QAA Podcast - Pilled Iranian Monarchists feat. Josef Burton (E371)

Episode Date: May 6, 2026

We’re joined by former U.S. diplomat Josef Burton to examine modern Pahlavism: an online, diaspora-driven movement built around nostalgia for Iran’s deposed Pahlavi dynasty and the imagined restor...ation of Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi. What was once a marginal exile politics of royalist uncles, former regime officials, and anti–Islamic Republic hawks has, in the past decade, been transformed into a bizarre right-populist scene. It’s part monarchist revival, part regime-change lobby, part “Make Iran Great Again” fandom. Josef traces how this movement emerged from the trauma and politics of the Iranian diaspora, then accelerated through Persian-language satellite TV, social media influencers, think tanks, bot campaigns, and the broader ecosystem of neoconservative, Israeli, Gulf State, and MAGA-aligned regime-change politics. Pahlavism presents itself as the authentic voice of Iranians, but often functions more like an astroturfed culture-war identity: anti-regime, pro-Western intervention, aggressively nostalgic for a whitewashed “Iran before the revolution,” and hostile toward Iranian dissidents who favor diplomacy, pluralism, or any future not centered on the Pahlavi name. The movement has started to resemble a QAnon-style political subculture: very online, retribution-focused, conspiratorial, obsessed with hidden agents and imminent deliverance, and convinced that posting, doxxing, street theater, and displays of loyalty are forms of revolutionary action. But unlike QAnon, modern Pahlavism’s fantasy of “the storm” has been tied to real intelligence networks, real lobbying money, and real military escalation. When the long-promised war finally arrived and failed to produce a restored monarchy, the movement was left to cope with betrayal, humiliation, factional infighting, and increasingly bizarre displays of royalist devotion. Josef Burton on Twitter https://x.com/pinstripebungle “Shah's infamous Savak deputy chief participates in LA protest” by MEE correspondent in Tehran https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/iran-shah-infamous-savak-deputy-us-protest-press-review “The Problem of Iran Expertise in Washington” by Negar Razavi https://www.jadaliyya.com/Details/39946 “The Iranian Diaspora Is Fracturing Over Trump’s War” by Keyvan Golsorkhi https://www.thenation.com/article/world/iran-diaspora-war-trump-israel/ “I’ll Burn You Alive” by Daniel Bock https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2023/04/22/iran-diaspora-harassment-00092598 “How Iranian monarchist networks built ties to Europe’s far-right” by Nima Ghadakpour https://www.theamargi.com/posts/how-iranian-monarchist-networks-built-ties-to-europes-far-right “Waiting for Day Zero” by Will Alden https://archive.is/20260427011144/https://www.nybooks.com/online/2026/04/22/waiting-for-day-zero-los-angeles-iranians/ Subscribe for $5 a month to get all the premium episodes: www.patreon.com/qaa Check out our new podcast series network Cursed Media! All episodes of Spectral Voyager Season 2 are now streaming! Binge the entirety of Truly Tradly Deeply by Annie Kelly and Megan Kelly as well as Science in Transition by Liv Agar and Spencer Barrows: cursedmedia.net Produced by Liv Agar & Corey Klotz. Theme by Nick Sena. Additional music by Pontus Berghe. Theme Vocals by THEY/LIVE (instagram.com/theyylivve / sptfy.com/QrDm). Cover Art by Pedro Correa: (pedrocorrea.com) qaapodcast.com QAA was known as the QAnon Anonymous podcast.

Transcript
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Starting point is 00:00:02 Well done. You've found a way to connect to the internet. Welcome to the QAA podcast, episode 371, Pailed Iranian monarchists featuring Joseph Burton. As always, we are your hosts, Liv Egar, Julian Field, and Travis View. Finally, we got a chance to talk about Iran, but, you know, since I'm a product of both the American public education system and California public schools, you know, the politics of any other country kind of confuses in front. So we brought in a real expert as Joseph Burton.
Starting point is 00:01:06 He's a former American diplomat. He worked on Iranian-Afghan immigration issues during the First Trump administration. And we are delighted to have a mom. Yes, great to finally be on. I've been a fan for a while, including when I was in government trying to figure out what the hell people at the top were talking about. And I just love the kind of more reflective and almost at times kind of scholarly approach to the most insane people we can find on the internet. And if you've been logged on for the past six or eight months, you've probably encountered the lion and the lion and sun crowd. And we're probably wondering like what's kind of going on there.
Starting point is 00:01:42 So it's great to share this and then immediately go back into hiding. So one of them doesn't find me. Yeah. These people are vicious online, much like Qadon people apparently. They really believe in the power of being nasty and posting. Yeah. I just would never expect this from monarchists. I don't know.
Starting point is 00:02:00 My heart is broken. famously the most ideologically normal people. Yeah, people were like, king, please, again. Also, being from Vancouver, I've also encountered them in real life quite a bit. Yeah, Vancouver comes up in this episode in a pretty, in a pretty gnarly way. So, yeah, it's around. I was just across, I spent a lot of time and actually kind of delved the deepest into, like, you know, big Iranian communities when I was studying at University of Washington, Seattle. I was, of course, I was studying Farsi, among other things.
Starting point is 00:02:31 Yeah, the back and forth from Vancouver. I say Vancouver puts on a better party when it comes to like Persian dance nights and stuff. But they do seem to kind of be a little bit loonier up there. And we'll get into that and maybe into why. Oh, Liv, I'm so sorry for ever intimating that it's a sleepy town. I hear it. It sounds like you're besieged by enemies. Yes, lots of large monarchist rallies happening around where I live.
Starting point is 00:02:56 So, yeah, in this episode, I kind of want to talk through the history of Pahlavism as a distinct movement and argue why I think the diaspora supporters of Iran's deposed royal family are careening towards a sort of a Q&on moment. Not because, though, of any, like, mysterious foreign cultural reasons or something like because they're Persian or whatever, but for reasons that are actually pretty familiar to us in North America, a heavily astroturfed, right populist movement that has found its own supporters in a self-radicalization spiral just as the whole thing collapses. And I guess I want to be here and talk about this because, you know, the Iranian monarchists love to, I mean, unless there's a secret Iranian here, like none of us are Iranian in any
Starting point is 00:03:38 capacity. I don't know who your ancestors were dueling. I think it was mostly Turks, but not, no Persians. No Persians. But these are people who like to talk about themselves in like very essentialist terms and to be like, we are fully representing what being Iranian is. And there's a really interesting kind of woke 1.0 standpoint epistemology of how dare you as a non-Iranian speak about this, you know, nothing of blah, blah, blah. And I kind of want to take this back down to, you know, this is something that's happening in large part in the United States, in Canada, in Western Europe. And it's a playbook that I think as we go in and talk about populism, this podcast in particular is going to find it very familiar. So what is Iran exactly? What's this Iran thing everyone's
Starting point is 00:04:23 talking about? Iran's a country in West Asia, between Turkey and Iraq and the West. and Pakistan and Afghanistan in the east. It's been in the news as a country the U.S. is bombing that's actually quite capable of shooting back, which seems to be something of a novelty that no one in power seemed to have accounted for. Iran is old. It's a really ancient, continuous civilization,
Starting point is 00:04:42 and as late as the 18th century, it used to be the center of a whole sphere of cultural influence that stretched from Bosnia to Bangladesh, and it's been home to empires and royal dynasties going back over 5,000 years. Is this kind of mythologizing, you know, uncle with his cigarettes and coffee at the at the card table kind of myth making. Not quite because one of the things about the way I think a lot of Iranian people talk about that country that's important
Starting point is 00:05:07 is this ancientness and continuity. But this isn't really a story about Iran or essential Iranian-ness or ancient history or even really recent history before the 2020s. This is about one particular political movement that in the past four or five years seems to be developing in a way very reminiscent of QAnon. They might docks me for this one. but we got to talk about the Pild Pahlavis. Now, remember how I said Iran had a series of royal dynasties going back thousands of years? This is a story about some people who really, really, really, love the most recent and final one of those dynasties, the Pahlavis.
Starting point is 00:05:41 So who are they? At the dawn of the 20th century, Iran was firmly in its flop era. Gone were the days of invading Greece, ruling over the entire Middle East from Egypt to India, the days when the Roman Emperor Valerian groveled before the victorious Iranian king Shapoor the Great. The Khajar dynasty, which had ruled since the 1700s, was corrupt, falling apart, and couldn't stop Iran from becoming a battleground between Russian and British influence to the colossal detriment of Iran's people who suffered famine and humiliating foreign concessions, which meant Iranians had to like pay money for all their tobacco to the British government directly. It was a quasi-colonial situation, even though Iran was never colonized. Boy, that sounds awful. Living in an era of a former great empire and its decline sounds awfully humiliating. I know it means that you'd accept kind of anyone who came in and wanted to change things.
Starting point is 00:06:31 I mean, giving the British like 40% or 60% of your tobacco profits, you know, is not exactly what's about to happen to the United States. But, yeah. They might get in on it. I don't know. That'd be so funny. If we got bullied by the British, I would actually respect them. I would. I think there would be, like, you know, not the great Iranian tobacco riots, but like the great American vape juice riots of the 2040s when we.
Starting point is 00:06:55 We reawaken as a nation. Could you imagine the populist they'd elect if you had to pay like 40% of attacks to China to get vapes? Yeah, it would be calamitous and we might live to see it. Who knows? Yeah, it's possible. So enter some guy, literally just a guy. Reza Shah, later Reza Shah Pahlavi, was an army officer in the Iranian Cossacks, which was a Russian-style cavalry unit in the Iranian army that was actually commanded by Russian officers
Starting point is 00:07:24 until a few years before he took over. He didn't come from an aristocratic family or have any special characteristics. I've heard various things about if he was even able to read. But he was, with the go-ahead of the British, able to shoot his way onto the throne and deposed the Khadjars in 1925. He took the dynasty named Pahlavi,
Starting point is 00:07:41 which is actually the name of one of the old pre-Islamic Persian alphabets. This is the start of a long trend of the Pahlevies associating themselves with pre-Islamic Iranian civilization, which sort of makes sense because you want to associate yourself with ancientness to counteract the fact that you declared yourself king for no reason and your ruling dynasty is younger than like jazz music and traffic lights. Reza Shah passes the throne to his son, Muhammad Reza Pathavi. This is around the time Iran starts becoming a major oil producer,
Starting point is 00:08:09 and the Pathabe dynasty bets on two things, that becoming close to America is a way to escape British influence, Britain owns Iranian state oil company, and that oil money can be used to paper over any social conflict. So what's the Iranian revolution? Muhammad Mossadegh, who I'm sure most Americans are aware of. So this is the guy from the Alexis de Tocqueville, which I'm sure most Americans have read me. Yeah, it's Khatami in the former leader of Iran in an interview with CNN where he just casually is like, well, you know, I'm sure like all Americans know Alexis de Tocqueville. He's casually, he's like trying to be relatable to an American audience. This was during his open.
Starting point is 00:08:49 He was a reformist leader and the likes of him, they'd never let someone like him get elected again. But he really tried to, like, lead with openness and inter-civilizational understanding. Like, he was, he was an Iranian bleeding heart. But he got on American TV and he was like, I know how to get through to the average American is, you know, you surely have read your nation's great philosophers and have all memorized them. Yeah. And there's a whole tangential side story about I got this book of documents from the, that were, like, shredded from the old U.S. embassy in Tehran. And there's a whole side note about how Khatami got this copy of DeTukville's democracy in America in the 70s.
Starting point is 00:09:23 but that's another story. They should have gave him SpongeBob. I should have him SpongeBob. They've learned a lot. Now they just try to communicate to Americans through AI Lego videos and don't cite Enlightenment philosophers that month. I think it's proven much more effective.
Starting point is 00:09:36 It's much more effective. They're like, I think someone sat them down and we're like, okay, so Americans love burger and they love gas prices and they understand Legos. So you've got to stop citing like Jeffersonian idealism in your efforts to reach out to the American people. But who most Americans are talking about when they talk about the Shah was Muhammad Reza Patevi. And he rules as a young constitutional monarch until the 1950s when Iranians democratically elect a prime minister,
Starting point is 00:10:04 Mohamed Mosedek, who asks, hey, wait a minute, why is our oil being drilled by a foreign country? Mossadegh is head of a broad coalition that includes and is close to the left-wing Tudai party as he implements land reform, levies taxes on landlords, and he nationalizes Iran's oil resources and seizes the assets of the Anglo-Iranian oil company. to direct oil profits to the people. And I'm sure you can guess what happens next. Yeah, yeah, CIA coup. Yeah, yeah. I didn't even have to say it.
Starting point is 00:10:31 I can get Travis to say it. It's so common. The CIA and MI6 coup that overthrows Mossadegh puts the Shah back in direct power. I want to take a note here of how people talk about conspiracy theory when we talk about politics in the Middle East. You know, earlier I talked about the kind of figure of the Middle Eastern uncle who tells you how it all really happens. And there's a cliche in a lot of reporting and writing that sort of exoticizes the idea of this type of guy or just Middle Eastern cab driver who espouses all sorts of outlandish conspiracy theories that are behind everything, right?
Starting point is 00:11:02 I've spent a lot of my life living in the region and it happens all the time. You know, I was serving in Turkey during the first Trump administration and the first taxi cab question is like, you know, Kim Trump in Yunette de Orr, like who directs Trump? Who's behind him? And then they were really crestfallen when I was like, I kind of don't think anybody, man. I kind of think this is on autopilot. But, you know, this is a real guy, and I know that guy. But an important thing to kind of underline when we're talking about a part of the world or a country or a culture and political phenomenon that involve it is, you know,
Starting point is 00:11:33 what happened to Mossadegh isn't a conspiracy theory. It was just an actual, like, IRL conspiracy that the West did to Iran. When the contemporary monarchist movement is rife with conspiracy theories, we have to acknowledge that real conspiracies abound. And, you know, this is a problem. part of the world where the most pilled possible thing has derailed entire societies at the past of Western interests. So what happens with the Pahlavi dynasty after Mossadegh is also pretty predictable. There were attempts at reform during the Shah's white revolution, which was basically
Starting point is 00:12:05 throwing oil money at social programs to head off communist guerrilla movements and Islamist unrest. But none of this could really fix the staggering inequality in Iranian society, which was an authoritarian monarchist dictatorship. It was a place with palaces, champagne, and Cadillacs for a few, and we'll talk about that image later. But it was pretty miserable for most Iranians. The Shah created Savak, which was the CIA and Mossad trained secret police force, which cracked down on dissidents, students, intellectuals, and activist clergy using brutal torture and murder. The Shah went nuts buying high-tech Western weapons and basically floated the Western arms industry through the Fosfietnam spending slump. He coronated himself in an elaborate ceremony, which featured a little prince,
Starting point is 00:12:48 his heir, Reza Pahlavi, who we will talk about soon. And I put in the doc, there's a little picture of young Reza Pathlavi barely sitting on his coronation throne in his little uniform. I mean, this doesn't inspire confidence. Whether you have, when you have prepubescence to just absolute regalia on, you know, a golden throne. It makes one skeptical of leadership. I mean, for me. It was a lot of sashes, a lot of aviator sunglasses. It was, it was. It was a lot of It was a lot of self-coronation. It was kind of like a cartoon-level gilded dictatorship. And even at the time, I think people like to talk about how close the USA was to the Shah.
Starting point is 00:13:25 But even at the time, people in Washington were pretty uncomfortable with the human rights record. It was a big issue for Jimmy Carter, especially of basically like, we want to keep selling you these fighter jets, but you're going to have to cool it with torturing dissidents to death. And so, you know, there's a lot in the news about the Islamic Republic carrying out crackdown. which it is and has. That's not like unique to that form of government. Muhammad Pahlavi and the Shah's dynasty was absolutely doing very, very similar stuff. So Iran in the 1970s was an oil state with F-14s
Starting point is 00:13:56 with a sub-40% literacy rate and staggering levels of poverty. Above it all, the Shah combined a superficial glazing of pre-Islamic Iranian history and empires with an in-reality obsession with the West and being seen as Western. This becomes a pronounced trend during the Shah's monarchy, and it's actually one of the big accusations that Khomeini and the Islamic Republic kind of levy against the entire regime as they say it's Garbzadeh, which means you have been struck by the West. You are Western confused and sort of enamored with a foreign culture. In 1971 in the ancient city of Persepolis, the Shah spent millions of dollars on a huge
Starting point is 00:14:33 celebration of 2,500 years of Iranian monarchy in a purpose-built tent city which normal Iranians were excluded from. European royalty, though, were invited, and he flew one. line in from Europe on the Concord. The Shah even imported 50,000 songbirds from Europe because apparently like Iranian birds weren't cutting it in that region of Iran and they needed to have like special bird song and all the trees he had planted. Dear God, can you imagine 50,000 songbirds released in your local bird population? Just what that does to like the native balance.
Starting point is 00:15:04 That's so crazy. I'm sorry to fix it on that. No, it's, it's stuck with me. The cool, the wine, you know. It's stuck with me because. because this is just like the most like mad king thing that I think someone could do. And, you know, I've had this event, especially mentioned to me by like Iranians who lived through the generation of the revolution as basically like being so offended. Like, were our birds not good enough? Like they even like, people go back and look at the menu and there's like, there's not even any Iranian food on this thing. Like there's this like filet mignon. Like what are you doing? Like are you not even showing this country off that you have to like, I don't know how they flew in the birds. I don't think the birds got the concord. But it's just one of the wildest.
Starting point is 00:15:43 He was Louis the 14th, pill. This is extremely Louis the 14th, and what's coming next is a very Louis the 14th conclusion to this story. So I'm sure you can guess what happens next in pretty short order. I'm not going to recount the entire 1979 revolution here, but a coalition of leftists, liberals, nationalists, and Islamists of different types eventually send the shop hacking into exile. In the aftermath, the supporters of Atul al-Hulmeni outmaneuver everyone else. Iran is declared to be an Islamic Republic, operating under the Villiattifarqqqqqqir. or the government of the jurisprudent, basically rule by clerics. And every other faction gets purged to various degrees,
Starting point is 00:16:20 ranging from either getting co-opted into the new system, to getting booted out of parliament, to at the other end, mass execution. It really is a 1789 Louis XVI-style full social revolution, complete with the terror. An important thing I want to remember and kind of underline, though, for talking about what's going to come next in terms of the monarchist movement,
Starting point is 00:16:41 is that there was really nasty street. street fighting between revolutionaries, the Shah's army, and Savak. It wasn't really a full-blown civil war because most of the army defected. Even Western governments and most Iranian military leadership were really trying to manage a transition to another form of government rather than try to save the Shah. Nobody liked this guy in 1979. Most cucked position ever. You love the West so much and they're like, well, what are our options of the side of
Starting point is 00:17:08 you? Damn, damn, that's crazy. the U.S. wouldn't even give him asylum. So he had to kick around and like went into exile in Costa Rica for a little bit. And then I think maybe Panama. And then it was when he was in Central America that there was kind of like a left government that made a Marxist professor his bodyguard who just like while he was guarding the Shah in exile would just like berate him about how he failed to develop the country. And yeah, like just like like like he. He is, he kind of goes down as a pretty, as a pretty weak guy, but it is, it's, it's really grim.
Starting point is 00:17:47 Not the most cucked, a member of the Pahlovy dynasty, but we will get to that. During your exile, Travis, I will be assigned to you. So the Shah goes into exile with his wife and son and a lot of stolen money and succumbs to the cancer he'd been battling in the last few years of his reign. He's buried in Cairo in a mosque, which is kind of prickly for a lot of very, very anti-Islam Iranian exiles. and his family settles in America, and the family are not the only ones. After the 1979 Revolution, Iran has something new. Iran has a diaspora.
Starting point is 00:18:19 Ever since the 1960s, California was the biggest destination for Iranian students, and after the revolution and subsequent brutal invasion by Saddam Hussein's Iraq, these students were joined by refugees, political exiles, and members of the Shah's former ruling elite. Although Iranan and America were now mortal enemies, America became the country with the most Iranians living in it outside of Iran. It's a community that exists largely because of the Iranian Revolution, and it's important to kind of understand that while that's a formative experience, for many of that community, 1979 is also a formative trauma. And I want to distinguish here between exile and diaspora politics.
Starting point is 00:18:54 Exile politics are when a country's own internal politics happen abroad because of upheaval or war. That's quite a lot when it comes to Iranian groups. The pro-Mosadegh Tudek Two-Day Party actually operated in exile in East Germany after the 1950. Iranian Kurdish groups set up shop in Kurdish regions of Iraq, and members of the Iranian provisional government that lost out to Khomeini frequently wound up getting assassinated in like Paris or London, right? So it's when a country's politics happen elsewhere. And there have been assassination attempts. There have been political figures in exile. That's not quite the same thing as a diaspora movement. I don't know if it's like the most helpful thing, but I think it's an important heuristic to remember when we're talking about palatism, because this isn't like a guy in exile who's just continuing to do politics. politics in exile. It's like a new thing that's grown up outside of the country organically among like a multi-generation, you know, population of people who don't live there, right? It's just worth keeping in mind as a framework for what Iranian monarchism turns into after the revolution because for decades, it wasn't really present in these kinds of like exile
Starting point is 00:19:59 politics, right? So in the 80s and 90s, it's not like there were monarchists running around a lot. I mean, there were some, but they weren't the biggest or most important groups. group that opposed the Islamic Republic outside the country. Right. I guess because everyone hates the monarchy, even the people were... Yeah, I mean, they were like there was just a revolution and no one wanted to touch them with a 10-foot pole. If
Starting point is 00:20:20 anything, in the 80s among Iranian exile groups, the feeling was you're the guys who got us into this mess, right? You're the reason I live in Frankfurt now, dipshit. Like, nobody wants you back. Everyone remembers your loser dad. Yeah, I mean, if you're a member of the two-day party, first of all,
Starting point is 00:20:36 you're probably the closest to being a communist that you're going to get in Iranian politics. And your support of Mosadegh was always qualified because Mossadegh was just like a constitutional monarchist. Like he just believed that the Shah should be ceremonial. He didn't even like oppose the existence of the Shah. He wanted it.
Starting point is 00:20:55 He believed that that was part of part of law essentially, like a pretty like holy law essentially. So it's really funny if you're in exile like that. You're definitely not about to become a monarchist. Oh no. And like the two day guys like, fought against the monarchy. The other group I'm going to kind of sidebar here is Mojahedine Chalk, which like was a guerrilla organization. And it's also like, yeah, that's an important
Starting point is 00:21:17 point. Like, Mossadegh was kind of a lib, right? I mean, he's not just kind of, he was. Yeah. Like he was like a liberal, self-professed, you know, constitutional monarchist. Yeah. And that doesn't translate to the experience of monarchism in, in the diaspora as it emerges in the way we're going to talk about. No one's like, I would, I would like to have a, you know, constitutional monarch, and there's a little changing the guard ceremony at Golistan Palace and otherwise it's a democracy, right? No, they don't want the British system. They want the periods where the shot actually ruled brutally. Yeah, actually, like, they want, like, the lion and the, they want the, the lion and stop using the Arabic alphabet and ban Islam. And, uh, I don't, I don't even know if they really know what they want to activate. Activate. Activate. To go super science. To go to go to go to go to go to go to go to go and to go to go and. And, uh, develop a nuke but fire it at anyone who doesn't like Israel. I don't like it's yeah it's it's a whole thing but I think the other thing is there is a big kind of missing middle of like you don't see a lot of constitutional monarchs or liberals because the politics in the home country like all those people wound up dying or like in exile and one of the opposition groups that stood against the Islamic
Starting point is 00:22:27 Republic early on I'm going to talk about here is an interesting I'm not going to say parallel but it goes through let's say a development arc it might be tempting to draw parallels between supporters of the Shah and one of the most major Iranian exile groups, the Mojahir de Nchalk, or M.E.K. But although there are parallels between them, they're very different movements that operate in really different ways. So the MECA was a group that fused political Islam and socialism, and they operated as a guerrilla force in Iran. And they actually blew away a lot of American advisors and diplomats in the 70s and participated in the Iranian Revolution as, like, armed fighters. Like they were duking it out with Salak industry with assault rifles. But they got out.
Starting point is 00:23:06 maneuvered in the post-revolution struggles. But when Saddam Hussein invaded in 1980, the group committed the unforgivable sin of supporting a foreign invasion and lost support inside Iran. They were branded traitors because they were traitors. And the group fled to Iraq, where under the leadership of Masoud Rajavi, and then after he mysteriously disappeared in a way that no one's ever solved or asked and his body's never been found, his wife, Mariam, they fought on the side of Saddam. Like many far-left organizations, and I think even a couple you've covered. on the show, the MECA degenerated into a bizarre sex cult inside their heavily fortified Iraqi base. The only left-wing political cult, though, to ever operate a large tank force.
Starting point is 00:23:46 So they were this like armed to the teeth, kind of weird, hey, buy my newspaper, leftist group that attempted to invade Iran on their own after the Iran-Iraq War ended and were completely slaughtered on the battlefield. Their remaining supporters inside Iran were all executed in mass hangings. And that is kind of a blow, both the, you. MEC's betrayal of the country and then the execution of its supporters. It's kind of a blow that the Iranian socialist left has never really recovered from those purges after the end of the Iran-Iraq war. The MECA stayed in Iraq going totally mental inside Camp Ashraf until the 2003 American invasion.
Starting point is 00:24:23 But here's a kind of interesting parallel also. Having become increasingly close to Israel and the United States as mutual enemies of the Iranian government, the U.S. forcibly disarmed the group and flew them all to Albania, where, courtesy of the CIA, they operate in a big, compound where their members can't leave, and they're all forced to post online against the Iranian government all day long. Oh, no. Mandatory posting. They're internet soldiers.
Starting point is 00:24:46 No, they are internet soldiers in a giant cult compound in mountainous northern Albania, where, like, they have, like, their bank accounts taken away, and they're just made to manage these bot networks to post anti-Islamic Republic, like, tweets all day long, and they have to do, like, weird wife-swapping stuff with the leaders. Rudy Giuliani, if you'll notice, like, came out against the Shah against pretty early. He was like, this Pahlavi guy is a loser. That's because Rudy Giuliani is completely in the tank for MEC. And way more American politicians that you would think are, like, mobbed up with the MECK.
Starting point is 00:25:20 MECA are the only major group that's managed to lobby their way into being undesignated as a terrorist organization. Because up until Trump won, they were because of all the American officials that they assassinated in the 70s. But they fell into this kind of regime change, war lobby kind of neocon space and have carved out, you know, a pretty good kind of arena for themselves. What you're basically saying is that the Trotsky is the Neocon pipeline, like they invented it from first principles, basically. Yeah, yeah, no, this is the full, this is the full, like every, oh my God, I've never actually thought about it that way. But yeah, it's the trot to neocon pipeline of like, at one moment you're waging people's guerrilla. a struggle and the next year like hanging out with Rudy Giuliani and uh or he's hanging out with you um no it absolutely is and I think that's a really good point because this is not like although there are
Starting point is 00:26:14 a pretty wing nut kind of a group this is a pattern that you can see kind of anywhere in the world with groups under under these sorts of pressures so you know while this is a story of an Iranian dissident group going crazy in exile it's also not structurally similar to palativism at all and I do want to talk about populism structurally, right? And palativism is a movement of parts of the right-wing Iranian diaspora that emerges because of diaspora identity and AstroTurf TV channels. It's not like a Khmer Rouge style example of radicalization under conditions of armed struggle, right? Pahlivism is not like an exile group going nuts. It's a diaspora group getting really chutted. In the years after the revolution, nostalgia for the Shah was just that. It was nostalgia,
Starting point is 00:26:56 if anyone even felt it at all. It wasn't an organized or armed political movement. There were plenty of former Shah regime officials that came to the U.S. and built lives. For example, a former, like, deputy chief of Sabak was recently exposed because he was going to pro-monarchist protests in Los Angeles. And he was this, like, legend. I've linked to a story about it. He was just, like, legendary torture who people thought had disappeared. But it turned out he had just been living in Los Angeles ever since 79. And, you know, these aren't people who are, like, plotting covert schemes.
Starting point is 00:27:24 They're just like, yeah, you know, I own a car dealership in Glendale. and like I used to rip out students' fingernails for a living. That's kind of how this works, right? So, you know, it doesn't really exist for a long time after the revolution. Like the constitutionalist party of Iran, which is like the monarchist sort of political party, was founded in Los Angeles by former Pahlavi officials in like the 90s. And Pahlivism only reemerges years later. So when we're talking about Pahlivism, Iranian monarchism, the Shah is dead.
Starting point is 00:27:54 Who are we talking about? Like, who is this Reza Pahlibi guy, right? And I, maybe this is surprising, but I'm kind of fascinated by the guy, and to an extent I kind of feel for him. He really kind of feels like a Cohen Brothers character to me. As you go through his life, it is one of just like vain, glorious self-assertion, but also unceasing humiliation in essentially everything he ever tries to do in his life. And I think the biography is pretty interesting, even though he himself is not a particularly like engaging or interesting guy. So the crown prince of Iran, Rezapalabi, was a 19-year-old cadet in the Imperial Iranian
Starting point is 00:28:36 Air Force, and he was training at a U.S. Air Force base in Texas when the revolution happened. He leaves the program early. He joins his family in exile in Egypt, and his father dies of cancer. And then he becomes the crown prince and the heir to the throne in exile. When Iraq invades Iran, Pahlevi, who remember, he was a trained military pilot. he joins other purged former Iranian Air Force pilots, guys who were pro-Shah, but usually imprisoned, they offered to defend the country. Even though the Islamic Republic was the regime that overthrew them, when Iran was invaded from outside, they said, we can't stand this. And
Starting point is 00:29:11 from prison, they said, if you need us, we'll fight. Other formerly monarchist pilots got to climb into the American-made jets and duke it out with Saddam's Air Force and became like national heroes, right? Guys who volunteered from prison that, like, we will fight for this regime because it's our country at the end of the day, become like fighter aces, they're shooting down migs, they become these sort of folk heroes. There's even like an Iranian-style top gun movie made about one of these guys. It's actually really good. It's called The Pilot. But the answer to Reza Pahlavi is, uh, no, go away. So everyone else has this like noble moment of national heroism volunteering from a prison cell and they're just like, no, not you though. You, you, you, you,
Starting point is 00:29:52 You stay in America. Like, we don't want you here. It's probably smart politically. It's probably smart. It's probably smart for them. They were like, yeah, we're not going to let the crown prince fly around and become a war hero. Like, absolutely not. He's, you know, Reza Pahlavi is involved in a couple half-assed CIA and Mossad instigated
Starting point is 00:30:10 coup attempts that never turn into anything immediately after the revolution. He does a correspondence degree in Pauly Sai from USC. And he eventually winds up in the D.C. suburbs by the early 80s. And he's kind of moving in a tiny, circle of former employees of his dad. And he's never in his life had anything resembling like a job. So it's just kind of him hanging out with the guys who like ran his father's business and just sort of going from exile event to exile event. And everyone's like, yay, they're the king. And he's just like hanging out in a mansion in Maryland with no discernible job or qualification. Nice work if
Starting point is 00:30:47 you can get it. So he describes himself as an advocate for a free Iran. But he's historically actually been, even he's been pretty ambivalent about advocating for becoming the leader of Iran, mostly because it seems like he doesn't really want to be the Shah. Like, he's kind of said, it's not clear what citizenship he holds or like if he has a U.S. passport. But he's said in the past, like, maybe I could be like a part-time transitional leader for Iran. Like maybe I could spend like half the year in Maryland and then like half in Tehran if the government changes. So this is not a guy, who is going around nursing a blood feud demanding to be like, I am the king and it is my birthright, right? Reza Pahlavi has always insisted that his means of financial support is his family's wealth.
Starting point is 00:31:34 And while they did take a lot of money out of the country with them, he doesn't really know about his own finances, which, I mean, you kind of wonder why this dynasty got overthrown. This guy was just like, I don't, I don't look at the books. I don't know how much money I have. Let's import more songbirds to Maryland. Are you telling me that little guy who was sitting on a throne in his regalia, he turned into a fail son? Yeah, it's incredible how when you're nine and you're already wearing a general's uniform, it doesn't really set you up for success. So Reza Pahlavi and his financial
Starting point is 00:32:03 advisor wind up firing reciprocal lawsuits at each other in the 90s, which doesn't really answer the question of where he gets all of his money. And the whole thing ends with Pahlavi, basically declaring in court that he doesn't know how much money he has or where it comes from or how it's spent. But he does then go on to accuse his financial advisor of being an Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps agent and keep that one in your pocket because a big part of Palavi politics is accusing anyone you don't like of being a regime agent. There's obviously rumors that this jobless and well-heeled lifestyle has been heavily subsidized by the CIA and Mossad who have been keeping them on retainer until the day that they need a figure
Starting point is 00:32:40 head for a regime change war, which should have gone a little bit better. Should have gone a little bit better. But also Trump doesn't know anything about Palavia. and doesn't give a fuck about him, which is very funny. No, he doesn't, he doesn't care at all. And I think it's also because, like, you know, the closer someone gets to you, the more you are, the better you are at, like, spotting a poser or, like, a, you know, you're not really about that life.
Starting point is 00:33:06 It's like, I see your tacky, entirely gilded house. I see your, like, I mean, like, Reza Pahlavi is a pretty schlobby guy. I have it on secondhand authority that, like, any moment he is not in a media appearance, he's just wearing track suits all the time. And, like, Trump knows. this kind of like dipshit guy who's just kind of pottering his along with his dad's business and in a you know in a mansion somewhere and he does not respect him like at at all yeah so reza pahlovy enters the 2010s as a maryland grill dad with a passion for wildlife bird photography he's got a
Starting point is 00:33:37 whole separate instagram account just for like his nature photography which actually going back to the songbirds maybe there is a family fixation with birds i don't know what's going on with that but he's hanging out in maryland he's ignoring the fact that his wife yasem is flinginging vagrantly cheating on him with her French yoga instructor, photos in there. When I said his dad was not the most cucked Iranian monarch. I'm sorry if your wife has photos like this floating around with your yoga teacher. It's over, dude.
Starting point is 00:34:06 French yoga teacher is the most, like, GTA French yoga teacher. I mean, she's having a great time. She's having a great time. He kind of has a Matthew McConaughey thing going on. Yeah, he's got the feathered hair. They're like backpacking in. Thailand. They're like, you know, they're, she, what? She likes yoga. I mean, what? I get older. The Iranian Queens have made the same. The Iranian princesses. I mean, in this case, I think she's actually a little bit older, which is, ooh. But yeah. So, I mean, you know, this guy can only drive into the district and go to Moby Dick's House of Kabab. By the way, shout out Moby Dick's House of Kabob. Amazing Iranian chain in D.C. I do not know about their politics. I have not followed who they are backing in the
Starting point is 00:34:51 the current crisis. I do not want to know. I just want the memories of their lunch deal. So like I said before, I personally find Rezapolvi to almost be like a Cohen's brother kind of a figure, a reasonably pleasant man who affects this self-serious dignity while constantly living in the shadow of his father, a guy who seems thrust into world events not entirely of his own will, although he could have stopped all of this if he had really put his foot down, but he never has. And every time he tries to do something, he's constantly humiliated. He's almost a kept man, and in the 2010s, the bill for this lifestyle comes due. The post-9-11 Global War on Terror era is a feeding frenzy for anyone who wants to overthrow a Middle Eastern government, and Iran was no exception.
Starting point is 00:35:32 American Hawks, like Lindsay Graham, were long interested in overthrowing the Iranian regime and glommed onto the cause, and both neocons and the Israel lobby were all hopeful that they could get away with doing Iraq and Iran. The Israel-backed Turbohawk Foundation for Defense of Democracies was founded in 2001, straight up as like a Hebrew named pro-Israel organization that later rebranded. And they pretty quickly staffed up with a number of pro-regime and pro-Pahli-I Iran experts. In 2003, the National Union for Democracy in Iran, or Nufti, is founded. This is the closest thing to a Pahlivist think tank that exists. Like whatever policy documents or attempts to actually act like a government they have, this is them.
Starting point is 00:36:15 It's also a structural backbone by which Israeli and also Gulf states, money gets funneled into the Pothlebi movement. It's a whole elite ecosystem. That's the result of a synergy of Saudi, Emirati, Israeli, and Neocan money. And so where a lot of the funding for this gets very muddled, this is something that actually
Starting point is 00:36:32 reminds me of a lot of like tea party or Q stuff where you can't just say like, oh, it's the Adelson's, it's this person, it's this mega donor. You can't just directly point at Pahalivism and say it's all the Israel lobby. You can't say it's all rich right wing Persians in Los Angeles.
Starting point is 00:36:48 You can't say that it's all, you know, the Israel lobby or neocons. There's enough of that floating around where these institutional positions kind of get floated on it. But notice, not a party, not a mass movement, a think tank, right? I do want to underline this amazing article in Jadalia, which is an article that personally got my ass and called me out by Nagarazabi, which is it's called the problem of Iran expertise in Washington. And it's about this type of hawkish Iran expert who's just some guy. they find and deem an expert because they have a veneer of authority and say the things that they want, right? For a long time, if you wanted to be a pro-Iran regime change person, you could
Starting point is 00:37:30 just be that person irrespective if you actually like know anything about Iran or have the background. One of the most notable hawkish think tank experts is actually a guy who's like a scholar of like 16th century documents or something like that. Like he's a classicist. He's not a foreign policy guy. So there's this whole ecosystem that comes around Iran regime change. And a lot of people made a living on it for a long time. I put the link in the dock. It's a great piece in Jadalia if you ever wanted to know about people like me who know all the Persian spots in D.C. and studied Farsi when they got a master's degree and have a foundation for regime exploding, you know, a resident fellow position or something like that.
Starting point is 00:38:09 It's good, but it's damning. I think this is an overlap with stuff that you've also talked about, but you get these figures like Claire Lopez, who's a, CIA veteran and anti-Islam conspiracy theorist who gets involved with the regime change stuff. She's really deeply mopped up with like the Clarion Institute, which I think I've heard you mentioned before, and is kind of the first person I can point to that is a bridge between the Pahlobis and the Pahlovis movement and Trump world, right? So these people, this kind of soup, is floating around since the early 2000s. I did see them like at CPAC, the CPAC following the Trump victory. I saw all these like Iranians for Israel and they were also talking about reinstating the Shah.
Starting point is 00:38:52 Yeah, yeah. They're really big at CPAC and they're really big with this kind of like Gen 1 Trump world type of person, right? And they really latch on to that. You know, up until now, we've talked a lot about Iranian history and the ways that the story is unique and special and the specificities of that place. But I kind of want to shift gears now with this like mention of CPAC and Claire Lowe. Lopez and these people, and talk about how this is actually a pretty globally universal and common story. This is where polyvism starts to resemble MAGA. And just like MAGA and its freakyer fringes, it all comes together in the 2010s. You know, it's like the Bolsonaro movement. It's like Queer Dankers or who I only know about because of QAA or like the Canadian trucker convoys. Like polyvism starts to emerge from this ecosystem. It really in like post-2010. So I want to underscore the despite all the history and background and context, this is all like a really recent thing.
Starting point is 00:39:49 Yeah, part of a global wave of reactionaries losing their fucking minds. Yeah, exactly. Reactionaries getting what they want and losing their minds and burning quite a lot of elite money to do it and then breaking containment. The ground zero for Pahlivism, or what some people, even inside the Pahlivist movement, are calling neo-Pahlovism is not like the moment it becomes not just a set of hawkish think tanks, is the moment it really kind of breaks containment is because of a TV channel, or rather two TV channels. For a long time, you got to understand that Iranian state TV was boring as shit. IRIB or Press TV, which is their kind of English language, like foreign propaganda of the Iranian government, was just guys with no ties and women and Chador's talking directly at the camera,
Starting point is 00:40:34 low production values, lots of clumsy propaganda, nothing fun or cool, the sensors won't allow it, right? So if you are interested in watching a Farsi language news channel, for a long time, you didn't have a lot of options. The whole thing about these like internet savvy Iranian government groups creating the funny AI Lego videos and the rap songs about how Pete Hegseth is a drunk loser, that's a totally new development in Iranian messaging. I didn't believe they had it in them. You know, the borders of the Islamic Republic to make like a catchy Lego rap song about Epstein.
Starting point is 00:41:06 You know, for a long time, it was at most relatable a guy talking about Alexis de Tocqueville to try to try to message to Americans. So a lot of people inside and outside Iran would watch the Voice of America in Persian or BBC Farsi. And they've always been sources of Persian language news. They've also always been sources of anti-regime and opposition Persian language news, right? Voice of America and BBC Farsi are, you know, like dissident organizations that are against the Iranian government. But it was always a very liberal kind of opposition. Human rights activists, feminists, filmmakers who've been censored, artists. You know, Voice of America and BBC Farsi also had a commitment to one degree or another to making a case against the Iranian government by modeling like openness and liberalism and reform.
Starting point is 00:41:52 So they would report on how sanctions made life hard in Iran or about Western abuses in the region. so they could build credibility. That was the exile kind of news media environment in Persian. Very PBS coded, right? Where they kind of kept the, hey, maybe the Islamic Republic isn't very good, a bit on the down low as part of a bigger kind of liberal message. But in the 2010s, you have two networks that come out of nowhere, Manato and Iran International. And they kind of bring like a Fox News and even kind of an OANN, Turbo Chud,
Starting point is 00:42:26 always on yelling broadcast TV in Farsi to an Iranian audience. And Manato starts broadcasting in 2010 and it is unironically, I think it is the reason for all of the Iran before the Islamic revolution memes. Like the reason that people are like putting photos of like, you know, a black and white photo of Charlie Kirk and it's like, ha ha, like Charlie Kirk before the Iranian revolution or like pictures of Freddie Mercury and it's like Iranian men hanging out before the Islamic Revolution or like you slap that on any bikini photo and it's like a meme is because of Manato and like the amount of nostalgia programming that they do for that time. Manato is based in London and its origins are a bit murkier than the clearly Saudi-backed Iran international. But Manato has very high production values and
Starting point is 00:43:11 it does a lot of cultural programming. So they like, Kugush, who's like the legendary Iranian singer, her music is so good, all bangers. She's been around forever like since the 70s, but she hosted a version of the voice on Manato. There's cooking programs so you can like make all of the absurdly delicious like finally crafted palaves and stuff like that. Like there's all of this stuff that's very relatable to a maybe less highbrow, less politically engaged, like cultural interest stuff for Farsi speakers. But there's also this vision of a totally whitewashed nostalgia for pre-revolution of Iran with lots of women in bikinis and scenes of glamour and palaces and luxury, which, like, to be clear, like, that did exist if you were, like, close to the Shah.
Starting point is 00:43:56 I mean, it's really kind of the, this is what they took for you, conservative return trad thing, where they look at, like, a cola ad. And they're like, this is what white men don't get anymore, right? And they'll be like, they'll show, you know, people at a beach resort in the Caspian drinking martinis, you know, driving around in Cadillac's. And it's like, well, yeah, that, I mean, that existed for some people before 1979. Certainly not most, right? Yeah, I mean, yeah, we see the same thing online all the time. It was like, it's like, why can't we have like, you know, parties like this anymore? And it's like a late 19th century southern large plantation, like a ball or something.
Starting point is 00:44:32 It's like, well, yeah, because even if you, you know, you weren't invited to those things. Even if you were, you know, did exist in that time. It's like those are like, you know, they like the top one percent of white people at the time. Yeah, exactly. And so a lot of this, you know, it's basically like a nostalgia for the Shah that looks at maybe some of the the more cultural openness. And I wouldn't even say openness, just like kind of cold, like the shit rich people always get up to and completely overlooks the underlying economics system where it's like, well, you're saying that Iran was like a feminist paradise because a handful of literal princesses
Starting point is 00:45:07 got to wear Chanel bathing suits, whereas like most women didn't finish grade school, right? And, you know, for anything else you can say about the Islamic Republic, it's taken things like literacy and education very seriously. Like in Iran today, more women graduate from university than men to the extent that men are given like affirmative action in university admissions now because not enough of them like make it in. So like, you know, it's it's the same kind of right wing nostalgia you see everywhere. You know, the idea of like a man used to be able to provide for his family and his picture of like Don Draper. Like you weren't that guy and neither were you invited to any of this, right? Now that's Manato, right? But Iran International, the other big network is much
Starting point is 00:45:47 of a latecomer. It comes on in like 2017 and it is a hard news channel, very Fox style, that is just straight up bomb Iran now, war now. Attack Iran. The regime will collapse. The people will rise up. We have to do it now. Please blow up Iran. Like invade. We need regime change. This isn't propaganda or lobbying directed at foreigners either. It's not saying to like Americans, hey, America, you should attack this evil country that hates America. This is like to an Iranian audience. saying a precondition for anything changing or getting better in Iran is war, right? Not that it might be regrettable or not be necessary or that we want the government to change. It's not even arguing that, like, well, we want there to be a different system of government.
Starting point is 00:46:31 It's we want there to be a war so there will be a different system of government, right? Iran International is probably responsible for a lot more of the radicalization. Like when you read Iranian-American accounts of like families breaking down after the war and estrangement and things like that. People talk about Iran international the way you would talk about Fox, right? But I think it's important to take it together with Manatoa as a package, even though they're different organizations that probably have different benefactors. And the story of like people getting Iran international pilled is really familiar to this podcast and the movements like it, right? Shout out to the Iranian-American novelist Porrhus. She goes on Instagram live a lot and she's been very open talking about what's
Starting point is 00:47:15 happened in her family and the kind of things that have taken place as, you know, a lot of her immediate family has become ardently Pahlivist by basically just having Iran International on all the time, right? It just kind of sucks everything out, out of the room. My beloved Umpi, Kavan Golsor, he wrote a great piece in the nation that talks about how the Pahlavi movement engages in and cultivates this idea of what the sociologist Zygmunt Bauman called Retrotopia. This oneness, however, is less an expression of shared present conditions than a projection of a selectively remembered past. It can be more productively understood through what the late sociologist Sigmund Balman called Retropia, a backward-looking orientation that locates political
Starting point is 00:47:55 possibility in an imagined and idealized historical coherence. In this formulation, Iran was perfect before the Islamic Revolution, culturally cohesive, economically prosperous, and fundamentally unified. But this utopic nostalgia, or retropopia, to use Bauman's language, seeks that which does not exist. Nostalgia, as a structure of feeling, does not recover the past so much as reorganizes it to soothe a pained yearning. In doing so, nostalgic representations also smooth over contradictions, suppress conflicts, and promote an image of coherence that obscures the heterogeneity of lived experience. Because of media outlets like Manoto and Iran International, being pro-American and pro-Israeli military intervention to overthrow the Islamic Republic creates a sense of being a hegemonic idea
Starting point is 00:48:40 when it really isn't one. And that's the point. Do we know the kind of like general historical background of Pavlovis? So like are they more likely to have been wealthy before they left Iran? That's a super interesting question. There's actually a really great article that just came out in the New York Review that kind of delves a little bit into the way that it isn't in the same way that like MAGA or QAnon can actually be more cross-class than you'd think. It's not as directly correlation. Like there's a lot of people who were rich under the Shah that stayed rich under the Islamic Republic. And even a lot of people who got rich under the Islamic Republic, you know, one left-wing
Starting point is 00:49:17 criticism that's leveled against the Iranian government is really that they're not particularly anti-capitalist, right? So this is, it's very maga style in that this is a conflict that's kind of pure culture and cultural orientation rather than a clear like rich people broke this way and poor people broke this way. I mean, you can find people who are like auto mechanics that are Pahlavi you can find people in the diaspora that are millionaires who aren't inside of Iran and Pahlavism inside of Iran is different. That's more recent. And that's really something more for
Starting point is 00:49:49 like someone who's been in Iran recently because in the last wave of protests, which we'll talk about in a bit, this is like a phenomenon which has introduced itself back into the mother country from the diaspora. And the Pahlavis, the neo-Pahlovis inside of Iran are very much like a kind of lump in lower middle class, right-wing, street fighting group of guys who are like very right-wing, very racial, very misogynist, and very kind of very, it's very Latin America coded to me in a sense of like tufts who are ready to go out there and fight anyone and are guys with no economic prospects or hope, you know. Right. I guess it's like the secularism in that context is like an insertion of like ethnic Persian identity as opposed to like Islam is a
Starting point is 00:50:35 foreign thing. Is there some of that ground? I would say they believe both those things at the same time. So there is a big ethnic component to this. And there's a lot of like weird 1930s Iranian racial nationalists who are getting resurrected and their books are being reread by young people. In a lot of these contexts, the Islamophobia and the anti-Islam thing is also an ethnic thing, right? Where they are basically saying this is a, I know people in my life who have said stuff to this. And it was always kind of like, I mean, they're not Pahlovis, but it's pretty widely held that like Islam is fundamentally an Arab religion that's foreign to our country. And we don't want to hear. Now, it's, that's a whole other. their can of worms. It's not, I don't really have a dog in that fight. It's a whole thing. But a lot of the, like, the emphasis on Zoroastrianism, the looking at Islam as something foreign, there is a ethnic component to that of like, why did these people come out of the desert and conquer the civilization and make us believe this stuff? Now, the fact that most Iran, like Iran is a very religiously Muslim country, irrespective, it was under the Shah. It is now. It doesn't really seem to factor into that. But in the same way that Maga does, a lot of really discordant.
Starting point is 00:51:39 incoherent thing is kind of get flattened together inside of this movement, right? Yeah, it's interesting. I feel like originally I thought of it more as like Russian emigre situation of like people who are mad about the Bolsheviks upsetting their position in Russian society. But this seems like it's, yeah, it's more of a return imagined history for a lot of the Pavlovists than it is actual grievances about like, you know, like anyone who's like was formerly rich in like a communist country, like my family in Yugoslavia had their wealth taken away. And like their people were like, oh, you took away my factory or whatever. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:52:10 This seems to be maybe less driven by that sort of grievance. Yeah, my dad owned all the eggs in China, that famous tweet, right? Like, they had their well taken away. Now, what's interesting, though, is the Iranian government has just now, like in the last month, announced that they are going to start seizing the assets of Iranians abroad, who are anti-regime, right? But up until this war, they never touched that. Like, if you had problems accessing your money back in Iran, it was because of American financial
Starting point is 00:52:38 sanctions, not because of the actions of the government. So there's not a clear class component to this moment. And that's why I really wanted to distinguish between an exile movement and a diaspora movement. Because it is like, that is the classic thing, like the embittered Croatian nationalist being like, and they, can you believe the communists sent my father to prison simply for being a Eustasha colonel? This is, this is not exactly that. No, those. people are there, like the Sabak deputy director who is protesting in Los Angeles, but it's not, it's not all or most of them. So Iran has had a series of protest waves that have been escalating since 2019. And most of them were driven by economic dissatisfaction with Iran's sanctioned
Starting point is 00:53:20 and collapsing economy. You know, Iran is next to Cuba, one of the most sanctioned and embargoed countries in the world. It is almost impossible to do anything there. Like, it is almost impossible to send money, to have anything. And so their economy is under- performing and collapsing, mostly due to sanctions, but you also have to put some blame on mismanagement. Now, this includes like the women life freedom movement, big employment protests, there's a lot of government crackdowns, hundreds of people die. It's grim and things are heading towards a precipice simply because the economy is not working for most people and conditions inside the country become unlivable. But in January 2026, Reza Pahlavi kind of hijacks the narrative around a round of economic protests
Starting point is 00:54:01 and declares that this is a, I'm really glossing over a lot of things here, but he basically says that this is the time to rise up against the Islamic government. I have the backing of American Israel. I am your king. Go out there, overthrow the government, right? As it starts heading towards a crackdown, he basically says, like, do it. Now is the time. Help is with you.
Starting point is 00:54:22 I don't have to get conspiracy brained against this. American and Israeli leaders have both said, yeah, we had agents on the ground there. I don't, I don't know. like the degree of it. It's just like all the going back and forth on the body count, people saying, this is how many people, this was a genocide that was worth a Gaza, only this many people died, no, you're a liar, no, you're a regime of biologists, know you're a foreign agent. Look, he goes out there and he says, go out there, fight the cops, help is coming, burn down your local mosque, I am your king, overthrow the government, and the Islamic Republic calls his bluff by just
Starting point is 00:54:58 shooting people, right? That's kind of the political dynamic that matters for populism here. Pahlivism re-interjects itself in this call towards a basically unsupported, unorganized, unprepared kind of revolution thing that ends in by the Iranian government's own admission, them shooting thousands of people. Because, you know, the argument the Islamic Republic always deployed against even the most innocuous protest is that you are a foreign agent of America and Israel who wants to overthrow the government, right? You say, we don't like mandatory a job. You're told you're a foreign agent. You want the Shah back. You love America and Israel. You want to overthrow the government. You say, why is my movie censored? They give that same answer. You say,
Starting point is 00:55:40 why can't I afford rent? They give that same answer. Well, what did you think was going to happen when you walk out into the street and then loudly declare, I am an agent of America and Israel and I want to overthrow the government, right? You know, I don't know a government on earth that would not react to a serious attempt to overthrow it in this way. I mean, I think about January 6th, like push came to shove, the Capitol Police did shoot an old, not an old, shot a young, blonde white lady in the face because she was trying to overthrow the government. It's a massacre. But this coming to a boil had actually been building for a while. So there's a great piece in Politico from 2023 called I'll burn you alive, which is about how hostile and threatening the Iranian diaspora environment had become in
Starting point is 00:56:22 the wake of the women life freedom protest movement. And there were these core. coordinated, like, sexual assault and death threats sent to anyone in the Iranian exile or diaspora community who supported diplomatic solution to the Western impasse with Iran at that time. So pro-regime change and pro-Pahli groups and associations, both formal and informal, have engaged in sustained and engineered attempts to shout down any dissenting voices. They really wanted to make it come to the point of mass protest and massacre, right? This is not, this is a movement that kind of exists to shut up. off other possibilities, both for Western relations with Iran and also for bluntly, they don't want
Starting point is 00:57:01 other avenues of change inside of Iran to happen, right? And they don't like anyone who's advocating for a path that's not theirs. A lot of these threat campaigns were aided by huge online bot networks and doxing that seemed to take place with the level of state resources. And it was kind of an astro-turfed movement that really only after 2022 starts coming into prominence, You know, there was an attempt to create an official united Iranian opposition, kind of a government in exile around the time of the women life freedom protests that totally fell apart organizationally. But even during that time, Reza Pahlavi was seen as a very divisive and fringe problematic figure even among the Iranian exiles. You know, wasn't even sure, like, is he even on the team when you're talking about organized dissent on against the Iranian government? And is there more like other groups that maybe were more.
Starting point is 00:57:55 organized to have been doing more actual on-the-ground political work or something like that. So one thing I want to underline when we talk about palivism and how visible they've become and how many people kind of take them to be fully representative of what the Iranian diaspora is, this has only become like a hegemonic point of view since like 2022, right? Yeah, I feel like the only like even like pro-Israel, pro-America, Iranian diaspora people I knew around this period where like Paplavi is washed. He kind of sucks. Yeah, yeah, absolutely.
Starting point is 00:58:23 I mean, he barely wants it. That's the funny part. It's like gathering around a figure who barely wants to be there actually kind of reminds me of like Donald Trump. It is one of the most Trumpist things. And as we start kind of talking about how this starts to resemble not just MAGA, but also Q, I think Pahlaby's relationship to his own followers is this kind of weird bemusement of like, you know, like whenever Trump gets religious and he comes in and holds up a Bible and is like, wow, you love this, don't you?
Starting point is 00:58:51 Look at you go. It's very similar. like he's washed and even even the more kind of thoughtful pro-regime change Iranians will basically say that like Reza Pahlavi is just the last man standing. He's the least bad option. Or they will say like, well, he'd be a transitional figure for now. Like he's chopped and everyone knows it, right? But things after 22 start becoming increasingly contentious. There's threats of violence and at times even before this war, it crosses into actual violence. Masoud Masjuri was an incredibly litigious Simon Fraser University professor who was actively involved
Starting point is 00:59:29 in non-Pathlavi Iranian dissident movements. And he just loved to sue people. And so he was actively suing Reza Pahlavi for definition and had repeatedly accused the Pahlavist movement of being infiltrated by the IRGC in Iranian government and being used as a controlled opposition, which, like, to be fair, if I was... was the Iranian government and wanted the opposition to me to be figureheaded by the most off-putting and insane people, I would probably have done everything that the Pahlovis have done. But Masjudi was, you know, one of these guys in a smaller non-Pahlovis anti-Iranian regime
Starting point is 01:00:09 organization whose body was found in rural Vancouver. And a ardently pro-Pahli, very strange Iranian-Canadian couple has been charged with his murder. I'm not even personally convinced that this was like an organized hit or something that would be pure political violence. They like followed each other on Twitter. They all had massive Twitter drama on Farsi Twitter with each other. The couple was really weird in doing like public play and also, well, nothing against that. But they were just like, they had a weird right wing swinger kind of vibe and like were super duper pro-polavi and really into getting like into huge fights on on Farsi Twitter. And now they're charged with murder.
Starting point is 01:00:49 So, like, putting a note in this, this is the first, like, active, like, coordinated murder related to the Pahloving movement in North America that I know. Lots of swinging in this episode, specifically anti-Iranian regime. Yeah, it's, I mean, there is, there is something, and I think some Iranian-American influencers have pointed out kind of like how sexually charged a lot of Pahalbism is. And I can't really, I don't know, like, I don't come from the religious Theocracy Society. I can't really speak as to what that does. I don't know. I don't know. I don't have a dog in that fight, but you will notice, especially in some of the videos I've linked later, how kind of very, like, very sexy the polyvists try to betray themselves as, as, you know, maybe a way to express themselves, but I don't know what's going on there. So, like, an appropriation of the, like, unveiling the Muslim woman kind of discourse?
Starting point is 01:01:38 I don't even think appropriation, an explicit, full-throated endorsement. The idea of, like, I'm, I'm stripping down and I'm going to do a twerk off to thank Trump against the Islamic Republic. And because everything is polarized identity politics, they're just like, well, if you say, I can't do this, I'm going to do it by God. But, you know, the polyvists, if anyone hasn't been watching the news, they are the dog that caught the car now. They got the regime change war that they've been dreaming for for years. And almost immediately everything fell apart. The Islamic Republic does have, you know, about a 20% of the population core base of support. That's about how many people in every Iranian election vote for the most conservative parties, the principal. You know, they're the real regimes, like the true believers, right? But the thing is, you know, despite
Starting point is 01:02:24 many of the Pahlavists or figures in the diaspora saying, no Iranian supports this regime, many people would take issue with the fact that I would even plague the social support for the Islamic Republic at 20%. I think a lot of people would be offended and say, like, no, nobody wants this regime at all. They purely follow it for cynical reasons. You know, the way this war unfolded in exactly the way the Pahlav has begged for, it's really meant that the central question isn't, do you like the Islamic Republic? It was like, do you like foreign countries sneak attacking you while you are negotiating with them? Do you like hundreds of little girls being blown up by cruise missiles? Do you like a bomb being dropped in your own neighborhood? So even though lots of people, even inside of Iran, were like,
Starting point is 01:03:03 oh, yay, this is it. This is the regime changed war. The regime's going to fall. Pretty much immediately, the way the U.S. and Israel have behaved has meant that this is not a question about the regime, right? They, like, to paraphrase Kat Williams, you know, we're not at war with their army. We're at war with them. Civilian infrastructure like oil refineries, cultural treasures like Golis-Palas came under attack almost immediately. And Trump went out of his way to say, like, we're going to destroy your civilization. Like, this is whatever legitimacy the Pahlivis have has cratered because of this war. You know, in the end, the regime didn't collapse, but Pahlivism did. Even two weeks into the war, there's a statement from Reza Pahlavi's own mother that's very
Starting point is 01:03:41 KG and conditional. She's talking a lot about how the future of Iran shouldn't be decided with war and outside its own borders and the Iranian people should decide their own leader. Like, this is his mom in an interview with France 24, basically kind of slow rolling, I don't think you're the guy. And I just like, I imagine reading that and like your wife's at yoga class again and you're like sitting with your dad's old business buddies and like the open floor plan kitchen in your Maryland. and mansion and just like, it's so weird for me to feel bad for this guy, but I do. You know, Trump, Trump pretty quickly starts calling him the loser prince and says, you're not the guy. Everyone pretty much from like week one of this conflict knows that even though all these people went out into the
Starting point is 01:04:29 street in Iran shouting his name and were gunned down, even though all these people are rallying for him, this is not, this is not the guy. But that doesn't mean that his followers are giving up. So you have, we're going to start talking about influencers now. This is Mune Rahimi. She's an Iranian monarchist influenceer who created the Trump dance on the first day of the war, celebrating the attack on Iran. I have a picture here, short shorts, cowboy boots. She's dancing with Trump's little two-hand thing to YMCA saying all Iranians right now
Starting point is 01:04:57 are dancing around to YMCA. This is day one when the school in Manab got blown up, which of course everyone, you know, on this side, this kind of type of person was like, oh, well, that's fake. the regime did it. But, you know, the thing about Munei Rahimi is that it's not like she's just about this one thing. She's hella chudded. She does baddy dance videos. She's also R-Ting Elon Musk. And she insists that this is not a war. It's a rescue mission to save Iranians from the Mullahs and Islam. You could be like,
Starting point is 01:05:30 girl, what are you talking about? They're blowing up your own country. And then that happens to her. Two weeks into the war, she posts this on Twitter. and states that her cousin has been killed in either an American or Israeli airstrike in the war. And if you thought that this might involve a moment of self-reflection or maybe even opening up to more universal statements of human grief, no, she doubles down. She places blame 100% with the Islamic Republic for being there, and it redoubles her faith in populism and regime change. She is tweeting every day. She is still out there. She, you know, has this post here where she, she basically says, I blame the world and the IRGC, certainly not the thing that I advocated for
Starting point is 01:06:15 and celebrated. It's really sad, but I think for this podcast, especially seeing the way that the kind of, when you're not just MAGA, once you're marching down that kind of queue path, this kind of psychological mechanism starts just coming out all over the time. Yeah. When the U.S. eventually agreed to a ceasefire with Iran because Iran didn't collapse and, in fact, started shooting at every single American regional ally and close the straight where 20% of the world's oil goes through. Reza Pahlavi reacted to the C-Spire by unfollowing both Trump and Netanyahu on Instagram. Oh, God. Yeah, no, that's how you know it's like very serious.
Starting point is 01:06:49 Yeah, friendship over. Yeah, yeah. Friendship is end. It's very Drake-coded, actually. Yeah, he's going to post like a message he sends to Trump on Instagram. Yeah. We're about eight weeks out from a Reza Pahlavi notes app apology that he's going to, he's going to screenshot. and do a statement of harm
Starting point is 01:07:08 that he did a no growth. He did a regime change. Everyone's going to be like, how the fuck did he get it to working with comic sands? So, you know, the monarchists were able to cope that like not enough Iranians cited with them that the regime didn't collapse. But they haven't really been able to process being cut loose by this elaborate network of benefactor organizations that kind of created patholism.
Starting point is 01:07:30 Goldie Gahmari is also another pretty perfect example of a hardcore and politicized Pahlobist, not just a cultural person who dances around, but someone who's an idyllogue. She's super pro-Trump, super MAGA internet personality. She goes on O'Aena and sometimes. She talks about how much she loves Trump, Israel, and the U.S., despite being Canadian, which is also another classic, kind of QAnon move. She's a disbarred, or at least non-practicing lawyer, and she loves being on these panel discussions on Iran International or other networks and kind of like vaguely threatening anti-war Iranians directly, saying right before the war, she had some appearance where she was like, once we're in charge again, like you just wait. Like we're making lists. You know, basically
Starting point is 01:08:09 explicitly saying we're good, we can't wait to bring back Sabak and arrest everyone. I've screenshot at a tweet here. This was nine hours ago today. She said, Mr. Trump, please finish the job. Rekindle the friendship and ally ship that existed between Iranians and Americans before the terrorist Muslim Nazis occupied Iran in 1979, begging for a restart of the war, not backing down even a bit. But this tweet actually kind of set off me sending the DM that led to this. episode because if we'll click and watch it here, it's not just that she's right wing, it's not just that she's lackey, if that she's starting to bake. And I think we should watch this tweet and play the audio.
Starting point is 01:08:46 She says, hello friends, I heard some of you are concerned with President Trump because he didn't mention her show the Prince. In the video he posted last night, first of all, that's not President Trump's job. Okay? It's not President Trump's responsibility to tell the world who the leader of Iran's revolution, the lion and son is. That's our duty as Iranians. We need to tell the world. We need to show the world who we want. That's not the American's job.
Starting point is 01:09:20 That's our job. That's point number one. And for those who want to complain that there's no trace of the prince in President Trump's video, let's look at second 11 of President Trump's video together. And she points to a picture here. What's this picture? Presumably that's the Shah. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:09:39 It's a picture of in the corner of the frame at a pro-war Iranian rally, there is a corner of a poster with a picture of Reza-Pahlavi being held up by one guy. Okay. Trump is sending subliminals that that's who we want. So she's like, don't worry. There's secret messages at Section 11 of a corner of a poster that proved that Trump hasn't given up, and he knows who the leader of Iran should be. And then she stares into the camera kind of like blinks like, see, see, waves her hands saying that's clearly evidence.
Starting point is 01:10:10 She says, what more do you want President Trump to say? How else should he prove he's heard your voice? We just need to keep going. Continue our path. Continue listening to the prince's words and guidance. It's so funny, listen to his words and guidance. It's like a guy who like doesn't even want to be there. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:10:28 Yeah, he doesn't really have a message. So this is where kind of the meat and potatoes or I guess the fragrant saffron rice of this episode is, is the structural comparison to what I see as a developing kind of Q&on structural comparison. And what do we have here? There's a populist in a right wing movement. It is very online to the point of maybe even mostly existing online. It's posting as political action, an emphasis on like being a voice, speaking out, sharing information. It's cross-class. There's not like one clear demographic of person socially economically who falls into this.
Starting point is 01:11:07 And it's very focused on retribution, right? Payback against the people who've been against us. The malignant bodies in our own society. The people who don't embrace it. And, you know, one of the things about Q and MAGA that I've kind of learned from this show is how much of their time is spent kind of weeding out traitors, right? And also very, very MAGA and very Q is that the leadership of this movement seems to be pretty ambivalent. about its own followers. But what really does set populism apart from Q&on is there's an element of non-larp.
Starting point is 01:11:37 While the social base and true believers are absolutely baking and they're larping the movement, its leadership actually do have real connections to intelligence communities and are part of, or at least a component of, a big and powerful international movement. So, you know, when they're tweeting out things like Mossad agents are alongside you, it's not a cue drop. It's a real thing. But they're also treating it like a cue drop. So there is a conspiracy.
Starting point is 01:12:01 here, and it's been the long U.S.-Gulf State-Israeli alliance against Iran. Reza Pahlavi absolutely does hang out with secret agents and is doing all the things for real that Q&N followers thought Q was doing. The delusion isn't that the storm is coming. These people got their version of the storm. All the people the Pahlavis hated in Iran actually did IRL get vaporized by stealth fighters and drones. The Israeli Air Force blew up the Supreme Leader. All the top IRGC commanders are dead now. The regime changed war the Pahlavi movement wanted actually took place. So this is like if Q people got the storm, even after they got Trump, and still it all fell
Starting point is 01:12:38 apart. Yeah. Yeah. It's like if they killed Hillary Clinton and then like Joe Biden got elected anyways. Yeah. Yeah, yeah, exactly. It's like we had the eight days of no internet and then there was a military tribunal where we did execute Hillary Clinton for eating a baby.
Starting point is 01:12:54 And then at the end of it, Joe was just like, come on, man. And then just won. Right. Like this is absolutely that where like the Israeli bombs started dropping. The people were told to rise up. There were all these rumors of like, you know, we're getting ready to send exiles in. And then just none of it materialized. And also materialized so fast.
Starting point is 01:13:13 Like in very, very quickly, I think once the Iranian government kind of, you know, rallied and started shooting back, anyone in a position of power just went, oh, yeah, this is not. This is not happening, right? Except for these people who have for years or maybe decades built their identity. around it happening. So, you know, the LARP here was pretending that the Pahlavi movement had any agency in the process or that Reza Pahlavi is really a leader or has any input into what happens, right? They're kind of realizing now that they've been passengers, that they're not the ones kind of driving history. And I think it's breaking a lot of their brains. So what does this look like? Pahlavists have always loved street theater, but after the war started, their protests are getting
Starting point is 01:13:53 substantially stranger. Yeah. Yeah. In, In Canada, there was a, in Toronto, there was this strange reenactment of the Pahlavi coronation ceremony where people just kind of had a big paper mache crown and just kind of paraded it down the street in like a just walking around with it. There's a lot of unusual stuff I was seeing in Vancouver as well. Like around the art gallery downtown, there's always just like a really big, like they have these really big Israeli flags and then it's like a sign with the Pavlovi monarch. My favorite is like a lot of them have American flags and they're like the day after
Starting point is 01:14:27 the war started, there was this really, really large march downtown. And like, there's a lot of American flags in there, which like, I was thinking about the association there of like being in Canada during Trump's invasion threat and being like, yes, we love Canada and we also love America. I do wonder if that offended anyone. I mean, that's actually like, that's a really good point of like, yeah, they're not going around. Like, they're in Germany with American flags. They're in Canada with American flags. And there's actually, it's the next video. I don't know if we want to read it off on the pot or not, but there's a video of a, a. pro-Iranian opposition guy at a rally who has the lion and sun flag, but he just asks other guys
Starting point is 01:15:05 at the rally, why do you have so many American flags? Aren't we Iranian? And they start threatening him. It's pretty wild. I mean, is this stuff a lot of like, I know that QAnon, sometimes it's like a lot of their activism, especially when they do things IRL, is limited to attention getting. This is why they wear like Q shirts at like Trump rallies and stuff. And they think that well, like if we get attention, if we get people talking about us, we're winning somehow. And that's like they didn't think past the attention getting sick. Is that kind of like that kind of like online brain where it thinks like attention equals support or attention equals winning?
Starting point is 01:15:40 Yeah, absolutely. There's a huge emphasis on like being your voice and speaking out. And even most of the demands and things that they threaten are about posting on the internet. And there's this I, there's not a community, even really an attempt to like communicate a political platform at these things, right? All of this is pointing to a single brutal truth, which is that the polyphist movement doesn't really do politics. It's all spectacle and posting. They're not building institutions or organizations.
Starting point is 01:16:06 They're not interested in having outreach or like winning over people with compelling arguments. It is really where it starts to look like QAnon where you have this like alienating street theater or demands for absolute fealty or like waving the flag of a third country in Canada, which is already in a pretty prickly situation with the United States. It's tone deaf. They're doing it kind of to troll people or to stand out, right? Like at this point, I could, if some of that sweet Saudi money came my way, find like an anti-Israel argument or something for patholivism if I cared about optics. But they don't care about optics. They care about yelling at people and maintaining and asserting a kind of cultural hegemony, right? So there are orgs, like this thing called, I put orgs in quotation marks because it's not really an organization.
Starting point is 01:16:55 is called like the Alliance Against Islamic Regime of Iran Apologists or A-A-I-R-I-A, which styles itself as like a think tank or tracking org, but it's literally just like a group chat of Pahlavis that have a spreadsheet of logged-on Iranians that they think are like pro-regime or anti-war. And so it is very cue in like getting attention, speaking out, sharing things, getting views on the Trump dance. It's not that that is a way to get eyes on a political platform or even to focus how people feel. Like the spectacle is it. But paradoxically, that spectacle then leads to some, I think has the potential to go to some darker places. A lot of this doxing and stuff, unfortunately, we're at a time in the United States where Iranians, by virtue of their nationality or even just place of birth, are like actually subject to a huge amount of state terror right now in the United States. You know, Muslim ban too, which I've written about the first one, that was actually my first big point of contact with the Iranian American community was the fact that I was a Muslim ban specialist when I was with the State Department. Like, we sanctioned and banned people from being with their families for being Iranian.
Starting point is 01:18:05 Right now, the way it works in the United States is like, if you go to claim asylum as an Iranian, you will be denied simply because of your passport or place of birth. You cannot have family come immigrate to join you. You can't come to the United States under any circumstances. And if ICE rounds you up, even if you are fleeing persecution by the Iranian government, they will deport you back to Iran. So what these Pahlavists are doing is they're just diming out people they don't like to ICE in the United States. And it's a situation where this internal kind of doxing or online trolling in an environment where all Iranians, regardless of political affiliation, are being like subject to these racist immigration controls in the United States. it creates a very dangerous and toxic situation. By the way, if you attempt to engage with the polyvist of like, hey, isn't this bad
Starting point is 01:18:54 that all Iranians are getting banned and deported, they will just say, it's the Islamic Republic's fault. Once the regime changes, everything will be fine. Like, that was the source of the problem and not just baseline American racism, right? So, you know, they've been kind of as a project as the war has fizzled out, really focused on doxing relatives of Iranian politicians who live and study in the United States. And there's a lot of them, too, like pro-government people or people related to people in the government. Up until very recently, Larajani, the late de facto leader of Iran who also got assassinated,
Starting point is 01:19:27 his daughter was a university researcher in the United States up until like a couple weeks before the war. They're reaching out to like Laura Lumer and kind of the pro-Israel and Trumpist kind of deportation denunciation network and just getting people they don't like locked up. So, like, Laura Lumer was like, we found this woman who's, like, the niece of the assassinated IRGC commander, Kassam Soleimani, which even if she was, like, that in itself is not a crime. And they, like, detained this woman and put her in immigration detention and then finally realized that she just happens to be named Soleimani, and there's actually no relation at all. Oh, my God. So there's just random people are being snatched up.
Starting point is 01:20:04 There was a Iranian student, a Ph.D student in the U.S., who's getting deported now because he actually spoke up against the war and was dined out to ice by Pahlavis. To see as the ceasefire is engaged, kind of where people are at, this video is in English. And I think we might want to take a listen to see how the Pathlavis are coping. I don't know who needs to hear this, but I just had to hop on here. I haven't even changed out of my pajamas since this morning, as I've been on the phone with people as they have lost hope. They have lost everything. They have lost family members. They have seen family members being killed, being tortured. They can't even find some of their family members. But it's not because of that. It's because they're losing hope as there might be a deal going on
Starting point is 01:20:50 between U.S. and Islamic Republic. They have lost hope. And because of that, they have decided to kill themselves, to end it, because they can no longer understand a world that want to make deal with monsters, with the Islamic Republic. Enough is enough. We need to show up for the Iranian people. I have received tons of messages that if this deals go through, they are going to kill themselves. Of schoolgirls, and I'm going to post it here.
Starting point is 01:21:19 So you see that this is serious. We do not want deal with the Islamic Republic. I don't know who needs to hear this, whether there are politicians, whether they're physicians, whether there is God that I don't even believe in anymore. But we do not need a deal with the Islamic Republic. Our youth are losing hope because they feel betrayed by the international community. Please, please help us. Youth feels betrayed by America because America is no longer bombing their schools.
Starting point is 01:21:52 It's really, I mean, to outside of it, it seems like this is ludicrous. This is the announcement of a peace deal. You'd assume that the bomb's not falling anymore, even, if you politically don't like the Iranian government would be a good thing. But you can also see the very real distress that this woman is in. And the way that that kind of abjection is so heavily online mediated. What she's saying, I'm getting messages. We need to speak out. There's no suggested course of action other than, I don't know, going to SentCom and getting Pete Heggseth to start shooting again. Like there's not an actual politics in here. But there is life or death stakes, the threat of
Starting point is 01:22:31 suicide. And like, this happened in Iran, so I didn't really include it in the episode. But there was a guy after the January protests who literally was like, Mr. Trump, don't deal with the Islamic Republic, don't do it. And then he just gets up and hangs himself in the video. It's really messed up. So like that one guy did it and he was an ardent pahelivist. And like that's become kind of a rhetorical tactic or tick of like, oh, well, we're going to kill ourselves if you don't do this. It does betray this idea that they think that America actually gives a fuck about them. Like Trump's sure kill yourself. I don't. Who goes? Yeah, I mean, what's it? What's it to us?
Starting point is 01:23:06 Like, I mean, and there's almost a, I don't know if it's a conscience or self-conscious. Oh, like millions of school girls, like school girls are ready to kill themselves. I mean, there is a pile of dead school girls in Iran. And it didn't kill themselves. It was an American tomahawk missile. And so, you know, it is basically kind of a supremacist right-wing movement that is realizing that the people in charge do not care about them. And this is such a familiar kind of MAGA story that I've heard so many times, of like what the medbeds aren't real.
Starting point is 01:23:33 He's not RVing the Dinar. Don't you care about us? Trump, my life still sucks. And that's where things kind of take a much darker turn. But it's not all grim. We got to talk about ketchup. On April 23rd, an Iranian guy throw ketchup on Reza Pahlavi at a rally in Germany. This is actually a farcy pun on Iranian internet humor that references how Reza Pahlavi
Starting point is 01:23:54 kind of looks like the bear dispensers ketchup comes in in Iran. It's called sauce hersi or like bear sauce. but if you do a kind of double reading, like I guess it would, as a pun, kind of translate to like dip shit sauce or something like that. And the ketchup attack was interesting because it was someone in the Iranian diaspora being like, you suck, nobody likes you. I'm going to throw ketchup on you. And the reaction from monarchists is it's kind of indicative of where they are right now. And I would say watch two of these videos because this goes back to something you mentioned, kind of about how. weirdly sexual palivism is becoming more so for the second one.
Starting point is 01:24:35 I can translate this guy if you want. So I'm here today in our movement for our dear prince. Our beloved king, you are not alone. Your pain is our pain. And then this guy in a nice shiny suit. Oh, my God. Start spraying ketchup all over himself. No, that's the fuck.
Starting point is 01:24:58 He's so serious. And he says, Long live the Shah. Long lives of Shah as he stands in a very nice gray suit and a blue tie and sprays ketchup all over himself. It's like, this is, yeah, the contrast between the man's straight-faced, well-groomed, a tailored suit, looking very, very deadly serious and then doing like a Nickelodeon goo all over himself. Like, like, like ketchup, it's very silly. I don't understand what the audience is for this. I don't understand what kind of reaction this is supposed to elicit. This checks out for monarchies with like the kind of, you know, like, oh, I haven't even changed out of my pajamas.
Starting point is 01:25:40 And like, here, watch me squirt catch up at a suit that if like I was the average Iranian, like, I would never like, you know, endanger my nice suit. Yeah, they're pretty sharp people. These guys are like, ah, fuck, I wear a new suit every morning. I'd throw them out. The second one is even weirder to the point where I didn't even feel comfortable retweeting this because it feels kind of not safe for work even though it technically isn't. Let's check this out. Okay. Joe Rizzo, Joe, Rizzo, Jovee So, okay.
Starting point is 01:26:16 Oh, how do you describe this? So a woman draped in the flag holding some ketchup and the caption says, I caught the guy. who threw tomato sauce at Shalrezapalavi. And then she stands back to reveal a man in all black with a black hood over his face. We don't know who he is. He has his hands behind his back. We assume he's restrained in some way. And then she proceeds to pour the ketchup all over it.
Starting point is 01:26:45 Yeah, it looks, it looks maybe like fetish content. It looks like a video Jordan Peterson would retweet. Yeah, yeah. Yeah, this is like, this is fetish content, right? Yeah, absolutely. He's like squirming as she's pouring the ketchup. He starts convulsing and she's wearing leather pants. And the ketchup is going everywhere.
Starting point is 01:27:05 And he's like, yeah, he's like convulsing and he's wearing a hood. And I'm just like, I don't care if this is intentionally horny or isn't. And then she is having a great time. Look, she is smiling and laughing as she's pouring this ketchup over this. Yeah, I mean, come on, like, guys, whatever, but shorty. Yeah. Catch up me. but it's so, it makes you feel very unstable to be like researching a movement where half the
Starting point is 01:27:30 statements are someone who really sounds like they're on the verge of a panic attack threatening mass suicide and the other half are like, oh no, oh, you've caught me, you're going to put the ketchup on me. And I, like, and these things coexist, right? Nottie, naughty. Noddy, naughty. This is maybe, I don't know, maybe so many people want Savok back because they think this is what happened in those prisons, right? Like, well, there's, mean women are going to spray all sorts of condiments all over me if the Shah comes back into power. I am just your black-bagged French fry. Please just squirt on me. It's, yeah, I don't even know what to make of that. But like this is the soup, right, that whatever
Starting point is 01:28:08 is going to develop is going to develop out of. So, you know, the make Iran great again crowd is going out of its way to enmesh itself in the global right wing and into American MAGA in in particular. But they're enmeshing themselves in the part of it that's dying. The not where the global right is really going, but rather where it was or where it's departing from. CPAC, even being on Instagram so heavily, winning over Lindsay Graham, even throwing your lot in with Israel and the golf lobbies that are high-key sponsoring a lot of this is kind of going to be anathema to the global right inside of at least a generation and probably sooner. So they're wetting themselves to these forces that are on the out.
Starting point is 01:28:49 You don't see these people hanging out on Rumble. You don't see them with Nick Fuentes. You don't see them. None of them are based. Do you know what I mean? They're super mobilized. Some of them are well off. They're very committed. But it's not clear that they have an arc beyond being boosters for a war. Most of the American right is against. And loving Trump as a person who doesn't really seem to have a way to carry this forward. So the lady who was baking is she's still going on OANN. The pathologists are trying to be part of the global right. But does the global right have a place for people who are basically neocon hawk conservatives who want regime change wars. And what can the pathophists bring to the table to these movements other than running cover for, hey, we think Iranian people want this. They don't really have organizations. They can't deliver many votes.
Starting point is 01:29:37 And most of the money flows into them, not out of them. I do wonder as well that the tension possibly with them being, like, I guess, ostensibly, like secularists seems to like be pretty antithetical as well. I wouldn't say, I wouldn't say secularists. Right. I would say anti-Islam is a big, a big winning point, but a lot of them really do believe in, like, return to being Zoroastrian, which, like, I lived in a city in India that has twice as many Zoroastrians in that city in Mumbai as there are in all of Iran. And, like, when, and like, we have, like, Zoroastrian friends, Parsis, and when you go to them and you're like, hey, did you know your religion is, like a huge nationalist symbol in Iran? They're like, what?
Starting point is 01:30:19 Like I have no what? Because like even beings a rastrian, like you can't convert into the religion, which means it's actually kind of dying out. So they fit in really well with the Islamophobic global right of like the early 2000s. But when you start getting more like based Andrew Tate, I'm Trad, you know the kind of right wing influencer who's like Islamophobically pro Islam? Yeah. Who's kind of like they hate women and they like make sure that. they're like trad and they don't like Jewish people. And you know what?
Starting point is 01:30:53 I love those parts of what I think Islam is. That's awesome. I agree with it. Like very much like the Andrew Tate style. I don't think they have a lot of room for these guys. Exactly. But they don't have any lack of enthusiasm. I do think mentioning like other monarchists is helpful.
Starting point is 01:31:10 And maybe there might be more fertile ground in like the European far right for Pahlavis, ironically, despite they're not being as big diaspora as there. There's a lot of slogans that they're using like. they are the only people in Germany who can get away with chanting. We are Aryans. Like this is our, we are, because one of the official titles of the Shah was the light of the Aryans. And like, that is a weird European racial theory, but like the Aryan historical peoples like
Starting point is 01:31:32 were from Iran, you know, that's there. But like, what's the future? Is it palling around with the Edward Habsburg guy on Twitter? Like, they're not even that fun. Like, these pala vists are not really that fun on Twitter. They're very self-serious. Recently, another piece I'll plug is Will Alden wrote a great piece. in the New York Review about hanging out with Pahlavists from the Iranian Constitutional Party.
Starting point is 01:31:53 And I think that this is kind of a nice note for this passage to end on about like what Pahlavism was. And then I want to kind of go beyond that to think about where is it going? Because I do not see people who have been this mobilized, demobilizing. And I don't see this kind of energy, at least with some people and desire to suck all the conversation and air out of the room going away. At the same time, I don't really know what that future looks like other than getting even more conspiratorial and pilled than they already are. These diaspora monarchists have lately become a salient presence in Republican politics. In March, a dedicated band descended on the conservative political action conference,
Starting point is 01:32:30 CPAC, in Texas, where they were, quote, the only catalyst of any urgency, unquote, at an otherwise sleepy gathering. Yet Trump's announcement of a temporary ceasefire deal in early April, just 10 days after Pavlovy, in his CPAC speech, urged the president to stay the course, reflects the limits of the movement's power. When we spoke in mid-April, Treata Parsi, note Treata Parsi as a non-Povlavist and pro-diplomacy policy expert, pointed out that the war for which the monarchist lobbied
Starting point is 01:32:56 has not only failed to topple Iran's theocratic regime, quote, but actually delivered probably the most radical and hawkish version of the Islamic Republic yet, unquote. With Trump having publicly abandoned regime change as a goal, Pavlovi's supporters, Parsi fears, quote, will just become more and more radical and more cultish in order to deal with the cognitive dissidents of not only their failure, but their betrayal of Iran. As he observed, they were dancing and celebrating while Iranian civilians were being killed.
Starting point is 01:33:21 So where is this going? Polyvis are going to stay mobilized even as their organizations fracture, even as the money goes away. The Foundation for Defensive Democracies and Nufti, the Polyvis think tank, are not doing so hot right now. And I think that these organizations are going to get hung out to dry structurally. I don't think Israel or the Emirates are going to keep cutting checks when they've kind of fulfilled their purpose and haven't delivered any of their side of the bargain. But whatever global MAGA is, and I mean specifically MAGA, whatever that is, Pahlavis are part of it now.
Starting point is 01:33:53 And I think it also speaks to like a more ethnically diverse global MAGA that embraces a lot of standpoint epistemology and like woke 1.0 language. So what you're going to see and probably in the comments to this podcast is like, well, how can you as a non-Iranian invalidate my lived experience by speaking over POC voices in like your arrogant liberal whiteness to talk about Iran. Like all these trends, polyvism is kind of at the nexus of it. Of like MAGA clearly running out of steam, but also other alternatives not quite forming. Peak conspiracism also being there just kind of impregnated into everything and a readiness to take very dark and interpersonally violent directions is there.
Starting point is 01:34:36 And I think that might be an elevated risk. You know, there's been one murder. There's a heightened likelihood of conspiratorial thinking. And I think that there's an immense potential for interpersonal or personally enacted violence in this movement. And I don't want to put the flashlight under my face, but I think that all the conditions are there. And it makes me really concerned for, you know, people in a community that has had, like,
Starting point is 01:34:59 a very hard year, you know, I think any, any Iranian or Iranian American or Iranian-Canadian or whoever you know who has connections to that country has probably had a very stressed-out, very frayed time. And that might not get better. but I don't think that these people are necessarily going to get better. I don't see a lot of mea culpa and I don't see a lot of lack of cognitive dissonance right now. So I don't know. Y'all are the Q experts.
Starting point is 01:35:25 How pild do you rate all this? And what do you think the risk is for this kind of moving forward into something grimmer? Well, I mean, it's interesting to ponder what a January 6th moment might be for these people. Because, you know, that's something that felt like kind of the. event that sort of like Qaeda in because like it seemed like a third of the the people who stormed the Capitol that day were wearing some kind of like a Q merch because they really believed so wholeheartedly I mean like including the woman who was shot and killed that they felt compelled to do obviously dangerous unproductive activities in order to you know and to advance their bizarre fantasies
Starting point is 01:36:06 yeah I do wonder whether this movement will be a liability to like any sort of American far right like non-Trump, this ostensibly anti-neocan movement too, that the Pavlovus will be like, our strategy of like trying to destroy the Islamic Republic is contingent upon like Trump-style neocon stuff. And you guys getting away from it is like ruining like the one path forward we still envisioned for our country. I mean, that's a really good point. Like they show up at CPAC and, you know, even Trump, Trump, I think got a lot of support by saying I'm not for new wars. And the fact that he has launched this war, it might sink him. You know, I mean, I know. Yeah, surely, surely Donnie can't get away from it this time. But he's always slipped out of the things that
Starting point is 01:36:50 supposedly destroy him. But this has been real bad and it's a liability, especially for the people who came after him. Like, I think J.D. Vance is going to position himself as like, I was against this disastrous war. But the problem is he's also a lot closer to that kind of institutional conservatism in CPAC. And as long as these debates are happening, the polyvists are going to keep showing up. You're going to demand to be the center of attention and then loudly be like, no, we love regime change wars and you need to go back and finish the job. And remember how gas prices spiked and America got humiliated. That was cool. We love it. And also we're associated with you. And especially if they like, I don't know, go more insane, commit more murders, find a new condiment to spray all over
Starting point is 01:37:28 themselves on, on social media. Like, is this going to be like my question kind of open ended at the end of this is Like, are these people going to be liabilities or are they going to be assets for global mega, right? Yeah. And also how, you know, because the reactions we're seeing is just a couple of weeks after the ceasefire. I mean, what happens, God willing, this all kind of peters out and there is a lasting ceasefire and the shooting war doesn't restart, which it's not looking so good today. There's been some exchanges of missile fire. But like, if this does settle down, what's going to happen then? And what are the repercussions going to be inside this movement and inside this community?
Starting point is 01:38:05 especially if Rezapahlavi has to actually get up there and be like, I'm not the guy. Please let me go photograph birds. Boy, yeah, I guess we'll find out with everyone else. Diaspora for the win. It's more and more. And I think that's also a big part of how MAGA is changing. I mean, I don't think in Trump, too, you can really make as many aspersions of it being necessarily a white supremacist movement, considering how ethnically diverse it is.
Starting point is 01:38:33 And also considering in Trump to, I think, how many other diaspora groups are going to shoot their shot in the way that the Pothelovist did. You know, it's pretty open. There's already people talking about like, well, sure, Iran didn't go great, but we could invade Cuba. You know, a lot of Venezuelan right wingers definitely felt like they were shooting their shot. It didn't wind up very well for them either. But one thing I've noticed about a lot of these diaspora lobbies is every single one is kind of like, no, I'm built different. and America actually loves me and it's actually going to work out for me. It's the Tobias Fuenke talking about open relationships.
Starting point is 01:39:07 Like, sure, it never worked for those people, but, you know, maybe for us. Yeah, so very strange but also great stuff, Joseph. I know you're about to go on social media lockdown to avoid the wrath of the monarchists who are about to go after you. But where could people read more of your work? You can read my work. On Twitter, I usually have a little link tree. It goes to my articles.
Starting point is 01:39:30 I got some articles usually coming out every now and then about how things are going. Honestly, most of the stuff that I've written about has been the U.S. immigration system and now that interplays those other things. But, you know, with all of this and the sort of state apparatus going after, you know, Iranians is particularly leading to a war, I'm kind of writing more broadly because one thing I would say is like, there's going to be the valid question. Why couldn't you find an Iranian-American to talk about this? And the reason is a lot of them are like pretty scared to do so. Like I am going to go on social media lockdown. I have some pieces coming out about unrelated things, about the history of passport regulation and hopefully some other stuff. But you can find me at Pinstrype Bungle on Twitter and see whatever I'm up to.
Starting point is 01:40:12 Okay. We'll include the links in the show notes. Thanks for listening to another episode of the QAA podcast. If you haven't already, please go to patreon.com slash QAA and subscribe for five bucks a month to get a second episode for every main one and access to our podcast. entire archive. You can also go to cursedmedia.net if you'd like miniseries because there we have all of the episodes ready to binge of Spectral Voyager 2, time slip radio, as well as all of the other mini series that we've made in the past. Joseph, would you like to do the listener until next week? May the Deep Dish bless you and keep you. Dear listener, until next week,
Starting point is 01:40:49 may the Deep Dish bless you and keep you. We have auto-keyed content based on your preferences. somebody threw tomato juice all over Rezapalavi. And just like collectively, as a society, can we bring back throwing tomatoes at performers, politicians, whoever we don't like, because this is hilarious to me. And truly, the reporting on this also is equally as funny, because what do you mean they attacked Rezapalavi with tomato juice? Rezapalavi, the exiled Iranian prince,
Starting point is 01:41:27 was attacked by tomato juice as he left a press conference in which he denounced the U.S. Iran's ceasefire. Truthfully, if you're openly supporting the bombing of your own country, I think you deserve to get hit with a little bit more than tomato juice, but I'm kind of fine with this. Police immediately seized and detained the person who threw the liquid. It's not sulfuric acid, okay? You put your spaghetti in that. The article continues by saying that people on social media were questioning, who is this man? Why was he permitted to get so close to Mr. Palavi? I'm sorry, the people just want to throw tomatoes. The reporting on this is, insane because this is so funny and they're treating it like it's like this major incredible security incident and not tomato sauce. I don't know, just enjoy this with me for a moment. 2026, we're all throwing tomatoes at politicians. Please.

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