Sawbones: A Marital Tour of Misguided Medicine - Health Media Literacy

Episode Date: July 13, 2020

We're being inundated by medical news in the face of COVID-19, but how is the layman supposed to make sense of all it? How can you tell a trustworthy report from simple clickbait? We'll discuss on thi...s week's Sawbones (with a brief tangent about re-opening schools).Music: "Medicines" by The Taxpayers

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 Saw bones is a show about medical history, and nothing the hosts say should be taken as medical advice or opinion. It's for fun. Can't you just have fun for an hour and not try to diagnose your mystery boil? We think you've earned it. Just sit back, relax, and enjoy a moment of distraction from that weird growth. You're worth it. that weird growth. You're worth it. Alright, time is about to books. One, two, one, two, three, four. We came across a pharmacy with a toy and that's lost it out. We saw through the broken glass and had ourselves a look around.
Starting point is 00:00:56 Some medicines, some medicines that escalate my cop for the mouth. Wow! Hello everybody and welcome to Saul Bones, a marital tour of Miss Guy to Minnesota. I'm your co-host, Justin McRoy. And I'm Sydney McRoy. I feel very proud of myself, because this topic is a Justin original. It's been a little while.
Starting point is 00:01:17 That's true. Well, you were drawing on one of your past careers, past. Yeah, past careers is fine. Past. No, past, passion is still there. The past young is still present. The, the, but no one's paying me for it anymore. So yes, not a career, any longer of, of journalism.
Starting point is 00:01:37 That's right. Well, there are a lot of headlines that are concerning medical topics these days. They're, I mean, there are commonly, but recently. Especially now with everything going on. There's this virus. Yeah, I don't know if you've heard. No, I used to be a journalist on the mean streets
Starting point is 00:01:56 out there, you know, kind of a hard-nosed, chase all the leads. Covering the martial beat. In truck at Marshall University. In truck at Cobra Porter on the Marshall University beat. And trucking. And martial university. And Trevor cover porter on the martial university beat. That's where I cut my teeth. Right. But I did a lot of different hard hitting stuff.
Starting point is 00:02:12 So what is the hardest hitting piece you would say you did? We don't need to get into specific sit. It's all a blur. The newsman, newsman called the news blur. It's just where you don't remember individual stories. You just know that they are all very intense Uh-huh And required a lot of work, but that's we're not here to talk about me unfortunately. We're here to talk about
Starting point is 00:02:31 Media media literacy specifically as it relates to Health news when you see health news. How do you parse it? How do you know a good one from a bad one? You know you're not a physician. Maybe I know you might be a physician, but I am. I know you're a physician. Yes. I mean, the listener may or may not be, so I thought that'd be helpful. Well, and as you may imagine,
Starting point is 00:02:54 the story of media literacy attempting to understand this is as old as media. Sure. But the term, the concept really is in practice as a study is not that old. I mean, it's only in about the last five decades or so that as much time has been devoted to really understanding all the ways that we are shaped by the messages we see all of the like ads and marketing, the way that plays into our psyche,
Starting point is 00:03:28 and then the influences that has on us. And all of that is not particularly old. And what gets included in that is our news and the way that we, you know, because a headline has to get you to want to click on it. Or I guess purchase it if you are seeing it in a newsstand. I guess yeah, pick up the, I guess that's still happening. On the rags or the papes, is there called?
Starting point is 00:03:56 I don't, I have never, I don't think I've ever had that happen to me in my life. I mean, we got the paper for a while, but I don't think I've ever seen them somewhere where I've been like, oh, look at that headline. Here's a nickel. I got to buy that. Well, I can certainly say you've never used a nickel to buy a newspaper, people. I'm pretty sure of that. Well, I mean, that's what I imagine when you're writing a headline that not only informs people, but also you're trying to persuade them to buy it.
Starting point is 00:04:27 Yeah. Extra extra read all about it. Right, what I'm envisioning is somebody standing there like buying whatever a pack of gum or I don't know, I guess at that point a time everybody used to smoke. So cigarettes. And while they're standing there waiting for their chains,
Starting point is 00:04:42 they're looking at the headlines and they're like, oh, hold on a second, I gotta read about that. Yeah. Like I imagine that's what the idea was, right? Yeah. Okay, well now it's like clickbait. Now it's click on this. There's so many things you could click on.
Starting point is 00:04:56 That's a loaded term by the way, but that's fine. Oh, it is? Well, just amongst people who make stories, like it is a very fine line and, and I don't want to get ahead of us, but like, especially regarding headlines, it's a fine line between making something that misleads, which I think could be clickbait, sensationalism that is misleading, sensationalism, clickbait, or something that is just a well crafted headline that puts that peaks the reader's interest. And you don't want to go a foul of that,
Starting point is 00:05:29 but not doing, not writing a headline that draws people in is bad headline writing. So it's a tricky balance. See, I think this might be where part of the conflict is, because as we've talked about, we've joked about this on the show before, when it comes to like scientific writing, especially like in journals, the headlines
Starting point is 00:05:49 or titles are supposed to just be very accurately descriptive. Right. And in no way, are we considering whether or not your attention will be grabbed by it? That is just not part of it. It's rare when you see one. What was the one we saw recently? Was that flu, destroyer, and teacher? Yes. And then it was a destroyer and teacher. Which was a great, evocative title,
Starting point is 00:06:14 but you don't often see ones like that, I would say. Right now, what I didn't mean to, let me say, I did not mean to offend anybody with that term. I was unaware of those connotations. For me, it was just something that makes you want to click on it. Yeah. Uh, but right now, when it comes to medical information and research, everything is changing very quickly. Now, my understanding is that even before we were in the midst of a pandemic that was obviously important to be constantly made aware of changes and things,
Starting point is 00:06:48 that a lot of publications will have a health reporter whose job it is to find the stories that might be relevant to the public at large and share those in a way that is digestible, easy to understand for the lay person. Is that the truth? Well, yes. Again, not to get ahead of us, but that kind of specialized reporting as newsroom staffs are getting winnowed down and people are getting laid off.
Starting point is 00:07:20 A lot of times you'll see people who have that specialized expertise being replaced or let go and have their beat covered by like a general assignment reporter who may not have the expertise or the connections that a specific health reporter would have. Would you say that's happening on the online space too? I don't know. I'm not as plugged into that world. I know that, you know, I would guess generally,
Starting point is 00:07:45 I know that definitely newspapers are getting hit with that pretty hard, but you know, the bigger, the really big ones can still afford people. And it's hard because in order to do that job, you have to know, first of all, what is even relevant, you know, because there's lots of stuff out there
Starting point is 00:08:04 that might sound interesting, but from a scientific perspective, you know, I may as a physician argue, is, you know, of little in, of really little impact on all of the world, even though the idea might be attention grabbing. And what plays into this too is that as humans, we have a negativity bias. So if we see a headline that sounds like bad news, we are more likely to click on it or buy that than if it's good news. The statistic I saw was 63% more likely. So as that applies to, you know, coronavirus and COVID, if you see something that tells you things are getting worse or that things are very dire or whatever, you're much more likely
Starting point is 00:08:55 to engage with that article than you are one that says things are fine. Which does not mean I do not in any way mean that anybody would lie, but what it would might mean is that if two stories could be top of the fold and you're going to report on both, but one of them is negative and the other one is positive. Maybe you want to put the negative one higher because it catches more attention. Perhaps, yeah. You know, or if you only have space for one health story, if you only get so much room for something. Yes. What story would you pick to tell? Yes. That's the kind of thing. There's ration out. I mean, there's some, sound logic behind that too. If something
Starting point is 00:09:36 is going well, you don't necessarily need to know about it, right? Yes. No, that's very true. That's, and that's very true. Which I think would be informed why we click bad stuff, right? If something's going well, I could just assume I assume all things are going well, or at least, fine, enough to not need my attention. So when you see a negative story, you're like, well, this apparently does need my hold on. Come on, anxiety. Getting the, getting the passenger seat. We've got a new, we got a hot lead.
Starting point is 00:10:01 We have to check out and be worried about it. But when it comes to COVID in particular though, I think that there are some, because we're learning, we're watching science happen in real time, right? Which is why I think people have been, well, one reason why people have been so reluctant to listen to some of the recommendations of experts is that when you see things changing in real time
Starting point is 00:10:27 and us going back and saying, actually, no, that's not the case. We've done more research, we've seen more patients, and now this is the case, and this that we thought was true is not. When you're seeing that happen in real time, you can begin to think that, like, well, science is a mess, it doesn't work.
Starting point is 00:10:40 Right. And this is... The scientist, they're just as confused as the rest of us. Exactly, but the truth is, like Right. And this is, The scientists, they're just as confused as the rest of us. Exactly, but the truth is like, no, this is always the way it happens. You just usually don't see all this part. Like all this part happens in a lab and, you know, in studies and in the scientific community.
Starting point is 00:10:57 And then by the time it's presented to you in the world to access, we've come to more answers. Like we've arrived at conclusions. We're seeing a little science sausage get made right in front of us. It's table-side science sausage. You're in the room where it happens. If you will. Yeah. Science room. The science room. And so there's obviously there's been a lot of like just straight up misinformation that's that's blood out there. I would say not
Starting point is 00:11:26 in large publications, but like because it's the internet, anybody can say anything. And so we've already covered like those two urgent care doctors who said a lot of stuff that wasn't true and misled a lot of people, we talked briefly about pandemic. And there has been a lot of misunderstanding about what's real, what's not, how do we interpret it? When some of these fake messages are removed from different platforms, this almost has like a worse result where instead of people saying like,
Starting point is 00:12:01 oh, YouTube took that down because it was fake, they think YouTube took it down because they don't want us to know the truth. Yeah, right. And we, you know, when researchers do surveys to look at like how susceptible are we to false messages? And in one recent survey, this was just done specifically in regards to the pandemic and people's kind of inability to tell truth from
Starting point is 00:12:28 lies when it comes to engaging with different media sources. In one study, on average, between 20% and 25% of respondents found fake claims to be true, just on reading headlines and trying to figure out what's true and what's not. About a one in five, one in four people are going to just assume that it's true. And one in five incorrectly believe fake claims specifically about treatments for COVID. So specifically in the treatment arena, we seem to be really failing to communicate messages about what is real and what is not effectively. Yeah, it's hard to headlines are generally shorter is better, so a lot of the nuance is often left. It's usually a couple of some couching, like may offer hope, you know, whatever. But yeah, headlines,
Starting point is 00:13:27 I think don't leave a lot of information for specificity sometimes. No, and the flip side was even worse. They found that with almost 60% of the public found true information about treatments to be false. So even when we are getting the right information out there, over half of people in this survey at least weren't believing it. So we're really in a point, especially when it comes to like how do we manage this disease where the public is not getting the truth. So I wanted to talk about a couple headlines specifically as a way of kind of dissecting like how could you as the consumer of this information judge, you know, what to do with it. And to talk about two issues that I think are particularly gray right now in the minds of the public.
Starting point is 00:14:28 Okay. So one title I found from Business Insider two days ago was research is coalescing around the idea that coronavirus antibodies may last just a few months. Yikes. I mean, that sounds scary to me. I don't like that. I want everybody to be, I mean, it seems to me that if you get it, you should be me in favor. Right. So what do you think that means then if coronavirus antibodies may last just a few months? That there's been research in people
Starting point is 00:14:55 who have been previously infected that their antibodies are disappearing after a few months. And thus? They're capable of getting infected again. Right. So you, as the reader would see that title and think, ah, that's what I'm thinking as the me now, currently hearing about this.
Starting point is 00:15:14 Now I read this article, they cite two different studies in this article, which I already like, for me as a scientist, when you see the title, research is coalesalescing around and then there are two studies cited that to me is already like. I know that's two studies come on. The first is a study from China that looked at 37 people who had definitely had COVID and had no symptoms. And what they found was that among these people, they could, they'd not all of them had antibodies as they continued to test them a week, two weeks, three weeks, four weeks as they continued to test them further out. Many of them no longer had antibodies. Okay.
Starting point is 00:16:08 them no longer had antibodies. There were some issues with this study because, well, one, it was looking back at, like, when symptoms and things started. And two, it's only 37 people. Yeah, it's not very. And they're always symptomatic is the other thing. So it was, and these were not pre-symptomatic or paucy symptomatic. These are people who had zero symptoms. And again, only 37 of them. So that was one study that was done like a month ago that they cite. And then the second is a more recent study, which you probably have heard about in other headlines for what it was really looking at. So there was a big study that was done in Spain that came out this past week, and this was actually
Starting point is 00:16:51 looking not so much at how long antibodies last, but what this study was trying to look at was how much of Spain has had this. And the reason they were doing this study is because you've probably heard a lot about herd immunity. What they're trying to look at is like, well, if we were to entertain the idea that we should achieve herd immunity, meaning that enough of us have had it and developed antibodies that we... You can't get a foothold pretty much. Right. No big outbreak could happen and everybody who hasn't had it is kind of protected by the herd. So that is what they were really looking at. So they were just looking for the prevalence of COVID antibodies by sampling a ton of people to see how many had them. Not everybody, of course. That would, that would be very hard to do. So they did this. They found a randomized sample of a ton of people in Spain and they
Starting point is 00:17:47 checked them and they found around 5% of people. And of course it varied wildly from region to region in Spain. Some areas having much higher, some areas having much lower. But about 5% of Spain had had it, which is again a helpful thing to know if you hear somebody say, well, we just need to reach herd immunity. Mm-hmm. Any of our estimates of herd immunity are that at least 60 to 70 percent, maybe higher of the population would need to have had it. And that's nowhere near five. And now you look at how bad it was in Spain. Yes. Like we can't do whatever 10 times that.
Starting point is 00:18:26 Millions more will die. It will take forever to achieve. And I think it's worth noting that we have not done that in history without a vaccine. Ever return immunity without a vaccine? Right. So, like, as a population at large, that's just not, I mean, just not the way it works. No. That's just not, I mean, just the way it works. No, that's just not, I mean, that is not as a, as a physician and as a humanist, I would not. Yeah, let's not. Yeah. I argue for that. And again, some other problems with this study, they, if you're looking for this
Starting point is 00:19:01 question, I don't have a problem with the study for what they were looking for. They did a good job with that. But what they were, But what this other issue about antibodies disappearing and what that could mean, this study just asked people to record their symptoms in terms of like, when do you think they ended? About what day did you stop having symptoms? And what symptoms did you have, like list them all? So they're asking people to remember all this.
Starting point is 00:19:26 And to remember exactly what day they felt 100% better. Because that really matters when you're checking for antibodies, you need to know how long it's been since they were all better. Okay, because you won't start developing antibodies to that. Well, you will, but you develop different kinds of antibodies. Okay. There's an IgM antibody that you develop right away.
Starting point is 00:19:47 But what we're looking for in these studies is IgG, which are the antibodies you develop further down the line that provide you with that long lasting immunity. Yeah. So you've got, if it's been two days since you were sick, we don't want to necessarily include you in this data right now because we might miss antibodies that you're going to develop in a few weeks. Does that make sense? Yes.
Starting point is 00:20:07 Okay. So anyway, what they found in this study, when they did look at like who had documented case of COVID and then antibodies, is that if you didn't have any symptoms, they did find that you were a little more likely to not, you know, develop antibodies. Okay. That is true. The, but the prevalence of antibodies, 14 days. So how many people actually did have antibodies, 14 days after their positive PCR, was 90%.
Starting point is 00:20:40 And what the authors say is that this is consistent with another study that found 90% and what the authors say is that this is consistent with another study that found 90% of people who had tested positive for COVID developed antibodies two weeks after. And then another study where 99% of people in that study developed antibodies. Okay. So what they say is for the few patients who do not develop antibodies against SARS-CoV-2, COVID, it is unknown whether they are susceptible to reinfection. I mean that would be the question that I have is like how many people have gotten infected twice at this point that we don't have. We have had those like weird anecdotal things that pop up in news stories. I've said I've seen a couple of those, like, women's gotten COVID eight times. Well, the problem is like, one, their individual people, and while a case study can be interesting and informative,
Starting point is 00:21:37 it doesn't necessarily help us with like, you know, what usually happens. You should know by this point, as a sub-units listener, the body will do some weird stuff You can't it's all probability the other thing that it doesn't always tell us is did they have a negative test in between Because we know that this thing can drag on for a long time and people can test positive for way longer than we thought They would they can continue to shed the virus much longer than we thought they would so in some of these cases
Starting point is 00:22:03 They don't have like a positive positive positive negative and then positive again down the road. And then also if they did have a negative, was it truly negative? Because we don't know that all the tests so anyway. So what does this really tell us about antibodies and immunity? I don't know. I'm going to tell you right after we go to the building to prom. Let's go. So Sydney, what does this really tell us about antibodies in immunity? Okay. Most people who have COVID do make antibodies. Okay, good start loving that. Would love to hear all, but most is fine.
Starting point is 00:22:49 It seems like there are a few that don't or at least we're not finding on our testing. Maybe our test was wrong, maybe we, maybe they remembered wrong about when their last symptoms were and maybe we needed to check them again at some point, who knows? But there are going to be some people it seems like who maybe don't have some antibodies. Now, the other thing that they're not always looking
Starting point is 00:23:12 for is the other kind of immunity you have, which is cell mediated immunity. Your immune system has lots of different tricks up at sleep. Antibodies are not the only thing. You have other defense mechanisms and ways that you develop memory to an infection than just antibodies. Yes, antibodies are a great marker to look for, but we're not checking for that cell mediated immunity aspect in any of these studies. So saying you don't have antibodies does not mean I can conclusively say, antibodies does not mean I can conclusively say, you're not somewhat immune. I don't know that yet. The only way I could say whether or not you're immune is to give it to you and see if you get sick. Which is ethical. Which we won't do, but what we will do is observe over time and see if people get sick again. I'm not going to give this to you, but maybe take a few chances out there, see what happens.
Starting point is 00:24:07 Maybe nature will. What we do know, what our best science tells us at this point, is that what we think will happen with COVID is similar to the other two coronaviruses that we studied well. One is SARS and the other is MERS. SARS and MERS both gave us about two to three years of protection after you would have it that you would be immune to it. Now then your immune system would forget, so to speak, about it.
Starting point is 00:24:36 And you could get it again, which is kind of what we've always thought that you probably can get it again in your life, but not for a little while. How long is that little while? We're not sure. And the idea that research is coalescing around a few months, I would say that's not. That's a huge stretch. No, we just don't know the answer yet.
Starting point is 00:24:56 If the intention is to encourage people to continue to wear masks and to social distance and to be safe, great. But I do think that there is an element of fear there. If you start to think, well, I could just get it again and again and again. Certain nihilism takes hold. So from a media literacy perspective, what, if I'm a layman, how do I unearth stuff like that? What should I look for in a story like this? There was an article, so I looked specifically for that
Starting point is 00:25:27 and I found an article that please do not take offense at this, but it was actually aimed at teenagers. I read a lot about this argument that we should be teaching media literacy in health classes in high school. And indeed, it seems that perhaps some are not here locally, but other places where they've already gotten. And I think that's actually a great idea to walk us through this concept when we're young. Before we start really engaging with a ton of news and making decisions based on
Starting point is 00:25:59 that news, I think the idea that we should kind of understand, especially in the world with the internet, what that looks like is really smart. And actually from a health perspective, it's definitely applicable. The first thing that they recommend is, is this a study or a story? This was a story that cited two studies, loosely, very loosely. One of the first things you would want to do is if they don't cite any studies, I wouldn't even, I'd want to go figure out where do you get this information. Right. A study obviously has a lot more meat in it and it's
Starting point is 00:26:36 a lot more impactful from a scientific perspective than some doctors think. I've heard a lot about a lot of people saying,, yes So I would if if it is a story find the studies Read the studies yourselves there's usually Well, I should say always there should be an abstract to the study It's my bread and butter right there. That's what I like I don't like to get down the weeds. I like that abstract which it sum it up for me a point extra It does it it has a part right away that says usually in the abstract I like, I don't like to get down the weeds. I like that abstract, which is sum it up for me point dexter.
Starting point is 00:27:05 It does. It has a part right away that says usually in the abstract that has like conclusions. You can usually read a lot of those for free too. You don't need the subscription or whatever you've done the service. So I would want to look at the study first. And then once you look at the study, some other things you can ask yourself is, was this done in people? Because something that was done in animals is always at a preliminary stage and doesn't
Starting point is 00:27:30 necessarily mean that humans will react the same way. And while it is furthering our body of scientific knowledge, has not arrived at a conclusion for humans. Who was in the study? If there were people, were they people that apply to whatever your particular concern is? Was it a diverse enough group of a sample? You know, I mean, because in some of these studies it will just be, you know, all men or only white people or whatever. So, you know, was it a diverse sample size that helps you understand something about you
Starting point is 00:28:06 if that's your concern? And then you can get into like what kind of studies they are. If you see retrospective study, that's always a little less reliable, just in the sense that we're trusting people's memories of events to tell us, or we're trusting documentation of old events to tell us, or we're trusting documentation of old events, to tell us what happened and what the truth is
Starting point is 00:28:30 so that we can draw conclusions from it. And I'm not saying that there is no place for retrospective studies, but if it is like earth changing, ground breaking, whatever paradigm, shifting news, it's probably not based on a retrospective study. It's probably based on something that's prospective, moving forward, looking forward, collecting data in real time that's more reliable, or like if we're talking about a drug or something
Starting point is 00:28:58 a randomized controlled clinical trial, right, where you compare results. So you can easily look because most of the time it's in the title of the study, what kind of study it was. And then think about like, where do reporters get these stories? Are they getting them from major medical journals? I mean, we name a lot of them on the show like the New England Journal of Medicine or the Lancet or JAMA, the Journal of the American Medical Association, something like that. Or is this like, and this is a little harder to parse, I think, for the lay public, if you're not used to looking for journals, but here's an easy one. Is it pre-publication? Has it actually been peer reviewed and accepted to a journal?
Starting point is 00:29:41 Or is it just, we did this study, we wrote it up, we haven't actually gotten it to a journal yet, but I want to send it to the media to get it published right away. Because before things undergo peer review, they haven't really been vetted by the scientific community. So something sexy, you'll kind of slide it in there. I mean, that has happened. And that doesn't mean that the information's wrong. It may be absolutely
Starting point is 00:30:07 accurate and everybody's impactful as they think it is, but we don't know that yet because we haven't we haven't vetted it. And then of course, like you can you can research it yourself. You can check into these things yourself. You can always ask a health professional if you're really not sure. But on the antibody, I wanted to address that first because I think a lot of people got scared from a lot of these headlines about how antibodies go away. I would still take every precaution, but I would not fear that there is no immunity
Starting point is 00:30:39 from having had coronavirus and recovered from it. And this should not impact in any way the vaccine that we're making. That's the other thing that people have said, so does this mean a vaccine is impossible? No. No. No.
Starting point is 00:30:52 Maybe you need a booster. Maybe we'll need to get a yearly one like the flu shot, who knows, but no. Yeah. No. The only other headline I wanted to briefly, and I'll try to be brief about this, because it's more of a conversation.
Starting point is 00:31:07 I saw this headline from Bloomberg, and this was actually like a couple weeks old, school children don't spread coronavirus French study shows. Cool, we're done. That's it? Game over, just give me some of that French school child blood. I'll take two vials, please. I want to be extra immune.
Starting point is 00:31:29 Do you think I can get, probably I'm a deep lab, right? I can get some French child blood. I don't want to discuss this any. I'm a silk road. Further, why would you start this kind of, you know, this is how conspiracy theories develop. I'm just, you know, you're right, you're right, you're right. I need it for a different reason.
Starting point is 00:31:46 Uh-huh. Winky. So, uh, I, this is, this actually broke our rule. This is positive news, right? Yeah. School kids don't spread coronavirus. So, I mean, it's positive in the sense that, yeah, except it's obviously madness. I, I think on one hand, this has to be, I think you have to deal with this information
Starting point is 00:32:05 very carefully because wow, everyone is confused right now about school. Doctors are divided on this. I mean, scientists research, well, I think everybody agrees that we can't just open up like we did prior pandemic and hope for the best. Yeah, that's probably gonna be pretty good It was probably gonna be what we do. I don't think everybody agrees on that I think there are some people who would be fine with us just opening up laws. They're not the secretary of education. I'm fine I have some bad news for you But what this leads you to believe is like well school kids don't spread it and there have been other headlines about this Right like kids are not as good at spreading coronavirus as adults are.
Starting point is 00:32:47 Sorry, kids. Yeah. Leave this one to the grownups. We've got it. And so then we can just open up the schools and it's French. So it's not Americans. You know where off the wall. I don't know if you've read, but like French children are, they're like quadlingle, they're eating just
Starting point is 00:33:05 only abruptly. No, they ate every vegetable. Oh, they eat every vegetable, yeah, but their, their dessert is broccoli and they're made, they're all gymnasts. They've never had chicken nuggets. They've never had chicken pox. They're perfect children. They don't watch TV.
Starting point is 00:33:20 No. They've never seen chicken run. So in the article, the first while they do jump right to the study, the scientists at the pasture institute studied 1,040 people in this one town in Northeast Paris, Crippet on Valleaux. Looks like creepy, but probably is not. No. And they had an outbreak in February. March, this is actually where the first cases of coronavirus came from in France. And they included
Starting point is 00:33:52 510 students from six different primary schools. They found three probable cases among the kids, and it did not lead to any other infections. Looking back. And it was called, by the way, in the title of this, SARS-CoV-2 infection in primary schools in northern France, a retrospective cohort study in an area of high transmission. So with my new literacy, I know that a retrospective study is not going to be as useful as a prospective study. That is right. Yes. That doesn't mean it is useless. But before you conclude
Starting point is 00:34:26 that school kids cannot spread coronavirus, I would want to read further. One, this is a small area of northern France. It is retrospective. And I think one thing that is really important to know is that when they went, what they looked back and did is who had positive COVID tests from this time period, and then can we survey all of the kids who were in classes with them to see if they also got infected by looking for antibodies. Okay, so check everybody for antibodies now and see who had it. The problem is since there were school kids, you had to get their permission and like a parent to do it to To agree to it and not everybody did about half of the students participated
Starting point is 00:35:10 So if you're trying to see like if there's one kid I'm gonna say in a class of 30 because this is America. I'm betting in this Lovely French village probably last but probably like 12, but anyway this lovely French village. Probably last but. Probably like 12. But anyway, if you have one kid in a class of 30 and you're like, did this kid who we definitely know had COVID give it to any of these other 29 kids
Starting point is 00:35:34 and only 12 of them agreed to be tested and none of them got it, what do you say about the rest? I mean, it's a good sample, but you know, I mean, gaps there that where did they sit? Who did they play with? What do they, you know, what activities? I don't know. It gets a little tricky. A lot of the staff did agree though. A lot of the teachers, 90% of the teachers did agree to be tested. So, and then again, this was all based on recollection, recollection of events. They did the antibody testing to confirm, and then it is worth noting that after the first case in this part of France, two weeks later, the school shut down.
Starting point is 00:36:12 So, you don't have a long window there where they could have. Oh, yeah, spread it around. Yeah. There weren't any vacation days. They were quick to have no holidays in there, but there wasn't a huge window where they could have spread it. And even though the researchers did feel very optimistic about these results, they were very quick to say in the study itself, these findings suggest that reopening of primary
Starting point is 00:36:35 schools can be considered carefully with continuous monitoring of possible resurgence in infections and strategies to limit transmission such as masks for older children, physical distancing, respiratory etiquette, and hand hygiene. So they're not saying, kids don't get coronavirus. Right. Just a little safer. And if you take all these precautions. And the truth is like, we have seen some evidence that do kids get it less or they just so many of them asymptomatic. It's hard to say too because schools are one of the first things we shut down, right? Yeah, so there's less chance for spread.
Starting point is 00:37:11 So like, have fewer kids gotten coronavirus because kids are more likely to get coronavirus, or is it because, I mean, I know at least in our family, as soon as the shutdown happened, our kids, well, they stopped leaving the house and they haven't left the house since. Yeah. I mean, they've ridden around in the car with us, but they don't get out of the car.
Starting point is 00:37:30 They don't go in anywhere. So where would they? When would they get it? There's spray out. And I would say that's probably true of a lot of kids because you can't trust them to not like lick things or people. Yeah. That, that sounds like an exaggeration if you don't have kids, but it's a pretty common
Starting point is 00:37:48 present problem just the licking. So the answer then, like if you read this, and there have been a lot of headlines I've seen like this that say like, kids don't seem to get coronavirus or they don't seem to spread coronavirus. And I do think that there is, there obviously is some difference between adults and kids. When it comes to the transmission, the ability to get and give coronavirus, there is a difference. How well defined that is right now? Well, it's not.
Starting point is 00:38:15 And we don't know. I mean, there's just, there's too much we don't know to draw a broad conclusion that way. We say, we know that kids do seem to get less sick and they rarely die from COVID. I think that that is, those are all fair things to say, but some do get sick, and unfortunately some will die of coronavirus. And it disproportionately affects children with underlying health conditions and non-white children have suffered more from coronavirus than white children. Yeah. So when we start talking about opening schools, I don't think
Starting point is 00:39:00 simply saying school children don't transmit coronavirus is the end of the story. There's a million other factors. Right. And also it's like we don't know how much these schools have barely been able to educate kids with the funding that they've been receiving. Like, this stuff costs money. Like, the changes that people are talking about, the requirements and stuff like that, can be expensive. And like, you're just voicing that on people who are already overburdened with work. And then just trusting that they'll be able to piece it together. Hey, in addition to teaching these 30 kids, can you try to keep them, you know, six feet
Starting point is 00:39:30 apart at all times? It's an amazing thing. And don't let them lick things. I mean, we have two and we can't stop them from licking things. And there's two of us. But the other part of this are the teachers and the staff themselves. Like it's not just about, so okay, fine, even if this were all true, like the teachers can get sick.
Starting point is 00:39:51 And we know that kids can't, I mean, it's not that it's impossible for them to transmit coronavirus. Maybe they're, maybe they're less efficient, but you stick them in the same room long enough for days on end, but teacher could get some teachers will get sick. I mean, that these are inevitability. enough for days on end, a teacher could get some teachers will get sick. I mean, these are inevitability. They're still going to be pick up and drop off of your kids at the very least. And you know, if the adults are getting infected and getting sick, that is just as meaningful as the kids, you know, and you're exactly right. Like the parents coming into the school.
Starting point is 00:40:22 I know there was just recently a case where like in a daycare There were a lot of people infected by either from the child who was being brought who was asymptomatic and sick or the parent who was coming and dropping their child off every day Who was sick? Yeah, and just hadn't gotten a result back yet. So didn't know they were positive um and The authors of this study kind of argued that like well adults are probably more likely to go get it out. Like, you know how teachers go hang out in bars every night? Yes. That's where all these teachers are getting it. To deal with having to care for your miserable children.
Starting point is 00:40:54 But we don't know. The truth is we don't know what happens when we put a bunch of children crowded into classrooms. We're going to tell some of them to wear masks, but again, as far as I can tell, the federal response to this is our plan is to let individual schools figure it out and have a plan. Our plan is that you should have a plan to plan to do things for a plan, for coronavirus, and then a plan for shutdown and a plan for reopening. Just create a plan for coronavirus and then a plan for shutdown and a plan for reopening. Just create a plan for all that. If you could just make plans, that's our plan is that you'll have a plan. And again, what that speaks to is one, no coordinated response, no funding, no, no, any
Starting point is 00:41:41 kind of oversight to ensure that people are doing things right, that the CDC guidelines that have been put out, that the recommendations from the AAP that have been put out, nobody's going to be checking on that stuff. No. No, because it's up to individual schools. Literally, I mean, on a county level, I think that's what it's going to come down to here is the county will make recommendations, but each school can implement them as they are able.
Starting point is 00:42:06 And again, what we come back to is the inequitable system that will have some schools that will have the resources to protect kids and staff and other schools that will absolutely not have the resources to do that. And those schools, those kids, those teachers, those people will suffer for that. And we will lose people because they didn't have the money to pay for the safety that the president is demanding. They provide
Starting point is 00:42:33 magically. It's hard, you know, it's, it's, I am certainly sympathetic to the people for whom the lack of schooling is catastrophic. Who have no other options for childcare, who have no other options, and like depend on that for to be able to feed their families. I am not insensitive to it. So it's like, oh, both of these options are bad.
Starting point is 00:43:04 It's like, well, yes, this is why we leadership is important. Why a complete deficit in leadership leads to these situations where the burden is being placed at the end of the, you know, at the end of the stream. Like there's no leadership coming down. There's no plans in place. There's no, these plans are not being made. You know, if the states and the nation really wanted to open up for schools, they should have stayed shut down all summer so we could like actually tamp down coronavirus cases
Starting point is 00:43:41 enough to make it somewhat more reasonable to just throw the doors wide open. Well, that's exactly the point. Why did we open bars and restaurants if we wanted to open schools? Why did we do that first? Why was any of that a precedent? And I'm going to say this and we're going to get somebody's going to get mad at me. Why are we spending so much time and money and effort into making sure
Starting point is 00:44:05 sports can happen when we haven't insured that school can happen? I see a lot of, on many different levels, a lot of time and energy and tests being used to ensure that we can have sports. And I think sports are great. I played a bunch of them when I was a kid. And I think they're wonderful to participate in, but we need schools. We can go a semester or even a year without sports and we'll be okay. We have to have schools. In fact, I'm going to make a pledge right now
Starting point is 00:44:36 that I will go a year. Oh boy. Without sports there, I've said it, you can hold me accountable to it. I'm not an anti, I love sports. I played softball and basketball and tennis and... Oh, listen, don't let me get started on all the other sports. I know about also.
Starting point is 00:44:55 I've played all the sports. I know. I think every intention, when there's not a pandemic of putting our children into whatever, if they want to, assuming they want to. Charlie can go back to Taikwondo eventually. Pigskin. But I, right now, why is that?
Starting point is 00:45:11 All of our priorities are out of whack. And again, you're right. Like this puts people, like single parents or dual worker households or essential worker households. We know that disproportionately women are being forced out of the labor market right now. They're being put in a position where it's either someone watches the children or they get to have a job.
Starting point is 00:45:32 And so you can't have both. I know that that's been reported on extensively, for all genders, not just women, but disproportionately women are affected. Schooling, what about the school part? We know that there was a study that showed that kids were falling behind in math as a result of this last semester that was largely virtual. And again, it's not all kids because disproportionately black children and Latinx children were falling behind in math in this one study, but in other studies, it was other subjects falling behind
Starting point is 00:46:02 and in some white children were not. So again, this shutdown is disproportionately affecting both the virus itself and the outcome of no schooling is disproportionately affecting marginalized populations in this country. The answer is not just so whether or not you can be safe and follow the guidelines open up Because I'm seeing the same rhetoric being used about teachers and staff that was used about doctors Well, you're essential. You're a hero. We trust you to go on the front lines and put your life at risk That's what we've asked you to do do that for us give. Give your life to educate these children if necessary. And that's crap. No, no. Well, what it should be is we have spent all of our time and money and effort in making this as safe as possible. We have
Starting point is 00:46:59 new classrooms. We have more teachers. We have more staff to help watch kids. We have more teachers, we have more staff to help watch kids. We have Plexiglass dividers set up. We've got all this space and equipment. We've got tons of stuff to send home for the kids who can't come. Here's ways for you to learn virtually. And here is a camp where we can send some of the kids to learn virtually while they're being watched by, you know, nannies and babysitters that we're hiring as a country so that parents
Starting point is 00:47:25 can go to work, who have to work. There are so many creative ways that we could have gone at this. And we're not doing any of it unless the schools are being able to gather the funds and get the experts and figure it out for themselves. I mean, some will, right? Like some will be able to do this. But many, many won't. And they're all being held to the same standard, which is essentially open up or you get less. I know that this has been successfully done in other countries, but
Starting point is 00:47:58 it's important to remember that we're trying to compare ourselves to countries where one this pandemic has been well managed much better managed where people aren't like we're not seeing infection rate skyrocket in these places like we are here. There's no comparison for America like we don't have a good No, I mean analog or we can be like well, they did it like well in America You've been very bad at your all of your coronavirus. You don't get to school Every study every study starts with the same thing like you could open schools following all these different guidelines in an area where the infection is under control. Well in most of America the infections are not under control here they're not so it doesn't apply to
Starting point is 00:48:41 us from the jump that we can't I mean mean, the very first criteria we fail to meet. So and these are also places where they put money into supporting families, supporting education, supporting healthcare for all, where these are countries that value that. And whether or not we value that as a society, it is not being shown through the action of our government. I feel like maybe do you have some closing media literacy tips? I feel like maybe at some point I listen. I feel like at some point you took my great topic that I had. And maybe I hate to use the word perverted but you've I feel like you have
Starting point is 00:49:30 perverted my great idea for a show into an opportunity to sort of espouse your liberal group thing. You should you should cut all that out because that's exactly the email we're going to get later. Well, no, if I say it now, you can't send the email. No, I don't know. Somebody's going to tell us they're not going to listen anymore because they don't want to hear my keep stop giving us politics, just give us history. That's the email. What if you are, let's let it actually say this, it closing though, you don't have these kinds of insights if you're not a physician. What, But it's closing though, you don't have these kinds of insights if you're not a physician. If you can't make heads or tails of it, what do you do? I mean ask someone who can.
Starting point is 00:50:13 See I was going to say ignore it because here's the thing. Listen, here's the thing. If you can't understand it, you probably can't control it. Does that make sense? Just vote for people that are going to do the right things and trust that they've got it under control? I would say asking is one thing, but also right now, there are lots of information that is easily accessible to the public being put out by the NIH and the CDC and the World Health Organization. And I know that they get maligned from time to time.
Starting point is 00:50:47 But the information there is accurate. And I mean, the CDC has extensive guidelines on how to safely open schools. So, I mean, they're all there for everyone to read. If you want to know about the antibody testing, I mean, listen to Fauci. Listen to what Fauci says. He will tell you everything I just said about immunity. I've heard it from him, which is...
Starting point is 00:51:08 Another good option is there's lots of doctors on Twitter who are, you know, who will who are retweeting stuff like this. And I've seen from some of your retweets medical people who are retweeting this and like contextualizing it when they do that. So I mean, I would just, I would make sure that if you, I mean, these days you can't just say if somebody has a scientific background or, you know, that type of education that you can automatically trust what they say. No. No, that is not true.
Starting point is 00:51:35 But I would definitely look for people who have some understanding of science to help you understand scientific topics. Because it's like, I mean, this is an area where I speak the language. There are plenty where I don't. And I wouldn't, I wouldn't just read a headline and try to come up with my own ideas based on it if I didn't understand it, you know. I would go, if it was about engineering, I would go ask somebody who knows about engineering, an engineer to explain it to me.
Starting point is 00:52:05 Well, I can only, I'm just leaving it out there. Thanks so much for listening to our program. We hope you've enjoyed yourself. We got the Max Fund Drive starting next week, so that'll be fun, something to look forward to, some way to distinguish the days from each other, which is so cool. the days from each other, which is so cool. Thank you, the taxpayers, for the use of their song Medicines as the intro and outro of our program. I got a book, My Brother's and Dad, and it's called The Adventure Zone, it's based on our podcast.
Starting point is 00:52:39 You can, the third graphic novel of that comes out on Tuesday. So if you want to pick that up, it's called The Image of Zone Pettles to the Metal. Pick up the other two. Sydney Reddit, she liked it. I loved it. I thought it was excellent.
Starting point is 00:52:55 I'm not biased. She's not biased. Thank you so much for listening to our show. Be sure to join us again next week for Saw Bones. Until then, my name is Justin McRoy. I'm Sydney McRoy. And as always, don't. Joe, hold in your head. Alright! Maximumfun.org Comedy and Culture
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