Pivot - SpaceX IPO: Markets, Morals, and What It Means for You

Episode Date: June 12, 2026

Kara and Scott are joined by MS NOW’s Stephanie Ruhle to unpack SpaceX’s blockbuster IPO, OpenAI’s public market ambitions, and rising inflation. Then, they discuss the White House’s Epstein h...eadache, Paramount taking aim at Netflix, and the growing push to ban social media for teens. Watch this episode on the ⁠⁠Pivot YouTube channel⁠⁠.Follow us on Instagram and Threads at ⁠⁠@pivotpodcastofficial⁠⁠.Follow us on Bluesky at ⁠⁠@pivotpod.bsky.social⁠⁠Follow us on TikTok at ⁠⁠@pivotpodcast⁠⁠.Send us your questions by calling us at 855-51-PIVOT, or email pivot@voxmedia.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:01:38 By the way, she'd slide into my DMs fast than she'd slide into your DMs. That is correct. That is 100% correct. Hi, everyone. This is Pivot from the Vox Media Podcast Network. I'm Kara Swisher. And I'm Scott Galloway. Scott the Knicks, Stevie Nix. Taylor Swift brought back balance to the universe. What? What are you talking about? I understand. What are you talking about? Were you out like late drinking? You didn't know what happened last night?
Starting point is 00:02:09 Exactly. Were you there? And it doesn't feel late. I'm out at 4 in the morning, and it's still light here. I'm in Stockholm. Oh, the Knicks. I'm talking about the New York Knicks. Oh, yeah, yeah.
Starting point is 00:02:18 I heard about that. It's something about a comeback. Sometimes about the greatest comeback in history. It was like 20s. I'm not even interested in sports, and I watched the fuck out of that. Largely because Terliswifax was in the front row with Mariska Hardiget. You know, the Lvievee. Yeah, Hargadette.
Starting point is 00:02:32 Yeah, Harvey Benson, and they were hugging all the time. I'm wearing adorable T-shirts like Stevie Nicks and Nickle, Nixel back and stuff. Let me just say that was quite a game and it was quite a shift. They were down quite a bit. And at the last minutes, I was like, oh, they can't win. I looked at why I was folding laundry and stuff. And then they came back and then they got ahead and then they got behind. And then the last like 30 seconds, this guy tipped a ball into the thing. And it was crazy. Tipped a ball into the thing. Into the basket. It was crazy. And then Taylor's
Starting point is 00:03:08 Swip was there, the whole thing, and there were a lot of celebrities, but let me just say, Sports Center starring Kara Swisher. There you go. There you go. It was so good. And then the parties, people watching on the streets everywhere. Just amazing. I love New York.
Starting point is 00:03:24 I love New York. So I was going to stay, go to the Knicks game, go to Tribeca Film Festival. I had the greatest, a bunch of meetings. I had the greatest three days planned in New York. And then I freaked out about not seeing my boys. fly home, I walk in the door expecting a hero's reception. And I got one, do you ever get one of these? They saw me.
Starting point is 00:03:45 I walked in and they went like this. They went like just a little bit of a nod, a little bit of a head tilt. Like, hey, bro. Not even a hey bro, just like a nonverbal, hey bro. And I thought. No. And at that moment I thought, I should be at the next game. I know you should.
Starting point is 00:03:59 What did I do coming home? I don't need to be rude, but I never get that. In fact, I interviewed Mark Merritt at the film festival. And he's like, yeah, everyone says their kids are great. I'm like, my kids are great. They're friends. No, I get a big, I came in from a week away. I was in New York doing all manner of nonsense.
Starting point is 00:04:17 Not me. I came home and they ran up and we had big hugs and they lay all over me and we laughed and laughed. Nope, not at all. And then Alex is like, come see me. I'm going to Australia with Louie. No, we're tight as ticks. Yeah. Switch casses.
Starting point is 00:04:33 That's not happening at the yellow household there. I even got a letter. So Clara wrote me a letter. She's starting to write. Oh, that's nice. About missing me. Yeah. It was great.
Starting point is 00:04:42 That's great. Did you know Sweden has not been at war for 200 years? Oh. I think that's why the city... Who would war with Sweden? That's why the city is so beautiful. It really helps when you don't, like, have the largest wealth destruction of that in history. Wasn't it involved in World War II?
Starting point is 00:04:54 Wasn't it someone? I mean, okay, get this in Sweden, the GDP. In World War II, the GDP of Sweden grew. Oh, wow. It was... Were they Switzerland in it? Yeah, they were basically... They were basically trading and making...
Starting point is 00:05:07 money while everyone else is killing each other. Oh, lovely. Yeah. Yeah. What about World War I? They weren't involved in that? They have not been in a war for 200 years. So what time is it there?
Starting point is 00:05:18 Because it's really bright. Is it like a million o'clock? No, it's almost midday. It's 5.10 p.m. I'm not exaggerating. It's light out until 3 or 4 a.m. Yeah, 3 a.m. And then it gets like kind of darkish, right?
Starting point is 00:05:31 Yeah, it never really gets dark. It feels like it's dusk or dawn from like 11 p.m. till 5 a.m. I was not like that when I was there. So how is it going? How's it going with the Swedes? It's good. I'm at this thing called Brilliant Mines.
Starting point is 00:05:44 Yeah, I told you I'd been there. And, yeah, I've never been. It's my first one. For me, it's about Stockholm. I've been walking around a lot. It's really nice. There's a lot of reindeer. I had not known that,
Starting point is 00:05:55 although I had literally the toughest meat in the world I had last night. I needed a chainsop. Maybe it was reindeer. Could have been reindeer. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Good.
Starting point is 00:06:04 Good. And Sweden, they were the first country in the world to have a negative. central bank interest rate where you had to pay money for them to hold on to your money. Well, I'm glad you're there. But let me just like it back to Taylor Swift very quickly. Here we go. She brought balance to the universe along with these ladies. They were dancing. They were being fans. They were, and what was my favorite part of many of the parts of it, like there were so many, was that the guy that Scooter Braun was sitting with his girlfriend, Sidney, way back behind her, who stole all her song. Well, he bought them and he fucked with her.
Starting point is 00:06:37 And she was sitting down front and having the time of her fucking life. But it was kind of an interesting karma thing, right? That he was there. He falls asleep. He looks totally uninterested in the game. They lose. She's there, courtside, screaming her ass off, like a normal fan. And she's gone to Knicks games for years and years.
Starting point is 00:06:55 And they went in a clutch and they come back. It just felt right. Yeah. If karma is a real thing, it means that Skitter Braun has been the nicest person in the world up until now, I don't care about any of this except who's sleeping with Sydney, Sweetney. Well, he is. I think they're getting married. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:07:13 That's what that. Anyway, all right, we have a lot to get to today. As we tape on Thursday, SpaceX is less than 24 hours out from its stock market debut, and we've got a special guest here to help us break it down. Let's bring in Stephanie Ruhl, anchor of the new MS Now show, Money, Power, Politics at 9am. She's moving from nighttime, the dark of nighttime on MS Now to morning. Welcome, Stephanie. Thank you so much for having me.
Starting point is 00:07:38 As we tape on Thursday, SpaceX is less than 24 hours out from its stock market debut. The company has set its price at $135 a share valuing the company at $1.77 trillion. SpaceX IPO will likely make Elon Musk the first trillionaire in the world ever and make over 4,000 current and former SpaceX employees millionaires. But if all of the IPOing isn't enough to keep Elon Musk busy, is taking X to involve himself in very terrible anti-Ean by immigration riots in Northern Ireland, saying only by protesting repeatedly, and loudly, would there be any change? He's supporting a lot of really heinous people there. In response to criticism about his support must posted,
Starting point is 00:08:18 murderous migrants beheading innocent people in their hometown is what's making people angry, not social media. So he's making terrible trouble. And the British government has responded quite a bit to his involvement. He's been meddling over there for quite a while now. First, let's talk about the IPO. Scott has had really great analysis of it. And a lot of people, like Aswath at NYU and others are like, this is, this price is ridiculous. And at the same time, it'll probably jump up and then jump down, essentially. So give us your headline of the SpaceX IPO.
Starting point is 00:08:54 People who are investing, people who are participating in the IPO, they're not buying SpaceX. You're betting on Elon Musk. You are buying Elon Musk. The amount of control he has over the this company is unprecedented. And I'm not saying people should or they shouldn't, but that's who they're betting on. And it's extraordinary to me because even think about what you just mentioned with where he's taken to X and with regard to the protests in Ireland. We haven't heard one word from the underwriters of like, are we okay with this? Do you remember it was five or six years ago when it's sort of like at the height of Me Too
Starting point is 00:09:29 when Goldman had the big proclamation of like, we're only going to be doing deals with, you know, with companies that have a commitment to diversity and, you know, that's most, and I'm like, where, like, do we not have one shred of a moral compass here? And the answer is that we don't. No one is mentioning this. And when you think about how wealthy he's about to become, and I'm not insulting it or complimenting it. I'm just saying, I just want people to realize this is a person who directly impacts what's happening in a war by pulling Starlink. This is a person who wants to control information, so he buys a social media platform. This is a person who realized through Donald Trump, he can invest in candidates, and by investing in candidates, get whatever he wants.
Starting point is 00:10:13 Like, the reason I think we're now going, we are seeing an unprecedented amount of money going into these elections is because Elon Musk and Donald Trump prove that it works, right? You're not just getting a little bit of influence. One fifth of SpaceX's revenue. It says it, right? in the prospectus comes from government contracts. And so we could all say this is hinky. This isn't how capitalism works. This isn't how democracy should work or free markets. But for the investment community is saying, in my opinion,
Starting point is 00:10:46 if you can't beat them, join them. I'm here for the money. Here for the Joe, Scott. I like Stephanie's sake. It's the boring stuff that moves the needle. Sorry, what'd you say? I couldn't hear you. I like stuff.
Starting point is 00:10:57 I like my good friend Stephanie's tech. By the way, slip into my DMs, if you ever decide that, you know, you've had it. Oh, my God. You've just had it. You know how to reach me. You know how to reach me. Gross.
Starting point is 00:11:10 Anyway, sorry. Where are we? Gross. Slide into my DMs. By the way, she'd slide into my DMs faster than she'd slide it. That is correct. That is 100% correct. I think that's true of most of our guests.
Starting point is 00:11:25 Yes, yes. Anyways. Move along and take her seriously, her thoughts, her deep thoughts on the situation with Musk. The thing that's not getting enough reporting is that essentially must ability to lean on Trump, who then called Paul Atkins and said, make the wave all previous rules and include this company in the NASDAQ 100 is going to create $30 to $50 billion in additional demand for a company with a float of $100 billion. So to use an analogy, imagine on any given week, there's 100,000 people looking for homes in
Starting point is 00:12:00 San Francisco, and that creates a certain price discovery and certain pricing browsing. Imagine if all of a sudden, same number of houses for sale, there's 150,000 buyers. So when you look at the incremental demand of $30 to $50 billion is what I've calculated from things like QQQ and MSCI indices that are now forced to buy a company that might be 4 to 6 percent of the index, meaning that 4 to 6 percent of their capital under management, has to be used to buy SpaceX stock, despite the fact, again, in a violation of the of pre-existing rules that has been waived, only has 5% of its float out. You have what is, in my opinion, the greatest degree of manufactured scarcity ever in an IPO.
Starting point is 00:12:40 And this is about to be the greatest transfer of wealth from retail investors since crypto. 100%. And, Kara, just add into that what you originally said about who Elon Musk is. Like, go back to Ireland. Like, we're not just making a person, a company, this extraordinarily power. It's this person. Who he is, what he's done, what he stands for. That's sort of the thing that I want to sort of underline and highlight.
Starting point is 00:13:08 Doge. He just skated around Doge. He skated around. And this will give him an ability to skate around everything, right? Unless it goes up and down, right? Because he's not always been, he wasn't successful in Wisconsin, for example. His brand has gone to hell. You know, nobody's buying Teslas.
Starting point is 00:13:26 There are implications. But this gives him another. life, sort of Alex Luther just got another, the cat got another life, essentially. Yes, there's implications, but when you think about the stronghold that they have over the government, think about the amount of government contracts. When you say even if things go down, like once you are embedded in the government with these government contracts, it's like a tick biting you, right? Like you don't just get a tick bite and pull it out. The tick bites, all the tentacles pop out and it doesn't come back out. So when people even say, listen, when we have a
Starting point is 00:14:00 administration and they see things differently. A lot of these things are going to pull back out. Once you're this entangled in the government, it doesn't work that way. He's in. Well, what if the Democrats get in? Is he in? There's certainly, you know, Elizabeth Warren is, of course, is always speaking up. She's like, look, this is not a good thing to, she's going to, he's going to hurt retirees.
Starting point is 00:14:20 That's one of her things. She has a number of them. You have Bernie Sanders wanting a chunk of companies like his and other, like an open AI or whatever. Do I think things are going to change? How many years have we talked about closing the carried interest loophole? How many years have we talked about banning or limiting or adjusting congressional stock trading? For a zillion years. How many years have we talked about social media regulation and when Democrats had control?
Starting point is 00:14:43 Sure. But I just think once you're embedded in the government, look at the case of Michael Dell, okay? Michael Dell, glad he did donate $6 billion to the Trump baby accounts, super duper. Trump then says everybody should go out there and buy a Dell. The stock goes up. Trump buys the stock. And then Michael Dell gets a nine and a half billion dollar government contract. I'll bet my bottom dollar that come December if Democrats take control,
Starting point is 00:15:10 I don't think that government contract's getting canceled. Do you? No, no, no. But is there any price to pay for this kind of stuff? Well, there should be a price to pay because Democrats should be focused on two things as it relates to the midterms, affordability and accountability. If those are the two things that they can nail a message and a plan for, then they actually have a chance to take control here.
Starting point is 00:15:28 So what is going to happen with this IPO? How does it go? You've been, you've worked in this sector. Scott's talked, he thinks it's going to be a pop, then down and then a trough. You've seen all these charts, then a trough for a while. And then it'll start to go up so that people say buy it the truck. Listen, there's so much excitement. There's so much enthusiasm.
Starting point is 00:15:49 I mean, I just saw something the other day with Jamie Diamond talking this up, and they're not even the lead underwriter on this. Like, there's just so, and listen, there's just so many people who are, like Elon Musk, the guy who controls the world, I don't know, let's bet on him. Like people just want in. And especially as you can take, remember when at the height of COVID, when the control Elon Musk had the time, like how he basically created meme stocks, right? Elon Musk, we're taking it to the moon and people were all in. And I think nerds like us are reading all 22,000 words of a prospectus. But there's scores of people out there who are just like, I.
Starting point is 00:16:28 I just want in, even if it's for a minute. Now, Scott, can you know, you had noticed a vibe ship, though, right? It feels, and then another friend of mine said they got a call from their broker to get into it now, which is a, they thought was a bad sign. It's like a call, it wasn't an email, and they were way down on the list. Scott was talking, Scott, explain your feeling that the vibe is off. I think there's just been a tangible shift in vibe against AI. AI has gone from 75% approval to 25% and I do think that there's some wobbliness in the market's about
Starting point is 00:16:58 maybe this, the economics that the technology will survive, but the valuations may not. Having said that, SpaceX is, I mean, Stephanie's right, there's just a lot of people, this is a cult, not a company, that will invest in anything that Musk puts forward. And to be fair, even companies that made no sense from a bottoms of valuation standpoint, he's still figured out a way to show return to those investors who were willing to hold on to a mediocre automobile company that was trading like a software stock. So a lot of people, you know, the cult, a lot of people think that the decline in Bitcoin price
Starting point is 00:17:33 is because people, that same kind of person is selling their Bitcoin to be in, be in this company. But basically what you have, just to remind everybody, you have a great company with great mults. It's a rocket company. The company that makes all the money
Starting point is 00:17:47 is basically Comcast in space. It's Starlink. And then you have this ridiculous money furnace attached to it called, you know, X-AI. And it's going out at 100 times revenues. But right now, just back to the prediction care, I'm not convinced it's not only going to pop out of the gates, it'll close first day up
Starting point is 00:18:07 because I think some of the brightest minds in the history of finance with government control and the SEC on board have created a way to just pull off so much manufactured scarcity. You're not allowed to go public unless you issue at least 10% of the firm shares. They got a waiver to say, oh, only 5%. So just look at it at this.
Starting point is 00:18:26 way, demand, demand is the velocity of the water coming out of the hose. Supply, if you can constrict supply, you constrict the circumference of the nozzle. They are constricting the nozzle such that the velocity of the price here is going to be extreme to the upside. They're creating. They're creating false markets. And Kara, professional investors know this. So while Scott can be telling all of this as a warning or a problem and we should be concerned about it, even if professional investors fundamentally agree with Scott, and I'm sure they do, they're also saying, yeah, but guess what? It means the stock is going to go up, right?
Starting point is 00:19:08 So I'll put in my order. Buying a stock doesn't mean you're buying a house and you're locked into it for the next four years. And remember when Trump won and Doge was created, all three of us and scores of other people called Elon Musk a shadow president. And while he might not be sleeping on Stephen Miller's couch anymore and going into government agencies with a chainsaw, he still has an enormous, maybe even more influence over the government. We just don't see him walking into the Oval Office with his son on his shoulders. And people know that.
Starting point is 00:19:38 And when he's got that much influence over the government, or I'm not going to go as far as to say Trump in his pocket, but Trump at least, you know, on his shoulder, that for many people, while it might not be the right thing morally, is going to be the right thing financially, and that's what the markets are about. Okay, let's listen to one more SpaceX question we got from a listener, Holly. What do you think about collective divestment of funds that automatically include SpaceX stock? Would that sufficiently communicate that a lot of people are not okay with the changes that allowed this to happen?
Starting point is 00:20:11 First you, Stephanie and then you, Scott. Yes, it would make a difference. Listen, any sort of economic boycott, and we've all talked about that. The only place you hit him where it hurts is an economic boycott. Like you can have the worst stories, you can have the worst headlines. You can drag all these guys to D.C. And have a hearing where Katie Porter pulls out a whiteboard and says, you're naughty, naughty, naughty. They don't care. They got on their plane and they go home.
Starting point is 00:20:37 But when and if there are significant economic boycotts, then they have no choice but to respond. I just don't know if we're ever going to see something like that. Right. When we talk so much about, you know, Bezos and Amazon and as people are saying, like, I hate it. I hate those social media companies. They're saying it while they're scrolling through Instagram and then ordering Amazon packages. Scott?
Starting point is 00:20:58 People will opt for their economic security. And if they think they can get 10 or 20 percent, you know, one or two-hour trade, they know this is overvalued. They know that the game is being rigged here. And they will take the allocation to get their 10 or 20 percent. No one says at a funeral.
Starting point is 00:21:13 You know, this guy didn't participate in the SpaceX IPO because he had real integrity. Right. That's true. Well, they'll say that at mine. Open A is filed for an IPO. The company has not yet decided on timing saying in a statement it may be a while because there are things we want to do that are likely easier for a private company.
Starting point is 00:21:29 I don't know what that is like what, or geez? I don't know. Open I has last last. No, no. But in their defense, there's a lot you have to do, explain, account for when you go public. It's not easy. OpenI. I was last valued at $852 billion.
Starting point is 00:21:45 The filing comes shortly after rival Anthropics. Which of the three are you betting on? and how worried you about the concentration of so much market value in just a few companies? Does it make the entire – Scott has been talking about how the entire market is fragile. The entire market is fragile, and I think the name of the game for all of them, honestly, is to be – you don't want to be the last one to IPO, right? There is this huge appetite for AI. Everybody's so excited.
Starting point is 00:22:11 But there's so much, and there's potentially so much overdevelopment, I think you just don't want to – of all of them, you just don't want to be the last one when you've exhausted the market. And it's already exhausted. No one is rooting for this IPO more than Elon Musk, other than Sam Altman. This sets the tone for the next couple IPOs. If this comes out really strong, these guys are going to be able to come out and say, look at our numbers versus SpaceX, and you were willing to buy in it 100 times.
Starting point is 00:22:40 Open A.I. and Anthropic are going to look like value stocks compared to SpaceX if SpaceX holds up. Yeah, yeah, if it holds up, if there's enough money. And in the case of Open AI and Anthropic, especially as it relates to a retail investor, those are companies that people actually could say they know and they see more than they do SpaceX. That's a good point. All right. One last thing. Inflation was up 4.2% annually in May, the highest in three years.
Starting point is 00:23:03 Much of the surge came from the increase in oil prices, obviously, which have risen 35% in the months since U.S. and Israel attacked Iran. But fear not, President Trump is feeling optimistic about the situation. He likes it. Let's listen to a clip. Are you concerned, Mr. President, about the latest. inflation number which came out this morning. Could that be a... No, I love it.
Starting point is 00:23:22 The numbers were right. You know what I really love. I love the inflation. Okay. How much does he love inflation? Both of you, first you, Stephanie, how much would it rise before he started to not love it so much? Well, two things.
Starting point is 00:23:37 Like, as somebody who spent his life deeply in debt, I guess he could say yes, inflation works for me. If you put it in full context or when he tried to do a cleanup later, he's basically saying inflation's not bad. Think about where it could have been, right? People thought oil was going to be $200 a barrel. Oh, okay.
Starting point is 00:23:54 But the fact of the matter is, and he said just this week, like, listen, gas prices were really high when Biden was in office, which was the case when Russia first invaded Ukraine. But guess what? Those high prices and inflation, I would say, were the fundamental reasons why Joe Biden and subsequently Kamala Harris didn't win the election. Donald Trump promised to lower prices day one. He obviously hasn't done that. I think when he talks about affordability being nonsense or an old-fashioned term, I think he's selling the truth because he is in a gilded cage surrounded by people who have made, who are already super wealthy and they've made more money in the last two years than is even conceivable,
Starting point is 00:24:35 but where it's politically devastating and not necessarily for him because he doesn't need to be president again, but for every Republican running, that sound bite of the president's saying. that's what they're used. Inflation's great. That hurts. You and I both have mothers that voted for Donald Trump, and I assure you,
Starting point is 00:24:51 my mother does not think inflation is great, and she could tell you the price of London broil and the price of gas today. This will hurt Republicans. I say London Royal because, like,
Starting point is 00:25:00 that's the country buys. Would you like some London Royal? Scott? Well, people don't. 4.2% doesn't sound like a lot. What you need to do is quick math for people in terms of compounding,
Starting point is 00:25:13 And that is at 4.2% if that holds, that means the tuition to go to NYU at $62,000. If you have a baby today, when the kid is ready for college, tuition is now $125,000. Or bring it back just five years. It's easier for people to wrap their heads around. That means a car that costs $50,000 is going to cost $61,000. It's not $4.2. It's $4.2 compounding. And the other thing about this inflation print that's so bad is for the first time in several years.
Starting point is 00:25:43 years, inflation is now greater than wages, meaning the quality of everyone's life, their prosperity is diminished. But not for Trump and the people who are around Trump and he's happy as a clam in that bubble. I think if it wasn't for the war in Iran, he would be on cloud nine. And also, it just bears mentioning that for the three of us, it really doesn't matter because we own stocks. We own assets.
Starting point is 00:26:08 We're hedged against inflation because our house goes up 4.2 percent. or stocks go up 4.2% because Apple will raise its prices. Who this hurts are earners that don't have assets yet. So, and let's be clear, revolutions don't start because people aren't employed. They start because people are working two jobs and are still hungry. And this is yet again, it's another, it's another, there are still, Argentina's had 120% of inflation. There's a class of people there that have always stayed wealthy because they own land.
Starting point is 00:26:38 So the landowners and the stock owners, traditionally older people, in the United States are just fine. Inflation is yet again another transfer of wealth from non-assad owners who are earners to the asset owners. Kara, let me just say when people say, when wealthy people say they're panic-stricken over Zora Mamdani coming for capitalism and leading the eat-the-rich sentiment,
Starting point is 00:27:03 he's not leading to eat-the-rich sentiment. Donald Trump saying, I like inflation, is fueling the eat-the-rich sentiment, Not the mayor of New York. That is correct. And the tech bros saying all manner of nonsense every day of the week and twice on Sunday is the same thing. It's anger-inducing. And that's where you feel it, I think. Prediction on which of the IPOs coming or is the stock market about to take a deep fall, as many people think. So which of all the IPOs, which one would you buy into? And are you worried about the stock market? Listen, I've been saying I've been worried about the stock market for quite some time. And if you talk to CEOs that are not the Magnificent Seven or that run companies that are impacted by tariffs or mass deportation, those companies are not booming. They are struggling. They can't walk into the White House and offer Donald Trump a plane or God only knows what.
Starting point is 00:27:54 It's not so easy for them. So I think under the hood, things aren't great for lots of companies. But honestly, I'm not betting against the stock market because the only way it's been going is up. and a current appetite for AI, to me, it might be fragile, but it's big. It's big. All right. Which one would you buy? It's on a plate in front of you.
Starting point is 00:28:12 If I was hanging my morals out the window, I'd buy all of them. Oh, okay. All right, then. There you go. All right. Thank you, Stephanie. And everyone, be sure to watch her new MS Now show. I'm going to yell it.
Starting point is 00:28:24 Money, power, politics, weekdays at 9 a.m. She's going to be getting up early to give us the lowdown on everything. Tell us what with this move is. about? What is the situation with MPP? I think we need a great big morning show. I think that especially, obviously, we cover politics, we cover current events, but the economy is the number one thing that people vote on. Tomorrow, as we talk about the SpaceX IPO, we're going to have a newly minted trillionaire. We are 16 years out from Citizens United and have more money going into politics than ever, and not just politics because, hey, I like this candidate, politics because it's directly impacting
Starting point is 00:29:04 not to mention the gargantuan grift and corruption under our nose right now. I couldn't cover all that in one hour. I thought it was important that we covered it. And we covered it in the morning for two hours in a way that we're sort of setting the tone for what we cover here. Because it's not just about following Trump and the crazy thing he's saying today. We're fundamentally changing, potentially the way our economy works, the way capitalism works. And I think we need to cover it in a comprehensive way. And you guys know this as well as I do.
Starting point is 00:29:33 The way that business news has traditionally been covered, it's business news covered for an audience that invest in the markets. And when CEOs go on TV, they're not necessarily giving their worldview. They're talking about specific information about their companies that's going to impact their earnings report and their stock performance that day. We need to have much bigger and broader conversations than that. And that's what we're hoping to do. At nine in the morning, too. So you're on after morning Joe. So Morning Joe sort of yammers on for a long time about politics mostly.
Starting point is 00:30:03 So you're going to come in with a real hard, hard-nosed show in the morning, essentially. Yes, but also, I mean, yes, at 9 in the morning, but I also think, and you guys know this, I actually just talked about this in an interview the other day. I think that when people watch TV, yes, people watch live TV, but it's more you watch the show that you want to watch. And if you make an important show that matters, it doesn't actually, if you say, if Landman is your favorite show or friends and neighbors, and I said to you, what time is it on, what day, you might say like, oh, I think it comes out on Fridays. I think for me, the most important thing isn't who's necessarily watching me at nine. It's how do we make the best show that counts? Because that's what people are going to want and need to see. Think about the way pivot.
Starting point is 00:30:42 Think about the way people consume pivot. Yeah. Yeah, usually when they're drunk. But no, no, no, morning, running. Not just Scott. Not just Scott. By the way, Stephanie, I don't know if you, this is very much related to what you're talking about. We were talking about Taylor Swift.
Starting point is 00:30:56 And I don't know if you guys heard, but all of her exes are getting together and collaborating on an album and it's going to be called maybe she's the problem. Oh my God. She saved the Knicks. Don't, don't. Don't listen to them. Stephanie appreciates that. Stephanie appreciates that.
Starting point is 00:31:12 By the way, let's divert from the news. When Stephanie calls me, I'm both excited and scared because typically her calls start with, typically her not exactly her call start with, I think you're really fucking up. Or I'm worried about you. I get a impression of that. Whenever she calls, I'm like, uh-oh, this is either going to be very good or very bad. Okay, you know what? That's called a person who doesn't wait time, who's an actual friend.
Starting point is 00:31:39 I called Scott. No, you're a friend. I called Scott on a personal issue the other day. And when I started the call, I said, let me get to somewhere private. And he immediately said, are you getting a divorce? Oh, my God, all right. No, I didn't. That's why.
Starting point is 00:31:52 I said, wait till the kids are gone. Wait till the kids are out of the house. It was a divorce. I was calling Scott for some. I was calling for actual parenting advice from Scott, which he is fantastic at when it comes to boys. And his immediate response before, I just said, let me get to somewhere where no one else in the family could hear me. Wait till the kids are out of the house was his response. Thanks, Scott.
Starting point is 00:32:14 Okay. And then he proceeded to give me incredible advice. May I just say, I have two fine sons. You might. Yes, we've heard over and over and over. They're amazing. Yes, one of them is quite good at cooking if you didn't know. Yes, he's working for a restaurant now.
Starting point is 00:32:29 God, here we go. San Francisco. He's very excited. He has a little outfit, too. The other is at Michigan. He's wonderful. He's got a fantastic girlfriend. No, he's got a contestant.
Starting point is 00:32:38 He loves his job. He's manufacturing things in an advanced way. All right. Thank you, Stephanie. Good to see you. Thank you all so, so much. I love you both. Scott, I'll slide into your DMs later.
Starting point is 00:32:49 Anyway, let's go on a quick break when we come back. The Trump administration's freak out over Jeffrey Epstein. This is advertiser content from Harvey AI. We have a choice over who we work with and who we don't, specifically who we allow to advertise and who we don't. And for those of you who watch my content, I am not an AI catastrophist, I'm an AI optimist. I think it's going to create more jobs than it destroys. And I think our job as professionals is to figure out how to leverage these tools. AI, more than almost anything I do in terms of what I could point to for real economic leverage and savings, is 100% in the legal fields.
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Starting point is 00:34:07 So they both have visibility into the work being done and can both have value to it. I think this space is clearly sort of hand in glove for AI. Right. So there's no doubt about it. This, I think, is going to be super helpful not only for law firms themselves, but internally for general counsels of companies. Harvey is AI tailored for law. You can learn more at Harvey.AI.
Starting point is 00:34:37 Hi, I'm Maria Sharpova, host of the Pretty Tough podcast. Each episode, I sit down with high-achieving women to discuss the pursuit of excellence without apology. This week, model Sports Illustrated cover girl, an entrepreneur, Ashley Graham, talks about the time she almost quit. I called my mom, and I said, Mom, I just, I'm not going to do this anymore. And she told me, no, you are going to stick this out. your body is going to change someone's life. Every decade, you're going to go through something different. So be really happy with who you are right now because things change.
Starting point is 00:35:08 Check out pretty tough. New episodes on Wednesdays. You can watch it on YouTube or listen in your favorite podcast app. Big news this week for all my Gordon Geckos, my Robin Hooders, my Claude, Anthropic, which is newly the most valuable AI company in Sovworld, announced it would be going public. That news follows reporting that over. Open AI plans to go public as soon as September, and that that news follows reporting that Space X, which also considers itself an AI company, will be going public in maybe just a few weeks from now.
Starting point is 00:35:45 Welcome to the era of the Omega IPO. We are about to see millionaires, billionaires, and yes, probably even the world's first trillionaire created overnight. And yes, it's that guy. This is the chainsaw for bureaucracy. But all the tech bros who are going to make all the money, they need our money way more than we need their products. And we're going to remind you why on today, Explain from Vox. Scott, we're back.
Starting point is 00:36:23 The Trump administration cannot escape the assessing files, nor should they be able to, no matter how hard they try. And we're now getting more details about the internal panic about Epstein over the last year. Maggie Haberman and Jonathan Swan shared an excerpt from their upcoming book, regime change with the New York Times. both are New York Times writers, by the way. Here are some highlights. The situation when became an Epstein war room
Starting point is 00:36:43 where strategy meetings took place. J.D. Vance suggested having Tucker Carlson interviewed J. Lane Maxwell in prison. There was talk of then-deputy A.G. Todd Blanche going on Joe Rogan, but Vance wanted to go on instead of Blanche. Dan Bongino warned there would be a president, this would be President Trump's Iran-Contra. There was talk of nipples,
Starting point is 00:37:05 and President Trump's disrespect for nipples in the room. And as funny as that sounds, it was pretty grotesque of his abuse of a young woman. But this is what this entire leadership is talking about, and whether he'll be able to handle the nipple stuff getting out. It's not just the White House and has nothing to do with nipples here. Bill Gates was on Capitol Hill this week, testifying behind closed doors about his connection to Epstein. Gates said Epstein tried to use information about his extramarital affairs as leverage after the two had cut ties. Well, obviously he did. He's an evil villain. He also acknowledged that meeting with Epstein was a grave error in judgment, which he said before and put his philanthropy work at risk,
Starting point is 00:37:46 and it certainly did, including his own reputation. Talk a little bit about, didn't anything surprise you about how the White House dealt with the Epstein stuff? They sound like fucking amateurs. Every time he's reading it, I was like, what a bunch of amateurs. Big fights between Bongino and Patel and Bondi and Susie Wiles just sitting over at like a demented mother who doesn't know how to control idiot children. Will this be a major issue in terms, and I will say, as you know, I was very much in early on saying this is a real problem. Reuters is out within new polls, 75% of people think the government is hiding information on Epstein's clients, and a lot of it is falling as much as Trump has tried to push it off onto other people on the president himself. So I think we agree
Starting point is 00:38:25 that it should be an issue. I don't think it will be. There's recent data showing, there's these March focus groups ranked Epstein's six amongst voter concerns ahead. You know, it's So it's well in the back of the bus here. I think it is, again, unfortunately, I just don't think it's that big issue. I think the American public is so numb to this kind of stuff, especially in the Trump administration. What I would actually found more interesting was the whole Gates testimony, and that is he has some of the best and brightest PR people, because it wasn't an accident. So when you call someone to come testify in front of a special committee or whoever he testified, you have some say in it. He has the best lawyers in the world.
Starting point is 00:39:08 And what do they do, Kara? They got it behind closed doors, and they got it during the NBA finals, during Iran, during the SpaceX IPO. This is what you do. You know this business better than I do. When you have shitty news, you bury it on a big newsday, right? Yep, absolutely. So Gates, whether you think he deserves to be flogged in public or how guilty or not guilty of whatever you think he is, I just admire the PR savvy here.
Starting point is 00:39:37 Yeah, that would be Larry. Behind closed doors during a very, very heavy business newsweek. This story is going to come and go. Well, I still think it's a – I'm going to disagree with you because I think I was actually completely accurate at the beginning of the Epstein thing, that it's a big deal. I think among the base of people, it remains an illuminating and a thing that gets them going. I don't think it goes away. And what was interesting was Dan Bongino during this whole thing, kept seeing that to the Trump people.
Starting point is 00:40:03 but this is not a... They kept minimizing it saying it's not a big deal, it's not a big deal. It was a big fucking deal. And this is something I knew from reading all these QAnon boards. This is at the center. I think it's still at the center.
Starting point is 00:40:15 I think it creates an atmosphere among people like Rogan and others of these fucking liars. And I think Iran's a bigger deal for them than Epstein. It is now, but I'm saying it does... This is like one more, you know, another brick in the wall, like that kind of thing.
Starting point is 00:40:29 And so I think Epstein remains a bearing wall. of this presidency, and he cannot get away from it. And I get the nipple thing and everything else, and as much as I think he's kind of like an oaf, Dan Bojino had it right. And so, by the way, did Vance, although Wiles was sort of accusing of being a conspiracy theorist, but I think Vance had his finger on the pulse
Starting point is 00:40:50 of bringing it out, like, as much as possible, even if it hurt the president slightly, because the transparency was more important than what's in it, unless, of course, there's very clear and convertible evidence that he's slept with an underage girl, which it's still not proven. There's been a lot of allegations of it, certainly. So I think it's still there.
Starting point is 00:41:14 I think it sits there like mold. It just sits there, and it sits in the minds of a lot of people like Massey. And even though he's zeroed them, he has not zeroed them. I don't think by any means, and I think Vance knows it. And Bongino certainly knows it.
Starting point is 00:41:27 With Gates, look, you're right. This was a good time to do his, And he kept going, I'm here voluntarily. Did you see that? Which was kind of interesting. I think this has hurt his reputation. Oh, yeah, no doubt. For a long, long, long time.
Starting point is 00:41:41 I think he is, this is, he is going to suffer. This is going to, he has done some amazing works. I think his wife is looking, his ex-wife is looking fantastic with all this different financial things she's putting out and handling her image quite well throughout this whole thing. But I think he is permanently harnished, and I'm not sure how any conversation he has going forward does not include this topic. So I think he has done enormous damage to himself by affiliate himself with Epstein.
Starting point is 00:42:11 And it was a grave error in judgments, and it did put his philanthropy at work. So I think it's there. I think it's still there. Yeah, hard, anyway. All right. Let's go on a quick break. We come back. Paramount lashes out against Netflix.
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Starting point is 00:45:39 Paramount is accusing Netflix of waging a scorched Earth campaign to kill its $110 billion deal with Warner Brothers. in a letter to the DOJ, Paramount's chief legal officer, Macon Delrahim, says Netflix is trying to, quote, poison regulators and other stakeholders against the merger. Oh, come on, Macon. I know Macon. Of course they are. Netflix is calling their claims absurd.
Starting point is 00:46:00 It's not the only thing Paramount is doing to get the deal across the finish line. The company reportedly submitted a list of concessions to head off antitrust lawsuit by California and several other states. That'll include New York and possibly Massachusetts, I'm hearing. Recently, actually, I've gotten notes from
Starting point is 00:46:16 people in Hollywood saying this thing is a little shakier than it looks. I'm not so sure about that, but I'm surprised I'm getting them. The EU is also currently reviewing the merger in light of the backing of those Middle Eastern wealth funds. Thoughts, anywhere? Of all the media CEOs, the one I know best, which isn't very well, is Ted surround us. And any campaign to try and undermine this would have to have Ted's blessing. And this just isn't Ted's style. No. He's not. going to wait and buy it when they fuck it up. They're 80 billion dollars. And I don't see any exterior lobbying of people who are clearly in, you know, Netflix's
Starting point is 00:46:56 back pocket. I don't see a bunch of Democratic senators getting all jonesed up about this. So I just, it doesn't, it doesn't ring true for me. What does ring true is that some blue state AGs are starting to look into it and may file their own. I bet with them. Yeah. Yeah. And may file suit.
Starting point is 00:47:15 but I don't see, it just when I read that, it doesn't, what I do, what I know about Ted, he's, Ted is kind of, you know, when Ted retires, he'll probably be like a diplomat because he's just not the kind of person to shitpost or go on the offensive against people. I think they're trash-chalking it behind the scenes. Like, because of the obvious situation, this has enormous amounts of debt on it. It's a lot. But I interviewed him on stage in L.A. and I gave him, you know, an opening. I said, isn't it a creative community?
Starting point is 00:47:45 going to scream out in horror when this acquisition closes and because of AI and, you know, trying to find efficiencies for overpaying. I gave him, I set him up to, and he just, he immediately pivoted to something else and said, he hopes they do well. I just don't, he's just not that, he's not of that ilk. No, I think they're shooting themselves in their own feet
Starting point is 00:48:08 and they want to blame other people. This has been really, really cloddish. Every step of the way, this, this. acquisition feels clottish. And the debt is the debt. That's what it is. And one of the things I want people to focus on is there's a huge amount of debt. The ugliness is not now, even though there's a lot of ugly right now, it's going to happen once the deal is struck because these people cannot keep the promises they've made. They're not very good promise keepers. Some might call them mendacious at times, but they will not be able to keep up there what they are saying they're going to do. And that's
Starting point is 00:48:41 when the ugliness will truly start when they have to make these cuts, which have to be significant. no matter what they say, unless Larry Olson decides to just take his money and bankroll the whole thing, which I don't think he will. This is going to be tough for Hollywood, and they know it. And I think they're going to have real troubles. And then that's when Netflix comes in and sucks up all the pretty parts, would be my guess. I actually think it probably closes, though, because I talked to an economist this weekend and he said it doesn't really fit the her way for a monopoly. In terms of streaming, if you factor in linear content from their flagship channels, CBS, HBO, and HETV, the hypothetical combined platform gets roughly 20% of total US hour streamed, and Netflix is at 60. In terms of total TV viewing time, a combined Warner Brothers Paramount streaming and TV All In would represent about 12.2% of total US viewing TV watch time.
Starting point is 00:49:37 And that's less than YouTube currently has at about 13%. in terms of box office sales, Paramount and Warner Brothers represent roughly 25% of the domestic box office. And they're just so well connected with Trump. They'll end up selling off like SpongeBob SquarePants so some regulator can feel like they've got a win or something or divesting of some stupid children's program.
Starting point is 00:49:59 But I think this goes through. Kalshi has it at 75%. I think it's actually higher than that. Yeah, I've just noticed a lot of Hollywood people and at the smart ones. I'm not talking about the dumb ones, have been like, this feels bad.
Starting point is 00:50:11 Something feels bad. But I think it's largely the all the noise around CBS and the disaster they're perpetrating there. But I think it's more... I just think the pain is going to come once the deal is done.
Starting point is 00:50:23 That is where it's going to happen. And you're going to see, like, how are they going to get out of this box? And none of them are Houdini in that gang. So that's the problem. We'll see. We'll see where it's going.
Starting point is 00:50:34 But definitely the State Attorney Generals are involved. They're going to try to... They will get them to sell something up there. I am still very concerned about the backing of these Middle Eastern wealth fins owning this much of our media. But, you know, no one else seems to care. But I find that really. And EU will, they'll have to do a lot of favors for people going forward.
Starting point is 00:50:54 And later, Ted Rondos and YouTube will take it all over. That's my feeling. Like, it's really, these people are like not, don't count compared to those two. And where you should watch is YouTube and Netflix. That's pretty much how I feel. and Disney to a lesser extent. Anyway, last thing, Canada is the latest country to crack down on social media for teens.
Starting point is 00:51:15 The government proposed a bill this week to ban kids under 16 from using social media, though most companies can get exemptions that they prove their platforms adequately protect young users. It's not just Canada, as we said, across the pond UK Prime Minister Starmor is weighing a similar ban.
Starting point is 00:51:29 It's across the world, but don't expect this to happen in the U.S. Our embassy in London posted about the potential UK ban writing the United States favors parental empowerment. over government mandates, whatever. Also worth noting, though, Australia's social media ban is struggling. 70% of teens are still using social media apps,
Starting point is 00:51:46 according to recent report, because they can get around this stuff. So I think it's more, teens continue to smoke after we put stuff on packs and made it harder by them. I don't really think that should be the goal there. But I think a society has to say this stuff sucks and is dangerous. So I don't mind just the saying of it. So how do you think about UK and then Canada doing this? I think it's great. and I think it's overdue.
Starting point is 00:52:09 I don't think there's any reason why anyone under the age of 16 should be on a social media platform. I think one of the greatest threats to our society is that we're evolving a new species of asocial, asexual males. And that 40% of the S&P is now tied to trying to convince these people
Starting point is 00:52:23 to sequester from their relationships and be online. And part of the problem is just as their brain is getting wired through puberty, you're teaching them to have constant visual stimulation and be staring at a strain. I mean, there's even evidence now that they're
Starting point is 00:52:37 posture is changing. A leaning over? Yeah, unless you have like a... They're back to your Neanderthal, right? Unless you have collective action. And I do think these bands, you know, schools aren't going to allow you to have a phone. If you're, if you're preschool or middle school,
Starting point is 00:52:51 you're not allowed to have a phone. I mean, anyways, I think this is, it took us 30 years to figure out tobacco or regulated. It took us 20 years with opiates. It looks like social one on mobile in 2013, it looks like it's going to take us exactly about 20 years. But I think this is a great thing. is leading on this. It's weird to describe Europe as an innovator on regulation, but as somebody
Starting point is 00:53:13 who has grown up with kids in the kill zone, exactly the wrong age at exactly the wrong time, you know, a lot of people will say to me, I'm really worried, I have a five and eight year old. I'm like, no, no, no, you're fine. We'll have this figured out by the time. They're 13 and 14. But if you went through COVID as a teenager and grew up with social media, I really think you face some significant headwinds in terms of emotional regulation? I do. Can I make another answer? First of all, as I said, it's a sign that society thinks it's important, just like we did with cigarettes or seatbelts. Not everyone wears seatbelts. Not lots of teens smokes. Guess what? Lots of teens drink, even though we have rules. It's the society saying to its citizens, we think this is
Starting point is 00:53:56 bad. You can cheat and they will. No question. I think that argument is so false. Like, oh, teens will get it anyway. I'm like, okay, they'll get liquor anyway. They'll get everything. So I think that's number one. It says something about your society that you care enough, and it isn't mandating. It's just saying, as with cigarettes, as with drinking, our teens shall not do this. And I think that's perfectly fine. And, you know, the people that say it's not, they're not paying attention to everything else. The second thing is, I do think social media is on the decline among young people, not among our people who are addicted, fatally addicted to these things.
Starting point is 00:54:31 But I do think I watch a lot of young people and I know a lot of them are on there, but I think the age is a little higher. I would put an asterisk on that. I think it's declining among wealthy, informed young people who have strong parental influences and the money and the resources to get engaged in other things. Fair point.
Starting point is 00:54:51 I think if you're the child of a single mother, home alone a lot, I don't know. I mean, even among young men, Do you know supposedly men ages 20 to 30 are spending more time and less time outdoors than prison inmates? They're on a fucking screen. And just to go to some. Gaming. No, I think I'm talking about social media. Some of it's gaming.
Starting point is 00:55:12 I agree. But just the big tax excuse has always been we can't find it would be impossible for us to detect underage users. Guess what? When Australia passed an act, the platforms deactivated nearly 5 million teen accounts in just one month. They were able to figure it out. And meanwhile, that very same detection is being withheld from Americans because our federal government has no interest in protecting children from the harms of social media. The Kids Online Safety Act passed the Senate 91 to 3 and then died when House GOP leadership refused a floor vote. So the bill's been reintroduced and is stalled again.
Starting point is 00:55:49 A March House markup was pulled amid partisan fights over preemption. And 40 bipartisan state attorney generals are begging Congress to act, warning the House. version would gut state child safety laws. So this is... I like you bringing the data, Scott. Well, the last federal law protecting kids online was Kappa, and it was in 1998. So wait, let me... You don't think the world has changed in 28 years regarding technology and the potential
Starting point is 00:56:13 harm for children? Come on. I would not ask you. I think Australia is not working is not the question. It is, teens will find a way. But I do think a society stepping out and saying it. And let me just note, I don't know if you saw this, the trailer just came out for the social reckoning, which is the follow-up to the social network.
Starting point is 00:56:31 Jeremy Strong is from Succession is playing Mark Zuckerberg. He's got the voice on down pat, although he looks too old, I have to say. He's oddly looking old. But it's all about this. It's all about, and it's the story of Francis Hogan, really, pretty much. And this Facebook files and how this, they had all, they knew what they were doing. And they did it anyway. And this was the first, to me, this was the moment that Zuckerberg went villainous, right?
Starting point is 00:56:57 that he started understanding something that I'd written about in the times of 2018. This came out in 2019, 2021 period. But this was the moment. And I think this movie will be really interesting
Starting point is 00:57:08 by Aaron Sorkin, once again, revisiting this issue is that this guy is living large on the backs of teens, on the backs of kids, on the backs of everybody. And I don't think
Starting point is 00:57:22 it's going to be great for the image. And I think to say it again and again has to happen. and including these laws, these movies, and everything else. And Jeremy Strong will literally sound so much like them. It's disturbing. Well, the ability of big tech to wash over Washington and separate them from the best interests of our children with money, you know what's got in the way of the Kids' Online Safety Act, better known as COSA?
Starting point is 00:57:45 It forces platforms to exercise, open quote, reasonable care in designing features so they prevent and mitigate specific harm to minors, things including content promoting suicide. eating disorders, sexual exploitation, and compulsive use patterns. Big Tech is fighting those things. Yeah, that's because they go, oh, it could be used for this. They go behind their First Amendment nonsense that they tend to try to push out there. Yeah. You can't anticipate everything.
Starting point is 00:58:15 I just want the society to say no to this. Just like kids with phones and schools, no, no, no. And that's what a civil society does to these companies, whether there's cigarette companies, liquor companies, liquor companies. By the way, liquor is on the decline. I think social media is going to decline more than you think. I think that's my prediction. Anyway, all right, Scott, one more quick break. We'll be back for predictions. So the 26 midterms is shaping up to be an all-out brawl. But the biggest fight may not be
Starting point is 00:58:47 between Democrats and Republicans, but over the congressional maps itself. Jurymandering is not a good thing. We don't like it. And then all of a sudden, we're going out and telling people vote for this. So I'm in Ashland, Virginia, a small town just outside of Richmond, which calls itself the center of the universe. And that checks out because it's the center of the political universe, at least when it comes to the 2026 midterms. That's because Ashland sits in Virginia's first congressional district,
Starting point is 00:59:15 which is one of only about 35 or so that are actually competitive. That makes Virginia particularly important when it comes to the question of gerrymandering. The jerrymandering is a major problem, But it's not like Democrats drew first blood with this one. Donald Trump doesn't think he should be held accountable by anybody. So he's trying to change the rules because it doesn't like the game. We've shown what we're capable of. Now let's keep up the push through the midterms.
Starting point is 00:59:39 America actually will be in your feeds and on YouTube every Saturday with an interesting interview in politics or culture. Okay, Scott, let's hear a prediction. Well, one is a simple, funny one and the other one is more serious. but the simple one is you're about to see revenues at the 100 biggest podcast go up 20 to 30 percent. Oh, yay. That's us. Additional just from, like everybody,
Starting point is 01:00:11 everybody make their wagers. Pivot is about to get a great deal of money, and so is every other big podcast to be the, quote-unquote, to be the exclusive. The exclusive. They've already come knocking. I don't care if it's Yahoo. Scout or Gemini, these guys are all going to, we're about to, some of that cheap, remember all that
Starting point is 01:00:35 cheap, cheap money that was being thrown around in 99? That was mattresses. That was mattresses. I mean, you're about to see the podcast universe have the tsunami of money just to say, hey, Joe, we'll give you $10 million if you decide that you only use open AI. Right. Anyways, that's my stupid, simple one. But the more specific one is that.
Starting point is 01:00:58 I mean, look, the fix is in. And I just think it's so fucking obvious. Musk called Trump after doing a lot of analysis as his bankers and said, you know, I spent $250 million to get you elected. And he probably said, no, you didn't get me elected. And he said, well, can you acknowledge that I helped? And so, yeah, and he's like, I'm considering putting $2.5 billion into the midterms. How would you like that, President Trump?
Starting point is 01:01:20 Well, I'd like it a lot. Well, if you can get Paul Atkins over at the SEC to waive that stupid rule that doesn't allow retail investors from participating in great companies like SpaceX, I just have this hankering to put in two, three, maybe five billion dollars into the midterms. The anchoring, hankering, yes. And again, what does that do? It sends $30 to $50 billion in incremental dollars
Starting point is 01:01:43 hunting for $100 billion in available shares of SpaceX. This is all of a sudden, there's 50% more people looking for homes in San Francisco than there was with any other previous IPO. And let's just do the math. Say that takes the price of SpaceX up just, let's be conservative, 10%. At $2 trillion, that's $200 billion. He owns 40%.
Starting point is 01:02:10 So he gets $80 billion. Why wouldn't you promise the president $10 billion in the midterms? Citizens United, he can do whatever the fuck he wants. So if he called the president and said, hey, call Paul and tell them to do away with this stupid rule, such that retail good Americans can't invest in the best companies. And I got a hankering to put $10 billion to work in the midterms. I mean, quite frankly, wouldn't you be stupid not to do that?
Starting point is 01:02:37 Yes, absolutely. That's how it works. And it was my prediction is the fixes in. What people aren't focused on is this, the waiving of the NASDAQ 100 rules that you've got to wait a year and let price settles is going to create the ultimate false flag signal of pricing on the day of this IPO. Right. That's what they're doing. Oh, they're all talking it up. And you're like, oh, you people.
Starting point is 01:02:58 And Stephanie's right, morality has nothing to do with it. I could never be an investment banker. I couldn't be a lawyer either. I'd be like, you're guilty. You should go to jail. I'm going to turn you in. I just couldn't do it. I just couldn't do it.
Starting point is 01:03:08 Same to the investment. You suck. I'm not going to take you public. I just couldn't. I just couldn't do it. I don't know. Well, whatever. Someone has to.
Starting point is 01:03:15 Anyway, that was a great prediction. I think you're absolutely right. And about the podcast thing, yay, yay. Yeah, yay for us. But we'll cash those checks, though, but you investment bankers are evil people. You know what I mean. Let me say, how fucked him made that he's going to be a trillionaire? I've kind of fucked, aren't I?
Starting point is 01:03:33 Well, I'm all on board now. I love this kind of populist economist out of the UK, Gary Stevenson. And he totally changed my frame of mind, and that is taxes are Kevlar against corruption. Because when people aggregate too much money, they become corrupt. You know, power corrupts, an absolute power. absolutely corrupts, and our taxes are what stands between us and having one person who can decide when to turn off and on battlefield technology in the invasion of Europe.
Starting point is 01:04:01 Yeah. Yeah. Do you think you'll like hire an army just for me? I don't know. I just feel like, oh no. It was irritating before, but now I'm fucked. Anyway, elsewhere in the Karen Scott universe, this week on Profi Conversations, Scott spoke with Anne Applebaum. What of my favorites do? And Fiona Hill. Wow. What a pair about how Ukraine is rewriting the rules of warfare. hidden weaknesses of authoritarian regimes and the future of global power.
Starting point is 01:04:27 Let's listen to a clip. I think actually what Ukraine could show is that the beneficiaries of all of this ought to be society, the private sector, the innovators, and that we need to find some kind of model after this, a refresh after all of the dust is settled here, while the dust is settling, to basically get ourselves back into gear again. So a trillion plus defence budget that's going to be top-down is not the way to go at all. you're absolutely right. That is not the model. A lesson from this is that soft power is underrated and hard power is overrated.
Starting point is 01:05:01 Correct. And we've just gotten it all wrong. Scott, I'm glad you did those two ladies. They're badass. Yeah, it was our 400th episode, and they asked me who I'd want on the show, and I said, either Ann Applebaum or Fiona Hill, and they said, we'll get both. So I was really excited at them on. The women shall save us. Yeah, impressive women.
Starting point is 01:05:20 Anyway, we want to hear from you. send us your questions about business tech or whatever's on your mind. Go to NYMag.com slash pivot to submit a question for this short call 85551 Pivot. Okay, that's the show. Thanks for listening to Pivot. Be sure to like and subscribe to our YouTube channel. We'll be back next week. Today's show is produced by Lara Naman, Zohai, Marcus, Taylor Griffin, and Todd Wiseman.
Starting point is 01:05:40 Alia Jackson engineered this episode. Thanks also to Drew Bros. Miserra and Dan Chalon. Nishak Kouraz Vox Media's executive producer of podcast. Make sure to follow Pivot on your favorite podcast platform. Thanks for listening to Pivot from Vox Media. We'll be back next. week for another breakdown of all things tech and business.

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