Predictive History - The Story of "Civilization", "Secret History", "Game Theory" and more - Emergency Discussion #1 - Spain Wins World Cup Us Plans Ground Invasion Of Iran

Episode Date: August 3, 2026

Watch on YouTube: https://link-to-youtube.s.gy/em_disc_1In this July 20, 2026 Zoom discussion, Professor Jiang discusses current events, and answers questions from Substack subscribers. ...

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:02 Good morning. So this is our very first emergency live stream discussion. So there are two topics on the agenda. The first topic, of course, is the World Cup, which just concluded a couple of hours ago with Spain winning 1 to 0. The second topic, of course, is the Iran War, which everyone is expecting to escalate. So the temple, the ferocity of the war, it is much faster, it's much more greater than in March. What is happening right now that is really interesting is the Americans are reporting publicizing the deaths of soldiers, the American casualties in the Middle East. This is something that they refrained from doing in March. They said that only 13 died throughout those six weeks.
Starting point is 00:01:12 And of course, that was a very suspicious number. And now we've only been a few days into this war, but they are already reporting three deaths, as well as possibly dozens of casualties due to Iranian strikes on American basis throughout the Middle East, primarily Jordan. So these are the two topics that we will discuss. This is the first of our emergency live streams, so I hope that this is as interactive as possible. So I'll be monitoring chat throughout. So I prepared a brief presentation on the World Cup.
Starting point is 00:01:59 As I mentioned in my live stream a couple of days ago, I thought that there's a lot of evidence that suggests that Argentina would win it. I felt as though it was being rigged in favor of Argentina. But at the same time, I felt that Spain was the much stronger team. And I also think that my intuition told me that Spain would win. And it turns out that Spain did win. And so this is really interesting. So there are different possibilities for this.
Starting point is 00:02:37 The first possibility, of course, is that I'm just paranoid. Everyone's just paranoid. And this at all is not rigged. And the world is not as deterministic as we once believe. Okay, so the first explanation is that we're all I'm just completely wrong and my entire World view Framework furnishing the world it's just completely off-based and that is a very strong possibility. Okay, so that's theory number one Theory number two is they rigged up to a point which is they wanted
Starting point is 00:03:12 four teams in the semi-finals because these four teams would draw the most revenue for FIFA They, of course, are Spain, France, England, and Argentina. And that's what they got, what they got. And in the finals, what actually happened did they really care? And the third possibility is that they did rig it. But there's a problem of all this, which is that Archina became too arrogant. They suffered from hubris. And so they just underperform, right?
Starting point is 00:03:49 So Argentina, and this is an amazing statistic, but Argentina is the first team in the World Cup not to have a shot on goal in the first 90 minutes. In fact, I think they got the first shot on goal at the 120 minute mark. So that's incredible to think about. Basically, Spain just outplayed Argentina throughout. And in Spain, because they had to face Portugal and France to get it. to the finals, they were well prepared, they were extremely enthusiastic and they were determined to win, whereas Argentina, because they were basically given a very easy path to the semifinals, the first tough team that they faced was England in the semifinals. They basically became
Starting point is 00:04:39 lazy and complacent and didn't really perform to the best of the ability. Okay, so those are three possibilities. I'm not saying which possibility is correct. I'm just saying that these are all three different possibilities that we should consider. So again, what I do is I try to develop predictive models, predictive modeling for the world. So it's always important to sort of step back and ask ourselves what is our framework, what are our assumptions and what are our predictions and trying to analyze in real time how our predictions. are turning out. To be fair to myself, I never said that Argentina would win.
Starting point is 00:05:24 What I did say in the previous live stream was that if Argentina did win, and it was clear that the officials were rigging the game in favor of Argentina, and if Messi were to score the winning goal, then I would predict that Messi would become president of Argentina in five to 10 years. time and that Argentina will be a major hub of transnational capital. Okay. So that's what I said during my live stream. Just be completely clear because some of you are saying that I predict that Argentina
Starting point is 00:06:02 would win. I did not predict Argentina would win. I said that logically, I think that Argentina would win. But intuitively, I believe that Spain would win. Okay. So let me do a quick presentation and then I will open the floor to, questions and discussions. Okay, so let me share my screen really quickly. Okay, so this is my presentation on the World Cup. First of all, I want to thank Alfred, who sent me a
Starting point is 00:06:48 long email pointing out the problems with with my analysis. And he's absolutely right in that I was making a lot of factual mistakes in my analysis. The first thing that's really important is to appreciate that there are quite a few high profile stars who do represent Israeli companies. For example, Christian Renato does represent an Israeli company.
Starting point is 00:07:22 Also, second thing that we need to keep in mind is that when Messi went to Israel, he did so as part of FC Barcelona's 2013-2014, meaning that he visited both Israel as well as Palestine. So that's something that's really important for us to remember. The last comment is that a lot of people in the comments say that the FIFA World Club is rigged in favor of certain teams. And there's very little evidence that is the case. You can make arguments back and forth because there's a lot of information that supports both sides. So this is a very good email. and I want to thank Alfred for taking time to write this. I also, you know, this email also made me think a lot about my methodology,
Starting point is 00:08:25 and I can be very extreme at times. Sometimes I prefer the soundbite. Sometimes I want to make this bold statement that goes viral, and this email reminds me that right now I'm pretty influential. A lot of people pay attention to what I'm doing. I need to be more nuanced, more balanced, more scholarly in my approach. So again, I want to thank Alfred for this email and I will try my very best to be more nuanced, more subtle, more balance in my approach.
Starting point is 00:09:01 Because ultimately, I see myself more as an educator rather than as a social media influencer. I'm here to help people develop their own analytical models. I'm here to help people develop their own critical thinking skills. And that's what I want to do for next 50 years. I see myself as a teacher of the world. I feel extremely privileged to be in this position, but I also appreciate that with this position, with this privilege comes a lot of responsibilities.
Starting point is 00:09:26 And so I apologize if I was misleading people in the past. So thank you again, Alfred, for this email. That said, I want to go over some things I found interesting about the lead-up to the finals. So the first thing I'll point out is like, if you just look at Polly Market, Polymarket had Spain at winning about 59% to 14%, Argentina at 41%. That's a pretty, I mean, that's a very strong bias towards Spain. I think it's an announcement that Spain is this a far superior team to Arangina on a variety of metrics.
Starting point is 00:10:06 In fact, you have Bernardo, the football legend, who basically said that, Spain will beat Archina easily because Spain will have ball control. And he's absolutely right. I mean, he did say Spain will have the ball the entire time. They have excellent ball control. They work well together as a team. So he's absolutely right. And this is exactly what happened during the World Cup.
Starting point is 00:10:34 And that's why Spain won one to zero at the end of the day. That said, a lot of people will point out some problems. in a lead up to the World Cup. And I found this thing is funny, okay? So we know the result. We know that Argentine didn't win, but there are some funny things that was happening in a lead up to a World Cup. The first thing is the referee who being charged of the World Cup final. He did have an altercation with the law six years ago. He was found out of brothel with cocaine guns and 20,000 euros. And there's actually a new And there's actually a news report from Slovenia about this.
Starting point is 00:11:16 This is on Yahoo Sports, but it was translated from a news outlet in Slovenia. But this happened in the middle of the COVID pandemic, and police conducted a raid against prostitution. And they found this referee in the cabin, and he ran away. He tried to flee on a boat, and they arrested him. But after a few hours of integrating him, they found he had no direct connection to criminal organization. So this is a really funny thing that the Internet digged up about this referee. As you can imagine, there was a lot of superstition, a lot of divination in the lead-up to the World Cup. This is an Archina popular show, and there they brought in a fortune teller to predict that Archina,
Starting point is 00:12:11 would win the World Cup. Harvey Millet, the president of Argentina, did not actually go to the game because he believed that him going to the game would jinx the team. And so he set at home and did all the proper rituals to ensure that Argentina would win the game. You have two major celebrities, Connor McGregor, as well as Drake, betting in favor of Argentina. drinking himself at $1.5 million to win the World Cup final.
Starting point is 00:12:44 This is nothing to him, right? This is like nothing to this guy. But it shows that they are very supportive of Argentina. You have Benjamin Nanyahu, meeting with Anshina's ambassador to Israel, a man named Rabbi Shimon Wazhniz, and Nanyahu expressed the greatest support, for Arsena. And the reason why is, well, first of all, Arnchina and Israel have become very close these past two years. And the president of Harba Malay is actually part of the Chabad-Hazid movement.
Starting point is 00:13:32 In fact, what's really interesting is that having Malay's first visit, first foreign visit, as head of state was to the grave of Rebbe Rebbe Snerchon in Queens, New York. That grave, by the way, and this is really interesting, is the most visited Jewish holy site outside of Israel. So there's a very strong connection between Israel and Javier Malay. Another interesting thing is that after Arn-China defeated English, in the semifinals 2 to 1, they unfurled a banner saying basically the Malvinas. The Malvinas is Ardina's name for the Falklands belongs to Arnchina. And this is clearly a violation of FIFA's ban on political statements during sporting matches.
Starting point is 00:14:31 And the White House, the White House, the White House, The White House came over statement saying, well, Archina has a right to free speech. That is true, but FIFA rules are pretty clear about this. You are not allowed to discuss politics in sporting matches. So this is clearly a violation. And I think this Falklands issue will become a major issue in Archina. now that the World Cup is over. Some of you, if you're here, could you please unmute,
Starting point is 00:15:18 could you please mute yourselves? While I'm talking, it's important that you mute yourself. After I finish discussing, I'll leave the room, I'll open the floor to discussion. So if you have a, if you want to have a question, please raise your hand, okay? And I will unmute you. Okay.
Starting point is 00:15:41 So again, Habimile says himself, the Malvinia's war are and will always be Argentine. So this shows us that within the next year, the Falklands become a major geopolitical issue. And this is interesting because right now, the UK controls the Falklands, but the UK is really far away and there's something called
Starting point is 00:16:12 the Donoral Doctrine which is the Americans claim sovereignty over the entire Western Hemisphere so I would not be surprised if Argentina in order to stir up national assentment they were to make a claim
Starting point is 00:16:25 for the Falklands and Americans would support this claim and there's really nothing that England could do about this, right? Right now Trump is trying to dislodge England from the Western Hemisphere. That basically means two places.
Starting point is 00:16:41 No, actually three places. It means the Falklands. It means the Caribbean. And it means Canada. So basically, Trump is just trying to claim imperial control over the entire Western Hemisphere.
Starting point is 00:16:56 And Argentina will be as proxy in order to do this. That is my guess. Right now, though, there's a major problem for Israel in Argentina, which is, no one actually likes them in Argentina. So as you can see from this poll, right now in Argentina, you have a vast majority of people who don't like Israel.
Starting point is 00:17:26 55% of people in Argentina have a unfavorable view towards Israel. you have 21% who have a favorable view. And this is consistent throughout the world. There are only four countries in the world where actually Israel has a net favorable rating, and those are India. India is the largest country. And India is 28% who oppose Israel,
Starting point is 00:17:56 32% who support Israel. The other three countries are, and this is really funny, but they're in Africa. They are Kenya, Nigeria, and Ghana. These are only four countries in the world where Israel has a net favorability rating among the population. They lead are a different issue, but among the population, Israel is extremely unpopular. So how do you fix this issue? Well, I think
Starting point is 00:18:25 that if you're Argentina, the easiest way to fix this issue is twofold, right? There are two things you can do. First is you store up a conflict with England or the Falklands, then Israel comes in and supports your claim towards the Falklands. I guarantee you if Israel were to do this, then the popular opinion in Arjuna would shift rapidly towards Israel. The Fulklans is a huge nationalistic issue in Argentina. We know because why else would the Archieena team unfurl the banner after the semifinals against England? So, you know, this is a war that happened in 1982. It took 10 weeks.
Starting point is 00:19:09 And, like, Argentina doesn't fight that many wars. So I think there's a lot of anger, a lot of resentment towards England. So if Israel and the United States were to help Archina reclaim the Falklands, then the Archina would be very, very, very happy. Also, like, I don't think there's anything in the Falklands worth preserving, right? I mean, like, I don't know why England fought this war for the Falklands. If England gives up the Falklands, it doesn't really matter that much, considering all the problems that England is facing right now back at home.
Starting point is 00:19:53 I mean, there's about a civil war that will emerge possibly in England. So that's the first thing that can happen that would change the public opinion of Argentinas. Something that could happen is, and I think this will happen is that Nessi becomes president, right? Because Messi is like God in Argentina. And if Messi would become present, he'd be the perfect puppet. The archivians would just go along with whatever Messi wants. And maybe Habei or some other people would be behind the scenes pulling the strings. Okay. So I think these are my two predictions for Argentina, given the situation in in that country. The first is like Falklands will become a major issue in the next year.
Starting point is 00:20:39 And I think that Argentina will be able to reclaim Argentina with the issue of the United States supporting them. The second prediction is that Nessi will become President of the United States for the next 10 years. Okay. So that is it from my end on Argentina. So are there any comments or questions about this presentation before I move on to Iran? Iran will actually be the bulk of our discussion, I assume. But does anyone, okay, Kitty here has a question. So Kitty, just to warn you, this will be on YouTube. So you're not comfortable having your face in public, just don't show the screen, okay? I can hear you fine.
Starting point is 00:21:23 So Kitty, can you please ask your question? Thank you so much, Professor. I was wondering, now that you're making these predictions and people you have a decent following people are paying attention have you thought about the impact of making predictions do you think making predictions is going to change the outcomes nowadays um at some point yeah okay so that's a great question and you're actually right in that um in theory mimic mimicking these predictions should influence the outcome but my intuition tells me that's not the case okay so I want to use an analogy so before I used to play a lot of Texas Holden poker and in Texas Holden poker right
Starting point is 00:22:19 most people are observers usually if there's 10 people on a table there's only two people in a head and sometimes the hands get really really intense and it could go on for half an hour because it's the river card and a major bet has been made and one of the players is forced to think very deeply whether to call or to fold and that person when making the decision will never take an account what the other people think usually the other people on the table they are more objective observers, right? So they can possibly make decisions and people in the hand.
Starting point is 00:23:08 They have access to, they're neutral so they can observe how both are playing the game. But never mind life. I've been in an instance where the actions, the talking of spectators influence the decision making of the people in the hand. In fact, I think people in the hand, they tend to like block things out.
Starting point is 00:23:38 So I would say, yeah, in theory, if I'm making these predictions, then maybe the players in the game will take these predictions into account. But in my observation of people, when they do things, they don't really care what the observers think and want. They're just focused on the game itself. So does it make sense, Kitty?
Starting point is 00:24:07 Do you want to respond to that? Or do you want to ask a follow-up question? I understand your analogy. I was thinking that if the world population is more and more aware of what is happening, maybe at some point it will have an impact on the decision makers. and they might want to play their game differently, but that is something we will see going forward. I do have a follow-up question,
Starting point is 00:24:34 but it is not related to this first question. The follow-up question is more about, do you think that the transnational capital you mentioned flowing from the old Eastern, sorry, Western Europe block to the North American block, it seems these days? Do you think that there is going to be contention between Europe and North America
Starting point is 00:24:57 because the United States is more powerful now and they're kind of working with Israel in a way, but it's probably not easy for the European bloc to be spectators. What are your thoughts on that? Yeah, that's a very question. So I think that people prioritize the nation state. People think that the nation state is a constituent player in this world game that we have. I don't know how true that is. I think transnational capital is beyond the nation state. It controls the nation state. It basically warps geopolitics to its advantage.
Starting point is 00:25:38 And quite honest, I think that Western Europe, it's a vassal state to the United States. This has been true after World War II. It's true, especially now, in that the United States is forcing Ukraine to fight this war in Ukraine, which does not all benefit Europe. So I agree with you that a lot of transnational capital is flowing from Europe outwards because quite honestly, Europe is hopeless. But this is not going to create tension between Europe and the United States because Europe is essentially
Starting point is 00:26:13 a colony of the United States. I know there's been a lot of anger over Trump's tariffs against Europe. I know there's been a lot of anger about Greenland and possibly about Canada in the future, and possibly even over the folklands as this year progresses. But you have to look at exactly what the Europeans have done in response. You have a lot of rhetoric, you have a lot of theater, but what are the Europeans done? Well, they've done exactly what the Americans asked them to do, which is basically up this war in Ukraine. Ukraine, increased NATO defense spending, and prepare the population for conscription. So I don't see at any point how Europe diverges from the United States.
Starting point is 00:27:07 If Europe and the United States were really conflict, you would imagine the United States were, you can imagine that Europe, their best strategy would become closer with Russia and China, right? To basically come to a report with both countries because, um, Europe, how Germany became rich was they basically had access to cheap Russian energy. And then they converted that into, we expand to manufacture goods like BMWs and Mercedes and so did China. And now what's Europe doing? Europe has a trade war of China and Europe has a real Russia. So I don't see how the United States and Europe are conflict with each other. Okay. Archer, did you have a question? And guys, um, I,
Starting point is 00:27:53 I know there are a lot of questions, but can we just please please stay on topic? I know all of you are interested in the Iran war, but we'll get to that in the next section, okay? Archer, could you unmute yourself and ask your question, please? Yeah, yeah. First of all, thanks for taking my question. I remember last time you were talking about like the possibility or like the concept or theory of Argentina kind of becoming a resource colony for like, I think like Israel or either or America. I was just curious as to how that works. Like if there's no military operation, like does a resource colony work in terms of like trade deals or is there some sort of like
Starting point is 00:28:33 IMF preferential treatment or like how does that how does that play out? Yeah, that's a great question. Okay. So my my theory about this is you're absolutely right in that okay well in order for our engineering to become a resource colony it needs to build a manufacturing capacity to do to be so right now you have a population that's pretty that's poor but pretty complacent they're pretty happy with the way things are they don't want to exploit the environment they don't want to go build factories they're pretty happy with the way things are and those who are unhappy they just move out it's like Canada right so the only solution is
Starting point is 00:29:16 problem is population replacement for immigration okay that's a strategy. So right now you have I think that you have lots of well I do know you have lots of IDF soldiers going to Argentina every year on a tourist visa to visit. Every year they're a billionaire I forget his name but he has a ranch in Argentina. He brings he brings about 10,000 IDF soldiers for summer retreat every year for Argentina. You have having a relay signing trade deals with Israel. But the only way that Argentina can reach its full potential as a resource colony is if you bring in lots of immigrants.
Starting point is 00:30:06 And who are the most ideal immigrants to bring in? Indians. Okay. So imagine a situation where Israel provides the muscle, the IDF, basically. and you have Indians coming in as energy, as labor. And look, right now, India and Israel are like best friends. Maldi and Nanyahu become really close. And logical this is really simple.
Starting point is 00:30:33 If you're India and you'll become the next China, you cannot use China's playbook, right? You cannot have American companies come in and build up your manufacturer capacity like they did in China in 1980s and 1990s because first of all, the Americans already did this and they don't work out well for America. But also, India is a democracy.
Starting point is 00:30:58 So it does not have the state capacity of China where China can just politically will this into being. It can basically create these political policies that shift the people from the countryside to the factories. China can all China also has a really good logistics network that that really is the key to China's manufacturing success its logistics network right it's able to move people from the countryside to the cities it's able to move supplies move raw resources from all around the world to China and then export manufactured goods around the world so India
Starting point is 00:31:36 cannot be next China right at the same time India has a major advantage over China in that China is aging, whereas India has a pretty young, vibrant population. So what you do is you basically move your population overseas, right? And this is already happening. You have millions of Indians flowing into Australia, into Canada. And every time that India signs a trade deal, it requires that nation to open up its borders to Indians. Okay. So recently Japan has signed a trade deal with India.
Starting point is 00:32:10 I think part of this trade deal is that Japan also has to welcome Indians into Japan. So this is how India plans get rich by exporting its young labor overseas. And Argentina makes a lot of sense because Argentina is almost like virgin territory. Again, you've got a pretty complacent population that don't really want to work, that don't want to exploit the environment. And so if you just marry Indian energy with Zionist capital, this would be an understanding unbeatable combination, okay? And that's the idea, that's a plan
Starting point is 00:32:44 to force massive immigration to Argentina to create this resource colony. Does that make sense, Archer? Do you wanna ask a thought question or make a comment? Wow, that makes perfect sense to me. I never really thought about it that way before. I never really considered what the trade deals would look like, but that's a really interesting take.
Starting point is 00:33:06 And I appreciate the answer, thank you. Thanks so much, Archer. That was a great question, okay? HH, could you unmute yourself please? HH. Yeah, yeah. How you, I'm from Australia and I love a video. Thanks very much for what you do.
Starting point is 00:33:20 So what I'm just like, when it comes to Argentina, like why Argentina of all countries? What is the history of Argentina and like how did, this like, this like goofy hair clown, Milay? How do you need to become president? I used to see like as a goofy clown. Yeah, I don't really know much about to take, though. Can you please explain?
Starting point is 00:33:42 Yeah, okay. Yeah, great question, okay? So if I'm transgender capital, I'm basically a VC, right? I'm venture capitalists. And I'm always looking for the best bang for my buck. I'm looking for the best investment opportunity. And there's a certain criteria I need to meet to figure out if it's a good investment or not, okay? First of all, I need to look at its potential, its growth potential.
Starting point is 00:34:06 Can it scale? How well-frey can become? So I don't invest in the United States because the United States is saturated with wealth. It's actually reached its potential long time ago. I don't invest in China either because the population is aging. The economy is in the decline. It's mutual political prospects are not that bright, right? Because China is an export economy and if there's a war raging around the world,
Starting point is 00:34:33 well, that economy collapses. So I don't look at where everyone's looking at. I look at potential growth possibilities, all right? So that's the first point, that criteria. Number one is potential growth possibility, right? So we're certain places in the world where there's tremendous growth possibility. Well, Argentina is one place, right, because low population, lots of resources, really untapped environment. Okay, that's number one.
Starting point is 00:35:00 Number two would be a place like Australia where, yeah, yeah, Australia has. as a pretty advanced industrial base, but it hasn't reached its full potential yet. So Australia is not a possibility. Ukraine is another possibility, but there's a war in Ukraine, right? Canada's another possibility, but Canada's controlled by the United States.
Starting point is 00:35:24 So eventually look at all these possibilities, I'm stuck with Argentina as the place with the best growth potential that is yet untapped. That's criteria number one. Criterion number two is I'm looking at security, right? So if I put my money in a place, I want it to be safe. And so I don't put it in Ukraine because the Russians can come and steal all my investment.
Starting point is 00:35:43 Okay, that's what's happening to Black Rock right now, right? Black Rock basically gave Ukraine a lot of loans and Ukraine gave them resource, resource as collateral. But if Russia wins this war, that all goes to nothing. Okay. So that's second criteria. Security. Archeon is good because Argentina is surrounded by two of,
Starting point is 00:36:08 two oceans. It has no enemies. It has a rivalry in soccer with Brazil, but like they're not actually going to fight a war because both are very large countries and they don't really don't and they're resource rich. So they don't really need to fight a war over resources. And there are no hostile powers in the Western Hemisphere. America controls the Western Hemisphere, but America is far away, right? And for America to extend downwards to Argentina, that's a very long way. America, the United States is focused on taking control over the entire North American Klinean and that's actually enough for the United States. It doesn't need to go further, right? It plans to go down to Venezuela, but it doesn't want to deal with Brazil and Argentina, right? So terms of security, yes, okay? That's number two.
Starting point is 00:36:59 And number three is my potential to co-op the political system. very important to me because if I'm an investor I need to rig the game to benefit me right I'm going to go and deal with democracy I'm not going to go and deal with these crazy monarchs right Argentina it's it's a democracy but it's a pretty corrupt democracy so I'm pretty sure I can influence a political system it's art she's basically a corrupt oligarchy right so I know that I can use my capital to co-op the oligarchy and bend them to my wishes okay so if you think about it aren't only archina will fit all three categories one is growth potential right untapped resources that's uh number two is security number three is um you can co-op the political system all right
Starting point is 00:37:54 so um you do you do this clear criteria for any other place and you're like well it doesn't really fit right so let's go to australia where you are Well, okay, sure. On top market, lots of resources, fine. But that's fine. Security, yeah, it's surrounded by the seas. But at the same time, China, Japan are close by. But that's fine.
Starting point is 00:38:24 The third issue though is problematic in that Australia's democracy. And do I really want to deal with the native population? they could be a headache. Australians are notorious for being hard to deal with. And I think that's a good thing, okay? But the Argentinian population, I think, would be much more complacent because ultimately, if I'm an investor, I want to promote mass immigration
Starting point is 00:38:48 in order to fully realize the natural potential of this place. Right. So you can say, look, there are three major investment opportunities, Canada, Australia, and Argentina. I think Argentina makes the most sense from the viewpoint of transnational capital. Arctina is basically the most ripe for colonization, for conquest.
Starting point is 00:39:13 Australia, Canada, they're still part of the Anglosphere. They're basically resource colonies of the city of London. So you have to deal with the city of London. Whereas Argentina, again, it's virgin territory. So that's what they're looking at Argentina. Does that make sense to you, H.H. Or do you want to ask a help question? Yeah. Sorry. Holy sick. Yeah. Yeah. I mean, that's a really good explanation, man. Yeah, I mean, we have the lowest positive perception of Israel on Earth.
Starting point is 00:39:49 So, yeah, I mean, we're, we're, Ozi's in our, where America's bitch. But again, like, we're pretty self-standing, I guess. Yeah, so, like, who is, who is Malay? Who is Javier Moulet? And is he like a, was his career like engineered by Transnational Capital from the beginning? Or the Transnational Capital just sort of like attached them to him because they saw a ripe up puppet or product? Yeah. So I don't know enough about Javier Melae to comment.
Starting point is 00:40:23 But there is a trend of how these individuals. who seem to have no political background, they emerged out of nowhere. So I think having a lay, he was an economist. And it was a TV pundit that was known for sort of like cloutous behavior and sort of outrageous comments. And you know, he's a very fierce libertarian. And then somehow he suddenly became head of Argentina. But I think a lot of his appeal was a fact that he promised to be a revolutionary. I mean, he's basically like Donald Trump.
Starting point is 00:41:00 of Argentina. He promised to take a chainsaw, famously took a chainsaw and just cut apart the Argentine bureaucracy that was holding Argentina back. And the other thing about having Malay, that's very important, is that he's very close with Habat Lubavich, okay? And I've talked about how about Lubavich before.
Starting point is 00:41:20 You look at how about Lubavich, it's really interesting how they're connected to Donald Trump, they're connected to Vladimir Putin. So they're connected Donald Trump through his son-in-law, Jared Kushner. The Kushner family are very heavy into Havad Huberovich. And then you have Havim Meryl-Lay, who is also associated with Habibu Bhabibch. In fact, as I pointed out, Habe's first visit, Havim Mela's first visit as a first foreign visit as head of the state was to the grave of Rebeth-Nir-Shan. who used to be the messiah of Habibovic.
Starting point is 00:42:01 There are a lot of people in Habibu, within Habelibirich who consider him to be the Messiah, okay? So I don't have enough evidence to suggest that there's all conspiracy, but it seems to me an alignment of interest where Habim Malé found himself in a very good position and Transnational Capital saw him as a good investment, because ultimately at the end of the day, transnational capital has unlimited finance.
Starting point is 00:42:26 So it costs nothing to invest in a politician and now that have a melee melee has one out Well now the relationship is becoming much more concrete. I think the same situation will happen with Messay with a Leighleine and Mesei right who you know who who's a football star But you know maybe transatlore sees potential in him and so he invest in him I mean that's also what happened with Donald Trump where in 1980s not like like you know Donald Trump was the first original reality TV star he was he was in the top words every single day and then there were people who are like this guy could potentially be president of the States it costs us nothing to become his friend it causes nothing to invest in his properties right so let's just do it so again these people think in terms of venture
Starting point is 00:43:18 capitalists where instead of investing in companies they invest in individuals who could have a bright political future. And I think that was the case with Havel M.A. And you invest in these people, one of two of them, if it could be a unicorn. But essentially, regardless of where he came from, Helle M.L.A. now is bought and controlled by transnational capital. He is doing exactly what Israel wants in Argentina. Okay.
Starting point is 00:43:47 So do you have any more follow questions, H.J. before I move on. No, that's all good. Yeah, I was one kind of funny how like he pride himself on like a libertarian
Starting point is 00:44:01 and then as soon as he gets power he becomes Israel's bitch. Basically. Yeah, but a lot of them are like that. A lot of them like that. I mean, Zelensky came to power promising to end the war in Ukraine. He actually visited Dombaz
Starting point is 00:44:15 and told these as of battalion militants, right? These are basically Nazis. to cut the crap out and they basically told him to get lost. So and then Zelensky now is the biggest proponent of this war in Ukraine. So Hannah, you have your hand raised. Do you have a question or comment? Yes. It's actually about AI though.
Starting point is 00:44:39 So but I just feel like I'm not going to have a chance later to ask. Okay, sure. You're sure, go ahead. So yeah, you mentioned that there's like a planned orchestration to crash the stock market including via the AI bubble. I was wondering like what clues or evidence you have of that and also if you still think it'll happen 2026. So yeah, I agree that AI is not profitable and I agree that the government will probably bail it out. But before that I was wondering, yeah, why you think so that it'll be crashed?
Starting point is 00:45:15 Yeah. Is it planned crash? Yeah. So there's a lot signaling to suggest like they are planning on a crash. Again, my theory, and I can be wrong, is that these crashes are manufactured rather than natural. Because I live in China, and we never had a financial collapse. And I found that really weird because if you look at the start market, it's basically a casino, right? The real estate, it's a bubble. And so it's a controlled demolition we have in China. So I find it weird that why is it in China, things are controlled demolitions, like, you know, the real estate market.
Starting point is 00:45:50 it's it's it's it's gone down but it doesn't collapse the way that you saw in 2008 right whereas in america you have these like financial crisis all the time and i think it's because a lot of these crises are manufactured so if they're manufactured what they need to do is signal that a crisis is coming in order to basically uh cover their ass basically the idea is plausible deniability right so like you know all the signs were there that this was going to collapse and it was not manufactured right so um certain signs i'm seeing like they're going to manufacture an a collapse are one. You have people saying that the collapse is imminent, right?
Starting point is 00:46:29 So Andrew Ross Sorkin, who is probably the most famous financial journalist in America right now. He runs Deal Book for New York Times, most influential financial journalist in America. And he wrote a book called 1929. And he's talking about how we are about to face a financial crisis. This is a guy who spends every day with the leading CEOs of America. And you only get into that position if you know exactly what they want you to do, right? So that's one clue. You also have a journalist named Ed Z-I-T-R-O-N.
Starting point is 00:47:13 He's very good. I mean, like, I watch this analysis. It's very strong. What's interesting to me, though, what's interesting to me, though, is how He's being promoted in like major news outlets that are basically propagandists for the oligarchs, so Bloomberg, CNBC. And he is saying that the AI is a complete bubble, okay? Open AI cannot make money, it will never make money, and the class will happen very soon.
Starting point is 00:47:43 So the first thing that you have is signaling, okay? Then you have really prestigious institutions, like the Bank of International Settlements, the Central Bank of Central Banks, coming out with reports saying that because of this war in Iran, because of disruption to global supply chain, you will have the collapse of the AI bubble.
Starting point is 00:48:09 That I think is a very, very strong signal. And number three is you have people like St. Altman who are opening this kind, not saying that the American government should take a stake in opening eye. And so you have these three things happening. I think what's happening is they want to collapse the AI market. The reason why they want to collapse the AI market is to basically to consolidate the winnings, right? So you've got a lot of people investing in AI.
Starting point is 00:48:44 And a lot of these are retail investors. Once you collapse the market, then you can consolidate your winnings. basically transfer the money from the retail investors to your institutional investors. That's first. The second thing you can do is you can engineer a government bailout, so now you have almost unlimited financing for your database rollout. Also, the major issue with the database is now is local opposition. But if it's being run by the government, then you have things like eminent domain come into play, and you can now quash opposition. Also, these data centers consume a lot of water as well as was electricity right so you need government support
Starting point is 00:49:24 government subsidies in order to maintain these uh data centers um and uh the third thing is to basically consolidate the market right so you've got too many players you can solve the market and by the way this is exactly what happened uh in the dot com crash and in the subprime subprime crash as well. After what have after this dot-com bubble, after the dot-com bubble births, you had a few players emerge as a dominant player and we can essentially monopoly such as Amazon and Google and then these oligarchs were able to consolidate the winnings, right? So these stock market collapses, they're often manufactured and they're often about ensuring that the other guards are able to consolidate their winnings. Okay.
Starting point is 00:50:12 Does that make sense, Hannah? Or? Yeah, I was wondering what incentive people like Sorkin would have to tell us about this. And I guess he could profit from the crash because he would have had sold before, right? And then he tells us it's going to crash and he's hoping for the crash and then to re-buy it. So is that also what you mean that the day who wants to collapse it will be people like him then? Right, right. So Andrew Ross-Sorkin is different. Andrew Rooskhan, he's a journalist.
Starting point is 00:50:44 So he's basically a running dog of the oligarchs. What he wants is access to power, right? The oligarchs want to consult their winnings, but Andrew Ross-Sorkan, he just wants access. He wants to be associated with the elite. And as long as he does what the elite want him to do, then they'll take him up to dinner. They'll invite him to dabbles.
Starting point is 00:51:05 They'll be his best friend. Right? Does that make sense? So journalists are looking for access. Yeah, I see. Yeah. And the oligarchs probably are already sold and they want the crash, right, basically, and they're hoping. That's why they're telling people like these journalists then, I guess. Yeah, but also, but also the real way to make your money is you short the market, right? So you are imagining the market's going to go down to a certain number. And that's how you profit. This is what happened during a subcrime crisis when the bubble burst because institutional investors such as John Paulson, he took a huge.
Starting point is 00:51:40 bets to the market would collapse, right? So he made $20 billion, $20 billion, all that crash. That took away the, that took away homes of millions of people. John Paulson made $20 billion dollars betting against the subprime market. And I imagine the same thing will happen here, when you have some institutional investors take out huge bets against the AI, and they'll make a lot of money that way. Okay, and just last part. So do you think that it'll probably happen by end of 2026, or when do you think the latest this could happen? Any thoughts on that? I can't tell you this. It's almost like the World Cup where logically it should happen this year, but in truthfully, I think this thing can go on
Starting point is 00:52:23 for a lot longer than we imagine. The reason why is, right now there's only seven companies in the stupid game, okay? There's only seven companies support each other. They're fine, right? So the game is set up so like we'll never figure out when they'll do it. And when they do it, it will be to the maximum benefit. Okay, that makes any sense. Hmm, yes, I imagine this IPO thing also would kind of play into it, right after the IPO or at least Haslow, I mean, SpaceX already IPO. So I imagine that's a signal.
Starting point is 00:52:55 But okay, thank you, Professor. Okay, thanks, Hannah. DIA, you had your, DIA, DIA. Hi, yeah. So thanks for taking my question. Back to Argentina. It used to be a very rich country until the Great Depression caused it to fall out of trade routes with the rest of the world. Considering that you believe that market crashes are possibly manufactured, do you think that other forces might have been behind its 20th century decline? And if so, what reasons might you have? What would you think of for that?
Starting point is 00:53:34 So that's a really good question. And so just be clear, I don't think it was the Great Depression that caused Argentina's collapse. I think it was actually the late 19th century. There was a collapse in Argentina. Their economy collapsed. Okay, so this was before the Great Depression.
Starting point is 00:53:56 And if you want to go conspiracy theorists, okay? You can make the argument that it was because transnational capital, wanted to transfer capital to Argentina. And so they needed to cop some market in order to make land cheap for their investment. But that never materialized because they recognized that America, the United States was a better investment,
Starting point is 00:54:25 okay? So rather than the capital flowing in Argentina, it flowed to the United States instead. This is also the time, if you remember with like, this was the beginning of Zionism, right? So, Fodor Herzl wrote his book, Junenstadt, basically Jewish homeland, and they were 1890. And then the Balfour Declaration was, I believe, 17. So this was during the time of the growth of Zionism. This is when transnational capital is trying to shift from Europe, the state of London, to the Western Hemisphere.
Starting point is 00:55:02 So, but my intuition tells me, okay? And again, I don't know enough, but my intuition just tells me like, well, Argentina was at this time the Japan of the world. And like, you know, you have too many investments. You have too much capital in the place. And there wasn't enough industrial capacity. There was another demand for Argentina, and so the economy collapsed. Basically, it was overheating. And I mean, I mean, another way to understand this is not all things are conspiracies.
Starting point is 00:55:46 A lot is just fundamental. So you've ever really strong government. If you have a really dynamic political system, if you have a really energetic population, then the economy will do a lot better. The reason why I think that they want to do population replacement in Argentina is they recognize that people who are religious, okay, basically Hindus and a Zionist, they are going to work a lot harder to build your economy than people who are not religious. People who are not religious tend to engage in speculative behavior, like doing the least amount of work for the greatest profit. And people who are non-religious also tend to become very complacent, right? because they're not that motivated.
Starting point is 00:56:30 Whereas if you're Hindu or Zionist, you see it as God's will that you transform the land into a great nation state. This is why the United States became so powerful, right? Because the United States was founded by Puritans, by these religious zealots. And this explains why Utah is one of the most popist regions in America because it was founded by Mormons,
Starting point is 00:56:55 who again are religious zealots. So if I'm an investor, I'm in charge national capital. I don't initially have an astrological framework, but I will invest in people who do because they work harder than other people. Okay? So, yeah. Does that make sense, Diyah?
Starting point is 00:57:15 Or? Yeah, thank you. Do you mind if I ask a follow-up question? Sure, go ahead. This is more related to what you were talking about for the AI bubble. So about two years back, South Korea Band, short selling and then in 2025 they essentially became the most the stock market was became the most
Starting point is 00:57:36 performance top market in the world do you think that has anything to do with the short selling being banned and following up to that I suppose one of their companies has now entered the NASDAQ in the US and NASDAQ and the SNP 500 are now deviating quite a bit do you think that any deviation there might not be part of the plan for transnational capitalism, for example. Yeah, my intuition tells me, again, I don't know enough of a lot of South Korea to, like, really be able to assess this situation. But I think, like, the start market collapses. It's really a sign of society in decline because it's a sign of anxiety and desperation, right? So if you go to South Korea, the inequality, the corruption in South Korea is beyond the charts,
Starting point is 00:58:28 Okay, and so they really the only option for most normal people is to gamble on the start market. And like honestly, these past few years, you've seen this massive surge in the Korean stock market. It is really the best performing start market in the world right now. And so if you are a retail investor, you're going to bet your life savings on the stock market. In the same situation in Canada, where these past five years, We've seen a huge surge in real estate prices. And everyone was trying to jump into the real estate market believing that, well, you know, Canada,
Starting point is 00:59:09 there's only limited amount of housing. You've got all these immigrants coming into the country. So yes, these housing prices can only go up. And so people engage in these speculative behavior. And again, I think it's really a sign of society in decline where there's desperation, there's anxiety, that translates into an unrealistic euphoria for moneymaking. People are engaging in speculative behavior,
Starting point is 00:59:37 so rather than invest, people are now gamble. So we're seeing this in Canada, in Australia, with real estate speculation. We're also seeing that in South Korea with start market speculation. So I just think it's a sign of capitalism decline. I think that we are approaching the end times. All right. Thank you.
Starting point is 01:00:00 Thank you. Okay, Faran, uh, foran, uh, you're next. Could you unmute yourself, please? Hello, Professor. Can you hear me all right? Yes, I can. You're perfect. Yeah. Um, thank you for taking my question. Um, I wanted to ask about sports. Uh, you mentioned that you think the World Cup is a very significant geopolitical event and I would definitely agree. Um, to preface this, I guess I would say that, uh, oftentimes psychologists and sociologists talk about how sports are, symbolic of war of conflict and how so even even spectators are able to feel passionate about it it's like they're part of this of this greater tribal group um and that the world cup is definitely
Starting point is 01:00:43 it is a symbolic struggle between nations um so the question is is there a way that transnational capital or the media or or even maybe the occult could could manipulate that tribalism for some kind a long-term strategy, whether to be to incite conflicts or whatnot. Yeah, that's a great question. You have to be right. So soccer has become a substitute for war nowadays, right? And that's why there's so much energy surrounding soccer. You've got like these people who will save up literally for like 10 years just so that they can fly
Starting point is 01:01:18 to America, United States, to attend a World Cup match. You've got like tens of thousands of Argentina's. And Argentina is a poor country. And these are like this middle class people. They are spending thousands on World Cup tickets and then tens of thousands on travel, on hotel. So the World Cup really does bring out nationalistic sentiment. And I think the purpose of the World Cup is just really to embed in people's imagination, the nation state as the constituent element of the World Game, right?
Starting point is 01:01:56 So nationalism benefits transnational capital in that if people are focused on nationalistic settlements on nationalism, then that allows transnational capital to manipulate everyone behind the scenes. Okay. So transnational capital can invest in both China and the United States and then create this narrative that the United States and China are in competition with each other, which allows transnational capital to be parasitic force on both conditions states and draw energy from both. So I think that's what the game is. The game is not necessarily to manipulate people, but to distract people, to divert people's attentions from where the real action is happening.
Starting point is 01:02:43 Okay. So transnational capital is able to win because it's full people to believe that money is wealth. when really wealth is attention, it's energy. And the entire point of the World Cup as a spectacle is really to make people focus on the wrong things. And make people think that they are a part of a nation state as opposed to being part of humanity, being part of God. If we are to like thrive as a species, if we are really to survive the coming crises of the next few decades, we need to remember that we all have the power to create wealth for our attention, for our energy. And we also need to remember like we are all connected together.
Starting point is 01:03:40 We also need to remember that we are all connected to God. There's God in us and that we are part of God as well. And if we recognize this, then we can create a new future for humanity. And so Transnational Capital, they're desperate to keep us focus on the here and now. They're focused. They're determined to make us afraid and anxious. They're determined to make us focus on our rivalries and anxiety against each other. They're focused on making us think that money is the end on be all.
Starting point is 01:04:13 So I think that's really the point of the World Cup. That makes a lot of sense. Thank you. Oh, thank you. Javani, are you here? Did you have a question or comment? Are you please unmute yourself? Yes, Professor, yes, can you hear me?
Starting point is 01:04:35 Yes, I can hear you fine. Thank you so much, Professor Chong. Thank you so much for everything that you do. I saw this comments on, on like this guy named Henry Feng. He wasn't, his microphone is not working, but he had a question. so I was just going to ask them.
Starting point is 01:04:56 So is there validity to the reports of original Nazis and speaking to Argentina? And if that were perhaps true, how does that relate to modern date Israel and agreements? Oh yeah. I mean, that's just a historical fact. I don't think anyone denies that. If you looked at World War II, both of Vatican and the Argentine government were very supportive of Nazis.
Starting point is 01:05:22 And towards the end, end of World War II, when it was clear that the Nazis were about to lose the war, they created all these channels to smuggle Nazis into Argentina. And this is what a lot of countries did, right? So the Soviet Union and the United States also smuggled a lot of Nazi scientists into the countries. In America, this was called Operation Paperclip. And these Nazis were responsible for, I'm the United States Space Program as well as the space program of the Soviet Union. So this space race between the Soviet Union and the United States was not between the United States and the Soviet Union. It was between German scientists, Nazi scientists working for the Soviet Union and Nazi scientists working for the United States.
Starting point is 01:06:11 Okay. And the reason why is the Nazis were the first of all advanced rocket technology, the V2 basically. And so the Argentine has wanted the Nazis for the same reason. not just ideological, but because the Nazis had tremendous expertise in the political system, in finance, economy, in business, and they want that access. And you can argue like this sort of the Nazi influence in Argentina, it's still there today. If you go to Argentina, you're going to find entire communities of like these blonde, blue eye, you know, Aryans.
Starting point is 01:06:54 So I think Architeanide takes tremendous pride in being like very white, very, very, very area. And they take tremendous pride in the fact that they were sympathetic towards Nazis in World War II. Okay? All right. Yeah. Yeah. Weislaw. Weislaw, are you here?
Starting point is 01:07:19 Did you unmute yourself, please? Okay. Sam Sareka, Sam Sama Sareka, are you here? Sam Sareka, do you have your head up? Did you want to ask a question? Please unmute yourself. Okay. H.H.
Starting point is 01:07:53 Did you have another question? Yes, I did. Yes, I did, young. So, basically, yes, I want to ask, like, this is not about the World Cup directly, but it's related, again, about, you know, like Israel and Zionists. So you mentioned in your lectures, and I find it very interesting how, like, first of all, I learned a lot of history for you, and I did a lot of research myself. What I'm, like, really curious about, and I've only felt like a definite answer on this,
Starting point is 01:08:24 is, like, why the Jews, especially the rabbis, agree to basically, like, be kind of, like, on schedule, like, routinely abused by the Catholic Church and scapegoated? Okay, I get like, okay, well, they let them survive. and you know like cope with the Europeans but it's like well in you know apocalyptic Judaism if they're going to be abused like that like for such a long time why do they just like rise up together and if they like if everyone dies okay well like at least we tried right like why would you allow itself to be abused I like that like for like centuries yeah so like that's my question you also you know a Catholic church you said okay there's like secret agreements between
Starting point is 01:09:09 the rabbis and they are often scapegoated by all these terrible things it's like okay well you have messiahs like rise up right like sabotage heavy why didn't every jews like oh they hate screw it let's just to hell with the catholic church we all die we all die um yeah i'm just a confused of that thank you yeah okay so i'm in the history of judaism in europe um after christianity um it's very complicated okay But let me give you my understanding of what I think happened. So after the rise of both Christianity and Islam, and there were a lot of Jews who converted to Christianity and Islam. So remember, like the first Christians, people like Paul, Peter, Jesus, they were actually Jews.
Starting point is 01:09:57 And so, you know, Judaism at this point, it's basically a very minority religion. Whereas during the Roman Empire before Christianity, Jews made up about 10% of the Roman Empire. That's a lot of people, right? And in some place like Alexandria, it was a third of the population were Jews. So the Jews were a huge cultural force during the Roman Empire. And then with the rights of Christianity and with the rights of Islam, they became very minority. They became decimated over time. time and during the Middle Ages there are still pockets of Jews around Europe and I think a lot of
Starting point is 01:10:45 history is not really fully appreciated so I think that yes there were a lot of programs there are a lot of persecutions a lot of scapegoating of Jews especially in the worst economic times but I would say like for the majority of this history Jews were a lot better treated than people appreciate okay so let me explain the logic here okay so at the time in europe i'm about the middle ages there are two main powers right you have the feudal lords the nobility and you have the catholic church and for the nobility uh the jews are great to work with because as nobles you have certain problems that you need you need to be resolved and jews can help you resolve this issue first of all you need a cap
Starting point is 01:11:36 managerial class, right? So you're a plantation owner, you need plantation managers. And you need people who are loyal to you. Well, Jews are very loyal to you because you're the only one giving them protection, right? They're minority in a Catholic area. And these Catholics are taught that the Jews killed Jesus. And so if you're a nobility and you provide protection for the Jews,
Starting point is 01:12:05 well these Jews are going to work really hard for you and they're not going to bitch about pay and treat and like being treated better okay they are very loyal and obedient and hardworking workers okay so that's point one point two is at this time there's a lot of trade going on and you want to trade with the is something caliphate right well the only people who can allow you to trade the Islamic Caliphate are the Jews because they have networks in the Islamic Caliphate. Okay? So the Jews allow you to access trade networks around the world. And the third thing that's really important is Jews have access to financing. And Jews, unlike Christians, are allowed to be money lenders. And the best way to make money
Starting point is 01:12:57 at this time is through usury, right? So as a Christian Lord, as a Christian noble, you're not allow to lend money to people at interest but the Jews are right so you get the Jews to be the scapegoat for you and again from most of history this relationship is fine the Jews are able to commit wealth and they give you a huge portion of this wealth Jews work hard for you and Jews allow you to access trade in the Islamic Caliphate so from a perspective nobility this is a great relationship Jews put up with this because it allows them to practice their religion and it allows them to stay together as a community okay the Catholic
Starting point is 01:13:42 Church sees Jews also as an asset because because in Augustine writes about this in in his writings but Augustine's point is if we are truly to get the Catholic people to appreciate the privilege of being Catholic you need to create the other You need to create a people to show Catholics what happened. You give the faith. And the answer is the Jews, right? So you create Jews as this alien other. And you, you know, create artwork.
Starting point is 01:14:12 You create these writings that chastise them, that insult them. But you basically promote anti-Semitism, but it's a controlled anti-Semitism, right? And so, again, throughout most of this time, this relationship worked out well. for the Catholic Church, worked out well for the nobility, and worked out well for the Jews. And then there are certain times when the nobility is so corrupt, when the Catholic Church is so corrupt that the people will rise up. In which case, what do you do? You blame the Jews, right?
Starting point is 01:14:48 You divert their attention to the Jews. You plant spies, you plant agents within these peasant uprisings, and you get them to direct their anger at the Jews. Okay? And then if things get really bad, what do you do? You expel the Jews from your land. They go to the Islamic Caliphate or who cares where they go. And that makes people feel a lot better. Okay. And so you have this very unstable relationship where, okay, most of the time things are working out great, but in times of calamity, in terms of famine in terms of like black death, Jews become the scapegoats. And this is important for us to appreciate. because the same dynamic could turn out today where, okay, it seems like Zionists and Jews control the world. But they only do so as long as the ruling elite tolerate them, right? And we have to remember, like, when things get really bad, there's kind of collapse or there's famine. Well, the elite is going to direct our anger towards the Jews.
Starting point is 01:15:58 So this is something that that this is a history that's not really discussed, but it's something that we really need to appreciate if we are to understand what might happen next 10, 20 years. Okay. Does that make sense, H.A. Yeah. So, I mean, it definitely does make sense, but like, you know, like the key point about like why the, obviously the juvenile act first, okay, that kind of benefits starts because we're going to trade and they have these secret understandings. but then once they're like abuse so much why would they just like keep sort of like you know accept the fact that their second caste or like subhumans and at any time they can be disposed by higher power so they're kind of like conscientiously accepting that they are a second class people
Starting point is 01:16:48 why would they do that because you know it's not like once or twice it's like it's like a very serious you know pog rooms um and they're like expanse belly yeah yeah yeah okay so there's actually a very easy but cynical explanation for this and the answer is if the jews just converted on mass the rabbis would lose all their power right the jewish elite would have absolutely no power right like so really uh this is really to justify the rabbis and to ensure they continue their their power so Remember, the thing about the rabbis is that it's dynastic. So the rabbis pass on the power,
Starting point is 01:17:31 the authority to their sons and to the grandsons as well. So it's passed with the family. So the rabbis are basically the aristocracy of the Jews. And in order for the aristocracy to see the rabbis to maintain power, you have to have Jews, right? So you create a situation where, okay, you explain to the Jews, this persecution, it is the will God. And the, and God,
Starting point is 01:17:56 And God wants us, once you'd be persecuted to force you to redeem yourself, to repent, to recognize God as a supreme authority, welcome God into your bosom, and then God will send them a Zaya to you. So I hate to say this. It's a really cynical explanation, but in any society, the elite are looking to justify and rationalize their power over the people. And you know what? It would probably be in the best interest of the Jews to basically convert to the whatever local religion. And so everyone gets along. And honestly, this is what's been happening throughout most of human history. You know, like if you go to a new region, then you convert to the local religion.
Starting point is 01:18:47 The other thing is like, you know, before the rights of Christianity, most communities were extremely tolerant. They were polytheistic. They were like, you know, like, if you want to be a Jew, fine. We don't care. But you also have to like, you know, welcome our gods as well. But the Jews were distinct in that they only accepted their own God as a legitimate God. And they, you know, the first commandment is do not worship false idols, right? So they disparage and refused to accept other gods.
Starting point is 01:19:17 And that's what got in trouble with the Romans, right? So that's a cynical explanation. I'm not sure that makes sense. Yeah, okay. Yeah, yeah, yeah. No, I mean, yeah, it's, uh, it seems like the rabbi's kind of like the medieval PMC in a way, like a medieval, uh, like a medieval, uh, professional or badgerial class. Well, well, well, they're the two's aristocracy, right? Yeah, yeah, yeah. Right. Okay. I mean, well, uh, this guy, um, Colton, uh, can I ask a question on, like, on his behalf? Because he says his mic is broken. Sure, go ahead. It's kind of related, absolutely. It's kind of related. It's like, okay.
Starting point is 01:19:55 Proct John, you spoke to a berthing from atheism after encountering Dante, assessing higher forces slash God in teaching, yet not identifying as traditionally religious. How does your understanding of eschatology connect with your view of God and absolute truth? And what is your perspective on the Abrahamic religions in relation to that? Yeah, this is like a cold question I was asking here. Sure, sure. Okay, so I don't see myself as religious. I think that religion is to organize for me. I see myself as spiritual. And what I mean by that is rather than adhering to doctrine, I adhere to intuition. And my intuition tells me, like, we are all part of God, and God is part of us. I have a lot of issues with esotology. And my main theory is that, We have esotology because of the proto-Indo-European religion. So the proto-Indo-European religion is unique in human history in that it's really the first religion, first systematic religion,
Starting point is 01:21:09 that believes that violence is what create the universe. So before the proto-Indo-Europeans, most traditions describe to an animistic or a mother goddess understanding, which is a belief in the balance and harmony of the world and that we are all part of the mother goddess and we're all part of nature. And so, proto-Indo-Europeans are imperialistic in that they believe that it's violence that created the world.
Starting point is 01:21:40 And so the most basic myth of the proto-Indo-Europeans is like in the beginning they were twins, okay? And then one twin had to kill the other in order to found the world. And this is a myth that becomes a template for, you know, the Roman religion where Ramos has to kill Riemelis in order to found Rome. It becomes the foundation for many religions, especially the Abrahamic religions. And the thing is that, like, if you believe the world was created by proof violence, you also have to believe the world must end with violence. And that's why you have esotology, okay?
Starting point is 01:22:15 So the proto-Indo-Europeans gave us both gerastrianism, as well as Judaism. And over time, both of these will become extremely eschatological. So that's my understanding of what happened. But what this means is like the world doesn't necessarily need to be eschatological. But unfortunately, we're controlled by people who believe in eschatology. Because if I said previously, people who believe in eschatology tend to be very violent people. And people who are very violent will often be able to am mass more power than those people. people who are not violent. Okay?
Starting point is 01:22:55 Kitty, did you have a question? I will ask a quick question. I don't want to keep you from going to the Iran politics. The question I have is, I really appreciate your lecture series on Dante. That was very new. I did not have any idea about Christianity before that. So it was beautiful how you extracted messages of love
Starting point is 01:23:17 and wisdom from that. But what also stood out was your interaction with the students, the way you talked with each other and kind of got a new perspective. Did you also plan to have more sessions like these on different epics that humanity has to offer? Because there might be things that are hidden in open out there that we might benefit from if you were to look at it.
Starting point is 01:23:45 And if we have to, if we have those discussions together. Yeah, I think that's a good idea. I would love to do a summer series on the Vitas, on the occult, on the teachings of say maybe Manly P. Hall and Rudolph Steiner because I think like these texts would lend themselves to great discussions. And the reason why I taught the Dante seminar is I want to learn. I never read Dante in full.
Starting point is 01:24:17 I've talked about it before, but I've never really read him from like line to line. and just reading him line in line, just opened my eyes. And as you can appreciate, doing it in a seminar style really drove learning for everyone. So I would love to do it again. I would love to do a seminar on the Bible, on the Vitas, on text that I would struggle with if I were to read them by myself, which I would be much more motivated to learn if I were doing that group. Okay?
Starting point is 01:24:47 So thanks so much for that, Kitty. Westlaw, did you, can you unmute yourself, please? Yes, I am here. Sorry last time I didn't realize. No worries. My question was, are the failing authoritarian empire sensing? This is their last opportunity for their projected colonial ambitions. And so what options has the rest of humanity at its disposal to resist invasions from
Starting point is 01:25:18 these and emerging authoritarian empires because they're all following suit aren't they they're they're realizing that we want to do your advice yeah thanks for for that okay yeah so i think like watching the world cup was interesting for me because um you're actually right in like you know they are accelerating the process and they're moving very fast but it's seems like the people within the movement have become arrogant and lazy and complacent. An example I will use is, you know, the Zionist takeover of the American media ecosystem. So the Ellison's have bought CBS Viacom and they plan to takeover CNN and they want to install Barry Weiss into these institutions.
Starting point is 01:26:14 And the logic is, well, you know, we've lost the young people. We've lost the global population. But as long as we keep the boomers, we're okay. And that's a fine strategy. But then, you know, you look at what actually what's happening. And very why she's just incompetent. And the journalists working under her are just disgusted with her management. She keeps herself locked in a room surrounded by security.
Starting point is 01:26:37 So she refuses to engage with the staff. So, yes, the Zionist, trust on the capital, the empire, they have all the power. But at the same time, it just seems like they're just exhausted themselves. and they have a script in place and they're trying to finish the script as quickly as easily as lazily as possible
Starting point is 01:27:00 and I think all this will collapse in their face I think I think something's a blow up in their face I think I think I'm just done for and maybe they're not powerful another five years but I don't think they will achieve
Starting point is 01:27:14 what they want to achieve yeah I think you're right and what but what options have we in humanity the majority in the world, and many, I suppose, who were naive like I was, I must say, before I heard a number of your lectures about some of these forces that are operating around us and we're supposed to swim in this evil sea. Yeah, so my best advice is to reclaim your attention, right?
Starting point is 01:27:50 to recognize that you do matter, that everything you do does matter. It has an impact on the universe. So if you reclaim your attention, you start focusing on things that you enjoy doing and which further the imagination of humanity, then you are winning this battle, okay? So I would just say read a lot, teach, you know, go for a long walk from apart, get away from social media. And first and foremost, start.
Starting point is 01:28:20 Start teaching, start giving. And teaching could just be like, you know, having a conversation with a neighbor where you're sharing some ideas that you might have learned from my class, maybe helping young people start to read books again. So just like acts of generosity and kindness are going to go a long way in making a better world. I know it can seem insignificant, but trust me, it all adds up. We need to join our life preserves together. don't we, said we can go together as a very large raft on this crazy sea.
Starting point is 01:28:55 That's right. That's right. And that's what I'm hoping to do. And that's why, you know, we're having these Zoom discussions because I'm trying to figure out who's out there and what we can do, what we can do together. So thanks so much. Thanks. Okay, thanks. Carina, did you have a question? Karina? Yes. Can you hear me? Yes, I can hear you fine. Great. Yeah, I had a question. I've been, you know, kind of researching a bit about like the Kabbalah and, like, you know, what that really is. Yeah. And I've noticed a couple things, especially by listening to like Tony Kucsonik online, that there's like a couple of misconceptions, I guess out there about like the Kabbalah. I originally thought it was just for Jewish people, but it seems that, um, the, you know, the Kabbalt.
Starting point is 01:29:47 the I guess the Torah and the Gomorrah were created as like a way for people to find spirituality if they couldn't read the primary text of the Kabbalah since it was written in the like language of branches and I noticed a lot of like similarities with the way Dante's Divine Comedy is written and the way like you grab that book and depending on how wise you are you're able to actually read that book more and reach spirituality that way as well, even if it's completely separated from a, you know, Jewish text. And, you know, I've started to do a little bit more research on that. And I just, I realize that, you know, I know that there's a Shabat campaign that, that kind of takes Kabbalah in a negative way. And it basically is like their method of, I guess,
Starting point is 01:30:43 urgency for other final goals, like global outreach to get. everyday people to execute physical rituals. It's like a massive people that they want to get together to do the same thing. But then there's also like the Ashologian vision, which is, you know, their method of urgency is basically widespread education to change the internal desire of mankind by correcting their ego. And they, it's more of a promotion of like global society structured entirely on giving in unity, which is a lot of what you say, which is like you should be receiving to give. And I just wanted to kind of get your comment on that, if that's kind of how you see the world
Starting point is 01:31:30 where you're, you know, you're trying to receive to be able to bestow to everyone else. No, I completely agree. The cabala, it's a wonderful work, and the cabala draws on the greatest traditions of humanity, right? So, like, I'm actually reading Manly P. Hall right now. And he shows us how, you know, all these previous traditions, and it includes the Egyptian tradition, ISIS, the legend of Isis, and Osiris. You go look at the legend of Penelope and Orpheus, Dionysus, you know, and it all goes back to the idea of the, the cabala, okay? So the cabala is drawing on all these ancient traditions that have been lost over time. But the main idea is that ultimately humanity is a whole.
Starting point is 01:32:26 And for a variety of reasons, we've decided to split ourselves up into different fragments. And the other thing is humanity, it's, we humans are divine spiritual beings. And through a very long process, we've descended into the material world, and we've turned hell into heaven, right? We've come down into this material world, and we've adopted a more mineral mentality. You know, we basically prioritize the body over the spirit. And if we are to redeem ourselves,
Starting point is 01:33:04 if we are really to achieve our full potential, we need to prioritize our soul, our spirit above our bodies. But it's hard. You know, it's so easy to just, enjoy bodily pleasures like food and sex and wine and really hard to truly embrace spiritual pleasures such as giving to others, teaching others, being kind to others. And this is the ultimate struggle. So the battle of heaven and hell is actually all within us.
Starting point is 01:33:33 So I completely agree with whatever you said. Great. That's it for me. Thank you. Thank you. Okay. So, H.H., did you have a question? And then after you finish, I'll move very quickly to the Iran War.
Starting point is 01:33:53 Okay, yeah, yeah, yeah. So, yeah, so I've asked a lot of questions. This is my last one. Basically, you know, I was born in China as well, John. I was born in Shandong. So I'm a Shandong. Oh, great. Yeah, I'm sure Shandong.
Starting point is 01:34:07 I think you really appreciate it. Have you been in Shandong before or not? No, I have not. Actually, it's weird, but I've never been to Shandong. It's kind of like the Texas of China. Okay. People like much more traditional, people are much more, much more like, you know, Confucian. Yes, it's pretty sexist because like, you know, like, you know, women kind of, it's a
Starting point is 01:34:27 birthplace of Confucianism, right? That's right. Shandong, yeah. So, look, I came to Australia when I was like very young and I found your lectures, the most interesting thing I found in the way I sort of discovered you actually, was for your talks about how consumerism is the perfection of slavery. Now, I just found that as such a powerful kind of like quote. And I'm like, I've just memorized it for the rest of my life.
Starting point is 01:34:55 It really speaks me because you see like, you know, you've spoken a lot about like how like China's education system is hopeless. And you try to like change it, but it's like very hopeless. Can you talk more about like how like it in the big cities? And I also, I see you go to Japan recently. I myself being Japan quite a few times, like as a tourist. I want to go to actually do a scholarship through there, like whatever thing. And, you know, when I was there the first few times, I felt like really fun. The more I studied the society, like it's all like East Asian, you know,
Starting point is 01:35:28 East Asian, Korea, Japan, Taiwan, China, these were societies. It seems to me the reason why they're collapsing, you know, the population is like imploding and it's so much like mental illnesses we're like jokes like mental illness maxing you know like Japan's always like got crazy people going around killing people China I think in recently
Starting point is 01:35:48 23 in high 9 there was like a car that paled like 30 people but basically the country has a huge mental health crisis I think what's happening is it's kind of like these are societies where they went from feudalism
Starting point is 01:36:03 and sort of like jump straight into like industrial capitalism and then sort of like rushed into consumerism as well. And I think consumerism really is a big issue in Asia where all young people care about is, okay, do I look sexy, do I have big boobs and ass? Is my skin pale white and my snow white? And all I care about is like LV bags and Gucci bags. Like, like Korea, like kids as young as four,
Starting point is 01:36:37 14 years old, I think there's like 40% of like some shit like that like have plastic surgery. It's like a society imploding. Could you explain more about your observations about, you know, because even Beijing, I saw a big metropolitan cities and like like what is the psychology of young people? And you really think it's like it's this unholy marriage between like Confucian, you know, like hierarchy and like let's say like a capitalist, soulless consumerism. It's a lot of buzzwords, but you get what I mean, yeah, yeah, yeah, that idea. Yeah, no, I completely agree.
Starting point is 01:37:14 I mean, I can really agree with your assessment. I've been here in China for the past 25 plus years, and I'm just appalled at a level of materialism in this country. And I've been trying for 25 years to try to get people to be much more intellectual, be much more enlightened. And they just think I'm just crazy. They just think that, you know, I'm a troublemaker. They literally use the term a troublemaker. I've been fired from a lot of schools. And I mean, even though I'm kind of popular right now in the West,
Starting point is 01:37:51 I'm still like a prior figure here in China. And I think a lot of it is they suspect me. You know, they, I mean, like, it's not just materialism, but it's also how materialism warps the imagination of people here. And in China, like black is white, white is black. So, I mean, I make these comments and maybe people in the West find me insightful because it aligns with a lot of people's intuitions in the West. But here in China, people think I'm a retard. They literally think I'm stupid.
Starting point is 01:38:25 They literally think that I'm just making this crap out of nowhere and I'm just like bullshitting everyone. And they just think, like, they literally believe this. And like, like, this is like an upside down bizarre society. So I think it's much deeper than just materialism. It's also like just like a complete lack of faith in God. I mean, like like I live in China. It's like a godless society. And, you know, I was in Japan.
Starting point is 01:38:53 And I think you're absolutely right. It's a fun place to visit. I would never want to live there because I'm not Japanese. You know, Japan is a very cohesive, very conforming society. And I think you're absolutely right. like you know like these societies in the long term they're not to survive if you know if you insist on this materialistic godless worldview um then ultimately you're going to collapse a society over time and so even though a lot there are a lot of issues in the west the issues are a lot more stark
Starting point is 01:39:23 here in east asia right so you look at the birth rate the fertility rate that that's the greatest sign that the people have actually no faith in your own society right when the young people absolutely refuse to have children and like it's it's like I mean in South Korea I think the fertility right now is like 0.6 dependence one in China it's one and it's like it's I think like in five years time the Chinese fertility rate is going be lower than uh South Korea let me tell you a really like incredible statistic so I have three kids my wife and I we have three three kids three wonderful kids and my wife when she went to college in Beijing she had like seven roommates so there's eight of them all together okay and my wife uh she's
Starting point is 01:40:10 she's a lot younger than i am she's in her 30s now and you know by by now um you know women should have had one or two child okay so eight women and all together they like collectively they're like three kids so only my wife has had children all other roommates and these are like middle-class people right who do not have financial problems they refuse to have kids here so so I think we are looking at really the end of East Asia that like that's like literally what I believe people talk about the East Asian century people talk about the East Asian miracle no I think I think we are moving towards the end of East Asia and I
Starting point is 01:40:52 don't know what what comes after this okay so so thanks so much H. So let me very quickly go to Iran, okay, the Iran war. And I'm going to share my screen now. And, well, I want to be quick about this because I've been talking for almost two hours now and I'm getting pretty tired. But let me talk very quickly about the Iran war because I'm very troubled by what's happening. Basically, what I'm observing these past few days is like it's become a cluster fuck. It's a dumpster fire now. I have absolutely, I'm really worried about what's happening, guys, because it seems as though the Americans, the United States is going to escalate rapidly within the next week or so. And people are talking about ground forces.
Starting point is 01:41:48 So this is a map of what a grand invasion of Iran would look like. I have no idea who created this, but it seemed pretty right to me. They want to attack from three axes, okay? Basically from Iraq. So they send in Kurds from Iraq. They send in the Baleks from Pakistan. And then you have the Americans trying to wrestle control from the IRA to sea because they're trying to control the several moves. Okay.
Starting point is 01:42:16 So this is what they might be looking at. This would be the greatest cluster fuck in recent memory, okay? It would be a dumpster fire. This would be an absolute catastrophe for the Americans. Okay? So let me go over why. First of all, there's no way you're going to get the Kurds to become suicide bombers. Okay, this is like literally what the Americans are saying to the Kurds. We'll give you weapons, we'll give you lots of US dollars,
Starting point is 01:42:41 as long as you send your man to die off in the mountains of Iran. And the goal is not to actually win against Iran. the goal is to draw the IRTC so we can bomb them and make ourselves look better on TV. Like literally the goal to have better PR because right now the PR is just terrible for us. And the curse are like basically like, we'll take your money, we'll take your weapons, but otherwise screw you, man. So this is going to be a complete cluster fuck here, okay? There's no way the curse go in for the Americans, but I think the courage will just rip all of the Americans.
Starting point is 01:43:17 Same thing with the bollocks. Why are the bollocks going to go in and sacrifice themselves for the Americans? That's ridiculous. The real issue is in the Strip-Hummoos where I think Trump has it in his mind that if you capture these islands, Kasam Island, Kargai Island, then the Iranians would be forced to surrender.
Starting point is 01:43:36 Just as he got into his head that if you kill the Atalala, the Iranians would surrender. So, unfortunately, what's happening is the Americans want to win this war as quickly as possible at as little cost as possible. and if you want to win this war,
Starting point is 01:43:54 you have to invest like four years and two million troops. That's your only way. Okay? So this ground invasion can only be a dumps with fire. The good news, though, is like, I think they can't do it right now because it's too hot. They might attempt to take a couple of islands, but a full-scale ground invasion,
Starting point is 01:44:16 they have to wait until the weather gets cooler, which would basically mean November. and ideally December, okay? So that is what the Ground invasion looks like. What? This is really weird,
Starting point is 01:44:31 but whoever is coming up with these plants do not factor in Iranian topography. Like, how do you stand in forces against mountains? I mean, like, I don't understand what these people are thinking right now. Like, like, is the military leadership
Starting point is 01:44:46 of America right now completely divorced from all reality? Why don't just look at a map and actually self? Like, is it feasible setting ground forces against mountains? It's not feasible, man. It just is not. This is why anytime anyone's attempted to invade Persia, it's ended in disaster. And like the Americans want to do this in a quick time frame, right?
Starting point is 01:45:10 Maybe in the next year they want this war to end. It's not going to end in the year. This is going to be another forever war. But right now, what's happening is. is they're publicizing these deaths of American soldiers, these casualties. And when that happens, it just means like the American military is preparing for doubling down on this war because you have to avenge these soldiers, right? So the American military policy is leave no man behind.
Starting point is 01:45:42 So if someone gets trapped in Iran, as these pilots got trapped in Iran a few months ago, go send them like 2,000 soldiers to get them out okay now if you have soldiers dying in this war you have to go and avenge them so a really important map i will show you is this you see how right now there are two choke points okay you have the strip of moves where the which is what's being controlled by now right now by the rdc but you also have down here the bag el magdha straight which is not being controlled by the hoofies the problem with both straits is you can't the lock you can't dislodge either the hoofies or the ira gc because they're all secluded in mountains it's so easy to choke these um uh uh
Starting point is 01:46:32 um straits and so it guys this is going to be a complete thumpson fire it's a complete cluster plug um this was going to escalate rapidly on next couple weeks already the americans are targeting power plants and desalination plants in iran and we bonds they ran into the same thing they're targeting these the isolation plans in Kuwait and the GCC is done for I don't see how this war now the escalates I don't see how things don't become a complete question of fuck for the entire world okay so I just point this out to everyone any questions or comments
Starting point is 01:47:14 Korean sorry I see Karina Do you have a comment or question? Yeah. So I completely agree with everything that you're saying. I was actually writing an article about this. I am trying to do what you said, try to teach to understand this stuff more. And I mean, there is this, you know,
Starting point is 01:47:41 weird intersection that I am seeing where like, you have stated in the past where, you know, Israel has created this, you know, total enemy. And they see them, you know, I mean, their political rival is like completely evil. So, I mean, there is no de-escalation or negotiations when you see someone as evil. You know, you feel like you're mandated to kill your political opponents. And, you know, you see that, especially how they see the Palestinian people. They've almost just jumbled them together with how they see Hamas and Hezbo on everything.
Starting point is 01:48:21 That combined with, you know, the U.S. is empire and decline. And, you know, the U.S. just being incredibly desperate to figure something else out because they have, you know, this ticking time bomb of debt on their hands. And then, you know, if you kind of see it as kind of like a Venn diagram, when you have geopolitical tensions abroad and then you compare that with the political, political tensions within the US with just the demographics in general, it's kind of hard not to see that the intersection between the two is going to be a sacrifice of the youth because you're kind of feeding one into the other.
Starting point is 01:48:58 You're feeding the, I guess the unruly youth that are going to be upset about their country basically falling apart in front of them into this, you know, war machine. My question to you though is that when you have two partners that are completely unified in their respective missions, you know, with Israel having the eschatological fervor of wanting to, you know, kill the world if it means killing their enemies. Like they're set on, you know, Pax Tudaeico or the Greater Israel Project. And then you have the U.S. that's completely set on maintaining their empire. and getting control of these chokeholds,
Starting point is 01:49:48 I don't see how, I don't see how they're ever going to come down from that. I think it's either like they're going to do it or die trying and we're kind of just the casualties of war. Yeah, I agree. I'm sorry, your analysis is perfect. I'm nothing to add to your analysis. It's just perfect. I'm sorry to say that, but like I completely agree with your assessment. Yeah, and I mean, so, okay, so I'm Gen Z, right? And obviously, like, I'm writing this and I'm learning about this. And it's highly depressing because, you know, these are like my classmates.
Starting point is 01:50:29 These are my friends. But, you know, we're all interconnected, you know, even the millennial class. I mean, I'm sure the conscription age will get to a higher point where they're trying to enlist people in their 30s. And I mean, those are our, you know, our brother. and you go up to our parents and you go up to our grandparents, like all of the generations are interconnected together. And it's very difficult to, you know, study this and learn more about this when it's, I mean, you're basically just reading about how everything else around us is going to collapse.
Starting point is 01:51:05 I guess another question would be is how do you continue to learn more about this, teach more about this, when you know that it's just widening your, viewpoint on the disaster that is happening around you. Yeah, no, that's a great question. So, I mean, it's a very strange process where you start learning this. And the first reaction is just anger at these people for their incompetence, for their lack of any human sympathy, for their callousness, okay? You're just angry now.
Starting point is 01:51:47 But then as you learn more, you become more depressed and recognize that this is the totality of the system. And there's very little that you can do about it. And the more you learn, you're like, wait a minute here. If I know what's happening, that's a sense of empowerment. That's a sense of liberation. At least I won't die ignorant. At least I'll die knowing what happened. And then you look for solutions and you recognize that, wow, I'm not alone in my sentiments.
Starting point is 01:52:22 You know, like when I first started doing my YouTube channel, I had no idea that millions would start watching my videos. And like that surprised me. I'm like, why is this happening? Because all I'm talking about is how the world is ending. And I'm obviously not, I'm also not doing it in like clear English. I'm not articulate in the way that a lot of people on media are articulate. And also, the production qualities are just completely crap, man. It's like literally me turning on the computer and then me doing a lecture for 40 minutes and then turn it off.
Starting point is 01:52:55 And like, why are so people, why are they watching this? And so I think the same process will happen with you, Karina, where you start writing these articles, you start making these comments. And then, you know, people are going to come to you and says, hey, tell me more. And like, just the fact that people are interested in your ideas. and people are willing to have a conversation means that there's hope for the world, that there's hope for the world because people are waking up, right? So I think that's, you know, I'm completely surprised by this where, you know,
Starting point is 01:53:27 only because like for the past two years, I've only been talking about the most depressing things, but, you know, the fact that I'm talking about these depressing things have given people hope as well as myself hope because it means that we humans are capable of, knowing what is right, what is wrong, and we want a better life for ourselves, for our neighbors, for our friends, and for our children. And so we're going to work hard to achieve this. So I think this is a process, and we're only at the beginning stage of this process, but I think that we'll come out pretty good at the end of it. Yeah, I completely agree. I definitely, when I started learning about this stuff, I think at the end of it, from like the conclusion of just, you know, writing and getting back into writing,
Starting point is 01:54:11 I just realized that like I feel like the only real way out of this is for everyone to, you know, pick a movement and to do whatever they can to support it, whether that's with time or writing or financially or, you know, just, I mean, I've seen comedians do comedic, their comedic stand-up doing it or singing or writing or, I mean, I feel like that's the really the only way for, us to be able to get through this is for everyone to stop being like a spectator in it and to just express themselves through their own um you know their advantage point whatever they're good at exactly thanks so much yep that's exactly right korena okay thanks so much okay uh okay uh could you unmute yourself please aka uh yes professor uh good morning thank you for the for the meeting i just have a question I'm a GCC citizens actually specifically Oman and I would like to know your perspective on the geopolitical scenarios for Oman and the current situations given the neutrality that we are practicing with our foreign neighbors and with Iran
Starting point is 01:55:28 specifically yeah so Oman was the mediator for the nuclear talks between Iran United States and in the beginning Iran saw Oman as a potential ally right and that's why Iran was willing to share the struggle moves with Oman but I think that things have been up to a point where Iran sees everyone in the GSI as an enemy now so Oman is no longer neutral in this war Iran does see Oman as part of this American American Israel axis. And so right now, Iran is targeting Bahrain, Kuwait, but Jordan. But over time, I think that Iran will be basically, you know what, screw this.
Starting point is 01:56:22 Let's just blow up the GCC. What's happened is that this MOU, the ceasefire, the failure of this MOU and ceasefire has basically given a lot of power to the ROGC. because remember the Atatollah, most about Kamenei, he was actually opposed to this MOU because he thought the Americans would not honor it. But he said that, well, I'm opposed to this, but I listened to my advisors, I listened to president, and so I agreed to the MOU.
Starting point is 01:56:54 And the fact that this MOU has failed is now, it's basically making the hardliners in Iran much more determined to fight this war this war on an eschatological level okay so as this war progresses it becomes eschatological basically means a fight to the finish no no no more compromise no more ceasefire that said this this be a very long process so it's possible in August there's another ceasefire for another few more weeks but I think that the trend the general trend is towards an eschatological conflict where Israel wants to achieve the greater
Starting point is 01:57:30 project. There are many in the American military like Peter Hexev who sees this war as bringing in the as causing the return of Jesus. And then you have the Iranians who see this war as leading to a rise of the 12th imam who will lead the Iran to total victory against the great Satan. So the prospects are not very good for the GCC in general. But I also think that what's going to happen over time is this war is going to expand outwards to encompass the Caucasus, right? Azerbaijan, Armenia. And then it's going to link up with the war in Ukraine, Turkey, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, will be involved at some point.
Starting point is 01:58:12 So we are in World War III, unfortunately. And this is going to expand outwards over time. Okay. All right. Weissau. Weissau, are you here? Yeah, I'm here. Yeah, I was just wondering at the beginning of the Trump's campaign, of course, he had the fossil fuel
Starting point is 01:58:34 CEOs granting him $1 million each as part of the political donations. And I think that all, he himself admitted that he was expecting oil to spike to $200 a barrel, but it didn't because of, you know, manipulation of the market and so on. So is it possible that he's going to prolong the war? until these oil barons get either higher oil prices or the plundered Venezuelan and Middle Eastern oil as a quid pro quo. And then of course they're going to make money as the markets crash because it has gone up so high, the oil price I mean, with their put options that they probably already got in place. So that's when the markets crash and they've already sold their options and will profit
Starting point is 01:59:26 incredibly quickly from the crash of the markets and it sounds like this is where they're heading on a financial level but then you're the the whole greater Israel and Pax Judaica seems to be the main factor as we're seeing sort of anti-Semitic sort of inquiries here in Australia where it looks like they're trying to you know frighten the whole Jewish community to achieve that tax Judaica thing where the Jews are supposed to return back to the Middle East, too scared in their countries at the moment? What do you think about that? Yeah, so thanks for that. So a few comments. Number one is I think they're not
Starting point is 02:00:15 concerned about oil prices. Maybe they were concerned about oil prices a couple of months ago when they were afraid of the impact on the low economy, but I think that the war has progressed to a point where they just want to want to want to want to work. win at all cost. So the old price is not an issue. I think the real issue is not the spike in old prices. I think the real issue is the collapse in oil demand, meaning, you know, it's possible, like the global economy suffers so much that the global economy basically just collapses, which would just mean a collapse in global demand. And I would argue that's actually the main reason why oil prices on that collapse, because China has been working very, very,
Starting point is 02:00:56 diligently to ensure world prices do not spike, right? Because really, China is completely dependent on the global economy. It's an export economy. If the global demand collapses, China collapses as well. Right. So this is an existential crisis for China in a way that it's not for anyone else. So I would say China is in a lot of trouble right now. I think that people have lost control over the situation. Right now, there's so much emotion, there's so much anger.
Starting point is 02:01:25 and Trump wants to win this war at all cost. The American military wants for vengeance for being humiliated so far in the Middle East. And I think a lot of things will happen naturally, but the idea that now you have these people behind the scenes manipulating things, maybe that was true a few months ago, it's all true today. Now I think it's just a complete dump-fire. And we'll start really feeling it later in the fall. Yeah.
Starting point is 02:01:56 There's almost like a mob rule on a global scale. I think so. I think so. I think it's a dumps of fire now. I think people are focusing on oil, but they're forgetting that there needs to be supplies going back to the Middle East to provide not only the equipment they need for the desalination, so they've got water, three days without water you're dead, three weeks without food, you're dead.
Starting point is 02:02:24 about food going in there's nothing about medicines and more importantly for the rest of the world the precursors that don't predominate from that area from that region is not getting out either so we will see our medicine reserves in each country starting to get rapidly depleted and that is something we're not really sort of um keeping a a close watch on so we've really got to get rid of this mob rule as fast as we can yeah yeah no i think people all cannot possibly imagine the world in three months time. We are really in uncharted territory. And there's no turning back. I think we've crossed the Rubicon. This war in Iran is a forever war. And the impact on the global economy on our lives is something that we can't possibly imagine.
Starting point is 02:03:17 But we will feel it very soon. So thanks a lot. Ron Fritz, did you have a comment or question? Yes, thank you for your time, by the way. So my question is, why does Iran not receive more support from the broader Muslim world? Is it primarily because of traditional animosity between Shiite and Sunni Muslims, or are there other factors? And if it is primarily that traditional rivalry or animosity, is that just a just? a constant in this equation or could that possibly change as this war heats up yeah no that's a very point exactly so the shia are about 10% of the total uh muslim population around the world and shia and sooner rivalry goes back to ever since to the time of mohammed right so there's a lot of
Starting point is 02:04:15 bad blood between these two groups and um you know the arabs and the p persian rivalry is another fact Saudi Arabia hates Iran. In fact, I've argued that Saudi Arabia was one of the major proponents of this war, and Saudi Arabia would want a ground invasion of Iran at some point. So this rivalry goes back a long time. What will change the equation, I think, is if Israel destroys the Alexic Mosque. If the Aleksic Mosque is destroyed, this isn't a cause political revolutions throughout the Islamic world. Right now, there are a lot of governments throughout the Islamic world.
Starting point is 02:04:54 that have been co-opted by the United States, Malaysia, Indonesia, definitely the GCC, Pakistan. These are all co-opted by the CIA. But if the Alexei Mos were to be destroyed, accidentally maybe, then you would have tremendous anger in the streets. There would be political revolutions everywhere. And a lot of these people would look to Iran as your savior. So this would change the equation, significantly. Okay. Yeah. All right. All right. We have Brian Murphy. So Brian Murphy, could you please unmute yourself? Yes. Yes. Thank you. Can you hear me? Yes, I can. Okay, perfect. So first, appreciate you immensely everything you're doing. My bigger comment here, in relation to
Starting point is 02:05:54 what you spoke about previous lectures about Rome, Rome's ideas as far as hate and inverting everything from love to hate. Do you think that's what's playing into a lot of this? And so obviously the opposite would be an overflow of love. So that's the main purpose at this point is for us to spread as much love as possible I completely agree I think like the elite they maintain power through spreading emotions of hatred fear and anxiety right that's why consumerism is so important that's why terrorism is so important that's why conflict is so important we look at mass culture mass media it's all about igniting as much conflict as possible especially between the left and right you know a lot of this a lot of this conflict it's artificial if you look if you
Starting point is 02:06:55 just talk to any person, most people would agree on 99% of issues. But like there's just 1% of issue that they basically form for engagement, right? They just blow up proportion, they form for engagement. But most people are anti-war, most people are anti-empirate, most people are anti- empire, most people are anti-gride, anti-corruption. And the solution is to find unity, right? To find love to really start believing that you can impact the world for the better and try to find comments, find things that unite us rather than divide us. Okay, so thank you Brian. Melina, Melina, are you here? Melina. Melina, yes, hi, Professor. I have a question for you. Can you please explain me how come it's so difficult to invade a country that has some mountains like Iran? And how come
Starting point is 02:07:56 nevertheless the United States wants to do it? Well, it's just logistics, right? So look at when the Germans invaded France. It was so easy because the French had roads you could drive your tanks on and then the French had gas stations, right? So you drive a bit and then you run out of gas, well, you just go to the gas station, you fill up your tank and then you keep on going. That's why the Germans were able to conquer Western
Starting point is 02:08:26 Europe so quickly because the infrastructure was there for conquest and but then they went to Operation Barbarossa when they tried to invade the Soviet Union and they were like it's a complete dumpster fire because there was no roads there was no gas and the war machine just got back down, fought down everywhere okay but the thing is and this really important is so the Union was flat now imagine you pull this crap in the desert where there are mountains right right? It's very hot, so it's very easy for your electronic equipment to get overloaded, overheated. Your tanks, your equipment will run up gas really quickly. It's very easy to get lost.
Starting point is 02:09:10 It's very arduous to climb the mountains, and it's very hard for you to establish forward operating bases, right? Places where you can rest your troops. So the idea, like, they'll just cruise through Iran is his nonsense. Also, the American military was not set up to fight a long protracted war. They do blitzkreck. They do quick operations. So think of the war in Iraq in 2003 where they were able to win the war in about two weeks time.
Starting point is 02:09:40 They were doing these thunder runs around Baghdad where they just sent in their humvees and they rode around town for a couple of hours and no one could stop them. Okay? So yeah, so you have this American strategy. that has been refined over decades of warfare and another strategy does not work against mountains okay does that make sense okay uh yeah make sense about the how come the states want to do it why why are they are they gonna go for it because it's a dumpster fire now because these people live in their bubbles in Washington DC they have no consequences for their actions
Starting point is 02:10:24 Right? So like America loses the war, they go home. That's it. Look at what happened in Vietnam. Look at what happened in Iraq and Afghanistan. They lost all these wars and nothing happened to the general brass. The broccoli is completely insulated from the consequence of war so they can make stupid decisions and not some of any consequences. And honestly, as long as this war continues, they still benefit politically as well as financially, right? So the war machine in America benefits a great deal. as long as they follow orders from trump they'll get promoted in the bureaucracy so you have a ridiculous situation where um for the first time in human industry you have an empire
Starting point is 02:11:04 which has a military bureaucracy that can never suffer any consequences for their stupidity in war this has never happened before okay all right uh uh roma roma did have a question yeah hi professor uh can you remember yes go ahead yeah uh so Obviously, this whole situation created a lot of memes in our laughs in a way. And one of the memes I just wanted to briefly explain to you all. And why I'm mentioning this is because I think it's unfortunately a pretty decent way to understand the situation in the part of it. So basically, if you are president of the United States, right, you buy oil stock, then you bomb Iran, right? So oil goes up, you sell your stock, you say pieces near, then you, then oil goes down and you buy oil stock again, and you can continue this indefinitely.
Starting point is 02:12:01 So I think I may be wrong, but this is in view of in the light of the polymarket stuff, in the light of corruption that are going on, it is a pretty decent way to understand that is the part of what's going on and the motivation between it. And basically it means that whatever you know, you as a person believed, maybe in the past that government exists to protect us all. It's just not the case anymore or maybe it never was the case. So I just wanted to share this idea and because I feel like this is being mean, being kind of ridiculous, but it is pretty, pretty much accurate even these days. Thanks a lot for that. You're absolutely right. This is a sign of empire decline with the elite is completely corrupt and incompetent.
Starting point is 02:12:54 Thank you. Oss, are you here? Oss? The difficult question or comment? Aos. All right. Sorry, I'm here. Sorry.
Starting point is 02:13:06 Okay, yeah, go ahead, please. I have one comment and one question. Sure. I think earlier somebody asked if the entire Muslim world doesn't support Iran because of Shia-Suni issues. I think a lot of it is also because so many of the governments of the Sunni issues, countries are basically vassals of the U.S. and Israel, whether it's through money or whether it's through power or whatever it is, certainly, you know, Syria and the UAE and many other examples. That's, I think, a bigger reason. And the question I have for you is that recent speech that Trump
Starting point is 02:13:34 gave where he was very contiguous towards China, very belligered towards China. Does that change the way China might behave vis-à-vis the Iran War? Yeah, that's a great question. My real on Trump's comics from China is it was basically just theater okay he was not that serious about it he's looking for any pretext to interfere more in local elections right to have more control over state elections so he's basically building the narrative that will allow him to federalize election you basically just take over the midterms that's a real intention he doesn't really care about China he cares
Starting point is 02:14:17 about the midterm and he cares about for a third time okay all right uh sorry um uh uh uh earle gray alicer did give a comment yes uh thank you professor during uh one of the last uh streams i asked you about central asia and you covered it briefly uh just saying that things can spark here and there but uh i was one wondering if you could quickly just put things in the perspective of game theory. So if I just can offer a little context, I spend a lot of time in post-Soviet space. And all these countries like Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, like with the exception of Afghanistan and more like regions as you go west, like all those countries, they have been kind of operating in this way of trying not to
Starting point is 02:15:17 mess with Putin or piss him off in geopolitical sense since the since USSR basically fell apart while at the same time they have been very compliant with the empire and financial industrial complex establishing their connections with capitalism and western enterprises keep flooding in there like businesses like McDonald's and you name it although lately like with the beginning of the Russia-Ukraine war, there has, like Kazakhstan began expressing their, basically, they were discontent with the Russia's engagement. So like, again, I'm sorry, to summarize, if these places are ran by elites that kind of look at for their interest, turning to Putin and turning to the US, allowing them
Starting point is 02:16:12 to put their bases there, how do you think things? can potentially play out if we expect things to pick up in sense of World War III and yeah what can happen yeah okay so that's a great point and I don't know not much about Central Asia but you actually write in that there are three major powers buying for influence in Central Asia right you've got China with its Belt and Road Initiative you've got Russia which has military basis throughout the region you've got you also have the United States which also has military basis throughout the region and you're actually right in that you know these these countries
Starting point is 02:16:47 Tajikistan, Kazakhstan, Kazakhstan, all of them, they want to maintain neutrality. They want to basically navigate great power rivalry and try to benefit as much as possible from this rivalry. The problem, though, is that eventually these great powers will want them to pick aside. And we wouldn't expect over the next 10 years a lot of kudatas, a lot of, political revolutions, color revolutions, a lot of political assassinations within Central Asia as China, Russia, and the United States attempt to control the region for their own benefit. The reality is that this war in Iran cannot be won. And so what's going to happen is this conflict is going to expand outwards. So a country to watch very closely would be Azrazan, right?
Starting point is 02:17:45 because Azerbaijan is very close to both Israel and the United States. And as this war progresses, what Russia is going to do is reinforce Tehran through the Caspian Sea. And so what the United States wants to do is create as much conflict in that region as possible. Kazakhstan is also very important. Central Asia is very important because how China will reinforce Tehran is through railway system, right? So transport goods from China across Central Asia to Tehran. and so the Americans will want to disrupt this. So it would be a great game again,
Starting point is 02:18:21 and you will have the United States trying to create as much confident chaos in Central Asia as possible in order to blockade, to isolate Iran. Okay, so that's what I think is going to happen. Okay, thank, thank you. Oss, are you here? Sorry, I already asked my question. Oh, sorry, okay. Ferran?
Starting point is 02:18:45 Ferran. Hello. So my question is, well, so you say that this ground evasion would be a dumpster fire, and I completely agree with you. But for the sake of a hypothetical, what if everything went right for the Americans, that the Kurds do fight, that Azerbaijan gets involved, and maybe even the UK, and there are uprisings, and the IRGC is just fighting on every side?
Starting point is 02:19:15 Yep. Would that be a turning point for the American Empire? Or would that just sort of delay the collapse? Yeah, that would delay the collapse because next play would be this. Let's just assume, hypothetically, everything goes perfectly well for the Americans in Iran. Then what happened is this, North Korea takes a stage. Okay, does that make sense? Okay, so I'm, I'm like, I can't afford for the United States to take over Iran
Starting point is 02:19:42 because that completely screws me over, right? Now the United States can completely focus on the war in Ukraine, and my entire southern flank has opened up. Central Asia now goes to America, right? The war is over. So what do I do? I open up a new front, which is North Korea. And I force the United States to deal with North Korea, right?
Starting point is 02:20:01 And North Korea has nuclear weapons, and it has artillery that can threaten Seoul. They can lobby missiles into Japan. So the United States has actually no choice but to deal of South Korea now, right? So that's what happened. I think this will happen naturally anyway. But if it's clear that this ground in the nation is going too well, then North Korea takes a stage. Gotcha.
Starting point is 02:20:28 So I was going to, you sort of answered, but you don't think that Russia would then pull out of Ukraine, that they would take a step back? That they would just double down? No way. What would happen is if Russia were to pull out of Ukraine, then Russia would be dead in 20 years' time. Because then what would happen is a complete embargo on Russia. Now, a really important factor that people don't appreciate is China is not signing the Power of Siberia to a Pipeline deal. Okay? So the idea is if China were to sign the Power of Siberia to a pipeline deal, Russia could supply China with all the energy needs that China has.
Starting point is 02:21:09 And, but this would be bad for China longer term because it makes China completely dependent on Russia, right? basically Russia would have infinite financing from China and then China would have infinite financing from sort of infinite energy from Russia but this would tie the destinies of these two countries together the fact that China is not signing this deal means that basically Russia is a loan on the world stage there's a alliance between China and Russia it's all theater
Starting point is 02:21:36 it's not really taking place and so Russia if it were to retreat from Ukraine if Iran would fall Russia will be dead in 20 years time there'd be no hope for Russia. It would be completely isolated in the world. So it cannot afford for Iran to fall. Iran is the ultimate battle, the final battle for Russia. Okay. And that's why North Korea will have to take that stage.
Starting point is 02:21:59 Okay. Thank you. Thank you. All right. So, guys, I'm really tired. I know there are more questions, but unfortunately, you know, I'm exhausted. And we'll continue this, okay? So as this war continues in the Middle East, if there's a riot invasion, there'll definitely be an emergency live stream.
Starting point is 02:22:20 Okay. So let let let let let let let let let let let let's do one more question. Okay. So Roma can you ask your question please? And this will be the last question. So I apologize to DIA and H.H, but I can't get to you. I'm so exhausted from from today. Okay.
Starting point is 02:22:37 So Roma, ask your question and not be it. Yeah, thank you. I just wanted to give you one more. follow-up I guess so for some time I had this you know feedback I guess so as a Russian I found that a certain bias or romanticizing like in your attitude towards you know Russian people Russian leaders which I wanted to point out for your awareness two examples two small examples right so in a video about Russia you mentioned that Russian Russians became happier because of the war so my personal
Starting point is 02:23:08 opinion nobody is happy seeing like their relative sons husbands killed for nothing and the war already had visible implications for Russian people that are impossible to ignore for them. And second one regarding Russian leader, right? So we mentioned that Russian president is a strategic genius, but these days what we can witness is Russia in decline and economic crisis ravaging and the war ravages from the Russian territory. So and which once was perceived as one of the strongest militaries in the world is now humiliated basically. So my impression from observation, in Russian reality firsthand for decades is that Russian leader never had any plan or vision other than stealing as much money as possible and spending it on luxury, which would make him
Starting point is 02:23:54 similar to many world leaders, really. And the war, which is really more with Ukraine, is the only, I think, unfortunate exception to absence of his vision, I would say. Okay, thanks so much for that. I really appreciate that perspective. Again, I've never been to Russia. I don't know that many Russians. And I agree with a lot of things you say. I think like the war is not going well for Russia. And these attacks on Russian oil refineries,
Starting point is 02:24:26 it's going to cost a lot of damage to the Russian economy. And I can appreciate that there are a lot of Russians or are unhappy about this war. But I will still say that I think that Putin is a genius. He does know what he's doing. Of all the world leaders that I've seen, I think that only Putin seems to know what he's doing. I'm able to actually predict what he does because he's very strategic. He's very long-term thinking. So I think that North Korea will come into play soon because if I'm Putin, that's the next logical step to extend the war to East Asia,
Starting point is 02:25:06 which will then put more pressure on the American military. I will also say, and you and I was how to disagree is, I do think Putin does love his country. I think Putin loves his country and I think Putin loves his people. The way he does it is something that you and I may disagree with, but I think he's genuine in his love for Russia. Okay, so I will leave it there, guys. So thanks so much for today. It was a lot of fun. And if there's another breaking news, then I'll do another live stream.
Starting point is 02:25:39 Okay, so thanks so much, guys, and I will see you next time. Bye-bye.

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