Predictive History - The Story of "Civilization", "Secret History", "Game Theory" and more - Civilization #43 - The Structure of Scientific Revolutions

Episode Date: October 7, 2025

Civilization #43 - The Structure of Scientific Revolutions

Okay, good morning, so today we do the Cyrant Revolution, okay? And as I mentioned in previous classes, it was really Dante who helped give birth to the idea of modernity, and he really launched three major movements, which include the Renaissance, the Protestant Reformation, and the Second Revolution. We would not have modernity without Dante. Okay. Okay. All right.

So let's see how the three connect together. Okay, we're going to review the previous two classes to connect to today's class on the Second Revolution. So the Renaissance, what it was was, it was a celebration of what makes us human before we're focused on the divine, on the idea of God. Now we want to tell the story of what it means to be human. That's the Renaissance. Procism believes that we have direct access to God.

The Catholic religion, the Pope is the divine representative, and the clergy is the spokesperson for God. But Protestant believes that we have direct access to God, we should be able to speak with God directly through the Bible. The Center Revolution, it's really about how can we know God okay that's the idea of this summer revolution so let's review why we have these ideas and it has to do with Dante so remember last we discussed a dialogue between Beatrice and Dante let's review it really quickly so Beatrice is saying I just

said that God is perfect whatever God touches whatever God creates is perfect so if that's the case why is it that there is decay, destruction, and death in this world? What are the forces that give rise to this decay? And then she explains, okay, whatever God creates is perfect. So angels are perfect. They're immortal. They're eternal.

But the elements that are in this world, they are not created by God. What is created by God are the divine laws that underlie the universe. God create the atoms, God create the laws that allow these atoms to interact with each other. So the rays and motion of the holy light draw forth the soul of every animal and plant for matter able to take form. So it's these divine laws to create the animals and the plants. But these divine laws also necessitate that they die in order for new forms to come into being. So this is the idea of evolution. We humans are special.

Why? Because we are both divinely created and created by the laws of the universe. We have a dual nature. And the main advantage of this dual nature is it gives us a capacity to imagine. Remember, the issue of God is that God is perfect. If you're perfect, if you're eternal, if you're mutable, you lack an imagination because there are no boundaries to you. But if you're human, you're forced to have an imagination because you'll make mistakes. You will fail.

There are things that you do not know. And the imagination gives you the capacity to know this world and to perfect this world. Okay? So that's what it means to be fundamentally human. Okay, so let's recap, okay? These are the three main messages that Dante is relaying to us through his poetry. First of all, God is within us. How do we know? Because we are capable of loving others. God is the light of love within us. The more we love someone, the more this light grows in us. Okay, so we must focus on loving someone who is dear to us. Second idea is We have the imagination and thus responsibility

to discover the universal laws underlying reality. God created the laws of the universe. God created us in order to know these laws. That's very fundamental to the idea of science. The last idea is we can master these laws to better our reality. So these are the three hidden messages of divine comedy that will influence

development of science in the Western world. Okay, so I want to talk briefly about science that has been traditionally been practiced in ancient societies, okay? So in ancient societies, the major ancient civilizations are China, Egypt, and India. And you will see a lot of similarities among these three civilizations on how they practice the idea of science. Okay? It's very intuitive, it's very imaginative, it will make sense to you, okay? So the first science that they focus a lot on is the idea of secret geometry. I'm not sure if you've heard of this, okay?

But the idea of secret geometry is that the underlying fundamental structure of the universe, of reality, are geometric shapes. Okay, and from these geometric shapes, you can give rise to every possible reality. All right, so this is called the egg of life. And from the egg of life, you just keep on expanding it, you will get all of reality. Okay? These are actually 3D, 4D shapes. I can't illustrate them, but if you're curious, go online, these are beautiful ideas. Okay?

So there are two possible ways to understand sacred geometry. The first possible way is to understand them as solids. So the Egyptians understood them as solids. And Plato understood them as solids. Remember Plato, a lot of his philosophy is derived from the Egyptians. And the idea of sacred geometry, it's very apparent in Plato's writings, and he got this from the Egyptians. So basically the idea is that if you train yourself on how to understand sacred geometry

and how to manipulate sacred geometry in your head, you can access God. So the first idea is to understand it as solids. But there's another way you can understand sacred geometry, and it's as vibrations, as energy, as a force. And this is the way that the Chinese understand sacred geometry, as chi, as life force,

also as well as the Hindus. And so imagine a monk who's breathing, who's meditating. What is he doing? He's breathing and he's meditating and he's focusing his energies in order to achieve the sacred geometry within him. The monk will often say things like, ohm, ohm, oh, oh, okay? He's causing vibrations that try to mimic the sacred geometry.

Why is he doing this? Because the belief at this time is that if there are is a god okay if there are a crit if there's a creator god the question is how does it think right it's not going to think with words the way we do it's going to think using mathematics with sacred geometry and by thinking he is going to create the underlying universe and how does he do that he does it by breathing breathing in emitting sacred geometry breathing out breathing back in okay inhaling exhaling and this will give rise to the universe so if you're a monk or a priest you practice meditation in order to try to mimic

the act of creation and if you are able to succeed and what will happen is you harmonize yourself with the vibrations of the universe and therefore you're able to access divine energy okay so that's the idea of good geometry and again it's a very complicated idea but that's a general gist any questions okay and again this is this make intuitive sense okay this make intuitive sense to you all right the second big field that the Egyptians are Chinese and the Indians were really compact really passionate about is astronomy and astrology okay so the Egyptians basically created astrology

And the idea is that you're trying to link the movement of the stars, the cosmos, with events in the world. So by understanding the movement of stars, you're able to divide or predict the future of humanity. Every major king had an astrologist in order to divide the future through the practice of astronomy and astrology. All right. And the last thing is alchemy. What is alchemy?

Alchemy is basically chemistry and sorcery combined together. This is a polytheistic world. And the idea is that because it's a polytheistic world, it's a chaotic world, and somehow if you're clever enough, you're able to hack this world. Think of it as hacking. That there are secrets to this world, and you are able to take elements in this world combined together and create something called the Philosopher's Stone.

Philosopher's stone. The philosopher's stone is the power of God in order to give you the elixir of immortality in order to live forever, as well as to manipulate the environment. So basically, it turned lead into gold. And again, this was an extremely popular practice in ancient societies. So these are three major sciences in the primitive societies, China, Egypt, and India. they promulgated outwards and influenced other societies. We still have them today, okay?

There are still people who practice alchemy, sacred geometry, and astrology today. Any questions about this before I move on? Okay, so this is primitive science. So the question then is, what's the difference? Okay, so let's focus on the three major differences between pre-modern science and modern science. The first major difference is it focuses on the spiritual world, on the outer worldly. And the point of science was to create harmony between our world and the spiritual world.

Okay? Because if you harmonize these two worlds, you can have a more prosperous, more peaceful future. Today we are only focused on the material world, the world that we can see and know, in order to create progress. We've abandoned the spiritual world and we focus on this material world in order to manipulate it in order to promote technological progress. And quite honestly, we have been extremely successful at that. In fact, I will argue we've been too successful at that, okay? So that's the first major difference between pre-modern and modern science.

Second major difference is that pre-modern science relies entirely on intuition and imagination. You don't do experiments. You don't have conferences, you don't debate. You just meditate, you just dream, and you often fall into transces in order to communicate with the spiritual world. In this world, they use a lot of hello pseudemics, okay? A lot of psychedelics, including magic mushrooms, a drink called soma, which is very, important in the Hindu religion, as well as the Zoroasur religion. It's basically a psychedelic, okay? Today, we don't rely on intuition and imagination. We think this is

superstitious. We rely mainly on something called the scientific method, okay? And later on, I will discuss the scientific method more in detail. Now, the last thing is, in pre-modern science, People are relying on divine inspiration in order to discover the truth. The big question is what is truth? Today we care about the question, how do we know truth? It's really the idea of the institution of doubt. Our main priority is to question and doubt the truth. And what will happen is because of this emphasis change, we've changed from

what is truth to how do we know truth it will launch a revolution in technological progress all right all right so underlying the civic revolution are three major theological assumptions about these theological assumptions the the same revolution would not be possible okay so the first and most important idea is the idea of monotheism there is one god okay And again, the very idea of monotheism is also revolutionary in human thought. Second idea is that God designed and will the universe into being. So there is an intelligent design to the universe.

And it's up to us to discover this design. God endowed us with the capacity to discover his design and will. So these are the three major theological assumptions underlying the time of revolution. That is why this revolution happened in Western Europe and not say in China or the Islamic world or India. Because you need these three theological assumptions. Okay, so what do these assumptions bring us? So let's look at polytheism, again, throughout most of human history. most societies have been felt polytheistic,

what is the difference between a polytheistic worldview of science and a monotheistic worldview of science? So I need you to memorize this chart, okay? The first major difference is a polytheistic system there's really no design, there's really no progress, it's just chaos and struggle. But in a monotheistic worldview, there is an underlying truth to the universe.

That's the first difference. That's the first difference. Second major difference is the idea of randomness. Things happen for no particular reason. If you win the lottery, that's great, okay? But if you lose all your wealth, that's just random. It's just fate, it's just destiny. There's no purpose or no design to your fate.

But in a modern-physic world, there's the idea of good and evil. Things happen to you that benefit you if you're doing good. But if you're doing evil, then bad things will happen to you. Okay? So there's a very, there's a deep sense that God is in our lives, orchestrating events. Now, last major difference is that between fate and progress. Okay. If there's truth in this world, if there's goodness in this world, then we have responsibility to progress.

by doing good and by discovering this truth. That's why I keep on emphasizing this, but monotheism is really an intellectual revolution first and foremost. Okay, so the Senate Revolution happens and what drives it, okay? There are three major forces that drive the Second Revolution. The first is the idea of the Protestant Reformation

and the Counter-Reformation. So the Protestants have come and they're challenging authority of the church and the church responds by what's something called the counter-reformation there is this belief or this is prejudice that the church is anti-science the church the Catholic Church is not anti-science in fact the both the Protestants and Catholic Church are trying to use science in order to promote their legitimate authority okay so the Protestants are heavily devoted to science because because they want to understand

the will and mind of God. The Catholics themselves are also promoting science. The Catholics will create a new society called the Jesuits, who are renowned for being great scientists. In fact, a lot of universities in this world were founded by Jesuits. A lot of Jesuits came to China, and they promoted knowledge and science in China.

And this has been true for many centuries. So both the Catholic Church and the Protestant movement, there are in a struggle to use science in order to promote their own authority and legitimacy. That's the first major force driving the right revolution. Second is war. During this time, Europe is a constant state of war. It's fighting amongst themselves,

between the Catholics and the Protestants. It's also fighting with the Muslims, the Ottoman Empire, which is at this point the strongest empire in the world. And the last idea that's driving science is the age of exploration and conquest. As Europe is trying to expand outwards, they're going to North America, they're going in South America, they need better navigation tools. They need compasses.

They need astrolaps. So science solves all three problems. Okay? Okay, so again, the Second Revolution, the best way to remember the Cyber Revolution is it's a fundamental change from asking what is truth to how do we know truth, okay? How can we know truth? And believe it or not, but no one really bothered to ask this question before. How can we know truth? Okay, and because science is asking this question how do we know truth what is really doing is it's

separating itself from religion and putting itself above religion okay there's religion purports to be the truth right and what science is saying is like how do you know if you if you're right well we know if you're right because we have methods to test you okay so science is putting itself above religion and as you can imagine this will create conflicts within the Catholic Church very very soon mainly in the trial of Galileo. Okay, so because science asks this question, how do we know truth? What it does is it creates the scientific method, okay?

And the scientific method is composed of three main elements. The first is you ask questions and you propose hypothesis. So there are no questions now that are out of bounds. And you have to think of solutions and ideas to solve these questions. So that's the first step. Second step is there are these processes and protocols for testing hypothesis, experimentation basically.

So only if you can experiment, only if you can, only of your hypothesis matches experimental results, can it be true. Now last thing is it creates a system of doubt and criticism in order to test all experimental results. And today we call them academic societies and peer review journals. Okay, so if you're a scientist working today at a university,

whatever results you have, you must first publish, and then you have to present your journal results to a conference of peers who will criticize you, and they will look for flaws in your argument. And this is an extremely effective system on how to know what is true. And again, because of the system, it's allowed for a remarkable explosion of wealth and technology and progress in the world today. And this is the chart that shows us, okay? So for most of human history, progress, meaning productivity, has been flat. And then starting around the year 1700, it starts to exponentially rise.

And this has meant that we are now able to feed more. more people so before 1700 you really couldn't get above a few hundred million people and now we are at nine we are projected to reach nine billion people and you can ask this is a good thing and I will argue it's not a good thing but it shows us the remarkable power of science okay all right so now the question then is what cause a subject to arise and And it really has to do with a major debate among scientists. It was the geocentric versus the heliocentric debate.

Okay? Now, what's interesting is that if you look at the Egyptians, they knew that the sun was the center of the universe. That's why their god was the sun god, Rao, okay? But by the time you hit the Greeks, there was now this divergence between those who believed that the universe revolved around the sun and those who believed it revolved around the earth. In about 150, a Greek scientist named Ptolemy working in Egypt. He developed the first comprehensive cosmological system. And this cosmological system, which he wrote in a book called the Omogist,

He made certain arguments. The first argument is that the Earth stands still. The Earth does not move. It doesn't revolve. Second is that all other celestial bodies, including the Moon, including the stars, the planets, revolve around the Earth in a circular motion. Why? Because in the heavens, it is assumed that everything is perfect. Okay, so for example, on planet Earth, we breathe something called air, right?

Ear oxygen is what gives us life. But up there in space, ear becomes ether. Ether is the ear that the gods breathe. Ether is what allows the world, the heavens, to be perfect. Okay? And so, and this is the Arabic edition of the Almagas. And as you can see, you can't read this, but there's a lot of mathematical detail in the book. And because Ptolemy's perspective aligned with theology, the Bible, it was accepted truth for over a thousand years, okay?

The same golden age relied heavily on tolerance understanding of the cosmos. But the first person to suggest that this model is wrong is Coperticus, who is a Polish polymath. He did many things. He did astrology. He also did astronomy. And when he died in 1543, he proposed the Helicentric model. Now what's really important for us to remember is that Copernicus was a devout Catholic.

And many of his friends were major figures within the Catholic Church. And guess what? They were extremely supportive of his theory. In fact, they wanted him to publish his theory. Why? Because at this point, there is no conflict between science. and religion. So the saying back then is it is a job of the church, the Catholic Church, to tell you how to go to heaven, not how the heavens go. Okay? So the Catholic

Church didn't really care one way. They didn't care about the geocentric model or the heliocentric model. They didn't care at all. So Copernicus was heavily supported. The problem of Copernicus is that the mathematics didn't really make sense. So if I put two books in front of you, Copernicus' book called On the Revolutions of Celestial Spheres, or Talmudney's book, well, well, well, tell me, well, it's better, okay? There's more math, it's more well argued. And the reason why is Copernicus, his idea is new, and so there was not that much time, he didn't have that much time to refine it. People didn't really have time to work on it, whereas Ptolemy, a thousand people have been working it over the centuries, okay?

So the geocentric model, it is much more refined, much more accepted at this point than the helicentric model. This man, his name is Tycho Bracpe, and he is a Danish Polymouth as well. He comes from a very noble family, and he spent a lot of his time doing observations. He collected a lot of data, he observed how the planets revolve, and he's going to be involved. revolved and his conclusion is that the geocentric and the heliocentric model are both correct and his in this in this proposal was that earth was the center of the world but the planets revolved around the sun okay so the sun revolved around the earth and every other system revolved around the sun okay so that's

what he that's what he derived from his data now here he had he had a prodigy named Johan's Kepler. He's a German, and he looked at the data, and he discovered that the data actually makes the heliocentric model, actually supports the heliocentric model more than the geocentric model. But because he is not a member of the Catholic Church, he's a Lutheran, okay? The Catholic Church couldn't really do anything about him.

And what's remarkable about Kepler is that just from the state, he was able to make certain predictions about the stars that we've confirmed over time the first is that the Sun So everything revolves around the Sun his problem though is that he didn't put the Sun at the center of the universe He put something else at the center of the universe the Sun revolved around that and the Earth revolved around the Sun Second major law of Plet in Motion is that the orbit is actually not circular. It's elliptical okay? That's what the data was telling him. And this goes against theology. Because remember, in theology, the heavens are perfect.

Because that's where God lives. But Kepler is saying, nope, the orbit is elliptical. And then what else he did, that was revolutionary, is that he discovered that there was a correlation between this orbit and the mass of the planet. and this will give rise to Newton but Kepler made all these revolutionary discoveries now comes Galileo and Galileo he lives in Florence at this time and so he's under the purview of the Catholic Church so he comes from a pretty normal background when he grew up he wanted to be a monk but his dad wanted him want him become a doctor instead

And then they made it compromise and he said, I'll go study mathematics, but his dad was insistent that he go study medicine. Eventually, Gallo managed to go do what he wanted and just do science, okay? At this point, they invented a telescope, and this was not a great telescope. So a telescope could give you three times the modification of the human eye, okay? But it's not that great. But with this telescope, this new invention, Galileo did amazing things. First thing he did was he discovered that Jupiter had moons. And this was revolutionary because it was assumed that everything revolved around planet Earth.

But now he showed that moons revolved around Jupiter. He also recognized that from the Earth you're able to see Venus spin, around us and that also was revolutioned because it was assumed that earth stood still and all the planets stood still okay so he wrote this book and it was a sensation he became like the court scientist to the Medellegi family and the Catholic Church thought this book was great okay but the thing about Galileo which is very important is that he was a very arrogant man and because he was promoting the heliocentric model he was coming into conflict with a lot of

academics that were extremely well-established who made your living off the geocentric model okay so they have these arguments and Galileo's arguments were very limited remember this is a new idea it's that's really supported by mathematics is that really supported by a lot of data okay so Galileo's entire logic was I speak to God I know the truth you're all idiots okay that was basically how he spoke to his enemies and as you can imagine he had more and more enemies and as you can also imagine his enemies were devising ways to get agaleo when again agaleo were saying privately that he should not have been saying is that

people are saying to him listen um this hillside model it's fine but it goes against scripture okay Let's look at Scripture. Scripture says that the Earth, it's firm and immovable, okay? That's what the Bible says. Also, if you look at Genesis, it's clear that God created the Earth first, and then he created the heavens, the Sun and the Moon and the Stars. So logically, everything should revolve around Earth. So, Kallio, how to explain this conflict between your theory of the Hellocentric model

scripture and Gallow's response was it's my job to interpret scripture and this as you remember from last week it's heresy okay if you disagree with the church that's not heresy that could just be ignorance okay but if you believe that you are above the church if you refuse to accept the authority of the church you believe that I interpret the Bible better than the church that is heresy okay so Galileo was called before the Equisition. He was explained, asked to explain himself. And Galileo was pretty confident.

He had to support the Medici's. He was a very famous author. He was extremely intelligent. He thought that God loved him, okay? So I just can imagine it was a complete disaster. It was a disastrous meeting. The Inquisition told him to shut up. You can write anything you want privately, but do not promote your views anymore.

And because if you were guilty of heresy, you could be burnt at the stake, Galileo had no choice but to follow this order. That is until 1632. What happened in 1632? Well, the old pope died, and the new pope, Urban the Ave, came in the power. Who was Urban the Age? Well, he was a very good friend of Galileo's. And Urban the Eighth was a huge admirer of Galileo.

So Galileo felt he now had permission to get back at his enemies. So he wrote a book called Dialogue Concerning the Two Chief World System. And it was basically almost like a platonic dialogue, okay, where he presented his argument again for the heliocentric model. Not only that, but he made fun of his enemies. So it's a dialogue, and the chief enemy of Galileo, his name was Simplicitist, Simplicitous, okay? Simplicitous, moron. Not only that, but he put into the mouth of Simplicitous

a lot of the arguments from Pope Urban the Eighth, so he was making fun of the Pope, even though they were very good friends. So I just can imagine the Pope was really pissed. At first he banned this book, and what happened to when you ban a book? You make it into a national bestseller, okay? So everyone was reading this book. So now Urban the Age was really really, angry and so he called for the Inquisition okay so Galileo was hold before the

Inquisition and Galileo now had to explain himself and Galileo was coming up with a lot of like really silly excuses so so he said is listen this book it's it's a satire it's a thought experiment carpet I know like the heliocentric model is wrong and so I wrote this book to as an intellectual exercise to see how wrong it could be and to see if it could be right. So saying things like this didn't work, and they basically put him under arrest. At this point, Gallo's friends pleaded with the Pope, and the Pope said, fine, I'm a generous person. I will commute his sentence to house arrest for the rest of his life. So that is a story of Galileo.

So you can make the argument that it was Galileo's personality that was responsible for his trial and downfall. It was his hubris. It's a very classic Greek tragedy. But historically, that's not how we remember this story. The reason why is, again, remember, there's a major conflict between the Protestants and the Catholics. So the Protestants will use this trial as propaganda against the church.

And the Protestants will say, you see how anti-science the church is. And Galileo will we remember now as the father of modern science because he put science above religion. And even though Galileo was disgraced during his time, eventually what will happen is the Florentines, the people of Florence, they will dig up his grave and put his body beside Michelangelo and Dante. All right. That's how they much revered the contribution of Galileo.

Okay. All right. So, again, even though the theory of heliocentricism, it is correct. The mathematics didn't make any sense. At this time in history, if you had a team of scientists go and look at the geocentric argument versus a heliocentric argument. they would say the geocentric argument makes more something sense okay it was not until Newton when the mathematics came into being that allowed for the heliocentric

model to be widely accepted Newton as you know he's the person who created calculus the calculus you're learning in school guess what he was responsible for the creation of calculus now what's really interesting for us to know about Newton is Newton didn't really see himself as a mathematician or a scientist. These were side hobbies. What he really was, was a theologian, okay? So he spent most of his time actually reading the Bible because he was convinced that reading the Bible

were the secrets of the universe. Specifically, he wanted to know when the world would end. Okay, and he spent most of his life doing these calculations, and he told us that the world will probably end, I don't know, 2060, 2050, 2060 around then. So he spent most of his time doing theology. This is important for us because even at this time, even as a scientific revolution, it's gaining steam, there is no separation between religion and science. People understood faith as a very important cornerstone of science.

Without faith, how could you have the energy and inspiration to understand the mind of God? Newton is also famous for being an alchemist. So he spent most of his time also doing these science experiments, where he's trying to combine different elements. Unfortunately, chemistry at this point is very primitive. So he was thinking mercury. He was convinced that mercury will lead to the colossal stone, and he was eating it, he was tasting it.

And as a result, he had a lot of mercury poisoning problems. He couldn't sleep, he had delusions, his hair was falling out, falling out, he had mercury poisoning, okay? But at the same time, he had the inspiration to come up with the mathematics to prove the heliotic model is correct. Okay? The book he wrote is called the Principia. At this time, Latin is the universal language of scientists, right? And also, by the time, also, guys, at this time, they're not called scientists. They're called natural philosophers. All right, science is considered a part of philosophy. All right, so in 1687, this debate ended

with the publication of this book. Newton used mathematics to prove once and for all the heliotic model. This is one page from the Principia. As you can see, there are a lot of mathematics. There are a lot of diagrams, okay? In this book, you also find his laws of motions. So Newton's great insight was that probably the laws of attraction,

gravity that govern this world, probably govern the heavens as well. So before it's assumed that the heavens and the earth were separate. And now he's saying that no, these are combined together. And he created laws of pletary motion, okay? if he figured out the mathematics that told us relationship between the size of the planets, the mass, and how they orbited. Now, the problem, though, he had a huge problem. The problem is he had the correlation, he had the mathematical correlation, but he didn't know why the correlation existed. He didn't have, he couldn't solve the causation problem, okay? There's just no way that God would

spend on his time moving the planets around. He was much too busy. So they had to, they had to an underlying cause. He didn't know what it was though. And who figured it out? Well, Einstein figured out. So at this point, in 1905, we knew that there was a correlation between the size of the planet and how it moved, okay?

And gravity. But we didn't know why. And it was a genius of Einstein to figure it out. Now you remember Einstein because, of his famous equation E equals MC square. Okay, what does E equals M2 square mean? It means that mass and energy are correlated. And this is a revolution.

We didn't understand this before, right? We just assumed that solids and vibrations are different. And what Einstein is saying is that in order for a solid to exist, there have to be vibrations in the first place. And this formula tells us that within all operations, objects there is almost an infinite amount of energy okay because C is a speed of light and why is this important because this formula will allow us to develop the nuclear bomb right by spinning atom you can create almost an infinite amount of

energy in this world okay so that's a major contribution of Einstein but at his at his time he was mainly known for figuring out the causation problem space okay and what and how you Einstein figured out is by developing a new idea called space-time he believed that in the heavens speak there's a space-time curvature and so what was happening was this a mass a huge object it would go into the space-time curvature and warp it and because it warped it it it drew things into its orbit and the and then these things would have to move around this solid, okay?

So space-time curvature now helps us understand the loss of planetary motion, first developed by Kepler and then by, and then refined by Newton. And what's amazing about Einstein is, and this is like, this will blow your mind, okay? But he did all this while sitting at a desk, at a patent office in Switzerland. He was not in a laboratory,

He was not at a university. He was just thinking by himself. He was daydreaming, okay? So this was just an incredible achievement. Okay, and so the mathematics is very complicated, okay? But all you need to understand is that he figured out that there's a mathematical relationship between the mass of the object and the space-time curvature. And this formula tells us what the relationship is.

And why mathematics is important is it allows us to make predictions. And these predictions will tell us if the science actually works or not, okay? If the model, the theory makes sense or not. And so Einstein's theory relativity, space-time curvature, it is one of the most successful models in history because it predicts the black hole. The black hole is almost solid that is infinitely, massive and therefore it attracts every into it and such everything into it including light so it predicts the idea of the black hole and we discover

the black hole all right so this confirms the theory of relativity but the theory relatively also predicts the big bag because space time the idea of space time is that space is in motion right That's why you have time, because it's in motion. Well, if it's in motion, then where did it start? There had to be like a starting point. And that's why scientists, not Einstein, Einstein was actually against the idea of the Big Bang.

But a lot of scientists believe that you needed a big bang. And so we have a working model of the Big Bang. The problem with this model is that there's actually a lot of evidence against this. So there are two examples. The first example is, using the Hubble telescope, the most advanced telescope in the world, which is now in other space, we've discovered that they're actually galaxies that came before they were due, okay?

So the idea of Big Bang is that it's this massive energy explosion, and so the galaxies will develop later. But our data tells us the galaxies came before much, much earlier than we expect. That's the first thing. Second problem that we have with the Big Bang model is that... This universal expansion, it is not constant. There are times when it speeds up, which makes no sense.

Why would it speed up? So this Big Bang model, a lot of scientists are now trying to reexamine it. The problem is, and this is a huge problem is, we don't have a better theory. And so to get around the problem of these mathematical inconsistencies in the model, scientists create a new concept

dark energy dark energy now you think to yourself dark energy means we can't see it no that's not what it means okay and you're like well dark energy means we can't measure no that's what it means dark energy means we don't know what it is okay doesn't mean it exists and we can't see it just means we have no idea what it is we can explain why the big bank is expanding really fast at certain points and really saw at other points and so we just say it must be dark energy okay doesn't make sense guys so dark energy is not something that you can't see it's just something we don't have no idea what it is okay all right so these are the theories okay but the

person who was most responsible for the creation of the scientific method his name is actually francis bacon and he spent his entire life promoting the idea of something processes and methods. He's most well known for his book, the New Atlantis. So in the new Atlantis, which is like a novel, the protagonist, he ends up in the on an island where they have the most advanced science in the world. And the reason why they're the most advanced science in the world is because they turn science into a bureaucracy, a very specialized bureaucracy. So I'm not going to read all of it, all right, but there are different offices, different for different functions.

So for example, we have three that try new experiments, such as themselves, think good. These we call pioneers or miners, okay? So you have an office, a bureaucracy, specifically to do experiments, which means that you have an office, a bureaucracy, specifically come up with hypotheses to ask questions, okay? Also, we have three that take care out of them

direct new experiments of a higher light, more penetrating into nature than the former. These we call it laps. So you have a team to actually audit these experiments and figure out how to improve them. Okay? And then lastly, we have three that raised the former discoveries by experiments into great observations, axioms,

and atherisms. These we call interpreters of nature. So these are theoreticians. They're the ones who take this experimental data and combine it into a theory. And so, Bacon is proposing a scientific bureaucracy. And guess what, guys. We have basically achieved his vision today.

If you look at science today, it's essentially a bureaucracy. Now, one of the foundations of this bureaucracy was the founding of the Royal Society of London in 1660. Why is this important? Because for the first time, scientists are allowed to present their findings before a group of peers, who will question and doubt them. And this will enhance their research process. So the founding of the World Society was fundamental. As you're going to imagine, what will come next is publications, magazines,

that will showcase a lot of these new discoveries. The founding members of the Royal Society include Christopher Wren, who is a very famous architect, as well as Robert Dole, who is a very famous canvas. Okay, so that's a basic background. into the history of the Simon Revolution. Today we are asking ourselves a very deep question. So the Second Revolution separated science from religion.

And there's a lot of concern that this has created a lot of ethical issues within science. So let's look at three major issues. The first major issue is the idea of artificial intelligence. Basically, we're trying to create God. And that's a huge concern. What happens when the computers are much smarter than humans? Second is the idea of nanotechnology where we're trying to go into the atomic level and change the laws of nature, okay?

We're trying to defy God. The third is the idea of genetics, where we are trying to change people's genetic blueprint so that we can have designer babies so that babies will not, will be free from cancer. Also, we're trying to develop immortality. We're looking for the elixir of immortality. So these are three massive ethical debates within science. And my argument to you today is that this is the wrong question to ask. This is the wrong question to ask. These are not possible within the current scientific framework that we have today.

In fact, I would make the argument that these three are essentially illusions. Hocus, pocus, magic. Or you can even go as far as to say they are deliberate scams. So artificial intelligence is the example that we are most calm, that we're most familiar with, okay? So I'm sure you've all used chat GPT. Is it any good? No, it's not. We'll get any better? No, it won't.

Okay, so, but there's so much hype around it, okay? I don't have time to go into artificial intelligence, but if you want to know more about artificial intelligence and why it's a scam, I can do so later on, okay? Just ask me. All right, so the real problem is this. The real problem is this, science has become an imperial bureaucracy.

That's the real issue. All right? If you think about the world we live in today, The field that is most like the imperial bureaucracy of China is science today. Science is above nation, it is above government. It does things by itself, okay? And what's science doing?

Science is promoting its own bureaucracy. If there's no accountability, if there's no responsibility, if scientists don't actually have to tell us what they're doing, then it's not that they will become God. It's more like they'll become corrupt bureaucrats. Does that make sense? It's more likely that they will take these billions of dollars,

the government's fraud at them, and they'll just waste it all. Why? Because they can. It's much easier for people to be lazy, greeting corrupt than is for them to become God. Okay? All right. So let me explain. Okay.

So I know this is a hard idea, but genius does not come from hard work. It does not come from certain process or a certain method. It comes from intuition, imagination, and inspiration. So remember when Einstein, he was just daydreaming, his theories. Remember when Newton, he was working on theology. was working on alchemy and then he developed the ideas of calculus, okay? This is true consistently throughout history. This is a passage from the book, The Cosmic Serpent by Jerry Narby, okay?

I'll just read it to you. Many of science central ideas seem to come from beyond the limits of rationalism. People do not logically deduce these ideas. Rene Descartes dreams of an angel who explains the basic principles of many materialist rationalism to him. This is no different from Mohammed, who was meditating in a cave and the angel Gabriel appeared before him.

It's religious. Albert Einstein, daydreams in a tram approaching another and conceives the theory of relativity, right? James Watson scribbles on a newspaper in a train, then rides his bicycle to reach the conviction that DNA has the form of a double helix. So what gives rise to great science, to great ideas? Well, imagination, intuition, and also faith that you are correct.

That's Galileo. Galileo was actually convinced that he was right even though the science was very sloppy. In fact, there's very famous story where Einstein, in 1930s and 40s, he was having a huge argument with scientists who were arguing for quantum mechanics. quantum mechanics, especially Niels Bohr. Okay, so if you look, go and look back in 1930s and 40s, and you look at the arguments, what you will find is that Einstein was very clear,

was very logical, and was very, sound, okay? And you will find that Niels Bohr was unclear, illogical, and very sloppy over science. But Einstein was wrong, Niels Bohr was right. Today quantum mechanics is a science that underlines all the technology that we have today, including the computer, the semiconductor, the transistor computer. So that's a really important thing we have to remember of science. At first, it seems wrong. But because of people who believe in it have so much conviction in faith, they eventually triumph, okay? All right, so that's how science develops. And this is the argument of

Thomas Kuhn in this book, The Structure of Santic Revolutions. Okay, this is a book that I highly recommend If you ever said this history of science, this is the first book that you will read. Because he goes into how science develops over the centuries. The central argument is that science does not develop like piecemeal and slowly and methodically, okay? It goes through revolutions and paradigm shifts. All right, okay, so I know this is gonna be a bit long,

but it's really important that we read him, okay? Paradigms gained their status because they are more successful than their counter-competitors in solving a few problems that the group of practitioners has come to recognize as acute. So Ptolemy for his time was considered revolutionary because he saw the problem of why, why is it the moon revolves around the Earth? Okay, he provided a cosmology that was simple

and which fit into theology. To be more successful is not, however, to be either completely successful with a single problem or notice successful with any large number okay so Tommy's solution only solved a few problems it was not the complete solution the success of a paradigm is at the start largely a promise of success discoverable in selected and still incomplete examples okay so the paradigm at first it's actually promising but it's not at all convincing normal

The science that we practice today consists in the actualization of all that promise and actualization achieved by extending the knowledge of those facts that the paradigm displays as particularly revealing by increasing the extent of the match between those facts and the paradigm's predictions and by further articulation of the paradigm itself.

So this is really important, guys. Science is not about discovery. It's about refinement. Does that make sense? Science will not give us new ideas. Science will take existing ideas and fine-tune them into something that we can believe and that we can use to drive technological innovation.

Okay? All right, so let's look at another passage. Turn now to another more difficult and more revealing aspect of the parallelism between puzzles and the problems of normal science. If it is to classify as a puzzle, a problem must be characterized by more than an assured solution.

There must also be rules that limit both the nature of acceptable solutions and the steps by which they are to be obtained. To solve a jigsaw puzzle is not, for example, mainly to make a picture. Either child or a contemporary artist could do that by scattering selected pieces as abstract shapes upon some neutral ground. So this is really important.

But what he's saying is this. Science today solves jigsaw puzzles. They're trying to take a larger model and fine-tuned pieces that make the model much more elegant. It's not trying to reimagine the model. It's not trying to over-train the model. It's not trying to add new pieces of the model. All it's doing is fine-tuning existing pieces.

It's like you take a jigsaw puzzle, and there's exactly one solution to jigsaw puzzle. If you don't provide that solution, you're wrong okay does that make sense that's what science is nevertheless such a picture would not be a solution okay so what he's saying is if you come up with a new picture to the trick-self puzzle you might be creative you might be interesting you might be imaginative but you're wrong okay scientists cannot accept your solution to achieve that all the pieces must be used their plane sides must be turned down and they must be interlocked without forcing until no holes remain okay those Those are among the rules that govern Jigsaw puzzle solutions. So if you are a scientist working today, you're literally solving a Jigsaw puzzle. The solution, everyone knows the solution.

If you provide something that goes against the accepted solution, you will not be accepted. All right. So he concludes, but paradigm debates are not really about relative problem solving ability, though for good reasons they are usually in those terms. Instead, the issue in which paradigm should,

in the future, guide research on problems, many of which neither competitor can yet claim to resolve completely. A decision between alternate ways of practicing science is called for and the circumstances that this decision must be based less on past achievement than on future promise. The men who embraces a new paradigm at an early stage must often do so in defiance of the evidence provided by problem solving.

So this is hard for us to understand, but if you are to be a true innovator, it's not that you come up a new solution to a problem, it's that you must defy the basic premises of bureaucratic science. He must, that is, have faith that the new paradigm will succeed without many large problems that confront it, knowing only that the older paradigm has failed with few.

A decision of that kind can only be made on faith okay so this is why it's almost impossible to separate religion from science if a new discovery is to be made that person must believe that he is sent by God to tell us the truth okay that's Galileo if you actually met the person you would think this guy's a complete asshole all right he's arrogant he's obnoxious all he does is make fun of you okay but he's driven by a divine mission to spread the truth and because he create this conflict with the church it became an international

Controversity and not focused attention of scientists and they tried to resolve this issue Okay, so science scientific innovation genius. It's not a Tea party all right it's a revolution Okay, so I'm going to summarize what we've discussed Okay, because because I'll This was a lot. But I want to summarize what we did so that you have a basic framework to understand what I'm talking about, because there'll be other classes on these topics.

We'll be discussing quantum mechanics at a future date. So I want to make sure that we understand the argument. Okay, so our argument is this. most of history science was part of religion science was about validating this religion but this creates a problem we call confirmation bias meaning that we will only look at evidence that supports our claims and we do this every single day we all want to be right we all want to feel good we all when we confirm and validated by the world around us okay so there's a very

famous experiment called the Dunning Cougar you've heard of this right Dunning Cougar the Dunning Cougar experiment so Dunning Cougar were two American psychologists and they were teaching an undergraduate class or foreign students and they made these students do two things the first thing is they made every student take an IQ test okay and the second thing is they asked student how they think they do did on that IQ test, where you're in the top 5%, or in the bottom 5%, where you average?

It turned out that once they looked at all the results, not one student predicted his or her class ranking. Those who did really well, the top 5%, it was pretty easy for them, so they assumed it was easy for everyone, okay? So they underestimated the performance by about 10%. Those who did the worse didn't really no what was asked of them, okay? So they overestimate the performance.

In fact, those who got the most wrong were the worst students. So maybe they were the bottom 10%, but they thought they were average, okay? And what this tells us is this, doubt, self-doubt, it's really the mark of genius. If you're able to doubt yourself, if you're able to question yourself,

if you're able to self-reflect, that's a sign of an excellent student, okay? In fact, the best son of a student. So the question then is, how do you take, how do you bring doubt into science? What you do is you separate science from religion and you create a bureaucracy around science in order to instill doubt in the scientific process, okay?

That's a solution proposed by Francis Bacon. And again, it is the most successful solution in human history. All right? So the starting process is hypothesis, experiment, data analysis, replication. Okay, does that make sense?

You have a hypothesis, you then test it out. If it works, according to data, you then have to replicate the experiment to make sure that you are correct. Now, the beauty of this model is, that you can actually make it into bureaucracy right so each department does its own thing and so what happens is that each department is inspecting and auditing the work of the previous department to make sure the results are accurate

and correct it doesn't make sense and it turns out if you do it this way well it's revolutionary and it explains the world that we live in today it explains why certain progress has been so fast and so remarkable these past 300, 400 years, okay? But embedded in the system are lots and lots of other issues, okay? Which I would discuss. The first is idea of political control. It takes a lot of resources to run the system, and as a result, you can allow politicians come in and interfere with the science, okay?

That's the first problem. Second problem is that over time, each department will over-specialize. You have over-specialization, which means that these departments are now unable to communicate with each other because the underlying assumptions, the science of each department will be different.

So if you run experiments, we use a lot of instruments. All of these instruments are so complicated, that normal scientists don't really understand what you're doing. Okay? So that's the second problem, over-specialization. The third problem is the idea of accountability. Okay?

How do you know if each department is doing a good job or not? Right? You can't because now they're over-specialized. the word we use is they are now aloof okay so there are many problems with this system another problem is insularity meaning that you have to spend like 20 years in school before you could even be even enter the system okay in insularity creates gatekeeping which means that only if you play by the rules only if you bet it you enter the system system.

And as a result, you no longer have any creativity. So this is the great irony of science. Science was initiated, inspired by the genius of Galileo, Newton, and Einstein. But today, science has developed to a point where it no longer welcomes Galileo, Newton, or Einstein. Okay, why? Because Galileo is an asshole. He doesn't get along with other people. They will let him in. Newton is crazy, right? He's alchemist. He believes that the Bible will reveal the end of the world. He's crazy. They won't let him in. Einstein is really bad at mathematics. He would fail all these mathematics tests in order to get into the system. He probably would not get into graduate school today.

So this is the world we live in. So don't worry. about artificial intelligence don't worry about billionaires living forever don't worry about nanotechnology okay worry about the fact that we've come to a point in our civilization where we are now incapable of innovation okay all right so that's it any questions okay okay relied on intuition and faith and imagination. I was really getting ready to push back on me and say, hey, that's a lot of what in science, like modern science,

great. And you brought that in, you know, very nice to make. Okay. Well, thank you. Great. Any questions? Okay, that's fine. Okay, so.

I got a light question. Okay, great. Okay. Okay. So, Newton. Okay, so why do we know that Newton particularly in the world? Okay, the reason why is this. So Newton didn't have any family.

He didn't have a wife. He didn't have any children. So his entire estate was left to his nephews and his nieces. And Newton also left him a lot of money. These are aristocrats. Newton is actually the first commoner, the first non-royal, in English history to receive a state funeral. He's the first commoner to be buried at Westminster Abbey, okay?

So he was a very big deal back then. And his relatives obviously were aristocrats. But the thing about aristocrats is that over time, they become poor. And what do you do when you become poor? Well, you sell off what is valuable. And so Newton's papers, Newton's papers, all his notes were auction off.

in like I think the 1930s. I don't remember, okay, but 1930s. And you would imagine that everyone would want these notes, right? Because they reveal genius to you. But for another reason, they didn't really sell very well. And the cell was so bad, the auction was so bad, that it was so piecemeal, okay? And one person who bought the notes was John Keynes,

the economist, John Keynes, economist. And he was so excited to read the papers of Newton. He was like, oh my God, there must be so much mathematics in these papers that will lead to new discoveries, right? So we actually read the papers, he was absolutely aghast at what he discovered. It was alchemy, it was theology. And so what Newton was trying to do,

what he was trying to read the Bible and look for a secret code. I mean, he was crazy, okay? look for a secret code within the Bible that would tell him the future. And he was actually convinced, I was going to call the Second Coming. He was convinced that Jesus will return. I mean, these are all Christians at this point, right? He was actually convinced that Jesus will return.

And so he wanted to know when he would return and how he would return. Okay? So I think he made the prediction 2060. but I can't be sure but he made a prediction when the world would end what's more important for us is that he became what we know what we call a Christian Zionist okay the idea of a Christian Zionist and this is really important is that once you predict the future and you know when Jesus is returning you want to know how he returns and you became actually convinced that for just to return certain conditions

had to be met in order to facilitate his return. One major condition was the return of the Jews to Jerusalem. Because at this point, Jerusalem was being controlled by the Ottomans. He was actually convinced that we had to get all the world Jews and return them to Jerusalem. Only problem was, Jews did want to go back. And so, I think Newton, and this is a completely unknown about him, he's actually one the founders of a movement called Christian Zionism is let's figure out how to get all the Jews to go back to Jerusalem and this will sort of process which will culminate with

the return of Jesus okay so that's Newton and so what this tells us okay and this is also something that is really important is it was part of a secret society with John Locke and some other really important individuals and a secret society I mean like they were considered, they considered themselves the true church, right? So Newton in his notes, he was very clear. He fought the Holy Trinity was nonsense. There's only one God. And he was the representative of God on earth.

He was here on a divine mission. So he's part of the secret society to try to achieve Christian Zionism and to discover when the second coming will happen. So he makes this prediction 2060. So whether or not Newton is correct, that's not the issue. The issue is that with his power, with his influence, he was heavily promoting Christian Zionism in England. And as we know, what will happen is these people will go to America.

A lot of these people who are Christian Zionists, they will go to America believing that America is the new Jerusalem. And then what will happen later on is these Zionists, Christian Zionists, link up and they will plot to bring the Jews back to Jerusalem. And this leads to something called the Balfour Declaration, which is to say that after World War I, when the Ottoman Empire was defeated, the British Empire now gives permission to all the Jews in the world to return to Jerusalem whether or not they want to. Okay, so this is why history is so important, because you cannot possibly understand

what's happening in the Middle East today, first understanding all this history. Right? So does that make sense? Okay, all right. Great. So, I'll sorry, he was right, 2016. Well, well, again, okay, so.

I'm just kidding. So 2016, again, that's not the issue. The issue is that there are very powerful people in this world who believe in this and one who believe that it is a divine mission to make this come true, to use their power, to use their influence, to use of money to make this prediction come true. It's not really a prophecy, okay? It's really a plan.

This is what it is. It's a plan. It's like, how do we bring back Jesus? Because when Jesus returns, the world ends and everyone's happy. Okay, that's heaven comes on earth. But how do we make it happen? Well, here's a plan. Christian Zionism. So that's my real concern.

Whether or not the world ends in 2016, I don't know, okay? But the fact that there are really powerful people of the statue of Isaac Newton with like almost unlimited resources and unlimited power, they actually believe in this and they want to make this come true. That should be the major concern. Right? Okay, so I apologize for going on this tangent, okay? So we don't have class on Thursday, but next Tuesday we'll start the age of export. Okay?