Something You Should Know - SYSK Choice: How to Get More by Doing Less & Fascinating Real-World Math Fails
Episode Date: April 9, 2022Why do some headaches seem to happen out of the blue? This episode begins with a list of reasons people seldom consider for what could be causing their headache - many of which you would likely never ...guess. https://www.webmd.com/migraines-headaches/common-headaches-17/mild-moderate/slideshow-headache-triggers Many of us work long hours. It is often a badge of honor. But could working less actually make us more productive and happier? That’s what Celeste Headlee believes. She is a journalist and author of the book, Do Nothing: How to Break Away from Overworking, Overdoing, and Underliving (https://amzn.to/3cKMOJ8). Listen as she reveals the benefits of spending less time working - including more profit for business and better health for workers. Plus she offers some examples of famous, productive people who worked a pretty short day. Why is it people often look back fondly on the past, yet fear and worry about the future? There is a reason for this - it is called “hindsight bias.” Listen as I explain what it is and why we so often long for the good old days. (Source: Dan Gardner, author of the book Risk (https://amzn.to/2S6MpIW) Would you believe it if I said that 90% of all spread sheets in the world likely contain at least 1 error? That is just one of many ways math screws things up in our world according to Matt Parker. Matt is a math teacher, YouTuber and author of the book Humble Pi: When Math Goes Wrong in the Real World (https://amzn.to/2S8kdFF). Matt joins me to discuss some fascinating truths about math, why it is so important in our lives today and how it often goes wrong. Here is a link to his channel on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uDn3y3MGcBc PLEASE SUPPORT OUR SPONSORS! We really like The Jordan Harbinger Show! Check out https://jordanharbinger.com/start OR search for it on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you listen! Go to https://Indeed.com/Something to claim your $75 credit before March 31st! Sign up for your FREE Novo business checking account RIGHT NOW at https://Novo.co/Something and you'll get access to over $5,000 in perks and discounts! With Avast One, https://avast.com you can confidently take control of your online world without worrying about viruses, phishing attacks, ransomware, hacking attempts, & other cybercrimes! Discover matches all the cash back you’ve earned at the end of your first year! Learn more at https://discover.com/match Put down your phone when you drive! . Remember U Drive. U Text. U Pay. Brought to you by NHTSA. Use SheetzGo on the Sheetz app! Just open the app, scan your snacks, tap your payment method and go! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Today on Something You Should Know, ever get a headache for no apparent reason?
I'll tell you a likely reason why.
Then, are we working too much?
Well, not lately, but when we do work, should we work less?
I mean, on average, a human being has about four hours of focused work in them a day.
Charles Darwin worked four hours a day.
Charles Dickens worked about four hours a day.
There's a long, long history, and we can track the working hours of some of the most productive people in all of history.
Also, why do people look back so fondly at the past
while we worry about the future?
And when math goes wrong, and math goes wrong a lot.
There's a group called the European Spreadsheet Risks
Interest Group.
And they currently estimate that over 90% of all spreadsheets
contain one or more mistakes. All this today on Something You Should
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Something you should know. Fascinating intel. the world's top experts, and practical advice you can use in your life.
Today, Something You Should Know with Mike Carruthers.
Hi, welcome to Something You Should Know.
And what better topic to cover in an episode that publishes on a Saturday than the benefits of doing nothing, or at least doing less,
seems to be what Saturdays, at least some Saturdays, are made for.
That's coming up in a moment, but first we start with headaches.
Have you ever had a headache that just seemed to come out of nowhere?
There was no reason for it, but there is a reason you may not realize.
Here are some common, but not not widely known causes for headaches.
First of all, tight ponytails.
Hats, braids, and hair bands can all cause headaches.
Undoing them will lead to fast relief.
Your boss.
If being around him or her raises your stress level, that can result in a headache.
Poor posture. Slouching
at work or at home all day can make your head hurt. Cheese. A migraine trigger for many people
is aged cheese, including blue cheese, cheddar cheese, parmesan, and Swiss. Cold cuts. Processed
meats have two strikes against them. They often contain tyramine and food additives such as nitrites,
which may trigger headaches in some people.
Skipping meals can make your head hurt.
As can coffee.
Too much can cause headaches.
And then if you try to quit drinking coffee cold turkey,
that can have the same effect.
And that is something you should know.
Have you ever taken some time for yourself just to do nothing and then felt guilty about it?
That's got to be at least partly because our culture is so productivity driven. Don't waste
time. Get more done. Look at all the books and articles and podcasts and videos that tell you how to be more productive and more effective.
Well, journalist Celeste Headley decided to take a look at all this.
Are we really programmed to get more done faster?
Maybe by doing less, we actually do more.
Celeste is the author of the book, Do Nothing,
How to Break Away from Overworking, Overdoing, and Underliving.
And she's looked at the research regarding how much work people do,
how much people used to do, and where's that point where you stop being productive.
Hi, Celeste.
Thanks for having me.
So why in the world would we want
to think about doing nothing or doing less? Why? Human beings, I mean, our species, lived a certain
way for 300,000 years and change, right? And say two or 300 years ago, we changed almost every aspect of our work and our home life.
And it wasn't always for the better.
So right now, what we have is an unnatural and frankly, anti-human, at this point, relatively
toxic obsession with overwork and productivity.
So it's not even so much that I'm telling people to try something new. I'm
saying let's return to the habits that are good for our species and good for human beings
and undo some of the changes we made during the Industrial Revolution.
Which, and what happened then?
The vast majority of people before the Industrial Revolution, the vast majority lived in rural areas, almost a huge number of them, at least in European countries and in the Mediterranean, owned at least a small plot of land.
A large number, much more than today, were small business owners of some kind and owned their own tools. And so not only did all of that change in sort of
terms of disempowering the vast majority of the populace when the Industrial Revolution came along,
but also in just the seismic shift of when time became money. Because before the Industrial Revolution, time did not equal your pay.
How much time it took you was not relevant.
What was relevant was whether you finished the task or not.
Did you bring in the harvest?
Did you finish the making the wheel?
Did you tat the lace?
That's what mattered was the pay for the task.
But when everyone started going into a factory setting of some kind, you never
stopped. You know, the task was never over. You never finished the wheel because you just kept
making wheels all day long. And so the currency was not the task. It was your time.
But the rules of the game have changed and they may not be good and you may not like it, but that's the
way things are now, that we are very much productivity driven. So to do what you're
suggesting, to go back to the way things were, would be difficult. Oh, I absolutely think it
would be very difficult, but it's absolutely doable. It just, what we're doing right now makes no sense. It's not logical in terms of productivity. We're less productive
with the way that we're doing things right now. We are less creative. We're less innovative
problem solvers, and we're wasting a lot of time and money. So think about this for just a moment. Imagine an accountant in 1972, right? And working his 40 hours a week.
Now, today, that accountant could have the same number of clients doing the same exact job,
but finish his job in a fraction of the time, maybe a third, if we're being generous,
of the time it took him in 1972. So why is he still sitting there 40 hours
a week? Well, he's still sitting there because we falsely believe that if he works those extra
hours, that means bigger profits. So number one, in this particular system, that's not true for
that accountant. When you do see increases in profits from productivity, they almost entirely go to the C-suite and they have not gone to any of the workers for the most part.
But even for that C-suite, human beings become less productive when they overwork.
That has been proven not even just in recent years.
That's been proven for hundreds of years over and over and over again.
So why are we
not learning from that? I have no idea. It makes absolutely no logical sense to have people working
overworking. I mean, not only is it less productive, not only does it cut into your
profits, not only does it increase the amount of errors that you make, which of course cuts into your productivity but overwork actually um uh solidifies
gender differences for example they have traced gender inequality even to our system of overwork
some of the most intractable intractable problems that we have could be solved if we stopped
working long hours if we if we ended this myth that long hours meant more productivity
and more money in the long run.
So wait, so let's slow down here a second, because you're making some pretty big sweeping
statements without a lot of evidence.
I haven't asked you for the evidence, but basically you're saying that we were somehow
better off before the Industrial Revolution than we are now, to which I would ask, well, by what means?
I mean, life expectancy is higher. Our overall health is better. Fewer people are in poverty.
And just the math of your example that you just said, if you're an independent accountant and because of productivity and technology, you can do three tax returns for
your clients in the time that it used to take you to do one. How does that not make you more
profitable? And you said, well, when there are more profits, it goes to the C-suite executives,
again, according to who, but even if that's true, that's a different argument. That doesn't have to do with a person's potential productivity. And the idea of going back to the good old days before the Industrial Revolution doesn't sound particularly appealing to me and I suspect a lot of other people. So where is the line, do you think, between working and working too much? And who's to say?
Well, who's to say? I mean, to a certain extent, it's slightly individual. For example,
I mean, on average, a human being has about four hours of focused work in them a day.
And that's, again, that's not new. Charles Darwin worked four hours a day. Charles Dickens worked
for about four hours a day. There's a long, long history and we can track the working hours of us just keep working and keep our heads down and we don't even notice when
we've made mistakes. And we have this idea that just doing more and more and more is helping us
get ahead when it's just not. Well, but if you go into your boss tomorrow and say, you know what,
I'm going to work four hours a day from now on. You won't have a job
and you'll never get one anywhere else. Oh, no, I don't agree with that. You may not,
that may be a problem at your current job, but I don't believe it means you're not going to get a
job anywhere else. I think people are beginning to read the writing on the wall and see that we
have gotten to the place where overwork is actually costing
companies money. And a lot of times that's the drawing line. When you look at the amount of
time spent in turnover, in sick days, in lost productivity in and of itself, it doesn't even
make financial sense to keep doing it. So will you possibly harm your promotion chances at that job? Maybe.
But by the same token, doing it is shortening your life. And working what they call excessive
hours, which is over 50 hours a week, actually only on average gives you a 6% bump in pay.
So why are you doing it? The statistics show that if you're
the type of person who takes your vacation time more than 11 days, if you're lucky enough to have
paid vacation, you are more likely to see a raise in pay and a promotion. Those who take fewer than
11 days are less likely to see those things. So frankly, the evidence is just not on the side of overwork.
The evidence may not be, but the reality is, you know, working eight hours a day has for
a long, long time been the norm.
And so to say we should cut that in half would turn the world on its head.
Yeah, absolutely. It certainly would.
And you don't have to start.
Frankly, if people only worked eight hours a day
and they weren't answering work emails when quitting time came around
and they weren't answering calls or texts from their bosses
or doing any of that stuff after 5 p.m.,
whatever their quitting time is, or on the
weekends, that would be a great start. But frankly, we don't have to start by cutting it in half.
There are plenty, there's plenty of case studies showing that even cutting your work day to four
days a week doesn't impact your productivity. For example, Salgorinska Hospital, which is one of the
largest hospital systems in Europe, and they had an orthopedic unit, which was just completely overwhelmed. Obviously, healthcare is one of those industries which sort of lives and dies on excessive work hours. would think that would be a case in which you absolutely could not shorten the hours of these
medical professionals. This particular orthopedic unit, the wait time to get in for a surgery was
months long. They just were not, they weren't handling the amount of workload they had.
So they participated in a study. They got a large grant in order to fund bringing on more people, and they cut everybody's – nobody had a shift longer than six hours a day, which I'm sure you understand is unheard of in that industry. person because productivity went up so much during that time that the wait time to get an
operation done, to get surgery done in that unit, went down to weeks. Productivity went up.
So would it turn the world on its head? I guess, but it has to be done. It has to be done.
Well, it has to be done, but it's the business owners that would have to do it.
You can't go decide you're going to work six hours a day when you've been hired to work eight.
Yeah, but I'm a business owner, and I let all of my employees work until they finish their tasks,
and I don't actually care how many hours they spend.
I don't even know.
I don't keep track of their hours.
If it takes
them two and a half hours to get their work done, that's great. They still get their salary.
Don't you think, though, that if it was as clear cut and black and white as you're portraying it
to be, that business owners would be doing this? Because why would they deliberately make people
work longer to be less productive and do crappy work if in
fact what you're saying is true? What would be the motivation to say, well, in all the light of
all this evidence, let's keep doing it the wrong way? So number one, it's not usually that clear
cut for businesses. And there's a few other answers to that question. For example, you can't
reward what you can't measure. One of the easiest things to
measure in terms of employee performance is how long their butt is at that desk,
or whether they're answering your email, how long it takes them to answer your email.
So we have this completely wrongheaded idea that that's what you reward financially.
But we've also known since, what, the 1960s that financial rewards aren't
the best way to motivate creativity, insight, or innovation. So why do we keep doing that?
People do what they think is right in their gut level. And it is very hard to change people's
beliefs. It is very hard. And I'm sure you know that. Human beings are the only species that
suffer from confirmation bias,
meaning that we believe something, someone shows us evidence that it's wrong, and it makes us
believe it harder. So it is very difficult to change people's minds on that. But we have gotten
to the point where people are having such disastrous impacts on their health, that you
are seeing corporations sit up and take notice. You're seeing corporations actually begin to fund studies into burnout.
We're discussing and imagining a world where maybe we didn't work so hard
and so many hours, and what would happen if we did?
My guest is Celeste Headley.
She's author of the book, Do Nothing,
How to Break Away from Overworking, overdoing, and underliving.
Since I host a podcast, it's pretty common for me to be asked to recommend a podcast.
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So Celeste, as I listen to you make your case,
it does seem that there's a large portion of people who this idea could never apply to.
First of all, you've got people who want to work more.
People either like their work or they depend on the overtime.
They depend on working those hours in order to put food on the table.
Secondly, you've got shift workers.
You've got people who can't, as you put it, do their work and then go home.
They have to clock in at 8 and clock out at 5.
They have to be there due to the nature of their work.
And you've also got a lot of hourly workers who,
if you do what you're talking about and cut their workday
back to those prime four hours you were talking about when they would be most productive, you just
cut their pay in half. So I'm going to leave the middle out, the shift workers, because that's,
again, a different structural problem. Now you're talking about like a security guard,
for example, which again, that's for the most part, they're idle while they're working, if you know what I'm saying.
No, no, no, no, no, no. I disagree with that. No, I'm talking about grocery clerks who are there all day long because they work hours are the first one and the third category.
So part of the reason that they're in this situation where you depend on overtime is partly because employers since the 19th century have designed a system in which they want people to have to work very, very long hours. Going back to the very early days of the Industrial Revolution, employers realized that the more hours worked meant higher productivity, which meant bigger sales, which meant more profits.
That's not necessarily true anymore. years have become so cheap is because if you keep making them, if you get all this productivity,
and instead of using that productivity to give people shorter work hours, you use it to try to
produce even more and therefore increase your growth all the time, then yeah, you're going to
end up with a surplus of goods. So what do you do with it? Do you give your workers more time off?
No, you cut the prices and then you're able to sell to a larger number of people., specifically because there is the belief that
if you can, the goal is to get your employees to work as many hours as possible, that belief
is wrongheaded. And there's actually a growing economic movement that has evidence and believes
the same thing. I truly believe that will change over time and
painfully and maybe not universally, but that I think will change. Think for a moment about what
you lose when you go from full-time to part-time, right? So technically you're only cutting your
hours in half, if even that. Many part-time workers are just people who aren't working the 37 hours a week. But when you go to part time hours, you lose everything. At least in the United States, you lose everything. You lose your sick pay, you lose your unemployment insurance, you lose your your health insurance, you lose your retirement, you lose everything. And the reason it is designed that way is because of this idea that we need to construct the system to try to make it necessary for workers to spend as many hours on the job as necessary. That's why we're in the situation that we're in. And again, it's wrongheaded says who? I mean, it seems like you're making policy statements or even political statements and painting employers as being these evil people who are you to say, no, no, no, that's wrongheaded? I mean, I don't get that. And it also
seems that technology is really kind of gotten in the way of what you're proposing, because
people are now more connected to their work than ever before, 24 hours a day, seven days a week.
They can do work almost anywhere in many cases. So it seems to be moving away from what
you're proposing. Yes, that's what makes it urgent. But that's not going to change. I mean, that's
just not true. Yeah, it is. Sure it is. Well, where's the proof of that? How is it going to change?
It changes one business at a time. Frankly, there already is a huge amount of growing concern among corporations about,
like I said, about burnout, about overwork, about work-life balance.
Why?
Because they are seeing the impact on their own bottom lines.
And they're seeing the impact on turnover, especially.
People are constantly moving on to a new job to try and find something better than what they're in.
And turnover is incredibly expensive.
So, yeah, it will absolutely change.
You know how it will change?
It will change because there's going to be people who say, I'm not answering my cell phone after such and such a time.
And that's already beginning.
It sounds like you haven't gotten one of those messages yet, but people will put vacation responders on their phone.
It's already changing in Europe.
You see it in many countries right now where there's even companies who shut down their email system completely at closing time.
So if you're a customer and you send in an email, you will get a response saying, hey, we're closed.
You'll get a response.
It's not even – I mean it's automated, but it's not even automated.
Can I help you?
It's just an automated we'll get back to you tomorrow because all of our employees are off for the night.
So, yeah, it will change.
Well, I haven't heard of that.
But you also have the problem, and I know there's a lot of people that, regardless of the company policy, get very anxious if they don't check their email every 10 minutes. And so they
go home and they're still checking their work email and you can't policy that away.
No, but you can. I mean, that's exactly what those European companies have done. You can't
access your email during that time. But that's partly because of the addiction we have to our
electronic devices. I mean, the email inbox was just one of the many apps and software that was designed to make us dopamine addicted.
And look, the dopamine is not called the addiction hormone for nothing.
It is very addictive to continue to refresh your email inbox or your Twitter feed or your Facebook feed or whatever it may be.
It is. So to a certain extent, there may be policies we have to put in place like shutting
down email. One of the questions in the material that just jumped out at me that like, this is
where the conversation ought to be, is this question that you ask of, why do we measure our
time in terms of efficiency instead of meaning?
And when you stop and think about that question, it's profound.
It's, well, of course, why do we?
Because I think we equate the one with the other, that efficiency is meaning.
Yeah, but that's not what efficiency means.
I mean, even medieval serfs worked less than half the year.
So if they had a wedding, they were off for like two weeks.
If you bring in the harvest, you worked really, really hard for however long it took you to bring in the harvest.
And then you partied and had harvest festivals for weeks because that task had meaning, right? The bringing in the harvest was a tentpole
of your life. It was how you kept track of time in a way. And you didn't measure it by the calendar.
You measured it by when the crops were ready to come in and it changed every year. So that was
what partly gave your life meaning was the changing of the seasons,
that the tasks that you accomplished. But that all changed when we all went inside,
when we all moved into cities, when we stopped doing landowning. And when we started deciding
that everyone was well, the beginning of the Industrial Revolution, everyone is going to work
what, you know, 16, 18 hours a day, everything changed. And again, it feels like this is the way it has
been forever. But really, in the 300,000 years history of our species or so, these past 250
are a blink. They're just a blip on the radar. Well, I'm not sure I'm a convert to your way of thinking,
but it's an interesting exercise to think about what would happen
if we didn't put so much emphasis on work.
If we did work less, what would we do instead?
Where would we find our meaning?
So I appreciate the conversation.
Celeste Headley has been my guest, and the name of her book is Do Nothing,
How to Break Away from Overworking, Overdoing, and Underliving.
And you will find a link to that book in the show notes.
Thanks, Celeste.
I appreciate it. Thank you so much. Stay well.
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Even if it wasn't your favorite subject in school, you have to admit that math is pretty interesting,
and it is very much a part of all aspects of your life. And I think we like to think of math as being very reliable.
Two plus two is four. There is no doubt. There is no debate. Math is rock solid.
But not always. As fascinating and objective as math appears to be, sometimes math goes
terribly wrong. And here to explain how that happens is Matt Parker.
Matt has taught math.
He's written about math for several major publications.
He is a YouTuber, a performer, and author of the book
Humble Pie, When Math Goes Wrong in the Real World.
Hey, Matt.
Absolute pleasure to be here.
So I think for many of us, math is, it's that thing,
that subject that we learned in school, and it's something that we leave at school.
Exactly. And a lot of people have this memory of math being that thing at school where there
was a right answer and there was a wrong answer. And so much about mathematics, on one hand,
is kind of play, I guess. So a lot of math is just messing around with puzzles
and concepts and patterns,
and you try things and it doesn't work
and you get it wrong.
And mathematics, I think a lot of people appreciate this,
is very difficult.
And the people who are really into math
aren't the people who don't make mistakes.
They're not the people who find it easy.
They're the people who enjoy the fact that it's difficult.
And so I want to try and get across
that math is not just about always getting the right answer. It's about that it's difficult. And so I want to try and get across that math is not
just about always getting the right answer. It's about giving it a go. Although on the other hand,
math is obviously very important in things like, you know, engineering, medicine, finance,
situations where you do want to get the right answer. So I didn't want to downplay
how important it is to get the math right in some situations, but I also want to focus on how you can have fun with it.
Well, I think that comes as a relief to a lot of people like me who thought that,
A, math was difficult and consequently I didn't like it.
You're saying that a lot of people who are good at math, it isn't that they find it easy,
they find it difficult, but they like that it's difficult.
They like the challenge of it. I think kind of the dirty secret of mathematics is that everyone finds it difficult
because the human brain is not good at doing math naturally. So when you're born, your brain can do
a little bit of number so you can understand how big and small quantities are, but your brain's
not very good at kind of doing arithmetic with it.
And you can do a little bit of geometry. So humans, we can kind of almost read a map out of the box, like with our factory settings. We get a bit of geometry and spatial awareness,
but we're not good at then doing much kind of deductive reasoning from there. And so the process
of math education is teaching your brain new ways to think. So you're
doing things with your brain beyond the original kind of intuitive settings. And some people enjoy
that sensation of being lost and not getting it. And then suddenly one day it snaps into focus.
But for other people, just that frustration can be a massive turnoff.
Do you think that math aptitude is something you're born with?
It's an innate ability and you either have it or you don't?
Or is it something anybody can get really good at?
How do we become mathematical?
When babies are born, we come out not with a good sense of how numbers relate to each other in terms of size.
But then through school, that becomes a lot more cemented.
So if you get someone who's never been in formal education and you show them a scale of, let's say, one to nine,
well, you could do zero to ten, but zero comes with its own baggage. If you did one to nine and you see what someone who's never been in school puts in the middle.
So what's the middle number between one and nine?
We're taught that it's five.
That's halfway up.
But native, like our natural instinct actually is to put three right in the middle.
And we're looking at what you have to multiply to go up because one times three is three and three times three is nine.
So we have this kind of we're born with a multiplication sense of of size and scale.
But through schooling, we learn that actually it's addition.
You should have to add the same amount to go up the scale.
And so we've almost completely forgotten the way our brains originally worked.
And occasionally it will surface when we're dealing with very big numbers, but for the most part, we've taught our brain a whole new way
to think about math. Let's get into the stories about where math went wrong,
because I think they're really interesting. So let's start with the one about Pepsi.
Oh, the Pepsi one is one of my absolute favorites. This was a case from the mid-1990s, and they were running a campaign where you could trade in Pepsi points.
So you got these from buying Pepsi products, and then you would get some kind of Pepsi stuff, Pepsi gear, like hats, sunglasses, leather jackets, things that were branded with Pepsi.
And when they ran the TV commercial for this, they showed all the usual things,
the hats and everything else. And they thought it would be hilarious at the end of the commercial
to have something just ridiculous. So they had a Harrier fighter jets. This is one of these jump
jets, which can land vertically. And they put up on the screen that instead of being, you know,
like tens of points to get the other things, you would have to get 7 million points
to get the Harrier fighter jet. Although they just picked the number 7 million at random.
And if you actually looked into it, so I did the research at the time, it cost the US military
roughly 20 million US dollars per Harrier jet they were getting in the air.
And you could buy extra Pepsi points.
So you could, as long as you got enough from actual products, you could write a check for 10 cents per point.
And so you could actually buy 7 million Pepsi points with just $700,000 and you're going
to get yourself a $20 million jet.
And I don't know what kind of like what resale value you're going to get on an ex military jet, but I reckon you'll make a profit on that. And so someone actually did
it. Uh, someone in Florida got the money together, put it in an account to back a check and they sent
in their application. And they said, here's my $700,000 worth of points, one jet, please.
And eventually it went to, uh, went to court. And so, because Pepsi said no,
but the person had lawyered up. And so there was this big battle and eventually it came down on
the side of Pepsi. So no one got a jet for Pepsi points. And during the course of this very
expensive legal battle, they changed the commercials. Instead of being 7 million Pepsi
points, they changed it to 700 million Pepsi points, which I find interesting because that's
not more or less funny. The commercial would have worked either way. It's just when they were
writing the ad, they didn't stop and think, is this big enough number? They just thought,
oh, 7 million, that sounds huge. They didn't actually do the math and the working out. They didn't double check it.
And it's amazing how often people would just take a guess and then not bother to do the math to check
if their intuition was correct in the first place.
Well, that's interesting because when we talk about large numbers, especially when we're
exaggerating, oh, you know, that'll cost you a billion dollars. We don't really mean it'll cost a billion dollars.
We're just using that as an example, as a figure that it's out of reach.
And we don't really differentiate much between million and billion and trillion.
They're just all big numbers.
So explain the difference.
So the way I like to look at it is how long from now would that be if it was a million,
a billion, or a trillion seconds?
So passing of time is something that humans have a reasonably good grasp on.
And so if you were to calculate one million seconds from right now, it's within two weeks.
It's about 11 days away.
And we can all imagine 11 or so days
in the future. We go, okay, I've got a rough sense of how big that is. And then I ask people to try
and guess how long would it be a billion seconds from now? People go, okay, well, a million seconds
was under two weeks. So I don't know. It turns out it's just over 30 years. So depending on when
you're listening to this, a billion seconds from right now will probably be around the year 2052. And a trillion
seconds from right now will be roughly in the year 33,709. And the fact that everyone's like, what? So it goes from 11 days to 30 years to over 30,000
years. And well, actually, yes. And that's because a trillion is a thousand times bigger than a
billion. And a billion is a thousand times bigger than a million. But we always think the jump is
about the same. No, it's a thousand times bigger. bigger as the saying goes the difference between a trillion and a billion is
About a trillion because if you've got a trillion and you subtract a billion
You've still got about a trillion left each one of these million billion trillion the one before it becomes
Vanishingly small it's it's all they're dwarfed by the next one up and what's the next one up?
Is there a next one up after trillion?
Yeah, you go to quadrillion, and then you go to quintillion.
And at some point, we stop giving them catchy names because they start getting more and more elaborate.
So what we would do in mathematics is we would switch to just saying the number of zeros.
So I want you to talk about spreadsheets because a lot of us deal with spreadsheets and it
is one of the more interesting stories of where math goes really wrong. Because people use
spreadsheets for way more than they were designed to do. Because originally spreadsheets are used
for very much like accounting and finance and adding numbers up and taking averages.
But a lot of people start using them as a database or using them to store information in.
And so there's a group called the European Spreadsheet Risks Interest Group, and they
research mistakes in spreadsheets. And they currently estimate that over 90% of all spreadsheets
contain one or more mistakes, which is just incredible. And of all
the spreadsheets that have some kind of formula or calculation doing math within the spreadsheet,
about 24% of those spreadsheets have a mistake in one of the calculations. And you think, well,
hang on, how on earth can they possibly know that? What they do is they wait until a large corpus, a large group of spreadsheets
is accidentally released by a company into the public domain. Because if you ask a company,
can we see your spreadsheets to look for mistakes, they're not going to let you.
And so they, when Enron was going through, well, it was in the courts because of some unfortunate financial dodginess.
As part of that, about half a million emails from within the company, internal communication, was made public as part of the evidence.
And they went trawling through all those emails and found just over 15,000 spreadsheets, which were as attachments on the emails. And so they could
then go through and analyze all those spreadsheets. And they found that over 90% have some kind of a
mistake in it, which is just terrifying. And what's going wrong? I mean, if that many
spreadsheets contain errors, it makes you wonder what the value of a spreadsheet is, but what tends to go wrong?
So some of them are quite boring where they will either have pointed at the wrong cell. So in a
spreadsheet, if you're doing some kind of calculation, you can say, add this cell to this
cell and put the total over here. And occasionally they would just, either the data has been moved later or they clicked on the wrong one when they were doing it. And so, for example,
in 2012, the state office of education in Utah miscalculated its budget by $25 million because
they had a faulty reference. So they were pointing at the wrong cell within the spreadsheet. And
other times it's things like if you select a bunch of numbers to be summed, so you're going to add them all together, you might miss one off at either end. what they could borrow through the local government by about 400,000 US dollars,
because when they were adding a range of cells, they just missed one off one end.
And those for me are kind of the boring mistakes.
That's just where people have clicked on the wrong cell or selected the wrong ones.
I really like the interesting ones where it's something like autocorrect.
So if you type something into Excel, which looks a bit like a
date, so there's a gene called March 5. It has nothing to do with the month. That's just the
shortened version of a much longer name. There's another one called SEP15. Again, it's a much
longer name, but it's normally abbreviated as SEP15. If you type that into Excel, it will remove what you typed
and replace it with just a numerical date.
And so some researchers in Melbourne,
they thought they would download
all publicly available genetic research
and then look to see which bits of research
used Excel files
or any kind of spreadsheet of data. And then
they would automatically comb through it, looking for where the names of genomes had been replaced
with a date. And they found over 35,000 publicly available spreadsheets, and they related to 3,597 separate bits of genetic research. And of those,
19.6%, so that's about one in five, had an autocorrect error because of the way the data
was typed into Excel. And so I have no idea what the knock-on effects of that are, but I imagine
that your data being corrupted because Excel is trying to be too clever for its own good, that can't be good.
Although, on the flip side, when this research came out, Microsoft, who make Excel, came out and said, look, Excel is fine for most normal uses.
And if you're doing genetics research, you shouldn't be using Excel. However,
I can guarantee you across all sorts of scientific mathematics and financial research,
people are going to use spreadsheets and autocorrect is going to corrupt their data.
Tell the story about how math went wrong in engineering in building that skyscraper.
There was a skyscraper in South Korea. This was about the year 2011. And it was just shy of 40 stories tall. And there were some people in one of the upper floors, about the 37th floor.
And one day, they felt the whole building start to shake, which for any skyscraper, that's a bad
sign. And they figured it was an earthquake. So they evacuated. And when they got outside, everyone was just looking at them like, what are you doing? They and they figured it was an earthquake so they evacuated and when they
got outside everyone was just looking at them like what are you doing they're like there was an
earthquake like no but the building was shaking and they had to investigate why the top of this
building had suddenly started shaking and it turns out there was an exercise class at about the 11th
floor and on that day they decided to exercise to the song
I've Got the Power by Snap.
I'm not sure if you're familiar with Snaps.
I've Got the Power.
I'm not going to try and sing it.
People can look it up.
But it turns out that the frequency,
like the beat of I've Got the Power,
matched what we call a resonant frequency of the building.
And that's a frequency where the building is particularly susceptible to being able to move.
In this case, it was twisting.
So it wasn't shaking side to side.
The whole thing was twisting along like its vertical axis.
So if you were looking at it from over the top, like a bird's eye view,
you would see it twisting backwards and forwards like like a like a spring or something and because the engineers had missed this one
frequency in the building they were designing because other ones they had engineered out they
missed this one and an exercise class happened to hit it during the investigation they got people
back to exercise to snaps i've got the power and they measured 10 times the normal
movement at the top of the building and so they had to they had to retrofit some devices at the
top of the building which would absorb energy to stop the building from twisting at that frequency
and this is kind of how engineering this is how it develops so now that's part of
building codes now people know to look out for it future buildings are designed with that in mind
but it was this whole new nuance of the math that no one saw coming thankfully there was no damage
no one was injured no one died but it was terrifying for these people but because of it
we learned something new about the math of building buildings. Briefly, tell the story of the
airplane and how important it is to understand the units of measure that you're measuring.
An aircraft, which in the 1980s was flying across Canada, it was going from Montreal
to Edmonton. And when they were fueling the aircraft, they carefully calculated the exact
amount of fuel that a Boeing 767 would require to complete this flight. And once they calculated
that amount, and they did it in kilograms because Canada had just switched to the metric system.
And when you're fueling an aircraft, unlike a car where you'd put in like gallons,
where you're measuring volume, the problem is if you change the temperature of fuel, it changes its volume slightly.
And so in aviation, they calculate the mass because that always stays the same.
So they worked out the exact number of kilograms of fuel they would need.
But then when they were fueling it, they used the wrong units.
So they put in that many pounds of fuel. And a pound,
it's about half a kilogram. Now, separately, there were things going wrong with the fuel gauges and
the instruments on the aircraft. And I'm also fascinated by the logic behind how different
things go wrong at the same time and how they all kind of fit together to form these disasters.
But on this case, they didn't notice because the gauges weren't working that they had put in half as much fuel as they thought they had because of a unit conversion error.
And in the end, the plane ran out of fuel mid-flight, which must have been terrifying for everyone on board.
But the pilot, before they became a commercial airline pilot, they used to be a glider pilot. So they
were able to glide the aircraft about 40 miles to a disused runway in a very small village called
Gimli in the middle of Canada. And with no power, they were able to glide a 767, hit this runway,
and it just, you know, like the landing gear gave way and it was just skidding down the runway there's enough friction that it came to a halt before the far end of the runway
with everyone fine there was no one died it was perfectly safe it did scare the daylights out of
the people who were camping at the other end of the runway they were there for a weekend of go-karting
and they had no idea what was happening because a gliding 767,
that's pretty quiet. So all they heard was boom and this aircraft is just slamming into the runway and then sliding towards them. But it came to a halt. No one was injured. They fixed it. They
got the aircraft back in the air. But what could have been a massive disaster for hundreds of
people on board, thankfully it wasn't, but it all came out because some people didn't double check their units when they were fueling an aircraft.
And so I like to think that now whenever a student in a math class is like, why do I have to learn about units?
Teachers can go, well, previously someone didn't and an aircraft ran out of fuel and you have no idea what jobs you're going to have in the future.
So the mathematics is worth learning. Great. Well, now parents actually have real stories to tell their kids about how important
math is when they say, I don't need to learn this. I'm never going to use this. Well, you might one
day and it might make a difference. Matt Parker has been my guest. He is a math teacher. He's
written about math for several major publications. He's a performer. He has a YouTube channel and he's author of the book
Humble Pie, When Math Goes Wrong in the Real World. There's a link
to his book and to his YouTube channel in the show notes. Thanks, Matt.
Alright, thanks so much. See ya.
It appears to be human nature to have nostalgia for the past
and a fear of the future,
particularly now when the future seems so uncertain.
Psychologists call it hindsight bias, and here's what it means.
The defining feature of the future is uncertainty.
The future is a blank canvas, and we can paint it any way we want.
This could happen, that could happen. That could happen.
Anything could happen.
Uncertainty is inherently alarming to people.
It's scary.
The past is 100% certain.
Whatever happened, happened.
But life went on. And that is very comforting and reassuring
and makes us long for those good old days.
But what we're really longing for is the certainty of the past.
There can be no surprises in the past.
That is hindsight bias.
And that is something you should know.
I just got two emails this morning from listeners who love this podcast
and say they always share it and tell their friends about it
and talk with their friends about it.
I hope you'll do the same.
Tell someone you know about something you should know.
Hey, I'm Mike Carruthers.
Thank you for listening today to Something You Should Know.
Welcome to the small town of Chinook, where faith runs deep and secrets run deeper.
In this new thriller, religion and crime collide when a gruesome murder rocks the isolated Montana community.
Everyone is quick to point their fingers at a drug-addicted teenager, but local deputy
Ruth Vogel isn't convinced.
She suspects connections to a powerful religious group.
Enter federal agent V.B.
Loro, who has been investigating a local church for possible criminal activity.
The pair form an unlikely partnership to catch the killer,
unearthing secrets that leave Ruth torn between her duty to the law, her religious convictions,
and her very own family. But something more sinister than murder is afoot, and someone
is watching Ruth. Chinook, starring Kelly Marie Tran and Sanaa Lathan.
Listen to Chinook wherever you get your podcasts. episodes. And though we have seen, of course, every episode many times, we figured, hey,
now that we're wrapped, let's watch it all again. And we can't do that alone. So we're inviting the
cast and crew that made the show along for the ride. We've got writers, producers, composers,
directors, and we'll, of course, have some actors on as well, including some certain guys that played
some certain pretty iconic brothers. It was kind of a little bit of a left field choice in the best way possible.
The note from Kripke was, he's great, we love him,
but we're looking for like a really intelligent Duchovny type.
With 15 seasons to explore, it's going to be the road trip of several lifetimes.
So please join us and subscribe to Supernatural then and now.