Pivot - Tariff Twists and Turns, Meta Antitrust Trial, and Blue Origin Girls' Trip

Episode Date: April 15, 2025

Kara and Scott discuss the latest tariff confusion, with Trump flip flopping on tech exemptions, and warning of more tariffs to come. Then, the FTC's blockbuster antitrust trial against Meta gets unde...rway. Will Meta eventually have to spin off Instagram and WhatsApp? Plus, Blue Origin's all-female flight lifts off, and Bill Maher goes to Washington for dinner with Trump. Help Pivot win Best Business Podcast at the Webbys! Vote here Follow us on Instagram and Threads at @pivotpodcastofficial. Follow us on Bluesky at @pivotpod.bsky.social Follow us on TikTok at @pivotpodcast. Send us your questions by calling us at 855-51-PIVOT, or at nymag.com/pivot. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:01:42 The manufacturer's suggested retail price excludes tax, title, license, dealer fees, and optional equipment. Dealer sets final price. No one has ever described me as openly heterosexual. No one has ever said openly heterosexual podcaster. Hi, everyone. This is Pivot from New York Magazine and the Vox Media Podcast Network. I'm Cara Swisher.
Starting point is 00:02:07 And I'm Scott Galloway. Where are you, Scott? You're just somewhere strange with the wallpaper situation going on. I am at the Colony Hotel in Palm Beach, where I just returned from getting from the Department of Motor Vehicles at Palm Beach Gardens, where my son is now a licensed driver. How exciting. That's great. I thought you were at Mar-a-Lago or something like that. No, I ran into my friend, Memet Oz, yesterday,
Starting point is 00:02:34 and he came over and he introduced me to RFK Jr. They're hanging out. Oh, no. And he gave me the cold shoulder. I think it's because I refuse to have him on my pod. I don't know. Well, good idea. He was definitely like cold to me. Who? R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R-R- into it. Four months until autism is solved? Not just that, all his stuff. He's taking information off, he's saying vaccines aren't necessarily a good thing on the, just he's such
Starting point is 00:03:10 a fucking disaster. These people are setting themselves up for a lot of pain years from now. It's just the murders he is committing right now as far as I'm concerned. Well, in addition to the additional death, disease and disability across our populace, it's made traffic much worse for me. That's what I'm really upset about. Okay. All right. Okay.
Starting point is 00:03:31 All right. The traffic is awful down there. But anyways, I'm at the Colony Hotel, which I affectionately call, I think there's a whole cadre or cohort of what I call 64 hotels and service establishments. And that is because of the unprecedented prosperity that we've started to believe is the normal operating system in America, and a series of fiscal and monetary policies that literally are in tax policies cram all this prosperity in the top 1 percent. And the fact there's a lag time, you can't build a four or five-star hotel in a year,
Starting point is 00:03:59 it takes 10 years. These places are over capacity. And so I describe them as 64, isn't that, at six-star prices with four-star service. And these places are so expensive. And I don't mind paying a lot of money if you get great service. And you do get great service at the Beverly Hills Hotel or, I don't know, at the Langham in London. I mean, there's just a ton of great hotels of great service. This is not one of them. This is not one of them. All right, Colony Hotel with RFK there.
Starting point is 00:04:28 That's all I need to know. I'm not going there. No, RFK is not here. I don't want to disparate. It's a beautiful hotel in Palm Beach, by the way. It's 74 and sunny. God, it's so nice here. That's good for you. It's very nice here in Washington too. Anyway, we've got a lot to get to today.
Starting point is 00:04:42 There's also a lot of tech stuff going on, including Metta's big antitrust trial, and of course, women in space. We'll get to that. But first, let's get to tariffs, because first, President Trump now says nobody is getting off the hook on tariffs, despite granny exemptions for smartphones, computers, and other electronics late Friday, which is a lie, apparently. Trump posted on True Social on Sunday that products are just moving to a different tariff bucket.
Starting point is 00:05:06 He also says that semiconductor tariffs are coming, but tariff exemptions or whatever Trump wants to call them are good news for Apple, Nvidia, and Dell, at least for the time being. Of course, Scott predicted Apple's reprieve on our Friday episode. Let's listen. You want to enrage a cult?
Starting point is 00:05:22 Take iPhones to 3,500 bucks. And then you're going to see the largest, the most valuable company in history, an American company, lose the value of the German GDP over the course of a year. You're going to take, push back people's retirements. Apple's going to have to withdraw all sorts of growth plans. And you want to piss off every, every millennial and Gen X in the world, take their iPhones for $3,500, Apple is not going to have any tariffs here. So in the interim for that,
Starting point is 00:05:53 you were absolutely correct. Very good. But what was- And then I was not correct, right? Yes, I know. So what is the deal? Because Letnik started, everyone thought Letnik was off script, but then Trump underscored it and added more confusion to
Starting point is 00:06:05 something that was already confusing and seems very oligarchic and sudden and shifting. Apple was trying very hard to deal with this. They're airlifting 600 tons of iPhones from India last week to reportedly beat the tariffs. This flip-flopping is really bad. Carolyn Levitt, of course, it goes against what they were saying, we're going to make things in the U.S. Carolyn Levitt, Tracy Flick said over the weekend that Trump is still committed to seeing more products and components made in the U.S. She noted Trump's direction, tech companies are hustling to onshore their manufacturing
Starting point is 00:06:36 in the United States as soon as possible. This is, Carolyn, sit down, you 27-year-old ignoramus. But what do you think about this flippity-floppity-flippity-flop? The brand US has become toxic uncertainty. There's several organizations that track an uncertainty index, and that index has reached its highest level since the 80s. The level of uncertainty in the US right now is greater than COVID. Right.
Starting point is 00:07:04 Think about that. By the way, I I'm gonna give you some anecdotes. I'm not gonna name the people because they didn't wanna be named. But what I would tell our listeners is that unlike the Trump administration, my anecdotes are true. I'm not lying. Over the weekend, I talked to several CEOs.
Starting point is 00:07:20 One is the CEO of a huge catalog and retail company that does a lot of housewares. This person has, he thinks, about $60 million in outdoor furniture waiting to hit the stores for summer that are on ships en route from China. All of a sudden, he has to figure out a way to get to the port of Long Beach when they arrive and write a check for $85 million that he wasn't expecting to write. And he has to call a CFO. And this is a publicly traded multi-million dollar company. It's like, I can't just find $85 million.
Starting point is 00:08:00 The $85 million is for what? To pay for the things now? Or what is the 85 for? That's the correct question because the way tariffs work is the importer, the catalog, the retailer company taking delivery of outdoor furniture from China. If these products quote unquote cost 60 million, you have to, with a 145 percent tariff, you have to, the person receiving the items, the retailer in the U.S., has to pay $85 million to the U.S. government in the form of a tariff payment. So this individual has to come up with $85 million to get the shit off the boat.
Starting point is 00:08:39 In addition... Right. Unless they're given a reprieve. But he can't just let shit sit on a boat. Right. And right now, he has't just let shit sit on a boat. Right. Right now, he has to plan for what the government is saying. In addition, he's got to find hundreds, if not thousands of people to go down to the port.
Starting point is 00:08:55 When the stuff comes off the boat, retag and reprice everything because now the majority of retailers that order their stuff out of China have it tagged and priced and attached to the actual physical item in China. And wrapped, right? Whatever, if there happen to be clothing or something like that. Whatever it is. And so in addition, he's like,
Starting point is 00:09:15 okay, so I have stopped all shipments from China. I've told them stop producing, which is going to take my inventory levels way down. And the only way I'm going to get anywhere back even is if I raise prices, which I'm going to have to do. In addition to more expensive prices, i.e. inflation, my earnings call is going to be a shit show when I have to explain that, oh yeah, I wasn't expecting to pay an $85 million unexpected,
Starting point is 00:09:45 straight from the bottom line payment for tariffs that didn't exist seven days before. And he has to go into his office and the CFO goes, all right, if we've got to go borrow $85 million against the line, we can do it. But if every retailer is hitting their line, the interest costs are gonna go up. And this is what played out last week and why this guy blinked yet again.
Starting point is 00:10:11 The president has access to more information than any individual in history. Between our security apparatus, the brightest people in the world, a ton of data that's digested, distilled for him. He is the helm of the bobsled. He technically has more insight into what is going on in the world than any individual. And I'm sure two pieces of data were presented to him in fairly stark terms. Consumer confidence is plummeting. Uncertainty is skyrocketing, which all adds up to a decline
Starting point is 00:10:40 in spending and hiring, and insecurity, which has taken the economy down. Now traditionally when an economy goes down, people don't want to borrow money, people don't want to invest, so interest rates come down, and that makes people more confident and it's sort of a self-healing mechanism.
Starting point is 00:10:55 In this instance, we have a reduction in consumer spending and the economy slowing down, but the 10-year spiked 50 points. So you have everything getting more expensive as the economy slows down. That's called stagflation, which is a bridge to a depression.
Starting point is 00:11:15 The 10-year went up 50 bips in five days. And let's bring that down to a number. Okay, all right. We have a $34 trillion deficit, meaning every basis point increase in the cost of the tenure. If it goes from 4 percent to 4.1 percent, it's another $3.5 billion in interest payments we have to make on our national debt. I'm not even talking about the incremental cost to consumers of their student loans,
Starting point is 00:11:41 their mortgages, and their credit cards. I'm just talking about the interest on the debt we have to pay. So when it spikes 50 basis points, right, on $3.5 billion per basis point in incremental interest expense, all of a sudden, in a few days, America has to come up with another $175 billion in interest payments to foreign creditors. Our entire Veterans Affairs budget is 300 billion.
Starting point is 00:12:10 So they have figured out a way to reduce the economy, to send the economy into what looks like a low-grade coma while interest rates are going up. This is the worst of all worlds. Right. And they're 85 million dollars Interest rates are going up. This is the worst of all worlds. Right, right. And they're not getting, and the $85 million this guy has to pay is going to the government, but it's now going to be sucked up in interest rate payments. It's just like, so we're going to lose so much money every which way you lose.
Starting point is 00:12:36 So how companies proceed is impossible at this point. What do you do? What do you just stop payments? That's what you stop doing. And then you lay people off and then you hunker down until this lunatic is either he loses at the midterm and he gets investigated out the yin yang, which he should be, honestly, or it's rendered impossible for him to do anything. That's saying his lawlessness continues. He's defying the Supreme Court on immigration. He's defying everybody on every single thing.
Starting point is 00:13:06 And also, by the way, he doesn't weigh 224 pounds. He weighs at least 250 pounds. Anyway, that was just his thing. Let's talk China then, because this is an opportunity, as we've talked about with President Xi. He currently is visiting Vietnam and other countries in Southeast Asia, presenting China as a reliable ally and trading partner.
Starting point is 00:13:26 China also spent in exports on a wide range of critical minerals and magnets. China is holding steady here and they are willing to endure pain, but they're also doing the correct thing, which is to visit partners and show themselves to be reliable partners. What will Trump do next? Because I see him more in this press conference in the Oval Office. He's defying the Supreme Court. He's defying the Fed. He's defying anyone he can defy. And when he makes a good decision, he defies his good decisions. So what do companies do and how do you
Starting point is 00:13:59 look at China's role here? Because I think they're benefiting enormously from his idiocy. I don't know what else to call it, stupidity. So I never missed a chance to boast. The CEO of one of the most iconic German automobile manufacturers reached out and said, we'd love to come, we'd love to host you and come have you speak to the management team of the board. And I said, and I was trying to arrange dates and then he called me and he said,
Starting point is 00:14:24 can I ask you something? I said, of course. He goes, what would you do if you were us, given what's going on in the US? Kara, as a guy who is always willing to run other people's lives and tell them what they should do, I'm like, I have no fucking idea. I have no idea what to do here. Other than, and I hate to say this because I love America, other than
Starting point is 00:14:47 figure out a series of partners that are more reliable. I said, oh, we're doing that. And going to that notion around, let's talk about China now. China since COVID or since 2019 has reduced its percentage of its total exports to the US from 24 to 17%. We have reduced ours by 4%. So we're both diversifying away from each other. They have diversified at nearly double the clip we have.
Starting point is 00:15:11 The basic premise is that we can hurt them more than they can hurt us, so they will cry uncle. So let's assume we could hurt them more than they could hurt us. That is a pretty shaky thesis because, well, the administration wants you to believe that we're the only customer at the country club and they have to be nice to us. Right. The number one trading partner with China is the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, ASEAN,
Starting point is 00:15:38 at one trillion. Who's number two? The EU, at 900 billion. We're number three. Yep. So, yeah, we have at $900 billion. We're number three. Yep. So yeah, we have a lot of power. But if they wanted to, and you want to talk about restraint, if they wanted to go into the market and take the tenure from $450 to $550 and create inflation while the economy is going down, they could do that.
Starting point is 00:16:02 But what they realize is that if they really hurt and kneecap their third biggest customer, it would be bad for them as well. They are not stupid. In addition, let's discount all of that and let's take the administration at its word that Howard Lutnick, that we're the biggest consumer and they would be fucked without us. China has its own troubles. Here's the issue or the piece of calculus they are missing. When Americans find when they're watching the Logan Paul Mike Tyson fight and it starts the bandwidth slows down, they go fucking ape shit and they call their cable company.
Starting point is 00:16:37 I just did that today. When you talk about women are born with a much higher tolerance for pain because they have to endure childbirth. Men have much lower tolerance of pain. We're the man in this relationship. China starves tens of millions of people when they think it's good long-term for the country. Do you realize the pain threshold of America relative to China? And we think we're going to strong arm them
Starting point is 00:17:08 into doing a decision they don't want to do? It's nuts. This is just absolutely nuts. Bo and Yang did a very funny thing on SNL, this idea. They are made for pain. But wait, I'm just wondering, which side is more willing to endure hardship for the glory of their nation? The one that's been around for thousands of years or the one that's sending Katy Perry to space?
Starting point is 00:17:32 Look at us in the 70s when we had a much higher tolerance for pain, when we didn't have Netflix and shows on demand and couldn't get a pack of gum delivered to us within 15 minutes. We left Vietnam after we had decided we can't take any more when we had lost 58,000 servicemen. At that point, the Viet Cong and North Vietnam, they had lost a million people, and we cried uncle to think that, I mean, the calculus here is just so incredibly ignorant in addition. The performative defiance on everything. Like there's not anywhere they're not losing and being performatively defiant and then dragging people who were not like this, like Marco Rubio, into this performative defiance. That's what I would call it.
Starting point is 00:18:24 And it's just, it's like Saul, my son. He does this thing where he does his arms. When you see a toddler, like I'm not going to do anything. That's what it feels like. I feel like I'm dealing with a three-year-old or something like that. First off, it's corruption all over the place because,
Starting point is 00:18:43 okay, you give me a million bucks, you're the cult of iOS. Just kidding. The tariffs, right? What are we back there now? 98% of the companies in America who are dependent upon exports for their well-being are small and medium sized business. Another CEO I spoke to this weekend, a friend of mine from my fraternity at
Starting point is 00:19:03 college, he has a specialty products company. You know when you go to a conference and all the cups, the fleeces, the banners, the signage. I have a lot. I'm wearing one right now. There you go. That's a big business. He has a family-run business that he's worked out for 30 years since we got out of college. He's built probably a $10 or $12 million business.
Starting point is 00:19:22 A 130 employees, he's put three kids through college, lived a really nice life, right? Slowly but surely over the last 30 years, everything's gone to China. About 80% of his products are produced out of China. He also has to go down to the port and sign a check for a couple million bucks, which he doesn't have to get the shit off the boat.
Starting point is 00:19:42 He's told China to stop shipping everything, and he doesn't have to get the shit off the boat. He's told China to stop shipping everything. And he doesn't have time to figure out new rooting relationships. He's basically said, Scott, this is COVID times 10. I'm not going to get any relief. I don't know when this is coming to an end. And literally my business has come to a halt. At campuses. And I know this firsthand, some of the biggest organizations, companies,
Starting point is 00:20:07 recruiters have said the following, we're putting a pause on interviews and hiring. And a pause sounds benign, but when you pause hiring for three months for new grads at a college, in three months when they resume, they don't double the pace. They basically reduce hiring for a 25 or 50% for that year. It's not as if they decide now we're going to go crazy with hiring when we start again. So you have a reduction in the number of jobs for kids coming out of college. You have stocks are going to get the shit cacked out of them. You have small and medium sized businesses that don't know what to do.
Starting point is 00:20:40 You have earnings calls, which are going to be an absolute shit show. And you have the threat of stagflation. And all of this is the chickens coming to roost, because countries don't go out of business because they're invaded. They go out of business because they go broke. And we have borrowed so much fucking money. We are so debt-laden that we no longer have that bullet to fire. I mean, one of the things that's astonishing here is that we think we have choices. And that's the problem with this entire thing is we do not have the choices. And this is not being an America is a bunch of losers.
Starting point is 00:21:16 This is self-inflicted damage that we're doing to ourselves. Definition of ongoing. Exactly. Right? We should be running, like just three months ago, you're talking about how the US is dominating everything, right? When the transition was happening three or four months ago. Now we are just doing it to ourselves. And I think most people understand that. But we have to move on. But this is just what is a fucking disaster. Now Apple stock and video stock is up today today because they're hoping that these things stay in place, but they might not. And so you might see an impact. Lots of shares are down right now.
Starting point is 00:21:52 Apple and Nvidia are up because they've gotten this break, but who knows what's coming because this is this idea that he wants to continue to hold over people's head that he could grab these anytime. Anyone who can't get in on this gravy train, you use the Vietnam thing, I used it yesterday on one of our socials. This is like, if you're not on the helicopter out of Saigon, you are fucked. Like everyone else is fucked.
Starting point is 00:22:14 We'll see what political implications that has, but we'll see where it goes. Anyway, Scott, let's go on a quick break when we come back, the antitrust trial that Mark Zuckerberg tried so hard to shut down. And he looked so nice at the inauguration. We'll get to that. Support for Pivot comes from LinkedIn. You know that feeling when things are just out of place like ordering a steak dinner at a seafood restaurant or wearing shorts to an ice hockey game.
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Starting point is 00:25:20 they'll handle the whole transition for you, no tech expertise required. Just visit kinsta.com slash pivot to get started. That's K-I-N-S-T-A dot com slash pivot. Scott, we're back. Apparently, putting on a tie and kissing up to Trump didn't do the job. The FTC is facing off against Metta in a blockbuster antitrust trial getting underway this week. The case goes back to Trump's first term in 2020,
Starting point is 00:25:49 if you can believe it, with the government alleging Metta violated competition laws by acquiring Instagram and WhatsApp for its part. Metta says regulators should be supporting innovation and also faces fierce competition from TikTok, Snap and other platforms. I find this to be a little bit of a weak trial, be honest with you.
Starting point is 00:26:07 I think there's others that are stronger, but the trial is expected to last about seven to eight weeks. Mark Zuckerberg and Sheryl Sandberg were called to the stand, among others. This is the case that Mark Zuckerberg has been trying to stop. It's interesting that Trump has not intervened. Zuckerberg has visited the White House three times since Trump took office.
Starting point is 00:26:26 Metta also donated $1 million to Trump's inaugural fund and settled a lawsuit with Trump for $25 million back in January, which they did nothing. It also just named former Trump advisor, Dina Powell McCormick, to Metta's board. She's also the wife of Senator David McCormick from Pennsylvania. FTC had Andrew Ferguson, who's been vocal about reigning in tech, but also said he'd obey lawful orders if Trump asked him to drop the suit. I think he would. He's been wearing the Trump, have you seen the gold-headed Trump that people are wearing? I think it was him, yeah, I think it was Ferguson that was wearing it.
Starting point is 00:27:00 Anyway, oh, Brendan Carr was wearing it, excuse me, the head of the FCC. So he said he would follow what Trump says. And thoughts on this? If the medal loses, the remedy could be divesting Instagram and WhatsApp. The judge who will decide the case for the remedy is James Boesberg, who's been clashing with Trump over deportations and many other issues. Talk about this case a little bit and what you think will happen here. It's going on, so it's not been stopped by any means.
Starting point is 00:27:30 Well, Zuck is the most disliked person in America under the age of 30. He's got a two-thirds unfavorable rating. Yeah, it is kind of crazy. He's even less popular than Musk. And think about when you're the most disliked person amongst a group of people who is literally ground zero for your product and two-thirds of those people use your product and yet you are the most disliked person in America.
Starting point is 00:27:54 I'm hopeful. I had Jonathan Cantor on Prop G and Jonathan said- Explain who he is. He was the former head of antitrust at the DOJ. Justice. He was at Justice, right? I said, I'm really sad that you and Lina are gone. I just don't see anything happening.
Starting point is 00:28:09 And he said, he actually said, you know, you underestimate some of the people that are still there. There's still some people there that are pretty committed and quite frankly, sort of, you know, antitrust badasses that are going to make a very powerful argument. I've become so cynical, Kara. I know what I want to happen. I think that they're going to play slowball. I mean, look at how strategic Zuckerberg
Starting point is 00:28:29 is. He put Dana White on the board. He's put this basically this Trumpite on the board. He's figured out the existential threat to my business isn't distribution, isn't innovation, it's political. And so I am absolutely muscling up with all sorts of contacts into the White House. And the reality is this White House can be bought. And not only can the White House be bought,
Starting point is 00:28:54 so can the Democratic caucus with enough money. So I believe they have become masters at slowing these things down and letting them die a slow death. I hope I'm wrong. These companies have figured out a way to avoid all regulation. I don't see why this would be any different. I think they're surprised the trial is going forward.
Starting point is 00:29:15 Let me just read from the opening statements by the two lawyers. This is Daniel Matheson, the FTC's lead litigator. For more than 100 years, American public policy has insisted firms must compete if they want to succeed. The reason we are here is Metta broke the deal. They decided that competition was too hard to be easier to buy out their rivals than compete with them. This is the buyer-bury argument.
Starting point is 00:29:36 Now, Metta's lawyers, this is a guy named Mark Hanson from a big law firm, Kellogg Hanson. This case is a grab bag of FTC theories at war with fact and at war with law. The facts are going to prove the FTC's theories are all wrong. You know, it's a very, it is a difficult trial. I've talked to a lot of lawyers. The FTC would like it to divest these companies. Legal experts say it might be hard to win. I'll read directly from the New York Times.
Starting point is 00:30:04 That's because the government must prove something unknowable that Metta, formerly known as Facebook, wouldn't have achieved the same success without the acquisitions. It's also extremely rare to try to unwind mergers approved years before. That's one of the difficult ones, even though this is somewhat of a bipartisan effort. It's just for people to know,
Starting point is 00:30:24 there's three going around to go to trial. The DOJ won its case against Google. Federal judges hearing arguments about remedies and a potential breakup. And there's a separate trial with the DOJ for monopolizing ad technology by Google. That's still going on. Justice departments also sued Apple, and the FTC has sued Amazon, accusing companies of antitrust violations. Those trials are coming up later,
Starting point is 00:30:50 just for people to get a background. But if they do spin it off, it would be unprecedented. Well, I mean, the baby bills are broken up, the aluminum, the sisters, the seven sisters, or whatever, it does happen. And generally speaking, when we look back in economic history, there's never been a breakup that hasn't turned out well for everybody. So it's one of the few things that always works or breakups.
Starting point is 00:31:11 The problem is, to your point, we should have a much higher bar for approving mergers because, quite frankly, the job of the government is to prevent a tragedy that commons and the easiest way to do that is preventive. And that is not let these companies be acquired to begin with. I mean, there's been a lot of officials in the government say, we screwed up letting Meta acquire Instagram. They probably should have never let Google acquire what was a DoubleClick and or YouTube.
Starting point is 00:31:36 That was Google, yeah. Google, yeah. But so there probably needs what this says is, it is very difficult to unwind a merger and force a spend. What is easier is to block an acquisition. And I think the bar should be pretty low to block an acquisition for a company once it gets above a certain dominance in its own category. I think that's what the argument they make so effectively
Starting point is 00:31:59 the resonates to the public is that capitalism means making more money and they should let just be capitalist on the market do its thing. What they don't realize is that capitalism means making more money and they should let just be capitalist and the market do its thing. What they don't realize is that the concentration of industry has led to massively higher prices, whether it's chicken, whether it's pharma, whether it's healthcare. Right. This is harder. And think about the way I look at it is the hard part is some of these costs are non-economic,
Starting point is 00:32:20 but for God sakes, look at the rents and the increase in emotional prices that Metta has levied on every parent globally. Yeah, and add businesses that have been destroyed because they dominated and stuff like that. There's those, these are just harder to do. Just for people, just a little more, we're going to talk about, Facebook bought Instagram in 2012 for a billion dollars. I covered this. And then 2014, it paid $19 billion for WhatsApp. Both were crazy prices at the time, although Instagram certainly has yielded a lot. There is a paper trail of emails between executives talking about the startups because they were
Starting point is 00:32:57 threats. I wrote about that at the time. The lawyers mentioned the documents. Zuckerberg was so paranoid and he talked about in emails neutralizing a potential competitor. Then Zuckerberg wrote to Sandberg, Messenger isn't beating WhatsApp, Instagram was growing so much faster than us, we had to buy them for a billion.
Starting point is 00:33:19 Because there's such bad product people at Facebook, and I cannot underscore this enough, they had to buy or bury. It's a very famous phrase in tech, buy or bury. And so that's what they, that's what the government is alleging here. And also keeping it out of other competitors' hands is another one to build a moat around the monopoly. And so WhatsApp was that for them. So it should be really, really interesting, I think. We'll see what happens in this trial, but so far the Trump administration is not doing pay or play here.
Starting point is 00:33:53 They're just letting it go, which is to me interesting. I don't know if you have any thoughts on that. Well, yeah, he doesn't like these guys. And it's, one, it looks as if Instagram would be worth about $100 to $200 billion right now. Now, granted, it might not have had the same level of success had it not been able to cooperate and share data. But what's interesting is within about 40 days of one another was the best and likely the worst acquisition in tech history. And they looked remarkably similar at the time. And the best- Oh, I know what you're going to say. You would argue maybe other than the acquisition of YouTube.
Starting point is 00:34:28 Brilliant. But Mark Zuckerberg bought Instagram for a billion dollars. It's worth 100 to 200, if not more now. And within a month or 45 days, the worst acquisition in tech, do you remember what it is? I'm thinking it's Yahoo. Exactly. Tumblr. I broke that story, Mr. Scott Galloway.
Starting point is 00:34:47 I know you did. Facebook acquires Instagram for a billion, it's worth 100 to 200 billion. Yahoo slash Marissa Mayer acquires Tumblr for 1.2 billion. I believe about seven years later, they sold it for $3 million. Yeah, it's worth nothing now. I just ran into some Tumblr people.
Starting point is 00:35:08 What a great site that was, though. You know what I mean? It really was. I like Tumblr a lot. It was a very innovative site, but you're right. This is just, come on. This is what Mark Zuckerberg played from the Bill Gates, Buyer-Berry playbook. Sorry, this is what this is. We'll see if they can decide if,
Starting point is 00:35:27 Facebook will make the argument, Metta will make the argument that there's plenty of competition and that there's lots and lots, there's whatever, blue sky, whatever there's, but the fact of the matter is, two things, both for Google and for Facebook. When have you seen a new fresh social network get built, if not buried? Like, you know, Snapchat is doing its level best, but Mark keeps stealing his things because
Starting point is 00:35:51 he can't buy it. He couldn't buy it, and so he decided to bury it. That's what they did with Snapchat. And when have you last seen a new search engine that really had any kind of traction? And you were close with the guy who did the one who left Google and tried to do it. It's impossible. Nobody can switch, the switch costs are too high. And then when Apple does a deal with these companies and makes them the de facto map or whatever, map or search engine, it sort of puts the nail in the coffin for every other competitor. And the similar thing we just talked about with the tariffs. If you can get an out like Apple did, you're great.
Starting point is 00:36:28 If you can't like your furniture guy, you're fucked. Like that's really it. And this is- It's corruption. It's corruption everywhere. Yeah. It's an autocrat. It's not systemic.
Starting point is 00:36:37 And also, just to put a fine point on the concentration of industry, this is happening up and down industries. Yeah. US higher education is a cartel. There's two great universities in every city and the people who give you accreditation such that you have access to student loans are run by the incumbents. My old company, L2, got acquired by a large research company that everybody hates and everybody uses.
Starting point is 00:37:04 I couldn't figure out after they acquired us, the series of decisions they made. Every, I felt like it was George Costanzo, everything I thought they should do, they did the exact opposite. I just didn't understand the decisions they're making. And it finally dawned on me about 18 months later. And I'm just speculating. I'm like,
Starting point is 00:37:19 I think they thought, okay, we'll pay 3% of our market cap for this company because they're nipping at our heels around CMOs. If they will squeeze in for cash flow and then we'll put them out of business. I think I've just been aqua-killed. Yeah, aqua-killed. That's what it is. Yeah, buy or bury. It's like, okay, a competitor goes away. They get some cash flow back and quite frankly, for two or 3% dilution,
Starting point is 00:37:47 just not having someone running around, nipping at your heels, establishing a wedge in your business. And I remember thinking, why on earth are they doing nothing with us? Why are they not driving the business? Why do not they understand me? I'm a genius, right? I've been there. They've domesticated me. Domesticated me. And then you left and then you left. Pour me with my big fucking bag of money.
Starting point is 00:38:13 But you did get a bag of money. But this is what happens. That's what they have. They have bags and bags of money. That's right. They show up to an entrepreneur and they say, tell you what, we're going to make you rich. just stop bothering and competing against us. Stop bothering us and stop competing. In this case, Trump ain't playing. We'll see where it goes from here. One of the things that Metta is doing, I got texted by a Metta person today,
Starting point is 00:38:36 they're like, can you believe this? I'm like, yes. Yeah, sure we can. Yes, I can. Sure we can. Sure we can. By the way, if they take off Instagram, good for capitalism if they do, if they take off WhatsApp, good for capitalism.
Starting point is 00:38:51 If they spin off YouTube, good for capital. We're capitalists, Scott and Kara, because we think that's good for this country. It's good for competition and maybe you'll do a little better in your other things if you have to not just buy. It's good for the stock price. Yeah. If you can't just buy your wife or husband or whatever, it's good for everybody.
Starting point is 00:39:10 All right, Scott, let's go on a quick break. When we come back, Blue Origin sends an all-female crew into space. We must be very careful here, but nonetheless, it's hands. We'll find out what Scott has to say. Oh, I can't wait to see what you have to say. Support for PIVOT comes from a select quote. From personal finances to the global economy,
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Starting point is 00:42:48 President Bukele, who I'm just going to call sleazy club owner, appeared with President Trump at the White House. By the way, he wasn't wearing a tie. I think it wasn't very stately of him to appear looking like he's about to do an know, do an ecstasy dance or something. The two appeared as Trump administration was digging into its heels, refusing to bring Garcia back to the US. In one point, Salvadoran resident Bukele called him a terrorist. There's no proof of how could I bring, how can I smuggle a terrorist back into the country?
Starting point is 00:43:22 Stop it, you unctuous piece of shit. A Supreme Court ruling is directing the government to quote, facilitate the return. That's a weird word. Now Trump administration is arguing that what facilitate means saying they just need to remove any obstacles to return and not actually bring him back.
Starting point is 00:43:37 Also the agenda for today's White House meeting, political reports, a team of defense contractors is pitching the White House on a plan to expand deportations to El Salvador. I'm not sure what's more frightening, the legal implications, the administration cozying up to another unsavory leader, which this guy is. This one calls himself the world's coolest dictator. He's certainly the world's most oily dictator.
Starting point is 00:43:59 I've seen him late. He just seems just completely just in it for the money. He's very popular, let me say, in El Salvador. I know a lot of people from Salvador and they like him because he cleaned up a lot of the gang violence there by just arresting everybody. Very similar to the Philippines with Duterte. But of course, he's gone overboard, as they all do, with unlimited power. And so they're just pretending this guy's a terrorist. And just, you know, when reporters were justifiably asking about this, Trump mocked them.
Starting point is 00:44:32 He then Rubio jumped in about that the Supreme Court has no purchase over the way the government decides to do foreign policy, only the president does. What a waste of breath that guy has become. Anyway, thoughts, legal implications, world's coolest dictator? Look, El Salvador was the murder capital of the world. This guy's very popular, but basically, he just started rounding up people who
Starting point is 00:45:03 had a tattoo that said they had a gang affiliation. So there's tremendous collateral damage there. And you have to decide, do you opt for rights and with some crime and inconvenience and cost, or do you go full autocrat? And we said this on the last show, when you round up people, it takes a different complexion. This is a form of rounding up people. There are just some innocent people being rounded up. What is just insane is these people
Starting point is 00:45:32 supposedly are Christians. They are all very fond of holding the Bible. If you know that you have taken an innocent person and sent them to a hellscape. And Bill Maher summarized it perfectly. We can bring a man back from space, but we can't get someone back from El Salvador. Of course we could get them back.
Starting point is 00:45:53 Of course we could get them back. And then the weirdest moment was this weirdo Christy Noem posing with guns after having a Sephora explode all over her face. It felt like a fucking Cinemax film where she was going to start having sex with all the prisoners. Yeah, I agree. It's like this is just a snuff film. This is weird people.
Starting point is 00:46:17 And also, don't hold Bibles when you start taking people and sending them incorrectly, unjustifiably. It's like, for God sakes, have you no sense of decency? It's just- Danielle Pletka And why wouldn't Bukele take our money and create a Guantanamo there? That's what he's doing. Why wouldn't he take our money? It's good for him. And he doesn't care who is innocent. By the way, it's not his business to care who's innocent or not. But if we send someone who's innocent there, the way, it's not his business to care who's innocent or not. But if we send someone who's innocent there,
Starting point is 00:46:47 and it looks like many of them were or had no criminal background, that were sent to these prisons, Venezuelans in particular, because Venezuela won't take their people back, you can't send them to prison. You just can't. Put them in another country and let them go, I guess, if you have to do with this zanest stuff you're doing. But to put them in a prison and they're guilty, I mean, was it 60 Minutes showed up? I had 75% of them had no criminal background
Starting point is 00:47:15 whatsoever. They just had a tattoo to their mother with a crown on it. Just really, it's just, look, I mean, I'm sorry if that was the case, Pete Hegseth would be in a Salvadoran prison. He's got a lot of tattoos. The worst thing is them trying to parse what the, after Trump promised he would follow what the Supreme Court said, he's not following what the Supreme Court said. The same thing they're doing, they were supposed to let back in AP into the press cycle. They're barring AP even though they were ruled against. They just don't do it. They're lawless as a government.
Starting point is 00:47:53 I think you summarized it perfectly. I don't understand the whole idea of roundups. We said in a slush show, just be careful. When you tolerate this, just wait for the knock on your door. The other theme this goes to is the following. The only thing I know about these people is who's not being deported, and that is rich people.
Starting point is 00:48:12 Yeah, I can think of a lot of criminals, rich criminals and stuff. Well, you're, again, in America, the whole idea of a constitution and laws is to protect the most vulnerable. The rich are protected by the law, they're not bound by it. And the poor are bound by the law, but not protected by it. And I can't name a person. Nobody in the top quintile of income-earning Americans or who is here illegal who has money
Starting point is 00:48:38 has been taken. This is what is so mendacious, so unchristian, so un-American, such a violation of our Constitution, is that the basis of your quality as a government is how the poorest and most vulnerable are treated. Whether it's a 14-year-old who's a victim of incest or an undocumented worker. By the way, folks, let's just go to undocumented workers as we demonize people for bumping our Q rating. A third of fast food workers are undocumented. You could take the top 10 fast food companies to a statistically significant sample of raids and say 22%, 25% of McDonald's or Jack in the Box workers are undocumented. We're fining you $100,000 a day per percentage. And guess what?
Starting point is 00:49:23 You'd end it. Here's the dirty secret. Immigration is the secret sauce of America, but the most profitable part of immigration is illegal immigration because they pay social security taxes but they don't collect social security. They pay taxes for our cops and firemen, but they don't call cops because they're worried about being deported. So we have turned a blind eye.
Starting point is 00:49:42 If we wanted to stop this problem, we would find the employers. But we're not about being deported. So we have turned a blind eye. If we wanted to stop this problem, we would find the employers, but we're not interested in doing that. We want to pretend that this is a runaway problem. And to be clear, it did get run away. It got out of hand, 250,000 people crossing the border in December of 23. But folks, we have purposely ignored this problem
Starting point is 00:50:01 because illegal immigrants are super fucking profitable. That's right. Except, you know what, Scott? They're profitable in terms of creating prisons and putting them in it. It's profitable for a very different group of people, is that we round them up and we put them in these camps, which is what we did with the Japanese and we were a shameful part of our history.
Starting point is 00:50:22 A lot of these people are also like, let's figure out who, like the woman who got grabbed off the street, remember that video with all the people and the masks coming up to her? She has not done, they found out she's done nothing wrong. She's done nothing wrong except write an op-ed that was vaguely and politely against what was happening.
Starting point is 00:50:40 Like she just, and now foreign students here in this country are so scared. and I've heard from many, are scared of saying anything or doing anything. If you have even a minor weed violation, you're getting taken. Whatever excuse they can have, something you wrote or something else, you can get taken and you should have to appear. It's called habeas corpus, everyone.
Starting point is 00:51:03 You acquires a person in custody to appear before a judge. It's one of the core fundamental rights that protects against arbitrary state action. He is trying to suspend habeas corpus for ridiculous reasons, for ridiculous and nonsensical reasons. We're all in danger and we're not. So anyway, world's coolest dictator, you're not cool. You're uncool. If you have to call yourself the world's coolest dictator, you're not cool. You're uncool. If you have to call yourself the world's coolest dictator, you're not cool. And speaking of not cool, let's move on to some lighter news, other wastes of time and money. In a giant publicity stunt for Jeff Bezos, six women are launched into space aboard
Starting point is 00:51:38 a giant penis. Lauren Sanchez, Katy Perry, Gayle King, and three others made a 10-minute trip on Blue Origin's new Shepard rocket and returned safely to Earth, thank goodness. Noted science aficionados Oprah Winfrey, Kris Jenner, and Khloe Kardashian watched from the launch site in West Texas. It's the first time an all-female crew has been in space since 1963, and yes, Scott, they did fly above the Karman line, just so you know. So reaction, Scott? Their outfits?
Starting point is 00:52:07 I don't know if you heard, but they called Houston and they said, Houston, we have a problem. And Houston said, what is it? And he said, well, you should know what it is. That's your joke. Actually, actually, Kara, I was hoping that we get to see them masturbate, because I'd like to see them defile gravity. I could keep going.
Starting point is 00:52:29 I could keep going. Oh my God. Hey look, at the end of the day. It's such a, yeah. Fine, good for them. I guess, I guess. I'm fine. They can fly up there with their outfits, their slinky outfits, whatever they want to do.
Starting point is 00:52:42 Here's what I don't like, pretending it's a feminist movement. It's just not. It's just a bunch of ladies. Their interviews show that because they're talking about their eyeshadow and their eyeliner and etc. They're going up there, it's a total PR stunt. You are not here to save women. I'm sorry. If you wanted to save women,
Starting point is 00:52:59 you'd be saving the woman who was grabbed off the street. You'd be saving all kinds of things, or you'd be pushing all kinds of things. Or you'd be, you'd be pushing up against Facebook and saying, really shouldn't be doing things to young girls that make them feel bad. Like this is not of all the things you could do to help women. This is not one of them. And that's how I feel about it. But have fun.
Starting point is 00:53:18 You know who a real female astronaut is? Sally Ride. Yep. A PhD in physics, PhD in physics, learned how to operate that crazy robotic arm, and as Megyn Kelly would say, openly lesbian, and spent a ton of time in space. I know she's openly. Didn't make a lot of money.
Starting point is 00:53:37 I mean, Sally Ride is our astronaut. These folks- Yeah, I agree. There were some science people on board. There were some science people on board. There were some science people on board. Whatever there were, but still, it's just a stunt. It's a stunt. It's not feminist. It's just a stunt.
Starting point is 00:53:52 How much fun Oprah and all the rest of you have, but there's some serious shit happening. So maybe stop pretending you're doing something you're not. Have at it. I don't resent them for it. Have at it. Have fun. Go up. Yeah. I just don't like the feminist thing. Last thing, Sally wasn't openly lesbian, just so you know. Oh, she wasn't? Well, I meant I was a play on.
Starting point is 00:54:13 Notice how no one has ever described me as openly heterosexual. No one has ever said, openly heterosexual podcaster. That was my favorite part about her attack on you, as if you're not allowed to be openly lesbian. I am openly a lesbian. She's openly lesbian. At least she'd have to- Openly. That's a real old thing.
Starting point is 00:54:33 At least, good madam, you'd have the dignity to be a closeted lesbian. Closeted lesbian. I was never really in a closet. I wasn't a closet. That's not true. I was not openly lesbian at the beginning of my journey of lesbianity, but which started at age four. But we're not going into it with Megyn Kelly, but as she devil she is. Anyway, last thing, Bill Maher says he wasn't high at his White House dinner with President Trump.
Starting point is 00:54:56 Even though he also claims that Trump was, quote, gracious in measure, the comedian described his March 31st visit with the president during a monologue at the top of his Friday show. People felt it was controversial. The cadira was organized by illustrious statesman Kid Rock. Bill said that he and musician quote, Cher believe that there's got to be something better than hurling insults from 3000 miles away. Although Bill's pretty fucking good at that.
Starting point is 00:55:20 Here's what he had to say about his interaction with Trump. He's much more self-aware than he lets on in public. Look, I get it. It doesn't matter who he is at a private dinner with a comedian. It matters who he is on the world stage. I'm just taking as a positive that this person exists because everything I've ever not liked about him was, I swear to God, absent, at least on this night with this guy.
Starting point is 00:55:48 Okay, I'm gonna be on Bill Maher's show in a couple of weeks. I think you are too, are you gonna be on? No, I was supposed to be on Friday, and I had a tough time trying to figure out a way to be on with Steve Bannon. Something about the idea, in a little way normalizing Nazi salutes, I just, I don't know. Good for you.
Starting point is 00:56:03 I didn't know how to thread the needle there, but anyways. That's right, we talked about it, I'm glad you did that. I called you and I asked your advice. I called salutes. I just, I don't know. Good for you. I didn't know how to thread the needle there, but anyways. That's right, we talked about it. I'm glad you did that. I called you and I asked your advice. I called your advice. I said don't go. And asked your advice.
Starting point is 00:56:10 Yeah, you're a great panelist there. Go ahead, you start, you start. I have some thoughts too. Look, I think Bill Maher did, and Joe and Mika did the right thing. I think when the president calls you and says come to the Oval Office, I think you go. And I think that him trying to show him not immediately going to the Oval Office, I think he'd go. And I think that him trying to show him not immediately
Starting point is 00:56:26 going to the kind of polarized, this guy's a fucking idiot and acknowledging that he's a charming guy or that maybe trying to provide some comfort that he's not as crazy as we think and he's self-aware and he listens. I think that's important. The only thing, and this might be my bias,
Starting point is 00:56:44 is that someone who is so angry and aggressive, and I'm talking about the president now, against people. I've heard this about President Trump, that when he meets you, he's nice and he's charming. And then a few minutes later, he'll basically say vile things about you to his 200 million followers. I think someone who's nice to you to your face and then
Starting point is 00:57:05 shitposts you behind your back in a way that really hurts your reputation, I think there's a word for that, asshole. I much prefer someone, and I think you're like this, I think you're more likely, who do you want? If you're going to be critical of someone, trying to do it in a constructive way to them personally,
Starting point is 00:57:25 and then speak well of them or at least gently behind their back. I think that is the worst role model for our young people. Yeah, I agree. I agree. But I'm glad he did it. I think he was smart to do it. I think it's a dignified thing to do. I thought it's an impossible needle to thread because people who hate Trump are angry at him for going.
Starting point is 00:57:47 They're angry at him for acknowledging the president has some positive qualities. I think it's kind of an impossible position or needle to thread for Bill. Well, here's what I think happened. He was getting very sharp on Trump, very sharp, very tough. And they decided to neuter him a little bit by being charming. I think he has been doing some really,
Starting point is 00:58:07 he tries to do the down the middle contrary thing a lot of the time, but he has been the sharpest attacks on Trump among comics, and which there are many, by the way. So I thought they were trying to neuter him and it worked in that regard. Now, look, I think it's right to go to the dinner, that would be really interesting, but to say, oh, look, I think it's right to go to the dinner, that would be really interesting. But to say, oh, look, he's charming in person.
Starting point is 00:58:28 I'm sure Goebbels was thrilling at a cocktail party, my friend. Are you fucking kidding me? Sure. Yeah, lots of people, by the way. Mussolini was great to party with. Mussolini was so much fucking funny. He'd put a lampshade on his head and we'd dance all night. The Tarantella, I don't know what to say. I will bring this up with Bill if he lets me on now,
Starting point is 00:58:51 but was he lying to you at dinner or to the world? Which one? Because he is a terrible person publicly. Terrible. The stuff he did today, terrible. There's nothing charming about keeping a person who is unjustly jailed in jail and then laughing about it, and then haranguing reporters about it. There's nothing charming about most of the things. There's nothing charming about ruining your friend's business.
Starting point is 00:59:19 There's nothing charming about it. Honestly, that's what I kept thinking of. I'm sure any nasty piece of shit is charming in person, and there are a lot of them that I have dealt with. But you should have gone, but don't give me this, he's charming because he's just not charming. The minute you go after him again, which I hope and pray you will,
Starting point is 00:59:40 and I know you will actually because he doesn't pull punches a lot. Sometimes he does, but he doesn't really as a comic. The minute you go after him again, he's like, I was so nice to him. I made him dinner. I showed him off the White House. I showed him my bedroom, whatever. He's going to come after you. Whatever. Anyway, would you go to dinner if he asked us?
Starting point is 01:00:02 Do you think he'd ever ask us? He'd just give a fuck about us. Or I agree with that. I was registering. I said this about Joe Meek, I believe this about Bill Maher. I think if the president calls you and asks you to come to the White House, you go. I just think you go. No, I'll go. I just wouldn't be as polite in person.
Starting point is 01:00:18 I wouldn't be like, oh, hey, can I have the role? That's the kind of thing. Anyway, we'll see. We'll see what happens. I'll tell this to Bill's face when I see him. Anyway, Scott, one more quick because I do that, Bill. I say things to your face that I say in front of your back, behind your back, anywhere near your back. He's my hero. I know he is.
Starting point is 01:00:35 That guy's my hero. I know. I'm glad you didn't go, Scott Galloway. Now I like you even more. Ugh. Go on. Is that possible? Is that possible? Good for you, Scott Galloway. Good for you. I know you like being on that show too. I do. I love it. So, I? Good for you, Scott Galloway. Good for you.
Starting point is 01:00:45 I know you like being on that show too. I do. I love it. I know. Well, have him back, Bill. Don't be a douche-nose. I'll have him back. All right, Scott, one more quick break.
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Starting point is 01:02:28 Visit polly.ai.pivot to request a demo. President Trump on Truth Social has been suggesting that he's open to deals to end the trade war that he started by levying tariffs on U.S. trading partners. The administration says these Liberation Day tariffs will bring manufacturing jobs back to America. Why is that so important? There are some really dumb ways to answer that question. When you sit behind a screen all day, it makes you a woman.
Starting point is 01:03:04 Studies have shown this. Studies have shown this. And some much smarter ones. This is a policy at the end of the day that's that's oriented toward helping some folks who have really been the losers in the economy and have been left behind for a long time. Coming up on Today Explained, the best minds, the White House advisor who's gone ham on tariffs, defends his position. Weekday Afternoons, today explained, helps you make sense of the mess. The regular season's in the rearview and now it's time for the games that matter the most. This is Kenny Beacham and playoff basketball is finally here.
Starting point is 01:03:46 On small ball, we're diving deeper to every series, every crunch time finished, every coaching adjustment that can make or break a championship run. Who's building for a 16-win marathon? Which superstar will submit their legacy? And which role player is about to become a household name? With so many fascinating first round matchups, will the West be the bloodbath we anticipate? Will the East be as predictable as we think? Can the Celtics defend their title?
Starting point is 01:04:11 Can Steph Curry, LeBron James, Kawhi Leonard push the young teams at the top? I'll be bringing the expertise, the passion, and the genuine opinion you need for the most exciting time of the NBA calendar. Small ball is your essential companion for the NBA postseason. Join me, Kenny Beecham, for new episodes of Small Ball throughout the playoffs. Don't miss Small Ball with Kenny Beecham, new episodes dropping through the playoffs available on YouTube and wherever you get your podcasts. Okay, Scott, let's hear some wins and fails.
Starting point is 01:04:45 May I start? Yeah, you go ahead. Let me just say two things. Television is so happy place for me these days watching different things. And this weekend, there's two shows, G20 with Viola Davis, where she plays a kick-ass woman president who like kicks ass. She acts, they go to the Jesus Summit, there's a South African guy who takes over all the G20,
Starting point is 01:05:09 it's called G20, excuse me, and she kicks ass and wins out. It's like Harrison Ford's Air Force One. And let me just say, I love Viola Davis. I love her kicking ass and killing South African terrorists and maybe they were from Australia. I don't know they have that accent. So good. It was so bad and so good at the same time. It was Air Force One, but Violet Davis.
Starting point is 01:05:32 So there was some good acting in there too. Fan-fucking-tastic. Second one, Hacks, the season premiere. Again, two women, Hannah Einder and Gene Smart. Oh my God. It is risen a level of, it was already one of my favorite shows. I've heard it's great. This season, the two of them,
Starting point is 01:05:55 at some point I'm like, just kiss you two because they're insults of each other and they're going back and forth and then there's a poignant moment in the first two episodes about heartbreak. I just love this show so much. Win, win, win, win, win with these badass women, I have to say. They're just wonderful. The fail is obviously Doge falling short of its goal. It was supposed to save $2 trillion and it went to $1 trillion. Now, Elon said in a meeting
Starting point is 01:06:27 that it's $150 billion. Dave Farinhold, as always, he's now at the New York Times, showed the math to be wrong. Again, that is probably even less money that he's saving, but we don't even know how much he's costing for the savings. That's not in this. So he's not saving any money and he's causing incredible harm and cutting things without thinking about it and doing it surgically. So we're not benefited as a people on stuff. We should reform government as everybody thinks. So what an incredible waste of our time and energy to have this ridiculous person prance all over the place saying he's saving money and then of course,
Starting point is 01:07:05 he's not delivering. It's the same thing that this is a theme of his life right now, is over-promising and under-delivering, whether it's the cyber truck, whether it's autonomous cars. This is just such a ridiculous thing, this doge thing, given how much energy and time and pain it has caused people unnecessarily. That is my fail.
Starting point is 01:07:26 I like it and I'm, I was going to do a prediction but I'll try and reshape it as a win and a fail. The fail is what you, I'll just piggyback off what you said. Essentially, if this audit proved anything, it's that there's a lot less inefficiency in waste and fraud than we thought. I mean, this is about as clean a bill of healthfficiency in waste and fraud than we thought. I mean, this is about as clean a bill of health as anyway, because they were dying to find fraud
Starting point is 01:07:49 and they just didn't find very much. And most of their claims of fraud and savings ended up to be fraudulent themselves and that they were lies. And we predicted he would exit. He's gone. I think he's already gone. I think he's already figured out. He was with Trump the other night at that stupid WBA. Yeah, but that's proximity to power. I think Doge is basically the curtain is closing on Doge. It just didn't work. It was a distraction, fine, but it's not working. The reality is Americans, again, see above not willing to endure pain. They have to face a hard decision here. You know, it's the hard thing about the hard things. And that is if we're serious about being a country that doesn't spend $7 trillion
Starting point is 01:08:29 and take in $5 trillion in tax receipts, there's only two things you can do, folks. You either have to cut entitlements or raise taxes. And the answer is yes. And at some point, we're going to have to figure out a way to do that. Or just wait till we get shoved in a corner and the people who own our debt can basically start calling the shots, which they're doing now. In a company where they get so highly levered, basically the bank owes you and this is what's happening to us.
Starting point is 01:08:59 Our creditors are beginning to owe us. Doge was jazz hands, a, was jazz hands. It didn't, a clean bill of health. When we decide to elect a grownup, we're going to have to make some very hard decisions here. My win, and it's sort of win, but this really was my prediction. You're going to see a flurry of deals. You know, the art of the deal, the basic premise was, okay, we're, we're,
Starting point is 01:09:24 he's a negotiator, he's bringing these people to the table. First off, we just need to dispel the notion this guy's a good business person. He's a rich kid that would have made more money if he'd given, taken all of his massive inheritance and put it into ETFs. His business career is basically a series
Starting point is 01:09:39 of bankrupted companies and unpaid subcontractors. So let's just stop this nonsense that he has any fucking clue what he's doing in terms of business. He has unwittingly inspired unbelievable and unbelievable torrent tsunami of deals, cross border trade deals, but it won't be with us. The EU is talking to Latin America, Japan, South Korea, and China are talking. This has set off incredible incentive for a ton of nations around the world to start thinking
Starting point is 01:10:14 about free trade zones, to become more dependent upon each other, to take the cost of reconfiguring their supply chain and excising America from the supply chain. They're thinking, how can we make up for some of that lost economic growth that this is going to cost us? I know let's lower each other's trade barriers. The unwitting unintended consequence of this is that the U S is about to trade off a lot of its own prosperity and it's going to leak to other Western nations who are talking to each other and cooperating and coordinating now. You're going to see trade deals between Mexico and Canada.
Starting point is 01:10:50 You're going to see trade deals between the EU and China. This is going to the intent, what they claim they were going to accomplish for America, they have accomplished for everyone else but America. Yes, true. They're going to get all the avocados in Canada, and Mexicans are going to get all the good maple syrup. Do you hear that, people? It's finished. Avocado toast and pancakes are done for us as Americans.
Starting point is 01:11:16 Much less lumber or gypsum drywall. You want to talk about the cost of building right now? Gypsum drywall for Mexico or lumber? I can't even. I just renovated my house. I'm so pleased that I did it last year. My contractor said it would have been double. I'm interviewing Mark Carney this afternoon.
Starting point is 01:11:31 What would you ask him? What? What? Yeah. Scott Galloway. He reached out. For what? Which show? Which show? I wanted to do it for Pivot of Raging Moderates. He said he wanted to do it for Profity Conversations.
Starting point is 01:11:43 I think he wants to talk about Young Man. Yeah, good. Well, I heard you have, by the way, you have another podcast you didn't tell me about? Which one's this? The, what, The Man, the men thing with Scaramucci and Smirkovic. Oh, that's a limited series. He called me and said, let's do four pods. Yeah, that's good for your book coming out. Good. I'm very excited. You, you, you cat around on me quite a bit. That's okay. I don't mind. I just want to know about it. I didn't
Starting point is 01:12:04 know about that. It's alcohol. I hope it has nothing to do with our relationship I just like to wake up with a strange man's lipstick all over my day okay I would like to make your book like best-seller gravity defile gravity I want to make your book a ton of- Let me hear you roar. I can't believe I'm- You 90s pop star, wanton bitch. Oh, I'm sorry, go ahead. She defied gravity. Anyway, let me just say for one thing Scott said, there's a lot of reporting from Rolling Stone and Puck that he's annoying people at the White House.
Starting point is 01:12:37 They question if he's high and Republicans on Capitol Hill are no longer terrified either. That said, Scott, only thing is he's leaving, the Washington Post reported today incorrectly, that he's leaving Doge staffers in high-power jobs at multiple federal agencies. So he's not out of there. He's like mold. He's putting all kinds of stuff in there. The security implications and other people you don't know about that don't look like Elon Musk will still remain problematic for our country in those positions. So just remember that. All right. Okay. There you have it.
Starting point is 01:13:08 Those are good. But please, for the love of God, watch Viola Davis kick some ass. It's so good. It's so good. I think that's just an attempt to address your PTSD and pretend that Vice President Harris won the election. No, no, no. Vice President Harris couldn't have done this. This was just, trust me, watch it and then call me back. Just I'm just telling you,
Starting point is 01:13:27 I'm just telling you, you'll love it. It's so much fun. Like because she's won, she's won an Oscar. Isn't she? She won an Oscar, whatever. She deserves an Oscar. She won an Emmy, an Oscar, whatever. This woman is like top actor. Just chewing up the scenery.
Starting point is 01:13:41 It's so enjoyable. She did one TV show years ago called How to Get Away with Murder, which you should watch again. Where she also chewed up the scenery. It's so enjoyable. She did one, a TV show years ago called, How to Get Away with Murder, which you should watch again. Where she also chewed up the scenery with her Oscar-winning acting abilities. Anyway. She's very talented.
Starting point is 01:13:52 She's so talented, but I love that she's doing this and just punching people in the face with a machine, the whole thing is fantastic. Anyway, we want to hear from you. Send us your questions about business tech or whatever's on your mind. Go to nymag.com slash pivot to submit a question for the show or call 855-51-PIVOT. Also, Pivot is up for a Webby Award for best business podcast and we are asking for your
Starting point is 01:14:13 vote and some of your other podcasts are also up. So vote for Prof. G. I don't know if on is, but in any case, vote for us. Go to vote.webbyawards.com to cast your ballot. We won last year and we're hoping for a twofer. Elsewhere in the Scott and Kara universe, I just did a whole panel on tariffs with trade law expert Raj Bala, Pucks Bill Cohen, and Catherine Rampell from the Washington Post.
Starting point is 01:14:40 Let's listen to a quick clip. The only way I can explain it is that we're dealing with the madness of King George type moment. Maybe Trump is trading on the volatility and certainly there's a lot of money to be made if you know what he's going to do from one minute to the next, which only he seems to know. But all of his explanations for what he is trying to do are completely incoherent and self-contradictory and come back to, well, he's just like tariffs for a really long time.
Starting point is 01:15:12 Anyway, it was a great interview. All of them had different things to add. Just FYI, I think Catherine Rampell is a total comer. I think she's going to be- Really? I think you're going to hear her name a lot. I think she is exceptionally talented. She's great. She had an outstanding moment on that show, I think it's a fucking food fight, whatever it's called. CNN, on Abbie Phillips. And whoever the Republican is was trying to defend.
Starting point is 01:15:34 Scott Jennings. Whoever the Republicans was trying to defend. I call him Bad Scott. He's Bad Scott. You're a good Scott. He's trying to defend Bannon. It was a wave. And Catherine Rampel goes, give us that wave.
Starting point is 01:15:46 Give us that wave. And he just sat there like someone who'd just been caught masturbating or defiling gravity. Yeah, defiling gravity. Yeah. Anyway, we love her. All right, Scott, that's another show. Thanks for listening to Pivot.
Starting point is 01:15:58 Be sure to like and subscribe our YouTube channel. We'll be back on Friday. Scott, read us out. Today's show was produced by Laryne Manzoey, Marcus Taylor-Griffin, Arun Ruff and Kate Gallagher. Ernie Intertote engineered this episode. Jem Mackel edited the video. Thanks also to Drew Burrows, Mia Severio and Dan Shalon. Nishat Kherwa is Vox Media's executive producer of podcasts. Make sure you're subscribed to the show wherever you listen to podcasts. Thanks for
Starting point is 01:16:23 listening to Pivot from New York Magazine and Vox Media. You can subscribe to the magazine at nymag.com slash pod. We'll be back later this week for another breakdown of all things tech and business care. Have a great rest of the week.

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