StarTalk Radio - Things You Thought You Knew – Planet X
Episode Date: August 6, 2024What is the three body problem? How will the universe end? Neil deGrasse Tyson and comedian Chuck Nice break down the case of Planet X, why the three body problem is unsolvable, and prevailing theorie...s on how the universe will come to an end. NOTE: StarTalk+ Patrons can listen to this entire episode commercial-free.Thanks to our Patrons Micheal Brown, Naburos, Teresa Fiorenza, Afshin Odabaee, Liz Freedman, Grace Sakoda, Dean Klunk, Alex Deters, Craig Maier, and Jack Cater for supporting us this week. Subscribe to SiriusXM Podcasts+ on Apple Podcasts to listen to new episodes ad-free and a whole week early.
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Coming up on StarTalk, it's a Things You Thought You Knew edition.
Of course, I'm there with Chuck Nice, and we tackle Planet X.
What's up with that? Is it still there? Who knows?
We know, and we tell you.
Not only that, we tackle the three-body problem.
No, I actually haven't seen the series yet, but I do know what the three-body problem is in physics.
And you're going to hear all about it.
And lastly, we're going to go to the ends of time and have a chat about one scenario that's particularly disturbing about how the universe might end.
Next on StarTalk.
Welcome to StarTalk.
Your place in the universe where science and pop culture collide. StarTalk begins right now. So Chuck, anything been eating you lately? So many things.
I don't know if we have time, you know. I did recently see a thing about Planet X.
Planet X.
Which I was very disappointed to find out had nothing to do with Malcolm.
This can't be widely known because I don't hear people talking about it when they talk about Planet X.
Right.
So I'm going to give you just some backstory here.
All right.
William Herschel accidentally discovers the planet Uranus.
We knew about Mercury, Venus, Earth, Mars, Jupiter, Saturn.
There it stood. Right.
For like millennia. He discovers
Uranus. It's a beautiful paper.
Nobody had ever discovered a planet
because all these planets were like known to the
ancients. They're all visible in the
night sky to everybody. Makes sense. Caveman
knew about the planets. Right.
Okay. anybody freaks
out because oh my gosh there's more than five planets all right this is late 1700s and he's
brit so of course he named it after his benefactor who was the oh the king the king yeah king which
king uh george of our declaration of independence that's right ultimately clearer heads would prevail, and it was renamed from George to Uranus.
Uranus.
Yeah, Uranus.
Uranus.
Okay.
Which, by the way, is a much better name.
Than George.
Than George.
Okay.
And even better than Uranus.
So we're watching Uranus.
Right.
And we're getting a segment of its orbit because it's far out. It's not
moving very fast. These things
take a long time to go around the sun.
Even though we only had a small segment, we said,
hey, its path
is not following Newton's laws of motion
and gravity.
So someone suggested,
maybe we finally found the limit
of Newton's laws in the universe.
Newton, you dope.
You dumbass.
Dumbass Newton.
Should have known.
No, maybe they only apply to like Earth and the moon and Earth and the sun and inner planets and the sun.
That could have been.
Then someone said, maybe Newton's laws do apply, but there's another planet out there we've yet to discover
whose gravity we have yet to reconcile in these equations.
Which is, if you just discovered one planet, maybe there's another one.
Because that cracked open the egg, the planet egg, right?
Right.
So, some French mathematicians and Le Verrier, what was his name?
Le Verrier.
Le Verrier.
Le Verrier.
Laplace, I think, had a hand in this.
Okay.
And they communicated this prediction to an observatory in Berlin.
And Johann Gottfried Galle, G-A-L-L-E, how do you pronounce that?
Right.
Practically that night, he discovers Neptune.
That's pretty wild.
The power of math, the power of Newton's laws.
Right.
Okay?
Okay.
Science.
Science.
Neptune is moving.
Okay?
So we're now in the 1800s, 1846, something like this, mid-1800s.
All right.
And, all right, let's follow its orbit.
Right.
We do that. It's not following Newton's laws. We've been down that road before. Well, let's follow its orbit. Right. We do that.
It's not following Newton's laws.
We've been down that road before.
Well, there must be another planet.
Must be another planet.
Of course.
Okay, let's start a hunt for that planet.
That started the hunt for Planet X.
Gotcha.
So people said, we've done this before.
Let's predict.
Just do the math of La Verrieria.
Look over here.
And it should be there.
It should be there.
It was not there.
Uh-oh.
Maybe it was hiding from you
because you are so stupid.
So the hunt for Planet X
was like this massive planet.
It was a planet hunt
like none other.
Okay?
All right.
Percival Lowell
of the New England Lowells
loved astronomy,
was not formally trained, but he had money, built an observatory, the best one in the world.
So he found a mountain in Arizona.
Okay. Okay, where else are you going to put it?
Right?
Arizona.
There you go.
Found a mountain, built an observatory.
Finest optics, finest everything.
The observatory is called?
The Lowell Observatory. Thank called? The Lowell Observatory.
Thank you.
The Lowell Observatory.
He initiated the search for Planet X.
Mm-hmm.
He wanted to know.
Yes.
Instead of choosing where to look,
he starts a systematic survey
in the plane of the solar system.
Okay.
A photographic survey.
Now, how do you discover a planet?
It has to be a dot of light in one photo,
then in another photo, it is moved to a different spot.
Right, yeah.
Okay?
So he initiates this,
brings in Clyde Tombaugh to conduct the survey.
He dies.
Sorry.
Because it was boring as hell.
No, no, no.
Lowell dies. Oh, okay it was boring as hell. No, no, no. Lowell dies.
Oh, okay.
I thought Clyde died
because it's just like,
all I do night after night
is look up here
and wait for a dot of light.
This is going to kill me.
Oh, it's going to kill me.
Oh, this is going to kill me.
1930 is the announcement.
Planet X discovered.
Oh, by the way,
it got named Pluto.
There's a dot in one photo
and it's moved to another place in another photo.
He would joke about this.
He lived into the 1990s.
He would joke about this.
Hey, Clyde, how did you discover where Pluto was?
He said, oh, I looked up in the sky
and there was an arrow pointing to it.
Anytime you show the slide,
there's an arrow pointing to it.
He persists with this being Planet X
into the 1990s.
Well, how big was it?
What mass was it?
They assigned it the mass
that Planet X would have to be
to perturb Neptune in the way
we discovered it. Right.
Even though it wasn't anywhere where the prediction said
it was going to be, they said, fine, it's out there.
Planet X, we good.
We good. Okay.
Over the decades, we find out it's not as big
and not as massive as they said it was.
A lot of ice. A lot of reflection.
We found a moon. Smaller than it was.
We found a moon. Its mass was like one A lot of reflection. We found a moon. Smaller than it was. We found a moon.
Its mass was like one-fifth the mass of our moon.
And along comes an astrophysicist named Neil deGrasse Tyson.
No, you stop.
And says, wait a minute.
There needs to be one more nail in this coffin.
Stop.
I was an accessory to the demotion.
I didn't pull the trigger. Okay. Okay. All right. So, yeah. So, in the 90s, to the demotion. I didn't pull the trigger.
Okay.
All right.
So, yeah.
So in the 90s, it got demoted.
He died before it was officially demoted.
They might have just...
That would have killed him.
So, thank God.
Yeah.
So it was not until 2006 where Pluto was officially demoted.
But we took it out of commission here at the Hayden Planetarium
when we opened to the public in the year 2000.
We plucked Pluto from the ranks of planets
and put it with the other dirty ice balls
being discovered in the outer solar system where it belongs.
You make it sound so derogatory.
Okay, with the other ice balls.
Filthy ice ball.
A little dirty ice ball.
It's happier there.
Right. It's happier there. Right.
It's now the king of the comets rather than the puniest planet.
Anyhow, it is so small.
It's got so little mass.
It can't possibly be planet X.
Okay.
A researcher named Miles Standish asked a question.
What are the observatories that obtain the positions of Neptune,
leading us to say that it's not following Newton's laws? It's multiple observatories over decades. And so he goes back
and analyzes them. One of the observatories was the U.S. Naval Observatory. Okay. And he goes back
to the observations and finds out something like the gearbox
was cleaned or oiled
or something. Somebody
did something to the telescope before
those observations were made.
Anytime you do something to a
scientific instrument, you have to calibrate it. He said,
what would happen if I
ignore these measurements and
fit the orbit to the remaining
measurements that are out there.
When he did that, Neptune landed right on Newton's laws.
What?
And Planet X evaporated overnight.
There was nothing with a mass and gravity that was perturbing Neptune.
It was bad data.
So Pluto's mass had no effect on Neptune at all.
No, nothing.
Didn't make a difference what Pluto did one way or another.
Correct.
And I'm saying when you're a scientist on the frontier,
you don't know what is accounting for the anomalous results you're getting.
Is it a new law of physics?
Is it something else
that is correct laws of physics,
but is influencing you
in ways you don't yet know?
Right.
Or is there something wrong
with the data?
So Planet X
is a centerpiece
to this much longer,
larger story here
about the plight of science
on the frontier.
And so I just want you
to appreciate
what scientists go through
I do.
on that frontier just to understand how nature works. And so I just want you to appreciate what scientists go through on that frontier just
to understand how nature works.
And the data are not always correct.
Right. And guess what?
And then everything else is off from that data.
Off from those data.
Well, you have my understanding, but I also
understand you killed Pluto.
That is not the takeaway of this
session. Stop it!
Okay. There's been some evidence
that there could be a much larger planet out there,
which has been called Planet X.
It's not affecting measurably the known planets
because it's so far away,
but there are other objects orbiting where Pluto is.
There might be some anomalies in their orbits
that could be explained by an object so far away
you can't see it because it's too dark out there.
That's what I read.
It was supposed to be a wandering planet.
We're getting, as a distance,
10,000 times the Earth-Sun distance.
So it's way out there.
Way out.
So possibly, but the historical case of Planet X is solved.
Hello, I'm Vicki Brooke Allen, and I support StarTalk on Patreon.
This is StarTalk with Neil deGrasse Tyson.
You're going to get an astrophysicist explanation of the literal three-body problem
without reference to anything that's shown up on streaming services.
And that means he's not going to ruin the show for you.
I don't know anything about the show,
but I do know enough to describe the three-body problem to you.
Let's start simple.
Okay.
So as we know, the moon orbits the earth.
Right.
But that's not the right way to say it.
Okay.
Okay?
All right.
The moon and the earth orbit their common center of gravity.
Ooh.
So earth is not just sitting here.
Right, and the moon is going around it.
Going around it.
They feel in their common center of gravity.
You know where it is?
It's a thousand miles beneath earth's surface
along a line between the center of the earth
and the center of the moon.
Got you.
So as the moon moves here, that center of mass line shifts.
Okay?
Mm-hmm.
So that means Earth is kind of jiggling like this as the Moon goes around.
Got you.
That's their center of mass.
All right.
This is the two-body problem.
It is perfectly solved using equations of gravity.
Right.
And mechanics. Makes sense. Perfectly
solved. Yeah. Isaac Newton solved it. Okay. My boy. That's your man. My man. Yep. Isaac. Not a dumb
guy. Ike. That's for sure. Okay. Let's not call him Ike. There's another Ike that we don't want to
conjure up thoughts of that Ike when we think about Isaac Newton. Isaac Newton. Okay. So that worked.
Then Isaac applied the equations to the Earth-Moon system going around the sun.
Okay.
Okay?
That worked too.
So in that system, let's ignore the moon for the moment.
It's Earth going around the sun.
Another two-body system.
Another two-body system.
All right?
But then he worried.
He said every time Earth comes around the back stretch
and Jupiter's out there.
Right.
Jupiter, but tug on it a little bit.
That's a lot of gravity.
A little bit, tug on it as we come around back the other side.
What's up, Earth?
All right.
And then it comes around again, tugs on it again.
What's up, Earth?
Right.
And, of course, everybody's moving in the same direction around the sun.
So the Earth would have to go a little farther in its orbit
to be aligned again with Jupiter,
but it's going to tug on it.
Okay.
He looked at all these little tugs,
and he says,
I'm worried that the solar system will go unstable.
Right.
Because if it keeps tugging on it,
it keeps pulling it away.
And the previously stable orbit would just decay into chaos.
Okay.
Okay. He was worried about chaos. Okay. Okay.
He was worried about this.
Okay.
You know what he said?
I know my equations work, and it looks stable to me.
Right.
So clearly it is stable, even though it looks like maybe it wouldn't be stable.
You know what he says?
He said, every now and then, God fixes things.
Well, there you go.
That's the answer.
Even Isaac Newton.
Wow, look at that.
Yeah.
When in doubt.
When in doubt. Just let God figure it out. Right. I can't figure at that. When in doubt. When in doubt.
Just let God figure it out.
Right, I can't figure it out.
God did it.
Clearly, we're all still here,
and we haven't been yanked out of orbit by Jupiter.
Right.
But Jupiter is pulling on us.
So it's a God correction.
God correction, okay.
So this is the first hint
that a third body is messing with you.
Right. Okay, in some way that maybe is messing with you. Right. Okay?
In some way that maybe is harder to understand. Fast forward
113
years. We get to
Laplace.
He
studied this problem.
Right. Okay? And
he developed, I don't think he invented,
but he developed a new branch of calculus
called perturbation theory.
Aha.
Okay?
Unknown to Newton, even though Newton invented calculus.
Right.
He invented calculus.
Right.
All right?
So he could have done it.
He could have said, in order to solve this problem,
let me invent more calculus. I just need more calculus. I just need more calculus. He couldn't do it. Didn have done it. He could have said, in order to solve this problem, let me invent more calculus.
I just need more calculus.
I just need more calculus.
He couldn't do it.
Didn't do it.
So Laplace develops perturbation theory.
And it comes down to we have two bodies, the sun and the earth in this case.
And the third one, the tug is small, but it's repeating.
It's not a big – Jupiter's not sitting right here.
It's way out there. Way out there. It's not a big... Jupiter's not sitting right here. It's way out there.
Way out there. It's just a little tug.
And so you can run the equations
in such a way and realize
that a two-body system
that is tugged
often
by something small
that it all cancels out in the end.
Got you. Okay.
So when it's out here, the tug is a little bit that way,
but now it's over here, and the tug is less.
Right.
All right?
And then sometimes it's tugging you in this direction
when that's the configuration.
You add it all up, it all cancels out.
And it just cancels out.
But Newton could not have known that
without this new branch of calculus.
Okay.
Okay?
Perturbation theory.
So that took care of that third body.
Got you. The solar system is basically calculus. Okay. Okay. Perturbation theory. So that took care of that third body. Gotcha.
Where solar system is basically stable.
Okay. For the foreseeable future in ways that
Newton had not imagined, in ways that Newton
required God. Right. Okay. Oh, by
the way, just a quick aside.
This is now, we're up to the year 1800.
Do you know who summoned up
these books to read them immediately?
Because there's a series of books
called Celestial Mechanics.
Okay.
Napoleon.
Ah!
I am Napoleon!
Napoleon,
who read all the books he could
on physics and engineering
and metallurgy.
Look at that.
Okay, he wasn't just a tyrant.
Right.
He was like a...
He was a smart tyrant.
A smart tyrant.
All right.
So he summons up the book.
It doesn't have to be translated because they're both in French.
Right.
He reads it, goes to Laplace and says,
Monsieur, this is a beautiful piece of work, brilliant,
but you make no mention of the architect of the system.
He's referring to God.
And Laplace replied, Sir, I had no need for that hypothesis.
Ooh, that's a that hypothesis. Ooh,
that's a mic drop. Ooh,
that is tough.
Man. Ooh.
That's a dig on Napoleon and on Newton.
Yeah. And on Newton.
I have, oh man, look at that.
Alright, so
let's keep going. Go ahead. So now
let's say we have not just the planet and one of its moons,
but let's say we have a star and another star, a double star system,
famously portrayed in what film?
Star Wars.
Star Wars.
Yeah.
All right.
Of course.
So those two suns and the planet is stable, and I'll tell you why in a minute.
But if you take a third sun and put it there,
about approximately the same size,
then what kind of orbits will they have, okay?
So I'm feeling this one,
but now I feel that where's my gravitational allegiance?
You don't know where to go.
Am I going to come through?
Right.
But then am I going to go that way or this way?
It turns out the orbits of a three-body problem are mathematically chaotic.
Yes.
I was about to say, that did not seem very stable.
Something has to give.
Well, this is in the series.
What we're talking about.
I haven't seen the series.
I know.
I'm just saying, something has to give.
That's odd.
Two of these are going to collide.
Right.
One is going to get ejected.
Right.
Okay.
That is the classical three-body problem.
Three objects of approximately similar mass
trying to maintain a stable orbit.
A stable orbit.
And it goes chaotic with just three objects.
Look at that.
It is unsolvable.
You can, let me say that differently.
You can calculate incrementally what's happening
and track it until the system dies or splits apart or whatever,
but you cannot analytically predict the future of the three-body system
because what chaos will do for you in your mathematical model
is if you change the initial conditions by a little bit,
a little bit,
the solution diverges.
Further down the line, it goes crazy.
It's not just a little bit different later on down the line.
It is exponentially different.
With the smallest increment of distance.
So I'll say, I'll move you in this direction,
in this model,
and then in a slightly different direction than the other model, it goes chaotic.
That's what we mean by chaos.
Right.
Okay.
Okay.
It's mathematically defined.
Okay.
Okay.
So, now there's something called the restricted three-body problem.
All right.
Okay.
Okay?
All right.
The restricted three-body problem?
Never heard.
So, there's restricted three-body problem.
We have two masses of approximately equal, and one that's much less than the other two.
That is solvable. Right. It's called the restricted three-body problem. We have two masses of approximately equal and one that's much less than the other two. That is solvable.
Right.
It's called the restricted
three-body problem.
Gotcha.
In the Star Wars case,
that's the restricted
three-body problem.
Right.
Because you have the two stars
and you have the little planet.
The little planet.
There it is.
And it's even better
because the planet
is so far away
that it only really saw
one merged gravity of the two stars.
Right, okay.
You're far enough away.
That difference is not really mattering to you.
You maintain one stable orbit around them both.
Around both stars.
Both stars, okay?
Now, if it got really close, then you'll have issues
because then, again, gravitational allegiance matters. The stars are not going really close, then you'll have issues.
Because then, again, gravitational allegiance matters.
The stars are not going to care, but you will.
You don't know where to go.
You don't know where to go.
I'm in love with two stars, and I don't know what to do.
Which way do I turn?
So, anyhow, the three-body problem, the takeaway here is it's unsolvable.
Not just because we don't know how to do it yet,
because it's mathematically unsolvable.
It's built into the system.
The system is chaotic.
Yeah. Okay, unless you make certain assumptions about the system
that you would then invoke so that you can solve it.
And so one of them is a small object around bigger ones.
Another one, oh, by the way, in this
solution with Jupiter out there,
slightly tugging,
it turns out over a very long time
scale, this is chaotic.
But much longer time scale than Newton ever
imagined. Okay. Okay?
Because, yes, we are small compared to the sun,
but Jupiter isn't, alright?
And we're trying to orbit between them.
Right. So, that's all. It's not deeper than that. orbit between them. Right. Right? So that's all.
It's not deeper than that.
It's not, yeah.
Right?
I could have said
the four-body problem
but this problem begins
at the three-body problem.
Right, right.
Because you're going to have
the same thing
in the four bodies
or five bodies.
It's going to be the same.
And we have star clusters
with thousands of stars in them
and they're all just orbiting.
We have to,
we can model it
but we cannot predict
with precision
where everybody's going to be at any given time. Okay. Because it's chaotic. It's just orbiting. We can model it, but we cannot predict with precision where everybody's going to be at any given time.
Okay.
Because it's chaotic.
The chaos.
So basically, it's about the chaos.
It's about the chaos.
It's all about the chaos.
Yeah, so what we do is we model the chaos.
Right.
We say this will be statistically looking like this over time.
You're not going to track one object through the system for eternity.
That's not going to work.
That's so cool.
Yeah.
All right.
That is so cool. There. Yeah. All right. That is so cool.
There it is.
All right, another explainer
slipped in,
torn from the pages of science fiction.
Yes.
Just a simple description
of the three the universe will end. All right. So let me give you some of the ways the universe will end.
All right, so let me give you some scenarios that are on the docket.
Okay.
Okay?
As you may know, we are currently expanding.
Yes.
All right.
That's right.
Growth, damn it!
And as we expand, the universe gets thinner and thinner, less and less dense.
If you're not growing, you're dying.
Well, consider, how do you make a star?
We have a gas cloud and it collapses to make a new object.
But if things continue to expand,
then there's an interesting sequence of events.
First, there are galaxies that have already used up all their gas.
They have these elliptical shapes.
We call them elliptical galaxies.
Oh.
They don't have any gas, but they have stars that will live a trillion years.
Wow.
After a trillion years, those stars start dimming out one by one.
That's the actual sound that a star makes when it's gone.
Yes, in the vacuum of space.
In the vacuum of space. In the vacuum of space.
They will pluck out one by one trillions of years from now
because that's their life expectancy.
Okay.
They're burning their fuel very efficiently,
very slowly and very efficiently.
These are the dim red stars, of which there are many in every galaxy.
Right.
All right.
But there's no gas in the elliptical galaxies.
There's no fresh generation to be made.
All right.
In spiral galaxies such as ours, the Milky Way, we have stars that will also live a trillion
years.
They'll pluck out at around the same time these other stars do.
But we have residual gas.
Right.
So we're making stars today.
Yes.
Stellar nurseries.
Yes.
Yep. Yes. The JWST. That's it. Is all up in that. Right. So we're making stars today. Yes. Stellar nurseries. Yes. Yes. The JWST.
That's it. It's all up in that.
Yeah. So that will only continue
until there's no gas left.
Right. So for a spiral galaxy,
it might go another five
billion years, perhaps. Oh, okay.
And when we run out of gas, that's the last generation
of stars to get made.
You're literally out of gas.
Out of gas.
Right.
That's when the universe makes this sound.
Oh, by the way, in the distant future,
as we continue to expand,
galaxies will expand beyond the horizon
that we
have established from our location here.
So what is that horizon?
That's where they're moving away from you faster than the speed of light.
So their light tries to reach you, but it can't.
It can't.
Wow.
All the energy gets sucked out of it.
And so every galaxy in the night sky will go beyond that horizon.
Okay?
With or without its stars, it'll go beyond the horizon.
So if we look outside of our own galaxy, there'll be nothing there.
As far as we know, our entire universe is just the stars living or dead in the Milky Way.
In the Milky Way.
Oh, that's...
So our entire understanding of cosmology in a post-apocalyptic civilization in that very distant future
will have no idea the universe had a beginning at
all because we know about the beginning by looking at other galaxies. Right. So a page in the history
of the universe will have been removed and they will not even know it. Look at that. But wait,
there's more. There's the matter of the black holes. Okay. Okay. Interesting. All right. So the black holes, they, the small black holes, actually will evaporate.
Okay.
Okay, using Hawking radiation.
Right.
So just outside the event horizon, there are these spontaneous particle pairs that are formed out of their gravitational energy field.
Right.
And one particle escapes, the other falls in.
And that effectively subtracts mass from the black hole.
Okay.
So we will lose those black holes,
and around then, our best hypotheses for the survival of the proton.
Okay.
Okay.
We think the proton might decay.
If the proton decays, that's it.
The proton decay,
we're thinking,
also happens at around
10 to the 30th years.
Wow.
Last I checked.
It could be maybe
10 to the 32 years,
but that's around where it is.
I mean, but who's counting?
Who's counting?
The factor of 10 or 100,
who's counting
when we have factors
of trillions and gazillions?
Right.
All right.
That means the structure
of all matter,
which is,
our foundation is on the nucleus composed of protons and neutrons. Right. All right. That means the structure of all matter, which is, our foundation is on the nucleus
composed of protons
and neutrons.
But neutrons,
free neutrons decay,
but protons are the
stablest particle we know.
They're gone.
Right.
Okay.
Well, that's it.
Wait, wait.
There's the supermassive black holes
in the centers of galaxies.
All right.
They take longer to evaporate.
That's true.
They'll still be there.
They don't just go away
just because the universe
expanded every other galaxy out of it,
and just because all the stars died.
How about those?
They take 10 to the 100 years to evaporate.
Wow.
You can do the math on this.
No, I can't.
I'm sorry.
This is what we fail to realize.
You know what 10 to the 100 is?
What number that is?
10 to the 100?
Yeah.
That's 1,000.
10 to the third power is 1,000. Yes. 10 to the 100th power? That's 1,000. Tenth of the third power is 1,000.
Yes.
Tenth of the hundredth power, that's a Google.
I did not know that.
So that's a lot of years.
That's beyond a lot of years.
Okay, that's a lot of years.
Yeah.
All right, so all matter is just scattered evenly into the vacuum of space,
whatever's left of matter, and the universe dies.
There's no more phenomenon to happen.
Okay.
You don't even have black holes evaporating. Right. Everything's done. And the temperature's been dropping the universe dies. There's no more phenomenon to happen. Okay. You don't even have black holes evaporating.
Right.
Everything's done.
And the temperature's been dropping the entire time.
Early on, it was very hot.
Right.
It was glowing hot.
Glowing hot.
Right now, it's cooled to three degrees absolute zero.
Right.
That's very cold.
Right.
But it got even colder.
Even colder.
Near absolute zero in the very distant future.
Okay?
So, in that scenario,
the universe will not die with a So, in that scenario, the universe
will not die with a bang,
but with a whimper.
And not in fire, but in ice.
Oh, that sounds cold and lonely.
That is a cold, lonely
ending. That's one scenario.
Okay? So, for a while, people call
that the heat death of the universe.
But these are thermodynamicists
saying that, because to them, there's no such thing as cold. Right. There's only heat or the absence of heat. of the universe. But these are thermodynamicists saying that because to them
there's no such thing as cold.
There's only heat or the absence of heat.
So now all the heat is gone.
So they call it heat death.
But that's so misleading.
So I just prefer to call it the big freeze.
We know what's driving that.
What we do know about it tells us
that it is unrelenting.
So it's not just an expansion that will continue
forever. It's an expansion that will
accelerate. Forever.
Accelerate forever.
Because it is a property
in the vacuum of space. That's what we call dark energy.
So, the more the universe
expands, the more vacuum you have.
Right. And the
weaker gravity becomes because
all the matter is getting thinned out.
Spread out.
Spread out.
Okay?
Like butter on hot toast.
All right.
So you can do the math on this.
So first, yes, all the galaxies will accelerate beyond your horizon.
That'll happen.
We got that in the first one.
Okay?
But here's what the difference is.
If that acceleration goes unchecked, then it'll start ripping apart things that would otherwise retain their integrity from their gravity.
Right.
So first, they're galaxy clusters that, even in an expanding universe,
they'll want to stay together.
With the accelerating expansion, it'll start pulling them out, pulling them
away.
Then, once it's destroyed the galaxy cluster, now it's going to start working on the galaxies.
Right.
Which are tightly bound systems of stars.
As the universe continues to expand, the strength of that expansion will become greater than
the binding gravity of the systems themselves.
So it'll start ripping apart galaxies.
Okay.
Damn.
Then you don't have galaxy clusters.
You don't have galaxies.
Now you just have stars and their planets.
It'll start plucking the planets away from the stars.
Homewrecker.
Just a homewrecker is what you are.
Then it'll start ripping apart the stars and thewrecker. Home. Just a homewrecker is what you are. Then it'll start ripping apart
the stars and the planets
themselves.
Wow.
These forces are strong.
Yeah.
Okay?
So it'll start becoming
stronger than the
electromagnetic forces
that holds matter together.
Damn.
One way to imagine this
is we have a rubber band.
Okay.
Okay, you take one end
and I'll take one end.
All right.
So you feel the force
tugging at us, This is already dangerous.
Right?
Go ahead.
So this was originally the gravitational force that was holding galaxies together.
Okay.
But this dark energy broke that apart.
Then there's the force of the intermolecular force.
They broke that apart.
Okay.
But the universe is getting more and more stretched.
Right.
Okay?
What we don't know is that, is there a limit to how much the physical universe can stretch in response to this dark energy?
Okay. Because once you're down to a proton and it rips apart a proton, then you're left with quarks.
But then what happens? Can you rip a quark apart? We don't know. We don't know.
But then what could possibly happen is we call this the big rip.
Then what could possibly happen is... We call this the Big Rip.
So we call it the Big Rip.
And to do the calculations, that'll happen in 10 to the 22 years.
Oh, wait.
Way sooner.
That's much sooner than 10 to the 100.
Yes.
It'll happen before the black holes evaporate.
Oh, I'm very worried at this point now.
I mean, that is disturbing.
Okay.
So long before the big freeze, the Big rip will just go ahead and pull everything apart.
It'll be still pretty cold by then.
But yeah.
I lay awake at night wondering what that would be.
Because it rips and what's in the rip?
Yeah, what's there?
I'm trying to figure out what's going to be left.
Now, third and last.
Okay.
There's no data to support this next idea.
Okay.
There's nothing to tell us
that we will ever re-collapse.
Okay.
Because our expansion speed is greater
than anything the collective gravity
of all galaxies could possibly muster
to try to bring it back.
Right, right.
All right.
But if something gets discovered
that will slow down the expansion
and then have us re-collapse,
then everything will happen sort of in reverse.
The universe will get hotter and hotter and hotter.
Right.
Instead of cooler and cooler.
Things will get more and more concentrated.
And ultimately, we'd all come back to the same point.
Same singularity.
And they call that the big crunch.
But that implies that things are like
crackers. Right.
If you take a physical cracker, but I
think it's really the big squeeze.
Ooh. To me, that's a more
accurate term.
The big squeeze. Now, the
whole universe becomes the size of an atom again.
And if you look at the quantum
physics of this, once you're in the quantum
realm, you can like tunnel.
All bets are off.
You can tunnel.
You can tunnel out.
You can tunnel out.
Yep.
Okay?
And all that energy and all that matter in one place?
Right.
There's only one thing it can do
and that's expand.
Expand.
Once again into another big bang.
Big bang.
Big bang number whatever.
Right, right.
These are scenarios,
all of which will happen long after we're dead.
Which is why I'm not going to worry about it.
I'm just saying, the stuff that will kill us long before it happens.
Long before it happens, yes.
Okay, we'll be running for the hills as the sea levels rise.
Yes, I was going to say.
Climate change.
Right.
The next virus where nobody wants to get vaccinated.
Exactly.
It'll kill all of them off.
We're not making it out of the next century.
Let alone have to worry about any of this stuff.
And you know what worries me most?
Is ask anybody in the year 1900 what they fear the greatest in terms of the survival of our species.
They'll say population.
They'll say consumption.
They'll say things that aren't even on our list today.
The stuff that's on our list, they didn't even know about that.
Don't even think about it. They didn't even know that it today. The stuff that's on our list, they didn't even know about that. Don't even think about it.
They didn't even know
that it was something to think about.
So in the year 2100,
I don't fear what we fear today.
Yeah, people won't be worried about cancer.
I fear what we don't yet know to worry.
Right.
And I fear what we do know to worry,
which is us.
See?
We being awful shepherds of our own fate.
There you go.
Like, yeah.
Just, we are terrible stewards of the future
because we are terrible stewards of the present.
Ooh.
And that's what I fear.
Ooh.
Yeah.
All right.
On that happy note, have a nice day.
Hey.
All right.
These are the ways
the world would end.
With Neil and Chuck.
A fireside chat.
Sleep tight.
Sleep well.
Sleep well, people.
Oh, God.
This has been
a StarTalk
Things You Thought
You Knew edition.
Thanks for joining us.
As always, I bid you to keep looking up.