Scott Horton Show - Just the Interviews - 10/25/21 Nasser Arrabyee on the Yemen Atrocity and the Battle for Marib
Episode Date: October 30, 2021Scott is joined by Nasser Arrabyee who gives an update on the state of the war in Yemen. The battle for Marib is raging as the Houthis take control of more and more districts. The city is one of the l...ast strongholds outside of Houthi control, and it looks like that may change soon. Arrabyee also gives an update on the rest of the country, where the Saudi blockade continues to wreak havoc on the population. Discussed on the show: Scott’s interview about Marib with Scott Paul Nasser Arrabyee is a Yemeni journalist based in Sana’a, Yemen. He is the owner and director of yemen-now.com. You can follow him on Twitter @narrabyee. This episode of the Scott Horton Show is sponsored by: The War State and Why The Vietnam War?, by Mike Swanson; Tom Woods’ Liberty Classroom; ExpandDesigns.com/Scott; EasyShip; Dröm; Free Range Feeder; Thc Hemp Spot; Green Mill Supercritical; Bug-A-Salt; Lorenzotti Coffee and Listen and Think Audio. Shop Libertarian Institute merch or donate to the show through Patreon, PayPal or Bitcoin: 1DZBZNJrxUhQhEzgDh7k8JXHXRjYu5tZiG. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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All right, y'all, welcome to the Scott Horton Show.
I'm the director of the Libertarian Institute, editorial director of anti-war.com, author of the book, Fool's Aaron,
time to end the war in Afghanistan, and the brand new, enough already, time to end the war on terrorism.
And I've recorded more the 5,500 interviews since 2000.
Almost all on foreign policy and all available for you at Scott Horton.4.
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YouTube.com slash Scott Horton's show.
All right, you guys, introducing Nasser Arby, reporter from Sana' Yemen.
He used to write for the New York Times back when they were interested in what he had to say,
but all that changed when America switched sides in the war six and a half years ago.
And we've been talking to them ever since.
Welcome back to the show.
How you doing, Nassar?
Oh, thank you very much, Scott.
Thank you.
Thank you for having me on.
Yeah, happy to have you here.
It's Yemen-Now.com is the new site there, Yemen, Alon.
So there's big news.
I've been trying to keep up with everything at anti-war.com.
Jason and Dave both do a really good job of keeping up with everything.
Obviously, the most important topic to begin with here, is the battle for Mareeb, this major city.
east of Sinah, which has been in the hands of the former government of Yemen for, I guess,
most of the last six years here in their alliance with al-Isla. But now my understanding is that
the Houthis have driven them out and have taken over the town of Mareeb, but they're still
bitter fighting going on and airstrikes and also a looming, if not already happening extra
humanitarian crisis from all the people being driven out.
out of there, all the civilians being driven out of there by the fighting.
So please do tell, sir.
Thank you very much.
Well, what's really happening in Mareb is the last ditch, the last minute attempt to cling to this city,
or the Saudi-backed government or the Saudi-backed militants.
and are trying to stick in this city because it has a kind of symbolism
because it's the last ever, the last stronghold for this government,
the so-called internationally recognized government.
So they are trying to stay, but I think what's going to happen is they will fail, whatever they do.
Because all the indications tell us that they will, or the city, the only city of Marib,
will also fall in the hands of Houthi because they have only the city itself.
but it is surrounded from all directions.
They have only one way that is the eastern, in the direction of the east,
into Saudi Arabia and into Hadramut, the far east of the country.
So now what they are bidding on, they are bidding on a few statements from here and there,
from US, from UN, from EU, which calls or which call, who,
to stop attacking Marib and to stop entering Marib.
But they will not be able to do anything.
Houthis are advancing and they are making advances every day.
And I think what they want to do, what Houthis want to do now,
is only to secure itself, as I told you last time, to secure themselves for what is beyond.
Because Marib is in a huge desert.
It's of course oil rich and it's just rich and it's important, a strategic one.
So Houthis now are focusing on the neighboring province of
Shabwa, which is also oil rich and gas rich.
And they, until now, they have captured three districts.
That is Bayhan, Ayn, and Harib, yes, Harib.
So these places now that are already captured by Houthi
would mean to anyone, any observer,
anyone who watches what is happening there
would mean that Houthis are securing themselves
to advance even beyond Mareb.
Mareb is almost under their control already.
But what does that mean at the end of the day?
It would mean that Houthi would be having
the biggest hand in any negotiation table.
And the Saudis did not want to give him this leverage.
And this is why they are keeping, carrying their airstrikes day and night, but without
any success on the ground.
Yeah, they should have cut a deal two years ago, or three or four or five years ago.
Now they're in a much weaker position.
but so let me ask you about the port town of Aden there, the port city of Aden.
It's who actually is in charge there?
Is the Southern Transitional Council has essentially the dominant force in that city?
Is that correct?
Yes, it is the transitional Southern Council, yes, STC.
But it is, it is not alone.
it is the main one
but it is not the only
because there are a lot of groups
a lot of groups who are against it
there are the Islaj, the Islajati
and there are also the Kaida
militants
and the sympathizers
and also there are
the people who are with
with
with Hadi of course
with Hadi and
who don't like either.
So it's a mix of chaos and insecurity and miss.
Because, you know, you can't, they don't have that good economic situation
because it's, I mean, the value of the real is,
now very, very, very low. People can't afford even buy food or water or whatever. So, I mean,
the difference between the value in the value of dollar and the value of dollar in Aden is more than twice.
which means that $1,000 in Sanai is 600, but in Aden it's 1,300, just imagine.
So there is a big inflation, and there are a lot of economic problems.
There is insecurity, and the United Arab Emirates is sticking to Aden because they think that Aden is their share.
Aidan is their abortion, unfortunately, when they are dividing their country between them
between Saudi Arabia and Yemen.
And between Saudi Arabia and UAE, they don't care about Yemen at all.
Now, it's a complicated kind of a relationship here.
I guess my understanding is that the STC has had this relationship with the UAE forces all along
here.
But where do the Hadi, so-called government,
I guess the government in exile there of Hadi and the Saudis fit into that?
They also have a relationship with STC?
This is good.
This is a good question.
It will make it clear.
Hadi's government, the so-called government,
is now, it is not in Aden now anymore.
because they came to Eden two weeks ago and there were a lot of bombings and a lot of clashes
and they were forced to go back to Saudi Arabia.
Very few ministers, very few ministers, two or three, are still there.
They are hiding.
They can't work in public.
They can't work in open.
They can't do anything.
So what government is this?
What can they do?
they don't know what people need.
They don't do anything to the people.
So it's because the SDC is not willing to have them there
because they call them like Islamist or Islamist or Northerners.
You know, they have a lot of labels.
So they can't stay in Eden for three or,
one month continuously.
They can stay, they can stay at all.
But when Mohammed bin Salman wants to say, I am here, he just forces them to go back to
Aden and they, when they come, they are being attacked or bombings is happening there
or assassination is there or violence is there.
So they are not safe to stay in Aden.
They are not safe for themselves, let alone to do something for the people.
So there is no government in Aden.
There is no Saudi government in Aden.
There is some forces, Saudi forces, yes, in a very small place called the Maasheek presidential palace,
which is surrounded by their soldiers.
but they are not also spared from the attacks.
Sometimes they receive attacks to this place,
which is the most fortified place.
So what government is this?
Now, Nasser, a few months ago,
I was talking with a human rights activist type
who was really fearful about what was going to happen
with the sacking of Marie,
because he said there were so many people,
I guess, I think he said,
million people or something were essentially, you know, refugees hiding out in Marib or nearby
and how they were all going to be forced into the desert, that there was not many other places
for them to flee when the fighting really came to Marib. So now here we are, you know, three,
four, five months later. I wonder what happened all those people. This is not accurate. This is
not accurate. I let you why, because they are talking about, they are keep talking about
the refugees, they are talking about the IDPs, rather, I should say IDPs, not refugees,
because they use them as human shields. So these IDPs are people who came to Marib from Sanra, for
example, from Saada, from Amran, from the places under the control of Houthi. But they would not go to the
desert as they say no most many many of them now already when they when they feel that the city is
already seed and blockaded from all directions and the clashes are there and their life is
is in danger they come back to to their places because they can come back there is there is no problem
I mean, Houthi would not tell them why you are coming back.
Many people are coming back to Sana'a, to Amran, to any place where they can find their
house or relatives or even camps, camps where they can find some kind of AIDS, some kind of
help from this or from that.
So it's not that big problem at all.
And the number is very exaggerated.
It is not three million.
It's about all in all, from the very beginning, it's about million.
This is my estimation.
About million, and this is big, of course.
I'm not saying it is a small number, of course.
But the people who talk about them, especially the Saudis,
and the people who receive money and the AIDS from Saudis are not,
they don't mean they don't care about the life of these people.
just say, no, Houthi should stop attacking Mareb, Houthi should leave Mareb for us, because
there will be a humanitarian crisis.
Yemen is already a humanitarian crisis, the whole country.
I mean, millions and millions of people are in almost in poverty, in famine.
So why only Mareb now?
So if they are sincere about, if they care sincerely about,
Marib, they should talk about the whole country.
The whole country is being attacked, being bombed, being staffed all the time.
So why only, why, why now they focus only on Marib?
I am now criticizing this kind of bias.
Why only Maribb?
I am.
Well, I got to say, Nasser,
In this case, the guy that I'm speaking of that I talked to here has been really good on all sides of this and, you know, for a very long time.
And I think it's part of the movement that wants to end the blockade first and foremost, whether there's any talks going on or not, that the blockade must be ended, which is, you know, probably the highest importance out of all the other issues that play here, right?
Yes, I'm now talking about the United States and...
Oh, I got it. I understand what you're saying. I just want to, because I was the one who brought him up. I just want to make sure that. But I understand what you're saying about the Saudis and their crocodile tears. Yes. Exactly, yes. Yeah. Now, okay, so let's continue on the humanitarian crisis here for a minute. So, you know, I brought up the movement here by some peace groups in the U.S. trying to just focus on stopping the blockade. Is it still the case that at the Port of Hodata, that,
commercial shipping is essentially stopped or, you know, how much trade is actually going on
there now?
And for that matter, the Sana'a airport as well.
See, the blockade is the women of Saudi Arabia.
Believe me, Scott, the blockade on the economic blockade is the only women in the hands
of Saudi Arabia.
They can't do anything except this.
they can't do anything
the ear strikes
don't work
they just don't work at all
but
they have
the blockade they have the
starvation
they have this economic things
yes they have it
so they
allow
some kind of commercial
or some chefs
commercial chefs or
eight chefs
whenever they want
because they don't want
people to die
but they don't want them to live
so Saudi Arabia is like this
they don't want
Yemenis to die
but they don't want them to live
they want them to
submit they want them to
to to yell
to to
they want to subjugate them
they want to
to bring them to their knees.
This is what you think, what you feel
Saudi Arabia is doing.
So I can't tell you now it's closed.
I can't tell you it's open.
But they use it as a woman in their world.
This is a fact.
This is a fact.
And I think the only thing that can happen
to help anyone who wants to
who wants to help Yemen, whether U.S., UN, EU or whatever, the only thing that can help end
this war is to change the UN resolution, 2016, or 2216, because it's a war, it's a resolution
of war and it is it is the it is the thing that that that that helps Saudi Arabia to do whatever
they want to allow Saudi Arabia to do whatever they want so anything now any any any
any attempts from any side from any country from any place would fail why because they are
they are they are they are based on this on this on this and this in this resolution
That Saudi Arabia is using to attack Yemen and kill Yemen and destroy it.
Okay, hang on just one second.
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So can you talk about the economy now?
Yeah, and the level of famine, starvation in the country.
It's been six and a half years of this.
Yes, it's about seven years now.
And it's very weak.
I mean, everybody knows that it is the worst humanitarian crisis in the world.
But what people don't know is what does that mean?
A lot of people don't know what does that mean to us.
What does that mean to people?
Because, you know, it's just if you are not there, if you don't see, it's different.
So it means a lot.
It means that Saudi Arabia wants to make a reality, a reality by doing so, by doing this,
by stabbing people
by
blocking the country and by
destroying it
but what kind of people
what kind of country
what kind of government
you don't know
because
you know
Mohammed bin Salman
is focusing on his
ambitions
and his
projects and his
plans without
caring about
at all. And this is the thing that would make things worse and would also make Saudi Arabia
not succeed in what they want to do, of course, because 30 million people would not watch
themselves being killed and stabbed without doing anything to Saudi Arabia. Because they can't.
I hope you have seen the people last week who were in the streets talking about ending the war and stopping the war and who are here in the northern path of Yemen,
who are supporting Houthis and who are with Houthis because they, not because they believe in what Houthi is,
is saying or in what Houthi wants even to do.
But because Saudi Arabia is killing them,
because Saudi Arabia is destroying them,
because Saudi Arabia is blockading and stabbing them.
That's it.
All right, so tell me, do you have some kind of estimated death toll?
I know the Ackled data has,
the last I heard from Ackled data,
which seemed to be doing the best on this,
they had more than 100,000 killed just in direct strikes and violence by the Saudis,
not including people who've been deprived to death, died of cholera, died of famine,
died of easily treatable diseases of other descriptions and all these other things.
But I wonder, you know, what your current estimates are for, you know, those killed actually in fighting
or having their houses bombed by the Saudis and then also from the country.
Yes, I'll start with you, Scott, with this number that was announced only last week by UN.
Inesif, I think, yes.
They said that 10,000 children were killed and injured.
And that's in direct violence.
They're not, you know, in airstrikes or shootings, right.
Yes, yes, not malnutrition, not related disease.
No, no, no, no.
right it's just by air strikes right now this is good 10,000 children not women just children right
so if we if we say now say 10,000 women or maybe women are more than children so if 20 according to
you in 20,000 okay 20,000 is not one is a big thing of course so 20,000 if I say 20,000
20,000 by the UN standards, I would say my statics or my estimation is men, women, and children are now about 300,000.
300.
And I am talking, we have been talking together, Scott, all along about this.
And I have my own things to estimate and to calculate these things.
Now it's 300.
Because when UN was saying, 10,000, I would tell you, I was telling you that it is 100.
It is 100.
No, it's 100.
And I challenged the UN here, because they don't have statistics, and they are trying to
abuse Saudi Arabia, because Saudi Arabia is paying a lot of money to them.
They can't say anything.
The best people in UN would keep silent.
The best, the good people, the people who are not happy to see people killed,
civilians being killed, children being killed, women being killed.
But he or she would not say they would keep silent.
This is what is happening.
This is the problem of UN.
This is the problem of, unfortunately, of the people who receive their money or their main money,
their main part of money from Saudi Arabia and United Arab Emirates.
This is the problem.
The problem is humanitarian, and also it is a matter of conscience.
It is, you know, yes, give me money and I will keep silent.
This is what we feel.
things are going
things are
happening
all right now
how's al-Qaeda
in the Arabian Peninsula
do in these days
they are now
thriving
unfortunately
why
because
Saudi Arabia
Marib is one of their
hotbed
Marib is hotbed historically, not from now.
Marib, Shabwa, and Bayeza,
three neighboring provinces in the eastern part,
in the Middle East and in the Middle East of Yemen.
Historically, from 1980s, 1990s,
Kaida are there, safe haven, hotbed for al-Qaeda.
Now, Houthi is attacking these places.
and the U.S. is saying, no, no, no, no, no, no, no.
Don't attack Marim, don't attack Shabwa, don't attack Kaida,
why?
Because civilians will be killed.
People will be, I mean, humanitarian situation will be, will deteriorate, and so on and so forth.
So they are lying to us.
No, Kaida is thriving now because of the situation.
because of the statements, because of the American statements, because of Nid Bryce.
Every day now, he comes up and say, oh, stop, stop, don't kill Houthi, don't attack Houthi, don't intermarib.
Why? Why don't intermaru? Amarip is Akida. They are, are they okay with Al-Qaeda?
Okay, I don't, I don't want Houthi to attack any place in Yemen, yes. But as U.S., as U.S.,
should say something neutral, should say, okay, end this war, end the war, not stop attacking
Marib because Saudi Arabia wants to have a place for its missionaries and its, so this is not good.
This is, this is, this is politics, not not humanitarian things, not neutral things, no, no.
Kaida is thriving because of these statements of, from U.S.
state department and also
from his from
from
from
Blinken himself
because they are now
they are now they are
sympathizing with
with Marib and with
with
with Bayeha
with Shabwa with Abian
why
because they want
Saudi Arabia to have
influence and
Saudi Arabia has no influence
except with those people,
except with Qaeda, ISIS, and the slah.
This is the point.
Well, listen, I mean,
it sounds like with the Houthis continuing to advance
and win the war,
that just means that there's essentially,
you know, all the incentives on the Saudis
and, you know, I guess the rest of their allies,
British and the French and whoever
are helping them along with the Americans
to wage the war to just double
down and continue on rather than negotiate
my understanding
is that Britain is the
so-called penholder
on
which means if they don't introduce a
resolution on Yemen
to change the thing in the UN Security Council
they sort of reserve the right
to do so to themselves
and for nobody else so there's essentially
nothing that can be done other than
these governments, the British
government and the American government being pressured
by the populations of
their own countries to stop
this and to change the resolution, to end
the blockade, to force the Saudis to settle
or some kind of thing. Otherwise,
it seems like all the
incentives are for the thing
to just keep going. I mean, the Saudis
can afford to keep dropping bombs if it comes
to that, right?
Exactly. Houthi
is very happy.
Houthi is very happy with what is happening.
You know, Houthi has no incentive in stopping the war.
Houthi has no incentive in sitting down to the negotiating table at all.
Because why would he, why would Houthi stop?
Why would Houthi go to the negotiation table?
Why?
To spare the population if they could get the blockade lifted and get, you know,
relations normalize and get the economy back going again.
Exactly.
And they are, I mean, they are making advances.
Saudi Arabia is in a big problem, but so Houthi is happy because Saudi Arabia is the
one that needs to solve their problems.
not Houthi. Houthi now can manage how to do it.
People can get by.
People can manage now to cope with all these kind of difficulties.
And Houthi is okay.
So Saudi Arabia is saying, no, I have initiative.
I have that kind of things.
They should do it.
The ball is in their court.
No, Houthi is happy.
Houthi is make advances and he would not stop.
He would not stop because he has, Houthi has the upper hand.
And this is something, this is a fact.
And a lot of Americans are saying there in their think tanks or in the top circles there in US,
They say that Houthi has no incentives to stop.
We should change our discourse.
We should change our rhetoric.
We should change our narrative to convince him,
to sit down to the, not to tell him you should,
or you must, or you, as Saudi, you know,
like this kind of superiority and no.
Yeah, I just, I'm watching on Twitter right now,
I just saw someone showing some airstrikes in, I guess, in Sanaa.
Yes, yes, and I am expecting this, and I can't hear because I'm talking with you,
but I'm expecting this because Houthi is attacking.
Houthi is escalating their missile and drone attacks to Riyadh, to the
south to the vital places, whether economic or political or military.
So when Saudi Arabia come to Sana'a, we understand what it means.
It means that a missile or a drone is going or already gone to Saudi Arabia.
Yeah.
All right, listen, thank you for your time on the show again, NASA.
It's great to talk to you.
Really appreciate it.
I'm very sorry for the inconvenience.
I'm very sorry for the inconvenience.
and for the technical things
but inshallah we'll
try to improve everything
thank you very much Scott
for all your interest in Yemen
this is good contribution from you
to the Yemeni people
it's very good
all right well I'm happy to do it
and sorry for what my country is doing
to yours and on behalf of a lot of people
we are human beings
politics is politics everywhere
we are human beings
that's right no
thank you very much
thank you very much
thank you my friend Tuxi
yes thank you
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