Predictive History - The Story of "Civilization", "Secret History", "Game Theory" and more - Game Theory #16: Pax Judaica Rising (Re-Upload)

Episode Date: March 31, 2026

Game Theory #16: Pax Judaica Rising (Re-Upload) ...

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Starting point is 00:00:00 Today I want to discuss how this war will end. I cannot predict when this war will end, but I want to make certain predictions about how this war will end. So to first understand how the war is going, let's let's let's let's some video clips. So this is President Donald Trump. He's talking about the war. He hit Qatar, Saudi Arabia, U.A.E,
Starting point is 00:00:30 Bahrain, Kuwait. Nobody expected that. We were shot. And the other one, you know, they fought back. They could have yielded. But think of it, if we weren't around, they have tremendous power. They had thousands of missiles, most of which we've terminated.
Starting point is 00:00:48 There are thousands of drones. They were making drones and missiles all over the place. We've knocked out most of those factories. But they hit. Okay. Okay, so what he's saying here is we went in expecting them, expecting to hit them, kill their leadership, and then they would surrender. We didn't expect them to fight back. We didn't expect them to close the circle of who moves.
Starting point is 00:01:13 We didn't expect that they would hit Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait. Okay? So what he's saying is we actually didn't have a plan going in. And we really didn't think our enemies would fight back. So this is Donald Trump. Now let's look at his. President's preference is always peace. There does not need to be any more death and destruction.
Starting point is 00:01:48 But if Iran fails to accept the reality of the current moment, if they fail to understand that they have been defeated militarily and will continue to be, President Trump will ensure they are hit harder than they have ever been hit before. President Trump, that is not bluff and he is prepared to unleash hell. Okay, so what is she, this is Karen Leavitt, and she's the press secretary for the White House. And what she's saying is, look, we've defeated these guys. But for whatever reason, the Iranians don't know that. That's the problem.
Starting point is 00:02:22 The problem isn't us. We came in with the right strategy. We did everything right. But for whatever reason, the Iranians being stupid don't know they've been defeated. All right. Never in history has a modern military. Iran had a modern military, a modern Navy, a modern air force, modern air defenses, leadership, massive bunker. Never has a modern military been so rapidly and historically obliterated, defeated from day one with overwhelming firepower. The air campaign that we've conducted, that Israel's conducted alongside us, was one for the history books, truly. And it's because we have a president of the United States that when he sends his warfighters out to fight, he unties. their hands to actually go out and close with and destroy the enemy as viciously as possible from moment one. And that's why we see ourselves as part of this negotiation as well. We negotiate
Starting point is 00:03:28 with bombs. You have a choice as we loiter over the top of Tehran, as the president talked about, about your future. The president has made it clear that you will not have a nuclear weapon. The War Department agrees. Our job is to ensure that. And so we're keeping our hand on that throttle as long as as hard as it's necessary to ensure the interest of the United States of America are achieved. Okay, so this is Secretary of War Peter Hexon, and he represents the Pentagon, the military. And his attitude is we're winning in this war, we are kicking ass, and we don't have to negotiate because we're kicking ass, and we'll continue to do so.
Starting point is 00:04:07 All right, so this is the attitude of the military. Now, the U.S. media has been reporting that Donald Trump is seeking an off-ramp. He's seeking negotiations. And what Peter Hex ever says, no, let's negotiate with bombs, man. Across the administration and a treasury, we unsanctioned Russian oil. We knew that there were about 130 million barrels on the water. And we created supply that is beyond the straits of her most. So we anticipated this.
Starting point is 00:04:52 We knew that there could be a temporary, and I want to emphasize temporary choke point there, and there was 130 million barrels of floating storage. In the coming days, we may unsanction the Iranian oil that's on the water. It's about 140 million barrels. So depending on how you count it, that's 10 days to two weeks of supply, that the Iranians had been pushing out, that would have all gone to China. In essence, we will be using the Iranian barrels
Starting point is 00:05:25 against the Iranians to keep the price down for the next 10 or 14 days. Okay, so this is the secretary of the Treasury, Scott Bassett, okay? He's responding to a problem, which is, the Americans didn't expect that the Iranians would close off the sheriff of Hamos. and so this is affecting oil supply.
Starting point is 00:05:48 And so the global economy could be disrupted or even destroyed if this lasts too long. So Scott Besson says, Ha, we knew this was going to happen and we have a really brilliant plan to destroy the Iranians once and for all. Our plan is this. We're going to let the Iranians sell their oil
Starting point is 00:06:12 and make a lot of money. And then they will be destroyed. Yeah. So the Americans basically unsanctioned Iranian oil, and because of that, the Iranians were able to make $14 billion just like that. The total Iranian military budget for one year is $10 billion.
Starting point is 00:06:39 Okay? Okay? So this is American genius at work. They knew this was what happened. They knew the Iranians wanted to destroy the global economy, so the Americans were like, well, it's like them rich, so they can't destroy the global economy. We got them now. All right.
Starting point is 00:07:01 And yet Iran remains a threat, a threat to trade, a threat to the straits of Harmuth. Then I would argue that we could have years, years of, you know, about. of $100 closer to $150 oil. What happens to the global economy if that happens? How do we see it? It will have global recession. If there's a cessation of war and yet Iraq. Okay, so this is Larry Fink and he's head
Starting point is 00:07:37 of a company called Black Rock, which is the largest asset manager in the world. They control trillions and trillions of dollars. And what he's saying, he's being interviewed by the BBC. What he's saying is we can't stop this war now because if we stop the war, this war now, that means that the price of oil will be too high for many, many years. The Iranians will control the Strait of Homoos, and therefore we must fight this war to the end.
Starting point is 00:08:02 What he doesn't address is, well, if you didn't start this war in the first place, you wouldn't have this problem. Because the Armenians would have no pretext to close off the Strip of Homoos. And the Global Economy would have been fine. But what he's saying is like, oh, don't worry about that. But the problem is like is the war has started and therefore we must fight to the end. Okay? So this is a drone launched by a Iranian proxy in Iraq flying over an American base. And as you can see, there's nothing stopping it, okay? It's just flying over this American base. It's being remote control. It spots two American helicopters and destroys one of them, okay?
Starting point is 00:09:17 meaning that you have all these American bases throughout the Middle East and they are vulnerable. They cannot be protected against cheap drones. So from American perspective, this war will either beg with the Americans or this war will be lost, okay? But it's very hard to fight this war
Starting point is 00:09:42 against a determining enemy. So what I want to do now is examine how this war will turn out, okay? So I've said this many times, but the Americans are losing this war. And the main reason is the problem of hubris. And so I want to examine closely what this means strategically,
Starting point is 00:10:18 what this means on the battlefield, okay? So war is fought across four dimensions. There is the narrative dimension, meaning global opinion, how history will perceive this war. There is the political dimension, meaning how your allies perceive this war, how your domestic base perceive this war. There's the economic, and then there's the military.
Starting point is 00:10:50 then there's the military. If we examine this war closely, the Iranians are fighting a very different war from the Americans. What the Americans are doing is basically they are shifting the narrative, political sphere, and economic sphere to fit their economic strategy. Their economic strategy is decapitation,
Starting point is 00:11:21 which forces surrender, right? So what they want to do is they want to not destroy the Iranian leadership, destroy the Iranian economy to force a surrender, in which case the Americans can dictate terms. That is their strategy, and that's about it. And they are forcing the narrative space, the political space, the economic space, to conform to the military strategy, meaning that they expect the allies, NATO,
Starting point is 00:11:49 they expect the media, they expect the economy, to support this strategy. So, for example, in the political space, Donald Trump has ordered NATO to come and open up the strip of Hummus. Okay, and also, Donald Trump refuses to announce the fact that this war is very unpopular back in America. In the economic space, what the Americans are trying to do is keep the price of oil low
Starting point is 00:12:21 so it does not just trump the global economy. And they do that, of course, by unsectioning Russian and Iranian oil, which benefits the Russian and Iranian economies. Okay? And in a near space, they're basically trying to tell the media to follow the party line. Donald Trump has threatened journalists that if you do not report this war going well, then I might put you in prison. All right? So this is the American strategy, forcing the narrative, political, and economic spares to conform to the military strategy.
Starting point is 00:12:57 The Iranians have a different approach. The Iranians are using the military in order to impact the economic, political, and narrative spears. All right, it's completely reverse. So the military strategy is calibrate in a certain way to benefit the Iranian economy. Okay? So what I mean by that is that the military
Starting point is 00:13:23 is strategically control the survival moves so that Chinese ships can pass, right? Because Chinese ships are the main buyer of Iranian oil. Also, if you are, if you're willing to play ball, like Japan or Qatar or Oman, they will also let your ships pass, okay? So this is being strategic. Politically, the Iranians are trying to split the Gulf states, right?
Starting point is 00:13:51 They know that Saudi Arabia and New York. the UAE are committed to regime change in Iran, but they know that Qatar, Bahrain, I'm sorry, sorry, not Buran, Qatar, and Oman are on the other side, okay? So they're trying to gain as much global leverage as possible within the GCC. And the narrative is they're trying to shape a global opinion and trying to make everyone believe that they are on the right side of history. And most people believe that. In fact, you have a lot of Americans who are rooting for the Iranians.
Starting point is 00:14:23 to win. All right? So this is a very different, these are two very different strategies. All right, so let's talk about the advantages and disadvantages of both strategies. Okay, so from the American perspective, the fact that you have this approach of making the world conform to your military strategy basically means that you lack what we call reflection, okay? meaning that you're not able to sit down with your strategies and discuss how this war is going and how to make changes. But the Iranians are able to do so because the military has to conform to the economic, political,
Starting point is 00:15:12 and narrative strategies. Okay? Second is flexibility. And what I mean by that is The military strategy, if it's not going well for Americans, they lack the capacity to reflect and make changes. So what they do is they double down. They accelerate the process of bombing in Iraq,
Starting point is 00:15:37 even though it's probably not getting them anywhere. Also, much more importantly, the Americans will choose much more self-destructive desperate strategies, such as certain ground troops. it is possible by this weekend ground troops will be sent into Iran, which most military analysts believe to be either counter-effective or suicidal. The Iranians on the other hand can adapt their military strategy to the economic and political realities.
Starting point is 00:16:13 So for example, what they're doing now is they're charging tolls to cross the general Homoos. Okay? And the third difference is the idea of resilience. So in other words, if you make the world and America conform to your military strategy, they won't support you. That means that if you're losing troops and you're losing equipment,
Starting point is 00:16:40 it is very hard to replenish, resupply. Whereas a complete opposite in Iran, where, because they are winning popular opinion, because their economy is becoming stronger in this process, because they're winning more political allies, they can actually draw on more support from a population, and they can also recruit foreign fighters and foreign support, foreign sympathy for their cause.
Starting point is 00:17:06 So for these reasons, I believe that America is losing this war and that ultimately this war will be lost. When this will happen, we don't know, because America is an empire, and they can, they can actually drag us on for at least 20 years. All right? Okay, so now that we've discussed why America will probably lose this war,
Starting point is 00:17:31 I want to now shift our focus to discuss how the world will change because of this war. What does the end of this war look like? And to do that, what's really important is to go back to our model of how the world works, okay? So remember last week, we discussed. the structure of the world. And at the very core is the empire. Because the empire provides the muscle, the military might, to shape the contours of reality.
Starting point is 00:18:06 And then with the empire, you have the finance. Okay? Finance includes Sea of London, Wall Street, Wall Street, Bank of National Sentiments, and asset managers. and they are the game masters, okay? Okay, the empire is the muscle, but the finance are the ones
Starting point is 00:18:29 who actually set the game. And then this creates the global economy, which is based on the US dollar, right? But you can actually have people believing that this is the way the game is structured because then people won't want to play the game. So what you do is you create an additional layer of multilateral organizations.
Starting point is 00:18:54 What the Americans like to call the rules based in national order, including the UN and the WTO, okay, and other organizations. But this makes people believe that the way the world of structure is fair, open, and transparent. And you hide the finance and the empire behind multilateral organizations, okay? And then to justify this system,
Starting point is 00:19:21 you have the culture, education, education and media, which then creates the different legal infrastructure of different nations and the values as well. So this is how the world is organized. We also discuss how there are these organizations that are above the nation state, that are bought the system in order to benefit from the system, to keep it going, but also to extract rent from it. And these include intelligence, crime, and science. We also discuss how the organizing forces behind intelligence, crime, and science are transnational capital, secret societies,
Starting point is 00:20:20 as well as elite families. And we discuss how they are bonded together by a concept called the occult, which we'll study later on, okay? but the idea they're called, okay? So this is the structure of the world. Now, once this world is created, what you need to understand is that the people
Starting point is 00:20:38 in the different spheres who benefit from the system, first and foremost, their interest is maintaining that status quo, okay? So their interest is in maintaining the status quo. All right? So basically, they want the system to continue. The problem with the system is, at the core,
Starting point is 00:21:08 it's an empire that will probably lose the war in Iran. And this creates a problem, because if the empire falls, then it's possible that its entire edifice falls as well. So the only solution is to replace the empire, the American empire, with another empire, all right? that is able to provide the muscle for this system. And this empire, I've argued in the past, is of course Israel.
Starting point is 00:21:42 And this will we call Pax Judaica. Okay? So on the surface, it seems like this war is one between the United States and Iran, but in reality, what this war really is about is a war between the United States and Israel, where the American Empire has become corrupt, incompetent, and arrogant.
Starting point is 00:22:10 And so now Israel sees an opportunity to replace the American Empire in the system. And it's something that eventually, every aspect of the system will agree to do. All right? So the main outcome of this war, when it ends, is that Israel will replace America in the Middle East. Okay?
Starting point is 00:22:33 All right, so let me first discuss why the American Empire is falling. And the main reason is the idea of something called the military industrial complex. So for most of its history, America did not have a professional army. Why? Because the founding fathers and most American citizens believe that it is a standing army, in this professional army, that's a direct threat to the liberty of the Americans. Because the Americans fought a war, the Revolutionary War, to get rid of the professional army that was the British.
Starting point is 00:23:26 So Americans do not like a professional army. But in order to fight World War I and World War II, they didn't have a choice but to create a standing army. The problem is that after America won World War II. the apparatus stayed, and the apparatus wanted to maintain a status quo, meaning they wanted access to unlimited government funds. So this led to the Cold War, and the Cold War was a justification for the MIC, the military industrial complex, to get as much government funding as possible.
Starting point is 00:24:05 And the blue, as you can see, is government expenditures. We can understand why they spent all this money in World War II because they were fighting a war to save America and to save the world. But as you can see, even though it dropped drastically at the end of the war, starting with a Cold War, you have this uptick, okay? And then you have the Vietnam War. And then after America won the Cold War, you saw this massive uptake. uptake, this is something called the war on terror. So the military complex is always looking to start wars in order to justify its existence. So there's a very famous journalist named Julian Assange, and he said this about America.
Starting point is 00:24:57 The point is not to have successful wars, the point is not to win wars, the point is is that never-ending wars, which allows the military industrial complex to transfer American taxpayer money to a transnational elite okay it's basically the point of wars is for the military industrial complex you steal as much money as possible from America okay America spends a lot of money in its military okay America accounts for 41% of all global military spending Who's next? China. China spends 8.2%.
Starting point is 00:25:46 Russia, which is America's main military enemy, only spends 4.1%, okay? Meaning that Russia spends one-tenth the amount of money that America spends. And you think that, okay, well, all this means that America is invincible, but what you don't recognize is the level of corruption within the American military.
Starting point is 00:26:14 The American military is probably the most corrupt institution in the world, by far. No one even comes close, okay? September 10th, 2001, Donald Ronsfield, who's the Secretary of Defense for the Americans, he's head of the Pentagon, and this is a day before September 11th, the 9-11 attacks, he said that,
Starting point is 00:26:39 he had a trust conference, said that look we looked at the Pentagon books okay we're trying to an accounting of the Pentagon military spending and we can't find two $20 there's two $20 missing from the budget it went somewhere we don't know where but it went somewhere okay all right all right so this is a so where does I'm going to go it goes to private contractors okay these are all private companies that make a lot of money off the government, okay?
Starting point is 00:27:18 So look at, listen at the bonus company. They had in one year $20 billion from the government. They got $20 billion in contracts from the government, okay? To do so, they had to spend $16 million in order to loss. to lobby Congress through advertisements, for political campaigns.
Starting point is 00:27:48 And then they bribe, this is a bribe to politicians. They spent $2 million, okay? So this is a really good business to be in. You spend $2 million, you give them bribe to politicians, then you spend $16 million dollars on campaigns, and then you make $20 billion, okay? This is extremely profitable. The difference, of course, is being picked up
Starting point is 00:28:12 by the American taxpayer. The Boeing company is not just a defense contractor, but also makes civilian airplanes. And for these past few years, there's been quite a few cases of civilian airplanes falling out of the sky made by Boeing. So for example, the Boeing 737 Max. There was a recall because there were some engineering issues
Starting point is 00:28:37 with the plane. Now, there have been a couple of whistleblowers who've come out and tried try to say that Boeing is a very corporate company. And for the reason, they die, okay? They just disappear. We don't know why, but when they were about to testify against Boeing, they somehow died.
Starting point is 00:28:57 All right? This is a really interesting story that shows you the level of corruption in the Pentagon. There is this woman who's a contractor for the army, and she stole $103 million. Okay, that's a lot of money. $103 million. She stole it.
Starting point is 00:29:18 The army didn't know. And she kept on stealing. And no one seemed to care in the army. But then the IRS, this is the Internal Revenue Service, they recognized that she was getting all this money from somewhere. So they investigated her and recognized, oh, my God, she's stealing from the army. So the IRS told the army, and that's when the army recognized, oh, with a problem. Okay.
Starting point is 00:29:43 The fact that the army didn't notice that you were stealing $103 million tells you, actually theft in the military is probably a very common thing. All right? So ultimately, what this means is that this corruption in the Pentagon is not really sustainable. Okay, so let me discuss why this is a problem for America in Iran, okay?
Starting point is 00:30:15 So right now America is facing three major issues with this war in Iran. The first major issue is the lack of political will, meaning that this war is very popular in America. Only 40% of the population currently support this war, and as things go on and on, support will probably decrease. You need political will because you need Americans to pay for this war.
Starting point is 00:30:50 Trump has asked for $20 billion to fund this war. And also it's possible that Trump will call the natural draft, which I believe will happen. Okay? So if Americans don't want to support this war, it's very hard to get them to pay for this war and to go fight this war. Second problem is lack of manufacturing capacity. So in other words, what this means is,
Starting point is 00:31:17 that if you lose planes, if you use too many bombs, you cannot replenish it because you don't have the factories to produce these planes and bombs quickly enough. Okay? And so if this war drags on too long, then America will just run out of bombs. Now, and the third problem for America is unwillingness to sustain
Starting point is 00:31:49 casualties. And what this means is that Americans, the American military is afraid of reporting deaths, casualties, which is weird because in a war, soldiers die. That's just the reality of war. But the Pentagon is afraid of reporting too many deaths because of the fair political backlash. Okay? So these are three major problems for the American military in Iran. These are the three major constraints. So the Americans can actually resolve these issues, and America will probably lose this war, in which case this gives opportunity for Israel
Starting point is 00:32:35 to prove to the world that it should be the empire, okay? And it proves it can be the empire by showing that it does have the political will, it does have, It doesn't have the manufacturing capacity, but that's more sod, okay? And it is much more strategic. The last thing is that it is resilient, meaning that it is willing to accept casualties, okay?
Starting point is 00:33:03 So basically, the idea here is the global elite, they need an empire to provide the muscle, but the empire must prove that it can serve the needs of the global elite, okay? And so an empire must prove three things. First of all, it must prove unity. It must prove it has the resources and the capacity. Basically the capacity, okay?
Starting point is 00:33:36 And it must prove determination. So to understand this idea, let's just do a thought experiment. Let's just say that we're venture capital. that we're venture capitalists. We have billions of dollars, we have trillions of dollars, and we want to invest in a company. Okay, so we're approached by two companies. We're approached by two companies. Company A, company B, okay? So company A comes to us and says that, look, I have a hundred companies and they're all profitable. Okay. I have a business plan,
Starting point is 00:34:19 but I have lots and lots of resources and I have a lot of experience and a lot of skill and so if I were to invest in another company I'm sure it'll make a lot of money okay all right so skills and experience that is company A company B is these young guys and they failed okay but they're like you know what we're going to put our heart and soul into this enterprise. We're going to work 16 hours a day, every day, for as long as it takes, and we won't stop. Even if this company is successful, we're going to keep on going because it's our passion.
Starting point is 00:35:05 And if this company fails, then we're bankrupt. We might kill ourselves. So if you are the venture capitalists, do you put your money in A or do you put your money in B? Now, most people would put their money in A because they think it is low risk. But if you're smart venture capitalists, you put your money in B because it's high reward.
Starting point is 00:35:29 Okay? So company A already has 100 companies that are successful. People in the company don't really care if there's no enterprise is successful or not. Who cares, right? I can afford to lose. In which case, it's more likely the company A steals your money than actually invest it properly.
Starting point is 00:35:51 Whereas company B is going to be an opportunity B is it can be opposite where this is their last chance. If they take your money, they're gonna make sure that they grow it. Because if they don't grow it, then they themselves die. Okay? So you need these things. You need unity, capacity, and determination.
Starting point is 00:36:14 Do you understand? And so what issue is doing really, especially auditioning to the world, we are ready to replace America. We are ready to be the new empire. higher. Okay? All right. So let's look at what's happening. America has this MIC and so the MIC, military industrial complex, what they're good at doing is producing very expensive weapons systems. But unfortunately, when you actually put these
Starting point is 00:36:41 weapons systems into war, it doesn't really do anything, okay? So this is the Patriot missile system that's supposed to protect the GCC in Israel and the American military bases from Iranian drone. drones and missiles. Guess what guys? Doesn't really work, okay? In fact, as you can see from the video, the Iranians can basically fly drones anywhere
Starting point is 00:37:05 in the Middle East, and the Americans can't really stop them. All right, so this is $1,000, doesn't really do anything. This is called the F-35. The F-35 is the most advanced fighter jet in the whole world. It has stealth technology, meaning you can't actually lock onto it,
Starting point is 00:37:24 radar. This cost $100 million each. It took 26 years to develop. So you would think, wow, it took 26 years, so this must be really, really good. No, it took 26 years because the MIC is really corrupt and they want to steal as much money as possible. Okay? And in this war, the Iranians have already shut down at least one of these jets. Okay? This is not supposed to happen. You're not supposed to be able to shoot these things down, but Iranians have shut it down using, very low radar. Again, these things, they're not designed to win wars, they're designed to steal as much money as possible for American taxpayer. Okay? Now, last example is the Gerald Ford. This ship cost $13 billion. It costs $13 billion.
Starting point is 00:38:14 The annual defense budget for the Iranians is $10 billion. It goes into the war theater and Three weeks afterwards, it has to run away, okay? And in fact, the Americans say, oh, they're going forward, this is the most advanced super carrier in the world, it's probably going to be down to repair the next two years. And this argument as to what happened, okay?
Starting point is 00:38:40 There are three different possibilities. The first possibility is that there was an accident in the laundry room and there's a fire and this fire spread throughout the carrier, okay? which means that actually the carrier is not very resilient. Okay, so that's one possibility. And that's what the official story is. But there are also others who say, like,
Starting point is 00:39:06 the Iranians hit the ship with a missile. And so the 0-04-4 can protect itself from Iranian missiles, so it ran away. Okay? The third possibility, the third explanation is the Pentagon recognized that there are severe limitations. of the general forward in actual combat operations, its radar, its guidance system are all very limited.
Starting point is 00:39:32 So the Pentagon withdrew the general forward because it was absolutely useless in war. Whichever story is true, it doesn't paint a good picture of the American military. $13 billion, and this does nothing, okay? It's just a white elephant. The readings are, and also, this is, This is Iwo Jima, and this came in World War II in the Pacific Theater when the Americans were fighting Japanese.
Starting point is 00:40:04 And this is the height of American military glory. It took about 6,000. The Americans lost 6,000 Marines in Ticklandlandland and that's a sacrifice you need in order to win wars. You're going to lose a lot of soldiers. And Americans are proud that they were willing to make the sacrifice necessary to win the war. The problem is Americans are not going to sustain casualties, okay? So the Americans send about 5,000, around 5,000 Marines to Iran, hoping that 5,000 Marines will be enough to win this war. Okay?
Starting point is 00:40:49 But it just shows you that Americans have no strong. strategy to win this war and they want to want to make the necessary sacrifices to win this war. They want to win this war as quickly and as cheaply as possible, okay? Their issues, the Israelis are different, okay? This is Gaza. And we all know that what Gaza did was terrible. But again, if you are auditioning to be an empire, Gaza is proof of concept, okay? Meaning it's showing the global elite, look, we're willing to do what is.
Starting point is 00:41:21 it takes to win this war and defend the empire. Okay? So this was a tremendous tragedy, and that's all war crimes, okay? And the entire world is a gas. But if you look at Israeli public opinion, 82% support explaining all Palestinians from Gaza, okay?
Starting point is 00:41:45 66% believe Amalek exists today. Amalek exists, like, Israel has this great enemy that he must defeat. So 66% of Israelists believe that this war against Gaza is a war for the very existence of Israel. This is unity. This is determination. The Americans don't have this. Most Americans oppose what Israel is doing in Gaza.
Starting point is 00:42:11 But what Israel, but Israel himself support what's going on. So there's unity. All right. All right, so in 2024, there's the famous Lebanon pager attack, okay? Meaning that the Israelis were able to implant bombs into pagers that went to Hezbollah members, and then it blew up, okay? And maybe from a military perspective, it didn't accomplish that much. From a psychological perspective, it accomplished a lot, okay?
Starting point is 00:42:50 It scared to living hell out of Hezbollah. It made them paranoid, and it also made the world respect Israel more. And Israel spent $275 million to conduct this operation. That took decades to implement, okay? And you're like, okay, why is Israel telling us this? Because, again, Israel is auditioning to be the new empire. It's telling the global elite, look, not only, will we fight this war for you? Not only will we be your muscle, but we'll do it cheaply, man.
Starting point is 00:43:23 Not bills of dollars, millions of dollars. This is ISIS. ISIS is Islamic State, okay? And this is considered a terrorist organization. These Sunni extremists who go around and beheading people. All right? Now, this is from the near times and the yellow tells you areas in which they operate and as you can see it's really across the Middle East and the red are incidents of attacks directed by ISIS okay now something that's really funny about all this is ISIS attacks everywhere in the Middle East except for one country that country is Israel okay really funny how you have these Muslim extremists going around committing all sorts of atrocities everywhere in
Starting point is 00:44:20 the Middle East except Israel and so that's why a lot of people believe that Islamic State is actually creation of Mossad but again Israel is happy for the world to know this because again issue is auditioning to be the new empire and what Israel is saying is we don't have to use the American strategy of just bombing everyone to death, okay? That's expensive, that's brutal, and it's not very strategic. We can use the Massad to infiltrate groups
Starting point is 00:44:56 and use these groups against the comrades, their neighbors. Is that much more efficient? Is that much more effective, okay? So what Israel is saying is, we are much better controlling the Middle East than the Americans, so let us control the Middle East using our strategies, Okay, this is a story of a Mossad agent
Starting point is 00:45:20 who was disguised as an ISIS preacher. And this happens a lot. There are lots of stories where you have these ISIS commanders or agents, and when you arrest them, you discover, okay, actually they're actually Massad, okay? So ISIS is basically a Massad operation. All right, so the main story here is, okay,
Starting point is 00:45:43 if you look at history, the relationship between Israel and America, It's actually pretty simple. Israel is the pit bull for America. The problem of empire as it grows old is it doesn't want to do bad things. It wants to feel good about itself. Therefore, it subcontracts the violence, the murder, the genocide to different people, to mercenaries, the Israelis in the Middle East.
Starting point is 00:46:19 And this is a pattern throughout human history. So the Romans started out as mercenaries for the Trishans in Italy. The Aztecs started out as mercenaries for the Kolhakan in Mexico. The Greeks started out as mercenaries for the Persians. Okay? The Mongols started out as mercenaries for the Chinese. The Akkadian started out as mercenaries for the Samarians. The Mulek started out as mercenaries for the Ayur d'a dynasty in Egypt.
Starting point is 00:46:46 In every instance, what happened is the Qaeda was. is the mercenaries eventually got to a point where we are the ones killing ourselves for this empire the empire is corrupt decade and weak why don't we just see it over and they did okay we're seeing a similar situation play out today in the Middle East where Israel was created by the British and Americans to be the to be their pit bull to be their aircraft carrier in the Middle East to create as much instability as possible so that the Americans and the British
Starting point is 00:47:22 could control the oil supply in the Middle East. And this has gone for decades. And now these treaties are like, wait a minute here, we're the ones doing all the work. We're the ones making all the sacrifices. We're the ones that are getting all the hate in this world. So why shouldn't we be the empire now?
Starting point is 00:47:39 America is useless. Okay? All right. So this is a pattern throughout human history. And so we're going to look at what this means. Okay. So Israel has something called the Greater Israel Project. And this is what extremists in Israel believe.
Starting point is 00:48:03 They believe that God in the Bible promise the entire Middle East to the Jewish people, okay? extending from the Nile in Egypt all the way to the Euphrates in Iraq. And it also encompasses Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Lebanon, Syria, and parts of Turkey as well. Now, something really funny about this map is this. Iran, Persia, is not part of the greater Israel project. So then you're asking yourself, wait a minute here. If Iran is actually not part of the Great Industrial Project, then why is Israel going to war with Iran?
Starting point is 00:48:54 Well, the reason why is, if they want all this territory, their main enemy is not Syria, that's been destroyed. It's not Iraq, that's been destroyed. It's not Saudi Arabia. It's too weak. Not Jordan, it's too weak. Not Egypt. It's too weak.
Starting point is 00:49:09 Not Lebanon. It's too weak. The main enemy is, the American Empire. Okay? In the Greater Israel Project, it's the Americans that control the land of Greater Israel, the Middle East.
Starting point is 00:49:23 These are American bases. So in other words, you use this war against Iran to destroy the American Empire. How, by forcing the American Empire to go and invade Iran. And when this happens, America will be too overextended,
Starting point is 00:49:44 and then they'll be forced to retreat from the Middle East. Okay? And so eventually America will be defeated. America will be forced to retreat from the Middle East. And I will leave two regional powers, okay? Iran and Israel. And again, because of the Greater Israel Project, the Israelis have no problem with this.
Starting point is 00:50:07 Persia is, again, not part of the Great Orsio Social project. The Israelis don't really care if Iran is still standing. They want Iran to be as weaken as possible, okay? But they really don't need to defeat Iran to achieve the political prophecy. But they do need to defeat the Americans. All right, the Americans are in the way.
Starting point is 00:50:28 All right. Okay, so what does the Great Israel Project mean? Well, it means control of the world's oil, basically. 20% of the world's oil. So these are the gas fields, the yellow are the gas fields of the Middle East, all right? And the blue are the trade routes. So you can see how Israel is at the very center
Starting point is 00:50:57 of all this wealth, right? They have the logistics, they have the technology, it makes sense for them to take control of all these resources and then start shipping these resources to Europe as well as, to East Asia, China, South Korea, and Japan. Okay? So that's what the Paxchidoka will look like.
Starting point is 00:51:19 It will be a trade network controlling all the resources of the Middle East and then shipping it off to the rest of the world. Then you have data centers, okay? So Israel has the most data centers in the Middle East, and then Saudi Arabia has 36. UAE has 34, okay? So these three places are competing against each other for AI dominance.
Starting point is 00:51:50 Why is AI important? Because it allows you to create a surveillance state. Surveillance is what you need for an empire, right? You need to control the population. Now, the problem with Saudi Arabia and UAE is, for them to build their data centers, they need to import for an important for an expertise.
Starting point is 00:52:11 They themselves do not have a human capital to build these data centers and to run these data centers. On the other hand, Israel does, okay? Israel has the best universities in the Middle East. That's the best IT talent in the Middle East. It has the best human capital. Therefore, it makes perfect sense for Israel to just absorb the entire AI network
Starting point is 00:52:34 of the Middle East and become the main epicenter of AI surveillance in the Middle East, okay? Which will become the backbone of Pabchideca. One more. So what does Paxch Dudaica look like? It's really the India Middle East trade corridor, okay? All right, so look at this map where for India to get to Europe, it has to go through Israel, okay?
Starting point is 00:53:10 So this is what Pax Dudaudaica will look like. look like basically a the imbac trade corridor that come that will um unite the sub-asian continent with europe okay but not in that but the idea of this is also to connect to Africa right because no other place is able to access Africa only Israel is and not only that but it's also able to access Ukraine and Russia. So the idea is to take Russian and Ukraine energy and food and then transport it into Africa.
Starting point is 00:53:58 That's combining the world. So Israel, because of its location, can really be the epicenter of all global trade. Now, let's look at Iran. So for the longest time, Iran did have lots of resources, oil resources, but the Americans put sanctions on these oil exports. This war has basically lifted all sanctions, okay? So the Iranian economy is now able to export its oil all across the world.
Starting point is 00:54:37 So this is treaty parsing and he is probably America's foremost export on Iran. And he talks to a lot of people. And what he's saying is basically Iran now is able to produce oil, transported across the world, and then get money for it. So the conclusion he makes is this. Trump and Israel's war has ended up delivering Iran de facto sanctions relief. the war, Iran was cut off from the global economy, because of this war, Iran now is becoming embedded into the global economy.
Starting point is 00:55:24 It's the complete opposite of the intention of this war. And what this means is Iran is now less incentivized to end the war. The more this war keeps on going, the more Iran benefits economically. So Iran, once this war ends, becomes separate of two major trade networks. The first one called the North-South Transport Corridor that links Russia and Iran together. And this will then allow Russia to access India and Asia and allow Iran to access to India and Iran to access Europe. So this is the north-south corridor
Starting point is 00:56:22 that's controlled by Russia. But also, you have, of course, the Bell and Role Initiative. And guess what? Terrain is also at the epicenter of this trade network. Okay? So for China access Europe, it has to go through Iran. For Europe to access, China has to go through terrain as well.
Starting point is 00:56:47 Okay? So this is what the new world will look like after the war. You'll have two regional powers, Israel and Iran. And they will have their own independent trade networks, and they will have their own access to resources. So Israel will control the resources of the Middle East, and Iran will control the Shcher of Homoos, okay? and with the tourism, they're thinking like a toll,
Starting point is 00:57:20 which will feed the economy. They will be helped by Russia and China because it is in Russia and China's best interest to develop the infrastructure of Iran to facilitate global trade. Okay? But then you're like, wait a minute here, but Iran and Israel are enemies.
Starting point is 00:57:39 Okay, so this is a misunderstanding. Ideologically, Iran and Israel are enemies. But I want to teach you three basic principles or rules of geopolitics, okay? And once you understand these rules, it'll be much easier if you understand the new world that we're going into. The first is this. The strong respect each other and pray on the week, okay? This makes sense, right? Why are the strong fighting each other?
Starting point is 00:58:10 Wouldn't it be easier for them to leave each other alone and go pick on the week? it benefits everyone, right? So in this situation, right, you have four, you have different countries. You have GCC, you have Israel, you have the United States, you have Iran. Okay? So you have these four different players in this war. Right now it's essentially Israel, GCC, and U.S. fighting against Iran.
Starting point is 00:58:40 But if Iran proves it is strong and Israel proves it's strong and GCC proves it's weak, the U.S. prove it's weak, guess what's going to happen? Israel and Iran are going to get together and say, screw these guys. Let's just work together, man. It doesn't make sense. Even though in the beginning, it seems as though Israel, GCC and U.S. are allies against Iran, ultimately, if Iran is able to prove it's strong, then Israel will ban the DCC in the United States.
Starting point is 00:59:25 And Israel work will be ran to build a new order in the Middle East, because that's a law of the jungle. That is what is in the best interest, according to game theory, for Israel. And the last thing you understand is, the weak do not work well together, the weak must ally with a strong for protection, okay? So what this means is that GCC is weak, right?
Starting point is 00:59:50 So you look at Saudi Arabia, UAE, Bahrain, Oman, Kuwait, Qatar, okay? So these are the six GCC countries. They're all weak. And you would think, you know what, if they were to combine their resources and fight together, they could probably beat Israel or probably beat Iran. The problem with this is weak players don't work well together.
Starting point is 01:00:24 They're weak because they're stupid. They are, and so what they do is, rather than seek to work together, what they do is they seek to ally with stronger forces, okay? So right now, they're all aligned with the United States and Israel. all right against iran but as this war progresses and the u.s. falls then what will happen is that they must either choose Israel or Iran and what's going to happen is that you might have some places Qatar and oman who choose you know what screw this we're going to join iran and they have
Starting point is 01:01:03 Saudi Arabia and UAE who are like okay let's join Israel okay but the gCC regardless of what happens will no longer be a major geopolitical factor in the Middle East anymore. A lot of them will be destroyed because of this war. So according to game theory, this is what the world should look like after the war ends. But again, this is all theory.
Starting point is 01:01:31 This is a class focused on intellectual speculation. It's meant to be fun, it's meant to make us more curious about the world. It's supposed to heighten our critical thinking skills. This is not meant to be prophecy, okay? I'm not saying this must happen, but I'm saying this might happen for these reasons. And if they do happen because of, if they do happen, then this provides us a good framework to understand our reasoning better, okay? If it doesn't work out this way, it's fine because we'll just go back and analyze what went wrong better, okay?
Starting point is 01:02:06 What's really important is not to set a judgment. What's really important is to keep our minds open and be open to the possibility of different outcomes. All right? Okay, any questions, guys? Israel really defeated America. Well, we'll... No, no, no, I didn't say Israel will defeat America. I never said that. Okay? Well, Israel might... No, no, no, no. Let's be clear about language. I did not say Israel will fight America. What I said is Israel is auditioning to replace America. Israel is trying to prove the global elite, I'm strong enough to replace America when America leaves the Middle East. You understand? Yeah. Okay, let's be clear about the language. Okay, yes? Like, what will, like, Israel try to prove that it's stronger than America.
Starting point is 01:03:05 And I'm curious, like, what the next step Israel will take if, like, it's trying to show that it's wrong. Okay. All right. So, look, Israel doesn't have to do anything different. Israel is determined of witness war, right? That's all it has to do. Israel is determined to win this war, and the United States is not determined to win this war.
Starting point is 01:03:38 The United States doesn't even know what it's doing, okay? All right? So what's important, okay? What's really important is to go back to our analysis of, Sorry, yeah, yeah, like this is, all right, okay. Let's look at our analysis, okay? Remember, you need an empire, you need empire, okay? Then you have the finance, the game masters,
Starting point is 01:04:11 and then you have the global economy. Okay, all right, so the same players. And again, there's a really important idea to understand. All these players are interested in maintaining a status quo. eventually as this war progresses, they're going to recognize that America is actually a problem. The American Empire is not a good thing. It's not a benefit to us. It's a problem for us.
Starting point is 01:04:36 And so we need to replace the American Empire, right? And who's the only alternative? Israel. So we need to transition from America to Israel if we're going to maintain the system. Then they'll recognize that, okay, the problem, though, is a problem, though, is a problem. America will not go away. Empires don't surrender power willingly. And so we need a create a situation which America is forced out of the Middle East. Now Iran cannot defeat America on the battlefield. America can drag this thing on for at least 20 years. But we don't
Starting point is 01:05:12 want to wait 20 years because we'll lose a lot of money in the process. And there's no point in waiting 20 years. So we need to force America out of the Middle East. So if we cannot If we cannot defeat America, sorry, sorry, if Iraq cannot defeat America on the battlefield, what we need to do is cause America to implode. We need to cause a collapse in America. And how do you do that? The economy. If I crash the start market.
Starting point is 01:05:41 If I cause oil to go way up, if I cause out discontent in America, this will cause a civil war in America. And then the American military has no choice but to retreat back in America. America okay and then Israel will naturally take over from America and this is something we'll discuss next class okay the strategy for how to destroy the American Empire and replace it with Israel all right okay does that make sense okay any more questions guys okay great so I will see you next week okay

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