Planetary Radio: Space Exploration, Astronomy and Science - Space Policy Edition: Does the rise of Elon mean the decline of NASA?

Episode Date: September 5, 2025

NASA, the crown jewel of 20th-century technocratic liberalism, was the first to land humans on the Moon but now depends on SpaceX for its access to space. Atlantic writer Franklin Foer believes this r...eflects a diminishment of national capability and that NASA was inadvertently responsible for its own decline. He traces this transformation from a collective pursuit of higher values to a more individualistic — and idiosyncratic — motivation based on utility and extraction, and ties it to a larger trend in American politics over the past 50 years. Along the way, Frank and host Casey Dreier discuss if Elon Musk is the antithesis of Carl Sagan, the tensions between individualism and collectivism in American politics, and the role of the romantic ideal in the symbolism of space exploration. Discover more at: https://www.planetary.org/planetary-radio/franklin-foer-on-nasas-declineSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcript
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Starting point is 00:00:00 Hello, and welcome to the space policy edition of Planetary Radio. I'm Casey Dreyer, the chief of space policy here at the Planetary Society. This is our monthly show. that examines the processes that enable space exploration. This month we have Franklin IV. He is a staff writer at the Atlantic Magazine, who recently published a very insightful piece about the role of private industry of Elon Musk
Starting point is 00:00:52 in defining the public's relationship to space. And in his framing, the decline of NASA, as a consequence of filling that same role and tying it to larger societal trends of the, as he puts it, the parable of government, the loss of trust in government in the United States and placing it in the hands of not a collective enterprise, but an individual enterprise. It's a very interesting piece. If nothing else, it very nicely summarizes the last 25 years of space. exploration in the United States and the dynamics and potential consequences of turning over various aspects of control of the space program to an individual. Franklin IV is a staff
Starting point is 00:01:44 writer at the Atlantic and previously the author of a number of books, most recently the last politician inside Joe Biden's White House, and prior to that, I think relevantly to this discussion, a book on big tech called World Without Mind, the existential threat of big tech. Franklin IV is not a space person, and he describes himself as that. He's a political commentator, a writer. And I think that's fascinating to explore
Starting point is 00:02:14 how he saw NASA before and after he wrote this piece, which was very well researched. I, full confession here, I was a source that he used when putting together this article, but I talked to him many months ago. He spent a long time putting this piece together, and I was impressed by the amount of depth and thought that went into it. Seeing this reflection of how the space program presents itself to those, in a sense, outside the activities. I am a space fan. I think about space literally every day, most of the day,
Starting point is 00:02:49 probably. The vast majority of people do not. So seeing how this effort is reflected, back through that prism, how it is integrated through a mind like Franks that sees in a broader political and historical trends in the United States was a really fascinating experience. And I was delighted to speak with him. It's again, a wonderful article I recommend reading it. Even if you disagree with bits and pieces of it, I think it is a provocative and thought-inspiring piece and worth reading. That's on the Atlantic. It's called how NASA engineered its own decline. But before we get to that, I would be remiss if I did not mention our efforts to reverse this decline. We have two things coming up that I should mention. One is our planetary
Starting point is 00:03:39 society and our broader coalition now of over a dozen different partners of other organizations for our fall, save NASA Science Day of Action. That's where we go to Washington, D.C., directly and advocate for space science. The thing that NASA does that no one else in the United States does, which is under attack, as you know, if you listen to this show, facing a 50% cut by the White House. We have huge steps forward and potential to address this through Congress, but we need to get this legislation across the finish line.
Starting point is 00:04:14 If you want to help, planetary.org slash day of action, we're meeting in Washington, D.C., October 5th and 6th of 2025, to do what we can to get this word out. The other thing, if you're not a member or supporter of the Planetary Society, we are independent. The reason we are so invested in space science and we are so energetic and outward facing and how we talk about it is because of our members who enable us to pursue our beliefs to represent our beliefs in policy and in practice for space.
Starting point is 00:04:50 I want NASA to be the best of us. I want NASA to represent idealism and optimism. I want NASA to pursue the function of curiosity, of exploration, of sending humans and robots further out into space with the goal of better understanding where we come from. We can do this because we have members all across the world who enable this project. We don't take government funding. We don't have major aerospace contractors. paying our organization.
Starting point is 00:05:22 We depend on individuals across the world. If you are not a member of the Planetary Society yet or have not donated, please consider doing so at planetary.org slash join. You literally enable this organization to continue existing. We depend on you. Those of you who are a member
Starting point is 00:05:42 consider upgrading your membership, but if nothing else, thank you for doing your part to enable this organization. to do everything we can to push back on these, frankly, disastrous policies. And now, please welcome Franklin Four. Franklin Four, welcome to the space policy edition. I'm delighted to have you on.
Starting point is 00:06:04 I'm so delighted to be here. I've learned so much from this podcast, so thank you. Oh, yeah, that's quite the compliment. And again, I loved your piece, which again was in the Atlantic, just the other month, called How NASA Engineered Its Own Becline. it covers a number of themes, but before we jump into those, I'm curious for you as a non, I'd characterize you as a non-space person initially, right? You're not a professional space person.
Starting point is 00:06:29 Tough but fair. Yes. Yeah. We don't beat around the bush on this podcast. We get right to the hard-hitting questions. What was your idea and kind of conception of NASA and the U.S. space program before you started reporting this piece, and what drew you to this topic to want to go into this? So when I grew up, I definitely had, you know, the poster of Neil Armstrong on my, my bedroom wall, and I grew up in the 1970s. So it was the romance of human space exploration was real and was part of my life. But as you say, I wasn't a space enthusiast. This was just kind of part of my, it was kind of part of my DNA as an American. And then, you know, along the way, I started to have the same question.
Starting point is 00:07:15 that I think probably occurs to, you know, almost every guest that appears in this podcast is that something happened that this thing that had been the greatest example of the competence of the U.S. government suddenly was this thing that was no longer achieving anything remotely close to what we had once achieved. And so the question was why. And that question had been on my mind for a long time. And it happened as I was watching the Trump campaign started to emerge with Alon Musk playing this starring role in the campaign. And I guess I wanted to kind of in parallel explore these two things that were long percolating and then percolating in the immediate term, which was, was there some sort of interconnection between the way in which
Starting point is 00:08:07 Musk has stolen NASA's thunder and this other question of what had happened to NASA? And obviously, I knew that the NASA story was a much longer, deeper story. than predated the arrival of Alon Musk on the scene. But it felt like such an interesting big question that I wanted to spend a couple months trying to pull together my reporting, my theory is about what it happens. In this process, what surprised you about NASA itself?
Starting point is 00:08:34 Like, what did you learn that did deepen your relationship to the space program, that you did not, you know, that I'm just really interested in this cultural awareness that you had just growing up in it outside of the details of it? Did you realize, did you have, did you feel a reasonable understanding? Was it accurate? Or did you find that it was an echo or a mirror of something that didn't actually exist in a good or bad way? This is going to sound so elementary.
Starting point is 00:09:00 But I guess I kind of knew in the recesses of my brain that there were two sides of the house at NASA, that there was human spaceflight and there was everything else. And, you know, of course, like the headlines would often come from the everything else side. of the NASA house. But I hadn't quite realized just kind of the extent to which, even if we're going to bifurcate NASA in that sort of way, you were telling two separate stories, that the story of human spaceflight
Starting point is 00:09:29 is one of insane ambitions where we've often sputtered because of all the deep failings of our political system, essentially, to be able to mobilize this incredible asset that it has. And then the political system oftentimes kind of throwing up its arms and welcoming in whatever band-aid solutions it can find. But this kind of zombie thing that really persist. And then the other side of NASA, which is just astonishing, and that if you look at its track record, it's still the science that was being produced by this agency was
Starting point is 00:10:05 still something that was filling in gaps that the market, the academy, wasn't able to fulfill, that government was actually managing to answer a lot of the most profound questions about human existence, not in a one-off sort of way, but in a relatively consistent sort of way. And so while NASA was made for an easy pinata for a lot of politicians, because of the muddled state of our human space exploration, all the rest of the parts of NASA were still astonishing. Do you believe, then, through that experience, that human spaceflight functionally then defines NASA to the broader public? And why do you think that is, ultimately? Largely, it defines it for the broader public just because that's the part that's most ingrained in our popular culture that is the most dramatic that has produced the most moments that the American public has connected with over time,
Starting point is 00:11:06 which is not to say that the American public doesn't connect with rovers and telescopes and all the rest. They do connect with it, but it just doesn't tap into that primal part of the American brain in quite the same way. Do you think it's because we're just primates? We just like need humans, or is it just a narrative aspect of it? Is it the grand scale of human spaceflight? Well, I guess it can't be because, I mean, you're really talking about Apollo, right? And in your piece, you talk about and some of your interviews, how the shuttle era, you know, it's still sending humans in the space. It's really hard and expensive, but didn't connect on the same way, right?
Starting point is 00:11:45 And so through this audacious initial birthing of NASA and the space program, we saw some sort of like representation of ourselves go further and that defined expectations forever forward, do you think, among the broader American people? I mean, obviously, the whole world paid attention to Apollo, but I think why was the United States the country that launched Apollo and why is the United States the country that continues to send human beings into space most consistently? I think it's because the concepts of exploration and of frontiers are so baked into the national narrative, the story that we tell ourselves about who we are and our audaciousness and. Going back to the Kennedy era, when John Kennedy first ran for president, and he invoked the new frontier. That was obviously a phrase that Verna von Braun had helped popularize, but when he talked about that phrase, that wasn't what was on his mind. I mean, he wasn't a big fan of space exploration. And he was really thinking about the American historian, Frederick Jackson Turner, who had declared the closing of the American frontier at the end of the 19th century. And what he wanted to recapture was this sense of American vitality. And he was describing basically this contrast between himself and Eisenhower,
Starting point is 00:13:09 who he was kind of depicting as a gray old man. And he was youthful vigor. But this idea that we needed to do something to restore our vitality as a nation. And space, it's almost surprising that it took as long as it did to stumble into space as the program that would best embody that. But that's a real part of who we are. And there's a lot of tainted history that goes along with it, but there's also kind of a noble spirit attached to that as well.
Starting point is 00:13:46 And so I don't think it's wrong to look to space as an area for expressing this intangible part of who we are. you are primarily i'd say like a writer of american politics and and an observer of the american psyche to some degree is that in a sense required for the country or at least seen by certain sectors of the country is like we need a space to go to we need a place to channel our hopes for the future towards and does that require some kind of physical manifestation of that space right kind of going back to this Turner theory and like, oh, there's no more land left to go. We have to go to space. And so, therefore, what we do in space must represent that. Or is it, is that kind of a romantic
Starting point is 00:14:34 story that we tell ourselves? Like, do we actually psychologically need this as a culture, in your opinion? I don't think we actually need it. I don't think we'll become more violent without ways to channel this fundamental expression of who we are. I guess you talk about Vitality, though, right? And one of your theses in this is that you kind of track this decline of NASA as a symbolic representation of decline of a certain kind of ideal of ourselves and our own identity as Americans and through our government representation, right? You say NASA was born at the height of liberalism's faith in government and its demise tracks that decline of that faith. So it says something about it, it seems like. For sure.
Starting point is 00:15:17 I mean, I think that it's striking that at the moment when American liberalism was seeking to prove itself to itself or prove itself to the country, that it chose space as the realm to do that. Obviously, the Cold War was an important part of that. But I think it was also because at that moment, it was possible to achieve a measure of consensus around doing this one big, enormously complicated thing that proved our worth as a technological nation. Now, I don't think there's any equivalent need to prove ourselves in that sort of way to the rest of the world. I think our dominance as a technological nation is well established. But I think that there was also this other part of that project and the other part of the NASA project, which is that it was baked into a broader cultural desire to expand knowledge in every single realm and that government was willing to invest. in the expansion of knowledge by funding the boom in the American University,
Starting point is 00:16:23 by setting up these and financing these institutes that would study and research medicine, and that space was a part of that. And it was actually a beautiful thing that we were doing by, because some of this knowledge was done in the name of achieving practical, tangible results. But so much of what we've done in space
Starting point is 00:16:47 is really about deeper, more spiritual questions, about who we are and where we came from. And the mystery that there is this broader universe that encases us that we know exceedingly little about relative to the rest of our knowledge of, say, the human body or our knowledge of human history. And so, of course, we're going to be curious about that as a species and as a nation.
Starting point is 00:17:16 And so we were doing something, I think, even more noble than exploration, which was setting out to kind of discover who we are and where we sit. Did that part surprise you when you delve into this topic more? It did. I mean, as we've talked about before, we both came of age at a certain period in history where if you thought about space,
Starting point is 00:17:40 the first person who would come to mind was Carl Sagan. And Sagan was so associated. with some of these bigger or deeper, more philosophical reasons for going into space and for thinking about space and for exploring space. And that's fallen to the side, I think, culturally, which is not that shocking when you look at certain events, like the rise of Silicon Valley and the way in which engineering, which in the 1950s was this kind of profession that was weirdly detached from the rest of professions, which was weirdly detached from politics and
Starting point is 00:18:19 status, has suddenly come rocketing, to use a terrible, apt metaphor, has come roaring into the culture as maybe the profession that for a brief period of time had more prestige than any others. This was actually, engineering is something that I've been obsessed with as a profession for a long time because when I was a young reporter, I was just thinking about the recomposition of the American elite. And I took just as a, it's kind of a personal study. I looked at Vanity Fair, which was once upon a time, a magazine that once appeared in print, very glossy, had a whole lot of cultural prestige, and it would come up with lists of the new establishment. And I was just curious. I was like, where does this new establishment that they
Starting point is 00:19:09 were describing in the early 21st century come from. And what was their professional basis? And I just made my own little list. And I can't remember what percentage, but a huge percentage of the people who were the new establishment in America were actually people who had trained as engineers who brought an engineering mindset to the way that they thought about not just their companies, but thought about the American public. Do you include software engineering in this? Yeah, yeah, yeah. Yeah, like physical engineering. So just, as a sense, applied organization creation and, as he said, through companies.
Starting point is 00:19:48 And a mindset about also efficiency, achieving efficiency. Optimizations. Right. Yeah. Do you think that was a turning point at the century, 20th to 21st century, that that began to really take over through software? Yeah, and kind of in a way you look at the Elon Musk's. brief triumph and the way that he actually established a department of government efficiency
Starting point is 00:20:14 where there was an engineer in charge of remaking the American state in order to achieve that state of more perfect optimization. Are you, I can I might know the answer, but your opinion of the technocratic engineering theory is that improved or diminished after the Doge experiment with Elon Musk through this? process? Or what is that? What do you take? Well, I've always been a skeptic of government by engineer in that type of technocracy just because it so quickly becomes amoral. And I think that we saw that in the way that the Department of Government Efficiency unfolded, which was, I don't know if this is a terribly rational way of thinking about things, because, but it was based on
Starting point is 00:21:02 certain keywords that had become fetishized within Silicon Valley, which was that you needed radical disruption, you needed to break systems in order to create new systems. And there was just a randomness to the way that Doge went about trying to dismantle what had been in the name of imposing something new and more efficient. Do you think that's because engineers tend to work in domains that are quantizable or quantifying, you know, in the sense that they have, they're either physics, right, just reality when you're building something, you have the physical world that limits you. Software, you have bits and you're creating structures, you know, an if-then statement will always function the same way, right? It's a one and a zero. But then you move
Starting point is 00:21:47 into seeing government as a similar behavior of a predictable set of inputs will have a deterministic set of outputs, ignores the fact that people are just weird and idiosyncratic and that there's other forces and things moving around in this that aren't subject to those types. of predictive rules. That and they have so little respect for institutions, because institutions are the embodiment of all those weird characteristics that you just described. The nature of human history is that these things accrete, whether they're government agencies or their universities, and if you were to rebuild them now, you would never
Starting point is 00:22:29 rebuild them in the way that they've accreted over time, because it is objectively irrational. But I think the mistake that engineers sometimes make is that they assume by destroying those old institutions, you would necessarily be able to replace them with something better, which is, you know, not always the case. And it also ignores a lot of the wisdom that it creates slowly within the idiosyncratic practices and byways of an institution. That institutions, institutions have a hard time sometimes expressing their wisdom, but oftentimes it's there. And that the things that they're trying to, that institutions preserve may be indeed antiquated, but they still have, you know, antiquated by the standards of optimization, but they have enduring
Starting point is 00:23:24 values as well. That's like an Edmund Burkean kind of style of politics, right? Exactly. conservativeism, you know, you have a long profile of Elon Musk in this piece and it kind of weaves between kind of the role of SpaceX within NASA and NASA's shifting relationship to space to private companies and then also, you know, kind of an exploration of Musk's viewpoint and beliefs. And the way that you framed it, I kept, the word that kind of kept coming into my head and I'd be curious to hear your response was like this kind of Nietzsche and Uber-Mensch kind of mentality
Starting point is 00:24:03 being represented through musk but i think without the aesthetic right like there there's like a will to power like through it's almost kind of like the framing of a musk approach to the world right but without seeing kind of the validity of highest expression being an artistic or aesthetic sense and it seems so that's like almost that and again i apologies to the engineers who are listening to this because it's not i don't think this is common but this like an over-engineering mindset or a lack of two to focus in one style of approach without expressing some larger viewpoint. But do you see this as some kind of pure sense of will to power of how Elon Musk conceived as himself vis-à-vis humanity, much lesser, or space at least?
Starting point is 00:24:48 Yeah, I think it's a little bit more romantic, even if he's not somebody you would describe as especially romantic. But, you know, it's because it's a combination of this belief in apocalypse. and impending doom, and that the vehicle for our impending doom is constantly shifting shape in his worldview, whether it was climate change or its AI or nuclear war, he knows that humanity, he knows in his bones that humanity is going to come to some sort of catastrophic end, which requires salvation. And so he styles himself a messianic figure, which is not that surprising given the book
Starting point is 00:25:32 that he grew up reading, which often featured an engineer who comes to the rescue of humanity. It's basically Asimov's Foundation books, right? Exactly. Among others. Exactly. So I think that he, for deeply psychobiographical reasons, he craves playing that role himself. And once you've assigned yourself that role where the consequences, the necessity of playing that salvific role is so strong. It allows you to break many rules in pursuit of that important, overwhelming objective. It's interesting you describe them as romantic in that sense, because I've been going back and
Starting point is 00:26:18 forth, too. He doesn't neatly fit within categories, I think. And through your piece, too, you talk about how SpaceX the company is not some ideologically preferred thing. it is actually an incredible company. It is like a truly unique contributor and player on the stage. Where I see the kind of will to power as being this breaking, you know, no respect for establishment, breaking rules, taking on the ownership of through sheer will, the desire
Starting point is 00:26:45 to create and manifest this future. Exactly. But then you said, yeah, the motivation is really interesting. Do you believe, again, through your work on him, that his motivation was always that from the beginning or has evolved into this more messianic-ish figure as time has gone on and he's become more successful? I think it's evolved for reasons where it's like very few people are born with a messianic mindset. It's right. It's like you don't meet a whole lot of toddlers who are messianic. But you can see how it evolved over time, which was that he had, it was based on what he
Starting point is 00:27:23 read. It was based on how he was raised. And it was based on how he was raised. And it was based on these unmet urges for affirmation that he had. And then when he starts to achieve some level of success, he begins to test the waters and do these more audacious things in the realm of space. And then he starts to receive Agulatory press coverage because on its face, it's pretty cool that this guy who made a lot of money is trying to do big, ambitious things where the government is so obviously floundering. And then government starts to realize that, hey, maybe we should place some bets on this guy. And so when the media and when the government is telling
Starting point is 00:28:08 you, hey, you really could rescue our space program. And hey, you really are doing something amazing, which he was, it's easy to see how that could inflate one's sense of mission. And And I think the thing that's so curious about the way that he thinks about space is how he seems to have some pretty big, fixed ideas, but largely he's riffing. He's just kind of making it up as he goes along. Hey, we're going to nuke the Poles of Mars with, you know, these aren't things that are well-conceived scientific approaches to achieving his end goals. It's just, it's him spitballing on a stage with a reporter who's asking him questions.
Starting point is 00:28:54 And I think he enjoys, you know, part of his persona is also this, that he's a provocateur, that he enjoys, he enjoys throwing things out and seeing what kind of reaction that they're going to get. And the fact that he may be belittled or dismissed or that doesn't really seem to bother him in any particular sort of way. Did you ever uncover kind of the post-success state of what a Mars colony and his vision would look like? And I think this goes to my thinking of this, the Nietzschean without the role of the aesthetic. Like what is life like and what enriches life at this point? This kind of cuts into a deeper theme we've touched on. But through the action, you know, as I said, we both grew up, and I particularly grew up reading these Sagan, but also back to Arthur C. Clark, this idea that going into space is an enrichment, you know, to humanity.
Starting point is 00:29:53 It helps literally will, and Clark's telling literally would help us transcend to a higher, you know, state of existence. And that seems to have changed. I mean, you, you call it, you have a, a barn burner of a couple of a paragraph here, but he said space was once, his, his Elon Musk's values have come to dominate American aspirations in space, draining the lyricism from the old NASA mission, Whereas space is once a realm of cooperation, beyond commercial interest in military pursuits. Now it is the site of brinksmanship and a source of raw materials that nations hope to plunder. The humanistic pursuit of the mysteries of the universe has been replaced by an obsession with rocket power. Yes. So, I mean, the amazing thing about space is that it is this tabular rasa, where we do have the potential to imagine a future that's better than the one that we had back here on this planet.
Starting point is 00:30:45 But I think with Musk, what separates him from that old lyricism is that he views space as kind of a, as an escape hatch. That space isn't this alternative option to human existence on planet Earth. It is a place we need to go in order to hide and protect ourselves from the catastrophe that will eventually, inevitably befall us here. And once you get in that mindset of escape, it's about survival. And survival is a very thin, grim scenario for humanity. It's about hiding out. It's about avoiding the worst. It's not about fulfilling some sort of higher end.
Starting point is 00:31:34 We'll be right back with the rest of our space policy edition of Planetary Radio after this short break. This October, NASA needs. you. Hi, I'm Jack Carelli, Director of Government Relations at the Planetary Society. In response to unprecedented proposed budget cuts to NASA's science programs, the Planetary Society and a coalition of our allies and partners are organizing a special day of action to save NASA science. Join us in person on October 5th and 6th in Washington, D.C. You'll receive training on effective advocacy from our team of space policy experts, then head to the Hill to meet directly with your representatives in Congress
Starting point is 00:32:19 to advocate for protecting NASA's science budget and ongoing missions. If you can't come to Washington, D.C., you can still pledge to take action online. We'll give you the resources you need to be part of the movement to save NASA science. This event is open to any U.S. resident, no experience required. Space science benefits all of humanity. Let's stand together to protect it. Registration is open now at planetary.org slash day of action. We'll see you in Washington.
Starting point is 00:32:51 It's almost tautological in the sense that the point of colonization is to be somewhere, you know, is to be alive, just to have humans somewhere else, right? And existence beyond that is irrelevant because you are existing, therefore you've succeeded in your... It's also the difference between Musk and Bezos, and I'm not a fanboy for, Jeff Bezos either. But I do think that the O'Neill colonies, you look at the renderings of them, they at least suggest an existence that maybe it totally mimics a lot of what we have back on planet Earth. They're Edenic. Yeah. Right? Like it's your, here's your Eden, your endless paradise of plenty in space. Yeah. And I somehow have more time for an Edenic vision of space because
Starting point is 00:33:39 it at least means that there's this possibility of doing better, that if we're going to set out to actually colonize something in space, which I consider to be an incredibly remote possibility and something that probably should not be a primary goal of the United States government in terms of its space priorities. But if we were going to pursue it, I would hope that there would be some possibility that it would be better than what we have now, or at least would offer some hope. for doing better. I think I would say, if Musk would characterize his vision, he would say it would be better, right? That we're going to have some, everyone will use X and they'll vote on things en masse whenever they need to pass a law or something, right? And they'll use crypto or something.
Starting point is 00:34:28 You know, it'll be the, there is like a strain of utopianism involved in this. There's a libertarian utopianism. But I think that so much of it, to go back to Kennedy, and the frontier idea. I think that that is probably what floats his boat or whatever the space equivalent of that is. Orbit's his ship.
Starting point is 00:34:48 Yeah. That he believes that it will be exciting and that there will be this rush of adrenaline. And that it is, because this is the thing that as I'm talking to this route, and I'm now going to spitball like Elon Musk. I think it's, he wants the thrill of exploration, and the guise of colonization.
Starting point is 00:35:11 And that exploration is a great way to live your life, but it's not a permanent, if you're actually going to relocate humanity to another place, you can't live it in a way where you're constantly vulnerable. Nobody wants to, living on the frontier is a hard existence. And I think we should be grateful that the frontier closed and that we were able to kind of locate into permanent settlement. where we were able to take solace in community and able to build institutions.
Starting point is 00:35:44 Right. It's nice not having to worry about famine or, you know, not having a crop grow and then, you know, just whatever kind of hard or laboring 17 hours a day, right, to build a fence. It's interesting that you talk about this relationship of, you say, the story of NASA and Elon Musk is a parable for government in the United States. Can you outline that a bit? And I'd like to follow up with just an addition to that. So, as we've already discussed, Apollo was the embodiment of a technocratic liberalism that
Starting point is 00:36:14 flourished for a time in this country that was the consensus about how we were going to tackle some of the hardest problems that we had in front of us. And that promise of technocracy, the liberal technocracy, was an extremely expensive promise that was ultimately not sustainable. And so the question is, what comes in its wake? And in the realm of space, we decided it was the space shuttle, which was the epitome of a government program that satisfied nobody. It was kind of a half measure. It was not the full Werner von Braun package about going to Mars and about all the wonderful things we could do in space.
Starting point is 00:36:58 It was a program that had, we shouldn't fully degrade and diminish it, but it was a half measure. And it did become a zombie program. You know, you could see the ways in which government was creating problems for itself that it then had to solve. So there was a space station you needed to find some sort of way to service it. And rather than stepping back and maybe doing the engineering thing, which is like really thinking hard about what our objectives are, which I think is maybe the primary question, both for politicians and for engineers, it was just that we kept probably. problem-solving. And then you have a series of administrations that are scrambling and not really caring. That was the thing that I think is most distressing, is that you have politicians who go through
Starting point is 00:37:51 the motions as it relates to space exploration, but they don't actually care about the outcome. And so that means that the priorities are continually shifting. It means that we're never fully funding whatever it is we're hoping to achieve. And so you need to create Rube Goldberg contraptions in order to just keep the whole thing going. And so the traditional defense contractors offered one set of Rube Goldberg contraptions, but they were so evidently insufficient and costly and bureaucratic that there became this quest to create a new Rube Goldberg contraption, which is what we've ended up with with SpaceX. And I think that the paradox is that we don't care that much about human space exploration.
Starting point is 00:38:36 as a political system, as a culture, but we care a lot about space because space has only grown in importance because of its centrality to communications and its centrality to national defense. And so I think the precarious position we've put ourselves in is that the Rube Goldberg contraption that yielded SpaceX is now so, so much more important to these other objectives of communication and defense that, you know, whatever happened. in the realm of space exploration is essentially irrelevant now because we're locked in when it comes to using the internet or surveilling or, you know, potentially missile defense, that it's going to be very hard to escape this relationship or diversify.
Starting point is 00:39:22 Yeah, or just communication, as you point out with the role of Starlink and the Russia and Ukraine war. I was thinking, as you were saying that, it's back in the 60s, space was the primary symbol, it seemed like, or the dominant symbol of techno capability, in a sense. And that's no longer the case now because the technology and the whole obviously computing and communications revolution with the internet has provided alternative ways to represent that type of technological dominance or leadership or whatever, what have you. And so space remains, I mean, it's a potent symbol, but I think, you know, the amount of dollars flowing around AI and, just software in general, not to mention computing and chip making and all these other kind of
Starting point is 00:40:08 key areas of technology, seemed in a sense, have diluted the ability of particularly human space light to serve that need. And I wonder if that tracks that diminishment of government funding as well. I always think about how, you know, you read contemporary writing about Apollo and they say, this is the future, right? I don't know if you read of a fire on the moon while you were preparing for this. And in kind of the fever dreams of his writing from that book, it was like, the, the It's organizational skill and the power of systems. And it was actually, he had it completely backwards, right? The systems itself ultimately became, as you said,
Starting point is 00:40:42 these kind of sclerotic and ineffective organizations. And the thing that no one seemed to see was that the little Apollo guidance computer was kind of what the future was going to be, right? You know, the shrinking of compute power and the increasing ability of it was actually what was going to be the revolution coming forward that no one seemed to see. And I wonder if human spaceflight still kind of stuck in that. pre-compute era of what symbolic capability and strength and frequency is. It feels like part of the problem is that we've already done it.
Starting point is 00:41:14 Yeah. Space was a realm, you know, space is a realm where we achieved mastery before anybody else, any other nation on the planet. So if China manages to go to the moon again before we go to the moon, well, go to the moon before we go to the moon again, doesn't really actually seem like that big of a deal. Yeah. There's only one Sputnik moment, and that's right, almost by definition, right?
Starting point is 00:41:37 And I think you're clearly right, because that's about to happen, it seems like, in the next couple of years where China seems about to be ready to land on the moon, and you don't see a rapid reconfiguration of all of this, right? There's no political freak out about it. It's about all these other newer technologies seemingly. Right. And for better, probably for better, but maybe a little bit for worse, we're not in a civilizational struggle with the Chinese.
Starting point is 00:42:03 So there's never going to be a president who's going to organize American political economy around the goal of going to the Mars before the Chinese for two reasons. One is, again, we just don't care enough about that struggle to be able to do that. Number two, I'm not sure we actually believe in ourselves enough to be able to believe that we would actually be able to do that in advance of the Chinese. so I'm not sure we would we would make that kind of gamble that Kennedy was was willing to make in 1961 well from your framing of just the public's relationship to government right it's almost like it's a it's a the tool isn't even it's not even the right tool by which to do so anymore and I think you correctly raise in your article again there was serious there are serious issues with the bureaucracy at the space program and the politics that limit it in various ways
Starting point is 00:42:58 And strangely enough, what we're seeing here in the last few months, the White House is doubling down on the parts that seem to have the biggest problems and undermining and slashing the parts that actually work really well, you know, like the science side that no one else really does. And certainly the private sector doesn't do. And a very symbolic representation of where the nation is, just not where I wish to see it applied in that sense. Do you see this role of a, you know, NASA, encompassing the problems broadly that these kind of organizational systems have invited, in a sense, this challenge to it. I mean, how could we not want to see something better? And it seems to be just reflective of our broader, at least political attitude in this country that people are just willing to wash these things away as kind of anti-Berkean kind of philosophy in order to just try something better. And you have SpaceX standing as an example of like, look, how much better it can be, at least on a superficial. level. Yeah. But one of the great tragedies is that I had the privilege of being able to meet with a bunch of NASA employees who'd come to Washington to, this was not through through you, but it was through a different group that had come to Washington to lobby their Congress people
Starting point is 00:44:15 to try to preserve NASA. And what was incredible about the people who work at NASA is their sense of mission. That while the political system doesn't have that same sense of mission about space NASA employees do. And they all, they all firmly believe, I think probably correctly, that there's a job waiting for them in the private sector where they could get paid more money than they get paid working for the government. But they still believe in NASA as an organization. I think the public still believes in NASA as an organization. You don't see people walking around with IRS or Social Security Administration t-shirts. And almost every day, you end up encountering somebody in an airport or somebody walking
Starting point is 00:45:03 down the street who's got a NASA cap or t-shirt on. That's a pretty incredible achievement for the government that it created something like that that still has that association in the public's mind with something that they feel that they actually identify with, that they're actually wearing. able to, willing to wear it as kind of their jersey as they go out there in the world because that's the sports team that they support. And I think squandering that is a tragedy unto itself because you should want incredibly inspired, competent people working for the United States government. But it's a tragedy in the larger sense that it feels like the government
Starting point is 00:45:53 it was able to build up this brand in this one area, that it's now risking in kind of an existential sort of way. Yeah. Well, and you bring up, I mean, the path to this point at NASA was paved by both Republican and Democratic administrations with Obama administration in particular, being in a sense that the key point of SpaceX's history probably wouldn't exist without the Obama administration today. And the one thing I think I didn't see as much in the article, but Elon Musk, you know, is framed as, you know, this sui generous kind of individual.
Starting point is 00:46:30 I think to a degree that he is, particularly with space, but it's certainly coming out of a tradition, this expectation of commercialization, right? That goes all the way back to the, you know, I'd say particularly in the 80s during the Reagan era. But obviously before that, this idea that government shouldn't be the only one operating in this domain. and that there seems to be, at least in the American conception of it, a fundamental ideological belief that space needs to have private sector participants to fully take advantage of what's there. And that doesn't always have to be for the transcendent reasons, but it could be. That's the materialistic opportunities for the private sector there. So, I mean, it seems like, though, that that whole framing, particularly in the way that you framed it in the story, this whole ideology has kind of blown up. in the face of the people who believe that because they wanted this to be part of the broader
Starting point is 00:47:24 romantic ideal and instead it's actually diminishing the romantic ideal within the national system for let's say at best the idiosyncratic beliefs of one or two individuals who are now driving a lot of the direction of the space program yeah that's exactly right it was tied up with a lot of the libertarian utopianism of going out into space that maybe part of the better future there would be a future without the shackles of government. And not surprising that that would get transposed to the methodology that would be used to pursue that sort of goal. And of course, you're correct to point out that this isn't just like a far-right libertarian fantasy, that it's a very mainstream libertarian fantasy that the Obama administration not just succumb to, but made the
Starting point is 00:48:16 defining policy of the United States against a lot of hardcore Republicans who were on the other side of the aisle on those issues. And we have to see this as kind of as a mixed bag that unleashing the market did work in the sense that you were able to erect one corporation that was able to do some pretty amazing things relative to all the corporations that had come before it in pursuit of these goals. But on the other hand, it means that we have some really dangerous dependencies forming, that we don't actually have a pure commercial market. We have one vendor, the United States government, and all of its manifestations, both defense and civilian. And we have one vendor that supplies that client
Starting point is 00:49:04 with essential services. And we just know that there is this problem when you're relying on one entity to do things that you really care about. You're making yourself, theoretically vulnerable and practically vulnerable. It's the sense that, I mean, the dream is actually hasn't manifested of the commercialization, I would argue, right? That it's been that it's not a healthy market as you just identified. You had a great stat in your, in your article, 95% of launches last year from the U.S. were SpaceX.
Starting point is 00:49:37 And the other few were basically test flights. I don't think there is maybe one Atlas 5 in there that was, you know, that's, that's been decommissioned, you know, because at the moment, SpaceX has a function. de facto monopoly of access to space, even with these new companies, they're building up their capacity. They can't compete on that. And so there's not a marketplace for the government to purchase from, really. There's just the one provider. And that's not a successful commercialization strategy, right? You've actually just, in a sense, so the intention failed, but it's also, I just keep going back to the fact that SpaceX, it's almost like SpaceX was never seen to, no one conceived
Starting point is 00:50:14 of a single company being this good almost or or the opposite that they assumed every company could be this good right or isn't this just what happens with big tech is that you have network effects that start to happen and that you have unicorn companies that come in and they're just able to capture they're able to capture the network they capture the market whether it's you know it's it's it's amazon or meta or or google and you're you're stuck with them until there's some sort of giant disruption, which may or may not ever happen. Right. That's a great, I wanted to ask you, because you've written a, you've written about big tech.
Starting point is 00:50:53 You've written a book about big tech a few years ago. And there's obviously this relationship now. There seems to be particularly fertile ground in, like, Silicon Valley for the idea of space and space commercials, space activities. And, you know, going all the way back to even just original, you know, to fact that Jeff Bezos and Elon Musk are both made their money from tech. what's your model of why that's the case why do you think Silicon Valley in particular seems to resonate so strongly with space is it this romantic ideal is it the potential for wealth is it something deeper and then as you said it seems to be like the expression of these companies are really reflecting this new model as a consequence of it right so should not discount the commercial imperative and the desire to make wealth but I think there's also a steel obviously quality that space obviously always has, but that it's true for a lot of a lot of tech,
Starting point is 00:51:48 whether it's the pursuit of the merger of human and machine, but there's this desire to achieve transcendence through technological means where we become an evolved species. That's a deeply spiritual, it's a deeply spiritual mission. And you see that in the way that a lot of the A lot of the Titans of Tech talk about their role. It taps into a long, deep Western tradition where technology, because it is so incredible and does reshape human life in extraordinary ways, opens up these dreams and pathways to some sort of transcendence through the further merger of man and machine. Do you think there's also a relationship between,
Starting point is 00:52:42 the concept of limitless growth that spaces itself limitless and the idea, I mean, that's kind of what drives a lot of these big tech ideas, right? That's software, there's no inherent limit to how much, how big you can get. Right. No constraints, which is, which is of course an understandable human fantasy because constraints suck. But it's also, it's also just to go back to the Nietzschean quality of it all. It's also, it's kind of offers the possibility of of an infinite power that is, that's just there waiting to be grasped. It's always healthy for a human brain to seek after infinite power. Another symbol that I think is really emphasized,
Starting point is 00:53:29 a symbolic aspect of the space program is emphasized in your piece that I have thought about quite a bit was this idea of the role of individualism versus collectivism or group ethos. And I mean, that's another way to kind of trace this changing, parable of government, right, between this immediate post-war era, right, when you suddenly had Kennedy's torch has been passed, right, to this new generation. It's all this, most of them had fought in World War II. It had been won on technocratic, you know, basically technology and organization and bureaucracy, effective bureaucracy. And there was this, for a while, right,
Starting point is 00:54:04 it seemed like there was this broad, high trust era in government. Now, obviously not the case. and individualism now, you know, kind of driving this, like, through the fact that we talk about space through the guise of one or two people. And I'll make it a meta commentary on your piece, too, that it was, I mean, your piece itself focuses on an individual, right? And almost as a way to provide the narrative. And I would, and you can correct me as a person who works in media, I would guess that the role, Elon Musk had to be part of the story. If you had just pitched the story of NASA as a changing institution, symbol, would that have gotten the same level? Would the magazine have picked this up? Would they have wanted you to run with this?
Starting point is 00:54:47 Or does it require, in a sense, this individual to connect with? And so it seems like there's a seductive, going back to the beginning, a humanistic desire to see these things reflected through a person rather than an organization, which is more abstract. Gosh, this requires some self-interrogation. I'm sure you're correct that having the individual hook is important to tell the way that we tell stories in our present-day culture. I mean, it was true then as well, right, that, you know, Werner von Braun was on the cover of magazines standing in for... He himself wasn't the focus of the discourse, though. He promoted the idea. He was maybe a notable name, right?
Starting point is 00:55:33 or it's like Carl Sagan too, but the concepts and the ideas weren't focused on the individual. It wasn't what Carl Sagan thought about the future. It was Carl Sagan's vision for this inclusive future, I guess is maybe a subtle distinction between it. Yeah, yeah, right. And a willingness to take on a collective venture is also hugely diminished in that society is so much more zero-sum than it once was. All that's true.
Starting point is 00:56:00 And I think it would be, it would only be surprised. surprising if that somehow didn't penetrate the way that we thought about space and science. It could also, I mean, I wonder, do you think this is also related to big tech and this, this is an expression of how our brains and media have changed from social media. It's all about social media is to me, the high school lunchroom, you know, invading every aspect of our existence, right, in terms of gossip and focus and what's this person saying, and this person's being a jerk and this person's being like preening for attention. It's all, you know, it's all very individualistic focused, and that's this, the concept of a creator rather than an organization that provides you news and these individual relationships with podcasters or other places.
Starting point is 00:56:45 I wonder if that's a function of how media landscape has changed as well, that we expect things to be related to the individual. Definitely. Definitely. But also, definitely that and it's also a reflection of the way which our politics have changed, where, like I said, the Cold War was a very helpful way of inducing that state. of trust and collective mission where you have a big scary enemy that you're up against. You can get people to transcend themselves to become participants in a communitarian system or a collective system or however you want to describe it. And we don't have that anymore. If we don't have an individual playing, either running amok or driving the force of the American space program, is it possible that it can connect anymore on a broader level? Like, do we now require an individual then to fixate on? And, you know, as I think we've seen
Starting point is 00:57:41 the danger of weaknesses of individuals now, you know, replacing a policy consensus, they're much more interesting to follow, but they're idiosyncratic and weird sometimes and can change. They don't have, in a sense, the mitigating force of policy. But if we're unable to present a group effort or collective effort or an organization as, and as even a compelling way to the broader public that is required to enable this. Like, is this just some inevitable endpoint that we'll always come back to? Yeah, I'd like to not think that that's the case, but you've already once tarred me as a Berkian. I just said that one conception was brilliant.
Starting point is 00:58:22 But I was going to say the thing about trust is that it's very hard. Once it's dissipated, it's very hard to restore. And once the luster has been knocked off something, like government, it's just, I think it's hard. We found this very, very hard to paint that luster back on. And, you know, the forces of social media that you described only served to push us further apart from one another. It's just impossible to imagine any politician of any sort.
Starting point is 00:58:58 Stripe making a big national commitment and everybody getting on board. I hope that we're going to be able to return to some culture where that's possible again because otherwise it's not just space that gets sacrificed. It's our ability to care for one another, to protect one another, to function in a way where we're not ripping each other to shreds constantly. Franklin Ford, thank you for joining me today. really enjoyed speaking with you. And everyone, please read the piece. We'll link to it on the show notes. I hope to have you back some time. Oh, such a pleasure. Thank you so much for having me on.
Starting point is 00:59:39 The space policy edition of Planetary Radio is produced by the Planetary Society here in Pasadena, California, and made possible by our members. Hopefully you are one of them. You can join us at planetary.org slash join if you're not. Sarah Al-Amed is the producer and host of Planetary Radio. Mark Hilverda and Ray Paoleta are our associate producers. And Matt Kaplan is the host of our monthly book club edition. Andrew Lucas is our audio editor, Merk Boyan, our visual storyteller, and the composer of the Space Policy Edition theme. I'm Casey Dreyer, your host of the Space Policy Edition of Planetary Radio. Until next month, Ad Astra. I don't know.
Starting point is 01:00:30 Thank you.

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