Pivot - Roblox IPO, Facebook doesn't think it has an antitrust problem and a listener question on PlayStation5

Episode Date: March 12, 2021

Kara and Scott talk about Roblox going public – and making a big splash – and what that means for the gaming industry. Then they discuss Facebook asking Federal judges to overturn the FTC's antitr...ust charges. In listener mail, a former Prof. G student asks if Sony has a Consumer Protection Act problem Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:35 I just don't get it. Just wish someone could do the research on it. Can we figure this out? Hey, y'all. I'm John Blenhill, and I'm hosting a new podcast at Vox called Explain It To Me. Here's how it works. You call our hotline with questions you can't quite answer on your own. We'll investigate and call you back to tell you what we found. We'll bring you the answers you need every Wednesday starting September 18th. So follow Explain It To Me, presented by Klaviyo.
Starting point is 00:01:17 Hi, everyone. This is Pivot from New York Magazine and the Vox Media Podcast Network. I'm Kara Swisher. And this is Piers Morgan. No, it's not. I need a job. I need a job. he never shuts his pie hole the new co-host well yeah that's the problem he actually speaks his mind no he doesn't speak his mind give me a break
Starting point is 00:01:32 he was like ghosted by her on a date which he talked about extensively and then got obsessed oh my god he was ghosted by who Meghan Markle
Starting point is 00:01:38 oh really I did not know that try to keep up with this shit I did not know that let me tell you he talked about it like he was like I get all my news from Fox and CNN.
Starting point is 00:01:46 Listen to me. He doesn't get to speak his mind. He's like a weird, he does this constantly attacking women. He's like, this is like, yes. Really? You really think it's targeted towards women? I think it's a weird obsession with her.
Starting point is 00:01:57 He like goes all out on her, and it's really odd. He was ghosted by her. That's what he said. That is good dish. He said in an interview. I think he used the word ghosted, yeah. So, and that's what that guy was referring to. He doesn'ted by her. That's what he said. That is good dish. I think he used the word ghosted. Yeah. So, and that's what that guy was referring to.
Starting point is 00:02:07 He doesn't speak his mind. He's a pig in the way he talks about people. It's just gross. Actually, it's an insult to pigs. It's an insult. Hmm. Tell us how you really feel. I just find it like ridiculous that like, that you like immediately run to saying he
Starting point is 00:02:22 speaks his mind. Like anybody, any drunkle can say anything like at a dinner party and it's A-OK with you. I just don't think it's the case. I'm sorry. I withdraw the comment. Pierce, you know, this is outrageous. Outrageous.
Starting point is 00:02:39 He deserves what he gets. If they don't bring Alan Alda in as the new daytime host, I'm going on strike. Listen, who am I on the show with right now? You're a very smart coach. Someone who's only ridiculously fucking liberal instead of wants their statue cemented in the history of wokeness. No, he has a history of doing this. He has a history.
Starting point is 00:02:59 This is like every white man continues to be a trend that is always at the top. I'm all of those things. I am all of those things. Always at the top. They're always aggrieved. They're always victims. They never get to say what they want. Well, he has like whatever million people on his Twitter feed.
Starting point is 00:03:12 He's got a TV show. He's got a column. And then he claims victimhood. It's exhausting. It's exhausting. I agree. This is exhausting. What's our next story?
Starting point is 00:03:21 Our next story. BuzzFeed announced massive layoffs of the Huffington Post. BuzzFeed acquired the Huffington Post from Verizon Media last month. And, of course, it announced layoffs. A lot of the stuff they did was people are very good reporters, you know, who are more focused on reporting. A lot of the people that stayed are more who, not the people that stayed, but they're focusing more on, obviously, numbers and things like that. So, what do you think about that? That's just.
Starting point is 00:03:44 I don't know about you, but I have just had it with angry white aggrieved media companies. I have just had it. By the way, these are pretty white brands. It's going to have like you yelling at me about being a liberal. It's like, it's like- Yeah, that's clearly where it's headed.
Starting point is 00:03:57 One of us is yelling at the other. That's clearly where this is headed. This is like SNL. You remember Jane, you ignorant slut? This is where we're headed. Yeah, I remember that. I'm glad you said that. This is where we're headed.
Starting point is 00:04:06 It's okay. That was a great skit. That was a great show. So anyway, what do you think of these consolidations of media companies? It's just going to continue. Well, look, kids, when I say kids, I mean students will come into my office hours and they never want to talk about the topic. They want to talk about careers.
Starting point is 00:04:21 Right. And they talk about digital media and digital marketing as if it's this robust ecosystem. And digital marketing is an outstanding career as long as you go to work for Facebook or Google. And if you look at media companies, we tend to think that the proxy or the forward-looking indicator of success is old media versus new media. And that is we go, oh, its legacy is a newspaper,
Starting point is 00:04:42 which means it's going out of business, but it's online, which means it's going to accelerate. And the reality is that Huffington Post and BuzzFeed are much less durable than the New York Times company or even Gannett. Right. And that is they have not figured out a customer acquisition model. They haven't figured out retention. They are constantly getting gamed by Google and Facebook, who starch all the margin out of the traffic that they try and get there. And basically, the internet is all flowing through a couple of touch points. And if you aren't one of those touch points, you just slowly but surely
Starting point is 00:05:17 leak value. We're seeing a huge consolidation. There will be probably one or two winners that are able to consolidate, lay off people, and get to profitability. I think actually our company, Vox, it looks like it might be the last woman standing, so to speak. But BuzzFeed and Huffington Post, quite frankly, lists. I've never understood the attraction of HuffPo. I never understood its positioning. I never understood its differentiation. I never understood its kind of- Well, it was sort of first out there with a lot of this stuff. I mean, you know what I mean?
Starting point is 00:05:45 But what is, in your mind, what is Huffington Post's editorial view? I don't know. BuzzFeed has lists. I'll give it that. They have lists. Well, they have more than that, but they have some very excellent reports. But what does the Huffington Post stand for in your mind in terms of editorial differentiation? I think they bought it for traffic, I guess.
Starting point is 00:05:59 I guess for traffic is what I assumed they bought it for at the time, at that moment, because of that. But they did manage to acquire some— I guess for traffic is what I assumed they bought it for at the time, at that moment, because of that. And then, but they did manage to acquire some, you know, I think Ariana went all over the world opening Huffington Post Canada, which they closed down completely. And some other things that I didn't, I understood it in a bigger sense, but not in an actual sense. It didn't make any sense to me to be opening outposts all over the world just because. She's a visionary. Yeah. me to be opening outposts all over the world just because. She's a visionary. But the thing is, a company that's able to raise cheap capital, which the Huffington Post is able to do, what you want is promise and then performance. And the reality is a visionary like Ariana and
Starting point is 00:06:37 the notion of having journalism on the web and having celebrity kind of journalists every once in a while, although those two are oxymorons. The bottom line is the performance hasn't matched the promise with BuzzFeed or Huffington Post. That is an excellent way to put it. That is an excellent. It's going to be hard. I think probably there's no news around a SPAC around BuzzFeed, of course, as there is around Fox and others. But there's definitely a lot more noise around BuzzFeed right now.
Starting point is 00:07:00 So you wonder if they're trying to clean it up for a SPAC situation. Yeah, I'd say the momentum. And, you know, they're trying to clean it up for a spac situation yeah i'd say the momentum uh and you know we're we're pretty critical we're not afraid to throw you know bite the hand that feeds us but i would argue that the momentum at vox is different than the momentum of buzz it is different i think our momentum is actually i think we actually have momentum right now and i would argue that the and it may be just the media coverage of buzzfeed but i would say the momentum at least the perception is the momentum is not good. And you want to go into any public offering.
Starting point is 00:07:28 The one thing SPACs aren't doing yet, and they probably should, is going after distressed properties. You would much rather be a shitty growth company. When I say shitty, I mean buying growth in non-economic terms than a company that has real assets but is declining in revenue. So anyways, but SPACs will get there eventually. SPACs will start going after distressed properties. Yep, 100%. It's just an interesting time for media, once again. But I think you're not going to see the end to consolidation
Starting point is 00:07:53 as these things sort themselves out. Maybe they can make their money via NFTs or some other way. I'm joining Pierce Morgan's SPAC. I want you to watch him for 10 minutes. It's aggrieved white male SPAC. You're not like him. Let me just say. Let me just make that. Well, you to watch him for 10 minutes. The aggrieved white male SPAC. You're not like him. Let me just say. Let me just make that.
Starting point is 00:08:07 Well, thanks for that. Thanks for that. But in any case, just watch him for 10 minutes. I like Chelsea Handler. He and her got into it. I always thought she was great. She's great.
Starting point is 00:08:16 I never understood why he picked a fight with her. Just watch him for 10 minutes and you'll get the whole point. Anyway, I will stop with the aggrieved white man thing. Although there was
Starting point is 00:08:24 an interesting story. Oh yeah. I'm sure we're never going to hear that talk track again. Well, it's just like every day. Well, I'm stop with the agree white men thing, although there was an interesting story. Oh yeah, I'm sure we're never gonna hear that talk track again. Well, it's just like every day. Well, I'm glad that's over. Every day, it's like, oh God. And they go on and on about Dr. Friggin' Suze, these people. What is their problem?
Starting point is 00:08:36 Like the people- Can we talk about that for a moment? Yes. That's just a capitalist move. Yes, exactly. The publisher has just decided we will sell more of these books if we get rid of certain shit that offends people. It's just a capitalist move. Yes, exactly. The publisher has just decided, we will sell more of these books if we get rid of certain shit that
Starting point is 00:08:46 offends people. It's just a capitalist move. And then Fox has decided, we're going to offend those same people because there's money in it. Both are capitalist moves. They're using it as a thing. You saw whatever his name is, Kevin, whatever the heck, the minority leader that keeps liking and disliking Trump,
Starting point is 00:09:01 who's such a stupid windmill. Anyway, he was reading. A stupid windmill. Anyway, he was reading. A stupid windmill. Just he went back and forth. That's very good. You should be in journalism. A stupid windmill. I don't think I've ever heard those two words together.
Starting point is 00:09:12 Listen to me. I'm just saying it's exhausting. Well, you're a charming nuclear reactor. Okay. That's good. I'll say I'm going to have to let you That's why you put up with my aggrievedness, my whiteness, and my maleness. One thing that's nice about your aggrieved white maleness
Starting point is 00:09:27 is you're often right on certain things. Let's go to the big story. Just because I'm angry doesn't mean I'm wrong. That's true. Here's the big story. Roblox went public this week. Let's talk about the company and what's next for the video gaming market.
Starting point is 00:09:43 The Silicon Valley Video Game Company, it's an indie video game company, opened its first day of trading at $64.50, a share that was up more than 43% from the reference price of $45. That valued Roblox at $41.9 billion, up from $4 billion just over a year ago when you were talking about it, Scott.
Starting point is 00:10:02 In the last year, $56.9 billion about it scott in the last year uh 56.9 billion dollars was spent on gaming in the u.s that's up 27 from 2019 not a surprise a lot of people at home um so what up what talk about it well i don't know if you remember but a certain podcast in q3 of last year said this thing was a gangster when it was valued at three billion and said it was going to be a monster ipo so why did you talk about your, walk us through your thinking on that so people can understand your genius. Well, it's not even a video game company. It really is a platform. And what they have done is they've learned from the sins of the father and they've recognized that, okay, what does Facebook do really poorly? One, they lie to us and try and feign concern about
Starting point is 00:10:42 the wellbeing of our children. And this company actually has made substantial investments in content moderation. They have indeed. It is truly a platform where it tries to more than just stroke their fingers through the hands of their creators and then put a bullet in their head and starch all the margin from their creators. A third of their revenue is going to actual creators. That's an interesting business plan. Yeah, okay, go ahead. I mean, they are, I believe they paid out to their creators a quarter of a billion people and they're not actually
Starting point is 00:11:09 in the business of development. They're in the business of creating a platform and then just, it's more dispersion. It's like, okay, the people at Activision or Blizzard shouldn't get to decide
Starting point is 00:11:18 what 11-year-olds want, what video games they want to play with. If you're an individual who comes up with an idea for a fun, cute little game involving pigs and farms and 11-year-olds love it, we just get it out there. We disperse, we leapfrog the traditional video game industrial complex,
Starting point is 00:11:34 and we give you a portion of those rents. No one video game, I think, has more than 10% market share. And the numbers are just staggering here, over 50%. There are more people under the age of 18 on Roblox than there are not. So this is arguably- It's interesting doing this thing, which you're just saying, taking these sins of the people before them and making it a safe gaming platform for kids. You know, it is important.
Starting point is 00:12:02 You know, it's absolutely important. The longest time struggle with my kids and the video games. And because these large, you know, whatever the large platform was that put them out, it just creates something that, it's interesting, any of these companies taking the mistakes made, like a Shopify to an Amazon or something else. That is exactly the right analogy. Thank you. Exactly the right analogy. So they're up 12% again today. So how does this whole space, not just Roblox, but what else should be, you know,
Starting point is 00:12:35 hey, we're watching this happen, let's make this? Well, there's what I call the immunity strategy or the ZAG strategy. And that is when a huge player a huge player is creating hundreds of billions of dollars in market capitalization yeah and it's zagging for example it is using massive investment to create so much traffic no one can compete with it and then slowly but surely partnering with its retailers on its platform the way of a virus partners
Starting point is 00:13:02 with a host and that is keep it alive just long enough so you can soak it dry, i.e. Amazon. And then Shopify comes in and says, you know what? We're not going to be, quote unquote, obsessively focused on the consumer, and as a result, basically treat our customers, our retailers, like shit. Yes, our partners. We steal their data. When their business becomes too profitable, we vertically integrate into it. We decide what goes in the box. You don't know who the consumer is. And Shopify said, we are absolutely going to focus. We're going to zag.
Starting point is 00:13:32 Yeah. We're going to let the retailer control the customer. We're going to give you the data. We're going to give you the branding. We're going to let you decide what goes in the box. What is public doing? Disclosure, I'm an investor. All right.
Starting point is 00:13:44 Robinhood, the number one player, has created $30 billion supposedly in market capitalization if Goldman Sachs is willing to be a total fucking hypocrite and take this company, Public. What do they do? Public says, we're not gonna sell order flow. We're not gonna be bro-y. We're gonna have 40% women.
Starting point is 00:13:58 There is an enormous strategy of shareholder value creation around what I call the ZAG, and that is when any one company creates the type of slipstream or air cover that creates hundreds of billions of dollars, look at the externalities, look at the viruses it's creating and saying, what immunities could we bring to market that are totally different than what's happened here? There's going to be, TikTok is zagging. That should be your next book, Zag. TikTok is zagging against social,
Starting point is 00:14:28 against video platforms. It's trying to be cleaner. It's trying to be more optimistic. It's not allowing people to start insulting each other in the comment section. So there's, anyway, but your analogy is exactly the right one. Roblox is saying-
Starting point is 00:14:43 Talk about where this goes, because this idea, just again, it's up 12% again today. I think it likes creators, is what you're saying. That's the second part, is the respect for creators get tired in a system that's more predatory,
Starting point is 00:15:00 I guess is the right way to put it. It's an abusive relationship. YouTube is very good at publicizing the 15 people that make a million dollars on YouTube. But there are 15 million people, creators on YouTube, making less than a dollar. Because YouTube figures out a way to starch almost all of the margin out of the relationship.
Starting point is 00:15:20 And they have been just incredibly fucking greedy. And Roblox is saying, okay, the key here is our partners, our creators. So I think even TikTok's trying to be more generous with their creators and say, all right, how do we get the secret sauce here is leveraging other people's creative talent. And so where I think it heads is I think there is what I call a zag in every major market. Your guy from Neva, he's creating a zag to Google. Yeah, he's trying. He's saying, okay, what's the problem with Google? Google started out as the best place to get to the right information,
Starting point is 00:15:53 and slowly but surely, Google has become a place that takes you to another place they can further monetize. Why? Because the advertising model is the tobacco to nicotine. It's the shit that gives you cancer. And so, your buddy at Neva said, I'm going to make it subscription-based, and I won't have the temptation. Then my focus will be to take you to the best place based on your query. That is a zag strategy. I think that, by the way, I think that company is going to be a monster.
Starting point is 00:16:18 They just closed their seed round, I think. And he strikes me as incredibly impressive. Yeah, he did just cover it. He did, he did. He's a really interesting guy. And he knows, I think, I had him tell a class of mine and he was talking to the students why he did. He said, I felt like I was part of something very menacing essentially, which was interesting. All right, so what's next for the video game industry?
Starting point is 00:16:38 What happens to these, the big ones that, you know, sort of, it was sort of like the record industry and then they pick winners, you know, and then shower them with attention and also take a lot of their value, essentially. What happens in the – that's how the video game industry – you have these big video gaming companies that then publish these things. Same thing with the book industry, everything. This dispersion, bring it home to dispersion. Well, effectively, dispersion is kind of a pedantic, aggrieved white male way of saying
Starting point is 00:17:06 when you leapfrog the traditional players. So, Warner Brothers and Wonder Woman 1984 have leapfrogged traditional movie theaters and said, look, it's better for us. We'll create more shareholder value if we pulse HBO Max by creating value and not taxing people by saying, all right, you either got to see a movie or wait 12 weeks. So these guys have said, all right, we're going to leapfrog the traditional gatekeepers. What would be interesting is if Sony or Microsoft create their own platforms and piss off the big game developers
Starting point is 00:17:36 and say, we're going to let individual creators have access to this platform. So I think it's really exciting. Roblox at this valuation, I'm not a buyer. I think it's an amazing company. But you at this valuation, I'm not a buyer. I think it's an amazing company. But you know who else is zagging that just filed for their IPO? It's Coursera.
Starting point is 00:17:50 Coursera. Coursera said, okay, there's this traditional enforcer of the caste system called Elite Universities, and we're going to zag and try and bring the cost down. And they went to MOOCs, and then they went to short-form courses. They, according to their S1, I think, or they just filed to go public, they did a quarter of a billion dollars in revenue. So anyways, my point is,
Starting point is 00:18:13 and I think this is the lesson to young people. When you see, for example, Tesla. Tesla now has, even with its, Tesla has sold off 35% in the last like four weeks, which is extraordinary. But even with that sell-off. It's had a sell-off because, there's lots of reasons, but go ahead, yeah. But it's still, it's extraordinary. But even with that sell-off- It's had a sell-off because there's lots of reasons,
Starting point is 00:18:26 but go ahead, yeah. But it's still, it's unfair to say it's a sell-off because it's worth a half a trillion dollars. It's worth the entire automobile industry even after its sell-off. That is going to attract competitors. And I think an interesting analysis if you're in the automobile industry or you're just a young person
Starting point is 00:18:40 trying to think through strategy is to say, what are the externalities or what are the negatives of Tesla and what automobile company could zag? Because everyone's zigging. That's a tough one because of the difficulty of the technology. 100%. But it's an interesting exercise to go through. And I'm just using this as an example because by 2030, Volvo said they're going all electric. By 2035, GM said, so everyone's zigging. Is there an opportunity around something else? But anyways, my point is, as a species- How about a giant gas guzzling car?
Starting point is 00:19:08 What do you think? Well, those were, that was what saved Detroit. Yeah, yeah. I mean, do you remember the first time you saw Hummer? And you thought, oh my God, the species is going to go extinct. Yeah, but the Ford 150s, you're right. That was the winner car. So I think, anyways, it anyways, I love the Zag.
Starting point is 00:19:25 I love the Zag. The most innovative companies of the last 10 years, I think, have been companies people don't talk about. I like Zag. Shopify. I'm going to call you Zag from now on. You're a Zag. Zag. Zag.
Starting point is 00:19:36 You're Zag. You're a Zag. That would be your superhero name. You'd just Zag all over the place. You'd be like, Scott, calm down. Slow down. I like that you're looking at me in the context of a superhero versus the aggrieved white guy. Many superheroes are, if you think about, you know, Iron Man.
Starting point is 00:19:49 No, the nemesis is. Iron Man's pretty aggrieved. He's always mad. That guy's not aggrieved. That guy's a gangster. He is, but he's often like mad. Tony Stark? He's mad.
Starting point is 00:19:57 There's a lot of mad superheroes. I would say Hulk is an aggrieved white guy. Oh, yes. He's basically a scientist that didn't get tenure. The majority of my colleagues at Stern are the Hulk minus the muscles and good guy. Oh, yes. He's basically a scientist that didn't get tenure. The majority of my colleagues at Stern are the Hulk minus the muscles and good intentions. Oh, man. Nothing like a mad professor.
Starting point is 00:20:11 Oh, yeah. It gets scary. That's it. I'm going to throw my PBS tote bag at you if you continue this. That was good. I just thought of it. I like that.
Starting point is 00:20:20 You don't like tenure, so they must love you, right? They must love you. Yeah. No, I'm very popular around They must love you. Yeah, yeah. No, I'm very popular around those parts right now. Yeah, someone mentioned that to me. I was in an NYU class. About how much they don't like me? No.
Starting point is 00:20:34 Someone mentioned that. They were using euphemisms. Like, well, Scott's an interesting character. Scott's, you know, he causes a lot of discussion around here. They were trying to write around what they were. I was like, what are you trying to say? He's a pain in the ass? Is that what you think?
Starting point is 00:20:48 No, he's a breath of fresh air. Right. He's a breath of carbon monoxide when the garage door has been closed. Oh, it was funny. No, I got to give it to him. They are so much generous and patient with me than I would be with me. Yeah. Fortunately, the deans have been like wonderful, generous people.
Starting point is 00:21:07 Anyway, what are we talking about? Where are we? Bring us back in. Scott, we're talking about Scott again. All right, we're going to go to a quick break. When we come back, that was a very good call on roadblocks. I'm going to give you credit there. There you go.
Starting point is 00:21:17 Is that what you need to this week? Road to the blocks. Road to the blocks. Good job. Before we go, you know what the most exciting news? What? I got a video, a text message video of a kid dunking. Uh-huh.
Starting point is 00:21:27 And it was that. Oh, my son, yes. Your son is dunking. I know. That is very exciting. He's like, right, I have like 20, he's like, he made me go, I actually had fun. I didn't think I would have fun because I'm so little. And that's the time I had a basketball.
Starting point is 00:21:38 Basketball's great. Sixth grade. Basketball's great. You know what? He had a great time. He goes to the local neighborhood court here in Shaw and plays with all the kids there. And they were all wearing masks. It was nice.
Starting point is 00:21:47 The mean streets of Calorama. Is that what you're trying to get your street cred? He was like getting out and meeting people in the neighborhood. It was nice. Can you just not take a nice thing? I'm sorry. Go ahead. I'm sorry.
Starting point is 00:21:54 There was no mean streets here. I never think there are mean streets here. There's lovely people who live in this neighborhood. So anyway, he had a great time and it was nice. And he does- He throws down. I saw that video. I watched it several times. He does. I have lots of them. That's exciting. It's really, he like can reach time and it was nice. He throws down. I saw that video. I watched it several times.
Starting point is 00:22:05 He does. I have lots of them. That's exciting. It's really, he can reach the top and throw the ball in. He's very tough. That's called a dunk, Kara. That's what it means to dunk. I know.
Starting point is 00:22:12 Junk a dunk. Reach up and throw it down. I know. I know. You know what I did? I tried to pull his pants down. That's what I tried to do. Nice.
Starting point is 00:22:17 I was trying to beat him. You pantsed him? Actually, you never listen to my other things because you ignore me completely. But I interviewed Spike Lee today and we had a long discussion about basketball. You're kidding. Yeah. How was he? Great.
Starting point is 00:22:30 Funny. It's a really fun. It's a fun, easy interview. NYU. NYU. That's right. He talks about NYU. He did not talk about Scott Galloway, though, just so you know.
Starting point is 00:22:38 Okay. We're going to go on a quick break. When we come back, we'll talk more about the legal battles in big tech and a listener mail question. Come back, we'll talk more about the legal battles in big tech and a listener mail question. Fox Creative. This is advertiser content from Zelle. When you picture an online scammer, what do you see? For the longest time, we have these images of somebody sitting crouched over their computer with a hoodie on, just kind of typing away in the middle of the night. And honestly, that's not what it is anymore. That's
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Starting point is 00:23:52 happened to them. But Ian says one of our best defenses is simple. We need to talk to each other. We need to have those awkward conversations around what do you do if you have text messages you don't recognize? What do you do if you start getting asked to send information that's more sensitive? Even my own father fell victim to a, thank goodness, a smaller dollar scam, but he fell victim and we have these conversations all the time. So we are all at risk and we all need to work together to protect each other. Learn more about how to protect yourself at vox.com slash Zelle. And when using digital payment platforms, remember to only send money to people you know and trust. The Capital Ideas Podcast now features a series hosted by Capital Group CEO,
Starting point is 00:24:39 Mike Gitlin. Through the words and experiences of investment professionals, you'll discover what differentiates their investment approach, you'll discover what differentiates their investment approach, what learnings have shifted their career trajectories, and how do they find their next great idea? Invest 30 minutes in an episode today. Subscribe wherever you get your podcasts. Published by Capital Client Group, Inc. Capital Client Group, Inc. Scott, we're back. Facebook is asking a federal judge to dismiss antitrust lawsuits
Starting point is 00:25:10 by the Federal Trade Commission and the state's attorneys general. The company is arguing that the government has no valid basis for alleging the social media giant is suppressing competition. This is the first legal move in the company. It's going to be a long time, I think,
Starting point is 00:25:23 since antitrust charges were handed down in December. Meanwhile, this week, a bill that would allow news outlets to bargain with tech platforms over the distribution of their content was introduced by a bipartisan group of lawmakers. So what's happened in Australia is coming here. It's called the Journalism Competition and Preservation Act. That sounds sad, I have to say, and it's being touted as a way to say local news. And so it looks a lot like what happened in Australia. So things are moving. What do you think? What do you think? What's going on here? Obviously, Facebook's got to slap back. It's going to be interesting. I see this as
Starting point is 00:25:54 it's coming down to a battle between a lot of the judges that were appointed by the Trump administration that never, you know, I think are probably more sort of Bork antitrust. They're more about let the markets go where they go. Although we'll see. This has been a bit of a bipartisan issue versus two total gangsters, Professors Tim Wu and Lena Kahn. Yeah. And they've both been appointed to post within the administration.
Starting point is 00:26:18 Yeah. And you do not want to fuck with these guys. Let's say Lena Kahn is going to the FTC, or allegedly. I mean, she's got to get through to be approved and stuff. And then Tim Wu is joining the National Economic Council. That's right, right? Yeah, I've had both of them. I think we've had both of them on our podcast. And they're both just incredible.
Starting point is 00:26:34 She's an inspiration. You know, she's like 17 and is a legal scholar. And Tim has the ability to just bring stuff down to kind of very basic. Like, you listen to him say something, you go, well, that makes sense. So I think it's super exciting that both of them are in the administration. I think they're exactly the kind of people that you want wrestling with these issues such that you can trust that they will come up with really thoughtful decisions that are somewhere between, you know, the recognized the grays and the importance and the need for capitalism, free markets,
Starting point is 00:27:09 but at the same time recognize the concentration of power that's occurred here as well for the economy. I think the signal, Tim is joining the technology and competition policy at the National Economic Council and Lena at the FTC. They're considered anti-tech. 100%. Like if you had to put them in a pocket.
Starting point is 00:27:23 Well, I wouldn't even say, I don't know. They're not anti-tech, they're anti-monopoly. Right. And I think that what we fail to realize is that breaking up monopolies will be really good for tech. It just might not be good for Facebook or Google CEOs. I think it's going to be good for their shareholders. I think it's going to be great for their employees
Starting point is 00:27:39 to have more organizations bidding or trying to rent their talent. I think it's going to be great for the markets, great for job growth, great for taxation. So I would argue that professors Wu and Khan are very pro-tech. I just think they're anti-monopoly, which by the way, is a very Republican capitalist positioning. Although Republicans are now saying we just shouldn't mess with success is often their argument. They seem to be less sympathetic. This feels like a bipartisan issue to me. Yeah, it does.
Starting point is 00:28:06 It does. I think it'd be really interesting to see what kind of influence they'll have and then the road to confirmation because when there was a report of Khan's nomination, whether it was true or not, Mike Lee, who's, I think he's really won many cards short of a deck.
Starting point is 00:28:25 He said the Khan's nomination, if true, was deeply concerning. And he criticized her youth and experience. That's just ridiculous. She's really, you know, saying she's a kid, essentially. Ms. Khan, no doubt, has a promising career ahead of her. What, he's saying that like it's a bad thing? For God's sakes, we're talking about technology. I know.
Starting point is 00:28:43 I was like, are you kidding? You know who's president? We don't want to have Strom Thurmond figuring out how to regulate. Let's get Strom Thurmond dug up from the grave and ask about search. I know. Right, right. So anyway, so and then he said her views on antitrust enforcement also wildly out of step with a prudent approach to law. I mean, honestly.
Starting point is 00:28:58 She's fucking John Travolta in step. Yeah. She is literally on the disco floor with that young woman, Step. She's got Step, Cara. She's got Step. I think he's just, he's really lost
Starting point is 00:29:09 the narrative, as they say. And then David Cicilline, who she worked for during, worked with Khan during the tech investigation,
Starting point is 00:29:18 said it would be a major victory for locally owned businesses, workers, and everyone who's been negatively affected by the dominance
Starting point is 00:29:23 of big tech. She worked for him on the antitrust. Best congressional hearing I have ever witnessed. Absolutely. She was in the background and Representative Cicilline put on a masterclass. Masterclass. Agreed. Agreed.
Starting point is 00:29:35 I guess I'm too young. Are you kidding? They wouldn't say that about Mark Zuckerberg when he was 24. What a brilliant person he is. No, he's an innovator, Tara. He's an innovator. It's just ridiculous. No, you're an innovator. He's an innovator. It's just ridiculous. No, it's,
Starting point is 00:29:45 you're an innovator. He never had another job, Mike. If you're young and worth a billion dollars, you're an innovator and you're a great American. But if you're young and a woman, you're inexperienced. Yep, exactly. And a woman of color. So Tim's book, his 2019 book was The Curse of Bigness, Antitrust in the New Gilded Age. Obviously there's a lot of books coming out. It's a great book. Yeah. That is a great book. I read like two books a year, and that's one of them. That was an outstanding book. Yep. And also, Biden's being very careful not to put too many tech people in big positions, like big prominent positions.
Starting point is 00:30:16 They don't want to do... There was a rumor that Eric Schmidt was going to be in the administration role, and I think progressive groups were like, mm-mm, mm-mm, mm-mm, like that kind of thing. I think that's a tough one. Yep, yep. So, this is going to be in the administration role, and I think progressive groups were like, mm-mm, mm-mm, mm-mm, like that kind of thing. I think that's a tough one. Yep, yep. So this is going to be interesting. So Facebook's obviously going to fight back hard here.
Starting point is 00:30:32 They're going to hire every lawyer that they can get their hands on and try to push back on this. But I do feel like this is— The worm has turned. Worm has turned. Worm has turned. We'll see. They could have some wins.
Starting point is 00:30:42 They could have some wins. They're very clever people. There's some really books that are coming out that are not so pretty. There's Shira Frankel and Cecilia Wang, who work for the New York Times, have a book coming out in July that I think is not, it's called The Ugly Truth, I think it's called, on Facebook. That's the name of the book. So, I think there'll be a lot of reporting on what happened within there just right when this stuff is coming out. So we'll see. We'll see.
Starting point is 00:31:11 I think it's going to be, I'm going to look it up. Anyway, we're going to move on to listener mail. All right, Rebecca, please play the question. It's for Scott, I think. You've got, you've got. I can't believe I'm going to be a mailman. You've got mail. Hi, Scott and Kara.
Starting point is 00:31:26 Scott, this is a former student of yours leaving a message here. My name is John based in Los Angeles and I have a question for you about what's going on with the Sony sale of the PlayStation 5 console. It seems like there's a significant violation of the Consumer Protection Act here. The Consumer Protection Act is clear that we have the right to be informed about the quality, quantity, potency, purity standard, and price of goods to protect the consumer against unfair trade practices. Sony and its retail partners have done nothing to stop bots from buying all the stock. How is this not a violation of the Consumer Protection Act? Thanks. So first off, John, it's great to hear from you. I love hearing from my 5,500 alumni. So thanks for reaching out.
Starting point is 00:32:11 Wait, you have affected 5,500 young minds? Infected or affected? I said infected, actually. Infected, yeah. Go ahead, keep going. Sorry. Thanks for that. Anyway, so scarcity value is really interesting. And essentially, like everything, it's linked to instinct. And that is previous generations or in olden days, you were really smart instinctively, or it was an instinct to become obsessed over scarcity. If you sensed a scarcity of food, supposedly we have a third of the spinal ganglia of our brain is in our gut, you became obsessed with finding food. The moment there was a scarcity of it, you became obsessed with finding a mate if there was a scarcity because survival and propagation are really important. And that is still with us, this notion that the moment we perceive, whether it's artificial or not, and it usually is artificial, scarcity, the value, the perceived value of that product skyrockets. So in this case, so you go buy a Panerai watch and you go
Starting point is 00:33:16 into any Panerai store and they're going to tell you, we don't have that model or there's only seven. And it's not because there's a supply constraint on the parts and movements. It's because luxury has mastered or tapped into the instinctive need of scarcity, and they create artificial scarcity to increase the value. The latest real gangsters around perceived scarcity are these new NTFs that are trying to convince you that if I create just one digital application of this video or piece of art that it might be worth millions of dollars. That is really tapping into what I'll call instinctive overdrive around scarcity value. And in this instance, what Sony has decided
Starting point is 00:33:54 is if some people, some actors, whether they're good actors or bad actors, move in with bots and create the illusion of scarcity, it drives up the value and all of a sudden we become very focused, even obsessed, it drives up the value. And all of a sudden we become very focused, even obsessed in getting the PS5. The problem is the person that pays for that is just the average household that just wants a PS5 when it comes out. So do you, you know, what is the trade-off? Schools, universities, higher education have massively tapped into this bullshit notion
Starting point is 00:34:22 of scarcity. Harvard has the endowment, the supply, the technology to increase their freshman class tenfold, but they want to create scarcity because they're drunk on luxury and believe their Hermes, not public servants. So scarcity value and understanding it and understanding how to leverage it and trade off short-term revenues to create an obsession, instinctual, an instinctive obsession with getting more of that product is an incredibly dev business strategy. And that's all that's being applied here. The question is whether or not, does it violate FTC or does it violate antitrust? I don't know. At what point does a bot become a person? If I leave my computer and program something to notify me, is that a bot or is
Starting point is 00:35:04 that a person? I don't know. But I think the interesting thing here is how great brands and companies leverage scarcity value. Yeah. Yeah. And yet not powerful for consumers. Well, there is some psychic reward to believing that you got something that has scarcity value. I don't even know. We still have to talk about NFTs at some point, which we will. You know what? It's been seven minutes, and I want to trigger you. Piers Morgan, he's my hero. He's my hero.
Starting point is 00:35:31 He's my hero. I think he makes a lot of sense. A lot of sense. Okay. All right. All right. We're going to take one more quick break. That was an excellent answer, Scott.
Starting point is 00:35:40 I'm going to be really nice to you today because that's the only thing that seems to work. Today. Today. Today. Well, that's a great goal in a partnership. You know what? We're in a long-term partnership now. Is that what you say to your wife?
Starting point is 00:35:49 I tell you what, I'm going to be nice to you today. Here's the situation. I think we've just struck a long-term partnership and you're like, what? Just a minute. You're like, no, oh, no, oh, no. I'm stuck with this lady for a while. You're the future ex-Mrs. Galloway just in a professional sense. I mean. We will delve into that situation later.
Starting point is 00:36:08 But right now we're going to take one more quick break and we'll be back for predictions. Support for this show comes from Constant Contact. You know what's not easy? Marketing. And when you're starting your small business, while you're so focused on the day-to-day, the personnel and the finances, marketing is the last thing on your mind. But if customers
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Starting point is 00:38:44 anthropic.com slash Claude. That's anthropic.com slash Claude. Go on. I hear you've been on it with Larry Wilmore, who I love. What did you say? You've been invited, finally, to the Bill Maher show. Tell me about how you feel about that. What are you going to talk about? I think I'm, at the end of the day, I think I'm like Lyle Lovett, and that is they bring me on a talk show hoping that Julia Roberts will come on.
Starting point is 00:39:18 I think that they're using me to get to you, but I don't care. No, I've been on the show. I know. I think I want you back on. Anyways, anytime I meet someone who's nice to me, I'm like, does this person want me on their podcast or are they just trying to get to Kara? Anyway. You're my gator. You're the gating mechanism for Kara Swisher.
Starting point is 00:39:34 Anyway, tell me what you're going to talk about. What do you think your themes are? I don't know. My guess is we're going to talk about Meghan and Harry and there's a one in three chance I'll be canceled. Oh, yeah. And we're going to talk about. I've watched Piers Morgan a one in three chance I'll be canceled. Oh, yeah. And we're going to talk about— I've watched Piers Morgan before you nailed off about him, but go ahead. Go ahead.
Starting point is 00:39:50 The honest truth is I don't know what we're going to talk about. I imagine we'll talk about my book, Post-Corona, From Crisis to Opportunity. Yes, good idea. But Larry Whitmore, who's, as you said, is lovely and funny, is on the show, as is Anna Gerwich. Is that her name? She's a wonderful author that talks about family dysfunction, which is redundant. Right in your wheelhouse. Yeah, there you go. That's great. That's going to be good.
Starting point is 00:40:10 Everybody tune in for Scott. Is this week? It's tomorrow. I got to be honest. It's a dream of mine. I love Bill Maher. I think he's courageous and funny. You and me will truly spark. You're of the same mind in many ways, I have to say. A grieved, angry old guy. No, but I think you'll both bond. I think you'll bond. I think you'll bond.
Starting point is 00:40:25 I think you'll bond rather well. Are you going to do it... Are you going to Los Angeles? It's kind of fun to be on there. Yeah, I'm flying out there this afternoon. Unfortunately, it's not as much fun. They are very responsible, and it's inspiring. They do rapid tests the same day.
Starting point is 00:40:39 No congregating. You know, studio audience is distanced. They're taking it very seriously. As a matter of fact, they have two panelists instead of three, so everyone can sit more than six feet apart. Yeah, you'll have fun. It's a great set. It's a really fun set. And also, there's usually a party afterwards, and you're not going to get to go to that.
Starting point is 00:40:53 That just sucks. That just blows. Maybe you can have a vaccinated party. Maybe you and, like, who else? California is having real troubles getting everyone, although some people are getting vets. It seems rather disorganized everywhere, of course, as I've discussed. Okay. What is your actual prediction? So I, like, Roblox, gangster kind of re-engineering or dispersion of video games. I think the IPO to watch, and I need to dig into the S1. I need to understand the pricing. But I think the term
Starting point is 00:41:23 Coursera and Coursera IPO are going to be terms that are going to be in the business news and on CNBC a lot. And I think the Coursera IPO, I'm not going to predict what the IPO is going to do until I dig in and understand the numbers. But their consumer pickup here and revenue here and the company's still losing money. But Coursera, if the IPO cements and the lead up to the IPO cements their brand as sort of the leader and the pioneer in the dispersion of campus to online learning, you could have a company that could really rock it on its IPO and pull the future forward without additional capital. So anyways, my prediction is that just as no one had heard about Roblox four months ago, and now everyone's talking about it, we're about to go through the same upward cycle of awareness and value creation just
Starting point is 00:42:13 through perception around Coursera. Did you notice that Sundar Pichai answered our question about Google Courses? He did? Yeah, Sundar himself did. Yeah. He's so likable. I know, isn't he? Did he tag me or did he just tag you? He did. He tagged you. Don't worry. He tagged you.
Starting point is 00:42:28 I missed that. He said, it was a response, and he said, Professor Galloway and Karis Wisher, we just announced, Sundar, we just announced, is now open for Google Career Certificates in Data Analytics, Project Management, and UX Design. And then he specifically tagged you and me. Wow. Isn't that nice? Yeah.
Starting point is 00:42:47 Okay, don't break them up. I like them. I like them. I mean, that's how easy it is, right? I'm like, well, maybe Google isn't that bad. That's under so likable. Yeah. Yeah, he answered your question.
Starting point is 00:43:00 You were said was wondering about the same thing when someone asked, Ryan Merrill asked, whatever happened to Google certification program you and Kara Swisher talked about nearly a year ago? And then Sundar answered. He weighed in. He weighed in. Could be transformative. A little bit more. 50,000 plus have graduated from our IT support certificate and are prepared for careers in IT.
Starting point is 00:43:16 We're now adding Google career certificates in data analytics, project management, and UX design, expanding our consortium of employers of hiring graduates. There you go. That's nice. 50,000 people. Yeah employers of hiring graduates. There you go. That's nice. 50,000 people. Yeah. That's serious. There you go.
Starting point is 00:43:28 You're making an impact, Scott. You're having an impact. Oh, yeah. This is all about me. Thank you. You seriously, you play me like a fucking fiddle. You're like, okay, I've smacked him a little too hard. You're like, oh, I heard you going on Bill Maher.
Starting point is 00:43:43 You literally play. I'm happy for you going on Bill Maher. You literally played. I'm happy for you. You'll enjoy it. I think you'll be great. And more people should have a little Scott time. Two things. Two things. The first is I feel very manipulated.
Starting point is 00:43:54 And second, I like it. I like it. I like it. It works for me. The whole world will get to see. It works for me. The world of HBO Max, at least, will get to see the Scott Galloway. We all know. Okay. That's the show. I'll get to see Scott Galloway. We all know.
Starting point is 00:44:05 Okay, that's the show. I'm excited to watch you on Bill Maher. We'll be back on Tuesday. You can tell me about how it went and how Los Angeles is. I love Los Angeles. Love LA. As soon as I get vaccinated, I'm flying out to LA. I'm going to go get a Cobb salad at the Beverly Hills Hotel.
Starting point is 00:44:20 I'm going to go to Carney's. I'm going to go to In-N-Out Burger when we land at the airport. Oh, that's a good idea. There's a good one on the way to Bill Maher's show. Love LA. Yeah, I love LA. There's a great lunch place. It's so inside, though.
Starting point is 00:44:31 I don't know what their rules are right now, actually. See my fraternity brothers at dinner at a place called Mastos in Malibu? Yeah, it's Mastros. Mastros? Yeah. You're so down in LA. I love LA. I spend a lot of time there.
Starting point is 00:44:43 I miss it so much. I have many friends there. Anyway, go to NY, have a good time, at the nymag.com slash pivot to submit your questions for the podcast. The link is also in our show notes. Scott, don't forget to wear your mask too because that's the new season.
Starting point is 00:44:57 100%. Even though you've been vaccinated. Anyway, read us out. Today's show was produced by Rebecca Sinanis, Ernie Intratat, engineered this episode. Thanks also to Hannah Rosen and Drew Burrows. Make sure you subscribe to the show on Apple Podcasts Read us out. All things tech and business. Kara's son can jump really high and push that round thing down. It's called a dunk. Dunk. Throwing down.
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