Pod Save the World - Canada Elects the Anti-Trump

Episode Date: April 30, 2025

Ben and Tommy discuss the Liberal Party’s shocking come-from-behind victory in the Canadian election and why it was a rebuke of Donald Trump, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and Trump’s mee...ting at the Vatican and why Trump’s peace talks with Russia have failed, and the never-ending chaos swirling around Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth. They also talk about the escalation in tensions between India and Pakistan after a terrorist attack in the Kashmir region, the horrifying, deteriorating situation on the ground in Gaza, and a new investigation from Channel 13 news in Israel about the Biden administration’s disastrous approach to the war in Gaza. Then Ben speaks to Oleksandra Matviichuk, a Ukrainian human rights lawyer and Nobel Peace Prize Laureate about the devastating humanitarian impact of the ongoing war in Ukraine. For a closed-captioned version of this episode, click here. For a transcript of this episode, please email transcripts@crooked.com and include the name of the podcast. 

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Starting point is 00:01:21 muffin's perfect nooks and crannies to why American sirens are so unbearably loud, to the merits of Paw Patrol. Yes, that's right. Malcolm Gladwell defends the hit children's TV show against its harshest critics. I'm a big revisionist history fan. I will be binging this entire series. I recommend you do too.
Starting point is 00:01:37 Listen to revisionist history wherever you get your podcast. Welcome back to Pod Save the World. I'm Tommy Vitor. I'm Ben Rhodes. Speaking of elbows up, are we going to get a Celtics Nix playoffs? We are going to get a Celtics playoff series.
Starting point is 00:02:00 It's going to be very... It's not going to get chippy. It's going to get chippy at the... We're going to be throwing buzz in the studio. We're both getting ahead of the series. of ourselves. We have game five's tonight, right? Yeah, yeah. But I think we got this. And I especially think you've got this.
Starting point is 00:02:14 Orlando Magic's not the best team. But good for you guys. I'm happy for New York, kind of. Yeah, because you're pretty certain you're going to win in five or six games against us, you know, which I would probably bet on. I love everything about living on the West Coast, especially NFL game times and starts. But unfortunately, a lot of these basketball games are like right in the middle of the hardest sort of bedtime periods. with small kids. Today, game five, it's like 5.30, our time. It's 4.30. The next game is at 430. I think you're at 530, which is like right in the middle of pickups. So it's, it's going to be a lot of Hulu on my phone in pockets. Yeah, and I'm like, hey, Hannah, can you just do a two-year-old
Starting point is 00:02:56 and an 11-month-old at the same time by yourself so I can watch Jason Tatum? Yeah, yeah. That doesn't work. Anyway, we got a great show for you guys today. Elbows up is, of course, a shout out to our Canadian friends who just had a big election Monday that is being perceived as a global fuck you to Donald Trump. Fingers up. Middle fingers up. Then we're going to turn to the latest in the war in Ukraine, including Trump's meeting with Vladimir Zelenskyy in the Vatican and Putin's latest cynical ceasefire proposal. Somehow, Ben, the new cycle around the disaster that is Secretary of Defense Pete Hegsseth is still going. It's shocking to me that we're all talking about this, but we'll get you guys up to speed on that. Then we'll explain why tensions between India and Pakistan are as tense as
Starting point is 00:03:35 they've been in decades, the latest grim news from Gaza, and an infuriating report out of Israel about the Biden administration's handling of the war. We could have to do some deep breathing before we get to that part. Yeah. And then you did our interview today. What do we got? Yes, people should, I know we always say this, but we always mean it. Extra, please stick around for this one with Alexandra Mudvichuk, who's a human rights lawyer, the human rights lawyer, the headed the Center for Civil Liberties in Ukraine and the 2022 Nobel Peace Prize winner. So she's got that. Some good credentials right there. Yes. But, you know, she gave a very raw perspective. I mean, we talk a lot about the politics of this and what politicians are saying. But this is someone who
Starting point is 00:04:19 literally documents war crimes on a regular basis, someone who's been a justice advocate. And so we talk about what's the perspective of being in Ukraine right now, where there have been increasing bombardments in Kiev where Alexandra is, to have this kind of absurd conversation about the politics of things when you're still living through a war. And so it's a perspective that we need to bring to bear. How are Ukrainians thinking about what justice means for what's happened to them? What's the capacity for justice in the broken international system that we're living through right now? Kind of what sustains her and keeps her going, what her vision for the future of Ukraine, what it should be. So it's a very, very powerful perspective that we don't hear enough
Starting point is 00:05:01 from in terms of Ukrainians on the front lines. So check it up. Did you ask her to say thank you and was she wearing a suit? Yeah, well, you know, to be honest, like listen to this interview. I know. I mean, I said this guy, I gave me your office. Listen to this interview and then imagine J.D. Vance saying, you know, did you thank us while you're listening to it? And you'll, you'll know what I'm getting at when you hear the interview. Yeah, Ben was describing to me some of the details and all I could think of was that Oval Office meeting and how embarrassing our leaders.
Starting point is 00:05:31 and how embarrassing a lot of our press corps is, too. And by the way, you know, it was kind of heartbreaking is she did say thank you, you know, without me even asking her for what Americans have done for Ukraine, which she did not need to do. Someone tell JD. All right, Ben, so let's start with our buddies in Canada, and everyone should check out that interview.
Starting point is 00:05:49 President Trump has had a big 100 days, and he can now add to the list, losing a Canadian election to his list of accomplishments. So, golf clap to him. Former central banker Mark Carney won the Liberal Party. its fourth consecutive term in office. This outcome was almost impossible to imagine back in December or January when Prime Minister Justin Trudeau started getting into serious political trouble and then resigned. At the time, the Conservative Party was ahead by as many as 25 points in some polls. But then
Starting point is 00:06:17 Donald Trump decided to open his big, stupid mouth. He was threatening to destroy the Canadian economy with tariffs, put in place a lot of those sense. And he's been threatening to make Canada the 51st state. And suddenly within Canada, a debate erupted over who can best stand up to Trump. And that became the defining issue of this election. And the results are in. And Canadian voters have decided that not only was conservative party leader Pierre Polyev not the right guy to defend Canada from Trump, Polyeve even lost his own seat in parliament. So tough night for them. It's also not clear whether he's going to remain the leader of the party itself. So head spinning stuff here, Ben. This is a clip from Prime Minister Mark Carney's victory speech Monday night.
Starting point is 00:06:57 I've been warning for months, America wants our land, our resources, our water, our country. Never. But these are not idle threats. President Trump is trying to break us so that America can own us. That will never, that will never, ever happen. When I sit down with President Trump, it will be to discuss the future economic and security relationship between two sovereign nations. And it will be with our full knowledge that we have many, many other options than the United
Starting point is 00:07:45 States to build prosperity for all Canadians. I love the dude kind of like calmly yelling shame. Yeah, yeah, yeah. Very Canadian. So just a couple thoughts, Ben. First of all, I mean, it is impossible to overstate how massive this comeback was for the Liberal Party. an own goal it was for Trump. Trump could have had an ideologically compatible leader in Canada
Starting point is 00:08:06 that he could work with. Instead, he has a guy who was literally elected with a mandate to fight him. So that's his new political reality. Not a weak one like Justin Trudeau, like a freshly installed Mark Carney. Also, you and I were laughing about how, you know, you don't see a lot of pundits or pollsters talking about how the angry electorate and the kind of like populist curious countries all over the world, that people are looking for some, like, globalist central banker with degrees from Harvard and Oxford. Yeah. But that is what Canadians just voted for.
Starting point is 00:08:38 Like, they wanted competence and stability, and they didn't care that Mark Carney is Steve Bannon's worst nightmare. Yes. This is a huge upset result in the context of where this race stood a couple of months ago. And, I mean, to unpack a couple pieces of this. The first obvious point, as you made, is that Trump. has essentially accelerated a backlash to Trumpism globally in ways that we need to continue to watch. Canada is the obvious first place where his threats, his disrespect, his disregard for the U.S.
Starting point is 00:09:14 Canada relationship and for Canadian sovereignty clearly led to this massive pendulum swing to Mark Carney. But it's not the last place. We've talked about the fact that Australia has an election coming up, where the center-left labor, Prime Minister Albanese had been losing in polls. is now, at least even if not, in the lead. By the way, very smart of Canadians and hopefully Australians, because if you want to learn something from us, don't take this risk. You know, you may not get your country back, you know, if it goes down this road. And that leads to a second point, which is that, you know, Pollyav really did try to kind of tread in this Trump light space where, you know, they were increasingly, you know, bombastic, xenophobic. You know, you had him
Starting point is 00:09:56 trying to kind of capture the energy we saw in that kind of, weird trucker, anti-shutdown protest in Ottawa. You saw an kind of increasingly right-wing media ecosystem growing up in Canada. And so I think, you know, voters are not dumb. They saw, wait a second, this might feel good to some of us because we're tired of globalism or tired of, you know, the elites or we think Justin Trudeau isn't there for too long. But it's really dangerous to go down this road, both because it could weaken us to Trump, but also because it could turn us into kind of a weaker version of Trump, you know?
Starting point is 00:10:31 And so if Trump actually doing the things he said he wanted to do in the second term, the way that he did in the first, it could be the breaking point for the momentum for this kind of politics and democracies. We have to watch that. We'll see, you know. Yeah. And you're right. I mean, Mark Carney, I mean, Mark Carney did his best to tie Pierre Polyeff to Trump in every way. I think they were calling him Trump light.
Starting point is 00:10:51 They were kind of like making videos of them morphing into each other. So it really did become the defining issue in the entire election. Yeah. Now, the second thing, you know, David Axelrod, our former guru on the Obama campaign, used to say that Americans look for the opposite person of the previous person. And so the first time he said this was in, you know, 2008 when Obama was very much an opposite of Bush, you know. But actually, if you stretch it forward, you know, Trump is kind of an opposite of Obama. Biden's kind of an opposite. It's like a pretty coherent way of looking at things. And look, Carney is not only someone who stands up to Trump, he's the opposite of Trump. You know, a man with deep experience in international finance at the Bank of Canada and at the Bank of England, a man with experience managing crises instead of creating crises dealing with the financial crisis in 08 in Canada, dealing with Brexit in 2015. And what we've seen is he's already kind of brushed back Trump.
Starting point is 00:11:51 You know, one of the more interesting reports I saw Tommy is that in the one phone call they had in which Trump came out. and actually didn't disparage Carney in the same way they did Trudeau, there's a rumor that Carney threatened to dump all of America's bonds, you know, and he knows what he's doing. He's a former central bank. He knows where he's got leverage points. And we've already seen Canada, you know, sign LNG deals with China. Like, this is a man who isn't just talking the talk.
Starting point is 00:12:19 Like, he actually knows how to kind of run circles around Trump, even with Canada being a much smaller and more vulnerable, even as Canada may have to absorb an enormous hit from tariffs and things that Trump's doing. This is a guy that knows how to work the system that America created that Trump doesn't understand. Yeah, this is becoming Trump's Achilles Hill. You're also seeing this with the Chinese. They know the weaknesses and pressure points. Carney also took some steps to distance himself, not just in words, but in policy from Trudeau.
Starting point is 00:12:50 He got rid of their carbon tax. He basically cut the rate down to zero. Carney also pledged to get rid of Trudeau's cap gains increases. And I think Trudeau, just being off the stage, was absolutely critical for Carney because he could project himself as a firm break from the previous iteration of the Liberal Party, even if it's a fourth consecutive Liberal Party term. Carney's fave, unfave numbers actually improved during the election, which is very surprising for someone who was kind of incumbent.
Starting point is 00:13:16 But I mean, you just don't often see that. Usually you just get worn down. Pierre Paulyav ended at 40, 55 unfave. Ben, I saw this in one story that, At an April rally, a woman yelled, lead us big daddy at Mark Carney. So that surprised me. I mean, he does kind of exude a certain paternal... Big Daddy like father.
Starting point is 00:13:35 Yeah, yeah. But look, in terms of what to expect, I mean, in normal times, you know, Mark Carney is your kind of, you know, hyper-qualified globalist, right? He's a man that, despite what we did with the carbon tax, has been focused on climate change and climate finance for a long. time. He's someone who's tried to navigate ways to minimize the negative impacts of globalization while not, you know, junking the whole system. But I think what's interesting that we'll also have to watch beyond just the backlash to Trumpism is, you know, did he actually stumble into a formula here that is different and kind of interesting where, you know, he's combining like a certain form of competence and nationalism.
Starting point is 00:14:24 I mean, because there's a lot of nationalism what he says. Very much. And it kind of the authenticity of a technocrat. You know, like he comes across as a very authentic guy. Yeah. I actually watched a lot of these videos with him. And, but he's not authentically pretending to be someone else. He's not like going on, you know, Theo Vaughn and trying to talk about pop culture. He's authentic by talking about like banking and, you know, hockey, which he clearly
Starting point is 00:14:49 likes and and so I don't know maybe this is this is a different formula than we've seen you know he is he is it's appealing to people um and it doesn't fit naturally in any it's hard to think of like what what campaign would you compare him to that we've seen in recent years like it it doesn't it's it's different than cure starmer who's just kind of like we're going to make things normal again like there's a there's a fight to carney and obviously trump gives him the foil but that that look I'm not trying to raise expectations too high he's not like some uber charismatic guy. What you're getting at is he was like the right political kind of makeup for the moment.
Starting point is 00:15:23 It was not just that Trump was starting to fucking annex them. It was that we're threatening to destroy their economy and create a financial crisis via tariff. And this guy's like, hey, hand up. I was a central banker. I'm the guy. I'm the guy. I'm the huckleberry.
Starting point is 00:15:37 I'm your guy. Friend of the pod and new Democratic Party leader, Jugmeet Singh also lost his seat in a brutal night for the NDP, his party. Jugbeet Singh came on a couple years ago. Think of them as like kind of the Bernie Sanders wing of the Democratic Party, but they went from winning 25 seats in 2021 to a projected seven seats Monday night, which I think like lowers them below a certain threshold to be officially represented in Parliament. And I think what ultimately would happen is the race just became this binary question over who can best stand up to Trump. And smaller parties like the NDP got squeezed out. I also depend on some of the coverage that former Congressman Pete Hoekstra is just a arrived yesterday to be U.S. ambassador to Canada, which is just very funny because that went from like kind of a cushy donor gig. Yeah, kind of a plum job for a donor.
Starting point is 00:16:26 To a real, you know, kind of a, you're going to be fighting. Yeah, yeah, yeah. Every day in Ottawa, elbows up, Pete. You're in hostile territory. Yeah, be careful up there. Yeah, be careful up there. Yeah. Well, we wish them the best.
Starting point is 00:16:35 We should just say, we love our Canadian listeners and we're very glad that you have a sane, smart, tough prime minister. Again, not perfect, but better than the alternative. Yeah, better than alternative. Last thing I saw that I thought would interest you in particular, the New York Times had an interesting piece a few weeks back about how meta had blocked actual news on the Facebook and Instagram feeds in Canada because they did this back in 2023 because those assholes don't want to pay publishers for news. It would have cost them an estimated $44 million a year
Starting point is 00:17:06 out of their $164 billion per year in revenue. So there has been this huge proliferation of right-wing accounts that posts kind of either adjut-prop or fake news. all day long. And I read about that. They made me very nervous for what the impact might be on the election. Obviously, it ended okay, but it will likely be an issue going forward. And it'll get worse. I mean, the thing is, you know, usually you're kind of at your high water political mark after you get elected. Right. Those accounts, that right wing machine, in part because they sense, yeah, that this was a blow to the momentum of Trumpism. I think you're unfortunately going to see an uptick in kind of right wing garbage in Canada and in other places as well, certainly Australia.
Starting point is 00:17:48 And look, it'll be interesting to see what the conservatives do in Canada because do they, out of fear that they're going to be out of step with, if their prime minister is standing up to Trump, do they want to be seen as attacking their prime minister, right? Or did they follow the lead of the Republican Party in this country and they don't care and they just become, you know, nihilist and they're trashing him and they're lying about things? And maybe they're not siding with Trump, but they're just trying to tear Carney down. That's an interesting political choice of the conservatives because there's political danger in attacking your prime minister when your country's under attack. But they kind of have some of that, you know, like right-wing DNA that, like, leads you in those directions. Yeah, big, big choice for the conservative party about how to forge a path forward. Pazzi of the world is brought to you by, ORA, frames. The number one thing, Leavitt that your mom wants is for you to give her a call.
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Starting point is 00:20:28 Terms and conditions apply. All right, Ben, so a lot of happens since we last covered the war in Ukraine, but it's still not clear if any progress was actually made, you know, like a lot of events. A lot of Marco Rubio threats. We'll get to those. Pick up his toys and go in the other toy room. He's very sad. So Trump and Ukrainian president, Volodymyr Zelensky, met in the Vatican this past weekend
Starting point is 00:20:52 where they were attending the Pope's funeral because of J.D. Vance. as we mentioned last week. Here's a clip of Trump talking about that conversation with Zelensky, their first conversation since that disastrous Oval Office meeting back in February, and then also Trump comments on the peace talks generally. We had a good meeting. It was a nice meeting. It was a beautiful meeting.
Starting point is 00:21:12 I'll tell you, it's the nicest office I've ever seen. You've crossed President Putin. You know, in about two weeks. We're going to see what happens. I want to see what happens with respect to Russia. Because Russia had been surprised and disappointed. Very disappointed that they did the bombing of those places after discussions. Can President Zelensky talked to you about Crimea?
Starting point is 00:21:36 Well, he did very briefly, but Crimea was given away by Barack Hussein Obama. That's 11 or 12 years ago. That's a long time ago. I don't know how you can bring up Crimea. Go back to Obama. Ask them why they gave it up. They gave it up without a shot being fired, by the way. What do you want Vladimir to do? Well, I want him to stop shooting, sit down and sign a deal. Very sober, forward-looking policy there from Trump.
Starting point is 00:22:03 So at the very end there, he's referring to Russia's airstrikes on Kiev last week that killed 12 people and wounded over 90. That Russian attack came just after the U.S. had proposed a deal that would recognize Crimea as Russian territory, freeze the war on current lines and de facto recognize Russian control over major portions of the four provinces in eastern Ukraine, about 20% of their territory. Give a commitment that Ukraine will never join NATO. and lift sanctions on Russia. So basically, Putin's entire wish list was offered up and he is still firing shots. Yeah. Even though Trump's real estate buddy turned emissary, Steve Whitkoff, has been doing the actual meetings with Putin. I think we're up to four at this point. I think usually one-on-one, usually with no actual professional staff. Secretary of Sunday shows Marco Rubio went on Meet the Press this weekend to announce that this is a critical week for the talks. Here's a clip of Rubio.
Starting point is 00:22:51 This week is going to be a really important week in which we have to make a determination about whether this, is an endeavor that we want to continue to be involved in or if it's time to sort of focus on some other issues that are equally of not more important in some cases. But we want to see it happen. There are reasons to be optimistic, but there are reasons to be realistic, of course, as well. We're close, but we're not close enough. Inspiring. Putin's latest demand is a three-day ceasefire from May 8th to the 11th so that this pesky little war he started doesn't interrupt Russia's World War II Victory Day celebrations. So, Ben, this is obviously a terrible deal for Ukraine.
Starting point is 00:23:26 what Trump has proposed. German defense minister Boris Pistorius described it as one that, quote, Ukraine on its own could have gotten a year ago. It is akin to a capitulation. I cannot discern any added value. There was some recent reporting by Christopher Miller, a friend of the pod, about how Ukrainians are very worried that Trump is going to walk away from these talks. But I guess I remain confused at how that would be much worse for Zelensky if the Europeans actually stepped up to support him. But I don't know. What did you make of just this latest round of back and forth? Secretary of Shame, Marco Rubio,
Starting point is 00:23:59 you know, first of all, these incessant threats, because he said the same thing like two or three weeks ago, right? Like, I mean,
Starting point is 00:24:07 we're making fun of them, but it really is bad for your credibility, you know, seriously, to just like keep threatening to walk away from a table that you keep sitting at,
Starting point is 00:24:15 you know, because then people... That your boss sits at, Steve Wickoff. Yeah, exactly. I mean, fair point. Maybe he doesn't know.
Starting point is 00:24:22 But I mean this seriously. Like, you can't, this is, what this performative nonsense, you know, speaks to the bigger problem with their policy, which is that they, the reality doesn't exist like it exists for them on Fox News. Like, in reality, you can't just make the war in Ukraine stop so that you can look good on television, right, which is what Trump seems to be interested in.
Starting point is 00:24:44 Putin, if you're giving him everything he wants at the negotiating table, of course he's going to keep like pushing farther and waiting to see if you'll give him more, you know, that's not a mystery to anyone. When Trump says he's surprised that Russia is still bombing Ukraine, why is he surprised? Anybody who knows anything about Putin? So that's the first point. The second point, I found it interesting, Tommy, that Trump felt the need to have this visible meeting with Zelensky. They released those photos. The White House did. They wanted people to see him sitting with Zelensky in serious conversation. And then he came out and said, you know, the nicest things he possibly could. He still doesn't really compliment Zelensky, the Ukrainians, but he kind of
Starting point is 00:25:24 indicated it was a good meeting. To me, it showed that both Trump and Zelensky needed the appearance of that meeting for their own politics. Now, Zelensky, it's obvious why. Like, you know, they're worried not just about the American negotiating position. They're worried that America will walk away from the table and that America will pull military and intelligence support. And so Zelensky needs to be seen to at least be trying to maintain that American relationship. I think it showed real vulnerability for Trump that he felt the need to have that meeting and say those things.
Starting point is 00:25:56 Because I don't think he's just doing that because he decided to wake up one day and be pissed at Putin. He's known who Putin was all along. I think he's getting shit from, look, the polls is an 80-20 issue in this country. I think Republicans in Congress, this is the first issue
Starting point is 00:26:10 where they've been willing to really criticize himself. You're seeing a lot of them actually. You start to come out and criticize the policy. He's going to need their votes and other stuff. Other world leaders, Europeans are not like the Germans, They're not budging. They're saying this is bullshit. This is a shitty deal.
Starting point is 00:26:23 And that's part of what's frustrating, Secretary of Shame, Rubio, is because he goes to me with the Europeans and they tell him that. And so even Trump, you know, to me, it's a sign. Don't let up. Stand up to this guy. Keep standing up to the bully. And the bully will have to move in your direction, you know. Now, in terms of the chances for ending the war, we're no closer today than we were a week
Starting point is 00:26:45 ago because the Russians are intransigent. Putin's intransigent, and unless Trump is actually willing to go beyond just like truthing about it to like applying some additional pressure or taking some Ukrainian. I mean, the Crimea point is perfect. I mean, first of all, obviously we didn't give Barack Obama and own Crimea and give it to somebody. But frankly, we never recognize the annexation of Crimea, not Obama, not Trump in his first term, not Biden. And so. He forgets he was president one time. Yeah, Trump recognizing the annexation of Crimea, which is what's being discussed.
Starting point is 00:27:19 is a huge shift in U.S. policy that he doesn't need to give. You know what? If you're frustrated with what Putin's doing, rescind that effort at the negotiating. People say, you know what, Putin, like, you had your chance, you fucked it up, and now we're taking this back off the table. Yeah. Like, you have to do things that incentivized Russia to change behavior. Trump views this through such a petty personal lens. He did this long interview with Time Magazine. They asked him, is there anything that Putin could do that would cause you to say, you know what? I'm on Zelensky's side now. And his response was not necessarily on Zelensky's side, But on Ukraine's side, yes.
Starting point is 00:27:50 Yeah, but not necessarily on Zelensky's side. I've had a hard time with Zelensky. It's like, get over it, you whiny bitch. The man is defending his country. Also in that same interview, he was asked, you said you'd have in the war in Ukraine on day one. Trump goes, well, I said that figuratively. I said that as an exaggeration. Obviously, people know when I said that.
Starting point is 00:28:06 It was said in jest because, of course, we all joke about a conflict that you yourself said could lead to World War III or was World War III. But to your point about, like, how pathetic Trump looks. I mean, Trump's initial response to the horrific airstrikes on Kyiv was to truth social, Vladimir, comma, stop exclamation point. Shocked that one didn't work. Yeah, yeah. I mean, that's the thing.
Starting point is 00:28:29 It's a man that there's something dangerous. And if you study like these autocrats, too, about someone whose feedback loop is constantly sycophantic and positive. Because the feedback loop from the world is not like that. And you can truth that. And people in the Republican Party say, yes, sir, yes, sir. you know, but Vladimir Putin's not going to do that, you know. And like to just bring some more into it and listen to the interview with Alexandra, there are other things that the U.S. could be bringing in this negotiation that, you know,
Starting point is 00:28:56 international justice, like are there going to be efforts to hold Russia accountable for the rest of these people's lives for what they've done to Ukrainians? What about the 20,000 children? What about the stolen kids? Like that's the part that it's just. What are we doing to insist on those children being returned, right? There are different, sometimes when a negotiation is tilted. in one side's favor, part of what you have to do is enlarge the universe of things being discussed.
Starting point is 00:29:20 Trump is only discussing the things that Putin wants to talk about. You know, annexation of that 20% of Ukraine's territory, Ukraine's membership in NATO, you know, these are Putin's list. There's a Ukrainian list that has things like the 20,000 children, that has things like war crimes, that has things like what happens to sanctions, what happens to the frozen reserves. There's like hundreds of billions of dollars in frozen Russian reserves that they went back that the Europeans might want to use to support Ukraine. Right. America could say, you know, we're going to work with the Europeans to get this money of the Ukrainians if you don't deal. So there are things. He's using no leverage. He's making vague threats of slapping the same sanctions back on Putin. That's right. Putin is not worried about them. Don't listen to J.D. Vance saying that somehow we have no levers to pull here other than like somehow going to war ourselves. There are other things we could do. Yeah. A couple of other quick things, Ben. So North Korea publicly acknowledged for the first time that they had sent troops to Russia to fight against Ukraine. Kim Jong-un announced that they would build a monument to their heroism. So I'm going to. I'm sure that the families of the estimated 4,000 North Korean troops who have been killed or wounded feel great about that.
Starting point is 00:30:21 Western intelligence officials believe that North Korea sent about 14,000 troops total to fight in the Kersk region of Russia. That was that part of Russia that the Ukrainians invaded and briefly occupied. It does sound like the combined Russian North Korean forces have driven Ukrainian troops out of Russian territory. So they've lost that as a bargaining chip. But, you know, 4,000 casualties out of 14,000 guys is a pretty high rate. And that's some pretty intense combat, apparently. Also, there was this report of a high-ranking Russian general who was killed in an explosion outside of Moscow last week, right when Wickoff was about to land, actually, in Russia for his meeting with Putin.
Starting point is 00:31:00 I guess that he walked by a car that had been rigged with an IED. Russia called it a terrorist attack that was conducted by the Ukrainians. The Ukrainians refused to comment on these things as sort of a general policy. but it would match up with past actions by their special services. So the war very much still going. Yeah, no, and I was just like the 4,000, I'm going to put that in context, that's more than the number of Americans that died in Afghanistan. Yeah, it's huge.
Starting point is 00:31:24 Although that was, I think that was killed and wounded, just. Oh, killed and wounded, okay. Well, but either way, I mean, it suggests that the Russians are treating the North Koreans like cannon fodder, which is how they often treat their own troops, you know. And, you know, we'll see whether, you know, over time, this is a military alliance that sustains itself or whether this was kind of a one-off in Kursk. But, I mean, this is this kind of globalization of the war in Ukraine is something we have to continue to watch because we've seen these Chinese, you know, reports of Chinese, you know, personnel of some sort being in Ukraine. Yeah, what did you make of those? I don't think we ever talked about that on the show.
Starting point is 00:32:00 I mean, there are some reports or some suggestions in some of the reporting that maybe they were more like intel officers. Yeah, so there were a handful of Chinese, including some that were captured by the Ukrainian, so we know this happened. The Chinese kind of denied the Chinese government that they were somehow involved. I don't believe that you have Chinese people ending up on the front lines in Ukraine with that the Chinese Communist Party that has kind of total control over things, at least being aware of it. I don't know. I mean, one speculation that I've heard that's interesting is that they are like intel officers, that they're learning things, that they're learning, they want to learn from what's happening in this conflict. They want to learn about the ways that things are, the way it's being fought. They want to learn about different weapon systems.
Starting point is 00:32:38 And that's certainly possible too. And we've seen this, I mean, not to, you know, not to use a historical analogy, it's all troubling, but like Spanish Civil War vibes, right? Where like different parties start to creep in to see what it's like modern warfare anticipating some future war, you know. Now let's hope that doesn't happen. But the war in Ukraine, the longer it goes on, we've seen different actors, you know, look, there have been Americans there too. including this really weird story about the son of a deputy director at the CIA killed in eastern Ukraine in 2024 fighting under contract for the Russian military. Very strange story. I don't know what to make of it. It's an incredible story. People should check it out. Essentially, this kid went on a journey of sorts.
Starting point is 00:33:22 Michael Alexander Kloss. Totally by his own choice when fought and died for the Russians. I've never seen anything like that. I mean, very senior CIA official. So I don't know. Deputy Director for Digital Innovation at the CIA. That's a very important job, I would wait a jury. Yeah, yeah. And one that the Russians would be interested in. So I don't know. But yeah, tragic, obviously.
Starting point is 00:33:46 Horrible, tragic. But raises a bunch of questions. Yeah, a lot of questions. Okay, Ben, so like we said at the top, somehow this story about Pete Hex-F, our leader at the Department of Defense is still going. Dear leader. Yeah, dear leader. Last week, we dug its all these details about.
Starting point is 00:34:02 top 8th to Hegsef who are accused of leaking and fired. This week we're talking about it again because half of these dudes keep doing interviews. So the first one was Joe Casper, who was Heggseth's chief of staff. He did an interview with Ryan Grimm at DropSight News. Interesting choice. That's not a criticism of Ryan. As someone who's done an interview with Ryan Grimm.
Starting point is 00:34:21 Ryan and DropSite, there are hardly fans of the Trump administration. It's hard to think of people less ideologically aligned with Pete Hegseff than Ryan. So just bizarre in this interview. Casper talks about like a possible investigation into whether he was doing drugs. He floats this crazy theory about the leaks and that it was all a setup. Like it's very paranoid, very weird. And then Colin Carroll, who was chief of staff to the Deputy Secretary of Defense, Steve Heimberg, did an interview with Megan Kelly on her podcast.
Starting point is 00:34:51 Let's listen to a clip of that. Like if you look at a pie chart of the Secretary's day, at this point, 50% of it's probably leak investigation press. Like it's that. And like that can't be. That is a bad thing. for America's bad thing for the president's objectives. And then in order to kind of combat an image,
Starting point is 00:35:09 it's, hey, we're going to go do work out with the troops. While that is important and it's a thing to do and get out there because it helps with recruiting, it just helps with morale. You know, if you're taking a half-day trip to Naval Academy at the same time the budget is due and we really need some support here, like, come on, you got to weigh priorities.
Starting point is 00:35:27 My observation from the first 90 days, and this is going to sound weird, is that we have, had less of a problem from like the deep state bureaucrats in the department than we did from maybe some people on our own team they're polygraphing people actively right now in the department there's just like a culture fear it's people that are like political people you know that are on the team and no one's going to want to come in that environment so if you've created that environment you're basically it's like a self-fulfilling prophecy now where people are just going to leave
Starting point is 00:35:58 no one wants to deal with that and then your your team gets smaller and smaller you can't run a three million personal organization by kind of like having a cabal of five people and making decisions. It's like shotgunning memos out. That's not how change actually happens. And so I don't think that we ever, we struggled as an administration really put a functioning team together. Damning stuff. First of all, no shit. It wasn't the career professional people leaking. It was the political people. We all watched Trump 1.0, bud. Like, we know it's your friends who are doing all the leaking. Also, Ben, if it's true that the Secretary of Defense is spending half of his day on leak investigations? That is scary. That's a huge problem. That's a horrible use of his time.
Starting point is 00:36:37 And it's worth noting that in addition to the Signalgate stories that we've covered about Hegseth sharing all this classified information in a commercially available app to people without a clearance, this German site, Der Spiegel did an investigation into how easy it was to find personal contact info for Hegsef, his email, a password for one of his email accounts on like hacked, leaked forums. And it was him, it was Tulsi Gabbard as a bunch of other top administration officials. So, like, this problem of their information security is far more serious than just texting Jeffrey Goldberg by accident. Yeah. First of all, shout out to our team for that supercut. It just captures things so beautifully. The essence of that. And it is like a guy
Starting point is 00:37:17 wakes up in the middle of night. He's like, you know, I woke up in the middle of night and I opened the window and it was, it was dark outside, you know? Like, these are so obvious. These things are so obvious. But the thing that is striking to me, Tommy, is I've wondered something ever since this particular nutty, nihilistic brand of the Republican Party really started mushroom in the Obama years. I would always wonder, like, do these people actually believe these things, or are they pretending to believe these things? And part of what you hear in that interview is that, like, someone who believes these things. Genuine surprise. Being like, I showed up the Pentagon, and it wasn't full of a bunch of deep state operatives out to get us.
Starting point is 00:37:54 And then similarly, shocked to be like, this fundamentally unsurious person that was put in charge of the Pentagon wasn't prepared to do. anything other than manage his own image and go work out with the troops. You know, like, well, of course. No shit, bud. That's who he is. Like, that's, like, what about Pete Hexeth as ever suggested to you that he wanted to dig into the details of the Pentagon budget or think about, like, how to, you know, deal with strategy in a disintegrating world order?
Starting point is 00:38:18 This is a man who, as long as he's at the Pentagon is going to spend half of his day staring in the fucking mirror because, like, that's all he's really interested in doing in the first place. You know, he did put it in a makeup studio, it sounds like. Yeah, he's usually likes to be drunk. And here's the thing. There's such a trivialization of American politics. And frankly, like, I think there's a sense out in the normie world that some of the resistance people are kind of cried wolf people.
Starting point is 00:38:45 But actually, these things are some of these things are very real. No, this matters. The fact that Pete Higgs-eth does shit on his private phone and his phone number could be fined by Der Spiegel is like a sign that the Chinese and the Russians and other people are in his phone and are seeing all this crap. It's not hard. This is not something that people are only saying on MSNBC resistance Twitter. Like, this is something that is happening. Again, in the real world. And the entire Trump presidency is going to be this kind of dynamic of people who are living in an alternative reality being forced to exist in actual reality.
Starting point is 00:39:18 Yeah, I mean, being in opposition is easy. Governing is very hard. Colin Carroll in this interview also says that what Heggseth shared in that signal chat was classified. He makes the point that Pete could have just been like, I have declassification authority, therefore it's okay to share it, but it's a bit of an end run around the process is supposed to work, but he's not wrong. Although Trump was asked about all this. Here's his quote, how about this for a vote of confidence? I think he's going to get it together.
Starting point is 00:39:41 I had to talk with him, a positive talk, but I had a talk with him. Also, Ben, like one of the leaks that apparently flipped Pete out was this time story about this plan to brief Elon Musk on these top secret U.S. war plans with China. So there's been a lot more reporting on what was in the memo that was going to get shared with Elon, but luckily, wasn't. According to the Wall Street Journal, the briefing was supposed to include information on 29 China-related special access programs. So the most sensitive stuff the Pentagon does, like we're probably talking about unknown, at least to the general population, like sensitive technologies and weapons that are specifically designed for war with China, which is one, insane, and also like more evidence that Trump and Hexeth's denials that this briefing was ever going to happen
Starting point is 00:40:27 were a lie. We also learned. We also learned. by the way, that Elon sat in on Trump's interview with an Air Force Secretary nominee. Pretty weird for a defense contractor. Yeah, I mean, here's like what's weird to me about this. First of all, you know, for most of eight years, I was at deputy national security advisor level, got the presidential daily briefing, was in the morning briefing with Obama, the whole second term. I was never read into those types of things.
Starting point is 00:40:54 Not because I was like... You weren't going to be like a 180-day. Employee charged with gubernacy. I didn't need to know. I'm making a joke that he doesn't either. No, I know, I know, I know. I know you're making that joke. But I'm saying it's like, I had no need to know about some super secret technology that we might use in a war with China to carry up my duties, right?
Starting point is 00:41:14 Like, why on earth, I mean, yeah, no, it's to your point. Like, why on earth this contractor needed to know these things is really fucking suspicious and scary? because all I can think of is, one, you know, I don't know, gives him a leg up and his contracting business with the Pentagon, that's the most likely scenario. Anything he can learn that can help his SpaceX business or whatever. Satellite procurement thing, yeah. Two, I don't know, maybe he wants to tell somebody about it. Like, that's even scarier. I wonder if you requested it or if this was Pete's, like, where did this idea come from?
Starting point is 00:41:48 Well, it also shows how much they're in this kind of psychic grip of Elon. that P-Tex is sitting there thinking about, like, do I, you know, like, like, what is this person? Like, this is not a person that should exist in the U.S. government structure, you know. And the Air Force General, the same thing. Like, this person presumably might have some say over acquisition. I mean, this acquisitions for systems that include Elon's. Like, the scale of corruption here is just mind-boggling. That Air Force Secretary at some point will likely have to decide, okay, do we go with Boeing or SpaceX for this contract?
Starting point is 00:42:20 Exactly. And that's what I think this is not. If you want to sitting in on your fucking job interview? Yeah. Crazy. And that's what I think this is about. And I should say, by the way, like, this is by no means the biggest fucking whole wharf to dig out of.
Starting point is 00:42:31 But, you know, the next president is going to inherit a Pentagon that is probably going to be wired on Grok and SpaceX and all this crap. And by the Chinese. And we have to, like, be going through like the HAL computer in 2001, just unplugging this shit, you know? Also, did you see that an aircraft carrier in the Red Sea accidentally dumped a 67, million dollar FAA 18 Super Hornet fighter jet into the ocean. I guess they were towing it from the hangar bay.
Starting point is 00:42:57 It sounds like the boat was turning to reposition itself to deal with Houthi missile. Well, I was going to say there were some questions about whether or not the reason it was turning like that might have been because of the way the Houthis were firing stuff at them, which shows that the longer you're at war with the Houthis, like you start to lose planes. Yeah. You start to have accidents. I mean, the idea that you can have a cost-free forever war, which is what they seem to think. cuts against all the experience of the Forever Wars. Yeah, one person was injured. No one was killed, thank God.
Starting point is 00:43:26 But it's not good to dump a $67 million plane at the ocean. Also, that same ship, the USS Harry Truman, collided with a merchant ship back in February. The commander at the time was relieved. But to your point, I mean, these things are in operations. You're out there. Very dangerous. Okay, we're going to take a quick break.
Starting point is 00:43:41 Before we do, we want to tell you about Shadow Kingdom, Ben. Listeners to join the over one million listeners around the world who are listening to Shadow Kingdom. God's Banker. It's our newest true crime podcast. All the episodes are out now so you can binge the story from start to finish. As host, Nicola Mangione investigates the mysterious death of the Vatican banker, uncovering a web of mafia ties, a fascist secret society, covert Vatican ops, and the missing $1.2 billion. He interviews spies, prosecutors, the last person to see Calvi, the banker alive. All to answer one question, who killed God's Banker? Maybe they'll figure that out of the conclave. It's coming up soon. I mean, one of God's banker can get into that. Yeah, get some extra, even more intrigue at the conclave.
Starting point is 00:44:21 Get a good seat. Also, Ben, you just stopped by to talk with Stacey Abrams on her show, Assembly Required with Stacey Abrams. Yes, people should check this out. I loved talking to Stacey Abrams for Assembly Required out this Thursday.
Starting point is 00:44:35 We basically talked about, you know, the nuts and bolts of what it means for the United States to be essentially absenting its position at the center of the world order what are the implications for everyday Americans? What are the implications for the American economy? What are the implications for American security?
Starting point is 00:44:53 So it's a real step back conversation. Very much supplements what we talk about, but it kind of, let's step back and look at the big picture. Stacey's very good at making us think about what does this mean for all of us? What should we do about it? So people should definitely check that out. Cool. We'll do.
Starting point is 00:45:07 This podcast is supported by the International Rescue Committee. At the IRSC, we believe solidarity has no expiration date. As crises continue in Gaza, Ukraine, Sudan, and Iraq, the world. The IRC is committed to ensuring families can survive, recover, and rebuild their lives. Your gift today will help rush health care, emergency supplies, and other critical support to children and families in crisis zones around the world. The IRC is an incredible organization. They are doing amazing, life-saving work all around the world. They would absolutely need your support more than ever, thanks to the Doge cuts to all USAID's work. Consider giving them a donation if you can
Starting point is 00:45:50 as soon as possible because they need your money now. For a limited, limited time, all donations are doubled to help the IRC meet this moment of unprecedented need. Make a difference. Match your gift at rescue.org slash rebuild. That's rescue.org slash rebuild. All right, Ben. So last Tuesday, there was a horrific terrorist attack in the India-controlled part of the Kashmir that has drastically ratcheted up tensions between India and Pakistan that we wanted to talk about.
Starting point is 00:46:21 That attack, by the way, happened right as J.D. Vance was visiting India, giving foreign leaders yet another reason to want him to just kind of stay away for a little bow as a you don't want that guy around no you don't want that he's bad news so the gunman killed 26 people all but one of them was an indian tourist they reportedly i saw a report i don't know if this has been confirmed that they were separating other terrorists were separating non-muslims and then executing them um this happened in a mountain valley area that's a tourist destination because it's very beautiful initially there were reports that an obscure group called the kashmir resistance front was responsible for the attacks india says they have ties to a Pakistani terrorist organization.
Starting point is 00:46:58 The resistance front is now denying responsibility, saying its social media was hacked. So this is all very weird. Regardless, the Indian government is pointing the finger at Pakistan and pledging brutal retaliation. Prime Minister Modi said, quote, India will identify track and punish every terrorist and their backers. We will pursue them to the ends of the earth. So that's pretty intense. Pakistan is denied responsibility. So, Ben, we can dig more into the history in a bit.
Starting point is 00:47:21 But listeners should know that potential war between nuclear-armed India, and nuclear armed Pakistan has been at the top of the World War Watch list for a very long time. And now there's this escalating kind of diplomatic back and forth. So after this attack, India revoked visas for Pakistani nationals. They reduced diplomatic staff in Pakistan. They suspended a very important water sharing agreement between the two countries that has been in place in 1960. And in response, Pakistan kicked India out of its airspace. They suspended trade with India.
Starting point is 00:47:52 Pakistan's defense minister told Reuters this week that he expects a military in curion from India at some point. So, you know, very scary stuff. What's your level of anxiety about the escalation ladder happening here? I mean, it's high because you feel like there's going to be an Indian response. And you also feel like the international environment around this conflict is not one of mediation and de-escalation. This is kind of the normalization of escalation, whether it's in Ukraine, whether it's in the Middle East. Like, I worry about how that mentality enters into this conflict. In the past, what you've had is kind of calibrated responses, like India takes some shot in Pakistan. Pakistan does something back that is, you know, they shoot it something and
Starting point is 00:48:36 intentionally miss it kind of thing, you know, and then everybody calms down. That may happen, but the risk here is if, you know, if things are escalating and neither side blinks and it keeps escalating, yes, these are two nuclear armed nations that have fought multiple wars over this territory. There's an absence of an UN system or a United States or any other. other kind of mediator that could come in to try to calm things down. And so I think we have to be quite concerned about it because we already have flashpoints in Ukraine in Iran and the Middle East right now. And then Taiwan's looming there. And now this enters into that picture too. It's not the best time for this to be happening. No, it's pretty scary time. Yeah, I mean,
Starting point is 00:49:16 just to get to some of the histories, this dates back to the modern dispute over this territory dates back to the partition of the Indian subcontinent by the British in 1947. Not a thousand years ago? Well, let's listen to President Trump's history lesson because I think that's all we really need is just to hear him. Well, I'm very close to India and I'm very close to Pakistan as you know. They've had that fight for a thousand years in Kashmir. Kashmir has been going on for a thousand years, probably longer than that.
Starting point is 00:49:45 Again, so that's not true. Partition was in 1947. since 1972, the Pakistani and Indian control parts of Kashmir have been separated by what's called the line of control. The India administration portion has been dealing with a separatist insurgency for decades to make things even more complicated. China also claims and controls a portion of Kashmir. For most of this period, the Indian administered Kashmir had a special autonomous status, but Modi revoked that status in 2019, bringing the region directly under his control. Since then, the Indian government has cracked down on free speech on journalism.
Starting point is 00:50:23 They've arrested thousands of people while at the same time encouraging people to go to the region for vacations, for tourism. So Trump was just like 950 years off there, I think, in his sort of knowledge of history. And he also repeated it, too. So it wasn't like a slip. Like he thought he'd made a really smart point. You nailed him. And I really nailed it. Yeah, I mean, look, this, you've seen Modi kind of steadily change the sense.
Starting point is 00:50:50 status, the status quo in Kashmir have been disputed territory and kind of frozen conflict. And there's supposed to be like an international basis for there to be self-determination there. But Modi short-circuited that by essentially trying to absorb Kashmir. It's, you know, a tragic inevitability that, you know, it's some like other places we've talked about around the world, including when we're about to talk about it. But if you repress people and, you know, you, you, I mean, all repress. reports are, and there's not a lot of reporting out of Kashmir, too, by the way, because they don't let a lot of independent journalism happen there, is it's a pretty, can be a pretty brutal environment. You get occasional acts of violent resistance. And there's a cycle of that happening in India
Starting point is 00:51:33 responding by attacking Pakistan. And look, I think the Pakistani government has tolerated, in some cases, supported groups that have agendas in Kashmir. I find it hard to believe that the Pakistani government directed this attack, you know. So I'm not sure it's constructive for India. That has been the one moving, you know, and look, I understand how Indians feel and the anger they feel. They want a response. I'm just not sure that attacking kind of the country of Pakistan is the most constructive way of doing that. You're the stronger party. India is indisputably the stronger party, the bigger, stronger country with the bigger economy and the bigger military.
Starting point is 00:52:12 And actually, I think showing some restraint might actually be in India's interest in the medium and long term here, even if a lot of the short term kind of very, very important. Vengeance is leading them to military action. Yeah, that's exactly right. I mean, there's, I think, almost certainly a desire, at least in the region, for some sort of vengeance, especially given that it's just like, you know, 26 purely civilian targets who were executed. Modi, Prime Minister Modi, is kind of like Netanyahu, and then he portrays himself as like Mr. Security. So clearly the tough talk that I read out earlier as, you know, part of him trying to, you know, respond to a black guy over this incident happening on this. happening on this watch.
Starting point is 00:52:50 And actually, the other thing you worry about it, sometimes Modi directs that internally at Muslim minority population within India. And so you hope you don't see that either. Yeah, well, actually, let's turn to Netanyahu. So we had a couple of Gaza updates we want to do. The first one is just, according to, like, everybody on the ground, things are really bad in Gaza, maybe as bad as they've ever been right now.
Starting point is 00:53:11 The ceasefire, you know, ended on the 18th, in March 18th when the Israelis started bombing again. Gaza has now been under a total Israel. blockade for about two months. But the world food program said they are out of food stocks. Gaza's few remaining medical facilities are nearly out of supplies. And at the same time, IDF airstrikes are back to being like daily occurrence. The casualties are way up. In some cases, like dozens of people per day. There's reports that 1,600 people have been killed by Israeli air strikes since the ceasefire ended. The strikes are often on tents or other temporary structures for displaced people.
Starting point is 00:53:44 So there's tons of collateral damage. The Israeli forces there have issued dozens of conflicting evacuation orders. So people are just getting pushed all over the country. According to Reuters, Hamas is offered to release all remaining Israeli hostages in exchange for an end to the war, reconstruction of Gaza and the release of Palestinian prisoners being held by Israel. But Hamas, the counteroffer from the Israelis, is reportedly a demand that they fully disarm as part of any deal, which has ended up being a non-starter for them. So, Ben, I feel like things have been so insane in the Trump era that we have not covered Gaza as frequently as we did during the first year and a half of the war. But it did seem important to highlight just how bad conditions are on the ground and the fact that the parties just seemed like they're nowhere close to any kind of ceasefire deal.
Starting point is 00:54:30 Yeah, but let's look, I just think that this is because Israel doesn't win in the war. And Netanyahu does not win in the war, be specific. Because if they were willing to end the war, they would get the hostages out. And the idea that they somehow need to continue to fight a war against Hamas and Gaza, I'm sorry. There's no security. There's no security need to do it. There's, it's a literal impossibility that October 7th or anything remotely approaching that or anything really in terms of a ground attack on Israelis could happen if the war ended tomorrow. Given the damage that's been done to Hamas, given how militarized that border is between Gaza and Israel.
Starting point is 00:55:09 So there's no military necessity to carry out this war. Netanyas is caring for his political purposes and their people and his coalition. and including maybe Netanyam himself, who would want to carry out to just continue to punish and destroy the Palestinian people, if not ethnically cleanse them from Gaza, which is what a lot of people say.
Starting point is 00:55:26 That's the Trump plan. This is something Donald Trump says. It's something the ministers in Israeli government say. The humanitarian situation can be, we're not overstating it. Nothing has gotten in since mid-March. Zero.
Starting point is 00:55:37 We're talking no food, no medicine in a place where there already was no infrastructure left. They destroyed all the hospitals. They destroyed all the schools. destroyed basically all the buildings. And so you're just talking about a place in which an already traumatized, bombarded people, including a lot of injured people, like badly injured people,
Starting point is 00:55:56 are being bombed in tents with no food in medicine. That's what's happening. I was scrolling through Twitter yesterday, and I saw a video of kind of the after results of an airstrike, and there was a little girl sitting on the ground, and Oliver's sudden her head just started gushing blood like I've never seen any. bleed in my life. And I realized I was watching the last moments of this little girl's life. And this is happening every single day. And what makes that okay? What makes that worth doing?
Starting point is 00:56:26 Like, don't tell me that that's, what hostage is being brought home by that, you know? So there's just, this is an immoral abomination that will be a stain on this country and on Israel for the rest of our lives. A moral stain, a strategic disaster. Everything about it is wrong and cruel and it's indefensible. And just now that we're all furious about this again, it's worth highlighting this report on Channel 13 News in Israel about the Biden administration's handling the war in Gaza, the policy generally. So Channel 13 talked to a bunch of top former Biden people, like nine administration officials. They talked to a bunch of the Netanyahu government. It's all in Hebrew, but a couple sites dropped site news again. And then the Times of Israel did
Starting point is 00:57:09 write-ups of the main reporting. And it is both infuriating, not surprising and confirms a lot of the assumptions we had from the very beginning about kind of what was happening behind the scene. So one of the most damning quotes came from the Israeli ambassador to the U.S. at the time who said that, quote, God did the state of Israel a favor that Biden was the president during this period because it could have been much worse. We fought in Gaza for over a year. And the administration never came to us and said, ceasefire now. It never did. And that's not to be taken for granted. So he's obviously trying to give Joe Biden credit there. And in so do offering the most damning thing observation you could about the administration. A couple more
Starting point is 00:57:50 things that jumped out of me, Ben. The administration reportedly debated having Biden give a speech that presented the Israeli people two paths in the hopes of forcing an election. One path was get a hostage deal, get a ceasefire, get a normalization agreement with the Saudis. The other path was what we're seeing now, endless war diplomatic isolation. But ultimately, Biden just chickened out and didn't want to push BB politically. And instead did that speech where he laid out the framework for a ceasefire deal that I guess Netanyahu had told him you agree to, but later walked away from. There was some stuff in the story about how Biden's team was particularly angry with Netanyahu when you released that video accusing them of implementing a broad freeze
Starting point is 00:58:29 on weapon shipments when in reality Biden had only held a single shipment of 2,000 pound bombs and that freeze was about to be resolved. So I guess the Netanyahu response, you know, destroyed the deal they were about to cut to ship the bomb. And so reading that, I was like, I get the frustration of these Biden staffers here because they're mad that Netanyahu lied about them. But it's also very telling that the like biggest point of frustration was Biden like not getting credit for having a saddened enough arms. They're mad about that and not about the 2,000 pound bombs being dropped on kids. We'll come back to that. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:59:04 So I just, you know, that's a lot about the Saudi normalization deal. There's people admitting what was obvious all along that Nyingya was blocking a ceasefire for political purpose. So again, like I said at the top, like this was obvious at the time. We talked about at the time rereading it was absolutely enraging. It was a reminder all over again of what a total fucking disgrace the Biden administration's policy on Gaza was. The just unrequited obsessive loyalty to Netanyahu blinded him to the carnage in like total immorality of the policy and the U.S. complicity in that policy, and it's just, it's outrageous. Yeah, what's really enraging about this, well, there are different layers of it, but first
Starting point is 00:59:51 of all, and you summed it up well, to try to add to that. Look, it was obvious at the time that they were not really pressing them for the ceasefire. It just kind of confirms what we knew. And that's what a lot of us were angry about, that they were not implying any leverage. They weren't doing anything to try to really push a ceasefire. So this is the second thing is they were saying at the time, we're working like relentlessly. they were not. They were not working relentlessly for a ceasefire. They were talking about it publicly so that they had something to say. And then privately, they're just shoveling weapons at Netanyahu and mainly complaining that Netanyahu wasn't giving them enough credit for shoveling the weapons to him, you know? I mean, it's very revealing that they were upset by Netanyahu making that video because that's about the politics of it. They were so inside the politics of it that they weren't looking at the conduct. of what was being done in Gaza in the same way.
Starting point is 01:00:44 The other things I'd like to say about this, the first thing is that I think that they might believe that they were doing more than they were. You know? Like they, and I'm not saying this to absolve them, anything but. I think they don't, the Israeli ambassador's words are so damning
Starting point is 01:01:04 because he's making clear it was a choice for the United States to unreservedly back what Israel did for that whole, year. That was a choice. It wasn't something to happen because of gravity. It wasn't something to happen because politics inevitably means you support Israel unconditionally. Joe Biden made a choice to provide unconditional military support to this Israeli government and this military operation. And just mouthing words of concern about the scale of loss of life doesn't matter. You made that choice. Another thing, this Saudi normalization then kept coming up. Like, I don't understand why they
Starting point is 01:01:40 miss this opportunity because you fundamentally and what it's amazing to me is some of these people are people that kind of put themselves forward as like experts on Israel they're fundamentally misunderstanding this israeli government given the choice between having like commercial flights between riyadh and Jerusalem and ethnically cleansing Gaza of course they're going to choose to ethnically cleanse Gaza why do we understand this israeli government better than you do like or even just like even more pathetic and selfish the choice between direct flights to riyadh or nettingahu staying in power. Exactly. Yeah, there you go. Yeah, that's right. Because with Nanyahu, it's staying in power with, like, Ben-Gavir and Smotrich, it's the West Bank and Gaza. The West Bank and
Starting point is 01:02:18 Gaza are much more important than a Saudi normalization deal. And so what we're still like talking about Israel is if it's our version of what, our version of Israel, or Democratic Party foreign policy version of Israel is like, well, of course they'll want normalization of Saudi Arabia more than they'll want to like, you know, kill the two-state solution and try to take back West Bank and Gaza. Like, that's misreading this government. The last thing I want to say, Tommy, is like, and we can have a conversation about this. Like, I, I try to hold some space here because if you've listened to this podcast for six, seven years, I'll speak for myself. I don't want to speak for you.
Starting point is 01:02:55 But I think you've probably gone through a similar process. But I've had to deprogram a bit. Totally. I was much more defensive in 2017 about drone strikes or, you know, things that we did that we were part of some things that were wrong. We were part of, actually, because some things that are just baked into U.S. National Security are wrong, right? And it's been nice to have this forum and to interact, obviously, with so many people around the world, and force us to not do that, you know, to be more honest about, and I'm not suggesting we're all the way there yet. My advice to these people, some of whom we know well, some of whom are our friends, is don't do that. like don't rationalize don't explain the best spin you know don't try to pick the one time that
Starting point is 01:03:46 Biden said something that made it look like you pressured Israel like in fact don't talk about it all right now I actually wondered why nine people talk to channel 13 in Israel sit with this think about it like like absorb it listen to people in Gaza um like consume those images um And I'm not, I don't want this to come across preachy. I really don't. I say this as someone who did that thing of, like, defending everything we did and, and tying myself in knots. It's not healthy, you know, like, so this is not me, I swear to God, this is not,
Starting point is 01:04:21 I'm not trying to come at this from some highfalutin place. I'm saying, actually, is someone who's, that's the wrong path. You know, there's another path of, because actually, it'd be good for American foreign policy and Democratic Party national foreign policy for people. to truly evolve and be like, you know, that's wrong, you know. And give courage to the next generation of foreign policy staffers who are scared that they are going to get destroyed by APEC or these groups that are attacking, you know, YouTubers like Miss Rachel, if she, you know, speaks about the humanity of the Palestinian people, like, like, break that cycle. I'm totally with you on the broader point that it took me forever to do a better. job of thinking for myself, gaining perspective, reading more, learning more. Like, you just grow as a human
Starting point is 01:05:10 being. You understand more. But also, just on this narrow policy, I guess what I'd ask people is, I don't care how hard Joe Biden worked a problem. We nobody cares. What I care is about the outcome. Yeah. You know what I mean? And look at what's happening on the ground. Like, it is a fucking disaster. More people are dead. Sixty hundred people are dead since the seats fire ended, that you guys couldn't get over the finish line that Trump somehow got over the finish line. And I know these are not easy problems. They're brutally hard. Every option after October 7th was a bad option.
Starting point is 01:05:42 But blind loyalty to BB Netanyahu, a right-wing autocrat, was a massive mistake. And, like, we just have to acknowledge that because of the damage it did to the people in Gaza, but also the damage it did to the Democratic Party. Yeah. And it's indefensible. And the thing is sometimes, again, your program to think about, because you actually don't come to work thinking you want to do this. that. You come to work thinking you want to ceasefire. You come to work thinking, you know, we just need to get through this and maybe the next phone call with BB, like it'll work out.
Starting point is 01:06:14 But part of what you have to wrestle with is, to your point, just the fact that you were in a lot of meetings and you stayed up late and that a lot of phone calls were made and trips were made, the world experiences the outputs. It's kind of like what we were saying with Trump in reality. And the reality is that the system that was built is part of the problem. The system that was built to just shovel those weapons to the Israeli government, that's part of the problem. And you're never going to change that system if you're just defending how you manage the system at the time.
Starting point is 01:06:44 Yeah, and by the way, hands up, right? Like, Barack Obama signed a 10-year MOU that provided $3 billion a year to Israeli government. And we did that in part because we were defensive about the Iran deal. Wrong. We shouldn't have done that. We knew who Bibi was.
Starting point is 01:06:56 We should not have signed a 10-year memorand. I'm sure I defended it at the time. That was wrong. like that system that that was a part of was the wrong system. And you'll never really change the system if you're kind of constantly defending your management of it, you know? Yeah. And just one last point on this.
Starting point is 01:07:14 I mean, of the nine people, like officials quoted in that story, and I honestly don't even know who all of them are because I didn't watch the video. I just read the reports. I mean, I think probably a couple were actually in high-level meetings with Joe Biden all the time. Like I'm not, this is not a staff problem. There were clearly some staffers who I think were in a bad place and providing very, very bad advice to Joe Biden.
Starting point is 01:07:36 But this begins and ends with him. Like this was clearly a problem. 100%. He owned to the great detriment of the policy outcome, but also to himself politically. Yeah. Because again, I'm in reading the Jake Tapper book. I can't get into all the details of it. But it's clear like at some point, Biden just started spending all of his time doing Ukraine and Gaza stuff and like didn't get either of those.
Starting point is 01:08:00 was problem solved and forgot everything else he needed to do for a re-election. Yeah. And it's 100% right that we have to, that begins and ends with Joe Biden. It was his policy choice. And you're right. Like the vast majority of the staff, like totally different people could have been there and the result would have been exactly the same. The reason I think it's important, though, for staff to wrestle with these things
Starting point is 01:08:20 when they're out of government is that's the only way that things change when you come back in the government. Oh, absolutely. Or you want the next Democratic presidential candidates to have staff or advisors who've learned some things, you know, and digested these things. So that's the evolution I would encourage. If the next person who works on foreign policy for a Democrat says hug BB, they need to be walked out of the building. Pete Hegseth, them out of the building that minute. And we know who gives that advice and you don't need to listen to those people. Don't listen to those people. Okay, we are going to take a quick break. When we come back, you're going to hear Ben's interview
Starting point is 01:08:52 with Oleksondo and Medvedvichuk. So stick around for that. Pazzi of the world is brought to you by Quince. I used to have no idea what to get my mom for Mother's Day. especially when she hits me with the classic, don't get me anything. Oh, I know that way. But I still want to give her something that feels special. Quince totally solved it for me.
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Starting point is 01:10:39 Alexander, thanks so much for joining us. Thank you for invitation. So I want to start with the current situation in Ukraine where we've seen an increase in Russian strikes recently, including an attack on Kiev last week, which killed over a dozen people and injured around 100 people. Alexander, I know you're based in Kiev. What has been this situation there? How could you describe these strikes and the impact that they've had? Putin openly demonstrate that he doesn't want peace.
Starting point is 01:11:15 And it's obvious. Putin started this large-scale war not because he wanted to occupy just one part more of Ukrainian land. Putin started this large-scale war because he won't occupy and destroy the whole country. And go further. His logic is historical. He dreams about his legacy. He wants to forcibly restore Russian Empire.
Starting point is 01:11:38 And with this earshrike in Sumi, in Krivyrieh, in Odessa and in Kiev recently, with all these dozens of killed civilians and children and destroyed residential buildings, Putin openly demonstrate his disregard to President Donald Trump. Yeah, I want to ask you a bit more about your work, but just on the negotiations that are taking place. What is it like to live through the reality where there is this conversation happening internationally outside of Ukraine largely between the American administration and the Russians and at times with the Ukrainian government at the same time that there's a war ongoing inside of Ukraine? I mean, what does it like to live in a reality where these issues are being
Starting point is 01:12:34 discussed in international capitals? And yet, your reality is still the same. It's a reality of war. Recent weeks, we heard a lot about natural minerals, about Russia's territorial claims, about geopolitical interest. But we didn't hear about people. And I think that it's not okay, because this war has a very vivid human dimension.
Starting point is 01:13:02 And we still want to get an answer to very important questions. What will be with more than 20,000 Ukrainian children illegally deported to Russia, separated with their families, and supposed to be adopted by Russian families who will bring them up as Russians? What will be with thousands and thousands illegally detained civilians, men and women, subjected to horrible torture and sexual abuse daily? I personally interviewed hundreds of them. And they told me how they were beaten, raped, smashed into war. wooden boxes, their fingers were cut, their nails were turned away, their nails were drilled, they were electrically shocked through their genitalia. One woman told me how your eye was dark out with a spoon. Knowing this, it's very understandable that at least part of these people
Starting point is 01:13:55 have a very less chance to be alive until the end of this political process. And finally, what will be with millions of Ukrainians who live under Russian occupation? They live in a grey zone. They have no tools how to defend their rights, their freedom, their property, their lives, their children, their beloved ones. And Russian occupation is not just changing one state flag to another. Russian occupation means enforce disappearances, torture, rapes, denial of your identity, forcible adoption of your own children, filtration camps and mass graves. So I feel bad.
Starting point is 01:14:34 I think we have to return human dimension into political process. Only in that way we can find a pass to sustainable peace. All of that documentation that you've done through your work and your organization connects to something that you've been outspoken about, which is the need for there to be accountability for these crimes of aggression, these crimes against humanity. How do you approach that, knowing that, You know, in terms of if you're the Ukrainian government, you know that Putin is not going to
Starting point is 01:15:10 obviously want to agree to any process of accountability. How do you think about, you know, there's so much discussion of territory and security guarantees, and these are very important things. But how do you think about this question of accountability? How do you think the world should approach accountability in the context of these negotiations and any future end to the war? all this hell which he now faced in Ukraine it's a result of total impunity which Russia enjoyed for decades because Russian troops committed horrible crimes in Chechnya, in Moldova, in Georgia, in Mali, in Libya, in Syria,
Starting point is 01:15:50 in other countries of the world, and they have never been punished. They believe they can do whatever they want. And for 11 years, we have been documented how Russian troops physically exterminate active local people on the ground, mayors, journalists, children writers, musicians, teachers, environmentalists, priests, how they ban Ukrainian language and culture, how they destroyed and robbed Ukrainian cultural heritage, how they abducted Ukrainian children and sent them to Russia to bring them up as Russians.
Starting point is 01:16:27 So for me, it's obvious that justice is preconditioned to peace, because we have to change this long-lasting tradition of impunity. We must break this circle of impunity, not just for Ukrainians, but in order to prevent a next Russian attack to the next nation. And I'm doing this work with responsibility and with a hope. Because hope, it's not a confidence that everything will be fine, but hope, it's a Deep understanding that all other efforts have a huge meaning. And how do you, you know, as an activist, as someone in civil society, as someone who's been documenting all of this injustice, you also have a situation where your government is in this
Starting point is 01:17:23 very difficult position where it's fighting a relentless aggressor in Putin. And it now has an American government that seems more. intent on putting pressure on the Ukrainian government than on the Russian government. How would you like to see your government operate in these negotiations? What is the mood in terms of how civil society is relating to the Ukrainian government right now? It's not easy situation. And probably it's not just Ukrainian problem that in 21st century, a state decided that when you have a strong military potential, a nuclear weapon, you can break international order,
Starting point is 01:18:09 you can dictate your rules to entire international community, and you can even forcibly change internationally recognized borders. I think it's not just a problem for Ukraine. Because look at my work, I'm a human rights lawyer, and for years I am applying the law to defend people and human dignity. For current moment, I have no tools. to stop Russian atrocities. It shows the vulnerability
Starting point is 01:18:37 of the whole international architecture. Yeah, I was going to ask you, I mean, where do you think those tools could come from, right? Because there's the power of what you're doing, which is kind of bearing witness, documentation, organization on the ground. But it seems like the tools of
Starting point is 01:18:52 international justice lack capacity, right? So Putin can be charged with war crimes by the National Criminal Court, but he can evade responsibility for that. that there are allies who provide weapons and other kinds of support to Ukraine, but it's not quite enough to overcome Russia. I mean, I'm not asking you to kind of solve the puzzle of international justice here. But what have you learned through this experience of the work you've done, the experience of being in Ukraine these years, about the need for a greater solidarity or prioritization of these issues internationally?
Starting point is 01:19:31 Several things to comment. First, you are totally right. The international order, which is based on UN Charter and international law is collapsing before our eyes. And there are reasons for this. This international architecture was established past century. It's provided for several countries' irrational privileges. And now it's just stolen, it's reproducing ritualistic movements. The work of Security Council is paralyzed. And now it's easy to predict that, Such fires like wars can emerge more and more often in different parts of the globe, because this international wiring is faulty and sparks are everywhere. But still, even in such circumstances, there are a room for decisive legal actions to establish law injustice. We can create a special tribunal on aggression to hold Putin, Lukashenko, and Tom political leadership and high military command of Russian state accountable, and more than 40 countries are discussing the modern. modalities of the special tribunal to fill this gap of accountability when there is no international
Starting point is 01:20:36 court which can prosecute Putin for the crime of oppression. But everything in which we are documented, it's result of his leadership decision to start such war. So just one example. And not to end to the negative note, let me tell you the main lesson learned which I have from this years of war. people have power we get used to thinking through the categories of states and interstate organizations but ordinary people have a much
Starting point is 01:21:08 great power that they can even imagine ordinary people can change history and Ukrainians are one of example because three years ago nobody believed that we can provide resistance for more than three or four days to such enormous opposing powers Russia is
Starting point is 01:21:25 even our international partners were confident that we have no potential to resist. I was in Kiev when all international organization evacuated their personal, they left us alone. But ordinary people remained. Ordinary people started to do extraordinary things. And suddenly it became obvious that ordinary people fighting for their freedom and human dignity are stronger than even the second army in the world. Yeah, I mean, I want to ask you about Ukraine and the longer journey because this all began, well, it's hard to trace an exact beginning, but it's also the case that ordinary people stood up on the Medan over a decade ago and began this journey of trying to throw off corruption, throw off Russian influence, assert Ukrainian sovereignty and identity. And here we are over 10 years later, and Ukrainians are still. still fighting for those things. Do you think Ukraine has changed over the last 10 years? I mean, how do you feel like the identity of the Ukrainian people has changed based on, you know,
Starting point is 01:22:35 ordinary people trying to reclaim their power in the face of, you know, Putin, who kind of is the most, you know, core representation of authoritarian power in the world? How, how has Ukraine's struggle against that changed the country and the people? 11 years ago, millions of people in Ukraine stood up their ways against pro-Russian corrupt authoritarian government, and they peacefully demonstrated just for a chance to build a country where the rights of everybody are protected. Government is accountable, judiciary is independent, and police do not bid students who are peacefully demonstrated, and we are paying the highest price just for this chance. I know what I'm talking about, because I was coordinator of civil and initiative Euro-Maidan
Starting point is 01:23:25 SOS during the Revolution of Dignity. We brought up several thousands of people. We worked 24-hour per day to provide legal assistance to prosecuted protesters. Every day, hundreds, hundreds of people who were beaten, arrested, tortured, accused and fabricated criminal cases
Starting point is 01:23:43 pass through over-care. And when authoritarian regime collapsed and we got our chance to start this democratic transition in order to stop us on this way, Putin invaded. Putin occupied Crimea, part of Luhansk and Danesk regions, and three years ago extended this war to the large-scale invasion, because Putin is not afraid of NATO.
Starting point is 01:24:08 Putin is afraid of idea of freedom, which came clothed to Russian borders. So we have the possibility to reform our country just for 11 years. We pay the highest price for this possibility, and we have to do it during the war. Can you imagine the burden? It's very difficult to make a democratic transition even during peaceful time.
Starting point is 01:24:34 The countries from European Union, United States, they spayed decades, sometimes centuries to build sustainable democratic institutions. We have just 11 years, and we have to do it during the war. But believe me, the country is rapidly changed. because it's about responsibility. We want to do our job. We want to have a country which we dream about.
Starting point is 01:25:03 We want to our children have never been a situation like us, having to pay the blood for freedom and for human dignity. And when you look to the future, what kind of Ukraine would you like to see emerge from this war. I mean, there's the immediate questions about how much territory Ukraine can maintain,
Starting point is 01:25:29 but there are also questions of security guarantees or questions of when Ukraine can join the European Union. But just in terms of what kind of Ukraine you would like to see after the war, what do you envision? What do you believe in in terms of the future for Ukraine? If I can say of a language of dream,
Starting point is 01:25:49 I want to see my country in a way that such an organization like us, like Center for Civil Liberties, in our current functions, are not needed. So this will be Ukraine which we want, that the rule of law is dominated, people are protected, their rights are protected. we can just grow with our children in peace and have a freedom to live without fear of violence, have a freedom to have a long-term perspective. And it's simple things, but it's not given for granted, especially taking into account that we have also to develop the long-lasting strategy towards Russia.
Starting point is 01:26:40 Because Russia is empire, and empire has a center but has no borders. empire always tries to expand. It's like Putin told that borders of Russia will never end. And I saw it even in my human rights work. When I interviewed people who survived Russian captivity, they told me that Russians see their future like this. First, we'll occupy Ukraine,
Starting point is 01:27:06 and then, together with you, we will go to conquer in other countries. And if those are the stakes, what would you say to Americans? who are being told by Trump that it's time to move on from this, that this is not important to the United States, that we just need to get out of this war,
Starting point is 01:27:28 that it cost too much money. You know, we have an audience that includes not just Americans, but American policymakers. What would you say to them about why this matters to the rest of the world, including to the United States? I'm not politicians. Probably I will not find proper words to say, I just only want to express my sincere gratitude to people in United States.
Starting point is 01:27:52 Thank you that you are with us in this dramatic time of our history. I saw social survey in United States. Majority of people in United States supported our struggle for freedom. And for me, as for human, it's obvious, because we are fighting for something that has no limitation in national borders. It's freedom. and human solidarity is also one of such things which have no limitation in national borders
Starting point is 01:28:18 and we all know from the world history that only spread of freedom make our world safer and one last question I just wanted to ask you I mean you've been doing this work for so long it's obviously very difficult work and you're doing it in the context of war I mean what keeps you motivated
Starting point is 01:28:38 what keeps you doing the work of documents crimes of working for civil liberties, what sustains you and how might people show solidarity to what you're doing? Let's me tell you with a story. This is story of Artem. He lost his father and mother in a deliberate Russian strike on his residential buildings. Artem dreamed to be a football player. And after rehabilitation, he play and he continue his training and he told that he dreamed that fathered mother are sitting in a stadium and look at him how he is going to his dream. I document such kind of stories. We have in our database 84,000 episodes of war crimes. It's an enormous
Starting point is 01:29:36 amount. It's not just violations of Geneva and her conventions. We document human pain, and it's a huge responsibility. When you spoke with people who went through hell, like this child, Artem, you have a clear impression that these people need to restore, not just their broken life, broken future vision, broken families, but their broken belief that justice is possible, even though delayed in time. And I also know that our future is not just unclear, but also not per written. It means that we still have a chance to fight for future, which we want for us and for our children. Alexander, thank you so much for the work you're doing. Thanks for sharing your perspective with us here today. People should follow your work and the work
Starting point is 01:30:29 of the Center for Civil Liberties in Ukraine. And we really wish you all the best. Thanks for talking to Thank you very much. Thanks again to Alexandra for doing the show. And thank you, Ben. Thank you, the Knicks. Thank you. Well, actually, I'm really looking forward to this, even though the Knicks will probably lose.
Starting point is 01:30:51 Because Boston, New York, man. Love it. Nothing better. Old school. Pod Save World is a crooked media production. Our senior producer is Alona Mikovsky. Our associate producer is Michael Goldsman. Our executive producers are me, Tommy Vitor, and Ben Rhodes.
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