Predictive History - The Story of "Civilization", "Secret History", "Game Theory" and more - Game Theory #10 - The Law of Asymmetry
Episode Date: March 6, 2026Game Theory #10 - The Law of Asymmetry ...
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We continue our discussion of the U.S.-Iran war that is happening right now.
So as you know, I made the prediction that the United States will lose this war.
And last class, we did an overview of the military and strategic position.
And today we're going to provide some theoretical framework for how to understand how
this world will progress and why ultimately I believe the United States will lose this war.
Today I present to you a very important idea in game theory.
And once you understand this idea, you understand why things will turn out the way they
do.
It's called a law of asymmetry.
Law of asymmetry.
And all this is saying is that the United States is a system.
The United States and Iran are not peers, they're not equals.
The United States is far stronger than Iran.
And we should expect the United States to overwhelm and destroy Iran really easily.
The law of asymmetry states that that's usually not the case.
It's usually the underdog that has the advantage.
And we see this from history all the time.
time.
Okay, so when the Persians in about 490 BC invaded mainland Greece against Athens and Sparta,
Persia at that time was the first world empire, infinite resources, infinite manpower, infinite
wealth.
And it lost to the Greeks, not once but twice.
And then the Macedonians under the Greek, and they were like a tribal army, not a very
large army, they were able to go into Persia and Persia at the time was basically most
of Eurasia and conquered it in about 10 years time. The Romans started off as a tribal people
which then built the Mediterranean Empire. Then you have the X-Tex, you have, so the Vikings. So this
happens a lot in human history. A people in the borderlands, a tribe,
a small ethnicity, are able to conquer a great empire.
And the law of asymmetry tells us why.
Okay?
So I'm going to go over very slowly in detail
how this law of asymmetry works.
All right.
So, let's look at an empire.
And there are three major advantages to an empire.
All right, the first is mass.
This just means that they have a lot of people.
They almost have an even amount of people.
The United States has a population of about 350 million people.
But remember, the United States can also draw on the populations of its allies,
which includes the Five Eyes, the Anglosphere, but it also includes Europe.
It also includes East Asia, South Korea, Japan.
Basically, wherever the Americans have a military base.
So most of the world are either allies of the United States,
or vassals of the United States.
So the United States can basically draw on
in billions and billions of people
for its wars, okay?
So it's mass.
Second is the idea of organization.
Organization just means
a hierarchy of bureaucracy
and an elite
that allows you to organize
your resources
and your people
in order to generate wealth,
which is basically
scientific technology, okay?
Science and technology.
Which leads to the most
advanced weaponry, okay?
So think about the United States, how they fight this war.
They have these satellites that provide for precision targeting.
They have these airplanes, these B-2 bombers, F-15s that are the most advanced weaponry
ever in human history.
So organization.
Now last great strength of the empire is the idea of death.
is the idea that because your people are infinite, because your organization is so strong,
because your resources are so vast, you're going to afford to lose many, many wars, okay?
It's not a big deal. The United States loses this war in Iran. If they want to go back,
they can go back with even more soldiers, even more weaponry, because their wealth is
infinite okay so these are the three major advantages of an empire and in
theory because of these advantages an empire should be invincible and eternal but we
know for a fact that all empires fall and they fall very very hard and quite
honestly they don't last a very long time maybe 20 years maybe 30 years for
most empires that's not a very long time so we need to better understand what's going on okay
why is it that an empire with these vast resources they all fall in 20 years 30 years okay all right
so um what we need understand is that all these advantages ultimately disadvantages in a long
term all right so let me explain what i mean math you have a lot of people
Okay, well you have a lot of people, you create a lot of inequality.
Why? Because there's competition for resources. There's too many people. Okay, and this often leads to
debt and slavery. And as a result, your people become complacent, lazy, indifferent. They're
competing against each other. They really don't like the government, okay? So they're not
really that motivated to do anything.
to war or to fight wars, but especially to fight wars.
So this mask looks like an advantage in the beginning,
over time it becomes a disadvantage.
Right?
Organization means an elite.
The problem with this is that over time,
the elite become parasites.
Why?
Because the way they make their money is through rent seeking.
Rensiging just means that you have power and you seek to monetize your power by exploiting
the mass.
All right?
So basically landlords are a classic type of rentsaking elite.
And so they don't really work, but they make a lot of money because they own the land,
because they control all the resources, because they control all the capital.
And that forces the mass to go into slavery, to go into debt, which is what's happening in
America today. The problem with this is that everyone wants to be part of the elite and
there are too many elite over time. Okay? So even though you have, the lead have many, many
kids, the power is a zero-sum game. It's a hierarchy. And so this leads to the idea
of elite overproduction, okay? Elite overproduction. This is a term coined by the historian Peter
Turchin. Okay? And his theory is that you have turmoil, you have wars, for example,
the French Revolution, for example the father of women republic, because there's too many
elite and they start wars to create power for themselves. Okay, so this organization,
this elite, leads to basically factionalism or infighting. And that's what's happening in
America today where the Democrats and the Republicans they hate each other they
refuse to get a law. It leads to political polarization. Okay? So another saying
this is that an empire over time becomes insular. They don't care about what
happens outside the world. All they care about is what happens in Washington DC and as
a result they make a lot of stupid mistakes. Okay. Right. Now last thing is death. Okay, the
The problem with death is that if there are no consequences to your actions, you become
arrogant, you become lazy, and you become incompetent, okay?
Because you don't care.
It doesn't really matter.
And that's the idea of hubris.
Hubris is just blindness to your own arrogance, a violent arrogance that makes you make silly mistakes,
but you don't recognize your mistakes and you keep on repeating the same mistakes over
over and over again.
All right?
So yes, it seems like the empire is invincible,
but if you actually think about it,
the empire, its advantages becomes over time,
its disadvantages, which will lead ultimately
to its downfall.
Okay?
So the mass leads to inequality,
the organization leads to overproduction,
which leads to fashionism,
and death leads to hubris.
That's what an empire must fall over time.
But an empire cannot fall by itself.
It needs an enemy that forces it to collapse.
Okay?
And so what happens is that an enemy will emerge that will overwhelm the empire because it is
able to take advantage of the witnesses of the empire.
And so what are the witnesses of this empire?
Well, the first major weakness of this empire is that the people aren't really motivated.
So you as people are really motivated, you have a huge advantage, okay?
We call this energy.
Now, as an empire, you become insular.
You refuse to omit your mistakes.
You refuse to learn from others.
Well, if you are willing to omit your mistakes, if you're willing to learn, if you're willing
to promote the best and brightest, if you're willing to make up to make up to make up, you
you have a huge advantage, okay?
And so this idea of openness.
Now, last idea is this.
An empire, it's fractured.
So if you're able to maintain cohesion,
if people are able to remain united,
if they're even to have a common purpose,
they'll be strong, okay?
So if an enemy of the empire emerges
with these three qualities, energy, openness, and cohesion,
this enemy will defeat the empire.
the empire.
It doesn't make sense.
Okay.
So what I want you to focus on, as you follow the news in this war between United States and
Iran, is ask yourself a question.
Will Iran become an energetic, open, and cohesive society?
Because if it does, it will become invincible.
The empire won't change because of hubris.
It's too static.
It's too static.
So the empire won't change.
The empire will not admit its own mistakes.
And quite honestly, you read, because it's still a country of 92 million people,
it still separates from issues of mass, organization, and death.
And so if it's able to transform itself into an energetic, open, and cohesive society,
then it will triumph over America.
That is the fundamental question in this war, okay?
Don't worry about America, its technology, don't worry about the economy, don't worry about
these things, okay?
Just ask yourself one question.
Is Iran transforming as a society?
Are people becoming much more motivated?
Are people in Iran learning from their mistakes and innovating and becoming resilient on the
battlefield?
Are the Iranians sticking together?
there's people, okay?
Because if the answer is yes or all three questions,
then Iran will win and America will lose.
Okay, doesn't make sense.
All right, so that's just a theory.
So let's now talk specifically about America and Iran, okay?
So America will have three major advantages in this war.
These three advantages are of course technology, propaganda, money, wealth.
These are the three major strings of the American Empire.
Technology is just what you see every day, right?
The satellites that are able to position target these airplanes that are the greatest war
machines in the world.
So America is home to the greatest scientists,
the most advanced weaponry,
and that's this technology.
Poverganda means that America controls information space.
It controls the internet.
It controls the world's most powerful media,
including the New York Times, CNN, BBC.
It controls YouTube, it controls Google,
It controls information landscape.
America does not want you to know something.
It can hide it from you.
America can control the discourse.
It can control how you think about the world.
That's propaganda.
The last thing is money.
It's a very simple idea.
The United States controls the US dollar,
which is the reserve currency of the world.
And the United States can print as much US dollars as it needs
in order to win this war.
war it has an infinite money printer okay and now and then it can use this
money to bribe people to fight this war right it can it can pay for mercenaries
it can bribe ethnic minorities to rebel against the government in Iran can
bribe Iranian officials to betray the the government okay so look at these
three things you would think that America is invisible right
But again, we need to think about the loss asymmetry
and recognize that these advantages are also disadvantages.
Alright? So let's discuss this.
Technology. Well, you know, if you have those advanced weaponry in the world,
you become lazy, arrogant, dependent on the technology, right?
So the class example, of course, is our school
school where you have access to chat GPT.
And like you become smarter because you have access
to chat GPT?
No, you become dumber because you become lazy, right?
Same thing with technology.
You would think that with the most advanced weapon
in the world, America will become invincible,
but instead people become, the American military
becomes too dependent on the technology.
It becomes too arrogant to complacent.
Okay, it's like, well, you know, if we're going to trouble, then we'll just set in the Air Force and loving up, okay?
So it leads to dependency.
And this actually hampers innovation and resilience in a battlefield.
And this is what you need to win, okay?
You need to be innovative and you need to be resilient on the battlefield, but because of technology, you become too lazy.
to think for yourself.
All right?
So that's one problem.
Propaganda, you would think that, oh,
America can control the debate,
therefore that's a huge advantage.
It's actually not an advantage, guys.
The reason why is that in order for innovation
and resilience to happen,
you need to have open debate, right?
You need people to voice dissenting opinions.
But if you can show the information landscape,
what you can do is censor.
And that's what America's doing right now.
It's something people to shut out and obey.
You're not allowed to point out that this war is stupid
and America can't win this war.
Otherwise, you'll be kicked out, okay?
So this means that there's really a lack
of rigorous debate within the American government.
We're in the American military,
with the American elite, which of course will lead to hubris.
It will lead to bad decision making.
No one will point this out because they're too afraid of pissing off the president and his people.
So they'll shut up and America will keep on making the same mistakes over and over again.
Okay?
We call it drinking your own cool weight, okay?
Okay, they're basically getting high on their own supply.
It's enough phrase that we use.
All right.
Money and wealth.
You would think, okay, well, that's, this is it, man.
We just bribe everyone, we just brought the entire world, and we're good, right?
The problem is this.
The problem is that if you bribe people, they're not going to fight for you, right?
Because all they want is your money.
So you bribe them, but they'll probably take your money and run away.
Okay?
Or they'll figure out how to get more money out of you by cheating you.
So right now, the Americans are going to fight.
these militias and ethnic minorities
and opposition groups against Iran, okay?
Guess why guys, these guys are hustlers, right?
They're not funny because they want more freedom,
they're funny because they want to rip off the US government.
And so this money issue can be a problem in the long term
because the people you're bribing, you can't even trust.
And they're not motivated to actually win this war for you.
They're actually motivated to schedule
as much as possible, and they could be actually a problem in the long term because you're putting
so much resources into these hustlers.
Okay?
All right.
So what this means is that America has three major problems.
Okay?
It has three major problems.
The first major problem is the lack of political will.
And all this is saying is that the American people don't want to fight this war.
The American government doesn't even know why they're fighting this war.
No one cares.
Okay?
But for the Iranians, it's a struggle of life and death, right?
If the American loses this war, they just go home and forget about it.
But the Iranians lose this war, they all get killed.
Or they lose their country.
They lose their society.
They lose their civilization.
They lose identity.
They cannot afford to lose this war, okay?
So the first major problem that Americans are facing is
they don't have any political will to fight this war,
but they're still fighting this war anyway.
The question of the other course is why?
Why is this happening?
This is actually the most important question
and it's the most complicated,
so we'll save this for later, okay?
Second is the idea of logistics and manufacturing.
So America is very good at fighting
short wars.
The reason why is
they have the most advanced weaponry
but they have
manufacturing issues because
as we know, America
ship all its factories to
China. So America doesn't have that many
factories. So yes,
it has most advanced weaponry in the world
but this weapon doesn't do any good
if you don't have any munitions, right?
You don't have any munitions, bombs,
bullets and you need factories
for that. America doesn't really have
these factors. Now I understand that America is trying to upgrade its manufacturing
capacity but it's kind of slow. All right? So maybe five years from now it will
have manufacturing capacity to fight this war but right now it doesn't. So that's
another major issue okay? And then the last issue of course is casualties.
America, because it doesn't have the people will to fight this war, cannot afford
to lose soldiers on the battlefield.
All right?
So it wants to minimize the death, it wants to minimize battlefield losses because if like
a thousand, tens of thousands of American soldiers are going home to America dead in coffins,
I guarantee you because of lack of political will, the American people will revolt.
You have protests, you will have a lot of violence in the streets.
It'll be like the Vietnam era again.
All right.
Okay.
So, yes, I understand that America has technology, propaganda, and money, but as we discuss,
these aren't really advantages.
And these disadvantages are huge.
The lack of political will, the lack of manufacturing, and the lack of, um, lack of
America cannot afford to lose that many soldiers in the battlefield, okay?
And so this situation now determines how America will fight this war,
and we'll discuss this later on, okay?
All right, now let's talk about Iran.
So, Iran has a lot of disadvantages, okay?
But I want to discuss right now there are three major advantages
that they need to emphasize if they are to survive,
this war.
The first is the idea of faith.
So remember that the Iranians are Shia.
And as such, it's a religion of martyrdom, of eschatology, of individual sacrifice for
the greater good.
The Shia are not afraid to die.
And because their great religious leader, the Atonah Kamanai was assassinated by the
American Senate's release.
They are motivated to seek vengeance,
to martyr themselves for the greater good
to seek eternal paradise, okay?
Jihad.
That's the first major advantage.
The second major advantage is terrain.
And all this means is that Iran is a mountainous country.
And it's huge, it's three times the size
Iraq. So it's very hard for America to invade the country. In fact, most analysts will say,
will tell you it is suicidal for the American military to invade Iran. It is a mountain fortress.
Okay. It's a fortress. And the last issue is, the last adventure is nationalism.
So the Iranians are Persians. And the Persians go back.
5,000 years. It is one of the greatest civilizations in human history. And as we discussed
the last semester, in the ancient world, there were three great civilizations, right? The Jews,
the Greeks, and the Persians. And the Persian culture, it's vast, it's beautiful, and it's deep.
And that's what gives the Iranian people a lot of pride. Okay? So when they're fighting,
they're not just fighting for the religion,
they're not just fighting for the homes,
they're fighting for the entire civilization
that goes back 5,000 years.
So these are the three major advantages
that the Iranians have.
Faith means that they're not afraid to die
for what they believe in.
Terrain means that the Americans
have a hard problem invading the country.
Nationalism means that
the people of Iran know what they're fighting.
for. All right? So, but again, remember, everything that seems like advantage can be a disadvantage
as well, all right? So let's go over what the problems are. With faith, you might have an issue
of blindness, okay? Or zealotry. Where you're not afraid to die, but that means that you're not
thinking strategically, okay? Maybe you're going to waste too many soldiers on the battlefield.
They're brave, but they're kind of stupid as well. All right? So you might have an issue
where Iran is not using the optimal strategy because their soldiers are not afraid of death.
And we're already seeing that where the Americans have already blown up and destroyed
their navy. Now, anyone could have told you that if the first,
The worst thing Americans would do is go destroy the Navy.
So you should probably not use the Navy or hide the Navy or blow up the Navy yourself, okay?
Because you want to avoid as many casualties as possible, but they didn't do that,
and the Americans have now destroyed their rainy Navy.
So that's issue of faith.
Terrain, yeah, it's a fortress, but it can also be a prison, right?
Where you're just sort of stuck there, and because it's a mountainous region, it doesn't
not that many resources. So Americans can actually disrupt your water supply, disrupt your
electricity, okay, and cause general poverty and hardship for your people. Okay? And then
nationalism, yes, Persia is a great culture. Remember that Iran is a ethnally diverse
country. In fact, only 50% of the population of Iran are Persians. Others are different.
minorities okay all right so um you have then ethnic divisions right so looking at
this now we know exactly what the American strategy will be basically the
strategy will be to inflict as many casualties as possible on the Iranians all
right to kill so many people as possible
destroy the infrastructure of Iran so that the people
don't have enough water, electricity, food to survive, okay?
And the third, of course, is to create as much ethnic tension
in the country as possible by arming
and encouraging and bribing ethnic groups
to rebel against central government in Tehran.
All right?
Okay.
But again, what the law of symmetry,
Asymmetry tells us is that the empire ultimately is not as flexible and open and dynamic as its enemy.
Okay?
The weaker person is going to engage in much more self-reflection, self-debate than the empire, okay?
Because empire will become arrogant.
And so ultimately, Iran should triumph over America.
And in fact, what's going to happen is that this strategy that America will use against the Iranians will lead to the Iranians becoming much more energetic, open, and cohesive.
Okay?
So let's look at, let's look at the American strategy specifically.
All right.
So this is an ethnic map of Iran.
Okay. Now certain things that you will see is how divide the country is. Yeah, the Persians are in the center, but people you want to watch are the Kurds, okay, the Kurds, and the Azaris, and the Bullocks.
Okay? These are the three major problem areas for Iran, and it's always been the case. Remember, the Persians are in the middle.
So the Bollicks are, first of all, Sunni Muslims.
As we discussed last class, the Sunnis and the Shias have never really gotten along well together.
They have different, I mean, the same religion, Islam, but they have different belief systems.
That's led to a lot of conflicts in the past.
It's almost like the Catholics and the Protestants, okay?
And so the Bollick have been trying to rebel against Iranians for a long time.
I guarantee you that they're already Israeli and American Special Forces embedded in this area.
Okay?
The reason why is that they want to encourage as much civil conflict as possible,
but they also want to prepare the graph up the possibility for a ground invasion of America.
Okay?
So they would need a forward operating base.
And this area could be a very good place for a beginning of a land of a land,
invasion. Then you over here, you have the Kurds. Okay. The Kurds are another minority that seeks
national sovereignty. And right now what's happening is that the Americans in the Israelis
are bombing this area heavily and they're targeting police stations. Why? Because you're trying
to reduce and eliminate opposition so that they can arm the Kurds and have them come into this area
and threaten Iran.
What's also happening is that in Iraq,
there are these Sunni groups, okay,
that the Americans are basically bribing and arming,
and they're basically fanatics, okay?
They're ISIS.
And what the Americans want to do is send them into Iran
to cause as much problems as possible.
Then you over here you have Azerbaijan.
Azerbaijan, it is an independent country.
What's really odd is that the majority of ethnic Azarees
are actually in Iran.
6% are in the country, 40% are in the country of Azerbaijan.
Which means that from the perspective of the Azerbaijani people,
this war could be an opportunity to reunite
the people, okay, and create a greater Azerbaijan.
So these are the three problem areas
that you have to watch as this war develops
over the next few weeks, over the next few months, okay?
So we already know what the American strategy will be
because we've seen it in Libya, in Syria before.
Okay, so what is the strategy?
Right.
So again, the strategy is to both attack without, okay,
from outside and inside as well.
So what you're gonna do is this,
you're going to arm these people,
embed special forces into these instruction groups
to lead them and provide air cover
so they have a clear path into Iran
and are able to limit opposition, okay?
All right, so now you're attacking from without.
With a type of move in means to cause as much pain and suffering in the interior of Iran as possible.
All right, and how do you do that?
Well, you do that through decapitation.
Okay, let's go over the strategies.
Okay, decapitation.
And what you're doing is you're removing the elite, okay, or what we call command and control.
You're basically limiting the capacity of Iran to govern itself, to have a leadership, to have an elite.
Command and control.
So that's the first strategy.
Second strategy is area of environment, okay, era supremacy.
So again, America has the most advanced airplanes in the world.
And the way that it's using its airplanes is to destroy as much.
military installation as possible,
but it's also engaging in acts of sabotage.
Okay?
So what they're doing is they're carpet bombing.
Okay, so they're copper bombing Tehran, okay?
They're doing soft targeting.
Soft targeting means that instead of attacking
military installations, you attack hospitals.
Why? Because you're degrading the capacities,
sorry, you're degrading the state's capacity
to rejuvenate itself, to be resilient, okay?
Now, last thing is something called double tap.
Double tap is this, okay?
And it's really illegal or against in actual law.
What you do is this, you attack a place, right?
You kill some people, and then people try to come and help the people who are injured.
And it could be like doctors, it could be emergency personnel, it could be relatives, right?
And then you struck again to create as many civilian casualties as possible.
All right?
And the entire idea is to create as much fear and anxiety in people as possible so that they
lose the capacity to resist.
And the last thing you do, and so the last thing of course is to arm and bribe insurgents.
So these are the three main pillars of the American strategy.
and you will see this over the next few weeks.
The problem with this is that when you do these three things,
you're not actually hurting the Iranians,
you're actually helping them.
Because remember, the law of asymmetry states that
whichever group is able to create energy,
openness, and cohesion will win.
And guess what, guys?
This American strategy is going to create a more
energetic, more open, and more cohesive
Persian society.
All right, let me show you how.
All right, the capitation.
We just said that one major problem for America
is elite oil production, right?
Well, with decalcation, what you're doing is
you're solving this problem for the Iranians, right?
Before the huge problem for the Iranians
work, you have too many leaders,
have their own stupid opinion and they all want to lead this war, right? But by killing so many
leaders, you allow for more mobility, for more meritocracy, right? You're solving the problem
of elite overproduction for the Iranians. That's a huge, huge bonus, guys, okay? So the leadership
will become much more lean, much more mean, much more determined, and much more strategic.
Okay?
That's number one.
Number two, eros supremacy.
Well, when you do this to people, when you carpet bomb Tehran, you're creating a more cohesive society.
Why?
Because the major conflict in the reign for many decades was the conflict between the urban areas and the rural areas.
The rural areas were very religious, very poor, very backward.
And the urban areas were educated, secular, and progressive.
And so there's this huge conflict that led to a lot of riots, a lot of protests in Iran.
But when you cover above the cities, which are the main source of support for progressive Western policies,
you make them united with the rural areas, okay?
Does that make sense?
The Iranian people no longer see themselves as enemies, they see the Americans, they're really as enemies.
You create a much more cohesive society.
cohesive society, who are willing to fight together.
And that's a problem, okay?
All right, the last thing.
Yes, you are arming the assertions, the bullocks,
the Kurds, the Azeris, okay, that's fine.
The problem with this is that you are now activating,
galvanizing Persian nationalism, right?
For the longest time, the Persian National Identism
was suppressed by the the bureaucracy
because they want to create a more,
you know, they want to create a grand religion
that unites all ethnicities.
When you turn the other minorities against the Iranians,
then the Persian people have to come together
and remember their history,
celebrate their identity.
And this is the key, okay?
Once the Persian people are able to activate their long-lost memories,
last memories, go back in the past, remember the greatness.
They come together as an energetic, open, and cohesive society.
So yes, the Americans have this strategy that worked in Libya and Syria and other places,
but it's not going to work in Iran.
In fact, it's going to do the opposite in Iran.
And then you're like, well, why don't the Americans not do this?
I already told you because it's an empire, okay?
It doesn't care about Iran, it cares about itself.
And so it's sort of stuck with this policy because remember, it's trying to win this
war as quickly as possible because it doesn't have the manufacture capacity to fight
this war for a long time.
It's trying to reduce as many casualties among its soldiers as possible because
the Americans don't have the political will to fight this war.
America's trying to win this war cheaply and fast.
If it doesn't, then Americans are not of trouble.
Okay, doesn't make sense, guys?
All right, let me now conclude,
oh, sorry, let me now discuss the Iranian strategy, okay?
So what the Americans are using
is a classic strategy called siege warfare, okay?
And so what the Iranians are going to do
is they're going to respond
with a classic strategy called guerrilla warfare.
And go over warfare, guys, it's this simple.
It's just simple, hide and seek.
All right.
So you come bomb me with all, everything you have,
I'll just hide in my mountains.
And then when you leave, what I'm gonna do?
I'm gonna attack your GCC countries.
I'm gonna lock drones, rockets at you.
I'm gonna lock rockets at Israel, okay?
I don't have to strike that hard.
I just have to be a pain in the ass, okay?
Because then what happens is you're forced to come back
and bomb the living hell out of me.
But guess what?
mountains again. It's hide and seek, okay? So Iran can do this for years and years and years.
But again, remember, America is forced to win this war as fast as possible because there is no
political will. They don't have manufacturing capacity and they don't want that many casualties
and they can make damage, okay? Doesn't make sense, guys. All right? So that's all Iran is going to do.
Iran is just going to be a pain in the ass, okay? A pain in the ass. It's trying to create as much
economic damage. Okay? It's trying to create as much economic damage.
as possible, it's trying to create as much fear as possible, all right, which will force America
to attack. The grand question is this, will America launch a gratin of Asia? Okay, because if it does,
then, um, they've lost the war, okay? All right, because look, look at Iran, okay?
Mountains and mountains, deserts.
It is impossible to occupy this country.
It's impossible to invade.
And what the Iranians want to do is be so, such a painly ass, to commit so much guerrilla
warfare that America is forced to invade, okay, from over here and from over here, and
from over here, and from over here.
And then eventually, but the problem is that America doesn't have the resources, the
the political will, the manifactory capacity to fight this war.
Okay?
Doesn't make sense.
All right.
So now you're like, okay, I understand all this.
But why the hell is this war happening then?
If I can tell you this, okay?
I'm sure that their generals can tell them this as well.
I'm sure that they know that this was the case.
In fact, for years, America has been planning to invade Iran, and for years, the generals was
like, no, that's suicidal, let's not do this, okay?
So why is this happening?
And unfortunately, we don't know, because the administration is not telling us.
At first, Trump is like, oh, because the nuclear talks didn't go well.
But we know for a fact that the Iranians were willing to agree to all terms of the Americans.
And then, Marco Rubio, who's the Secretary of State, he came out yesterday, and you see,
He said something really moronic.
He said that, why did we attack Iran?
Because we heard the Israelis, we're going to attack first.
And then Iranians, we're going to respond by attacking both the Israelis and us, the Americans.
And therefore, we have to preempt the Israelis by attacking first.
That's just retarded, okay?
So they don't know why they're doing this.
But there has to be a reason, right?
Okay, well, a clue is this.
The clue is this.
The soldiers are being asked, the American soldiers are being asked to fight this war.
And again, no one knows why this war is happening.
But there's reporting that the generals are telling the soldiers, this is a war for Jesus.
This is a war to create the second coming of Jesus.
This is John Dr.
Larson and he's writing this on substack, okay?
U.S. troops were told Iran war is for Armageda, the return of Jesus.
What is this?
All right.
So, sorry.
So, some soldiers who are not Christians were told that there's a war for Jesus and like,
wait a minute, we're not Christians, we're Muslims or we're atheists.
Why are we fighting this war?
And so they filed complaint about the speech.
Okay? And we're going to read a part of this email that the soldiers who are dissenting sent to some other people to complain about this. Okay, so I agree, could you read please?
I am a NCO rank withheld in our unit. This morning our commander opened up the combat readiness status briefing by urging us to not be afraid as to what is happening with our combat operations in Iran right now.
Stop, okay, afraid. This word tells us. They're losing.
the war, okay? Right? Keep on going.
He urged us to tell our troops that this was all part of God's divine plan and he specifically
Reefenced... Wait a minute here. Wait a minute. God's divine plan? God's not the one ordering
them to fight this war. It's Trump or the American military, okay? This is kind of weird. Keep on going
going. And he specifically referenced numerous citations out of the book of Revelation referring
to Armageddon and the imminent return of Jesus Christ. He said that president, that president,
President Trump has been anointed by Jesus to light the signal fire in Iran, to cause Armageddon, and mark his return to earth.
Oh my God.
President Trump, the fire in Iran.
It's all a part of a grand plan to destroy the world so that Jesus will return.
What is this craft?
Okay, keep on going on going.
He had a big grin on his face.
Okay, he's happy about this, guys.
The world is ending.
Yeah!
Keep on going.
when he said all of this which made his message seem even more crazy.
Our commander would probably be described as a Christian first supporter.
He has been this way for a very long time and makes it clear that he desires all of us under him
to become just like him as a Christian.
But what he did this morning was so toxic and over the line that it shocked many of us in attendance
at the Ops Reddenous Breaving.
Besides myself, I am reaching out to MRF.S.
on behalf of 15 fellow troops.
I know you asked me about the religious views of our group,
who has requested help from the MRFF.
I can only tell you that I am Christian,
and at least 10 of the others are also Christians.
One of the others is Jewish, and one is Muslim.
I don't know the religious or non-religious status
for the other three at this time.
Okay, so what is happening is that there are some crazy Christians
in the American military,
in the American government,
Okay?
That want to use this war to end the world, to force Jesus to return.
That is why this war is happening.
I'm not saying that this is a reason why, but I'm saying like this is a possibility, okay?
All right?
This is Trump and these are all religious leaders that support Trump because they see him as
as a Messiah.
They see him as this great hero who will cause the triumph of Christianity and the return
of Jesus.
And that's a possibility as to why this war is being fought, okay?
Because quite honestly, there's no other reason.
It's hard for me to come up with another reason, okay?
So this is something that we will look at as we go along.
What is this crap?
What is Christian Zionism?
Why would they think that this war in the Middle East will cause a return?
of Jesus, okay?
Well, we'll discuss this later on.
But I want to, but now it leads us to another problem, which is our entire class is on game
theory, right?
Guys, this is kind of weird because what this suggests is that religion is more important,
okay?
So what's the point of game theory if people don't play by game theory, if all, if they're
just really just fanatic?
All right?
And the answer is this.
And the answer is it's still game theory.
But the problem is that what you think, the game that you think they're playing is not the game they're playing.
The reward that you think they want want is not the reward that they want, okay?
We think in terms of material things.
Okay, so money, resources, power.
We think that the war is being fought over these things.
And it's not.
All right?
The grand secret, the grand reveal all this semester, all this course is this.
The real power, the real currency in the world is not money.
It is human consciousness.
Or basically attention.
Okay?
This is it, guys, okay?
When you understand this idea, you understand everything.
But this is a hard idea, I don't understand,
so I'll need some time to actually explain this, all right?
This war is being fought to control the consciousness
of the human race, because it is our consciousness
that creates reality itself.
That's a source of all wealth and all power in this world.
Okay, that's why this is happening.
In other words, this is a war not just for Iran.
This is a war not just for the Middle East.
It is a war for the soul of humanity.
This is what's happening, guys.
All right?
It's what World War III is.
World War III is meant to be the last and final war of all human history.
Because when this war will control the very soul of human existence.
Fall of eternity.
That is the end game.
And I know this is a hard idea, I understand, but as we go along, I will explain this to you.
That is the grand secret behind the world.
Everything that you believe, everything that you see today, it's all an illusion.
The reality, the truth, is that consciousness is a source of all power of reality itself.
And so this is a war for human consciousness.
is it's a war for the very soul of humanity okay any questions all right I will see you
guys next week
