Planetary Radio: Space Exploration, Astronomy and Science - Revisiting K2-18 b: JWST finds a lead in the search for life on a mysterious exoplanet
Episode Date: January 15, 2025This week we revisit one of the most remarkable exoplanet discoveries of 2024 with the help of the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST). JWST detected signs of methane and carbon dioxide in the atmospher...e of K2-18 b. Knicole Colón, the deputy project scientist for exoplanet science for JWST, explains how this discovery could reshape our search for life beyond Earth and teach us more about the enigmatic class of exoplanets known as sub-Neptunes. Stick around for What's Up with Bruce Betts, the chief scientist of The Planetary Society. Discover more at: https://www.planetary.org/planetary-radio/2025-jwst-new-lead-in-search-for-life  See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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                                         Carbon dioxide and methane on a habitable zone exoplanet?
                                         
                                         The James Webb Space Telescope unveils the mysteries of K2-18b, this week on Planetary
                                         
                                         Radio.
                                         
                                         I'm Sarah Al-Ahmed of the Planetary Society, with more of the human adventure across our
                                         
                                         solar system and beyond.
                                         
                                         As you may have heard, Los Angeles County in
                                         
                                         California has been deeply impacted by a series of ongoing wildfires. The Planetary Society's
                                         
                                         headquarters are located in Pasadena, California, and many of our staff live in this area. The
                                         
    
                                         wildfires have displaced several of our team members, and some are dealing with significant losses.
                                         
                                         We appreciate the patience of our members,
                                         
                                         supporters, and all of you, our planetary radio listeners during this time. We hope that you're
                                         
                                         all doing well and that your loved ones are safe. For that reason, we're revisiting one of our most
                                         
                                         popular episodes of 2024 this week, but rest assured, we'll return next week with all new content.
                                         
                                         Today we're going to be diving into one of the most remarkable new exoplanet discoveries
                                         
                                         with the help of JWST, the James Webb Space Telescope.
                                         
                                         If you're a fan of the search for life or just cool exoplanets in general, you're in
                                         
    
                                         for a ride.
                                         
                                         JWST has detected signs of methane and carbon dioxide in the atmosphere of K218b.
                                         
                                         It's a discovery that could help reshape the way we think about the search for life beyond Earth and take our understanding of sub-Neptunes to the
                                         
                                         next level. Our special guest Nicole Colon is the deputy project scientist
                                         
                                         for exoplanet science at JWST. She's gonna give us all the details. Then stick
                                         
                                         around to the end for What's Up with Bruce Betts, the chief scientist of the
                                         
                                         Planetary Society. If you love planetary radio and want to stay informed
                                         
                                         about the latest space discoveries,
                                         
    
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                                         filled with new and awe-inspiring ways to know the cosmos
                                         
                                         and our place within it.
                                         
                                         Now, let's get into that spaceship of the imagination
                                         
                                         and journey to a world very much not like our own.
                                         
                                         About 100 light years away in the direction
                                         
    
                                         of the constellation Leo the Lion is a world orbiting a red dwarf star called K2-18b.
                                         
                                         K2-18b is a sub-Neptune, which is a type of exoplanet with a size and a mass that's somewhere
                                         
                                         between terrestrial worlds like Earth and ice giants like Neptune. This one is about 8.6 times
                                         
                                         as massive as our planet and orbits
                                         
                                         within the habitable zone of its star. That's the area around the star where it's not too hot,
                                         
                                         not too cold for liquid water to exist on the surface. Sub-Neptunes are the most common type
                                         
                                         of exoplanet we've discovered in our galaxy, but you'll notice we don't have any in our solar system.
                                         
                                         These worlds are a profound mystery to us, but we're beginning to learn more with the help of space telescopes like Kepler, Hubble, and JWST.
                                         
    
                                         K-218b was initially discovered using data from the Kepler Space Telescope, which was one of my favorites.
                                         
                                         It was a space-based observatory that was dedicated to searching for worlds outside of our solar system,
                                         
                                         but it wasn't until 2019 that this particular world truly made space news.
                                         
                                         A team at the Center for Space Exochemistry Data
                                         
                                         at the University College London in the UK
                                         
                                         used data from the Hubble Space Telescope
                                         
                                         to analyze the atmospheric composition of K2-18b.
                                         
                                         They came away with a massive headline.
                                         
    
                                         NASA's Hubble finds water vapor
                                         
                                         on a habitable zone exoplanet for the first time.
                                         
                                         Or so we thought. A deeper analysis of the atmosphere of K-218b would have to wait until
                                         
                                         the launch of the James Webb Space Telescope in 2021. An international collaboration led by
                                         
                                         Neku Maedusudan at the University of Cambridge used JWST to take another peek at K-218b,
                                         
                                         and the plot thickened. With the help of JWST, their team
                                         
                                         detected something extraordinary. Methane, carbon dioxide, and potentially dimethyl sulfide, a
                                         
                                         compound that's primarily created on Earth by living creatures. Now don't get too excited.
                                         
    
                                         We're not saying that there's life there, but that is a really cool finding.
                                         
                                         Our guest today is Dr. Nicole Colon. She's an astrophysicist at NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Maryland, USA.
                                         
                                         She's also the Deputy Project Scientist for Exoplanet Science for JWST, and the Director of the Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite, or TESS's, Science Support Center.
                                         
                                         She previously
                                         
                                         worked as the Deputy Operations Project Scientist for the Hubble Space Telescope, too. Her research
                                         
                                         has always revolved around finding and characterizing exoplanets, but she has a special place in
                                         
                                         her heart for the wacky ones, like K-218b.
                                         
                                         Hey, Nicole!
                                         
    
                                         Hi! How are you?
                                         
                                         I'm doing really well, and I'm really glad to have you on the show to talk about this because this is such an
                                         
                                         interesting world.
                                         
                                         And it's not the first time it's been in the news.
                                         
                                         I feel like I've been wanting to know more about this world literally for a few years
                                         
                                         now.
                                         
                                         You previously served as the deputy operations project scientist for the Hubble Space Telescope.
                                         
                                         So you're the perfect person to ask,
                                         
    
                                         did those first observations of K2-18b completely blow your mind?
                                         
                                         In short, yes. But to answer in a longer way, it's fascinating because K2-18b, right, it's this relatively small planet. It's bigger than Earth, but it's not something that we have in our solar system.
                                         
                                         You know, it's a size that is unknown to us essentially, even though it's very common.
                                         
                                         It's a mystery. And so we want to study the atmosphere and learn, okay, what the heck are these things made of?
                                         
                                         And that's where the Hubble Space Telescope came in with that first look and
                                         
                                         we're like, wait a minute,
                                         
                                         this is really beautiful actually, because we're so used to having to dig for such small
                                         
                                         signals when we study planetary atmospheres that are just really challenging to detect.
                                         
    
                                         And so seeing what looked like a really strong detection of a molecule that we could predict
                                         
                                         at the time, which we predicted was water that was just
                                         
                                         Yeah mind-blowing like in a good way because we predicted it and it was there. I
                                         
                                         Think what's cool about it, too
                                         
                                         Is that at the time I remember reading that there was some suggestion that maybe there's methane on this world
                                         
                                         But we just didn't really have the power to figure it out at that point and now we have JWST
                                         
                                         Which is just blowing
                                         
                                         the lid off of exoplanet research. So it's got to be really cool to get in there and
                                         
    
                                         actually be able to make this detection.
                                         
                                         Yeah, that's, that's a powerful part of the Hubble Space Telescope, but also the limitation
                                         
                                         is it's able to give us these really first looks, you know, a deep dive in the near infrared
                                         
                                         region of light where we could
                                         
                                         look for what is normally going to be a water absorption feature due to water in the planet's
                                         
                                         atmosphere.
                                         
                                         But the problem with planets like K2-18b, they're at this temperature where methane
                                         
                                         also comes into play at these wavelengths.
                                         
    
                                         And so there is this degeneracy that you have in the Hubble wavelength range.
                                         
                                         And so exactly with the James Love Space Telescope, we could come in, expand that wavelength range,
                                         
                                         get really high precision data to look and see, okay, is it actually water, which is
                                         
                                         what we were looking for originally, or is it the methane, which it turned out that,
                                         
                                         yeah, actually, what we thought was water is most likely methane now.
                                         
                                         And that's why we do what we do. Is there a potential for both things to be true?
                                         
                                         There is a potential, yes. With the current combined data set, we saw Hubble, saw something,
                                         
                                         we thought it was water, because that was what the standard models predicted. It did also predict methane, but we had that degeneracy.
                                         
    
                                         We needed more data.
                                         
                                         So now we have more data.
                                         
                                         JWST tells us, okay, there's methane.
                                         
                                         That's great.
                                         
                                         But now we're actually going to be getting even more data
                                         
                                         with JWST in the future.
                                         
                                         So the story is not over yet.
                                         
                                         We think now methane is the dominant molecule and water is actually non,
                                         
    
                                         we'll call it non-significant. It's probably still there, but at much lower levels. And
                                         
                                         so that's something that with more JDBS-T data, we'll be able to just basically get
                                         
                                         a more complete picture and see, okay, expand the wavelength range, getting more precise data and looking
                                         
                                         for more absorption features, seeing how they compare to the models exactly.
                                         
                                         How did everyone react to the people that you're working with on this research? Was
                                         
                                         it surprising to them or was it one of those punch the air, I totally knew it kind of situations?
                                         
                                         I think it was pretty surprising actually, because, you know, we all, again, originally
                                         
                                         thought, oh, it's normal. It'll have some water and maybe carbon dioxide, some other
                                         
    
                                         carbon molecule. It probably will have methane too, but I think we were surprised to see
                                         
                                         just how methane dominant, we say, that the spectrum was. So many absorption features
                                         
                                         due to methane dominance. Not to
                                         
                                         mention the dimethyl sulfide hint. So we'll get there, you know. But yeah, I think we
                                         
                                         were all surprised, especially because the star also that this planet orbits around,
                                         
                                         it's cooler than the sun. So it's more likely to have star spots that actually contain water
                                         
                                         itself. And so that added to the complication of the Hubble data originally, like, oh, is it really
                                         
                                         water from the planet? Or could it be the stars contaminating the planet spectrum that we're
                                         
    
                                         measuring? And actually, if it's not water, that's good, because then the star has less than an
                                         
                                         impact on the data that we're seeing, essentially.
                                         
                                         And that's a great point.
                                         
                                         And it leads me to my next question, because I'm sure there are a lot of people out there
                                         
                                         who are unfamiliar with how we actually study these exoplanets' atmospheres.
                                         
                                         What kind of methods and what kind of instruments did you use to make this detection, and how
                                         
                                         does that relate to the star itself?
                                         
                                         With these planets that we're studying, they orbit quite close to their star, relatively
                                         
    
                                         speaking. Basically, what that means is we are not able to actually resolve the planet
                                         
                                         directly. We're not taking a picture of the star planet system, and we're not actually
                                         
                                         seeing a dot that is the planet. Instead, what we have to do is an indirect technique
                                         
                                         called the transit method.
                                         
                                         And this works out because literally the star and planet are aligned, you know, in such a way that we can detect when the planet passes in front of the star and it blocks some light from the star.
                                         
                                         So we detect that overall dip in brightness. But on top of that, the planet has an atmosphere, so the atmosphere causes
                                         
                                         extra light from the star to be blocked. And that's how we can do this technique called
                                         
                                         transmission spectroscopy specifically. But what it is really is just measuring how the
                                         
    
                                         apparent depth of the planet plus its atmosphere changes as a function of wavelength of light. We can look for extra dips in brightness due to water absorbing in the extra starlight
                                         
                                         in the atmosphere or carbon dioxide or methane, whatever is in the atmosphere.
                                         
                                         It'll be there.
                                         
                                         It'll act as an opaque molecule and so it'll block extra light from the star.
                                         
                                         And yes, that's the technique we use and it's the technique Kabul uses, JWST uses
                                         
                                         to study most of its planets. They do also study planets with direct imaging and do get
                                         
                                         pinpoints of light directly from the planet. But we haven't gotten there quite yet for
                                         
                                         planets in the so-called habitable zone, because they're just all still relatively close to
                                         
    
                                         their stars.
                                         
                                         Yeah, we're going to need some serious instrumentation to make that work.
                                         
                                         But I think that's what's really cool about the fact that we're learning more about these
                                         
                                         sub-Neptunes as a population.
                                         
                                         They're not as small, so they're easier to study their atmospheres because they're just
                                         
                                         so poofy.
                                         
                                         So that gives us a really good opportunity.
                                         
                                         Absolutely.
                                         
    
                                         Which spectrometer did you use on board the spacecraft to actually study
                                         
                                         this atmosphere? So there are actually four total instruments
                                         
                                         on the telescope. And right now, the K-218b has a couple instruments that were used, but
                                         
                                         more are coming. So basically, there's the nearest instrument, which is an acronym. I
                                         
                                         don't even remember it offhand. Every letter is an acronym. It's the NIRIS instrument, which is an acronym. I don't even remember it offhand.
                                         
                                         Every letter is an acronym.
                                         
                                         But it's the NIRIS instrument and the NIR-Spec instrument
                                         
                                         that were used for this first K-218b data.
                                         
    
                                         And then my understanding is that there's
                                         
                                         more data coming from the MIRI instrument, which actually
                                         
                                         goes further into the infrared than these other instruments do.
                                         
                                         So it provides even more additional wavelength coverage that we don't have access to with
                                         
                                         Neuris and Nearspec, which is good because then it adds also to what Hubble looked at before as well.
                                         
                                         And it just gets into more regions where we can look for different absorption features or at least confirm like
                                         
                                         an independent confirmation of what we've already seen, even though it's the same planet,
                                         
                                         same telescope, but it's different wavelength of light.
                                         
    
                                         Yeah, I was going to ask, will that different range of light allow us to just validate what
                                         
                                         we've already learned from your research or might it tell us new things that we already
                                         
                                         don't know about the atmosphere?
                                         
                                         I would say it's both actually. So I like, yeah, the word validations, that's a great word to use
                                         
                                         because these molecules, they have absorption like cross sections, we say across a wide range
                                         
                                         of wavelengths. And so more than what the nearest and nearest spec instruments cover. So that's why MIRI
                                         
                                         will be able to see additional features, absorption features from these molecules and validate
                                         
                                         again the presence of what we've seen and even the abundance because when we look at
                                         
    
                                         these features and we see like an absorption feature, that's a detection but actually then
                                         
                                         we do extra work and models to extract out the abundance of
                                         
                                         those molecules in the atmosphere.
                                         
                                         And so having the extra wavelength coverage will validate both the detection and abundance
                                         
                                         measurements.
                                         
                                         And then, yeah, just literally anytime we look at a new wavelength, especially with
                                         
                                         the JWST data for any exoplanet lately, It seems like every data set we're getting some new feature that
                                         
                                         maybe we're not necessarily expecting to see. We can confirm it with models and all that. We're
                                         
    
                                         not seeing anything too unexpected in a sense, but we are seeing things that maybe we didn't
                                         
                                         realize we'd see so easily with JWST just because the telescope's working so well
                                         
                                         at like every data set. It's like, oh wow, we could see that just like that.
                                         
                                         Really though, I was having a conversation with one of my co-workers the other day about how
                                         
                                         when he was younger, we didn't even think they were going to be able to detect exoplanets at all.
                                         
                                         Then by the time I reached college, we were just beginning to find exoplanets. We were doing
                                         
                                         it one transit at a time. Then comes Kepler and TESS and all of these other telescopes. Now we're
                                         
                                         sitting on 5,500 exoplanets plus. And now we can look at their atmospheres and see clearly what's
                                         
    
                                         going on with them all this distance away. I wish people could appreciate how absolutely wild it is, how much progress we've made in the last few decades.
                                         
                                         Yeah, it's amazing. I remember when I started graduate school and I wrote my first paper as a grad student. In the introduction, you always talk about the current state of exoplanets.
                                         
                                         And I think it was literally fewer than 20 transiting planets at the time. And
                                         
                                         I could tell you something about every single one of them. I knew all their names, their
                                         
                                         properties, everything. With 5,500 plus planets, I can't do that now. There's no way.
                                         
                                         SONIA DARA-MARGOLA But that gives you the opportunity to specialize.
                                         
                                         And I understand you're angling for the worlds that are ones that we really don't encounter
                                         
                                         in our solar system, which is the most interesting group.
                                         
    
                                         Yeah, I think it's fun.
                                         
                                         How many transits of this world did we need in order to make these detections?
                                         
                                         So with JWST, the thing with all these first results that are coming out, a lot of them are first looks.
                                         
                                         So we get just a couple transits of a single planet to get
                                         
                                         the first data set and then we most likely will have astronomers propose to follow the
                                         
                                         targets up once they have that first look.
                                         
                                         And so that's what happened here with K-218b where there were two different transits observed,
                                         
                                         but it was only one with each of the instruments.
                                         
    
                                         One transit with the nearest instrument and then one with the nearest spec instrument.
                                         
                                         And it's actually quite impressive, you know, that we only had these two data sets and already
                                         
                                         see so much evidence of so much information contained in the data.
                                         
                                         Yeah, unfortunately, everyone and their mom and the kitchen sink wants to be using JWST
                                         
                                         because it's such a powerful telescope. So we're limited on what we can do with these first looks.
                                         
                                         And even then, almost every single one of these exoplanet studies has just discovered things that
                                         
                                         we did not expect to happen. It's actually really impressive.
                                         
                                         Absolutely. And keep in mind, too, as much as we would like, JWST studies some things
                                         
    
                                         that aren't exoplanets too. We can't use all the time.
                                         
                                         Unfortunately, we just need 16 JWSTs is really what we need.
                                         
                                         That's right. That would be amazing.
                                         
                                         I know there's some indication that this world might be a Hycian exoplanet. What does that
                                         
                                         mean?
                                         
                                         Yeah, this is a weird, I say weird thing because it's a newer concept. And so it's a little
                                         
                                         strange to wrap your mind around because it initially boils down to the fact that it's
                                         
                                         a like super Earth slash sub Neptune sized planet. So what that means is these Hycian
                                         
    
                                         worlds are like something between one to four
                                         
                                         times the size of Earth. They are not quite Earth size or bigger, but they're not quite Neptune size
                                         
                                         or smaller. And for the solar system, we don't have anything like that. They're brand new to us, but
                                         
                                         more than just their size, they also have appropriate masses to have the right density to
                                         
                                         appropriate masses to have the right density to basically have a substantial rocky core, but also substantial surface ocean, and then having some type of atmosphere, likely an
                                         
                                         extended hydrogen-rich atmosphere. So there's a lot of hydrogen, there's presumably a large
                                         
                                         water ocean, but also a dense rocky core.
                                         
                                         So they're very dense but fluffy.
                                         
    
                                         So fluffy in that they have an atmosphere that we can study with the whole transmission
                                         
                                         spectroscopy technique.
                                         
                                         So they're interesting targets because Earth is considered, it's obviously got a dense
                                         
                                         rocky core, but its atmosphere is very thin, relatively speaking. And these Haitian worlds are something
                                         
                                         that are thought to have not just a super dense atmosphere, again, like Jupiter, Saturn,
                                         
                                         or Neptune would have, but something that is more like Earth, but just a whole new world,
                                         
                                         literally, if you can imagine. world literally. It's hard to imagine because it's so outside of our understanding. We don't
                                         
                                         even know much about Neptune and Uranus given that we've only flown to spacecraft by them
                                         
    
                                         once in our entire history of exploring space. So we're already very limited there in our
                                         
                                         understanding of these ice giants. Then you throw in a world like this that's a sub-Neptune,
                                         
                                         we've never seen anything like it, and then detections of methane and potentially water.
                                         
                                         It's so outside of what we know and understand
                                         
                                         that it's a perfect target for expanding our understanding,
                                         
                                         not just of worlds,
                                         
                                         but in the search for life particularly.
                                         
                                         Yeah, if we are searching for life, that's what we want.
                                         
    
                                         You know, we do, even if we don't mean to do it,
                                         
                                         we're doing it all the time.
                                         
                                         So it's a matter of, yeah, expanding our horizons a bit.
                                         
                                         We know of Earth having life. Obviously, we're here. We're talking on this podcast. There's life
                                         
                                         here. But that's life as we know it, right? So we do have to think outside the box. What is life
                                         
                                         as we don't know it? And that's where astronomers have postulated this new population of planets that could be potentially habitable,
                                         
                                         even though they are in this unique size, mass density range.
                                         
                                         And all these observations are really the first step, starting with Hubble to JWST.
                                         
    
                                         They're the first step in saying, okay, does the atmosphere composition match the predicted models and all that for this type of world? And
                                         
                                         yeah, how does it all fit in? Is this still a Haitian planet? I think, you know, evidence is
                                         
                                         still there. But yeah, there's like we mentioned more JWST data going to come and I'm sure even
                                         
                                         more beyond what's planned already. Oh, I'm hoping because this is a weird one. It deserves a lot of
                                         
                                         observations to try to understand this just because anytime you stumble across a world like this, it's like a needle in a beautiful haystack
                                         
                                         that goes on for infinity. I did want to ask though, sub-Neptunes are the most common type
                                         
                                         of world that we have detected in our galaxy. Is that a consequence of our detection methods,
                                         
                                         or is it actually the case that it's the most
                                         
    
                                         common type of world?
                                         
                                         So most of these worlds in general, yeah, most exoplanets have been discovered with
                                         
                                         the transit technique.
                                         
                                         In that way, we are biased to systems where the planet is literally aligned to cross in
                                         
                                         front of the star from our point of view.
                                         
                                         I guess the other bias there is those planets preferentially orbit closer to their star too, because that just increases the probability that will detect
                                         
                                         them. But that said, there does seem to be a lack of giant Jupiter-sized planets. Those
                                         
                                         would be the easiest to detect by far. Those are the first ones detected by any detection
                                         
    
                                         method essentially, or at
                                         
                                         least around the Sun-like star. And you would think, okay, if giant planets are the most
                                         
                                         common, then that would be the most dominant population we'd see, even ignoring detection
                                         
                                         biases, right? Otherwise, it's just if giant plants are there, they're the easiest to detect.
                                         
                                         But instead, we're finding things that are smaller, right, between one to four Earth's size as the most populous. I think that was a surprise because we wouldn't
                                         
                                         have predicted that again based on the solar system because that's what we know.
                                         
                                         But we also didn't predict that we would find giant hot Jupiters orbiting three
                                         
                                         days around their star. So that also broke things. In a sense, finding so many super-Earths of
                                         
    
                                         Neptune's, mini-Neptunes, whatever you want to call them, I guess it's not that surprising
                                         
                                         in the end because we are finding all kinds of extreme scenarios to be out there. The
                                         
                                         Kepler mission, right, is the one that basically broke this door open with its survey. And
                                         
                                         that's the one that's found the most transiting
                                         
                                         planet so far. And it's looking like, yeah, TESS. So the TESS mission is following up
                                         
                                         doing an all sky survey, mostly around nearby bright stars. And it's also equally finding
                                         
                                         lots of more sub-Neptunes, mini-Neptunes. So the story holds basically, no matter where
                                         
                                         you look in the sky.
                                         
    
                                         That's so weird. weird. So wacky.
                                         
                                         Yeah. I don't know how to explain it.
                                         
                                         But people are thinking about it. Certainly. I'm not a theorist.
                                         
                                         You know, I don't do like planet formation models or anything like that.
                                         
                                         But people definitely are thinking hard about this.
                                         
                                         You spoke a little bit about this earlier, but what do we think this world might be like?
                                         
                                         It might have a bit of a hydrogen atmosphere, but what are the variations here on what it
                                         
                                         might be like inside and what it might be like with a water ocean?
                                         
    
                                         I guess we know that there's a lot of methane.
                                         
                                         The interesting thing is, I think, so we see a lot of methane, right?
                                         
                                         Or we see a lot of methane absorption and strong detection there. But the fact that the JWST data basically
                                         
                                         didn't find strong evidence of water in the atmosphere, that could indicate a couple things,
                                         
                                         right? It could indicate that maybe there is no ocean, there's no water evaporating on a regular cycle, or
                                         
                                         maybe the ocean is not water, it could be something else. So those are a couple of
                                         
                                         factors, or maybe the ocean is frozen solid and it's also not evaporating into
                                         
                                         the atmosphere and having a lot of water transition and a water cycle like we do
                                         
    
                                         here on Earth. So yeah, it
                                         
                                         could mean there's no ocean, it could mean it's frozen, it could mean that maybe it's
                                         
                                         an ocean like liquid methane or liquid something else.
                                         
                                         Yeah, something like we see on Titan. That would be crazy.
                                         
                                         Exactly. So there's all these scenarios that you can imagine that I think are especially
                                         
                                         driven by the lack of that significant water detection because then you can imagine that I think are especially driven by the lack of that significant
                                         
                                         water detection because then you can play those games, right? Okay, we see methane and carbon
                                         
                                         dioxide, so how does that fold into what could the surface actually be like? And yeah, it is
                                         
    
                                         fascinating to think about based on that kind of lack of water. We'll be right back with the rest
                                         
                                         of my interview with Nicole Colonologne after this short break.
                                         
                                         Hi, I'm Asa Stahl, science editor from the Planetary
                                         
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                                         slash membership. That's planetary.org slash membership. Before we get into the intense,
                                         
                                         weird chemistry of this world, I wanted to ask a little bit
                                         
                                         about its star and kind of the situation going on in that star system, because it's a smaller
                                         
                                         red dwarf star, but those stars tend to be, as you said, a little spicy in their younger
                                         
    
                                         years, right?
                                         
                                         They flare up a lot and sometimes create these really potentially hostile environments for
                                         
                                         these creatures like us. So is there
                                         
                                         any indication that's actually the situation in this system and that it's creating this
                                         
                                         kind of volatile hostile situation?
                                         
                                         I would say luckily not terribly hostile. So you're right though that these stars, so
                                         
                                         the star, yeah, it's cooler than the sun, it's smaller than
                                         
                                         the sun. And as I mentioned, a lot of times these stars tend to be more active, as we
                                         
    
                                         say. And so that means they could flare more. So our sun has flares and emits radiation
                                         
                                         all the time, like having star spots come in and out and evolve over time. And these stars, like K-18, they do have similar episodes of flares and spots that grow and
                                         
                                         evolve and dissipate over time.
                                         
                                         But just by their nature, that tends to happen more often than it does on the sun.
                                         
                                         But yes, as far as I'm aware, this star is relatively well-behaved.
                                         
                                         It's not excessively flaring, emitting crazy amounts of radiation.
                                         
                                         And that is especially important to think about just because we mentioned with planets
                                         
                                         like this, it orbits relatively close to its star.
                                         
    
                                         It's in the habitable zone, but the habitable zone
                                         
                                         is shrunken in compared to how we are in the solar system. We're in our habitable zone
                                         
                                         around our star, but we take a year to orbit around our star. This planet orbits much closer.
                                         
                                         In any case, this planet seems to be relatively safe in the grand scheme of things.
                                         
                                         It's good. I mean, what's interesting about this for me is that this world is close enough to its star, but it's fairly big.
                                         
                                         So chances are it has a global magnetic field or something like that. And it's got a big old atmosphere on it.
                                         
                                         So we know it hasn't blown away just yet. So that's pretty useful to know. I think that we're really about not just exploring
                                         
                                         worlds, but trying to seek the familiar out there, particularly in the case of life. And what's cool
                                         
    
                                         about this for me is that if this is in fact like a Haitian world, it's not around too spicy of a
                                         
                                         star, right? That's really useful to know, because this could be a good target to explore the
                                         
                                         potential for life on these kinds of sub-Neptunes.
                                         
                                         Because right now we're very limited in our human-centric way of thinking about this.
                                         
                                         Even in our own solar system, we're looking at these terrestrial worlds that's been massively
                                         
                                         expanded by the idea of subsurface oceans.
                                         
                                         But add in that these kinds of worlds, and who even knows what's going on out there?
                                         
                                         It makes me feel
                                         
    
                                         like we're on the cusp of something so broad that we just don't even know how to understand
                                         
                                         yet.
                                         
                                         Absolutely. And just to add to that, if we did want to think about life as we know it,
                                         
                                         let's say, and think about, okay, what Earth-sized planets are there around sunlight stars, there's
                                         
                                         not many that we've discovered yet.
                                         
                                         So that's another reason why systems like K2-18 that orbit a bit closer into their star
                                         
                                         and they orbit stars relatively nearby, they make really great targets to study because
                                         
                                         they just are more common than at least Earth-like planets around Sun-like stars so far. Mostly because we haven't
                                         
    
                                         been looking for exoplanets long enough to find Earth-like planets around Sun-like stars.
                                         
                                         So there is that bias. But that's fine if we study what we know and study, again, life
                                         
                                         as we don't know it, that's totally fine. We just want to understand, okay, what is
                                         
                                         the scope of the universe we're dealing with here?
                                         
                                         And how cool is that, that we're just a few years out from the Dragonfly mission going
                                         
                                         off to Titan. If there's in fact a bunch of methane on this world, then maybe we can learn
                                         
                                         more about the conditions on a world like Titan. It's much smaller, but if there are
                                         
                                         seas of methane and indications of organic components, we can finally begin to compare
                                         
    
                                         these things, even though they're very different. But you know, you use what you got.
                                         
                                         Oh, yes, absolutely. And that's very important because we astronomers collectively have been
                                         
                                         looking at these types of planets, like where's the methane? They have the right temperature,
                                         
                                         they should have lots of methane, just like the planets in our solar system and we hadn't really seen that until this system. So
                                         
                                         that is finally maybe a puzzle piece solved, right?
                                         
                                         SONIA DARA, M.D. Clearly, you and I are excited about methane, but
                                         
                                         we should probably explain why that's such an exciting thing to discover on a world. And
                                         
                                         why are we so jazzed about methane and carbon dioxide on this planet?
                                         
    
                                         KATE BOWEN I'll start first by saying, you know, we've always looked for water first, because that
                                         
                                         we think is essential to life. And we want to look for life. And so we're like, okay,
                                         
                                         we need water to survive. Let's look for that. But if you want to think even at the most
                                         
                                         basic level, methane, carbon dioxide, water, they all contain carbon. Water doesn't contain
                                         
                                         carbon, but collectively they contain carbon, hydrogen, oxygen. And these three individual
                                         
                                         molecules are what we refer to as the building blocks of life. This is again, carbon-based
                                         
                                         life, life as we know it. But these are like three essential elements out there that we expect are essential to
                                         
                                         combine to come together to form life, to form hospitable atmospheres, make up oceans
                                         
    
                                         and bodies of water, all of that.
                                         
                                         And these molecules are essential in that respect.
                                         
                                         Of course, there is a separate tie-in that methane or other molecules can be also by-products of
                                         
                                         life itself, even if it's artificially produced, you know, even if it's technology producing
                                         
                                         these molecules. So it's kind of like both come together where we have the basic building
                                         
                                         blocks of life, carbon, hydrogen, oxygen. We want to look for those molecules or molecules
                                         
                                         that contain those elements because that is essential.
                                         
                                         But then we also know what are the key byproducts of, again, life as we know it, but that is
                                         
    
                                         where things like methane come in.
                                         
                                         I'm sure some of our listeners remember a few years ago, there was the potential detection
                                         
                                         of methane on Mars.
                                         
                                         There's a lot of study left to be done with that, so don't get too excited just yet. But part of why that's so exciting, at least to me, is that on Earth, methane
                                         
                                         has this short lifetime. And it's specifically because of the interactions with other chemicals
                                         
                                         in our atmosphere. I am not a chemist personally. I studied astrophysics instead. But I believe
                                         
                                         it's the UV light from the sun is photo dissociating water and then some of the byproducts are then destroying
                                         
                                         the methane, right? So all of those situations there could be something that might be happening
                                         
    
                                         on this world as well. It's a smaller star, so less UV light, but there is a potential
                                         
                                         that this methane could be breaking apart as well and have a short lifetime,
                                         
                                         which means that there's got to be something producing it.
                                         
                                         And I don't know what that is, but whatever it is, it could be some kind of geologic thing,
                                         
                                         but also could be an indicator of life.
                                         
                                         Yeah, and just to pick up on something you mentioned too about the star or something. I honestly find hard to wrap around
                                         
                                         But because the star is again different than the Sun it actually does emit more
                                         
                                         Ultraviolet radiation than the Sun does really because yeah, it does depend on the star again
                                         
    
                                         But in this case, it's we're not surprising if there are effects of radiation extra effects of radiation
                                         
                                         I should say compared to the Sun and We're not surprising if there are effects of radiation, extra effects of radiation I
                                         
                                         should say compared to the sun.
                                         
                                         That really comes into play too, especially if it has some of these energetic flares.
                                         
                                         Now we don't really see, again, evidence of that too much.
                                         
                                         We're probably safe and we probably aren't dealing with massive effects of this radiation,
                                         
                                         like you said, that there's obviously an atmosphere there.
                                         
                                         But it is interesting to think about, is there a lot of this photochemistry happening in
                                         
    
                                         the atmosphere because the star is different than the sun?
                                         
                                         And so is there other or extra photochemical processes we should be considering and looking
                                         
                                         for photochemical byproducts, especially?
                                         
                                         Yeah, I don't know the answer, but I know that it's definitely something people are thinking about
                                         
                                         as we study a lot of these types of mdorph stars.
                                         
                                         And I mean, methane isn't a 100% indication of life.
                                         
                                         We find it all over the place.
                                         
                                         But I think what's funny about this is I was learning more about this world and looking
                                         
    
                                         at the spectra.
                                         
                                         And I'm going to add an image of the spectra of this on the website for this episode of
                                         
                                         Planetary Radio so people can look at it.
                                         
                                         If you look at the right side, you'll notice that there's this detection potentially of
                                         
                                         something called dimethyl sulfide.
                                         
                                         And it's so funny to me because I feel like this was the result that actually made the
                                         
                                         hair on my arm stand on end.
                                         
                                         Because on Earth, as far as I understand it, the only thing that creates
                                         
    
                                         this specific molecule is life and it's mostly like phytoplankton in the ocean. Did that
                                         
                                         super surprise you or are there processes that I'm unaware of that could be creating
                                         
                                         that?
                                         
                                         Well, firstly, I am not an astrobiologist, I will say, and I was like, what is dimethylsulfide?
                                         
                                         You know, when I first saw this, I was like, wait, what did we see? Oh my gosh, this is for real. I knew that people were predicting that we
                                         
                                         might be able to see different, what we call these biosignatures with JWST, but I didn't expect it,
                                         
                                         A, so soon into the mission or B, yeah, just so easily. Yeah, but this dimethyl sulfide, that is absolutely my understanding that it's only the byproduct
                                         
                                         of some kind of plankton.
                                         
    
                                         Yeah, it's very interesting.
                                         
                                         The data are really showing a lot of surprises, as we said already, with so much methane,
                                         
                                         carbon dioxide, not much water.
                                         
                                         And now you're adding like this hint at this dimethyl sulfide,
                                         
                                         which it's again the first look, this is where that MIRI data is going to come into play
                                         
                                         especially to validate the signal because there's a, it's like a big teaser right now,
                                         
                                         like all of this. Yeah, it was very surprising to see this result.
                                         
                                         I mean, it might be one of those situations again,
                                         
    
                                         where it's like, you think it's water vapor,
                                         
                                         it turns out to be methane, right?
                                         
                                         Maybe it's not actually what we think it is.
                                         
                                         But if it was, that would be so cool,
                                         
                                         such an amazing thing to find.
                                         
                                         So I'm glad that we're gonna have follow up
                                         
                                         observations on this because that for me
                                         
                                         was the headline that stood out, but you can't really write,
                                         
    
                                         they found dimethyl sulfide in the opening of your article. You can, but you might scare
                                         
                                         people.
                                         
                                         That's right. It is, yeah, a really interesting result. Again, a lot of these sub-Neptunes
                                         
                                         have been mysterious and have wanted to hold on to their secrets. We go to look at their
                                         
                                         atmospheres and we see flat spectra because their
                                         
                                         atmospheres are too opaque. They're too thick. We aren't able to detect anything. They probably have just thick clouds,
                                         
                                         you know, like again Neptune or Uranus and so we just can't
                                         
                                         dig in and see okay what is in the atmosphere because it's just we don't have the right tools even with JWST.
                                         
    
                                         Unfortunately, it's just the planets themselves are difficult. That's where this result comes in. Again,
                                         
                                         so it's obviously not covered in a thick cloud layer, because that would obscure our observations.
                                         
                                         So that's a good thing. So yeah, now we see these other bumps and wiggles that are just
                                         
                                         really intriguing.
                                         
                                         Are we going to be trying to study the clouds on this world?
                                         
                                         Because I know we've managed to do that with some other brown dwarfs.
                                         
                                         Yeah, there's, you know, people are able to do all kinds of studies depending on the
                                         
                                         wavelength that you're looking at.
                                         
    
                                         And with the MIRI data coming in, I believe that's being taken early 2024, that will
                                         
                                         extend further into the infrared.
                                         
                                         But with the current data in hand,
                                         
                                         that extends towards the optical.
                                         
                                         And that's where, when you have the whole wavelength range,
                                         
                                         you can really break degeneracies further and say,
                                         
                                         okay, these are the absorption features
                                         
                                         that we're seeing from the different molecules,
                                         
    
                                         but then maybe their amplitude of the feature
                                         
                                         is not as high
                                         
                                         as the models would predict because there's a cloud layer damping the feature.
                                         
                                         So that is something where when you have the infrared data that is less likely to be obscured
                                         
                                         by clouds, because we're looking deeper in the atmosphere nominally, that is where you
                                         
                                         can break those degeneracies. And so having that as
                                         
                                         an anchor essentially helps to decipher better anything going on towards the optical range.
                                         
                                         Yeah, so I'm really interested to see basically what happens when we get all the data together
                                         
    
                                         and people run their models, run their magic. I did want to ask about one thing that I don't
                                         
                                         know a lot about. And when I was reading about this, one of the articles I read said that there was less ammonia in the atmosphere than
                                         
                                         we expected. And I wanted to know what set that expectation or why that's surprising.
                                         
                                         So when you look at between the temperature of the planet and the density and even considering the star and the types of the literal radiation
                                         
                                         environment you're just in.
                                         
                                         It boils down to, okay, you expect some key molecules to come into play just based on
                                         
                                         the chemistry that you assume the atmosphere has been dealing with over its lifetime.
                                         
                                         And so, yeah, ammonia would be one of these that,
                                         
    
                                         for this specific type of planet, would be predicted to be dominant. Yeah, it's surprising.
                                         
                                         But that's why, that's honestly why we do what we do, to see, okay, we make all these predictions,
                                         
                                         but we don't know until we actually look. And it doesn't mean we're wrong. It's just we're refining
                                         
                                         our predictions and our models.
                                         
                                         I'm biased, we're biased, but I feel like just space exploration in general and the
                                         
                                         exploration of exoplanets has got to be one of the most exciting fields in science right
                                         
                                         now. All science is being accelerated by new technologies, but we're really at a golden
                                         
                                         age right now where we're just constantly tripping over things we didn't expect. There's a lot more to come. Right? So JWST's been, gosh, well, I guess right now, we're coming up on our two year launch
                                         
    
                                         anniversary pretty soon, which is crazy how time flies.
                                         
                                         It really is. I remember that Christmas, we stayed up all night to watch that launch.
                                         
                                         That's right. Yeah, I was, I don't think I slept that night either. Yeah.
                                         
                                         But yeah, it's, yeah, so this is like the tip of the iceberg, right?
                                         
                                         All these results we're finding for exoplanets, and honestly, we're still finding exoplanets
                                         
                                         all the time.
                                         
                                         A lot of them or some of them will be great targets for JWST.
                                         
                                         And so that's where all the research astronomers are doing essentially, you know, interplays
                                         
    
                                         because we just leverage all our resources to do as much as we can while we have them
                                         
                                         because sadly spacecraft don't last forever.
                                         
                                         We do what we can to maximize what we can learn and even start planning for the next
                                         
                                         missions ahead.
                                         
                                         We're going to need more of them because we're just literally at the tip of the iceberg.
                                         
                                         We're all excited about 5,500 worlds, but that's just that's literally nothing compared to how many
                                         
                                         worlds are out there. Before I let you go though, I mean, I know you can't possibly know the name of
                                         
                                         every single exoplanet, but other than K-218b, are there other exoplanets that you're really excited for JWST to take a look at?
                                         
    
                                         Oh yeah, I mean there's, there are many. So I will say that. So actually one of them,
                                         
                                         it's not a sibling to K2-18b, but it's actually K2-22b. So it was discovered shortly after K2-18b,
                                         
                                         is the point. They're kind of related, but in any case, it's a rocky planet.
                                         
                                         But the cool thing about this planet is we expect it's a bare rock because it's actually
                                         
                                         disintegrating.
                                         
                                         So it's coming apart and we've seen evidence of this.
                                         
                                         There's a tail essentially of rocky material outflowing from the planet.
                                         
                                         And so JWST is going to take a look at this planet,
                                         
    
                                         should be early 2024. And it's going to basically be trying to measure the composition of the rocky
                                         
                                         material that is outflowing. So the dusty grains. So we're literally attempting to measure what the
                                         
                                         interior of a planet, an exoplanet, is made of, which is crazy.
                                         
                                         So that's like the biggest cometarial ever.
                                         
                                         Yeah, I know.
                                         
                                         Wow.
                                         
                                         Yeah.
                                         
                                         So that's something that's really cool.
                                         
    
                                         And it's around an mdwarf, just like similar to K2-18.
                                         
                                         So like they're kind of siblings in that sense, but K2-18 just was not surviving its star.
                                         
                                         It just orbits way too close.
                                         
                                         That is so cool. I knew you'd have a great answer for that since you study all the weird ones.
                                         
                                         That's awesome. I love it. Yeah. Well, thanks for joining me, Nicole, and telling us more about this
                                         
                                         world. And I'm sure there's a lot more to come in the next year as we begin doing follow-up
                                         
                                         observations and analyzing even deeper. So when it gets
                                         
                                         even weirder, I'd love to talk to you again.
                                         
    
                                         Sounds good. Yeah, just keep looking out. There's so much coming.
                                         
                                         Thanks.
                                         
                                         It's absolutely amazing to think about what might be out there in this universe. It's
                                         
                                         filled to the brim with countless worlds that are just waiting for us to explore them.
                                         
                                         And you and I get to live in a time when our exoplanetary adventure is just beginning.
                                         
                                         You never know what we might discover in our lifetimes, and that is so cool.
                                         
                                         But in the meantime, let's check in with Bruce Betts, the chief scientist of the Planetary
                                         
                                         Society for What's Up.
                                         
    
                                         Hey, Bruce, happy New Year!
                                         
                                         Howdy and happy New Year.
                                         
                                         I'm really glad to be back. Being sick around New Year is always such a
                                         
                                         bummer because I didn't get to go out and see any fireworks or anything.
                                         
                                         But that's all right.
                                         
                                         We got to hear plenty of them because they just explode near our house.
                                         
                                         Now living in Los Angeles is just one of those things. Anytime there's a big
                                         
                                         celebration, the whole city just erupts in fireworks despite them being illegal.
                                         
    
                                         Yeah, it's really rather impressive how many, I mean, there were some huge ones this year,
                                         
                                         enormous and yeah, dog not happy. Okay.
                                         
                                         But you know, it's funny, anytime I'm like majorly sick, it's such a silly thing to think
                                         
                                         about, but I keep thinking about like, what would happen if we ever made first contact with other alien creatures and we couldn't hang
                                         
                                         out with them because we'd get them sick. I know there's a lot of complexity to the
                                         
                                         way that we transmit diseases between species and stuff like that, but anytime I'm sick,
                                         
                                         I just think to myself, I'm probably never going to get to hug an extraterrestrial.
                                         
                                         Pete's brain is amazing and this is when you're not fevered out.
                                         
    
                                         It's true. It's chaotic space madness in there.
                                         
                                         Strangely, I feel badly that you don't think you'll be able to hug an extraterrestrial.
                                         
                                         And that is not a thought I thought I would ever have.
                                         
                                         But you know, in happier news, I got a lot of really beautiful heartfelt messages from
                                         
                                         people during the week that I was sick. And I just want to say thank you to everyone that sent me emails or poetry
                                         
                                         or the people that wrote messages in our member community.
                                         
                                         It made me so happy and I feel so appreciated.
                                         
                                         So thank you.
                                         
    
                                         Did you get the flowers I sent?
                                         
                                         No.
                                         
                                         Oh, how unusual and weird.
                                         
                                         What else you got?
                                         
                                         One of the people that wrote me during this week was Dale Davis, or Dale DeVos, forgive
                                         
                                         me if I'm mispronouncing that, from Oregon, USA, who wrote best wishes on my recovery,
                                         
                                         but also said that he's a new member because of listening to planetary radio and that he's
                                         
                                         sure it's probably one of the reasons he'll stick around for a while. So that's high praise
                                         
    
                                         for us. Also, one of us, one of us.
                                         
                                         That's awesome. And hey, everybody, come on, join us, be one of us. And we promise you will not
                                         
                                         get fever dreams like Sarah's had just for joining. You will find a wealth of happiness.
                                         
                                         I just had such a really fun time talking to Nicole about this ex because I about this exoplanet because I feel like
                                         
                                         sub-Neptunes are just so weird. And I'm sure they're not as weird as I think they are.
                                         
                                         They're just completely outside of my experience learning about our solar system. We don't
                                         
                                         have any sub-Neptunes in our solar system. So knowing there's so many of them out there
                                         
                                         just begs the question, like like what kind of other weird worlds
                                         
    
                                         are we just so unaware of? I don't know. You know, you got your super earths and your sub
                                         
                                         neptunes and they I feel like I'm trying to out weird you now. Maybe. What about like mirror
                                         
                                         planets or like crystalline planets or- You win. You win. Mirror planets? Yeah! What if they're just like covered in shiny metals or I don't know. But yeah, that's
                                         
                                         my brain when I'm sick. I'm just thinking about weird stuff all day.
                                         
                                         All right. Well, I got to reset.
                                         
                                         So, Venus has really long days or days and nights depending on how you look at the word
                                         
                                         day.
                                         
                                         Long daytime, long nighttime.
                                         
    
                                         And you can kind of get what it means when you say it in days, but let's take a little
                                         
                                         jaunt into a scale time model where the earth spins around in one minute.
                                         
                                         The earth spins around in one minute. The Earth spins around in one minute.
                                         
                                         Venus spins around in about two hours.
                                         
                                         Yikes. That's really slow.
                                         
                                         Considering it's actually like 117 days. That's the day like we call 24 hours where you're turning
                                         
                                         back and get the sun back in the same part of the sky. So what normal people call a day.
                                         
                                         There you go. Do we have any idea why it rotates so slowly?
                                         
    
                                         The basic theory usually involves giant impact, early information that ended up causing the
                                         
                                         rotation, because it also rotates the opposite of everyone else in the solar system. Well,
                                         
                                         not Uranus is on its side and just a baffling beast of its own, but other
                                         
                                         than that, so it rotates slowly the opposite direction.
                                         
                                         If you could see the sun, which you can't from the surface being
                                         
                                         told it's daylight, it would rise in the West and set in the East.
                                         
                                         And it's all at least as far as I'm aware, it's still a big impact.
                                         
                                         Just tilted that sucker changed momentum got wiggy
                                         
    
                                         You know if there's a new theory that I've missed like
                                         
                                         Involving crashing into a mirror planet
                                         
                                         Let me know that's why it's going backwards mirror world
                                         
                                         All right, we can end it there all right everybody, everybody, go out there, look in the night sky and think of a mirror planet
                                         
                                         and what you would see if you looked into the mirror.
                                         
                                         Thank you and good night.
                                         
                                         We've reached the end of this week's episode of Planetary Radio, but we'll be back next
                                         
                                         week with even more space science and exploration.
                                         
    
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                                         And until next week, ad astra.
                                         
