Planetary Radio: Space Exploration, Astronomy and Science - Return to Dimorphos: Looking forward to the Hera launch
Episode Date: October 2, 2024We look forward to the Oct. 7 launch of the European Space Agency's Hera spacecraft with Michael Küppers, project scientist for the mission. Then Ambre Trujillo, our digital community manager at The ...Planetary Society, lets you know how to celebrate Europa Clipper by joining NASA's Runway to Jupiter style challenge. We'll close out with Bruce Betts, our chief scientist, and a discussion of the potential future meteor shower caused by the DART impact in What's Up. Discover more at: https://www.planetary.org/planetary-radio/2024-hera-launchSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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We're looking forward to the launch of Hera this week on Planetary Radio.
I'm Sarah Al Ahmed of the Planetary Society with more of the human adventure across our
solar system and beyond.
Happy Launchtober everyone and happy World Space Week!
Over the next few weeks we'll be covering the highly anticipated launches of the European Space Agency's HERA mission and NASA's Europa Clipper mission.
We have so much to look forward to in the coming weeks in space.
We'll start today with a conversation about all things HERA with Michael Kupers, HERA project scientist.
Then Amber Trujillo, our digital community manager at the Planetary Society,
will let you know how you can celebrate Europa Clipper by joining NASA's Runway to Jupiter-style
challenge. We'll close out with Bruce Betts, our chief scientist, as we discuss the potential
future meteor shower caused by the DART impact in What's Up. It's also the first week of the month,
and you know what that means. It's time for our monthly Space Policy edition of Planetary Radio.
As the United States approaches the upcoming presidential election, Casey Dreyer, our chief
of space policy, delves into what the election could mean for space.
Last month he spoke with Greg Autry, who served on Trump's NASA transition team in 2016.
This month Casey interviews Lori Garver, who served on NASA's presidential transition
teams for Clinton and Obama.
She'll let us know what a potential Harris administration would mean for space exploration.
You can catch our upcoming Space Policy Edition on Friday, February 4th.
If you love planetary radio and want to stay informed about the latest space discoveries,
make sure you hit that subscribe button on your favorite podcasting platform.
By subscribing, you'll never miss an episode filled with new and awe-inspiring
ways to know the cosmos and our place within it.
I can't believe it's time. It is officially launchtober. Space fans all over the world
have been eagerly anticipating the launch of the European Space Agency's Hera mission
to the Didymus dimorphus asteroid system and NASA's Europa Clipper mission to investigate an ocean moon of Jupiter. Coming up first on
October 7th is the launch of ESA's HARA mission. It's a direct follow-up to NASA's
Double Asteroid Redirection Test or DART mission. The DART spacecraft which
launched in 2021 had a relatively straightforward but critical goal to
test the kinetic impactor method
for deflecting asteroids.
Essentially, they slammed a spacecraft into an asteroid
to see if they could change the object's trajectory,
and it was a smashing success.
DART's target was dimorphous,
a small moonlit orbiting an asteroid called Didymus.
In September, 2022, DART made a dramatic impact,
successfully altering dimorphis's orbital
period around Didymus and making history.
And now that the debris from the blast is mostly cleared, ESA's HERA mission is set
to head back to the system to investigate.
On October 7, 2024, HERA will blast off from Cape Canaveral, Florida on a SpaceX Falcon
9 rocket.
HERA is equipped with a comprehensive array of high-resolution visual, laser, and radio
mapping instruments.
These tools will let the spacecraft do a thorough investigation of the impact's aftermath,
including a careful analysis of the DART impact crater, measurements of dimorphosis mass,
and tracking of the orbital changes.
Fans of the DART mission may remember that it released a CubeSat before the impact, the
Italian space agency's Leachia Cube.
The upcoming Hera mission is going to build on that success by deploying two CubeSats
named Milani and Juventas.
Part of what we do here at the Planetary Society is advocate for and support planetary defense
missions.
While the threat of an asteroid impact is statistically small, it's still serious.
Our intelligence as a species has given us many gifts, but one of them is that humanity
actually has the chance to prevent that kind of large-scale disaster and save all of the
creatures on Earth.
All we have to do is take steps to track, characterize, and deflect incoming near-Earth
objects.
Missions like DART and HERA are crucial in helping us make this happen.
Our guest today is Dr. Michael Coopers, project scientist for ESA's HERA mission.
Michael is a planetary scientist who focuses primarily on researching the physics of small
bodies in our solar system that includes comets and asteroids.
He spent more than a decade working on ESA's Rosetta mission.
That was the first spacecraft to rendezvous with a comet and follow it in its orbit around the Sun. Now Michael is applying that expertise to Hera and
to planetary defense. With less than a week to go until the big day, Michael and the rest of the
Hera team are preparing for the launch. Hi Michael, thanks for joining us. Hi, good afternoon.
Congratulations on this upcoming launch. This has got to be really exciting.
Wait with the congratulations for afterwards.
I know, right?
And I should mention too that this launch is scheduled for some time between October
7th and the 27th, but we're in the middle as we record this of a hurricane in Florida,
Hurricane Helene.
So I want to send my well wishes to everyone who's
impacted as well as any members of your team that might be on the ground right now setting up for
the mission. Yes, indeed. We have the hope and there seems to be some indication that the hurricane
is moving away. So we are still in good spirit for the launch. For those who are unfamiliar with
HERA, we've spoken a lot about the DART launch in the past.
But this is the follow-on mission.
Can you tell us a little bit about the primary goals
for HERA?
Yeah, indeed.
So DART has successfully impacted
the morphos, the moon of Asteroid Didymus, two years ago.
And now we are launching HERA, which
will need another year to get there, to then in late
26 and 27 investigate what exactly has happened during the data impact.
So one goal is to measure the mass of the morphos, which we need to understand how efficient
the impact was.
Another goal is to look at the exact outcome of the impact.
Was the crater formed?
Or was the impact stronger that really it became so big that the whole moon, the whole
demorphous was deformed by the impact?
And the third goal is to generally investigate the two asteroids to essentially be able to
extrapolate the results to another asteroid should we need it one day to save us.
The papers I've read so far and the previous conversations I've had with
people from DART seem to indicate that this last impact completely changed the
shape of this object. So getting a close up look at what actually happened here
is going to be just fundamental.
Getting a close-up look at what actually happened here is going to be just fundamental. Indeed. We do have some evidence that the shape of dimorphos may have changed,
and it's indeed now essential to see what exactly happened.
So when the DART impact actually happened, we monitored it not only up close with the Italian space agency's LechiaCube,
but also with space telescopes and telescopes all over the world. What is it about getting up close with the system with Hera that we
can't learn from the ground?
One thing we can't learn from the ground is what happened to demorphos itself. From the
ground, the demorphos, the main asteroid, and the demorphos, the moon, are just one point
of light. So a change in the shape or in the rotation state of the
morphos is not possible to derive from the ground-based observations in a unique way.
This is where we need a NASA mission.
And as with so many wonderful missions, this kind of evolved out of an earlier mission
concept, in this case the Don Quixote Kinetic Impactor from the early 2000s,
how did that become HERA and how did that end up as a collaboration between the United States and
ESA? Actually Don Quixote was before my time but around 2000 the idea started of a planetary
defense demonstration which is quite similar to what now happened with DAD and HERA. In a sense,
there was one impacting spacecraft and one observing spacecraft. At the time, it was
foreseen to slightly modify the heliocentric orbit of an asteroid. Then, Don Quixote didn't
really receive funding. It was, in a sense, a little bit ahead of its time. At the time,
there was no planetary defense office then either, and it didn't really fit in the existing programs. So at
the end there was really no funding for it. So it didn't materialize. And then a couple
of years later APL came up with a specific idea to do the same but on a binary asteroid. So the advantage is mainly that you
need a smaller impact let's say to to to measurably change the orbit of an asteroid moon around the
main asteroids then you would need to change the heliocentric orbit of an asteroid. And when this
idea came up the colleagues contacted ESA for possible collaboration and from this came first DART and AIM.
So at the time the asteroid impact mission was proposed to arrive before the DART impact and to monitor what's going on there. And the ESA Ministerial Conference in 2016 raised a lot of interest, but not sufficient
funding. But because of the interest, the study was continued. And in the slightly modified
form of HERA, it was then approved in 2019 and will now be launched in October this year.
I love too that in tribute to Professor Malani, who came up with this idea from the University of Pisa in Italy.
You named one of the CubeSats after this professor. That's such a sweet thing to do.
Yeah, that's right indeed. As you said, one of the, let's say, founding fathers of all
this was Professor Andrea Milani at University of Pisa who unfortunately passed away in an accident a few years ago.
And so the Hera team decided to name, yes, one of the cubes that's after him.
It's beautiful scene to legacy there.
I wanted to mention too that we're coming up on the 10th anniversary of Issa's Rosetta mission
to comet Chirumov-Gerasimenko, and you worked on that mission for what, almost 15 years?
Yeah, I was involved in that mission for a long time, yes.
Around 15 years or so.
What's interesting about this is that we have so few examples
of these small bodies that we've ever been able to go up to,
let alone land on.
I'm sure there's a lot of lessons
we can take from the Philae lander and Rosetta's landing
on Jury that we can then apply to this new mission.
That's true indeed. The concept of the operations around the asteroids with Hera is essentially borrowed from Rosetta. So the whole concept of the hyperbolic arcs was first an
early, what you call early characterization phase from some distance to get the global properties of the asteroids and then getting closer and closer and to finish up with a close flyby and then landing.
This whole concept is pretty much taken over from what was done on Rosetta. Although we've seen with
other missions that have tried to not even land on asteroids but just touch the surface that
it creates all kinds of ejecta or you
know in the case of a Cyrus Rex it almost swallowed the whole spacecraft so it's going
to be a really interesting challenge to try to land something on this.
Absolutely and I have to say our success criteria would also not be the usual success criteria
because you also have to consider our CubeSats are essentially just small boxes,
they are not dedicated lenders. So if they land and bounce back and go away into space, I think
it will still be a success. We would learn a lot from the fact and also from the way they interact
with the surface. So in this sense our success criteria, I mean if they stay and continue
operating would be absolutely
marvelous. But we cannot necessarily expect that this is going to happen.
I really hope it does, though, because each of these CubeSats are kind of on separate
missions. But Juventus specifically, I think, is supposed to be mapping the interior of
dimorphous. And I want to know what's going on there. What's going on in the interior?
How that was changed by the impact? That's some science I'd really like to see done.
Yeah. Now, Juventus indeed, it's the first time that we carry a radar to an asteroid.
And Juventus, actually from orbit, Juventus will investigate the interior. It's different from the
Rosetta radar, which was essentially a ping-pong between orbiter
and lander.
Here, it's a monostatic radar that essentially measures the reflected signal from the asteroid.
So this will be done while Juventus is in orbit.
What is MILANI, the other CubeSat, going to be doing?
The main instrument of MILANI is a visible and near infrared imaging
spectrometer. So the main goal there is the surface composition and the surface properties
you can get from spectroscopy and from imaging also at various phase angles. It's going to
take a little while for the HERA mission to actually reach the system. What kind of orbit
is it going to be taking on once it gets there? Once it gets at the asteroid, it will, because the asteroids are so small, I mean Kepler orbits
would not be stable and would need lots of corrections. So what is done are hyperbolic
arcs. Essentially you are continuously above the escape velocity, which is 40 centimeters
per second for the system at the closest,
and make a maneuver every three to four days to get back to the asteroid.
And you fly these orcs to get some global coverage of the asteroids, and once you have the shape, the mass, and so on,
you then essentially first repeat the same nearby. In that process, also the CubeSats are released.
And then the three spacecraft are operating independently.
And at some point, we switch from these arcs to flybys,
which are essentially straight lines,
and they get closer and closer to the surface.
You want to go down to less than a kilometer
from the morphers.
And similar to flybys, of course,
with the spacecraft
maneuvers, they are inverted to stay in the environment of the asteroids.
And then once this spacecraft actually reaches there, goes into orbital insertion, how long
is the mission going to be in operation?
Nominally, the mission will be in operation for six months.
That's not a whole lot of time, but at the same time, it's probably enough to see what happened there,
considering, I hope.
It's hopefully enough to see what happens there,
if everything goes well, yes.
What kind of data are we going to be getting back
from these spacecraft?
So for being relatively small missions,
we have a lot of payloads there.
The main spacecraft carries cameras,
what we call asteroid framing cameras, who are getting images both from the autonomous navigation
and for signs of a planetary defense. We also have an imaging spectrometer that works in the
range roughly 650 to 950 nanometers. A thermal infrared imager in the 10 micron regions that is contributed
by the Japanese aerospace agency YAKSA and lasers that is also both used for scientific
measurements of the surface and for navigation.
What kind of resolution are we going to get on the surface features of this thing? So from the characterization orbit at 10 kilometers we get about one meter per pixel resolution
and correspondingly when we have a close flyby at one kilometer we go down to 10 centimeters.
In the case of OSIRIS-REx at Bennu we ended up with a beautiful kind of 3D rendering of that object.
Are we going to get something similar for dimorphous?
I hope so, yes. So yes, I mean, we will of course, of the images that are being taken
from essentially all three spacecraft, we will create shape models of the asteroids,
and this can also be then used for CD renderings.
I hope so. And 3D print it and add it to my collection of small bodies I have on my desk.
I actually have one of a common shooter, I've got a Simico on my desk
that was, I think, leftover from the time that Emily Lockdawalla
worked at the Planetary Society.
We're going to end up with a spacecraft looking at this object.
Do you think we're actually going to be up with the spacecraft looking at this object. Do you think we're
actually going to be able to see fresh, unweathered material from the start impact?
Possibly, yes. So especially I could imagine that we see fresh, unweathered material on
didymos. The material essentially that left the morphos that landed on didymos. And also even
of the morphos itself,
if you get material from the subsurface,
it could be or should be somewhat different
from the usual surface material.
I hope so.
I mean, a lot of this is about learning more
about planetary defense,
but I think part of the mission
that a lot of people aren't giving it credit for
is that this is an opportunity for us to kind of learn a lot about the foundational building blocks of our solar system, essentially, by looking at this material.
Absolutely. Yes, absolutely. Asteroids and comets are the building blocks of the solar system.
Essentially, the small bodies that the planets are made of are there as a leftovers, those that haven't found a planet in the origins of the solar system and now are still around and tell us exactly how the conditions of
the formation were. And also, it's the first mission to a binary asteroid. We also hope
that we will learn a lot about how those binaries formed.
That is a really interesting thing because, you know, we've seen this system. We saw during
one of the earlier
Lucy mission tests they flew by an object that turned out to be a binary asteroid.
I mean we only have so many examples but I think if I'm remembering correctly it was something like
15 percent of all small body systems are binary asteroids. Is that right?
That's right and I would consider that maybe a lower limit in the sense that not all those binary systems
are detected from ground.
Yeah.
Oh, the very first one, EDA, the satellite of EDA was detected by spacecraft and now
Dinkines also was identified as a binary from ground test observations. So you can speculate that there may even be significantly more
than 15% that are actually binary asteroids.
It's pretty funny that we keep being surprised by these.
But given the difficulty, I mean, all you really
have is light curves and things like that
to try to tell you what these things are light, or maybe radar.
Yes.
Nowadays, a lot of them is light curves curved with radar and also now with Gaia,
also with astrometry. But it's still the case that those techniques are not sensitive to all types of
possible binaries. How does the system compare and kind of mask to those other binaries? And
will it actually allow us to kind of extrapolate out what we can know about
other binary systems?
So I would say that the Didymos system is kind of a typical binary in terms of the separation
and size ratio and so on for binaries of small nearest asteroids.
So in that sense, I would say we could probably learn something more globally from understanding
how that system formed.
A lot of what I've read online suggests that we think kind of the reason we end
up with these binaries could be because of this kind of Yarkovsky effect, right?
A larger object gets kind of spun up by the light of the Sun.
The Yarp effect, yes. This is one thing that exactly sets the Yawp effect up and then material is shed and forms a binary.
Another possibility are impacts, either directly from the impact ejector or the other option
is that the impact leads to a spin up above the highest, faster than the cohesion limit
and that the formation of the binary comes from that.
This system spends about, I think it was like one third
of its time in the asteroid belt
where it's kind of more dense.
So what are the odds that this thing has been hit
by objects the size of Dart before?
It has been hit by objects the size of Dart before.
I mean, with Dart, it was difficult to identify creators.
There are a couple of potentially identified craters.
But this may be indeed because we are also
not sure if the DART impact created a crater
or more deformed the object.
But just taking the statistics of impact rates and cratering
and the lifetime of didymos or didymos and dimorphos,
it's highly likely that DART-sized impacts have
happened before. By comparing the cratering onus and dimorphous, it's highly likely that that sized impacts have happened before.
By comparing the cratering on not just dimorphous but also didymus, I bet we can get
a better understanding of how this impacts these things over time. I'm really curious to figure out
how we can kind of disentangle the yorp effect from it being pummeled by objects in the asteroid belt
to actually figure out the history of this thing. Yeah, this is indeed true. I mean, there's now a newer publication that says that in the case of
Didiomers, which as you said, spends a third of the time in the main belt, impacts are probably
more important than the Europe effect, also because of the possible spin up due to impacts.
And one other aspect of this is, I mean, all the edge determination,
because one point is also to find out how long the object has been in this orbit. And for the
edge determination, we use a cratering record. And here we have also the unique opportunity that we
investigate, okay, a crater or the impact outcome, let's say, for something where we exactly know the impact with DART.
We know exactly the impact, its size, its mass, its velocity, which helps us a lot to
improve our greater scaling.
So essentially to say which impact on such an object creates which kind of impact outcome
and therefore also to improve all those models that are connected to the impact. When we hit it with Dart, the ejecta was just, you know, at least personally, so much more
than I expected.
That thing was beautiful.
How big of a cloud did we kind of create and how long did it hang around after the actual
impact?
Okay, it hung around for several months.
Also the extended cloud was seen by ground-based and observers and HSD for several months. Also, the extended cloud was seen by ground-based and
observers and HSD for several months after the impact. Size, I don't like to specify size
because it's a cloud that is expanding into space. It doesn't really have a boundary in that sense.
Is there any concern that any of the subjected material is still
close enough around that it might in some way harm the spacecraft?
So any small material by the time Hera arrives will have been pushed away by radiation pressure.
It is possible that a small fraction of larger blocks may get into stable orbits for years,
and may also still be present when Hera arrives. I'm personally
not worried about that simply from scaling from Rosetta. Rosetta operated for two years
around an active comet. And collision with things was never a problem. Rosetta had to
back away for some time, was essentially because of dust confusing the star trackers. So about some boulders being around with here, I'm not worried.
And I think the background is that in such a situation,
we intuitively tend to overestimate
the collision probability.
Yeah, fingers crossed.
Yeah.
Oh, man.
I did read, too, that we hit that thing so hard that there's
a chance that we might actually
see meteor showers caused by this object either on Mars but also potentially on Earth.
Were you one of the people that created that?
If I'm remembering correctly, you were on that research.
If that does happen, how would we determine whether or not the meteor shower that we see
is caused by the DART impact?
From the numerical model, we can relatively precisely say from which direction the meteors
would be coming.
In time, they are much more distributed.
We cannot predict a specific date.
We can just provide it some time spent where we could see some enhancement. Now to limit expectations,
I wouldn't expect a meteor shower like the Perseids. We would really be looking for an
enhancement in that direction of the sky at certain times.
It occurs to me that between DART and all of these other objects that have hit these
things in the past, that there is a potential that dimorphous might not last forever if it keeps getting blown apart by these things, at least
if it's a rubble pile enough. Is that possible that it might get blown apart over time?
Absolutely. I mean, at some point in time, either dimorphous or didymos, I'm not sure
which has a higher lifetime statistically, will be hit by something that's destroyed it. I mean, those kind of impacts were also that led to the formation of what's now didymos
and demorphous from some larger objects. Basically, all asteroids smaller than 100 kilometers
or so are the result of fragmentation and re-accumulation and they're not original objects
in that sense.
But who knows, maybe it'll create a new one after it gets blown apart or...
Absolutely, absolutely.
Maybe the material might just fall back on to Didymus.
I mean, I guess if now Demorphus is destroyed by an impact, probably part of the material
will escape and part will fall back on Didymus.
And if in case Didymos is hit by something
large, maybe it will form another moon.
That would be cool.
Several decades ago, the general opinion was that asteroids cannot have moons.
It's funny how wrong we've gotten so much of this. It's just the beginning of understanding
this, which is a really interesting thing to think. I feel like so many people want
to believe that we have a good handle on what's going on with asteroids and planetary
defense, but we're just taking our first baby steps.
Yeah, I mean, planetary defense, I mean, DART and HERA are really the first technology demonstration
for planetary defense. So in that sense, we are at the beginning.
The DART mission was actually my first rocket launch that I got to go see.
Mine as well. It was also the rocket launch that I got to go see. Mine as well. Really?
It was also the first launch that I saw, yes.
That's amazing.
Are you going to be in Florida to see Hera go up?
Yes, yes.
I was a baby.
That will be the second one for me.
And I'm flying next Friday to Florida for that, yes.
Do you get to stick around to try to see Europa Clipper launch afterwards?
Yes, I'm going to try to see Europa Clipper as well, yes.
Oh, I'm jealous. That's going to be so cool. So many of my colleagues get to be there for
Europa Clipper and I hope so much that both of these missions go well. That's going to be such
an adventure. So we're potentially going to get 3D models out of this thing, but are there any
onboard cameras that are going to give us some really spectacular imagery that we'll be able to look at online? Yes, of course. The images will be distributed with open data
policy. So you can see them, we'll be able relatively soon to see the images of the
asteroids. And we also have the cameras on the CubeSats. And we have the so-called small monitoring cameras on HERA that will image
the release of the CubeSats.
That's going to be really cool.
Will the CubeSats be able to image HERA back and actually see the spacecraft?
That's a good question.
I'm not sure at which distances could be done and what would the resolution be, but you
should definitely try that.
That would be so cool, because anytime we get an image of a spacecraft in space from
the CubeSats, it's always one of the most iconic images I've ever seen.
The fact that we're doing this at all is just absolutely mind-blowing.
Yeah, and actually there's one reason also for the small monitoring cameras the other
way around.
It may be difficult after release, well after release after release because the cubesats are so small.
So something that I'm really looking forward to in this case, I guess, is actually seeing the images
of the impact site. What are some of the things that you're most looking forward to? Indeed,
seeing how the morphos looks like now, essentially how the sites at that saw looks like now, essentially, how the site looks like now and also how the other site looks now
that that and Lychiacube could not see.
Yeah, because we zoomed up on that thing and then literally crashed into it.
So it's not like we've got a lot of time to see both sides.
I mean, we're going to try to discern how this thing was changed just from the front
side of dimorphous.
But I mean, there's so much we
don't know about what this thing looks like. Yeah, I mean, we don't really know how the
backside, so to speak, looked before the impact. But already seeing the changes on the front side
will be interesting. We'll be right back with the rest of my interview with Michael Coopers,
project scientist for ESA's Hera mission, after this short break.
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you.
Did you get to go to a party or anything to actually watch the Dart Impact?
Because I know some of my colleagues did.
Yeah?
Actually, yes.
I was at APL for the Dart Impact.
It's the event there.
That's wonderful.
You were probably there with some of my coworkers.
That's so funny.
Yeah, probably.
What was that like?
I mean, for me, watching it online, it was... I mean, what was really spectacular for that
is that it was transferred practically in real time. I mean, essentially the data was streamed
as it came from the spacecraft and you could in that sense see the impact. I mean, not the impact
itself, but the images when that start approach to the impact. That was really spectacular.
Yeah, that moment when the screen tried to give us an image,
but it was like half an image,
the other half was all red and messed up.
Yes, yes, yes.
That was such a moment.
And also before, there's extreme detail,
and you knew that it's, I mean, you knew, of course,
it would be end, but it was really, oh yeah,
it was a whole time from actually seeing the asteroids
and seeing the morphos for the first time to getting closer. And then it was really spectacular to be able to see this in real time.
That was such a party to witness online and from afar.
Is your team doing anything?
I mean, fingers crossed, hopefully everything goes well with the launch of this mission.
What is your team going to do to celebrate after the mission successfully launches?
Okay, I have to say to first give credit to my colleagues in the operation center who
have to work after the mission successfully launched.
Yeah.
But we will have the celebration with the dinner party at Kennedy Space Center, which
those who do not have to work on the operations.
Oh, you're going to have such a treat.
I only got to go there once, but it was for the Artemis 1 launch that didn't happen. And despite the fact that the launch didn't happen, that place was so
cool. It was absolutely worth doing anyway. So this thing actually hasn't gone up yet.
What are the last steps that everyone has to take for preparation for this launch?
So the very last step, I think, fueling of the spacecraft is finishing today.
And then I don't know the exact setter, but then essentially it is fixed to the rocket,
rolled out to the launch pad, where it now has to wait first of the Q9 launch going into
space.
What would you say that this mission could do for the future of planetary defense?
I think it is the first time that with DART we have demonstrated the method and with HERA
we know the quantitative outcome, which helps us really for the future to not only to repeat it, but kind of also to scale
what size of impact you need for a given target.
How did you originally get into this field? I mean, given your history, you went and worked on
the Rosetta mission and now this, how did you become so passionate about small bodies and
planetary defense? I'm a planetary scientist by education. And I relatively early on, among other things,
I did start working on asteroids and comets, both observationally and also bit modeling.
And in 2003, I started working on the science camera team of the Rosetta missions.
And a couple of years later, I moved to ESA and became involved there. And so, yeah,
that's just brought me really close to the space mission. And this is a fascinating topic,
and I stick with that. Just imagine one of these days if we actually save the world using the science that was created from this, you'll
be able to look back and think to yourself, well, I helped save the planet.
Oh man, especially I think of the missions that are out there, I think the
Rosetta mission is definitely one of my favorites just for the missions that are out there. I think the Rosetta mission is definitely one of my favorites
just for the imagery that came out of it. This kind of alien world, the way that the kind of dust and
the sun, it was beautiful. Yeah, for me, I'm okay, I'm biased because I've worked on the mission for
a long time. But yes, for me also, Rosetta was really maybe the most fascinating missions.
Yeah, also they're seeing more and more detail when you arrive and then
this long time at the comet and the comet, even better than an asteroid, you can see
the changes in real time, in quotes, how the comet changes due to its activity and Philae
landing. And yes, it was really spectacular.
I got really emotional near the end of that mission when Rosetta found Philae again.
I remember that situation, which who knows if there would be a similar situation with
one of the CubeSats here where it tried to land and then bounced and we couldn't find it.
Yes, could be, yes.
But is there a similarity there as well in that at the end of the Rosetta mission, the spacecraft tried to land on the comet. Is that what we're planning for the end of the Hera mission as well?
Possibly, yes. I mean, we have for here for definitively we are trying to land Juventus on the morphos and most likely we are going to land Milani Eiser on the morphos on Didymos.
are going to land Milani either on Dimorphos or on Didymos. For Hera itself, it's not yet finally decided, but an option is also landing at the end of mission. But what's going to dictate which of
the two objects Milani tries to land on? Okay, the argument is for Dimorphos would be that if you want dimorphous as a planetary defense target and Hera as a planetary
defense mission. And the other thing is of course the instrumentation is complementary.
So for Juventus the main thing would be after landing to use a gravimeter to get exact essentially
the three-dimensional accelerations and an exact grab on the gravimetry
maybe also on the mass distribution of the object. For Milani it would more the interest would be
more on the on the dust detector to get maybe more material essentially more information about the
dust from the dust that would be moved up at landing. And are there any difficulties in trying to orbit a binary system specifically that
we don't really have to deal with in other cases?
It's more complex to orbit a binary system than orbiting a single asteroid. At the same time,
I think this difficulty kicks in relatively close to the objects because globally more than 99% of the mass of the binary asteroid is in Didymos.
So if you are significantly further away than the separation between the two, it shouldn't matter that much that it's a binary.
But I think the other aspect is that most binary asteroids have been detected relatively recently, which is the reason that
more, I mean that for example, the near mission went to Eros in 2000. One thing is that Eros
is a relatively large asteroid and in near Earth space we don't have a binary at that
site. But also when this mission was planned, not many binary asteroids were known. So the
other reason is that the binary asteroids themselves are a relatively recent discovery. I think you're probably right that we're going to learn that
this is actually kind of the lower bound of how many of these there are. Like, given that we keep
stumbling upon them, I wouldn't be surprised if there are a lot more than we anticipate.
Yes, I also would personally expect that we will be somewhat beyond the 15%
currently. That is what we get from the ground-based observations.
Have you been able to go to the Planetary Defense Conference before?
Yes, I have been there twice, I think. Yes.
It's an interesting thing, this exercise, this impact exercise that's happening
there usually. And yes, it's something good to do also. The planning, what
would you do if it happens, essentially?
Yeah. I mean, this is a truly international problem. It affects every single one of us,
even though it's a rare thing. It's something that could potentially harm everyone on Earth.
And so seeing the interplay between NASA and the DART mission and ESA and the Hera mission
and the international friendship and collaboration that comes along with that, I think is really
exemplary of this idea that it's something that impacts all of us.
And that's part of what's so special about space exploration is that it creates these
bonds across nations that allows us to really collaborate in a meaningful way.
Absolutely.
It's really an international site, if if you want and also it's an international
endeavor with most international space agencies involved in the planetary defense activities.
I'm so grateful because as a child, I know it was movies like Armageddon and Deep Impact
that scared me. But I was very, very concerned that humanity wasn't doing enough
to protect the people of Earth and all the creatures from this inevitable potential that
we're going to be hit by something at some point. And it feels like we're finally being
able to get a handle on this. This is the beginning of us being able to save the world.
Yeah, yeah, I agree with that. I mean, I personally, I'm not really worried.
I mean, simply because I know I will be within the next, I know, several decades, I will
die at some point and then asteroid impact is an extremely unlikely reason to be the
reason for that. But it's true, it's a danger that as humankind we can now, or we think we are now on the way that we will be able to prevent it.
And I think we should prepare, we should be able to prevent it,
to be prepared for the next time it happens.
And those things that are outside our, let's say, our experience,
it's sometimes difficult to really consider and to really convince also that this needs prevention or that it is useful to do planetary defense.
In this respect, I like to compare it to the pandemic, which is another thing that is not happening.
That's outside our experience. Also, I've been talking like this about planetary defense for years now.
I also wasn't prepared or aware of that. I should be prepared for a pandemic.
I think for those things, it's a bit in human nature that we don't worry about things that are outside our everyday experience.
But in the event that that rare occasion happens, we have scientists all around the world that are laying the plans
in order to deal with something like this.
Absolutely.
What do you think you're going to feel when it actually gets off the ground after all
of this effort?
I don't know.
I will probably be a bit nervous, but also very happy to see it actually going into space.
Well, I know I'll be watching. Are there any
live streams online where people can watch Hera Long? Yes, I believe Hera Long should be live
streamed by both SpaceX and also by ESA TV. Wonderful. Well, we'll share that live stream
online at planetary.org slash live so people can watch. But if there are any Planetary Society
members listening, please join us for a watch party inside of our member community because there's nothing like sharing these
moments in space with other space fans that have been anticipating them for years. So
I'm looking forward to watching that with everyone online.
Yeah, that's great.
Well, good luck to you and to all of the members of the team. And I hope you have a really
fun time in Florida just watching these launches.
There's nothing like being there at Cape Canaveral for this with this huge audience around you.
You're going to have the best time ever. Good luck to you and everyone on the team and I'm
hoping in the future that after the launch happens, fingers crossed, everything goes great.
I'd love to bring a member of the team back on to talk about reflections of how it went and how it felt to see this.
Yeah, sure. We're happy to talk about that, yes.
Awesome.
And how it goes with the first observations after launch, yes.
Oh, absolutely. Definitely. Definitely bringing everyone back on once we get those first images.
That's going to be a huge moment.
Yes.
Awesome. Well, thank you so much, Michael. Good luck.
Okay.
Thanks to you.
As I said in the interview, the Planetary Society is holding an online watch party for
the Hera launch in our member community app.
The launch is scheduled for October 7th at 10 45 a.m. Eastern Time.
That's 7 45 a.m. Pacific Time or 14 45 UTC.
We'll share the launch live stream at planetary.org slash live
so anyone can watch.
If you're a Planetary Society member,
you can join me and my colleagues in the watch party chat
and the rocket launch space in our community.
We're also gonna be holding a watch party
for Europa Clipper just a few days later.
That's on October 10th at 1231 PM Eastern time,
which of course is 930 AM Pacific time or 1631 UTC. Keep in mind
that all of these times may change. Rocket launch times vary depending on
what's happening with the rocket or what's going down with the weather at the
launch site, but this situation is a little more complex than usual. As I'm
recording this, the US Federal Aviation Administration has confirmed that
SpaceX's Falcon 9 rockets are grounded
because of issues during the Crew-9 launch over the weekend.
We're hoping all is well and that the FAA will clear the missions for launch in the
coming days.
I'll leave a link with more information on that story on the show page for this episode
of Planetary Radio if you want to learn more.
But one of my friends and my favorite ways of celebrating launches is to dress for the
occasion.
Between Hera and Europa Clipper, it's time to pull out all those cool space ties and
dresses.
If you'd like to join in and show your space flair, you can consider joining NASA's Runway
to Jupiter style challenge, celebrating the Europa Clipper launch.
Here's Amber Trujillo, our digital community manager with the details.
Hi, Amber.
Hey, Sarah.
The Europa Clipper launch is so soon,
and I'm in this mode where I'm just kind of all nervous and excited.
Are you feeling that too?
Oh, my gosh. I am getting butterflies in my stomach
just thinking about the launch.
I'm so ready. I'm so ready to see this be on its way.
Right. And you're actually going to be in Florida for the launch, right? I'm so ready. I'm so ready to see this be on its way.
Right. And you're actually going to be in Florida for the launch, right?
Correct. Yeah, I'll be at Cape Canaveral, gearing up with a couple other staff here at the Planetary Society and some members.
So we're turning it into a little bit of a member meet and greet.
And yeah, it'll be it'll be a lot of fun.
It's great because my guest just now, Michael Cooper is from the HERA mission, is also going
to be there for the Europa Clipper launch.
So who knows if you'll bump into each other, but either way, I feel like this is going
to be one of those moments that all the space community around the world should be celebrating.
And whenever I get really excited about one of these things or I'm like at a space event,
something that I like to do and I know you like to do too is kind of theme your outfits around space.
Why do you feel like that's such a fun thing to do in those moments?
Oh gosh, so it's not only a fun thing, but it's a productive thing for me.
I sometimes, I just don't know what to wear at conferences or these space events
and it really helps me creatively to be like, okay, what is the
theme of this event or this conference? You know what I mean? So if it's about the Artemis program,
I'll be like, okay, what grades do I have? What layers can I put into this in order to make this
fun? And nobody else really knows that I'm doing that. It's just something that I do because it
helps my brain just be like, pick an outfit. People can't see it because these are audio only recordings.
But whenever I'm doing interviews with people, I'm always wearing some kind of jewelry or
piece of clothing that kind of matches the theme.
So I got a whole bunch of different space necklaces for all the different events.
And I'll definitely be probably wearing my JWST Jupiter for this one.
Oh, wait, I love that.
I had no idea.
And I wish I was better with jewelry.
I don't have like really any jewelry at all. And there's so many cool jewelry options out
there. So so maybe that's my next endeavor. Yeah, something I did was I got magnetic,
swappable jewelry, I believe I got my necklace, my two necklace sets from Sartorialist. They
have this great necklace that you can just like swap out the space image. So I just change them.
Oh my gosh, that is brilliant. I have to look into that. Yeah, that's not something that
is definitely for me. Well, it sounds like NASA's kind of caught
on to the fact that this is a really popular thing in the space community, which is why
they're launching this Runway to Jupiter style challenge in honor of Europa
Clipper. What is this challenge and how can people participate?
Yeah, so the challenge for anybody that goes on to social
media often, they know that there's trends and there's
challenges that people just do on social media. So NASA is
doing their own style challenge. And what it is, is in order to
kind of inspire people
and get people in the spirit of the Europa Clipper launch,
they want people to express their creativity through style.
So it could be through makeup, accessories, clothes,
your nails, whatever it is,
you can bring in different elements.
It's not just the colors, right, of Jupiter and Europa that are different ways that you can bring in different elements. It's not just the colors of Jupiter and Europa
that are different ways that you can bring in these elements
into your style.
But it's also the features of Jupiter and Europa,
the icy, kind of like ragged surface of Europa
and the flowy atmosphere of Jupiter.
You can bring that into your style.
You can bring the weather conditions.
It's really cold.
So how can you do that?
And it's just a really, really fun way
to be able to bridge that art in with this launch.
And that's something that I really love to do.
I love to find different ways to bridge the two together.
So this is just a really fun challenge.
And there's different ways for people to participate. The best
way is to probably go on their website, they have a really
great creative brief, basically just letting people know exactly
the colors and a mood board to kind of get you inspired. But
yeah, there's a it's a super simple challenge. All you have
to do is, is use your creativity and see what you can build.
And then how do people actually submit their images?
Yeah, so you do this through social media, any social media
platform.
And by doing the hashtag Runway to Jupiter, NASA can find it.
So once you do that hashtag, you're
kind of like just included with all these other submissions.
And you have the opportunity. NASA might share
your image on their social media channels or even during the Europa Clipper launch kind of program.
They might even share it there. So it's just a really cool fun way to get in the spirit of
the Europa Clipper launch. Well whenever I think of space inspired outfits I always think of you
because I know on your social media you like to share these videos of you like dressing up as certain moons and
that kind of thing.
So I know that you made one for this occasion.
What was your your take on this runway challenge?
Yeah, so I looked for some of my favorite images of Europa and Jupiter and I found three
of each.
And what I did is I personally took
the colors and I looked at my wardrobe. One thing that NASA does encourage
people which I think is really great is using what you have right instead of
going out and buying things. One of the best things that you can do to be
creative is look at what you have and how can you create these looks. Luckily
for me my wardrobe is mostly fall colors and
Europa and Jupiter both kind of give fall vibes like the autumn vibes. So it was fairly easy for
me to do it. But you know, I just brought the main colors in from Jupiter and Europa and I
incorporated different pieces, skirts and shirts and if I had a jacket or a belt. And it was really fun.
I really enjoy figuring out outfits according to planets and moons and even spacecraft.
Yeah, this is a nerdy thing for me to say.
Not that everything out of my mouth isn't nerdy,
but I like designing space press on nails that way I can reuse them for other things.
So I've got like a whole JWST series of them, but I was thinking of trying to replicate those cracks on your
rope. I feel like that's a really cool texture.
Oh yeah, for sure. And I have to say, you are one of the most creative people that I
know. You're really good at just like, even your glasses, if you've never seen Sarah in
person, she always has like fun glasses on and your jewelry and everything else. You're just very,
very creative. So I have to see these press on nails because that sounds so fun. I don't know
if I have the art capabilities to be able to draw something like that, but that sounds like something
that would be fun to experiment with. Well, I'm very lucky. My mom was an art teacher for a long
time. So I learned from her wonderful painting skills. But I also like to do something where, you know, sometimes it's really hard to kind of
convey the complexity of like a space look and just makeup. So sometimes I use face painting
to try to get those like finer details. So I was thinking before the Europa Clipper launch,
it'd be really cool to like, I don't know, just practice around with maybe some Jupiter
swirls or, yous or something Europa inspired.
But we'll see.
I'll pull out all my glitters and my paints this weekend.
Yeah, that's so fun.
Yeah, as I mentioned on the NASA website, they really encourage the different colors.
They have the palace that you can use, and there's a lot of metallics and shimmeries
and stuff like that.
So I wish I knew makeup more because that would be really, really fun.
So if you do it, I'm very excited to see what you create.
I'll take a whole bunch of pictures and share them and participate because I feel like,
I mean, we've been waiting for this mission for so long and the people working on this
spacecraft have dedicated decades of their lives to it.
And we're at me working on that mission.
I think it would mean a lot to me to see how much it's
inspired people just to be there and to love this thing, but also to go that extra step and dress
up and celebrate because come on, this is something we've been working to as a species for ages.
A lot of people, the reason they get into these things is because they want to inspire people. So to see people kind of like emulate
that into their own creativity is really beautiful to see. And you know, I've seen a couple images
where people have crocheted their own outfits with kind of a little bit of a Europa or Jupiter.
Yeah, it's beautiful to see when people get excited because this is such an amazing,
to see when people get excited because this is such an amazing groundbreaking mission that we're about to embark on.
And if anything, if people don't know what it is, if they see you and they're like, hey,
why are you wearing these colors?
Why are you wearing this thing?
It sparks a conversation.
And that's kind of what NASA wants to do as well, I'm assuming, with this challenge is
if people don't know what Europa Clipper is, it's an opportunity to spark conversation about how humans are trying
to find themselves in the solar system.
And it's just so beautiful.
So I love this challenge.
It was a great idea by NASA.
And I keep checking the hashtag to see what other people have uploaded because it's just
fun to see what other people have uploaded because it's just fun to see. AMT – Yeah. Well, if anybody listening participates, we're going to be looking
online at this hashtag, but also feel free to put those images in our member community if you're a
Planetary Society member, or you can just straight email them to us at our Planetary Radio email.
We'd love to share them on the website for the Europa Clipper launch because this is just,
it's a really cool and fun moment.
So what is the deadline for submission on this challenge?
Yeah, so it's launch day for Europa Clipper, which is October 10th.
So get your outfits together, your jewelry together, put it all together, get it on social
media before October 10th, and possibly NASA might share it.
Well, thanks so much, Amber.
I'm looking forward to seeing your video online
and I'll share all my images
when I'm done doing my crazy look.
I'm so excited.
I look forward to it.
Thank you, Sarah, for having me.
Before we move on to what's up,
I wanna give everyone a heads up
that there's currently an opportunity
to observe C2023A3.
That's Comet Tushin Shan Atlas.
We forgot to mention it in what's up.
So I'm gonna add the Planetary Society's new
article on how you can catch that comment on the show page for this episode.
And now it's time for What's Up with Dr. Bruce Betts, our chief scientist at the Planetary
Society.
He'll have more on the possible meteor shower created by the DART Impact.
Hey, Bruce!
Hey, Sarah!
How you doing?
Oh, spiffy keen wonderful hunky-dory swell.
I don't know.
I don't know.
I am.
Anytime we're in one of those months where it's like a bunch of space missions that I
really care about are all going up.
It's that tension in the air, but also that excitement, you know?
Yes.
Yes, I do know.
So many of our board members and our team
members are going to be at the Europa Clipper launch. But in the meantime, by the time people
are listening to this episode, we're going to be right out just a couple days from the launch of
this Hera mission that we've been talking about. And the DART, the Double Asteroid Redirection
Test DART mission was my first rocket launch. So, I'm, the Double Asteroid Redirection Test, DART mission, was my first
rocket launch, so I'm hoping the second rocket launch of this kind of saga does really well.
Yeah, we're all hoping that for Europe, Clipper and Hera. They're good stuff.
I have spoken to so many people that have worked on this entire mission arc, both from
the United States and from Europe. And we always knew
that we hit dimorphous really, really, really hard. But the fact that we hit it so hard
that there might actually be the first human-caused meteor shower in history is a little bonkers
to me. I know that, you know, you're a little skeptical whether or not we'll see it, but
at the same time, that's a cool idea.
Yeah, it is. And I'm skeptical of everything, so you always have to take that into account.
You know, it's a scientist's crankiness.
Are you saying I should be skeptical of your skepticism?
Yes.
Strangely, I guess I was saying that.
Well, how the layers of skeptic-licity are just incredible.
Ooh, that'll be an album name. Skepticalicity.
Okay, I'm getting distracted. Yes, that is quite fascinating that we might cause the first
human-caused meteor shower. Now, we have caused plenty of stuff to reenter the atmosphere as
artificial meteors, but this would be the first time we have rocky stuff that we blasted off
something to do that. At least as far as I know. I can't think what else would be. Yeah,
so apparently, Look says we might get a meteor shower in 2034.
Where and when do you think we might be able to see it if we actually get to see it?
If it's visible, well, if it happens, then it's mostly in the southern hemisphere.
It's a good southern hemisphere thing hitting that part of the planet.
And the prediction is you'd have mostly small stuff, but you might have things as big as
the size of a softball, which would cause one heck of a bright meteor, but then not
make it to the surface, presumably.
I remember when I was a child, I was watching the Geminid meteor shower, and there was a
meteor that was so bright, it streaked across the sky, and it literally kind of temporarily
burnt my retina.
All I could see was that streak through my vision.
Oh, that's so cool.
That's what I'm imagining here.
Something besides a softball.
Oh, I've never had my retina burned by a meteor.
I've tried so many times.
Just got to watch more of them.
You got to be there in the Southern Hemisphere in May 2034 is what's up.
That's a fireball.
It was so cool, man.
And I've seen some cool bolide explosions, things like that.
But I mean, to be clear, on average, you're not getting softball size
objects during meteor showers, right? I mean, it can happen, but what is the average size
of these objects?
Right. No, typical is kind of sand size, dust size, even dust sand, maybe up to the size
of a pea to use our standard vegetable measuring system.
Are there any other meteor showers in May that people should be aware of?
I don't want people to confuse these two things because it feels like it would be
really special to know.
Well, I've got a few years to work it out.
Yes, the Eta Aquarids, which I try to make sure I pronounced all these perfectly,
is a pretty strong shower for, interestingly,
the southern hemisphere.
So that usually peaks in very early May, kind of fourth, fifth type time.
I mean, it's kind of an average-ish, I said strong, but it's kind of average-ish, so maybe
10 to 30 meteors per hour from a dark site.
So I'm not sure what they're predicting with
this or if they made a prediction. I love meteor showers. It's probably just, you
know, just my childhood time, but I imagine as we get better at planetary
defense there's going to be more and more of these human-caused meteor showers
and we'll have even more to look forward to. That and all of the satellites
crashing into our atmosphere someday. Well yeah, that's starting and thanks to certain groups, there are lots more that will be
crashing into the atmosphere. They make some very nice meteors.
Jadea Well, you and me, Bruce, Southern Hemisphere 2034, let's go.
Pete Road trip.
Jadea Road trip. That would be wonderful.
I got to hit every continent on Earth before I kick the bucket.
So I feel like most of the reason I'll end up in other countries to plan out my life
plans is around these cool space events.
Well, I'm sure everyone wants to know, how many have you taken down so far?
I've been to every continent except for South America and Antarctica.
Oh, well, you're good.
Yeah, no, I'm making pretty good progress.
I just, you know, I got to got to get down there, like visit Brazil or something,
and then head on down to Antarctica and look for some meteorites or something.
Oh, that would be cold.
Be cold, but totally worth it.
Worth it. Yeah, that'd be cold. It'd be cold, but totally worth it. Worth it.
Yeah, that'd be neat. You know,
if you're interested,
I've got a little bit of a fact for you.
In fact, it's
It's a random space fact!
Did I surprise you?
So surprised.
Didn't see it coming.
So Hera
and Dart, well, Dart in the past and Hera in the future, are visiting the system
with Dynamos and Dimorphos.
Dimorphos is the one that the asteroid impacted by DART and causing this future meteor shower.
And Dimorphos is also the smallest asteroid that we have visited with a spacecraft, and it's about
the length of the height of the Great Pyramid of Giza.
Wow.
About 150 meters-ish. So yeah, I mean, it's not shaped like a pyramid, it's shaped like
a potato with corn flakes on it, which is a pretty standard description in the technical
literature, I'm sure.
AMT – That's a good way to think about it though. You know, in my travels of the
world, I've been to see the Great Pyramids in Egypt, so that does actually give me a
good mental image, and that's pretty small. Well, knowing your passion for identifying
places around the world, I know you like to do a lot of international trivia of that sort.
I do. I'm a little behind, but I'm a big fan of GeoGuessr and figuring out where you are
when you plop down in a Google Street View and figuring out where you are from the clues.
Just in case you ever fall out of orbit and need to immediately figure out where you are
based on context clues.
Exactly.
Right?
You never know.
Hey, it actually comes up.
You'll see like pictures on the news or something and you're like, oh wait, look at that crosswalk
sign.
It's got eight stripes.
That must be from Spain.
We're going to hear about Spain.
It's that practical kind of information that you learn.
One of these days people will have to have a geoguessor for Mars or something.
People in this crater love to use five stripes in order to signify danger, but people over
here in the canyon system, man, they're all about pentagons.
I mean, you could do it now.
It'd be a lot of red dirt and rocks,
but we really haven't been that many places on the ground.
It's true.
I can tell by this sort of tracks
that this is Jezero Crater versus Gale Crater.
Look, it's dragging a wheel.
Ah, a spirit.
That's awesome.
We need to make this right now.
I would play that.
I would too.
Hey, everybody. Come on through, look up at the night sky and think about how many
stripes you would put on your crosswalk sign.
Yeah?
Yeah, sure.
Thank you and good night.
We've reached the end of this week's episode of Planetary Radio, but we'll be back next
week with the Planetary Society team as we update you on how the Hera launch went and
take a moment to reflect on the role the Planetary Society and space advocates have played in
supporting the Europa Clipper mission.
If you love the show, you can get Planetary Radio t-shirts at planetary.org slash shop,
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And until next week, add Astra.