Real Time with Bill Maher - Overtime - Episode #378 (Originally aired 2/26/16)

Episode Date: February 27, 2016

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Transcript
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Starting point is 00:00:00 Welcome to an HBO podcast from the HBO late-night series, Real Time with Bill Maugh. We are back, and Michael Hayden, does the effectiveness of drones outweigh the moral concerns about them? Good question. I meant to get that. It's a great question. And there's always a trade-off. And even if the first-order effect is what you want and you achieve it,
Starting point is 00:00:22 you always create second, third, and fourth-order effects that you're going to have to pay a tariff on sooner or later. So you don't do it lightly. The line I use, with regard to drones in our current circumstances, we don't need a switch. We need to dial. Meaning? Meaning that there's still times when such an activity is necessary, when we've got an adversary, wants to come in over the perimeter wire and kill you, me, our families.
Starting point is 00:00:48 When you have a host government unwilling and or unable to act, you need to keep this tool available. But again, it can't always be the default option because you have to live them with second and third order. article about it. You said it's greatly exaggerated, how many civilians are killed? It is. But the article also says it's necessary, precise, and imperfect. And so you always have to live with those. But again, the alternative, you know, if you look at us in Iraq 10 years ago, kicking down doors, actual soldiers on the ground, getting killed and killing a lot of other Iraqis, I don't know if that's better, but I also think drones probably do create a lot of terrorists. No, as I said, Trades, let me give you a thought.
Starting point is 00:01:28 You know, it's kind of viewed as antiseptic. It's a video game. It's not really warfare. From our side, the people who operate them in tremendous emotional strain. Because they actually become intimately familiar with the target. With the Pred, the Reaper, over a target, hours, if not days. You see the family. You see the interaction.
Starting point is 00:01:51 You see this as a human being. And if that's still the target, you know, he kisses the kids, he kisses the wife, he gets in the SUV and he gets 400 yards away from the compound where you can now take your first shot consistent with the laws of armed conflict. And you do, even though you've established this great emotional bond. So it's not a free ride for the people tactically. It is, however, very alluring at the political level because it allows you to do and be seen as doing something without embracing.
Starting point is 00:02:23 the political risk of putting Americans in harm's way. Fran Lebrowitz, what explains your antipathy toward the Clintons? Yeah, you don't like the Clintons. No. Am I alone in this? No. No. I mean, I think everybody else has mixed feelings. Mine aren't that mixed, but...
Starting point is 00:02:42 Right. Well, you know, I believe that you can only really judge your contemporaries. You know, people younger and older than you, you were kind of guessing, but with your contemporaries, you can really read them. And Bill Clinton was the first person of my generation. He's older, but still my generation, to be the president, to run for the president. And the second I saw him, I thought,
Starting point is 00:03:03 I know this guy went to high school with him. You know, I didn't like him. And then, I don't like him now. So I think my entropy is that I understand him. You know, I don't like him. To me, he seemed like a Republican. You know, I didn't like his policies. When he signed that welfare bill, I went insane.
Starting point is 00:03:19 You know, I mean, he was way to the right of me. A lot of his success was about moving. the Democratic Party to the right. He was a successful moderate Republican president. Right. But I'm a liberal Democrat, so that is why I didn't like him. Hillary Clinton, the same, really. Chelsea Clinton is just, I throw in to the mix.
Starting point is 00:03:36 It's not her fault, but... Right. But she's not helping. Yes, she's not helping in the situation. But I'm voting for Hillary Clinton, and I want her to be the president. Because it doesn't matter if you like them. You're not going to have dinner with them. Michael Eric Dyson, how would you grade Obama as a, quote,
Starting point is 00:03:51 black president? I'm not even sure. As opposed to the... I'm not sure what that means. The other Obama, you know, the Jewish... Oh, I think he's going to go down as one of the most incredibly successful and consequential presidents in the history of this nation. But what he is done on race will not win him those plaudits. He is the Shaquille O'Neal of presidents.
Starting point is 00:04:17 He's got four rings. He's an incredibly great president, but he couldn't shoot free throws. It does no good for us to pretend that Shaquille O'Neal. could shoot free throws. And in fact, because of that vulnerability, they came up with a hacka shack. And they exploited him at the end of the game. Obama's weakness, his hacka shack, is raised because he was hesitant, he procrastinated, and he was loath to address an issue that ultimately forced him into his bully pulpit with
Starting point is 00:04:42 extraordinary eloquence. And the last time I was on the show when he spoke that eulogy at that church, he was at his best when he was at his blackest, and therefore he showed America something more powerful. So as a president in general, an A, as a president who dealt with issues that are germane to African-American people about a C. But you choose, as your analogy, the NBA, the most black-dominated sport. Racist, sir. Jack Hughes! Let's start fighting racism there, where it is most prevalent. Mark Ruffalo, did your lobbying of British Prime Minister David Cameron have an effect on
Starting point is 00:05:21 his fracking agenda? That remains to be seen. You didn't know you lobbied him. I did. I made a video imploring him to think about the health consequences. And he answered you? No, but... That was before you're an A-Lister.
Starting point is 00:05:39 You're an A-Lister now. Now you'll get the answer. Yeah, now, after tonight, I'm waiting for... I'm waiting. Four million people saw that. It was probably one of the most popular posts that I've ever made. That is a lot. And, I mean, what he's doing there is he's basically, he told the people, if you don't want fracking, we won't bring it here.
Starting point is 00:05:59 And recently he just turned that around. The people said, we don't want fracking. And he said, well, we're going to force you to take it. And it just, you know, it's the same shit everywhere. I don't know. Lots of fracking. I mean, other than the people in the business. Right.
Starting point is 00:06:14 Like, are there other people that are not in the business? I don't know. Who's like, come in, you know, frack my backyard? Right. Well, they come in, they offer you money for your farm. And then they turn the water and it burst into flames. They see that. I've seen it.
Starting point is 00:06:26 I know. They think that's a good tradeoff? I know. Some people. But people don't think ahead, you know, and some people are struggling. It's like somebody comes in and offers you money for your farm, and your farm is failing anyway. That's true.
Starting point is 00:06:38 That's what it was. Will Obama be able to finally close Guantanamo Bay? Yes, that was news this week. We should have mentioned it. Didn't have time for that. What do you think about that, Guantanamo Bay? If it closes, I hope he, he's able to do it without creating a constitutional crisis by closing it in the face of congressional
Starting point is 00:06:57 opposition that we actually get to a political agreement. I'm not concerned about keeping prisoners in the United States. You've talked earlier. We're really good at that. We can keep people here. I am concerned. I am concerned about the legal regime that would be created by what the president still agrees will be forever prisoners. There are some who will be brought here who would not be tried and whom we will not release. And then the other factor is, back to your MBA metaphor, don't operate under shot clock here. All right. You need to be very careful about who you shove out the door.
Starting point is 00:07:36 The recidivism rate here is about 30%. Truth in lending. Push administration, push more people out the door than this administration. So we both had a common goal. Well, we did. Most of the people who were there never should have been there in the first place. And we've kept people there who even our own government says we should release. They're just rotting them for no reason.
Starting point is 00:07:57 Why don't we give them a trial? I still don't understand. Like America trial system works. And trials work. We have never ever had a high-profile terrorist trial in a federal court where there wasn't a conviction. They're pitching a perfect game. You're like, you know, like, that's terrorist bait. I mean, it's literally a terrorist manual.
Starting point is 00:08:15 America doesn't try people. They say they do, but they don't. Right. Why? My turn? Yes. Thank you for waiting. Thank you for waiting.
Starting point is 00:08:24 Thank you. Because this president and his predecessor in the American Congress have said we are at war with al-Qaeda. That gives us a variety of legal regimes, not a lawful regime and an unlawful regime, but a variety of legal regimes with which to conduct the war. One is, according to the United States criminal law. Another, perfectly legal effort is to do it under the laws of armed conflict.
Starting point is 00:08:48 A president who is willing to kill people, outside of internationally agreed theaters of conflict has already hugged dearly the concept that we are at war. And therefore, we do have a right as a belligerent to keep members of the opposing armed enemy force as prisoners. But we don't have to. No, and we can try that in the federal courthouse in New York. You know why Bloomberg didn't want that trial there? Bad for real estate values. That is absolutely why.
Starting point is 00:09:14 Is that really? Yes. But there have been many trials there. Yes, there have been many trials. And they're all successful. Yes. It introduces America's moral authority all around the world, and you can see America trying to lecture countries on democracy and the importance of it,
Starting point is 00:09:28 and then this is what we do. It's just such an own goal. The optics are not good. Although, given the inclination toward mass incarceration, one of the embarrassing consequences, though unintended, could be that, hey, a terrorist's got a fairer trial than some of our American citizens. You know, there's a reason why ISIS executes people in those orange like that. Like, well, that color.
Starting point is 00:09:51 No, no, I'm not... I'm just thinking... Oh my God. Not bad. Thank you. I'm just thinking what you did to Anthony Scalia, please. Oh, that's that exact color as well. But a better cut.
Starting point is 00:10:02 This is a much better cut. Right. But that, you know, that color jumpsuit. They put them in that outfit because they want to remind people of Gitmo. Bill, can I just look forward? We're looking backwards and I understand the impact, right? But looking forward, if you're unwilling to use all the tools available, Look at the dilemma.
Starting point is 00:10:20 The book tries emphasize nothing easy, and there's always tradeoffs, all right? Looking forward, we don't capture anyone whom we cannot, whom we don't have confidence. This is looking forward that we don't have confidence we can bring into an Article 3 court, and we have a chain of evidence and all those other things that are required for a very high standard of beyondreasonable. and when we don't have that tool, when we don't have that body of proof, when we don't think we can bring them in to a federal court instead of capturing under the laws of armed conflict, we killed them. Right.
Starting point is 00:10:56 But Gantanamo was filled with people that they just grabbed. I mean, we hear the story over and over again, that they were grabbed in the night. They were just part of a feud in Afghanistan. Wrong dude. Sorry, 18 years, sorry. Wrong guy, sorry. We just need to close gun quantum obey. Please.
Starting point is 00:11:18 It's just a political issue for politicians to be able to say, I won't allow them on American soil. I keep saying, these guys have seen conair too many times. They think these are master criminals instead of just sad old men. Okay, Joanna Coles, do you see gun control as a woman's issue? Oh. You see gun control as a woman's issue?
Starting point is 00:11:38 Well, the boyfriend, loophole is, very worrying where, you know, there is a sort of boyfriend loophole. So actually, single women are not as well protected as married women and women with children. And that's to do with when, if a man has been violent in a relationship and he's no longer living with the woman and you're dating him, he can still buy a gun. If he's been violent in a relationship and he's still with the woman, he's not allowed to buy a gun with background checks. So actually, single women are more vulnerable. And it's incredibly important, actually, for single women to, A, know that they're more
Starting point is 00:12:18 likely to be murdered by a guy with a gun than if you're married to him. And secondly, that you should have a conversation with someone if you're dating them about, do you have a gun, where do you keep it? Where's the ammunition? And don't have it when you're both drunk. You know, have it when you're sober. Liberals hate anything that, you know, sort of gives ammunition. to the pro-gun people.
Starting point is 00:12:41 But the truth is that men are generally stronger than women, and a gun is an equalizer. Well, only if the woman's holding the gun. Yeah, yeah. But a woman can't hold a gun. It's not too heavy for her to pick up. Well, except that if you live in a household with a gun, one of you is more likely to die from gun death
Starting point is 00:13:02 or from violent death than if you don't have one. So you're better off. The truth is you're better off not having a gun. You're better off not having a gun. You know, if he's in the bushes and I was a woman, I'd like to have a gun. I would. Because if he gets in the house, then I don't have any recourse. Well, statistics show that you're much less likely
Starting point is 00:13:19 to be harmed by a gun if there are no guns around. Yeah. I think... That's a lot of idiots who don't know what they're doing with a gun, you know? Does Chris Christie backing Trump lend him any credibility with the Republican establishment? Which one? Trump or Christy? That's a good question.
Starting point is 00:13:46 I think Chris Christie is trying to get a job. Of course, Trump says he. Of course he is trying to get a job. And he thinks, finally, I'm going to be a pit boss in Atlantic City, which is the job really should have happened. No, I think, I don't think he thinks he's going to be the vice president, because that would be a little too much of one sort of testosterone-fueled East Coast. Right.
Starting point is 00:14:08 kind of alpha male. But Attorney General, I think he would love that job. And I think if he helps Trump, Trump, Trump, I mean, I'll be thrilled if Trump is president and he doesn't appoint Paula Dean and Joe the Plummer. Or Judge Judy. Judge Judy for Supreme Court. Right.
Starting point is 00:14:28 Has the success of Donald Trump diminished the power of money in politics? Well, that's a good question, too, because we saw Jeb Bush drop out, and he certainly had most of the money. and Donald Trump, yeah. But isn't Donald Trump getting money just on the sly? I mean, it's not that he's not getting money. He's just not getting the traditional way,
Starting point is 00:14:47 but, you know, there's a lot more than his own cash at stake. But I don't think he's an answer to the referendum on money. But Jeb spent $98 million on advertising. And if you're Donald Trump, you're a content machine, right? You don't need to have any advertising, because everybody's covering you. You are the content, and Jeb was simply wrapping his ads around the content of Trump.
Starting point is 00:15:07 of Trump. I agree. I mean, money doesn't help you if you're not a good candidate, and Jeb just didn't look like he wanted it enough. Yeah. I always say it's like a sports team.
Starting point is 00:15:16 You know, over the course of many seasons, probably the richer teams do do better. But lots of times, I mean, in the World Series last year, the Mets were not one of the richer teams, either were the Royals, and the Mets beat them.
Starting point is 00:15:29 All right, thank you very much, everybody. Catch all new episodes of Real Time with Bill Maher, Friday night at 10 or watch them anytime on HBO On Demand. For more information, log on to HBO.com.

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