Predictive History - The Story of "Civilization", "Secret History", "Game Theory" and more - Predictive History Founding Members #1

Episode Date: August 22, 2026

Watch on YouTube: https://link-to-youtube.s.gy/phfm1<br<br>A recording from Predictive History's live video<br>https://predictivehistory.substack.com/p/predictive-history-founding-members?utm_source=youtube

Two and five Canadians will hear the words, you have cancer. That's why every step and dollar raised matters. On September 19th, join thousands in Toronto for the Princess Margaret Cancer Foundation Walk. Challenge yourself, friends, and family to walk 21 kilometers in support of life-saving research. Together, we can carry the fire and help create a world free from the fear of cancer. Register today at pmcfwalk.ca.ca. So, what further to do, let's begin. What I would like to do is start off the live stream

because people are still getting in is talk about some news items that have interested me. So basically, I want to, in this live streams, interact with everyone, at the same time, give people insight into how I think about the world and how I go about doing research. So I'm going to share some screenshots with you and show you how I go about watching the news, interpreting the news, and analyzing the news.

First of all, guys, I hate to break this to you, but I am not a spy. I do not work for government. I do not have these huge resources behind me. I am not CIA. I am not Chinese MSS, Ministry of State Security. I am not Mossad. I'm not FSB. I don't work for any organization.

I'm not Skull and Bones. I just work by myself. I don't have any sources. No one's providing any confidential sources of information. I don't have a team behind me. I'm just one guy sitting in my, bedroom doing research watching some YouTube videos and providing my analysis to the world. I don't even have subscriptions to major publications such as New York Times, watch a journal,

the BBC. I don't watch any of these mainstream news outlets. My two primary sources of information are Twitter and YouTube. And I And then I use Google as well. I don't even have chat CBT. So to demonstrate how I do research and analysis, let me go, let me share my screen for you, okay? So the first thing that caught my attention this week is Ivanka Trump does a interview that goes viral on the internet, right?

So let's very quickly look at her comments. Okay. So again, this is interesting because if she doesn't really do interviews, and when she does interviews, it's going to be strategic. So I think she's doing this interview because she's really proud of this project

and she wants the world to know what a virtuous person she is and how it's really a passion project. But as you can appreciate, people didn't really perceive it that way. Okay. So this is from the Guardian. And this is about how protests in Albania

broke out over the luxury resort. And this has been going on for a few days now. And we're not going to read the article, but when I read this article, when I heard the news, I actually didn't believe it. Because in my mind, I thought that Albania was a pretty corrupt place, and the Kushners are just a front people for powerful people who want to create this project, basically oligarchs. And so I was shocked. Two and five Canadians will hear the words you have cancer. That's why every step and dollar raised matters. On September 19th, join thousands in Toronto for the Princess Margaret Cancer Foundation Walk.

Challenge yourself, friends, and family to walk 21 kilometers in support of life-saving research. Together, we can carry the fire and help create a world free from the fear of cancer. Register today at pmcf walk.ca.ca. when I read that there were protesters in Albania. And I didn't really pay much attention to these protests, but it kept on apparent on timeline. So I started to open this Garden article to see what's really going on.

And basically, when there are protests, there are two questions that I asked in order to better understand what's going on. First of all, who's organizing these protests? And second of all, who's funding these protests? So here in this garden article, if you read it, it tells you that there are these environmental NGOs, a leading conservation group called the protection and preservation of the natural environment in Albania. So it's an NGO.

And whenever there's an NGO operating in Eastern Europe, you always think George Sorrell's open society. So I just started to Google this organization, if you got who funds them. And here it says there are three funding organizations. There's WWF Global, there's EC, there's CEPF. So these are rich people who are interested in conservation. So that makes sense. But we can also imagine that George Sorrows is behind it.

Because if you look at who's speaking out about the luxury resort and who's articulating the discontent, it's usually young people who've studied abroad and George Sorrows and the Open Society have been very instrumental in helping educate young Eastern Europeans into Western ideology. Okay. So, so again, I'm not making a judgment on what's going on, but I'm just trying to figure out, who are the people in this story. So I can better analyze how they might proceed. Now, what also caught my eye this week is this news story from NBC News. It's an exclusive from NBC News.

And what they're telling us is that there are officials within the Pentagon who are very, very concerned about Israeli spying. Guess what, guys? The one country that is the most active in spying on the American military is, of course, Israel. They're much more effective than the Russians, the Chinese, the British. And so why is this an issue now, right? Why are people concerned about Israeli spying today when, for the past 50 years, no one's talked about how the Israel stole nuclear weapon,

well, the Israel stole nuclear weapons technology from the United States. No one talked about the 1967 USS Liberty. Why is the Pentagon now concerned about Israeli spying? Well, I think a lot of it has to do with the fact that Congress is planning to pass something called Section 2-24 of the National Defense budget. And this, as you know, has been generating a lot of controversy.

And when something is controversial, I like to hear or understand different sides. So we're going to go to APAC, okay? A PAC will probably offer us the most useful analysis of what's going on. Because we know right away what the concern is. The concern is that the United States and Israel will merge their militaries, and Israel will have access to America's most sensitive technology.

And basically the United States will be all in in Israel. So if Israel were to start a war against Turkey, against Egypt, which is something that they've talked about, then the United States is stuck in the Middle East forever. So there's a lot of concern about the United States-Israel military cooperation. And so it's really important to hear the other side. So we're going to look at how Apex tries to spin this. Okay?

So first of all, Apex is trying to sell to politicians from the public why it's important to pass Section 224. And it lists a lot of reasons, but basically these are reasons that we can just, that this basically made up. There's really no good reason. The dangers are much more greater than the benefits. Now what's interesting is that the APAC is going to offer spin.

They're going to try to spin Section 224. So let's read some together. Myth number one. Section 224 will merge the U.S. and Israel militaries. And what the argument is, section 224 does not create joint command structures or transfer any decision-making power to Israel. This is a coordination mechanism for defense technology cooperation,

formalizing and strengthening existing cooperation. This is actually refute the concern that these militaries are merging. What this is saying is that Israel will not take control over the U.S. military, but no one's saying that Israel will control the U.S. military. I'm just saying that these militaries will merge, and this will present a lot of strategic problems for the U.S. especially in the Middle East. Basically, if Israel would have to start a war,

the United States would have no choice but to support Israel, even without congressional approval. Okay, let's go on in the myth number two. Section 2-4 doesn't benefit America. The fact, section 2-4 will improve defense cooperation with Israel. Okay, yeah.

But again, we just said that that might be a problem because Israel starts these wars for no reason. and America will be dragged into these wars. Hence, U.S.-Israel cooperation will help ensure American troops have access to the best technology should remain safe and effective on the battlefield. Huh. Hmm. Well, if American troops were not in battle to begin with, they'd be safer, right?

So America has no reason to start wars. Israel does have reason to start wars. So, this APAC document is not actually helping the case. Myth Number three Section 2 to 4 is a backdoor way to provide military aid to Israel

There's nothing mythical about this This is just factual Section 2 does not authorize a single dollar of new aid or facilitate to transfer any additional arms to Israel Okay

But what the document would do is change the definition, right? So before America was providing aid to Israel. Now it's just providing resources to itself, which Israel can partake in. Right? This is just spin. This makes no sense. Number four, section two to four will give Israel influence over U.S. defense programs or supply chains. Same as myth number one. So no one's saying that Israel will take over the U.S. military.

What we're saying, though, is that Israel will be able to have greater influence over decision-making. Number five, Section 224 will give Israel access to U.S. military data. Okay, right. So nothing in this section 224 authorizes unrestricted sharing of U.S. military data. Existence security, classification, and technology protection requirements remain fully in force.

Okay. So we already said that Israel spies on America, on American military. So they can still spy secret and no one will bother them. Okay. Number six, section 224 will weaken congressional oversight and transparency. Yeah, this is the main argument, but let's see what they say. Section 224 increases transparency and accountability by creating new reporting requirements,

congressional briefings, annual assessments, on cooperative programs, and public updates. Provision will have no effect on existing congressional oversight authority, overarm themselves, or appropriations. Again, you know, you know, before I thought that APEC was, really impressive. And having read this document, I have to say that this is all complete nonsense, right? Because what people are concerned about is that Congress will have no have no oversight over the cooperation between Israel and the United States. What they're saying is, well, you can still monitor what the military is doing. But if it's not clear, the cooperation, the cooperation,

between the United States and Israel, then how can Congress properly analyze or understand this level cooperation? Right? So it seems like section 2-24, it's meant to obfuscate or hide the full extent of cooperation between the U.S. and American militaries.

Okay, so that's why it's important to read the other side, because when you read the other side and you realize the problems with the other side, then that bolsters your own. understanding of the situation. Another news item that caught my attention is how, this is from the Associated Press, by the way, how Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders and Seth Altman are talking about public ownership and AI. So we're not going to read this article, but the point is that Bernie Sanders is very much concerned about the public risk of AI.

He's concerned that these companies, Open AI, they might develop sentient AI, AI, that could destroy the world. And so the government need to be more involved. He's also concerned about the environmental and economic cost of AI. Is he going to destroy jobs? is going to consume too much electricity and fresh water. Now, whenever you see Bernie Sanders and Sald Olman on the same headline, you should be concerned.

Because what Sennel really wants is for a public bailout, right? So I've talked about this in my lectures where it is impossible for these AI companies to make any money. They are not profitable by themselves. So what they want is going to subsidize their enterprise, their enterprise, and they'll have complete control over information and surveillance, right?

But it's a public that pays for everything. So what Sun Alman basically wants to do is for the government to buy out the data centers from him and subsidize the cost for running AI. Then Open AI will be profitable. And so this is all a giant scam, guys. Bernie Sanders is part of the scam. If Donald Trump, Bernie Sanders,

and Sun Almond are working together, you know it's really, really bad. And so this is something that we should watch out for. My prediction is that the government at some point will come in and make public these data centers because these data centers are really, really expensive. Also, Larry Fink has voice concerned that there might be some public outrage over these data centers

and there might be public sabotage against these data centers. Well, once you come and takes them over, then these data centers can become military bases, right? Good luck trying to attack a data center if it's a military base. Okay, so this is very concerning. Now, one last news item I want to look at is Kenneth Owens in Russia. Okay? Kenneth Owens in Russia. Because the first question for everyone is like, why would Candace Owens go to Russia? Okay.

So we're going to have a quick look over her Twitter account. She has almost 8 million followers, by the way. So what's PIN is Kenneth Owens goes to Russia and she's, she's her first time in Russia obviously and she's surprised by how beautiful it is I'm sure Moscow is a beautiful city

okay then we go on and um Kansas Owen says we told Russia they couldn't have Starbucks and they said fine we'll just change the name okay so

they did this for every brand they got sanctioned just made it their own And what you're saying is that Americans actually don't really work. Two and five Canadians will hear the words you have cancer. That's why every step and dollar raised matters. On September 19th, join thousands in Toronto for the Princess Margaret Cancer Foundation walk. Challenge yourself, friends, and family to walk 21 kilometers in support of life-saving research.

Together, we can carry the fire and help create a world free from the fear of cancer. Register today at pmcf walk.ca.ca. She continues to make fun of Erica Kirk. And here, she's responding to Glenn Beck's argument that Candice is becoming a bridge between the United States and Russia. and she responds by saying, The spirit of Christianity does not exist beneath a yarmulke, kissing a wall in a city where religious leaders teach her children spit upon those who worship Jesus Christ. It would therefore be my distinct honor to become a bridge that unites Christians in the East and Christians in the West.

So basically, she's a Catholic and Russia is Orthodox. So she's trying to reconcile these two religions, which basically split about a fallout. years ago. Moscow is one of the most beautiful cities I've ever been to and I will return. Thank you to the Russian people for the warm welcome. And this is really important. Okay. So what Kenneth Orn is saying is like from now on, I'm going to go to Russia more and I'm going to promote deeper understanding between Russia and America. Okay, so those are the news items that I am looking at. So, um, guys, are there any questions about the news items that you would want me to clarify before I continue? I'm watching the chat now.

And maybe someone can come in and ask a question about some of the news items. But basically, what I will try to do in this live stream is show you what's interesting me and how I go about analyzing and thinking about these news items. Because again, what I'm trying to do is I'm trying to get a deeper understanding of the world, but I'm trying to make predictions about how the world will develop. Oh, so we have while Enka-Doo, yes. So what is Candice's agenda? That's a really good question.

Okay. So I've been thinking about this for the longest time because, you know, Candace Owens have this public split. from Ben Shapiro. And Kenneth Owens, I think, converted to capitalism about a couple of years ago. Her husband, George Farmer, is a Catholic convert as well. So, Kenneth Owens is by far the bravest media personality in the world. She's got balls, man.

I mean, like, the balls on her, I mean, it's just incredible how, I don't even know how heavy her balls are, but she is fearless. And I ask myself how she does that because I'm not, I'm not fearless. I'm very cautious about what I say. The major difference between Kenneth Owens and, and myself is like, I don't really name names because that's how you get in trouble, right? You don't go after one particular person Because then that person has come after you So she's gone after Erica Kirk for a long time Before that she went after the McCrones

You know who's the you know And like they try to sue her So she went after a head of state The head of state of France So you ask yourself What's going on here And I'm going to make certain assumptions Okay

So in game theory it's really important To make assumptions that you can validate against reality. So my assumption is that she is very close to the Catholic Church. And the Catholic Church is the most powerful organization in the world. I'm not saying she's close to the Pope. I'm saying she's close to certain elements within the Catholic Church that have their own agenda.

And these might be Jesuits. This might be a certain faction of the Jesuits, okay? But they support Candace, they offer her opportunity. And Hergon of Russia suggests that this particular faction is very interested in a reconciliation between the Catholic Church and the Orthodox Church. Because they see the great enemy as American materialism, secularism, liberalism.

And these are honest people. These are people of honest faith. I'm not saying these are politicians. I'm saying these are people who are generally concerned about the direction of the Western world, with all this mass immigration, with, you know, all this materialism, the spread of only fans, the popularization of people like Andrew Tate. And they see Kenneth Owens as a vehicle in order to promote greater faith among young people. And she's doing a fantastic job.

So I think that's her role. Her role is to create a spiritual awakening to get to. people to return to Jesus, the original teaching of Jesus, not Protestantism, which is a corruption of the teachings of Jesus in the church, but a return to the original church, which is really the Orthodox faith, right? So that's why I think Kenneth went to Russia to unite the traditionalist elements of both the Catholic Church as well as the Orthodox Church and promote a spiritual awakening in the world. That, I think, is urgent. Okay, I can be wrong, but I think that's what's motivating her.

And that's why she's getting so much support for both Russia as well as the Vatican. All right. All right. What's the significance of Candace? This is from Lauren. So I think the fact that she's a charismatic, a young mother who is black and she has four kids. she represents really a role model for a lot of young religious people. It's like she represents what young woman should be.

They should strive to embrace the Catholic faith or any religion, basically. You should strive to have as many children as possible. You should strive to live a life of Christ. She's always saying Christ is king. So that's what I think that is her significance. No one else does what she does, right? I mean, no one else is of the role model that she is trying to become. Goa Goal says compute futures just launch.

So yes, retail investors funding data. Look, this is a strategy of these guys. Open AI. AI does not make money by itself. There's no market for it. So what you do is you just unload the cost on retail investors, on government, on anyone except yourself, and you're the one who is pocketing the profits, right?

Luca says, how do you select interesting news? Great question. All right, so this is how my mind works. My mind has a theoretical framework for how the world works. Okay? I think, like, there's a certain structure to the world. have certain theories about the agenda of certain individuals.

And so I get interested in news when dissonance is created. When something happens that doesn't really fit into my worldview. So for the longest time, I thought that Ivanka and Jared Kushner are extremely private individuals who shy away from the spotlight. So when they appear in the spotlight making an announcement, that's news. to me, right? Because like, what's the agenda here? Because these are private people. And they don't want all the scrutiny. So if they're coming out and making public statements, there must be a reason. So that interests me. Bernie Sanders is not an AI guy, right? Bernie Sanders, he's a socialist. He doesn't, he's like, he's also over 80 years old. He doesn't understand anything about AI. So when Bernie

is sitting down with St. Oman, that is dissonance. That's newsworthy to Me. We just assume that the Pentagon and Israel are very close. So when Pentagon insiders are leaking news of discord between Israel and the Pentagon, that's news. That's dissonance. That doesn't make any sense. Right. Israel is a mercenary army subconscious by the Pentagon to create as much conflict as possible in the Middle East. Why is the Pentagon talking crap about Israel? That's newsworthy. Okay. So it's the idea of dissonance. Something, that appears that shouldn't be there it doesn't fit into the regular worldview that i have okay um Nome says it would be helpful if you have someone mind in the chat while you speak that is a

great suggestion it's my first time doing a live live stream it is a lot harder than it looks okay it's really hard um i used to do i i've done quite a few live streams with with Sneako and like his eyes are everywhere. It seems as though he's able to focus on three different things at once. I can't do that. My mind will go berserk if I did that. So you're absolutely right.

Let me figure this out. Let me figure out how to get a moderator in here. And also maybe next time or maybe a couple months from now, we'll do a Zoom conversation. So each of you will have the opportunity to participate. And then I can just rest, right? Because right now I'm just talking. Again, these streamers, like Hassan Piker, Sneakle,

my hat's off to them because I don't know how they do this. They do just like eight hours a day, by the way. Like we might go on for like another hour. But I'm already, it's been half an hour and I'm already exhausted. Matthew, the Martininio says, fun comment Your article on Peter Thiel's Republic circled among the

Theo Fellows Yeah Um So Um First of all The Field Fellows Are a very impressive

group of kids I actually met one of them In Dubai And he's very very impressive They're really, really smart Um So I appreciate the fact

That they're open-minded And they're curious And they're looking at Things from a different angle Um Also, like, if you read the article, even though what Peter Thiel is doing is pretty evil and dangerous, I'm pretty respectful of all of him because I like when people who are evil actually know what they're doing because then it's just easier for me to understand their motivations and how they behave.

Like Peter Thiel is a chess player. And like the other person I admire a lot is Vladimir Putin, okay? he's also evil and he's all so dangerous. But I admire Vladimir Putin because things he does make actually sense, okay? So people that annoy me or people like Donald Trump, because he's always confusing me and it's driving me insane. It's hard for me to anticipate Donald Trump's next moves. Whereas Vladimir Putin, Peter Thiel, these guys, I respect, I admire because

what they do makes actual strategic sense. So I think that Peter Thiel going to Argentina is really important. It gives you tremendous insight into how the world works. And if you look at this past week, Havre Melae in Argentina has been passing these laws that are making it a lot easier to start AI companies to remove public scrutiny from AI companies. So basically, Havar Malay is doing whatever Peter Thiel wants him to do and trying to create an air-servient state in the Western Hemisphere.

So Peter Field, if you are watching this, I admire you. I respect you. I'm your friend. San Francisco says, when you said about the AI bill, that means they're asking for a government contract. Also, what does it mean for the people on the government? No, no, they're not asking for a government contract. They're asking for the government to buy out the data centers.

They're asking for the government to take a stake in their companies. That's what they really want, okay? Because the idea is like, look, if the government is part of the company, what you can do is you can socialize the losses and privatize the gains. That's what they want right now, okay? Right now they're stuck with the losses. The government comes in, then what you can do is you can steal money from the enterprise and putting your own pocket in that of your private investors, and the government will pick up the tab. Like that's how these people will think. They're crooks, man.

They're hustlers. They're not entrepreneurs. So what Matthew was saying, that some Peter Thiel fellows are fans of mine. Great, you know, I'm a fan of Peter Thiels as well. Adam Mahasai says, do you think the Albanian protests are not organic nature? Yeah, I don't think they're organic in nature.

It's strange to me how in these Eastern European nations, how these protests happen. It's very much a color revolution playbook where you have these NGOs all around the country, and it's a network of them, right, all funded by George Soros Open Society. They're all trained in Washington, D.C. on how to organize these protests.

They're getting tons of media coverage, right? And like the people you see on the BBC are talking about these protests are these young, good-looking, articulate, English-speaking Albanians. They're a minority. They're a faction of the country. Another comment I'll make is

Why is it That you have the George Floyd protest But now that you have this war in Iran There are really few protests Do you think no kings is organic in nature There has to be funding behind it There has been organization behind it So I don't think what's happening in Albania

Is that at all organic And I mean like I can understand if They're protesting corruption in the government. I can understand if they're protesting taxes, right? But the fact that you have these rich people who've bought out in, you know, island and want to develop it economically, that doesn't make any sense to me why the obedience would get upset over this. All right. But, but again, it's all speculation. I don't know. I'm following news as everyone else. I don't have

inside information. I'm just saying, I'm just thinking using game theory, what is transpired. Go-the-Go says, what do you think about SpaceX and Open AI, Anthropic IPO is coming, and how it will affect the market? Look, I have to say this, but the start market,

the financial markets, are no longer retail. It's just a few people who control all the resources. And SpaceX, Open AI, anthropic, I mean, like, it's a pump and dump scheme where these investors

are going to blow it to the moon, And then when retail comes in, they're just going to dump it. And they keep on going, they can keep on doing this for forever because again, only a few people, Black Rock, Vanguard, Blackstone. These companies, they control all the money in the world, right? So it's a, it's a casino. It's a house will always win. So get out of the start market. That's my best advice.

Get out of the start market. You look at oil futures. It makes actually no sense whatsoever. The shirt remorse has been closed for the past three months and oil should be at $200. by now. It's not. And this tells you that these financial markets are rigged. It's not a fair game. Two and five Canadians will hear the words you have cancer. That's why every step and dollar raised matters. On September 19th, join thousands in Toronto for the Princess Margaret Cancer Foundation walk. Challenge yourself, friends, and family to walk 21 kilometers in support of life-saving research.

Together, we can carry the fire and help create a world free from the fear of cancer. Register today at pmcf walk.ca.ca. Oracle says, Do you keep notes of important news items or themes to connect them later on? Okay, this is interesting. I have friends who are writers, journalists. They have thick notebooks. And they carry a notebook wherever they go.

So, like, you know, if they hear something, they'll write it down. They see something, they'll write it down. I don't do that. What I do is I keep it in my mind, okay? So basically, if I see some similar news, I say, that's interesting. I should refer back to it later on. All right?

So if you come to my house, I have no notes. If you look at my computer, I have no notes. It's all in my mind. And the reason why I do that is to maintain maximum flexibility. Okay? I basically put the news item in short-term memory. And I ask myself, okay, will this thing escalate? Will this thing continue?

If it does, then I pay attention to it. So I transfer from short-term memory into long-term memory. And that's what it gives me maximum intellectual flexibility. It's something that I do because I have a very good memory, a very strong memory. I remember most things that people tell me. I remember most things I read

so I don't need to keep notes okay Kevin asked how do you shift through nonsense on these websites also how do you find news on Twitter are there people you follow

so I just go over the Twitter feed and I look at things that catch my attention what's really important is to be able to figure out what is newsworthy and what is

just clickbait, right? Because on Twitter, especially on Twitter, you have a lot of news items that are just made up. They just made it up. And especially in age of AI, where most videos, most photos,

most news items are just completely made up by AI. And I've trimmed my mind to be able to spot the difference. Okay? So what I'm going to do now, okay, just to illustrate is I'm going to go over my Twitter feed and I'm going to tell you how I perceive each news item. All right.

All right. So here's what we're going to do. We're going to go and look over some, well, basically look at my Twitter feed. And we're going to, I'll share you the screen. okay all right so this is my Twitter feed okay and quite honestly I don't know what comes on to my Twitter feed okay the general says breaking 11 months has asked rock whether post claiming that the Congress hiding the US israel military which the defense bill is true yeah I ignore this um I think this is made of um

this is China Bill Bishop is saying it was absolutely intending to build an economic control point which where earths does that's China Japan after 2010 another bad take from the s i i don't care uh we move very quickly from too tired policing doesn't exist to two tire policing does exist in a good thing um i don't care i i i i i don't know what this is this is mariel nathau who i don't follow but he appears my um you know um feed china didn't wait to wait long to respond hours of japan and philippines announced maritime the limitation talks east of taiwan Beijing law enforcement operation in those waters.

Okay, this is something that I will focus on and pay attention to. Actually, Mayor Nathol, you guys just follow him because he's very good. He has a really strong team working behind him. This is a conflict I've been watching very closely. At some point, China and Japan will go kinetic, meaning they will fight over shipping lanes in the South China Sea. They have no choice in the matter, okay? So this is something that I watch and I'll pay attention to.

And now what I'll do is I'll keep it back in my mind where, and what I remember is this. Japan and the Philippines are working together. Okay. I also remember that Japan wants to clarify a lot of things in East Asia. So for the longest time, there was should take ambiguity in these waters. And China kept on encroaching, especially its shipping vessels. Japan didn't really bother because Japan didn't want to. conflict but now Japan wants a conflict so Japan will be much more clear about where

its territorial waters are okay so this something I'm gonna watch very very closely okay this emerging conflict between China Japan in the sub-China sea mr. Rehable says are the Albanians really going door-to-door and running up Israeli this is BS this is not true this is not even funny okay Adam Corolla says he's a sociopath and he's about nothing any of you them have no idea who he is I can't say that about anyone else invitation the question is why he is that attracted people. I obviously didn't know

idea who he's talking about, okay? High cortisol is a real reason you can't sleep through the night. Look, yeah, this is something I'm interested in because I have harm sleeping. It's cortisol, but I have cortisol because the world is screwed up, guys, all right?

That's the issue. It's not because, you know, you shouldn't be stressful. It should be stressed because the world is screwed up. So I scroll through this a lot. So the Pentagon just declared issue an enemy of the U.S. The same way Congress vote to merge our military with theirs,

this is a great post. And it shows you the dissonance at play here, right? And that's why I'm interested in what's going on. Because the question is raised as to why the Pentagon is leaking about its concern about Israel while at the same time Congress is voting to merge these two militaries. It shows you these factional struggles within the American military. Tim Dillon is great, by the way. I love Tim Dillon.

I think he is the funniest comedian right now. Ivanka Trump and Jared Kushner have purchased their private island with a bunker because they know something biggest coming within the next six months. This is not true, by the way, okay? Ivanka Trump, Jerry Kushner, these people, they live in a fantasy world where they are the best and the brightest, where they got to where they are. are because they worked hard. They're smarter than everyone else.

And the world is just perfect. And they don't have a conscious understanding of the public outwage at people like them. So they live in fantasy world. They're delusional. They don't really think. They don't really believe that the world will turn against them. They think they control the world and they are the perfect rulers and everyone loves them.

So, you know, they bought that island not because they want to build a bunker. They bought the island because, first of all, it's not their money. They're just the front people, right? They're just the actors. They bought the island because it was a good investment. It's as simple as that. Cash Patel is investigating kind of its own trip to Russia. This I think is true.

This I think has credibility. I won't be surprised if there's concern among the FBI, that Kenneth Owens is now under the influence of the Russians. You know, for the longest time, the FBI, the CIA, the NSA were spying on Tucker Carlson. Like, you guys don't remember this, but Tucker Carlson, when it was at Fox News, he was actually scheduled to Russia to interview Vladimir Putin. And the CIA, they spied on Tucker Carlson. They knew about this, and they sabotaged the trip.

Tucker Carson would eventually go, of course, but that was like four or five years after he, he originally wanted to go. I said in Dugan and says, if it is Israel, are you also willing to know? Okay. Sean Ran and Ascabar. Okay, so I'm just scrolling through and I'm telling my thought process, okay,

and I'm doing this really, really fast. So my mind is able to prioritize what's important. My mind is also able to figure out what's fake, what's not fake. But it's because I've been doing students for a long time. Okay? All right. All right.

Wakar asked, do you think Iran will use its military power to fight back and attack and take over some countries to create a second line of defense? No, I think a ground offensive by the Iranians would be complete suicide, right? Because then you're exposed to air power, and that's what the Americans and Israel is specialize in. So Iran will continue its hide-and-seek guerrilla warfare strategy throughout. Earl Grey asked, Do you think Kenneth Owens is a deep plant by the M.C? Okay.

Yeah. So if you go to the very top, okay? If you go to Washington, D.C. And you go to these parties. If you go to the Hamptons for the summer and you go to these parties. Guys, these guys are all friends, okay? They're all related to one another.

But that doesn't mean they don't actually hate each other, okay? They're all fighting for power. And so they're all related to each other. They're all friends. They all have similar interests. And within these boundaries, within these conditions, they struggle for control over certain things.

So you look at artificial intelligence. Most artificial intelligence companies are backed by Wall Street. But doesn't mean that Silicon Valley and Wall Street don't fight, right? Because they're both trying to direct Washington policy in a certain way that benefits stuff. So that's something that's really hard for people to appreciate that at the very top, everyone playing a multidimensional game. Everyone has divided loyalties, allegiances,

because everyone's trying to position himself or herself in a way to maximize his or her power. It's a very complicated game. And that's why they're all psychopaths, man. You know, they're all sociopaths. You can't actually read them. They're amazing poker players. You can never, ever read their minds. And you can never actually figure out what their intention is.

And that's why it's important to use game theory. Because scheme theory just removes yourself from the personalities and just looks at the game and how the players will try to navigate the game. That gives you the best indicator of how they behave. But yeah, Kenneth Owens is friends of everyone. Miko G. Is it possible Kenneth is being influenced by foreign intelligence agencies, specifically those opposing the West.

Yeah, but I would argue that that's how the world works. I think there are many different groups and they're all working together and they're all opposing each other. It's not as easy as it's Ken as a spy. I think she has friends in Mossad. I think she has friends in the KGB, the FFFFSP. I think she has friends in CIA. And she probably doesn't even know it, right?

She probably doesn't know these friends are actually CIA or Mossad. And, you know, but they'll have dinner together and they'll talk. And then this friend will give her some information that then she will deliver on her show. And so she's being a useful idiot. And that's how the world works. And like, that's what makes me unique in that. I actually don't talk to people. Because I know, like, if I talk to people,

they just feed me crap that that is meant to influence others. Okay, I'd rather just stick to game theory analysis. What car asked, what do you think about PDB and Manny Hassan? So I've been both their show. I've been on both their shows. And my, my interview with Manny Hassan went viral. He's just a very naturally combative person. he's very good at what he does

I mean he's very good at taking your words and then warping a certain way that allows him to attack you okay so he's he's always in an attack mode and PBD he's a businessman he's a bit of a hustler really and he likes a lot of back and four but he likes to feel you out right

so when the two are together Medina has seen will run him over because Medina, he's saying he's all attacked, whereas PBD, he's trying to be smooth, right? So that's not really a fair match-up. Caronne asked, how much reach does this have on the people of America? I remember Tucker went to Russia as well,

and both are very religious. Is it from that angle to speak to the people of the United States? Listen, I think that Kenneth Owens and Tucker Carlson are two of the most influential people in America right now. I think it's very smart for Russia to try to close you up to both of them. And I'm not saying they're powerful, not necessarily because of numbers. Okay, I'm seeing they're powerful because their fans really believe in their message. Their message really is able to resonate with their audience.

Also, I have to say that Kenneth Owens and Tucker Carlson are two of the smartest, most savvious media personalities right now. And what makes them really smart is they're able to read the political wins. That's really hard to do, actually, to anticipate the trend, right? Not to follow trend, but to anticipate the trend. That's what Tucker and Cannes do really, really well. So, look, Tucker's talking a lot about demons, about spirituality, and so he knows that there's just yearning among the American people for spiritual deliverance.

There's almost now a tipping point where a lot of people are now going to return to the faith. I think the fascist-growing religion in America right now is the Orthodox Church religion, because the Orthodox Church religion is the most conservative, the most traditional, the most consistent.

So I think Kenneth and Tucker are really smart, and they'll just go from string to string. If I were an investor, and Tucker and Kenneth were stocks, I put all my money on Kenneth and Tucker. So media personalities that I think are declining

are people like Joe Rogan. They're declining in influence. I think Nick Fuentes is declining in influence as well. I think that Candace and Tucker will only become more influential over time. I regret. Is she Opus Day? That's a great question. I think she's Jesuit affiliated.

Is she Opus Day? I don't know. I know that Judy Vance is Opus Day. Opus Day, if you don't know, is one of the secret societies of the Catholic Church. There are many, many secret societies of the Catholic Church, by the way. But Opus Day is one most famous. It's extremely hierarchical, and it's extremely Mesianic. So I would not be surprised at all if she was Opens Day.

It's possible. Her husband, George Farmer, is Open's Day, and she's not. That I think is most likely possibility. Matthew says, How does one even get close to high ups in a group like the Catholic Church? it's direct when one of them approach each other or informal. I assume the Catholic Church is run by certain families. I think there are certain families that have the real power in the Catholic Church.

And so they reach out to you through their agents, their intermite, meteor is basically. So it's not like, you know, like, we'll come to my house and we'll start a contract. It's more like, you know, I have a friend who's a friend, who knows you, and who's going to pass on messages to you. So I asked, as someone was choosing a military career here in the United States, what can I study further about this possible merge between the U.S. military and Israel? So if you are going into the U.S. military, I would say a very bright future.

So I think there are certain trends that you should watch out for in the U.S. military. First of all, I think the U.S. military is going to expand rapidly over the next 10, 20 years. The reason why is America needs control over the Western Hemisphere. So I would be surprised if the military went in to colonize place like Mexico, Colombia, Honduras, Cuba, Greenland, possibly even as far as Venezuela. And so basically, if you're in a military, you become basically a visceroy, right? you become a military dictator. And so that's a very good life, right? If you can go and become a part of the military occupation.

Another thing that is going to happen in the military is privatization, right? Because what America wants to do is we treat from the world and focus on the Western Hemisphere. And so the best way to do that is to privatize your military, and then merge your private military with Japan, Germany. Israel, right? Okay? The idea is you prioritize the military, they become companies that then sign contracts with host nation states such as Israel, Japan, and Germany. Okay? That I think are the two major trends. A military occupation of the Western Hemisphere and the privatization of the American military which then merges into other nation states, okay? But if you're in the military,

that's a very good future. And Wong asked, are most of the data centers dubious? Two and five Canadians will hear the words you have cancer. That's why every step and dollar raised matters. On September 19th, join thousands in Toronto for the Princess Margaret Cancer Foundation Walk. Challenge yourself, friends, and family to walk 21 kilometers in support of life-saving research. Together, we can carry the fire and help create a world free from the fear of cancer. Register today at pmcf walk.ca.ca. seems like just high trouble,

fire the workers, fake the data center to keep the stock from collapsing. Yeah, listen, we have absolutely no idea what's going on in these data centers. And they're so huge, right? So I want to be surprised if these data centers are being set up as a false flag. And what I mean by that is they store all the financial data in these data centers and then it's blown up, right? By this lone wolf, Unabomber guy, who at all is not MK Ultra,

who at all is not CIA affiliated? Not at all, okay? But he's working by himself. He's not part of this CIA team. But the data center is blown up. And oops, all that financial data is gone. And it's the ratings who did this. So, yeah, so I would not be surprised if there was a false like attack on these data centers at some point.

Matthew asked, thoughts on Nick Frientes. Look, I think Nick is a really talented guy. I've never met him. I don't know him. I've never been on his live stream. He would never invite me for a conversation. I'm very close with Sneako, who's also very close with Nick. I think he's a really smart guy.

But I think at the same time, he's deeply compromised. Certain things he says suggest. that he's not free to say whatever he wants. His anti-Jewish, his anti-Semitic rants, I think, are not organic. I can understand why someone's angry at Israel. I can understand why people have problems with Zionism. But the fact that he attacks Jewish people, I think it's problematic.

I think he's a smart guy. I think he's capable of nuance and subtlety. The fact that on this Jewish question, he refuses to have nuance and solity, I think it's problematic. Also, if you really want to understand why Nick's friend is probably compromised, Google, January 6th, and Nick Frantus.

It's a very problematic thing, okay? But once you read about his actions on Jeremy 6th and the fact that he was not at all charged or persecuted for what he did on January 6th, it suggests that he probably compromised, okay? So January 6th and Nick Vrentice. McCar asked, can I organize a meeting in Toronto with you, with like-minded people?

Okay, I am going back to Toronto. I am going back to North America, but I'm figuring out what I want to do yet. So let me think about this, okay? It's still two months out before I return to Toronto. So let me think about how I want to, structure my time because I'm a very private person

and I don't want to become a celebrity in Toronto. I'm in China and no one knows who I am and I prefer it that way. So let me think about how to best meet people in Toronto. If we do a small meetup, I'm okay with that.

But if it's a public event, I'm not okay with that. I don't be mobbed by people. I don't want people following me back to my house. Archer asked, Is AIA about to get an 08-style bailout or is it going to be... It's going to get a bailout, guys. The government's going to take over AI at some point, okay?

That's why you have operations Stargate. That's why you have this talk between Stuntland and Bernie Sanders. They're just sending up a bailout, okay? It's like these things, it's a bubble, it's going to burst at some point. The government has to step in and bail them out. Matthew says, I would love to organize a meetup in New York. for VCs, Theo Fellows.

Yeah, again, as long as it's private, I'm okay with that. As long as invitation only, as long as you don't publicize it, we can discuss it. So yeah, it's two months away. Let's discuss the possibility. You know, something really funny is Stanford Republican Club, so the Stanford Young Republican Club has reached out to me and says they would love for me to come and talk to them. And I want to do so.

I would love to go to Stanford and meet the future Peter Thiel's of the world and I have a conversation with them. I think eventually Peter Thiel and his people are going to conquer the world. So it's probably a good thing to become friends with people like Peter Thiel. But let me think some more about how to do this. But thanks for reaching out. I'd love to do some private meetups in Toronto and New York. Salad Jones asked, could Candace become a lot?

an agent that helps push forward the third room eschatology? Yeah, I think so. I think that's intention. I think that's what the game theory suggests, okay? I think Kenneth Owens also appreciates the ideas of Alexander Dugan. Curious, curiously, at, ask, about the data centers being funded by public money, Canada just announced an AI strategy that sounds like they want state-owned,

yes, AI and data centers. You think people like Altman will see as a threat or final way to sell to countries? So there's no AI competition. There just isn't. Because if you think about it, what AI is, it's a mechanism for state to exert maximum control over people. So these states that are introducing AI civilians, like Britain, Canada, China, the United States,

they actually work with each other. They're not competing against each other. it's something that people don't really appreciate about geopolitics where these intelligence agencies Mossad, FSB, MSS, CIA, they're actually friends with each other. They're working together because ultimately they are parasites on the nation state

and trying to absorb as much power and financing for themselves as possible. The way you do that is you manufacture threats, right? You say, if you don't give us money, then the FSB, Mossad, MSSS will take us over, right? We have to defend against them, right? So,

so intelligence agencies, militaries don't compete against each other, they work with each other. Same thing with AI data centers, they don't compete against each other, they work against each other. Darryl Frye as nuclear capability and ground troops.

Given reports that Iran nuclear bomb, does this change your prediction by the U.S. ground invasion? Okay. Let me address this nuclear bomb issue. Because I know that Larry Johnson and Pepe Escobar, at least two people I respect, by the way, they went on judging freedom,

Judge Nalpino, who I think is fantastic. I mean, I'm a huge fan of all these people. But the three of them did a tremendous disservice to everyone, especially Iranians, by saying that Iran already has a nuclear weapon. Okay? This is really dangerous and stupid.

And this is not a good thing for anyone. So what they're saying is that a third part, it could be Pakistan, North Korea, who knows, okay? But they've given nuclear weapons to Iran. Okay, from a game theory perspective, why would Iran want this, okay? Because someone gives you a nuclear weapon, first of all, first of all, how do you know it works?

How do you know it works, number one? Number two is, a nuclear weapon by itself does nothing for you. You need the delivery system, okay? You need control and command mechanisms so that you can actually send a nuclear weapon where you want. Otherwise, that nuclear weapon might blow up in your face, right, literally bloop in your face.

So that's problem number two. Problem number three is, how do you do maintenance? Right? What does three nuclear weapons get you? Okay, well, you're forced to blow up one. You might donate one to test it out and send a message, and they have two nuclear weapons. America has found some nuclear weapons, right?

So from a game third perspective, America would love for Iran having nuclear weapon because that justifies America using nuclear weapons against Iran and only if America using nuclear weapons against Iran can America win this war, right? So I don't know what's happening, but Larry Johnson and Pebi Escobar and George Napinu, and they could be useful idiots,

or they could be more malicious, but they're actually helping shape the American nation. narrative, right? If people are afraid that Iran has a nuclear weapon, then you send in ground troops, you send in your Air Force to knock out Iran's capacity to deliver these nuclear weapons, right? I guarantee you if Israel has concrete evidence that Iran has a nuclear weapon, it's plenty to use it against Tel Aviv. Israel is an attack first. There's absolutely no way that Israel will allow Iran to do a war. first strike against Tel Aviv.

There's actually no way. All right. So I don't know what's going on, but I think it's complete nonsense. It's complete BS. It's very dangerous for people to believe that Iran has a nuclear weapon. Question number two from Darrow Frye. You're going to make crisis.

Do you agree that this war was engineered a cause a global depression and forced a rollout of CBDCs? If yes, how would that play out in Canada? And what steps should an individual take right now to protect themselves. So I think CBDCs are going to come regardless. It's already happening in Canada where I think Mark Carney is making illegal to have more than $2,000 in cash. I don't know if this has passed or he's just discussing it. But yeah, I mean like in China, it's a CBDC society. And I don't understand why Canada and the United States can't have this as well. So the question

is do you think this has all been engineered? I don't think it's engineered. I think it's just they know it's going to happen. They know that financial crisis is going to happen. They know that war is going to break out. So why not accelerate events and then and then control events, okay? So I don't think they are smart enough to actually engineer these things. I think they are responding and reacting to real-time crises.

So remember the Iran war, I've said this many times. It's not, it's a response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine. It's a response to a growing alliance between Russia, China, and Iran. J.D. asks, what is your take on Peter Thiel? I think he's the smartest guy in the world right now. I think he's very strategic. I think he's a higher purpose. He is, he seems to be on a mission.

and I don't think there's anyone in the world that can stop him so the thing to know about really smart people is they don't like to fight each other, they like to work together and Peter Thiel is someone you want to stay clear off he's very smart, he's very dangerous I think he's a lot smarter than Ellen Moss I think he's a lot smarter than Jeff Bezos

I mean what is Jeff Bezos doing with his time he's shooting phalluses up into space you know he's going to these silly parties with his wife. It's embarrassing what he's doing. It's like, you're billionaire, man, and you're like, you're trying to get attention for yourself. I mean, like, grow up, man.

Ian says, Hi, Professor, I heard you speak about DIA being a bad thing for America. Can you clarify what it is? That's one part that I never understood. Okay. So my problem with DIA is this. Martin Luther King, Jr., throughout the 1960s, His main argument is we should not judge anyone by the color of his skin.

We should be fair to everyone. We should look beyond race and look at character and look at merit and look at hard work. That's something I strongly believe in. And it makes sense, right? So how do we get to a time when all that matters is your skin color? If you're black, if you're Hispanic, if you're gay, if you're a woman, and you've historically been oppressed and therefore society has a responsibility

to address these historical wrongs. What I think D.I really is, it's a tool used by the financial elite, people like that never think, to distract people from legitimate grievances against class inequality in America, right? So I think D.I. is a direct response to Occupy Wall Street.

Occupy Wall Street. People forget this, Occupy Wall Street had the potential become a real revolution, political revolution in America. You know, it's like 99%. Let's unite together, right? So how do you divide Occupy Wall Street? Well, you break it down according to race,

meaning like, you know, black versus white, right? So if you look at Intifah, if you look at a George Floyd protest, these were not organic things. They were clearly engineered. They were clearly being sponsored. Earth. So I have a lot of issues with DEI. Just asked, Professor Zhang, how will Section 224 affect the current Iran war? Look, I think Iran is just a forever war.

I think like the entire point of Section 224 is to commit America forever to this war, right? So because issues at war, America stuck there, right? So make issue the scapego. And then because of Section 2-24, America is obligated to always be there to support Israel. Christy asked, what's happening with the ceasefire between the United States and Iran? This ceasefire is all theater. I mean, like, it's all to buy time. They're either waiting for a full flag, just by a ground invasion,

or they're just wrapping up forces for a ground invasion. But yeah, the next step is a ground invasion. M-CodeJ asks, who do you think will win the AI raise and why China or America? I think the autologarchs will win the AI race, right? China and America are partners in AI. China gives America a reason, a pretext, to roll out in the AI-sia-serville and state. Two and five Canadians will hear the words you have cancer. That's why every step and dollar-raised matters.

On September 19th, join thousands in Toronto for the Princess Margaret Cancer Foundation Walk. Challenge yourself, friends, and family to walk 21 kilometers in support of life-saving research. Together, we can carry the fire and help create a world free from the fear of cancer. Register today at pmcf walk.ca.ca. America gives China a reason to roll out its own state. They're all friends. Christie asked, Michael Burry, yeah, he's a really smart guy. He has recently been the AI boom resembles financial bubble.

Yeah, but there's something you can do about it because all the money has been controlled by a few group of people, a few select group of people, right? So what if the bubble bursts? What does I get you? The government is going to step in and bail them out, right? so and also it's a weird game so they

they know when the bubble burst you don't know when the bubble bursts they can drag this out for another 10 years right the bubble doesn't

burst eventually but they can drag this out for as long as they won so Michael Burry it has said this but I think

also Michael Burry is not betting against these AI companies because it's suicide to bet against these AI

companies okay Sarah Karen asked are you planning to make a time of topics in the live stream professor

are we going to work on it to date for Game Theory and build on that? Yeah, so the live stream is meant to be much more interactive. It's meant to be much more organic, free flowing. And so, it might become much more structured over time,

but in the beginning, we'll just do some tests, okay? So, this is a live stream, the first live stream. I'll go back and I'll reflect on how it went. and please offer some feedback as well as how you think it went and then next time I'll make adjustments okay now we'll keep on doing that for the next six months before I build a

structure Matthew asked if like America is like in its Weimar Republic phase I think this is very much like the 1920s so I think what we should expect is the Great Depression and a stock market collapse and R. asked what kind of spiritual belief do China people practice. People here love money, man. Chinese are the most materialistic people you will ever meet. It's money, money, money. That's all that matters.

I'll talk more about this later on, okay? Okay, guys, I am pretty exhausted. I had no idea that these live streams could be this exhausting because it's just me talking endlessly. And it's also me trying to, to read the chat as well as answer your questions and the questions are over the place. So this is pretty exhausting.

And so I'm gonna have to stop now, okay? But let me think much more deeply about how this live stream went. And we'll do this again next month at maybe a different time, maybe 9 p.m. I'm sorry that's convenient for some people, but I'm trying to bring in as many different people as possible. And please remember, like next week will be another live stream for page subscribers.

Okay. So this, this live stream is only for founding members. Next week will be for paid subscribers. And you're all welcome to that as well. And I love the idea of meetups. So hopefully you guys can help me think about how to structure meetups. I would prefer to be intimate and invitation only and not publicize at all in order to maintain my own personal safety. Okay.

So great conversation, guys. We're going to have to end it. I'm sorry if I didn't get to your questions, but let's continue this next month. Thank you so much. And enjoy the rest of your week.