Pivot - Meta Monopoly Verdict, Trump Signs the Epstein Bill, and Nvidia's Q3 Earnings

Episode Date: November 21, 2025

Kara and Scott discuss Nvidia’s latest earnings report, Meta’s major antitrust victory, and President Trump signing the bill to release the Epstein files. Then, Elon Musk makes a White House appea...rance, Trump defends Saudi Prince Mohammed Bin Salman, and the deadline for Warner Bros. Discovery bids arrives. Watch this episode on the ⁠⁠Pivot YouTube channel⁠⁠. Follow us on Instagram and Threads at ⁠⁠@pivotpodcastofficial⁠⁠. Follow us on Bluesky at ⁠⁠@pivotpod.bsky.social⁠⁠ Follow us on TikTok at ⁠⁠@pivotpodcast⁠⁠. Send us your questions by calling us at 855-51-PIVOT, or email pivot@voxmedia.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:02:15 Hi, everyone. This is Pivot from New York Magazine in the Vox Media Podcast Network. I'm Kara Swisher. And I'm Scott Galloway. How you doing, Scott? Are you rested and back in London? Yeah, I'm back in London. I wouldn't describe myself as rested, but I feel pretty good. How are you? Good. Very good, actually. I'm glad to be, uh, uh, I took one more trip to Las Vegas, but now I'm not. Are you shitting me? No, I'm not shitting you. Talk to me. You're in line, didn't you? Back from D.C. to Vegas? Yeah, but now I'm back. I'm back for until March. I'm not traveling until March, really, except for the holidays. Yeah. It doesn't count. It worries me how much you travel. Yes, I know. I know. I know. I know. Does I like that you
Starting point is 00:02:54 worry about me. Yeah. And what, what did you do in Vegas? Uh, just a speech. Just a speech. And I thought about going to the sphere, Scott, and I didn't do it. Oh, the Wizard of Oz supposed to be amazing. I know. I was just too tired. I think that's literally why mushroom chocolates were invented. I'm sorry, the Wizard of Oz in color at the sphere.
Starting point is 00:03:12 You've got to think half the people in that place are tripping on something. Yeah. You know, speaking of mushroom chocolates, oddly enough, someone gave one to me. And I, a year ago or more, and I found it the other day, and I threw it out. I threw it out. It doesn't last. So just to be serious for a second, as someone who occasionally indulges in, like, edibles, you know, you have to be really careful with kids around the house.
Starting point is 00:03:37 It's okay now that they're teens, but young kids see something that looks like candy. I don't know if you remember this, but in Aspen, all these people, when edibles first became a thing, were buying gummies, and they look like, you know, they look like candy. And a lot of the services staff was taking them home and their kids were eating, like, you know, for, you know, 50 milligrams of THC gummies. So sales of Doritos and viewership of South Park just skyrocketed. No, I got rid of that. That's precisely why I got rid of.
Starting point is 00:04:08 I was like, I just was cleaning out a drawer and I was like, oh, see, now is my time. Now that we're not traveling and there's a calmer period of time for me, I can now clean out drawers. That's what I do. I love to clean out a drawer. Yeah, you like to clean, right? I do. It's really very therapeutic for me. That's my form of therapy. It really is. I feel very, even though it's pointless. I like to drive up in a truck and yell at the help. That's my. That's my state. How's the weather there?
Starting point is 00:04:39 How do you think it is? Guess it's London. Gray. Gray. Gray. I don't think I could take that. And I don't mind gray weather. Well, you know why penises look like mushrooms. Oh my God. You mean Trump's penis, but go ahead. Why? Because they grow on fun guys, you know it, fungies? Oh. Like fungi, fungize? No, but they're not fun. They're mad because they have a mushroom-shaped penis, right? Can I ask you a question?
Starting point is 00:05:05 Sure. This is a penis question, a serious one. Which I have deep domain expertise. Well, you do compared to me. I've seen when my older sons were younger, I've seen him. I've seen my younger sons. I'm going to stop seeing it at some point, hopefully relatively soon. There was this, obviously, there's a story about Trump having it
Starting point is 00:05:22 Trump having a mushroom-shaped penis, which I don't understand because I've ever seen such a thing. And apparently, Jeffrey Epstein has a lemon-shaped, had a lemon-shaped one. There was a whole bunch of stories. Are there a lot of shaped penis, weird-shaped penises? I didn't think that was the case. I know. It's a real question. I was sort of curious.
Starting point is 00:05:42 Being neither a gay man nor a straight man, because straight men see other people's penises, right, in the gym, et cetera. Kara, while I'm not an expert on what penises look like, I am a nether. an expert on what they taste like. Hello, Daddy. Hello. I was curious. There's all these stories lately about these shapes, and I'm like, what?
Starting point is 00:06:01 I mean, it looks like a lemon. Like, I just, I'm very perplexed. I have to say. First off, I think a lot of that, quite frankly, is bullshit, and that is people who just hate, hate these people, and so they make. No, these were in court. These were in court. Oh, wait, Bill Clinton's mostly had one that bent to the last or something.
Starting point is 00:06:18 This was all in court. This was not like idle gossip. So I just, I've known. I noticed there recently in a lot of stories. I don't know why, but I just thought I'd ask. I have a legitimate thing instead of being in ignorance. Look, there's a reason why I tell men, when I coach men, I don't think a man should ever send, ever send out a picture of his junk.
Starting point is 00:06:39 I just think aesthetically a man's junk is just not that attractive. Whereas the female form is beautiful. The only thing I would say that I know about penises is that your nose, your penis and your ears are the only three things that are independent of the size of the rest of your body. So it's a bit of a dealer's choice when a man takes off his pants. You don't know. But you know what a woman says to a guy with a big dick. What? Me neither. Me neither. And you know why Mary Poppins stopped wearing lipstick while giving head. Oh, God. Apparently the super color fragile lipstick makes the dick's atrocious.
Starting point is 00:07:19 That's good. That's good. That's good. Finally. Kera hates yourself for laughing right now. No, that was a good one. Let me say that was a very good one. Finally, you finally told a good penis joke.
Starting point is 00:07:33 I actually was just noticing this. Let me move on to something much more interesting. I went to, I did do something. I went to Amanda and the kids and I went to the premiere of Wicked for Good in New York. And it was cool. It was nice? You're trying to get on this. Oh, my God.
Starting point is 00:07:48 I just have one more, Kara. What? Okay. Okay. So I'm not sure. I'd try to move on here, but go ahead. I'm not sure that my girlfriend has a dick, but something inside of me is telling me yes. Oh, my God.
Starting point is 00:08:03 Okay. All right. That wasn't, you know, we should stop with super califragilistic. I could do this all night. No, let's not. Let's not. But I'm serious. I'm trying to change it.
Starting point is 00:08:12 Wicked for Good was amazing, I have to say. It's a play? It's a movie. sequel. It's like going to be an enormous thing. God, there's a sequel now? Yes. Make them stop. No, I think they should outlaw sequels. Huge box office this year. Best sequel in history, hands down? No, actually, it's really quite good. The music isn't as good, but Ariana Grande, I have to say, is those ladies are astonishing. The premiere was fun. Wicked forever. Wicked for God, help us. I saw many Comcast executives, which was interesting. Oh, you know who came up to me at this
Starting point is 00:08:46 Premier. Claire Daines, who I love in The Beastie. Oh, one of my favorite shows. It's amazing. And she was a fan of ours. She listens to Pivot. And I was so thrilled because the person, what was the thing she was in when she was young? My so-called life? Yes. The person who did that did. I think the, yeah, did the book for this, Winnie Holesman. I think that's her name. So she was there to support her. But let me say, I loved it. I have to say, I recommend
Starting point is 00:09:15 and everyone go see it. It was great. I thought it was very dark. And can I make one observation about it? It is not about the Trump administration because it was written way back when. It's about dictatorships. But it is so pertinent right now. It feels so. It kind of is. Right. But it isn't. No, no, they finished it in January 2024. So I think they finished film because they did them together. Anyway, I highly recommend it. Universal. Donna Langley has another hit on our hands. Well, you know, I want a dick measuring competition. We're going to move on. Go ahead. I did. I did. I measured more dicks than anyone else. Okay.
Starting point is 00:09:50 We've got a lot to get. I just asked a simple question because I was curious. And I, you literally opened Pandora's box. I know, but I'm actually. I was like, huh.
Starting point is 00:09:58 What happened? I didn't mean to. I just wanted some information. Other people, please write us so I understand this. We've got a lot to get to today, including the Meta Monopoly verdict, which sort of got lost in the sauce.
Starting point is 00:10:09 And Trump signing, with all this news, and Trump's signing the bill to release the Epstein files. But first, this is, Invidia's shares are up around 3% at the time of taping after beating expectations for the third quarter earnings. The AI chipmaker reported a record $57 billion in revenue, a big chunk from one company. It's got to be meta, and a 65% jump in profits.
Starting point is 00:10:30 CEO, Jensen Wong, addressed concerns about an AI bubble, saying, from our vantage point, we're seeing something very different. Although, Suna Pichai kind of alluded to it about bubble fears. And in new partnerships, InViti and Microsoft, are pouring money into N3. raising the AI startup's valuation a $350 billion. Microsoft will invest $5 billion, and V-BinVosm, and VDiv will invest $10 billion.
Starting point is 00:10:53 Again, not a big amount of money for these people. And it's a huge valuation, and also Elon Musk is raising an enormous valuation. So talk a little bit about these results because Michael Burry got killed, right? The short sellers got killed on this thing. Well, literally the entire economy has a huge style of relief
Starting point is 00:11:13 because the narrative has, had shifted just in a few weeks from AI boom to AI bubble. And this popped the AI bubble narrative, at least of the time being. Revenue came in at 57 versus 55, and those were very aggressive expectations. Their data center revenue came in at 51.2 versus expected 49.3. Their adjusted earnings or diluted earnings per share came in at 130 versus expectations of 1. So basically it was a beat on very aggressive expectations. And they also guide it up. They're now saying their Q4 revenue guidance is 65 versus 62 billion, up 5%. And also what's really I think the most impressive thing is they've taken the guidance on their margins up to 75% from 74.6. I would have thought they'd be coming under
Starting point is 00:12:05 some pricing pressure. Right. Yeah, and margin compression. And then their sales growth accelerated to 63%, which is enormous, but it broke a six-quarter streak of deceleration of sales growth. And then to your point, everything got lifted. Tesla was up one and a half percent, Microsoft 1, Meta-1, Amazon, 1.6, and Alphabet 2. They'd been declining. Let's be clear for people. They had been. Yeah, but not not really a lot. Well, Oracle is really down. Like, it lost all its gains, but go ahead. So this is, I mean, this is basically, as was at, the economy, and I hate the, this about our economy right now. And to a certain extent, the Trump administration's cloud cover is really being propped up by these 10 companies. And so the fact that it just, the narrative
Starting point is 00:12:57 was not supported here. And the market was looking, there's just no getting around it. The market seemed to be really grasping for evidence that the AI bubble narrative was, had some veracity to it. And they didn't get it in this earnings call. They just didn't get it. still am nervous about, I've been reading up a lot. You know, you interviewed Andrew Ross Sorkin for his book and some others. And there's some very persuasive. Bill Cohen wrote a very persuasive piece about possible bust coming, you know. And as you said, it can run up before the bust, right? And the sort of echoes of this issue, you know, it's interesting because they were all at this NBS event at the White House. And then there was an ensuing Saudi, whatever afterwards. Like,
Starting point is 00:13:41 to me, I feel like, I mean, if Jensen Wong was any closer to Trump, he'd be on the other side of him, right? So they have this sort of grip together that they have to have, right? This company, this particular company, has to have. And he's certainly playing it. You know, he's using every card in the book to do this. Do you, what is your worry? So we talked about this on the tour of this worry of it being particularly this company and the companies around it, which are all.
Starting point is 00:14:11 all benefiting from it, do you still have a worry about it or is just pushed off to another day? Because it still is, the numbers still don't, math doesn't math here eventually at some point. My worry is the following that the definition of a robust economy is that no one company can take it down. Broad, a broad-based. The fast food industry is a robust industry. If the biggest player McDonald's went out of business tomorrow, you would still be able to find cheap calories at a variety of places and the economy would not be taken down. J.P. Morgan is probably so big now. J.P. Morgan is now worth more than the 10 biggest banks in Europe combined. And if Jamie Diamond called President Trump or percent and said, oh, God, you're not going to believe this story,
Starting point is 00:15:00 guys. There was some rogue trader and somehow we missed it in compliance and figured out a way to lever it all up, and we're $110 billion down, and I need a bailout. If he would ever make that call, and I don't, I think it's unlikely, because I think since Sarbanes-Oxley and stress testing, I think that they did a really good job post-2008 of creating sort of a Goldilocks compliance structure, one famous last words, something's going to happen tomorrow, where there's enough, they allow them enough leverage such that they can continue to grow the economy and loan out more money than they take in while constantly stress testing for a black swan event.
Starting point is 00:15:39 But you can never, but the bottom line is JP, if Jamie Diamond were to make that call, Trump would have no choice but to bail them out. Because if JP Morgan goes down, the domino effect would be terrible here. So you could argue that the banking, the banking industry is not robust. Our economy right now is riding
Starting point is 00:15:57 on a small number of companies based on the expectations that AI will be bigger than GPS or the internet. And the thing that worries me is that every one of the companies we talk about has been down 50 to 70% or more in a 12-month period in the last five or seven years. They just have hiccups. And the problem is these companies now command such an enormous part of the S&P. Which was very similar to the 1929 crash. And in addition, as a percentage of historical PE averages or the Buffett test, they just seem so expensive. And where we are is if just through the natural cycle, even if you agree AI as I do is going to be huge and pay all sorts of dividends and build great companies, if Invidia sneezes, the world gets freaking stage four or walking pneumonia. It doesn't catch a cold because, unfortunately, our demographics have become less robust. And that is now the top 10% represent 50% of spending. And the bad news about that is that if,
Starting point is 00:17:03 If a middle-class household's confidence goes down or their income goes down, their spending goes down, but so much of their spending is things they have to spend money on, food, housing, that it affects the economy. But if the top 10% all of a sudden get a chill because their stock portfolios off 40%, they can take their discretionary span down 50%. Right, not just that, or out of the stock market. Like, I have stockholdings, and I thought, I'm going to, there seem to be. It's this sort of vaguery, I guess.
Starting point is 00:17:35 And the new partnerships of them pouring money into each of these companies, it still feels like they're all popping each. That's late 99 circular bullshit. Yes, exactly. I was like, what is happening here? And I wish I, you know, we should bring Bill Cohn, not to explain it to us, but these funding seem, they're just using the money they get to get other money to keep the valuation. Yeah, fly to hand.
Starting point is 00:17:57 I'll invest this money to you, but you got to spend it all on me. It's circular deals. Yeah, it's not. They're all in club deals. We did, in the late 90s, I'm not exaggerating. Someone would call me another, another, I was starting internet companies. And a bunch of us used to call each other and say, I'm doing a round where you put in 50 or 100 grand. And the expectation was you'd put 50 or 100 grand back into their next round. And the problem is we all kind of woke up and realized we were buying each other's products. And when, so when one of us went down, it just took all of us down. Yeah, that's my. So there was like, it works on the way up. It's like buying, it's like buying stocks on margin. It's fantastic as long as things continue to go up. It's especially not fantastic when things start to go down. But the unwind here is pretty obvious.
Starting point is 00:18:45 Big traditional company. We're scaling back our AI investment. Yeah, as you said. We're reducing our site licenses in Open AI and Anthropic. InVIDIA reports a down quarter and you see. Yeah, it go. I mean, let's keep us, keep that in mind. You see an enormous drawdown, and then a small number of people controlling a disproportionate amount of the economy substantially check back their spending, and boom, we are in a recession, like, overnight. And it could, the fear is, does it create panic selling? So, look, it's coming. We just don't know when.
Starting point is 00:19:21 Yeah, well, it's coming. Yeah, and of course they were all at that dinner, the MBS dinner, like, it was all tech people. I mean, it was mostly tech people. Elon, of course, is back. Wow, that made a lot of news. Didn't it? Yeah, I did. We'll get to that in a minute. But very quickly, and meta scored,
Starting point is 00:19:35 this is something that didn't get as much attention, a major victory in court, with a federal judge ruling the company didn't break antitrust laws when it bought Instagram and WhatsApp. As I said, back in April, this was a weak trial, which I thought it was.
Starting point is 00:19:49 And clearly the judge agreed because he listens to me. No, I'm kidding. I just thought this was a silly trial. The judge, and the judge said the government failed to prove meta is currently in monopoly, noting that TikTok is now met as fierce as
Starting point is 00:20:01 rival. The case dates back to 2020 when the FDC accused meta of using buyer-Berry strategy to crush competition. These big antitrust suits have been mixed bag so far. Google lost the search in advertising cases, though it didn't have to do anything, didn't have to spin off Chrome. The Amazon and Apple trials are still a few years away, so it'll be a while if we know how those shake out. I would say Apple and Amazon are much more monopolistic than any of these others. And we're, you know, but the thing is, is it going to cause meta to make a ton of acquisitions? And Just remember before the trial began, Mark Zuckerberg visited the White House, prostrated himself, and tried to lobby for a settlement. He didn't need to do that. Nice job, Mark, for prostrating yourself. But you didn't need to. The case was solid. I thought it was at the time. And, you know, I'm never on their side, but it was very clear there's competition. The gate on consolidation has traditionally been that economists of the FTC and the DOJ said there's going to be too much concentration of power, which will give you too much pricing power, which will result in a transfer of money from consumers to the shareholders of that monopoly.
Starting point is 00:21:04 And monopolies themselves aren't illegal. It's monopoly power and monopoly abuse. So occasionally when scale makes sense, they say, fine, you can have a monopoly on cell service or the utility, but we're going to regulate you to make sure you don't abuse that monopoly power. What you have right now is there is no gait. The FDC and the DOJ essentially have said it's a free-for-all. As far as I can tell, Jonathan Cantor would disagree with me and say there's still people doing the work. But as far as I can tell, or the CEOs I talk to, they are sharpening their pencils, one because they have very fully valued stock, which is like having a preloaded credit card
Starting point is 00:21:42 that you can go out and go shopping for, right? So all of a sudden, everything in the eyes of Palantir is 90% of the money. off because their stock's up tenfold. So if they do an acquisition for stock, it costs them a tenth of what it used to cost them. So investment banking, M&A, which had been in a deep freeze for several years, is now just booming. I saw Terry Kowage at a party the other night. He's in M&A, and I just knew, I bet your business is amazing and is like better than ever. Anyone in M&A right now is turning away calls unless it's an enormous fee, because A companies have cash and stock to go shopping with and B, they're not worried about antitrust.
Starting point is 00:22:21 What's interesting is what has somewhat replaced the gating factor of FTC or DOJ review based on monopoly power has been replaced by this gating power of cronyism and oligarchy, whereas I don't think Netflix can potentially or could potentially get a deal through to acquire Warner Brothers assets because Trump has decided he thinks Reed Hastings is a Democrat. Yeah, let's hold that because we're going to talk about them a minute. But this case was weak. There's competition in the Mark Zuckerberg's world, correct? I mean.
Starting point is 00:22:54 Well, some data. Since the year meta acquired WhatsApp, YouTube active users have doubled. TikTok went from not existing to having 1.6 billion. LinkedIn users increased by roughly 4X. Snapchat users increased by more than 8X. And meta's total daily active users increased by roughly 4X. Now, I still believe these companies are too dominant. So, for example, with META, 3.5 billion people are 43 percent of the world's population
Starting point is 00:23:22 used in META product daily. Out of the eight, out of the top eight most few social media platforms globally, META owns four of them, and META garners 21 percent of all digital ads spend more than any other social media company. It's the ad thing that I do think. That's the case that's coming. Right. And I would argue that there's evidence of monopoly abuse here by virtue of the fact that they
Starting point is 00:23:43 don't ever feel compelled. I would argue that the margin power and the monopoly power gets, translates into what I call non-economic costs, and that is they can put out content the results in teen girls cutting themselves, and they don't feel the onus to do anything. I think the rents that Mehta is charging on parents around the world has accelerated dramatically and is more indicative of the company that's a monopoly and doesn't need to respond. anything. To concerns of anybody or anything. That is the cost. That's where the real action should happen. Not here, unfortunately. Okay, Scott, let's go on a quick break when we come back. Trump signs the Epstein Files bill and takes a victory lap. Support for the show comes from Avanta. Startups
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Starting point is 00:27:54 President Trump has signed the bill ordering the Justice Department to release the files on Jeffrey Epstein within the next 30 days. Trump is also taking credit for the bill overwhelmingly passing through the House, whatever, Senate. But after this, the full files still might not get released. The bill has some major loopholes before Trump signed the bill. Attorney General, Pam Bondi, was asked about the DOJ, releasing the complete files. She didn't exactly give a straight answer. What a shock from Blondie. Let's listen.
Starting point is 00:28:19 We will continue to follow the law with maximum transparency while protecting victims. Would you say the law and then Attorney General, do you mean that you will provide all the files by 30? days? We will follow the law. The law passed both chambers last evening. It has not yet been signed, but we will continue to follow the law again while protecting victims, but also providing maximum transparency. Anyone else saying that, I believe she's not, she's going to follow the law, Scott. The files remain a touchy subject for Trump when Bloomberg's Catherine Lucy asked him about it on air force one this week. Trump snapped quiet piggy. Uh, The White House official backed up Trump saying, if you're going to give it, you have to be able to take it, I guess.
Starting point is 00:29:10 Let's start with the release of files. Will it finally put things to rest? And part of the ongoing fallout, people are paying the price. Larry Summers is stepping down from teaching at Harvard, where his ties to Epstein were investigated. He also resigned from Open 8.I's board. Of course, he had a series of his, how do I date this lady emails between him using Epstein as his dating advisor got out. was all it took for that. Thoughts on this, because I mean, I think it's a question of what's going to get out. I talked about this a little bit last night. It's a question of what they're going
Starting point is 00:29:44 to release, how they're going to release it, what's it going to say if they expunge things or try to favor Republicans over Democrats, et cetera, et cetera. It's sort of everything's in the details. But I don't think he can, I think if he does something like that, he'll look even more guilty. But your thoughts? Well, first of how ridiculous it is, that that Trump wants to take credit for the release of the Epstein files while at the same time calling it a hoax, the ridiculous notion that they will continue to follow the law and be maximum transparent, the head of the FBI has already claimed that they released everything they could. And she has done nothing but be essentially an acolyte and an instrument. She's acting
Starting point is 00:30:27 like his personal lawyer. They were doing anything they could. I've said the third most powerful person in the world is a dead pedophile who convinced Mike Johnson to let Congress, tell Congress to go home because they were so afraid of a vote. He is denied democracy. He wouldn't seat a duly elected representative because he was worried that she was going to be the 183rd vote or whatever it is. They have done everything possible to try and delay the release of this, and it has done nothing but create this stench of guilt around the presidency. But even more bigger than this. Last night, I was reading through some of these emails. I think this is a really big moment and not just for the reasons we think that it might implicate or embarrass the president
Starting point is 00:31:14 or other people. I think this is that Caesar moment in Planet of the Apes where he says no and it inspires a revolution and reconfigures the social order or Tiananmen Square or the Arab Spring when that young man. Yeah. I love that he used Planet of the Apes metaphor, but go ahead. By the way, when I was at Belmar, they gave me Planet of the Apes figures. Yeah, that's right. We love Planet of the Apes.
Starting point is 00:31:40 His producer did. You know that moment that inspires a revolution? I think this is it, and it's not even, whether it should be or not, that we might find out about the abhorrent, aberrant, weird behavior of certain individuals. If you read these emails, the thing that I think is going to, that's going to make this a moment that inspires a pretty serious shifting the ground beneath us, is that the tone and the vibe of these men is literally like, we can do whatever the fuck we want. Yes. Really? No, but I think it's easy to be signaling. I'm not
Starting point is 00:32:21 significant. I, I, I, that's how they behave. I, I think, I found it shocking, and I consider, I think I know some of these people pretty well. I think people are going to read this and go, that's it. We're done. We're done with these billionaires talking about fucking space, about taking $9 billion from farmers, but finding $40 billion for Argentina, about cutting taxes for the rich, but taking away health care from 14 million Americans. And then they listen to the tone.
Starting point is 00:32:55 It's one thing. When an individual has aberrant, illegal, strange, depraved behavior, you like to think it's ring-fence to the fucked up mind of that person. But when you read these emails, you're like, this is a vibe. These people... What would you call the vibe? What is it? Doosh, no, no, no.
Starting point is 00:33:15 The word is entitled. Yeah. They feel like they are entitled to an entirely... It comes back to this one statement I love. These people think that they are protected by... the law but not bound by it, and that the rest of us are bound by the law, but not protected by it. And I think people are going to read these emails and just think, you know what, this is our let them eat cake moment. We have had it with these people. And I think you're going to see
Starting point is 00:33:40 a reconfiguration and tax policy. I think you could see for the first time a move towards socialized medicine. I think you're going to see a dramatic increase in tax rates. I think people are thinking like, okay, something is wrong. wrong in Mudville when we have a small number of powerful people strutton strutton on the stage i would agree it's so funny you say that because i'm going um on uh on the on the i've had it podcast and they're going to come on my podcasts um and they've gotten very popular and which is uh you know it's Jennifer waltz and Angie Sullivan I was on their podcast yeah they're fun they're fun ladies and but they are also tapping into something like you've got to fucking be kidding me with these
Starting point is 00:34:25 assholes. Like, I think it's really, and they do it in a funny way, obviously, but one of the things, as I was watching, and we will talk about the MBS thing is, like, and then they went on their thing, they can't shut the fuck up, and they strut around, whether it's NVIDIA's CEO with his leather jacket pontificating on all manner of things, and just they won't shut the fuck up. That's what I kept thinking, like, and they won't stop taking, right? They won't stop. They're like, I used the, the Beatles, I put the picture of that dinner up with the Beatles thing. It's the pigies. They're little piggies, like, and that's what it's, it's got a real piggy, pigish feel to it.
Starting point is 00:35:09 And the quiet piggy I thought was really, I mean, I know, you know, whatever, but can you imagine working at a workplace as someone, a CEO saying that to an employee? What I would happen? What do you mean what the president said? The quiet piggy, yeah. And then, of course, insulting Mary Bruce from ABC for asking a perfectly legitimate question about corruption, and also about the death of Jamal Khashoggi. I just was like, quiet piggy? That to me, that really, I think, infuriated so many people. And not because how dare you call me, you know, a girl when I'm a woman. That wasn't that. There's something in the words that quiet and piggy together is something's, really, it sort of encapsulates these people. But that, again, I think this is bigger than that. Yes, yes.
Starting point is 00:36:01 I think that, you know, a man who has demonstrated nothing but an immense lack of character, a level of misogyny, punching down, has no sense of the connection between prosperity and protection, is depraved, selfish. I think, I really do think President Trump, and I don't use this word lightly, going to be a stain on the American experience. He's going to be, and the history books are just not going to be kind to him. But this is bigger than that. And also, I do think it's a little unfair care to conflate or include Jensen Huang as the same breath as these guys.
Starting point is 00:36:39 No, but I'm talking about they won't stop dancing on the stage. They take and take and take. Jensen has to dance to support a five trillion dollar evaluation. Yes, I guess. He's talking his own book. Yes. But an entirely different league of depraved. And also more than an individual being very insecure and weird, like President Trump, this culture where they all speak as if there's this underlying baseline assumption that they just get to live by a different set of rules.
Starting point is 00:37:10 When I'm reading these emails, I'm like, oh, he's an idiot or, oh, God, this person sounds weird or whatever. But you start to see this vibe across these people where it's like they have just decided that the rules no longer of decorum of decency no longer apply to them. Talk about Summers because, you know, he's a very, you know, he's a Democrat. He was a Democrat. He's been very critical of President Trump. You know, for years, he's very arrogant. He's a very, he has enormous reputation for arrogance and rude remarks about women, et cetera, when he was at Harvard and women are stupider, essentially. And, of course, he has, I think he's out now, right? I mean, it's really interesting. He's out. He's done. He's done. What do you think of this?
Starting point is 00:37:54 I mean, if I was, when I think I texted the opening, I'm not sure if I did, I was like, he's off, right? He's, I never loved it when he got on the board, but he was a weird choice, in my opinion. But what do you, why does he pay? It's really, and his emails were weird, you know, they were basically dating advice from Jeffrey Epstein, weird enough. But why do you think he definitely stepping out from Harvard off open AI board? And he's pretty much done.
Starting point is 00:38:22 That would be my thing, correct? There's no returning from this. Or maybe there is. Who knows? The problem is when the grenade explodes. There's not a lot of nuance in the shrapnel. And I would argue that, I mean, the temptation is just to pile on everyone here. You get accused of being an defender of Epstein.
Starting point is 00:38:39 And I'm not that. I think Larry demonstrated poor judgment and immaturity. But I don't think what he did was, like, even in the same fucking universe is what some of these people are being accused of. Yeah, I agree. He's, he had poor judgment continuing to fraternize with a guy who is a convicted pedophile. Right. And he just looks stupid asking for dating advice. But, and also, I do think it's a little bit unfair.
Starting point is 00:39:07 A lot of the research that he got a lot of shit for was citing differences in certain types of intelligence between the genders. And it wasn't that he was saying one gender, I don't believe, was less intelligent than the other. He got in trouble for just saying that they were different. Well, but in the email, you heard he was very clear. I get it. But can you imagine if all of your emails became public? No, I wouldn't. I wouldn't want them.
Starting point is 00:39:31 That's what I thought. I thought, well, this is who's going to pay, this asshole? I mean, I think he's arrogant. I think you're a very thoughtful, progressive person with great judgment. I think someone could look through every one of your emails and just. Gary picked them and make you look really, really bad. Agreed. I wasn't asking dating advice from Jeffrey Epstein.
Starting point is 00:39:50 It's an unfortunate person to. I get it. It's not the world's biggest tragedy that a seven-year-old man has to leave these boards and leave. But quite frankly, he's like a little bit like Gary Hart. The earth has shifted beneath Larry Summers at exactly the wrong time. Exactly. That's what I was thinking. And I would argue that if these things came out in a different context two years ago or five years ago,
Starting point is 00:40:13 It would be embarrassing in page six of posts, but it wouldn't end his career. No, he's definitely standing on the crack as it opens. I mean, that's the thing. And people don't like him, right? So it also adds that people aren't like. Well, and he's a Democrat. And so you can imagine that the Republican operatives want to, this story to get as much oxygen, to push out what should be real stories of people abusing children.
Starting point is 00:40:39 So I don't want to say I feel sorry for Larry, but I don't think. Yeah, I don't think this is a different, this is an embarrassing, stupid behavior of a tone-deaf older man. It is not child abuse. No, I know. Well, that we know. And so I think this is different. And I don't. I agree. I just thought this was the one that this is the guy that's going to get it, like this dumb ass. Yeah, this is the person they're going after. This is, the press is focusing on a guy asking for data advice. Yeah, I think. Well, we'll see. So how much stuff is going to come out, even this short amount of stuff has done damage to. very much has done damage to Trump. No question. You know, this is what he's talking about all the time, right? This is what he, this is his topic of, of, this is his topic, let's just say. Like, this is now what he's doing. So he, I don't think the shoes have dropped fully for Donald Trump on this issue yet, but a question of how much Pam Bondi, who's relatively incompetent, as you can tell by other cases, actually not relatively, she's completely incompetent. I feel like they're going to bollocks it and it's going to really come to slap Trump. really hard on his... See, the way I would describe Pam Bondi, unfortunately, she's more dangerous because I don't think she's incompetent.
Starting point is 00:41:50 I think she's corrupt. Yeah. I don't... I think she's incompetent. I don't think... Look at that case against Comey. Oh, my God. Oh, no, but that's the appointee who has no business being a lawyer.
Starting point is 00:42:00 Right, but she's part of it. I mean, nothing gets signed off. That's fair. Right. I think she's incompetent. I think she's not... I don't think they're going to be able to cover it up. That's my feeling.
Starting point is 00:42:07 I think it's going to be very hard to cover this stuff up. It's getting out. It's getting out. It's just going to get out. This is how I feel about this. But I'll push this question to you. There's a chance that people are like, okay, am I going to go down? Is GOP going to begin to stand for guardians of pedophiles?
Starting point is 00:42:27 And I do not want to be one of these people. So now I'm going to flip and become aggressive, including disparaging the president if I need to. Is this a turning point where people are like, oh, fuck. I don't want to be an accomplice here. I'm going to start turning on the mob boss. Yeah, I think so, as I said, and that's what happens with all these people. And actually, Thomas Massey made that point, the one who's gotten pushed this through. I've got to say, he really has a set to have pushed this through and been successful.
Starting point is 00:42:55 Anyway, along with Rokana, Scott, let's go on a quick break. When we come back, we'll talk about whether Elon Musk and Trump are getting back together, speaking of people who are recovering themselves. Support for the show. from Odu. Running a business is hard enough, so why make it harder with a dozen different apps that don't talk to each other? Introducing Odu. It's the only business software you'll ever need. It's an all-in-one fully integrated platform that makes your work easier, CRM, accounting, inventory, e-commerce, and more. And the best part, Odu replaces multiple expensive platforms for a fraction of the cost. That's why over thousands of businesses have made the switch. So why not you.
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Starting point is 00:45:39 from Charlie Kirk's Memorial. This is the only time Musk and Trump have been seen together since their big feud. I'm not sure if the romance rekindled. And while we're on the topic of the Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman's visit, let's hear what Trump had to say when a journalist at the White House brought up the murder of journalist Jamal Khashoggi. I remind people, our intelligence services have linked. They cut him into pieces. I call him Mohamed Bonesaw. and it was at his behest. So let's listen. As far as this gentleman is concerned, he's done a phenomenal job.
Starting point is 00:46:15 You're mentioning somebody that was extremely controversial. A lot of people didn't like that gentleman that you're talking about. Whether you like him or didn't like him, things happened. But he knew nothing about it. And we can leave it at that. You don't have to embarrass our guests by asking a question like that. It's ridiculous. What a ridiculous thing.
Starting point is 00:46:33 He did know. Our intelligence services, he ordered them. The murder. And actually, oddly enough, MBS was more, I guess, like, mistakes were made. And I think he was actually more truthful about what happened, which is he ordered this murder. This is a murder. There's no other way to put it about Jamal Khashoggi. And what was really, it's just striking because, you know, he sort of slathered himself, which I don't think is going to help him with his MAGA friends. But I just think he's slapping himself and this guy and was making all these claims out $1 trillion in investment, which the Saudi economy is that big, right? This kind of, and there is, of course, that, that Piff, which they don't like, P-I-F, is having problems because of all kinds, I think it's know him or whatever they're building, or a lot of their investments are turning, you know, tits up as they say. So, you know, don't embarrass guests about murders they've committed, Scott. I guess that's what I would take away from this. This was the strangest encounter lately, and mostly Trump looking kind of
Starting point is 00:47:34 weirdly, again, corrupt once again. It goes to what you said. It's incompetence. They should have been prepared for that question. And I actually think that MBS, if he'd said, look, my government makes mistakes. He did. He did, actually. And without referencing, he actually said that.
Starting point is 00:47:54 Also, quite frankly, he could have said, you know, a lot of people think that your country coming into my region and killing 400,000 people in Iraq was a mistake. I mean, they just should have been prepared for that question. And I think they could have answered it. You're not going to find moral clarity in geopolitics. And I want to be clear, I believe that MBS ordered the murder and hacking of the U.S. So does our intelligence services. It's not, I don't think it's in question by anybody but Trump.
Starting point is 00:48:25 But what I was put forward is, okay, now what? Now what do we? We went in and killed 400,000 people in Iraq. Does that mean no one in the region should ever deal with our economy? I mean, it's like, okay, now what, folks? And but for the president to get defensive and weird about a question they knew was going to come, they should have been able to, and MBS, I don't want to say I'm a fan of MBS. I'm a fan of U.S. Saudi relations because I think it's ultimately the smartest thing for U.S. defense and security.
Starting point is 00:48:57 And also, I think any honest analysis with, have to position MBS as an actual reformer. So I don't, but this is incompetence for the president not to know this question was coming. Be this defensive. Why this slathering, you know, the insulting of our allies that are more important than MBS, Europe, et cetera, and the sort of like, it was speaking of blow jobs, it was like a blow job of a dinner, it was a blow, and pretending that these, I mean, and ridiculous repetition, He's going to invest a trillion dollars.
Starting point is 00:49:34 Their economy's not that big. It's just, they're a minor, they're having their own troubles with their investments, by the way. They've made all kinds of bad investments. And, of course, most people just went there to get money from them, right? They were sort of like the cash machine, essentially, for people to go over there from Silicon Valley and elsewhere. And a lot of it is just turned up shitty. So why are we giving this much attention to this group of people and handing over? I think he did great.
Starting point is 00:50:04 He got the F-35s. He got chips, I think. He got guarantees. I don't know what we got. If you're going to be real politic, what the fuck did we got, except our president, like, decided that being bone-sought is just, you know, things happen, my friend. Oh, look, we have, we get a lot. We have military bases there. We're getting a lot of money. We continue to get access to cheap capital to fund our
Starting point is 00:50:33 companies. But they're not, actually. As I sent you that story, they're not. They're cutting back rather substantively on all their investments here. The pivot, if you owe, the change of complexion around investments coming out of the Gulf is the following. They used to send their capital overseas. And what they're saying now is, we'll invest in your company, but we want you to build fact. We want you to build an economy here. Right. So rather than giving you money, rather than giving you money to go build a ride hailing service in Miami, we'll give you money, but we want you to build a ride hailing service here, and we want you to have a regional headquarters here. We need to build an internal consumption economy as opposed to just a giant
Starting point is 00:51:09 hedge fund. Yes, it makes sense. But if we normalize relationships between the kingdom and Israel, I think it'll make the whole region more. Which he didn't promise to sign on. He didn't, they didn't get that out of him. Which will be more peaceful. I think that, Look, I think that they are now either the biggest or the second biggest economy in the region. We have huge strategic overlap. I don't think he should have come. I think that they were, this is just,
Starting point is 00:51:40 this demonstrates economists and competence. This is an important strategic relationship that needs to be managed better than the president not prepared for an obvious question that is coming down the pike that makes MBS look bad, that makes the president look bad. This is just- And then he threatened ABC's license, right?
Starting point is 00:51:59 And he just sucked up the entire thing. If I were Bob Eager right now, I'd be like, I would go on the offensive. Like, go ahead. Well, they kind of are. Yeah. They have been very, I don't want to say bold, but they've been unafraid lately because I was at one of these Masters of the Universe dinners with eight or ten people in L.A. And, I mean, some very powerful people in front of other people in front of Mix Company were like,
Starting point is 00:52:26 Bob Beiger is a fucking coward. I know that. I've heard that. I mean, and these are people in the industry that are big. And so, I've heard that. So I think Bob has decided, that is not how I want to go out. That's right. I think he's having, I think he's recognized, he fucked up.
Starting point is 00:52:42 And I think, I don't want to say they're over-correcting, but if you look at George Stephanopoulos, if you look, they have basically said to the journalist at ABC, as far as I can tell, go for him. go, don't, you know, we need, we are hardcore journalists, start acting like it. I agree. That's my sense. I know this. I think he's, I think, I think the time for, you know, the time for, what's that expression from my favorite movie, Gladiator, the time for celebrating yourself is over. I think that, I do think that.
Starting point is 00:53:15 I thought that question, I thought that reporter did a great job, was very respectful and asked exactly the question in a respectful but firm way. Same thing with George Steffin. I think they're like, bring it fucking on. You take a, go come take our license. Please try. Give it a try. Let's see how that works out for you.
Starting point is 00:53:32 I mean, that's the thing. And then, you know, his own chastody, Brandon Carr. I think this is Bob Iger trying to salvage his reputation. He should. And he should. Six months before he announces his succession plan. He should. He's got nothing to lose.
Starting point is 00:53:45 Yeah, go for him. Anyway, as we were speaking of deals in Hollywood, because he was the master's of the universe. I'd like to know what you think. The deadline has arrived for Warner Brothers' discovery. bids. Paramount Comcast and Netflix are expected to make offers for summer all the company. Paramount is widely considered the frontrunner, thanks to financial and political advantages, but we'll see. The company is denying a report that is partnered with sovereign wealth funds of Saudi Arabia,
Starting point is 00:54:08 Qatar, and Abu Dhabi for a $71 billion offer that was reported. Warner Brothers Board is expected to review the offers before Thanksgiving and aim to have the process wrapped by the end of the year. They could also still just do the spin-out thing, but there's enough interest here. And this is real interest. And let me say, Comcast is definitely interested in this. I think they're perplexed about the non-economic bid by Paramount because Daddy Warbox has the money to do so. And they want to make an economic. And they mostly are, they're interested in the studios and the streaming service. Netflix has promised things like putting movies into theaters. They're trying to make themselves seem attractive. So any, I know you think this is a small
Starting point is 00:54:51 thing, but it's a big deal for Hollywood, right? This is, and it'll also make, it'll go, it'll make the number of studios smaller, which of course, now the writers and the directors, they're all sort of weighing in here. So I expect plenty of pushback from them, depending on what happens here. Most people, I think Zazlov is favoring Comcast, that's my impression. He'll get a bigger role there. I don't think people much like, I think the worm has turned already on David Ellison a little bit. They're very, to me, they're very freely calling him Nepo Baby. And, you know, his UFC deal seems a little overpaid. Seems like one of them said they just, these other billionaires just took advantage of the dumber billion, young billionaire essentially.
Starting point is 00:55:38 So I don't know, but they have money and they have, you know, non-economic power, I guess. They just are just wanted, I just, you know, daddy wants to buy his son the car, I guess. I don't know. What do you think? I feel like Comcast is the best owner here at Netflix, but in terms of quality and the ability to move forward, I think Paramount desperately needs this. Thoughts about what did you hear in L.A.? The Fulker in this deal is simply put how wealthy Larry Allison feels when he gets up in the morning, when he gets a call from his son and says, okay, what's our best and final? Because in Warner Brothers and their bankers have done the right thing, they've put a deadline on this thing to try and impose some discipline and say, okay, let's...
Starting point is 00:56:21 Explain why they did that for people who don't know. Oh, you do. Whenever you're selling a company and you have multiple bidders, which it appears they do now, or at least multiple interested parties, you put a deadline on it, and you force people to get serious and put their best foot forward. You try and create a sense of urgency, and so you impose some discipline and say, okay, all letters of intent need to be in by a certain date, and your best and final offers have to be in by this date. And then you go back and ask them for a little bit more to get the deal done.
Starting point is 00:56:46 But just to give, it's a little bit confusing, so I just want to sort of break it, break down the parties here. So Paramount after having their $23.50, $23.50 a share bid rejected, they're reportedly preparing an offer alongside of sovereign wealth funds of Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Abu Dhabi. Which they've denied. Although they've denied this, although that felt like good reporting to me. I don't know if you saw it. I do. That doesn't feel like a rumor. It felt too obtuse to be just a rumor.
Starting point is 00:57:16 Netflix execs have met with Warner Brothers and reportedly said that a potential bid would include continuing the release of Warner Brothers movies and theaters. They're trying to appeal to the creative community. Comcast, the company has retained bankers for an offer, and we now know that they are specifically interested in streaming in studios and networks. But here's the bottom line. Because of what was called the Revlon law, or whatever it was called, Warner Brothers has an obligation to just accept the highest bidder. All this other stuff is somewhat noise. They will get shareholder lawsuits at the end of the day. They can say to someone, we like you, and if you match this, we'll give it to you.
Starting point is 00:57:54 But at the end of the day, if Ellison shows up with 10 cents more per share, they have a shareholder obligation. So will he do that? That's what I'm like. The shares are down. They have that big run up and now they're running down. That's the correct question. This all comes down to, in my view, Larry Ellison wakes up in the morning,
Starting point is 00:58:16 and David, his son calls him and says, okay, it's gonna cost us 2475 to get this. This is, the bankers will do their job. The bankers will get the highest number, and then they'll go back to the Ellison, so we have the deepest pocket and say, we have an offer at 24 bucks a share. At the end, it makes sense to be fairly transparent.
Starting point is 00:58:35 The truth has a nice ring to it. Say they get 24 bucks a share from Concast or a Netflix, whatever. They basically, the smart thing to do would be go back and say to the Ellison's, at 26 bucks a share by 5 p.m. tomorrow, it's yours. Right. You go back and say, this is your strike opportunity. And then you go back to Comcast and say, I don't think, when you get to this point, I think you pick, you pick the person with the deepest pockets and you go back to them and say, in my view, it's yours. I think going back and forth at some point, you know, at some point people are going to tire. I personally think
Starting point is 00:59:09 you get, you have a bidding process, and then you go back to one and you ask for a bigger premium and say it's, you can take it off the table at this price. So let me ask you, what is the best, what is the best, for these companies and for Hollywood, what would be the best owner, away from the price. And I understand price is all that matters in the end, but from your analysis, if all things being equal, what, which they aren't always, which owner is the best owner for these properties? So I'm not thinking about it in terms of who would do the best job with the assets. I think of it is who creates the most robust ecosystem. Because I wouldn't want, like, you know,
Starting point is 00:59:45 I love Ted Serrano. So I think he's the brightest guy in media, quite frankly. And also, I think the most, I don't know. Great team. Yeah, just, they're just a management team that just consistently performs. And I would love. It has weaknesses in terms of not enough content.
Starting point is 01:00:04 But I wouldn't want to see Netflix own this. Because the two biggest streamers right now, are Netflix and Alphabet. And I would like to see a viable third competitor. YouTube has approximately 11.5% of the streaming market. Netflix has eight or nine. I'd like to see another player at seven that could go toe-to-to-to-with-the-other two.
Starting point is 01:00:24 Isn't it Disney? Well, I don't think Disney doesn't have the money to do this. Yeah. So I would argue that it's either a Comcast, and in a weird way, I think Paramount bulking up with Netflix money would be good for the ecosystem. Because when you have too much concentration With Netflix money?
Starting point is 01:00:41 I'm sorry, with Ellison money. Ellison money. Yeah. Paramount, right? Yeah, paramount, right? That gives them bulk, they become a formidable competitor. Because when you have a lack of competitors, what effectively happens is the trend, and this is what you could describe what's happening in the U.S. economy. There's a transfer of wealth from labor to capital.
Starting point is 01:00:59 And there's been too much transfer of wealth from labor to capital. There's too many people. There's too many people with not a lot of pricing power. and share earnings as a percentage of the economy. Corporate profits have never been higher. Wages have been somewhat stagnant. That means there's too much concentration of power among the buyers of labor. So what do you want? You want a diverse ecosystem with a lot of competition, constantly trying to figure out a way to lower prices to consumers, constantly trying to figure out a way to spend more of their shareholder money on content, more jobs. I just don't want, I just want to see robust competition. But this is going to get a buzz saw from the right, everybody else, because it is going to limit the, I know they're promising to make as many movies. I don't believe them. And the second part is, to me, the best owner is Comcast here for this stuff. And then to spin off the news. Like, let's stop playing fucking games with this. You know, they don't, they, first of all, the ailsons are not interested in news. I don't care what they say. Second thing is, as much as they go on and on about being the tech solution, I have not heard any specifics. Because I've tried to get some. I'm like, they're like, we're going to do a tech, blah, blah, blah, blah. And I'm like,
Starting point is 01:02:11 specifically what? And they're like, tech, blah, blah, blah, blah. And I'm like, specifically what? Like, tell me, explain to me. And then they're just like, very, I listen, tech, tech, tech, tech. And I'm like, why don't you just make good stuff and, like, and sell tickets? Like, do your business well, like, whatever it happens to me. And I know there are all kinds of synergies with technology backend, as I've talked about. I've interviewed lots of people. But to me, they're kind of blowhards at this point. And they're blowhards. I don't know what else to say. I like a lot of them. I think whatever you think of Jeff Shell, I think he's quite smart. But honestly, I'm like, I prefer the Comcast people. I find Brian Roberts to be an honorable person. I think his team,
Starting point is 01:02:55 like Donna Langley, exquisite taste. Mike Kavanaugh is, if you spend a minute with him, you realize what a smart guy is. I feel like they'd be the best, the smartest owners. I think they did a brilliant job on the Olympics, for example, speaking of deploying technology, they're not blah, blah, blah people. And so I prefer them. Like they can point to the Olympics and say, this is what we did. Oh, okay, I get it. Okay, good job, right? And so they seem to me to be the best owners.
Starting point is 01:03:24 I think they have to get this, too. I think they think this is existential for them. So I wouldn't count them out in terms of like being slightly non-economic. I know they disdain like the non-economic part of it because they're kind of, they're kind of, they're not pencil pushers, but they're very, they're very disciplined financial people. They're not like, they don't just like, I want it, Daddy. Like, I like David Ellison as a person, but he feels like Varuka saw, you know, what is, what's the, remember in Willy Wonka?
Starting point is 01:03:58 Mm-hmm. I want it now. Like, that's what I feel like. I'm like, Daddy, get me that squirrel. Like, that's what it feels like. And I'm sort of like, I like your actual ideas versus your, or the idea, this is the last thing as I was thinking about, like, oh, I'm friends, you know, the Tom, like Tom Cruise is a pal. You know why Tom Cruise likes you because you have money? Like, that's it.
Starting point is 01:04:19 That's maybe you're a little bit interesting for a rich person. But to me, I would like the disciplined, quality creators of content here to get this, right, so that they have, I don't know. I guess Paramount could do a good job with it, too. They both need it. That's, to me, the most, I would say Paramount needs it most of all and probably will overpay, which he has shown his proclivity to do. Comcast is the one I think would be the best owner. And I think Netflix should just go do their thing as much as they might need this content
Starting point is 01:04:51 and just do what they're doing because it seems to be working of how they're doing it. Anyway, that's mine now. So let's talk about what each could potentially get from Ed. Paramount wants the streaming a network business. Combined, a Paramount Warner Brothers Discovery, streaming service would have about 200 million subscribers, making it, giving a parody with Disney, but still behind Netflix at 300 million.
Starting point is 01:05:15 Folding WBD's cable assets would present a lot of opportunities for cost-cutting and savings, as Ellison is already doing with Paramount properties. It gives them the scale they would need to punch against the big guys. Netflix, they want access to... the WBD's premium content, including live sports. Game of Thrones. If they absorb premium WB content,
Starting point is 01:05:37 sopranos, Game of Thrones, The Wire, movie franchises, Harry Potter, DC Comics, Netflix could force some subscribers to switch over. WBD also holds rights in various markets for nearly every sports league, which would basically give Netflix the opportunity to plant a pretty big flag into live sports, which they don't have right now. Comcast wants to try and, quite frankly,
Starting point is 01:06:00 this would be a defensive move for them. Their stock has been in decline for five years. It's lost over half its value since its peak. And the company has seen consistent cable losses and facing intense streaming competition. And right now, they're thinking, we have to take a big swing. Because if our stock keeps going down, we're not going to have the bat to make a big swing pretty soon. So it's more of a defensive or a saving move. It's existential for them.
Starting point is 01:06:26 But what I just want to point out is that we can talk till the cows come home, about who would be the best owner, at the end of the day, the owner is going to be who comes up with one penny more than the rest of them. So it's fun to talk about who needs it. Unless, quote, unquote, the best owner sees that opportunity and it justifies the highest bid,
Starting point is 01:06:47 it doesn't matter who, quote, unquote, the best owner is. But that's what I was making the argument is I think for Comcast, this is existential. They have to grab it. They have to have it. If they can afford it. If they can afford. It's going to be given that,
Starting point is 01:06:58 see, they're shopping. It's the opposite for, them, Warner Brothers Discovery versus five years ago is twice as expensive as it was because their stock's been cut in half. So they're shopping with a credit card. You know, the analogy I uses, we have one of these green light credit cards for our kids. And we fill it up based on their allowance or chores they've done or whatever. The last part is a lie. My kids don't do a fucking thing around the house. Anyways, but I like to pretend I'm imposing some reasonable parenting on them. I'm not. I'm not. Anyways. But,
Starting point is 01:07:30 I'll do it for you. Like I've said, Palantir, everything in the world right now is 90% off for Palantir because their stocks up to unfold. Although it's down recently this week, but go ahead. Well, okay, but it's all relative. Okay, everything's 80% off. For Comcast, everything's twice as expensive as it was five years ago. But quite frankly, Comcast, the Roberts family, they're very smart and their discipline.
Starting point is 01:07:58 They're looking at the world and going, are we. about to become the smallest player and just oversee a declining ship, and this becomes a distressed asset with a bunch of assets that are kind of melting. So they're probably going to have to stretch, but they're probably saying, okay, we, they probably, at the end of the day, need it more than anyone else. Right. That's what I was thinking. The Ellison's need bulk, and they have the deepest pockets. Netflix would use this offensively. I think, I don't want to say it would be game over, but if Netflix got these assets, Jesus Christ, try and stop Netflix.
Starting point is 01:08:35 Yeah, that's true. So which one do you think is going to get it? I agree with you. I mean, I think one of the things with the Comcast people are like, how can they do this? I'm like, they're rich. I just thought I said, like, how do you explain it? I go, they're rich.
Starting point is 01:08:48 And they're like, they go, yeah, but I go, they're rich. They want it. They want it now. They want the special squirrel. If I had to bet, it's even with Ellison's wealth down from where it was, he's still, I think, now what is he, the second or third wealthiest person in the man. He's going to get it, yeah.
Starting point is 01:09:07 I think his attitude is, why the fuck not? All in. But here's the thing. This entire deal all comes down to one thing. How rich does Larry Ellison feel when David calls at the last and says, okay, it's go time. We've got to put in our best foot. And this is what I think it takes to get this thing done.
Starting point is 01:09:27 And he very much, he very may well go, you know, the reason I'm the wealthiest man in the world is I have some discipline and some business acumen and this is just too expensive. David, go, you know, go find other, just have fun at Paramount and go to the premiere of, you know, landman and enjoy yourself. Or he says, you know what? What the fuck? What's another 10 billion? He's a what the fuck kind of guy. He really is. Remember when he made the Twitter thing?
Starting point is 01:09:52 Oh, I want a billion? Whatever. Whatever. I think that's what he's like. And these guys, typically, when they get towards the end of their life, and quite frankly, I get, you don't own money, you rent it. And when you're that old, and you're like, okay, why the fuck not? Why the fuck not? If I had to bet on anyone, it would be Larry going, the bankers call them and say at the end, all right, you're 2450.
Starting point is 01:10:18 At 27, it's a done deal. I think, I don't know. I think Larry goes, David, all right, fine. Go it. Yes, green light. Green light. Do it. And we'll be able to get it through faster through the Trump process. We got Comcast, so even though it gave money to that stupid ballroom, he's disliked by Trump. I mean, of course, there's the autocratic part.
Starting point is 01:10:40 That's a really interesting point because Zazlov could say to his shareholders, but wait, Comcast was offering 50 cents more. He might be able to say we were not as confident or Netflix they would be able to close. Close, yeah. Yeah. But although I think Trump is quite distracted, I think if I were Comcast, I'd go Just go for. But they aren't like that. They aren't like that. And Larry Ellson is. That's the issue.
Starting point is 01:11:03 By the way, last thing I'd say, nobody cares about the news part. None of them. None of them. I don't care. It's a problem for them. They don't care. Everyone like it at CNN and all the other places. Like, what do they think about us?
Starting point is 01:11:16 I know, not at all. Not at all. But the problem around Comcast, their market cap right now is $98 billion. Yeah, too small. This is like a bet the ranch. freaking, if they go for this, this is a, unless they do a club deal and immediately sell shit off or partner with someone. Yeah, they got to do that. And keep in mind, right now, Warner Brothers is at a $57 billion market cap with a $30 billion debt load. That's an enterprise of 87. It's not even
Starting point is 01:11:43 really, if Comcast does this, it's more of a merger than an acquisition. Yeah, it is. It is. And I got to say, they all do like to, I have such regard for Brian Roberts. I know he, you know, It's interesting because he's, in a weird way, you know, his dad gave him his company, right? Two people I really, I think he did a lot with the assets. His parents gave him, and I think Rupert Murdoch did. Those are the ones. And time will tell if David Ellison is the smart of his father.
Starting point is 01:12:12 Just going back to NBS, I personally believe, like, at some point, I just want to know, I mean, at some point, is it 20 years? Is it 50 years when reporters stop asking questions, about the murder of Khashoggi, it'll be interesting to see. I think a more interesting question would have been, rumors are that David Ellison has approached Saudi sovereign and wealth funds about helping fund the acquisition of Warner Brothers Discovery. How do you feel about the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
Starting point is 01:12:41 having direct influence over the largest news network in the world? Yeah, they can't. That they can't. That's to me. But that's what they're talking about. Supposedly Ellison's over there looking for finance. I know, but he can't do it. it. That'll just, that'll be a problem. I think that'll be a problem. They're not just
Starting point is 01:12:59 use their own fucking money and they've got plenty of it if they want to do it. But selling off, all I can tell you, all the people calling me from the news are, they don't care. I wonder what Calcare or Polymarket are saying. If I had to handicap it right now, I'd put the Ellison's at like 60%. Yeah, 60, unless Comcast decides, waits up and goes. We're going for it. Anyway, interesting thing. Interesting, you know, these industries It's fun, no. It's fun. It's fun. It's kind of fun to watch. All right, Scott, one more quick break. We'll be back for
Starting point is 01:13:30 predictions. Support for this show comes from the audible original, the downloaded two. Ghosts in the machine. The Earth only has a few days left. Roscoe Cudulian and the rest of the Phoenix colony have to re-upload their
Starting point is 01:13:50 minds into the quantum computer. But a new threat has arisen that could destroy their stored consciousness forever. Listen to Oscar winner Brendan Fraser reprised his role as Rosco Cudulian in this follow-up to the Audible Original Blockbuster, The Downloaded. It's a thought-provoking sci-fi journey where identity, memory, and morality collide. Robert J. Sawyer does it again with this much-anticipated sequel that leaves you asking, What are you willing to lose to save the ones you love? The downloaded two ghosts in the machine
Starting point is 01:14:24 Available now only from Audible Support for this show comes from MS Now We the people in order to form a more perfect union These words are more than just the opening of the Constitution They're a reminder of who this country belongs to And what we can be at our best They're also the cornerstone of MS now Whether it's breaking news, exclusive reporting, election coverage, or in-depth analysis,
Starting point is 01:14:56 MS Now keeps the people at the heart of everything they do. Home to the Rachel Maddow show, Morning Joe, the briefing with Jen Saki, and more voices you know and trust. MS Now is your source for news opinion and the world. Their name is new, but you'll find the same commitment to justice progress and the truth you've relied on for decades. They'll continue to cover the day's news, ask tough questions, and explain how it impacts you. I really want these guys to win.
Starting point is 01:15:23 Same mission, new name, MS now. Learn more at MS. now. This week on Networth and Chill, I'm breaking down the psychology of Black Friday and how to shop smart without going broke. With Americans dropping $9.8 billion online during Black Friday alone, the pressure to spend is real and retailers are banking on it. I'm sharing my biggest Black Friday wins and fails from scoring amazing travel deals to getting burned by final sales,
Starting point is 01:15:50 luxury items I'll never wear. I'm giving you the exact strategies I use to navigate the sales without falling into the trap of buying things I don't actually need. Learn about values-based spending, the tools that help you spot fake discounts, and why I use Black Friday for gift shopping instead of treating myself. Get ready to win the Black Friday game on your own terms. Listen to wherever you get your podcasts or watch on YouTube.com slash you're rich BFF. Okay, Scott, let's hear a prediction just for people to know. I'm going to make a very brief one. New York City mayor-elect Zoran Mamdani is meeting with Trump at the White House when this airs on Friday.
Starting point is 01:16:29 I think they're going to get along like peas and carrots. I don't know why I think that. Trump has often, even though he insults Mom Domney, seems to think he did a good job at the campaign. I just think it might go better. than we think. But we'll see. I think your instincts are absolutely right. I think it's in both of their interests. First off, Trump is very luxist, and Maldami is a young, handsome man.
Starting point is 01:16:54 He's very drawn to these young handsome men. And Mamm Dani will come out looking very, Mamdani can come out and said, I gave it to him and he said, I think they're going to come out and said, while we had our differences, we're committed to getting along, and this is his native city. I think they both have mutually vested interest in coming across the statesman-like. So I agree with you. I don't think, why would they invite him down only to then have more antagonism and bullshit?
Starting point is 01:17:25 Zelensky. They could do it. It could happen. Like, if he, here's, let me tell you, Mom, Donnie, don't get caught in a, on a couch with J.D. Vance, that's all. Just don't, he's too savvy. Are they planning to do a joint press route? I don't know, but you never know. Look, Gretchen Whitmer got sucked up into that.
Starting point is 01:17:40 Like, he's got to be very careful about where they sit him. That's, you know, they could be trying to, like, it's a trap, like from Star Wars. That's all I'm saying. Be very careful about how they present you and what they, because they could pick a fight. That's the other opposite thing. They could pick a fight, a public fight with him. I got to think someone in Trump's orbit smart if they go, you know what, we're fighting a battle on a lot of fronts right now. This one's not a good one, and people like this fella.
Starting point is 01:18:04 Every time Trump insults him, he compliments him. It's really interesting because he's like, hmm, mm-mm, I kind of like. the cut of your gym, even though you're a communist kind of thing. Anyway, your prediction. I really do think we're on the precipice of a pretty significant shift in what I'll call the societal structure, control structure, the societal order. I think the vibe and the tone that will become increasingly apparent amongst these billionaires, quote-unquote, these billionaires across leaders, business leaders, I actually think the tone and the vibe is going to have more impact than the crimes themselves.
Starting point is 01:18:41 And I think we're going to see a dramatic reconfiguration of Congress's approach to tax policy and how I think this is a big moment. And I think I'm now increasingly believing that the Democrats are supposed to take back the House. I think they're going to take it back viciously. Viciously. I think this is going to feel like the Republican wave
Starting point is 01:19:08 under Gingrich. I think this is going to be pretty severe, and I think we're going to see, and unfortunately, the, you know, the, whatever's the chime or the pendulum on the clock is never, you can never visually see it
Starting point is 01:19:21 at exactly the median. I think we're going to see, I don't think they'll go through, but I think you'll see proposals for wealth taxes, similar to the ones that's been proposed in California. I think you're going to see a dramatic
Starting point is 01:19:35 shift back to progress this, Because when you read these emails, you're like, wow, these guys, they really have become Marie Antoinette with, you know, with blazers. Yeah. And I think the- They don't wear blazers. They wear cashmere hoodies. Whatever it is.
Starting point is 01:19:52 Yeah, khakis. But this, I think the vibe of these emails is really unsettling. And I think it's going to accelerate a decline or accelerate a pretty serious move to, I don't, you know, call them progressive policies, call them what you want. This is going to, this is, I think we're at a pretty pivotal moment, and it's more about the culture and the vibe than the specific crimes. Yeah, I think what I think what you're talking about. I don't, I think if Demerner's smart, they'd call it common sense and decency, right? Common sense and decency.
Starting point is 01:20:27 Like, if they just kind of do that, it's such a, because Trump seems not common sense and not decent. It just is a, anyway, that's my feeling like common sense and decency. Common sense and decency. I like that. I agree with you. It's a Marie. You must have had some interesting dinners in Los Angeles. That's what it sounds like.
Starting point is 01:20:43 You'd be so proud of me. What did you do? We had this dinner and they invited one of these people we talk about all the time on the show. And they said, it would be okay if we invited so-and-so and his girlfriend. I'm like, no, I don't want to meet them. I talk about them all the time and I don't want to meet them because this is what happens. I meet them and I like them and I stop speaking and unfiltered. Yeah. Good. Can you tell me who that was?
Starting point is 01:21:09 Nope. All right. You'll tell me later. Okay. I'll tell you. Anyway, we want to hear from you. Send us your questions about business tech or whatever is on your mind. Go to nymag.com slash pivot. Send a question for the show. Call 85551 Pivot. Okay, that's the show. Thanks for listening to Pivot.
Starting point is 01:21:23 And be sure to like and subscribe to our YouTube channel. We'll be back next week. Scott, read us out. Today's show is produced by Lara Nam and Zoe Marcus and Taylor Griffin. Ernie and or Todd engineered this episode. Manola Moreno edited this video. Thanks also to Drew Burroughs, Mia Tiberio, and Dan Shalon. Nishad Kurwa is Vox Media's executive producer of podcast. Make sure to follow Pivot on your favorite podcast platform.
Starting point is 01:21:45 Thanks for listening to Pivot from New York Magazine and Vox Media. You can subscribe to the magazine at nymag.com slash pod. We'll be back next week for another breakdown of all things, tech and business.

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