
You've decided that you can beat life.
I have.
Yes, I'm here in New York doing a number of things
for my secret thing, and I would stay at your house,
but I stayed at your house.
I don't want to, like, you know, overstay my welcome.
By the way...
Oh, that train left the station a while ago, Kara.
I totally want to say.
That's hilarious.
I totally.
Amanda was-
Were you self-conscious about staying at my place?
Oh, I know, not at all, I'm gonna ask you.
Amanda bought glasses for your place,
actually, for the kids.
Totally.
That's how presumptuous we are.
Well, if they're not right now,
I don't want that shit in my house.
As you can tell, I'm very particular about my house.
If it's not Austrian glassware,
it does not belong in the house. I know, but let me just say, about my house. If it's not Austrian glassware,
it does not belong in the house.
I know, but let me just say,
we were going to hide it, you wouldn't have found it.
But I didn't let her keep it there.
I was like, we can't presume we can always stay there.
The Galloways are moving back possibly.
Wait, I'm sorry. She didn't buy me glassware,
she bought her own glassware.
It's just like she bought her own.
I show up and you guys have your own toiletries there,
and you're like a girlfriend moving in.
There's a drawer with your stuff.
We use your toiletries.
Let's be clear, I go into your things and use your toiletries.
But the thing is you have such a nice stuff.
We were scared the kids are gonna break it.
So we bought a plastic version for the kids
so they could drink water and stuff like that.
Anyway, we love staying at the Galleries
and we're excited to stay there when you move back.
That's when we're really gonna move in.
It's gonna be great.
We're gonna all like cuddle up.
Anyway, we've got a lot to get to today, including Trump's latest
tear of chaos and a major shakeup at Apple.
But first, Scott, it's the day we knew was coming for quite some time.
Linda Yakarino is stepping down as CEO of X after two years in the job.
Yakarino announced her departure in a post on X, thanking Elon
calling the job an opportunity
of a lifetime, and he responded cold.
Thank you for your contributions.
Yeah, yeah, clearly they're very warm.
They're clearly very close.
Yeah, it was like love, love all around.
Yeah.
Let me just say, that was cold.
Like, when we break up, can you write me
thank you for your contributions, Just because. Thank you.
Yeah, no, that's, yeah.
Thank you for your contributions. Anyway, she did not provide a reason for her departure,
although we have speculated, especially when X and AI merged. The decision was probably
months in the making. Of course it was. She was effectively demoted back in March, thanks
to X's merge with XAI. And you and I talked about this, that she was layered, essentially,
and that she was a CEO name only to start about this, that she was layered, essentially, and that she was
a CEO name only to start with.
Now she really was layered and she probably was getting layered further.
Current and former employees told the Wall Street Journal, Yakarina's position was tenuous
after clashes with management.
He brought in someone from Tubi, which is interesting to be the CFO of XAI, I think,
and again, layering, layering, layering.
And this is a woman who really wanted to be CEO.
Of course, she picked the wrong person to do that with.
Her exit comes amid major problems with XAI's chatbot Grok this week.
The bot was spewing anti-Semitic rhetoric, recommending a second Holocaust and calling
itself MechaHitler.
I don't know where that came from.
I guess mechanized Hitler?
I don't know.
So she's really leaving on a high note.
By the way, threads is about to catch up with X also.
And what else? Probably she didn't want to get in the middle of the beef between.
She can't use lawsuits and threats of Trump retribution anymore
since Elon's not friends with him anymore.
I can't wait to hear what you think,
but let's first listen back to what we had to say about Linda last July. Like, Linda, what are you doing?
You're not running a company.
You're running a, like, he's just using it for a political cudgel.
That's it.
That's it.
That's all that's happening.
She's the circus clown following around an elephant scooping up his shit.
She's constantly, she's basically the most overpaid apologist in history other than someone
being in the Trump cabinet. I don't know what she's doing there. It's just I don't really care because I don't really care for her, but it's it's embarrassing
It's an embarrassing way to spend your life. If you want if you're a real ad person, which you used to be
Get a job at a real company
So she's took an eye advice I guess but in any case
What do you think about what's happening here?
And obviously the ad market is going to fall off drastically for this company because of
the safety issues, for one, Nazis. It's now just not Nazi adjacent, it's full Nazi. And also,
the numbers are declining and now advertisers probably don't feel the pressure anymore.
I doubt he'll bring in someone to replace her, I guess. I don't think he really cares for the business.
Talk about her ultimate legacy.
I think it's probably the same as you said, correct?
Look, it reflects, Linda moving on reflects,
the kindest thing you could say,
it reflects a shift in strategy as opposed to a failed strategy.
Elon Musk, people don't remember,
he offered $44 billion under what I assume was
a ketamine-induced mania and then did
everything he could to try and back out of the deal.
Basically, sued the company,
went all the way to the Delaware Chance Records saying,
I don't have to close on this deal when he realized he was
vastly overpaying for a subscale social media company.
The judge said, fuck you,
you got to close boss,
this still is a nation of laws.
The strategy was,
there were several pillars to the strategy.
One was to dramatically cut costs.
His most vision was I could have
a minimum viable product or a similar product
with dramatically less costs.
To his credit, he shocked everyone and was right.
He laid off 80 percent of the people.
The bottom line is I'm not sure you would know the product was much different
three or six months later.
So-
Except for the safety issues and sort of the crap.
But that was a strategic decision, not cost cutting.
The reality is, so let's talk a little bit about that.
Hate speech increased 50%,
transphobic slurs increased 260%,
homophobic tweets rose by 30%, racist tweets 42%, and engagement grew
70% for posts around hate speech, meaning this wasn't
a function of a lack of moderation or cost cutting,
it was a function of the fact that Elon Musk, in my view,
is racist and anti-Semitic.
And let me be clear, everyone dances around rich people.
I am calling Elon Musk anti-Semitic.
When you're accidentally making waves that look like Nazi
gestures, when you have decided that something our nation needs
to be focused on is the white genocide in South Africa.
And when there tends to be a preponderance of swastikas
appearing on your social media platform,
this creates a pattern.
These aren't mistakes.
So this quote unquote free speech strategy,
which was part of his strategy, was not free speech.
He was happy to regulate certain people.
It was a belief that, I don't know, quite frankly,
that the guy in my view is got something deeply
wrong with him and is very comfortable with normalizing hate speech.
That is racism.
And we keep, because he's so rich and he can land a rocket and scissors, we dance around
it and say, oh, he has Tourette's.
He's very disciplined about not saying outlandish provocative things about the
Chinese. He's very disciplined about not saying things about, you know, until recently, what were
very aggressive actions on the Trump administration. So this strategy of free speech was nothing but a
false flag. He also recognized, I think,
and the strategy, he said,
okay, this is an advertising platform,
so I'm going to bring in who is one of
the most respected people in the ad world.
Linda was that.
Yeah, tough customer,
but really well-respected.
Well, she was at NBC for people who didn't know.
People hugely respected her.
What this represents is one,
the strategy isn't working.
The entity that has benefited most from the acquisition of Twitter by Elon Musk is, in
fact, Metta.
Metta is about to blow past Twitter because Twitter basically created an opening for a
platform that was, quite frankly, had more adult management.
And also, Mark Zuckerberg, one of the most brilliant business minds of the last generation saw that if he turned his fire hose
of three billion users on
a microblogging platform called Threads,
he could take advantage of
the fact that people were looking for something.
Both of us are off of X.
Yeah. Actually, that is a pretty good experience.
I am on both Blue Sky and Threads.
I like Threads for certain things.
I like Blue Sky for certain things.
But it's the opening is what you're talking about, is that he, I would have stayed on Twitter had this not happened,
correct? You would have too, correct?
Yeah, you had a couple million users. I had half a million. We were generating a lot of Nissan ads
and we both, and we both liked the product and we both, we both eventually just got off of it. And
I think a lot of people feel that way. But what this represents, something more meta,
and you forwarded a really good article on this.
This represents a shift, and we should find that.
I've got it right here, actually.
I have it right here. Who is it?
It's Henry Innis.
He put this piece, let me just read one thing
that I was gonna read to you actually,
which I think was, you know, it's a great piece.
It's very long, you should read it. And he goes, X under the stewardship
of Musk appears to have chosen a second path. This isn't a retreat, it's a strategic repositioning.
It's a wager that the future of some social platforms lies not in renting out user attention
to the highest bidder, but in selling intelligence, utility, and commerce directly to the user.
This is a story of why the long-assumed marriage between social connection and advertising
revenue may be headed for a messy necessary divorce.
And another thing he said, which I think is also the monolithic concept of social media
splitting into two distinct business models driven by a simple brutal economic calculation.
The cost of guaranteeing brand safety in the age of AI is becoming prohibitively expensive.
This is forcing platforms to have a choice, either become a fortified walled garden for
advertisers or find a new way to exist entirely."
I thought that was well said.
That's an outstanding article,
and it convinced me that you asked what her legacy is.
This is essentially signals a pretty dramatic shift.
Elon Musk for his faults on a business side,
I think people just have to acknowledge,
he's a brilliant businessman and he has decided,
okay, this isn't working.
I'm going to use Twitter as a body bag
or as nutrition for an LLM,
that all the activity and all the information it produces
will be fed into an LLM,
which will offer vertical, I believe,
services such as your travel or dating
or figuring out subscription services.
He's gonna try and go AI and offer, you know,
customized, individualized premium content
that you pay for.
And answers and all kinds of things.
Because the number four,
the number five social media platform
that doesn't have the scale to pay for the tech stack
or the brand moderation and safety,
which is getting increasingly costly,
both economically and non-economically,
it's just not working.
Can I ask you something?
One of the things that she had talked about is like,
we made it into an everything app.
She didn't actually, it is not an everything app.
The second thing is he signaled this early on
with average. The first thing he did was get into a beef with advertisers when Yoel Roth
was still there and they had to have a meeting where he was nice to advertisers. And then
later in that famous New York Times interview with our favorite Canadian, Andrew Ross Sorkin,
he said to advertisers, go fuck yourselves. Remember that? And it was clearly something
was on something. And then insulted Bob Iger right there, who was sitting in the audience, if you remember
that.
Go fuck yourself to advertisers.
And then they conducted a legal war on advertisers.
So he never was going to be an advert.
He didn't want it to be.
He had no interest from the get, from the first beginning of this company, before Linda.
But Linda, Linda's a trivia question.
She's sort of unimportant in this.
She was nothing but a figurehead who was there to be a professional apologist and
hopefully renew some relationships on advertising.
The two big things here from an industry impact is that the reason that Meta had
what is probably the most seminal earnings quarter in history,
where they announced that their revenues were up 23%, while employment was down 20%,
leading to an explosion in earnings of 72%, is because I do think the entire corporate world in
tech looked at what Elon Musk had done and said, he laid off 80% of his staff
and maintained a minimum viable product.
And I think everyone started thinking,
maybe we don't, maybe we don't have to grow our employee base
while maintaining revenue growth.
I think that was the biggest impact that X has had
on the ecosystem in the last two to three years.
And then quite frankly, the guy does,
the guy can see around corners,
and this does potentially represent a shift
from an ad-based scale model of social media
to trying to use social media,
the data it produces, the tokens,
to come up with more AI-driven offerings.
I think those are the two kind of shifts.
Well, let me push back on that. It's also, you know, Grok, he talked about that, that it's a long way from being a commercial product.
That's one thing he didn't say. But he also had to take on the anti-Semitic thing where it was Mecca-Hitler, and it was really, and also had a very descriptive and very detailed way to rape someone.
Grok was too compliant to user prompts, too eager to please to be manipulated.
Essentially, he just rolled out Grok for the latest iteration.
The first, I guess the first ones were too woke.
This one was too Hitler.
And I haven't used Grok.
I don't use Grok that much.
It's certainly interlaced in everything in Twitter.
If you go over there, I was there.
I was like, Grok is everywhere.
So that should tell you everything.
That has nothing to do with discussions, right?
It's always there asking you if you want help with something.
So how do you push back, how do you do this if you're making a, you just set a minimally
viable product is not really what makes money, right?
You have to have a product that people like, they don't feel that they're going to be
assaulted all the time or in an unsafe environment for
people. So what does he do with this kind of thing? Or he just walks right through it, like,
ah, he was Hitler yesterday, now he's not Hitler, I guess.
Yeah, but you said this early on. Twitter was always the subscale platform that could never
kind of command the space it wanted to occupy. It had an amazing-
Not in advertising. It had an amazing- Not in advertising.
It had an amazing product that could just never figure out
a business model that scaled like the rest.
And he was unable to figure that out.
But I'll go back to my original insult of Mr. Musk.
And that is, of all the social media platforms,
of all the individuals who are icons of technology,
if I asked you, Kara, there's a product
that is calling for a second Holocaust.
Who would you say is most likely the person
in charge of that product?
Elon Musk.
And then you have to say, okay.
Second is Mark Zuckerberg, yeah, go ahead.
And then you have to say,
well, is that of a function of his embrace of free speech
or is it a tolerance and a normalization
of the type of hate speech that can take us
to very dark places?
And I'm kind of like, we just make all of the,
and where do we go?
I don't want an individual in the business community
who does not want to put in the safeguards such
that a quarter of a billion people,
such that we start normalizing the idea
of a second Holocaust.
I have no desire to pay taxes that subsidize his products
if he can't figure out a way to not have his products
recommend a second Holocaust.
I don't think that's a very high bar for someone.
No, it's not, but this is typical of him.
This is typical, you know, away from what it is.
But typical is a scary word.
No, it is. But like, when he did the cars,
he's always in the minimum viable safety.
Everything he does is minimum viable safety, right?
And so if the rocket blows up, what of it?
If the car doesn't...
I think it's more than that.
But it's the same pattern.
It's the same idea, I think, that he does things.
And so in this case, it's the same pattern, it's the same idea, I think, that he does things.
And so in this case, it's just, it's speech, but it's moved, it had to get to Hitler, right?
And, you know, he's always pushing back on this Hitler thing,
and then he just shows up with Hitler, right?
Yeah, and here's my wave that looks like a Nazi salute,
and if you heard of the white genocide in South Africa? His ability, I mean,
just trying to be a critical thinker,
his most valuable company I think is going to be SpaceX,
and his willingness to take enormous risks.
The core competence of SpaceX is explosions.
That is, NASA can't send up rockets that explode 15 seconds.
Musk can and say,
this is part of innovation is we have to hit the outer
ring of innovation and risk to make huge progress.
That is to a certain extent, there's a, there's a real
genius in that.
And the reason, and SpaceX is going to be worth more
than Tesla.
So maybe now that, well, we'll get to the, you know,
the head of NASA is going to be one of his enemies,
Sean Duffy, who's totally incompetent by the way.
They, Trump just named the transportation secretary who's incompetent.
Yeah, the interim head of it.
Yeah.
But listen, just, just, just to put a bow on it, Linda's a trivia question.
She'll go back to selling ads for con.
I hope when she first signed up for this, when she signed up for this,
we said the following.
I said, I hope she has, I hope her lawyers spent a dramatic amount of time talking about termination,
or termination, what for cause meant, what happened when she's terminated, because she
was fired here. You can call it constructive termination when you're just consistently
layered. That's constructive termination. CEOs will put in clauses that say,
if my reporting relationship differs
and you put me in the corner and chain me to a desk
and tell me I'm now in charge of snacks and not the CEO,
that is constructive termination.
Because we said there's just no way she's going to survive here.
People don't survive around this guy.
Yeah, she'll go back to like a paramount, makes sense.
She's close with Jeff Shell, who's going to be now that they deal with her.
And she's a global brand now. Everybody knows who she is.
She has huge relationships.
She's got a lot of making up to do.
She's still there.
If you talk to ad people, they really, at Con,
they were like, I was surprised by the level of vitriol
towards her.
I was like, whatever.
She's, you know, I was nicer than they were.
But I should, of course they're advertising people.
So she has a big job though.
As long as she joins Paramount Plus and tells everybody
a party at Cannes that has Kygo and all is forgiven.
I mean, that's the bottom line.
Well, go ahead.
But X under his ownership did ignite a dramatic shift
in the entire technology ecosystem,
where people woke up and said,
wow, can we have the great taste of fewer employees,
right, without the calories of reduced growth?
He questioned, he showed up to Twitter and said,
I think I can do what you're doing almost as well
on one fifth of the calories, on one fifth of the people.
And two, this shift is a shift.
Zuckerberg and everyone I believe now is saying,
okay, the age of social media getting 98% of its revenues
as Snap, X and Meta do right now is shifting.
It's gonna move towards sort of a little bit,
the model to a certain extent is the YouTube model.
And that is they still have scale,
they still get a lot of money for advertising,
but they also get a lot of money.
And the fastest growing part of their business
is the subscription side,
where they say we can serve you up
just a really great product using AI
and using data that you start to pay for.
By the way, have you noticed how many ads
are on YouTube now?
They really are.
But let me say, they have to,
here's what they have to do there.
They've got to make a great product. That's the issue.
We'll see if he can in media.
I think he's very talented in other things.
Media is not one of them.
Speaking of which, just two things.
At SpaceX, they're planning to raise money and sell
insider shares in a deal that would
value around 400 billion already.
This would mark the highest ever valuation for
privately held US companies surpassing
SpaceX own record of $350 billion that last year.
Presumably there's going to be an IPO, but I've got to tell you, there's going to be
some rough going there, especially with his relationships, as long as Trump's in office
and Sean Duffy's in charge of NASA and areas where, and also he doesn't get to, out of
the Oval Office, get to shake down countries into taking Starlink, even if it's the best
product that was happening there.
So Tesla, on the other hand, is really problematic for him.
Shares dropping nearly 7% after Elon announced this new America party.
It's not rebounding.
He's also focused on the Epstein.
The focus is out once again.
This board of directors, which we know is not really a board.
But-
Did you see his tweet about Bannon?
Yes, Bannon. Yes, he's pointing the finger at Bannon.
I'm waiting for him to say,
Scott Galloway is in the Epstein-Faust.
Tesla stocks down 14 percent since early June,
and it's down 40 percent from their December peak.
He got into a fight with Dan Ives,
who I think has been a long time Tesla bull,
far too long, says the company is at a tipping point.
He has a price target on Tesla, 500 bucks,
and he's insulting that guy.
I know, but he's urging the board to set boundaries
for Elon in both time at Tesla and his political activities.
Elon responded to those suggestions on next saying,
shut up, Dan.
He's so nice to his fans.
It's not just political activities.
Vehicle deliveries obviously fell. Bannon is in the Epsteinstein files with the tweet he put out to a quarter of a billion
people.
I know.
But let's just go product by product. X is definitely, they've given away the
microblogging business to Mark Zuckerberg. So that means the product is severely
diminished. The Tesla product is at best sideways. A lot of people would say it
needs, you use the word fresh or a freshening.
I still think it's a great car.
He absolutely ignited the EV race.
He deserves a lot of credit for that.
SpaceX on the plane yesterday I took from Spain,
the Starlink product is incredible.
I did a podcast for my plane yesterday
and quite frankly, it was near the same.
Can we do that?
Can we fly around and do, okay, okay.
What he has pulled off with Starlink
is nothing short of remarkable.
But great product as opposed to X. X is not a great product.
Oh yeah, no, X is falling off a cliff in terms of-
Same thing with Tesla in a lot of ways.
No new products and what we get is a cyber drug.
So it's a mixed bag, Scott.
What's happened with Tesla is quite frankly,
he made a mistake.
Everyone wants the great taste of
lower manufacturing costs in China.
Apple did it and gave rise to Xiaomi
and a bunch of other tech companies.
Tesla, quite frankly, probably had a lot of its IP stolen
that ended up at BYD.
BYD has innovated on it.
And quite frankly, BYD is now offering a Tesla product
that is equivalent, maybe even better for half the price.
We have given away anyways,
and then these ridiculous tariffs and all this shit.
Essentially China has essentially usurped global leadership
in the automobile industry
because of poor public policy internally.
And two, I do think they have taken a lot of IP
from Tesla and
have scaled it.
Yeah, yeah, he let it happen, right?
He let it happen.
He could have done something to prevent that.
In any case, Tesla's in a much more precarious place, I think we both agree.
He's got to get back interested in it.
He doesn't seem interested in it.
And when he seems interested in it, it doesn't sell to consumers.
Saying that Bannon is in the Epstein files.
Yeah, and Bannon's in the... I mean, literally, literally, Kara't sell to consumers. He's saying that Bannon is in the Epstein files.
Yeah, and Bannon says.
I mean, literally, literally, Kara, it's as if he's on drugs.
Anyway, we'll see.
It's as if he's on drugs.
Linda, we wish you well. Give us a call.
Actually, do we want her to call us?
Yes, we do. Yes. Give us a call.
You should interview Linda.
You think I haven't already contacted?
What are you talking about? She won't do it.
Linda, come on. Come on. We'll have fun.
Linda.
You can yell at me.
Come on, Linda.
Come on in the water's fine.
Linda.
We will have fun.
You can yell at me all you want.
You can scream at me.
You can call me the C word.
I don't care.
Just come on, we'll talk about it.
By the way, all those celebrity deals she did,
you remember, and she was announcing.
Don Lemon.
How long was he there?
Five minutes.
Like 72.
No, but there's others.
They announced the Serena Williams thing at Cannes.
Just two weeks ago, she was announcing that.
I'm sorry, Serena.
Looks like you're shit out a lot.
If you're going to call Cannes,
Cannes, I'm going to say it's Serena Williams.
In France, underpants.
That's right. They did a deal with Serena Williams.
Yes. I mean, seriously.
It's like, anyway, let's like, you know, anyway,
let's go on a quick break. We come back. Tariff's galore.
You're going to get to tariffs.
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Scott, we're back for a quick rundown of latest news on terrorists. It was just exhausting.
And he was supposed to do 90 deals in 90 days.
90 deals in 90 days.
Since we spoke, President Trump has though sent a letter to over 20 countries,
including mostly countries that aren't really high on our list and in some cases we have surpluses with.
He announced terrorist rates between 20 and 40 percent.
I think like the Maldives or something.
Like there's countries, Moldova I think was in there, but anyway.
Moldova.
Moldova.
Those rates must be adjusted.
That's where Khan is.
Khan, shut up.
Khan, fine, I'll give in if you'll shut the fuck up.
The rates may be adjusted according to each country's relationship with the US threatened
50% tariffs against Brazil, suggesting the decision was partly in response, not partly
in response to the prosecution of former president Bolsonaro for his alleged role in the plot
to overturn the 2022 election there.
It feels like maybe he's trying to help a friend, a similar friend.
He announced a new 50% tariff on all imported copper and threatened to impose up to 200%
tariffs on imported pharmaceutical products.
Markets have stayed relaxed at the news.
They're just ignoring him, partly in part because President Trump labeled his August
1st deadline as a firm, but not 100% firm. Taco, taco, Trump always chickens out, is actually maybe working in his favor.
He gets to continue with this nonsense and not worrying about the markets, because nobody
believes he's going to do anything, because he doesn't do anything.
The Brazil one is just beyond, and they just sit and wait him out.
They're not rushing to make deals, obviously.
The Brazil thing, we are in a trade surplus with Brazil.
It's so ridiculous.
And at the same time, in our own labor markets,
they're telling Medicaid recipients to go work on a farm, I guess.
Yeah, that's going to happen.
I don't even know.
That poor, I feel bad for them.
Well, you have cerebral palsy, we know.
Pick crops, pick almonds.
Like the whole thing is insane,
just the way they're talking about it.
Like, oh, we're gonna replace them with med-
Like, the fact that they merged Medicaid and farm workers,
I just don't even understand.
They must sit there in a room and go,
yeah, yeah, let's get the Medicaid workers.
Anyway, tariffs, go for it, Scott, tariffs.
We are living in such a simulation of idiocracy
that it just wouldn't shock me
if I see a headline that Linda
Iaccarino is the new secretary of commerce.
I mean, you use the correct term with Brazil.
We have a trade surplus with Brazil.
Explain what that means for the people.
Thank you, Scott.
Meaning, first off,
they buy more of our shit,
then we buy of theirs.
So if they do what they're going to do,
and that is they'll say, okay, 50% tariff on Nvidia chips
and on F-150s, then we're gonna reciprocate.
Or I'm sorry, if you wanna charge us
for whatever our Embraer planes
or our bananas or whatever Brazil imports in,
other than like, can you tax supermodels?
Jesus Christ, have you been to the south of Brazil, Kara?
I go surfing every year in Floripa
and it's not for the waves.
It's not for the waves.
The Argentinians and Brazilians are handsome people.
It's a handsome group of people.
Oh my God, scorching hot.
The dudes, the women, hello.
That's an export we should pay for.
You know, it's like the world center
for like plastic surgery anyway.
Sorry, go ahead.
Anyway, so they will reciprocate.
They will have reciprocal tariffs,
which means we'll be more fucked than them.
And this is what this guy can't get his head around
in terms of basic math.
Let's talk about, and I'll weave in another story here.
Nvidia became the most valuable,
the first company in history
to hit a $4 trillion market cap.
Let's take Mercedes.
I think Mercedes is an incredible company
with incredible products.
Amazing brand, amazing manufacturing,
amazing value proposition marketing products.
manufacturing, amazing value proposition marketing products.
You sell $100,000 Mercedes and bring it into the US. They have an operating margin of about 9%.
So they get about $9,000 to the bottom line.
Nvidia, Mercedes buys trying to figure out a way
to have AI or autonomous driving, whatever.
They buy $100,000 in Nvidia chips.
Nvidia has approximately, what do they have?
They have 60% operating margin.
So they get 60,000 to the bottom line
when Germany buys $100,000 of American technology products,
or Nvidia does, they get, let's call it 10,000.
Nvidia trades at a PE of like 33.
So that $60,000 ends up being approximately $1.9 million
in shareholder value.
Mercedes, when we buy $100,000 of their product,
gets at a PE of say eight,
gets about $80,000 in shareholder value.
And that in a nutshell explains what has happened to America embracing global trade.
We not only trade more,
we get much greater shareholder value because the products we tend to export
in other countries' purchase are much higher margin that then have this chaser effect of a higher multiple, making Americans, making employees, investors,
housing prices, new hires out of school.
It's a chaser effect.
Global trade is like champagne,
then we speed ball it with cocaine
for a fantastic high in America.
And this guy wants to go...
Every reduction in trade hurts us more.
Every increase in trade from free trade agreements
benefits us more than the other party.
Well, one of the things, there are trade imbalances
and tricks and everything else that should be reformed.
That is one thing, which I think correctly,
like there are all kinds of things that need to happen in terms of giving advantage,
specifically with China, but all countries do that.
They play the games that they do,
and the US should address that.
But the way he's doing this,
and especially focusing on Bolson,
did you read that letter? It was insane.
Stop the trial in Brazil.
I was like, it's Brazil,
it's their business and that guy tried to take over
the government illegally with a military.
I mean, and he wasn't successful.
And the fact that, well, of course,
Trump would know a thing or two about that.
Brazil has a stronger democracy than us right now.
Right. I know. It's just crazy that he would demand another.
Can you imagine? You must stop the trial of,
I don't know, Diddy Combs or we're not going to do a deal.
It's just like nuts.
The other thing is, what's fascinating to me is how someone who I, what I, look, Howard
Lutton is as dumb as a box of hammers, but Basant seems very smart, but now because I
think he wants to be the head of the Fed, he's been sucking up to him and pretending,
pretending this is real and not plaguing.
It's really interesting. I'd love to actually understand
the dynamics when they're not talking to him,
when they're talking amongst themselves because
the whole Ukraine thing is another example where they,
Peketag says apparently stop the things and then Trump
restarted them or somehow got alerted to it.
And to his credit, Sean McCreech,
who writes mostly features for the New York Times,
asked, did you find out who did this stoppage
of weapons to Ukraine?
And he said, I don't know, maybe you can find out.
And he goes, well, doesn't that say something about you
that you don't know how it happened?
And he's like, I know everything.
And the whole thing was, that was a moment
where someone actually said what is happening here,
which is this man doesn't know what's going on.
I don't know how these people internally do this.
I mean, maybe you could explain, I don't know.
I can't believe this is going on.
The legacy of this terrafore war is that Trump's tariff war
has in fact inspired a massive amount of deal making.
But here's the issue, it's inspired deal making
amongst other countries.
The EU and Mercosur are talking, the EU and India,
Japan, South Korea and China are having trade talks
for the first time in a while.
Europe is having very serious talks
with countries in Brazil.
They've all said, let's use this as an excuse to figure out how we can just basically, I
mean, the way I would describe our trade talks right now is we're the drunk uncle shirtless
at a barbecue trying to show off his karate moves.
And the whole family has decided to get on a WhatsApp
and not invite this guy.
Let's be a family, let's talk to each other,
and just don't invite the crazy fucking uncle.
Yeah, at one point he had a lot of money.
At one point we thought we could count on him,
but he's gone bat shit crazy.
Why are the markets yawning?
Why are the markets just yawning?
Because, I mean, the reality is the US
is actually quite trade independent. We're actually quite self-sufficient. Why are the markets yawning? Why are the markets just yawning? Because, I mean, the reality is the US
is actually quite trade independent.
We're actually quite self-sufficient.
And that is other nations can hurt us,
but we're energy independent, we're food independent,
and also because of taco.
The market has said, I mean, literally,
when he announced these 25% tariffs
on Japan and South Korea saying, this
will force them to the table, the market said, okay, let's look at the actual threat.
They're excluding certain products because these guys don't have the balls to actually
come after our real products.
So the actual tariff rate was going to go from 15 to 16%.
And guess what?
The KOSPI or whatever it's called and the Nikkei were both both up that day. Because they said, if this is his biggest threat,
one, it's not gonna happen because he keeps extending
the deadlines.
This is literally, I'm leaving you this time, I mean it,
you know, 40 years into the marriage, right?
I've had it.
I'll be in my sister's, and what do you want for dinner
just in case I swing by the grocery store on the way home?
Nobody takes this guy seriously. The markets have basically said- And what do you want for dinner, just in case I swing by the grocery store on the way home?
Nobody takes this guy seriously.
The markets have basically said, the world is going to continue to churn on,
America will lose some business, American consumers will have some inflation that disproportionately hurts
lower and middle income people, but the Dow and the NASDAQ,
which should become a wealth index for the top 10%, they are just fine.
The markets are yawning.
Yeah.
And they, and they did get the tax break they wanted.
So that's, they're happy with that for sure.
When does it start to really hurt?
It doesn't, or doesn't it?
Doesn't it?
Because these farm workers thing just keeps me thinking is like hospitality
farm workers with doing these crazy raids that they're doing.
And by the way, there's new stories showing up that a lot of people inside ICE aren't
happy with their jobs because they're hated.
They think it's, they have the Trump people on their ass.
They don't think they're doing a good job.
They feel kind of sick to their stomach about what they're doing.
Some of them, they'll find brutal people that continue their behaviors.
But it's a really, I don't, when is it going to like crack or not necessarily?
I mean, the only thing that seems certain every time one of these deals goes down or something
else is that someone knows about them ahead of the deal. Like something happened with Brazil
futures or something and someone knew and made a ton of an investor. All these investors seem to be getting information
from the White House before things are announced
and make money in the interim.
But when does it crack?
When does it crack or maybe it doesn't?
I don't know.
When you say when does it crack, the tariffs?
No, when does it like count?
When does the economy start saying no?
Or it just doesn't, it just doesn't.
Could the economy stay? Well, the economy, saying no? Or it just doesn't, it just doesn't. Could the economy stay?
Well, the economy, it appears to grind on.
I think, unfortunately, a lot of these effects,
when you're talking about turning off the tap
of an inflow of the best and brightest
through kind of new age Gestapo's with Wi-Fi, ICE.
When you're talking about not letting in
the most talented young people in the world,
our PhD students, when you're talking about not letting in the most talented young people in the world, our PhD students, when you're talking about reducing funding
to universities that create everything from DARPA
to diabetes medication.
It's long term.
Yeah, that starts to haunt you,
but it's a poltergeist that kind of rises slowly.
So unfortunately, he's the mother of all deficits,
and that is the deficits right now,
it's champagne and cocaine with the tax cuts this year
because it will be similarative to the economy, but
then in 10, 20 years, our kids have to pay it back.
And he's doing exactly what the government is not supposed to do.
The government is supposed to be making hard decisions to create long-term prosperity and
emotional health for Americans.
And they're doing exactly the opposite.
They are planting landmines which will detonate 10, 20 years from now.
Long after he's gone, also too, which is amazing,
but the Trump family will go on.
All right, let's go on a quick break.
When we come back, we'll talk about the shakeup
at Apple and some other stuff.
It won't take long to tell you neutral's ingredients.
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On Small Ball, we'll be talking about breaking news, major trades, and all the exciting developments
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Which teams are tearing it down?
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Don't miss Small Ball with Kenny Beach, a new episode drops every Friday, available on YouTube and wherever you get your podcasts.
Scott, we're back with more news.
Apple's CEO, Jeff Williams, will retire from the company later this year.
The company says the movie isn't part of a long-planned succession.
Sabi Khan, Apple's VP of Operations, will take over the CEO role later this year.
While Williams continues to oversee design and health initiatives until retirement, Williams
first joined the company in 1998 and had a hand in introduction of the iPod and iPhone
and led the effort on the Apple Watch.
The CEO was seen as a potential successor, I think one of the top ones, along with Craig
Federici and John Turnis.
And there's an outside chance there's a woman candidate,
Deirdre O'Brien, who's been doing a lot of the jobs.
Tim Cook has been doing a very close associate of Cook.
And nobody really pays attention to that issue at Apple,
even though it's probably pending relatively soon.
And the next CEO is going to have their hands full with a
lot of challenges.
Tim has sort of ridden this high, high up, but they've got a lot of challenges coming up,
including in AI and elsewhere they just lost an AI head to Meta. Any thoughts on this?
I think, look, I think this is an incredible company.
The announcement I saw that I wanted to get your viewpoint on is they say they're going to shift their production of iPhones from China to India.
And they claim they could do it in like two years.
I'm like, that's going to take 10 or 15 years.
But to your specific point about succession planning,
Apple just has an incredible bench and really deep talent.
They don't have defections,
it's not a revolving door.
I think they are very good about,
I just think they have just an incredibly
deep talent pool. And I would imagine, you know, people go to, they have a pipeline of
incredible human capital. And also Tim Cook, Tim Cook strikes me as the kind of CEO, kind
of the first tell of a CEO from a board member, in my view, is a good public company's demand
that once a year they spend some time on succession planning.
And if the CEO is obviously spending time
trying to figure out how to mature,
hold on and compensate and put in front of the board
at least two or three people that could take
They could slip into his or her shoes if they're not doing that that means
They're like many CEOs you can understand self-absorbed a narcissist and not thinking about shareholder value
Really good CEOs. I mean the CEO I remember the first thing
I thought the CEO at the New York Times and I was on the board there, I'm like, she's not a good CEO, she's not,
she's shooting everyone that gets close to the iron ring.
She's not maturing successor.
And really good CEOs make an effort to bring in other people
and give them exposure to the board,
such that there are like five, I bet at Apple,
there are literally five or six people
that could do a reasonable job of being the CEO
of that company right now.
Let me go through them.
Hardware engineering chief, John, I think it's Charnas.
He's a younger guy, it's apparently very dynamic.
I've never met him actually,
but he's moved up pretty quickly.
Obviously Craig Federici has been around forever
and very competent and you see him at a lot of the events.
He's the head of software engineering. He's done a lot of jobs.
This Deirdre O'Brien has run retail,
she's done all kinds of things and
a lot of logistical stuff that Cook did.
She has the most similar pattern to Cook.
What was interesting about Jobs is nobody thought
that it was Cook that was going to get it,
and Jobs was a very good CEO and was also bringing people along.
There was another more flashy person they thought might get it,
but Jobs, anointed Cook,
which I think has turned out to be one of the best decisions,
speaking of which from a CEO's point of view.
He really set it on a course of real explosion and value and everything else.
So there's a lot and then there's many others.
One of the things that struck me when I was looking at this list
is among the people on there. Now, a of them are older but not all of them are.
Is that everyone on that list when people were, when Walt retired, the Apple who had been,
who had covered a lot, gave a little, his last Apple event, gave him a little cocktail party.
All those same people were there. Like I just like, like, oh, look. And I went, and I didn't really mix with Apple executives that much.
I mean, I know them.
But even among the ones that aren't on the top, they're all really competent.
Eddie Kew, et cetera, et cetera.
So, yeah, you're right.
It's a very no-drama kind of group of people.
So, we'll see.
I don't know.
What do they need to focus in on?
The next Apple CEO.
If you had to pick one critical thing going forward,
say Tim retired tomorrow, what's the biggest,
I guess AI would be my choice.
That's a really interesting question.
I think you invest in your opportunities,
and I've always thought Tim sort of, he'll be remembered,
I think, as a guy who was able to take the innovation
and the marketing genius of Steve Jobs.
And what he did was, so Steve Jobs kind of branded
or set or lionized or canonized the great marketing age.
He was just such a showman, right?
And also the decision to take $6 million out of advertising
and create 550 temples to the brand
called Apple stores and go vertical.
That was, in my opinion,
that was almost the same level of genius as the iPhone,
because other people had as good iPhone.
No one has Apple stores.
There's just no, what distribution and tech?
Microsoft, do you want to go hang out at a Microsoft store?
Let me tell you, people laughed at jobs back then,
if you remember. Do you remember that?
People don't, although it was a big opening,
I was there actually, but people laughed at him for doing it.
They're incredible. It really is going vertical.
He revolutionized technology and what it meant to spend money on
marketing by controlling your distribution.
You go buy an Android phone,
you walk into a place with bad carpeting and a guy living in
his parents' basement with a name tag and you think,
Jesus Christ, and then you go into an Apple store and you're like,
do they serve lattes here?
Because I'd like to take a date here.
I mean, think about those places, right?
So he kind of marked the branding age.
Really Tim Cook marked the supply chain age.
And that is he built the most complicated,
robust supply chain in the world and basically said,
I can give you what would have cost you a million dollars
10 or 15 years ago, I can produce it for a thousand bucks
using the most complex, robust supply chain,
mostly out of China that brings together 1600 parts
and produces a million of these things a day.
With a downside, they trained up China, but go ahead.
Yeah, and also quite frankly became very subject
to sort of the political machinations of a fucking weirdo with his head up his ass called the President.
So the question is, when they think of the next CEO,
I don't think it's going to be a branding person, I don't think it's going to be a CMO.
Is it going to be someone who tries to take them into the AI future?
Or do they say we're still a hardware company and it's about supply chain?
I don't know. What do you think?
I don't know. I think they're all qualified. They're different.
I think they have to. if I had to guess,
this hardware engineering chief, he's younger.
I think they need to go younger.
And I know it sounds dumb, but these guys,
like I think the world of someone like Fred Federici,
but he's almost too old, right?
You know, you just saw a departure from Amazon too,
of someone who'd been there 17 years.
I mean, at some point,
Apple reminds me of like the Rolling Stones.
They still can really do a really good concert,
but at some point you're like, okay, it's enough.
At some point you're J.Lo?
Yeah, exactly. Like stop.
It's okay. It's kudos to you.
I think about that a lot because
we don't think about leaving right now, but at some point it's like, I've done enough,
now everything else is great.
And I think this group of people is like that.
I think probably how to deal with AI
and more software and services is where I would focus.
Typically the person who gets the CEO role
is not the best person, it's the person who happened
to oversee the unit that at that moment
is growing the fastest.
And that's not to say like Andy Jassy is, in my sense, a very competent person,
but you just knew the head of AWS was gonna be the new head of Amazon.
Yes, absolutely. Yeah.
So I remember when I was at Levi Straus and co. and talking to the CEO then about succession planning when I was a consultant there.
And I'm like, well, I know who the next CEO is. I'm like, which region is growing the fastest?
That'll be your next CEO.
So if you looked at which part of Apple,
whether it's their services unit,
I don't know, their lab, whatever it is,
maybe the person in charge of the iPhone,
they will, the person who's usually the CEO
is the person who is lucky enough.
And also the fact that they're appointed
to the most important region or group in the company
says they're very good the most important region or group in the company
says they're very good.
But it's easy, I mean, I'm going way back to my,
in the 90s when I was consulting Levi's Strassen company,
when you were the head of Levi's in Europe,
and you got to charge $140 for a pair of 501s in Germany
that you were only getting 30 bucks for in the US,
it was really easy to look really fucking smart.
Yeah, true.
So which group at Apple is growing the fastest?
That's what I'd want to know.
Probably software and services software.
That would be Craig Federici.
I mean, it wouldn't be the new era.
That's all I'm saying. Again,
totally competent and probably do a great job.
Anyway, we'll move on. One last thing.
Shien, one of your favorite companies,
has confidentially filed an IPO in Hong Kong 18
months after filing to go public on the London Stock Exchange.
The company has struggled to receive regulatory approval in London and is attempting to put
pressure on the UK.
The company has been pushing back against UK regulators who want more transparency about
its labor practices in China, which is no surprise. Xi'an was valued at $100 billion in 2022, but that dropped to $66 billion in 2023.
Any predictions?
I'd love to hear what you think.
I know you think the world of this, well, a lot of people don't, by the way, this sort
of fashion thing, et cetera.
But what should happen here?
What do you imagine?
Let's just go public in Hong Kong, correct?
I mean, that would be my guess.
What this reflects is the following.
200 companies have filed for an IPO this year.
The bottom line is the Hong Kong market is on fire.
The London IPO market with the loss of this IPO.
I mean, I love, I really have, I'm starting to get sentimental about the UK
because I've been there three years.
I'm going to move back to the US.
And I love been there three years, I'm gonna move back to the US. And I love it there.
And they have all of the underpinnings of an economy
that should be booming.
Great intellectual property, an incredible culture
that attracts some of the best and brightest in capital.
Really, really aggressive, smart people.
They can't get out of their own damn way.
And for them to have,
Shina will probably be one of the biggest IPOs of the year.
They should have done anything they could to try and breathe new life into their IPO market.
Because as of now, the LSE or whatever it is, is basically done.
It's out of business.
The UK might as well close shop in terms of IPOs.
And what's interesting is actually,
the London exchange would say it wasn't our fault,
they couldn't get Chinese approval.
But anyways, that's another talk show.
Meanwhile, while you were sleeping,
the Hong Kong market is on fire.
And so, Shien is just going to where the money is.
They're going to where they can, A,
have the most seamless path.
Right, without being asked too many questions,
too many thorny questions.
Sure, and so one, they deserve to have scrutiny,
fast fashion raises a lot of very troubling questions.
But two, what Shein would say is,
okay, now do Nike, now do Apple.
And a lot of the people pushing back on this company
are people, are organizations sponsored
by incumbent retailers
who would rather just keep selling you cashmere sweaters
for $200 versus 40.
So, but I do think they're gonna get out in Hong Kong,
but they're just going to where there's,
where it's a seamless route to an IPO
and the Hong Kong market, who would have guessed it,
is on fire right now.
Yeah, well, that's interesting.
You're sad about me in London.
How cute, how cute.
It is true.
When I go to London, I think, look at all this creativity.
Why isn't it more dynamic?
Like, you know what I mean?
70% of the companies have gone public in the last 10 years
or below their offering price.
I know.
It's really fascinating to me.
Anyway.
Name an important tech company in the UK.
You can't.
I have had this debate with people in England a lot.
I told you this years ago. Reid Hoffman and I did a debate there, and I think it was at
Cambridge, and we debated.
And Reid and I had to argue in the next, and this was 20 years ago at this point, in the
next five years, which country was going to have the most billion-dollar companies?
And Reid and I had to argue US, and the British people had to argue London.
We did a really good job,
but we lost because it was a British audience.
But I remember thinking,
there's no frigging way this group of
people is going to be able to be as dynamic.
At the time, we said, Google,
da-da-da-da-da, and I said,
and we were like, England?
Zero. There was one company, the, da, da. I said, and we were like, England? Zero. It was like there was one company,
the one, the guy who died in that sailing accident,
that guy, he had a company that got all messed up in controversy.
But there was one UK company that had dynamism and it was just interesting.
Anyway, I will be sad you're leaving there.
I didn't come and stay with you there.
I need to do that quickly.
Oh, trust me, you will. The house will be there. Well, I know, you'll stay with you there. I need to do that quickly. Oh, trust me, you will.
The house will be there.
I know, you'll be away all summer.
Pretty soon, you'll be on podcasts drinking tea,
like yelling at my dogs.
Your socks off.
Yeah, yeah, yeah, I will.
I'm gonna plan on it.
All right, Scott, one more quick break.
We'll be back for predictions. Okay, Scott, let's hear a prediction.
Actually, can I do one really quickly?
Of course.
Okay.
So, OpenAI is getting close to releasing an AI-powered web browser.
According to Reuters, the browser is slated to launch in the next few weeks and will be
competing with Chrome, giving OpenAI a way to access user data.
Perplexity just launched its AI-powered browser, Comet, this week.
I don't know who the winner of the browser wars could be, but I couldn't be more delighted
that there is now competition in this area.
Microsoft tried very hard.
Netscape was the original one.
It got ran over by Microsoft, which then got ran over by Google.
I'd love to see what the next generation of browsers brings.
Not that I use a browser that much anymore,
but it should be smarter.
It's so dumb when I use it.
I suspect OpenAI will have the most popular one given they're the most popular.
Everyone I talk to uses ChatGPT.
It is the Kleenex, it's the Google of the situation.
That doesn't mean it's going to last forever because I think
Cloud is considered better by many people,
Perplexity has interesting things.
But I'm really excited about this thing and I suspect
the winner will be OpenAI and not
Google because they haven't innovated enough on this.
And so the people with an interest in winning are the most innovative.
So I think that's interesting.
But I'll be quick.
These new tariff threats, 90 deals in 90 days,
it's going to be what I'm predicting is the mother of all Rabovans.
Remember when- What's that?
Well, the Rabovan was that ridiculous van and distraction when
Tesla had their quote unquote,
last autonomous vehicle launch.
They're like, oh shit, we have nothing here.
Let's drive up a big bus and say that we're launching a van
and let's have robot, let's create distractions.
You're about to see the Trump administration
go into panic mode when all of these countries
that they keep extending the deadline
and keep sending out threatening letters just say, sorry, boss,
we're not showing up.
We're not, you can get that and that's all you want.
You're going to see the most ridiculous jazz hands
in the next three weeks claiming victories.
First off, these two quote unquote trade deals
between the UK and Vietnam aren't even deals.
They're agreements to talk about a new deal.
And you're gonna see them start to announce
the most ridiculous hollow victories
to try and turn chicken shit into chicken salad,
put lipstick on a pig.
I mean, this is just, it is just so,
it is gonna start to get comical,
the shit they're gonna announce and pretend is a victory.
It's credible, it is an incredible thing.
It doesn't really work either.
That's what's interesting about it, does it?
Well, what they would never do is admit defeat
or just move on.
They're gonna say, okay, Paraguay has said that they're going to talk to us about a new tax credit
if Ford opens more dealerships here.
And they're like, okay, put out a press release
that we have a new deal with Paraguay.
You're gonna see the most ridiculous announcements
claiming victory in the next few weeks because-
Like Moldova is sending us a box of nuts.
It's gonna be great. I do have a number of friends who work in the next few weeks because. Like Moldova is sending us a box of nuts.
It's gonna be great.
I do have a number of friends who work in
the State Department or work in the equivalent
of the State Department in other countries.
And they're like, yeah, we're not doing anything.
We don't, we're not responding.
We're, you know, we're being polite
but we're not doing anything.
They're like, we don't wanna piss the guy off
but we're not, we're not coming to the table. Yeah, but it's so interesting. When is the point where they're like. We don't want to piss the guy off, but we're not coming to the table.
Yeah, but it's so interesting.
When is the point where they're like,
they don't care about pissing him off?
Because the lying is really one of my favorite lie.
Well, okay, I'm going to say,
I don't know what she's doing,
but Suzy Wiles gave this interview.
She doesn't usually come out behind the woodwork where she is
usually living at the White House where she runs things,
and was like, I don't know what happened
to Elon and how the falling out happened.
I'm like, there's a knife in your hand, honey.
It was really funny.
But they do manage to just prevaricate almost all the time.
It's really something and everyone knows they're doing it.
Anyway, hopefully it won't hurt the economy too much or people's livelihoods.
Anyway, those are really good predictions, Scott.
I think you're 100% right.
We want to hear from you.
Send us your questions about business tech or whatever's on your mind.
Go to nymag.com slash pivot to submit a question for the show or call 855-51-PIVOT.
Elsewhere in the Kara and Scott universe this week, on ProfG Conversations, Scott spoke
with Heather Cox-Richardson.
Fantastic for you to talk to her.
She's a historian and author of Letters from an American. Let's listen to a clip.
Heather Cox Richardson, Ph.D., Ph.D., Ph.D., Ph.D., Ph.D., Ph.D., Ph.D., Ph.D., Ph.D., Ph.D.,
Ph.D., Ph.D., Ph.D., Ph.D., Ph.D., Ph.D., Ph.D., Ph.D., Ph.D., Ph.D., Ph.D., Ph.D., Ph.D., Ph.D.,
But that idea that patriotism belongs to a certain party has turned out to be, you know,
really quite poisonous. And you see now the elevation of partisanship over our country,
even in things as recently as the budget reconciliation bill. So there is a
perversion of patriotism that we see going on around us, but reclaiming a broader patriotism
that shows an allegiance to the country rather than to a political party. We've done that
repeatedly in the past, and the answer to that is simply to return to the foundational principles
of the American democracy, the idea that we should be treated equally before the law, we have a right to a say in our government and we have a right to equal access to resources.
Yeah, good. She's great. Did you enjoy that?
It's funny, the emotion I felt, it was a really, in addition to her being so impressive,
it was a nice lesson for me because I was actually quite insecure during our conversation
because she kept putting questions back to me and it was quite humbling.
Cause what I recognize is that she gave me the
sense that this is important.
She helped me know how little I know about certain topics.
She has such deep domain expertise.
She is so forcefully yet dignified.
And I thought, you know, I really should be more
measured about some of the shit I speak about because
this is, this is what a real expert feels like.
And I asked her to talk about,
to equate a 30s Germany and what's going on there
to some of the attacks on democracy here.
And she said, you know, that's not my area of expertise.
And I remember thinking,
she has more knowledge about that
in her fucking finger than I have,
but she doesn't wanna talk about it
because she takes her role and her expertise and where she has expertise seriously enough to say
I don't know enough about that to comment on it. And I thought that is a good lesson for a lot of us.
Yes, it's true. It's true.
But she is really impressive.
She's a badass.
Oh my gosh.
You know, she lives in Maine. I think she's married to a lobsterman.
There's some like really interesting personal story that she told me, something like that.
So impressive, so humble.
I love an academic like that.
Yeah, really good.
I've always said that,
I work with one of the best faculties in the world,
half of them should be put on a fucking ice floe.
They're doing nothing but causing problems.
Well, focus on the ones that shouldn't be.
In a guild, in a union that translates to student debt.
Something positive.
30 or 40% of them are doing their job,
and a good 10% of academics are literally
some of the most impressive people you're ever gonna meet.
Outstanding. Okay.
And she's one of them.
Yeah, she is.
Okay, and you are too, Scott.
You're a very good teacher.
Go on.
So you're still...
I think students would really like to see you back in that room.
And when you go to New York, I think you should do a class. That's my opinion.
You're an excellent teacher.
That's what I'm saying.
Okay, that's the show.
Thanks for listening to Pivot.
And be sure to like and subscribe to our YouTube channel.
We'll be back next week.
Scott, read us out.
Today's show was produced by Lara Naiman, Zoe Marcus,
Taylor Gryven, and Kevin Oliver.
Ernie Intertotte engineered this episode.
Thanks also to Drew Burroughs, Mia Severio, and Dan Chalon.
Yushak Kruaz, Vox Media's executive producer of podcasts.
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Thanks for listening to Pivot from New York Magazine and Vox Media.
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We'll be back next week for another breakdown of all things tech and business.