Raging Moderates with Scott Galloway and Jessica Tarlov - The Possibility of a Third Trump Term (feat. Kellyanne Conway)

Episode Date: April 1, 2025

Jessica is joined by former Trump advisor Kellyanne Conway to break down the latest chaos inside the administration. They dive into the fallout from Signalgate—and the possible repercussions of Trum...p’s Liberation Day tariff threats. Plus, the Supreme Court is set to weigh in on Trump’s most aggressive immigration policies. And finally, looking ahead: What does a post-Trump world look like for both parties, and how seriously should we take the possibility of a third Trump term? Follow Jessica Tarlov, @JessicaTarlov.  Follow Prof G, @profgalloway. Follow Kellyanne, @KellyannePolls. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript
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Starting point is 00:00:00 Whether you own a bustling hair salon or a hot new baker, you need business insurance that can keep up with your evolving needs. With flexible coverage options from TV Insurance, you only pay for what you need. TD. Ready for you. Scientists find weird kinds of life all the time. And normally, they can run experiments. If I hypothesize, life can live in bleach.
Starting point is 00:00:23 Well, I can get bleach and see if life lives in it. But what if the weird thing about the life they find is that it lives for millions of years? Time! I don't have any control over that. I can literally do nothing with time. This week on Unexplainable, intraterrestrials. Aliens Earth, deep beneath the seafloor. Follow Unexplainable for new episodes every Wednesday. Welcome to Raging Moderates. I'm Jessica Tarlov. Scott's off today, but I've got a guest who knows the inner workings of Trump's world
Starting point is 00:00:59 better than most. She's been in the room. She's seen how the machine operates, and she's here to help us make sense of what's happening inside the current administration Kellyanne Conway joins us today. Welcome to the show Kellyanne. Thank you Jess. Nice to be with you It's nice to be with you off campus a bit I feel like you know, we're always at Fox and you have like three minutes to speak and now we have an hour Let's dig in
Starting point is 00:01:22 Let's dig in in today's episode of raging moderates. We're going to be talking about the biggest scandal to hit the Trump administration yet, Trump's immigration policies heading to the Supreme Court and what a post Trump world looks like for both Republicans and Democrats. So last week, the biggest political story was by far and away Signalgate and the fallout is still unfolding. The Atlantic's editor inchief, Jeffrey Goldberg, somehow got added to a signal group chat where top Trump administration officials were talking about airstrikes on the Houthis in Yemen. The White House tried to push back but once the Atlantic published the full transcript, things only got messier. Now Congress is looking into it, Republicans are in damage control mode and national security concerns are piling up. Kellyanne, what's your kind of top line feeling about so-called signal gate? What did you think when you saw the story? Do you feel any differently than you did on day one?
Starting point is 00:02:14 Well, clearly it was a mistake and a mistake has been admitted and rectified. Nobody was purposely inviting a reporter, let alone Jeffrey Goldberg of the Atlantic, to this group chat, where the Secretary of Defense predominantly was giving an update to the national security team and others, like the chief of staff and deputy chief of staff for policy and the like on what was about to happen in Yemen. And when I hear he was invited, he wasn't invited. I don't have Jeffrey Goldberg in my contacts.
Starting point is 00:02:44 I can't add him to anything on my phone, certainly for many of the reasons that President Trump has actually articulated himself. I think this is one thing that a big bone that the media will continue to gnaw on though, because it seems like the very first time they can truly sink their teeth into the administration and President Trump said as much. Jessica, people tried it with the January 6 p, they tried it with a Doge cut, so trying it by torching and burning down the dealerships of innocent Tesla dealers and sellers and owners.
Starting point is 00:03:14 They're trying everything they can, but I would really echo what Governor Gavin Newsom said over the weekend, if not previously, which is that the Democrats are suffering a big image and messaging problem now. It's not about another messenger, it's about a message. And I think if the entire party is really centered on how can we screw Trump and the American president and by extension America herself, then this signal event that was revealed one week ago today, Jessica, will be probably the best and highest hope. But it's a distraction away from the volume and velocity
Starting point is 00:03:51 with which President Trump and his administration are operating. If you look at the CBS YouGov poll over the weekend, you look at other polling, people are fairly, are they giving John Donald Trump the space and the grace this time to build an economy, to stop the illegal border crossings, They're giving Donald Trump the space and the grace this time to build an economy, to stop the illegal border crossings, to stop these wars that he inherited in Ukraine and
Starting point is 00:04:10 the Middle East, and to get energy production back online. I don't know why we had a war on fossil fuels and fracking and why President Biden paused the LNG permits, but all these things that President Trump is doing that Americans do like cannot be subsumed by something that was accidental, unintentional, and a mistake. Yeah, so there was a lot in there, and I want to try to pick most of it apart, but there were a ton of specifics in the conversation, most coming from Secretary Hegsatz, some coming from National Security Advisor Mike Waltz, that are not just casual conversation.
Starting point is 00:04:49 People have said this is obviously classified. If someone of a lower rank had done something like this, they would be out of a job and maybe going before a military tribunal. The American public knows how serious this is. You have did some polling on it. 53% say that this is a serious problem. And conversely, for instance, Trump's classified documents case was less, as a percentage,
Starting point is 00:05:10 less serious, Clinton's emails, as well as Biden's classified documents. So the American public understands that this is very serious and it's not something to brush over. And I don't think the administration is going to be able to, even if you want to paint this as something of a media obsession. Well certainly it's a media obsession. 53% of Americans you're saying based on the way a particular poll question was asked in a particular poll say this is serious but 99% of the mainstream media says it is so there's a disconnect there as usual. But look I'm glad you admitted that the Donald Trump documents case in Mar-a-Lago was thin. That's all obviously been litigated.
Starting point is 00:05:49 I disagree completely that President Biden housing his classified documents next to an old Corvette in a garage that his son also had access to and his myriad problems. I do think that's serious. And frankly, the country rejected Hillary Clinton for many reasons, but in part because they didn't trust her. If you look at the Washington Post polling right before the election in 2016, Jessica, people didn't think she was honest or trustworthy, ABC News, Washington Post poll and others. And part of it was because of the way she had handled her emails, the way she had handled,
Starting point is 00:06:23 I don't know, dozens or a dozen or so phones and bleach bidding and all of that. So I think this is important just because thank God no damage was done and thank God that the mission was successful. And people are about production and delivery. I think the Democrats only want to be about process when they think it benefits them. And I know Trump derangement Syndrome is real. I know it starts at stage five. I know there's no vaccine cure therapeutic for it.
Starting point is 00:06:51 But in this case, it was a successful mission and people will focus on that. They will wonder why the facts that under Biden's watch, there were 174 attacks on our Navy warships that these terrorists and these pirates were disrupting regular routes so that you could not have safe and efficient passage in these routes. And now this is all being turned around because you actually have bold leadership in the White House and in the national defense team. So people should look at the success of the mission. I believe they will.
Starting point is 00:07:25 And again, when mistakes are made, I think the most important thing to do in life and in politics and anywhere else in the national security team is to admit the mistake, figure out how it happened, promise that it will never happen again. If mistakes were made in Afghanistan, then I've yet to hear President Biden or Vice President Harris say it, the most energy that President Biden seemed
Starting point is 00:07:49 to exert after 13 service members were senselessly killed because he went against the advice of most of his national security team and his generals and withdrew out of Afghanistan on a dime almost immediately. The most energy he exerted was looking at his watch while the grief-stricken families were just looking for a little bit of grace and recognition from the commander in chief. That is something Democrats have been very critical of, leaving Bagram Air Force Base in the wingspan of China, leaving the Taliban
Starting point is 00:08:20 in charge of Afghanistan. I mean, really, Jessica, what's the point that we had a female vice president who wanted to be the first female president of the United States in Kamala Harris if the women in Afghanistan have fewer rights and are less free now because of the policy prescriptions and the decisions that she and her boss made? And so if we're going to talk about relative circumstances and consequences, I think the more relevant ones are letting just millions in here across the border. I think it more relevant ones are letting just millions in here across the border. I think it's gonna be a very rough week and month of April
Starting point is 00:08:49 for the Biden team, Biden-Harris team, with respect to all these books coming out where you've got Biden people talking on the record and unattributed about Biden's compromised capacity. So if we're gonna talk about relative things, I think this is very important. The fact that these books say that Kamala Harris's aides were preparing for Joe Biden to die in his first term is like... I actually think that that was just responsible, frankly.
Starting point is 00:09:15 If you have the oldest president in history, you should be open to the fact that he might pass away. But listen, I know that I'm going to have a very bad April on the 5. I am prepared for it. We're going to have a very bad April on the 5. I am prepared for it. We're going to be talking about this ad nauseam. But I'm not trying to do a comparison. I'm trying to have a conversation about this as a scandal in and of itself. And I do want to note that the Trump's classified documents case, it wasn't adjudicated. It was dismissed because Donald Trump won. Eileen Cannon just did what he wanted.
Starting point is 00:09:45 And Hillary Clinton was investigated by the FBI, the State Department, and Congress over that. And as you said, she ended up losing the election. So using those as comps, I don't think is really fair in this circumstance. And it seems quite clear from the Wall Street Journal's reporting that National Security Advisor Mike Waltz used information that we got from the Israelis, so an ally of ours and an incredibly important one, about the missile expert who was heading into his girlfriend's house, which they ended up striking. And the Israelis are apparently very upset about this, expressing to the White House
Starting point is 00:10:18 that sources and methods were compromised. And it seems like a pretty clear line between sources and methods and something being classified. And if we are to grow from this, do you feel like the administration should open themselves up to investigations? There should be a DOJ investigation. I know we're gonna get the Senate Armed Services looking into it.
Starting point is 00:10:39 Roger Wicker is on board with that and Jack Reid, the ranking Democrat as well. But do you think that that's deserved or that we're gonna move forward with that and Jack Reid, the ranking Democrat as well. But do you think that that's deserved or that we're gonna move forward with legitimate and earnest investigations into how something like this could happen and why they were on some of them personal phones and using an unsecured app? Because you know, if those phones were hacked
Starting point is 00:10:58 by the Russians, the Chinese, the Iranians, they don't need to have someone's password to get into Signal. They can just see everything that's happening on the phone. So Jessica, there's much to unpack there. I, like you, am aware of the public reports that the Senate Armed Services Committee intends to investigate what happened and why and how. And the like, that's probably the most appropriate form.
Starting point is 00:11:20 This country seems super fatigued from Department of Justice investigations, particularly in this last Merrick Garland, Jack Smith, and all the law firms now paying some of the ultimate prices and, frankly, capitulating immediately because of their involvement. But look, I take national security very seriously. I was not a national security official, but I had a TSSI when I was in the White House. And I will tell you, I don't have Signal on my phone. I don't have Jeffrey Goldberg in my contacts. Why not?
Starting point is 00:11:50 Well, just I would note that in the first Trump administration, the first time I even learned about Signal, one of the people who worked there, who liked to call everybody else a leaker, seemed to live on Signal. So I get it. But in this case, I do take very seriously the sworn testimony almost a week ago, Jessica, of John Ratcliffe, formerly of DNI, now our CIA director, and he swore under oath to the Senate last week that one of the first things that he was told, which you know the rest of the team would have been told when he became the CIA director two months ago, is that signal was installed on his computer and that it
Starting point is 00:12:30 was an acceptable way of communicating. If that's the CIA director talking, I'm going to give that the legitimacy and credence that it deserves. So yes, I think if you're going to have investigations, the legislative branch wanted to look at what the executive branch did is probably the way this is going to go. But again, and I like the fact that President Trump, as is his practice, very unique and typical for him, was forward-facing about this, saying, I don't know what happened. I don't use signal. I wasn't part of that.
Starting point is 00:13:03 But we're going to take a look at it. I've asked Mike Waltz to take a look at it. He's a good man. Then, you know, he admitted it came from his team or him himself, put the group together, accidentally added someone and the like. You've had two national security officials on two different days last week testify under oath, Tulsi Gabbard, ODNI, and of course, the aforementioned CIA Director John Radcliffe. Yeah. Well, Tulsi had to correct herself from the day before.
Starting point is 00:13:29 She had a bit of a brain fog. And yeah, Signal was installed and it was Biden era guidance, but you were supposed to use it for ordinary text messaging. You were not supposed to use it for classified information. But you touched on something that is always as an outsider, who's very interested on the inside of what goes on in Trump world, this tension between how Trump feels about the media, and especially someone like Jeffrey Goldberg, who he has been mad at, to say the least,
Starting point is 00:13:59 for several years now because of the suckers and losers story. Well, it's just a lie. Okay. Yeah, we're certainly not going to litigate that today, but we know what Jeffrey Goldberg means to Trump. But do you think that the bigger sin in the president's mind is the fact that someone was clearly in contact with Jeffrey Goldberg, maybe obviously unintentionally putting him in that chat and this whole thesis of he got, unquote sucked in is obviously ridiculous, or is what his top national security heads were doing
Starting point is 00:14:31 the bigger sins. So is it the, you know, maybe you're a leaker, you're talking to the press, or is it the sharing of classified information and being in that group chat? That's all hypothetical. And the president, I think himself has said, others have said there was nothing classified in there. But, but look, I think there's just too much, too many hypotheticals in there for me to make a credible judgment until we know all of the facts. But I will say it's not just Jeffrey Goldberg. I mean, sure, the Atlantic was first out there perhaps saying impeach him. I don't know. I think was first out there, perhaps, saying impeach him. I don't know, I think the Washington Post said 12, 15,
Starting point is 00:15:07 15 minutes after President Trump was born in on January 20th, 2017, the Washington Post said now, you know, it's time to impeach, maybe a different post now, but that was the post then. Let's not even want an American president to succeed or America to succeed. And that's been, look, Jessica,
Starting point is 00:15:22 the mainstream media's job in the Trump era too often has not been to get the story, but to get the president. And I think it helped him win this time, frankly. I think it has absolutely helped President Trump, who is seen as resilient and a survivor and gotten the biggest second chance I've ever seen for anyone in this second term, eight years before after he was first elected, that I think that the mainstream media's overall approval rating going way down and there's sort of this this sort of elite a feat way of telling everybody this is what's important to you as a consumer of news and information as a
Starting point is 00:16:00 voter, as an American, and we're gonna tell you what's best for you and if you disagree you're racist, xenophobic, uneducated, as an American, and we're going to tell you what's best for you. And if you disagree, you're racist, xenophobic, uneducated, hillbilly, wearing a red MAGA hat. I mean, look at this ridiculous, crazed woman who committed crimes on video just from this weekend on a New York City subway. It's in the New York Post today. She's like, she's wagging her finger in a guy's face because he has on a red MAGA hat.
Starting point is 00:16:23 And she's calling him all these names. I like to call her names too, but why would I dignify her except that what happens is she chases him off the platform and face plants. I mean, people just have to stop. You have to stop committing violence at Tesla dealerships. You have to stop wagging your finger in front of people's faces. And, you know, pardon me, as Trump's campaign manager in 2016 and then counsel the president from day one, I had 24 seven secret service when we first arrived in Washington and inside my house was a seven year old, eight year olds, a 12 year old and a 12 year old. That is a disgrace. And that's only because of the threats of violence.
Starting point is 00:16:59 So sure, we can talk about this, that and the other, but that what the media have done, them direct messaging my 14 15 year old daughter atold daughter at the time, disgraced, should be held to account. So I don't lump everybody in there, but this whole notion that the job is to, quote, stop Trump, get Trump, rather than get the story, that's why when things like Signal happened last week, sure, people were held to account. The president had a special meeting, had the cameras in there, he always does. What a difference from Biden Harris has the cameras in there, is answering the questions, is saying Mike Waltz took responsibility and or is going
Starting point is 00:17:32 to further investigate it. So at least he's engaging in the media. It's not particular to any one reporter. It's his entire ethos. George Stephanopoulos, ABC News has had to pay $15 million. He was repeatedly told, don't call Donald Trump, don't refer to him by that word, and kept doing it anyway. You've got all these other places like Metta now giving money to President Trump's library. I mean, people are having silence and shadow ban and censor, not just of the former president of the United States at the time, but his supporters too. Couldn't you argue though that they're doing that because they're afraid of President Trump
Starting point is 00:18:09 and what he might do versus that they genuinely feel some sort of affection for him or they've seen the light? Like with Mark Zuckerberg, I think that that's quite clear what's going on. He doesn't want to be investigated. He already has a case that's coming up. So I don't know. You think everyone just woke up one day and were like, oh, you know, I've been blind to how incredible President Trump is and what a huge victim he is? Or people are trying to be smart business folks. Whatever combination it is of what you suggested, let me suggest an alternative to that, which is many of them have said, wow, that was a really overwrought, unfair reaction to what was happening where we're shadow banning, censoring, and silencing
Starting point is 00:18:53 websites. I mean, people looked at the New York Post losing its Twitter feed for two weeks before the 2020 elections because they dared to tell the truth that no one else would, that Hunter Biden's laptop is real. And there's discussion on there that's actually relevant to voters in making the decision between Trump and Biden in 2020. They'd wanna know about all this money flowing to the Biden family from Ukraine, from China, this guy, Hunter Biden.
Starting point is 00:19:21 I mean, Joe Biden may have no energy, but Hunter Biden had no energy experience and he's on the border of Burisma and so on and so forth and he's talking to the big guy and he's good. So that was all relevant but it was shut down by Jack Mercy on Twitter and so was the New York Post and then 51 intelligence officers etc. Like this is all this makes people feel that there is not just two tiers two tiered system of justice, Jessica, but a two-tiered system of media allowances, like the First Amendment somehow applies less to people because
Starting point is 00:19:51 they like or vote for Donald Trump. And that's just not fair. And I think there's been a big comeuppance that way. I totally agree with you. I mean, listen, our colleagues feel similarly to you. I talk about this on an almost daily basis. I would know with the laptop story that was down for 24 hours and Donald Trump was the one in office when this was going on and coordinated with social media companies for quote unquote censorship, certainly about COVID, just the same as any Democrat would have. But, you know, I tend to think the election was not going to get swayed on Hunter Biden's dick pics. And that was what was the main concern of his father, which were on that laptop. But listen, what's done is done.
Starting point is 00:20:31 And frankly, I think Democrats would have been better off if Trump had won in 2020 versus won this time. And I know a lot of people in his orbit who feel the same way that he had those four years to prepare for this new administration and is doing things obviously very differently and in some ways getting higher marks. His approval is up, his approval on immigration, that's the only area that he is above water and I want to get into talking about that. But you know, the American public seems to be broadly behind him in that. So I always appreciate how quickly you can get to the
Starting point is 00:21:04 points that you want to make as someone who tries to do this for a living. I'm always like, I should be more like Kellyanne. I could get there faster. But before we get off of Signalgate, do you feel that they are going to stop using this app for these kinds of conversations, that there will be a lesson learned because I do think in general that the American public is forgiving and They want to hear that there has been responsibility
Starting point is 00:21:32 Taken and that there are going to be changes made and I know that I mean was public reporting So you could say that it was inaccurate but that apparently is Susie Wiles and Marco Rubio JD Vance was inaccurate, but that apparently Susie Wiles and Marco Rubio, J.D. Vance, wanted Trump to get rid of Mike Waltz, that Pete Hegsath is safe in all of this, even though he was sharing the specifics in enormous detail that everyone who has served has said couldn't be anything but classified. But do you think there is going to be a change of direction in terms of how they communicate about these matters? Perhaps. But, and look,, ideally, and this is not, and I think President Trump made this clear,
Starting point is 00:22:09 as did others, over the weekend, if not last week, Jessica, even ideally you'd want to be in a skiff altogether physically. You can't be, and so I think that when things are happening in real time and you're trying to keep people apprised, I appreciate the fact, actually, that there were 18 people, 19 unfortunately, but take Holberg off of there, that there were 18 people in the know. That's always been my experience as an advisor to
Starting point is 00:22:37 President Trump, as his counselor in the White House, is like, there is more and not fewer. And I appreciate that because you should have, you know, even the Bible says there is wisdom in a multitude of counselors, quite literally. So I appreciate that again, as opposed to a secretary of defense who has ambulances come into his house and they brush it under the rug. We don't know who's in charge. The president, the commander in chief doesn't know his secretary of defense is under anesthesia, is at the hospital. All this is, I think I use it as an example because it's exhibit A of endless exhibits of how secretive and furtive and just I think presuming that we the people are so stupid and unworthy of truth and transparency in the last administration that this is so
Starting point is 00:23:20 refreshing. So you're even asking questions that are held to a higher standard automatically because of how public facing and available and accessible President Trump and his team have been to the media, to the public, and the like. I just wanted to correct one thing. I may have misheard you that the report in the Wall Street Journal, you said that the chief of staff and the vice
Starting point is 00:23:40 president and others, one of them is gone? Because I wrote it. Politico. Oh. Reported that. Politico reported that. Politico, I don't know. I had read the Wall Street Journal piece where the president had allegedly been asking people
Starting point is 00:23:51 what they thought, something I'm familiar with, and that folks just felt, you know, keep things as they are. I know President Trump also, Mike Flynn, his first national security advisor, I was there, was gone within a month of the inauguration. And I know there's a certain sensitive that was much more serious, frankly.
Starting point is 00:24:12 But in any event, meaning what the president was saying was considering because he was very nice about Mike Flynn. He sent me on TV that morning, called me at 6.04 a.m. and said, who's on TV? And I said, well, we took ourselves off because of what happened with General Flynn last night and you're gonna have a press conference today at two o'clock on something totally different. You'll be asked about this. I didn't wanna get ahead of you.
Starting point is 00:24:33 He's like, no, no, no, go out there. I said, I went on some morning shows and we weren't saying a number of things. But I just say this because remember that those who, I'll give you this analogy, lots of people saying right now, we did not vote for Elon Musk, didn't vote for Donald Trump either.
Starting point is 00:24:51 So they should check themselves a little bit. Same thing here. Those saying, you must fire your national security advisor, just want a scalp on the wall. It's just another way to hurt President Trump and by extension hurt America. Why, when we have these successful strikes against the Houthis who for whatever insane reason, Jessica, and I've talked about it before, insane, incomprehensible reason, you're
Starting point is 00:25:14 smart and you're honest. So tell us why in the very first week, within days of being sworn in, President Biden would delist the Houthis from the FTO, the Foreign Terrorist Organization. This makes no sense to anyone. They are foreign terrorists. So Trump puts them back on. We have successful strikes. That's great. We also are trying to deal with this Russian-Ukraine war. He's trying to bring the rest of the hostages out and home and get peace in the Middle East, some kind of deal in the Middle East.
Starting point is 00:25:46 So why, when all that's happening, should the President of the United States shake up his national security team because of an unintentional mistake? I do think it's a lot bigger than that, and my foundational question is about it just being fully investigated in the same way that the Hillary Clinton server was,
Starting point is 00:26:04 or the classified documents cases on either side with Biden and Trump, though that was cut prematurely short by his win. And to your points about the Biden administration and the you know withdrawal from Afghanistan, they lost. Right? So using this example or trying to go back in time and using it as a comp, Biden-Harris lost, or Harris Walls, which was the comp, Biden-Harris lost or Harris walls, which was the extension of Biden-Harris. And the American public did largely feel the same way as you. But Biden's approval rating dropped after the Afghanistan withdrawal and it never recovered. At some points it went even lower, I think the lowest in history.
Starting point is 00:26:39 I was thinking of independence. I think he, Biden really never recaptured any kind of footing with independence. Let me just say, I'm not concerned about the political consequences at all. And so the fact that Biden-Harris lost because they had not one but two uninspiring, not particularly compelling or great speakers as their candidate, as their nominees, the electoral consequences that that election was gosh 40 40 months 39 months after About 30 late August 2021 early November 2024 over three years Jessica after the Afghanistan withdrawal Let's talk about electoral consequences or political fallout because the immediate fallout in Afghanistan was what I said
Starting point is 00:27:20 We left billions of dollars worth of technology and equipment at Bagram Air Force Base said. We left billions of dollars worth of technology and equipment at Bagram Air Force Base, which I remember the late, God rest his soul, Senator Joe Lieberman had said at the time, like, gee, this is something I helped negotiate too. Lots of Democrats, lots of Republicans felt Bagram was the right place. You know, this was the right place to negotiate an airstrip and, you know, leaving Afghanistan in the hands of the Taliban. I mean, it just washed away all the work that these three administrations had done. of the Taliban, I mean, it just washed away all the work that these three administrations had done. So I'm not worried about political consequences so much
Starting point is 00:27:51 as what does this all mean? And if we assess it that way, then we say, this was a mistake. It is being corrected, should not be repeated. And most importantly, the mission was successful. That I feel like every American should be able to applaud and appreciate no matter how they feel about President Trump, his national security team, or the use of signal
Starting point is 00:28:17 and the accidental inclusion of any reporter, by the way, let alone a hostile one. Yeah, well, I do have to. Scott isn't here to say it for himself, but someone who gets pulled over for a DUI has on average done it 80 times. So that is the larger issue here. I am thrilled that the mission was successful. You know, fist pump, American flag, fire emoji, all of the things.
Starting point is 00:28:41 I just think that we need to be more careful about this and you know really get to the bottom of how often this is going on especially with a group that big that doesn't usually involve Jeffrey Goldberg. But we have more to talk about so let's take a quick break. Stay with us. Last week we at Today Explained brought you an episode titled The Joe Rogan of the Left. The Joe Rogan of the Left was in quotations, it was mostly about a guy named Hassan Piker, who some say is the Joe Rogan of the Left. But enough about Joe, we made an episode about Hassan because the Democrats are really courting
Starting point is 00:29:21 this dude. So Hassan Piker is really the only major prominent leftist on Twitch, at least the only one who talks about politics all day. What's going on everybody? I hope everyone's having a fantastic evening, afternoon, pre-noon, no matter where you are. They want his cosign, they want his endorsement
Starting point is 00:29:37 because he's young and he reaches millions of young people streaming on YouTube, TikTok, and especially Twitch. But last week he was streaming us. Yeah, I was listening on stream and you guys were like, hey, you should come on the show if you're listening. I was like, oops, caught. You're a listener. Yeah. Oh yeah, I am. Yeah. Thank you for listening. Head over to the Today Explained feed to hear Hassan Piker explain himself. and Piker explain himself.
Starting point is 00:30:09 Welcome back. I want to talk about immigration, but if we can quickly touch on tariffs, because I don't think I've actually heard you speak about quote unquote liberation day, which is coming up on Wednesday, when we're going to shake up the world trade order and make sure that Americans are quote quote, unquote, treated fairly. Where do you stand on this? I've noticed that Howard Lutnick, who has been on TV a lot, has now seemingly been banned from the Sunday shows, or at least he was last weekend,
Starting point is 00:30:36 probably after he made that comment about his 94 year old mother-in-law who doesn't care about her social security check. But what's your temperature on the use of tariffs? Because we know the American public is not into them. And that's strong majorities across all our polling, including the Fox poll. On that one, 69% said it's going to make products more expensive for us. It's, by far and away, Trump's weakest point. So where are you on the tariffs?
Starting point is 00:31:02 Well, a few things, Jessica. First of all, Secretary LaTutnick the Secretary of Commerce was also given in his portfolio Almost immediately and certainly publicly by President-elect Trump trade as well So we have the US TR trade representative James and Greer served all four years as chief of staff to The US trade representative Bob Lighthizer ambassador Bob Lighthizer in Ambassador Bob Lighthizer, in the first term, very seasoned, very experienced. Lutnick was- I think that was the JG that was supposed to be in the chat, by the way.
Starting point is 00:31:31 The Jeffrey Goldberg was the- It's the Jamie Sinclair. Jamie Sinclair. Yeah. I read that. That makes some sense, yes. And so I say this because Lutnick continues to be a very key player in this administration,
Starting point is 00:31:44 along with Secretary Besson and others with respect to tariffs and trade. Now here is the thing with tariffs. Every Secretary of the Treasury from Alexander Hamilton to Scott Besant should, not that they all would, but they should admit, acknowledge that the main purpose of tariffs is twofold. One is to raise revenue for this country, and the second is to protect vital American industries and its workers and really America and American security herself. And national security piece of this is very much on President Trump's mind. President Trump has added a third rationale for tariffs.
Starting point is 00:32:18 It is either, Jessica, to compel or incentivize transformative changes in behavior by countries or companies or collections of countries, EU, I'm looking at you, on matters that either affect goods and services, for example, let's rebalance this export-import, nonreciprocal, unfair, imbalanced trade relationship on automobiles, on spirits, on other goods and services. But when President Trump started the tariff conversation in November, pre-Thanksgiving, it was about Mexico and Canada, and I want you to avoid tariffs,
Starting point is 00:32:55 you must get your quote, criminals and drugs out of our country. And Trudeau, lately of the Prime Ministership of Canada, ran down to Mar-a-Lago to meet with the president-elect Claudia Scheinbaum, the fairly newly elected at that time Mexican president, called the president several times. They had conversations. But fast forward in office when President Trump threatened it again, or not even threatened, stated it again, not as a negotiating tool, but as a tool in and of itself.
Starting point is 00:33:26 Lo and behold, both Canada and Mexico find 10,000 robust, fully trained, healthy males to go on the front lines and help with border security. Each of them comes up with a billion or more with a B. And in the case of Canada, they come up with a fentanyl czar to help with that. But since I was the point person for the drug crisis in the first term in the White House, I will tell you, 1% is 50% too much because that represents a lot of death and destruction in our nation. And then of course, the Mexican president who seems to be forging a decent working relationship
Starting point is 00:34:01 with President Trump, Jessica, she also is doing more to work with our border control and other national security team members and components. So that's all working. I would just say this. My favorite T-shirt of the winter was, that had to do with politics and governance was, I survived the global trade war, February 3rd, 2025 to February 3rd, 2025.
Starting point is 00:34:26 That was roughly nine weeks ago or 10 weeks ago or so. And it was, it was, everybody freaked out the weekend before this, that and the other is going to happen. You can't do this, it'll explode prices. And it didn't last that long because people sort of either negotiated or capitulated. You can see whatever, you can use whatever term you want, depending on the circumstances. Donald Trump would also tell people, President Trump would tell people, Jessica, tariffs are your choice, not his. That if you want to avoid tariffs, start making more here.
Starting point is 00:34:54 Sir Mercedes Benz says that they are the largest net exporter in the whole state of Georgia. I'm like, wow, I had to read it three times. Really? They make a lot of Mercedes there, but they're net exporters. They're making Mercedes in the United States of America and exporting them somewhere else. Same thing with Toyota, BMW. You saw the deal that the leader of Hyundai made with Governor Landry, Jeff Landry, at the White House last week announcing more.
Starting point is 00:35:24 So you can't stand up a new factory or a facility tomorrow, but you sure the heck can have a blueprint that's real. And you can also take advantage of something else. President Trump in mid to late September was at a Georgia town hall and it was about manufacturing and he was flanked by two banners, Jessica. One said made in the USA and the other one said 15% corporate tax rate. Now when Donald Trump got there, when we were there eight years ago, the corporate tax rate was 35%.
Starting point is 00:35:52 Thank you. President Obama with the Nobel Peace Prize, it wasn't for taxes, I guess, 35%, which had led to 100 corporate incursions. That's US-based companies legally parking their wealth and their and their headquarters overseas because they literally can't afford to do business in the US of A. Those corporate incursions were reversed. We repatriated billions of dollars at a trillions that had been parked legally overseas. The corporate tax rate went from 35% the highest in the OECD at the
Starting point is 00:36:21 time to 21% lower than the OECD average of 23%. Now here comes President Trump saying, well, you can get 15% corporate tax rate. Lots of corporations say, how do I do that? Read Banner One, made in the USA. He has since said, if your company wants to invest one billion, and most of these companies are investing many billions or could and should, if you invest one billion, most of these companies are investing many billions or could and should if you invest one billion President Trump's team will give you the white glove treatment and you will they will accelerate permitting and approval processes he has said this publicly in social media and he has said it since so
Starting point is 00:36:57 there are ways to avoid tariffs without whining about higher prices you got to make more in this country and tariffs is a long-term play. I think nobody should be surprised. Build the Wall 2016 is like tariffs and trade 2024. He promised to do this. It's about American investment, American manufacturing, American jobs, American industry, American national security, and America herself. This is a long-term play.
Starting point is 00:37:22 Last point, this country knows, and every smart, honest Democrat knows, that we had persistent, punishing, high prices on almost everything, including basics like fuel and groceries for four years. And we didn't have these tariffs. So folks know that poor economic policy coming out of a White House or Washington DC at the time under Biden-Harris leads to higher prices. They're giving, I think they're more likely to give Trump the space and the grace for a while longer to get us back to the 2019 levels of wage growth, of job production,
Starting point is 00:38:03 of interest rates, and of that rising tie lifting all boats pre-pandemic? You did say build the wall, but the wall didn't get built. So maybe the lesson is that the tariffs just aren't going to happen because you're right, February 3rd, they were coming on and then they were taken off and Claudia Scheinbaum basically repackaged something that was already happening. Those troops were promised under the Biden administration. And as you mentioned, any death from fentanyl should never happen. But fentanyl is not our problem with the Canadians.
Starting point is 00:38:32 And Trump was the one who negotiated the USMCA if he has such huge problems with it. But my concern is for the American public. They know that this is going to hurt them. We've heard from Peter Navarro, Secretary Letnick, et cetera, that there'd be some short-term pain. Even President Trump has said it and J.D. Vance has said it. And I don't know if the American public deserves that when they took a big leap of faith, a lot of these voters, and went with Trump, people who were traditionally Democratic voters or might have sat out, And they thought that their lives were going to get economically better on day one, because
Starting point is 00:39:07 that's what they were promised. And tariffs, I'm not saying they can't be used. Obviously, we kept the China tariffs that Trump implemented under Biden, even extended them, I think, threefold. But it's a very risky gamble for this grand bargain that he's going after. The Mar-a-Lago Accords or whatever we're going to end up having. I think with Trump, you also have to price in other macroeconomic factors when it comes to tariffs.
Starting point is 00:39:31 So again, if we can balance the whole trade relationship on specific categories of goods and services, Jessica, as goes other countries or collections of countries and even some companies, that's going to help. If they extend, if not expand, the Tax Cut and Jobs Act from 2017, which we've all been living under, whether people realize it or not, if you lose some of those benefits, you're going to feel it. So if that gets extended and expanded, that like no tax on tips, no tax on Social Security, etc., then, and even the ECCA, the Educational Choice for Children Act, that President Trump has clearly said he wants to be part of reconciliation.
Starting point is 00:40:11 I have no idea to this moment, zero, how Democrats can be against school choice. I have no idea why we're trapping kids of all backgrounds in some of the failing schools when their parents can exercise a choice as to where they go to school and what is taught there. So there's a lot going on in reconciliation. I think you also have to price in the DREG agenda. We had more regulation under Biden-Harris. We're going to have fewer regulation, less regulation.
Starting point is 00:40:37 You have to price in the energy production that's going to happen. So I feel like there are other component parts to the macro economy. These things take time. And you said something at the beginning, which is important, and I'm going to give you a rationale for it. You said something like, look, President Trump is doing things a little bit differently this time, and he's got high marks and everything. This time, he's getting us back to where we were in 2019, but he also is undoing some of the grievous, grave damage that was done in the last four years.
Starting point is 00:41:07 And it's not even, they're not even pulling things out root and branch. There are some seedlings, as I've told them, planted above the soil that just have to blow down like all these ridiculous new programs and expenditures that are mind blowing to people. I think even a smaller federal government footprint and less government spending, whatever that ends up looking like, you have to price all of that in and not just look at tariffs in, not you, everybody in isolation. Totally. I'm happy to do that. And I know that there are some smart people on my side
Starting point is 00:41:39 of the aisle who think that we do need the higher levels of tariffs like the Bernie Sanders and the shared Browns of the world Tim Ryan, but you know when I look at the larger picture and this will get us to immigration as well but we have a 35% chance now Goldman Sachs days of going into a recession which we did not have we have slow GDP growth consumer confidence is falling at a rapid pace. So it's not as rosy as one would or that you were painting it. And I get it, progress is slow, but certain. But when you look at the reconciliation bill and the fact that they want to jam through these tax cuts for people, not just the high earners and what we thought of it, of people earning over $400,000, but $700,000. They're going to offset that with cuts to Medicaid up to $880 billion.
Starting point is 00:42:34 That's going to be inflationary, and that's just like a payout also to your friends. How are you also going to avoid huge inflation with the deportations? That's how I want to get us into this immigration conversation, because ICE is doing what ICE said that they were going to. We know that it is inflationary to have what half the workforce that you were going to have, not just when we stop getting our goods from Canada that funds the hotel industry, you know, all our lumber,
Starting point is 00:43:06 cement, et cetera. But how do you square those things? Deporting some of these criminals? It's more than that. And you know, well, you know that it's more than that. I do want to talk about the criminal part of it and the fact that there are, at least that we know of, a few innocents that have been sent to this El Salvadorian prison camp for having tattoos that no one paid attention to, like what they actually were, like the autism awareness tattoo or a crown with mom written on it. But yeah, if he does do a deportation force, which was one of his promises and certainly what Tom Homan wants, what is the outcome
Starting point is 00:43:40 of that going to be? Well, the outcome in many ways is to make sure that we mitigate the chances of another Rachel Morin or Jocelyn Nagourney or Lake and Riley, all of whom were murdered. And the case of two of them brutally raped before they were murdered. Jocelyn Nagourney is a 12-year-old girl raped for two hours under a bridge and then murdered by two people who should not have been here who were here illegally. And so that doesn't mean everybody is like that. Of course not. What it means is they're like that and they shouldn't be here. And you know what, Jessica, I feel like the last four years, the biggest epidemic,
Starting point is 00:44:21 even though more people died from COVID under Biden than Trump, but the biggest epidemic, even though more people died from COVID under Biden than Trump, but the biggest epidemic, certainly that we don't discuss, is the epidemic of looking the other way, of pretending that we don't see someone's pain, that we don't see what's happening. And to allow upwards of 10 million people here illegally, and then once they're here, people can turn on Fox News, probably not much else. That's why it's the highest rated by far, I mean, the cable stations or open up their phones. And see, see, the same people just got here illegally in New York City, get free cell phones, clothing, hotel rooms in New York City, cash,
Starting point is 00:44:59 debit cards, your kids seat in a New York City classroom. And people are looking at it saying, that's not fair. Oh, you're a racist. Actually, I'm an African American 28-year-old male who says, that's not fair. Where's my cell phone upgrade? Where's my free clothes? When was the last time I could take my kids to a hotel room in New York City? Because I live in this condition or I'm temporarily homeless. So people just said that's not fair. And fairness over wokeness, but really over unfairness, was a huge reason why Trump got elected.
Starting point is 00:45:31 Strength over weakness and fairness over wokeness slash unfairness, which is slightly different. So there's a reason that President Trump's approval rating, as you set out at the beginning of your podcast, is today is highest on immigration. Yep. Is he does see himself keeping the promises and some of the wall was built. Biden had a spitefully take some of that down and let the stuff rot there.
Starting point is 00:45:55 Cause a lot was done on spite, not even ideological differences, but the premise is the same, which is it all got worse in the last four years. is the same, which is it all got worse in the last four years. And all of a sudden, Jessica, an issue that was mired in low single digits, illegal immigration, border security, mired in low single digits, and trade in tariffs was hardly even an asterisk in our polling and everybody else's polling 10 years ago. An asterisk means less than 1% mention
Starting point is 00:46:23 as most important problem. 10 years ago, right about now, means less than 1% mention as most important problem, 10 years ago, right about now, when a guy named Donald J. Trump said, I'm going to run for president, but here's what I'm going to talk about. He elevated these issues into the national consciousness to international criticism and ridicule. His company lost contracts and his name on buildings and, oh my God, look what he's doing. And fast forward, the fall of 2024, thanks to his first term and Biden's only term, that immigration border security was now the number two issue in all seven swing states and in all the national polling. It had risen that high because people started to see for themselves that they live
Starting point is 00:47:00 in a border state no matter where they live. So I feel like, again, talking about space and grace, people will give it, and if there are folks who are unfairly, unnecessarily swept up in some of this, they will do, I'm sure that they are doing, probably free counsel from some of these groups, they will make a claim about that, and that will be adjudicated more likely than not. But I wanted to say something else
Starting point is 00:47:30 You know these these students for the guys 30 years old. He lives in University housing at Columbia, but he's Was a graduate student there a while ago. I guess the 30 year old who wants to my mood Kalil Yeah wants to be opposed her child and the other one. I think she's at Columbia But she you know, she's another one, she was here since she was seven, etc. She's complaining. If you read what you have to do if you're here on a student visa, I mean, if you look at student visa, if you look at criminal activity, national security, public safety concerns, revocation of visa, it says the State Department can revoke a student visa at its discretion,
Starting point is 00:48:04 often without prior notice, if it believes a student's presence conflicts with U.S. interests. And I think that Marco Rubio, our secretary of state, is making that very clear. He said recently, quote, every day I find another one of these lunatics and revoke their visa. What are they doing? Well, we see what they're doing. The same two eyes that sees the debit cards, cell phones, cash, clothing, hotel rooms, your kid's seat in the New York City classroom,
Starting point is 00:48:29 sees these folks, they're so bold, they're wary, they're all masked up so we can't see them. We see them protesting, I think inciting violence, making people feel uncomfortable. I know students at Columbia right now as we speak, and they feel uncomfortable. And the Jewish ones feel completely uncomfortable. They feel threatened, threatened.
Starting point is 00:48:50 That should not be an occupational hazard of being at Columbia or any other campus in this country. And so if you look at the national security or public safety concerns, a lot of this could fit under there easily. The Trump administration's current stance, as articulated by Secretary of State Rubio, has expanded its national security and public safety concern to target students, to cover students involved in some of these anti-Semitic, anti-Israel activism, citing some foreign
Starting point is 00:49:20 policy implications. But I just can't believe anybody can argue the fact that these kids can't go to campus, they missed their final exams, they have to shelter in place in their dorms because you've got some of these folks. And then what did their big, bold acting president do? Not to be confused with the former president
Starting point is 00:49:39 of Columbia University who also resigned, but the new acting president resigned because she capitulated to President Trump. All of a sudden, her favorite color is not red or blue, it's green. And she's so worried about losing the $400 million in federal funding that we fork over to Columbia University so that we can see this nonsense on the campus, that she capitulated about a mask mandate. It's fascinating to watch. It's not just the tech companies
Starting point is 00:50:05 given to the president's library. It's not just the big law firms, big law that was against him a year ago and for the preceding seven years. It is giving hundreds of millions of dollars in pro bono work to issues he cares about. I hope the drug crisis is one of them and veterans and school choice.
Starting point is 00:50:23 Those are great causes for a big law to fund if they can't see their way to fund it themselves. And now you have university presidents who were allowing this to happen, who were green lighting it, who Elise Stefanik at the time, the number three in the House of Representatives, she just embarrassed them into oblivion
Starting point is 00:50:43 in the case of two or three of them because they're lying under oath. They don't know, they don't know if antisemitism is antisemitism when the rest of us do. And so I think there's a lot going on here, but if you read the, if you actually read the student visa piece of, there is a lot of latitude for the country. If you feel like somebody who's here on a student visa, which is a privilege, by the way, not a right, not a right, then there's a lot of latitude for this administration. Yeah, understood. Mahmood Khalil is here on a green card, which is a much higher threshold than just a student visa.
Starting point is 00:51:20 And the student that you're referring to from Colombia, I believe her first name is Chung, she's been here since she was seven from South Korea. So and I think at least based on the reporting that I've seen that she just participated in a sit-in and now we don't, her lawyers know where she is, but we don't know where she is at this point. And I'm you know I was very outspoken about the protests on campus. I did think that the university presidents were clearly not doing enough. And if you had slotted in any other protected class for Jew, this never would have been allowed to
Starting point is 00:51:54 proliferate if you had been blocking trans kids or black kids from going to classes or going to Chabad. But it does feel like this administration is really overreaching in terms of regulating the First Amendment, which is something that they claim to be celebrating during the campaign and trying to make it out like we were the party that couldn't take it, that couldn't listen to people who have divergent viewpoints. And I'm concerned about that, and I'm concerned about how they're going after big law firms. I mean, some of these law firms that they're targeting are just guilty of you know representing people with cases that the Trump administration didn't like or having anything to do with Jack Smith and
Starting point is 00:52:35 I think the ones that are Cabitulating as you said offering 40 million dollars a hundred million dollars of quote-unquote pro bono work are Just kind of laying down for Trump. And I'm glad to see that there are other law firms that are standing with the Perkins cooies of the world and standing up to them. We have one more topic though. We got to take a quick break. Stay with us.
Starting point is 00:53:03 Welcome back. I'm still here with Kellyanne, who has been so gracious with her time. I think this is probably going to be your favorite conversation because I'm opening myself up to democratic criticism, or at least I'm inviting it versus you're always good at getting it, even when I don't ask for it. But we're only two months into the administration. I would love, I mean, it sounds like you do think that it has been going really well thus far and Democrats are scrambling. We know this, especially I think on the Senate side.
Starting point is 00:53:30 In the House, I think Hakeem Jeffries has been doing a good job. But where do you think things stand in terms of the Democratic reboot or what we have to do? The New York Times editorial board was out this weekend with an op-ed that basically said that Democrats are in denialism of the message from 2024. And then I also want to get your take and maybe actually do this one first on what life after Trump looks like for the Republican party. He called Kristen Welker over the weekend and basically said that a third term was a possibility, that there are methods to do it. but for the purpose of this conversation,
Starting point is 00:54:07 you know, let's say that he is going to leave office when his term is up. Where do you think the Republican Party goes? It's a great question, and I think we got a couple tea leaves about it, Jessica, in the 2024 down-ballot elections. So President Trump swept all seven swing states and along with him Republicans flipped United States Senate seats in Pennsylvania and Ohio defeating long-term democratic veterans who were winning by double digits in their re-elections Previously Sherrod Brown in Ohio, Bob Casey jr. In Pennsylvania in addition
Starting point is 00:54:47 Flipping the John Tester seat in Montana. However, in four of the swing states that President Trump carried, Arizona by six points, Nevada, Handley, Wisconsin, Michigan, much smaller margins, those four Republican Senate candidates came up short. And whereas President Trump was overly unfairly blamed for the midterm losses or the lack of a red wave in 2022, in 2024 he basically was a gift to all these candidates. He's got strength at the top of the ticket and all that means plenty of money, plenty of personal visits inside the state by the nominee, President Trump, plenty of juice for these candidates,
Starting point is 00:55:26 endorsing them, helping them, and yet they came up short, which tells you something about the difference between Trump's strength within the electorate and all other Republicans not named Donald J. Trump. So that's a little view into the future, a recent one. And then we'll see what happens on Tuesday, on April 1st, with these special elections in a couple of Florida seats.
Starting point is 00:55:52 I actually think, I hope those Republicans win and we keep the seats. I actually think if they don't, it's not, everybody's going to rush and say the same thing as the Lemmings always do. Oh my God, it shows that Trump's not popular, he doesn't have the juice. The administration's over. Signal, signal, signal. I actually think it's the opposite. It shows what I just said yet again, which is if you're not him and you're not at the top of the ticket, then there's something special about him where people gravitate toward him, turn out for him, whether it's at rallies, whether in the bleeding sun or the pouring rain, for days to wait just to see him and be part of it. That's something that the party will need to
Starting point is 00:56:31 grapple with. I don't think we're going to go back to being this sort of globalist amnesty, maybe some higher taxes, maybe not a lot of D-reg, maybe, Beba, restrain this, restrain that kind of party that was a losing model for Mitt Romney, for John McCain. I think that along with Ronald Reagan in 1980, Newt Gingrich, and the Contract with America in 1994, Trump 2016, those are the three most transformative party-changing, coalition-shifting elections in my lifetime, and so in many of our lifetimes. So I feel like he'll still have his mark on the party. There is no obvious heir apparent.
Starting point is 00:57:12 Obviously his vice president would have a good chance, but the president himself said he's not endorsing his president-advance or anyone else right now, which is smart because he needs to do a lot of stuff. He can't talk about politics in 2028. He got to do policy in 2025. So that's smart. On the Democratic side, I think it's the worst
Starting point is 00:57:29 I've seen the Democratic Party in a very, very long time. It just seems rudderless, shiftless, overly angry, without direction, probably a lot of internal fighting that we don't even see. And it's, you know, in any 12-step program, Jessica, even if you reduce it to eight, nine, or expand it to 20 steps, the first one must be acknowledgement. And I haven't seen that yet, let alone getting to acceptance.
Starting point is 00:57:52 I haven't seen acknowledging the fact that Kamala Harris had everything she wanted, a stop with the, she only had 100 days or whatnot. What would she have done on day 108 or 109? Same stuff. I mean she had all the King's horses, all the King's men, the mainstream media, academia, plenty of money, excitement, history on her side, etc. Making history on her side. That wasn't the right model and I think even some of these governors and folks in the House who are Senate Senate who could be rising up as Democratic spokespeople are physiologically incapable of answering a question or declaring a sentence without saying Trump,
Starting point is 00:58:33 Trump, Trump four times in it. So unless and until somebody can get him out of their mind and stop pretending that the best antidote to Trump is anti-Trump, that's just not it. But until the party, you know, the Democratic Party, the worst thing that's happened to it, in my view, is seeding CED, ING, some of these core Democratic constituencies, to President Trump. So he won more Jewish Americans, more women than he should have, again, say a female candidate. I agree, he won more Hispanics, African Americans, union households.
Starting point is 00:59:07 He won more political independence. And this was the election, Jessica, this is what the Democrats, I think, don't seem to grasp yet. 2024 at the presidential level, mark the election where Americans said, that's it. I've had enough. No more will you tell me who I am, what to think, and how to vote based on my age, my gender, my race, my religion, my union membership, whether I'm married or not, whether I have kids at home or not, my sexual orientation. I mean, all of the, and even my political registration and or my past voting preferences. People are like, excuse me, this is the one time when I can exercise my own judgment, make my own choices.
Starting point is 00:59:45 And I'm going to do that irrespective of Barack Obama wagging his finger at young African-American men and saying, I'm telling you to do this. You got to do this for me. And then goes back to his compound in the golf course or in Martha's Vineyard or whatnot, which he's welcome to have. But then you can't wonder though why the Obama coalition in 2012 is now Trump country. And if you look at the migration of voters from Obama 12 to Trump 2024, it is nothing but startling.
Starting point is 01:00:13 The Democratic party I grew up around, half Irish, half Italian, a house full of women. My father left, feminist movement, Roe versus Wade movement, women in the workforce, including my own mom, reluctantly movement. Every man in my family to this moment is in a union, a private trade. That Democratic Party looks so distant now, and it's just been subsumed by this odd stew of liberal overreach and academia and Hollywood and media and frankly just losing
Starting point is 01:00:47 touch with if not outright ridiculing people who work for a living, people who don't have fancy degrees. And most of this country is that and most of the Democratic Party right now is not. Yeah, I mean, listen, I'm not one of the ones who's in denial about what happened. And I think there's a lot of truth to what you were saying. But if Donald Trump is the guy, right, he is the heart and soul of this party, and he will not be on the ballot in 2028, I'm going to mark you down for the he knows that he has to go category, right?
Starting point is 01:01:19 I didn't say that. I just said that. Well, Kelly-Ann. Yes, that. Listen, he hears that from other people. That's nice. I mean, crazy people talk to all of us. I mean- And then he mentions that, well, it also comes from- But you're not a crazy, I mean-
Starting point is 01:01:33 You told people didn't vote for him the first two times, Jessica. I think you mentioned some of them earlier. But you were, I mean, you were a standout in 2020 amongst people who were close to him who never bought into the big lie. You said, Mr. President, you lost the election and, you know, you got to move out. So are you saying the door is open to a third term? No, I'm saying that when there's talk of it again, when your colleagues in the media. This is him on the phone with Kristen Welker.
Starting point is 01:02:00 I'm not this isn't colleagues in the media. It's in his own voice. Well, but again, he's hearing that from people. So what? I've heard that I'm the most beautiful woman in the world. I know it's not true. Sure you are. Definitely true.
Starting point is 01:02:13 Thank you. You're a good friend, but come on here. Absolutely. But no, I think it's beside the point right now when he's got too much to do. But it does tell you one thing, that no matter, you know, assassin's bullet, all these indictments, court cases, impeachments, everything else, 2020,
Starting point is 01:02:32 etc., January 6, and so on and so forth, that President Trump is seen as a guy who can overcome all that and have a critical mass, in this case, many tens of millions of Americans, highest ever for a Republican in many ways, focus on him and vote for him, I think it shows you. It wasn't for lack of trying. One of the biggest mistakes the Democrats made, in my view, I'm glad they made it,
Starting point is 01:02:57 but in 2023 and 2024, was dismissing all types of Democratic primary opponents against President Biden, including one RFK Jr., now the Secretary of HHS under a Republican president. Trump, I think the lack of primaries hurt and I was a huge voice, often criticized within my own party for saying this about my Republican party. This nonsense of clearing the field based on electability. Thank God I haven't heard the word electability in a very long time.
Starting point is 01:03:29 And that's important because this whole matter that you rob the people of their voice and their choice, months if not years before an election, is folly. Let the people decide. And it wasn't for lack of trying. Gosh, eight, nine, I don't know how many. Many Republicans ran for president in 2024, as did President Trump, and he won decisively, embarrassingly, in all of their states, beating them handily. So he's sort of earned this, but I think that it's not- Well, he hasn't earned the right to violate the Constitution. No, no, no, I didn't say that.
Starting point is 01:03:57 I said he's earned, no, no, no. I said he's earned the presidency now, meaning he had- Right. No, no, no, please don't misquote me. I haven't said anything about that. I believe in the Constitution. The president knows that presidents are term-limited. He is hearing from everybody.
Starting point is 01:04:11 What can we do about that? You know, blah, blah, blah. No, he's gonna focus on policy. But I just wanna say this about it. It does tell you that he's got more of, he's got much more prominence in the Republican Party and the conservative movement, which is different than the Republican Party.
Starting point is 01:04:27 People always trying to criticize him and tear him down with, oh, it's just a base, a base, a base, like these dopes, nepo babies on the left who now consider themselves reporters and you know who I'm talking about, they're probably watching now. I know so much Trump and his base. What base?
Starting point is 01:04:42 It's a base plus, the guy won all seven swing states, he won the popular vote. It's base plus, plus, plus plus plus. I say this for a very simple reason. The Democratic Party, for whatever else, I think still could rely upon one Barack Obama and occasionally his wife. We see her pop up every four years to come to a convention and criticize Trump and now on a podcast to insult her husband. But we don't, you know, the Obamas, the Clintons, you can always count on a few super popular, stand the test of time Democrats to raise money, to raise hackles, to get out there
Starting point is 01:05:16 and do stuff for the party. I don't think that's true. I think if anything, the rising people in your party, Jessica, in the Democratic Party, are scary socialists. You know, Bernie Sanders has 15,000 people in Arizona recently. Elizabeth Warren's always on the rise. AOC and the squad that doesn't do squad, as Nancy Pelosi said, quote, she said, and I'll quote Nancy Pelosi, quote, this glass of water could have won in their districts.
Starting point is 01:05:39 Really, I think going rough shot on the squad at the time, saying they're all in safe seats, how could they have not won? And so there is just a lot of generational tension, ideological tension. I think the difference between do we go back and try to recapture the working class of America, versus are there enough elite a feat like us in the Democratic Party in the hierarchy to win elections?
Starting point is 01:06:03 There's so much hand-wringing, white-knuckle hand-wringing now of everybody's so nervous in the Democratic Party where I think the answers are pretty simple, which is you can't tell people who they are, how to think, and how to vote, and what's good for them. They need to tell you that is, as you know, that's polling 101, that's voting 101, it's politics 101. People have a funny way of telling you what's important to them, you can't tell them. But as for this, it's just another way, oh look at Donald Trump, he wants to be president for life. He's hearing that from other people, he respects the Constitution, but there's no question the most important person in 2026 in the midterms and 2028 is Donald
Starting point is 01:06:41 J. Trump. Okay, we've got to leave it there and And if we talk more, I want to talk about Josh Shapiro and Wes Moore, because they are not democratic socialists. And I think they're doing a pretty good job. But I take all the criticism. I'm into the self-flagellation about what happened. I want to thank you, especially Kellyanne, for being here with me and everyone for listening to Raging Moderates.
Starting point is 01:07:00 Our producers are David Toledo and Shinene Onike. Our technical director is Drew Burroughs. You can now find Raging Moderates on its own feed every Tuesday. That's right, its own feed. Exclusive interviews with sharp political minds you won't hear anywhere else. This week, I'll be talking with Senator Brian Schatz
Starting point is 01:07:15 from Hawaii. Make sure to follow us wherever you get your podcasts so you don't miss an episode. And thank you for being here, Kellyanne. I really appreciate it. Thanks for having me. Yeah, I'll see you at work. Yeah, thatyanne. I really appreciate it. Thanks for having me. Yeah. I'll see you at work. Yeah, that's right.
Starting point is 01:07:27 Take care. You too.

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