Predictive History - The Story of "Civilization", "Secret History", "Game Theory" and more - Game Theory #9 - The US-Iran War

Episode Date: March 6, 2026

Game Theory #9 - The US-Iran War

I hope everyone had a nice break and welcome back to the end of the world. So as you know, World War III has started. The United States and Israel have started to attack Iran. And we are now in the fourth day of this war. And we can expect this war to last for many weeks, possibly also for many years. But I promise you that after this war is done, the world will not. never be the same again. So what we will do these next few weeks is use game theory and understand and analyze the geopolitical situation. And so I'm going to teach you the ideas, the theory,

the techniques to understand the world around you and make predictions. And we can know if our analysis is correct because all this is happening in real time and so we can test it against reality. All right. So let's go over some basic facts about what's happened so far. So in the early morning of Saturday in Tehran, the Israelis and Americans launched a decapitation strike against the Alitone Hamina, who is the supreme leader of Iran. Now there are arguments in the dispute about as to what happened. The Americans in Israeli said that they had real intelligence about where the leader was, and so they sent airplanes to just bomb the crap out of the place.

They also had a spy who was able to record the body of the dead atollah. And then this was announced. At first, the Iranians denied this, and the Iranians insisted he was still alive. But eventually, state media admitted that he did die. he did die in theirstrike. But then what they also said is that the Adolah, he's 86 years old, and he chose to die. He could have gone to Moscow,

but instead he chose to stay in Tehran and die for his people. But not only that, but he died along many of his relatives. He died along with his daughter, his son-in-law, his grandchildren. So many of the family died in this assault. Also, there's been reporting that they had prostate cancer. So he was going to die fairly soon as well.

So what you need to understand first about the war is that even though the Americans and Israelis claim great success in decapitating the leadership of the Iranians, from the Iranian perspective, this is a martyrdom, martyrdom, okay? And so the religion of the Iranians is called Shia Muslim. And this is different from Sunni Muslim. So Sunnis are the majority. They're about 9% of all Muslims in the world. The Shia have always been the minority.

And as such, they've always been persecuted. So in the Shia faith, the core value, the force that binds everyone together and gives some purpose and meaning in love. that galvanizes them into action, is the idea of martyrdom, which forces jihad. You sacrifice yourself for your religion, sacrifice itself for the common good. So think of the death of Kamenei as a sacrifice,

a self-sacrifice in order to motivate their radiance in this war, okay? So that's the first thing you need to understand. That for the Iranians, this is not a typical war. This is not an economic war. This is not a war for resistance. This is a jihad. It's a war against the great Satan to avenge their leader.

They will fight to the death. All right, that's number one. Number two is this. Also that morning when the Atollah was killed, they really struck a school in the south of Tehran, killing about 150 school children. These are girls in primary school. And again, there's not a debate and argument as to what happened.

This really said that, first of all, the school was next to a military base. We were targeting the military base. And second of all, it wasn't us which struck the school. It was an air defense missile that went off course. And the Iranians insisted, no, the Israelis purposely attacked the school to kill the school children. And then you're like, why would the Israelis do that? do that. Within these few years, we've seen what they've done in Gaza, in Palestine, to the Palestinians. And it's pretty consistent what the Israelis have been doing. So this action against the Israelis,

it's meant to show to themselves in the world that we are now all in. Okay, we've made the sacrifice. We are now committed to this war, to winning this war at all cause. And this action has And it's also provocative-riding people to resist with a full might. Okay? So I want you to keep this in mind. And again, we don't have complete evidence that it's the Israelis who did this, but given past actions from Israelis, this is fairly consistent with what they've done. Okay?

So we can assume that this is something that's something that's something that's something we will discuss as we move on, okay? It's very complicated. Next, I want to show you this. This is Dubai, and Dubai is considered one of the wealthiest, safest cities in the world. There are thousands, sense of thousands of Westerners who move to Dubai because it's clean,

you don't pay any taxes, you make a lot of money, and there are great restaurants. And this is really the economic model of Dubai. It's one of the Gulf, the GCC countries, okay, the Gulf, coastal countries. And for the longest time, Dubai had a really good deal.

Because they were under the protection of the American military. So they didn't have to pay for defense. They, and then they were in the Middle East, which is the oil producing center of the world. And so they focus on aviation. They focus on logistics. They focus on finance, on tourism.

They were extremely wealthy, right? I'm not sure if you're thinking Emirates, Emirates, one of the best airlines in the world. So their airport, Dubai airport, is the busiest in the world. And Dubai, for the longest time, was flourishing under American protection. And Dubai said to the world, listen, we're like Switzerland, we're neutral. We don't want any involvement in any wars. We're here just to take our citizens, to make sure if there's a good time, to make money.

And then right at the war started, the Iranians attacked. the GCC, okay? Dubai, Abu Duran, Qatar, Kuwait, Kuwait, they attacked these places. And these places were like, what's going on? We're neutral, man. We're not involved in this war. And the airport was shut down in Dubai.

At one point, the rich people in Dubai were willing to pay about $25,000 US, dollars just you know plane and get out of there okay so um the reality is this for the longest time Dubai had a reputation for being safe and that's why people moved their money there guess why guys after what the Iranians did it's dead Dubai as a city in a long term it is dead because you're wealthy Westerner you're not going to move to a place where it could be attacked anytime by the Iranians you might move to Singapore you might move to Hong Kong Japan South America, but you're not moving to Dubai, okay?

So the big question for us is, why do they even need to do this? It was the Israelis of Americans who attacked you. Why go after the GCC? All right? And not only that, but they're escalating the attacks against the GCC. So this is something that we will look at very closely today. Well, the short answer is because these places, even though they pretend to be neutral, they house the American military.

They allow this release in Americans to use their airspace to attack Iran from. So this is Bahrain. Now Bahrain is interesting, okay? I want you guys to remember this, but Bahrain will probably be one of the major centers of this conflict. Because, first of all, this is the American Fifth Fleet. This is their naval base in the Middle East. And as you can see, the Iranians are attacking it with missiles. and it's being blown up.

Boreen is interesting because it has about 50% or even more, Shia, which is the religion of the Iranians. But the people in charge are the Sunnis. And so what makes this strike really important for our perspective is, first of all, not only are the Iranians attacking U.S. military assets, Not only are they destroying the economies of the GCC, but they're also trying to ignite a religious war, right? Because if you're Shia, you're loyal to the Atatollah.

And if he's dead, then you must, as a religious obligation, now commit jihad against your enemies. And it's no different in other religions where, listen, if you want to kill the Pope, the Catholics would be really angry at you, and they would want to kill you, right? So now you have the Shia, who will probably eventually arise,

creating a revolution in Bahrain. So I think Buran will be the first to fall. Dubai will probably go bankrupt. But in a long term, we're gonna expect the entire GCC area, including Saudi Arabia, to eventually collapse, okay? And this is something we'll use game theory to understand. All right, let's continue.

So we will know how the, this war develops just based on geography, okay? So this is a map. And this map, even if you don't really know the war, even you don't know the participants, even if you don't know the weaponry, this map will tell exactly how this war will progress. All right, so certain things to keep in mind

about this map. This is what we call this area, okay, really small, but it's 33 kilometers wide, okay? People can swim across it. It's really, really, um, narrow, okay? This small area, guys, it's called the Strait of Humus. All right, and it's important because it's really the center of the world.

This one area is the nexus, the pivot of the world. Let me explain why. First of all, from the GCC, you have 20% of all the world's oil flowing through this narrow straight. Where does it go guys? It goes to Asia, India, Pakistan, South Korea, China, Japan. India depends on 60% of its oil from this area. China depends on 40%. Japan, 75%.

Prime Minister Takiichi of Japan has said that, listen, if the server home was closest, we will run out of oil in about eight, nine months. The entire Japanese economy would collapse. in eight, nine months if the shirtful moves were to close. And guess what? The Iranians have closed the surrogate who moves. Okay?

So we can expect that the entire global economy will suffer greatly all the next few months. All right, so that's point number one. Point number two is, okay, so the GCC sends oil across the shirt and home moves and what do they get back in return? Food, guys. All right, so people don't appreciate the GCC,

but it is really the lynchpin of the American Empire. Because what is the American Empire? The American Empire is the petrol dollar. All right? The idea of the petro dollar is worth nothing. It's only valuable people want it. But the GCC says that if you want oral for much, you have to pay us in US dollars.

Then that is the basis of the value of the US dollar. So, if the GCC is going to be it, collapses, the American economy and the American Empire both collapse at the same time. The problem though is the GCC is an artificial construct of empire. It does not exist naturally. Why?

Because that's no food, that's no water. Okay, guys, no food, no water. So these cities are able to grow in the millions because of all these petrol dollars flowing in. If you close off the shrimp of a moose, there's no food coming in, right? They're all gonna start. How much food does the GCD get from overseas?

80%. 80% of all the food it consumed comes from overseas, that it imports. It doesn't grow by itself, it imports. All right? So the syruvenoose is really key. And again, the Iranians will close it in order to strangle the global,

economy and therefore bankrupt the American Empire. All right. Second thing you will notice is these mountains. These mountains is what we call Iran. All right, this is Iran. This is GCC. Okay, this is not a fair matchup, right? Because these are mountains.

And what can you do in mountains? We can hide rocket bases. You can hide drone bases. You can hide missiles. And that's the entire Iranian offensive strategy. All right? From here, they can hide missiles and drones from which to attack the GCC. And what are they attacking?

They're attacking three things, right? They're attacking American military bases. American military bases. That's number one. Is it possible for the Americans to fend against these attacks? The answer is no. They're not. It's the silliest thing in the world.

You have all these bases in the Middle East, but you cannot defend them against the Iranians. That's kind of strange. Okay, but that's number one. Number two is oil and energy. Hard is to blow up an oil field with a drone. Not hard at all. Can you defend these oil fields?

No, you cannot. All right? Number three, and that's most important, is water. Okay? You guys don't know this, but the GCC, has little access to fresh water. So the only way that it can produce water is what we call desalination plants, okay?

These factories that take salt water and then through electrical chemical process, turn it into fresh water for the population to use. 60% of the water supply and as you see comes from these acidation plants, okay? 60%. It's hard to blow up the isolation plant using a drone. The answer is it's very easy, you understand? So you have this absurd situation where Iran is a mountain fortress, where it can hide

its offensive capacity, and the GCC, it's just this desert, this flat desert, and it is exposed to attack, and there's nothing it can do about it. So at any point in this war, the Iranians can choose to destroy the entire GCC and there's nothing that anyone can do about it. But Iran also has a weakness, okay, and this is fundamental. So Iran also has a water problem, okay? So for the longest time, they suffer a drought issue. climate change.

And so what the plan of the Israelis and Americans is is destroy the war supply of the Iranians. Because the fortress, it is a mountain fortress, but it can also be a mountain prison as well, where people are trapped inside of no access to water. Okay, so what we're going to see right now, we're already seeing attacks on civilian infrastructure, hospitals. In the future, you'll see attacks on water supply, on dams, on reservoirs, on power plants.

The point, the idea is to make Iran so inhabitable that the people will have to rebel against the people or there'll be a refugee crisis in Iran. Okay? So as you can see from this map, this war, it is the end of the world. Both sides have the potential to destroy each other. It's really a question of how far do they want to go? Alright? We can also say this is almost a game of chicken. Okay? We can blow each other up.

How far do you want to go? The problem is this. The problem is that the Iranians are Shia, which believes in martyrdom, and you've killed the Riddhi. religious leader, the Alta Kamei, so they're willing to go very, very far. The GCC countries are Muslim, but they're materialistic. They love money.

And also, most of the population are expatriates, foreigners. 90% of Dubai are foreigners. Guess what's going to happen if they suffer? They're going to run away. So this is not a fear matchup. The big question that people have is, first of all, are the Americans going to use ground troops? Because the only way that you can defeat Iran is by using ground troops, okay? That's a big question we'll look at in the next few weeks.

Will America send its army? Half a million, two million soldiers to topple the government. That's question number one. Number two, nuclear weapons. If you lose no war, would you choose to use nuclear weapons? That's another big question that we have, okay? Another big question that we have is who gets involved? Because this situation is so dire that Europe, okay?

Specifically Germany, France, and Britain are talking about entering this war. And guess what? If that happens, it is possible that Russia and China will also enter this war on the side of the Iranians. This is World War III, okay? Because of the importance of the strategic moves, because of the importance of the Middle East, everyone has to get involved at some point.

And we're going to use scheme theory to really try to understand what's happening on the ground and where this could lead us. Okay. All right. You guys understand? All right. Let's continue.

Okay, so again, there are American bases all over the Middle East. Originally, these bases were established to protect them from basically their own people. These are monarchies that were imposed on these nations by the Anglo-American Empire, the British first, and then the American Empire. first and then the Americans came to support these monarchies and so they provide defense but then you're like wait a minute here I mean didn't just say that these American bases can actually defend these people that they're exposed and the and the reason and the answer is yes that's true but remember that the American military was built during the Cold War okay and the Cold War

was a war between the Soviet Union and America and so the Cold War was defined something called Mad, mutually assured destruction because both had nuclear weapons, okay, so they didn't really go to war against each other. And so in other words, these bases aren't really meant to to defend these nations from other enemies, they're really meant to impose American authority in the Middle East, okay? And it's the idea of this. It's the idea that empire It is really an image. It is a hallucination.

It's an idea. Empire is the, it's an aura of invincibility and inability, okay? If you fear it, then you obey it. But it's not really designed to fight a war, okay? And so that's why we have this absurd situation. And because there are so many bases in the GCC, that gives the Iranians the perfect pretext to attack them in order to attack them in order to. to attack them in order to destroy the DCC economy,

which will destroy the American Empire. All right, so this is how the war is shipping out, okay? So the red is the Israelis and the Americans, the yellow are the Iranians. And as you can see, the Iranians are attacking everywhere, primarily Israel, okay? But also, as you see, a lot of focus on Bahrain and Qatar. And again, the intention is to destabilize the economy and the government.

Okay, it's just trying to get as much instability as possible. All right. Okay, and as you can see, the Americans in this release are focused on Tehran. And so the Americans in the Israelis use something we call Shockin'all. And the very idea of shock and all is you decapitate the enemy. You cut off the head, the body will fall down. The problem though is, again, the Iranians see this as a religious war. And so the Iranians have announced total war.

And so what this means is that right now command and control in Iran is decentralized There's no one person telling everyone what to do. Every region has its own orders, has its own strategy. And so if you knock out Turen, everyone else keeps on going. So if you knock off the, take off the head, it doesn't change anything. Okay? But unfortunately, the, um, Israelis and Americans use this as a military doctrine.

Military doctrine just means how you design your military. your military for what purpose? And so even though the Americans seem like an invincible army, they are not equipped to fight a 21st century war against drones, against desalization, against religious fanatics. Okay, they're just not. But unfortunately, because of military doctrine, they're going to keep on attacking the Tiran.

Now, the great irony of all this is that the Iranians who will be most supportive of you, of regime change actually in the cities, because they're educated, they're progressive. The people who are most fundamentally against you will fight you to the death are religious fanatics, the Shia militants, living in the world areas, okay? So this is a really silly thing where you are actually

destroying those who will most likely support you and you're leaving alone those who are most likely to commit jihad against you. All right. Any questions so far, guys? Are you clear? All right. So another idea that I want you guys to understand is the idea of asymmetry.

Asymmetry. All right, so what is asymmetry? Asymmetry means that the two sides are choosing to fight different wars using different techniques because one is much stronger than the other, okay? America is the great empire. It has unlimited resources. It has the USD. It controls the world, right?

shows the world, right? Iran is a country that has been under economic sanctions for the past 45 years. It's poor, technology is very limited, okay? But as we learn in this class, actually, those nations that are poor actually have more energy, they're more open, and they're more cohesive. So let me give an example.

This is what we call the Shahad drones. Shahad drones. Each of these drones cost $50,000. At most, okay? At most. It can go as cheap as $35,000 US dollars. But one of them is $50,000. As you can see, you can fit a lot of these drones

to a truck that can go anywhere in Iran. And you can hide anywhere. All right? So the thing to understand is, first of all, these drones are cheap. They're easy to make. They make about 500 a day. Okay? And as much about there's 80,000.

80,000 right now that the Iranians have. So I think it went for a long, long time. And one of these drones, again, can knock out a desalination plant, it can knock out a oil field, it can knock out a hotel, it can do a lot of damage. And it's easily transportable. You can hide it anywhere. You can use it from anywhere, okay?

And that's what the Iranians are using as an offensive weapon. And how do Americans defend against this? they use them called the fad right right guys this is what they use fad

fat that stands for thermal high altitude ear defense and they also have like patriot systems there's a lot okay the thing that you will

that you need to know about the system is it's really expensive this missile guys cost one million dollars one million dollars so

So there's this $50,000 drone coming your way and you throw a million dollar missile at it, okay? And often these missiles miss, you have to throw two or three missiles added, okay? So you're spending two to three million dollars on each $50,000 that they're gonna spend. That's kinda silly. Second thing you'll notice is that this thing

is really big and really slow. And therefore, you can't really move it around. Therefore, it's pretty easy for the Iranians to spot where this is and attack it. And then when these things blow up, that's a lot of money, guys. Okay? Then you're like, what, this makes no sense. You know the Iranians have drones. They've had drones for like 10 years.

You've also seen drones used in the Russia-Ukraine war to devastating effect. Why don't the Americans know this? Why did they prepare? And again, it has to do with military doctrine. Because military doctrine determines how you fight a war, it determines on your bureaucracy, and it determines how you spend your resources, okay? And unfortunately, the Americans are used to fighting something called the Cold War.

Right? And the Cold War, because you can actually fight the war, you can actually kill each other because then people use nuclear weapons. The Cold War was about flexing. flexing, flexing, okay? You see how big and powerful I am? Me, okay, that's all it was. These weapons systems are designed to scare the crap out of you. They are designed to impress you.

And as a result, they cost a lot of money, and they don't do anything, all right? So that's the entire American military. It costs a lot, and it doesn't really do anything. And it's that resilient, it's not in the way. It's not open. All right? Also, the other thing I have to say this, okay?

Is if you look at the American military, it's corrupt. So this is really about corruption. So the Americans don't really care about winning a war. What they care about is spending as much money as possible because then they get a cut. It doesn't make sense. And that's why the Americans are in a situation as they are. All right, let's continue.

All right, so something that people don't really talk about, but you need to understand it's the water issue in the GCC, in the Middle East, in the Arab, all right? So this is a math of the world. And if you are light blue, Brazil, Canada, you have nothing to worry about because you have a lot of water, a lot of fresh water, very little population. Alright, so 100% just means 100% water stress just means that you drink as much water as the environment produces. Okay, so you wanna be below 100% to be sustainable.

Ideally you want to be at 10% okay? If it goes above 100%, it means that you are drinking more water, using more water than the environment actually produces. Okay, so you're putting stress on the limit. environment. So 20% is really bad, right? Because you're using twice as much water as the environment produces. Guess what guys? Look at the Middle East, okay? Egypt, 6,420%. Saudi Arabia, 883%. All right? Beret, almost 4,000%. Dubai, Dubai, almost 4,000%. Dubai, 7,000. Dubai, 7,000. 17,000 percent.

All right? So water is a huge issue. Again, it doesn't matter if Iran kills American soldiers, destroys American military, it doesn't have to do that. All that has to do is destroy the desalination plants, and then the GCC is destroyed, okay? But it's also true that Iran has water issues. 72% is pretty bad.

Okay, so even though the Iranians could destroy the GCC much faster than the Americans could destroy Iran, Iran is still in trouble, okay? So let me give you an example of this. This is like, sorry, sorry, so this is another map that shows you the issue of water scarcity, okay? It's just the Middle East, okay? Their biggest issue in the future is water. And that's where the geopolitical tensions will arise in the future over water. India has also affected as well, okay? All right.

All right. So, let's look at that, guys. This is called Lake Ermia in northern Iran. It's a sixth largest salt water lake in the world, or it used to be. This is what it was in 1984. This is a shallow, this is a deep, okay? You guys see that? It's really big, right?

20 years later guys, this is what it looks like. There's no more water here. You can walk from here over there, okay? There's some water over here, but it's shallow now. That's how serious the water issue is in Iran. And that's the weak point that the Americans in this release will attack, all right? They want to make sure that Iran

has no access to fresh water, which will cause devastation in their nation. That's strategy number one. Strategy number two is this. This is a map of the different ethnic minorities in Iran. As you can see, it's a very diverse place. In the center of the Persians, but you also have 10 other groups as well. And in the borderlands, it's basically a different country, right? These are basically different countries.

And so these places have more common areas with their neighbors than they do with Iran. So the second weakness of Iran. The first is the water. The second is the ethnic makeup of the country. So the strategy of the Americans and the Israelis moving forward is destroy Iran as a coherent nation-state, divided into ethnic enclaves and have to fight over water. That is the grand plan of the Israelis and Americans, okay?

All right, this is the vision, where Persia is limited, and then all these other places are sponsored by the Americans and the Israelis. They're given money, they're given weapons, they're given political support, and then this war will wage over water forever. Okay?

And this is how you destroy Iran and make sure you ran is no longer a viable threat to you. That is the plan of the Americans. Okay. As you can see, it's pretty evil plan and that's why they have not announced it, right? Because if you announce it, you're like, why are you doing this? What are the Persians, what did they do this ever do to you to warrant you come and destroying their civilization? And the answer is nothing, right?

So the Americans, Israelis, will never admit they're doing this. But if you look at the map of war supply of ethnic tensions, this is the optimal game theory strategy for them to use against Iran. It doesn't make sense. This is a long-term plan that they have in place. And it's all moving towards this plan. But the other question then is, how can the Iranians respond to this? And the answer is this.

This is the map of the Muslim world. So the light green are the Sunni people, okay? That's 90% of the entire Muslim population about 2 billion people, okay? Then you have in dark green, the Shia. So as you can see, the main place of the Shia is Iran. Iran is one of the few Shia nations in the world.

But you can also see from this map that Shia are spread for out the world. Okay? And so the first thing that the Iranians want to do is create a jihad to unite all the Shia against American Empire. All right, so what they want to do is create an uprising. And it's already happening, guys.

The Shia in Pakistan stormed the American embassy in Pakistan and the Americans killed a lot of people, okay? The Shia have attacked the American embassy in Iraq. The American embassy are being attacked in a lot of places. So the first strategy is to create a international global jihad of the Shia against the American Empire. And it's already happening. It will continue for a long, long term, long time because the Americans have killed the

Kamene, okay, and that requires vengeance. The other thing though is that it can unify the Muslim world. If you look at this map, most of the Muslim world is actually run by dictatorships, so not popular at all, okay? And they're allowed to exist because they're not an empire, right? You go to Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Algeria, these places, they're all run by clients on their empire. Right?

So if you rather the people who hate their governments and you overthrow them, then that makes Iran the leader of the Islamic world. Not just the Shia world, but the Islamic world. create something called Pax Isataka. That is the end goal, guys. Okay? If you do that, then you don't have to worry about the Americans and the Israelis anymore. So the Israeli game plan, the American Indian game plan, is to fracture Iran into

the ethnic enclaves and they'll fight over water for the rest of their lives and they'll die. The Iranian game plan is to create a religious war, a crusade, that unifies the sheep, Shia people that overfroves the American Empire and establish something called the Pax-Isat-Makar. All right. All right. So, again, the key is the GCC. All right.

So the game plan is this. You have to destroy the GCC. Why? Because GCC is the linchpin of the American Empire. So what the GCC does is this. It sells oil. sales oil, and then for US dollars. What does it put US dollars?

It puts US dollars into the American stock market. So this is investments of the UAE, Saudi Arabia and Kuwait, into the US financial markets. As you can see from 2012 up to today, it's been exploding. Because the US financial markets is one of the safest places where you can put your money. The intention is this, the intention is, hey, if I cut off oil, and these countries no longer have access to US dollars,

they're forced to spend whatever resources they have on protecting themselves, okay? And then guess what happens? The start market collapses. The start market is the real growth engine of the US economy. The entire US economy collapses with it. All right, there are about maybe seven companies in America that accounts for about a quarter

of start market growth, okay? These seven countries, these seven companies of course are all AI companies, Nvidia, Microsoft, Google, Apple, okay? These are the companies, and then these companies are heavily invested in by the GCC nations. So if these nations are long able to invest in the start market, these companies will collapse in value. And with that, that would lead to economic depression in America. It doesn't make sense.

All right, so that is the situation for today. Today was just an overview, guys, okay? I know we cover a lot. I know there's a lot to take in, but over the next few weeks, we will explore each issue in deaf and really understand what's really going on okay all right so any questions guys any questions about what we've just learned okay if other countries such as Italy France China or Russia they have also joined this war like what's the cost of they join the war because of oil or those resources

okay that's a good question okay so I don't spend too much talk on this question because we will explore this question as we move along okay so the question is what brings the world into this conflict and the easy answer is just oil access energy access okay they need to protect their energy supplies because remember it's a very complicated situation because Europe is not fighting Russia so so Europe is not buying any oil resources energy resources from Russia different depends a lot on the on the GCC So the GC is not providing them energy,

then the Europe will go bankrupt. So Europe needs to enter this war on behalf of Americans. And then Russia, which cannot allow Iran to fall because if Iran falls, then they'll come after Russia next. China is actually neutral. China's okay with either scenario. But that's just the way that the Chinese system is set up. So we're gonna explore this question as a move along.

But it's a very complicated issue. All right. Okay. And each nation will have its own different strategic interests to consider. And what we need to know, what we need to figure out is that this war in the Middle East is actually connected to the Ukraine war. And as moving a law, I'll show you how these two things connect together. Okay.

Any other questions, guys? Okay, great. So we'll continue this discussion on... on Thursday, okay?