Revisionist History - Rodents and Red Wine with Maria Konnikova
Episode Date: March 9, 2023Author, psychologist and professional poker player Maria Konnikova joins the show as Revisionist History’s first ombudsman. Maria advocates for the audience, reading letters from listeners and chall...enging Malcolm on matters great and small. They discuss how iodized salt is changing lives, the ethics of the Minnesota starvation experiments, and the ever-changing guidance around drinking alcohol. If you’d like to keep up with the most recent news from this and other Pushkin podcasts, be sure to sign up for our email list at Pushkin.fm. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Discussion (0)
I love that you're wearing a t-shirt that says Canada, just so that we have no ambiguity
whatsoever.
Where are you right now?
Are you in Las Vegas?
I'm in Vegas right now, yeah.
Just got back here two days ago.
Nice. Very nice.
Did I tell you, you know, that I was in Las Vegas,
and I had an afternoon, and I sat in this coffee shop,
and there were three people next to me
having the most interesting conversation,
and one of the guys started talking,
and I realized he was talking about you.
Really?
Yeah.
He was a lawyer of some kind
who like was a writer, lawyer or something.
I don't know.
I couldn't figure it out.
And I was eavesdropping on a conversation
for like forever.
And it was like the most interesting conversation.
I love that story. No, you did not
tell me. And I have no idea who you're talking about. Allow me to introduce a new voice to this
podcast, Maria Konnikova. In basketball, they call people like Maria Swiss Army Knives, people who do
everything. Maria got a PhD with the famous Walter Mischel,
the guy who invented the marshmallow test. She's written a bunch of brilliant New York Times
bestsellers. She decided at one point that she was interested in poker, taught herself poker,
became a poker champion, made some enormous sum of money. She's the kind of person that
random strangers talk about in coffee shops, which is to say, my kind of money. She's the kind of person that random strangers talk about in coffee shops,
which is to say, my kind of person.
I'm Malcolm Gladwell. You're listening to Revisionist History, my podcast about things
overlooked and misunderstood. And I have the pleasure in this episode to bring you the fabulous Maria Konnikova,
who has agreed to become the first ever revisionist history ombudsman, or rather, ombudsperson.
She is joining the show to be the advocate for you, dear listener, to call me on my nonsense,
to be a voice of reason, to participate in the kind of whimsical, meandering flights of intellectual fancy
that is our trademark here at Pushkin Headquarters.
So Maria, welcome to Revisionist History.
I could think of no one better equipped to speak truth to the power that is Revisionist History.
Thanks so much for having me on the show, Malcolm.
I'm very excited about this. You know, maybe you'll change my mind. Maybe I'll change yours. But I think that the conversation is going to be very entertaining no matter what.
Wonderful. Let's have at it. I am putty in your hands. Is that correct?
Nice putty that's responsive and that talks back.
Okay. You're driving this train.
All right. Perfect. So one of the fascinating episodes of this season of Revisionist History
was about the lack of iodine in people's diets and how this was discovered and how it was actually
then addressed. And I actually did not know the
story at all. It's such a fascinating question. How do we think about these things in the present
day? Would we be able to do something like this today? Especially after COVID, after all of these
things, add iodine to their salt or their water and see what happens. What do you think the response to something like that would be?
Well, you know, it's interesting that there is a line, there's a common line of either
complaint or congratulation among scientists where they say that experiment could never
be done today.
The Stanford's prison experiment could never be done today. Then the Tuskegee syphilis experiment could never be done today. The Stanford's prison experiment could never be done today. Then the Tuskegee syphilis experiment could never be done. There's a whole long list of
things. They look at that and they say, and that's because we are much more mindful of people's
autonomy, much better about obtaining consent. You totally today could not go to Akron and dose up a bunch of schoolgirls with a ton of iodine.
However, my reaction to that argument is always the same, which is, yeah, but we simultaneously conduct consentless experiments on human beings in the present day that are probably way more consequential.
And we don't think twice about it. Think about the way we have disrupted the lives of,
I don't know, children over the last 25 years with all of these new technologies. How's that
not a massive experiment done without the consent of those who were experimented on?
How is the Facebook algorithm, which shows you only the things that are likely to evoke a deeply emotional response in you.
How's it not an experiment?
I mean, there's a part of me that just wants to throw up my hands and say, you know, F it.
Let's not even bother making these distinctions.
Once we've conceded that all these experiments can go on,
let's just declare them experiments and let people pick and choose the one they want to be a part of.
I think there's something to that, especially because, you know, at least with the iodine,
right, it was, there was scientific evidence for the test, right? There was a reason why they did
it. There was a huge body of evidence behind this. And the study was run
as a study. And so there were scientific controls in place. They actually could gather data.
Whereas with a lot of these other things, it becomes a natural experiment, which is obviously
messy, has a lot of unintended consequences. And I mean, there are a lot of different questions
there. I'm actually curious about flipping it around where you have something like fluoride, right,
which is another additive that's put in our water. And last year, I don't know if you were following
this, but in a town in Vermont, it turned out that a town official for over a decade had been lowering fluoride levels below the accepted minimums
because he thought that it was a government conspiracy, you know, fluoride in your water,
bad. And he resigned and it was a big outrage and everyone was outraged that their water wasn't
being properly fluoridated, that they actually weren't getting the numbers that they needed for dental
health cavities, et cetera. I just did think that it was such an interesting counterpoint because
normally it's, oh, don't add anything, right? I don't want anything added that I don't know about.
I want natural salt. I want natural water. I don't want you adding anything, big pharma,
big government, big, et cetera. And here the town was actually
horrified, which I think they should have been. I'm biased. I think there's good evidence that
adding fluoride to water is a good thing, that adding iodine to salt is a good thing,
and that when things are good for our health and we're not going to get them in any other way,
this is a great way of doing it. But a lot of people disagree. Well, I wonder, you know, if that, are they
responding to the Florida, they're responding to what they see as the official abusing his position?
Right? You can, you know, it's, it's, it's, maybe it's a bit of both, or, you know, you could see
people who might ordinarily be indifferent to fluoride
just getting pissed off over this issue.
This guy's like, you're not allowed to do that, sir.
Hold on, hold on. It's time for a short break.
When we come back, we'll talk more about how salt and revisionist history are changing lives.
And also, the infamous Minnesota starvation study.
So let's read a letter about someone from someone who, I actually, I love this letter,
I just saw it today. And it is a very positive take on additions to food.
And someone who says that the salt episode actually really changed their life. So this is
from Mary P. And she writes that it was a crazy, awesome coincidence that I was listening to this
episode around the same time my doctor felt a nodule on my thyroid. He told me to go get an
ultrasound and my thyroid and nodule both my thyroid. He told me to go get an ultrasound
and my thyroid and nodule both were large enough and suspicious enough that it was recommended
automatically that I get a biopsy. So she went for her first biopsy and the results came back
inconclusive. And I'm going to continue reading her letter. They sent another slide for genetic
testing. Meanwhile, I bought some iodized salt and started cooking with it. I had switched to kosher salt
and other fancy salts over the past few years, and I'm an avid at-home cook. We also live in
the Midwest. I used iodized salt in moderation, of course, and thought nothing more of it.
Well, I went back for my biopsy and they took new ultrasound images of
my thyroid. This was about two to three months after my original ultrasounds and biopsies.
The ultrasound tech was asking me many questions and seemed confused, but kept to himself.
The doctor came in and told me to sit up. My nodules and thyroids had all shrunk. My once one centimeter nodule was now around five millimeters.
He had no reason to biopsy because there was nothing of concern. In fact, he would not biopsy
it. No surgery, just a follow-up scan in a year. Hallelujah. I told him my theory about the iodine
and he said that very well could have been what shrunk everything. I asked
if the cancer could be in there just smaller. He scoffed at me and said, no. What a great letter,
right? Wow. For all of those who doubt the healing power of revisionist history,
I present to you this letter. We don't just rile up our listeners, we save lives. This is
a resounding endorsement of eight years of revisionist history.
And those types of coincidences are great, right?
That you hear something and it actually has such an impact.
That would have been a life-changing thing for her to have no thyroid function,
half her thyroid function for the rest of her life.
That's a huge thing.
Yeah.
You know, it's a reminder.
This is one of these weird things,
like a hundred years ago,
what she's describing was commonplace.
In fact, this is a little fact in that episode
that I can never get over my head is,
if you went to parts of the world
that were iodine deficient,
some extraordinarily high percentage of the population
had these massive goiters on their
neck and like that was just part of the part of the experience of going to the swiss alps or part
of the experience of going to somewhere around the great lakes was you'd walk into a small town and
you know whatever quarter of the people had big grapefruit sized masses on their necks. It's just so strange.
No, it's crazy how little we still know about nutrition, right? Nutrition is complicated.
And I think that's one of the reasons why people still have so many questions, so many issues,
why we go back and forth with nutritional advice, because the body's a complex thing,
right? It's a complex machine. And it's very difficult oftentimes to know,
like this is the recommendation
and it will always be the recommendation.
And also, you know, it's hard,
this is sort of what brings us
to the Minnesota starvation experiment,
which I'm sure we're going to talk about.
But one of the big emphasis for that
is that one of the reasons we know so little about nutrition
is that it's impossible to test
hypotheses about nutrition, because how do you do it, right? Like, if you think about something as
simple as, does drinking alcohol harm or help your health, right? That's a question that's been
irrelevant for as long as human beings
have drunk alcohol, so thousands and thousands and thousands of years. We're still arguing about
that. And the reason we're still arguing about it is it's virtually impossible to design a study
which would satisfactorily answer that question. So there have been studies which say people who
drink wine in moderation seem to live long, healthy lives. But the problem is that people who drink wine in moderation
are people who otherwise live moderate, healthy lives, right?
They're like, you know, they're villagers in the south of Italy
who are getting an enormous amount of exercise
and living in bucolic surroundings.
So you just don't know, are they living long, happy lives
in spite of their wine consumption or because of it, right?
Sometimes, you know, you see these, so you can read, it's just incredible to me.
I just read the other day, like, there's a new line of thinking which says,
you know, all alcohol is basically, like, really bad for you and should be avoided.
I saw that, yes. I have no idea what to make of that. Like, I don't even know, how do is basically like really bad for you and should be avoided. I saw that.
I have no idea what to make of that.
Like, I don't even know.
How do they reach that conclusion?
It's just that idea that we could be in 2023 and still being capable of
answering these questions with any degree of accuracy is fascinating to me.
Yeah, it's totally crazy.
It's so funny that you mentioned red wine, which is, you know, or alcohol in general.
The first, one of the first studies I ever worked on as a journalist who kind of is interested in these questions
forever ago was on resveratrol when it first came out, like the data that, oh my God, resveratrol
makes you live longer. And everyone was saying, great, drink red wine. It's amazing. Then a few
years later, we find out that the quantity of resveratrol you need
is just so much higher than you would ever get. And it goes back and forth. And I've seen that
one question just go in circles for, you know, almost 20 years now. And we just have no idea.
Do you remember, were they giving rats large doses of?
Yes.
Oh, that was the thing.
Exactly.
That was exactly it.
It was rodents.
Rodents and red wine.
So the only thing we can say for certain is that within the rat population,
those who enjoy a good bottle of wine every night are going to live a little longer.
So I think that this is a good segue point.
People who were not drinking any wine were taking part in the
starvation study that was part of this season of revisionist history. So, I mean, first of all,
that study, let's just kind of recap it very quickly. I mean, we're talking actual starvation,
like the number of calories that these men, so it was all men, right? It was all young, relatively healthy men who were, for one reason or another, not in the military, not serving abroad during World War II. place to try to control, because as we've just talked about, it's really difficult to
control food intake, to try to control it as much as possible, to try to do their part
for the war effort to see how starvation affects the body.
Is that a fair summary?
Yes.
Yes, exactly.
Because the only thing I would add is the impetus was this was in the middle of the
war, and the feeling was that by the end of the war,
one of the biggest problems the world was gonna face
was that millions of people around the world
had suffered prolonged malnutrition throughout the conflict,
and we didn't know how to help them.
We honestly had no idea.
If someone has been malnourished for a year and a half,
what is the best way to nurse them back to health?
And literally, we had people at the time didn't have the slightest clue, right? So they were
trying to answer that question with some, or at least get some information about that. So there
was, the stakes here were huge. I mean, that's what gives the study its kind of moral force. have today. So these days, you need to go through an IRB, which is an institutional review board,
when you're doing any sort of human research, and you need to have every single subject give
informed consent. And, and this is crucial, the benefits of this specific study have to outweigh
any potential harm to the participants in the study. And so to me, when I listened to kind of the
details of the starvation experiment, I knew that it existed, but I actually didn't. I'd never
actually kind of gone deep into it. This was the most I'd learned about it was from you.
And as I was listening, I was trying to think, first of all, benefits versus
harm. How do we think about that? And I think that's actually changed over the years. But the
second part of it is, how do you actually give informed consent of all the potential downsides
to something like this when you're researching something where you don't actually know what
the potential downsides are. Well, it's like space flight. You're sending an astronaut to the moon.
Presumably, you pull the astronaut aside beforehand and you say,
the benefit here is mankind will be able to say we went to the moon. But you know, in that situation,
the first astronaut in space, we don't know what it's like to be out for a couple weeks in zero
gravity. So I don't know, how do they do consent? I guess they said, you're taking a risk of unknown
quantity, you might be damaged by what you're doing. Are you fine with that? And I think the
answer they were fine with it is that many of those astronauts came out of the military.
And so they were used to the idea that they were called to do something on behalf of their
country, which carried with it a significant risk of illness and death.
I think that's an interesting example, but it's
not a complete analogy because this was their profession, right? This was their career. This
is what they had signed up for. They became astronauts with the knowledge that they would
hopefully be able to go into space one day. Whereas these study participants were just
ordinary men who were called upon by their patriotic feelings and said, you know, do you
want to do your patriotic duty? That's a lot of pressure and that's not your life. This is not
something that's your career. You're being asked to do something that's just totally out of the
ordinary. Wait, are you a Minnesota starvation experiment skeptic? Do you not think it should
have been done? No, I'm someone who wants to push back,
though, and to question how it was done and whether they could potentially have ever given
informed consent to something like this, especially given what we know now about the
longitudinal long-term effects about starvation. Back then, the term epigenetic I don't think even
existed. People did not know
kind of what the interaction of genes and environment is. Today, we actually know that
starvation has lifelong consequences. They actually change the methylation patterns of your
genes, of your genome, and that there's actually a lot of damage that is going to be done
for your entire life. And the funny thing is a lot of the data, the best data that we have on this
didn't come from the starvation experiment, but actually happened from a natural experiment
that came at the exact same time, more or less contemporaneous, which was basically
the Dutch hunger winter.
This was also during World War II.
There was a huge famine in the Netherlands
because there was a blockade by the Nazis
and thousands of people died.
I think something like 20,000 people ended up dying.
But at the same time,
there were a bunch of women who were pregnant
and doctors were taking all of the measurements that you would normally take during pregnancy,
but these women happened to be starving. And then they ended up following the women and the babies
for their lives, and actually got an amazing amount of data on what starvation does to the
body. In that instance, what does it do?
Oh, well, we're still finding out. There are lots of things that end up happening later in life.
You're more prone to gain weight because your body is prepared for starvation and has been
prepared for from in utero. It also ends up affecting the way that your kids are going to develop.
So if you were, I guess, a fetus during this time,
then by the time that you're an adult, when you have your own kids,
you're actually going to pass a lot of these epigenetic changes further on to them. There are also going to be effects on how you're going to just think
and do in life. It turns out that there are labor market effects, hospitalization effects.
So it actually puts you down a notch. But this is, once again, we're talking about the people
who were fetuses during this time, which is very different from the starvation study.
But it ends up having a lot of downstream effects. And those studies are still being done.
So there's a new paper at least once every few years using this cohort, which shows that
there are lots of things that you didn't know you were signing up for if
you thought that this was just going to be an easy, I starve myself completely and then I'm
all better and this will never actually follow me throughout life. And it's interesting to me
that I think some of our best data comes from a natural experiment as opposed to
something where a bunch of men said, okay, starve me,
and let's see what happens. So imagine that we were doing a version of the Dutch starvation thing
involving pregnant women, but it was an experiment, right?
All right, magic wand. Magic wand. This is definitely a magic wand. Definitely a magic
wand. And what we learned from that is that actually starving people when they're pregnant has incredible, unanticipated long-term consequences, not just for the mother, but for the child.
And even maybe for the child's children?
Child's children.
Yeah, absolutely.
So in other words, and we had no idea of this before. So this is a kind of like, this is a earth-shattering, huge bit of understanding about human beings.
Why wouldn't this be an argument?
Why wouldn't the magnitude of what we learned from that, such an experiment, be an argument for doing the experiment, right? It's so important
that hundreds, thousands, millions more people could be helped from the knowledge gleaned from
that experiment than those who were harmed by it. And if the people who signed up for that experiment
had at least a kind of reasonable suspicion that what was learned from them
putting themselves at risk might help many, many, many, many, many more people, then to my mind,
that settles it. It's fine. I mean, this is what I was trying to get to in the podcast is that
we're so indifferent to people who have altruistic motives. Where is the altruistic motive data point in the consent algorithm?
You should be able to say, I know it's going to harm me,
but I think it's going to help a lot more people, and I'm fine with that.
Yeah, so like I said, when you asked me, am I a skeptic of this,
I said I'm not necessarily someone who said this shouldn't have happened.
I just think that there are lots of issues to consider. So yeah, there is this,
there's definitely an argument to be made that, you know, what we learned from Dutch famine
shows that studies like this are incredibly important. But in this particular case, right,
I think in the pregnancy case, you're also giving consent for your fetus, right?
So it's one of these things where that's, even if you're an altruist, I think that that would be a very strange definition of altruism because you're being altruistic for the world, but not for this one specific human who has no say in this whatsoever. But I would say this, like, so for much of human history, continuing to the present day,
a large percentage of the world's population suffers from prolonged malnutrition, right?
Absolutely.
So one really important historical question is, what can we do to convince the wealthier parts of the world that this is such an urgent problem
that it needs to be addressed immediately, right?
Wouldn't it make sense to try an extreme experiment of this sort to try and bring the
world around?
Yeah, I mean, I think that's a very valid point.
And you actually had a letter from a listener, Robert A., who asked a question that kind
of circles around what we've been talking about.
He asks, who is responsible for a system which both restricts voluntary breakthrough research
like that conducted by Ancel Keys and the conscientious objectors, and that which fails
to take accountability when mistakes are made?
So that's, I think, an interesting question because you do have those two sides of it.
So we do have a system that now does restrict that kind of breakthrough research quite often.
I mean, when I was in grad school for psychology and I needed to do an experiment that had deception, I just I couldn't get it approved. I had to jump through so many hoops
and eventually, you know, with the support of all the senior faculty in the psychology department,
it was just a silly thing. It wasn't even a major deception study, but we needed,
we couldn't tell them that we were studying self-control, right? Because that would actually have defeated the purpose of the entire study and how many studies are not done because of that. So that's kind of
the one side of it. But on the other hand, there's a reason for all of these safeguards
because you have things like the Stanford person experiment, right? You have things like Tuskegee.
You have things that really cross the line without informed consent, with deception, with a lack of understanding of what was going to happen.
I mean, one nutrition study that was done, I don't know if you remember this one, but it was done in Washington on some young men who were working around D.C. at the time.
And they were basically, they agreed to be poisoned. They
went to the congressional cafeteria and their diet was very strictly controlled. And they were
just trying to figure out how different food additives work. And some of them got incredibly
sick because it turns out that they were eating very toxic amounts of things they should not have
been eating. So that was a study gone a bit off the rails when it comes to nutrition.
But so you have those two extremes. And how do you weigh that? How do you balance that?
How do you, not in retrospect where we can say, okay, this is what we learned from this study and
it was really good. But before it happens, how do we think about that? How do we walk that line?
I will say that there is one area on this where I am, you know, I've been talking so far about how I tend to be pretty laissez-faire about giving researchers the freedom to do things that are a little bit risky.
There's another area, though, where I'm on the exact opposite side of the fence.
And what am I referring to?
Patience, Grasshopper.
When we come back, more from my conversation with Maria Konnikova.
We're back, and I was telling Maria that I'm pretty laissez-faire about letting experiments go forward,
except in the case of what might be the most awful natural experiment we're living through right now.
I am incredulous at the idea that thousands of pages of text and hours of argumentation is spent on the ethics of one medical experiment
or another.
And at the same time, we are completely indifferent or cavalier about the levels of violence that
are present in media every day.
Now, there have been moments, every now and again, periodically, there are moments where
various interest groups get upset about depictions of violence on television.
It was a big deal, I think, in the 70s, for example.
And then it sort of went away.
And then the people who were complained about this got painted as kind of buffoons or as naï but I had in the course of an episode I'm doing in this upcoming season where I have these long conversations with trauma surgeons who deal with gunshot wounds.
And what they have to say on this very specific matter is incredibly interesting and disturbing.
They're not like hotting their head in the sand about this.
They are fully aware of what the people
who have a,
I believe, a morally objectionable position
are the people in Hollywood.
Many of whom are self-described liberals
who will go on and on and on
about the terrible
need for gun control
in America and how outrageous all the
Second Amendment people is.
And meanwhile, they're making movies where like 20 people are slaughtered in the first 15 minutes.
Like, I'm sorry, this is just like completely incomprehensible behavior, right? It drives me
nuts. Yeah, no, there's a lot to be said for that. It's like we've never outlived the instinct for
public executions,
right, where everyone would come to the town square. That instinct is still alive and well.
It's an important tangent to go on, and it is kind of related to everything we've been talking
about, but how do you study this? What are the benefits? What are the harms? And there's,
you know, so kind of coming full circle back to the starvation experiment, there is one thing that we haven't talked about, which was an important point that one of the listeners brought up.
And this is an important point about a lot of the research, not from that day, but that continues to be done to this day, which is how generalizable are the results to the segments of the population that might actually benefit most from it. So Maura, this listener, wrote, how can we treat eating disorder patients, primarily young
women, using data collected exclusively on white men? How can we use this to study the impact of
dieting and weight loss when dieting is more prevalent and pressured upon among women? How
can we use this to study obesity when non-Hispanic Black
adults and Hispanic adults have the highest prevalence of obesity in the United States?
That's the end of her letter, but I would just go on and on when we're talking about malnourishment
and we realize that most of the malnourished population of the world is not white men.
So that is kind of an interesting side note. And this is actually still a huge problem. That's not something that we left behind in the 40s.
To this day, most medical data comes from men, not women.
And it's a very kind of, that's an interesting way of looking at, you know, what are the
actual benefits from this to the people who need them and how generalizable is it. If you're trying to develop actionable policies and guidelines
and approaches to affected populations, it absolutely does matter.
And, you know, we went through this with, I think,
with our understanding of heart attacks, right?
Where we started off testing a lot of these hypotheses in men, white men
and that's how we got our baseline
knowledge but then we tried to use
that information
to kind of understand
how to deal with women without
realizing that
the biology of a lot of these problems
physiology of a lot of these problems in women is very different
so I think it depends where you
are in the kind of stage that you're at and the mistake we
make I think is we don't we don't honor this distinction between kind of basic
understanding and actionable research. If you talk to somebody who is works for a
pharmaceutical company and is involved in drug trials.
They will talk your ear off on this.
And what they will say is,
do you know how hard it is
to put together a study population?
It's insanely difficult to find someone.
I actually thought of,
I was going to volunteer for a trial
about Lyme disease vaccine.
And then I had that.
The first thing to do is you have a half an hour conversation with someone
and they detail that I would have to go drive to Albany an hour away
seven times and have to set aside half a day on each of those occasions.
And I wasn't clear whether I'd be part of the treatment group
or the placebo group, right?
So I listened to that and I was like, I can't do that.
I'm not taking, you know,
somewhat selfishly, I decided,
I don't have that much time to devote to this.
So I'll let someone else carry the burden.
So it's like, it's really hard to do these studies.
So when you, if we say these studies
have to be perfectly representative,
you're just making it less likely
that the study gets done in the first place
at a certain point, right?
So that's the trade-off.
It's an impossible trade-off.
Sure, no, I think there's a lot of truth to that. That said, I do think that even baseline knowledge studies these days should at least include women because
if you're omitting more than half the population and the basic biology is different, then...
But you couldn't have done the starvation experiment with women.
So that's the other thing, right? What are we proposing in the starvation case?
Do we want women there and Hispanic and Black, where it's much more difficult to actually
obtain consent?
Because especially back then, but even to this day, these are populations that have
had a lot of negative research done without consent. And it's actually much more difficult,
I would say. And the burden of proof is much higher to ask for consent from vulnerable
populations. But you can't do a starvation experiment like that in Minnesota on young
women because if it has consequences for their fertility, then you have... So what are you going to see? And it does.
So are we going to use post-menopausal women only?
But that brings up a whole different set of issues, because now you have an older population
that's going to be less susceptible to whatever risks you're exposing them to.
It's tricky.
This reminds me, we talk in the season about magic wands,
experiments we could do if we could wave a magic wand. This one doesn't actually require a magic wand,
although it would be very hard to do in the real world.
But you mentioned that natural experiment in Holland,
which gave us information that would have been
almost impossible to get otherwise in a formal experiment.
And it goes to the larger point that this is the great thing about natural experiments,
is that when you can find a good one, they almost invariably tell you stuff
that you could never find another way.
They're incredibly productive kind of experiment.
So why can't we engineer natural experiments?
So imagine this.
Imagine if someone came to you and me and a million other
people and said, we're at the stage now in technology where we can put little sensors on you
which can continuously monitor every one of your physiological signs and vital signs in real time, would you agree to be basically monitored for the next
whatever, 10 years? And you and 2 million or 10 million other people agree to be part of this.
And we will simply wait and see what happens to you and use that massive data set to kind of improve our understanding of the kinds of things that lead to various sorts of diseases.
I mean, if you had 10 million people and they were giving you 10 years of their life
and every conceivable indicator and vital sign was being monitored on a moment-to-moment basis,
you would be able to understand stuff that right now we have
no clue about, right? And all it takes is for people just, they don't even take any risk.
They're just being willing to be monitored and donate their data. That's essentially
engineering a natural experiment. I don't understand why that hasn't been done.
Privacy.
I know, but who cares? Don't even get me started on privacy. Privacy drives me
just nuts. It's like, what an absurd thing in this day and age to be concerned about. Like,
basically, as far as I can tell, every single fact about Malcolm Gladwell is known by like
some combination of Facebook, Apple, Google, and someone else. And so- I meant to ask Malcolm,
what is your mother's maiden name?
I just have a few more questions before we wrap up.
I know, it's like a ludicrous.
And so it's fine for those guys to scour the internet
and put together massive dossiers of everything,
every fact about me.
But somehow if I wanna allow someone
to peek into my physiological, you know, for the
benefit of mankind, that's a problem. It just drives me crazy. It is a problem. And I didn't
know that I hit a nerve with that one word privacy, but here we are. So that I think is a
nice place to wrap up our starvation study, except for one final question. One listener was really
fascinated by the cinnamon roll recipe from the episode of the starvation study. Tara A.,
she said, thank you for these episodes, Malcolm. So Malcolm, thank you for these episodes.
Any chance you know how we could track down that cinnamon roll recipe? I was thinking it would be
nice to make some and share
in my community. And for a refresher for listeners who don't love cinnamon rolls as much as I do,
so didn't immediately light up at this detail. So there was a character in the episode, Lester Glick,
who was part of the study. And one of the things that mentally fortified him, although I think for
me it would have probably had the opposite effect,
is he carried around a picture of a cinnamon roll
and he had it with him always.
And it was something that kept him going.
And then later he would, for the rest of his life,
he would make them obsessively for family and friends by the dozens.
It was one of the defining acts of the rest of his life. Now, I love
cinnamon rolls. So I also wanted to track down that recipe. We will post it online and all those
brave souls who want to recreate the famous cinnamon rolls can do that. That was fun. Thank
you, Maria. That was really fun. Of course. Thank you. Bye-bye.
Maria, Maria, Maria, thank you so much for agreeing to take on the role of Revisionist History's inaugural Ombudsperson.
Just so all of you know, we hope to make Maria a regular on the show in the future.
You may have thought she went easy on me this time.
Let me just say I have no expectation that will ever happen again. Oh, if you're wondering why I said it
takes bravery to make the cinnamon rolls, let's just say the recipe involves, among
other things, mashed potatoes. Go to our website and see for yourself. And thank
you to the Glick family for sharing that with us. Maria will be back soon.
So send your questions, your challenges, your gripes, and your stories to all of us at revisionisthistory.com.
Revisionist History is produced by Lee Mangistu, Amy Gaines, Kiara Powell, and Jacob Smith. Our showrunner is Peter Clowney.
Original scoring by Luis Guerra.
Mastering by Sarah Bruguere.
And engineering by Nina Lawrence. Fact-checking by Kishel Williams. I'm Malcolm Blau. two weeks earlier than the rest of the world.
I'm Malcolm Blapo.