Something You Should Know - Lying – The Truth and Consequences & The Race to Make Money In Outer Space
Episode Date: August 21, 2023How can doing something embarrassing in front of people be good for you? This episode begins by explaining how making a fool of yourself can actually have benefits and make you happier. Maybe not in t...he moment but overall. https://exploringyourmind.com/making-fool-yourself-makes-you-happier/ When you tell a lie, there are consequences – especially if you get caught. Because if you are caught lying, you are now a liar and that can be a difficult label to shake. And that is just the tip of the iceberg. Lying is fraught with all kinds of danger. Yet, everyone lies at some point in their life. Here to help you understand why people lie, and some of the consequences of lying you may have never even considered before is Drew Curtis. He is a licensed psychologist in Texas and is on the faculty at Angelo State University. He is author of the book Big Liars: What Psychological Science Tells Us About Lying and How You Can Avoid Being Duped (https://amzn.to/47PmsmP) Not all that long ago, it was only governments that had the money and technology to launch rockets into space. Not anymore. Today private companies are launching rockets and satellites into space almost daily! And ultimately, it is all about money. People like Elon Musk with his company SpaceX are leading the way and there are dozens of other companies collectively trying to conquer space and make a profit. Joining me to explain what is going on here is Ashlee Vance. He wrote a bestselling book about Elon Musk, he is also a feature writer at Bloomberg Businessweek and he is author of the book When the Heavens Went on Sale: The Misfits and Geniuses Racing to Put Space Within Reach (https://amzn.to/44gavDB) You can predict the weather with your morning cup of coffee – sort of. This is likely not the way the National Weather Service does it but the bubbles in your coffee can actually tell you what kind of day it is going to be. Listen as I explain. https://www.instructables.com/Predict-weather-with-a-cup-of-coffee/ PLEASE SUPPORT OUR SPONSORS! Delete Me helps you keep your personal info private by removing it from hundreds of data broker websites that sell our data online. You tell Delete Me exactly what info you want deleted, and their privacy experts take it from there! It’s really that simple to protect yourself. DeleteMe makes it easy! Right Now get 20% off your DeleteMe plan when you go to https://joindeleteme.com/something and use promo code SOMETHING20 Sometimes in life we’re faced with tough choices, and the path forward isn’t always clear. If you’re thinking of starting therapy, give BetterHelp a try. It’s entirely online, so it’s convenient, flexible, and suited to your schedule. Just fill out a brief questionnaire to get matched with a licensed therapist. Let therapy be your map, with BetterHelp Visit https://BetterHelp.com/SOMETHING today to get 10% off your first month! With HelloFresh, you get farm-fresh, pre-portioned ingredients and seasonal recipes delivered right to your doorstep. Go to https://HelloFresh.com/50something and use code 50something for 50% off plus free shipping! Your business was humming, but now you're falling behind. Teams buried in manual work. NetSuite gives you the POWER of having all of your information in one place to make better decisions and now has an UNPRECEDENTED offer to make that possible! Right now, download NetSuite’s popular KPI Checklist, designed to give you consistently excellent performance - absolutely free, at https://NetSuite.com/SYSK ! U.S. Cellular knows how important your kid’s relationship with technology is. That’s why they’ve partnered with Screen Sanity, a non-profit dedicated to helping kids navigate the digital landscape. For a smarter start to the school year, U.S. Cellular is offering a free basic phone on new eligible lines, providing an alternative to a smartphone for children. Visit https://USCellular.com/BuiltForUS ! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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The search for truth never ends.
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Today on Something You Should Know, why making a fool of yourself can actually be a good thing.
Then, why liars lie and the fascinating science of lying.
People are somewhat hypocritical even with white lies.
In relationships, we think it's acceptable to tell white lies to those we're in a relationship with,
but we don't think it's acceptable for them to do the same to us.
Also, how you can predict the weather with your morning cup of coffee.
And the privatization of outer space. A lot of companies
are pointing rockets to the heavens for profits. The obvious place where there's lots of money to
be had is in low Earth orbit, where most of the satellites fly. For the last, like, 10 years,
there's been roughly 2,000 satellites around us. We're already up to 10,000. That number's
going to go up to 100,000 by the end of this decade. All this today on Something You Should Know. This is an ad for better help. Welcome to
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Something you should know.
Fascinating intel.
The world's top experts experts and practical advice you can
use in your life today something you should know with mike carothers hello welcome to something
you should know have you ever well i'm sure you have been in a in a situation where you felt
embarrassed humiliated you know you come out of the bathroom and there's toilet paper stuck to your shoe.
Or maybe, you know, you're talking to someone and find out later that there was spinach between your two front teeth.
Well, it turns out that being publicly humiliated like that is apparently good for you. In one experiment, adults were asked to imagine themselves in an embarrassing situation,
like being naked in the bedroom and discovering that the shades are open,
and then rate how they would feel about it.
Those who felt humiliated by the situation were more likely to be happy, pro-social, and generous.
In another experiment, adults were shown videos of people
in embarrassing situations.
And those victims of humiliation
who let it show
were rated as much more trustworthy
and likable than those
who appeared unashamed.
So it seems a little humiliation
and embarrassment every once in a while
builds your character.
And that is something you should know.
Interesting thing, lying. We all know lying is wrong, yet we all do it. Everybody tells lies,
even little white lies, that seemingly don't matter. I mean, if you've told your kid about
Santa Claus or the Easter Bunny, you have engaged in deception, harmless though it may seem.
Some people obviously lie more than others, and other people are habitual liars.
They can't seem to stop lying.
So why is it we all do something we know is wrong, and what does that say about us?
Well, here to offer some really interesting insight into this is Drew Curtis.
He is a licensed psychologist in Texas.
He's on the faculty of Angelo State University
and he is author of a book called Big Liars,
What Psychological Science Tells Us About Lying
and How You Can Avoid Being Duped.
Hey, Drew, pleasure to have you on Something You Should Know.
Thanks for having me.
So if we all know that lying is wrong, why do we do it?
There are numerous different motivations for why people lie. And for psychology,
we've looked at a lot of these in our research labs and published on them. And so getting away
with something, trying to get out of
negative consequence or for impression management, those are some of the major motivations for lying.
Dr. Timothy Levine suggests people lie when the truth doesn't work. And I think that's a pretty
good reason to understand motivations behind lying. And it does seem to be human nature. I
mean, if pretty much everybody does something kind of by definition, that's human nature. and most people lie. That's right. And so if you look at lying behaviors,
most people have lied in their life. And then it's a smaller group of people that tell
lots of lies or the big lies. I've always found it interesting how there's these
rules, these kind of simple rules that you can supposedly use to tell if someone's lying. Like if somebody says
something and they look up and to the left that somehow that means they're lying. But haven't
those things basically been disproven? That's right. That's one of the most popular beliefs
even across cultures across the world is this idea that gaze aversion is an indicator of deception.
And there's a lot of researchers who have shown that eye gaze is not a reliable indicator of
deception, meaning people might look away or specifically up to the left, and that doesn't
really indicate they're lying at all. But surprisingly, that's one of the cues that most people believe even today.
And there's shows for this. There's movies, television shows that I think perpetuate this
belief. And the other part is we think that we assume that when people are lying, they're
probably feeling shamed or guilty. And so they might be looking away from us because they feel
that shame or guilt.
When kids lie a lot, do they often turn out to be adults who lie a lot?
Or is the lying in childhood often just childhood development and it disappears?
A lot of the lying in childhood, it grows.
And some of the research has indicated that teenagers lie the most across the development lifespan.
But largely that goes away into early adulthood.
And so for most of us, as we become adults, we realize the consequences of lying outweighs the consequences of telling the truth.
Though we still lie occasionally, often telling white lies.
Are there people who lie and they just kind of can't help themselves?
Like there's nothing to gain by it. It's just that they're so used to lying that, you know, they just lie because that's kind of their way of life.
Absolutely.
And those are some of the individuals that I'm real interested in looking at that we find seemingly to be a part of this pathological lying group.
One of the things written about is called the Hydra hypothesis, where essentially lies
beget lies.
And a lot of individuals who indicate they're pathological liars will say that they'll tell
an initial lie, and then the lies grow on top of lies that grow on top of those lies,
and it becomes really this bigger beast to manage than it initially was.
Yeah, well, that's often one of the arguments for not lying is that when you lie,
then you've got to keep track of what you said and the lies that you said
and the lies that you said to support the lie that you told in the first place,
and that's very hard to do, and so why don't you just tell the truth?
Yeah, absolutely.
And one of the reasons most people, as we develop outside of the teenage years, we realize
it takes a lot of cognitive energy if you want to try to get your lies straight.
But for some of the pathological liars, it's not so clear that they're trying to keep lies
straight.
It's just lying on a whim
in the moment. So finding some way impulsively or in the moment to come up with a new lie that
justifies whatever position or whatever corner they're in. But also if pathological liars are
backed into a corner you might, or really the evidence is brought
against them. Hey, this is a lie and this is contrary to what you said. They do admit,
yeah, that's right. I was lying. Are there people though who lie and actually believe their lie
that they may have said something and you know they said something and then you call them on it
and they say, I never said that. Well, are they lying or do they really believe they never said that based on the
definition that myself and other researchers use with lying if you if you come to believe something
that that is a lie then we'd say that's it no longer counts as a lie so really the definition
hinges on you believing something contrary to what you're
communicating to others. Because if someone believes something that's not honest or truthful
or matches with reality, then we would refer to that as delusional. And so this is an important
clinical distinction that someone, you know, if I tell you right now that the sky is green and purple, when in actuality it's blue with some clouds right now, if I believed that it's blue with clouds and I tell you that it's green and purple, then, you know, I'm lying.
Now, if I actually believe that it's green and purple, we'd say I'm delusional because I'm believing in something and I'm not communicating that falsely to you. Well, it occurs to me that one of the reasons that lying is so pervasive
and that everyone does it is there are lots of examples where it is a winning strategy.
You can lie your way out of some trouble often, which is evidence that lying can be a real winning
strategy. It can be a winning strategy for some. You know, the flip side of this
is that most people are honest most of the time. When looking at the research on lie frequency,
most people tell zero lies within a 24-hour period. But it's the smaller group of people
that are lying in excess. And so if you say, is lying strategy really effective? I would say not for the majority
of people, but it is for a small group of people that, as I mentioned, might use it in their jobs,
in leadership and administrative positions and sales or some areas where it can possess
or give them some advantage. And then on the flip side of that coin, you have pathological
liars where they're lying is not giving them an advantage, but clearly severing their relationships and causing distress.
Well, that surprises me that you say most people don't lie. In 24 hours, they don't tell any lies
because that's just, I don't know, it seems odd to me. It seems like people lie more than that.
Yeah, it was really kind of the crux of what a lot of my research on pathological lying came from.
And in some of the work of Kim Sirota and Timothy Levine, and they looked at lie distribution and lie frequency,
what was often cited historically for deception researchers is that people tell on average two lies a day.
But when you look more closely, while the average is correct, the mode or the most lies told,
it's zero. And so Timothy Levine has what's called truth default theory is that most people are
honest most of the time. And it's only those instances where we think the truth
won't work that we lie. We're talking about lying, why we all do it and the consequences for doing
it. And my guest is Drew Curtis. He's a licensed psychologist and author of the book, Big Liars.
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So Drew, it would seem that one of the reasons you wouldn't want to lie is if you lie and you
get caught, you're now a liar. It taints you. If you told me this lie,
then how do I know the next thing you tell me isn't a lie? And how do I know what I can trust
that you say? For sure. You know, I think that's what I find interesting about the label of liar
is that it, in your words, taints you. And so now people like Nietzsche's quote,
it's not that you've lied to me, but it's that I can no longer trust you. And so it's really
the connotations of what that hinges on. And one of the games I like to ask students or people I
interact with, uh, games slash question is if you, if someone lies to you, we call them what? And usually we say liar.
And then I ask you to put the shoe on the other foot. If you lie, you do it because,
well, and we rarely call ourselves liars. We say we lie because some good reason.
I find it interesting. One of the functions of us as humans is that
others do this behavior because that's who they are. They're bad people. They're liars.
But we do it with some reason, and usually it's a good reason to spare a social situation,
to make it less awkward, to spare someone's feelings, make them feel better. We have all
these good intents in our mind of why we lie,
but others are flat out bad people when they lie because they're liars.
Is it a lie, do you think, if someone asks you, you know,
does this dress, do these pants, does this jacket look good on me?
And it doesn't, but you don't want to hurt the person's feelings.
And you say, no, it looks fine.
It's great.
No, you look great.
And we call that a white lie because the intent is to make the other person feel good.
It's actually some of the research others have done and myself with Chris Hart is people that people are somewhat hypocritical, even with white lies in relationships.
We think it's acceptable to tell white lies to those we're in a relationship with,
but we don't think it's acceptable for them to do the same to us.
So something like we want the brutal, honest truth, but others, we need to protect them
and spare their feelings. And the research indicates that white lies are actually negatively correlated with relational satisfaction.
So while we think they don't have a cost, they actually do.
What could be the cost if your spouse wakes up and their hair is messed up and they look terrible and you say, oh, you look great. And they don't look great, but what could possibly be the harm to
the relationship in saying that rather than, oh my God, no, you look terrible.
There's two potential ways that it can be harmful. One is what some researchers deem deceiver's distrust.
So the more we lie to others, we assume they're doing that to us.
So even if I'm telling others lots of white lies, I'm assuming they're doing the same thing to me.
And that can cause me to be distrustful of others.
So that's one consequence for the liar. For the receiver or the relationship, back to the association of being caught in lies, is that you can't be trusted.
So even if it's a good lie, you say, well, this person lied and they did it for me.
Nonetheless, they still lied.
So how can I trust them about other things they say?
Or what else are they not telling me is where that may cause relational problems.
So sometimes it seems that those white lies are not lies so much as, you know, I don't,
I don't really have an opinion.
So I'll just tell you what I think you want to hear.
It's not like I'm deceiving you.
I don't really, you know, when you say, how does this outfit make me look?
I don't know. It looks great. It looks fine. I'm not really lying because I don't really
have an opinion. Sure. Or how about stating that, right? That I don't really have an opinion or
fairly indifferent. You know, I think there's a number of ways you could respond that don't necessarily communicate a dishonesty.
You know, if you're saying you're indifferent or you don't have a strong opinion, I think that's a way to be honest without saying you look fantastic or that's the best out or, you know, you look the best in that outfit today.
It just seems like that's better than what are you thinking? You're not going out in public
in that. And I think that's the mindset for most of us. When we tell white lies, we think that it's
going to make the relationship better, at least in the moment. And if you allow me, back to the predicting future, I did this with my son
years ago. We had purchased him a beta fish. And it's the first time we had a fish in the family.
Unfortunately, the water was too cold and I had a bad instrument instrument, woke up in the morning to a lifeless gray bait of fish.
And I felt so, so bad about this. And my wife did as well. And we were discussing what should we do?
Should we lie to our son and I go to the pet store and get him a new fish or tell him the truth?
At the time I'd been studying parental deception and there's a positive correlation between, once again,
relational satisfaction and parental honesty. So the more you're perceived to be honest,
the better relationship. So I said, let's go ahead and let's just tell him the truth.
So on one hand, parents in this situation, I think, predict if you tell the truth,
you're going to psychologically scar your child
or traumatize your child. And certainly that's what myself and my wife were thinking or wondering.
On the other hand, we didn't know. So I went with the truth and I told him what happened
and asked him what did he want to do. And without missing a beat, he said, let's go to the store and get a new fish. Not emotionally traumatized, not scarred, not bothered at all by the dead fish.
So I think that that's a situation where I could have predicted a negative outcome,
but one actually didn't happen. You know, the truth worked fine.
And in some ways it worked better than maybe years later he says, oh, well, dad's always lying to me about fish because he can't, you know, he doesn't think I can take it.
But that just, I mean, that, man, that's a, that's a minefield because, you know, what about Santa Claus and the Easter bunny?
I mean, those are big fat lies that everybody tells their kids. Yeah.
So a follow-up that I did was on those things was Santa Claus, Easter Bunny, Tooth Fairy,
and the Boogeyman.
And it was kind of interesting the findings from that.
There was no significant relationship between parents telling their children about Santa and parental satisfaction or dissatisfaction.
And so one of the ways I kind of thought about this is maybe that it's deemed to be this
collective cultural narrative. So it's not perceived by children as a lie. So is the case
of these mythical characters with the exception of the boogeyman. So the boogeyman is perceived
typically for behavioral control. If you get out of your bed, the boogeyman. So the boogeyman is perceived typically for behavioral
control. You know, if you get out of your bed, the boogeyman is going to get you or something
like that. And we do find that that was negatively correlated with parental satisfaction.
What about though, when parents say things that aren't necessarily a lie, but they're not
necessarily true either.
You know, if you don't study hard and get good grades, you won't get into college kind of thing.
Well, maybe, but you might not even want to go to college.
And you could probably get into a community college.
But we say those things to kids to pressure them to do well in school.
Is that a lie or is that just
parental pressure? For deception researchers like myself, we'd have to say, what's the intent?
So if the parents are communicating something they don't believe to be true, we'd say that
that's a lie. But I would bet that most parents are probably saying those things. Maybe they
think it's true. If you don't do X, then you won't receive Y. So parents will use that for behavioral control or once again,
the emotional control to make you feel good about yourself or encourage you. You're the
best artist I've ever seen. This is the best piece of art I've ever seen.
And is that a lie?
If they don't believe it, it is. Seems pretty harmless though.
I mean, you know, I mean, if you've been to a museum, you've seen art that's better than a
kindergartner's art. So it's hard to imagine that that would be the best art you've ever seen. But
to say it to a kid, I don't know. I mean, it's, it's kind of a gray area because you could, you could rephrase it and
make it technically truthful, or you could just say, that's the best thing I've ever seen.
That's right. Or, or you could praise, you know, one of the things
a psychologist, we might do if we're giving some kind of psychological assessment is praise the
effort, you know, and you could, you could, as you mentioned, be technically
true. There's a number of ways you can communicate honestly. And so I think the consequence, you
mentioned it seems fairly harmless. I think the potential consequence is once again, where
children are thinking, well, my parent lied about this. What else can I trust them on? And not just
parents. I think once again, can be intimate relationships
or, or other relationships that the tolls of, of dishonesty come back to trust.
Even if it's a little white lie.
And that's the thing I think I really take away from this conversation is the assumption
is little white lies don't really have any consequences.
And yeah, they do.
I've been talking with Drew Curtis.
He is a licensed psychologist on the faculty at Angelo State University
and author of the book Big Liars,
What Psychological Science Tells Us About Lying and How You Can Avoid Being Duped.
And there's a link to the book in the show notes.
Appreciate it. Thank you, Drew.
Appreciate your time. It's a pleasure speaking with you.
People who listen to Something You Should Know are curious about the world,
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So I want to tell you about a podcast that is full of new ideas and perspectives,
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get your podcasts. You've no doubt noticed that there are private companies that have joined the space race.
Elon Musk's SpaceX is probably the most visible,
but lots of companies are building and sending rockets and satellites into space.
It used to be that going into space was such a huge deal and so expensive that only governments could do it. So if private companies are now doing
it, there must be money to be made, or at least the potential for money to be made. And in fact,
there is a lot to this story I never knew, and I doubt most people do. Here to shed some light on
it is Ashley Vance. He's a New York Times bestselling author and feature writer at
Bloomberg Businessweek. He's author of a book called When the Heavens Went on Sail, The Misfits
and Geniuses Racing to Put Space Within Reach. Hi, Ashley. Welcome to Something You Should Know.
Thank you so much for having me.
So I think most people are old enough to remember that the only people going into space from this country were the people at NASA, that it was a government program, and that the whole idea of going to space, as President Kennedy said when he said we were going to go to the moon, he said we do it not because it is easy, but because it is hard and there was something very patriotic about it but it was a government thing there was
no profit motive something changed so what changed we obviously had this tremendously exciting era
where it you know space was government backed but we were in the middle of this this space race and
and did incredible things in the 60s and 70s. But then we kind of got stuck and this became more
of a bureaucratic exercise dominated largely by military and government contractors. And we built
rockets the same way that we always had. And we built satellites mostly the same way we always
had. And space lost some of its luster and definitely some of its passion and its speed and its pursuit of new things.
And back then, there was no talk about how do we make money on this, so private businesses were not involved.
Were they not involved because they didn't see the potential of going to space or because it was just so complicated and expensive, only governments could do it.
Yeah, you know, it's a combination of things. I mean, it was definitely expensive. Some rich people had tried in the even the late 90s, early 2000s to get into space to build rockets. They usually found it was much harder than they expected. And NASA was always looming there as really a competitor. You know, it's Elon Musk and SpaceX
who launched their very first rocket in 2008 that really changed things and showed that a private
company, a commercial company could do things differently. They could do things much, much
cheaper than what had been done before.
There was a lot of new materials and modern technology that could be put at play. And so
there was this clean slate kind of idea where we've been doing things the same way for decades.
Let's try something new. Somebody finally succeeded at it. And this unlocked all this
latent energy for space all around the world when people saw SpaceX had done it. And this unlocked this, all this latent energy and for space all around the world
when people saw SpaceX had done it. And was there a sense of like, did NASA go, Hey, wait a minute,
you, you can't do that. I mean, or, or was it, yeah, come on in and join the party.
No, I, you know, it was a mixed bag to be sure. So there were factions within NASA. I mean,
you know, I'd say roughly kind of 20%,
25%, some of the highest up people at NASA, they encouraged SpaceX and they formed partnerships
with SpaceX to try and accelerate the development of its technology and commercial space more
broadly. There was still this huge chunk of not just NASA, but the government, all the military contractors, people like Lockheed and Boeing who affiliated with them, who did not want to see things change.
And they thought, who are these Silicon Valley people coming in to tell us how to do space?
They don't know how hard this is and how to do it properly.
And so there was a pretty visceral uh fight against against
this happening and so if you were to ask elon musk then or now why why go into this business of
launching rockets into space what what is it what was the motive was it did he see the profit motive
or was it more of an ego thing,
like he just wanted to have his rocket in space or what?
We forget now because he's the world's richest man. When he started SpaceX, he was wealthy,
but not nearly as wealthy as he is now. In fact, SpaceX almost bankrupted him and he did have to
turn it into a for-profit company, which was sort of to its benefit. It's moved so fast, so much faster than any other commercial space company, I think in large part because it was like a fight for survival.
This company was not going to be bankrolled forever.
My point is that this has become a capitalist exercise, and the governments that control this stuff for decades are moving out of the way. And among all these other companies, some of it now is just to make money on rockets and satellites and data and communications.
And so, you know, people are coming at this from different points of view.
And so what is the profit motive?
Where is the money for shooting rockets into space today?
You know, there's different buckets of this stuff.
There's the Mars people, there's the moon people,
there's the space tourism people.
The most obvious place where there's lots of money right now to be had
is in low Earth orbit where most of the satellites fly.
And, you know, we are going from, so traditionally for the last like 10 years,
there's been roughly 2,000 satellites around us.
We're already up to 10,000.
We're on this exponential curve of putting more satellites in space.
That number is going to go from 10,000 to 100,000 by the end of this decade.
And so the opportunity right now is to build what I call a computing shell around the Earth.
And it's full of communication systems, science, imaging systems that are taking pictures of the Earth and analyzing it all the earth. And it's full of communication systems, science, uh, imaging systems that are
taking pictures of the earth and analyzing it all the time. And so to me, this is the
clearest place to make money. It looks like quite soon the moon is actually getting privatized and
there's private missions there. Um, and beyond that, you know, I think it's anyone's guess,
stuff like Mars is still much more of, of just like a science experiment to me.
So this isn't so much about conquering the universe as it is about much more practical things then,
about satellites and low Earth orbit and the moon and, you know, closer to home stuff.
Absolutely.
I would argue the public's perception of what's going on has sort of been misplaced by the, whatever,
the romanticism or excitement of Mars and space tourism.
We are building, just like in the early days of the consumer Internet, we had to lay all this fiber optic cable and build data centers all around the world to support our modern computing infrastructure.
We're building a very similar thing right around us in space. And so it does things like people have probably
heard of Starlink, which is this space internet system that sends high speed internet down from
satellites to anywhere on earth. So for the first time, we're going to have always on high speed
internet blanketing the planet. There's another company called Planet Labs. They have 250
satellites that take images of every spot on the earth every day.
So not even governments can do this, but this private company can. It's not like espionage,
it's really following where buildings are going, where oil tankers are going, what's happening to
forests in the Amazon. So all this very real data about the sum total of human activity on this
planet. And so this is where hundreds of billions of dollars
to start building this infrastructure. Is SpaceX, that was the first time that
a rocket went into space and came back and landed and could be used again, correct?
Yeah, not in those early days like we were talking about, but later SpaceX perfected these reusable rockets, which
many people in the traditional aerospace industry said, you know, it's never going to happen. It's
impractical. It's borderline impossible. It turns out it's not. And it consequently probably helps
cut the cost when you can reuse a rocket rather than build one from scratch again. I imagine that
saves money. Absolutely. I mean, this is, you know, you don't take a plane from New York to Los Angeles and then
just throw it out at the end of the trip.
Otherwise, we wouldn't have a commercial airline industry.
So, you know, they've shown they've been able to reuse rockets many, many, many times.
They've even flown humans on reused rockets.
And so, you know, they have now SpaceX. This was a startup just 20
years ago. They now have the longest track record of the most successful launches in a row. They
launch more than pretty much all other nations combined. And they're also the world's largest
satellite manufacturer now and account for about, I don't know, it's probably about 60 or 70 percent
of all the satellites in space.
So right now, who are the players in the game here?
Well, you have SpaceX that is the dominant force among the commercial players. You've got nation states like China, which is barging ahead quite quickly. But then you've got, people don't know
this, but you've got rocket startups and satellite startups all over the world.
SpaceX's nearest competitor, the most successful other commercial rocket company, is called Rocket Lab.
They're actually based in New Zealand and was started by a guy named Peter Beck, who did not even go to university.
So this is a guy, he worked at a dishwasher and an appliance maker as an engineer
and just did rockets on the side. And he's built really the world's cheapest, best engineered
small rocket called Electron. And they've flown that about 40 times. So it doesn't take humans,
but it takes satellites to space all the time. Planet Labs is kind of the dominant small satellite maker. So as I mentioned, they've
covered the earth with 250 imaging satellites and take photos of everywhere on earth all the time.
And then right now we're in this race where there's about 10 other rocket startups all vying
to prove themselves out. And there's about 100 satellite makers doing all kinds of different things. Isn't Jeff Bezos involved in this somehow? So Jeff Bezos started a company called Blue Origin
almost the exact same year that Elon started SpaceX. And Blue Origin's story has not been
as glorious as SpaceX's by any stretch of the imagination. They are doing some space tourism stuff now,
so they'll fly you to the edge of space
for a couple of minutes and let you float around.
They've been dreaming of building a big rocket like SpaceX
to carry satellites and humans one day.
But while SpaceX has done this many, many times,
Blue Origin has yet to fly that rocket.
They're hoping to start flying it next year.
Why is it that it seems that it's rich people like Elon Musk and Jeff Bezos who play in this arena?
Like, is there, it's like a rich boys game kind of thing.
Well, we, it was, we've, we've transitioned to slightly less rich boys that are funding this stuff, you know, it was basically governments for about 70 years.
Then you had these billionaires.
You had Elon, Jeff Bezos, Richard Branson, Paul Allen from Microsoft all took a crack at various things.
Elon was the only one who was really successful at it with SpaceX.
And then over the last six to seven years, what's happened is that venture capitalists
who are rich, but this is, we're not talking like billions of dollars anymore. You can start a
satellite company for a few million and a rocket company costs you a bit more, but this is, you
know, this is being funded by pretty typical investors who just invest in tech things. And so
the price to get started and the price to actually
get to space and do things in space has fallen dramatically.
And can I, if I wanted to put a satellite or, you know, just a time capsule or just,
I wanted to put something in space, I could call up SpaceX or one of these other companies and
rent space on a rocket and they would launch it for me?
You can literally enter your credit card information now on a website and do that.
The cheapest to get something in the space is about probably about $250,000 is your starting
price which sounds maybe like a lot but your starting prize just say six years ago was, was closer to about $60
million to get a spot on a rocket. And, and so right now we're seeing this flourish of activity.
I mean, you could do something, you know, as a hobbyist, if you wanted to, but really that,
that reduction in price means we have a lot more satellite companies that can try out ideas and we have a lot more scientists
that can try out their ideas you know to fly an experiment for 250 000 is not not a huge ask but
60 million dollars made it almost impossible well you you mentioned the number i don't remember
about how many satellites are up there but i mean at a point doesn't it get like it's just
okay we're out of room that there we can't have anymore. They're going to crash into each other. Now we got to do something else.
Yeah. This is partly why I wanted to write about this is that I don't think people realize what's
coming at all. We're probably not going to run out of room. It is quite spacious up there. Sorry. But there is this risk of
collisions. A lot of these satellites are flying in similar paths, similar orbits. We have never
lived in this world where you have to manage 100,000 objects in space. If something collides
with another object, there's this thing called the Kessler syndrome, where you basically create kind of a cascading debris field that just grows and grows and grows as more things
bash into more things. And so this is the big concern. The companies are motivated to not have
this happen, because it would ruin low Earth orbit and all their investment and governments
have similar motivations. And there are now startups that are tracking all of this debris.
And I don't know if it makes people feel better or worse that there's startups doing this
as opposed to governments.
But that's the reality of the situation.
Well, right.
With airplanes, you've got private airplane companies, but you've got the FAA, the air
traffic controllers, keeping everything separated and safe
and everything, but there's no FAA for this. The government, the US government in particular,
has tracked objects in space historically, although not as well as these startups do now.
They have specialized antennas that see more objects and much, much smaller objects. The government has tried to put some sort of mechanisms around all this
to keep things functioning.
But what I found, and I write about a lot,
is that they were operating for decades in a regime
where maybe one rocket from the United States went up a month,
and now we are sending rockets up almost every day. Every
other day we're going from sending up about 30 satellites a year to sending up thousands of
satellites a year. And so what I found is that the regulatory regimes are just not keeping pace at
all with how fast commercial space is moving. We're sending up rockets every day? Yeah. So SpaceX is really, again, sort of the
pace setter here. And for decades, I mean, any, the European space program, Chinese, American,
really one rocket a month was the typical cadence. If, you know, maybe one year you got like 16.
SpaceX throughout this year, throughout 2023 is running at about
every other day right now with a rocket. And where do they send them up from?
It's a mix of spots, mostly Florida and California. And then now SpaceX is building their new,
for their giant rocket that they're working on called Starship. That's in South Texas. Rocket
Lab flies often from New Zealand and also from Wallops Island near Virginia. And so those would
be the prime space boards for US companies. Talk about the company Planet that you write
about in your book. That's really interesting. It's pretty fascinating.
I mean, so Planet's one of the most interesting companies I've ever run across, for instance.
So they have, you know, when you go on Google Maps,
most of those images are quite old.
And if you're in a big city, you think,
oh, this is really well covered.
But that's only because it's a big city.
You know, if you spread out across the world,
there's not that many photographs.
And so Planet has mapped every road on Earth very well.
They have mapped every single tree,
so they have an actual count of all the trees on Earth.
Not only that, they use AI software
to figure out what types of trees they are,
which means you can figure out the biomass of the trees
and how much carbon dioxide they pull in.
And so they're
sitting there watching places like the Amazonian rainforest to see when there's illegal cutting
of the forest. They watch, like Ukraine is probably the best example that people could
relate to. In the days leading up to the war, the Russians said, we're not going to attack Ukraine.
The US said, we are going to attack. People had to choose who they were going to believe. Planet had all these images of the troops in Belarus amassing
on the border. It was Planet's images that we all saw on TV and newspapers of the Russian convoys
being stuck on their way to Kiev. In terms of something like the cars, you can literally count
how many cars are in Walmart parking lots during back-to-school shopping season.
And investors make decisions based on how much activity they see with things like that.
And can I see those images or that's proprietary?
No, that's the fascinating thing about Planet.
Anyone can hop on Planet's website.
You can get more recent, better images when you pay for their service.
But anyone can hop on onto their
technology and poke around and have a look. And, and now this information is, is essentially open
source. It's, it's out there for people to view. There's all kinds of analysts who, you know,
work for nonprofits, um, who are using these images and publishing information, um, about
what's happening in the world. And it's not,
not metered out by governments anymore.
Do you know where I go to find those images?
Yeah,
it should be just planet.com.
So the,
the landscape or the space scape has changed dramatically where it used to be that,
you know,
governments pretty much controlled what happened in space around us and not anymore?
This balance of power that existed for decades where only a handful of slow-moving governments really controlled space is over.
And it is obvious now that, you know, as we've gone from 2,500 satellites to 10,000 in just the last three years, almost all of those new satellites
are commercial satellites. And the commercial companies now dominate this. It's going to be
interesting to see how government players react to this. A country like Russia, which is a
traditional space superpower, has no commercial space startups at all. And its space program has been on the decline
for many years. And there's huge questions. Will they be a rational actor in this new environment?
The US is lucky. Our space program was on a similar decline. It just so happens that SpaceX
succeeded and inspired all these other companies. We now have far more commercial
space startups than any country on earth. So, you know, it's interesting times to see how this all
plays out. Well, and as you pointed out, it's so fascinating because who knows how the story's
going to unfold and who the players are going to be in 10 years from now. If we have this conversation
in 10 years, again, how things will be different. I've been speaking with Ashley Vance. He is a New York
Times bestselling author. The name of his book is When the Heavens Went on Sale, The Misfits and
Geniuses Racing to Put Space Within Reach. If you'd like to read it, you can get it at Amazon,
and there's a link to the book in the show notes. Appreciate it.
Thank you, Ashley. Thank you so much. You know, you can actually sort of determine whether or not
you're going to need an umbrella today by looking at a cup of coffee. You see, as you're pouring
your coffee into your mug, take note of the tiny little bubbles that rise to the surface.
If the bubbles move rapidly to the cup's edge, it's going to be a nice day.
That's because high pressure pushes the bubbles outward to the edge of your mug.
High pressure indicates good clear weather.
If the bubbles stay towards the center of the mug, the pressure is dropping, and clouds and rain are probably in the forecast.
I'm not sure that's how the National Weather Service predicts the weather, but it's one way you can.
And that is something you should know.
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I'm Mike Carruthers.
Thanks for listening today to Something You Should Know.
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