Real Time with Bill Maher - Ep. #424: John Kasich, Gabriel Sherman

Episode Date: May 6, 2017

Bill’s guests are John Kasich, Gabriel Sherman, George Packer, Maya Wiley, and Philip Mudd. (Originally aired 5/5/17) See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information. Learn more about your ad ch...oices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:01:43 Well, I know it's Cinco de Mayo, so... Or as Schwarzenegger calls it Father's Day. Oh, it's... Perfect for my audience. They're just coming down from 420. Roll right into Cinco de Mayo, but... No, I mean, good thing California has medical marijuana, because when the Republicans get done with health care,
Starting point is 00:02:14 that is the only treatment you're going to have. You saw what they did? Oh, yeah. I'll tell you. Never underestimate these bastards. We thought we had them a couple of months ago. Health care came up in the house. Didn't pass.
Starting point is 00:02:30 Oh, these fuck up. Nope. They did it. They did it the other day. They told Jimmy Kimmel's baby, go screw yourself. They told Jimmy Kimmel's baby. I didn't.
Starting point is 00:02:45 Let's see me. Let's start at the beginning with separating what I say with... There you go. A little tutorial we need. Anyway, no, the House did it. They passed the thing. It basically lets the states be the bad guys and deny coverage of people with pre-existing conditions.
Starting point is 00:03:03 This is what got, by the way, the moderate Republicans on board. The moderate Republicans. These are people who are like, you know, I dabble in killing people. I wouldn't... I wouldn't call myself a murderer, but I... And then, the nerve of them, after they did this,
Starting point is 00:03:25 after they kicked 24 million people or more off health care, they threw a big party in the Rose Garden to celebrate it. There they are. Look at them, high-fiving each other and congratulating. Look at all these white assholes. Somewhere there's an Elks Lodge going. Where's everybody? Oh, Trump got carried away and grabbed a pussy.
Starting point is 00:03:52 Paul Ryan. Anyway, no, but he was feeling very good about himself. I know, odd for him. At one point, he said, how am I doing? Hey, I'm the president. Can you believe it? No. No, dipshit. That's why we're
Starting point is 00:04:29 investigating Russia. And then, to cap it all off, later in the day, same day. He meets with the Prime Minister of Australia, and he says to him, you have better health care, than we do. They have government-funded
Starting point is 00:04:45 single-payer health care. The very thing he just signed off the opposite of. Any other president, this would be the stupidest thing he said all week. With this guy, it doesn't even crack the top 100.
Starting point is 00:04:59 He had such a week, even by his standards. In one 24-hour period, Politico quoted a GOP aide saying, he just seemed to go crazy today. Today. I mean, you've all heard by now, right, his tale of the time-traveling Andrew Jackson, right?
Starting point is 00:05:20 Okay, well, since we come on at the end of the week, I wouldn't go through all that. Let me just give you some context in this. You know how in cartoons, crazy people always think they're Napoleon? Trump thinks he's Andrew Jackson. And when I say he thinks, I mean, Steve Bannon told him about Andrew Jackson. He didn't know who Andrew Jackson was from LaToya Jackson six months ago. All he knows now is that Andrew Jackson is the president that sane people think is a monster, but shit-kickers love.
Starting point is 00:05:59 So ever since then, it's been old hickery all the time, accent on the hick. He is Trump's favorite leader after Putin, of course. And apparently Trump thinks that Andrew Jackson is very angry that the Civil War happened 16 years after he died. Trump said, this is his quote, people don't ask the question,
Starting point is 00:06:26 but why was there a civil war? We got to find out what the hell was going on in 1861. People aren't asking why there was a civil war. What they're asking is, why are we still using the electoral college? That's what we should be asking.
Starting point is 00:06:48 And by the way, And by the way, Mr. Trump, if you don't know what caused the Civil War and why we are talking about that, ask your supporters. They reenact it once a month. All right, we've got a great show. Maya Wilde, George Parker and Philip Mudd are here, and a little later we'll be speaking with New York Magazine's Gabriel Sherman. But first up, he was in the 2016 presidential race for the Republican candidate for president. He is the author of Two Paths, America Divided or United. He's also the governor of Ohio.
Starting point is 00:07:19 John Kasich is over here. How you doing, Governor? Great to meet you. Thank you for coming by. I think our audience agrees with me. You're one of the good ones. Oh, look at that. That's pretty good for a liberal California audience.
Starting point is 00:07:40 So let's really get them on your side and talk about some of the things that you've done in our fore. First of all, you supported medical marijuana in Ohio, correct? Well, we did it because we felt that we were going to get involved. I said yes. No? No? I'll tell you what, Bill, here's my concern about it, and I know you legalized it here for recreational reasons.
Starting point is 00:08:02 But, you know, we have this big opiate problem, as you know. Nothing to do with pot. No, but here's what I'm concerned about. The drug enforcement agents came to see me. They're like, you know, been in 25, 28, 32 years. And I said, what do we do? What do we do about this? Because we are on top of everything, and I wanted to hear from them. And they said, look, John,
Starting point is 00:08:22 what we have to do is educate people starting at a very early age and we have to drive this all the way through because, you know, the opiates become harder to get and then people head to heroin. And my only concern about the marijuana issue is I don't want to tell kids don't do drugs but you could then do this drug. So that is the point.
Starting point is 00:08:41 But in Ohio we have medical marijuana. I signed the bill to get that done. Well, why do we have to bring kids into it? I mean, liquor is legal and we don't tell kids you can have liquor. I don't know why that always has to enter into the debate. Yeah. I mean, I don't know why an entire nation of adults has to be deputized into the fight for parents to keep their kids away from drugs or guns or their sex toys. You know what?
Starting point is 00:09:09 You're the adults. You're supposed to be smarter than your kids. All I'm saying to you is we have an enormous problem. You know it. We all know it. Yes. We see opiates, which then leads to this problem of heroin and fentanyl. which is deadly.
Starting point is 00:09:24 And all I want to do is tell the kids in an early age and all the way through school, reinforcing their parents or reinforcing anybody in this audience who doesn't want to see a kid destroy their lives. And so what I'm saying to you is, I just don't want to be confusing, but we have a medical marijuana in Ohio. And you also expanded Medicaid,
Starting point is 00:09:43 which a lot of Republican governors did not do. It's part of Obamacare. Because, you know, you care a lot about the poor. It's part of your faith. Is it not? Well, look, they came into me one day. They said, we can cover 700,000 people who are either mentally ill, drug addicted, or chronically ill.
Starting point is 00:10:02 A third of the 700,000 either have a drug problem or they're mentally ill. And frankly, how do you say no to that? And it is a partnership with the federal government. I think Medicaid expansion can be changed to some degree, but we don't want to do it overnight, because where are those people going to go? Okay, and that's not appropriate. and I want people to have health care.
Starting point is 00:10:23 And I'll tell you another thing. It is very important for both parties, not just a Republican party, but both parties. The easiest thing to do is to run over the weak, those who live in the shadows, and those who don't have much. And it is not right. And part of my faith is, I mean...
Starting point is 00:10:39 That doesn't sound like most Republicans. It doesn't... You are out of step with your party when you say that. I mean that as a compliment. Wait a minute. Wait a minute. Maybe I'm trying... No. No, what I'm saying is maybe I'm trying to define... what my party ought to be.
Starting point is 00:10:53 I wish someone would. Because, yeah, no, there used to be, I mean, I wasn't a big fan of George Bush, but when he said compassionate, conservative, and by the way, he looks better all the time now. He does. Still not good, but better. Okay.
Starting point is 00:11:10 But Jack Kemp, you know, there was, you know, Republican classic, I would call them. And I think you are in that school. Well, and you think about not just somebody like, like Jack K, but you even think back to JFK, who said, a rising tide lifts all boats. I mean, we want to have everybody in our country believe, first of all, that people care about them.
Starting point is 00:11:30 Because there are many people in this country who think nobody cares about me, and I don't matter. And that is not healthy. And secondly, you want to give people a chance to rise. And if they have bad health, they can't get work. They can't have anything. So, and by the way, as you know, as you know, I've been very forceful on this health care bill,
Starting point is 00:11:50 And I have spoken out against it. But, you see, people are focusing on the preexisting conditions, which they should. And what they do is allow states to opt out of that requirement. I don't know any states that will. But the problem is not just that. The problem is bigger than that bill. The problem is there is not the resources in this bill. To help people on the exchange, some people would get no more than a $3,000 or $4,000 tax credit.
Starting point is 00:12:15 What can you buy for a health care policy? And if you are mentally ill or drug addicted, you have to go to. to the doctor all the time, and you've got your deductibles, and they don't have any money. So I'm hoping that the United States Senate will get in this and fix this, all of it, and make it better. So I think
Starting point is 00:12:35 what Obamacare did more than anything was changed America's view of health care, that it's a right. But your party says it's a product. It's a product like any other product, and I don't want to pay for you buying something that you should
Starting point is 00:12:51 buy for yourself. So let me ask you, is it a right or is it a product? One word answer only. No, I'm kidding. Is it a right or a product? Look, I would say it's a right if you force me to choose one or the other. But hold on, hold on, hold on.
Starting point is 00:13:06 Senator Robert Taft, who was a senator, voted one of the five best senators. It was in Senate from 1939 to 1953. In our state of Ohio, right. Here's what he said. He said, if people can't afford health care in our country, the United States of America, the government ought to get it for them.
Starting point is 00:13:22 Now, I don't know how we went from Mr. Conservative, Mr. Republican, to where if I say that people need to have coverage, that somehow that makes me something other than acceptable to conservatives, I think conservatives ought to understand that it is important for every individual, every person, to have the hope to be able to rise and get ahead. Now, Bill, hold on. One other thing I want to say. This issue of the health insurance and covering people, fine, get them their coverage. We need to do that. But we have to work on. on the rising costs of health care, which means we have to change the way pharmaceutical industry sells us stuff. We have to think about transparency. We need to know who's providing. We need to pay doctors and hospitals for quality.
Starting point is 00:14:05 How about stopping the gouging? I agree with that. I mean, there's gotta be some cap on that. Well, I'll tell you what, I went into see. And I know that's anti-Republican orthodox. No, no, no, no. Here's what I'm arguing. First of all, I'm a Republican, okay?
Starting point is 00:14:18 So I have a right to define it just as much as anybody else does. Absolutely. Thank you. Yes, you do. Here's the thing, Bill. What I suggested to the administration, and I believe this at home, and this is what the Democrats gave me, I have to put every drug on my formulary, regardless of cost. You know what I want?
Starting point is 00:14:37 I want the ability to take them off my formulary. I want leverage. I want them to bring their price down. Now, we don't want to destroy the industry because, hey, they may be creating something that's going to save somebody's life here, you know, and avoid invasive surgery or whatever. but you cannot have something like EpiPen jack their prices up. Exactly.
Starting point is 00:14:57 And so, you know, I'm a believer in a free enterprise system, but I also believe it has to be underlaid with a set of values. And that's the great theologian Michael Novak who laid that out. Okay. But I don't think a lot of people in your party, including Paul Ryan, even understand how insurance works. I read a quote from him last week on the show where he said, well, the problem with Obamacare is that you have young people paying for old people's health
Starting point is 00:15:23 of course, that's how insurance works. And when they get to be old, then young people will pay for them. Now they want this high-risk pool. They want to put all the people at high-risk in one pool. This is like marrying your cousin. You don't... You want a mixture. You want the young
Starting point is 00:15:39 healthy people in with the older, sicker people, not a high-risk pool. The problem was, is that Obama care, because of the way they changed the insurance market, it made it harder for young people to buy insurance. The cost was too high. so the pools have not been healthy.
Starting point is 00:15:55 And we need to make sure that we have healthy pools with both young people who are healthy and other people who are sick. In terms of the issue of pre-existing conditions, there would be no excuse. No excuse I can think of in America that somebody who has a pre-existing condition has to ever worry about getting health care.
Starting point is 00:16:12 That would be outrageous. Okay? So, I mean, everything you say sounds so reasonable. But you said it as a candidate last time. Yeah. And it didn't fly. The guy who's not very reasonable kicked your ass. Let's be honest.
Starting point is 00:16:27 That's right. So let me present a scenario to you. Now, it's only been 100 days with Donald Trump. Let's say two years down the road. I can see a scenario where he's in a lot of trouble because he's an idiot. There could be a foreign affairs disaster. He doesn't know anything about that. Russia could explode in his face.
Starting point is 00:16:48 People could be dying from his health care bill. I could see a challenge. in the Republican Party for 2020. Would you be up for that? In all... No, no, no, no. Look. You wouldn't challenge it as a sitting president?
Starting point is 00:17:05 It's so speculative. And look, I'm going to finish my term in 18 months as governor of our state, pulled the state together and get it to do better and better and better. That's what I'm all about, and giving everybody a shot. And then I don't know what I'm going to do. I'm going to keep a voice, but I can't predict a you. I never thought I would be governor. I never thought I'd go back into politics.
Starting point is 00:17:27 So what I look for is what is it I'm supposed to do? What is it I'm supposed to do in my lifetime to build a better world or build a better community or whatever? And so I can't tell you what that's going to be, and I'm not plotting. I'm rooting for him to do well, Bill, the same reason why I root for a pilot on my airplane to do well. Okay, he's the president.
Starting point is 00:17:51 But he's not sully. Well, he's not sully. That's a good line. Yeah, okay. at this. But look, if we want to have a president that unites us, not a president that... But you famously made a statement about
Starting point is 00:18:04 not voting for him, not to support... I didn't. I didn't. And it was a statement of integrity because it was hard to do it. That's I'm in your party. I'm just saying somebody in your party needs to stick up for the classic Republican. Well, I'm doing it all the time.
Starting point is 00:18:20 And it aggravates... And we appreciate it. Agravates some people, not necessarily them. Not us. And look, part of that election was, I was like a Ugandan swimmer. I was so far to the right side of the stage, no one could even see me. And then in order to get attention, Bill, you know, in the Olympics. I'll have to Google that analogy after the show. You remember, did you ever watch the Olympics? Like, that was a great thing. Okay, but it's a really good thing. I'll send you tapes. So I was way out on the end, but here's the thing. What I didn't
Starting point is 00:18:51 want to do, seriously, what I didn't want to do, and this is a problem with, and I love the media, one of the problems. You call somebody a name, you have this clever soundbite, and then you're on the morning news. I wasn't going to do that. I mean, I represent 11.5 million people, but you see, a lot of people want to look for that. That's what they absorb. And that is not the way we should be picking president on soundbites. Let's make America decent again, right? Yeah. Thank you very much, Governor. I wish you to best luck in the future. Governor Kasich, all right. Thank you, John. Let's meet our panel. Okay, hey, everybody.
Starting point is 00:19:37 All right, here they are. He is a former deputy director of the CIA Counterterrorist Center and FBI National Security Branch. Philip Mudd. Hey, Philip, how you doing? He is a staff writer for the New Yorker and author of The Unwinding and Inner History of the New America.
Starting point is 00:19:53 George Packer. Great to see you, George. And she's the Senior Vice President for Social Justice at the New School and Chair of New York City Civilian Complaint Review Board, Maya Wiley. Welcome to Russia for the first time. Okay, so obviously we have to start with health care. The bill that they passed halfway through to home,
Starting point is 00:20:14 not that different from the one that didn't pass in March. I want to give you the basics. Could lead to 24 million people losing insurance altogether. The individual mandate, which makes the whole thing possible, that, of course, goes away. Ends Obamacare premium substance. This would mean higher overall out-of-pocket costs. Allows insurers to charge older customers higher premiums up to five times as much.
Starting point is 00:20:42 Obama cop that at three. Let states obtain waivers for essential health benefits. This is like covering pregnancy, hospital visits, prescription drugs, you know, health care. And of course, pre-existing conditions. They kick back to the states. And don't ever forget that. And don't ever forget this one. I mentioned this last week, but it never gets old.
Starting point is 00:21:06 This is really a tax cut for the rich people. Because it cuts 880 billion from Medicaid and cuts taxes by $765 billion, most of which goes to higher earners. So I saw the Democrats chanting at the Republicans who voted for this, Nana, hey, hey, goodbye. They think this is political suicide for them.
Starting point is 00:21:30 What do you think? enough that we're in an age where there is such a thing as political suicide. I have seen Republicans screw the little man over and over, and then the little man goes out and votes for them. But this is different. This is really different. Tell me that. The reason it's different is because, first of all, this is a bill, in its original form that had 17% support. In other words, a traditional Republican base isn't even liking this. That's a very different picture. You know, in the reality around what Governor Kasich said about wanting your pilot to succeed
Starting point is 00:22:03 because he's flying your plane. Your pilot's actually been trained to fly the plane. Very good point. You know, one thing that struck me listening to the governor, Richard Nixon proposed national health insurance. Republicans used to think that this was actually well within
Starting point is 00:22:25 the realm of possibility. Romneycare. Something happened to the Republican Party that has left Governor Kasich kind of way out on a limb, sounding like Republicans of old, but today he's, uh, he sounds like a Democrat. But we actually know what that was. It's called
Starting point is 00:22:41 the Freedom Caucus. I mean, it's really the gerrymandering that helped produce. Exactly. Right. That's really what you're driven. We've got to remember though. The story's bigger here. They didn't say repeal. They said repeal and replace. The significance here is what debate we're having in America. A kid 10 years ago had roads, had schools
Starting point is 00:22:57 provided by the government, had security provided by the government. Now, even Republicans are acknowledging that somehow the government has to have a role in insurance as well. I think that's a significance at a deeper level for American culture. Pre-existent conditions is critical, but there's not a conversation that doesn't include replace, and I think that's huge. Okay. I want to say something about my friend Jimmy Kimmel, who I am very proud of,
Starting point is 00:23:20 because he brought this issue into American living rooms in a way it wouldn't have done before. And Jimmy, I'm glad your baby's getting to be okay, and I'm flattered. You're named it after me. But here's the thing. Jimmy said, If your baby's going to die, and it doesn't have to, it shouldn't matter how much money you make. I think that's something, whether you're a Republican or a Democrat, we all agree on. And unfortunately, that's not true. Right. And that needs to be said.
Starting point is 00:24:00 That's not true. One side wants to tax rich people so babies don't have to die. And one side is mostly against that. And this lets Republicans off the hook. Let's not fuck around with this. We are not on the same page with this. This is not a squabble. No, about basic value.
Starting point is 00:24:20 It's about values. I mean, what we've seen, this is a clarifying week because what this vote showed was a kind of willingness to embrace naked cruelty. People will die. People will die and they know it. And it's a price they're willing to pay. We are not all on the same page.
Starting point is 00:24:38 We don't all agree. We are not all on the same page. We do not all agree. But I think one of the things we have to remember is 20 Republicans voted against this bill. And the truth is, we also know... 20 out of... Yeah, but we also know that it was actually the strategy of the House Republicans who were trying to knit this deal together, frankly, to get the Freedom Caucus, once again,
Starting point is 00:24:59 thanks to gerrymandering. They have undue influence in Congress outside of the percentage of popular vote in the states they're representing. So they're not actually reflecting a lot of... their constituents and that's what we have to remember particularly as we're thinking about how we go into the 2018. Yeah, I mean, I don't know if Jimmy Kimmel's moving monologue will change people's minds about this but I do think
Starting point is 00:25:19 it already has. But I also think losing your health insurance might change one's mind about this. Yes. Being unable to have your kids covered when they're in an emergency like Kimmel's baby might change the mind. The problem with that with saying that is, I know he's not a political guy especially, is that that's
Starting point is 00:25:35 what makes people not vote. They think, well, they're all the same. It's just a petty school. wobble. You know what we need? We need some kind of outside dealmaker who'd come in and shake things up. And let me give you Joe Walsh, as he's an ex-congressman, a Republican, who answered Jimmy. He said, sorry, Jimmy,
Starting point is 00:25:51 your sad story doesn't obligate me or anybody else to pay for somebody else's health care. And that is their view. That it is a product, not a right, and in fact, health care is a stick to stimulate you to do better so you can buy your own health care.
Starting point is 00:26:07 This is the same thing with Donald Trump. about why couldn't we have solved the civil war? Because one side thought that black people were farm equipment that could sing. Well, it was actually many of the states of the Confederacy that refused to expand Medicaid under Obama care. Right. Yeah. But what I would say about your point, Bill, which, again, I think we have to remember, is it's not just Jimmy Kimmel. I mean, Ben Jackson, for those who may have seen Senator Markey, had a... a constituent who actually posted his own video
Starting point is 00:26:42 in his daughter's hospital room. She's in a hospital bed. He said he's been sitting there for 101 days and that if this goes through the Senate, that he's going to watch his daughter die. So the reality here is that it's not just Jimmy Kimmel. What Jimmy Kimmel did is give a much bigger platform to the voice of a whole bunch of people
Starting point is 00:27:00 who have all the same fears. I'm so glad he did. I don't buy it, though. Look, we're violating what we just witnessed in an election. Jimmy Kimmel, whether we like it or not, represents at least elites on the East and West Coast who voted for Hillary Clinton. They had years to determine whether he liked Obama. They didn't. They voted for somebody else, and there's a huge quantity of red states that said, screw you.
Starting point is 00:27:21 So we look at this and hope that this man represents an undercurrent in America that wants change. And the answer is they wanted change in a different direction, and they voted for it. So we don't have to like it. That's just wrong. Yeah, it may be wrong, but it's true. No, Trump promised coverage for everyone and got all. elected on that basis. I think when people start losing it, it's not going to be good for him. That's right. This is inconsistent with his campaign pledges, as many of his positions are.
Starting point is 00:27:47 And secondly, even when you look at what happened in the election, he really won this election by 80,000 votes. You made this notion that there was, first of all, almost three million popular votes to Hillary Clinton. But secondly, it really came down to three states, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. The grand total was about 80,000 that delivered the unfortunate electoral college. to him. So that is not quite the landslide that it was reported. All right. Well, let me ask about the other issue with him that bothers me so much this week. He apparently really likes to pal around with dictators. Remember Obama used to pal around the terrorists?
Starting point is 00:28:26 This guy, I mean, just, first of all, a couple of weeks ago, he talked about the maniac in Turkey who had a plebiscite that basically ended democracy in Turkey and he gave him a congratulatory call. Great dictating man. Okay then we have Putin. He loves Putin, right? Duterte, don't forget.
Starting point is 00:28:49 Insane God, do you how do you pronounce it? I would say Duterte. Okay, he is the guy in the Philippines, if you don't know. He's an extrajudicial killer. He goes, he just, he brags about killing people himself. He's killed thousands of people just because he's maniacally anti-drugs.
Starting point is 00:29:04 So if you're, do drugs at all, You might be dead. Cici from Egypt. He had him over to the White House. Great guy, because, you know, he's a dictator. And Kim Jong-un, this is unbelievable. Kim Jong-un puts out a video at the beginning of the week where it's a simulation of bombs.
Starting point is 00:29:25 Don't we have it? When we show it? Coming over to the White House. Look at this. Blowing up the Capitol. I don't know what that means at the end. I think Rats a Rock. is what they're trans like that.
Starting point is 00:29:46 And three days later, Trump says, I'd be honored to meet him. Look, he shares their values. It's simple. Exactly. No, I'm not kidding. I'm not kidding either. He looks at them, no, he looks at them and says,
Starting point is 00:30:01 you get things done without this mess of compromising with people. And look who he's appointed to his cabinet. He owes in generals. He doesn't hate Kim. He wants to be him. He wants to have military parades. He wanted to have tanks in the street for his inauguration.
Starting point is 00:30:19 So my question is, does his love of dictators foreshadow him trying that shit here? Well, then we already see he, look, we saw him undermine the, at least suggest that there was something wrong with the judicial system in this country, which is a significant check and balance if it either thinks some of his executive orders are unconstitutional or maybe that one of his universities is fraudulent. And the way he attacks the media is illegitimate. And the way he attacks the media actually tells people do not believe facts. And the media is lying to you whenever he needs to deflect. So those are two very serious signs. So when the coup comes...
Starting point is 00:30:58 I think it's not working because of his incompetence. I think that's the greatest safeguard against a Trump. The only problem is the problem, I agree with you that it's not necessarily working, although there is some polling that suggests that Americans are starting to trust the news media left. which is troubling, but I think it's also important to recognize that he is going to appoint Supreme Court justices and the federal court bench. So depending on how long he's got in office, four years, eight years, two years, that we might see that he has some substantial influence if the Democrats aren't able to do something in 2018,
Starting point is 00:31:35 which is part of why it's critically important that we see the energy building. What do you think? You know our internal apparatus better than us? This story is tougher than it looks. than it looks. We all cheered as Democrats after the Arab Revolution starting in 2011 because we mirror image. We did it in Iraq. We
Starting point is 00:31:51 said when we go in and change a government or when a revolution changes the government that people get a vote. Look at what we got now. Yemen, Syria, Egypt for a while was chaos and then a dictator moves in. Algeria is a bit of a... Tunisia is a bit of a success story.
Starting point is 00:32:08 Libya is a mess. I think people across the Middle East might say, hey, you Americans, you like democracy. But Trump is looking out saying the guys who can handle the people I focused on ISIS, those are dictators. And that's why I believe, believe it or not, you're going to end up with this administration supporting Assad in Syria. He's going to say Assad against ISIS is better than democracy in Syria. And part of the answer is that's what he always said until he saw a picture of a baby. Remember Ivanka came in and said, Daddy, this is sad.
Starting point is 00:32:38 Fire the missiles. And excuse me. And 59 missiles in four minutes is an apology. Right. And the runway was... And the Russians said, sorry, we got to complain, and then they went back and said, now we're going to cut a deal. All right. The danger isn't that journalists are going to get locked up or that the Ninth Circuit's
Starting point is 00:32:59 going to be abolished. The danger is that the public is going to get so cynical at hearing lie after lie coming from government that they're going to check out, and they're going to stop believing that they can find the truth somewhere. And it kind of becomes this destabilizing atmosphere where people think, well, there is no truth, so forget it. I'm going to, I'm not going to vote. 61% of Republicans think freedom of the press is necessary, which would lead me to believe that about 4 out of 10 think it's not. So nice to have an optimist on the panel.
Starting point is 00:33:27 All right. Like you don't need any more bad news, Donald Trump, I'm not making this up, has already started advertising for the 2020 election. I am not making this up. This is a real ad. He's running already. Please show it. Donald Trump, sworn in his president 100 days ago,
Starting point is 00:33:45 America has rarely seen such success. A respected Supreme Court justice, confirmed. Companies investing in American jobs again. America becoming more energy independent. Regulations that kill American jobs, eliminated. The biggest tax cut plan in history. You wouldn't know it from watching the news. America is winning, and President Trump is making America great again.
Starting point is 00:34:08 I'm Donald Trump, and I approve this message. Well, if that's not an ad for a coup, I don't know what is. You know, Chris, a lot of that is just total bullshit. His tax plan, there's no plan. It was one page. Angelina Jolie is more writing on her back than that tax plan. The Keystone Pipeline... If you're just cutting taxes, you don't need much...
Starting point is 00:34:34 Right. But, I mean, the Keystone Pipeline, that comes from Canada. It doesn't make us energy independent. It's dependent. Okay. So I said this at the end of the show last week. His folks don't care about facts. It's just about feeling.
Starting point is 00:34:48 So we got a hold of his next ad, which is even more out. Would you like to see it? Because it's just about making people feel good. All right, show his next one. Donald Trump, sworn in his president 107 days ago, America has rarely seen such success. Kids are pulling up their pants. Your dick works again.
Starting point is 00:35:12 The Supreme Court ruled that rap isn't music. The interns at the office love your stories of the old days. People at the grocery store think paying with a personal check is super cool. The mother of all bombs is now available at Target. You can grab pussy and they'll let you do it, even if you're not a celebrity. More people are masturbating to the first lady than any time since 1916. And you may not see the wall, but it's there. It's been in your heart all this time.
Starting point is 00:35:55 I'm Donald Trump, and I approve this message. The National Affairs, editor for New York Magazine, and author of The Loudest Voice in the Room, Gabriel's with us. Gabriel, how you doing? Great to meet you, sir. Thank you very much, all right? Well, listen, you have done something very clever.
Starting point is 00:36:17 You positioned yourself as the absolute expert on Fox News. and now every day we have new, new Fox News. It just doesn't seem to end, so you are very much into men. Roger Ailes gone, Bill O'Reilly gone, now Bill Shine, they headed the network for all those years gone. Fifteen plus women are suing, plus they have a racial discrimination class action suit. Okay, I guess my question is, could this happen anywhere, or is there a correlation between being a conservative and being an asshole?
Starting point is 00:36:49 Well, you know, it's... It's funny, when you see a network where misogyny and racism is sort of fundamental to its programming model, it's not a surprise per se that it's going on behind the camera as well. So there is a correlation. Yes, there is. So what... But the viewers stay with them. Yes.
Starting point is 00:37:07 So what is the ultimate bad thing that could happen to Fox News? Well, I think, you know, over time, this is sort of a dovetails with the Trump question. You know, Trump said famously he could shoot someone on Fifth Avenue, and his supporters wouldn't care. I think there's a core, small base of that. But in the aggregate, over time, when people see that this network is a hotbed of misogyny and racism, you're going to see some erosion in the audience. And that's what the Murdoch family that controls Fox News is worried about, because it's the profit center.
Starting point is 00:37:36 It's what runs their entire global media enterprise. So if this collapses, their whole business goes down the drain. And what do you see next for Bill O'Reilly? I guess he's got a podcast now. I know. It's how the mighty have fallen. Yeah. And, you know, every time this subject comes up, I like to point out that Bill O'Reilly can't get laid.
Starting point is 00:37:56 He just can't get laid. He tries everything, and it just doesn't happen. Do you think this will change him? I mean, you know, he is a fully formed 68-year-old man. I think he's sort of beyond the point where people change. Okay. And what about this, I guess, threat that Fox News has? from the right that I read about in the paper this week,
Starting point is 00:38:23 Sinclair Group, that's a pretty big television. They're not a network, but they're a string of television stations. And they're buying up stations. And they want to be to the right of Fox News that they think Fox is too liberal. What a country. That is a bigger issue, really, is that no matter how much of a frothing lunatic,
Starting point is 00:38:47 there is someone frothier. someone much who is like, yeah, you think you're a caveman? I can be more of a caveman than you out there. Now, what's going to happen with that? So, yes, as you point out, Sinclair is buying up stations. They are trying to position themselves to be the heir to Fox if this meltdown at Fox continues. But I think they're not the only ones. I mean, we saw this during the election.
Starting point is 00:39:12 Breitbart and other right-wing websites really tapped into this alt-right audience that wanted an angrier, if this is even possible, an angrier sort of message than Fox's programming. So I think you're seeing the irony is that Roger Ailes built Fox News to attack and splinter the mainstream media, and now Fox News is being subject to that same fracturing that they themselves did 20 years ago. Hmm, that's interesting.
Starting point is 00:39:38 What do you make of Ivanka and her efforts to sort of humanize her father? We see all this misogyny at Fox News. we see it in Donald Trump himself. A lot of us thought, oh, Ivanka's going to be our saving grace. You know, when he's about to fucking nuke Finland or something, she's going to walk into the bedroom
Starting point is 00:40:02 and, you know, Daddy. Daddy. Don't do it, Daddy. Is that how you see Ivanka? No, I... But do you see her as someone who can save us or you think she is part of the problem? I think, you know, again, I think she's on the margins trying to save us, but Donald Trump, to the degree that she can, but Donald Trump doesn't listen to anybody, including his own family. So she can walk into the Oval Office and say, oh, you know, I saw pictures of dead babies in Syria and maybe this time he listened. But the next time he's going to do something else will bomb a different country. So the wrong one maybe. So we, it's like, it's too hard to say with him that anyone can get through. All right. Let me ask this of you and everybody.
Starting point is 00:41:00 George Will talk this week about the public needing to quarantine was his word about Donald Trump. Because Trump, even, as I said, by his standards, had a crazy week. I mean, it was super crazy. He floated some ideas that are super liberal, because he just muses off the top of his head. He talked about a gas tax. He talked about breaking up the banks, which caused a minor panic on Wall Street for a while. He talked about how the Israeli-Palestinian issue. wasn't probably that hard to solve.
Starting point is 00:41:33 You know, countdown to nobody knew. And there are people who are saying, should we just stop paying attention to the President of the United States? And is that possible? It's not possible.
Starting point is 00:41:49 It's not possible. No, I like quarantining him, and I think what's critically important is to pay attention to what the facts are, and actually we have to pay some attention to what he says, because he is, in fact, the president, and he may make some of that come true. So we have to pay attention to it. I think the difference is whether or not we are being fooled by him, as like when he calls out, something is fake news that's actually fact,
Starting point is 00:42:13 and whether or not the news media is getting sufficient access to get the information it needs and that it should get, since we know that he likes to put dark garbage bags over windows when he's golfing with prime ministers from Japan. No way you can quarantine him. Look, we've seen two things in 107 days that are hugely significant. And there are two things that checks and balances don't necessarily control. One is executive orders. We talked about the imperial presidents here, at least Republicans did over Obama. But they don't have any weight. Executive orders.
Starting point is 00:42:42 Oh, sure they do. No, they don't. They're mostly just, I wish. He thinks they're laws. They're not laws. If you go to DHS, Department of Homeland Security, and say, be more aggressive in interpreting the law to get people out of the country. If you look at the numbers of people who are out of this country,
Starting point is 00:42:57 significant change in the past time. Absolutely. Because they wanted to do it anyway. What I'm saying is where he can take executive action without the judiciary or the Congress, he's going to do it. The second is look at all the action overseas. Overseas is the area where a president can move. You want to move ships to North Korea. You want to engage in a deal with the Russians about safe zones in Syria.
Starting point is 00:43:16 That's the past 48 hours. You want to talk about whether or not we make a commitment that's bigger or lesser to NATO. You want to talk about engagement with the Russians. You want to talk about supporting Marine Le Penh. You can't quarantine the dude. Cats out of the barn or wherever the hell that phrase is. You know, I'd say also, I disagree a bit with Gabe about Ivanka, because to me, the true north of this administration is corruption.
Starting point is 00:43:40 They may go all over the map on policies. He may be for the gas tax one day against it. The thing he's got his eye on is quite consistent about is self-dealing, enriching his family and his associate. And I'd say, where that is concerned, Ivanka Trump is the H.R. H.R. Holderman of this administration. So that's what the press has to focus on.
Starting point is 00:44:02 It may seem like there's nothing to be done or the public just accepts a level of corruption in this administration. That has to be called out every single day because if it becomes normal, it's a real threat. But I think, if I can quote a little from George Will, he kept coming back to this point that it's up to the public. He said the public has to communicate to their elected representatives that they have more to fear from the public
Starting point is 00:44:28 than from crossing Donald Trump. He said it again. The public has to say, we have taken this man's measure and we find it alarming. He said it is up to the public to quarantine the presidency. And what I worry about
Starting point is 00:44:41 is that the public, as usual, is not up to the task. Listen to this. 42% of the people who voted for Obama and then switched to Trump said congressional Democrats economic policies
Starting point is 00:44:56 favor the wealthy. Only two. 21% said the same about Trump. So by 2 to 1, they're dead wrong. Dead wrong. They think that Trump is better on income inequality than the Democrats. It may tell you something about the weakness of the Democrats, too. I mean, how often did we hear?
Starting point is 00:45:16 How often did we hear about it? But they did give you Obamacare. They are for the minimum, hiking the minimum wage. They fought measures. First of all, we're over, we're putting too much. that's way too much emphasis to put on that poll. Because one thing we have to remember that happened in this past election cycle was something that Republicans before Trump generally would not do,
Starting point is 00:45:38 which is pair a message on economic populism, one that was very traditionally not very Republican, and couple it with outward racism and xenophobia, which was a unique message. And actually, if you look at where Trump gained track, for instance, winning a county that Obama had won in 2012 or 2008. Typically, what happened is you had the primary conditions of increasing population of Latinos with a loss of manufacturing jobs, and an electorate that did not have the number of college degrees
Starting point is 00:46:18 that I think all Americans should have. So when you pair all those things, it's actually a very specific set of conditions and factors that produce that kind of statement, not something that represents all Democrats. But poor people don't vote. In 2014, only 25% of the lowest income bracket voted. So three out of four did not vote. So they don't even reward the Democrats
Starting point is 00:46:44 when they do things for them. How do we solve that problem? We stop making it hard for poor people to vote. Because the primary thing that we do... That would help a lot. We have substantially reduced the number of polling sites. We have significantly extended the lines that people have to wait in. We poor people are much less likely to be able to afford the travel costs
Starting point is 00:47:08 to get to the polls or to give up the wages that they have to give up to go vote because we don't have a national holiday. We don't vote on weekends. So everything we do is actually calculated to ensure that poor people can't vote. Yes, sir. I covered Trump's campaign for the magazine, and I traveled the country. And I think when I went to those rallies, the thing the audience was responding to was mood. It wasn't policy.
Starting point is 00:47:34 He could almost say anything, but it's that bluster that he delivered that broke through. I don't think they're paying attention to the fact that he wants to transfer a trillion dollars to the upper... They don't follow the policies. They just like that their guy is in office, and he happens to be a white guy. Well, and they said he wasn't going to benefit the wealthy. he actually said what he was going to do. But this is the ultimate bait and switch that if you look on a policy basis.
Starting point is 00:47:59 They see him as a strong alpha man, which is amazing to me because he's such a whiny little bitch. We have to end it there. It's time for new rules, everybody. New rules. All right, new rule, this couple in Scotland
Starting point is 00:48:20 who took their dog in for gender reassignment surgery has to move to America. Just to see Republicans freak out over which fire hydrant it uses. New Roll, someone has to explain why the only child stars to never go bankrupt and on drugs always look like they're bankrupt and on drugs. New Rule, the South Carolina woman with the black eyeballs who was arrested for inviting a man
Starting point is 00:48:55 to her home so she could rob him at a gunpoint has to answer this question. Will you marry me? All these years I've worried that marriage would get old. Not with his chick. When you walk through the door, she doesn't say, how's your day, hon? She pistol whips you, zip ties your legs, and says,
Starting point is 00:49:15 now make me a meatloaf faggot. New Rule. DJs like daft punk, dead mouse, marshmallow and cassette who wear helmets when they perform have to take them off.
Starting point is 00:49:33 You may not be the best-looking rock stars ever, but if Axel Rose, Iggy Pop, and Marilyn Manson could go on stage without a mask, so can you. New rule,
Starting point is 00:49:48 Angela Merkel and Vladimir Putin need to move on to the next speed date. Clearly, this one is not working out at all. Then again, Putin doesn't want to have a mature relationship with a smart, powerful woman. He wants a bitch.
Starting point is 00:50:06 And finally, new rule, now that the media, the White House and political junkies have made such a big deal about the first hundred days, let's stop doing that. A hundred days? It's such an arbitrary number, like waiting a half hour to swim
Starting point is 00:50:28 after you eat, or waiting for the third date to have sex or not having a drink until 5 o'clock. Who can make that? But in the case of Donald Trump, I will say this about 100 days. It does give us enough evidence to ask those liberals
Starting point is 00:50:46 who couldn't bring themselves to vote for Hillary because she was the lesser of two evils quite a bit lesser. Wouldn't you say now? And no, this isn't about reliving the last election or about my great love for Hillary, which never was. It's about winning the next election.
Starting point is 00:51:12 And that begins with learning the difference between an imperfect friend and a deadly enemy. Jill Stein said of her electoral rivals, Hillary and Trump, to me one is death by gunshot wound and the other is death by strangulation. Well, I'm sure with Trump in charge and a racist Attorney General. There'll be a lot more of both. My dear friend Cornell West said during the campaign, I think Trump will be a neo-fascist catastrophe
Starting point is 00:51:50 and Clinton will be a neoliberal disaster. I don't even know what a neoliberal disaster even means. But whatever it is, isn't it better than a fascist one? Have you people lost your fucking minds? Now, I can't
Starting point is 00:52:11 possibly list all of the lies, fuck-ups, reversals, conflicts of interest and embarrassments Trump has committed in a hundred days. I'd have to stop halfway through to shave. But honestly, under Hillary, would we have Attorney General Foghorn Leghorn?
Starting point is 00:52:30 Or Montgomery Burns in charge of the EPA? Or Rick Perry guarding the nukes? Would she have a cabinet made up almost entirely of rich, straight, white men? You know, Hillary, she knows quite a few black people. Trump knows
Starting point is 00:53:00 two. I'm sorry, three. Oh, and we also might have a Secretary of Education who was smarter than a fifth grader. Before the election, Edward Snowden tweeted, 2016, a choice between Donald Trump and Goldman Sachs. Yeah, so what happened? The anti-Wall Street crowd
Starting point is 00:53:28 that was too pure to vote for Hillary ended up putting Goldman Sachs people as Trump's top political strategist, the head of his economic council and our treasury secretary, the trifecta. The only people he hasn't hired from Goldman Sachs are Goldman and Sacks. If Hillary was president now, would we be turning the clock back on the one issue for which there is no more time, climate change?
Starting point is 00:54:03 Would we be having to wonder if our president's love of dictators foreshadows some kind of coup here? Would anyone have to wonder if she, was Putin's bitch. And instead of trying to kick millions off health care to pay for a tax cut for herself, she'd be trying to raise her own taxes to get more people covered. On so many issues, she wouldn't be complaining. It's complicated.
Starting point is 00:54:29 Who knew? She knew. She loves complicated. She's a reader. Do you really think if just as evil Hillary had been elected, conservatives would name, be in control of the Supreme Court, as they will for decades? Just wait until the five to four decisions, start rolling in, gutting unions, making it harder for
Starting point is 00:55:07 minorities to vote, siding with polluters, overturning abortion rights. Then maybe you'll join me in saying to the liberal purists, go fuck yourselves with a locally grown organic cucumber. And I haven't even mentioned the insulting, the feuding, the feuding, the whining, the whining, the tweeting, the family. Would she want her spouse to be living hundreds of miles away? Okay, that one might be true. And if
Starting point is 00:55:46 none of that has swayed you so far, how about this? If we elected Hillary Clinton, finally, we'd have a president who didn't play fucking golf. All right, that's our show. I'll be at the Mirage. Oh, I love the Mirage in Vegas, May 19 and 20
Starting point is 00:56:02 at the Soaring East Casino and Mount Pleasant, Michigan, June 3rd. I want to thank my guest Philip Maude, George Packer, Maya Wally. Gabriel German. I'm John Kasek, join us out for overtime on YouTube. Thank you, folks. Catch all new episodes of real-time
Starting point is 00:56:21 with Bill Maher every Friday night at 10 or watch them anytime on HBO On Demand. For more information, log on to HBO.com.

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