Real Time with Bill Maher - Ep. #431: Dan Savage, Richard A. Clarke
Episode Date: July 1, 2017Bill’s guests are Dan Savage, Richard A. Clarke, Dan Abrams, Katty Kay, and Michael Steele. (Originally aired 6/30/17) See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information. Learn more about your ad c...hoices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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Welcome to an HBO
podcast from the HBO
Late Night series, Real Time with Bill Maugh.
Start the clock.
Very much, please. I know. I love you too,
but there's so many important things going on
but never mind all that.
Morning Joe is in her Twitter feud
with the real housewife of Pennsylvania Avenue.
So let's get right to that.
Oh yes.
It all, you know, it all started yesterday when President,
what the fuck, poop tweeted another gem.
You got to get him off the shitter.
That's where the Twitter, I think it's the shitter and the Twitter.
I think they're connected.
But, you know, he's been seething over the criticism
that he's been getting for months from Morning Joe and Mika
and, you know, who he now calls low- IQ crazy Mika and Psycho Joe.
So he tweets, you know, if they hate me so much,
and how come they came to Mar-a-Lago
around New Year's Eve
and insisted on joining me
and then the leader of the free world
writes, she was bleeding badly
from a facelift.
That slapping sound
you heard yesterday was the entire
country going,
yes.
Once again, Donald Trump has taught this nation
a valuable lesson. You could never be
too rich to be white trash.
You know,
a little advice, Mr. President.
a good rule to live by.
If you're going to go after a woman's appearance,
first make sure you're not a fat old man
with orange face paint
pretending to be a blonde
at the age of 71.
Who is a blonde at 71?
Micah Brzeinski, you do crazy things
to delay aging,
says the man who glues dryer lint
to his head.
Come on.
Donnie, you're so unattractive.
Melani, you wouldn't even touch
your hand. Remember that?
And about
the Twitter thing, if I could make one suggestion
to Steve Bannon or Jared
whoever's doing the babysitting lately,
get
the president one of these. You know what
these are, the toy cell phones?
This way he can tweet
all night long,
and nobody will
really see it. And
plus it's rated for 18
months and up, which means
there are no small
parts he can choke on.
But to be
fair, to the president, he does
have some traumatic memories from
plastic surgery. One time, he went in
for a weave reduction.
And the surgeon
accidentally implanted three
chins. So that's
traumatic.
And
he also gave him a boob job
in the brain. So that was not fair.
But
that's not where the
story ends. Now we have yet another scandal
which is that White House age are engaged
in what looks like extortion
on behalf of the president
because Joe Scarborough said today
in response that three people
from the top levels of the administration
threatened him
with a bad story in the
National Enquirer
which I pointed out last week
is totally controlled by Trump unless
he apologized to which Trump
tweeted back, Psycho Joe,
me to stop inquirer's story, I said no,
thereby confirming he does control the inquiry.
No wonder he can't focus on health care.
He's editing the inquirer.
Today he took Iran off the acts of evil
and put them on Best and Warched Beach Bodies.
You know, which is all great for comedy,
but, you know, the business of ruining America goes on.
The Republicans all condemn the tweet.
but they still vote with him.
His stupid wall,
they're starting to build that.
His stupid travel ban
went into effect.
As of last night,
people from the Sudan, Syria, Libya, Somalia,
Yemen, and Iran
can forget about that dream vacation
of Dollywood.
And yet, Saudi Arabians, on the other hand,
are free to board any plan
and fly into a building of their choice.
But, yeah,
Donald Trump says he will not have
foreign nationals coming here
and killing innocent Americans.
That's what the health care plan is for.
Oh, yes.
There's that one, too, repealing Obamacare.
I mean, the Democrats are all excited
that this is stalled now in the Senate,
except it's not dead.
It's like the slasher movie.
With a babysitter thinks she's killed the serial killer,
but we can see he's getting up behind her.
These are Republicans,
and now they're talking, I love this,
They're talking about, forget the replace part.
Let's just repeal first.
So people have nothing?
They had a big meeting this week with Trump
and all the Republican senators.
One of the senators came out and said,
I didn't think that Donald Trump had a grasp
on some of the basic elements of health care.
For instance, he thought Medicaid was a sports drink.
Basic grasp.
And if all that doesn't scare you,
this week, going into the 4th of July,
Happy Fourth of July, everybody.
Is it too late to have England take us back?
But, okay.
But next week, he's meeting with Putin.
Oh, it's a big day.
Will he get a rose?
Well, it's supposed to be a very short meeting,
just long enough for Trump to say,
Geppetto, am I a real president?
All right, we've got a great show,
Michael Steele, C., Dan Abrams.
here and a little lady
we were speaking with counterterrorism expert
Richard Clark, but first he writes the
nationally syndicated column Savage
Love, host the Savage Love podcast.
Dan Savage!
My friend, great to see you.
How are you, sir?
I'm good, how are you? It's great to see you. I wanted to talk to you
about so many things, but let's start with the tweet.
I mean, I didn't, when I saw this
yesterday, I just thought, oh,
a disgusting, obnoxious tweet from Donald Trump.
It's Thursday. Sexist bullying asshole reveals himself
to be sexist bullying
ass on it. Right. And then
everybody
went apeshit and I just don't
understand it. Why? Why is
this the camel, the camel?
The straw that broke the camel's back.
I mean, this is the guy who talked about
grabbing pussies uninvited.
This is the guy who's... Before he was
president. Is that what it is? The Megan Kelly
thing happened before he was president when a lot of
us were like, this is not going to happen.
Right? A lot of us believed then
that he wasn't going to be president and it has a different
quality when the president does the exact same thing that he did when he was the candidate.
People keep hoping he's going to pivot to something more presidential. How many times have we heard
people on TV saying, uh, tonight he became president? Well, tonight he became the asshole he's
always been or yesterday. Again. And I also think, you know, all women who are premenopausal
menstruate. And so talking, like what he said about Megan Kelly, blood coming out of her wherever,
uh, wasn't as scalding as sort of the sensitive subject of like outing someone about plastic surgery
because people sometimes have hang-ups about being out about that.
So it seemed even crueler than just referencing the bleeding
that people generally do, women people generally do.
This is a different kind of bloody and a different kind of attack.
Let's move on to another subject.
Erie explored and you've answered my question.
I do write about sex, so I'm more comfortable.
Last week I was talking about how the Democratic Party
can kind of get back in the game
because they've lost all four special elections.
Okay.
And Bernie Sanders said recently,
the current model and strategy
of the Democratic Party
is an absolute failure,
which probably is why he doesn't join it.
You think that's true?
And what do you think about
what the Democrats should do?
Well, the Republicans lost all four special elections
in 2009,
and then they won in 2010.
So in 2009, there were special elections
after Obama appointed Democrats from safe seats
to his administration.
administration, and the Republicans didn't win any of those seats, didn't pick any of them up,
and then the Democrats got their asses handed to them in the first midterm. So the fact that the
Democrats haven't won any yet doesn't mean that we still can't hand them their asses in the
midterm. And... But to your...
To your point, like, what... Is that a good attitude to have?
No, no, we've got to keep fighting, and we're going to win, but we can't, we can't, like,
point to these losses as evidence we can never win, because that just becomes a self-fulfilling
prophecy, and then we will never win.
But what Bernie said, and you've said this a lot,
the Democrats have to start fighting like Republicans,
which may include cheating like Republicans.
Republicans win when Republicans cheat.
Democrats...
Hillary Clinton won the popular vote.
So did Al Gore.
So did Al Gore. But that was, I think, a theft.
But Democrats, Democratic candidates took a million more votes in House races.
But for gerrymandering, Democrats would have a majority in the House.
The system is rigged, like Bernie Sanders said, but it's rigged against Democrats.
Well, partly it's rigged because Democrats didn't vote.
enough. And so the state
legislatures are controlled by Republicans.
And that's who draws up the districts.
Right. And Democrats need to get better
at turning out their voters and
inspiring their voters to turn out by actually having some positions
even for the little ones. Yes, absolutely.
Not just the top of the ticket. And also
stand together,
you know, support each other.
I was talking about how John Austoff really didn't
support Nancy Pelosi when they were
going after her and he said, why, I haven't
given it any thought. I mean, that's not
Republicans would do. No, Republicans are a gang.
Are a... right. Like a prison gang.
Like a prison gang. And that's where our politics are. Yeah.
Right. Republicans have brass knuckles on and Democrats don't. Democrats need to pick up the
brass knuckles and play the game that's actually being played. So many Democrats think
that they're in Washington to set a good example for the GOP. And we need to start fighting like
the GOP fights and even fighting as dirty as the GOP fights.
Okay. I'm glad you feel that right. Um, there's also the... the part of the
of it that so many people in this country, in so many states, would never consider voting for a Democrat.
It's not just that they're not the preferred party. They're unthinkable. Vladimir Putin
to them is preferable to a Democrat. Why do you think that is? And how can we reverse that?
How can we make people in North Dakota go, okay, I'll at least look at the Democrat?
I don't know. But I will say that I think that might be the wrong question.
Because when you look at the map, there's no such thing as a blue state.
There are red states with big blue cities in them.
Oh, I know.
I go to the mall.
Right.
That flip the state.
You know, Washington state where I live is a red state but for Seattle.
And what Democrats have to do is they have to unapologetically be the party of urban America
the way that Republicans are unapologetically, the party of depopulated America,
the party of rural America, the party of the exurbs and suburbs.
Democrats have to be the urban party.
Republicans for 30, 40 years, San Francisco, Van, Van,
and demonizing urbanites, people of color, and the elites that live in the cities.
And Democrats have to turn out more of those voters in the cities, and more of those voters will turn
out in the cities if Democrats embrace them.
If Democrats say we are the party of the places where people are...
That sounds like you're saying we should write off the very people who won the last election
for Donald Trump.
If more people turned out in the cities to vote and all of the cities to vote, Donald Trump would
not have won the election.
Democrats have to do a better job of turning those people out and stop chasing voters.
going to get. Sending John Kerry out with a gun
to shoot something right before the election, didn't
win him any votes
in knuckle drag America.
Okay, let me ask you about this one.
According to the right-wing
spin machine, the greatest threat to
America now is that
liberals are violent.
Can you show a little bit of the sad? This played in the
Georgia election. Not by
this, I must say, this was not bought by the
Republican Party down there, but a sympathetic
arm of the Republican Party, and
this shows where they're at.
Now the unhinged left is endorsing and applauding shooting Republicans.
When will it stop?
It won't if John Ossoff wins on Tuesday,
because the same unhinged leftist cheering last week's shooting
are all backing John Ossoff.
And if he wins, they win.
Stop them.
Stop them now.
Stop John Ossoff.
Stop Nancy Pelosi.
Vote Karen Handel for Congress.
Well, they stopped us.
Awesome lost.
I guess it's over.
Right.
Well, see, that's what they do.
But this idea, this is not just this one, Ed.
I can read, I have so many quotes here.
I'm not going to read them all.
Sean Hannity, Jim Piro, all the people on the right.
The NRA ad.
The NRA head.
Who are saying things like liberal hatred
towards President Trump and Republicans
have reached a fever pitch, and now it is becoming violent.
Wait, I thought we were snowflakes.
We were the...
And now, any minute, Kathy Griffin might be coming in
with a head severed off.
We are trying to put this over.
that we are the violent ones.
Right. We used to be the latte-sipping,
Volvo driving New York's Times,
reading, sushi eating, liberal elite
faggots in the cities, and now we're this danger.
But the reason they're doing this,
the reason they're cranking this up,
gun sales plummeted after Trump won the election
because the scary black president wasn't coming for your guns
anymore, not that he ever did,
and the shrill lady wasn't going to come for your guns,
and gun sales went off the cliff
after Trump won the election.
This crazy NRA ad, all of this rhetoric,
what they're saying is,
hey, don't stop buying guns.
Go buy some fucking guns.
Because Kathy Griffin is going to come
and kill you now instead of Barack Obama.
It's a transparent effort to scare
people who are easily scared and to drive them
into gun shops to buy more weapons.
But it also shows that when they want to get on a page,
that's what the Democrats don't do.
They meet in their underground layer.
They do.
They're volcano.
That's all about.
And they say, okay, tomorrow.
we are all going to say that the left
is unhinged and violent, even though it's
crazy. And so many of us goes, wait, the left is not
violent. Yeah, but we're going to say that. We're all going to
say that. And then it's a feeling I'm true
to at least half the country. Democrats
need to do that. Don't you think? They need to have
an underground lair where they come up with it. And
they all say it. They never do that. They don't all
say the same thing. Just one big gay bar where we all
meet once a year to make these plans.
Because I want to feel comfortable with. No, no.
Like, Democrats are terrible at messaging.
The example I always think of is a couple of years
A Republican strategist said, stop calling them entitlements.
Entitlements are bad. People are entitled.
Call them earned benefits.
You paid into Social Security. You paid into Medicare.
You earned it.
And Democrats couldn't make that switch.
Global warming.
Global warming.
Sounds kind of nice.
I used to say, call it climatia.
You know, the Democrats, actually, you know, the gay bar thing.
They should look to what the gays did.
We talked about gay marriage, and people were like, ooh, yuck.
Because gay says sex.
Gay says sex.
So we all switched and we started saying marriage equality.
And even people who are uncomfortable with the gays doing the gay butt thing
could get behind equality.
And it really helped us achieve marriage equality.
And Democrats should look to the success of one of the biggest social movements in this country
in the last 30 years and what we achieved, in part by effective messaging with everybody on the same page.
For fuck's sake, stop calling them entitlements.
Make that switch, if nothing else.
Republicans, you know, death panels, death taxes.
they always partial birth
abortion they repeat this stuff until we on the
left can't even think of these issues without going to their
rhetoric. Democrats have the power to do
the same thing if they will all unite
and have one message like you said.
Let's meet our pet. How are you, pal?
All right.
Hey everybody.
All right, he is the Chief Legal Affairs
analysts for ABC News and founder of
Mediide.com. Dan Abrams over here.
Dan, how you doing?
She's the anchor for BBC World News America.
Caddy Kay, our friend.
And one of our favorites,
a political analyst for MSNBC
and co-host of Sirius XM Radio,
Steele and Unger.
Big Mike, Michael Steele's over here.
Okay.
So, I don't know what to say.
We're six months into the Trump era,
and we are still topic number one,
whether we want it or not,
seems to be his aberrant state of mind.
Joe Scarborough said today,
The guy that's in the White House is not the guy we knew two years ago.
What the fuck is he talking about?
Two years ago was when the campaign started.
It started with Mexicans or rapists.
I think this is the same guy.
It is the same guy.
And that's, in fact, Republicans need to get off that screed right now about, you know,
hope that it's going to be changed.
Stop being shocked when he says something crazy.
The reality of it is you bought and paid for this.
Now, you own it.
Now you have to manage and control it.
And that's the problem.
And so the reality for the party right now is you've adopted the behavior, the language, the meme, the message,
and now the administration of someone who, A, is not a Republican, B, is not a conservative,
and for the sake of the win.
And listening to Dan and others talk about what Democrats have to do,
if we want to get to a space where we're effectively dealing with this,
I don't know if the answer is necessarily raising the bar of ugly,
as opposed to taking down that bar and saying American values are not in the tweets.
American value is not reflected in the kind of policies that have, you know, demonstrably hurt the poor,
but rather American values are taking care of the least of these
and providing for the economic future and security of the country.
If you can't do that, then you're going to be prepared to take a hit in 18,
and in 20.
I hope.
There's just no argument to be made
that any of these tweets
are helping him in any way,
shape, or form. I mean, you listen to
Sarah Huckabee say, yeah, this is what they elected, right?
We elected a fighter. We elected someone
who's going to punch back. But the reality
is, when you actually
think about the impact, it's
not helping in the way it did
help in the campaign to say,
I'm going to fight, I'm going to take him on.
It's crossed the line.
And I think almost everyone seems to agree on that.
You asked Dan what the difference is between now and then.
And of course we knew in the Access Hollywood tapes showed us.
The difference is that he has punched back with a viciousness and a cruelty this time around.
And he's done it with the full Oval Office behind him in the presidential tweet stream.
He has understood what, sadly, the research shows us time and time again.
If you get people to focus on the way that a woman looks, they will not think about her abilities as much.
and he can do that and he does it
sometimes with a kind of benevolent form of
sexism when he gets the Irish reporter over
and tells that she has a nice smile.
But when a woman threatens her,
he does it with a vicious form of
hostile sexism, and he did it
to Elizabeth Warren. He did it to Megan Kelly.
He did it to Carly Fiorina
and now he had done it to meet her
Brinsensky. And it's when he is threatened.
He said he's attracted to his own daughter.
He did.
He did. He said about a ten
year old girl, I'll be dating her in 10 years.
I just, yeah, I just,
you know, come on.
The outrage about the tweet about
Mika Brzezinski to me is nothing
compared to the allegation of the
blackmail, right? The idea
that the president of the United States...
The blackmail. Yes. The idea that
the president of the United States
is having his senior
advisors talk
to cable news hosts about
getting an article in the
inquirer killed if you call
and apologize to the president
about the way you've been covering him.
I mean, one thing is just awful, right?
Talking about Mika Brzeinski
and sort of what she looks like,
and that's just gross and awful and terrible.
And sexist.
And a lie.
Can we, by the way, and a...
It's so big...
It's all horrible.
It's so baked in the cave
that he's a liar,
that that sort of goes out the window.
But when you think about it
from a macro perspective,
the idea that the president
of the United States
maybe sending out his minions
to threaten people about national inquirer articles
is astonishing.
I mean, it's truly astonishing.
Well, the headline in USA today
was angst in America growing worse.
42% of people are alarmed
and 33% are uneasy.
That's three quarters of the country
who is either...
I guess this is good for the people
who sells annex.
But, you know, and also, let me read one other headline that says a lot about America today.
NASA has firmly denied that they have a child slave colony on Mars.
I'm not making this up.
NASA had to deny they have a child slave colony on Mars
because Alex Jones had a guest who said that was true,
and Alex Jones, of course,
went, well, maybe there's something to that.
But you had me worried, because I thought it was Venus.
I'm sorry.
You had me worried, so I'm glad to know it was just Mars.
But, you know, the president listens to Alex Jones.
That's why this is more than just a laugh-off.
Okay, this is also more than just a laugh-off,
because there was a time where the world was thinking
that Donald Trump was a joke.
Now, they're sad.
And I have to say, I, you know,
talk to diplomats and Europeans constantly,
and there is a sense of dismay about the lack of American leadership
and a real concern about has switched from the nature of the national security team.
They now think they've got McMaster, they've got Mattis, they've got Tillerson, that looks solid.
What they're concerned about now is the character of the President of the United States.
And if you don't think that America's allies and its adversaries
are watching what's happened here of the last 24 days, 24 hours,
and the fact that we are talking about facelifts and women bleeding,
and I'm happy to talk about women bleeding all night long.
I have no problem.
If you don't think the world is watching that.
I can't get any guest to stop talking about.
What I have lost control completely.
They're watching.
Can I just, I'll tell on that.
And that I think was reflected certainly in how people looked at...
European allies, especially have looked at the last few weeks
in the concerns that have risen there.
But when you talk about people being concerned here at home,
I don't know how deep that really really,
runs because there is
a well, there's a reservoir somewhere
that Trump is tapping into.
It's Trump voters. Right, that
sustains it. And that is, that's a
number that ranges in a strong
38 to 42% on any
given day. And that vulgarity is not a
shame with them. It's a bond.
Right. Well, they love that about him.
It's the pushback. He doesn't make them feel stupid.
He makes them feel smart, like Joey
on Friends.
You know, he, no, really.
I think that's a lot of it. You know, he, you know, he
He confuses aircraft carriers.
He confuses historical figures.
He's just an idiot.
But for a lot of those voters...
But for...
Go on Michael.
You can do it.
There are a lot of those voters, though.
For a lot of those voters.
And, you know, I've had
the good fortune to spend a lot of time
talking to them. It's hysterical to talk to
my friends and others who say,
well, my parents, I can't believe they're supporting
Donald Trump, you know, that kind of deal.
But for the first time,
Those voters felt that they had someone who is actually going to go out and do something for them.
Take away their health care.
Wait a minute.
But, Bill, that's the rest of the story.
That part has not happened yet, all right?
So the narrative leading up to that, the narrative leading up to that,
which is why Trump has been so effective at the distraction play.
Rachel Maddo, my colleague at MS, said something tonight.
Very, very important.
I thought.
She said, his tactic is distraction by disruption.
And I think that that is exactly what it is.
And so that disruption, he doesn't mind the bad headlines.
You know that.
He doesn't mind the bad.
He loves it when you come up here and you lay into him for 15 minutes.
Because that works to further the narrative that, see, they're all out there against us.
You guys, come on in a little bit closer.
I'm going to put my arms around you and take care of you.
But here's the proof and the pudding.
This time next year, when Republicans has got to run out there and talk to moms and dads about why their kid doesn't have health care.
when Republicans have to go out there
and start talking about why the jobs aren't there?
Or their mom in the nursing home.
Or their mom in the nursing home?
It's lost to Medicare or Medicaid?
West Virginia.
Trump's biggest state.
Also the biggest state that uses Medicaid.
I just want to know
what is the moment
where those Trump voters go.
Well, they're telling me I'm gaining my freedom
by repealing Obamacare.
It doesn't feel like freedom.
Yeah, and one thing we learned from the election
campaign is that actually a lot of Trump voters
don't adhere to conventional
conservative economic ideology.
There was a guy who went out on the
campaign trail and said, I'm going to
save the social welfare net, and they
voted for him. I am, at one point
he said, I'm going to raise taxes on the rich.
They liked what they heard from him.
So if they then feel that they are being
asked because conservative Republicans
in the House of Representatives want to
stick to strict ideology
and repeal Obamacare and not
replace it and give a big tax cut to the wealthy,
I don't think Trump voters are going to like that.
That's not necessarily what they are.
I think the answer to your question, though,
is that health care is really complicated.
I mean, it is.
I mean, this bill is really...
No, it's really...
No one knew that, Dan.
I don't know what you're talking about.
You know, when you actually have to, like, sit there
and dig into the details of the balancing act
that you're always doing...
You and President Trump both, right?
You and President Trump both.
No, but the reality is when you ask the question of,
When are people going to realize?
The answer is when someone feels it.
When they feel it and it impacts them.
But right now, we're talking theoretical, right?
They're going to give him a lot of leash
because the power of cultural identity is very strong.
For the moment, they still very much feel he's their guy.
Okay, let me take a pause here because we are going to take July off.
Not the whole summer, just July. We'll be back.
Thank you very much.
We'll be back.
I'm sure Trump won't do anything crazy.
Folks, I need it, really.
Six months of Donald Trump, I need to recharge my batteries.
In my vaporizer.
Whenever we take more than a week off,
what we do is future headlines,
because people watch us for the news.
And when we're off, we're going to tell you what's going to happen in case...
So these are our future headlines.
We even have a graphic.
Oh, look at that.
Spend pennies on that.
Okay.
And these are very predictable headlines.
And these are, like, for example,
study finds nine out of ten service dogs are bullshit.
This is, you can tell this is going to happen, this headline.
Coal miners go back to work.
Remember how awful it is, walk off job.
There you go.
That's, that's...
Pat Robertson claims new Ken dolls are gay.
That's just inevitable that.
A study says weed smokers don't read studies.
Yes, that's...
That's...
Taylor Swift, rumored to be dating New Ken doll.
Oh, well...
College students demand even safer space
inside designated safe space.
In last-minute maneuver,
McConnell sneaks free chin implants into health care of drugs.
You know, that's inevitable.
BMW promises self-driving cars
will still tailgate cut you off and act like asshole
that's pretty
Taylor Swift releases new song
I'm breaking up with you you stupid doll
denied access to sedatives
Bill Cosby attempts to bore a woman into a coma
and Prince Charles pushes Queen downstairs
fuck it I'm tired of waiting
all right he is the former U.S.
National Coordinator for Security, Infrastructure, Protection, and Counterterrorism.
His latest book is Warnings, Finding Cassandra's to Stop Catastrophies.
Richard Clark is back with us.
Here's Richard Clark.
How are you, my old friend?
Great to see you.
Okay, so you are the man who is famous for the phrase,
my hair was on fire.
Yeah, well, it was.
See, it's all gone.
It's gone, exactly.
When you were going around right before 9-11,
saying bin Laden's going to attack
as you were right on that.
But there was something else
your hair was on fire about,
which was cyberspace.
And the attacks that could come from there.
You have been proved to be prescient once again.
So I'm going to start with the question
that's most on my mind,
which is the election of 2018,
the election of 2020,
are you confident that they will be...
They'll be back.
The Russians will be back.
I'm saying, are you confident
those elections will be on the up and up?
Because the only not even sure
about that Georgia election.
election we just had because he was ahead in the polls. Once again, they're heading the polls and then I guess something happened.
Look, after what happened in the last election, the U.S. government should have instituted a very comprehensive program to make sure the Russians could never get involved in our democracy again.
And we've done nothing, nothing at all. And as, you know, as Jim Comey said, they will be back. They'll be back in 18.
It's harder at the congressional level, but they'll do it. And they'll certainly be back trying to re-elect.
But it seems like each time we hear about the Russia's story, it gets a little worse.
At first it was just, well, they were just hacking Hillary Clinton's emails.
No, no.
And then it was, you know, well, they were trying to get into the voting machines.
And then it was, well, they did get into the voting machine.
The thing that they did, that matters the most, gets the least attention, which is they
had thousands, tens of thousands of fake Facebook and Twitter accounts.
And they were micro-targeting individual voters in individual swing districts.
Wow.
Shaping their opinion, psychological warfare on a grand scale.
They conducted the largest psychological warfare campaign in history, and they won.
And somehow, the president's going to meet with Putin next week.
Yeah, that should be.
His advisors will not even say that he's going to bring this up.
No, he won't.
Yeah, he doesn't.
Because he was the beneficiary.
Yeah, of course.
That's why he's not investigating it.
Right.
That's why he's not doing all the things we need to do to make sure it can't happen again.
That's crazy. That's crazy that, like, so many of his voters think, you know what, when you're dealing with crooked Hillary in the deep state, what's the big problem with having Putin help you out?
That's a fundamental change, isn't it, and how Americans think?
It is, and this is the 21st century equivalent of having the Russians land marines on the New Jersey shore.
Right.
You know, they invaded our country, they invaded our political system, and they won.
and he doesn't care
because he won.
So there was a ransomware attack
this week.
A pretend ransomware attack.
What is it pretend?
So it pretended to be ransomware,
send us $300 in Bitcoin
and we give you your computer back.
Actually, what it was doing
was erasing all the files permanently
on all of those computers.
So they weren't looking for money?
No, no, no.
Why did they do it?
Now, they did it to things like...
It was Russia.
They were attacking...
It was definitely Russia.
was Russia. They were attacking Ukraine, and it slipped and got out of Ukraine. He was supposed to
just attack Ukraine and wipe out all the files. Now, look, we've done this, too. We attacked the
Iranian nuclear facility. It was supposed to just be the Iranian nuclear facility, and our little
worm got out and slipped and ran around the world, too. Sucks in that. Yeah, well, you know, the problem
with these little worms is, you know, once you create them, they have a mind of their own.
Same. True of my worm.
Better than the bleeding discussion.
But, okay, but here's my question of a real expert.
Like, in terrorist plots, what we know is that the ones that succeed are the ones we hear about.
But there are many other ones that were stopped.
All the time.
Is that true of these kind of hacking attacks?
Are we just hearing about the ones that succeed and many others are stopped?
No.
Or do they all succeed?
No, we're just hearing about a tenth of those who succeed.
Most of the ones that succeed,
the companies that are attacked don't even know it's happened.
So what you're saying is they all succeed?
They don't all succeed, but...
They have a high rate of success.
They have a very high rate of success.
And we don't know how to stop.
And we don't know how to stop,
but then the people who do it never get punished.
Fuck.
Because they're all in Russia.
Well, when my friends knew that you were coming on,
my married friends, they wanted to ask this question,
especially the men,
Is my internet history safe?
No.
Not at all.
Because with all this talk of blackmail going around.
Google knows it all.
Google knows at all.
So you better be friends with Google.
Well, okay.
So Cassandra, that's your book.
For those who are forgetful of their Greek mythology, who was Cassandra?
So Cassandra was a woman who was blessed by the gods to see the future accurately.
As you have.
And cursed by the gods that no one would ever pay attention to.
Right, because people really don't pay attention to...
No, they don't, especially if what you're predicting has never happened before.
So what should we be thinking about now, O Great Doomsayer?
In the book, we looked at seven people who were right in the past.
Okay.
And seven people who are saying shit now, right?
And the one that's the most scary is sea level rise.
Sea level, yeah.
So the Cassandra's are outliers. They're experts, but all the other experts disagree.
So why should you pay attention to them?
That's the question, right?
Well, if you look at their data, if you take them seriously enough to hear them out and test their data, they usually are right.
And now we've got this guy, Jim Hansen, who is the first one to say climate change is happening.
NASA.
Right.
Great guy.
Jim Hansen is now saying the UN model that says a meter of sea level rise by 2100 is off.
It'll actually be six to nine meters, he says, by 2100.
Now, if he's even off by a factor of 50%.
Say goodbye to Florida.
Oh, yeah.
And Bangladesh and a lot of other things, you know, like Florida.
But they all have summer homes in Bangladesh.
All right, so here's what I'm worried about.
This is the Cassandra effect I'm concerned about,
is that Donald Trump is actually not losing.
You know, when you talk to people who are like you,
we're at art studio and the people I hang out with,
He's a clown and he's a loser in the tweets and all that stuff.
He had a fundraiser this week for 2020.
He's now fucking around.
He's running again already.
And, you know, I made a little list of his assets.
Incumbency.
He's got the power of the government behind him now.
He didn't have that before when he was just a clown.
The Republican Party is still with him, including those state legislatures,
gerrymandering.
He has basically Pravda,
in Fox News, in Breitbart, in Drudge.
You know, he went back on his pledge about the Dreamers last week.
None of those outlets even mentioned it
because they're not in the news business.
They're in the Donald Trump promotion business.
Andy has the KGB.
Andy has Russia hacking with him.
And the Supreme Court, maybe the best news this week
was Anthony Kennedy isn't retiring,
but, you know, he's 80.
Ruth Bader Ginsburg is 84.
he could get two more picks, then he has the court.
Democrats are lame.
The media is lame.
And he hasn't even played his war card yet.
You know, he could start a war and get a lot of support there.
So, you know, I'm worried about a permanent Republican majority.
That's what I'm worried about for the future.
I don't know.
When you say a permanent Republican majority,
you think about the fact that in terms of popular vote, Hillary Clinton got more votes
than Donald Trump in this election.
And lost.
Well, yeah, but still, in terms of, you know,
that was a sort of unique situation based on three states.
Yeah.
Happened twice in 16 years.
I'm talking about the trifecta he pulled off.
I mean state by state in terms of the narrow nature of each of those wins in those key states,
just as an electoral victory.
But I guess I'm not buying the idea that suddenly that Donald Trump is in a great position right now
to get reelected, to get.
things done. Look at healthcare, right? The bottom line is, I think someone in his position
who had the support of his party, who had the support of the people, they'd be able to get a
health care plan done, for sure. I think part of the reason that they're having so much trouble
getting this health care plan done and bringing the two sides together within the Republican Party
is Donald Trump, is the fact that there's not a... I agree with Bill. I think, you know,
if you look at the things that he has done that satisfy conservatives,
the fact that they still believe he's their guy,
and then add to that the fact that the Democrats don't have any sign
of a competent, effective leader who can marry the cultural left
and the economic left going into 2020,
I think Donald Trump stands a pretty good chance of being reelected at the moment.
Well, we're going to be...
You're talking about just sort of more big picture, right?
This idea that there's going to be no way around a general Republican majority.
2020, we have no idea who's going to be wrong.
Yeah, but then he gets in two more Supreme Court justices.
You've changed a meritor to the hard right
for the next 25 years anyway.
And I think Democrats are complacent.
They think, you know, Russia's going to save us.
Bob Mueller's going to come in with a report.
You really think Democrats think that?
That Robert Mueller's going to be the savior?
Yeah, they do.
They do. They do. Absolutely.
Because I think there's a chance
Robert Mueller's getting fired by it.
But also, I would like to tell you this,
that the talking
points on Fox News changed this weekend from collusion.
We don't know if there's collusion to collusion.
What's the crime?
Britt Hume said, well, sure, it's inappropriate, but colluding with Russia, it's not a crime.
It is a crime.
So did Greg Jarrett say, you can collude all you want with a foreign government in an election.
There's no such statue.
Geraldo Rivera said, what's the crime?
Sean Hannity.
You see, this is what they do.
Like I said, they get on the same page.
They get in their underground land.
And they said, this is the new talking point.
Even if he did collude, it's not a crime.
So since I haven't been kicked out of that on the ground layer,
I can tell you that the...
And having a hand in bringing that majority to power in 2010,
we are a light year plus away from that time
and the kind of energy and the kind of messaging that the party was about,
which for me has been the biggest disappointment.
as someone who calls himself a Lincoln conservative
who looks at the lens of politics
through the eyes of people.
We want to see and respond directly to people.
That's how the party was formed.
We now care less about that
and more about the win.
We care less about how people are doing their walk every day.
But you're a Republican.
Yeah.
Okay, so say Donald Trump is not president,
but they're still trying to repeal and replace Obamacare
because there's a fundamental difference.
Democrats think it's a right.
and Republicans think it's a product.
What do you think?
No, well, they don't think it's...
Is it a right or a product?
I don't think it's a product, but I don't think it's a right either.
See, when you say something is a right to me,
I'm then going to look to the Constitution.
I'm going to look to the founding principles
that have been outlined historically by the...
Not a right?
No, I don't see it that way.
But the CBO said this week...
But, Bill, just because I don't say it's a right,
does it mean it's not right to get it right,
to do something that takes care of the people who right now
do not have full access to health care.
That's, for me, the strength of the argument.
It's not, I mean, would you feel better if it's a constitutional right?
Let me tell you what's going to happen.
You'll still be in the muck and mire of the bullshit
that you see going on in Washington right now.
That will change nothing just because you make it a right.
I mean, we have the right.
Look, we have a Voting Rights Act.
This crew hasn't even renewed it.
So what does that mean?
But the CBO score said that if this passed,
there would be over 200,000 unnecessary deaths.
So I get what the Republican position,
maybe not yours, but the classic Republican position is,
which is it's not a right, it is a product,
it's your responsibility as a human being,
as an individual to get your own products.
But that's the price they're willing to pay.
Over 200,000 deaths.
That's pretty high price.
Yeah, for a tax break.
For a tax break.
For a tax break for the rich.
Yes.
You know, Michael, the Republican Party is now in a situation
where they're saying, take things away from the poor people
to give to the rich people.
They're saying it...
And that's not the place they should be.
They're saying it blatantly.
When has it ever not been thus with the Republican Party?
It's always been that way.
But now it's absolutely naked and exposed.
It wasn't when they proposed Obama care in 1934.
Right.
Well, see, that's it.
I think they're so blind...
I mean, that wasn't the place where they propose
what we now call Obama Care, the Heritage Foundation.
That's the problem with their health care plan.
They're so blinded by their hate.
By Obama.
and the left, that they forgot that they already have a conservative health care plan.
They already have one that left in the profit motive.
That's the conservative plan.
Yeah.
You're right.
And by the way, the stocks of health care companies surged last week.
That's what's wrong with our system.
Betting on people dying and being sick is good for business.
And you talked about the Congressional Budget Office report,
and, you know, that sort of used to be viewed as the...
sort of the gold standard.
And yet I heard Newt Gingrich the other day on TV
saying, well, it's a left-wing organization.
And I'm thinking, now the CBO can't even be trusted, right?
With the director who was put in place by a Republican.
Right. There's nothing we can trust anymore.
With regard to objective truth.
You can trust me.
All right.
Time for new rules, everybody.
New rules.
Someone has to explain to the elderly Chinese woman
who delayed a flight for five hours
because she tossed coins into the engine for good luck.
That's not how it works.
The airline nickel and dimes you.
No rule, now that a new study finds that men who play too many video games are bad in bed,
we have to ask the next logical question,
just how good in bed are scientists who do studies about guys who play video games.
And by the way, you know your man is way too into gaming
when you're just about to reach orgasm and you hear,
Finish her!
New Rule, someone must tell me why a dollar's worth of water costs $5 at the airport.
We're just drinking the water.
We're not asking Sully to land on it.
New Rule, since it seems like the two most shared images on Snapchat are dickpicks and those funny face filters,
someone must invent an app that puts a funny face on your dick.
Look, there's nothing more jarring than an unrequested dick pick,
but if you have to get one, wouldn't it be better with bunny ears and glasses?
New Rule, Sarah Huckabee Sanders
has to try to look a little less
like the roommate who comes to the door
and says, she doesn't want to see you.
And finally, new rule,
someone has to tell me how summer
the time of year when we traditionally
give our brain's arrest
can retain its specialness
if stupid season now runs all year round.
How can you feel good about earning a
vacation for your mind if we've retired from the job of thinking altogether.
You know, it used to be that you worked hard and behaved responsibly for most of the year.
And then when June came, school's out, brains out, no reading except for trashy novels on the beach,
no studying, no thinking, no dress code, the movies were all stupid. It was great.
Because you'd earned it. Even if you got a summer job, it was a summer job. It was a
a weird gig you did for a few months,
or as it's now called,
a job.
No, we have now ruined summer
because America insists
on being peak stupid
at all times.
Our president is
Donald Trump. He's on vacation all
the time. Everything he does is trivial.
How is my guilty pleasure time
of year supposed to outdo that?
How can you
enjoy casual Fridays
when everyone already dresses like
shit all the time.
Flip-flops used to be a summer
thing. Now they're a year-round
disgusting thing.
It's not special to wear a swimsuit
all day when your everyday pants
have an elastic waistband.
I saw a guy at a funeral
in February
wearing cargo shorts and a
who-farted t-shirt.
May he rest in peace.
I mean, time was that
even
casual conversations
in the summer adhered to an
unwritten code. Keep it stupid.
It's summer. We earn this.
Don't be an asshole and start
talking about serious stuff.
Keep it to, is it hot enough for you?
When do you think the ice cream
truck is coming back?
And what's the best way
to get sand out of your ass?
And speaking of sand in your
ass, who can forget
summer romances?
All of us, that's who, because that was the point of a summer romance.
What happens in August stays in August.
It was sudden, exciting, and brief, but now with apps like Tinder for straight people and grinder for Republicans.
I'm sorry.
And the songs that you made love to in the summer, summer songs, they're just different.
You can do the moody stuff in the winter.
winter, but summer, you had to keep it light.
Do, do, do, da, da, da.
Stuff like that.
The deepest a summer lyric ever got was,
I like big butts and I cannot lie.
But now, all year-round
half the songs have no lyrics.
It's just noises people make
during sex
and odes to the booty.
And the situation with movies
is even worse. You know, we used to keep
the sequels and the superhero
bullshit confined to the
summer. That was the deal.
No, really. And then when September came,
the serious movies came out.
Films. And we accepted that.
We'd had our fun with robots and car crashes, and then in the fall,
we knew it was time to go see the one where Merrill Streep
teaches gay Holocaust survivors how to box.
But now, all year long is robots and talking raccoons.
Because I'm telling you, we are at maximum stupid.
We don't read.
It's one thing to take the summer off from heavy stuff
and just bring to the beach utter nonsense,
like romance, novels, and whodunits, and Scientology.
But at least it was a book of some kind.
Now, educated people spend their spare time on the phone
matching pretty colors in order to break imaginary candy.
You know, before the Internet,
the only escape from work
was a summer vacation.
But now escaping from work,
it's as easy as closing the office door
and typing the words,
Pornhub.com.
So I don't know how this happened
or when exactly this stupidifying
of the whole year.
Maybe it was the advent of Fox News.
Maybe it was when we made stars
out of the Kardashians.
Maybe it was the day John McCain
decided to let an illicit.
advised summer fling with a ditsy moron last all the way into November.
Whatever it was, we have got to get summer back. We've got to be able to enjoy stupidity again.
Hard-earned, respectable stupidity. That's what my goal is in the age of Trump.
Thank you very much, folks. That's our show. We're off next month and back on August 4th.
I'll be at the Mirage, July 14th and 15th in Las Vegas. I want to thank Dan Abrams.
Kenny K, Michael Seale, Richard Clark, Dan Savage,
join us off for overtime on YouTube.
Thank you.
Catch all new episodes of Real Time with Bill Maher
every Friday night at 10,
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