Pivot - OpenAI Trial "Soap Opera," ChatGPT's Stock Picks, and Remembering Ted Turner

Episode Date: May 8, 2026

Kara and Scott discuss Ted Turner's legacy, and unpack a major week of earnings from Warner Bros. Discovery, Paramount, and Disney.  Plus, Anthropic teams up with SpaceX, the Elon Musk vs. OpenAI tri...al gets even messier, and just how good is ChatGPT at picking stocks? Watch this episode on the ⁠⁠Pivot YouTube channel⁠⁠.Follow us on Instagram and Threads at ⁠⁠@pivotpodcastofficial⁠⁠.Follow us on Bluesky at ⁠⁠@pivotpod.bsky.social⁠⁠Follow us on TikTok at ⁠⁠@pivotpodcast⁠⁠.Send us your questions by calling us at 855-51-PIVOT, or email pivot@voxmedia.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:01:40 Begruen Institute featuring some of the world's brightest minds focus on what the future looks like and how to design a better one. Subscribe to Futurology wherever you get your podcast, or watch full episodes on YouTube. You know, I just was hanging out with goats calmly in Norway, and here I have to deal with this bullshit. Hi, everyone. This is Pivot from New York Magazine and the Vox Media Podcast Network. I'm Kara Swisher. And I'm Scott Galloway. where I am, Scott. Where are you?
Starting point is 00:02:13 Norway. Really? I'm in Norway. Yes. Are you in Oslo? Where are you? No, I'm in Bergen, which is beautiful. That sounds like a speaking gig with some serious zero zone.
Starting point is 00:02:23 I'm doing actually a favor. It's not a paid speaking gig. It's for this Nordic media days. They've been driving me crazy to come. The Norwegians are big on us, Scott. We're big in Norway. We're big in Norway. It's only 5 million people.
Starting point is 00:02:37 But anyway, it's this group of people that, like all the different newspapers and broadcast and podcasters and everything else. And they do this thing called Nordic Media Days. And the woman who runs it has been like peppering me for a long, long time. And so I have agreed to do it because I was in London, which I was also in London for Tina Brown's thing. Didn't contact me. Didn't stop by.
Starting point is 00:03:00 Didn't say hi. I wrote you several times and you were in Hamburg. Didn't invite me for tea. I didn't say hello. I invited you for dinner where I got to meet. It just uses me to cash big checks. No, this is such a lie. Would you like me to show the text?
Starting point is 00:03:14 I'm in Hamburg. What kind of excuse is that? I'm in Hamburg. Were you in Hamburg? That wasn't Hamburg. Okay. I was eating sausage and having beer. I loved her.
Starting point is 00:03:24 By the way, just going to Norway. I'm going to finish my story, but go ahead. I'm sorry, go ahead. This leaks into your story. I don't know about you. I am much more liked or less disliked in Europe than in the U.S. I think it's because in the U.S., the moment you get assigned to some sort of political party or not, 50% of America hates you. In Europe, they really don't care. Maybe they just don't
Starting point is 00:03:46 know you well enough yet to hate you. Maybe that's where we are. That's fair. I'm like, give it time. Give it time. Anyway, so I went to London to do this, Tina, Tina Brown does this really amazing cause around journalism. It's a great conference where she puts together, it's for her late husband, Harry Evans, who was an astonishing journalist. And she, She brings together, like, amazing people. And so we was with Craig Newmark, Christian Ammanpoor, and I, Don Lemon, I had a thing on stage. Don Lemon was in London? London, he wasn't.
Starting point is 00:04:24 He didn't call me either. He didn't call me. He didn't call me. He didn't. He wasn't available. Okay. Anyway, so don't, don't, because we asked you. Don't even start.
Starting point is 00:04:32 So I'm here, so they just said, can you fly up to Bergen, which was an hour and a half flight? And so here I'm, it's beautiful, I have to say. It's sort of the entry to the fjord area. Northern Europe in the summer is... It's cold today. Oh, but it's so... Beautiful. Everything, the light, the water, the sky at night.
Starting point is 00:04:51 I mean, it's just incredible. It's incredible. I just had giant shrimp. This fish up here is astonishing. And then I walked to the top of this fluggen, fagen, flagen, whatever. Everything reads like an IKEA piece of furniture here. And in the Nordic areas. And up the top, this is in a finicular.
Starting point is 00:05:11 I love a finicular. And then I get up there and there's goats up there, just hanging out, goats. Really? Yeah. As I said off, my goats can digest anything. My Great Dane cannot. If I feed my Great Dane 30 minutes earlier late,
Starting point is 00:05:24 it becomes literally a shit cannon roaming around the house, decorating fecal matter across the most expensive items we have. So goats are not like my Great Dane lay. Well, there was goat poop up there on the top of the mountain. They can eat anything. If you give it a tennis shoe, no problem. I know, it was really cool. I was like, you know, you're not expecting goats?
Starting point is 00:05:42 And then there are goats. It was like, great. I was like, oh, look, goats. You like that? I did. I was like, oh, this is cool. You want to hear my Nordic story? Should we bring us back on me?
Starting point is 00:05:51 In one second. And then I'm going to go after the London thing, which is a, I had a lovely lunch with Christian Amin-Bore when we heard the news about Ted Turner, but I'll get to that in a second. My little European jaunt, which I did ask you to dinner at a fancy person's house where there are celebrities. You know, I don't like other people, Kara. It was nice.
Starting point is 00:06:09 I will spend a half an hour with you, and then I'm done with other people. Okay, but you would have liked this dinner. Anyway, I don't say I don't invite you. I'm going to Stockholm for Brilliant Minds, or at least I have RSD PDS. So my story about Stockholm was I went there a couple summers ago on a guy's trip, and I was walking around on a Sunday, and it was the most beautiful day, fountains, public squares everywhere, and I noticed so many people out, and I noticed it was all 80% of the people out.
Starting point is 00:06:35 where like a 55 or 65-year-old woman and a teenage girl or a woman in her, a female in her 20s, all holding hands walking around. And I did know what was gone. And I literally asked someone next thing, I'm like, what's with all the women holding hands? All the women holding hands is that,
Starting point is 00:06:55 oh, it's a tradition here, mothers and daughters on Sundays, I don't know if it's every Sunday, get together. And there must have been, I'm not exaggerating, in this square, there must have been 300,
Starting point is 00:07:05 mother-daughter duos walking somewhere hand in hand. And I thought, fuck it, I'm moving to Northern Europe. I know, it's really lovely, right? It really is. These people get it. One thing that's interesting, though, I have to say is, and I was talking to a bunch of media types here, they're beside themselves about Trump. They just, he has really spun them up.
Starting point is 00:07:27 They're all like, and I said, well, you know, we've had it for 10 years, so we'll have to, you know, I'm sure he's on his way out, but it's, it's, they're just, I was like, it's time to just, you're going to have to take control of your own destiny at this point. You can't rely on us in that regard. Yeah, I agree. Same thing in Germany, in the emotion I registered from them is that they're actually, they're very worried. And they're actually, in a weird way, it's like you don't appreciate something until it's gone. They miss the old America.
Starting point is 00:08:02 And I think there's a certain kind of bereft, like, weird. We were fond of America and we hope that it is still America. The second thing, maybe you got it too. The second thing is how did the tech people become villains? It's here. That brand is here, like, completely. Like, how awful the tech people are. And before they, like, had antipathy, that's for sure.
Starting point is 00:08:23 Like, you know, with all the different rules they created. And they were sort of onto them before everybody else was. But it's a real, like, you know, it's the same trends that are happening in the U.S. The AI is not trustworthy. the tech villains, they suck up to Trump to get their stuff. It's really a theme here. And it's linked to Trump, of course. The tech people are very linked to Trump.
Starting point is 00:08:45 And so they have more than antipathy towards tech now. It's really, that's interesting to me too. Whenever they, but I got some questions about that, about how did tech come off the rails about it? I'm like, okay, but you have to couch it in the following context. I get a little bit defensive around this, and that is, and you get that a lot. How did Tech and how did American Tech Brothers become so terrible?
Starting point is 00:09:06 I'm like, okay, just to slow your role a little bit. In 1995, GDP per capita, an hourly wage was about the same, and productivity was about the same between Europe and the U.S. The U.S. has blown away Europe. I mean, up 20 or 30 percent while Europe is flat, and most of that is capital formation in tech. Anthropic, which was founded five years ago, if it had been founded in Europe,
Starting point is 00:09:32 it would be one of the five most valuable companies in Europe. I'm like, for all the villainy or villainy or bad vibes that you're getting from tech, keep in mind, these companies have created unbelievable economic value that has, quite frankly, left you in the dust. Yeah, no, that's been happening for a long, that's a first cycle, the second cycle, the third cycle. No, it's absolutely true. But one of the things that was interesting is they're debating whether to use Palantir and some of their defense systems. So it's top of mind for these people of who, these people are. So it was just interesting. I'll be interested to see what happens at Cambridge, like what the questions there are. But it's nice to check in with other people.
Starting point is 00:10:10 Just the IPOs, just the IPOs of Anthropic, OpenAI, and SpaceX that they go through are estimated to earn or raise about $250 billion, just those three companies. Do you know how much money was raised in the capital markets in the UK last year? Probably what, in the billion, maybe. $2.4 billion. Yeah, a couple of them. Now, granted, that was a, that was an especially weak year. Mm-hmm.
Starting point is 00:10:38 But the capital formation in Europe is just not there. It's there for, it's interesting, it's there for seed stage companies. And also the tax policy, you get a 30% tax credit here in the UK for seed stage investments. You get 30 cents on the dollar back right away. So they're really good about CED stage. What they don't have is in the U.S., if you show any promise or scale, especially in AI right now, You can go out and raise $100 million for your BNC round. That just doesn't exist here in Europe.
Starting point is 00:11:06 Yeah, no, it's true. But nonetheless, they're still in with us, technologically speaking, and they have to use our companies. So they're very interested in what's playing out with Trump and the tech people. Anyway, we have to get to the news. Speaking of great entrepreneurs, Ted Turner, the media mogul CNN founder, who helped create the 24-hour news cycles died at 87.
Starting point is 00:11:25 Turner was also a major philanthropist, making a record $1 billion donation who established the United Nations Foundation, He was a different kind of billionaire, although he was also the, it was called the mouth of the South. Beyond media and philanthropy, Turner pursued countless other passions from his Montana Grill, his eco-conscious restaurant chain being named Yachtzman of the year multiple times. He was Larry Ellison before Larry Allison. He announced he had Louis Body dementia, progressive brain disorder in 2018.
Starting point is 00:11:55 Jane Fonda, one of Turner's ex-wives who remained a close friend, remembered him saying, men like 10 aren't supposed to express need and vulnerability. That was Ted's greatest strength, I believe. And he was. And I recently interviewed her, and she had told me he was quite ill. I talked to him a little bit for my books, Linnea O.L. He was real mad about the sale and everything else, except that when he sold the company, he had that famous quote,
Starting point is 00:12:20 where he said, and this deal was better than sex. Do you remember that? He always had something kooky to say at any one moment. And I, you know, a lot of people are like, oh, he's the reason we have terrible cable. His vision of cable was not this what has happened. So I sort of pushed back against that because his idea was that you can get news to sort of democratize the news a little more from the big three. And so I consider him a real important, his legacy very important, even though it sort of morphed into this scream fest that it has become. But his was, it was, you know, it was real news.
Starting point is 00:12:58 And I happened to be with Christiana Amunpur, who got there pretty early, not right away at the beginning. And she had nothing but great things to say about his tenure when he was sort of doing real entrepreneurial news and other things, you know, and a very generous and charitable person at the same time. And also funny and weird and interesting. Yeah, this guy is, you know, he kind of defined the term that you don't hear anymore, a captain of industry. And the term captain, he was something people don't know about. is I think he may be the only billionaire who was also an elite world-class athlete. He won the America's Cup. Yeah, he did.
Starting point is 00:13:36 And there are just not very many billionaires who've reached the pinnacle of a sport. And maybe Roger Staubach, is he a billionaire now? Anyways, but he built CNN from nothing. It's really interesting how it emerged. So news, when we were growing up, was a public service, and that is ABC and CBS sold a shit ton of ads from Tang and Chevrolet running against All in the Family and MASH and the Partridge family and the Brady Bunch. And they felt that it was a public service to have 23 minutes of news and seven minutes of commercial in this money losing thing called the local news. And he said,
Starting point is 00:14:14 he correctly figured out that there was money in a market for 24 by 7 news. And it was very scrappy. If you look, go back, it wasn't very well produced. And he started the whole thing. Now, where it came off the tracks was, quite frankly, with Rupert Murdoch recognizing that the part of the news, they made an observation, and that is, KABC news with Jerry Dumfey back in the 70s had something called Point Counterpoint. And S&L used to mock it, you know, Jane U Ignorant Slot. Yeah, Jane, you Ignorant Slot. That's our show pretty much, but go ahead. So they recognize something called Point Counterpoint, and it was Bruce Herschinson and Jim Tunney. And they would start yelling at each other. And someone did the analysis and found out that's what people were tuning in for.
Starting point is 00:15:03 Yeah, I know. And that was really the key and arguably the most dangerous insight that Rupert Murdoch made. And of course, what he did. And that is, no, this isn't about balance. It's enough news to create a halo of legitimacy. And quite frankly, CNN was guilty of it, too, Crossfire. And CNN now has a show like that where they all just start yelling at each other. That's where Tucker Carlson started.
Starting point is 00:15:29 Yeah. Michael Kinsey. Remember Tucker and Michael just going at it? And that seemed civil compared to what. It actually, when you watch it, it actually is. It seems patrician. It's intelligent. It's intelligent.
Starting point is 00:15:43 Good sir, I beg to differ. You know, anyways, it is digressed and has become something that is, I don't know, it's a longer talk show. Let's get back to Ted Turner. He gave away a billion dollars. He actually gave away a billion dollars to the UN. I would argue when the UN actually meant something. Something also, people constantly ask me for male role models
Starting point is 00:16:02 for kind of a positive or aspirational form of masculinity. I think Ted Turner is a great role model. One, let's just go to the male stuff. Very aggressive. Also, politically incorrect. When Time Warner, when Time Warner was acquired by CNN, Then Gerald Levin introduced the whole thing and said, and now I want to introduce my best friend, Ted Turner.
Starting point is 00:16:26 And Ted stood up and said, best friend, I've never been to your fucking house. Yeah, he was great. And then my favorite was when he did in all hands, and it was Ash Wednesday, and there were a bunch of people in the audience with ashes on their forehead. He's like, shouldn't you be working at Fox? Oh. I mean, the guy was. I think there's a certain charm in a world now where everything is so, I don't know,
Starting point is 00:16:47 especially in corporations. Yeah, but it was a different kind of. It was good nature. He wasn't mean. He was called the mouth of the South. Remember, he called himself that too. I mean, and so he was a different time period. He wasn't malevolent.
Starting point is 00:16:59 But he was charitable. He was visionary. He was aggressive. 14 grandchildren. 14 or 12 grandchildren. Married to Jane Fonda. She's still awesome. She told me.
Starting point is 00:17:09 She's still. An environmentalist and also took his seat and his privilege and his wealth as an obligation to serve and connect nations with each other. funded something that didn't work called the Pan American Games, but it was meant to be a more, a less corrupt Olympics. I called it the Pan American Games. It's called the Goodwill Games. It was an effort to ease tensions between the U.S. and USSR. Anyways, he was very serious about uniting nations in trying to promote world peace. He saw his wealth and his seat as an obligation that he was optimizing for service, not for attention. I would urge people if they're blaming what cable is now on him not to.
Starting point is 00:17:52 That was not his vision. I was around for that. And it became that and it was not his. He may have created the 24th. And they did take advantage. Remember the thing that really sent them over the top was that the girl down the well? Remember the girl down the well story? Oh, yeah.
Starting point is 00:18:09 That's what Christian was. She's like, oh, that's the thing that really got people watching. That in the Iraq War? Yeah, the Iraq War. and that's where Christiane showed up. You saw moments of that where remember the Studs God, Arthur Kent?
Starting point is 00:18:24 Like, it started to turn. That's when you started to sort of see the beginnings of kind of the circus acts of these cable stations. And I was thinking that as I was, you know, I went on Sky News and BBC and stuff like that. And like the constant haunt of,
Starting point is 00:18:39 and I think it's a very serious, I'm worried about hauntavirus, but the constant, let's go back to the cruise ship, Let's go back to the, and I was like, this, actually we're in a war in Iran. I feel like perhaps we need to head over there and take a look at what's had the cruising going on in the straight of her moves. But he is a great legacy. Remember Bernard Shaw?
Starting point is 00:18:59 Bernard Shaw, amazing. Daniel Shore. Yeah. Oh, my dad's favorite for the wrong reasons. Bobby Batista. Lois Hart. God, I grew up on CNN. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:19:08 And Christian. Yeah. And also, I genuinely believe a decent administration would be CNN anchors. Dana Bash should be president. She is smart, she's elegant, and she could smother you in your sleep. She's got that edge to her, which every president needs. If you cross her. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:19:26 Anderson should be vice president. Any problems with the Pope? He just goes over there, just talks about grief. Everybody loves him, confident enough. Okay. Freed Zakaria, Secretary of State, hands down. Hands down. Michael Smirconish, he could be Secretary of Commerce or Labor.
Starting point is 00:19:42 Okay. Do I get anything? I'm a contributor. Do I get like an ambassadorship to something? Oh, you're ambassador to Guyana. No, thank you. We've already decided this. Okay.
Starting point is 00:19:51 We're going to move on because. You're saving me from myself there? I'm saving you from yourself. Because it's interesting, I don't think Ted Turner, he didn't like the AO all time Warner deal. That I did speak to him about. But first he was like it was better than sex. The deal was the best thing I ever did better than sex.
Starting point is 00:20:04 And then afterwards, he like totally publicly decried it publicly. And one thing that Barry Diller, I think, told him was like, if you sell your house and they wreck the patio, you need to shut up, you sold the house. And I didn't necessarily agree with him on that, but he definitely had much regrets. And he probably wouldn't be thrilled where, from the latest numbers from Warner Brothers Discovery, the company reported a net loss of $2.9 billion in the latest quarter. That's essentially a $2.8 billion termination fee tied to the Netflix deal. Paramount agreed to cover the cost, but the expense still sits on Warner's books
Starting point is 00:20:41 until the deal officially closes. for people who don't see why that was that big of loss. But nonetheless, the first quarter revenue was down 1% year over year, and ad revenue slid 7%. Total streaming revenue did rise 9%. Largely by HBO Max went international. Paramount had slightly better news to report, beating revenue and earnings expectations.
Starting point is 00:21:02 In the first quarter, Paramount added 700,000 subscribers during the quarter helping streaming revenue grow by 17% year over year. The company's film studio did well with revenue up 11%. And they said they're making great progress on the Warner Brothers deal with late Q3 closing still on track. There's still some pushback to it. At the same time, I'm going to add one more earnings. Disney's under the first new CEO, Josh DeMorrow. The numbers were strong with revenue climbing 7% to 25 billion operating income across Disney's entertainment sports and experience.
Starting point is 00:21:33 It's been beat expectations. The company says it expects earnings per share to grow 12%. That's solid in the fiscal year. in one week spot, a dip in attendance at its U.S. theme parks, probably due to fewer international dollars, they're going to see repercussions from gas prices, I'm guessing, and other prices. But it's only down 1%, maybe the next quarter is where you're going to see it over the summer. That will be the real indicator there. Thoughts on the Warner and everything, they're just sort of bumping along these companies.
Starting point is 00:22:01 So Warner Brothers, 117 adjusted gap versus estimates of $0.9, which is actually pretty good. They had a 45% beat. Operating margin was down, but are mostly flat. The linear networks continue to bleed. The revenue fell 8%, with domestic pay TV subscribers down 10%. And free cash flow was $476 million in net leverage sits at $3.4.4x. The Paramount deal is expected a close Q3, which will form a company with $69 billion in pro forma revenue. If there's a book, if you wrote a book called the worst acquisitions in history, you could just call the book Time Warner. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:22:43 They are at the center of the, I mean, three of the five worst acquisitions in history all involve Time Warner. Yeah, with AT&T, AOL, right? Yeah, and this one, I think will go down in terms of shareholder value destruction, Paramount posted a clean beat and streaming turned its first real profit,
Starting point is 00:23:02 revenue of $7.35 billion versus $7.28, EPS of 23 cents versus 15 cents expected. I mean, companies are just incredible. Companies are just blowing away their earnings. Their direct-to-consumer revenue was up 11%. Paramount plus revenue up 17%. I wonder how much of that is Landman. They added 700,000 net subscribers
Starting point is 00:23:23 to reach 79.6 million in total. Direct-to-consumer EBITDA improved to 251 million. TV media revenue fell 6% to 3.7 billion as cord-cutting continues. and Paramount has nearly doubled its film slate for 2026 versus 2025 since closing the Skydance deal last August, which to their credit. He promised. Yeah, everyone's been saying, oh, they're going to gut Hollywood and they're coming out swinging and they're doubling their film slate. The thing is, is it going to make money, right?
Starting point is 00:23:53 That's the issue. Let's see what happens. What happens, yeah. So let's just wait until they, you can spend the money. I mean, that's what rich people do, but let's see if they make it. If they have some hits, if they have some hits. And so Josh DeMorrow's first earning call, C, Aal, reported. a really strong beat. Shares gained roughly 7% after the report. But here's the thing. A hundred percent
Starting point is 00:24:12 of this beat, the credit, goes to Bob Iger. Someone doesn't impact earnings two weeks after they take the CEO job. This beat was really ringing the bell for Bob Iger. Revenue at 25.2 billion versus 24.8 expected. Earnings at $5.57 versus $149 expected. Streaming operating income jumped 88%. to $582 million. And Disney's streaming margins broke into the double digits at almost 11%. Their streaming revenue hit $5.5 billion, up 13% driven by price hikes.
Starting point is 00:24:49 And Disney no longer report subscriber numbers, which is a shame. But their experiences that you reference was up 7%, which must be an increase in prices, because as you mentioned, numbers are down. The attendance is down. And they also have raised their buyback target,
Starting point is 00:25:09 similar to what Apple did last week, and guided for, I think Disney, I think Disney is a buy. And tomorrow is, you know, he came out of the parks, and which grew nearly 40% in revenue under his watch. And he called Disney Plus the digital centerpiece of the company on Wednesday's earnings he flagged fuel and consumer spending. Dana Walden, who I know you know,
Starting point is 00:25:32 named President Chief Creative Officer. That was an important keep for that company, the keeping her, because she was the CEO. She was the top contender. Well, not like that, they're all, I mean, quite frankly, a lot of these people are probably, I mean, this is the challenge when your stock is below where it was 10 years ago. You have to get the most talented people in a room and say, I'm going to issue new options, and please stick around. Because you've got to think a lot of these people are looking at.
Starting point is 00:26:00 Except what is their option? Yeah, because. That's the harder now. You can't be as good. You can't do those sweet, sweet deals anymore. Yeah, but if you're a talented Disney executive, you could absolutely land. I would stay.
Starting point is 00:26:16 See, now I would stay because you have power. We were one of the last pieces of wood floating. I don't know. I just thought of that analogy. I like that. It was from the Devil Wars Prada too, but go ahead. I thought it was from the Titanic. It is, but she just said that.
Starting point is 00:26:32 She goes, we just got on the last. I was wondering how long it was going to be for you, mentioned the devil wears fraud to. Just saying, it's killing it, still killing it. Yeah, no, that's great. Let's go over every movie that's actually making money. It is making money. Yeah, it's making a ton.
Starting point is 00:26:44 It's going to change the world. Lawrence of Arabia meets the sound of music meets the six-sons. Disney stock is down more than 10% year-to-date, despite back-to-back earning speeds. I don't know if it's because everyone's giving up on traditional media or because AI is sucking all the oxygen out of every other company of the other. company of the other 490 in the S&P. But I think Disney, actually right now, is a really good buy. And I wouldn't be surprised if it's put in play in the next three to six months.
Starting point is 00:27:15 You keep saying that. By whom? To Apple? Because Apple was looking at perplexity, allegedly. An activist. Oh. An activist comes in and says, you need to cut 20% of your staff or you need to put the company up for sale. Which they did with Iger.
Starting point is 00:27:29 I mean, Iger went through that, right? Several times, I think. Yeah, but Iger had so much credibility. he was able to back. So it's weak because this is a new CEO, right? The stock, the stock. Disney has this unbelievable franchise, or it might be corporate restructuring, go good bank, bad bank, to spin out the parks into its own business.
Starting point is 00:27:47 They decided not to, as you know. They were going to get rid of ABC at one point, and then they decided to keep ESPN. I think that's one of tomorrow's first decisions. And an activist will argue that their decisions have been really poor, because this company has probably the greatest collection of IP in the world, a booming parks business, and yet the stock is trading below where it was in 2016. This is sort of, I got to think there's a lot of activists out of it. Which activist? The same old sort of unpleasant, like, Permanagh?
Starting point is 00:28:15 No. If I had to bet on any firm that shows up forcefully yet dignified, it would be Elliot. Elliot, yeah. And by the way, I don't know anything. I haven't talked to them about this. But I wouldn't be surprised. Unfortunately, it'll probably be someone like Helts, but he's more consumer. Or I wouldn't put it past. The last was in the last one, I think, with Parmutter, remember? I don't know. I think if Netflix stock was, I don't know. I think Netflix and Disney, this merger, the merger between Netflix and Disney could never happen under an administration that didn't have it.
Starting point is 00:28:47 It didn't have a FTC or a DOJ that was in a slumber. So if there was any desire to do that, it would, then now would be the time. No, except Brenda is not, it doesn't like Disney. It's in his, it's in his sights. Who doesn't like Disney? Brendan Carr. Brenda, I call it Brandon. Yeah, but, well.
Starting point is 00:29:05 He specifically called out Disney, like, by name, saying he doesn't like what the happen. Yeah, but he doesn't get to decide antitrust. Right, yeah. I mean, I guess, could he lead it? The bottom line is Disney and Netflix right now. Disney is cheap right now. So Netflix and Disney, in a windup, would be game over. If you took Netflix's IP, including Wednesday, Stranger Things, Bridgeton, and used it to go vertical,
Starting point is 00:29:31 and create experiences in parks. I just think it'd be incredible. By the way, it shouldn't happen. It would be too much concentration of media, but from it, I would buy shares in that company. Yeah, absolutely. I don't think it'll happen. Although, I don't know why it shouldn't,
Starting point is 00:29:46 because they have a lot of companies to go up against these tech companies, but I don't know. Anyway, well, interesting to see. It was fine. It was perfectly fine. It was like, okay, it's so funny. You know, when Ted Turner, when that deal happened,
Starting point is 00:29:58 I mean, media, that was the top for media. wasn't it? Like, when A.O. All Time Warner happened, I think. It was like they were running the fucking show. They were the kings of the road, and then they weren't. Like, it's been a downward, downward, downward, downward slide for traditional media. The fall of traditional media for me is embodied by, when I first moved to New York in 2000, and like all single people in the 30s, we would pile eight people into a house and Bridge Hampton.
Starting point is 00:30:31 And every weekend was a mad scramble to see who we knew at Condonast, who knew what magazine was throwing the most fabulous party in the Hamptons. That was Ron Gallo, all those people. And whether it was details or Vogue, and the job, the masters of the universe were the creatives and the business people working at Condonass magazines in the magazine group. And in the journalism business, I have to tell you, I was like the Internet person, and they, like, treated me like, shit.
Starting point is 00:31:03 Like, they were like, oh, you're part of the Internet. Tech was boring. You know, and you're, no, it was Ponzi scheme. It was Ponzi scheme. Oh, it's nothing, it's going to, it's all a bunch of, it's going to go away. And the media reporters was such snobags. I have to tell you, they just were. And I was like, I don't, I think you're in trouble.
Starting point is 00:31:21 I was, and they're like, you don't know. They're going to run the show in media, media, media. And I was like, well, I think there's got some vulnerabilities there. But I'll never, it was the same thing. It was sort of, it was, well, too bad. That's what happened. Anyway, let's go on a quick break. We come back, Anthropic gets into bed with Elon and SpaceX.
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Starting point is 00:34:13 The real power move is leveling up your business with FedEx intelligence and accessing one of the biggest data networks powered by one of the biggest delivery networks. Level up your business with FedEx, the new power move. Scott, we're back. Anthropic CEO Dario Amodi says the company planned for 10x growth this year, but is now seeing growth closer to 80x, creating a massive need for more computing power. Enter SpaceX, or rather, SpaceX AI. SpaceX acquired XAI back in February,
Starting point is 00:34:51 but Elon Musk has just revealed XAI will be dissolved, and its AI products will be part of the space XAI brand, of course, because everybody left. He didn't, it didn't have quite the traction that he had hoped, so he's, as I said, folding it right in, everything's going to get folded. Tesla's next. Under the New Deal, Anthropic will get compute power
Starting point is 00:35:10 with SpaceX AI. to center in Memphis, the one that's polluting people, as it works to keep up with surging demand, everybody needs power. It real turnaround for Elon, who earlier called anthropic evil. He's now saying he was impressed after meeting with senior executive, adding no one set off my evil detector. Again, look in the fucking mirror, dude. So is this the enemy of my enemy as my friend because of Chad GPT?
Starting point is 00:35:36 This is an interesting thing. I mean, obviously, Elens has not had the success he'd hoped to dominate, and, It's all about his beef with Sam Altman, but in this case, this is what he's doing. I would be careful if I was Dario in general, but I think he's savvy enough to deal with Elon, though, and he seems to have enough pushback. Any thoughts on this? I'd rather talk about me and the aughts and reminisce a little bit longer. Is that okay?
Starting point is 00:36:02 Just for a second. So I started. Okay, but I want thoughts on this. In 2000, I had, moving to New York from San Francisco, I had to do. just been abused, ridden hard and put away wet by Sequoia Capital, kicked out of the band I started, kicked off of the board of the company I started, just like got divorced. Just like, I just wanted, I wanted to never go back to San Francisco the rest of my life. And I moved in New York.
Starting point is 00:36:29 Can I ask you a question? Did you deserve it just a little bit? Did I deserve what? What happened was Sequoia? I'm just curious. Oh, I was an obnoxious, aggressive entrepreneur that was arrogant and reckless. Okay. But also Mike Moritz is a small vindictive man.
Starting point is 00:36:43 Okay, got it. So, yeah, I think there's enough blame to go around for everyone. And also the board was a bunch of, a bunch of obsequious people getting, anyways. It doesn't hurt. I'm still not triggered. I'm clearly over it. I'm clearly over it. All of you are still to this day.
Starting point is 00:37:02 I'm clearly over it. Anyways, I moved back to New York, and I started an e-commerce incubator back by Goldman, J.P. Morgan, Maveron, Howard, Howard Schultz's company. And it was near impossible to recruit people to come to work for a technology incubator. And I would take people out who are working at traditional media who are making $500,000 or $600,000 a year. And I'd say, I can only pay you $200, but I'm going to give you $2 million options on $2 million shares. And I would have to walk them through what options were. Oh, wow. The ecosystem, I couldn't even use a New York based law firm because they didn't do venture. People don't realize New York in 2000 was about finance.
Starting point is 00:37:45 It was about media. There was no. There were a couple. There were a couple little ones. Guilt. Yeah. I mean, there was a guilt and there was. There was guilt in there was. Kevin Ryan's company. And then there was the one ad company that got sold to. It was a media company, which we call it a Gawker. There was Gawker. Well, that wasn't an internet company. That was a gossip magazine or a digital closet. There was a digital ad company in New York. There was no technology. It really wasn't. Whatsoever. There was one. Oh, the one that bought was bought by Yahoo. Tumblr. Tumblr. Oh, my God. Tumblr was in New York. Tumblr. The worst acquisition in history. The worst acquisition in history. I broke that story. Nice to meet you. But yeah.
Starting point is 00:38:30 Yeah, where Maris, within the same 60 days, Mark Zuckerberg made the best acquisition in history. For a billion, he bought Instagram. It's now worth a I think probably a half a trillion to a trillion dollars. And Marissa Mayer said, I'm a baller. And she bought Tumblr for a billion dollars, which seven years later got sold for how much? A couple million to work. Three million dollars. It was a collection of, it was a collection of blogs.
Starting point is 00:38:54 Dirty sites. Dirty blogs. And then when they shut down the porn, I got into an online battle with, what's the guy with the Bad Caesar's haircut, the venture capitalist? There were two or three. There were two.
Starting point is 00:39:05 Unisquare ventures. Anyways, they told Tumblr that We're no longer going to fund this bag of shit that was making no money. But he convinced Marr to buy it for $1.1 billion. Anyways. I'll walk down memory lane of New York. This has been fun. I really enjoyed this.
Starting point is 00:39:22 Okay. All right. And then I joined. And Jen, my incubator collapsed within like six months founding it after the dot-com implosion, and I joined the faculty at NYU where my first year salary was $12,000. Nice. Good times. Nice.
Starting point is 00:39:36 Okay. Good times. Back to X-A. Anyways, back to Anthropic. What do we talk? I've said this. I wish I have never bet on a predictions market. I said this a week ago.
Starting point is 00:39:48 Kalshi had Musk winning at 51 or 52%. Now it's all of a sudden fallen to 38. Winning at what? Winning? Winning the case. The Musk wins the case. Yeah. He's got to make some moves.
Starting point is 00:40:01 Going from, there is no moves. He does not have a legal leg to stand on. Yeah. You can go from a nonprofit to a for, for profit, you're allowed to do that. Yeah. And when you... And California already approved it.
Starting point is 00:40:12 Speaking of the late 90s, I bought a home for $720,000 in Noe Valley near where you live, which was a lot of money for me at the time. And two years later, when I moved to New York, I sold it for 960 and thought I was a fucking real estate genius. It ended up that house is next to where Mark Zuckerberg moved. It's got to be worth $10 million right now. This is the equivalent... Six.
Starting point is 00:40:33 I live right now. Okay, a lot more. This is the equivalent of me going back. back to the owners and suing them. This is regret and a Messiah complex cosplaying a legal argument. I would agree. Judges and courts aren't concerned
Starting point is 00:40:49 or aren't moved by anger and indignance and sellers' regret. They're moved by evidence and argument, and there's none here. Though I will say, this trial, I was thinking, you know, you're watching the texts go back and forth and Miramor Marotti doesn't like Sam, really,
Starting point is 00:41:04 even though she pretended she did. and the girlfriend who was on the board, I'm blanking on her name, I don't really care, because Chauvin Zillis, who has... Isn't that his girlfriend? Well, it's his partner, and then they had four children, and she didn't manage to tell the open-eye people that she had two children with him. And obviously she was... That's not a conflict, Kara. She's like a spy in there, like, right? That's not a conflict.
Starting point is 00:41:28 Like, you might give that piece of information if you're in a beef with someone. If you're a fiduciary for all shareholders making decisions around someone's conference, and you're having their children. That's just like, she probably just forgot to mention it. Anyway, so the whole thing, and they're like going back and forth in this trial, and I think, this is a soap opera, but the most boring people, most awful boring people in it. I'm like, I could give a fuck that whether Miramarati likes Sam Altman or not. I don't care.
Starting point is 00:41:56 Like, oh, he was manipulative? I don't care. Like, what does that have to do with anything? Like, you know, honestly, I force, you know, you hear that, of course, about Sam being manipulative in telling one person, one thing, and another. And as I'm reading it in the trial, I'm like, so, but does this, is it so legal? Is he's just a jerk or you didn't like him or he was deceptive? Did he do anything illegal? Because otherwise, your internal corporate hijinks, I don't, you know, care. I do think she should have told people she had his babies, in my opinion.
Starting point is 00:42:27 But the whole thing is like a bad soap opera that you want to like turn off. Like, and it's just bad for AI. It's bad for the companies, and therefore he's going to do another deal like this. That's why we're where we are. He's trying to glom himself onto a successful. Ron Wayne was one of the founders of Apple. He owned 10% of it. He sold his 10% for $2,300. Back to, I think, Jobs in Wozniak. That is now worth $400 billion. Yeah, he feels bad. And guess what? It sucks to be a grown-up. He signed the legal documents. Private property, key to private property is a when like Elon Musk, and my favorite defense is, oh, he didn't read the fine print. No, please.
Starting point is 00:43:07 He's the wealthiest man in the world with the most sophisticated legal team in history. But, oh, he didn't ruin the fine. I would like to, I would just love to see someone show up who sold, the guy who sold Tesla to Musk or the rights to it. I forget his name, show up and say, oh, I didn't realize it was going to be worth this much and I didn't read the fine print, just to see how that goes over and before. Yeah, instead he's like, baby daddy. I'm like, come on.
Starting point is 00:43:29 Like, stop it, you people. You fucking people. These are the smartest people in our planet. They sound like such idiots. They're trying to make an emotional argument that he's trying to, that I wanted it to be a nonprofit. And what did I do? Go on to found a for-profit AI company
Starting point is 00:43:45 that arguably has less guardrails than any other AI company. A jury of actual people, I think this is a great buy at 38%. I'll take the other side of this. I don't. Yeah. Nobody likes these people. I have to say Brockman came off.
Starting point is 00:44:01 of all these sort of loathsome people. I'm waiting for the Sam Altman testimony, but of all the people so far, Greg Brockman comes off the best, and I'm not a particular fan of his either, like the one that keeps notes of everything. So some of the highlights of the testimony, let's see, emails from Zillis showing must-suggested opening,
Starting point is 00:44:18 I become part of Tesla, potentially as a B-Corps subsidiary, must try to recruit Sam Altman to join the world-class AI Lob within Teth, even offering reports. They didn't, had no interest, Sam Altman, Greg Brockman. Two days before the trial started, Musk tested Brockman asking if he was interested in settling the case.
Starting point is 00:44:38 Musk supposedly wanted full control of Open AI in part to help him raise $80 billion to colonize Mars and was using Open AI employees to do secret work for Tesla. OpenIII president said the mask lack of understanding this is Brockman of AI was a concern for the company. That was factual. When I heard that, I'm like, I get it. And Open Eye's former CTO Miramaradi was a very nice person. and she testified saying she couldn't trust Sam Walton's words and saying he created chaos.
Starting point is 00:45:06 Mira, I like you, but I don't care. Like, then leave. If, leave, leave. None of this matters. Nothing matters. Like, none of it, right? It's not who's a better person. It's not who would be a better shepherd of AI.
Starting point is 00:45:19 It's contract law. I know. When you sell an asset, it doesn't, it doesn't matter who the bigger asshole is, the seller of the buyer. I know. He sold, he gave up his ownership and government's rights. He gave up his ownership. Maybe daddy did. And the whole, the media is trying to turn this into, who would be better at running it?
Starting point is 00:45:37 It doesn't fucking matter. Don't follow along with these people are saying. When you sell an asset, it doesn't matter who's the better person or steward of the home you sold. It is instructive to look how sloppy it is. I keep saying to people, they're like, oh, they're master's universe. I'm like, they're kind of sloppy. Like Google, like everybody in the beginning of Google, they were all like fucking each other. Like it was like, and it was a big mess and it was chaos and they all hated each other.
Starting point is 00:46:03 They liked each other. I could care less, right? That's the thing until professional management kind of. Microsoft early on was like this, like kind of a mess. But who cares? But the fact that it's coming out in court is just makes you realize how dumb and dumb, dumb, dumb, dumb this trial is. Like how dumb it is. It's about money.
Starting point is 00:46:23 It's all it is. This is, I sold something that ended up being worth $850. $50 billion. You're right. You're, that's exactly. And it's, I'm the Messiah who's going to put us on Mars, who should control autonomous in the U.S. should control space. And oh, by the way, the one part of the technological revolution that I don't control and
Starting point is 00:46:43 I can't seem to catch up in is AI. Nursing his angry wound. Six years after, I've decided, oh, I need, I should own it. I need it back, or I need money back, or I need to get in the way of their progress so X-A-I can, I mean, pretty soon it's going to be, I don't know, I had a conversation with Dario Amadei, I should own, you know, he, I should own anthropic. It's ridiculous, these people. 80 billion dollars to colonize Mars, guess what, Elon, you have it, spend it and have a good time, have at it. Good luck, bye, take your children, go. We're thrilled for you. We're excited. We'll write a, we'll write a poem for you, like, went on your way out. In 19. So stupid.
Starting point is 00:47:27 1986, was it 86 or 96? Mike Tyson at the peak of his career fought Marvis Frazier and knocked him out in the first 30 seconds. I think legally, Elon Musk is Marvis Frazier. I just think the guy... I don't even know what you're talking. It's a boxing analogy.
Starting point is 00:47:49 I don't like boxing because I don't like to see young men beating each other up like that. But if you want to talk, oh my gosh, Whenever the reels come on of Mike Tyson's 10 greatest knockouts, Jesus Christ, I met him at a restaurant. Did you? Yeah, he came up to smoking. He didn't talk to crossways, I hope.
Starting point is 00:48:06 Oh my, I was so scared of the guy, I just thought, be nice to him. Yeah. That guy, one of the most dominant athletes of all time. Anyways, this is, this should and I believe will be a first round fucking knockout. And all this drama and all the media say, who would be better at open? What happened? None of them. None of them.
Starting point is 00:48:25 Who's fucking who? It's like when Iran and Iraq were out war, I used to say, I hope the bullets win. I don't, both. We don't care. I went on CNN and they asked me, who would be a better steward? It doesn't matter. It doesn't matter. There should be. Private capital and private property means it sucks to be a grownup. And if you sell your house, it ends up being next to fucking Mark Zuckerberg and could be worth $8 or $10 million right now. Okay, it's done. You sold it boss. One final observation about these people, these are the richest people on Earth, and they're so manifestly unhappy. They just can't shut the fuck up. They can't stop fighting. They have so much money. None of them are qualified to run, be in charge of AGI, none of them. This is what this is showing. What tiny, petty, angry, unhappy people. They all are. Every single one of them. And you're like, y'all, none of you deserve what you've got here. So none of you has the dignity. or character to look good. And meanwhile, over to the left, Dario Modi's like sucking up all the attributes of goodness.
Starting point is 00:49:31 I don't even trust him and I like him. Like, it doesn't even matter at these people. Anyway, there's no. There's a problem is we shouldn't have to trust these people. We should be able to elect representatives we can trust to do the right thing and regulate these companies. And then we can fire them easily. Anyway, let's go on a quick break. When we come back, we'll talk about managing a stock portfolio via chat GPT.
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Starting point is 00:50:16 For less, give AncestryDNA. Visit Ancestry.ca. Today, offer ends May 10th. Terms apply. So we are 250 years into this American experiment, and I'd say it's going okay. I'd give us like a C plus. There is no perfect past,
Starting point is 00:50:33 but there is also no exclusively negative past because humans are going to human. That's what we do. I think the story of America is the struggle of people who have not been included in the promise of America to expand those principles to include more people. What's going to determine the next 200,
Starting point is 00:50:53 50 years of America. And how do we write a new social contract that can give us the democracy we deserve? Okay, so I'm just going to be a jerk here because I'm a historian. So we have to have a prologue explaining, you know, we the people. Oh, okay. You know, I do still remember it from Schoolhouse Rock. We the people, in order to form a perfect union, established justice. What is it? Ensure domestic tranquility? So you're talking about a foundational document. So I'm building a document that will protect American democracy. That's this week on America Actually. This week on Net Worth and Chill, I'm joined by Tank Sinatra, the meme king, with over 15 million followers across Tank's good news, influencers in the wild, and his personal account.
Starting point is 00:51:38 Tank is breaking down what the meme economy really is, how much a single sponsored post pays, why major brands are throwing serious money at jokes, and how meme culture think Preparation H, starter packs, and a person. Perfectly timed screenshot is actually reshaping how we think about money and value. Get ready for a conversation that'll change the way you scroll, make you rethink what going viral is really worth, and prove that sometimes the most serious money moves are wrapped in the silliest of jokes. Listen wherever you get your podcasts or watch on YouTube.com slash your rich BFF. Scott, we're back with just one more quick story over the past few months. I'd love to know what you think of this. A Wall Street Journal reporter asked Chat GPT for investment advice to see it. if AI could really realistically manage a stock portfolio. It actually makes sense.
Starting point is 00:52:27 Speaking of Anthropic, they just did an interesting deal where it would make decks and pitch decks and things like that. It's called, it's a company, I can't remember the name, but it's interesting, though. Chat TPT, there's a lot of interesting smaller AI companies being made that actually sound useful, so this is what the reporter did. Chat TPT generally identified market risk, but also made simple math mistakes, suggested questionable market time, strategies and sometimes veered into overly complex ideas like options trading.
Starting point is 00:52:58 The chatbot often told the user what they seem to want to hear highlighting a bigger concern that AI could sound confident and persuasive, even when its advice may be flawed or risky. Sounds like a lot of brokers, I know. About 30% of everyday investors report using AI for their portfolios. So apparently not so good yet, and in lots of really problematic ways. I mean, with a person you're looking at, you sort of have a sense when they're sort of of trying to sell you something you don't want. So it's curious, it's just like with law or medical,
Starting point is 00:53:30 it's not there. It's not there. And this personalized investment advice is just the latest wrinkle. I don't mind them making, you know, decks, pitch decks and things like that. But huge risk for lawsuits, I would assume, just the same with legal or medical or anything else. Any thoughts? Well, I think it was tempting to believe in the 90s you could use Lotus, you know, one, two, three to beat the market by doing all sorts of analysis and calculations.
Starting point is 00:53:59 And you might have had an edge for a minute. But what I would argue is that the individual thinking they can use Cloud, and I'm guilty this. I've been asking Cloud like crazy using co-work to come up with different options and hedging strategies and to identify stocks. I'm guilty of it. I love the markets. I like to gamble.
Starting point is 00:54:19 It's my means of gambling. You do. That's why I'm asking you this. And I find it interesting what it says. But here's the bottom line, or what I think, Ken Griffin will hire 2,000 PhDs, and he will weaponize them with AI, and they will outperform the market. But you believing with your $20 a month,
Starting point is 00:54:38 Claude Co-Work weapon can compete against these folks, you are showing up with a very elegant squirt gun, and they have a fucking howitzer. So this is what you do. You invest in low-cost ETS, like Vanguard and people who know and understand technology can understand how to use AI, but this will further, this will further diminish
Starting point is 00:55:02 or create or widen the delta between individual investors and institutional, because institutional investors will have the capital. The bottom line is every time you place a trade, you gotta keep in mind, on the other side of that trade is likely someone smarter than you that has, broader technology. So what you want to do, in my view, unless you, I get a lot of, I get a lot of psychic can come around playing the market. So 30% of my net worth, I like doing it.
Starting point is 00:55:30 I enjoy it. You know, it's fun for me. Occasionally I have access to a deal that other people don't have access to. So fine. But the retail investor would be better off finding low-cost ETFs where the management team there is really technically competent. That's what I do. That's what I do. I just put it in there. Exactly the right way to do it. I'm not interested in it. I know. I know I could do slightly better if I'm a little smarter than most people and have a little more insight. You're smarter in an area that has nothing to do. That's Dunning Kruger.
Starting point is 00:56:00 Be careful thinking that. No, what I mean is I have some thoughts on some things that I probably. I'm talking about the average bear, but I don't think I'm smarter than the market. Well, you understand technology. That's right. So I could be like, I wouldn't bet on this company. I would bet on this company probably earlier than other people, but I still wouldn't win. Still.
Starting point is 00:56:18 The problem is people have emotions in the market. and you can't trust your emotions in the market. So when the stock gets cut in half, your emotion is to sell it because you can't take any more pain, and that's probably when you should be buying more. And then you literally have Ken Griffin out there looking at all the trades and seeing where emotion is spiking or irrationally plummeting
Starting point is 00:56:41 and then moving in in a millionth of a second and then moving out and absorbing millions of different data points. So you do not want to plan traffic here and believe that just because you're going to get up to the mound where a guy is pitching 105 miles an hour because you've got a new aluminum bat that you think is going to, that you're going to be able to hit a home run. No, you're going to get beaned in the face. So I do think AI is going to be a huge unlock. And also, it will compress margins because what will happen is financial advisors, unless they're really good. and can go upstream into tax planning. A mediocre financial planner at your local bank,
Starting point is 00:57:25 no, you could probably do almost as well using AI or better and save 1% a year. I remember when my mom passed away and I was looking at her estate, this guy was charging her one or one and a half percent of her assets every year to put her on eight S&P stocks. I'm like, okay, that's just not that hard. Why are we paying you 1.5%.
Starting point is 00:57:46 Right, yeah. It was 1.5%. So what I would say is, I think, by the way, I think people should use AI to try and pick stocks. I just don't think they should buy them. I think it's fascinating to see the logic, to see what it comes back with, to start asking them more questions. I've been trying to figure out option strategies and on a strangle strategy. I just, I'm learning a lot. Although sometimes you don't know if it's accurate, right?
Starting point is 00:58:08 That's the issue. Some of it, the sycophanticness is still a problem because it's not going to challenge. It's not, if you, it's, I think someone was, I think the article said, it's no more than having a smart assistant, right? Like, they're no smarter than anything else. And there's an assistant part, which doesn't want to displease you. And then it's just a smart person, but you're never going to have an edge with AI the way. You can normalize for that.
Starting point is 00:58:35 There's a co-work feature in Anthropic where you ask this council of people. One's a cynic. One's an optimist. One is grounded in historical, the other is like an analytical unemotional person. And all of these, quote, unquote, agents look at your question, and then they distill their answers up to a quote unquote chairman who distills it and gives you an answer back. You can also, I lead a lot of prompts with give me the brutal truth because I don't like,
Starting point is 00:59:07 you know, I don't like it. I hate it when it says to me. Great question. The other thing you should do is, and I can't do this because I unsubscribe from chat GPT, you can beta test the same, do the exact same prompts somewhere else. I did that before I quit, and I was on other things, like show me a book title, show me a book cover. I got to say Claude was hands down the best. It just was. It was so clearly better. You know, when you taste test things, you're like, oh, that tastes like shit, and that's good, right?
Starting point is 00:59:34 Or the coffee or something like that. But yeah, you're right. But anyway, it's very interesting. I mean, you should all try it out to see what happens and do one of those tests. But this was a great article in the journal. And I think it showed that it just doesn't, it's not as ready for prime time, as they said. And about 30 percent, a third of retail investors are already using AI for their portfolios. And so... Everyone's looking for a shortcut, Scott. But this... One of the greatest grips, I believe, legal grifts in corporate history, was the financial advisor
Starting point is 01:00:01 or institutional investors. And by the way, the majority of the grift has happened amongst the richest. Yeah. They always have the handholders, yeah. Rich people like to believe that they deserve something better. So they want to get into these really high-profile, well-marketed hedge funds. who they believe, oh, I have access to Alson, or I have access to this, you know, D, Shah, whatever.
Starting point is 01:00:25 Okay, fine, fine. Guess what? If you added up all alternative investments and hedge fund returns for the last 50 years, they have underperformed the S&P by the amount of their fees. It's a, and some outperform, Berkshire Hathaway is outperformed, my buddy at Anchorage Capital is outperformed, you know, I have another buddy at Mudger Capital
Starting point is 01:00:46 is outperformed, but generally speaking, over the medium and long term, they all underperform the market by their fees. By their fees. And every piece of data analysis, if you go to the finance department at a world-class university and ask them where they invest,
Starting point is 01:01:03 they're like, Vanguard. Me too. And they don't pick stocks. Do you know what I do? Someone's like, how are your stocks doing? I'm like, I have no idea. And I'm not going to look until I need, and I don't really need the money.
Starting point is 01:01:14 So I just, I'm like, I just put it there and then it goes away. It's like a bank at Gringott's. I don't care. Like, the more I think about it, the more upset I get, right? Like, what am I missing? What did I get wrong? Did I buy gold?
Starting point is 01:01:27 Should I do this? And then I'm like, why am I that fucking person? It's a great point because in addition to the capital, you're investing, you want to talk about the emotion you're investing. And that is, I do get psychic income. You like it. You like it. I started buying stocks when I was 13.
Starting point is 01:01:44 I worked at Morgan Stanley. I find it fascinating. I really do enjoy markets and it's served me well. Having said that, it also takes a real emotional toll staring at your fucking phone. And then when you buy a stock and you're convinced you're a genius and it gets cut by 40% in two weeks after you buy it, you're really going to beat yourself up. You are. It's just, it's better not to pay attention. 100%. It is. And the other thing is, can I just say for people, again, if you like it and it's fun, that's one thing and it starts to get to an obsession, it's another. The only thing I wish you wouldn't do is put so much of your medical
Starting point is 01:02:16 information to these people because they don't, they're not bound by HIPAA. Same thing with legal. I'm like, please don't. I mean, unless you find one of these ones that is bound by the same law as everybody else's, I just worry about that over time. What's that? No, I'm just saying, whenever, you put a lot of your purse, you always like, oh, I load it up, sometimes you don't even realize you're saying this to me.
Starting point is 01:02:36 I put away all my medical thing into this. And I was like, really? Not sure I trust these people to have all Scott's medical. I'm very promiscuous of my information. You are. It makes me worried. I'll be honest with you. think, oh, dear, no, don't do that.
Starting point is 01:02:48 Because do you think at some point they're going to get all of it and weaponize it against us? They're not, they could, because they're not bound by HIPAA. They're not bound by legal things. I just didn't, and who knows if they had a security breach. I just am like, oh, I trust my lawyer because I can sue him. I trust my doctor because I can sue them. You know what I mean? Like, and they're bound by certain.
Starting point is 01:03:07 Anyway. Anyway. I wonder if I should just send out a preemptive apology to Angie Dickinson and Emily Radikowsky right now. Why? Well, just all the things I've asked earlier about. No, no. Okay. We're moving on. We've got to go. All right. All right, Scott, one more quick break. We'll be back for predictions. Okay, Scott, let's hear a prediction. Do you have a prediction for us? There was a really interesting story this week that I think kind of indicates or pretends what it might be in store for us around potential acquisitions.
Starting point is 01:03:48 And I made a similar prediction a few years ago, but it didn't pan out. And that is a 32-year-old TikToker just crowdfunded 132 million in non-binding pledges to buy a bankrupt Spirit Airlines. Did you see this? No, I didn't. He said, look, Spirit helps keep airline prices down. Let's do what we did with the Green Bay Packers and let's mutualize it. And he's very talented.
Starting point is 01:04:12 And Spirit said it was going to shut down 2 a.m. on Saturday. And this guy, Hunter Peterson, had a TikTok up the same day, a website by the next, and six million views within days. And more than a hundred, get this, Kera? More than 133,000 people have pledged on average about a thousand bucks each totaling 132 million dollars. And essentially what he's saying is that, okay, 20% of American adults paying the average spirit fare
Starting point is 01:04:40 of 30 to 40 dollars equals enough to buy an airline. And they say it's unlikely, okay, let's find, it's unlikely to close, but the idea with, in an era of AI and compliance AI, where you could spin up the legal documents and have people sign them and with PayPal, I think you're going to see in the next 12 to 36 months, someone pulled us off where they say,
Starting point is 01:05:05 hey, who wants to buy Estee Lauder? Or who wants to buy, you know, it'll start with a small stock. It wouldn't be Estre Latter because that's too big a company, but it'll start with a small company that goes out of business. They'll say, okay, Dick's sporting, whatever it is. And someone talented who's very charismatic who will weaponize social media and AI to collect legal pledges for funds and will buy something.
Starting point is 01:05:30 I think crowdfunding, I think crowdfunding is going to happen. And also retail participation in U.S. equities has risen by nearly 20 percent of average daily trading volume, which, by the way, is usually a sell signal. Yeah. Up from low single digits before COVID. So it's like when everybody got it in one of those accounts. That's right. And rather than fading, retail flows hit fresh records in 2025. Well, it's because the stock market's up.
Starting point is 01:05:55 Everyone's like, what are you saying? That's right. Everyone thinks they're a genius now. Everyone's like, oh, okay, I like that. Why don't you do it? Why don't we buy something? Well, that's what I used to do for a living between 2000 and 2008. I know, all kinds of stunts.
Starting point is 01:06:05 What could we buy? What would we buy? All kinds of stunts. Like Chipotle or something? Chipotle is expensive. Right. I don't want to buy an airline. Do you know they send me, I used to tie, I was in the original.
Starting point is 01:06:17 It's not the plot of Wall Street. They send me a card. This is the most of the most of Wall Street. This is the most impressive my sons have ever been with me. I got a card for free lifetime Chipotle, and I sold it, or I didn't sell it. I've lost it. But I love Chipotle. Oh, you want one again.
Starting point is 01:06:30 That's what this was about, a little call for help. I didn't get paid. They send me a card. No, if they do it again, I want serious cabbage. Yeah, yeah. I like that prediction. It's a really, really good prediction. By the way, I predict the government is going to lose that idiotic case against the New York Times
Starting point is 01:06:43 about the hiring, the DEI, and then attacking the woman who did redistricting. These people make Chaochescu. look kind. It's ridiculous. They're going after all their enemies with the FBI and they're attacking. Here's what I predict. It's going to end in tears for those people. They attack the New York Times for DEI in a lawsuit. Then they're going to use the Justice Department to try to get E. Jean Carroll's money that Trump owes her the $83 million, which is insane. And then they attacked the woman in the 82-year-old woman. They raided her office to try to find corruption, who did the, who, who, was this badass lady in Virginia who did all the redistricting that kicked their ass.
Starting point is 01:07:25 And then they are investigating the reporter for the Atlantic who, you know, no shit Sherlock did the story about Cash Patel being a drunk. And of course, she immediately answered it by showing off a bottle she bought on auction where Cash Patel gives out whiskey to people with his name on it, like Woodford Reserve Whiskey. So no one's having any of this nonsense that they're doing. It's just so cloddish and thuggish. So none of it's going to work. That's my prediction. Can I just, I can't help it.
Starting point is 01:07:56 I agree with you. Private companies get to do what they want. That's not of the government's business. I'm my view unless it's, they're claiming reverse racism. I think that I will say. Let the guy sue the New York Times. I don't care. A search warrant is not proof of guilt, but it is a serious threshold.
Starting point is 01:08:15 And federal judges do not casually approve raids on senior state legislate. Come on. So, well, why her? Why her? Because, well, okay, you could argue that the investigation, the fact that was even launched as politicized, but a federal, a sitting federal judge, they do not issue, this is a high-profile corruption probe. They often look strongest at the raid stage and weaker later once the evidence is
Starting point is 01:08:42 scrutinized publicly. Leticia James, right? But to be fair to the other side, a search warrant is a, you know, it has to pass a serious threshold that a federal judge does not casually approve on senior state legislators. I understand that, but there's a reason they didn't pick 20 other Republican ones. This is what they do all the time. They just, this is ridiculous. It's a, it's a weaponization of the power.
Starting point is 01:09:03 And they, they complained about it happening to them, and then they're doing it. So stop it. Just cut it out. Anyway, we want to hear from you. Send us your questions about business tech or whatever's on your mind. Go to nymag.com slash pivot to submit a question for the show or call 85551 pivot. elsewhere in the Karen Scott Universe this week. Scott, Prof.G. Markets,
Starting point is 01:09:22 is going on tour this month. Tell us a little bit about it. It's kicking off May 27th. It's going to San Francisco, L.A., Miami, Chicago, and New York. You go to Prof.G. Markets, Tour.com for tickets. Tell us a tiny bit about this and why people should go. Well, thanks, Kara. It's similar what we did with Pivot.
Starting point is 01:09:40 It's a live tour. We have a bunch of great guests across different cities. It's interesting. It's interesting what sells out the quickest. New York and San Francisco, we were worried that San Francisco wouldn't like us because we're constantly ship posting tech people. But New York and San Francisco are going to sell out in the next 24 hours. Anyways, but yeah, it's just a live tour with me and Ed Elson. We sold out San Francisco first on Pivot.
Starting point is 01:10:07 Yeah, so it was it Toronto in San Francisco? Oh, Toronto. And Boston. Wait, did Boston? We sold them all out fast. I'll be in. L.A. was happening to be a huge theater, so it took a little longer. Yeah, but it's, and it'll be after the show,
Starting point is 01:10:22 it'll be a bunch of people coming up to me and asking me if Ed Elson is single because their daughter is looking for a nice husband. But yeah, so it's my Proffety Markets Live Tour. Go to Profitemarkets Tour.com. Profitemarketet Tour.com. It's starting the end of May and first week of June. Great. That's fantastic.
Starting point is 01:10:41 And also, we're going to be doing pivot in the fall, another pivot tour in the fall. You're just going to be on the road, Scott Galloway. We're doing another tour. Yes, you know that. Do you know that? We are. I didn't know that.
Starting point is 01:10:52 Yes, you did. But I'm excited about it. You did know. We literally had a call about it. What's happening? We didn't have a call about another tour. We literally discussed it. We're having a tour in the fall.
Starting point is 01:11:01 You were on the call. You weren't listening. But you were there. I don't remember. Where am I? Well, we're having one. Anyway, that's the show. Thanks for listening to Pivot.
Starting point is 01:11:12 And be sure to like and subscribe to our YouTube channel. We'll be back next week. Today's show is produced by Larry Neiman Zohey, Marcus Taylor Griffin, and Todd Wysman. Ernie and Todd Andrew did this episode. Rich Schibli edited the video. Thanks also to Drew Bros. Missouir and Dan Ceylon. Ushah Koros of Ox Media's executive producer podcast.
Starting point is 01:11:28 Make sure to follow Pivot on your favorite podcast platform. Thanks for listening to Pivot from New York Magazine and Vox Media. We'll be back next week for another breakdown of all things tech and business care. Have a great weekend. Behind every F-35 jet is a Canadian company. Horizontal Tales built in Winnipeg, engine sensors from Ottawa, and stealth composite panels crafted in Lumenberg to name just a few. Thanks to thousands of skilled Canadian workers,
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