Real Time with Bill Maher - Ep. #461: Clint Watts, Dambisa Moyo

Episode Date: May 19, 2018

Bill’s guests are Clint Watts, Dambisa Moyo, Evan McMullin, Dan Savage, and Bari Weiss (Originally aired 05/18/18) See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information. Learn more about your ad choic...es. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 Welcome to an HBO podcast from the HBO late-night series, Real Time with Bill Ma. No idea what you're so happy about the world is completely falling apart. Thank you. There's a shooting in Texas, a volcano in Hawaii, an outbreak of Ebola in the Congo. But don't worry, Trump is monitoring it all by tweet. Oh, wait, wait, I'm just getting, this just in. Yeah, I'm getting his Twitter rulings. Ebola, incredible.
Starting point is 00:01:11 Volcano tremendous. shooting whatever the NRA wants. I mean, is it any wonder people aren't having kids anymore? Did you see this this week? The fertility rate is at a record low for the second straight year. The infant shortage is so bad now,
Starting point is 00:01:33 airlines have to play tapes in baby crying. And, speaking of babies, Trump administration, you know, while they're doing the other shitty stuff that's getting all the headlines, fucking you a million different ways, announced they're now cutting off federal funding for clinics that provide abortions
Starting point is 00:01:55 or even refer patients to places that do abortions. That's right. No money for abortions. That money has to come from Michael Cohen. I think Trump may have skipped health class. Did you see Bill Gates? Bill Gates fit with Trump recently and he said Trump asked him
Starting point is 00:02:19 several times if HIV was the same as HPV. That's who our president. it is. A man who has to have the talk at the age of 71. Gates tried to answer the question. He tried to put it in a way Trump could understand. He said, Mr. President, HPV,
Starting point is 00:02:41 that's what you get for sleeping with a porn star. HIV, that's what you get from sleeping with Hannity. Oh, and and the big feather in his cap is blowing away. His Korean big deal looks like it's falling apart. Kim Jong-un says now that he will not dismantle his nuclear weapons
Starting point is 00:03:08 unless U.S. military threats are removed from South Korea. And Trump says his politics will not be dictated by North Korea. That's a new job for Fox and Friends. Oh, Trump is working on jobs. In China. Did you see this? He tweeted President Xi and I
Starting point is 00:03:29 are working together. Too many jobs lost in China. Wait. Jobs lost where? Did you say? Sorry, what country are we making great again? You know why this is? Because China, this is so naked. China invested half a billion dollars in a Trump resort project in Indonesia. And like the next day, Trump's lift sanctions on their telecom company, ZTE, which is spying on you. That's why our spy agencies are against it.
Starting point is 00:03:59 I mean, you can tell this one is really shady because he keeps referring to the Chinese leader as President Xi Kaching. The nerve this guy has to then throw tantrums about he's being investigated. How dare me? Investigated? A clean whistle like me? I mean, he's... It's the year anniversary of the Mueller investigation. And Trump, of course, the greatest witch hunt in American history.
Starting point is 00:04:31 Of course, everything is the greatest in history. Well, maybe it's the greatest witch hunt in history, but it's got so far 17 indictments and five guilty pleas. If it's hunting witches, it's finding them. The latest theory from the bubble... Did you say that the FBI has planted a spy in the Trump campaign? No, not a spy. This is just what the FBI does for a living.
Starting point is 00:05:02 You know, that's what they do. Trump, sorry, man, you have ties to the American mob, the Russian mob, to Russian hookers, to the Kremlin, to indicted co-conspirators, to fucking goons and shady lawyers and tax evaders and fraudulent businesses and fake charities and bribes and harsh money and porn stars. This is what the FBI does.
Starting point is 00:05:29 They investigate shady people like you. It's like owning an ice cream truck and going, why are all these kids following me all the time? What are they chasing me? Yes, there's a spy. That's the new reality show. The Apprentice is so old hat. It's The Mole.
Starting point is 00:05:50 Who's the Mole in the White House? Tune in next week. You know, I tell you, a mole. I'm in a dysfunctional. relationship but Donald Trump. The more weed I smoke, the more paranoid he gets. There's something wrong there.
Starting point is 00:06:07 And then there's the royal wedding. To say, I am excited, would not be accurate. I already have my alarm set, so I'll know exactly when to start not giving a shit. But on the bright side, the queen finally found a job for Charles.
Starting point is 00:06:29 Did you see, he'll be walking Megan Markle down the aisle because who better as a happy marriage, good luck, charm, than Prince Charles. Trump was not invited to the wedding. He said, that's okay. Not invited to the royal wedding. He said, in their honor, he would continue to royally screw America. So, look, I don't want to be the wet blanket.
Starting point is 00:06:53 Enjoy the hell out of it tomorrow. Are you going to watch? Of course you are. It's going to be great when a B-list actress marries a man who will never be king in a country that doesn't even matter. An event so unimportant, even the Russians, aren't
Starting point is 00:07:11 fixing it. All right, we've got a great show, Dan Savage, Barry Weiss and Evan McMullen are here, and a little lady who will be speaking with economists and author Gambisa Moyo. But first up, he is the former FBI special agent and author of Messing with the Enemy, surviving in a social media world of hackers,
Starting point is 00:07:28 terrorists, Russians, and fake news. Clint Watts. I make a little bit you. See it all the time. Thank you for everything you've done. Thank you. All right. So, listen, in light of this shooting, we don't know a lot about it, but it is, of course, involved with social media, as everything is.
Starting point is 00:07:49 And your book is a lot about that. You have something, a phrase I thought was very interesting, clickbait populism. You think this applies here? Would you tell us what that is? It does. You know, we could not have Donald Trump as president before the era of social media. And there are audiences that have power.
Starting point is 00:08:07 He's been able to do and what other leaders like the leader of the Islamic State have been able to do is use social media to power their agenda and win a crowd Leaders aren't born anymore. They're accrued through retweets, likes and shares and what we're seeing today our audience is taken on the tactics the same tactics we saw with the Russians and using it for their own partisan purposes. We don't really need to worry about the Russians at this point because everybody's copy in that playbook. Yeah, I saw that within 20 minutes of this shooting, there was fake information about the shooter. The right wing is always trying to make these people into leftists, so they faked him with a Hillary hat on. Right. And people don't really check this stuff out. They are going to sites, first of all,
Starting point is 00:08:53 that confirm what they want to believe to begin with, right? Right. This is all about confirmation bias and implicit bias. Confirmation bias is, I only pick that what I want to hear. Implicit bias is, if it comes from my friends, family, or people that look like me and talk like, like me, then I will take it on and believe it to be true. And no one can shout that down.
Starting point is 00:09:11 So the first thing you see is what you tend to believe is true, and that what you see the most often. And that's why this social media misinformation we still like today can mislead people, defame people. It can ruin people's lives. And yet none of it is true, and it's very hard to correct that falsehood. Yeah, this shooter had two subjects on his Instagram account.
Starting point is 00:09:36 Guns and Trump. I don't know what that means. but I don't think it's good. No. I mean, what we've seen across all of this populism, whether it's jihadi populism, we used to talk about with ISIS for the Islamic State,
Starting point is 00:09:50 or with the extremist groups in the United States, it's violence, and it's a promotion of violence. And we've got easy access to weapons. We've got unlimited access to social media. Very easy ability to make content. It's a dangerous mix. And just the way they micro-target
Starting point is 00:10:06 for selling products, they do it with people's opinions, too. I know you've said that Alex Jones, for example, is perfect for what Russia is doing because he will lead them right to the gullible idiots. That's right. People, you know, that are falling for this oftentimes are new to these information sources.
Starting point is 00:10:24 They don't really know how to evaluate them. They're new to social media, and they're hyper-partisan. They really want to be part of what I call a social media nation. And the more time people spend on cell phones and with their virtual friends, the more connected they come with them, and that starts to overtake,
Starting point is 00:10:40 literally Trump, physical nations, those people that live around them like Americans. So they start to identify not by, you know, the American flag or common beliefs and values and democracy, but hashtags, avatars, bios, and pictures. If you want to know who an ISIS supporter is, that's easy. Go look for bin Laden pictures, olky pictures, Baghdadi pictures, and ISIS flags. If you want to know who a Trump supporter is, well, that's MAGA hats, MAGA Trump train, and a handful of other hashtags. And the next one that come up is the resistance.
Starting point is 00:11:13 I mean, if you want to understand how Trump overtook the GOP, it's the same way ISIS overtook al-Qaeda and how the resistance could overtake the Democrats. That's the next real social media bubble that's coming up. What do you mean the resistance could overtake? You mean, I thought the resistance was the Democrats. Jesus, it's worse than I thought. Well, it's true.
Starting point is 00:11:32 I mean... What do you mean? Are they different? It's that you can understand there's more of an identity attached to those social media. nationalism than there is to these actual traditional organizations. So Al-Qaeda used to say, how do we know these people are in al-Qaeda? The GOP says, we don't actually believe in these things Trump supporters say.
Starting point is 00:11:50 And now we have the resistance, which oftentimes is that, you know, battles with traditional Democrats and the mainstream left. So as a longtime FBI man, what do you think this week when Trump says there was a mole from the FBI in my campaign? FBI doesn't do moles and campaigns, do they? No, it's a bunch of nonsense. I mean, it's... You know, I've been saying that the Russians... The Russians don't need to make fake news
Starting point is 00:12:21 because the president makes plenty for them to use. And so the new threat, really, is that we have American active measures. We have Americans that are destroying U.S. institutions with complete falsehoods. The FBI's mission is to protect the United States. So if they had tips that there might be a... Russian infiltration into the United
Starting point is 00:12:40 States to meddle with our election, which has been found out, then they should go after that. So using a confidential informant, a trusted source, to go test out those leads, it would be negligent for them not to do that. And they were doing what they should be doing, protecting our country. It's amazing.
Starting point is 00:13:00 Isn't how quickly it has turned around about the FBI? I mean, I was freaking out when Trump won the election, because at that moment, I thought the FBI was in his pocket. They were calling the FBI Trumplandia.
Starting point is 00:13:15 Yeah. Remember that? Trumpville, New York City. Right. They were saying that Comey released that letter 11 days before the election that sunk Hillary because he was losing control of the FBI, and he had to do that from pressure within his own organization. I don't know if that's true.
Starting point is 00:13:28 Right. But how did the FBI completely turn around? This is so scary that they are so quickly able to change people's minds on a fundamental matter. Like, who is with the FBI? Who is the FBI? with. Yeah, it's interesting that the president likes to pick on people that can't fight back, namely the intelligence community and the FBI. They can't come out and defend themselves. Who can?
Starting point is 00:13:51 Well, the Mueller investigation can, but they're going to do things properly, right? They're going to go through sources. They're going to go through methods. And traditionally, from what I remember, it's a very conservative organization. I remember going to the seventh floor of the FBI headquarters with a green shirt one day, and they were like, white or blue here. Yeah. No green. What are you doing? Yes, I've always been a big fan of squares. Squares keep society going. That's right. In ways I could not.
Starting point is 00:14:19 That might be true. It is very true. I'm not the hunter. I'm drawing on the cave of the wall, but that's not essential. What you did was much more essential. What do you think about Rudy Giuliani saying... A guy just threw up at the name of it. Did you hear that?
Starting point is 00:14:35 I heard a man literally throw up in his mouth. Right? Am I right? Okay. And you are correct, sir, by the way. But him saying that you can get information from a foreign government, and that's perfectly legal. He said, you know, when Iran, people try to get dirt on me. It's not nice, but it's the way it is. It doesn't matter if it's a Russian or a... That's crazy, too, right?
Starting point is 00:15:01 No. America first means Americans first. And you don't take anything from a foreign country that's trying to destroy. our institutions, destroy and put divisions between our own people so that they fight each other, so that they can break us up into pieces, divide and conquer us. You don't do that. And what we have seen is even in other cases, let's go back to Gore versus Bush. There was a Gore staffer who received a playbook essentially for the debate. What did he do?
Starting point is 00:15:29 He said, I'm turning this over to the FBI, and I will recuse myself from the debate because I don't want, one, to be seen as doing it. dirty tricks and two, I don't want anyone to think that there was something up when the debate comes. That was the exact scenario. If the Russians show up at your building called Trump Tower as Russian government attorneys, the first call you make is the FBI. And the last thing you do is shut the door and don't let those people in. Well, you're a real patriot. I hope you and I are not sharing a cell-so today. Thank you very much, sir. All right, let's meet our panel. Okay. He is a former CIA.
Starting point is 00:16:16 Wow, we got the FBI and the CIA in the house tonight. CIA operations officer ran as an independent in the 2016 presidential election. Please welcome Evan McMullen. He is the Savage Love columnist and host of the podcast Savage Love cast. Dan Savage is over here. And she is a staff editor and writer for the New York Times opinion section. Barry Weiss is back with us again. How you doing it?
Starting point is 00:16:47 Okay. So am I getting too paranoid? Is it really that scary out there, is it me? Am I having a bad week? Because I tell you, I feel like Trump is winning. You know, I feel like he's remaking this country into his own ugly image. There have been school shootings before, of course. But we've had, this is the 16th this year.
Starting point is 00:17:09 That's the most ever. I read that November 9th, the day after his election, the most hate crimes recorded that year. You know, he calls immigrants animals. I saw this guy ranting about the...
Starting point is 00:17:24 The New York lawyer ranting about you're speaking Spanish and he says, my next call is to ICE. Would someone have even done that five years? I don't know how someone like that survives in New York City.
Starting point is 00:17:36 Get the hell out of Spanish triggers you. That is what we're proud of being in New York. I don't think five years ago, I mean, they were bigots, I don't think they would go, I'm going to call ice on you. I think that's a gift from Donald J. Trump. And we've got examples all across the country of white people calling the police on black people who happen to be walking down the street, carrying their bags to a car after staying in a hotel overnight.
Starting point is 00:17:59 Trump has been the great disinhibitor, and what he's disinhibited is a lot of ugliness. That was under the service and a little bottled up and should be bottled up because it's a poison. And Trump has just opened the floodgates and the poison is coursing through the veins of our body politics. and our citizens, and it's horrifying, and I am depressed. I think it's worse for us here on the West Coast because we wake up to Trump's early morning tweets. It's the first thing we see. People on the East Coast can brace themselves for five minutes
Starting point is 00:18:28 before the tweets come in. I think what Dan says is absolutely correct. I think some of these sentiments have been corked up and sort of hidden in caves for a long time in dark corners of our politics. But it's not just Trump. It's all the leaders, especially, I hate to say, Republican leaders,
Starting point is 00:18:44 who sit by silently as these things are said. And so there needs to be more of a counterbalance. It has to come from the right. It has to come from Republican leaders. Otherwise, there's going to be a segment of our population that increasingly is going to be led down this path. I have to call bullshit. Already?
Starting point is 00:19:05 Yes, already. I could see it on your face. You were remissing, and I was saying. Republicans have been cranking up the racist mob for 40, 50 years. The Southern strategy. I'm not just beating that. Like, dog whistle, dog whistle, dog whistle. Along comes Trump, who takes the dog whistle and throws it over his shoulder and picks up a bullhorn.
Starting point is 00:19:23 And just really, he's the logical conclusion of Republican politics over 50 years. A Republican scaprio, how did this happen? I happen to agree. I happen to see more of a symptom as opposed to a cause. But I do think it is circular and he is making things worse. And we do need more leaders to stand up. One of the most troubling statistics I've seen during the era of Trump came in a quintuble. a Piac poll in January of this year, 72% of Republican voters
Starting point is 00:19:49 believe that Trump was a positive role model for children. If that isn't a leading indicator of trouble, I don't know what is. And you know, his poll numbers keep going up. He's in the mid-40s now. That's normal territory for presidents. And Americans, 13% of them think he's honest. They don't care.
Starting point is 00:20:12 They don't care. I wonder if they'll start to care if we continue to have these school shootings. I mean, like, the sort of... We talk about, you know, one of the things that made me totally unable to vote for Trump was the famous, you know, the Hollywood Reporter tape, right? Well, the NRA... Access Hollywood. Access Hollywood.
Starting point is 00:20:30 Excuse me. Well, the NRA has grabbed... Has Donald Trump grabbed by the pussy, okay? And it is absolutely... It's appalling. The fact that we are not trying to do everything possible to try and stop... these shootings is disgusting. You have to be 25 years old to rent a car. Why don't you have to be
Starting point is 00:20:51 25 years old to buy a gun? We should try and do... I'm destroying everything. You know, the Parkman parents today put out a press release saying, let's stop naming the names of school shooters because all they want is that notoriety. Let's try that. Let's try maybe even holding people like the one that just happened today. He was using the gun of his father. Why don't we hold people criminally liable? Why don't we hold the father criminally all of that? Why don't we hold gun manufacturers? The Republicans
Starting point is 00:21:20 passed a law that made it impossible to sue gun manufacturers for liable, and they can't be held to the same standards at any other company producing a product for the consumer market in this country. Right, and again, we had shootings before Donald Trump, but I just think if you made a Venn diagram
Starting point is 00:21:36 of Trump and what he's brought about, and then alt-right types, and then just these, you know, internet unhappy types. Right, but we don't want to say that Obama's responsible for standing or Clinton's responsible for Columbine. I mean... No, we're not saying that at all. We're just saying what you said before. What was the word you used? The disinhibitor. Disinhibitor. Yeah. And also, 2017 was, I think, the worst year in terms
Starting point is 00:22:00 of casualties for mass shootings. And four of the five worst in history, worst mass shootings in our history, happened within the last five or six years. I mean, this problem is getting worse. And again, 2017 was the worst. The most appalling thing I read today was that more high school students have died in school shootings in America this year than U.S. service members have died in the two wars that are still underway that were involved in. High schools are more dangerous than Iraq and Afghanistan for American. Did you see the interview of the one student today where the person asked her, did you ever think this would happen in your school? And her answer was yes. Yeah. I mean, that is unbelievable. It was so appalling about it. The reporter was asking for the comforting banality so that the viewer at home could like relax about this, not. happening where I live or like return to the sort of normal expectation this isn't something that happens every day and this is something that fucking happens every day in this country because of the NRA and the GOP. Okay. Can I ask another subject that's related? Because I always like it when
Starting point is 00:23:01 there's a sex expert on the show. And that would be you and I'm an amateur sex. I was going to pass to him. So this in-cell thing, if you haven't heard about in-cells, it stands for involuntary. voluntarily celibate. We did a little bit about it a few weeks ago on the show. And there was a tragedy, two of them now. A guy in Toronto, only a couple months ago or last month. I think he ran a car through a bunch of people because they're angry. They're angry that women don't like them and they can't get laid. They want to. And there was one a few years ago in Santa Barbara. And this is a social movement now. And they want the government to provide prostitutes for them. Not quite proper. Your move, Bernie Sanders.
Starting point is 00:23:44 They're handmaid's tail. They're beyond prostitutes. Yeah, not quite prostitutes. They talk about redistributing sex as a commodity. And it's about really enslaving women. It's handmaids tail stuff. Not about sex workers. It's about the government giving you a woman as a slave. Not the government giving you a voucher so you can go see a sex worker. They're nasty. They think women are receptacles. Right. That's it. And they wonder why I can't get laid? Exactly.
Starting point is 00:24:08 Exactly. They hate women. If we can zoom out for a second, as a, you know, I write a sex advice column. I do a sex advice column. podcast. I hear every day from people who are miserable because they haven't been touched ever. They're virgins or they haven't had a relationship in 20 years. Sexual deprivation and romantic deprivation does make people miserable. Not all of those people become in cells, become part of the involuntary, celibate movement. But this is truly emissurating that kind of loneliness and that kind of despair. So we have to figure out there's a lot of people out there who don't have sex, who don't have relationships. There's this tiny percentage who become active in this
Starting point is 00:24:40 in-cell community. What's the difference? The way men are socialized to believe that women are their property and they're entitled to women's bodies. And that meets with the black mold of misogyny that grows all over the internet. And those are the two places we need to really intervene. How men are socialized to what they expect from women and the misogyny that runs riot on the internet. That creates the insults, not sexual deprivation. But what changed when I couldn't get laid? It wasn't, I thought, okay, well, start a band, become a doctor.
Starting point is 00:25:11 What? Become a stand-up. Yeah. You know, I mean... Because everyone wants to date a poor comic. Get a job in a restaurant. They're always fucking each other. The past-staffed restaurants.
Starting point is 00:25:21 Make yourself worthy of being fucked as the voice. Right. Make yourself worthy of being fucked us again. You silver-tonged it, as you always do. The problem, though, like, I think one of the things we need to besides socializing males differently, is we need to destigmatize and decriminalize sex work. Because, you know, you have social skills. Most people have social skills. Even if they're in a dry patch and they can't get laid,
Starting point is 00:25:42 they're going to be able to get laid. You know, there are people out there who don't have any social skills. The Venn diagram of no social skills and in cells is a circle. And we... And that's a lot because of the phone. Look, I... You spend all day on the phone, you don't have social skills. You know, when you think of sex work and sex workers
Starting point is 00:26:04 and decriminalize and destigmatizing, it's not just de-stigmatizing sex work for the sex worker, but also for the sex buyer. And what the culture says about someone who buys sex, he's a criminal, he's a misogynist, he's a misogynist, he's a He's a monster. He's a loser. And so one of the things that get said about the insoles is why don't they just go see sex workers? Well, they already feel like losers. So going to a sex worker is only going to make that worse, especially if they're prosecuted. We need to decry...
Starting point is 00:26:25 Now, I don't want to, like, lock my friends who are sex workers in rooms with violent, rage-filled in cells. But in the same way, if we re-socialized men are not stop socializing and expect women on their property and destigmatize sex workers and sex work, there are some people who the only way they will ever get laid is to buy it, is to pay for it. And that shouldn't be stigmatized. Think of people who are quadriplegic, like the movie The Hour, or the sessions with Helen Hunt,
Starting point is 00:26:49 Oscar nominations, quadriplegic. The only way this person was ever going to have sex in his life is if he buys it because he's so physically disabled. Well, some people are so socially disabled that their only outlet for any sort of sex or can contact is buying. Yeah, I mean, we have an expert here on these issues, so I'll let those comments stand just as they are. But I have to say, this isn't new?
Starting point is 00:27:11 I mean, people struggle to get in. What's the Mormon point of view? Yeah, but you're right. People struggle to get dates. You can buy sex, just not coke. I have to say, I'm evidence that you don't need to look like Dan to get a date. I mean, you can, you can get a date.
Starting point is 00:27:26 And so I have a less complex answer. Just run a few laps, brush your teeth, and get out there, you'll be fine. You know, all right? It's not that complicated. It's really not. It is that complicated for people who are socially mal-adapted, that they are repulsive.
Starting point is 00:27:41 Right, but the other thing I have to say about this is, Again, this challenge, I don't think, is new. What has brought it out in this sort of way? In the past couple of weeks, learning for the first time about this insult movement, I felt so old because it just seems so darn crazy. Right. But what I think it is is we have a misogynistic leader, a president, who scapegoats people for one problem or the other,
Starting point is 00:28:05 and you combine this sort of thing, this misogyny and this scapegoating, blaming other people for your problems, and it gives rise to the vocalizing of these feelings that I think... And it's a confusing thing when the misogynist who happens to be our president has had many wives and has, as we know, has had sex with many women. And paid for it. And paid for it. So, yes, and paid for it.
Starting point is 00:28:27 But it's a confusing message when misogyny is paying in the case of Trump. They paid it. Paid it should be silent. He also said he tried to offer money to Stormy and Karen McDougal. I'm just saying Trump's misogyny has not turned women off of him. Right. That's confusing. Okay.
Starting point is 00:28:42 Let me interrupt for a piece of comedy. But I do enjoy these. We've done this many times. You know, Us Magazine should send me a frigid fruit basket. I plug because we do this bit all the time. 25 things you don't know about me. Have you seen that bit? Okay, so this week we're doing Michael Cohen.
Starting point is 00:29:06 25 things you don't know about me. Michael Cohen. My kids use air quotes from me. They call me a lawyer. The reason I have 16 cell phones is because I dropped the first 15 in the toilet. Based on that Stormy Daniel sketch, I can't believe how hot I used to look.
Starting point is 00:29:24 Oops. I can get you some clean urine. I was 45 years old before I found out ice picks can also be used to pick ice. I do crossword puzzles when I'm waiting for lime to dissolve a body. But I mentioned he's a sleazy lawyer?
Starting point is 00:29:49 I think you're... When I'm stealing a ring off a corpse's hand and it gets stuck, I run it through Don Jr.'s hair. These things you didn't know. I'm a Jew who acts Italian. My nickname in high school was Mishugina Parmesan. My first media appearance was me dragging a slice of pizza down a flight of stairs.
Starting point is 00:30:18 Indite me all you want, bitches. I'm already in Russia. All right. She is a global economist. an author on Edge of Chaos, why democracy is failing to deliver economic growth and how to fix it. Damisa, Moyo! Hey! Hi, Gambisa.
Starting point is 00:30:38 Great to have you back on our show. Congratulations on your book. It's terrific. I think you have the right topic. I'm also worried about democracies dying. Tell me why so many people aren't concerned. When you say democracy is in trouble, I think a lot of people, it seems so abstract.
Starting point is 00:30:56 How do we make it... personal to them and let them know what's important to their actual lives. Well, there are a whole host of factors that are suggesting that democracy is under siege. For one thing, voters' participation rates are down considerably. They're around 50 percent. Everywhere or here? Well, mainly, the United States is the vanguard of liberal democracy. So I'm particularly focused on the U.S., but of course across Western Europe,
Starting point is 00:31:19 where democracy is also prevalent, we are seeing very low participation rates. For low-income households, it's even worse. less than 30% by some studies. And the deep concern there is that this is really far from the one-man-one-vote mantra of democracy. But the other issue is that money has seeped into politics. There are about 158 families in this country that are responsible for 50% of the political contributions
Starting point is 00:31:45 to the president in 2016. Lobbying has doubled in the past couple of decades. So people feel disconnected. Absolutely disaffected. And, you know, there are studies from Pew, the think tank that 80% of Americans just don't even trust the federal government to do what's right on a regular basis.
Starting point is 00:32:01 And we don't really teach civics as much as we should anymore. So I don't think people know what's missing because they didn't know what was there to begin with. I think that's absolutely right. And, you know, issues around civics and education, but also there are really no minimum standards for being a politician anymore in the way that they used to become.
Starting point is 00:32:17 No. We don't have politicians who have experience in agriculture as farmers and teachers and lawyers. We now have, you know, professional politicians, and I think that's a great disservice to us as well. So a lot of people around the world, younger people, they look to China now. Because China gets things done, but it's not a democracy. So you're hitting on exactly the central part of the thesis of my book, which is this myopia in liberal political systems is particularly problematic.
Starting point is 00:32:45 All the problems that the global economy and the United States is facing over the next decades are long-term intergenerational problems, things like the amount of debt, income inequality worsening, the risk of technology, killing, off jobs. I mean, those are all very, very deep structural problems, and yet our politicians are very short-term. They're thinking about the next election, and this creates this schizabeth. How do we
Starting point is 00:33:07 make them not do that? But really, I mean, that's why China succeeds, because I mean, of course, you know, if you have a dictatorship, you don't have to ask somebody if we should do it. They go, well, let's switch from coal and let's do it tomorrow, and they can do that, or they can bring people
Starting point is 00:33:23 out of poverty, which they have. Yes. But you don't want to live in a country. I wouldn't want to live in a country without former government. Exactly. And we live here because we want to. But they can think 25 years ahead. We don't think 25 months ahead. How do we incentivize politicians to do that?
Starting point is 00:33:38 Well, I think we can incentivize them by linking their pay to longer term outcomes. I think one of the problems here is, well, their compensation I think should be higher, but they should be forced to justify their compensation just the way we are forced to justify in private sector. Yeah, exactly. So we don't get the dregs in that, right.
Starting point is 00:33:56 Exactly. In Singapore, for example, the politicians are actually paid bonuses at the end of the year based on long-term outcomes. What happened to life expectancy? What happened to GDP? I mean, in this country, our politicians are basically paid. We get people like the Scott Pruitt guy, you know this guy, the head of the EPA? I think he's in government just because this is as good as it's going to get. I'm flying first class. He's in it for the perks.
Starting point is 00:34:21 Well, you know, I think there's been so much of a revolution around compensation in private sector. I don't see why we shouldn't apply such stringent rules to the public sector as well. But some of your fixes for democracy sound like going backwards, or at least they sound like it. Maybe they're not. But you're talking about weighted voting, which is where some people who are experts, but how do you determine that sometimes, get more of a vote? And what they used to call a poll tax, you know, giving people an exam before they can vote. I can certainly see this.
Starting point is 00:34:52 I hear you huffing and puffing already. I heard that. We certainly don't want that. I mean, I think I'd be the first person disenfranchised if I actually started proposing weighted voting. So we don't want it in a way that adjectives such as wealth or race or gender are the guidelines. But as an immigrant, coming to this country, you are required to take a civics test. And essentially, I think it's really about showing engagement and caring about the civics and also the political process. And that's really what I think is worth considering. Okay. And you're originally from Zambia?
Starting point is 00:35:24 Yes, I am. Okay. So that sounds like a good neutral place to weigh in and maybe start the referee of the Gaza issue because, of course, this week we opened the American Embassy in Jerusalem, which did cause a riot, as was predicted. And, of course, people are blaming both sides. What's your view? Well, when is there not a riot in that region of the world?
Starting point is 00:35:49 I mean, I think it's... That's what I was going to say. It's incredibly infuriating to me that, you know, we tend to be so short-term... term on these issues, why don't we have a set of proposals that are longer term that actually can stick in a way that is much more fruitful? I mean, these are band-aid interventions. And, you know, I do understand that they're irksome, but I've been to Jerusalem. I know that people are living cheek by jow from very different religions. I don't see why we keep coming back with these very short-term policies that we know are going to be problematic in the long-term.
Starting point is 00:36:21 What do you think? I love you. But the long-term... I love you. But the long-term... the riots were not caused by the embassy move. No, I said they were linked. They're not linked. They are. No, they're not. They were made much worse.
Starting point is 00:36:35 These demonstrations were going on, but they exploded with the embassy. When Hamas attacked Israel in 2012, when Hamas attacked Israel in 2014, the embassy was in Tel Aviv, all of those times. Okay? This was, no, this was an intentional. First of all, these protests had been going on for six weeks, and they intentionally moved up the day so that it would coincide with the opening of the embassy move, so that we would all be disgusted and heartbroken when we saw this horrible split screen of Ivanka Trump looking like she was at a country club next to poor, desperate people dying in Gaza.
Starting point is 00:37:08 I agree with you. They planned that, absolutely. Right. And I'm just saying, let's not fall for a trap that is being set by a theocratic, authoritarian group that is sending women and children to be human shield. I couldn't agree more with all of that. What I'm saying is that there is this idea, and I would call it the soft bigotry of low expectations. I've said that before when people booed me
Starting point is 00:37:31 on this subject. But I think they're the bigots when they just assume that if something goes on in this part of the world, as you said, there's going to be riots. And you can't organize your foreign policy around, geez, what is Muhammad Atta going to do? Wow.
Starting point is 00:37:47 I'm letting you guys. That shut everybody out. We're wondering, why now? Why did the U.S. government move the embassy to Jerusalem now. Look, this was going to happen. Previously, past administrations that thought, okay, we'll do it, but we'll do it as a part of a larger peace deal. That was sort of where the right and the left on foreign policy were. But we have a different situation here now.
Starting point is 00:38:09 We have a president who's increasingly vulnerable because he and his people, his family, his administration, his campaign are being investigated by Mueller and the special council and everybody else. Midterms are approaching. The Democrats may take the house back and he'll be at risk of impeachment. He was throwing red meat to his base. That's what was driving. Of course. Yes, but that wasn't... That's true, but Jerusalem has been the capital of Israel.
Starting point is 00:38:33 True. Every country has to decide a capital. True. But we've got to be able to dissect what the right policy is there for the United States and what's motivating Trump in that movement now and the way it was done. Because in my view, we could have done that and we could have done it now, but we could have done it in a way that maybe extended an olive branch to the Palestinian Authority, maybe not Hamas, but the Palestinian Authority.
Starting point is 00:38:54 I agree. Although, don't forget, it's the Palestinian Authority. Palestinian Authority that's emiserating Gazans. They're the ones who are cutting off... Abbas is the one cutting off the electricity to Gaza, not Israel. But for complex reason, you have a terrorist organization running Gaza. So it's complex, as you understand... But you know, Evan, in 1948, Harry Truman recognized Israel
Starting point is 00:39:13 when it was first announcing it was a country. And a lot of people in America said, if you do that, there's going to be riots. And there were riots. Now, would you go back in time and say, Harry Truman shouldn't do that? because there were going to be riot. We shouldn't have thrown moving the embassy away.
Starting point is 00:39:29 It was something Israel and Netanyahu wanted desperately. And so it was a point of leverage. Yeah, he's the worst deal maker ever. Yeah, he's the worst deal maker ever. It's amazing. Some concession out of Israel to try to tamp down the violence or come back to the table and negotiate in good faith with not Hamas, but the Palestinian Authority,
Starting point is 00:39:47 which they're not doing. And so Trump just threw that away and didn't use it as a point of leverage and no longer looks like an honest broker. We don't look like Honest Brof-in. But someone who's considered a bad dealmaker, he's got some pretty good deals over the last couple of weeks. I mean, he's gone...
Starting point is 00:40:02 Deals for him. Yeah, absolutely. Netanyahu. I just think that I wouldn't dismiss him as outright being a bad deal maker. No, I'm in Trump. You're talking about Trump. No, I'm talking about Trump. Yes. No, I misunderstood. But actually... Yeah, no, I... Trump, too, to the extent that, you know, I think that's exactly the right point.
Starting point is 00:40:16 His base, you know, his direct audience would love exactly what happened. You know, he's made promises, and he is keeping them. Like it or not, that's the bottom. Right. And what kills me is... is that he's inviting these cre- I mean, it's not just evangelicals. It's like-Hagie.
Starting point is 00:40:31 It's Hagee, it's that guy, Jeffers. It's Islam is born in a pit of hell and Hitler caused Israel. One of the people that Trump invited to the opening of the embassy to give a prayer was this Reverend Hagee who got tossed off the McCain campaign because he said that Hitler, or God sent Hitler to hunt the Jews
Starting point is 00:40:49 because they rejected Christ. And he's the dude, and Netanyahu's fine with this. He's the dude that Trump invites to the embassy to give it the Jesus. And Robert Jeffers. I mean, it's all a show. It's a production for the base. That's what this is.
Starting point is 00:41:01 Yes. Okay. So I... Not to say that the policy of moving the embassy to Jerusalem isn't the right thing. You know, we have to be able to separate that. What kills me, and the reason I growled is I'm going to go,
Starting point is 00:41:16 excuse me. It's just that it kills me that Trump and the Republican Party are turning Israel, which should be a progressive issue, into a right-wing one. And I think it's outrageous. That happened a while ago. That happened a while. Yeah, but it's now not one single Democratic
Starting point is 00:41:32 competition showed up at the embassy. Israel did that under Obama, went to war with Obama and Democrats. If anyone turned Israel into a right-wing issue over the last eight, nine years, it was... But the hypocrisy of people who have this position in, like, where would you rather live if you're in the Middle East?
Starting point is 00:41:50 In Gaza? Right, there's not going to be a rare pride in Gaza. It's not your event. that they're defending. Okay, so I once had Queen Nour of Jordan on the show, and they said, you know, you'll address her as Your Highness, and I said, I fucking will not.
Starting point is 00:42:04 And I bring, not because it's Queen Nor of that area, just because any queen, and I bring this up because the royal wedding is tomorrow, and we did something on the show a couple of weeks ago about grandfathering in stuff from old times and not getting upset about how everything has to be how we used to think back
Starting point is 00:42:22 in the day, and I made the point that people are doing things today that are going to look terrible. I think the way we treat animals is not going to look good in the future. I mentioned beauty pageants. You know, we still have them and it's going to look bad. And I think calling people, Your Highness, I know it's not the biggest issue in the world, but it bugs me. And I think it really stands out like a sore thumb when we're trying to get a egalitarian about everything else.
Starting point is 00:42:49 And we're happy to do it. Americans love the royalty more than the British. Oh yeah, because we desperately want a first family, and there are surrogates right now. Well, I don't know. I think that's what it is. You know, I'll step forward to defend monarchy just a little bit. There is something to be said for taking the power and the trappings and the majesty, really, of the role of head of state and pushing it away from political parties and political power. That the trappings of Air Force One and the White House, the palace, benefits the Republicans,
Starting point is 00:43:23 benefits of Democrats depending on who's in power. In the UK and other constitutional monarchies in Northern Europe, that is the royal family's shit. And the politicians don't get to get their grubby hands all over it and exploit it for political gain and political benefit. And there's something to be said for that, the role of head of state being separated from political power. But do other European countries subsidize the monarchy
Starting point is 00:43:44 the way the British do? I mean, it cost them a lot. That's a big house, that queen house. And that's not the only house. They got summer castles and giant places. Why? And the prime minister is like in an office park. Really, like 10 down the street. That's where the monarchy should live.
Starting point is 00:44:01 Would you like to see Donald Trump in an office park as opposed to Donald Trump in the White House? Yeah, but I mean, it just seems ass backwards to me. And I don't know why they foot the bill for that. Okay, last issue. Gina Haskell was confirmed. She is now going to be the head of the CIA. Your CIA. I mean, there was a lot of controversy about that because she did run a black side.
Starting point is 00:44:23 apparently. She was somebody who was overseeing torture in 2003 when it was all the rage. And, you know, I think it's okay just because whoever is behind her would be worse. At least she wasn't on dancing with the stars. Yeah. Yeah, well, look, you know, there are complex issues here. I'm glad we had the national discussion again about the enhanced interrogation and torture
Starting point is 00:44:48 and all of that. I mean, we were not in the right place before as a country. It wasn't just the CIA. It was DOJ, our elected officials on both parties, actually, who were aware of this. We've moved on from there, mostly. The president still talks of torture, but as a country we've moved on, I hope we never go back to that. But I will say that my concern with Gina Haspel not being confirmed was that President Trump would then nominate a political loyalist, somebody who would use the great powers of the Central Intelligence Agency, an organization at which I was proud to serve for over a decade.
Starting point is 00:45:23 and perhaps turn those on the American people on behalf of the president for political purposes. We can't allow that to happen. I don't believe Gina, an experienced professional, having gone through her 30-plus years of experience there, having experienced sort of a national mistake with... Yeah, she renounced. That's right. She renounced it now. Is that enough, or do we still...
Starting point is 00:45:44 If I may. I think it's not over. I mean, you're intimating that... No, there isn't because the president says he still wants to do it. It's not just about the president. I think the United States for decades in the past has been the vanguard of truth, justice, and values. And what we've seen over the last several decades has actually been quite disheartening. As somebody who comes to one of the poorest regions of the world, we expect much more from the United States. It's not just about legality. It's also about morals and ethics.
Starting point is 00:46:15 This country traditionally used to stand for things that were right. That, by the way, is where... we get the moral authority to tell other countries you can't have nuclear weapons because when we first started doing that it was like everybody understood we're the good people we're the people who would never use them except we're the ones who did one
Starting point is 00:46:34 and we're the people who always stand for right and good and we're not that people we don't have that authority anymore I'm not for other countries getting nuclear weapons but I can see why Iran goes why should you be telling us that have nuclear weapons? You're not a dirty place now too one of the enhanced
Starting point is 00:46:51 interrogation it's not an enhanced interrogation and torture, enhanced interrogation is torture. One of the techniques that was described was locking people in these boxes where they couldn't move much or sit down or stand it. If you go to Dachau, the concentration camp outside Munich, there is a room full of the boxes that they locked people into torture them.
Starting point is 00:47:08 The things that we're describing is enhanced interrogation. When the Nazis did it, it was torture. It's still torture. When we did it, it was torture. Okay, thank you, panel. You were very enlightening. It is time now for new rules. Little comedy after the torture discussion. New Roll, this Arizona woman accused of going on one date with a man
Starting point is 00:47:33 and then sending him 65,000 text messages and showing up nude in his bathtub must be thanked for providing the answer to the question, what is the opposite of playing hard to get? New Rule, someone has to make a border-themed reality show called So You Think You Can Catch? I love that picture. New Rule, commuters on Hawaii's Big Island have to stop complaining about that volcano. There are days here in L.A.
Starting point is 00:48:07 When I pray for hot lava. You know what I'm talking about. And look on the bright side. If it weren't for volcanoes, your beautiful state wouldn't look like this. It would look like this. New rule of the Chinese family that claims it bought a puppy
Starting point is 00:48:30 and raised it for two years before they realized it was a bear. Have to admit, they're more cat people. And the next time someone corrects me when I say taekwondo was Japanese or judo is Korean, I get to say,
Starting point is 00:48:47 they didn't know their dog was a bear. New rule, this boy who was taken to a Trump rally in Indiana has to tell us, at what point during Trump's speech, did he realize, oh, my God, my dad is an asshole? And finally, new rule of all the fairy tales we've told ourselves here in America, the one we most need to get rid of now is, in America, no one is above the law.
Starting point is 00:49:23 Let conservatives get weepy-easy. about this magic, infallible constitution that Jesus personally delivered to the Capitol. It's incumbent on the rest of us to remain clear-eyed about its flaws. And when you don't have to follow the orders of law enforcement, as Trump clearly doesn't, you are above the law.
Starting point is 00:49:44 I am... I'm tired of hearing TV lawyers say the president can't refuse a subpoena. Even Rudy Giuliani said that. He said, you've got to do it. I mean, you don't have a choice. except that was in 1998 when Clinton was president. Now, Rudy says, we don't have to.
Starting point is 00:50:04 He's the president of the United States. As Rudy's three ex-wives can tell you, he's not really good at being married to anything. I know liberals have this vision of Trump forced out of the White House and arrested, but that's not going to happen no matter how many cartoons of it you post on your Facebook feed. The news is tightening, I hear people say,
Starting point is 00:50:31 no. is not tightening. His face is always that color. The Constitution does not give permission to indict or prosecute a president. You can't legally resist arrest, but he can't. Could you ignore a subpoena? Could you pardon yourself? If your obedience to the law is strictly voluntary or compelled by shame of which he has none, you are above the law.
Starting point is 00:51:02 If you don't believe me, the next time a cop is writing you a ticket, Try saying, I don't think so, officer, your traffic stop is a witch hunt. And don't bother arresting me either. I've already pardon myself. Executive privilege, bitch. Checks and balances is a cute theory. But have you met Paul Ryan? The Constitution only has two recourses for an evil president,
Starting point is 00:51:28 the 25th Amendment, which allows the cabinet to remove a president who was crazy and incapacitated, which might work. if Trump's cabinet wasn't crazy and incapacitated. And impeachment. But impeachment means nothing without conviction, which requires 67 votes in the Senate, which even after the best blue wave election ever, would mean at least a dozen Republicans crossing party lines
Starting point is 00:52:00 not going to happen. We're on the honor system, and Republicans are fresh out of honor. John Adams had it right back in 1780 when he said, there is nothing which I dread so much as a division of the Republic into two great parties.
Starting point is 00:52:23 But that's what happened. And even the founders couldn't foresee our current level of tribalism, where half of us would hear Laurel and half would hear Yanni. They never imagined a Congress full of shameless partisan enablers who wouldn't turn on Trump
Starting point is 00:52:43 if they found out he was using the eternal flame to light farts. And in that atmosphere, this president doesn't have to do anything. anything except explore how far he can go until he's stopped, like the way he used to walk into the dressing room with the Miss Universe pageant. Oh, I know, I know. We're playing 3D chess, and he, yeah, he's playing,
Starting point is 00:53:15 I tip the board over. Because here's what's going to happen. Mueller will request an interview. Trump will say no. Mueller will then subpoena him. Trump will say, go fish. It goes to the Supreme Court. They're partisan now, too.
Starting point is 00:53:30 We learn that in Bush versus Gore, but say they do the right thing and order him to honor the subpoena. And he still says no. What do we do then? Called Dog the bounty hunter? That's when the same experts will be saying a president has never
Starting point is 00:53:51 defied the Supreme Court. Stop telling me he'll never do that. He always does that. It's not normal. It's not an argument that works on Donald Trump. That's the kind of dare that makes him hard. It's like a penis pump that runs on Trump.
Starting point is 00:54:07 Cole. If the Supreme Court rules against him, he'll attack them. Just like he did the FBI and the Justice Department. The Supreme Court will be the new deep state enemy, and their rulings will be fake news. This year, when President G of China made himself president for life, Trump said, President for Life, I think it's great. Maybe we'll have to give that a shot someday. A month later, he suggested he should have four terms like FDR. People say he's joking about this stuff,
Starting point is 00:54:47 but when is Trump ever told a joke? His idea of a funny gag is making Mike Pence kiss his ass in public. Maybe the reason he keeps saying he wants to be president for life is because he wants to be president for life. Think about
Starting point is 00:55:03 back the week we're off. All right, that's our show. We are off next week and back on June 1st. I'll be at the Winstraw World Casino in Thackerville, July 6th, the Brady Theater in Tulsa, July 7th, the Constitution Hall in Washington, D.C., July 14th. Thank you, Adam McCrow and Dan Savageberry Waste. Abisa Moyo and Clint Watts. No overtime.
Starting point is 00:55:24 I've got to go to Vegas. Thank you. Catch all new episodes of Real Time with Bill Maher every Friday night at 10, or watch them anytime on HBO on demand. For more information, log on to HBO.com.

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