Planet Money - The real estate industry on trial
Episode Date: April 3, 2024In 2019, Mike Ketchmark got a call. Mike is a lawyer in Kansas City, Missouri, and his friend, Brandon Boulware, another lawyer, was calling about a case he wanted Mike to get involved with. Mike was ...an unusual choice - he's a personal injury lawyer, and this was going to be an antitrust case. But Brandon knew Mike was great in front of a jury. And that he'd won huge settlements for his clients in the past. So the lawyer friend drops by Mike's office, and pitches him the case. Rhonda and Scott Burnett had just sold their home for $250,000, and out of that amount, they had paid $15,000 in commission (plus a small fee), which was split between two real estate agents - even though they had hired only one. And the commission was high - 6%. Mike's friend said the whole thing seemed... suspicious. Maybe even illegal. Mike agreed to take the case, a case that would soon become bigger than one about just what had happened to the Burnetts. It would become a fight about the way homes are bought and sold in the U.S. and challenge the way real estate agents have done business for more than 100 years. This episode was hosted by Amanda Aronczyk and Keith Romer. It was produced by Willa Rubin, edited by Keith Romer, engineered by Valentina RodrÃguez Sánchez, and fact-checked by Sierra Juarez. Alex Goldmark is Planet Money's executive producer. Help support Planet Money and get bonus episodes by subscribing to Planet Money+ in Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org/planetmoney.Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoicesNPR Privacy Policy
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Maybe you've already heard of all the drama going down in the real estate industry lately.
How there have been all of these lawsuits about how realtors get paid. The big one in the
news, Burnett versus the National Association of Realtors. Today, we've got the behind the scenes
story of what went down. It starts in 2019 in Missouri with a lawyer named Mike Ketchmark.
What I'm picturing is you at your desk, like a shingle out front, you open the door and a bell
rings and somebody walks
in and is like, have I got a case for you? Is that what happened? Yeah, it was my cell phone that
went off. And one of my really good friends in Kansas City is a lawyer, Brendan Boulware,
and he called me on a Monday and said, hey, can I stop by your office and talk to you about a case
I want to get you involved in? And I said, sure. Now, Mike was maybe an unusual choice to work on something like this.
He doesn't know anything about real estate law.
He's actually a personal injury lawyer.
I represented families, usually in wrongful death cases,
where somebody had lost their life because of a tragedy of a product or a work-related tragedy.
The friend wants him on the case because Mike is great in front of a jury.
He's got this folksy charm about him.
He uses football and barbecue metaphors.
And he'd won these huge verdicts, one for the widow of a truck driver who was killed on the job,
and another against a corrupt pharmacist and a handful of pharmaceutical companies.
So the lawyer friend drops by Mike's office and pitches him the case.
He just explained it and told me the story of this couple in Kansas City,
Rhonda and Scott Burnett, who had bought a house.
And when they went to sell it, they got charged a commission,
and they didn't understand why.
Scott and Rhonda sold a house that they owned for $250,000.
And out of that amount, they paid about $15,000 in commission
that got split between paid about $15,000 in commission that got split
between two real estate agents. One who represented them, helped them list and show their home.
And one who represented the buyer, the real estate agent on the other side of the transaction.
And Mike's lawyer friend is like, sure, this is how selling a home in the U.S. usually works.
Sure, this is how selling a home in the U.S. usually works.
But it is also kind of weird.
Rhonda and Scott were essentially paying for both sides on the sale of their home.
A seller's agent and a buyer's agent who were both incentivized to get a high commission.
Kind of maybe seems like a conflict of interest.
A conflict of interest that most people never really question. And I'm like, well, this is how people buy and sell houses. I guess I just never thought about it. And it made me feel
kind of dumb because I thought, well, why didn't you know that? Another problem for the Burnetts
was just how high that commission was. So back when they first signed some paperwork to sell
their house, they were given a choice of
what to pay their real estate agent. They could pay 6% or 7% or 8% or 9% commission. These are
like these little boxes that they can check on the paperwork. And Rhonda is like, yeah, I'm going to
pick 6% commission so I pay less. She then asks her realtor if she could negotiate an even lower rate,
and the agent says no. Yeah, 5% to 6% commission is kind of the going rate in the U.S. It's worth
pointing out that this is really high compared to most other countries, where it is also way
less common to have agents at all who represent buyers. Now, Mike's lawyer friend, he says, look, the way commissions work in real
estate in this country, it isn't just peculiar, it's illegal. So Mike agrees to take a closer look.
I started looking at this and digging into it, and I was stunned. And I just couldn't believe it.
Mike was like, it does look like something illegal happened here. You know what? I'm in.
Hello and welcome to Planet Money. I'm Amanda Oronchik.
And I'm Keith Romer.
That case that Mike had just signed on to would soon become a much bigger fight.
A fight about the way homes are bought and sold in the U.S.
at a time when home prices seem like they just go up and up.
A fight about how real estate agents have done business for more than 100 years.
Today on the show, how a personal injury lawyer teamed up with a bunch of Missourians
to radically change the housing market.
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you get your podcasts. Scott and Rhonda Burnett, the couple that Mike Ketchmark had agreed to represent,
did not like how things had gone down when they sold their home.
They especially didn't like the part where 3% of the proceeds from the sale
had gone to the real estate agent who represented the buyers,
the people who bought their home.
But for a court to consider this illegal,
Mike was going to have to prove that there had been some kind of conspiracy between agents on the seller's side and agents on the buyer's side to keep that commission high.
There's a law, it's the Sherman and I Trust Act, that says that you cannot join with competitors to follow a system that's designed to inflate or stabilize prices.
to follow a system that's designed to inflate or stabilize prices.
Mike starts digging, and pretty quickly it becomes apparent to him that what had happened to Rhonda and Scott Burnett wasn't just some isolated case.
They were not the only ones who had paid an inflated fee
and didn't really seem to have much choice about it.
We started investigating this and saw that this was happening statewide in Missouri,
and it was a system-wide
practice. So we decided to expand the class. Within months of joining the case, Mike and the
team expanded it to a statewide class action representing 500,000 Missourians. And they
weren't just going to sue the two companies that had worked on the Burnett's house sale,
but all told, four of the country's largest realtor franchises, companies like Keller Williams and Home Services of America, and also the National
Association of Realtors. I had never heard of the National Association of Realtors. And when I
started looking into it, I thought, wait a minute, they're the largest lobbyist in the country,
bigger than Big Pharma, bigger than the NRA, than all of these organizations.
And the answer is yes.
The National Association of Realtors has over a million and a half members.
It is the biggest professional organization in the country, and it sets standards for the industry.
They even trademarked the word realtor to him.
And there's this one moment early on when Mike starts to realize just what kind of behemoth he's up against.
He dialed in to this routine call to figure out some scheduling issues with the defense.
And I remember at one point in time, there were 123 defense lawyers on the phone.
And I just thought, man, what have we done here?
It's possible that Mike is exaggerating here, but...
But a lot of lawyers in any event.
Definitely, yeah.
Definitely more lawyers than what Mike has at his law firm, where there are four.
Mike, Mike's best friend, Mike's son, and a lawyer named Ben.
To Mike, a gabillion lawyers, that was a sign.
The other side was scared.
You know, I'm a trial lawyer, and in a lot of ways I feel that sometimes these corporations bring a briefcase to a good old street fight, and that's what jury trials are.
Jury trials, the street fight of lawsuits.
Now, unlike most corporate litigation, this was not going to be quietly sorted out behind closed doors in arbitration
or settled between the parties in a judge's chamber somewhere. Mike was determined to make
his case before a jury. Remember, that is why his lawyer friend tapped Mike in the first place.
Mike knows how to work a crowd or, you know, a jury. So as Mike and his team get their arguments
together, they practice and they do this in front of mock juries made up of real people.
We'd pull 24 people literally just kind of off the streets and we would present the case.
I'd put on the plaintiff's side.
Some of the lawyers I was working with would put on the defense side.
We'd give them the jury instructions and we'd watch them deliberate.
Mike says that they ran these mock trials 18 separate times.
This is where Mike would try out his Americana-laced metaphors.
I said, look, I live in Kansas City.
I'm a huge fan of the Kansas City Chiefs, world champions.
And I said, when the Kansas City Chiefs host the Denver Broncos,
we don't pay for their coach's salary.
When you sell your home, why are you
paying the buyer's agents? Mike's argument to those mock juries was that the high commission
being paid to the buyer's agents, that had become baked into the way houses are bought and sold. It
was at the very heart of this price-setting conspiracy. Mike explained that most homes for
sale in the U.S. are posted on databases called multiple listing services.
Consumers can usually search these databases, but they can't post a listing of a house for sale.
Only realtors can do that.
There are about 800 of these databases for different markets across the country, including one around Kansas City.
When you logged into that, it would list every house that's for sale in Kansas City. You pull it up and you see 7,000 houses that are for sale. You would see that these are
the houses, if you're on the buyer's side, that you're going to get paid a 3% commission on.
This is a rule. Real estate agents listing a home on one of these databases have to post how much
commission they're offering. Commission that will go to the real estate agent on the other side of
the transaction, the agent representing the buyer. It's to the real estate agent on the other side of the transaction,
the agent representing the buyer.
It's been like this for decades on the MLS.
It had been a platform for collusion before.
It had been this vehicle for agents
who represent the sellers
and agents who represent the buyers
to kind of know pre, ahead of time,
what the commission was going to be.
Mike explains all of this to the mock jury.
And he says, here's where things get a little thorny.
Imagine an agent lists a house on the MLS
and posts that this sale comes with a 3% commission for the buyer's agent.
Great.
All of these agents are going to bring their clients to come see this house.
But what if the agent posts a listing offering a low commission, like more like 1%?
The incentive all of a sudden for buyer's agents to show that house becomes much less.
Mike says he could tell that the mock jury was totally buying his arguments.
I'm like, they get it.
They understand.
They get it.
Mike says that posting the commission on a database can lead to what is known as steering,
where agents steer their clients away from homes with low commissions to homes with big commissions,
where they're going to make a lot of money.
So when people want to list their homes for sale, their agents push them to offer a big commission,
usually that 6% number, to ensure that buyers' agents show their house, bring in potential buyers.
But the problem with that, Mike says, is that it is anti-competitive.
Real estate agents, we should say, disagree with this characterization.
Back in October, Planet Money's daily podcast, The Indicator,
spoke to Ron Phipps, a former president of the National Association of Realtors.
Ron is also a realtor,
TM. And he says, imagine you were looking to buy a house. If you were to come into my office,
we would sit down and have a conversation saying, these are the services I'm going to provide.
And we're going to have a conversation as to what the nature of my fee structure is and what my
compensation structure is. And if we come to terms and say, look, it is X amount. When I start
searching, I'm going to
show you everything in the market. Ron says he's going to show you all of the houses, the ones
where he would get the usual 3% commission and the ones where he'll make much less, like 1%
commission. He says he is not going to steer you away from the homes where he gets paid less.
Also, he says it makes sense to take commissions for both the seller's agents and buyer's agent
out of the sale price of the home.
Because buyers are usually so stretched financially,
they wouldn't otherwise be able to afford to pay an agent.
And Ron says the service agents provide is really valuable.
He thinks it is worth it to have someone like him
help you when you're trying to make a big purchase like a home.
It's not like picking a car or picking a meal.
It's a significant permanent investment that you really want to have that expert, trusted advisor's advice.
So in a nutshell, those were the Realtors' arguments.
The trial began last October.
It took place in a windowless federal courtroom in Kansas City,
kind of like the sort of room you'd see in a TV drama.
And when personal injury lawyer Mike walked in,
he said there were an uncountable number of defense lawyers on the left
and on the right, a table for three.
Him, his partner, and the man who brought him the case in the first place.
Over the course of two weeks, both sides make their cases.
on the case in the first place.
Over the course of two weeks, both sides make their cases.
Mike says, in his opinion, the realtors' arguments kind of missed the point.
They defended this case by saying, well, you know, but people were happy when they sold the house.
But Mike was like, this isn't about the quality of the service.
It's about collusion, whether or not the real estate agents were getting together and agreeing
on prices, which is bad for consumers.
Now, Mike, he did not want to do some long, boring explanation about how competition works.
He wanted to use an example that the jury could relate to, like buying chicken for a barbecue.
The way I described it to the jury is, if you think about it, like if you have five companies that are chicken producers,
they can't get together and say they're going to charge $5 a pound on chicken.
It's just against the law.
It's collusion.
Mike says the same rules apply to realtors, no matter how happy their customers might be. Well, that's like saying people at my barbecue were happy because the chicken tasted good.
That doesn't matter, right?
I mean, like,
you can't do that. It's not the free market. Next, Mike went after the argument that clients
could always negotiate their agent's commission. You know what's even more compelling than a folksy
metaphor about barbecue or football? A startling piece of video evidence. On the second day of the
trial, Mike played a video featuring the CEO of Home Services of America, a guy named Gino Bluffari, at a presentation training realtors
from different companies to insist on a 6% or more commission. For example, when a home seller
saw that I had written in a 6% commission into the contract and would ask Gino, aren't commissions negotiable? I would always answer
confidently, yes, commissions are negotiable, but I can only go up. Then Mike played a video
of his deposition with Gino Bluffari asking about this training video. Do you believe it's
appropriate to get a group of competitors in the real estate industry together and tell them to
write 6% in on the commission line and then to tell the buyer it's negotiable, but it only goes up. Do you believe
that that's appropriate? It's a generic training. Okay. Well, I don't think whether it's generic or
not, it's not my question. I'm asking you if it's appropriate. Mike dropped the real shocker on the
seventh day of the trial, a video clip of a podcast interview with Alan Dalton, head of Real Living Real Estate,
explaining his best practices for keeping a big commission.
This is the only technique that I know works every time.
Yeah.
In this video, the CEO says he learned this technique from one of his top realtors.
She had a client ask her to reduce her commission by $10,000 at closing, but she did
not want to take a pay cut. So she used the tried and true technique that she had been using for 40
years. You might want to write this down if you have your iPhone. First of all, the technique
is profanity laced, but I'm not going to use any of the swear words because I'm not going to end
my career today. Here's a technique. There's no bleeping, bleeping way I'm not going to use any of the swear words because I'm not going to end my career today. Here's a technique.
There's no bleeping, bleeping way I'm going to cut my bleeping, bleeping commission.
What do you think? I'm a bleeping, bleeping hooker standing outside the Lincoln Tunnel at 3 o'clock in the morning giving bleeping, bleepings to sailors?
bleepings to sailors. If you think I'm going to cut my bleeping, bleeping commission, you can take this home and shove it up your bleeping, bleeping, and I know that it will fit, right? Did everyone
get that? Oh, yes. I think everybody heard him loud and clear. When this played in the courtroom,
people were like, oh. The Realtors side said that not only was this video totally vulgar, it wasn't even on the exhibit list.
So they tried to get the judge to declare a mistrial, but motion denied.
It's a smoking gun. It's like you're accusing somebody of robbing a bank and you got a video of them doing it.
But Mike's argument wasn't just that Realtors were refusing to negotiate on commissions with their customers, but that there
was collusion, that sellers' agents and buyers' agents were working together to ensure high
commissions. You know what's even more compelling than folksy metaphors and vulgar videos? Data.
Data. Data that they said proved that the realtors had colluded. Mike's team had hired an economist
who looked at homes
in the Kansas City area that had been sold by three big realty companies, thousands and thousands
of transactions. And he was looking to see what commission was being given to the buyer's realtor.
Now, in a truly competitive market where people are negotiating back and forth,
you would see a range, 1% commission, 2%, sometimes 4% commission. But that is not what was
happening in Kansas City. To help drive home the point, Mike puts up a chart of the economist's
analysis. It was a very visual image. If it's a randomness to it, you would expect on a chart,
like all these dots all around. But because it wasn't, it was a single bar graph.
round. But because it wasn't, it was a single bar graph. It was basically one red line, practically all the dots right there at 3%. In almost every sale over seven years, in fact, in 92.6% of the
home sales in Kansas City, the realtor representing the buyer was getting the exact same commission,
3%, 3% of the total value of the home. The economist told the jury that this was one of the clearest cases of collusion and price fixing he had ever seen.
The prices were so stabilized that that's exactly what the commissions were.
And the chances of that happening without collusion was almost zero.
Then Mike's team presented evidence that this wasn't happening only in Kansas City, but also in other markets across Missouri, Columbia and Springfield.
And each of those individual markets had their own data.
And in each of those markets, they saw the same thing. A commission rate that was basically fixed.
Finally, both sides had finished calling on their witnesses and presenting all their evidence, vulgar and otherwise.
And Mike turns to the jury to make his closing argument.
What I told the jury was that they had the chance to hit the reset button on the housing market
and that they had the ability and the power to say, follow the law.
Don't collude with your competitors.
Don't fix and set prices to benefit you.
On October 30th of last year, Mike wraps up his statement.
The realtor side says their piece, and then... The jury goes out, and then you sit there and
you get a pit in the bottom of your stomach because they're literally just answering five
questions. It's like, you know, question number one, do you find that there was a conspiracy?
And then they answer yes or no. If it's no, the case is over. The four and a half years that Mike and his team
had spent preparing for this trial,
everything hinged on the jury's decision.
Coming up after the break,
the jury returns with their verdict,
an update on where things stand today,
and what this all might mean for you as a consumer.
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After two weeks at trial, Mike and his team sit at their table for three and wait for the jury's
decision. Mike's parents, a bunch of his cousins are also there sitting behind him in the gallery.
Finally, after a couple of hours of deliberating, the jury comes back into the courtroom to present their verdict, their answers to a series of questions.
Was there a conspiracy?
Did you find that these defendants engaged in it?
Did you find that it harmed the plaintiffs?
The jury says yes, yes, and yes.
And then the final question, how much in damages is owed to the victims?
And they awarded to the penny what we asked for.
How much were you asking for? $1.8 billion, the amount of commissions that were taken that they shouldn't have had to pay.
$1.8 billion for the 500,000 Missourians who recently sold their homes.
Now, one interesting thing about antitrust cases is that they sometimes fall into this category of cases where the law says the penalties should be more than just a refund of what is owed.
Under the law, it's called trebling damages.
Under the antitrust laws, you automatically triple that amount.
So it's going to be tripled to $5.4 billion.
Mike, is this the biggest case you've ever done?
Oh, yeah, by far, hands down.
By far. Yeah, can, by far, hands down. By far.
Yeah, can't compare anything else to it.
In the months that followed the verdict, things went from bad to worse for the National Association of Realtors and the big real estate firms.
In addition to the Missouri case, they were soon facing more than a dozen similar lawsuits with similar sets of facts in a bunch of different states.
And Mike, he has been working to expand the case,
this time from Missouri to the entire country.
Mike knew that the damages the companies and the NAR owed
were so large that they could go bankrupt.
And he says that this case, it wasn't just about the money.
The people he was representing wanted to change the whole system.
So with all of that in mind,
Mike went to the NAR with an offer. You can either go on appeal. If you lose it,
we'll collect this money. We'll seize your assets, your corporate buildings. They've got these beautiful corporate buildings in Washington, D.C. and Chicago and all around. Or you can pay the
money now and change the practices. And so that's what they agreed to do.
A couple of the realty companies paid tens of millions of dollars to settle.
And then a couple of weeks ago, the NAR settled as well. And while they would not acknowledge
any wrongdoing, they did agree to pay $418 million and make a few fundamental changes
to the way realtors do business. The biggest practice change is that this MLS, it's a multiple listing service, is the way that homes are listed. The biggest change is
that homeowners are no longer required to make an offer of compensation to a buyer's agent.
Once the settlement goes through, seller's agents will no longer be able to use the MLS to offer a
particular commission to the buyer's agent. That box will be scrubbed from the database.
Also, all realtors who are members of NAR,
they will be required to provide prospective homebuyers
with a written agreement,
paperwork that clearly lays out
exactly what commissions the agents are going to get paid.
After the big settlement,
we checked in again with Ron Phipps
from the National Association of Realtors.
He was watching the whole trial,
the way it all played out. Did you agree with the verdict?
No. I thought it was sad. I thought it was a mischaracterization and misrepresentation of
the value we bring to consumers. Ron still thinks that the way it's been working, where the commission
for both realtors is part of the sale price, that that makes sense and that buyer's agents
provide a valuable service worth paying for. But now, without this kind of guaranteed
compensation baked in, it is not at all clear what will happen to all those buyer's agents.
Do you think there's a chance that real estate agents who represent buyers will just disappear
completely and everyone who wants to buy
a house will just go on Zillow and they'll watch some videos and they'll figure out the house that
they want to buy on their own. I think that there will be some agents that do not stay in the
industry. I think that's possible. I'm not terribly concerned about that. I'm actually looking forward
to the people that think that they can search online, see a couple videos on a website, and then
master getting through the process of obtaining a house.
We're going to hear stories on that where people go, I had no clue.
These changes are expected to happen this July, so it is a little early to say exactly how this is going to disrupt the housing market.
But there are a few possible scenarios floating around out there. In the rosiest version of things for consumers,
commissions come way down, buyers and sellers save tens of billions of dollars every year,
and maybe even home prices come down a little. Or realtors could just figure out a workaround
to the new rules about not including a commission offer on every listing on the MLS databases.
Real estate agents are still allowed to send an email or a text to the person on the other
side of a deal and just agree on a commission.
So maybe commissions do not end up coming down all that much.
Or maybe everything lands somewhere in the middle.
Some homebuyers and sellers pay their agent the old way.
And maybe now in this new world, some people decide
to negotiate with their agent, get a lower rate, or they just pay agents for services a la carte,
pay a fee for help searching for homes or like running some price comparisons.
Mike, the personal injury lawyer at the center of this story, he also does not know how this
will all shake out. For now, he and his
team are working on putting together a list of the home sellers who are eligible to receive money
from the settlement. They think the number is something like 40 to 50 million people.
So what happens in cases like this, we have to give notice to people. And so we're in the process
now of sending out notice to all of the people who've sold homes in the United States so that this money can be returned to them. So now some news you can
use. If you sold your home in the last several years, you might want to keep your eye out for
a postcard about the settlement. Looks a bit like junk mail. It isn't. Or you can head on over to
realestatecommissionlitigation.com.
Coming up next on Planet Money, how one of the world's most vibrant advanced economies fell down one day and could not get back up.
That's when the people started to think this is unprecedented and we may be in a recession for a long time.
The spooky story of Japan's lost decades and how it changed modern economics.
Today's episode was produced by Willa Rubin with help from sam yellow horse kessler it was edited
by keith thanks so much keith and it was engineered by valentina rodriguez sanchez
with help from robert rodriguez and it was fact-checked by sierra juarez thanks today to
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adrian ma and waylon wong two of the hosts on The Indicator.
If you have not listened to The Indicator,
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I'm Keith Romer. And I'm Amanda
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On Bullseye, Jenny Slate reveals her favorite noises.
I love, like, noises of tension.
I love noises of embarrassment.
I love noises of, like, pressure, pressure, pressure.
You know, I just, like, I love that.
All that and more on the Bullseye podcast from MaximumFun.org and NPR.