Real Time with Bill Maher - Overtime – Episode #635: Sarah Isgur, Matt Welch
Episode Date: October 7, 2023Bill Maher and his guests answer viewer questions after the show. (Originally aired 10/06/23) See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoice...s.com/adchoices
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Welcome to an HBO podcast from the HBO late-night series, Real Time with Bill Maugh.
Okay, here we are on CNN, and this is our panel.
He's co-host of the fifth column podcast, Michael Monaghan.
He's co-host of the YouTube show on podcast Torganometer,
and the author of an Immigrants' Love Letter of the West, Constantine Kisson.
All right, thank you, gentlemen.
Elon has had to go and save the world, and I think he will.
Okay, here are the questions.
Will Russia's bombing of Ukraine's capital city prompt a...
Oh, yeah. I saw that on the news today. Horrible. Saw it on CNN.
Start on light, are we?
Yeah, prompt a counteroffensive supported by Western allies.
No, the counteroffensive is coming anyway. It's nothing to do with the bombing.
The Ukrainians have been planning this for a long time.
They've been waiting for what they call Rasputitsa in that part of the world,
which is mud season to be over, and also training up their forces with Western weapons,
tanks, et cetera. So the counteroffensive is coming.
The actual, these bombings of the civilians, they're not,
all they're doing is strengthening the resolve of the Ukrainians more than anything else,
other than, of course, killing and maiming innocent people.
So the counter-offensive is coming, but it's not because of that.
How does this war end?
Well, I've said from day one that I think the likely outcome
is that Ukraine will make some territorial concessions,
which will be Crimea and parts of the Donbass,
and likely that will be in exchange for what Ukraine actually needs,
which is long-term security.
my opinion, there's no other way of providing it other than either NATO membership or UN
peacekeepers on the border, but I don't think that's going to happen. So most likely, Ukraine
has a successful counter-offensive, pushes Russia's far away as it can, and then makes a settlement
that means that what happened in 2014. Remember, we talked about it earlier, when Crimea and parts
of the Donbass were first taken, that can never happen again because Ukraine is now part of
NATO and is therefore under the umbrella of that organization. But you see Putin ever,
making concessions.
I mean, we talk a lot in this country
about how long Biden's going to last.
I keep reading that he's sick, Putin.
Is that just a rumor? Do you have relatives in Russia?
I have relatives in both countries, but nobody
really knows. I mean, I don't know if you know this.
They take his poo in a bag
and it's kept separate from it. No one can analyze it.
So the information isn't getting out. Let's put it that way.
How do you know that? So you're
saying they take the Putin pool
and put it in... They keep it separate.
goes abroad. They keep a hold of it.
Because...
How could everybody get it? It goes down the toilet.
Maybe he shits in a bag.
Maybe that's what we're discovered right now.
Run CNN. You can't say a bad word.
He heard it here first. It's not live there, is it?
No, but it's not edited either.
Oh, I forgot it. Okay. This is new to the CNN thing. I don't know.
But on the Putin thing is, the sickness we saw in those files that were leaked by that
like 11-year-old kid in the National Guard in Massachusetts
was the intelligence analyst say that he has cancer
and his leg shakes all the time. And as far as concessions, I mean,
the only way that most Ukrainians see this in units from the polling of Ukrainians,
they don't want to give up any territory. Of course. And the way that
this ends is Russia loses. And he does pull out. You see
that what happened in Kiev, I mean, they tried at the very beginning of this war
to encircle Kiev and cut off the head of the snake what they thought
and they were routed by an army that at that point
didn't even have all the Western weapons that they have now
and these columns of tanks coming in and being picked off
but plainly he could bomb Kiev much more than he has
that's what we were seeing on the news today
just apartment bill it's just pointless
well not pointless if you're a terrorist because that's
militarily pointless yeah militarily pointless
except for the long range goal of winning the war
and making people just say uncle and that seems to be
it's terror bombing
I mean, the entire point of that, I mean, look, I, you know, criticize it, if you will,
it means what we did in Germany in 1943, 44, and 45 was to bomb and say we were going to break.
Publicly said this.
Bomber Harris said, we're going to break their spirit.
And that's something that ended here now in 1945.
The Russians are doing this today.
But that isn't what's happening on the ground.
I remember on the first day of the war I called up one of my friends in Kiev, and I said to him, listen, I've talked to some people, you need to get out.
And he said to me, just to remember this conversation.
He said, this is different to 2014.
We're not, this is our country.
We're not leaving.
And what is happening in Ukraine now with these bombings,
it's only a strange thing they're resolved.
Well, they're brave people.
They are incredible.
All right, what does the panel think of a recent poll
that puts Democratic presidential challenger,
RFK Jr.?
Yes, if you hadn't gotten the news,
Robert Kennedy Jr., the son of Robert Kennedy,
our former attorney general,
at 19%.
I saw that today, too.
I must say, I'm surprised that right off the bat, he's polling at 19%.
Kennedy name helps, yeah, 19%.
But another poll at him at 17%.
So they seem to be in line in that Marianne Williamson is at 9%.
So you have a chunk of people, and when you talked about this in the main show,
70% of Americans don't want Joe Biden to run again, 50% of Democrats.
There are people looking for alternatives.
And I really wish it wasn't Robert Kennedy,
but the DNC right now is, you know, lining up the troops
and going to prevent him from doing any damage.
They're not going to have debates.
There's not going to be no primary debates.
He's just going to be pushed aside.
If he's running as a Democrat,
if he decides to then run as a third party candidate,
you have a pro situation.
And why don't you like him?
Why don't...
I mean, you said you wish it wasn't him.
Why?
Yeah, I wish it wasn't him for a variety of reasons.
I mean, you know, Kennedy said something in 2013
that, you know, frequent guests in the show,
Matt Welch just tweeted about it was, you know,
He thinks that, you know, climate deniers should be put in jail.
There should be regulations against people denying climate change.
His past is checker with this stuff.
It's not just the VAC stuff.
I don't get into those issues.
I don't know a ton about it.
That's not my area of expertise at all.
You know, he said too many nice things about Hugo Chavez in Venezuela, as his brother Joe has to.
It's just a very weird, and he's becoming more conspiratorial, too,
the sort of they are censoring me all the time.
I just don't, you're a Kennedy.
Your last book sold two million copies.
no one's censoring it. So I don't like that kind of instinct. It's not my kind of person.
Right. But they won't treat what he is saying about COVID with...
No, of course not. No.
With... But they should.
Yes.
Like many people who've written about COVID, including the U.S. government, they got a lot wrong.
He might be getting stuff wrong.
Sure.
But he's not a nut. And he's not a nut, and he's not a nut about COVID either or vaccines.
Well, the thing about this is that, you know, it's hard to tell these days.
It's hard to tell because you could get kicked off of Facebook, of YouTube, of all this stuff.
Correct.
For saying that this came from a lab in Wuhan, not from a wet market in Wuhan, but the lab that did bad viruses that was down the street.
That peaked up people, like lots of people, not just like a one errant person that was kicked off once.
No, this was very, very common.
That was all of these things you couldn't say then, which are now conventional wisdom.
And what we know about medicine is always changing on a day-to-day basis.
I mean, just last year, they got metabolism wrong.
They came out with this big report that said,
we'd always thought it was slow down in age,
and it doesn't slow in age.
That's kind of a basic part of our health.
And you can read stories like that almost year to year.
They also got depression wrong.
Oh, it wasn't the serotonin.
Okay, I'm not saying it's corrupt, although there is quite a bit of that too.
Somehow when it's the Sackler family with the opioids,
It's like, oh, see, corporations and pharmaceutical companies,
but when it's COVID, oh, no, they must have everything on the up and up.
Okay, but say it's not mostly that.
They were trying, and they did a great thing.
They came up with a vaccine, which many people, most people needed,
and saved millions of lives.
That's true, too.
Robert Kennedy may not agree with that.
But your point is entirely correct, Bill,
which is, I think a lot of people have forgotten
how we got to be successful in the West.
And part of that is freedom of speech and freedom of research, right?
Especially in science.
In science, right?
Especially in medicine.
We need people to be able to talk about the facts.
And when you have some kid who works for Twitter in the Philippines
censoring a Nobel Prize-winning scientist
in his speaking about his air of expertise,
I think we've lost the plot.
Right.
One final point on this is the number of people
don't wearing T-shirts that said,
I believe in science.
Science became this thing that was the conventional wisdom
coming from the government from the CDC.
I believe in that.
That's what they're talking about.
You cannot believe in science.
Science is a process.
Science is always changing.
When people thought, I could believe in science,
they thought it never moved,
and they were surprised when it did.
And that's the thing.
The far paranoid COVID left
talks about science like its religion.
The science.
While they're doing things like wearing masks alone outside.
Yes.
The science.
What does the panel think of Stephen Spielberg
saying he regretted replacing guns with Waukeet,
oh yes, in the Waukeetoggi's in E.T.
Yeah.
He reed.
into E.T., and now he's regretting
that, and I'm so glad he is.
He's saying, movies were made of a certain
time, they're all going to look
weird in the future, in some way.
Leave them as they are. I think
it's terrific.
I think the really scary thing
is that classic books, and I think this
is what precipitated his comment on this,
was Roald Dahl, who was a
psycho and an anti-Semite, but a good
children's book author, and he has
some pretty negative portrayals of people,
It's not the Jews. He doesn't talk about it in the kids' book.
And they change the most banal thing.
Fat. You literally...
You can't say fat.
Yeah. I don't know. When did they change it to?
It's like nicely shapely. I don't know.
Body positive is what they probably changed it to.
Yeah. This kind of thing is insane.
But they're actually changing books.
And that is literally Orwellian.
Not the abuse of the word Orwellian.
We've got to make way for commercials.
We're here on CNN.
Thank you again. We'll see you next week.
Catch all new episodes of Real Time with Bill
every Friday night at 10 or watch them anytime on HBO On Demand.
For more information, log on to HBO.com.
