Pivot - Trump TV, Meta’s Muse Charm, and Xi in D.C.

Episode Date: September 25, 2026

Kara and Scott unpack the judge’s order restoring White House press access for CNN, MS NOW, and Politico, as well as the lackluster start for Trump TV. Then, Trump’s summit with Chinese president ...Xi Jinping, and the implications for Taiwan. Plus, Meta goes all in on Muse with new smart glasses and a Tamagotchi-like AI charm, Andreessen Horowitz launches an alternative to college, and Scott predicts another blockbuster IPO. Kara and Scott are going on tour! Get tickets at PivotTour.com. Watch this episode on the ⁠⁠Pivot YouTube channel⁠⁠.Follow us on Instagram and Threads at ⁠⁠@pivotpodcastofficial⁠⁠.Follow us on Bluesky at ⁠⁠@pivotpod.bsky.social⁠⁠Follow us on TikTok at ⁠⁠@pivotpodcast⁠⁠.Send us your questions by calling us at 855-51-PIVOT, or email Pivot@voxmedia.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:01:40 Hi, everyone. This is Pivot from New York Magazine and the Vox Media Podcast Network. I'm Kara Swisher. And I'm Scott. We're both in hotel rooms. It's so seemy. Yeah. Where are you? I'm in Vienna, Austria. Oh, God, that sounds like a big speaking fee. You're in a big speaking fee stand. No, I'm doing, I did a favor for a school here. They did fly me here. But anyway, you know, I speak German. I don't know if you know that. I did know that because you wanted to be a spy, but you're like, I'm here and I'm queer and I wouldn't let you. But you know, you know Austria's biggest accomplishment. Aidel Weiss? I don't know what. No, convincing everyone that Hitler was German. Oh. Start that. Open that tonight at your talk. I think I shat. Open with that one. You know, it's great. I just ate at the most. That is good. That is really good. That is really good. I don't usually like a Hitler joke. The dude was Austrian.
Starting point is 00:02:34 People think of him as being pretty German. Nope, Austria. Yeah. He's my favorite actor. Anything he stars in a lot. Seriously. I know. Anything with a World War II in color.
Starting point is 00:02:47 That's the kind of shit I'm watching now. The whole discovery success has been about that. But there's a lot of these videos of Trump yelling at the pilots of Air Force One and all the helicopters. And so they call him Hissy Hitler, which is funny. That's pretty good. That's pretty good. Let's not make any more Hitler jokes. Let's not do it. No, let's not. Anyway, I'm here in Austria. It's a lovely, a beautiful place.
Starting point is 00:03:09 And we're both in hotel rooms. It's very seeming. And for all of those men out there that have been texting me, that they find me offensive. Yeah. And that I should really dial it back. Yeah, I saw that. No, well, I've been contemplating and taking the remarks seriously as I make their wife's boyfriend a sandwich. Oh, my God. You stop. Is that wrong?
Starting point is 00:03:31 People are mad at us. Well, no, not mad at us. I am in the, tabloids now because I just... No, no, no. People are mad and disgusted with me. People are just like, I don't know, like, oh, Tara, she's leaving. It's not, no. No, no. Now I'm in the tabloids. I'm leaving because... You're in the tabloids? Yeah, no. I'm in the tabloids now
Starting point is 00:03:48 because the reason I'm leaving is because the person who runs CBS News, I used to go out with their wife. And that seems to be interested. That's my reason for leaving, which is insane. So I can verify. I can validate for all the people out there. That's not why you're leaving. You're leaving just because you're a pain in the ass and really hurt a whole. I'm a pain in the ass. That is correct. That is correct. I'm a pain in the ass and I just want to go. Just leave me
Starting point is 00:04:09 alone. So anyway, I've said this many times and I want them to stop because it's it's just irritate. I just want to go. That's all. I don't think these are good owners. When you say I want them to stop, stop what, Kara, just leave. Well, all this leaking and all that, like even covering it, who cares? Who cares? Who cares me? I'm small. If it was like Anderson Cooper? Well, yeah, but you keep announcing you're leaving like. No, I don't let me do that. Don't make me dance. I'm I'm leaving. No, I'm just, people ask me. Don't think, okay.
Starting point is 00:04:37 But I brought the receipts. You're being a little bit of a diva. I understand, but that's because I'm, you know what? Do you know they call me the spirit animal of CNN? Lots of people there are very happy. The spirit, that's what the Lachlan Carrey called me. I know, I'm there speaking. I am speaking for a lot of people.
Starting point is 00:04:53 I think you're more of the Spirit Airlines. The Spirit Airlines. I'm just going to, let's play the receipts. I'm walking right out of there the day they get there. No way I'm working for these terrible people. I will be leaving. I don't care to stick around. I'm leaving as soon as I can.
Starting point is 00:05:07 I don't want to work for the Ellisons, and I don't want to work for their hand-picked minions because I think they're incompetent. Anyway, look, I'm just going, you're right. I should hush, but I just don't. So, as I said to my ex-wife, okay, then leave. Oh, okay.
Starting point is 00:05:23 You know, I like them so much. I like the CNN people so much. Actually, that's not true. I like my ex is a wonderful woman. Yes, yes, yes. Yes, exes are always wonderful. Our separation, unlike your separation, from CNN was tragically amicable.
Starting point is 00:05:36 Oh, was it? Most of mine were. Most of mine. But in general, you know, Megan's always around. You've seen Megan showing up to a million things. I was married to for a long time. Yeah, I like Megan. She was literally, my favorite story about Megan was I did this big thing at South by Southwest,
Starting point is 00:05:52 and there was a line of people to ask me questions. So she decided to help me out and stood next to me and answered most of the questions for me. That is Megan. That's a Megan classic. It was literally if someone would say, what do you think of AI? I'm like, well, it could go good or bad? And she'd immediately go, what he means by good is that. And I'm like, Jesus, who is this?
Starting point is 00:06:15 Scott translator. Who is this? I like all my exes. They all live in Texas. I don't know how I got here. But you know, I gave you my advice. My prediction. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:06:26 CNN does $1.8 billion a year and $600 million in cash flow. the Ellison's aren't going to fuck with that. Yeah, maybe. We'll see. They can fuck with 60 minutes. Nobody cares. No, that makes a lot of money. No, it doesn't.
Starting point is 00:06:42 It's a tiny business. It's like a 60 or $80 million business that I doubt even break. Maybe it breaks even maybe it doesn't. No, no, it makes money. It makes money. And a lot of people say 80% of the wind that's still in its sales is because I think it proceeds or follows football. Anyway, it reminds me of that scene in succession.
Starting point is 00:06:58 Do you remember that scene with Tom is talking to the very, handsome scars guard kid or the yeah yeah he's a tall drink of lemonade i'd even like him to be my ex i'd even like him to be my ex i'm a lesbian go ahead he's interviewing um tom to be the head of what is i guess supposed to be fox and god i just thought of another line when logan roy is roaming around the newsroom and tom's friend i forget the kid yeah great he looks like he looks like santa claus of santa claus or an assassin um anyways nobody says he says what's your what's your philosophy if he goes, you know, I serve up food, people eat what they want, if they like this. He's sort of apolitical.
Starting point is 00:07:38 And the guy says, decides to make him CEO because I think he realizes, I need the cash flow. I think the Ellicons are going to make the same decision. I don't think they're going to fuck with it. Yeah, one helps. I would bet they massively up Mark Thompson's contract. I bet they want, if they're smart and they are smart people, they're going to want to stabilize the boat. They're not going to want to come in with guns blazing.
Starting point is 00:08:01 I mean, they wouldn't do anything really fucking stupid, like bring in Elon. I know. Do you see that? Oh, my God, I saw that. That's another one. I'm like, what is happening? Who could they bring in that would offend me more? I'm trying to think.
Starting point is 00:08:16 Every media story, literally every media company is becoming billionaire potluck. The same people show up with their own media company. It's like sports teams. Like, go away, you people. That's enough to send me out. That's not going to happen on opening. I'd like him, that X of mine, I don't want to see again. You're going to leave twice.
Starting point is 00:08:32 You're going to leave twice. I'm leaving again. I shall. I'm out. How dare you, sir. You have insulted my honor. How dare you, sir. Snap, snap.
Starting point is 00:08:43 Anyway. You're like that guy, Phil Leotardo and that great scene from the Supremos, where he's like, you know, talking about how back in the old country, his family was disrespected, and he's like, no more. No more. You know, I have, that's my background. My grandfather was a minor figure in that area of the world. In the mob?
Starting point is 00:09:00 And now you're on a coal mine? Yeah, mob adjacent is what I would say. Anyway, we've got a lot to talk to today. No one cares about us. It's so stupid, but it's good to raise important issues about journalism, ethics, and competence. Anyway, we've got a lot to get to today, so let's dig in. No, so it matters. Oh, my God.
Starting point is 00:09:21 I'm going to tell you why it matters. No, we're not precious. You're so anti-pressed. But let me just tell you, a federal judge ruled that Trump's ban on CNN, an MS now in Politico was likely unconstitutional, granting a temporary restraining order telling the White House to immediately return, reinstate, and restore pres credentials. It looks like they haven't gotten the memo. They're probably terrified of Trump in order to carry it out.
Starting point is 00:09:44 As of this recording, some staff from all three outlets are still being denied access. It's not clear whether it's incompetence or Trump worry. They just filed for a request for emergency hearing. Of course, the story would probably change 15 more times by the time people listen this episode. Maybe the people will be in whatever. The judge also rejected for now the administration's argument the ban was necessary to protect national security, which is specious. He questioned the stories the White House used to justify the ban, saying they were routine and noting it some were months or even years old. By the way, the source for a Politico's story cited by the White House was Vice President J.D. Vance, according to status.
Starting point is 00:10:19 I have been to those kind of briefings. What happens is they do these briefings where you say a source close to the president, and it's always like either the president or the Secretary of State. And so that's, I've been to those. They're so ridiculous and stupid when you have to do them. And I stop doing them. But they're so incompetent. It's just, I can't tell whether there's incompetence or they just don't know what to do with Trump or they're worried Natalie's going to be mad. I don't know.
Starting point is 00:10:45 I just, he should back down because the microphones are terrible. Like, it's really kind of comical to watch the whole thing going on. And speaking of Trump's TV coverage, I love your comments all this. The White House launched Trump TV a 24-hour YouTube channel. channel with the administration's quote, greatest hits unfiltered all in one place. It's not exactly breaking the internet. It peaked at around 8,000 viewers at launch and dropped below 4,000 within 90 minutes. As you record, the stream currently has 667 viewers, just so, you know, most pivots have a couple hundred thousand or more. Luckily, Jimmy Kimmel has come to the rescue with some excellent programming
Starting point is 00:11:21 ideas. Let's look at this promo. Coming this fall to Trump TV, from the Bigley Mind behind some of your all-time favorite shows. Donald J. Trump presents entertainment for every patriot in your life. The All White Lotus. Survivor, Epstein Island. America's most dangerous windmills. Pimp my reflecting pool. Melania's Book Club. The Pit, where Christy Noam shot her dog. No Friends. My Two Idiot Sons.
Starting point is 00:11:54 My father loves DJing. Small Hansville. Extreme Makeover, White House Edition. Orange is the new president. How I Met Mother. And Jimmy Kimmel dead. Trump TV is must-see TV. Literally.
Starting point is 00:12:11 If you don't watch it, you will be deported. Streaming exclusively on your Grandpa's Dale computer. Still got it, Donald. Still got it. All right. So all of this is obviously autocratic handbook. and state-run TV. So this is ridiculous.
Starting point is 00:12:32 I know you say distraction, but it really, there is something very meaningful here about the First Amendment and the ability of people to just report basic news from the White House. This seems insane on some and many levels. Your thoughts? Well, we always make predictions on Friday. This is an easy one. He's going to back down.
Starting point is 00:12:47 He doesn't, Trump doesn't need CNN's respect. He needs its attention. And for him, attention and coverage is oxygen. And banning, banning the press is like, holding your breath to punish the air. Yeah. It really doesn't make any sense. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:13:06 Yeah. The most interesting thing here from a quote-unquote democracy standpoint is how many days of ignoring a judge's order do we begin to normalize? Right. Oh, very good point. Yeah. And I think at some point, unfortunately, one of the really many dangerous things about the Trump administration is they get these orders and then they hummed.
Starting point is 00:13:28 and ha and kind of wait until they're sort of playing chicken with our democracy constantly. So, and then the kind of the fun one or the kicker is the van's detail. And that is the White House cited a leak as a national security threat. And of course, the leaker was the vice president. It's organized. For people, what people didn't get is. It's not a security breach. It's a mirror.
Starting point is 00:13:54 It's literally they organize these things before the press who was working. there. And so they can quote someone from the administration without it be having his name on it. This is a common practice. And what they do is for people who don't know, they bring groups or reporters in and Vance briefs them. And then you have to say a source close to the administration. That's the rule. That's the rule of the thing. So that's even like, it's not even like secret leaking that Vance did. This was organized leaking by presumably Leavitt when she was working there. I think they don't have a PR person there anymore, you know, and it's Natalie and Trump sort of working it out. The Trump TV thing was pretty surprising.
Starting point is 00:14:35 The numbers are so low. Like, wow. Like, gosh. When I was probably, I don't know when I was in junior higher high school, in Westwood, we had something we had cable call it, it was called the Z channel. And it was this box with little buttons on it for each channel. And it had a cord that ran all the way to the TV. Oh, wow. And one of my first major business lessons was the cable guy was outside messing around with the cable box.
Starting point is 00:15:02 And I was watching him, and I was bored. And he was putting in all these things. And they were blockers such that my mom and I couldn't afford cable TV. So when I pulled up to Z channel, it would go, and you couldn't see it. Like, you could see it for a second. And when you were a 13-year-old and you have Cinemax, you would spend a half an hour just to occasionally see a boob or something. And I walked up to this guy. And I said, are those blockers?
Starting point is 00:15:24 and he was like a nice man. He showed it to me. And I'm like, I'm at unit seven, and I gave him $5. And he looked at me, and he took the blockers out. Wow. I was kind of one of my first business lessons was the market for corruption. And oh, my gosh, I did not sleep for the next three semesters. Cable.
Starting point is 00:15:43 When you're in a third tier, whatever you were, when you're just coming of age. Yeah, you saw like a half a boob and then it went off, right? Oh, my God, yeah. And then it was like. They made sure you saw a half a boob. That was good marketing. But cable TV for a 15-year-old boy with a lack of adult supervision, you're just, wow, this is. Why?
Starting point is 00:16:02 I would assume he'd do well on YouTube, but this is a surprise. It's boring. It's going to go away. The more disconcerting thing across a million disconcerting things is that these people are clearly following a handbook from autocrats. Step one is attacking independent press. Step two is favoring friendly press. And step three is building your own. He's running all three at once.
Starting point is 00:16:32 Now, the third leg of the stool here isn't successful. The more dangerous thing is carving up press that already has massive viewership and doling it out to your friends and favorable parties. That's why it's important. Trump TV is meaningless. And what's scary is, again, the same people that happen to be Republican donors getting control of TikTok and CBS News and 60 Minutes and now CNN. Granted, the concentration there is scary. Yeah, it is. It is.
Starting point is 00:17:07 Even if it's declining audiences, I think it's still powerful. It really is. And it's kind of like, and especially the Elon edition, Scott, come on. Like, this is just ridiculous. It's being carved up for rich people. And it's weird. Like, go back to buying sports teams, people. But what's important is the coverage isn't as good because the pools have declined to, like, have declined to cover them, essentially.
Starting point is 00:17:29 And as we tape, the Trump Xi summit is kicking off at the White House ahead of the meeting. Treasury Secretary and Gray Poupon spokesman Scott Besson discussed a possible U.S.-China AI dialogue with his Chinese counterpart, which is necessary. That would reportedly include a communications channel for AI incidents that rise up to the national security level, which I cannot believe is not already in place. We asked the director of Green Mantle, Alice Hahn, about what she expects from the summit. Here's what she had to say. What do I expect coming out of the summit?
Starting point is 00:17:59 Well, four things. Number one, commitment rhetorically in both sides for continued dialogue. I do believe there will be another chance for the two leaders to meet, either in Xinjin for APEC in November or for G20 in Miami in December. Number two, I do believe the Chinese will succeed
Starting point is 00:18:15 in getting the Americans delay the 14 billion dollars in arms sales due to Taiwan. Number three, I do believe there will be continued signaling about the desire to extend the truce on tariffs and rare earth specimens already announced to two-month truce up until January 10. And last but not least, I think the most important part of the bilateral discussion right now is AI controls, AI guard rails. It's coming at a time where we're getting a lot of news about rogue agents, the problems with AI alignment. And I do think both sides are invested and both leaders are invested in some kind of discussion about continued AI governance, guardrails, certain levels of controls being put in place. I don't think we'll get any big
Starting point is 00:18:57 substance on this issue, but certainly some kind of rhetorical statement from both sides about the need for bilateral cooperation of AI. Well, that's great. That's really smart. You know, what would meaningful U.S.-China-S.-China safety look like? I think that's really the question. And Trump has already said they were going to talk about AI, but he said, but I wanted to let it go except for one or, forget, it was something very minor he was talking about that. The U.S. Justice Department will be the guardrail, essentially. Your thoughts? So, look, they've rolled out the technology as a solution that was invented in 1963, right? The Washington hotline after the Cuban Missile Crisis. It is, the boring stuff is what moves the needle. There is some important stuff here. In 1972, we agreed with the Soviets to have something called the Incidents at Sea Agreement. Because if a nuclear submarine crashed on the shelf of whatever, we needed both, everyone
Starting point is 00:19:57 needed to know, okay, there's 60 nuclear warheads at the bottom of the ocean, and maybe we can help you rescue these people. And if we detect a nuclear submarine and it looks like it's not moving, is it lining up for offensive action? So it made sense to say, okay, when shit gets real for one of our submarines or a military or an attack ship at sea, we're going to be graceful with each other, trying to help each other, and we are going to communicate with each other around what's going on. And one of the things we need for AI is the equivalent of the NTSB, the National Transportation Safety Board. Then when there's an accident anywhere in China or the U.S., we know about it, we share it with each other. it's like I say to my kids, when you come home, if you've had a few drinks, if you tell me,
Starting point is 00:20:43 I'm not going to be bad. I just need to know. I want to know what's going on with you. And I will afford you a lot of grace. I'm not saying I'll ignore things. But tell me when something goes wrong or you've had to whatever they're called those nicotine patches and come home and start throwing up, I want to know why. And I don't want you to be scared to tell me what they call misery.
Starting point is 00:21:07 Riz or the little things he'd pouch. Anyway, my point is, there's something important to that. And then the other really, the most important thing of all of this, and it's, again, another terrible move in my view, and it's acquiescing to Russia or excuse me, to China, is that that we've agreed to delay 14 billion in Taiwan arms sales in exchange for AI rhetoric. So basically, we're trading hardware and defense of an ally for a press release, and it It is so asymmetric and you want to talk about a bad deal. China has not agreed to stop arming or helping arm Russia in their fight against Ukraine or even Iran as they begin,
Starting point is 00:21:48 as we are in a war with them, but we're not going to ship 14 billion in what would be defensive arms to Taiwan. Capabilities. It is, I am so certain they're going to surround Taiwan within the Trump. They've got only this two-year timeframe to do it. They must do it. And especially when they get the nod from Trump, that's what this is, right? This idea of not defending this nation. And I think even the nation has given up on thinking the U.S., watching all the other allies get, you know, all the others. I mean, everything's a press release
Starting point is 00:22:24 with this guy. I mean, one of the things he was, he's trying to rebrand AI called superintelligence. This is not a new name for it. And I don't know what he doesn't like artificial. Just everything's such a fake. And as you know, the real. stuff like defending Taiwan or feeling like they're our ally or treating them like the ally they've been. And by the way, we totally depend on them with chips still to this moment. It would be devastating if China did what everyone thinks it wants to do and probably will do, which is surrounded or somehow get control of Taiwan.
Starting point is 00:22:59 So yeah, right. This is all bullshit. So when he said that, I'm like, you are so stupid. I just don't know what to say. And you give away the farm every time with whatever malevolent ally heads our way, whether it's she or the guy from North Korea or anywhere else. Or he, like, embraces dictators and rejects democratic leadership, essentially. But every victory on the battlefield for Ukraine against the invading Russian force makes it less likely
Starting point is 00:23:29 China will invade Taiwan. People don't realize how important it is and what a great investment. helping the Ukrainian army continue to accomplish miracles on the battlefield is, because you've got to think that the CCP looks at what's happened with a smaller military force that's technically sophisticated. I can't even imagine how technically sophisticated the Taiwanese asymmetric force would be. I understand that they are like starting to live with the idea they might be a part of China. That's what I've heard from people.
Starting point is 00:24:04 Well, that's, but, and that's up to the Taiwanese people. Is it, but my point is, if you look. Oh, they don't want to be. They just think it's inevitable. But it would be, I'm going to weather. I don't think it's going to be, I don't think we're going to have a hot war. First off, the CCP is very smart. They're very measured.
Starting point is 00:24:19 And look at what's happened to the two hostile powers, Russia and the U.S., in Ukraine and in Iran. They learn, you know, their students to history. Also, for all of their, you know, large army and everything, there's something very, I find interesting. There's not a single soldier in the Chinese armed services that has one day of combat experience. And if it could be a disaster for them in a hot war with Taiwan. And Taiwan has mapped the shit out of the entry points. It would make Omaha look like, maybe that's a bad example. Anyways, what you, what the fear is that it's a soft creeping economic invasion, right? that makes it just very difficult.
Starting point is 00:25:02 But if Taiwan, if we continue to treat Taiwan the way we treat our other allies and friends, you want to talk about if someone could go gangster on you, if Taiwan says, we're going to reconsider the supply chain for chips to the U.S., I mean, they dominate. And anyways, I don't, as always, our geopolitical strategy here makes no sense. Yeah, it makes no sense. I think it is astonishing how much he turns on allies. And Taiwan has been one of our staunchest allies
Starting point is 00:25:35 and one of the helpers of creating this digital revolution, too. It's just, it's one of these, you know, I know so many amazing technologists from Taiwan. You know, and a lot of people who are in Silicon Valley created these companies are from there. It is an astonishing country and always under siege. Have you been there? I've never been.
Starting point is 00:25:54 Yes, once. And it's amazing. Really? I'm interested to go out. I have a lot of friends who live there. Also, Americans, not just Taiwanese. It's such an important country to us, and we should be. You remember when Nancy Pelosi went over there and visited and freaked out?
Starting point is 00:26:07 I was just going to say, what would solve all of this is having Speaker Pelosi in a hot pink pantsuit on the runway in Taiwan in front of Air Force, too. Well, who could be her? Who could it be? I guess she's not in power anymore. She was a speaker when she did that, I think. It has to be someone else, someone now. Well, again, you're standing like, if I were a Democratic candidate for president, I would make a trip to Taiwan. Yeah, that's a really good thing.
Starting point is 00:26:35 Anyway, we're going to move on. It's just Trump is so like, oh, he's as strategic as a rock, essentially. Okay, Scott, let's go on a quick break. We come back. Mark Zuckerberg shows off new glasses and gadgets. Support for the show comes from Zbiotics. I know a lot of us like to have some drinks during vacations. I just got back from vacation myself.
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Starting point is 00:27:57 Then keep right to skip by the lines of people waiting for food. Steer clear of the crowded shelter turning people away. Then take the next exit. Let's stop looking away and get in the way of rising poverty. Your donations help the United Way fight poverty in thousands of ways, like providing food, shelter, and crisis prevention. Donate today at United WayGT.org. Support for this show comes from Delete Me.
Starting point is 00:28:24 Have you ever thought I should really be doing something to protect myself from stalkers, scammers, and hackers, but you're not sure what. Here's one thing you can do. Go to join deleteme.com slash pivot and enter code Pivot. you'll get 20% off, Delete Me. Delete Me finds and removes your personal information that's being sold online, which can be really useful thing in the age of AI,
Starting point is 00:28:42 when all of us are more susceptible than ever to scammers who can buy any of your personal data floating around to use for sophisticated fishing and social engineering attacks. I've been using Delete Me for many years, actually, and I am constantly surprised by how much information is out there about me, how it is collected and brought together. These data brokers are very clever, and it's really important to take control
Starting point is 00:29:04 of your privacy. See why more than 20% of Fortune 500 businesses trust Delete Me to keep their execs and employees personal information protected. Now it's special discount for our listeners. Get 20% off your DeleteMe plan. When you go to join deleteme.com slash pivot and use the promo code pivot at checkout. The only way to get 20% off is to go to join deleteme.com slash pivot and enter the code pivot. That's join deleteme.com slash pivot code pivot. Scott, we're back. I have purposely not asked you what you think of this because I want to be surprised. Now, Mari Zuckerberg and Meta are going all in on Muse, and now they want a new AIJ to be part of pretty much everything you do.
Starting point is 00:29:51 At Wednesday's Meta Connect conference, Zuckerberg showed off several new pairs of smart glasses and a bunch of Muse integrations. He announced a partnership that will let Muse shop at Walmart, Best Buy and other stores, not Amazon, which who he's having a beef with. And Zuckerberg also unveiled a new lightweight VR glasses priced at $12.99 and expected next spring. Meta called them the sexiest pair of VR glasses. as you've ever seen. They are not. And from wearables to holdables, Meta's introducing a muse charm, a small device that fits on a keychain and lets you talk to Muse without using
Starting point is 00:30:22 your phone. Another iteration of Humane. Chatji BT has one coming. These are, they think we all want Tomoguchi's fine, and that's what it looks like. Meta hopes to ship it in time for the holidays. I must have your thoughts on how he kicked off the keynote with smart glasses and talking to a hologram of his CTO. Check this out. Hey, Mark, how's it going? How's it going? Just putting some finishing touches on over here. You ready to do this? Yeah, man, we got a packed house out there. You better get on stage. All right, I'll be out there in a minute. Let's go have some fun. Okay. See you soon, brother. Yeah. Playing Connect vibes playlist on Spotify. He's no Steve Jobs. Let's just say that. I just, he's still, he's not as awkward as he used to be.
Starting point is 00:31:13 Let me pay him a compliment. He's not as hopelessly awkward. He's only just very awkward now. Very awkward. So what do you think of all this? I have no idea what you think. I will tell you what I think in a minute, but I want to hear what you think. Well, I mean, my observations are a little broad. Power and age are the enemies of self-awareness. And typically really old people with a lot of power are the least self-aware people because you have so much, so much leverage and influence over people's well-being that they find the shortest route to improving their own well-being is to kiss your ass. That's kind of the highest ROI strategy.
Starting point is 00:31:52 It's not to antagonist. It's not to disagree with them. I mean, everybody says, oh, I appreciate when people disagree with me. In the short run, there's just too much. If you got two minutes with the president, you're just going to say what a great guy is. And when you're hoping to get promoted to SVP and you get five minutes with Mark Zuckerberg, such that you can have more options and finally afford a home in the Bay Area, you're going to say, oh, by the way, the new glasses are amazing.
Starting point is 00:32:16 The other thing these companies are missing, in my view, is anthropologists. And that is people are physically uncomfortable in any way, and this is a certain format of the headset with their peripheral vision block, because that's the shit. The shit that can eat you or you can eat doesn't come straight at you. It comes from the sides or behind. And so that's why you feel nauseous when your peripheral vision is shocked. Your body's saying, no, no, no.
Starting point is 00:32:43 Don't block your peripheral vision. It's key to survival. The only thing people, also, the only thing people will put on their face, it either is for survival, that is glasses to help you read. If you can't see, you're more likely to be eaten. Is that like, is that my son or a bear coming towards me? You probably are not to get eaten, Scott,
Starting point is 00:32:59 but go ahead. I see your point. By the way, I'm in Aspen, there's bears everywhere. Oh, okay. It's like, dogs running around. It's like, oh, there's a bear. And I'm like, what do we do? And I use that joke.
Starting point is 00:33:08 I'm like, of course, I said, well, you know, we should run. And the person I was what said, we can't outrun a bear. And I'm like, no, no, I just need to outrun you. Run you. That's the old joke. It's the old thing. Anyways.
Starting point is 00:33:18 But what do you think of these? So, and thus? I don't think these people have learned the following. You only put something on your face for survival or that increases the elevation of your cheekbones such that you more people want to have sex with you. The reason the only glasses that work here are Rayband meta glasses because it's a, it's raybound first and computer second. People don't want a computer on their face. Maybe they'll put a cool pair of sunglasses on them. their face with a computer in them. But these guys just haven't learned basics. It's still not there.
Starting point is 00:33:49 It's still not there. And it's still the cre-you know, he did a really interesting interview with Joanna Stern, and she zeroed in on the creeper glasses. He got visibly annoyed in the interview. But the fact that he's not addressed, like, it's annoyed by it rather than be like, yeah, I get it kind of thing. That's one. Two, these are better than the other, the ones before it, and better than the ones before that. But they're still very heavy and very invasive. I don't know what else to say. Like, I wouldn't, I wouldn't subject other people to them. That's one.
Starting point is 00:34:19 And so I'm not sure these will ever work properly. I think, again, they have to be in AirPods for some reason, so that they're much more subtle. They're so not subtle, any of this stuff. I think they're useful. Some people play music or take a note, you know. I'm interested in the charm. Like, I will never carry a tamagachi. I can tell you that.
Starting point is 00:34:39 And it's really interesting that they're all working on these versions of a little clip that you put on your, you know, humane was one. Again, Chad GPT is going to come out with one. I can't believe Apple won't have some version of this. What do you think of this charm? I mean, everyone was like, wow, he did a charm. I'm like, this is like the 10th charm, like that I have seen. And, you know, he's trying to be adorable with it, with this little sort of squishy little, squiddish little thing. But I find it, I would not use it. I'm an adult. Like, maybe kids will? I doubt my son's No, again, I love pronouncing shit DOA. Amuse Charm is the Humane pin with a metal logo.
Starting point is 00:35:20 Remember Humane? Yeah, of course. That's what I was just mentioning, yeah. It raised about a quarter of a billion dollars. It charged $700 and ended up selling its IP to HP for $116 million. And Rabbit R1 had the same mark or has the same mark. Every AI gadget faces the same problem. There's a business problem and there's an ego problem.
Starting point is 00:35:42 civil split personality problem here. And the business problem is the following. Every AI gadget is competing with the most successful consumer product in history, which is in your pocket. Phone. The iPhone. The iPhone is the most successful consumer product in history.
Starting point is 00:35:59 Maybe with the exception of, I don't know, the Kardashians or the CCP. I don't know. There's probably something else, or maybe Instagram might be it. Well, not even. The iPhone. Nothing has been.
Starting point is 00:36:12 Toyota-like production volumes with Ferrari-like margins. Nothing has created. Anyways, enough already. The iPhone. The human element of this is the following. And I told this to the chair of the board of Snap, who I think is a really bright guy, impressive guy. Mark Zuckerberg and Evan Spiegel think they're Steve Jobs.
Starting point is 00:36:41 They're not. They're both Mark Zuckerberg. They both have great social platforms, which, by the way, are an amazing business. Yeah, I have to. I agree. And these companies keep trying to get into hardware. And I get it, and I think they should make a series of small bets and see where they pay off. And to be fair, META has a winner with its Rayben glasses.
Starting point is 00:37:04 That is a winner. But they all have these fever dreams of being a hardware company, and they're not. He's tried the phone. He's remember the phone. Amazon's tried. They've all tried. Google is still trying. Still trying.
Starting point is 00:37:18 I still have those glasses. I'm going to keep him and sell them for one of my college education from one of my kids someday. But here's two things. First of all, the charm. There's no way I'm carrying a Tomoguchi. It's not happening. I didn't like Tomoguchi's when they were there. Maybe I don't think people want to talk to these little things.
Starting point is 00:37:35 They're very noisy. If you ever had a Google glass or any of these glasses, they're super noisy in a public. space. That's one thing. They're not subtle the way AirPods are very subtle. Like I was listening to, I went to this very fancy restaurant here in Vienna and had one of these 90-course meals by myself. Sausage and more sausage? Your next course, sausage. Now it was like really fancy, Scott. It was really fancy. It was like all these like reductions. There was a lot of reductions happening. But I had them on and I felt okay with them on, right? And even then, I was like, can they see them, you know, because of my hair over them.
Starting point is 00:38:13 Here's the other thing. One is they're not subtle. Two, I am not giving Mark Zuckerberg my private information. I'm just not. I know there is, and some people will, I'll give them enough of it. Like on threads, I share things. And I like the product. I love Instagram, but I share very little, you know, like my mail.
Starting point is 00:38:32 I wouldn't, this is a step further, giving them my mail and my calendar and access to that. No fucking way on this whole planet. And it's not because it's me. I think a lot of people won't. The second, that's a real different relationship than just posting on social media. The second is, I'm waiting, Apple, I might, but maybe not now. Like, you know what I mean? And I'm trying to think, would I let Google?
Starting point is 00:38:53 They already have my mail. They already have my calendar. So I might let Google do it because they already have it, right? Like I've already made that, that Faustian bargain with Google because I have Gmail. I am, and this muse, which I think is well done, I will say it's, well done, but it's not useful unless you're all in with your information, and then it's useful as an agent. So I'm not so sure people will not pause. Maybe they find it easy. Maybe they've done a nice job here. This Nathan Friedman, I think his name is, they've done a nice job here.
Starting point is 00:39:28 A nice job by Kara. With the product, the product. If you use Muse as an app, but you know where it's useful on my iPhone? That's where it. And then the minute Apple comes up with one, I'm out of there. That's it. Or Google, even Google. I'd use a Google one before that. I worry, though, that the, first off, the data shows there's huge consumer dissonance. And when people, you're the real deal, you value your privacy, you're concerned about it, and you unplug Alexis in your house.
Starting point is 00:39:56 The majority of people every day trade off privacy for utility. A thin layer of AI on top of your Uber data could find out everything about you, whether you terminated a pregnancy, if you're having, you know, if you have a gay lover and their address, it could just figure out everything about you. And yet, I just love seeing that my QX-60 made a left on broom and we'll be here in 30 seconds. So I do the trade-off. I worry that sometimes our dialogue around I would trust these guys, but I wouldn't trust these guys, I don't think we should have to have that debate, and I think it's a distraction. I think what's important, as the conversation around flock cameras, What's important is the conversation around what are the laws that ensure my privacy.
Starting point is 00:40:42 HIPAA knows your HIV status. Right, I get that. We make tradeoffs every day. We have to ensure. So every governor and mayor right now is bragging that crime is at an all-time low. Crime is at an all-time low in the United States and almost every major city has seen a dramatic decline in crime. And of course, they stand up and say, oh, it's because of my policies. It's not.
Starting point is 00:41:09 It's because of an invasion of privacy called flock. These flock cameras are very frightening, very Orwellian. And guess what? Really fucking effective. Yeah, they can be here done right. Yeah. If you're in New York or London, you've been on camera every 12 feet since 9-11 and since the IRA bombings of the 80s and 90s.
Starting point is 00:41:29 The question is, do we have stringent enough? Like, I believe for certain crimes, they shouldn't be. be allowed misdemeanors, they shouldn't be allowed to access the footage of these things. If you're someone involved, if you're a friend of someone who committed a crime, I'm not sure you should be submittable, what your movements should be submissible. The key, I think the right focus and it's boring is really stringent laws that maybe turn back the Patriot Act that say, okay, violent crime, fine. Anything resembling terror cells, fine. But the notion that we can start using this shit for all sorts of stuff,
Starting point is 00:42:04 that's where the important discussion has to be. I agree. I agree. And that's where it's going. Absolutely. But I will say, I muse is not going to be as success. There's a lot, I don't think we've forgotten the social media stuff, and he kind of wants us all to move along. I think the most troubling thing, I just didn't read Sherry Turkle this week for her new book,
Starting point is 00:42:21 Artificial Intimacy, which is amazing. One of the things is, and this sort of is in your kind of your area. But, you know, one, people used to have 15 friends, and now most people will have two, maybe one. And Mark's answer is, I will give you 12 fake friends, right, versus why don't we try to encourage people
Starting point is 00:42:42 to have friends in real places. Anyway, it's just, I just don't trust him. I still don't. I still don't. I just don't want to give him, I like a, let me just say, Mark Zuckerberg, this product is well, I don't think the Tamaguchi is good. It's fine.
Starting point is 00:42:56 It's better than they last four that didn't work. But I think Muse is well done. I think threads is well done. I think Instagram is astonishing. And I think you've developed it beautifully, by the way, from the original. But am I going to give you access to my house? You're not coming to my house. You're just not.
Starting point is 00:43:12 And I just don't trust you. And that's, I think, ultimately, we will have these agents in some fashion. But I suspect from people like Apple, maybe Google before him. But he's trying. I like that he's trying. And he's brilliant in that regard. Well, just one. But you brought up what I think is the key point in all of this.
Starting point is 00:43:28 And the most, arguably the most dangerous thing about big tech is that they're profit motive is directly correlated to sequestering you from other people, and specifically relationships in person. And after Mayor Lurie called me, you know, after I did that video on San Francisco, I did just a small deep dive into the homeless issue. And I was assumed that the greatest, the largest cohort of the homeless population were veterans. I'm wrong. It's only 4%. HUD is actually, in Veterans Affairs, have actually been very effective in trying to ensure that veterans have access to housing. The largest cohort of homeless people is single adults, and that is adults who aren't connected to someone else. The greatest driver of good or bad
Starting point is 00:44:14 outcomes in a hospital is in the quality of the hospital, the quality of the doctor, it's whether you have an advocate who is in the hospital with you, asking questions, asking where is the nurse, why do you have painkillers? The answer, full stop, is in each other. And when people don't have someone else who is irrationally passionate about their well-being, their life begins to erode. And these companies, I'm not saying maliciously, have attached shareholder value into separating you from the most important thing in life. And that is other people. Yep.
Starting point is 00:44:50 I would agree. I think you're spot on. So we'll see. But good luck with the Tomoguchi. There's no way I'm carrying one. All right, Scott, let's go on a quick break. We come back. Andrews in Horowitz, founds a school.
Starting point is 00:45:00 These tech people can't stop meddling in everybody's life. Support for the show comes from CoreWeave. AI isn't just a new tool. It encompasses so much more. It's spurring a revolution across all industries and reshaping itself to become a big part of our future together. CoreWeave is at the center, powering some of the biggest names in AI.
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Starting point is 00:46:15 But in business, if you want to succeed, you've always got to be thinking two steps ahead. Zeta can help. Zeta helps marketers and enterprises see beyond disconnected data and fragmented tools, bringing customer and business contacts into a clear, more actionable view. It brings together what a business knows about its customers, what it is trying to achieve, and the decisions required to get there. And, instead of asking teams to operate another dashboard or stitch together into their workflow, Zeta's AI can help determine what matters, what should happen next, and how to improve based on the result.
Starting point is 00:46:43 The goal is to help you make better decisions about who to reach, what to say, where to invest, and what to do next. For customers, that means experiences that feel more useful and relevant. For businesses, it means spending less time managing technology and more time building stronger relationships and driving results. Ready to make smarter, faster decisions, visit zataglobal.com slash pivot to learn more. Support for this show comes from Quince. Do you have a favorite thing in your closet, the thing you look forward? or breaking out every year. Maybe it's your favorite sweater, the jeans that go with everything, or the bag that goes wherever you do. Those are the pieces that are in a permanent place in your
Starting point is 00:47:21 wardrobe, and that's exactly what Quince does so well. Quince makes elevated, everyday essentials using premium materials like Mongolian cashmere, organic cotton, and washable silk. The designs are timeless, thoughtfully crafted, and made to be worn again and again. It's also affordable, too. All of their items are priced 50 to 80% less than similar brands. Plus, they work directly with top factories cutting out the middlemen. That way, you're only paying for exceptional quality and not brand markup. I just got a set of not clothes, but quince sheets. I was very surprised how soft they were. They're made of organic cotton. They feel expensive and they aren't. And that's what I liked about them. No scratchiness. I slept like a baby in them. And I was really happy and I'm going to buy
Starting point is 00:48:01 more sets because they're some of the best sheets I have slept on. Find the fall pieces you'll reach for Most at Quince. Download the Quince app for app exclusive offers or go to quince. com slash pivot. Get free shipping on your order and 365-day returns now available in Canada and the UK too. That's QI-N-C-E dot com slash pivot. Scott, we're back. Andresen Horowitz is backing a new San Francisco school designed as an alternative to college aimed at young people who want to work in tech and build companies. The Horowitz-Reyeson Academy will have no grades, tests or traditional homework. I'm okay with that. Instead, focusing on AI, hands-on projects, internships, and mentorship from tech leaders. The first class will start in 2027 with no tuition, but the school is unaccredited, meaning
Starting point is 00:48:52 students won't receive a degree or transferable college credits. That's open AI meta, NVIDIA, and throbbing other tech companies are founding partners in the project. Pending regulatory approval, the school plans to expand a two-year program in 2008 with tuition comparable to an elite private university, so they're keeping up the prices. You know, this is sort of what Peter Thiel's been talking about forever. I don't mind. It sounds like a school to create workers for them. I mean, the thing I first thought was Soylent Green is people. I don't know. I just, I don't trust them. I don't trust them to do that. This is not who I want to be. And I think this stuff should be in colleges and in high schools as part of the curriculum, but they just hate education. They hate
Starting point is 00:49:35 our current education system. And there's a lot to hate your thoughts. This is your, absolutely your area. Well, anyone who says that higher ed is not important and that your kid doesn't need to go to college, that means one of two things. They went to Stanford undergrad and grad, or two, their son just shit the bed on the ACT and they're trying to make themselves feel better. When you manage to get through college, and it's not for everybody, but I think everyone should have the option because when you get a college degree, you become much less likely to kill yourself. You become much more likely to get married. you become much more likely to vote, much less likely to be obese. And on average, you earn about $1.2 million more
Starting point is 00:50:15 over your lifetime. If we had a drug that made you healthier, happier, and a better citizen, would we hoard it? And that's the problem with higher ed, is we are hoarding what is the miracle drug of the West. In 1900, only 10% of kids had a high school degree. by the 50s, it was 50%, now it's upward of 80%. And draw a line between that and our prosperity.
Starting point is 00:50:43 And what you see is that education, including higher education, is the miracle drug that has advanced the West. I think it's important, just as Texas and Florida compete with California and New York and force them to offer better services at a lower price, I like these sorts of things. I think it's important we have competition. But what they fail to realize is in school we don't educate, we certify. And having a school like this with a Harvard tuition without the Harvard logo is like having
Starting point is 00:51:13 an AirMAS scarf without the Hermes logo. You're just not going to be able to charge the same amount. The Teal Fellowship paid kids $100,000 to drop out and produce a few home runs and a lot of kind of quiet outcomes. The founding partners here, Google Meta OpenAI and Viti Anthropic, you know, this is more like a town with a campus. What they're trying to do is create a pipeline of talented 18-year-olds. It's that they, before these kids know their market value. And now, again, I like this because college has become a caste system. Elite schools reject 95% of their applicants and grow their
Starting point is 00:51:51 endowments and their class sizes. And if universities won't expand their freshman class, I think they deserve to have their lunch eaten and have their feet held to the fire. UCLA and Berkeley, 9 and 11 percent admissions rate, respectively. There's no one in there in the summer. There's no one there at night. We should expand our freshman class size by 20 or 30 percent. We are public servants, not a fucking Chanel bag. If only someone was on the board of this that could make these kind of changes.
Starting point is 00:52:17 But let me, but in my view, the answer isn't in these VC-backed competitors. The answer is in our great public universities and doubling down on them. And let me just give you some stats about the University of California real quick. Disclose, you're on the board, just for people who don't know. I was making a joke. I can't imagine anyone doesn't know that because I'm excited about it, and I drop that every 10 seconds when I meet people. It's how I introduce myself now.
Starting point is 00:52:40 Hi, I'm Regent Galloway. Anyways, and my nickname is Tripod and the fraternity, just to give more credibility. Once again. There we go. Bring it down. Bring it back a little. Bring it back.
Starting point is 00:52:52 Just so they know who they're talking to. Okay, Regent Tripod. Give us the thing. What percentage of kids at a University of California campus do you think pay no tuition. Not loans, pay no tuition through financial aid and grants. What percentage? I know 20? Fifty three percent. The majority of students, the majority of students at the University of California don't pay tuition. What percentage care of students graduate without one penny of student debt? No debt whatsoever. I don't know. Sixty three percent. Wow. 80 percent of kids who apply to a
Starting point is 00:53:27 University of California system, get into at least one campus. One of them. There's many. Then why don't they help the University of California? Why are they doing this? Word, sister. I want to think big. I'm like, let's go ask Jensen Huang for a billion dollars.
Starting point is 00:53:42 Berkeley has the brightest minds in the world trying to cut, thread the needle between social policy and technology policy. Jennifer Dowden is there. Jennifer Dowden needs money for that institute. You see, U.C. Riverside has amazing people. I mean, there are so many amazing, where we have this infrastructure. It's already doing an amazing job. If these guys really were concerned about the future of America and youth and footing to the opportunity,
Starting point is 00:54:10 they would fund our great UC system and also the unsung hero of California, the great amazing Cal State system. Instead, they all want to pretend they're innovators and fine, have at it. Yes, here's the thing. They literally, they are such fucking grump ass. And they have to say everything doesn't work. And they never want to be part of fixing things that have worked or have problems but need extra help, right? Like you could say, okay, there's all these problems here.
Starting point is 00:54:37 That may be. But instead they focus on, oh, DEI at Berkeley and I'm going to do my own thing. They literally are the most anti-social and social good people on the fucking planet. Like that really just chaps my ass. I got to tell you, Scott. Please come and give to the University of California. It also prays. Women are about 58% of undergrads.
Starting point is 00:54:59 And alternative path is fine, but these unaccredited paths disproportionately catch young men who can at least afford to miss the traditional path of certification, finding a mate. If these guys were really serious, they would increase freshman class sizes at Cal State and UC by 50%, not have these boutique VC-backed things that, quite frankly, this is my prediction. In five to seven years, these guys get bored with this. and it dies at slow death. That is correct, like all of their efforts at creating your own universities. You know, they should just have a tantrum, write an essay in the Atlantic,
Starting point is 00:55:33 and then get to fixing it to what works. They'd rather burn things down. The only one I actually respect to yours is Peter Thiel, because he's like, okay, I'm just going to say, don't go to college, and I'm going to give you money to do projects for me, so maybe I'll fund you someday. It seemed pretty selfish, and I got it.
Starting point is 00:55:51 I kind of got it with him. This is such a waste of their money in time. And well, oh well, call Scott Galloway and talk to him about it. Yeah, that's going to happen. That's going to happen. All right. I'm so glad you're having a good time doing that. You know, Newsom, when I complained to him that he never asked me on anything, he sent one of his, like, people who give those things out and said, which one do you want?
Starting point is 00:56:14 And I said, the yoga, the yoga committee. There's some, there's a crazy amount of things. The government, I don't know if it's yoga, but there was, there's a crazy amount of, like, appointed positions that the government. does, and some of them are so esoteric. It's nuts. It's like nuts, like all the stuff. So I'm going to join something that's really esoteric. I don't know, like the oyster commission. Come on in the water's fine. I'll tell you, I'll tell you one thing, the University of California. When you do, everyone should post-government, you feel better about America. You meet all these incredibly smart people at the heart in the right place, trying to do the right thing.
Starting point is 00:56:48 I think it makes you feel great about America. Yeah, I'm going to pick one. I don't know anything, not I don't know anything about that I know something adjacent about and then see if I can help. You're right. I agree with you. We're very civic, Scott and Kara. All right. One more quick break. We'll be back for predictions. Support for this show comes from IM8. We all know someone who's convinced that they're the picture of health just because they take endless supplements. How many of them actually help? Debatable. One thing's for sure, though. Having a medicine cabinet full of a variety of different products is an easy way to burn yourself out on wellness entirely. IM8 can help you simplify your supplement routine once and for all.
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Starting point is 00:58:00 That's code Pivot at IM8health.com slash pivot. Again, code Pivot and IM8Health.com slash pivot. These statements have not been evaluated by the Food and Drug Administration. This product is not intended to diagnose, treat, cure, or prevent any disease. Calculating route to avoid seeing poverty, turn left to bypass the unhoused, youth sleeping on the street, then keep right to skip by the lines of people waiting for food. Steer clear of the crowded shelter turning people away, then take the next exit. Let's stop looking away and get in the way of rising poverty.
Starting point is 00:58:37 Your donations help the United Way fight poverty in thousands of ways, like providing food, shelter, and crisis prevention. Donate today at United WayGT.org. So like any good millennial, I have a love-hate relationship. with Gen Z. It's the phenomenon rattling millennials. They just look at you. They want something bigger themselves. Lifestyles are priority. Motivation is being inspired. But regardless of how you feel about Gen Z, it's undeniable that they're changing national politics. Generation Z is increasingly showing less loyalty to traditional political parties. Many now more likely to identify as independent.
Starting point is 00:59:17 So what is going on with the kids? I think the biggest misconception about Gen Z's politics right now, is that all of a sudden they're all socialist. That is just not the case. Yeah, yeah, yeah. They are embracing candidates who are offering new, bold ideas in the absence of those ideas from establishment Democrats. This week on America, actually, Gen Z researcher, Rachel Jamfaza, joins us to separate Gen Z fact versus fiction.
Starting point is 00:59:41 It's not rocket science. And this is, you know, I keep saying, like, young voters aren't that complicated after all. It's pretty simple. Catch us every Saturday on YouTube or wherever you get your podcast. Okay, Scott. prediction time. I predict Carers leaving CNN. Thank you. God, here we go. How do you so? I'm leaving. I'm back. I'm leaving again. If I go, the door, it's right there. Wait, they'll be like, wait, you're going to be like that kid from high school who had,
Starting point is 01:00:16 and like hangs out in the parking lot two years after they graduated and everyone's like, what is it doing here? That's always a Matthew McConaughey thing. Don't they have anything to do? I know. That's me. Goodbye, sir. Anyway, I'm going to wear a top hat as I go. Anyway, go ahead. What's your prediction? Oh, God. I look like a top hat.
Starting point is 01:00:37 Let's be clear. I have a bunch of little ones. All right. Okay, the muse charm. The muse charm ships, sells poorly, and quietly dies by mid-2027, along with these niche VC-backed universities. The humane pin is its closest comparison. Trump TV, Trump TV goes dark or gets rebranded within six months. An Allison-led group is going to bring in money from the Gulf, but it's not going to bring an Elon.
Starting point is 01:01:01 I think if they brought an Elon, I think you would see names even bigger than yours, say, I'm leaving. Join you on the exit bus. My bigger prediction is that a company called ORA, which is kind of, which is a wearable. No, it's like a frame, right? The frame, the frame company, ORA. That one? No, no, the ring company. The ring company.
Starting point is 01:01:23 OURA. There's AURA, which is a frame company. which is an excellent product. Which, by the way, I bought that two mother's days in a row for my mother-in-law, and the second time was not a good moment when she unwrapped it, and it was the same thing I got her last year because I forgot. Anyway. It's a good present.
Starting point is 01:01:41 It is a great present. Not twice, though. Works great. Let me just say. I use it for my mom. ORA is going public pricing next week. And this company is arguably the most successful, wearable. just some data on it.
Starting point is 01:01:58 The wellness space, there's very few places. So disclosure, I'm doing everything I can to try and find shares in this IPO. Why do I think this is going to be such a successful IPO? The wellness space is booming. And there are very few ways as a retail investor to play the wellness space right now. It's not easy to invest in a spa, a red light therapy, or testosterone. It's not easy to find or concierge medical services. It's a difficult field to play in.
Starting point is 01:02:25 This is a way to play in it. Its revenues have doubled in the last year, 20 almost a quarter of its revenues, or recurring revenues, and that is you have to pay six bucks a month. They have between 83 and 88% renewal rates. The renewal rates on these rings are stronger than software. And the data you get from this thing around your sleep, your resting hard rate, your pulse, a thin layer of AI, I think it's going to be able to tell people you are not, now have a 20% likelihood of pre, you know, pre-diabetes in three years. These are the lifestyle
Starting point is 01:03:01 changes you need to make. 70% of their customer base is women and their fertility tracker is their killer app. People are obsessed with this thing, doubled its revenues, big margins. Because of the AI overhang, the word I've seen is that it's going to price at a reasonable price. Anyways, my prediction is that ORA, which I believe is the most successful, arguably the most successful hardware products since the iPhone is going to have a really strong market reception. And here's the killer thing about this company. There are very few, the most valuable companies in the world have one thing in common. They collect first party data directly.
Starting point is 01:03:41 And the aura ring collects it 23 hours a day. No other hardware company in history, whether it's your iPhone, whether it's YouTube, can collect 23 hours a day, first party data on you. That is the mother load. I've had them since the beginning. And I know the CEO pretty well who contacted me during COVID because he was seeing them able to predict COVID from these rings. And it was really interesting at the time. And that's when I first heard from the founder, I guess. Here's the thing.
Starting point is 01:04:10 I had one for a long time. They're a little clunky. They've gotten a lot better. No question. Like initially clunky, better and better. I stopped wearing mine relatively recently because it was just, I found the, I found the information. information, it's sort of like steps, vaguely useless. Like, it doesn't, what does it mean? Like, and it sounds weird, but here I am wearing my wedding ring instead, like, which is interesting.
Starting point is 01:04:34 I don't like rings in general. They find them, I find them uncomfortable in jewelry in general. And I took it off, and it's in a drawer now. And I was surprised. It's the only one that stayed around as long as it did. But ultimately, I found the information useless or not useful as I thought it would be. And that was interesting to me. And I was like, why am I taking it off? And I really think it's beautifully done. I think the dashboard is amazing. I talked about it in my series on CNN, where I am leaving.
Starting point is 01:05:10 But I took it off. So is that a worry for you? And I'm the person who might want to wear it and finds all that data interesting. And I do trust them, too, because it's information that I, think is okay. Like, I feel like I have a good trusted relationship, but I don't have a cause. And the stuff that gets out, how much should I sleep? Who cares? Right? You know what I mean? Is that a worry that people just, like, move on from it, like they did from a Peloton or any of these other kind of things? So everybody has a drawer full of fuel bands, jaw bones.
Starting point is 01:05:47 I have, wow. We all have that drawer. Fewer people are taking off their aura ring after a year. than any other wearable in history. It's somewhere between 83 and 80. Somewhere between 8 and 9 out of 10 people after the first year, not only are still wearing it, but agree to sign up for another $6 a month indefinitely. Yeah, and get the new ring. But this is the only thing I keep on at I do not want to take off.
Starting point is 01:06:12 And I am pissed it up Apple every now and again over some stupid statue or changing like America. But this one I really value for lots of different reasons. I help to find my phone. The Apple Watch. I'm carrying the Apple Watch. Oh, the Apple Watch. This one I wear all the time, and I don't take it off, and I kind of sometimes want to,
Starting point is 01:06:34 but I find myself drawn back to it, both it and the phone together. The Apple Watch, to be clear, it had the backing of the best brand in the world. The Apple Watch sells more watches now than the rest of the watch industry combined. It's useful. There's no doubt about it. It's a hit. What's interesting is that, one, you get better data. and better information, and I did not know this because of the blood flow in your finger versus your wrist.
Starting point is 01:06:58 100%. It's better. Yeah. And I would argue. And the truth here is that, and the reason I'm so excited about this company, there's no company that tracks your data 23 hours a day. People, maybe 24 hours a day. Why doesn't Apple buy it? Why doesn't Apple buy it? I thought when this company announced its S-1 that Samsung or Apple were going to buy it. I just, I can't imagine why Apple would let any hardware company with this level of first-party data and usage get out in front of them. Because Apple doesn't have a ring. It has the watch, but it is a little bit different. Yeah, it is 100%. The people I talk to, and again, I'm using anecdotal evidence as you did, they're obsessed with this thing.
Starting point is 01:07:41 They love it. They are. They are. Men and women. You're right. It's not just some white dude VC. I think that's its power. What hardware product has with first-party data has a greater following? among women. And also, if you think, oh, the wellness space is huge.
Starting point is 01:07:55 Everyone, I went to dinner last night, I'm in Aspen. Everyone is just talking about the peptides or the tea therapy or the fractal laser they're getting or their new kettlebell workout. It's so sad. It is a little bit sad. But you just know there is real bank going on here. And my question is, how do you play it as a retail investor? Yeah.
Starting point is 01:08:17 What do you invest in? Yeah. How do you play it? Of course, a really interesting company, I think, has got the goods. They do. I just feel like that Apple, why isn't Apple done it? Why doesn't Apple have like a Tamaguchi? Like, why doesn't Apple have like more AI? Like, maybe it's Apple's fucking fault. But yeah, this is a good prediction. So it's, so you're trying to get in here. It's going to be big, is your prediction. My prediction is I think it's price. I don't know exactly on, but I think it's pricing next week. I think this is going to be, I think this is going to be a very successful IPO. All right. That's a great prediction. Fascinating IPO. I'll send you my ring. You can have it. Anyway, we want to hear from you. Send us your questions about business tech or whatever's on your mind. If you'd like our advice on something, go to nymag.com slash pivot. Just submit a question for the show or call 85551 Pivot. Pivot. As a reminder, we're going on tour. We'll be hitting up New York, Toronto, Minneapolis, L.A., San Francisco, and Denver. Go to PivotTor.com for tickets. Okay, that's the show. Thanks for listening to Pivot. Be sure to like and subscribe to our YouTube channel. And don't forget to grab tickets. It's for our live show at PivotTour.com.
Starting point is 01:09:23 They're moving fast, so snag one now. Several cities are very close to sold out. We'll be back next week. I think I'll be talking to you from L.A., because I'm interviewing Ari Emanuel, which one of us is going to make it off that stage. Anyway, Scott. Today's show is produced by Laran Amin,
Starting point is 01:09:39 Marcos, Taylor, Griffin, and Todd Wiseman. Ernie and Retardt engineered this episode. Thanks also to Dubrow's, Missa, and San Juan. Your Shaq Karra is Vox Media's executive producer of podcast. Make sure to follow Pivot on your favorite podcast platform. Thanks for listening to Pivot from Box Media. We'll be back next week for another breakdown of all things, tech and business. Calculating route to avoid seeing poverty.
Starting point is 01:10:06 Turn left to bypass the unhoused youth sleeping on the street. Then keep right to skip by the lines of people waiting for food. Steer clear of the crowded shelter turning people away. Then take the next exit. Let's stop looking away and get in the way of rising poverty. Your donations help the United Way fight poverty in thousands of ways, like providing food, shelter, and crisis prevention. Donate today at unitedwayg.org.

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