Pod Save the World - Trump’s Peace Prize Pipe Dream

Episode Date: July 2, 2025

Tommy and Ben lament Trump’s travesty of a spending bill and the death of USAID, and how both will cost lives and further tank America’s global reputation. They unpack the fallout from Israel and ...the US’s strikes on Iran, the bizarre delusions and marginalization of Tulsi Gabbard, and the ending of Temporary Protected Status for Haitians. They also discuss Trump’s interference in Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu’s corruption trial, the latest horrors in Gaza, shocking settler violence in the West Bank, and anti-Israel speech at the UK’s Glastonbury Festival. Also covered: new fighting between Ukraine and an emboldened Russia, Trump’s shaky ceasefire and resource-grab masquerading as a “peace deal” between the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Rwanda, and a triumphant pride parade in Budapest. Finally, they plan a trip to the world’s next top spring break destination: Wonsan Kalma, North Korea.For a closed-captioned version of this episode, click here. For a transcript of this episode, please email transcripts@crooked.com and include the name of the podcast. 

Transcript
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Starting point is 00:00:51 Start paying rent through built and take advantage of the industry's most valuable points by going to joinbilt.com slash world. that's J-O-I-N-B-I-L-T-com slash world. Make sure to use our URL so they know we sent you, joinbuilt.com slash world to sign up for Built today. Welcome back to Pod Save the World. I'm Tommy Vitor. I'm Ben Rhodes.
Starting point is 00:01:24 As folks watching on the YouTube know, Ben is currently zooming in from some sort of hamam, a sauna, maybe a banya. It's a nice wooden aesthetic. That's why you need to subscribe to Pod Save the World on YouTube. I'm basically zooming in from the great. Budapest Hotel. I'm somewhere in the former Austro-Hungarian Empire and enjoyed myself. So, yes, there's a sauna here. But I'm not in it right now, but it just looks like that.
Starting point is 00:01:49 You're going to find a Habsburg somewhere. Ben, I would recommend that you maybe stay overseas and not come back because thanks to Trump and Republicans, 17 million people in this country are going to lose health care. Our debt is going to explode because we're giving tax breaks to the richest people in the country. The U.S. government is going to fuck over clean energy producers for absolutely no reason and no one seems to care. Yeah, I have to say that as bad as things are, they look even worse from outside the country because it doesn't make any sense when you're not like in the belly of that beast. And to your point on me, like one of the things I learned in all my years in government and sense is that nothing is more important to America's
Starting point is 00:02:32 position in the world than what we do in America. It's not the foreign policy. It's kind of what we're doing. And stacking up. trillions of dollars in debt and passing bills that lead to the deaths of thousands and thousands of Americans and gutting clean energy when the Chinese are like racing ahead. None of that makes a lot of sense and it makes even less sense when you're looking at it from the outside in. So I don't know. I honestly, I mean, I can't think of a worse bill in my life than this. No. Can you? No, no, truly. Dan said the same thing today. I mean, yeah, China installed more wind turbines and solar panels. last year than the rest of the world combined.
Starting point is 00:03:11 Why? Because they understand that climate change is a real thing, but also because all of the industries of the future are insanely energy dependent. Like all the AI stuff that we're talking about, all, like those companies aren't going to be able to exist here in the United States if they can't get enough power.
Starting point is 00:03:26 And yet we're gutting tax credits for clean energy. I mean, until the 11th hour then, Republicans wanted to slap an excise tax on solar and wind energy projects that the estimates were would have increased the cost of your energy bill for your average consumer by up to 20% just because they wanted to do a favor for some like coal lobbyist or something? Yeah. I mean,
Starting point is 00:03:48 we know that they are in bed by the fossil fuel industry. But the thing that gets me is that like part of this is also just the libs care about climate change show we're going to get rid of that. Right. Right. But these people, I mean, to just stay on the China point for a second, China has spent over a decade reorienting their entire economy around clean energy, around technological inputs for AI, around supply chains for critical minerals. And we look at the same people that love to talk really tough about how they're going to stand up the Chinese Communist Party are literally ensuring that the United States is not only unable to compete, but we're not even like in the conversation. We're moving in the opposite direction, right?
Starting point is 00:04:37 never mind what this is going to do to human beings in the United States. It's hard to explain to people outside the country why you would cut off food assistance, why would you would cut health care, why you would cut USAID, like why America seems to be in this kind of nihilistic, vengeful place. And that's not a, I mean, it's not a good look. Let's just put it that way. No. And by the way, USAID is now officially dead. There was a study in the Lancet, this respect Medical Journal that estimates that USAID saved 92 million lives from 2001 until 2021, and that destroying it could kill 14 million people between now and 2030, 4.5 million of whom will be kids under 5 years old. So that's what our government is doing. They're passing a
Starting point is 00:05:27 gigantic tax cut for the richest people on the planet, and they're throwing poor people off of Medicaid at the United States, and then Elon Musk, who now apparently hates this fucking tax bill. I couldn't see this one coming somehow despite being, you know, the smartest person in the world. Him and his doge guys decided to kill off USAID, which if you want to be really outraged, Ben, read the Washington Post story about all the babies in Sudan who are starving to death because Elon decided to tweet, we spent the weekend feeding USAID into the woodchipper. Could have gone to some great parties. Did that instead. I guess the ketamine wore off a little too quickly and you decided to kill kids abroad.
Starting point is 00:06:04 Yeah, and I think what we had to focus on here for a second is that the principal experience of the United States government that hundreds of millions, if not billions of people have around the world, is USAID, right? If you are living in large parts of the world, you are living on nutrition assistance from USAID, vaccines from USAID, PEPFAR program for HIV AIDS from USCID, or even just, you know, lifelines for journalists from USAID, right? All of that has been completely cut off for no discernible reason other than the whims of Elon Musk and Donald Trump coming in and kind of wanting to stick it to people because it's not any meaningful savings in the federal budget. People that work on foreign policy, right, people like yours and my former colleagues, like sit around and they debate whether or not, you know, the strike blew up the facility at Fordo and Iran or what assistance we should provide to Ukraine.
Starting point is 00:07:10 And then we wonder why it is that most of the world does not agree with American farm policy, why most of the world doesn't want to get on board with supporting Ukraine or pressuring the Iranians of their nuclear program. This is fundamentally so much more important than anything else that has happened in recent years in U.S. foreign policy. There's pulling the rug out from these people in ways that are going to cause millions of deaths, including the deaths of children. And then they're looking at us from the outside and saying, oh, not only do these people
Starting point is 00:07:43 not care about people around the world, they're ripping health care away from 17 million Americans themselves. What is going on in the United States? Who is running this country, right? What are the priorities of the people who are running this country? And I think we have to just level with people. Like one of the things we said after Trump was elected is like, we can't promise you that it's always going to be good news, but we can promise to tell you the truth. When you stack up the USCID death today and this bill passing today, it's a pretty good emblem of who is running this country and what kind of message we're sending to Americans in the world about our priorities.
Starting point is 00:08:19 And it's not good. And everything we're going to be doing for the rest of our lives is kind of climbing out of this whole. that we're currently descending into. Yeah, it is a dark, not to start on a dark note, but I mean, like, let's... Yeah, yeah, that's the typical light, light banter you're used to at the top of the show here. Yeah, no, it's a terrible week, so... The Knicks still don't have a coach. I mean, we can banter about that.
Starting point is 00:08:42 There you go. There you go. Well, some say getting rid of Tibbs was, you know, reversing in the trust. Kind of a cell phone. Anyway, we're going to talk about the latest data about the impact of U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran, the impact it had on Iran's nuclear program. We will talk about a fascinating profile of Director of National Intelligence, Tulsi Gabbard, who is apparently far more delusional than I thought possible, Ben.
Starting point is 00:09:06 We'll talk about the latest news about Trump's cruel immigration policies. Israeli Prime Minister, Bebenat and Yahoo is headed to D.C. again, so we're going to talk about Trump attempting to interfere in his corruption trial, the latest from Gaza, violence in the West Bank. We're going to update you on the latest from Ukraine, evaluate whether the peace agreement between the Democratic Republic of Congo, in Rwanda is Nobel Prizeworthy. There's some hope out of Hungary we'll get to.
Starting point is 00:09:30 We'll tell you all about a new vacation destination. And then Ben, I was supposed to talk with Senator Mark Warner today about all things Iran, but then he was literally up all night voting on this Republican tax cut monstrosity and had to cancel, which I totally understand. But raincheck for him. Yeah. Understandable rain check, I have to say. The one thing I should add this part of the world, too, is that we could banter about
Starting point is 00:09:53 quickly is the Jeff Bezos wedding was getting a lot of coverage out here. And talk about it kind of embarrassing. You know, like you're an American traveling around Europe, right? And literally the top story is just like all these kind of lame influencers like descending on Venice. So I don't know about that. It's well time for the tax bill, I guess. Big takeaway from that, right? Yeah, I got a guy needs a tax cut. Big takeaway from that to me was when you have that many celebrities at a wedding, it says to me that you don't have a lot of real friends, but who am I the judge from afar? So, all right, Ben. Let's turn to Iran because we're slowly learning more about the impact of the U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran over the past couple weeks. According to Iranian state media, the official death count is 935 people. Now, obviously, we take Iranian state media with a grain of assault. They also don't distinguish between military and civilian casualties. But the count I just read includes 38 children and 132 women. And we also just, we know for a fact that entire apartment buildings were flattened. when Israel targeted certain Iranian generals and scientists.
Starting point is 00:10:55 So there certainly were civilian casualties. Iranian state media also reported that the IDF airstrike on even prison killed 71 people. That strike still baffles me, Ben. I mean, I guess the goal was like somehow free the political prisoners trapped there. But in practice, it killed inmates. It killed people in surrounding buildings. It killed some relatives of inmates who were at the prison because they decided to conduct the air strike during visiting hours for some reason.
Starting point is 00:11:19 Separate from that, the Washington Post reported that U.S. intelligence intercepted communications between senior Iranian officials who were talking about the strikes on Iran's nuclear infrastructure and remarking that the impact wasn't as bad as they'd expected. Now, we don't know who these guys are. We don't know how credible this intelligence was, but just, you know, another data point as we kind of try to add all this up and learn more over time. Trump's official position is still that Iran's nuclear program was totally obliterated. Most others have a more nuanced take. Here's international atomic energy. agency director General Rafael Grossi on Face the Nation Sunday. Here's a clip.
Starting point is 00:11:55 The capacities they have are there. They can have, you know, in a matter of months, I would say, a few cascades of centrifuges spinning and producing enriched uranium, or less than that. But as I said, frankly speaking, one cannot claim that everything has disappeared, and there is nothing there. It is clear that there has been severe damage, but it's not total damage, first of all. And secondly, Iran has the capacities there, industrial and technological capacities. So if they so wish, they will be able to start doing this again. And here's Friend of the Pod, Connecticut Senator Chris Murphy talking to reporters just moments after he was briefed by the administration on the impact of the strikes.
Starting point is 00:12:47 What President Trump told the country is that those, Iran's nuclear capability was obliterated, and it just was not obliterated. As open reporting has suggested, these strikes did not destroy all of their enriched uranium. It did not destroy all of their centrifuges, and it certainly didn't destroy their knowledge. And so it stands to reason that they can reconstitute their nuclear program within months. And what are we going to do? We're going to carry out these massive $100 million strikes every three or four months. No, you need a diplomatic agreement and these strikes ultimately set back those diplomatic
Starting point is 00:13:23 conversations. So, Ben, I think the most honest answer is we don't know for sure yet what the impact of the bombing campaign was. That is why, as Grossy says, over and over and over again in that interview, IAEA needs access so they can do inspections so we can learn more. But everyone who isn't Donald Trump seems to acknowledge that it wasn't totally obliterated, that we don't know where all of Iran's stockpile, all of enriched uranium is, and that we assume that Iran also has stockpiles of centrifuge equipment and other, you know, specialized
Starting point is 00:13:54 gear that will allow them to resume their nuclear activities if they want. So this is, again, this is so frustrating because Trump has taken a victory lap. The press is reporting on these strikes as if war is a quick and easy solution to this problem, when in reality, it's just, the story is not finished. Yeah, two things. First, I do want to come to the civilian casualty point. And the point I want to make about this is that whenever you hear BB Netanyahu talk about kind of extending a hand to the Iranian people or trying to help the Iranian people, you know, overthrow a regime that is bad to them, that is complete another bullshit. The only audience for that is a American audience, right? The only audience for that is kind of the BB Netanyahu chorus of supporters in the U.S. because number one, he gives those speeches in English.
Starting point is 00:14:48 But number two, if you actually wanted to help people who wanted to deal with the Iranian regime, you wouldn't kill people in Avan prison with bombs. You wouldn't kill civilians in apartment buildings. And frankly, and we heard this from Neelu-Tabrizi last week, but I've heard more over the last week in talking to people. I've talked to some people who have family and friends in Iran. What they've said is, predictably, the regime has cracked. down hard on all opposition over the course of the last week.
Starting point is 00:15:18 Extremely hard, yeah. They've rolled up people, the gains that the women life freedom movement had made, including women walking around with their hair covered, those are at risk. So put aside any of the sanctimony about how we're coming to the aid of the Iranian people. This basically guaranteed a crackdown on the Iranian people by this regime.
Starting point is 00:15:38 Second thing is on the nuclear program, we have to call what Trump said for what it is. It's a lie. It's a complete and unres. bullshit lie that this program was obliterated. I don't know exactly the state of the program. I do know it was not obliterated. Donald Trump is not deep underground in Fordo able to see what happened to that facility. He's not able to see what barrels of highly enriched uranium might have been moved someplace else. He's not able to see what scientific capacity still
Starting point is 00:16:06 persists in Iran. He's not able to see what the uranium supply chain is in Iran. He's lying to you, right? And the U.S. media reports it as a, well, Trump says it's obliterated and some other people said it's not. It has not been obliterated. And we did this assessment back in the Obama years. This is open source that even if you had a much more successful bombing campaign than even this one, right, one that was more than one day, the most you could set back that program by bombing it is about a year. And I don't even think Trump did that. Now, we won't know what the U.S. intelligence assessment is for weeks or months, because, you know, you have to gather everything you have in your toolkit to figure out, you know, what you can
Starting point is 00:16:47 put together here because there are no inspectors on the ground. But we can't trust what the Trump intelligence community tells us anymore because we've seen him, as we've talked about on this pod before, we've seen him demand the intelligence community, give him the answer you once. So the long and short of this thing is we don't know the damage it was done. Probably it's set back this program by like a few months. It may have incentivized the Iranians to go underground, try to develop a crude nuclear device with the enrich uranium they have, with the centrifuges they have, with the knowledge that they have. Look, if Trump can steer this into some diplomatic solution that gets inspectors on the ground and gets verifiable limitations on the Iranian nuclear
Starting point is 00:17:26 program, that's a different conversation. All we know now is that this killed a lot of people. It, like, empowered the worst aspects of the regime that is cracking down, and it didn't deal with the nuclear program in a comprehensive way that diplomacy can do. And that's just a reality of this thing. Yeah, and Trump keeps saying that Iran is exhausted and they don't even want to think about trying to reconstitute their nuclear program. That is a view that is not shared by anyone else, including his biggest cheerleaders, people like Lindsay Graham, who was like, oh, I know this story isn't over.
Starting point is 00:17:58 I know they'll keep going after it. Netanyahu is not suggesting that Iran is ready to give up its nuclear programs. Like that piece of, you know, he's talking about this like he's permanently solved the problem, which is just utter nonsense. But Ben, I mean, speaking of demanding intelligence match Trump's personal views or, you know, political needs, an interesting subplot that came out of this round debate has been the complete and total marginalization of Tulsi Gabbard, Trump's Director of National Intelligence, who came into the administration as arguably its most high profile anti-war voice. Now, the Atlantic had a fascinating story last week about how Tulsi is now on the outs with Trump, who is even mused about eliminating the DNI position. entirely. But Ben, maybe the most shocking part of this story is that, yeah, we all knew Tulsi was a weirdo, but she's a political survivor, you know, like someone who's figured out a way
Starting point is 00:18:48 to become a cabinet secretary from backbench Democratic congressperson. Like, that's an impressive, you know, political path. But she apparently has mused to people that she thinks the DNI position could be a stepping stone to another presidential campaign, which is just like absolutely delusional. I've never heard anyone suggest at this job is a stepping stone like that. A couple of other highlights from this story, Ben. An anonymous Trump ally said Gabbard was, quote, a non-player and that they want to call someone to influence Trump. They don't even think of her. It's rough. That talked about that bizarre, strange-to-camera nuclear annihilation video that we played on this show a couple weeks back, which we still haven't really had explained to us, but it talked about how Trump
Starting point is 00:19:29 basically yelled at her in the Oval Office. And then a former deputy director of the CIA in the early 2000s, John McLaughlin said Gabbard is weaponizing intelligence in the name of combating weaponization, which is something we've also talked about here. So a lot of folks are noticing just how much she's kind of sold her soul. So Ben, I mean, again, like this administration is chocked full of people who sold their souls. Look at J.D. Vance, who, you know, ran about, you know, fighting for Mima and Pee-Pah in 2017, attacked efforts in Congress to rip health care away from people through Medicaid cuts and now calls taking insurance away from millions of people immaterial. That was his tweet today. But Tulsi is up there because it really, it really,
Starting point is 00:20:08 really did seem like the one thing she really sincerely cared about was keeping the United States out of wars in the Middle East. And now she is part of this propaganda effort that made it happen in Iran. Yeah, that's right. And I think, look, beyond the, it's kind of funny to think of the DNI is a stepping stone to the presidency. I mean, it'll only be pretty hardcore worldos who are familiar with like Jim Clapper and John Negroponte and, and look, even our good friend, I'm political people in the world. Even our good friend, Avril Haynes, who would never claim that she's going to be president of the United States. Not exactly a stepping stone to the president. Never want to try, yeah. Put aside the fact that it's a pretty important job, right? The reason it was created was to coordinate
Starting point is 00:20:52 the entire intelligence community, all these various agencies, all their budgets, all their information, connecting the dots. Remember that if you're around back in the 9-11 days? The DNI was there to make sure that, you know, if there's information in the CIA and the FBI and the NSA, it doesn't get like stovepiped. it gets connected so we can uncover plots and things like that. That's clearly not happening, first of all, right? But this is a really important point about the Iran thing, because Trump is trying to pretend like on the one hand, he quote unquote, obliterated the Iranian nuclear program. On the other end, it wasn't a real war. It was like a quick war, right? Because he stopped it pretty quickly. Look, he just bombed a country of over 90 million people that the United States
Starting point is 00:21:38 has not directly attacked before. That's going to have a tale that lasts a generation. It may flare up again. We may have to go back in there and bomb those Iranian nuclear facilities again if he keeps listening to Lindsey Graham and BB Nanyahu. Or the Iranians may hit back at us in six months or a year or two years. Or the Iranians might pop up with a nuclear weapon. We cannot allow them.
Starting point is 00:21:59 And this is where the Democratic Party's kind of unwillingness to speak with one voice against these strikes is a really dumb mistake. we cannot allow him to act like he didn't just do what he just did. All these people like Tulsi Gabbard and all these MAGA people that say that they're against Forever Wars were proven to be full of shit. Like they did the thing that not even Barack Obama and Joe Biden for all the military actions they took. This is the one that they restrained Israel from doing.
Starting point is 00:22:30 This is one that they didn't do. So like she cannot claim anymore to be this person who's a. against Forever Wars, who's against, you know, the United States starting new wars in the Middle East. She's a part of that. And all of them are. And we have to kind of continue to remind people that these people were lying to you about wanting to keep the United States out of conflicts in the Middle East. And also to people who are listening like, what can Iran do about it? So in 2020, when Trump assassinated Kosomk Soleimani, the head of the IRC, the Iranians decided they were going to try to return the favor and assassinate top American officials who were
Starting point is 00:23:06 were, you know, associated with or kind of like driving that policy for that assassination. We recently learned the Washington Post about four days ago published a report that said in 2022, the Iranians figured out what hotel in Paris that Mike Pompeo was staying at and they tried to assassinate him there. And Pompeo apparently barely escaped. We don't know all the details because obviously he doesn't want them out there for ongoing security reasons. But it does speak to their capacity.
Starting point is 00:23:35 and there are long memories and the desire for vengeance from a country when you repeatedly kill its leaders or bomb the shit out of its nuclear program. That's right. The tail listen could be long. And the only thing I was going to add, Tommy, is that there are currently 40,000 Americans in the Middle East service members, right? There are aircraft carriers there. We have a much bigger presence there than we should otherwise have because of this Iran strike.
Starting point is 00:24:01 So even though we're not like in an act of war with Iranians, we are. are spending billions of dollars. We have tens of thousands of Americans there. We have aircraft carriers there. We are not pivoting to Asia or all the things that we talk about that we want to do. Okay. So this is still having an impact on our foreign policy, and it is militarizing our foreign policy in the Middle East and is keeping us enmeshed in the conflicts there. And Tulsi Gabbard is a part of that. Yeah. And it's crazy that we still have 40,000 U.S. troops in the Middle East. It's time to start winding down some of those missions. Ben, while we're talking about sort of Trump policy, just quickly point out that the Trump administration just ended temporary protected status
Starting point is 00:24:39 for about 500,000 Haitians in the United States. These are people who deportations could start as soon as September 2nd. So the White House is now trying to claim it is safe enough for people to return to Haiti, but that is just unmitigated bullshit. Over 1,800 people are kidnapped in Haiti and over 8,000 have been killed since March of last year due to this ongoing gang violence. gangs and armed groups control 85% of Porta Prince, the capital city, government services, and security is just all but collapsed. But again, this is part of this policy, this immigration policy from, you know, Stephen Miller, which is basically treat any migrant in the cruelest, most inhumane way possible in an effort to scare others. And that includes sending people
Starting point is 00:25:26 to some of the most dangerous countries in the world, which in this case is Haiti. But in other cases, they're talking about sending people to places like Libya or South Sudan, even if they are not from there, don't know the language, have no ties, have no way to survive. It's just, it's some truly evil stuff. Yeah, I mean, the first thing is that these people are here legally, right? Temporary protective status means that you are here with a legal status in the United States. But Tommy, my question for you is, what do you think is more dangerous, right? To be from Port of Prince, where you have, like, this immense violence and complete breakdown of governance, or to be a white South African farmer.
Starting point is 00:26:02 Yeah, right. You know, I mean, that tells you that gives away the game, right? That gives away the whole game. Yes, that's absolutely right. It's the most racist policy imaginable. This podcast is brought to you by Wise. Wise is the smart way to manage your money internationally. Sending or spending money abroad, major banks can be taking a cut.
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Starting point is 00:27:13 Download the Wise app today or visit Wise.com. Terms and conditions apply. All right, Ben. So let's pivot back to the Middle East, much like this White House is doing. So because Washington is like a magnet for the shitties people in the world, Israeli Prime Minister at BNanyahu is heading there on Monday, July 7th to meet with Trump again. I'm sure it'll be a very subtle victory lap about Iran. there will also probably talk about expanding the Abraham Accords, Middle East peace, whatever else.
Starting point is 00:27:44 In the lead up to that meeting, though, Trump has decided to take up the cause of interfering in Netanyahu's various corruption trials. Here is a message he posted on truth social over the weekend. This is a quote, it is terrible what they're doing in Israel to be binat yahoo. How is it possible that the prime minister of Israel can be forced to sit in a courtroom all day long over nothing, cigars, bugs bunny doll, etc. It is a political witch hunt, very similar to the witch hunt that I was forced to endure. The United States of America spends billions of dollars a year, far more than on any other nation, protecting and supporting Israel. We are not going to stand for this. So it does sound like he's now conditioning military aid on Netanyahu getting off for these various corruption charges.
Starting point is 00:28:24 For those who don't know what he's talking about, Netanyahu's been on trial since around 2020 for all kinds of different corruption instances. It includes taking hundreds of thousands of dollars worth of gifts, including champagne and cigars in exchange for political favors. He is accused of offering to harm. This one Israeli news publication in exchange for favorable coverage from its rival publication. He's accused of offering to help a telecom company with some sort of regulatory relief in exchange for good press coverage. The owner of the telecom company owned some news outlet and basically that that was the deal like I'll help out your phone company if you give me good press in your news outlet. Netanyahu's goal here has been delayed, delay, delay these trials.
Starting point is 00:29:07 He often asks to delay proceedings for national security reasons. Surprise, surprise, that delay was granted after Trump's tweet. So then, I guess just stepping back, like I am very used to, after many, many years of Trump, watching the worst people in politics win and get away with terrible things. But like, if Trump somehow manages to get Netanyahu a pardon via truth social, I'm not sure I can do this anymore. Like, I think I might just, like, call it a day. Yeah. I mean, the funny thing is that, like, you get these impressions that Trump doesn't really
Starting point is 00:29:43 like Nanyahu, right? Like, he's dropping F bombs, telling Israeli pilots to turn around the air and he's, like, frustrated. But this kind of, you know, gives away the game, right? Because what he does like is corrupt autocrats like himself, you know? Like, Trump, I mean, by the way, whether it's Bibi Nanyahu or Eric Adams in New York City, Right. Like if you have been guilty of crimes and you have autocratic tendencies, Trump's going to come to your defense. Yeah. Sympathy for them, none for the Haitian people who are being massacred in Port-au-Prinz.
Starting point is 00:30:15 Or the people of Gaza or the people of Iran. I mean, that's the thing. Is like the timing of this Iran strike, right, was not, as we've talked about, because of any imminent threat from the Iranian nuclear program. it's been pretty clear to, and this is what a lot of Israeli political observers who still have some impartiality will say, is that Netanyahu has been perpetuating both the war in Gaza and escalating the war in Lebanon, the war in Iran, in part because it guarantees his political survival. It keeps his coalition together, keeps him in power. If he's not in power, like Trump, he could go to prison, right? Well, that's the kind of thing that appeals to Trump. So here you have Trump, like literally interfering in the Israeli political process to put the thumb on the scale
Starting point is 00:30:59 for BB because he doesn't like to see an autocrat held accountable for his crimes, just like he didn't want to be held accountable for his crimes. The two things that Bibi Nanyahu and Donald Trump have in common is that they're autocrats, and if they weren't in power, they'd be in prison, right? And that's the basis of this entire alliance here. And, you know, Bibi's going to fly over to the U.S. He'll do a huge victory lap in Iran. He'll echo Trump's claims that the program was a obliterated, he'll act like this was, you know, Winston Churchill 2.0 when they don't have any evidence to back that up. The only other thing I'd say is that this idea that it's just cigars, I mean, you made this point. Yes, there were a lot of gifts, including tawdry gifts like cigars.
Starting point is 00:31:38 It was also the corruption of the entire Israeli political process on things like media licenses, right? So this was about someone weaponizing power to not only enrich themselves like Trump does, but to like, you know, intimidate the media like Trump does as well. So these are people following the same playbook, and they want to give each other immunity for pursuing that autocratic playbook. Yeah, that's exactly right. So let's talk about Gaza, because presumably it will be a conversation when they get together. But Trump's statements about Gaza lately have been completely divorced from reality. He told reporters that there could be a ceasefire in about a week.
Starting point is 00:32:16 That seems nuts. I mean, Gaza has faced some of the heaviest Israeli bombardment since the war started in recent days. and the New York Times reported that there's been no progress on ceasefire talks. On Sunday, the IDF announced one of the largest evacuation orders since the war started back up in March. There were massive strikes in that area since, including one on a beachside cafe in Gaza City that killed over 40 people. And according to CNN, this cafe was a well-known spot for students, journalists, and remote workers. I don't know if you've seen the images from the strike bend, but they're fucking horrific. The Guardian cites Israeli officials who say that this seized territory in northern
Starting point is 00:32:52 Gaza is meant to act as a bargaining chip in negotiations with Hamas. The IDF chief of staff seemed to signal last week that the military was close to reaching its goal that they'd set back in May of controlling 75% of the Gaza Strip. And on the humanitarian front, I mean the Gaza Health Foundation, the GHF, that is rarely U.S. kind of business venture that is supposed to replace the UN to do food distribution in Gaza is still just an unmitigated disaster. There are still people starving to death. The distribution points have become death traps for Palestinians. The U.S. UN estimates that around 580 people have been killed at these sites since GHF operations began. Haretz ran a devastating expose, quoting IDF soldiers who said they were ordered to fire on unarmed crowds of Gazans as a means of crowd control, even when those people pose no threat.
Starting point is 00:33:40 They counted at least 19 shooting incidents at GHF sites, including the use of grenades, artillery, tank shells, drone strikes. Are it's also reported that the death hole in Gaza could be approaching 100,000 people, which is well above the 56,000 figure from the Gaza Health Ministry that you always hear derided as, you know, Hamas numbers. Just worth noting that there's now a couple pieces of more academic literature or attempts to look at, you know, do studies to figure out the death toll in Gaza that find numbers that are much higher than the Gaza Health Ministry. So, Ben, I think the question is just stepping back.
Starting point is 00:34:16 like Trump, he's obsessed with getting a Nobel Peace Prize, right? We'll talk about the DRC Congo deal that just got done that, you know, he thinks merits him getting one. He said that, you know, negotiating a ceasefire between Indian Pakistan should get him a Nobel Peace Prize. The question is, does he think a Gaza deal would warrant a Peace Prize? Because we don't really hear him talk about it in this context, which makes me just wonder, does he care? Does he, is that not part of the calculus? because he is sadly the only person, I think, who has the leverage to force Netanyahu to stop fighting, but he is still not using it. Yeah, I think what was really telling is that when Trump did come out and say and drop that F-bomb and said, Israel's got to cut it out, turn the pilots around that we're going to bomb Iran, Israel stopped, right?
Starting point is 00:35:07 So, and by the way, just so people know that we're equal opportunity critics here, the same would have been to Job. Biden, if Joe Biden had said, you know, I'm cutting you guys off if you don't stop in Gaza. He is not doing anything to stop what Bibi Ninyahu is doing in Gaza. In fact, he went along with this Potemkin, you know, aid distribution mechanism that turns out, based on Harz's reporting, is in part just a death trap for, you know, Palestinians get picked off in the inevitable mayhem that happens when you have starving people, you know, choke pointed to one aid distribution point, right? So Trump could stop this if you wanted to if he did the same thing they did on Iran and said, you know, cut this out. I'm cutting you guys off if you don't stop it. He's not doing
Starting point is 00:35:54 that. He's just not doing that. And clearly he doesn't see any humanity in the people in Gaza, right? Like he's only planned for Gaza that he's ever articulated has math ethnic cleansing as its basis, right? Move them out and we'll rebuild the Gaza Strip. The other thing that I'm very curious to see how it plays out. Tommy is that he clearly wants this Abraham Accords white whale normalization between Saudi Arabia and Israel. But Saudis have been pretty clear that they can't do that absent a Palestinian state or like a very credible pathway of Palestinian state. And yet they kind of keep talking themselves into the belief that this is going to happen. I mean, you and I were going back and forth on this kind of strange Jerusalem post report of Bebe and Trump and Ron Dürner and Marka, Markerubio,
Starting point is 00:36:43 like celebrating that this is going to happen. I mean, I see no pathway forward here other than the continued annihilation of the people of Gaza and just no plan for how to deal with that. And no regard for the fact that this is the biggest humanitarian catastrophe in the world today and in any recent times. And Trump is doing nothing to stop it. Yeah. And also like meanwhile been in the West Bank, Israeli settlers are completely out of control. And this is part of a trend that has been worsening since the October 7th attacks. Just reminder for folks that the West Bank was captured by Israel in 1967, and Israeli settlements in the West Bank are considered illegal by the international community.
Starting point is 00:37:27 But just in terms of the recent events, so on Wednesday of last week, over 100 settlers attacked the Palestinian town of Kfar Malik with Molotov cocktails and rocks. They set homes and cars on fire. And then, really troops responded to the scene by opening fire on Palestinians, killing three. The IDF alleges that the Palestinians were throwing stones at them and shooting at soldiers, but we just, we don't know. The IDF also arrested five settlers. And then on Friday, dozens of settlers attacked some IDF soldiers in that same area. And a teenage settler was wounded in that fight. And then on Sunday night, a demonstration outside an IDF base near Ramallah turned into a riot with settlers swarming the base,
Starting point is 00:38:13 setting fires, attacking soldiers, and vandalizing property. So you know, violent settlers now attacking the IDF. Since October 7th, close to 900 Palestinians have been killed and thousands were wounded in the West Bank, but there's almost never any accountability for that kind of violence. The New York Times put it an Israeli rights group that examined more than 1600 cases of settler violence in the West Bank between 2005 and 2023 found that just 3% ended in a conviction. But this settler violence against the IDF did get Netanyahu's attention who said, quote, no functioning country can tolerate violent anarchistic acts such as burning of a military facility, damage to Israeli military property, and assaults on security personnel by the country's own citizens. And then a far-right
Starting point is 00:38:56 lunatic politician, Itamar Ben-Gavir, called the violence against the military base a red line. And I guess, you know, interesting that that's where he drew the red line, Ben, not murdering, you know, innocent Palestinian people. I mean, no surprise. Again, this is a guy who literally really is a terrorist sympathizer, who used to have a photo of a Jewish mass murderer of Palestinians on his wall. But, you know, it's interesting when these guys reveal themselves. So Ben, you know, listeners to this show know that we were very hard on the Biden administration's Gaza policy in particular and his handling of the relationship with that in Yahoo. However, this is an area where Biden did do some stuff, took some important steps, like putting forward
Starting point is 00:39:36 this executive order that allowed the U.S. to sanction people involved in. or supporting settler violence. Trump revoked those sanctions on his first day in office. And I think it's generally seen as a friend or fellow traveler of this settler movement. So it is a good example where the Trump policy has gotten worse. Yeah. And I think what people have to understand about the settler violence is, you know, we occasionally there's an incident that is so bad that it gets our attention.
Starting point is 00:40:02 But this is entirely systematic violence, right? This happens on a regular basis all the time. And look, most of the time, as you mentioned, there's total impunity to this, right? They'll go, they'll kill Palestinians, they'll burn Palestinian homes, they'll harm Palestinians, maybe they'll get arrested and then they'll get released, right? And so there's no surprise, really, that they feel the impunity to even go after the IDF, because that's the kind of climate that has been created, the kind of lawlessness that's been created in the West Bank. And sure, this got the attention to Israeli authorities that they attacked the IDF,
Starting point is 00:40:39 but it doesn't get their attention when they killed 900 Palestinians, you know. And I think the thing to watch here is whether or not in the next three and a half years, which we have left of Trump, you know, hopefully, it's just that, whether there's a move to annex the West Bank, whether this kind of mixture of BB's politics and the settler violence and the growth of settlements leads them to say, now is the time to just try to annex the West Bank and displaced the Palestinians from this part of their land as well. And the only other thing I'd add to the Trump part of this is that, look, in addition to revoking
Starting point is 00:41:15 those sanctions, his ambassador in Israel, Mike Huckabee, refers to the West Bank as Judea and Samara. Those are the Israeli terminology for what this land is. Basically, Mike Huckabee says, this is not the West Bank, this is not Palestinian land, this is not occupied land. This is part of greater Israel. And that creates a climate of impunity from the United States of America. When the ambassador over there, and by the way, he's not doing it because he, you know, he's doing it because he's an evangelical Christian, right, who believes that, you know, that we need Israel to control of this land so that, you know, the second coming can happen. They can be converted to Christianity, right? So this is. Yeah, he's a big friend of the Jews until he's not.
Starting point is 00:42:01 Until the rapture happens, right? But this is all. a climate of impunity, right? And Trump is feeding into it. Yeah, Mike Hockaby is a total fucking weirdo. The text that he sent to Trump that then got published about how he was like God's servant on the earth and Bomberon. It was one of the weirdest things I've ever read in my life. What was creepier, by the way, Tom? I want to ask you, the Mike Hacobie thing saying that he was God's servant or Mark Ruta calling Trump daddy in the text or whatever the thing he said. Yeah. Yeah, Mark Ruta, the new head of NATO. That, that broke through to like Normies in my life. Who were like, did you see this thing about that guy that called Trump Daddy?
Starting point is 00:42:37 And I was like, yeah, it's honestly, it's way worse than you think. He's looking at a nature of NATO. It's even worse than you think, yeah. It's sadder than you think. You know, Ben, you know, you make a really good point about this West Bank settler violence, rarely getting attention. You're right. This instance got an attention, made a lot of news because you had settlers attacking members,
Starting point is 00:42:56 the IDF. It rarely gets, makes news when it's just, you know, settler on Palestinian violence. One, it is worth. Just sort of considering that and this sort of next quick mention, which is some comments made at the Glass and Berry Music Festival in the UK got a lot of attention. For those who don't know, it's kind of like a Coachella style music festival in the UK. Iconic, really famous, looks super fun. One of the artists performing this guy, Pascal Robinson Foster, who's part of a punk rap duo, Bob Villain, led the crowd in a death to the IDF chant. And this happened as the BBC was live streaming.
Starting point is 00:43:33 Also, the Irish band Kneecap performed. They led chants like Free Palestine as well as chance against British Prime Minister Kirstarmer, who said they shouldn't be performing at Glastonbury at all. So the Trump administration has already moved to punish Bob Villan, the band. They revoked their U.S. visas so they can't tour. Obviously, I do not condone chanting things like, you know, death to the IDF. That is hate speech. That is inciting violence.
Starting point is 00:43:59 And it's not even remotely helpful to the Palestinian cause, since every defender of this war will now point to that to suggest that like, you know, kind of the Israeli government is a real victim here and not the people getting bombed in Gaza. But apparently the police have opened a criminal investigation into both bands, which seems was surprising to me when I read it. And there's all these recriminations at the BBC for not cutting the live stream. And like on some level, I get that. Like, you know, it's fair to ask why was there no one with sort of like an editorial eye on the
Starting point is 00:44:31 proceedings that might like cut away to a different band or why I was in a 30 second delay. But I think that conversation is really missing the broader point of just how far gone Israel's reputation is with a lot of young people everywhere. And that doesn't mean that it's okay to chant kill the IDF. But like it, it suggests how far the Overton window is moved. You know what I mean? And just how radicalized young people are against this war. And I don't know, I guess I'm more surprised that people are surprised by that than almost anything else. And again, like, I don't condone that speech. I don't think it's helpful. It's obviously hate speech, right? Like, fuck that. That guy's an idiot. He did not help anyone in Palestine or in Gaza by chanting that stuff.
Starting point is 00:45:13 But, like, that's probably a sentiment shared by a lot of young people. Yeah, no, we should come back to this because, look, I don't claim to be a Bob villain fan. But, and look, the hate speech is the point, right? like death to anybody's bad look. But I think people are missing. Like, if there's still people that are listening to us who are mad at us for our takes on Israel, I ask you to consider from your own perspective, which is that young people on the left and the right don't understand what the fuck is going on Gaza, like, and see it is totally indefensible. And these efforts to kind of quash any discussion of it only make that worse, right? Because there was a lot of heavy-handed tactics in the UK leaving up to Glastonbury, like to, you know, the BBC is not going to play
Starting point is 00:46:08 kneecap set, or they named this one organization that had vandalized a couple of, you know, military hardware as a terrorist organization. This is driving young people to Bob Villain, to Neckap. Yeah, I never heard of Bob villain until I read all these reports about people being mad about this. Dude, I mean, not to betray my own algorithm, but my Instagram is full of, like, you know, the kneecap set, you know, like, but also, like, I was watching, like, Theo Vaughn interview Thomas Massey, right? The kind of, you know, Republican, right, who's been against support for Israel. And he was asking in this kind of befuddled way, like, hey, what do we get out of all this billions of dollars to give to Israel, right? I just think that you're making a big mistake.
Starting point is 00:46:54 if you think that you're going to like, I mean, just to name somebody like Jonathan Greenblatt, who loves to like the head of the ADL, who loves to police anti-Semitism and loves to call people who criticize Israel anti-Semites, he may think that he can like, you know, try to intimidate certain mainstream media, right, on this stuff. But they're losing young people across the board here, right? And now fundamentally, they're losing young people because of the conduct of what Israel is doing in Gaza. But this idea that, you know, we're just going to shut everybody up is not the way to deal with young people. Yeah, Ben, Jonathan Grieblatt actually wrote an op-ed in New York Post calling, you know, a bunch of critics of the war with Iran anti-Semites.
Starting point is 00:47:39 He included me in there for suggesting that the Israelis dragged us into the war, which, for those who have eyeballs and who have been reading news reports about what happened, know that Netanyahu started a war with Iran, knowing that Israel did not have the military capabilities to take out Fordo their most important nuclear site and needed the U.S. to do it, which Trump then did. So I don't know. I'm not entirely sure what is anti-Semitic about that. It's more just sort of stating the obvious.
Starting point is 00:48:05 But my response to him is this is a very naked attempt to silence your political enemies by weaponizing the charge of anti-Semitism. And when you do that, you set back very important. sincere efforts to combat anti-Semitism in this country and around the world. And that is a shame because the ADL is an incredible institution. It's been around for over a century. They've done historically important work in this country. And when you make it this cheap political hackery, you are harming it and you are harming the goal of the organization. And that's terrible. Can I tell you one story that might make you feel a bit better telling me about this?
Starting point is 00:48:44 Back in 2015 in the Iran deal debate, Obama is making it. this argument that the same people that got us into war in Iraq were trying to get us to go to war in Iran, right? And Jonathan Greenblot had just taken over the head of the ADL, and he wrote an op-ed, basically accusing Obama being in any Semite for making this argument. Now, the funny thing about this is the piece that Obama was referring to was a op-ed written by John Bolton, who, spoiler, is not Jewish, which had the headline, bomb, bomb, bomb Iran, right? Like the beach voice song.
Starting point is 00:49:22 Yeah, I remember that piece, yeah. And so I had to brief Obama, like, hey, like the head of the ADL is like suggesting you might be any Semite or we're all any Semites for making this argument. And Obama was like, on what basis? And I think Greenblatt had said something like there were dog whistles. And Obama was like, I think I know dog whistles. You know, I hear them a lot, right?
Starting point is 00:49:46 So anyway, it's not just you. He's been playing this card for a decade now. Okay, we're going to take a quick break. Before we do two very important things, first, the Supreme Court is unloading just a deluge of crap on us, and it's hard to keep up with. If you want to learn more about what they're doing, check out strict scrutiny. Hosts Melissa, Leah, and Kate, they break them all down for you, all the cases in the most digestible way possible. They start with the Mahmoud versus Taylor case, which is the case about whether parents can opt their kids out of lessons involving LGBT inclusive books. And don't miss their episode on birthright citizenship, that decision. It's in your
Starting point is 00:50:22 feed now. Tune in district scrutiny wherever you get your podcast or watch on YouTube. Also, Republicans in Congress are maybe a day or two away from passing their big, beautiful bill for good and turning it into law. It's going to take away health care from millions of people. It's going to give billionaires and other tax break. It's going to rip away food assistance from needy people. It is an unmitigated disaster. We still have a little bit of time. to call our reps and spam them on social media. We can get all the advice you need about how to get involved and how to lobby people at votesaveamerica.com.
Starting point is 00:50:55 Paid for by Vote Save America. You can learn more atvotesafeamerica.com. This ad has not been authorized by any candidate or candidates committee. Pod Save the World is brought to you by Simply Safe. What does feeling safe at home really mean to you? For a long time, I thought it was enough to have good locks and maybe an alarm that would make a lot of noise if someone actually broke in.
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Starting point is 00:52:31 new system with a professional monitoring plan to get your first month free. That's simply safe. com slash crooked world. There's no safe like SimplySafe. All right, a few more things from us, Ben. So a quick update on the latest in Ukraine where, according to the Wall Street Journal, the front line of the war now stretches 750 miles from the northeast to the south of the country. Russia has started a summer offensive. They have amassed 50,000 troops near the Sumi Oblast in the northeast. Russian troops outnumbered Ukrainians three to one in the area, which is quite ominous. A Ukrainian soldier told the Wall Street Journal that Russians are losing around 300 to 400 soldiers a day
Starting point is 00:53:11 and that, quote, their numbers are a big problem for us, but though not enough to overrun us, but let's hope that that holds. The Washington Post reported that the Russian military, despite outnumbering Ukraine, has still had lots of self-inflicted wounds that are hands. hampering its progress. There's corruption, supply shortages, bad intelligence, bad training. A Russian general and deputy defense minister was just convicted of corruption and sentenced a 13 years in a penal colony. So that's sort of an example how the fish rots from the head down. Russia claimed to have captured the entire Lujansk region, one of four to legally annexed back in
Starting point is 00:53:45 2022. If that is true, it would be the first time that they have had complete control over one of those four regions. So that would be a big milestone for Russia. As of this recording, there's been no comment from Kiev on the status, so we'll see. But throughout all of this, Russian missiles and drones have not let up. An overnight barrage going into Sunday reportedly included over 500 drones and missiles, another new record. So any hope of sort of supply shortages from the Russian military have not borne out. And a New York Times headline on Sunday about the war sort of said it all, which was under a drone swarm sky surviving in eastern Ukraine. On top of that been, you know, the Financial Times, Christopher Miller, a friend of the pod, has been on the show a few
Starting point is 00:54:23 times wrote a piece about how the Russian FSB intelligence service is recruiting Ukrainian teenagers to spy for them and conduct sabotage operations within Ukraine. A Ukrainian official told him that 25% of the 700 people they've arrested for espionage, arson, or pipe bombs that were directed by Russian intelligence were under the age of 18. Sometimes it's like kids thinking that they were playing a scavenger hunt like game with a financial reward. So they end up like, you know, taking a picture of some military site, uploading it to telegram, thinking they're going to get some cash and then they get arrested for it. The UN Human Rights Office said Sunday that civilian deaths had increased 37 percent from December, 2024 to May 2025 compared to that same time frame
Starting point is 00:55:07 the year before. Ben, I think a lot of that probably speaks to the fact that they're just running out of air defense systems. I mean, we saw how magnificently those Patriot systems and the, you know, the THAAD and PAC-3 systems performed in Qatar. in support of the Israelis, that has been missing in Ukraine. So a completely depressing update, Ben, no real endgame in sight here, but, you know, an enormous ongoing conflict. Yeah, no, and Russia pressing its advantage, right, five months after Trump said he'd end the war,
Starting point is 00:55:39 and their advantage being this war of attrition where they had just had more people overthrow this thing and a bigger defense industrial base. The only thing I'd add to that update, Tommy, is that we did have this NATO summit last week, right? And the Europeans, who did not exactly acquit themselves with glory here, were so busy calling Trump daddy and promising to spend 5% of their budget on defense. We'll see if they actually do that. What was lacking out of that summit was any plan to support Ukraine. Like normally, like a NATO summit would be a place where you'd get together and be like, what's the next package of defense support for Ukraine? What's the next package of patriots for Ukraine? so that they can deal with this air defense issue. What's the plan for the peace process, right?
Starting point is 00:56:27 If Trump is Mr. Peacemaker, you would have thought that he would have gone to the NATO summit to talk to Ukraine's other key supporters and Zelensky himself about, you know, what the status of these negotiations are. And it was striking how that didn't really seem to be a big issue there. It was like NATO was just trying to survive Trump showing up at a summit. And that's a bad sign, right? If you don't have any ability of the Europeans and maybe the Americans to coordinate some defense support or some diplomatic support for Ukraine, then there really are just kind of out there on their own, you know, getting a trickle of support from the Europeans and maybe
Starting point is 00:57:07 every now and then a delivery from the U.S. but nothing like what they used to get against a Russia that clearly feels emboldened. It clearly feels like they're pressing the advantage. And so, yeah, It's a pretty tough situation right now. Tough situation. And he didn't end the war in 24 hours. So no Nobel Prize there. Let's jump continents to Africa, though, and talk about what Trump has dubbed a, quote, wonderful treaty between the Democratic Republic of Congo and Rwanda, which was signed on Friday
Starting point is 00:57:35 at the White House. So this deal was brokered by the U.S. and Qatar. It's another data point for our future segment about their kind of interesting role in the world lately then. Though I think the U.S. effort built off of some real. recent previous work by the UAE. But tension and fighting between Rwanda and the DRC goes back decades. We won't get it to all of that. But the kind of recent history that's worth talking about is, you know, in late 2021, this rebel group backed right, Rwanda called M23, entered into the eastern part of the DRC and started taking territory. In early 2025, M23 captured major cities in eastern Congo with the help of an estimated 7,000 Rwandan troops with them, like on the ground.
Starting point is 00:58:17 leaders in the DRC saw this invasion happening. And at the same time, they saw Trump's staff screaming at Zelensky and trying to ram this minerals deal down the Ukrainian president's throat. So the folks in the DRC decided to offer up something similar, which is basically try to give the U.S. access to their rare earth minerals in exchange for some sort of U.S.-backed security guarantee. Fast forward to last week, that kind of mineral-focused deal is basically what they signed in the Oval Office. and it included the foreign ministers of the DRC in Rwanda. But there's a number of problems with this agreement. First of all, there's just no real detail out there. It's very, very thin.
Starting point is 00:58:56 Both sides agree to respect each other's territorial integrity and stop fighting. And then to facilitate the disarmament of rebel groups within the two countries. They are also supposed to create some sort of like joint economic and security agreement to facilitate the extraction of these minerals. But M23, again, which is that rebel group backed by Rwanda, is currently occupying. huge swaths of territory in the Congo, they weren't part of this agreement. And there's no guarantee that they will abide by it. In fact, there's reports that M23 has been setting up, like what looks like basic kind of governance structures, like they're collecting taxes, they're vetting local leaders in Congo in this area they're occupying. So that makes it
Starting point is 00:59:34 sound like they're there for the long haul. Human Rights Watch also reported that there's already been violations of the agreement. So again, we'll have to watch closely. But more broadly, Ben. I mean, having the U.S. having commercial interest in a region hardly has guaranteed peace in the past, right? Like Russia had commercial interests with Ukraine. The U.S. did business with Russia and Ukraine that didn't prevent the war there. So finally, there's also the little detail, Ben, of something like 80% of the Congolese mining sector is currently owned by China. I guess the U.S. could invest in new areas or take ownership of smaller mines. But the Chinese are going to have a say here. So, Ben, I don't know, it seems maybe a touch premature to demand a Nobel Peace Prize for this
Starting point is 01:00:14 one, but what did you make of it? Yeah. I mean, look, I guess it's like small progress here, but this is such a Trump thing, because this didn't solve any underlying problem. This has been a 20-year on again, off again, war in the Congo that has claimed millions of lives. It didn't resolve the status of M23. The thing that I don't understand Tommy, too, is that like the Ukrainian deal. Like, one of those minerals actually and they see the light of day in the U.S. Right. Yeah, good question. These countries are kind of playing, they're kind of playing Trump, right? Like they tell him he can get minerals and yeah, the Chinese own the mines, the Russians are in the DRC. Like, I'm not sure they're in a hurry to like provide the U.S.
Starting point is 01:00:59 with those minerals. It's like he gets some kind of announcements, some kind of headline about peace and minerals. But let's like wait and see whether the peace holds. and whether the minerals are delivered. And that's on a basis for lasting peace. He has no genuine interest in the livelihoods of the people in the DRC, right? He just kind of likes the idea of having an announcement made at the White House, and he gets to say he gets minerals. What I don't understand about, I mean, again, to be fair, like, sure,
Starting point is 01:01:31 it's good that the Rwanda and the government and the DRC are talking to each other, but let's not pretend like this is a durable change in their relationship. right now what I don't understand is this Nobel Peace Prize obsession because this is like the most globalist award possible you know I mean I don't know if this is because Obama got it like I don't and these are these are only these are the fires at the well the thing is the US government like Trump lifts these things up like the US government routinely negotiated or mediated ceasefires around the world on an annual basis you know as did other countries for years this guy's obsession with the Nobel Peace Prize is, like, for all the work he's done to try to dismantle what Obama did, his inferiority complex kind of like is so on display on this particular issue, you know?
Starting point is 01:02:23 Yeah, it is very weird. It's an obsession. Also, he keeps sending out businessmen to cut what he calls peace deals, which are really just sort of temporary ceasefires. I mean, this one was negotiated by Bullos, whatever, Tiffany Trump's father-in-law. Tiffany's father-in-law, yeah. Yeah, it's just a business guy going to Africa and trying to extract resources from them. That's hardly a novel approach to the continent. Also, Ben, there are all these rumors that Paul Kagame is in bad health. Like, he basically disappeared from the news for like three weeks, and his plane was spotted in Germany. And there were all these rumors that he was really, really sick and getting treatment. So if he dies, it kind of feels like all bets are off, not just for this ceasefire.
Starting point is 01:03:07 deal, but for what happens in Rwanda going forward. Totally. I mean, they totally dominant figure in Rwandan politics since Rwandan genocide in the early 90s. And, you know, there'd be huge vacuum because Kagami didn't really groom any, you know, succession plan, right? He's kind of one-man-one rule. So, look, modest step forward here, but, like, there's a lot of issues to be dealt with in Rwanda in the DRC with respect to these minerals.
Starting point is 01:03:37 And the people that have a better plan for the minerals are the Chinese who've been, you know, building mines there for years now, you know, not not. And actually what's interesting about Tiffany's father-in-law's role is that he's close to the Qataris, he's close to these, to the Gulf Arabs. So it is worth coming back to the fact that these people are in the middle of a lot of these deals, and that's an interesting development here. And it's a very Trumpy development. Yeah, very interesting, very Trump. I also, I'll just double stamp what you said, which is, look, the Rwandan genocide killed and estimated, what, 800,000, a million people when these extremists, Hutu militias massacred Tutsis and other moderate Hutu's. So any sort of cessation of violence in this region is a very good thing and something we should be happy about. But yeah, it's hardly a permanent peace deal.
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Starting point is 01:06:03 So back in March, Parliament passed a law framed as a child protection measure that makes events that depict or promote homosexuality to minors illegal. This bill was explicitly aimed at banning Budapest pride and enabled law enforcement to use facial recognition software to identify and fine attendees. But with the support of Budapest's liberal mayor, the celebration went on without police interference, attracting not just LGBTQ folks, but also people who are just worried about the breakdown of democracy and free speech under Orban. Even sweeter was Orban is behind the polls to opposition leader Peter Magyar. And there's a chance he could lose in the general election next year. Now I don't want to get ahead of myself, but we all are allowed to hope. And so, Ben, there's, of course, like a weird Trump angle here.
Starting point is 01:06:49 I just wanted you to hear how State Department spokesperson Tammy Bruce, who is an out gay woman herself, described the administration's view on these huge protests. Let's listen. Prime Mr. Orban, who, of course, is a couple of Salai, the president, tried to ban a pride parade this weekend. Tens of thousands and hundreds of thousands people came out. Does the U.S. have a view on that? Do you think that it's justified to ban an LGBTQ pride parade? Well, you know, when the vice president or any of us speak about the nature of policy or I think what's important regarding freedom of expression, that's our plan and what we feel is important to convey,
Starting point is 01:07:25 and then what countries do is their business. Events happen all over the world, as we know, every day, which the United States has no comment about. And we have nothing to add on this matter. but again, I think it's about what other countries do, the choices they make with their nations and what citizens do and how they respond to that. Nobody talks about the events that we don't talk about. Ben, do you have anything more cogent and coherent to say about this massive anti-Orban pride rally? Look, I think this is a huge, huge deal for a couple of reasons, right?
Starting point is 01:08:02 One, just the pure solidarity with the LGBT community there, like the refusal to, you know, accede to Orban's command that does not go forward does show like, you know, a really inspiring level of solidarity with LGBT rights. I also think, importantly, what the people in Hungary understand is that this effort to stigmatize LGBT people is part of a playbook that Putin pursued, right? So Putin, in his effort to kind of cast himself as the leader of the kind of reactionary forces, the kind of Christian forces against the decadence and corruption of the West, you know, he really went after LGBT people, LGBT rights. He, you know, cracked down, obviously, on anything like a pride parade, but he also cracked down on, you know, past these laws that
Starting point is 01:08:55 persecuted essentially people for, you know, trying to indoctrinate people into LGBT ideologies. And so what the people of Hungary are saying is we see the playbook you're running, right? And we're not going to go for that. And so not only is this an act of solidarity with that community, it is saying like, hey, we see where you are on the playbook you're running, where you are on the Putin playbook, and we're going to come out. 200,000 people in Hungary is a shit ton of people, okay? And that was a massive embarrassment to Orban. It revealed him to be totally feckless. He commanded that something not happened, and then it happened bigger than it has ever happened before. And I think there's a big lesson for Americans in this, too, which is that when you have
Starting point is 01:09:38 an autocrat who controls the media, who controls the judiciary, who's, you know, able to ram laws through, you can show him to be powerless if you show up in the streets in big enough numbers. And so hopefully this is a sign that Orban is on his way down in Hungary. Hopefully, Peter Maggiar, who's not exactly a progressive, but he's much better than Orban can oust him. But also, I think it's a lesson for the rest of us, that when all else fails, you know, show up in the streets because that can show the factlessness of an autocrat. Yeah, well said. Finally, Ben, some of our listeners might still be hoping to plan kind of a last-minute summer
Starting point is 01:10:15 getaway. If you like sand, surf, and brutal repression, we've got a new option for you. North Korea recently unveiled a new seaside resort. Oh, yeah. It features water parks, high-rise hotels, and room for almost 20,000 guests. That's a big resort. Kim Jong-un personally cut the ribbon on what they're calling the Kalma Resort, which state media called a national treasure level tourism city.
Starting point is 01:10:38 It opened on July 1st, but only for domestic tourists for now, but given its proximity to an international airport and the fact that the ribbon-cutting ceremony was attended by the Russian ambassador, North Korea clearly has its eyes on some international clientele. In 2024, Ben, a top UN human rights official described life in North Korea as stifling, claustrophobic, a daily struggle devoid of hope. It kind of sounds like being a Democrat. Washington right now. But if that sounds good to you, consider a visit. Ben, I would say, I want to get your take on this. I think there's a one in five shot that Trump or J.D. Vance
Starting point is 01:11:11 visits this resort before the end of his second term. Thoughts? Oh, I think so. I mean, this is kind of like Trump-Riviera vibes. And yeah, like you made the serious point, which needs to be made, which is that in a country where people are starving, like, you know, beachfront resorts are not the best look. I will say that the world those need to go watch some of the YouTube videos of this because, you know, Kim Jong-un looking at things is always interesting to watch. So good. This is incredible because the video, there's like a two-minute video that they play, the propaganda video that they put out, and it kind of starts with him watching, observing, like some people going down to a giant water slide. Jesus. And the funny thing about this is,
Starting point is 01:11:59 first of all, I'm wondering about the guy on the water slide because he's supposed to be like having fun, right? He's supposed to look like he's having fun. But you know if this guy makes a wrong move on the water slide, it's not going to end well for this guy. But then the other thing is they had so little content to fill this video that they came back to the guy on the water slide again. Like they played it multiple times, you know? I'm watching it right now. So it just didn't look like there was a lot going on at this peach front resort. Do you see the guy on the water slide?
Starting point is 01:12:29 I'm watching the guy on the like surfing thing who bit it like four times in front of Kim Jong-un is probably terrified he's going to get whacked out. Totally, totally. But they had to have smiles in their faces and there are all these people out there. This is so bleak. It's pretty dark. But it does have that kind of 70s communist resort vibes, right? Like the big white hotel that is probably 90% empty at any given time.
Starting point is 01:12:54 I do wonder. Not even finished. Can you imagine? I would love to go. to this place for like a day, not that I would because we'd end up being imprisoned and Trump would have to get us out of prison. But like, can you imagine just like walking down to breakfast at that hotel? Like, who's going to be in the room? There's seven minders. This is like, and Russian spies and Chinese, you know, business people and, I mean, I can't imagine. Someone
Starting point is 01:13:19 needs to make a television show about what happens at this place because I would watch that. It would be absolutely fascinating. My fear is that some, um, very dumb young American tourists is going to end up there and get in deep, deep trouble. But a story, an anxiety for another day then. And then Trump got him out of prison and demand a noble peace prize. Again, again. One thing I just saw per our Ukraine conversation, the White House confirms it is halted weapons that Ukraine was scheduled to receive, including PAC three Patriot missiles,
Starting point is 01:13:55 155 millimeter artillery rounds, GMLRS, Stinger, AIM, 7 and hellfire missiles. So that is not only air defense, but also offensive weaponry there and a huge, huge deal, I think, for the Ukrainians to lose all that. And why would you, I mean, like put aside the hellfires and, you know, we support Ukraine, there's a halting of defensive weapons, right? Like, that's going to lead to Ukrainian civilians dying. I mean, how can you justify that, you know?
Starting point is 01:14:26 No doubt, no doubt. All right, well, that is it for us this week. Thank you all for listening, and we'll talk to you soon. We promise to be in slightly happier moods next week. Yes, we will. Yeah, we're pretty dark this week, sorry. Potta of the World is a crooked media production. Our senior producer is Alon of Minkowski.
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