Real Time with Bill Maher - Ep. #480: Rep. Eric Swalwell, Garry Kasparov

Episode Date: November 17, 2018

Bill’s guests are Rep. Eric Swalwell, Garry Kasparov, Van Jones, Nancy MacLean, Steve Schmidt. (Originally aired 11/16/18) See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information. Learn more about your ...ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 Welcome to an HBO podcast from the HBO Late Night series, Real Time with Bill Thank you for being here on this special night. It is our, I know. Folks, this is our last show before next year.
Starting point is 00:00:59 We come back January 18th. That's two months. So thank you for, I appreciate that, but this has been an amazing season. I want to thank my producers, my crew, my head writer, Donald Trump. I'm sorry to leave you for two months, but I need a break from this motherfucker.
Starting point is 00:01:23 I mean, this has been very stressful. Ten months of him. This is the time of year when I make the transition from medical marijuana to recreational marijuana. And, uh, but you know, Trump is going to be here tomorrow. He's coming to California to check on, yeah. Well, you know, checking on the wildfire situation. And he says he can relate because last Tuesday he also lost a house. But this, that's what we're going through here in this date.
Starting point is 00:02:03 This is very serious. Really serious shit, if you have seen what's going on and some people have been affected. We have at this show. I read in the paper today, they said human beings were probably responsible for the fires. There goes my theory that it was free-basing raccoons. Of course, Trump's response, you saw that was to blame the victims, threatened to withhold federal funds. This is what he does every time there's a disaster. Wildfires.
Starting point is 00:02:31 Mismanage your forests. Mass shooting. You should have been armed. You know. Hurricane. Your island is very inconveniently located. His response to every tragedy is, how can I hurt? But
Starting point is 00:02:51 he is to empathy what food courts are to ambiance. That's... And today he went out of his way to say he's coming here just for the firefighters.
Starting point is 00:03:10 I don't want to give the impression that he gives a shit about the citizens of this state who didn't vote for him. He only once came here before, you know that, to look at wall swatches. Remember, he went down to the border
Starting point is 00:03:21 to see what wall, the wall he still hasn't built. You know, by the way, Trump fans and others, if you're keeping score, no wall, no health care plan that was better. Sheeper covered everybody.
Starting point is 00:03:36 No. The trade deficit, bigger, bigger. The tax cut did not pay for itself. The debt, of course, is exploding. North Korea, building bombs again. You know, Mr. President, you can only slide so long on charm.
Starting point is 00:03:53 At some points... But actually, now, I have to say, today, there is, in the news, this is a pretty big story, something he is actually behind. Once in a while, he stumbles upon the right thing. A bipartisan prison reform bill that's going to address the draconian three strikes.
Starting point is 00:04:13 rights laws, mandatory sentences. For some reason, Trump suddenly has taken an interest in prison report. Prison, prison, right. Yeah. Today, he made a fool of himself, saying he answered, by myself. Nobody helped me with these answers. Written questions from Robert Mueller. He said it took a little longer than usual because he's not used to lying in writing.
Starting point is 00:04:43 And, you know, the word now from Washington, everybody's saying reporting this, that he's apparently literally depressed. He's barely... Barely touching his nightly chicken bucket. And he should be depressed. He should be worried. I mean, everybody has skeletons in their closet.
Starting point is 00:05:10 He has mass graves. I mean, House Democrats have been spotted at Costco. buying subpoenas in bulk. They have a lot of things. But this is because he lost the election. That's why he's depressed. Now they have the subpoena power. By the way, about the election,
Starting point is 00:05:30 Trump has a theory that he gave us yesterday about voter fraud. He said, oh my God, I can't believe we have to actually talk about what this guy says. This bothers me so much. Anyway. He's a spoiled five-year-old, and where the man his mother brought home from the bar.
Starting point is 00:05:53 So we have to... We have to pretend to talk about this stuff. Okay, so he says that people with no right to vote, sometimes get this, go to their car, put on a different hat and a different shirt, and come in and vote again. I... It sounds like an episode of the Brady Butt, quite frankly.
Starting point is 00:06:17 But you know what? Let's end on a happy note. Newly elected Democrats, they had their orientation. We saw... It looks a lot more like America. A lot more diverse. 34 new women. And the Republicans...
Starting point is 00:06:38 Republican side, all white, all straight. One woman. Party of Lincoln. Party of sausage. All right. We got a great show. Ben Jones, Nancy McLean. Schmidt are here. And a little letter to be speaking with the great activist, author, and chessmaster, Gary Kaspirov. Okay, but first up, he was just re-elected to his third term as U.S. rep from California's 15th. And it's his birthday. Congressman Eric Swalwell.
Starting point is 00:07:15 Thank you. Thank you. All right. Okay. What was your wish? To be with my family, but if I can't be with them, I want to be with the real time. Yeah, you must really want to be president because it's your birthday and you're here on my show. That's right. And it's how many? 38? 38. Oh, wow. Wow.
Starting point is 00:07:36 That makes you a Scorpio? I'm Scorpio. That's right. You believe in astrology? No, no, no, no. It's fun to watch. You got my vote. Done.
Starting point is 00:07:47 Don't you love California? Okay. So you were in Iowa recently? I was. You like corn. I do. And I like celebrating, and we won two congressional seats there. I know, but there's 50s dates. Why go to that one?
Starting point is 00:08:01 And we almost won the seat where I was born to beat Steve King, and we're going to get him next time. Oh, you were born in Iowa? Yeah, it was born. How convenient. By accident of birth. Okay, but, I mean, you are talked about as someone who might be running. You would be the youngest president ever if you were the president in 2021. Yeah, and what I've gone to Iowa for is to help us, you know, put two.
Starting point is 00:08:26 new candidates in place, but also I am considering it. And I think our country needs new energy, new ideas, and a new confidence. And people in Iowa... People in the heartland or along the coast, they believe that if you work hard, it should add up to something, that you do better for yourself and dream bigger for your kids. And right now we have a Trump-slump, top-floor economy where it only works for people who work on the top floor,
Starting point is 00:08:50 and everyone else is just getting screwed. But how do you win a state like Iowa? I mean, Obama won it the first time, right? He won Indiana, too, and a bunch of other heart of state. Okay. There's some Democrats who seem to have the key to it. Amy Klobuchar, Minnesota's not always easy. Sherrod Brown, John Tester, Mansion in West Virginia.
Starting point is 00:09:09 What is that secret to take the toxicness out of the D next to your name in so much of the middle of this country? You've got to show up and listen. I'm the son of two Republicans. My brothers are cops. Is that right? Republicans. I worked as a prosecutor in law enforcement. And so I understand what a lot of them care about, which I think is what you and I care about, which again is that right now, too many families are seeing their health care protections gutted. They're seeing they're working hard
Starting point is 00:09:37 and they're paying for tax cups at the top. Their communities aren't being invested in. By accident, I think Donald Trump stumbled onto a lot of these issues, people who felt like they're disconnected, weren't seen, weren't heard, but he's not delivering for them. I don't think you have to insult those people, you just have to tell them how you're going to deliver for them. So how would you deliver for them? Modern schools in every community. Once and for all, once and for all joined the rest of the first world and have a health care guarantee in our country.
Starting point is 00:10:08 Well, that's interesting because, now, the Democrats kind of ran on health care for this election, and it worked, and it was Nancy Pelosi. Not only her idea to do that. She was the architect. Well, she got it passed Obamacare. Yeah. I mean, the pre-existing conditions thing, which really,
Starting point is 00:10:25 resonated with a lot of people because they have pre-existing conditions. So now a lot of people want to, and your party seem to want to dump her. I've heard talk like, well, we have other qualified women. I mean, it doesn't have to be a woman, right? I mean, we're... It has to be the most qualified person, and she's the best leader we have. Right, I mean... Okay.
Starting point is 00:10:48 And Bill, she was the architect of the Affordable Care Act. These candidates ran on protecting health care. And that was top of mind at the ballot box. And if we're going to protect what Donald Trump has taken a wrecking ball to, we need her there leading us. And for people who say, you know, the argument was Nancy Pelosi's a drag on Congress and we're not going to win as many seats. This is the biggest pickup for Democrats since Watergate.
Starting point is 00:11:12 So why does Kevin McCarthy get promoted and you're going to fire Nancy Pelosi? Also, yes, she's effective. She's proved that. Also, whoever is in that job, they're going to trash. they're going to try to make look as shitty as possible. So why not use her? Because she's already pre-tarnished.
Starting point is 00:11:32 Why ruin a whole new person? Right. We saw this in 2002, right? You saw Max Cleland. Three triple amputee. They turned them into Osama Vinlan. They're not going to canonize you just because you're now the person in the chair.
Starting point is 00:11:50 I think it's a mistake to replace her. We should be uniting right now. There's a lot of work to do. for the American people. Okay, so... I've read your tweets after the election, and you know, you were saying to Donald Trump, kind of right in your face,
Starting point is 00:12:04 welcome to democracy. You know, we have oversight now. But it's only the House. It's not the Senate. What can you really do? Protect the country now. How? I mean, I get it that you can subpoena stuff
Starting point is 00:12:18 and you can have witnesses. You can't impeach them because you don't have the Senate. They have to convict. There's not 67 Senate. So you're not going to impeach him, right? Right. We're going to investigate where the Republicans are unwilling to investigate.
Starting point is 00:12:30 But for the last two years, have been defined by just panic and outrage by everything that he's done and trampled on our democracy and the rule of law. Now, because people cared and they went to town halls and town squares and marched, they voted to put a check on these abuses of power. So we can protect health care. We can protect paychecks, make sure that no more people are paying for folks at the top. But most importantly, we can protect our democracy and investigate where they were unwilling So presidential immunity, that's over.
Starting point is 00:12:57 But if people don't care about the findings, I mean, like the New York Times did an exhaustive search on his tax returns, or what he paid in taxes, and how he got his money. And it was an amazing result that they found. His whole origin story was a lie. He said, I started with a little pittance from my father, maybe a million dollars.
Starting point is 00:13:18 You got over $400 million from his father. No one cared. Why would they care when you throw another, bunch of evidence on the pile that he's a crook. Because we're going to see his tax returns. The American people will know if the president... But here's why it's it... We'll see his tax returns...
Starting point is 00:13:37 You know, it's going to be shady. You know, it's going to be this shell companies. It's going to be very hard. It's not going to say right there he cheated. And people are going to go, yeah, he's smart. He got out of paying taxes. I'd love to do that too. But if he promises that he's going to make their life better
Starting point is 00:13:51 because he did so in his own personal career, and it turns out that that was all a fraud, people are going to care. They want to know if the president is a tax cheat, and they also want to know if it's affecting our national security. We have seen decisions on Russia, decisions in Saudi Arabia. They are being driven because of his prior financial interests. So again, those days are over.
Starting point is 00:14:12 We can now intervene, interdict, and just stop the president from cashing in on access to the law. Even if he has the Attorney General, I mean, I feel like this Matthew Whitaker story is not getting what it should. It was last week's story. an outrage this week, that he put a stooge in there. This is what third world dictators do. I know Democrats are thrilled, hey, we have divert. We got an Eskimo. He got the Attorney General. Right. And we're not powerless anymore, though. And I've tried to, you know, encourage my colleagues that if this had happened and we weren't in the majority, we should be panicked.
Starting point is 00:14:42 But now let's project confidence and tell the American people, you elected us to stop this. We're going to stop this. And so we're going to protect Bob Mueller. We're going to make sure that this hired assassin who was brought in to take out the Mueller investigation is not able to. to do it and also we're gonna do all we can to get him to recuse himself because he's prejudged the investigation and he has been plotting for months with Donald Trump to do this so the American people have spoken they want a balance of power over an abuse of power okay well I'm glad that you guys took the house how many seats you're gonna think you'd have like 38 39 close to 40 that's a lot almost all of California even Orange County is slipped yeah my final question my final question Do we really need two Dakotas?
Starting point is 00:15:30 I've seen... I bring this up quite often, but, you know, I mean, it's not fair that California, with 40 million people, gets two senators, and Dakotas, with about 800,000 people, get four! I think that's where we start the reform. You could start that, Congressman. Well, if I want a good Thanksgiving with my mom
Starting point is 00:15:53 who is born in South Dakota, I'm going to say yes, but we should start going back to the Dakotas, because we have had Democratic senators, there again. We can win in Kansas. We just did. We can win in Nebraska and Oklahoma. There you go. We have before. So let's start going to those places. Eric Swalwell. Happy birthday, Mr. Eric Swalwell.
Starting point is 00:16:09 All right, good luck with your run for president. Let's meet our battle. There they are. He's a former senior advisor to John McCain's 2008 presidential campaign and co-host of the Words Matter podcast with Elise Jordan. Steve Schmidt is back with us. Liberal Los Angeles. She is the Duke University History
Starting point is 00:16:37 and public policy professor and author of Democracy in Change. Nancy McLean back with us on the panel. Great to see you. And he's an activist author and host of CNN's The Van Jones Show, Van Jones. Easy, easy, easy, easy. Okay, don't forget to send it... Love you too. You two want to talk that out?
Starting point is 00:17:02 Later. Don't forget to send it your questions for tonight's overtime, so we're going to answer them after the... the show on YouTube. I want to start talking about the fire. This is very personal to us. Global warming really is now something that we should realize is happening now. There are people on the show who didn't come to work this week. Somebody lost their house. They have no clothes. And I'm not in competition with any other kind of disaster, but when you see some of this, can you show some of the footage of what it looks? I mean, look at this. I mean, all the kind of
Starting point is 00:17:39 disasters we have in this country like school shootings or horrible mass shootings, this is even worse. And getting worse. The death toll on this is going to be a shocking number. Yeah. And it's disheartening that green initiatives in the election that we just had all went down. Florida, Arizona, Washington State, they all voted down green initiatives. I don't know what it's going to take, I guess your house catching on fire. Well, the only one that did pass was, I think, the city of Portland, so give them at least a little bit of praise.
Starting point is 00:18:13 However, this is going to get worse. I mean, these fires are getting worse. And for Donald Trump's base, let's be clear, we have fires in California. But the farmland right now, you have droughts and then floods. It's really hard to grow crops when you go from drought to flood, which is going on. So, you know, and he talked about infrastructure. There's no better infrastructure than building, you know, wind turbine. solar panels and also hardening our infrastructure
Starting point is 00:18:39 against these kind of disasters. And if Donald Trump wants to do something about infrastructure, it should be green infrastructure. We would have to reorganize how we build our homes. I mean, he keeps calling this a forest. It's not a forest fire. It's not the forest. It's what?
Starting point is 00:18:57 Right? It's what they call the wildland urban interface. In other words, it's... It's buildings. You may have noticed as buildings. Well, it's the areas of... like beyond the suburbs but before the cows. Yes. You know, it's where upper middle class people
Starting point is 00:19:13 have a horse or less well-off people have a car on the lawn. I live next to a forest, so I get that. North Carolina is full of beautiful forested areas next to homes. One in three homes in this country is in this area. Absolutely.
Starting point is 00:19:28 I don't know what's going to happen if they all start catching fire. Well, I think clearly we're going to have to learn to cope with what is happening right now and how people are being affected by it, but I think we also have to press harder and say what has happened when one of our major political parties in this country has closed, turns it, it's back on science, has said, we don't care, we're going to plug our ears, close our eyes, and we're going to deny that this is happening. And we have to be clear that that party has been totally
Starting point is 00:19:56 taken over by the fossil fuel industry and by the Coke donor network and all of these other people who will push to do anything to keep us from acting on this life-threatening. disaster both in our country and in other countries, and we've got to say that's not acceptable. The same way we got people elected in the midterms, we've got to be going door to door, holding politicians' feet to the fire, and saying, this has to stop now. Just like with the guns, right, that's how I felt. They seem to... The sad thing is a guy ran for president in 2008 said global warming was real,
Starting point is 00:20:31 caused by humans, cap and trade would fix it, and it would create millions of green jobs. I miss that guy every day. His name was John McCain. John McCain ran at the climate champion So it's only... You were the Green Initiative God, right? Wasn't that your job? That was my job. Barack Obama and John McCain
Starting point is 00:20:48 fought about every issue, but not this issue. So very recently, both parties have the common sense to know you can't cook a planet and live on at the same time. Okay. Steve? Well, I mean, put aside all the preponderance of the scientific evidence.
Starting point is 00:21:03 You just know from your own eyes that the weather is different today than it was 10 years ago, just commonsensically. We have these super storms. We're seeing these Armageddon fires. Hundreds of people will be dead. And we have a crisis in our politics. I mean, we have an unconstitutionally appointed acting attorney general who's a complete crackpot who recently was involved in a scam company that was selling time travel technology.
Starting point is 00:21:31 And we sit and we wonder and say, hey, you know, why is it that nobody will believe the science and reveling in ignorance has become a central qualification to be able to call yourself a conservative in this era to the country's great detriment. And Donald Trump's... Donald Trump is now putting forward... Where was that 10 years ago? I don't know where that was not around. Well, we did, you know, when I worked with Arnold Schwarzenegger, we passed climate change
Starting point is 00:22:06 legislation in California. We passed half a trade we did it 12 years ago. Now, they seem to literally resent trees. It's like liberals are pro-tree, so they have to be anti-tree. Well, Donald Trump has just nominated someone who's a coal industry lobbyist to head the EPA. I mean, that's just like, you know... But let me go on to this subject, because it's kind of related about the way people in this country now, especially on the right, I'm sorry, but it is more on the right, just make their decisions based on not what's good for them even, just because they want to make the libtards cry. Owning the libs.
Starting point is 00:22:40 Owning the libs. And, you know, we have this tremendous divide in this. The election proved that the divide is even bigger. The urban versus rural, you know, I call it the Whole Foods versus Piggly Wiggly. Well, you laugh, but 70% of the House seats that the Democrats slipped were in a district that has a whole foods. Okay. So what I'm getting to is Amazon. Amazon had this year-long tease.
Starting point is 00:23:07 Where are we going to put our two big new factories, or our, centers wherever they do their bullshit. So, they had a chance. America's aching for someone to take one for the team, to step up, do something to bridge this divide. They could have done that. Amazon has that power. They didn't.
Starting point is 00:23:24 They put the two places in New York and Washington, D.C., places that don't need it, okay? And by the way, these two places plus Seattle, their headquarters, wow, what a coincidence. All within seven miles. where St. Bezos has a home. Yeah. And it was even worse, I think, than that, in the sense that there are 235 cities in America
Starting point is 00:23:49 who put a lot of work into those bids, right? Think of all the person hours, all the monies that could have been serving local needs that instead went to trying to please Amazon. When it turns out Amazon was just playing them against these bigger cities to drive up the extortions that it was going to get from these bigger cities. And I think Jeff Bezos at the Washington Post
Starting point is 00:24:08 has a slogan that says, democracy dies in darkness. Well, he should apply that to Amazon's practices. No more secret deals, no more extorting our cities, no more demanding that we take tax dollars from our schools and our roads and our communities to the richest country of America. Yes, that's all true. But it would have been a patriotic thing to do,
Starting point is 00:24:27 to put it in, you know, Tulsa, Oklahoma, where I did my special this year. Thank you, Tulsa. It was great to be there. And there's smart people there. You know, I think a lot of the problem we have is that it looks like the people on the coasts have all the money and all the fun and all the celebrities
Starting point is 00:24:42 and they're having a big party and the flyover people, they're left out of the party you know? I don't know if it's good education, the poverty rate, the more opioids and they're like you know what, if I can't get invited to this party I'm just going to fuck it up. I'm just going to put a turd in the punch bowl
Starting point is 00:24:59 if you don't want me to join. So is that, but Trump is like putting a turd in the, okay? That already happened. I was just in in Tennessee, I had a death of my family. It's amazing. You're in the middle of the country.
Starting point is 00:25:15 Beautiful people, smart people, motivated people. No real opportunities. You're trying to become the manager at Applebee's or get promoted at your job at the hospital. And you think about what if that plan had gone to, stay on the coast, fine, go to Baltimore then. Like go someplace where people need you. That's what I would say if you have the opportunity.
Starting point is 00:25:34 Go someplace people need you. So what do you, you are, you are, Of course, involved, you were involved in this prison reform. Still am. Bill, and you think Trump is going to follow through? He says he's supporting it. Well, we'll see. We'll see. Listen. It looks like another case of Republicans being interested in a subject when it affects them
Starting point is 00:25:54 because Jared Kushner's father went to prison. Look, that's the big part. But who cares as long as it getting done, right? Listen, let me just say a couple things about it. This bill, which did come out of Jared Kushner's idea, his dad went to prison. And frankly, a lot of people who care about this issue care about it more when it hits to them. I think that's true about most issues. But this start off as a pretty small kind of like a minor bill.
Starting point is 00:26:18 It's just become what the New York Times says is the most substantive criminal justice reform bill in a generation. It's called the First Step Act. It would let 100,000 people who are locked up in federal prisons earn their way home sooner. It would prevent them from shackling women and abusing women behind bars, especially when they're pregnant, and a bunch of other good stuff, the crack powder cocaine disparity, that would get addressed retroactively. There's stuff in this bill that even law enforcement says would make the streets safer when folks come home.
Starting point is 00:26:48 So that's a very, very positive thing. It undo does all that dirty Harry bullshit from the 80s, right? When we went to restrikes your out and mandatory sentencing. It became a prison factor. Beginning to roll that stuff back from a president, and the reason I got irrationally exuberant about the whole thing was that they had this point. president was saying American carnage.
Starting point is 00:27:09 When this guy was elected, the prison stocks went through the roof. They said, ah, ha, ha, ha. And yet, we have been able, because formerly incarcerated people, here's the deal. It's not that Trump is so good. It's not that the Democrats are so good. It's that the prisons are so bad, and people are suffering so much that the people who are affected by that have been fighting and bringing the best out in both parties.
Starting point is 00:27:30 And we should keep fighting for people behind bars. I don't care who supports it. Trump or anybody else, let's put the people first. Okay, so every year, we, when we're about to take our break, give the audience what they need because they're not going to be able to follow the news without this show. So we predicted for you something we call future headlines,
Starting point is 00:27:52 ladies and gentlemen, and these are the stories. Even though we won't be on until January 18th, you're caught up already because you're going to see these stories. For example, White House unveils presidential hairdo advisory system. That is going to... to happen. Florida, to recount the recount of the first recount.
Starting point is 00:28:13 There's a story I can guarantee. Self-driving Uber, self-driving, still insist on blasting Armenian music. Wow. A heartfelt moment as boy reunited with cell phone. Oh, that's... Democrats launch, GoFundMe, to cover
Starting point is 00:28:33 Ruth Bader Ginsburg in Bubble Round. That's... That's a... Put in a word with the big man for that, because I can't. Santa Killer freed under Florida's stand-your-chimney law. Wow, that's... LGBTQ group called Homophobic by LGBTQA group. White woman calls 911 after spotting black man on box of rice.
Starting point is 00:29:04 All right, he was the world's top chess player for 20 years. He became a pro-democracy activist and now a co-author of the new book. Fight for Liberty, defending democracy in the age of Trump. A true hero, Gary Kasparov, is over here. Gary Kasparov. How are you, my friend? Great to see you. You know everybody here, I'm sure.
Starting point is 00:29:27 No. No person. Okay. So, Gary, you are such a good person to have here as America retreats from liberal democracy. I have some experience with you. You do. And it's disheartening.
Starting point is 00:29:37 We thought a generation ago when the Cold War ended that things were going to turn. out differently. I guess first of all, could they have, could Russia have gone a different direction than Putin or was he inevitable? It's a long story. Yeah. And a sad story. I think we should talk now about the lessons we can learn from this story. And I think everyone should recognize that democracy is not for granted. So it's just you have to fight for that. Somehow, you know, I think it says Trump election is very important milestone because Americans understand it's, you know, it's always in making. It's the, it's
Starting point is 00:30:08 the mechanism that have been developed 240 years ago or so, they're getting rusty, and it's very important that you revisit it, and there's certain even amendments, you know, could be reconsidered because again, the end of the 19th century, people couldn't foresee everything. It's one of the best documents ever written because they could
Starting point is 00:30:25 predict so many, you know, turns of history, but not everything. And now it's, you know, we have to look at this again, and the idea of the book was just as we, between us, we call it Federalist Papers 2.0. It's just to actually bring these values and to adjust them to the demands of the 21st century.
Starting point is 00:30:42 So Trump, kind of a stress test for democracy. It's the Trump's election was a stress test. His reelection would be probably a demise of democracy. I think so too. And I have been saying, to anyone who will listen on this show for as long as I can, he's not going to leave even if he loses the election. And I've heard maybe I finally have a witness here who will agree with me. Look, he didn't want to recognize results of elections.
Starting point is 00:31:06 Maybe not. I thought I finally had it. No, he didn't want to recognize the results of elections he had won. Right. What's he going to do when he loses one? He's doing it in Florida now. He's setting the table for that. Again, we should give him credit, if you may I call it, a credit.
Starting point is 00:31:25 That's that he succeeded in two years turning bat into normal. All of a sudden, something that we believe would be unacceptable, you know, even a coffee house debate. Now it's a part of a mainstream political battle. Right. And no doubt he will not stop. We haven't seen the worst. Because he will be fighting with survival. Look, his affection to all dictators, in my view,
Starting point is 00:31:46 based on his psychological envy to them, because he also want to be like them. So he wants to act without any checks and balances. That's why I guess he was depressed by the results of these elections, because all of a sudden now he could be checked. But again, the presidential power is so vast. And we have to agree that, in the last few decades, probably after Watergate,
Starting point is 00:32:10 we could see the accumulation of more and more power in the Oval Office. And by the way, Trump's election was another warning that many things, many loopholes had to be closed. We have to look at the presidential power and at the checks and balances and to recognize that, again, we did a very poor job predicting Trump.
Starting point is 00:32:28 And now it's time to prepare for 2020 because I have no doubt that he will fight his tooth and nail. And what we saw in this midterm, prepare for wars. And what happens if he doesn't go? What do you think happens to the world? I don't think it's not about him staying there if he loses. It's about the price this country will pay. But what's even more important is the image of America worldwide.
Starting point is 00:32:52 Because what Trump again succeeded in doing is ruining the image of America being, you know, just a true democracy. Because all of a sudden you see the man who acts like, you know, Vladimir Putin or other, you know, fellow dictators. Well, I want to read this quote, and I've read it before on this show. It's Paul Ryan. They caught him on a mic. He didn't know he was being taped, okay, with Kevin McCarthy, who is now their leader. And McCarthy says, there's two people, I think Putin pays, Roerbocker and Trump.
Starting point is 00:33:22 Swear to God. And Ryan says, this is off the record. No leaks, right? This is how we know we're a family here. Chilling. Mafia-like. It's not like Paul Ryan. and says, oh my God, you think Trump is on the payroll of Putin?
Starting point is 00:33:37 I cheered on results of the election. And Rohrbacher. In Orange County. He lost. My comment was that it's a... It's... First elections that Putin lost, fair and square. Well, that's the thing.
Starting point is 00:33:53 I mean, if anybody Putin was going to get involved in, it would be the election of Rohrabacher. If people don't know who he is, they call him Putin's congressman. He is a congressman here from Orange County. The biggest fundraising event was organized by Eric Prince. Yeah. Yeah, so it's more than $200,000 was raised for Roebacher. I believe there were other Russian connections that had been used to prop him up.
Starting point is 00:34:13 He's been on our show many times, Dana Roebbecker. Nice guy, traitor, but a very nice guy. But, I mean, that's all very discouraging. On the other hand, the antibodies have started to kick in. Even in Europe, you know, Brexit's starting to curdle and possibly come apart. Here we have the midterm election. And don't forget, our wave, the so-called blue wave, the rainbow wave, was bigger than the Tea Party wave. In other words, the Tea Party, 6.8% they beat us by in terms of a total popular vote.
Starting point is 00:34:43 This was nine points. So we had a bigger wave than the Tea Party. We didn't get all the seats we deserve because of the gerrymandering. But think about that. That means that the antibodies are starting to kick in, and we should be proud of that. I think we should be proud of that. Yeah. But also, let me don't make a point of that.
Starting point is 00:34:57 It's good that you mentioned the rest of the world because we, we face. we're seeing the same kind of phenomena in Europe as well, with the simultaneous rise of the alt-right, but also very far-left groups. And Vladimir Putin was very good in just using this new landscape because he doesn't care. You know, he can support any group that is spreading chaos. And, I mean, look at Germany.
Starting point is 00:35:19 I mean, as a result of Merkel's policy, because they didn't want to interfere in Syria, they accepted refugees. We have in Germany now, the third-largest party, neo-Nazis. 94 neo-Nazis and German Bundestag. And it's a time when there was no economic crisis. But everywhere we look around the world, Van, we see rising illiberalism.
Starting point is 00:35:40 You can no longer look at Hungary and Poland and say these are liberal democracies. Far-right parties in Austria in Germany. Trump's fetish for autocracy. And what we should understand about Trump, it's not the question isn't, can he lock up reporters? The question is, if he could, would he? And does anybody believe that the answer is no. The answer is yes. Every day he assaults our institutions.
Starting point is 00:36:07 He assaults the foundational pillars of a constitutional republic. And this is all much more fragile, I believe, than we think it is. Fascism did not rise in the 30s because it was strong, but because democracy was weak. And we have a crisis in our democracy. Democracy is lubricated by trust, faith, and belief in the system. It has been eroded singularly by this president's constant assault on every institution that's been handed down as part of our American heritage through great sacrifice and great valor, and it is appalling. Steve Schmidt, he's going to fight small well for that Democratic nomination. I'm sorry with everything that you just said, Steve, but I think also as a historian, it's important to take this back.
Starting point is 00:37:02 And Donald Trump came to us as the result of some chronic problems in our democracy in our country. Speaking of Amazon, I mean, the fact that we have basically gotten rid of antitrust enforcement in this country, right? That we have the wealthiest individual in the country, the wealthiest corporation, and they are using the political process to extract more favors to distort democracy so that it doesn't work for people in all these communities that voted for Trump. Facebook is worse than Amazon. Did you see that yesterday? Yes. Facebook, it turns out that Cheryl Sandberg and Mark Zuckerberg, they knew about all this Russian interference before. and during the 2016 election,
Starting point is 00:37:41 and they spent a lot more time covering it up than doing something about it. I mean... But even more chilling or not, too, I think, is the fact that they actually... Lock them up. They hired a firm that engaged in dark ops that tried to build on this antagonism
Starting point is 00:37:56 to George Soros, which we've already seen in Hungary, has led to the most virulent anti-Semitism and the shutting down of a university, and they actually, at Facebook, were willing to agitate that, even after the bomb to his home, even after all of this, like what is going on with these companies? But also, are we complicit?
Starting point is 00:38:13 Every time we get that easier order on Amazon or we go to Facebook and give them likes that give the information to them that they sell to others, we also have to face, I think, our own implication. I think the question with Facebook is, is it literally, is it the worst thing ever invented or just the worst thing in the last 50 years? I mean, it is, it is a vessel that has done real damage, real harm, to our liberal small L institutions. And we have a right in this country to look at these companies and make a decision as a people. How big, how powerful do we want them to be?
Starting point is 00:38:50 How much information do we want them to have on us? And they clearly cannot be trusted to do the right thing. What I think is, cannot. What, what, no big company can. That's what this proves. These were all supposed to be liberal companies. The reason that this hurts,
Starting point is 00:39:08 And I think the reason that people feel disappointed and even betrayed is because all the other institutions are failing. And there was this sense that maybe these tech kids would be able to bring us a better future, that they would be the disruptors, that these kids would come up with a great new set of opportunities for us. And it turns out that they are equally fallible and unfortunately. And greedy. And greedy. And unfortunately, now we have. How much money do you need to have when you wear the same T-shirt every day? I don't understand the way these people think.
Starting point is 00:39:42 I don't. Here's what I think about. And I see you're trying to get in. Here's what I think about it. We now live in a world where we have so much data and so little wisdom. That's the world that we live in. You're so right. So there is an opportunity for them to begin to make some progress.
Starting point is 00:39:57 I don't know that Washington, D.C. is going to be much more wise than trying to regulate them. But I think they are young people. They've created something. I think they've now got to grow up and take more responsibility. Yes, first of all, I have to say that it's technology is agnostic. It's about people. Yes. Humans still have monopoly for evil. Right.
Starting point is 00:40:15 You know, we're dealing with new technology. Very so powerful. And of course, you know, as it happened many times before history, first it used for destructive purposes. You started with nuclear bomb and then nuclear reactor, because it's much easier. And then it goes right to porn. But Facebook... That's...
Starting point is 00:40:32 That's technology. It goes... Yeah, that's just an instance, yes. That's true. But Facebook knew about the inherited weaknesses of their technology. As Twitter, they have been warned by myself and many others since before 2016 that it's open. And the system would serve, as I said, as a beehive for Russian bear. Because it was, Putin already built the industry of fake news and troll factories.
Starting point is 00:40:56 It has been doing it since 2004, 2005, Russia. And then he moved to neighboring countries, then to Europe. So America attacking America was just a matter of time. You said a great thing. You said dictators don't ask why. They ask why not? Why not attack this concept? Speaking about Facebook, I mean, less, we have to also mention that Obama administration knew about this attack.
Starting point is 00:41:16 Congress by Adam Schiff has been crying in September 2016 saying we have all the data to actually stop it. But everybody thought, everybody thought Hillary would have won anyway. So why should we interfere? No, that's not true. Obama wanted to move forward on a bipartisan basis. He reached out to Mitch McConnell. And here's a deal. Think about the instability that would have been created if Obama had gone out there
Starting point is 00:41:38 on his own. It could do worse than elected Trump? I'm sorry. It could be worse than elect Trump? Well, hey, listen, if you don't elect Trump but you wind up with an armed Tea Party response because you have the sense it's not... I agree with the American historian. But it's a start defending American Constitution. He's sworn. If he knew it was a threat
Starting point is 00:41:55 and it was an open threat, he had to interfere. And that's for the same reason. Facebook wanted to protect its business, the Twitter. They didn't want to do anything that could jeopardize their interest. The question for Facebook is this. Is it an American company that operates globally or a global company that is headquartered in America? Because if it's an American company, it should act in a specific way, and that is in defense of the vital interests of the United States.
Starting point is 00:42:22 Yes. The country is under attack. The country is under attack by hostile foreign powers. looking to interfere in our elections process. Facebook is the vehicle by which they did it. The senior executives of the company knew it was going on. They covered it up. They lied about it.
Starting point is 00:42:42 And that company, more than any company in the history of this country, has done more and more quickly to subvert American liberal democracy than any other ever. Yes. Okay. All right. All right. All right. Before we run out of time for the year,
Starting point is 00:42:59 because we only have a few minutes left, I gave my predictions with future headlines. I want to ask if anybody on this panel, tell me what's going to happen in the next two months. I would guess a lot of indictments. I mean, is this when Mueller's going to, like, spill the beans finally? Go ahead.
Starting point is 00:43:16 Look, I am completely given up predicting what's going to happen with the Mueller investigation just because we've been waiting so long to hear from him. So whatever he comes out with... Why would Trump go so apeship yesterday? I think he's very nervous. He said, they have found no collusion. I love this.
Starting point is 00:43:33 They have found no collusion. We don't have their report yet. It's like people who write reviews. I've been evicted them sometimes before they see the show. Yes, yes. They are screaming and shouting at people. Yes, can you imagine someone doing that? Horribly threatening them.
Starting point is 00:43:47 I mean, this guy is just to come up with answers they want. They don't care how many lives they ruin. Again, imagine a person. These are angry people. Yes, we don't see that with him. Don't even look at the bad action. We haven't seen that in a while, where he went after Mueller specifically. He is afraid of something.
Starting point is 00:44:08 We don't know if what he's afraid of is criminally liable for himself or others, if it's just embarrassing. But whatever it is, he acts like a guy who's terrified. And I think whatever his fears are, they are likely to come true by the end of the year. That's what I think. Okay. My concerns are related, but different, in that I, actually fear for the potential for violence in this country because the Republican campaign strategy
Starting point is 00:44:35 in these midterms when it came down to it was just the strategic use of racism to divide us against one another and to gin up this fear at the border. And, you know, I have done research on the Ku Klux Klan, studied the history of the right in this country. You don't unleash monsters like that and then bank them down. And so when this caravan, if it reaches the border, already we have these militias going down, I really fear that we're going to have bloodshed there, but not to be too dark before the holidays. I also think that we saw an incredible mobilization of the American people, or good people in this election, to turn things around, to, as you said, Gary, to take responsibility for our democracy, to make their voices count,
Starting point is 00:45:14 to bring other people out, and to turn this thing around. And so I think that work will continue, and we need to support that, but I think we cannot underestimate the threat for violence. Let's not forget that 12 bombs were sent out. The reason why we're not having a completely different tone to this show and everyone that took place after is because luckily they don't believe in science so they can't build a bond. But somebody will. You're right.
Starting point is 00:45:40 He's not going to be the last guy to build. The attempted assassination of the entire leadership of the Democratic Party failed just because they weren't good at their job, at their mission. And I do think that we've gotten, we've been punched numb so that something like that can happen. You forget two days later that it even happened.
Starting point is 00:45:57 And I think also, with the Mueller situation, there's no referee that's trusted anymore. If Mueller would have come out and tell the left, Trump did nothing wrong, we wouldn't believe it. And if he came out and told the right, he did everything wrong, they wouldn't believe it. We're now in uncharted territory where we don't trust the presidency. Congress has been jury-mandered. We don't trust that. The Supreme Court's been stacked. So you're now in a society where all of our institutions have this air of illegitimacy to them. So we're going to have to try to turn to each other, not on each other. That's going to be our challenge.
Starting point is 00:46:27 We thought Russia was going to become like us, and we became like Russia. It's the you live in the world where, you know, there's no vacuum. So if you walk away, you sell your false will out to pursue you in your own country. And actually, I don't know what's going to happen in next two months, but my hope that something is not going to happen, because typically all the dictators or would be dictators, when they are frustrated, when they're limited domestically, they look for foreign policy adventure.
Starting point is 00:46:52 Yes, yes. And Trump still has all the powers. And it's not just about Mexican border. Let's hope there will be no bloodshed far away because this is a classical way of diverging attention. Wag the dog. Exactly. Well, I mean, understand.
Starting point is 00:47:07 We have the U.S. Army deployed to the border. Active duty elements of the 82nd Airborne, the 101st Airborne, the 4th Infantry Division, active duty units for a political stunt for an invasion that is spun up and made up out of whole cloth. So sometime over the next two months, those units will be quietly withdrawn as if this never happened
Starting point is 00:47:30 because in fact it never did and completely made up deployment and how many Christmases, Thanksgiving have these men and women missed to see them being abused down there on that border and they'll come home and we'll hardly see a story about it Trump's big lie having worked again.
Starting point is 00:47:49 All right, thank you panel. It's time for new rules. Okay, new rule. When Vladimir Putin walks in, to contain your excitement. Try to be a little more like these two who look like Satan just entered the room. And then there's this guy
Starting point is 00:48:18 who looks like he's watching his prom date come down the stairs. New Rule, the people who were concerned about kids eating Tide pods and are now concerned that Tide's new box looks like it dispenses delicious wine. I have to tell me, is it really that hard not to put tide in your mouth? Jesus. What a country.
Starting point is 00:48:47 New rule, now that Alex Barker and Aaron Smith, who both have the same rare condition that leaves them unable to smile, have met, dated, and gotten engaged, someone has to tell them things are going to get easier because this is what every couple looks like after a few years. Not true. New Rule, before I react to this photo of Mexican dwarf wrestling, social justice warriors have to tell me,
Starting point is 00:49:16 am I angry because this exploits and body shames? Or am I proud because they're fearless Latinx people who are beautiful at any size? It doesn't matter to me. Personally, I didn't even notice they were dwarfs. I don't see height. New Rule, someone has to start an employment agency just for people with face tattoos.
Starting point is 00:49:42 Why suffer the embarrassment of going to a job interview only to be told, I'd like to hire you, but your face says pussy eater. And finally, new rule, let's stop talking politics to each other. Everyone these days says that the way to bridge our frightful partisan divide is to talk to the other side
Starting point is 00:50:19 so we can hear each other's point of view. No, that's exactly what you shouldn't do. It never works. No one ever flips to your... side, talk to them, yes, but not about politics. It's true. You would have better luck trying to talk Tom Cruise out of Scientology. Just don't go there. When I was a kid, politics and religion was just not something the adults talked about.
Starting point is 00:50:52 It was considered private and kind of impolite and nosy to go there. Politics was like Las Vegas. What happened in the voting booth, stayed in the voting booth. We used to have no idea how much we really hated each other. And it worked. So when people ask, how do we bridge the partisan divide? I'll tell you how. Shut the fuck up. Really.
Starting point is 00:51:24 Really. We never used to fight over politics 24-7. If somebody said, eh, hot enough for you today? The other guy didn't say, yes. Yes, it is. because of your party's environmental policies. True, though that may be. But saying it at every opportunity doesn't help.
Starting point is 00:51:48 People don't change their politics. Over the years, hundreds of people have come up to me and said, I saw a religiousist, and now I'm an atheist. Nobody ever comes up to me and says, I watch real time every week, and now I'm a liberal. They'll flip on God, but not Trump. That cult is serious. Facebook.
Starting point is 00:52:12 Facebook used to be an innocuous place to humble brag and show cat videos. Now it's a cauldron of political hatred. It was a platform to gain friends. Now it's more about rooting them out. What's with this, if you don't agree with what I just posted, unfriend me? Fuck you, gladly.
Starting point is 00:52:39 We need to get back to what Facebook used to be about, letting us see who from high school was fat, gay, or dead. So, look, Thanksgiving is in a few days, and that means spending time with family and in-laws, some of whom we may not agree with politically. Just don't go there. Don't waste your time talking to people about Trump. If they haven't figured it out yet,
Starting point is 00:53:08 neither will anything you say over the green bean casserole. My childhood thanksgivings were always in Princeton, New Jersey because my father's sister married a country club Republican. And I was aware my parents didn't like Republican politics, but they liked Uncle Howe.
Starting point is 00:53:30 There was zero talk at Thanksgiving dinner about how wrong they thought his politics were. The ride home, that was a different story. That's true. James Carville and Mary Matlin, the epitome of political opposites, got married on Thanksgiving Day, and it's lasted 25 years.
Starting point is 00:53:52 Their secret? Yes, a symptom. Obviously, hate sex. It was a part of it. But also, they don't talk politics at home. Mary, once told an interviewer, talking about the impact of the minimum wage is just not something.
Starting point is 00:54:10 that is high on our list of fun things to do. Exactly. Especially when there are so many other things you can't talk about. There's a book I've had on my shelf for years. It's called 14,000 things to be happy about. I know. It doesn't really sound like me. And you're right, it isn't. But I use it from time to time in writing,
Starting point is 00:54:39 because it's just a list of random things that can serve the purpose of getting an idea started. If you're high, it doesn't work so good. But I thought of this book in relation to our subject tonight. If there are 14,000 things to talk about just in this book, we don't need to talk politics all the time. We could talk about... I could read from a... I will, a random page.
Starting point is 00:55:05 Baking your own bread. Silent movies. Fresh cut flowers. Morning Dew, Mahogany, the three-day weekend, slumber parties, wagon wheels, fortune cookies, mother goose, Sunday naps. See? Talk about that shit. Talk about how the parking lot at Trader Joe's is too small. Talk about how pennies are a pain in the ass and they start playing the
Starting point is 00:55:41 Christmas music too early. Talk about how 69 is never as good as you thought it would be. Just don't talk politics. Okay, that's our show. We're done for the year. We'll be back January 18th. Thank you. Audience everywhere for sticking with us. I'll be at the Castle. And oh, it's Hawaii time, Malley, December 30th, and Connollui, and at the Blaisdale and Honolulu New Year's Eve.
Starting point is 00:56:04 I want to thank Steve Schmidt, Nancy McLean, Van Jones, Gary Kasparov, Eric Swalwell. Join us now for overtime. Thank you, everybody. Catch all new episodes of Real Time with Bill Maher every Friday night at 10 or watch them anytime on HBO On Demand. For more information, log on to hbo.com

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