Plain English with Derek Thompson - America in the Age of Diagnosis
Episode Date: September 9, 2025America is sicker than ever. That’s what the data says, anyway. Psychological and psychiatric diagnoses have soared. Between the 1990s and the mid-2000s, bipolar disorder among American youth grew ...by a factor of 40, while the number of children diagnosed with ADHD increased by a factor of 7. Rates of PTSD, anxiety, and depression have soared, too. Perhaps in previous decades doctors missed millions of cases of illness that we’re now catching. Or perhaps, as the New York Times writer David Wallace Wells has written, “we are not getting sicker—we are attributing more to sickness.” We used to be merely forgetful. Now we have ADHD. We used to lack motivation. Now we’re depressed. We used to be introverted. Now we experience social anxiety. Today’s guest is Suzanne O’Sullivan, a neurologist and the author of 'The Age of Diagnosis: How Our Obsession with Medical Labels Is Making Us Sicker'. O’Sullivan argues that too many doctors today are pathologizing common symptoms in a way that’s changing the experience of the body for the worse. When doctors turn healthy people into patients, it’s not always clear if they’re reducing the risk of future disease or introducing anxiety and potentially harmful treatments to a patient who's basically fine. Rather than see the age of diagnosis as something all good or all bad—a mitzvah or a disease—I want to see it as a social phenomenon, something that is good and bad and all around us. If you have questions, observations, or ideas for future episodes, email us at PlainEnglish@Spotify.com. Host: Derek Thompson Guest: Suzanne O’Sullivan Producer: Devon Baroldi Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Transcript
Discussion (0)
As the 21st century was getting underway, Hollywood released a series of films that were daring, entertaining, and absolutely unmissable.
Films like, 25th Hour, Bring It On, Zodiac, and No Country for Old Men.
They arrived during the George W. Bush era, a chaotic time in America.
Think 9-11, Katrina, the mortgage crisis.
After the Bush years, the country would never be the same, and neither would Hollywood.
I'm Brian Rafter
and in my new limited series
Mission Accomplished
we're going to dive
into some of the biggest
movies of the bush years
and look at what they said
about the state of the nation
but go behind the scenes
with filmmakers and experts
and relive some of your
favorite movies
from the early 2000s
from Donnie Darko to Michael Clayton
from Anchorman to Iron Man
so slip on your sketchers
dig out your old Nokia
and join me from Mission
Accomplished
starting August 12
on the big picture feet
today
sickness and I
identity in the age of diagnosis.
I've been thinking a lot recently about health and language, the illnesses we have and the words we use to describe them.
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has been fixated for decades on the rise of autism in America.
Since becoming health secretary, he's made it a priority to discover the environmental causes behind autism,
which by one account has grown nearly 60-fold since the 1990s.
This increase in autism could be the result of several things.
It could be a real epidemic caused by vaccines or environmental factors, the chemicals, nor food, and drugs.
This is the bet that Kennedy himself is making.
Last week, the Wall Street Journal reported that Kennedy is set to release a report that suggests a link between Tylenol use during pregnancy and autism.
But scientists have looked into this for decades.
And it's been very, very difficult for any solid study to identify a correlation between autism and vaccines, or pollutants, or Tylenol.
Another explanation is that the rise in autism is mostly about an explosion in diagnosis.
Here, the evidence is much stronger.
Several studies from around the world suggest there's been no meaningful increase in the symptoms of autism,
while rates themselves have surged.
In other words, autism itself might not be increasing.
It's just our diagnoses of autism that are rising by a factor of 60.
In July, the New York Times writer David Wallace Wells pointed out that autism is far from
the only diagnosis experiencing hyperinflation in America and throughout the Western world.
Between the 1990s and the mid-2000s, bipolar disorder among American youth grew by about 40-fold.
Since 1990, the number of adolescents diagnosed with ADHD has increased by a factor of 7.
Since 2017, rates of PTSD among college students have doubled.
And since 2015, Americans report 50% higher rates of depression and anxiety.
As with autism, several things can be true here, and maybe several of them are true at the same time.
Maybe Americans are sicker than they used to be.
Maybe in previous decades, doctors were missing millions of cases of psychological illness that we're now catching.
Or perhaps, as David writes, quote, borderline medical problems are becoming ironclad
diagnoses, and normal differences are being pathologized. These statistics could indicate that ordinary
life experiences, bodily imperfections, sadness, and social anxiety are being subsumed into the
category of mental disorder. In other words, we are not getting sicker. We are attributing more
to sickness. End quote. We used to be merely forgetful. Now we have ADHD. We used to lack
motivation. Now we're depressed. We used to be introverted and now we experience social anxiety.
We used to feel awkward. Now we call it autism. Today's guest is Suzanne O'Sullivan, a neurologist
and the author of The Age of Diagnosis, how our obsession with medical labels is making us sicker.
O'Sullivan argues that too many doctors today are pathologizing common symptoms in a way that's
changing the experience of the body for the worse.
When doctors turn healthy people into patients,
it's not always clear if they're reducing the risk of future disease
or introducing anxiety and potentially harmful treatments
to a patient who's basically fine.
Rather than see this age of diagnosis as something all good or all bad,
a mitzvah or a new disease,
I want to see it as a social phenomenon,
something that is good and bad and all around us.
As O'Sullivan says,
we used to go to priests to know how we fit into a community.
And now we go to doctors to learn how we fit into diagnoses.
While this shift might, in some cases, help us forestall death,
she says it can also keep us from living a fuller life.
I'm Derek Thompson.
This is plain English.
Susano Sullivan, welcome to the show.
Thanks for having me.
I am so excited to have you here.
This is a conversation I've wanted to have a podcast
I've wanted to produce for a long, long time.
I want to start with your very personal experience.
You've been a doctor for more than 30 years.
You've been a neurologist for 25 years.
And in your book, you write that something has changed
in those decades.
There's been a startling rise in people arriving at your office
who have already been diagnosed with four,
sometimes five chronic conditions. We're talking about autism, Tourette's, ADHD, migraines,
depression, eating disorders, anxiety. Before we get into theory, before we even begin to try to
explain what's going on here, I'd love you to just tell me, as a clinician, what have you seen?
How would you describe this tsunami of diagnosis? Yeah, I mean, it is precisely because of my experience
and the work I do with patients that I'm really worried about this. So as you say, you know,
I qualified in medicine in 1991. I've seen a lot of patients. I'm in full-time clinical practice.
And I've seen this sort of trend that is really, really worrying me. And it's really peaking over the last 10 years.
And that's where you have often very, very young people coming to see you. And they already have an existing kind of list of two or three medical diagnoses.
And oftentimes those diagnoses have very overlapping symptoms. So oftentimes it even feels like people are getting multiple.
different diagnosis for the same problem.
And what worries me more about that trend is, you know, what is the purpose of diagnosis?
Well, medical diagnosis is supposed to identify a problem so that you can be supported to make
your life easier or you can be cured or you can meet a group of people who will make you
feel supported through their shared experience, etc.
And all of this should be making people feel better.
But instead, what I'm seeing is people getting...
accruing kind of long lists of medical diagnoses and they're not getting any better.
Their lives don't seem to be being made easier.
Their symptoms don't seem to be being alleviated.
So I feel like we're falling into medicalization that's potentially not necessarily
labeling people who are not suffering, but those labels are not helping.
And that's the problem with over-medicalization and over-diagnosis.
It is not to say that a person isn't suffering.
and is not to say that a person doesn't need support.
It asks the questions whether medical labels and medical treatment is the right kind of support.
Let's zoom in on a really specific example here, ADHD.
You've seen patients with ADHD for decades.
But in the UK, as in the U.S., there's been a huge increase in diagnosis.
I think the UK I read has seen a 400% increase in adults seeking an ADHD diagnosis
just in the last few years.
Now, one possibility is that actual ADHD,
is skyrocketing. Another possibility is that underlying conditions are essentially flat,
and we are surging not the underlying phenomenon, but our diagnoses.
Sticking with ADHD first before we begin to broaden this theory, what do you think is going on here?
Okay, well, let's look at the trajectory of ADHD to try and understand it a little bit.
So when I qualified as a doctor, ADHD only was diagnosed in children, and it was predominantly
manifested as hyperactivity. It was first kind of conceptualized as a disorder in the 1960s, late
1960s. It was called hyperkinetic reaction of children. It causes restlessness that tended to go away
in adolescence. Now, what happens with a medical diagnosis when you created is it first,
it identifies the most typical sufferers and usually the most severe sufferers. In those 1960s,
70s, ADHD children, it wasn't called that then, but those children were very high,
hyperkinetic, very hyperactive. You know, they could not settle at all. And they would have been
evidently hyperactive to anybody who met them. Now, what happens when you create a diagnosis like
that is that people say, okay, well, maybe this comes in milder forms. And that's pretty much
what's been happening over the last 50 years is that doctors have been redefining what it means
to have ADHD in order to find people with milder forms of it. And this is like a really well-meaning,
well-intentioned thing. So you assume that, you know, you in the first instance are only helping
really severely disabled children, but maybe if you can find moderately disabled children,
they will benefit as well. And then you say, well, maybe if you can find even milder
symptoms and you help them, they will benefit even more. So quite literally, ADHD has been
renamed and redefined with the deliberate attempt of finding people with milder forms of that
disorder. And the way you redefine these things is, you know, begin with quite extreme symptoms and
they have to be present in a child who's under a certain age. And then you say, well, maybe it happens
to older children. Let's move that age upwards. And maybe the symptoms aren't all hyperactivity.
Maybe you just have attentional difficulties. So you keep just massaging the symptoms, raising the age at which
the diagnosis can be made. And every time, I'm sure people are familiar with the diagnostic and
statistical manual of mental health disorders, which is where disorders like ADHD are defined.
And every few years...
We've lots of listeners in lots of different areas, but I'll just say very quickly by means of
definition, the DSM-5 is like the Bible of psychological diagnosis, right?
It's the Bible that tells doctors in the English-speaking world or maybe just throughout
the industrialized world. It's everywhere. So I just want to make sure that people are on the
same page there. It's essentially a cyclopedia that.
that encyclopedia that describes what symptoms you need to have to have a mental health diagnosis.
And there's a new version of it every few years.
And every time a new version of DSM comes out,
it slightly tweaks what it means to have ADHD deliberately in order to make the diagnosis
available to new sets of people.
So I would say that's why we have seen this explosion in the number of people with ADHD
is because the change in definition in the DSM has allowed the diagnosis in greater groups of people,
but also in recent times there's been a particular explosion.
And that's because it has become a culturally acceptable way of expressing distress and saying you're struggling and asking for help.
And because it has become such an ill-defined and kind of woolly-defined condition,
it has become an explanation through which people can get support in a lot of schools now.
in order to get extra time or things that you feel you need,
you need a medical diagnosis to get those things.
So it's a sort of combination of a medical trend,
which is well-intentioned,
on which the kind of society has jumped to sort of amplify that
through awareness campaigns and through help-seeking
through this as a sort of means of getting help.
You put your finger on something I have found so interesting for a while,
which is diagnostic inflation,
this idea that we're expanding the definition of a disease,
to not only account for more people, as in the case of ADHD, not just children, but also
adults, but also to include forms of a disease so mild that they begin to approach the category
of actually practically normal. And I want to expand this conversation away from ADHD right
now to talk about another diagnosis that you look at, which is autism, which is similar in
some ways. There's been staggering increases in the number of people diagnosed with autism in the last
few decades, but I read from your work that most of that growth is on the milder end of the
spectrum. So maybe tell us a bit about how the autism story and the ADHD story fit together
in a way that might build up toward a larger thesis here. So let's imagine that, so we all
are aware that autism, there is a great many more people with autism in the world than
there used to be because most of us didn't know many people with autism and now I think most of
us know many people with this diagnosis. So we can see the growth is there. So the first possibility
is that autism itself is becoming more common for whatever reason. I don't believe there's any good
evidence to say that the actual set of symptoms that are autism, we're talking about woolly things
here we've got to remember because there's no objective evidence that ADHD or autism are discrete
disorders. There's no single brain scan abnormality will tell you that somebody has ADHD or autism.
There is no test you can do. It's really, they are collections of symptoms. So we're dealing with
things that are hard to define to start with. But if we really had a substantial increase in
the number of people with autism, we would expect people with profound autism, with severe autism,
with profound needs. So we're talking about people that, you know, have very substantial behavioral
problems that anybody could see without needing to be a doctor or needing to do an assessment.
Those people have not increased in number.
All of the diagnostic inflation happens at the mild end of the spectrum.
And this is where we're trying to draw the line between what is normal and what isn't.
And let's face it, nobody can draw that line.
You know, where does normal begin and end?
Nobody knows.
But the line has been gradually shifting to draw on more and more people who would 10 years ago unequivocally not have been diagnosed.
as autistic.
And this is a really conscious thing that happens.
You know, there's nothing sort of very scientific about it.
It's more of a societal decision that we think we're not making enough diagnosis in this
set of people.
So let's tweak the diagnosis to allow us to do that.
So let's, for example, think about how the diagnosis has changed in women, for example.
So 1940s, autism was very severe communication.
disorder that mostly happened in people's learning disabilities in the 1960s. Somebody said,
hey, maybe there's more milder versions, so let's call it a spectrum disorder, so there's
severe and mild versions. Then over the next 20 years, people adjusted the age to allow the
diagnosis in older and older people. And now what's happening is people saying, hey, we're
making this diagnosis a lot in men, but we're not making it enough in women. We must be missing
women. So then they apply the existing diagnostic criteria to women and they find, oh, well,
they don't seem to have a lot of autism according to these criteria. Maybe we find a few extra
people that way, but not a lot of extra people. So then they say, okay, so maybe autism looks
different in women. So then it's literally a case of looking at young women or girls and saying,
well, you know, I notice the girls flit from group to group in a playground.
Perhaps that's how autism manifests in women.
Maybe instead of having deep friendships, they flip between groups.
So it's literally, it's a bizarre kind of process of looking at behavior and retrofitting it to the diagnosis.
There's nothing scientific going on here.
So there is a theory that women have a different type of autism.
And then a group of scientists create what that different kind of autism is based on looking at,
female behavior, and then they find a whole new group with autism. It's not based on,
we went out and did a bunch of scans, or we applied the previous criteria. We found lots of people,
you know, criteria deliberately changed in order to allow us to make more diagnosis.
You call the phenomenon that we're living through the age of diagnosis. The name of your book is
the age of diagnosis, sickness, health, and why medicine has gone too far. What is the age of diagnosis?
Like what is in the air that you're trying to put your finger on here?
Well, I think that basically what we, I often think, so very often when people look at diagnostic inflation, they think there's some sort of subterfuge happening.
You know, pharmaceutical companies are out to get us, you know, researchers, private doctors are trying to make money from us and so forth.
I'm not saying that neither of those two things are true.
But I think we started out with a period, say, pre-1980s, pre-1970s.
where there was a lot of under-diagnosis. People with special learning needs weren't recognized. People with diabetes, you know, they were blind before they got to the doctor and discovered they had diabetes. People were having strokes before anyone tested their blood pressure, etc. So things were being mild suffering or hard to explain suffering was not being diagnosed. People were going to the doctor too late. So we thought, let's work harder at trying to find more and more diagnosis.
And that's been a big driver of this.
So this is why way more people of hypertension, way more people of pre-diabetes, way more people
of autism, ADHD, because there was a deliberate decision on part of the medical community
to adjust diagnostic criteria to find milder sufferers.
And that's well-intentioned, and it sounds terribly sensible because it does seem to make sense.
You know, if somebody will benefit from the treatment at this end of the spectrum,
then surely the person at the milder end of the spectrum might,
might benefit even more. I'm afraid those assumptions, though, are not not held up by reality.
If we go back to the ADHD and autism example, the theory is you find these milder and
milder and milder and milder forms and you recognize them and you give them the diagnosis and you
help them. Well, what's the purpose of that? The purpose of that is that now you have happier,
better adjusted adults. We don't have happier, better adjusted adults. We actually
have worse mental health in adults.
You know, so this, it's, it's, we're, we have more and more diagnosis based on the assumption
that we can help more people if we diagnose more people.
But I'm afraid that assumption is proving to be wrong in many ways.
I also think the diagnosis has increasingly grown because we, our society, we like explanations
for things.
You know, we like to know, what is this?
What is this pain?
do I feel this way? As we age, our bodies, you know, betray us all the time. We like to know
answers. And you know what? 50 years ago, if you came to me with a headache, you know, I could do
one test probably. Now if you come to me with a headache, I can do a whole range of tests. So you're
looking for answers. I have a huge number of things I can do to try and help you get answers.
So I think it's a really multifactorial thing. It's a kind of a science is.
advancing, technology is advancing,
society is desperate for answers,
society is perfectionist.
You know, why am I not able to do
the thing I'd like to do? And science
is responding to that as well. So it's really
society is kind of
mixing together with our technical
abilities to create this age of diagnosis,
I would say.
I wonder how you would edit
this attempt to explain some of the drivers
of the age of diagnosis. And this is
cobbled together both from my reading your book
and just listening to you right now as I was editing
some of my notes. Number one, psychologist. Well-intentioned and even humane changes to the DSM
have broadened these definitions, and that has pulled in a lot more diagnoses. Number two, parents,
I think with the politics of accommodation, for example, it's easier to get your children
certain accommodations, extensions, longer times to take tests if you get that diagnosis for ADHD,
or if you get that diagnosis for some other hyperactive diagnosis.
Number three, the medical community.
Maybe there's financial incentives to over-medicate,
and they might be driving some of the urge to expand diagnoses.
And number four, I love that you put your finger on this,
even though I think it's a little bit touchy-feely.
I do think we live in a culture that prizes a certain kind of certainty about identity.
Who am I?
These are questions that we used to turn to priests for or philosophers for.
And now we can turn to the DSM.
We can turn to a psychiatrist.
We can turn to our doctors, and they can tell us who you are, is not a confused and scared
person who can't name their underlying symptoms.
You are ADHD.
You are autistic.
You are someone who suffers from generalized anxiety disorder.
And for many people, I think, these terms provide a sense of clarity that might come with
certain risks that we'll talk about in a bit, but also come with this beautiful
aesthetic, aha. Oh, that's who I am. That's why I have suffered. So in thinking about the drivers of
the age of diagnosis, we've got psychologists in the table, parents, the medical community,
culture, any big thing I've missed here. I think, no, I think you've covered it quite well,
but what I always want to emphasize is because I often feel like people feel like the diagnosis
is something that is being done to us, you know, whereas I think as a society, it's very important.
We understand that we are begging for it also. You know, there are, there are,
There are people, technology and scientists and researchers and profit makers are responding
to something that we are desperate for.
But I think you've covered all the main drivers, but obviously we also include a little bit
of that pharmaceutical companies do have to play a little bit of a role in that.
But I don't think they have as big a role as people think they do.
Let's talk about the costs of overdiagnosis, because there wouldn't be any reason really
to have this conversation if there were no downsides to this.
I want to break this part of the discussion into two categories.
One is the cost to our bodies when we combine overdiagnosis with overmedication, and the
other is the cost to something harder to put our finger on, like our identities or ourselves.
So let's start with the first.
For certain conditions you write in your book, the cost of overdiagnosis is measured in overcare.
Perhaps one-third of breast cancer treatments are unnecessary, which means that
those patients are incurring risks that they simply don't have to incur. There's evidence that prostate
cancer screening programs have saved relatively few lives, but incurred many unnecessary surgeries.
How would you fill out this story of the cost to our bodies of overdiagnosis and overmedication?
Yeah, so if we think about cancer screening, now I always like to be super clear, you know,
the difference between a cancer found on screening and a symptomatic cancer. So symptomatic cancer means you found a lump,
there's blood, there's pain, you had a symptom that led to your diagnosis. That type of cancer,
that always needs to be treated urgently. But the type of cancer that is subject to overdiagnosis
is cancer that's found in a perfectly healthy person because you screen them. So let's say mammography
for breast cancer for women or PSA tests for the prostate in men. There is
overdiagnosis built into every one of these kind of screening.
programs. So let's say that you screen a thousand men for prostate cancer using the PSA test.
You may, by some people's measure, save one life. Some people would say you save no lives by doing
this. But what you will do is, for sure, is find in the region of 250 men who have an elevated
PSA. And now the minute that happens, they won't all have cancer. But the minute you found that
test, okay, now what are you going to do with it? So now you're going to have to investigate them
further to see whether that elevated PSA is due to something innocent. You know, prostrates can be
enlarged for non-cancerous reasons, for example. So now you have, you've got a test, you've got to
pursue. A percentage of those 250, not all of them, but a percentage of them will be suspected to
have cancer and they'll have to have biopsies. I'm not a man. I have never had a prostate biopsy,
but it certainly is not a pleasant investigation.
It comes with complications like bleeding and infection,
which can occasionally be serious.
So that's a deeply unpleasant test.
A proportion of those 250 will ultimately be diagnosed with cancer,
but cancer is so small and so slow growing,
it doesn't need to be treated.
But now they're living with cancer,
and they will have to have that screen regularly over a period of time.
A percentage of that 250 will be told they have cancer,
and they will need an operation and radiotherapy.
All of those 250 men have been subject to all of that
to perhaps save one life from cancer.
So that's a lot of tests,
and that's a lot of psychological anxiety,
and that's a lot of negative impact on the body
through unnecessary tests and treatment.
And it's quite interesting.
There was a study, I think,
now I'm going to forget where it was published,
I think it was Journal of American Medical Association in 2023,
and they looked at millions of people that had been subject to cancer screening programs
for various cancers like colon, prostate, breast, etc.
And they looked to see if they had reduced all-cause mortality.
So the theory would be you screen all these people for cancer, you must be saving some lives.
And what they found in that study was, with the exception of colon cancer, they didn't save any lives.
Colon cancer, they may have prolonged life by three months, but in the other groups, they didn't prolong life.
And the way you explain that is that, yes, they will have saved somebody.
There will be somebody in there who had a cancer that would have killed them if they hadn't found it.
But that life saved has been offset by the 20 people who had cancer treatment who didn't need it
and how that negatively affected their lives.
So you will help one individual and you will harm other individuals.
And again, I probably need to explain that a little also.
As we age, we all have abnormal cells in our body.
and we know now from autopsy studies, etc.
And we know from MRI studies that lots of us have abnormal cancer cells
that never grow or progress or lead to anything.
We only know that now because we have the technology to know that.
It's always been the case.
But now that we have the technology to find these abnormal cells,
we feel compelled to act on them.
And that's where all this overdiagnosis is arising from.
We're finding things that people used to die not knowing they had.
and we're treating them.
Just to put a fine point in the last thing you said,
you're saying we now have the ability to cut into cadavers
and essentially find cysts and little growths
that a perfect full-body MRI machine
might have caught at the age of 45 or 50
and said, oh, this person has cancer.
But if that machine could somehow see into the future,
it would recognize that the patient would die
having experienced no symptoms of that cyst
or that minor growth that was caught in the full body.
MRI machine. So I want to make this a little bit personal for me, which is that I find this subject
so interesting and so rich because both my parents died of cancer in my 20s. My mom died of pancreatic
cancer, and then my father just a few years later died of a very rare vascular cancer. And both
examples were cancers that if they had been caught earlier would have been treatable.
So in my mid-30s, I did one of those pre-newvo whole-body MRI machine scans where it looks for cancer and other disease screening things.
It didn't find anything.
But I'm the kind of person who is alert to wanting to find some detection of early cancer in my body.
And I was in this period of researching how I should do this.
But I came across an example of something I know you know about, which is South Korea's famous experience with ultrasounds to catch thyroid cancers between the late 1990.
in early 2010s. And this is an amazing story
for those who don't know it. I'll give my summary and you can
tell me where it's wrong. South Korea,
the government in the 1990s
sends these ultrasound screening
booths all throughout the country. They're
popping up in shopping malls, they're in
workplaces, and lo and behold,
what does the government find when they essentially
make it incredibly easy to screen for thyroid
cancer? The age-adjusted
thyroid cancer incidence rate
increases by a factor of 15
in the small country of Korea. The steep
increase ever recorded for that cancer in, I think, the history of the world. But the mortality
curve was flat during this period. There were no actual increases in deaths. And then the Korean
government runs a counter campaign to reduce screening because they say, look, maybe we're
over-detecting. And again, the cancer incidence rate plunges by 40% in two or three years,
and there's no change in mortality. So here you have a classic signature of over-detection, right?
The rates of diagnosis are surging up and then surging down and there's no underlying change
in mortality.
It seems like you couldn't find a clearer case of over-detection than the story of Korean
ultrasounds.
Sorry for that little monologue, but I guess knowing that there must be thousands, millions of
people who have a psychological disposition toward life like I do, who want to know how they're
going to get sick, how they're going to die before they die.
How do you as a clinician think about instructing patients on this?
Well, I mean, I instruct patients quite blankly not to have whole body scans, if the truth be known.
You know, I tell you what I usually say to people is we did not know what the inside of a healthy body looked like until quite recently, really.
If you think about it, MRI scanners, they first came into kind of regular clinical use in the 1990s.
But the original MRI scanners that we had were, you know, they were like the original mobile phones.
You know, that sort of comparison in terms of how sensitive they were and the kind of pictures they produced.
So really the kind of incredible detailed pictures of the inner body that we can get now in an MRI scan has only been around for 10 or 20 years.
So we are only now learning what the inside of a healthy person looks like.
And we are only now learning how many of us have cysts and blood vessels abnormalities.
and little blood flow abnormalities and so many other things.
We are just learning about those things now.
And having a test for no good reason has a really high chance of turning up what doctors call an incidentaloma.
So if you do an MRI brain scan of somebody, say, in their 50s or 60s, you've got a 50-50 chance probably that you'll get a result back that finds some, you know, and I'm going to put this in verticombole.
is abnormality, but something.
And sometimes it can be something quite worrying.
You know, one to three percent of us have an aneurysm, so an abnormality in a blood vessel
in the brain, which is potentially very dangerous, but it's not dangerous for everybody.
The minute you do a scan and you find the aneurism or you find the cyst that you didn't
know you have, ask yourself how you're going to deal with it.
So that's kind of more, I think a person who's going to go for one of these tests needs to
understand the kind of person they are and how they will respond to it. They need firstly to know
that it's almost impossible to get a completely normal array of test results back on someone
once they get into middle age. You do enough blood tests, you do enough scans, you'll find lots of
little incidental findings. So you need to know that they exist. I only do test to answer
clinical questions that are raised in my consultation with the patient. So they have this symptom,
this test is done to identify the cause of that symptom.
I would never do a test as a kind of mining exercise.
You know, let's see what turns up,
because that's when you get an incidental finding
and you don't know what to do about it.
I would suggest to people, if they still feel compelled to have the test,
to be aware of these incidental findings,
know what kind of person they are.
Are you the kind of person who, when you get that test result back,
will spend the next 30 years being overshadowed by the fear of what that test result means,
or will you be someone who's able to engage with your doctor in a conversation who will be
able to accept reassurance if the doctor feels that reassurance is enough?
So it's really about understanding the potential negative outcomes and deciding if you are
the type of person who can compute that and deal with that.
You talked about the cost of over-medication.
I want to talk about the costs to agency.
I was really taken by this observation that you made in your book
that ADHD used to be a diagnosis for young people,
which meant it was a recovery identity.
It was something that you grew out of.
It was something to look forward to growing out of.
And I think some studies have found that in the recent past,
ADHD had a remission of something like 60, 70%.
But now ADHD diagnoses are rising fastest
among adults. It is not a recovery identity. It is not something to grow out of. It is an identity,
identity. It is an excuse. It is an accommodation. It is a, this is who I am. This is my,
this is my lot. And I wonder, I wonder how you would frame the cost to agency or to esteem
from this shift that we've seen in diagnosis. Yeah, I mean, this is the thing that worries me a great
deal, especially I work with patients who have neurological problems, but many of them are very young
and carry a long list of these diagnoses. And I, you know, when I spoke earlier about saying,
you know, we've got this new population of young people with ADHD and autism, but we also
have a bunch of young adults who have the worst kind of mental health or more mental health
diagnosis than any generation that's gone before. I think this is, this adult mental health
crisis is a direct result of the way we are.
conceptualizing difficulties in adolescence. So the difficulty is what happens to a child if they're
having some difficulties in school and you conceptualize that as a brain development disorder and you
explain it to them through the language of neurochemicals and brain connections. You are potentially
saying to that child that there is something innately wrong with you that cannot necessarily be
overcome. You know, adolescence is a time of great change and there's an awful lot of maturation
happens between the teen years and the early 20s.
But if you explain problems that people are having through medical illness, you potentially
make those problems concrete.
That child then becomes the child who is not good at this.
And they focus their attention on the thing they are not good at.
And that can potentially make the thing they are not good at worse instead of better.
They might lower their expectations for themselves because their difficulty has been explained
by this kind of brain neurological explanation, this kind of biological way of explaining things,
other people will expect less of them. It can become a sort of self-fulfilling prophecy that
stops people from getting better if you describe their difficulties in this way.
I always say to people, you know, we all, most of us had a teacher in school or a person in our
lives who said we were the sort of badly behaved one or we were the stupid one or we weren't
very good at this or we weren't very good at that. And we could.
can remember the impact that had on us. We're now doing that to children and combining it with
an explanation that says, and that's because your brain hasn't developed normally, which is not
something a person can overcome. We're then encouraging people to take these disorders on as an
identity. It's in some groups, it has even become sort of insulting to say that you should try to
master some of the difficulties you have. Instead, it's encouraged that you, you be your
more authentic neurodivergent self.
So we're not only saying you're going through a difficult time, which you might mature out
of.
We are saying be your more authentic neurodivergent self, which is reinforcing the symptoms.
We are also creating communities of people based on their difficulties, on the things
they cannot do.
That's a real problem, because if your community is based on a medical diagnosis, then what
happens if you get better? Well, you won't be part of a community anymore. It can prevent you getting
better because you are disincentivized from improving because you will lose this tribe that you have found.
And because we now have this very strong adult identity of neurodivergence, we are creating
the impression that these things cannot be recovered from. In order to get better, you have to believe
that getting better is possible. And I fear that these really over biological explanations for a child's
difficulties, gives them the impression they have no control when actually they have considerable
control.
I have a couple questions that push against the narrative that you're presenting.
One is this.
The name of your book is the age of diagnosis.
I could imagine someone looking at all the data that you're looking at, writing the opposite
book.
It's called the age of sickness, right?
They say screens are giving us adult ADHD.
Social media is giving us anxiety and depression.
pollutants are giving us more autism.
The news is giving us more, I don't know, social anxiety.
Our food system is giving us more pre-diabetes.
On and on and on.
All of these things that you're talking about
is being inflected by over-diagnosis.
No, this is about the modern world making us sick
and our tools of diagnosis accurately capturing
just how sick the modern world is making us.
what is your pushback against that book, The Age of Sickness?
Well, if we take the example of sort of ADHD, for example,
so in the UK there has been quite a huge spike in people seeking diagnosis for ADHD
since the pandemic, so since about 2020, it was already growing before that,
but now there's been a particular spike.
A recent study has looked at the symptomatology of the community to see whether that spike,
in people seeking diagnosis is reflected in a spike in symptoms.
And in fact, it isn't.
You know, that more people are looking for a diagnosis,
but there's only small amounts of evidence here and there
that people are actually more symptomatic than they were.
And even where people are more symptomatic,
for the moment I'm talking about more of the mental health side of things,
there's so many other explanations for that.
Are more people symptomatic because we are
really sort of intent on encouraging people to examine themselves for symptoms. Are they truly more
symptomatic or are they paying more attention to themselves? So I think even where the evidence is that
there are actually more mental health symptoms, one can say, well, is that because we keep telling
people to worry about these things? And there was another interesting study. Again, a UK-based
report from the Department of Education. They went into two different
school groups of teenagers
and they gave one group
mental health awareness training
and they gave the other group
no mental health awareness training.
The group who had the mental health awareness training
12 months in were worse off
than the group who didn't.
And these sort of bits of evidence,
of course you'll find evidence to the contrary
but these bits of evidence
suggests really that it's more about
how we're instructing people to think about
the negative aspect
of their experiences rather than the negative experiences getting worse.
Also, I think, you know, some of this, you know, the rates of autism have gone from one in 2,500
children, let's say, you know, 50 years ago to one in 36 children in the US, one in 20 children
in Northern Ireland.
Does that really reflect our experience of the world?
We really believe that, you know, we've had explosions of autism at that rate.
I think that social media is very often blamed for this and mobile phones blamed for it.
I know that's something that you've covered.
But I remind people that the escalating numbers of people have been diagnosed with various things began when the definition changes began in the 1990s.
They didn't begin when we all got smartphones.
Another pushback might be that maybe diagnosis inhibits agency and inhibits freedom.
But maybe for some patients, or for many patients, being able to put a name on a set of inchoate
feelings actually makes people feel more free.
Maybe the autism diagnosis for someone with very, very mild symptoms lowers their self-esteem,
or maybe it removes an anxiety from their lives that they've worried about and worried
about and worried about, and now a certain box is checked and their self-esteem rises.
And I wonder if you've seen cases where a diagnosis might have been dubious, but its dubiousness brought great psychological relief to the patient.
And so in that respect, you could almost think of it like a placebo, right?
So how do you feel about the possibility that overdiagnosis might have many benefits for some patients?
I 100% think it does.
You know, I'm sure that they're, you know, a very common story in the neurodivergence conversation.
is for people to say they do feel validated by their diagnosis.
And I've heard many stories of people who perhaps they, because of their diagnosis,
they kind of were able to, they looked at themselves and they examined things differently
and it empowered them to make life changes that they would not have been able to make without
the diagnosis.
So I don't want to imply that I don't think anybody benefits from this diagnosis.
I think people do.
I think it empowers people to be kinder to themselves, and it empowers people to make changes that they found difficult to make before the diagnosis.
But then I have to ask myself, yes, there are people who are benefiting, that's for sure.
And I don't want anyone to listen to anything I'm saying.
And if they have found their diagnosis beneficial, to feel threatened in any way.
If your diagnosis benefits you, then that's all that's important.
But I want to consider what we are losing by using.
this method of making people better. First of all, I ask the question, why do we need a medical
diagnosis to be kind to ourselves? You are the same person before and after your diagnosis.
And I hear a lot of people say, well, you know, now I understand, you know, I'm not a terrible
person. I'm a person with this diagnosis. You were never a terrible person. We need to create
a society where we're a little bit kinder to ourselves without the need for medical explanation.
I think we need to consider the harms of overdiagnosis, which is as we diagnose milder and milder cases of much more high functioning people, we're directing resources away from the people who really need it.
And we are trivializing these disorders for people who really need them.
So, you know, autism in a severe form exists.
And if anyone has ever seen anyone with severe autism and how difficult it is for them and for their families, they would understand that it is a very serious condition.
to live with. It's trivialized by a conversation in which autism is diagnosed in such mild
forms that it almost isn't apparent at all. The conversation about autism is really taking away
from the people who need that diagnosis, both in terms of trivializing their disorder and taking
resources away. We also have to ask ourselves, what is the health service for? I don't object to people
getting relief from a diagnosis or relief from an explanation. But I do feel that we need to understand
that medical diagnosis and health services serve a purpose, and that purpose is greater than giving
people a diagnosis to validate them. The politics of this work seems to cut in a number of
interesting directions. So, for example, I'd expect that folks in the left are the loudest critiques of
the claim that, for example, we're over-diagnosing long COVID, or that it's wrong for young people
to lean into neurodivergence. I am not prepared for or am going to start a conversation about
trans-politics, but the question of over-diagnosis hangs over a lot of trans politics as well.
So that's one place where I would expect most of your critics to be concentrated on the left.
However, RFK Jr., America's Secretary of Health and Human Services, has very loudly,
the idea that America's rising rates of autism are the result of vaccines. And your approach
has us consider the possibility that autism diagnoses are rising, not because our children are being
poisoned by shots, but rather because we very simply broaden the definition of autism, which
has pulled in more children for qualifying under that broadened definition. So there's a case in which
your work seems to push back quite explicitly against the MAGA-Rite. I wonder, just as a personal
matter. In an era where health has become political, how do you make sense of the politics of this
thesis of overdiagnosis? Yeah, I think, you know, it's a real problem for science and for medicine,
how caught up it is in social pressures and in, you know, sociocultural influences. You know,
we need to get medicine back to science so that we've got scientists being experts in medicine
and not politicians and not members of the public and so forth.
I think that if there's one thing we know with 100% certainty,
it's that vaccines don't cause autism.
I heard somebody say recently that, you know,
that's been the most, we know that with more certainty
than anything else that could possibly be known
because it has been researched more than anything else
because of the controversy around it.
So we know that is not the cause.
I think there is a much more well-meaning cause,
which is that we, you know,
we've tried our hardest to help in more and more children, and now they are caught up in a sort of
social contagion of explaining their difficulties through these kind of lenses. And that may be
because we're not helping them in ways that we should be helping them. It may be that we're,
you know, people need help. And when you need help, you ask for it in a way that is socially
appropriate in the culture in which you live. So perhaps what we should be doing is listening to
these young people and hearing that they're suffering and finding a better way to help them.
I want to close by thinking about the philosophy of this, because I find it really profound.
I wonder if the age of diagnosis incurs this trade-off between anxiety and longevity,
where we live longer, but the substance of our life, the texture of our life, is meaningfully
changed because we survive as patients rather than in some cases live more freely as people.
And our identities, which we once took from priests and from religion and from our parents,
are now something that doesn't emerge from within us, but is handed to us by a doctor,
by a piece of paper, by a diagnostician.
And that's strange and interesting to me, that there's this trade-off that's baked into
this modern age of diagnosis, which is longer lives, more anxiety, and an identity that comes
not organically from within us, but rather is handed down by the new priests who are diagnostic
doctors. How do you feel about that as a sort of gloss of your work and the fact that
the age of diagnosis is not all evil or all beneficial, but rather this really messy
trade-off? Yeah, there's so much in there I agree with.
really. I mean, I think that, you know, first of all, with regard to religion and things,
you know, so it used to be that we lived in a society where everyone,
generations all were much closer to each other. We lived in houses full of people.
We had religious institutions that supported us more.
We used to get our support and our guidance from different people.
And now we are much more kind of independent and much less likely to take our guidance from
religious institutions and, you know, if you can't, you go to help to, when you need help,
you go to where the help is available. And medical institutions are always available and they are
increasingly available. So it makes sense for us to ask for help in a way that is culturally appropriate
at a point in time depending on what kind of help is available. And I think that that, you know, more so in
UK, perhaps in the US where, you know, religion for us is much less central. And so where do you go
if you want to feel cared for? Where do you go if you want to feel supported while you go to your
doctor? And so that's an institution that always exists if you're having difficulties.
I think we also have to start questioning, look, what does a good life look like? You know,
is a good life one in which, you know, you live to 100, but, you know, for the last 20 years of it,
you are on multiple different tablets and having endless, endless amounts of tests.
I think we don't really know what a good life looks like and we don't appreciate that basically
living forever isn't necessarily what we should be aiming for.
We should be aiming for to be as well as possible for as long as possible, but live a full life
rather than a long life.
I think that we're intolerant of aging and we're intolerant.
of the realities of our existence,
which is, you know, the minute you hit your 50s,
I hate to tell people, anyone under the age of 50,
that things will ache and things will pain and things will wrinkle.
And, you know, our bodies start,
our brains actually start deteriorating in our 30s
and our bodies start deteriorating shortly after that.
We're intolerant of that.
We want modern medicine to solve that.
So I don't really feel like the age of diagnosis has arisen out of
any kind of malicious thing.
I think it's a kind of a collusion
of scientific
abilities along with society
having a lack of
support structures for people
and people needing help
and wanting perfection.
It's a profound idea
and a really profound book.
Susanna Sullivan,
thank you so much for talking about it with me.
Thank you for having me.
Thank you for listening.
Plain English is produced by Devin Buraldi
and we are back to our twice-a-week schedule.
We'll talk to you soon.
