Raging Moderates with Scott Galloway and Jessica Tarlov - How Rage Bait Runs Our Economy
Episode Date: December 3, 2025Scott Galloway and Jessica Tarlov dig into Trump’s latest anti-immigrant crackdown—from firing nearly 100 immigration judges to freezing visas and floating denaturalization — and what happens wh...en policy is driven by panic instead of evidence. Then they break down the viral post arguing the real poverty line isn’t $32K… it’s closer to $140K, and why so many families feel stuck in the “Valley of Death.” Plus, Oxford just crowned “rage bait” as its Word of the Year, so they unpack how outrage became the internet’s favorite currency — and what it means for our politics. Follow Jessica Tarlov, @JessicaTarlov. Follow Prof G, @profgalloway. Follow Raging Moderates, @RagingModeratesPod. Subscribe to our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@RagingModerates Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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Welcome to Raging Moderates. I'm Scott Galloway.
And I'm Jessica Harleff.
A lot going on, Jess.
A lot going on.
Yeah. How was your holiday, though?
It was really nice.
It was Thanksgiving, I'm big here, given that it's not America, but...
But they love it.
Do they? Why do you say that?
I don't know. I always did like a Friendsgiving when I was living in London and didn't go home for it. And I feel like it's one of our best exports as a holiday, like the food. And it's so akin to like pub lunch, you know, like Sunday lunch. I don't know. I felt like the Brits that I knew. But also we were students. So maybe it's like a different, different vibe than the adult.
So my son came home from boarding school
and brought two of his closest friends
and that was the highlight
because they're really lovely young men
and they keep reading how
essentially once your kids are 15
their peer group is the most important thing
to positive outcomes
and these young men were just so lovely
and ambitious and nice and polite
and it made me feel really good
about my son's prospects.
But I love Thanksgiving.
I love the food.
I love the idea of a fairly secular holiday
the way where you just give thanks.
Yeah, I'm totally down for Thanksgiving.
What did you do?
We were home for it, cooked, which was a big success.
My mom did most of the cooking, but I was sous chefing and the girls, you know,
like standing up on their little chairs and cutting their vegetables.
It's cute.
Really incredible innovations in knives that you can't hurt yourself with for kids.
So shout out to whoever makes those plastic knives.
We love you.
The big controversy in my household this morning is that I asked Brian for some day quill, and he gave me NyQuil.
So if I seem a little off, it's because I'm half asleep because I took NyQuil at 8 o'clock this morning.
And I could have also read the bottle in his defense because he's definitely going to listen to this and be like, why didn't you just read the bottle?
But anyway, I didn't think my husband was trying to make me go to sleep as I was walking out the door to go tape Raging Moderates.
Yeah, sleep's been a big issue for me recently.
I did.
I used to be a great sleeper now.
I'm a terrible sleeper.
You travel too much to be a good sleeper, I feel.
Yeah.
And I did Xanax two nights ago, which gets me to sleep, but the next day I'm kind of heavy and even more depressed than usual.
And I've heard it's highly addictive, so I don't like to take it more than five, six times a week.
That's not true.
Maybe twice, three times a month when I need the nuclear option.
Then I did an edible last night, and that was, that word.
that was just right. And the night before, I did nothing. And that's, so that wasn't a very good night
of sleep. And some, I'm, I think I'm pretty much addicted here. Anyways, let's get,
good talk. Let's get to the, let's get to the news. Today we're discussing Trump's latest anti-immigrant
crackdown, the viral post about the new poverty line and why OXR had just crowned rage bait
as its word of the year. All right, let's get into it. After a deadly shooting near the White
House, President Trump has launched a sweeping anti-immigrant push, pausing all of
asylum decisions, freezing visas for Afghans, vowing to block immigration for what he calls
third world countries and even saying he'd absolutely denaturalize certain U.S. citizens if he could.
Now there's a new escalation. Eight more immigration judges in New York have been fired,
part of a nationwide purge that's pushed nearly 100 judges out this year. Officials say they're
targeting lenient judges. This comes as the White House doubles down on crime and chaos rhetoric.
even though immigrants commit crimes at far lower rates than U.S.-born citizens and deliver major economic gains.
Meanwhile, the crackdown is causing its own dysfunction.
Courts are overwhelmed.
Businesses and immigrant hubs are hurting, and government staffing is in slow motion collapse.
Jess, can any immigration system function when decisions are driven by political crisis instead of evidence?
No.
All right.
Is that the whole episode?
Yeah, there we go.
We're done.
Yeah.
I mean, if you can beat them in court.
fire the court, right? Like, it's actually, I don't want to say it's kind of genius, but we've been talking
about how many rulings have we been going against the Trump administration and most of these
folks that they're not in charge of them, right? The district court judges, et cetera. But these guys,
they can fire. So I assume that this is the ball just getting rolling in this circumstance.
And, you know, they're starting with New York City at this level. You know, it's the
26 federal plaza right by where I am right now. And it houses the New York City headquarters
of ICE. So no coincidence there. And it's deeply concerning because it's like immigration is a lot
bigger than just the bad hombres that you're allegedly checking. And there are people who are in
immigration courts all the time for all sorts of things, very good people, people that you want
to be in the U.S. people who, I mean, not that Stephen Miller would ever admit this. But like,
I'm sure you know dozens of people who are in the midst of some sort of immigration proceeding.
And everything is getting lumped in together.
And everyone is in the state of paralysis very similarly to what's going on with the tariffs, right?
Where people can't plan their businesses in any way, small to large scale.
It feels like the country is just going to grind to an absolute halt.
And I guess they feel like it'll free up more of a lane for them to pull.
through their bat-shit policy, but I'm really concerned about this. And I know a lot of
immigration attorneys who can't handle, couldn't handle their caseloads before the Trump
administration, but certainly can't do it now. And they have everyone from folks who've been
rounded up like at a Home Depot type of situation to TPS recipients who are suddenly being told
you got to get out of here like tomorrow to all of the mistakes the administration is making.
You know, they've detained over 170 Americans, put them in ice lockup, 20 of them over 24 hours before they were even able to talk to a loved one or a lawyer, which is their right. And certainly as an American citizen, you have like a student who was going home from college for Thanksgiving who was deported instead of being able to go back to her family in Texas. A Guatemalan mother was separated from her two-year-old son. She was in the middle of an asylum hearing, wasn't supposed to.
to be deported. There's a two-year-old just sitting around, like, where's my mom? And they
act like either nothing's wrong or it's always just blame Biden. You guys made a ton of mistakes
and we're clean. We're the adults in the room. I hear this like every day on the five and it drives
me mad. Well, if you hadn't done this, then we wouldn't have to do that. And all you have is a
process problem. I get that too. You just don't like the way that he's doing it. No, obviously
the way that he's doing it is sloppy and cruel and incompetent. But this is more than a
process failure. They are trying to shake the foundations of American society as the founders
saw it. There's a reason that all of this is enshrined. I'm deeply concerned, Scott.
Yeah. Yeah, this on so many dimensions, this is upsetting. Let's just go back to the
the trying to provide safety or cloud cover for our men and women in uniform, the alleged
perpetrator, supposedly worked with the CIA in Afghanistan.
In the D.C. shooting, the National Guardsman. Yeah.
Excuse me. Yeah, the D.C. shooting, the National Guardsman. And the key to getting people to
cooperate with us when we're in foreign territory in combat is the collaborators with us are
considered traitors by their, you know, sometimes by the people that we're fighting against.
And if they don't have confidence that we're going to get them out of that nation and give them an opportunity to start their lives in the U.S., fewer and fewer people are going to cooperate with our men and women in uniform in combat situations, and more of our men and women in combat will die and have it more difficult time accomplishing their mission.
So, you know, immediately saying, okay, no more is just sort of, well, it's just a blunt instrument.
that makes no sense in going to a much broader discussion around immigration. Just some facts here.
36% of agricultural workers are undocumented workers, 27% of ground maintenance workers, a quarter of all food service workers, about 20% of construction workers.
Folks, if you want to see inflation start to tick back up to 4%, you know, we're on our way because these individuals are willing to work at a lower rate and tax our services to a lesser extent, then,
native-born Americans. And the fact that our immigration is just going to come to a screeching
halt, it's just, again, it feels to me like the Trump administration said to chat GPT,
how could I most elegantly, in line with MAGA, ultra-conservative doctrine, reduce the economic
growth in the prosperity of America over the next two, five, ten years, and make it very difficult
to repair, make it such it would take generations to repair it. And it also, it would take generations to repair it.
And it also continues this arc where the Overson window keeps getting broader and broader,
where the general cadence or algorithm of politics in the United States and the fulcrum between
where the Democratic and Republican ideology collides and responds to each other,
is Democrats go fucking insane.
I know, raise your right hand and say the word asylum and will let you in.
And a quarter of a million people do that in one month.
And then the Trump administration comes in and says, I know, let's stop all immigration and start demonizing them and separating Americans who are brown from their two-year-olds.
It's like, you know, just I go back to that same metaphor or attitude, you can't see a pendulum at the middle.
But now the pendulum, it appears it's swinging so violently between three and nine.
It's not swinging between four and six.
It's swinging between three and nine.
And the numbers between three and nine no longer exist.
Oh, we're Democrats?
Well, we're fucking insane.
We'll let a transgender swimmer who's six five show up to an NCAA woman's meet.
And then the Republicans come in and start taking, removing the names of gay servicemen
who serve their country honorably off of ships to say, fuck you to the LGBT community.
And this is the swing back in immigration.
and it's going to have huge negative impact on our economy.
Definitely going to have a huge impact on the economy
and also any semblance of a chance of having like a normal immigration policy going forward.
I don't think that it's crazy based on what happened for DHS Secretary Christine Noem to say that we need to change our vetting processes.
I mean, we know that a bunch of Afghanis got in in 2021 in a hurried process.
They were vetted, right, and most of them went through Qatar.
I totally get all of that.
But I don't see anyone who's ever defended the way that we actually left Afghanistan, right?
That image will be seared into our memories forever of people chasing after the American plane, right?
People who were promised safe harbor, a new life in America who helped us for decades during this very very,
occupation that we left to either die or we hurried them through this process.
So, Chris, you know, I'm saying that.
I think that Democrats should sign on to that, frankly, and just put yourself on the register
of being a sane person after a National Guardswoman was murdered and hopefully the second
one survives, but he's still in critical condition.
I think that that's a normal reaction.
But because of the pendulum between three and nine, we've now gotten to talk
about denaturalizing American citizens. We already have a veritable travel ban, what's
in on 19 countries. And the number is going to increase when you leave it up to this
administration to decide what the rules are and to their own discretion of, you know,
what constitutes someone whose values don't jive with American values. Stephen Miller thinks
that's probably me, for God's sake, right, let alone someone who's coming here from a majority
Muslim country. No, it's not true because you're white. I just don't. I am. But I'm Jew white,
which is not great. I think a lot of this comes down to, I mean. Yes, there is overt racism in this
policy. Why can't we get people from Switzerland and Denmark? I'm like, let me think. What is it about
the Swiss and the Danish? South Africans. It's South African whites. That was the one. The one.
Yeah, the one exception to the rule. The asylum, and we're offering refuge in safe harbor to
victims, Afrikaners, who are potentially subject to the genocide against white Afrikaners in
South Africa. I'm like, that's who we're trying to protect. That's who we find. That's who Lady
Liberty saws. Bring me, you're tired. It is so insane, but I just want to get back to the economics
of this. Immigration contributes about $3.3 trillion to the U.S. economy annually as much as 17%
of our GDP. And the mass deportation efforts, as outlined by the administration, could lead to
the loss of four to seven percent of GDP, even that we are seeing a massive decline in the number
of kids applying to U.S. colleges because the U.S. does a small number of things really well.
We make the best weapons, the best technology, the best hardware, software, best media,
and we have the best universities in the world. And the ultimate luxury item is an NARMEZ scarf
or a Ferrari. It's to send your kid to an elite university. And when a kid comes in from
El Salvador or Qatar to NYU, we charge that kid about $280,000, plus they spend another
probably three or $400,000. Basically, we get a half a million dollars in economic growth from
this kid. And by the way, that $248,000 or $280,000 in tuition is like 95 points of gross
margin. I mean, this is one of the most profitable exports in history is U.S. education in terms
a gross margin. And we're basically saying, no, apply to the Bacconi, go to St. Andrews, maybe consider,
you know, a university in Singapore. And I hear it. The kids here, my 18-year-old's friends,
very few of them are applying to schools in the U.S. and this is a chill. So we're basically
saying, how do we reduce the prosperity and the money that funds a lot of research? Our
universities bloated? Should they be letting in more domestic students? Yes, but it's not by kicking
it's not by kicking international students out,
it's by expanding their freshman class size.
But this is, this anti-immigrant fervor,
this, again, more performative masculinity,
is just going to do, quite frankly,
it's not going to address the problem.
I don't think people have a birthright to come to America.
Do you think we should have an evaluation system
up and down the food chain,
whether it's people to help harvest our crops,
health care workers, services workers,
or people are going to start tech companies.
But we should be able to figure out a thoughtful way
of not only evaluating people who are coming in,
but also getting rid of the people who are here.
And instead of putting your separating kids from their daughters,
you go to a car wash with a clipboard and you say,
here are all the Social Security payments and people with phones here.
I need proof of their citizenship,
or I'm going to start finding a car wash $10,000 a day.
And then before you know it,
when the demand dries up or the supply of jobs dries up,
you're going to see people self-deport,
as they were doing under Obama and Biden.
Well, they have been.
I mean, according to DHS records, and I get it, these are actually the only numbers the administration is happy to put out since we don't have a BLS and we can't get a jobs report or anything. But they say that 1.6 million have self-deported at this point and that they've rounded up about 500,000, I think, at this point, which is less than under the Biden administration, the 500K in terms of who ICE or CPB has detained and then gotten removal orders for. But, you know,
You've been saying make it hard for the businesses to employ these people since we started the podcast.
I'm sure you've said it to someone before me, which I'm not going to take personal offense to.
But the administration doesn't want to because Democrats and Republicans alike like cheap, illegal labor that the country runs because of it.
So they're not serious about it.
And I just, I know I'm always asking too much of this administration.
but just have separate conversations for different types of migrants, for God's sake.
Like, they just conflate all of these categories together.
So we think that a BU student who writes an op-ed that you don't like is the same level of risk as the one of 190,000 Afghan refugees who we took in after they helped us and were vetted through that CIA back unit that he was a part of and goes and kills an American service member.
And so it just becomes immigration. And then that's also why they continue to feel emboldened to carry it on because there are some people, I mean, more support for immigration policy than like what he's doing for the economy, for instance. And then we end up having to have this discussion every single week with a new outrage. And it goes back to the same central problem, which is we didn't have a good policy under the Biden administration, at least for the first three years. And so they're arguing, well, this.
This is what you get for what you did to us.
And we'll have to clean up the pieces when hopefully somebody else gets into office.
Okay, let's take a quick break. Stay with us.
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Welcome back.
A Wall Street Strategist set off a firestorm online with a viral substack post claiming the
U.S. poverty line, officially $32,000 for a family of four, is dramatically out of date.
Michael Green argues that with the real cost of housing, health care, child care, transportation,
and other essentials, the family actually needs around $140,000 a year, just
to participate fully in the economy.
Green calls it the valley of death,
families who earn too much to qualify for aid,
but not enough to comfortably cover modern expenses,
caught in a squeeze that fuels frustration,
delayed household formation, and political rage.
Critics call his math absurd,
saying he's conflating middle-class struggles with poverty.
Supporters say he's highlighting a deeper issue.
The official poverty line hasn't caught up
to the real cost of living in America.
Whether or not $140,000 is the new poverty line,
Green's Post has sparked
national conversation about what it really takes to raise a family today and who's getting left
behind. Jess, first up, what did you think of this post? And if the federal poverty line is outdated,
how should we redefine it to reflect the modern cost of living? And how would that change eligibility
for government aid? I loved this post. I thought it was one of the more interesting things that
I've read on substack. And I am a big consumer of many people's substacks. Mad at you, Ryan,
Lizza, for making you subscribe. But it feels like there's a lot of churn out there, but not a lot of
thoughtful conversations that are coming from this. And $140,000 is not a poverty line,
but it has sparked so many important conversations that I certainly feel like it's one of the
best posts that I've consumed in the last, like, you know, six to 12 months, let's say,
because it connects to so many of the conversations that we're having all the time about cost of living.
I mean, every election that we've had in the last few years has been an affordability election and centered around this issue, that it's not just poor people that are concerned about getting by. It's about people who should be middle class and are still struggling. And I wondered, I mean, you're the branding expert. So I don't think that my term is necessarily the right one. But I feel like there needs to be a category like we could call it poverty plus for people who you're not talking.
about, you know, need to be on government aid full stop. But for people that are somewhere
in that valley of death, right, heading, you know, between 60,000 and 140,000, where we need
real revitalization of the American dream and American promise to ensure that these people who
are working really damn hard can have a decent quality of life, right? Like fixing our health care
system, building a ton of affordable housing, you know, a better education system. Linda McMahon's
not going to be helping us with that. But child care, the centerpiece of it, you know,
New Mexico's rolling out their universal child care policy this month. So 11 percent of your
spending now is on child care. I mean, I think it's probably even higher for me. But on average,
in New Mexico, that's what it is. And it used to be the child care was no expense. Like Brian, my
husband even grew up. He never had babysitters. He had cousins, right? Like people, if his parents
want to go out to dinner, a family member would come over and help out. Moms didn't used to work
or grandma would take care of you. And so when you're talking about a poverty line from
1963, of course that formula doesn't make any sense for how life looks today.
So speaking of child care, when I was, after my parents split, I was eight and my mom
amongst, I was trying to find she worked full time.
I was eight years old, came home, Lashke kid,
so she had someone look after me after I got home,
and it lasted about six months.
And the first woman was this Jesus freak
who every time I said the word God
would make me sit in the corner,
stand in the corner with my arms out,
like Jesus on the cross for a half an hour.
That feels like child abuse.
Yeah, pretty much.
And then the second woman,
the thing I remember about the second woman,
She was actually kind, but the thing I remember about her was, you know, literally, like, meth or hysteria would come over the entire community when we'd hear the sound of the ice cream truck pulling up, and she'd line up her two sons and me, and she'd give her two sons 25 cents, and she'd give me 15 cents to go out to the ice cream truck.
It also feels a little abusive.
Anyways, I said to my mom, I said she was spending like, I don't know, five or seven dollars a week on child.
care. And I said, just give it to me. I'm good. I can handle this. And relating it back to the other side of the
spectrum that kind of ties in immigration. And no one's going to feel sorry for families in Manhattan.
I have several friends who have full-time childcare, not even live in, but full-time child care. Do you know what, full-time, and this is a decent sample set, full-time child care, and you may know this.
Well, because I pay it. Well, do you have someone full-time? Well, you give me your number. I don't think I can actually even admit mine. I'm going to do you sound.
the number I've heard. This is from four different couples. Full-time documented child care,
like a nanny. Shows up at 8 in the morning. On the books. Okay. Shows up at 8 in the morning
and leaves at, you know, five or six or gets dinner ready and leaves, right? Documented full-time,
nanny, whatever you want to call her, that the going rate is $150,000 a year now. Yeah.
Is that about right? That's probably, that's probably right. I mean, I think most people still don't
have are not on the books, have documented care. And frankly, since Donald Trump came back into
office, this has been a big issue because a lot of people who had undocumented care got concerned
that their kids were going to be swept up in an ice raid with their nannies. But, yeah,
$150,000 doesn't sound insane to me. So let's, the fly in the oint here is the following. And that is
the poverty line or how they calculate the poverty line and what's powerful about this article. And
$140,000, let's be honest. That's ridiculous.
That is not the poverty line, but I appreciate that the author was trying to make a dramatic point here, and his point is really valid, because the poverty line used to be determined by a multiple of what people spend on food. But as a ratio of your total expenditures, food has gone way down. The cost of food used to be a third of your income. Now it's 13%. That's good news. Food prices have dramatically gotten less, less expensive. But when you assume the poverty line is three times.
times food prices, which in relation to everything else have dramatically decreased, you end up
with a poverty line that is not accurate, that's not, in fact, reflect what a family needs to
survive. So, for example, housing, transportation, insurance, health care, entertainment, all those
things, I think with the exception of entertainment, have gone way up in cost. So this does not
reflect accurately the cost of what it is to raise a family. The more accurate thing to
to say is, okay, if you're going to use food as a metric, then let's take the fact that food
has declined, gone from a third to 13%, and take the amount you're spending on basic food
up by 7-7, a multiple of 7.7 versus 3, and you'd end up with a poverty line at $82,000.
I think that seems realistic, and I like that number because, in my view, I don't like the
idea of universal basic income. What I like the idea of, though, is that universal child care,
Pell Grants,
nationalized or socialized
medicine, that effectively says
if you're making 50 or 60 grand
as a household, we can get you
to 80 with services, government services
that create a certain baseline, create scale,
not just handouts, but
child care when it's done,
when it's institutionalized across a broader
scale, it gets more efficient,
it gets more affordable, the care goes up.
It's one of those things that the government actually does
fairly well and get people to that. I like that as a boge. You need to work $25 an hour minimum wage,
work 2,000 hours, one person or two people you get above the poverty line, or we figure out a series
of programs that raise you up, right? So I think this is a really important conversation. He's made a
really dramatic point. It's gotten a ton of traction, but what it really says is we need to
update the calculation and the inputs that go into quote unquote the poverty line.
Yeah, I would be enthusiastic about that. I'm not sure. I mean, adding more to the government
ledger concerns me, like moving to that versus all the kinds of investments that we can make
in American communities as like the first step in it feels better to be. Because I mean, we were
talking about this with the SNAP benefits, for instance, that, like, A, the Trump administration
shouldn't be cutting them, but also it feels terrible that we have, you know, one in eight Americans
that are receiving SNAP benefits. I think that's what the number was. So, you know,
embracing investment in American society feels like the right answer to this and, you know,
like FDR style, right, a rejuvenation of society. And this is a little bit, like,
I don't know if you've seen that Hakeem Jeffries is now using this strong floor no ceiling as the kind of motto for the Democratic Party is from a book, Oliver B. Libby, who wrote it.
But that to me, I think, is a really good summation of the way that Democrats see how American society should function, that you have this strong floor, right?
And that the government will be there for you if you need help from the government.
But that, you know, if you asked two years ago, the Democrats would have said no ceiling, they would have all of these stipulations. Well, if you get too rich, we're going to have a ceiling on you, right? Or, you know, we think everyone should be happy with just a middle class lifestyle. But we decide that your middle class lifestyle is at like $100,000. Now we're like, you earn as much as society will allow you to legally earn. And we're going to be supportive and proud of you for doing that. And we want to make it easier, right? We want to cut red tape. We want to make sure that your businesses can thrive. And so I
I'm pretty excited about that. And I feel like it drives really nicely with this post and the theory behind how we need to reevaluate what, you know, being poor is in this country, what being middle class is in this country and how government can effectively work to push people forward into the next bracket because we all want to move up. No matter how much you have, everyone is always striving for more.
Yeah, I'm mixed on this because it comes down to the mechanisms for how we implement it because I worry that Democrats are fond of big social programs that create a very inefficient infrastructure and middleman that never goes away. And that in my view, there's been a ton of studies done on foreign aid. And what they came back with is foreign aid has been used as an excuse to create these giant infrastructure and domestic jobs of government bureaucrats that are expensive and a lot of the money where a small amount of the money actually ends up
in the hands of the people in a foreign nation that actually need it.
And in my view, a lot of this should be just putting more money in the pockets of people
and need it. And I go to the same, you know, I go to the same talk track, $25 an hour federally
mandated minimum wage, which is where it would be if minimum wage had kept pace with
inflation and productivity. With McDonald's and Walmart's stock go down, yeah, and it'd be worth
it. And you'd have a greater multiplier effect. I don't like the idea of more and more programs,
which never seem to go away, which are inefficiently delivered oftentimes.
So it's all kind of, it's all like the proof is in the pudding, if you will.
And I like that as a call sign, you know, solid floor, unlimited upside.
But the reality is unless you start taxing people who make, unless you have an AMT,
taxes, good taxes are the least taxing possible.
And we've got to pay for this, quote, unquote, solid floor, if you will, or not solid floor.
What is the term?
What's that?
Strong floor.
I would say strong net.
But in America, we've decided that it sucks to be poor, and that does create a series of incentives.
I, you know, I hate to say it, but having a, you know, there should be basic human dignity, health care, no one should starve.
Kids we should make sure have, you know, are not food insecure.
But we have decided in America, and I think it's the right decision, we have decided to,
there be winners and losers. That's the bottom line. And if you look at some of our benefits,
they are, a lot of people would argue create the wrong incentive system. So the key always comes
out, okay, how are we going to pay for this stuff? I love the idea of a great society.
And the tax revenue we'd need that would be the least taxing, in my opinion, are the following
two things. One, an alternative minimum tax to make over a million dollars, federal income tax,
of 37%, which is supposedly the highest rate right now, but the bottom line is the very wealthy
don't pay these rates because of the 4,000 pages of loopholes in the tax code.
And then also, I think the really big opportunity that people are talking about that would
impact very few Americans and not impact their material or psychological well-being is to take
the ceiling on the exemption or take the estate exemption down from 30 million to 1 million.
Your kid getting 4 million instead of 6 million isn't going to make you or them any less happy.
And we're about to see $120 trillion transferred over the next, I think, 20 or 30 years.
and inherited wealth. But what I don't like about Democrats is this rhetorical flourish
without saying, okay, this is exactly how we're going to pay for it. Let's have an adult
conversation. And also recognize we need to means test and raise the age on certain entitlements.
It's just too fucking expensive. We can't afford to keep letting old people vote themselves more
money. So again, I like the tagline. I want to see some meat around it. And I think the
American public is ready for an adult conversation to come from the left, if you will.
Yeah, I agree. I saw Bernie Sanders posted about medical debt. You know, it's obviously a big
Medicare for all person. But talking about the number of people who go bankrupt a year due to medical
debt, you know, it's zero everywhere else in the world, at 530,000 Americans per year. And that
was a big part of the new poverty line discussion, obviously the health care costs. What you said about an
AMT. I'm talking about transfers of wealth. I also don't understand why some of these billionaires,
especially the ones who take the giving pledge, like don't just wipe out people's medical debt
or things like that. It always seems strange for me. Like if I got into that position,
I feel like I would want to pick like the one thing, right? Like malaria, right? It's just like,
we're just going to get rid of malaria. And medical debt seems like a good one. I don't know exactly
how it work with the homelessness problem.
But, like, there are all of these things
where it feels like with that awesome amount of money
that you could just say,
you know what, tomorrow everyone knows medical debt
is going to wake up without it.
The innovation around that
is that a lot of bad medical debt
trades a 10 or 15 cents on the dollar.
And so what you could do is you could go out,
and some people have done this.
You can go out and buy $10 million dollars
in medical debt for a million or a million and a half dollars
because the hospital system
or whoever's trying to collect the debt
thinks we're never going to get this.
but like this is again I'm torn on this I believe we need to move forward and say from this point forward we're going to lower Medicare eligibility by two years a year for 10 years but the problem with canceling student loan debt and medical debt and I do think we should figure out ways for people to get out from under don't you think student loan debt and medical debt are very different though student loan debt was a choice that a lot of people made and I was for some alleviation I was at the kind of 50,000
cap, which I think is what Clyburn was talking about initially, saying you can't walk in and
wave a wand and take away half a million dollars of student loan debt for people. But $50,000 feels
like a real amount of money that should give you relief, but that also you're taking responsibility
for the fact that you signed up for this. And I know there are predatory loans and all of that.
But medical debt in majority of cases is beyond people's control. I think that's a fair
point. This is my fear. The problem is a moral hazard, and that is, okay, if I take on medical
debt at some point, it might be purchased by a rich person or the government, and so I'm not
going to be a consumer and shop around for MRIs. One of the reasons that health care costs have
escalated and out twice as much per capita as they are in other nations is we have no consumer
scrutiny. I go to the doctor. I don't ask what it's costing. I don't ask for the generic. I don't
shop around for who can do a mammogram for less money. There's absolutely no consumer scrutiny
of this. And I worry about debt forgiveness to a certain extent because I think it creates a moral
hazard where kids or people who are spending money perhaps and not putting money into their
health care savings account believe that at some point these debts aren't real and they don't
provide the consumer scrutiny around, am I really going to get a good job borrowing $150,000 to get
a philosophy degree from a tier two university? I think that we need consumer scrutiny. Should I be
putting aside more money for my health care costs or shopping around for where I can get,
like I said, these drugs for less money or I don't even care because I think someone else is
going to bail me out? And I know that sounds very unfeeling.
But your point is the right one.
If I had a 17-year-old daughter who is in screaming pain and needed a root canal, you take her to get the root canal regardless of what it costs, even if it means going into debt.
And I feel for that family.
But I really do worry about these bailouts that they create a certain level of moral hazard and a lack of consumer scrutiny that ultimately is the ultimate vehicle for bringing down costs and keeping them in line.
Yeah, I mean, you're probably right. I just, you know, I have fantasies, I guess, about what I would do if I had, yeah, if I, if I were Belgate. And Bill Gates has a tremendous amount of good for the world. I'm not impuging his philanthropic reputation in any way.
Though Melinda Gates and Mackenzie Scott, I feel like are the real heroes in all of this. But anyway, it was just a fantasy of.
about, you know, what is possible with the level of wealth that's circulating throughout society.
I love it. And again, the innovation there, as long as you didn't let the other side of the trade know that you were depocketed, is to go find the debt that's trading at the lowest price and try and clean it up. And then those people get a message saying that they know. I love that idea. I just, I think that the Democrats have a tendency to talk about the answer is to throw money, let people off the hook, without race.
recognizing, okay, what does it mean when you tell students that they, if they take out debt
irresponsibly, there's a good chance it'll get paid off? I don't know if we end up in an even
worse place. Anyways, okay, let's take a quick break. Stay with us.
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Welcome back, before we go.
Oxford just handed us the most on-brand word
of the year imaginable, rage bait.
The dictionary is basically confirming
what everyone else felt in 2025
or what we already knew.
The internet now runs on engineered outrage.
Usage of the term tripled
as everyone from Jennifer Lawrence
to political influencers admitted
they're beefing with strangers online just for the hit.
And Oxford's more wholesome finalists,
biohack, aura farming, never stood a chance.
Rage bait is the vibe of 2025,
a digital culture that knows it's being emotionally gamed
and still can't look away.
Pair it with last year's winner, brain rot,
and you get the full cycle.
The outrage keeps us scrolling,
and the scrolling fries our brains.
Oxford says the point is to get us to reflect on who we are right now,
but on this show, we'd argue that there's another kind of
rage we're talking about, the frustration coming from the majority of Americans who simply want
politicians to deliver consensus solutions, not algorithm optimized drama. Jess, your thoughts on
rage baiting? Well, I mean, we have a good name for our podcast, right? Rage is everywhere,
not always in the best light necessarily. But I do feel good about the title of the podcast,
to say the least. This does feel like a theme. I certainly.
of the last year, but I think the last several years. And we're all aware of what's happening
to our brains, right? We've read the anxious generation. We talk about our aspirational detox habits
and then do nothing about the way that we consume content. And we also throw up these ridiculous
double standards or these high standards that can't be met. And we talk about this,
how we're like, you know, desperate for consensus building politics.
that, like, have a plan, right?
And that would indicate that this is a bit of a policy-wong type of person.
But then we also want to have you be someone that's going to break through on social media all the time.
And those two things don't necessarily go together, right?
I mean, I'm talking about the guy that, along with my dad, were Michael Bennett's bigger supporters to be president in 2020.
So, you know, we have unfair expectations, certainly for how politicians.
should behave in this kind of like rage bait universe. But I wish, and I was going back to like,
wipe out the medical debt. I wish that like someone could come down and stop it all, could
like stop everything that's happening on my phone. Because I feel sick in the head. I say this
all the time to Brian. Like I feel like I'm just getting dumber that I'm speaking more often than
not in tweets rather than full sentences that my PhD supervisor would be proud of. And that's
disturbing me, my children know how important my phone is to me. Like Cleo, my older daughter
will like run into a room and be like, Mama, you forgot your phone because she knows that I can't
live without it, that it's like an appendage to my body. And I'm scared about the damage that I'm
doing to them psychologically that way. And also what with our reliance on tech and being online
all the time and how much they're going to have to use it in schools, like they're going to turn
into as a result. So I think it was a very apt word of the year. Yeah, it's, it's a, it's essentially
rage baiting as a function of our economy. And that is from 1945 to the introduction of Google,
we connected intangual associations to unearned margin. And you use this incredibly inefficient
vehicle called broadcast advertising where two-thirds of America, we're spending five hours in front
of one of three channels, to instill into a mediocre product, these amazing associations,
if you feel American, grace, toughness, but more than anything, it was sex, right?
That gave us Baywatch and I Dream a Jeannie and, you know, DAT, whatever it is.
And then the introduction of Google found that, no, the ultimate means of keeping people glued
to their phone so we can sell them more advertising and create the most profitable companies
in history is rage.
And I really do think we're going to regret.
And what you said is really powerful.
You become where you spend your time.
I recognized about five or seven years ago
that I was saying things that were confrontational
and making a cartoon of people's comments
to weigh in with a one-two punch
such that I could get a lot of likes
because the algorithm loves that.
And the algorithm was shaping my views.
And I decided, that's it.
I'm no longer going to be shaped
by an algorithm sponsored by some weird little man
called Mark Zuckerberg based on an economic model fashioned by a woman who claims to give a
flying fuck about gender and then creates a business model that convinces teens to start self-cutting.
And I will put out content that I know is going to get just, I'm just going to get pelted in the
comments. I'm like, don't let the algorithms shape you. And you can just see it teaches you to be
an asshole. If you say, oh, that's a thoughtful comment, but if you lead with something incendiary,
the algorithms love it because they know it'll inspire a bunch of comments and people lining up to watch
this, you know, this mixed martial arts fight between people. And it creates a level of hostility
and people feel worse and worse about the fellow Americans to the point where we now believe
that our enemy is the guy down the street, not Russians pouring over the border in Ukraine or the
CCP or incremental quality or climate change. And it happened to me this weekend. I'm not immune to
it. This, a bunch of people have been saying that my book is a pipeline to red pill. And I'm like,
I'm trying to be an off ramp for red pill. And the language they use is so incendiary. Like,
here's another man using marginalized communities to try and get young men laid. And it's like,
where the fuck did I say that? And I start typing and thinking I'm going to respond.
And I'm like, no, I'll take the hit.
I don't mind or I do mind.
I am not going to engage in fucking Cheryl Sandberg and Mark Zuckerberg's plot to get me hating everybody and start a fight.
It's as if remember when you were in high school and, or not high school, elementary school, there was probably like anti-bullying shit by the time you got to school.
But when I was in school, it felt like every day, but once, twice a week, kids would start having words.
and immediately everyone would surround them
and start screaming, fight, fight, fight.
That's what they wanted.
They wanted a fight.
Even if you said, hey, Jim, it's my turn at Tetherball.
Oh, wait, fight, fight, fight.
Our entire economy is now based on 10 companies
trying to get everybody to fight,
trying to get you to weigh in and be angry
and use incendiary language
and think that the other side is the enemy
and show up and be,
and I found it happening to me.
And then again, I fall victim.
to it this weekend, took me out of my headspace, took me away from my family, because the
incentives are for people not to have a thoughtful conversation, not to say this is where
a book gets it right or it gets it wrong, but to accuse you of being a misogynist. Like, use the
word misogynist. Don't say your thinking's outdated, which it might be, call them a misogynist.
And then other people weigh in and say, no, this person's not a misogynist. You know, this person's not a
misogyn. And it just starts, and every comment is another Nissan ad and is another
more shareholder value. The algorithms at the hands of Mark Zuckerberg and Alphabet and TikTok
have done so much damage to Americans' well-being and their anxiety. If you wanted to,
I've got a lot of pushback from therapists who are like young men, the answer isn't just
economic viability or finding a relationship. It's they need to work on themselves.
And I believe the biggest, and I want to be clear, I think therapy is a wonderful thing for a lot of people, especially people with a history of mental illness or people who have access to therapy. It's helped a lot of people I know. But there are only three therapists for every hundred thousand people in America. We just can't, you know, we could triple the number of therapists and there's still not enough therapy out there for the people who could probably benefit from it. I think the biggest therapy bomb in history would be raising minimum wage is $25 an hour, $8 million homes in 10 years, and
absolutely regulating big tech. I'm not talking about censorship. I'm talking about if you spread
misinformation, the results in harm, and you knew it was misinformation, you were subject to the same
liability laws as every other media company. Rage has become, we have connected rage to our
entire economy. That is what is fueling our economy right now, and that is rage and sequestering
young people from the rest of their life off of a screen. And I don't know if you're subject to this.
Maybe I'm just played with the wrong toys when I was a kid or I'm insecure or too ego-driven.
I can't help, but just spend too much fucking time on social media as I watch these people make a cartoon of my comments or my work.
Andy, it really upsets me.
And it shouldn't.
And I realize what's going on here.
And I want to respond and I want to weigh in and I want to get into it.
And I don't.
And unfortunately, I'm not sure that's the right thing to do.
because when you just let it hang out there,
you're leaving a false narrative.
But this is damaging the mental health of America.
It creates people feel worse about their neighbors,
worse about America.
Only one in 10 people under the age of 25 feel good about America.
It's one and two people my age.
Some of that is because I keep taking money from young people
vis-a-vis my land of the dead elected officials.
But I think a lot of it is just the amount of time you spend online.
Anyways, do you have trouble modulating your rage,
and do you find it impacts your mental health?
I can't imagine how many weird, gross, aggressive comments you get online.
Yeah, I'm not a fan favorite in certain circles.
In other circles, I am a fan favorite,
and it's nice to take a trip through there every once in a while,
but I really struggle with that as well,
and I thought about that a lot for my book
and how to process criticism and how to think about criticism from people who you're related to
and care about, people who you respect versus, you know, people who, frankly, you disrespect, right?
You have absolutely no respect for it because it's all meaningful, especially if those people
have a platform, not just in the fact that it could, you know, spread like wildfire all over social
media, but because folks with a big platform are the ones that are driving American society, right?
They're getting hired into the biggest jobs you can have from the Secretary of War to the heads
of these media companies, like everyone needs content creators and influencers, whatever you
want to call them, you know, on the landing page of their organization because if they're going
to get investment, people are looking for it, right? You need folks that can show up and do panels
for you and be speakers at these Masters of the Universe conferences that you're always going to.
And it's a vicious cycle that keeps feeding it. And I really struggle with it. And I wish that I was
more secure and self-confident that I could say that I, you know, I don't give a fuck and I just
move on. But I don't. I do scroll through negative Jessica Tarle of commentary all the time. And
even the nice comments. They know it. What?
No. Yeah, oh, of course. Well, I also, I talk about it. It's a threat. It's a threat. And we've been taught for thousands of years that you need to understand the threat or you're putting yourself in more, more danger. And the evidence, the connection, the profit connection is so dramatic and there's so much data. A study of 47 U.S. publications showed the U.S. media headlines denoting anger increased 104 percent from 2000 to 2019. So anger in our headlines has doubled in the last 20.
years. Headlines denoting fear, sadness, and disgust increased 150, 54, and 29% respectively. Why is this
happening? Mark Zuckerberg gets richer and richer with rage. An analysis of 105,000 different
variations of news headlines found that for a headline of average length, each additional
negative word increased a click-through rate by more than two percentage points. And the best way to go
viral, everyone wants to go viral, is to shit talk the other team. A 2021 study of Twitter and
Facebook post found that the outgroup language, especially if it was derogatory, expressed
animosity, was the strongest predictor of social media engagement. We have connected
the prosperity of the companies with the most godlike technology to rage. What could go
wrong? Nothing, but, you know, we're stuck in this doom loop too because most of the time, 99%
the time I feel like we're having thoughtful conversations right here on this pod. And we're building
a YouTube channel and how you get the algorithm to like you on YouTube is to have outrageous
headlines for your videos. And I've even seen sometimes, like, in the comments where people
are like, oh, I, you know, I thought that this was spicy. And it's just the two of you, like,
you know, talking about AMTs or whatever. And I'm just like, yeah, we're a couple of dorks,
right, that have raging moments for sure.
But, you know, you can't get into the conversation
without the algorithm giving you an invitation
and the algorithm only gives you an invitation
if you sound like you're a fucking lunatic.
And I hate it and also don't know how to quit it.
And it's very frustrating
and it's certainly a doom spiral for our politics
because we're not going to get to the right person
necessarily to lead us.
if this is the only way that we have to kind of get a message out there to people, right?
To push Pat Ryan into your household, Pat Ryan has got to throw some F-bombs around,
which is not his usual nature, you know, to register on the algorithm.
And it's very frustrating. And our producers do their best.
Yeah, it's, you got to look at, I feel like a great business.
school course or maybe incorporated into my favorite idea of an adulting course in the senior
high school would be incentives understanding incentives and how behaviors a function of incentives
all right before we go we're working on an end of your mailbag episode to answer some of your
burning questions on all things politics send us a 15 second voice recording to raging moderates
and we might include yours that's all for this episode thank you for listening to raging moderates
have a good week just you too see you later
Thank you.
You know,
Thank you.
