StarTalk Radio - What Is Intelligence? With David Krakauer

Episode Date: October 2, 2026

Why did intelligence evolve in the universe? Neil deGrasse Tyson, Chuck Nice, and Gary O’Reilly explore the nature of intelligence, information theory, consciousness, and whether AI is actually inte...lligent at all with David Krakauer, evolutionary biologist and president of the Santa Fe Institute.NOTE: StarTalk+ Patrons can listen to this entire episode commercial-free here: https://startalkmedia.com/show/what-is-intelligence-with-david-krakauer/Thanks to our Patrons Vipin Sharma, Saahith, Matthew Rapp, Billy Durr, Gail Lena Martin, Mads Holm, Mothman’s Coroner, Nicholas Strang, Cirwintech - Christopher M. Irwin, Jacqueline West, Casey Gatti, Clem Carlos Schermann, Samuel Jeffman, John Lasher, Shelley Collett, Aerimis, Anthony Schneider, Lolo, Mark M., kegler718, Hayden Scheibe, J Miller, Mark Ulibarri, Mandy Lauber, John McQuiston, Don, Olivier d'Entremont, Shaun Carter, Andres Chavez, Joshua Perks, JonRueben Bubar, Marlin Mark, Michael Lee, Ash Morris, Nate, Bobby Williams, DeborahD, Ciprian Bobe, David Bailey, Boop Doop, Amirali Rabiee, jessie miller, Liva Apse, Jesse, NATE LUKAS, Chris Archer, Keith H., and Huchel for supporting us this week. Subscribe to SiriusXM Podcasts+ to listen to new episodes of StarTalk Radio ad-free and a whole week early.Start a free trial now on Apple Podcasts or by visiting siriusxm.com/podcastsplus. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 That was quite the overview on what it is to be intelligent. Mm-hmm. It went places I didn't even know intelligence went. Deep. Yeah, and for some reason, I still feel stupid. Coming up, StarTalk, special edition. Everything you need to know about intelligence. Welcome to StarTalk.
Starting point is 00:00:20 Your place in the universe where science and pop culture collide. StarTalk begins right now. This is StarTalk, special edition. Neil deGrasse Tyson, you are a personal astrophysicist. And if it's special edition, it means Gary O'Reilly in the house. Hi, Neil. Hey, former soccer pro. Yes.
Starting point is 00:00:42 Soccer announcer. Of course, we got Chuck Nice, baby. That's right, Tempest in a teacup. The Lord of Nice. Lord of Nice. All right. Exactly. So, Gary, what did you and your producers stitched together for today?
Starting point is 00:00:55 Well, with all this talk of artificial intelligence, has everyone stopped to think, what is intelligence in general? That's what we're doing today. Everybody thinks they know what it is, and no one can really define it. That's because they're all dumb ass. To Chuck's point. How did intelligence evolve and why? What chances are there of beings far smarter than us?
Starting point is 00:01:20 That's a low bar. Are we... If we are the universe's way of knowing itself, is the universe screwed? Neil, please. I mean, if we're the best, it's got to figure itself out. You know, maybe I want to know that answer, maybe I don't. But we're going to ask it anyway.
Starting point is 00:01:39 So, and that quote, I think is traceable to Carl Sagan. Yes. It might have been in one of the episodes of Cosmos, the original Cosmos. Well, let's find out what our guest has to say. You talk about did intelligence evolve and in what way? We have an evolutionary biologist. Ooh. Yeah, you need them every now and then.
Starting point is 00:01:58 Yeah. Straighten things out. And he's also president and the William H. Miller professor of complex systems at the Santa Fe Institute. Of course, that would be in New Mexico. Yes. I'm sorry, you mean New America? Oh, stop. Well, spotted Chuck.
Starting point is 00:02:18 And he specializes in complexity and intelligence. Join me in welcoming David Crackauer. David, welcome. Yes. It's wonderful to be back in person. In person. We can verify that. Polk him.
Starting point is 00:02:31 Make sure he's real. I'm here. Not a hologram. Not a hologram. So I'd like the fact that you study complex systems, but you have roots in evolutionary biology. Because that's where we are life forms and that's where it all begins. So could you just shed some luminosity on the evolution of intelligence as we think about it? Yeah.
Starting point is 00:02:55 Well, okay. So the first question. is what is the relationship between life and intelligence? Can one conceive of a life that wasn't intelligent? Can one consider or conceive of an intelligence that's not alive? I think the latter, yes, and we might talk about that. But the former probably no. And so as soon as you have life, you have some form of intelligence.
Starting point is 00:03:23 So what is that? And I guess the canonical, simple argument would be, these are some form of organized matter that can sense the environment and act in a way that increases its representation in the world, either through replication or what have you. In the interest of its own survival.
Starting point is 00:03:44 In the interest of its own survival. And so any life form that can sense and behave in a way that's adaptive, we would have to grant has some form of intelligence. Okay. So the interesting theoretical problem here is that life feels a bit binary. You don't say that a flea
Starting point is 00:04:02 is less alive than an elephant. So that's kind of an interesting fact, whereas intelligence is not. So how does a kind of binary system give rise to a continuous one? And that's kind of the theory challenge for the origin of intelligence. Tell me again what you mean
Starting point is 00:04:18 by the binarity of this? So for example, I mean... You're either alive or you're not, but that doesn't mean that the level of intelligence you have is dependent on you being alive or not. It's a granation. So intelligence has a continuum. Yes.
Starting point is 00:04:30 Right. You either alive or dead does not. Right. Got it. Okay. Just to clarify that. So that's, okay. So that's the first question, right?
Starting point is 00:04:36 So over the course of time, what are the forces that have created higher levels of intelligence, if they have? That's an interesting question in itself. Maybe it's entirely context dependent. Maybe there's a sense in which a bacterium in the world is more intelligent than a human destroying a world. But, you know, one could go there from wanted. In other words, you would say, humans with high-neutral intelligence who destroy their world are not acting in the interest of their survival. I would say they're stupid.
Starting point is 00:05:02 Definitely stupid. There would be a demerit against their intelligence scale. Absolutely. Yes. And what about this? Because when you said bacterium, is there any kind of collective intelligence where the whole is greater than the sum? For sure.
Starting point is 00:05:18 I mean, in a sense, that's our own brains, right? So we have billions of nerve cells, each of which is quite simple. Correct. on its own, and they connect and they create thought, mathematics, music, all the things that we have... Chuck, that was a stupid question. Well, no, I didn't mean as a part of one
Starting point is 00:05:35 entity like our brain, I meant like our gut, where those bacteria are all different types, but they work together to cause us to have emotions and cause us to think certain ways. They're operating in tandem
Starting point is 00:05:51 with our brain, but they're all separate bacteria. Absolutely. I mean, there's this slight paradox that happens. So this is the world of collective intelligence, like swarms and shoals and schools. Right, because normally when you think of a collective intelligence is the ensemble of organisms
Starting point is 00:06:07 operating in a way that one individual would not otherwise understand, but the ensemble does. Right. I mean, this is emerging things like flocking. Flocking. Of birds, I guess. Or, yeah, or when you see fish change all. direction all at once.
Starting point is 00:06:25 Yeah. Even though, I don't even know if that's like electrochemical or not, but who knows? You know? No, but there's an interesting thing that happens here that's surprising, right? Which is that brains, made of very simple cells, produce extraordinary thoughts.
Starting point is 00:06:38 Whereas human societies, kind of made of extraordinary individual thoughts, produces a total shit show in the aggregate. So there's an interesting relationship between parts and holes. Right. If you have very smart parts, you don't necessarily have a smart hole.
Starting point is 00:06:53 That's true. Because there's nothing less intelligent than a mob of people with pitchforks and tiki torches. True. It seems to be inverse correlated with a number of people who are part of the mob. Right. Yeah. They act less and less intelligent. But more and more as a unit.
Starting point is 00:07:13 Yes. Isn't that funny? Okay. Like the less intelligent that mob is, the more in constant they asked. Yeah. The more monolithic that is an intent. that's crazy. Right, and that
Starting point is 00:07:25 is in some sense gets back to this question of evolution because in evolution you call these major evolutionary transitions. So you go from a single cell like a prokaryotic cell like a bacteria, bacterial mat kind of a collective, a single
Starting point is 00:07:41 eukaryotic cell to a multi-cell to a tissue to an organism. So that is the story. In every case it's not clear whether the aggregate is somehow more restrictive less intelligent than the parts. So if we're talking about our own evolution here,
Starting point is 00:07:59 whether it comes to our human intelligence, was the turning point when we get complicated language? Or was it something else? Well. Let me prepend that. Because you're saying, well, we have language and other animals don't, or do they not have language?
Starting point is 00:08:17 I mean, so let's broaden that question to when organisms, communicate complex information. Do we call it language when a bee communicates to another bee in a hive where to go or where to move the camp? And on the limit that we would think of as a limit as our complex language,
Starting point is 00:08:42 do you distinguish as an Evo bioperson, not evil bio, but Evo? Evo bio person, do you distinguish dolphins squeaking at each other from humans squeaking at each other or not. Yeah, it's a difficult one. So I think the jury is out. But one quite useful distinction I quite like.
Starting point is 00:09:05 So in the biology community, people talk about signaling and communicating as being somewhat distinct from language. Sure. And so I guess with human language, Alexander von Humboldt had a nice phrase that I like here. Tell us briefly about him. So he was a great 18th century naturalist.
Starting point is 00:09:23 kind of invented ecology as we know it, was a great explorer, took extensive measurements, worked on weather systems. And it was German French? German. German, German. And actually my friend Andrea Wolfe wrote his biography, the invention of nature, a beautiful book.
Starting point is 00:09:37 I would plug for the book. And if I remember, I think I own some of his books. Didn't he write about... Cosmos. What's it? He wrote a whole series of books called Cosmos. Yes, and I think one of his books tries to connect our understanding of science
Starting point is 00:09:51 to make a better society. I mean, I think he was a civic scientist as part of his intellectual efforts. Oh, he'd be so happy if he saw us today. I know. Well, but that's an interesting point. I mean, that romantic movement where they were all, in some sense, entangled with each other. You didn't get to just be a scientist or a good citizen. You should be both.
Starting point is 00:10:12 Entangled in a good way. In a good way. So tell us more. I'm sorry, I interrupted you. So, yeah, so he has this phrase where he says, human language is making infinite use of finite means. And what he meant by that is if you have a grammar, like a rule system, you can construct almost any thought out of it.
Starting point is 00:10:31 Absolutely. And that flexibility that you get with language is not as evident in simple signaling systems, like chemical ones or even gestural ones, actually. I like that. And how about, now we know whales have a certain type of language. they don't we don't know how extensive it is but humpbacks call for help when killer whales or orcas are around and the other whales respond so clearly they call for backup they call for backup you know and they'll even attack the orcas when they're going after seals they're not just
Starting point is 00:11:09 going after the other whales um so that's language howler monkeys warn each other about jaguars who are in the forest. Just to be clear, Jaguars, if memory serves, can climb trees in ways that lions cannot. So a monkey is not entirely safe in a tree. And that's exactly why they want each other. Right.
Starting point is 00:11:30 So what I'm saying is, that can be considered signaling, but it can also be considered language. Well, okay, so, all right. Go ahead. Yeah, so people, so there's an American philosopher, Charles Perce, and he made a distinction, so I'm going to get into the signal thing.
Starting point is 00:11:44 Okay. And he made a distinction between what he called. called an index, an icon, and a symbol. So the point is this. So vervet monkeys, Chene and Safarth famously worked on these different signals. Birds. So if you say falcon, or they emit a sound, they crouch down, so there's a correlated behavior, right? And if there's a kind of terrestrial predator, it will kind of tree and so on.
Starting point is 00:12:07 So they have those, and in the kind of signaling literature, that would be described as an index. There's a kind of mapping one-to-one. That sound always means, watch out. There's an aerial predator. Now with humans... Pavlov knew all about this. Absolutely. So you could say that's how it's acquired maybe,
Starting point is 00:12:27 or innate and so on. It doesn't even have to... It can be just a sound, like the bell. It could have a sound. Now, in the human case, you can substitute any sound for any appropriate response of almost arbitrary complication.
Starting point is 00:12:43 Correct. And that's something you learn in your lifetime. And I think that, so it's not that they don't have something that's embryonic of our ability, but what we do is quite extraordinary. Oh, yeah. I didn't think of it that way, but you're absolutely right. Because now I'm thinking about in all the movies they're like, and here's the signal. Cuckoo! Right, and that means take out your math textbook.
Starting point is 00:13:03 So yeah. Okay, all right, well, that's very good. Mm, Quasars. The word is a pseudo-acronym. for quasi-stellar radio source. What's a quasar? These are objects that are among the most distant things known in the universe. How do we know about them at all?
Starting point is 00:13:37 Because they're really, really luminous. Some of them as luminous as 500 trillion suns. That's why we can see them to the edge of the universe. If you like that fact, you can find 4,99 more in Lost in Space. 5,000 facts to help navigate the universe. Lost in Space is now available wherever you get your books. Does the expression of complex language predate the development of what we think of as our intelligence, or did it follow it?
Starting point is 00:14:32 Good question. Oh, wow. Good question. Why don't you have answers to it? Why do we invite you on this? I don't know. To humiliate me. I don't want you to hear that.
Starting point is 00:14:41 I just had a good question. I want you to say, I have an answer to that. Yeah, I don't, these don't you know, the reality is you know this. They don't have final conclusive answers. They're not even close. But I would say that, okay, so I'm going to define it. I think I did last time I was talking to you guys. So intelligence for me is making hard problems easy.
Starting point is 00:14:59 Okay, that's basically it. Across the animal species, every species, even plants. So, you know, finding an efficient way of solving a problem, not an inner. efficient way of sort of. We get to AI in a minute, which is all about inefficient solutions to problems, but that's something else. So I think that's everywhere. All life forms find elegant ways of solving problems in their world. Now the question is, what does language add above and beyond an innate repertoire or even a simple Pavlovian association? And I think the possibility for almost arbitrarily complex behaviors, which don't necessarily produce intelligent behavior. They could produce warfare and so forth. and strife. But that's the thing that we do. And I think it somewhat decoubels from the question of intelligence, right?
Starting point is 00:15:43 It creates great intelligence, but it also creates great stupidity. All right. How are we distinguishing between intelligence and consciousness? Wow. Yeah, so... We're just barely getting intelligent here.
Starting point is 00:15:57 I could throw consciousness right on top of it. I actually think consciousness easier than intelligence. Because... Easier. And I read some of your work and you cite the fact that mathematicians will tell you
Starting point is 00:16:06 their unconscious mind, subconscious unconscious, will solve the math problem, but not your conscious mind. Interesting. So between intelligence and consciousness, how are we distinguishing it? So, okay, I want to say two things. You're talking about the old edge, sleep on it. Yes, sleep on it. Exactly, sleep on it.
Starting point is 00:16:24 The cuckoolea problem, exactly that. So let me do a bit of both here. I'm not sure the best way to do it. So on the consciousness side, I quite like this way of defining it and Neil Seth who's unconsciousness does. He'll say intelligence is about problem solving and consciousness is about being and feeling.
Starting point is 00:16:43 So I consider consciousness very primordial, right? In other words, any organism that lives in an environment that it has to sense and maintain its integrity in some way, it could be a single-celled organism, it could be a cat, right? It could be a whale. They all manifesting consciousness. It's about feeling and the sense of self that's required to survive, right?
Starting point is 00:17:04 If you didn't have a sense of self, it's like, oh my God, my foot's gone, doesn't matter. right, it sort of matters. An intelligence is about problem solving. Okay, now, so that's the first point. Now, unconsciousness that we were talking about is very interesting, right, which is, for most of our evolutionary history,
Starting point is 00:17:18 we didn't have language. And so somehow we were having to solve problems in the world as every other animal does without that kind of declarative self-awareness. And so in that sense, there's more, if you like, neural resources available to solve problems unconsciously
Starting point is 00:17:34 than in that tiny, little thin layer of self. that we call the frontal cortex, that we associate with conscious deliberation. Just because early on we didn't have a language doesn't mean the thoughts were subconscious. Well, that's also an interesting question, right? So for most people... Would you stop telling me I have interesting questions?
Starting point is 00:17:50 Well, you do, man. And so this is the thing where a lot of people would associate self-consciousness with deliberation, which seems to depend on the possession of language. Yes. Yes. But that's only because... we have the language that we have, okay?
Starting point is 00:18:10 Because we don't know if a lion is deliberating, you know, or if other apes that were a part of that family, if they actually look up and go, damn, you know, if I didn't want to throw my poop right now, that'd be a very beautiful thing to look at. We don't know that. You don't know. But the fact that we have this inner dialogue
Starting point is 00:18:34 is the reason why we believe that we are, are, I think therefore I am. That, you know. Right, because we've all seen Animal Kingdom videos where two animals, typically the same species, there's a standoff and they sort of pace back and forth. You know something's going on in the head. Something has to be going on. Something is like, should I do this?
Starting point is 00:18:52 Right. Would I make it out of this alive? You don't want none of this. Don't make me. You don't want none of this. You're not built like that, son. Don't make me put my foot up your ass. Exactly.
Starting point is 00:19:04 You can't tell me nothing's going on in there. I wouldn't say that for a second. I think that, so the question of intelligence, I can, as I said at the beginning, is ubiquitous and degrees of it and high degrees of it in the non-human world. But there's an interesting fact, right, which is that there is a tighter coupling
Starting point is 00:19:21 between signaling and behavior in non-humans and humans. You could watch humans all day long in a library and have no idea what they're doing or deliberating about. And the examples you gave in animal behavior, there are clues in terms of how they're manifesting their intelligence in their behavior. Language is this weird thing that is kind of almost decoupling us from our immediate space-time context. That bit is the bit that feels, and it might not be somewhat unique to our species.
Starting point is 00:19:54 No, and it might not be, but you're absolutely right. And earlier offline, David and I were talking about comedians and how improvisation is this very unique thing that they do. And I mentioned to him that when I'm on stage and I'm improvising, the thing that's weird is I can almost feel my brain being semi-conscious. There's like a part of my brain that takes over that moment, and I'm not actually thinking. Have you seen a doctor? I know.
Starting point is 00:20:30 And most people right now are listening like, Chuck, are you ever actually thinking? Is that intuition? Does that become an intuition? Well, no, it's funny because the way I look at it is people say that you have a subconscious mind or an unconscious mind. And what I feel when I'm in that moment is that that part of my being, my subconscious, is accessible to me. So that it's kind of a slight overlap in the Venn diagram of my consciousness and unconsciousness, where my executive function is able to dip into the subconscious and pull something out.
Starting point is 00:21:11 That's the way I describe. And I think that's the, I mean, there's an interesting point that's not talked about enough, this distinction between, if you break intelligence down a little bit into skill and expertise. So expertise, the essence of it, is practice that gives rise to automaticity,
Starting point is 00:21:27 that you don't have to think about it. If you're a great athlete, right, we're talking about that, you're taking a shot. The last thing you want to do is think about it. because you're not going to make it. And exactly the same thing. You're not going to take the shot. It's exactly the same with math.
Starting point is 00:21:39 You're learning mathematics. Get it out of your head. Exactly. So there is this very thing that happens. It looks as if you need language, that early deliberative process. Yeah. And then you practice out of the language.
Starting point is 00:21:51 And then you're returning to a state that's not even linguistic. Right. So it's almost pure program, pure reflex. So you have to do it via language. So we learn mathematics, like we learn sport. Right. You practice it enough. You're not thinking about.
Starting point is 00:22:04 oh my God, how do I integrate that function? You just do it. And I think expertise is in fact, paradoxically, not thinking. Yes. Right, because you've built the muscle memories. Right. Or the conceptual memories. Yeah. Right. So you're not consciously thinking when you're in that zone.
Starting point is 00:22:20 Your subconscious is feeding you in the moment. Right. Without forethought, it's happening in the moment. Right. Yeah. So our conscious mind has access to our senses. Mm-hmm. All the whole sensorial palate.
Starting point is 00:22:32 And it's a survival. But our subconscious, our unconscious mind, does that have access to the senses? And then doesn't want anything to do with our survival. It's got another executive sort of mission statement. Because, you know, when you're dreaming, you're not really responsive to touch. I mean, nobody, you know, it's, you're disconnected. You can play music. The dream is in its own space.
Starting point is 00:22:56 It's almost like it's making its own sensory world. So actually my colleague, the novelist, called Matt McCarthy, he wrote this beautiful essay called the Kakule Problem and made the discovery of the structure of the benzene ring and that was kind of a dreamt solution So the snake eats its tail
Starting point is 00:23:12 and Kormack's point was very interesting he said the unconscious mind evolved long before language emerged because other animals presumably have an unconscious too and it doesn't want to communicate to us in language so it communicates with us visually so for example the auroboros
Starting point is 00:23:32 a snake that eats his own tail. And so Kekulay wakes up and he says, wait a minute, what's going on? What are you trying to tell me? Why can't you just tell me? And the unconscious, I don't do language, you moron. Right? I do symbols.
Starting point is 00:23:43 I do visual intuition. Yes. And then he imposes on it the language of modern chemistry through language. Wow. Why are we programmed to absorb information that way in a better way?
Starting point is 00:23:55 Because that's the problem solving aspect. Obviously, if we're asleep, there's no noise. The brain is quiet. Well, you value judging it saying it's better. I would say it's different. And as an educator, educators know, some people are visual learners. Some are wrote learners. So what you just said, it cracks this nut of human cognition for me.
Starting point is 00:24:17 Because, like, for example, when I'm speaking, typically, I use my hands. And not just in an Italian way where you put emphasis like this. I will gesture an image of what I'm also saying. I'll say Earth is going around the sun so that there's another way it's entering their mind. And I find it to be much more potent that way, accessing both parts of that brain. Yeah, we're totally multimodal.
Starting point is 00:24:47 I mean, exactly as you say. I mean, it's visual, olfactory and linguistic. They all buttress one another, right, and consolidate. But this question of, I mean, the argument would be that what we're calling for at the present moment, the unconscious, whatever that means, these words are all a little bit fluid,
Starting point is 00:25:06 is older, so to the evolutionary question, been around for much longer. Ancient animal brain, don't you? It is, it is exactly that. So animals are calculating trajectories using rules of thumb heuristics all the time. We then give it this additional gloss. But a lot of the calculation,
Starting point is 00:25:23 and this has been written about endlessly by mathematicians reflecting on how they solve problems, They're not necessarily solving the problems deductively symbolically. They go to sleep, dream clues to the solution to the problem, and then wake up and impose on top of it this secondary armature of language, which is useful because you can communicate it. How could I communicate you?
Starting point is 00:25:44 Well, I dreamt of this snail that's sort of eating a leopard, and you'd say to me, I don't know what you're talking about. So the symbolic thing doesn't naturally lend itself to communication and the way the language does. Okay. However, for the longest time, we did communicate. in symbols written form. So before we had alphabets, which everybody does now,
Starting point is 00:26:05 which some of the alphabets of the world right now, are pictograms. They're not actual left of Chinese. Right? So, you know, for the longest time, we drew pictures to communicate our thoughts. And once we figured out words, that's where we are now. But getting back to your point of the source of where an insight might come,
Starting point is 00:26:26 There's the famous discussion of the mathematician Ramanujan, is that if I remember his name correctly, who he was Hindu. And he would say the solution just came to him. And it was, you know, Vishnu or Krishna putting the solution on his tongue to be shared with others. Well, he was wrong. It was Jesus. Jesus. You're only encouraging, I mean. So in what way does one's cultural bias influence what they think is the operating force on their thoughts? That's a very, you know, that's a very difficult question to answer, right?
Starting point is 00:27:09 Because presumably, I would guess that the underlying unconscious process is quite universal. And then the secondary form it takes, when we can. On this show, I think when he says universal, he means earthwide. I mean, yeah, I do. I mean global. I mean global. I mean global. Yeah, terrestrial.
Starting point is 00:27:32 For all life. For all human life. Human. Earth life. Earth life. And this secondary cultural layer that we impose, whether we call it, you know, Jesus or Vishnu or what have you, or the Buddha, that's where the variability probably exists.
Starting point is 00:27:45 But I would guess that the underlying dream state or unconscious solution is pretty quite universal. So let me get back to that dream state. Do we know the title of the short story that became Blade Runner? Do Android's dream of electric sheep? Do Android's dream of electric sheep? There you go. Now somebody was high.
Starting point is 00:28:06 Well, he was. He was. Philip K. Dick was always high. Oh, awesome. Philip K. Dick. I love it. So that gets us to the question, will AI never be us because AI doesn't dream? and will solutions available from our dream state
Starting point is 00:28:25 never be available to AI? So there's a few things to say about this, right? I hope more than a few. There are many things to say about this. So we started with the evolution story, and I made the claim, right, that sentience or consciousness or sensation was primordial, that all beings have it.
Starting point is 00:28:47 That is definitely not true of NLM. Okay. So, point one. The large language model. The large language model, right? It has a completely different path towards its intelligence, if you like. Secondly, it immediately starts with language. It doesn't have an unconscious. There is no unconscious.
Starting point is 00:29:03 Right. So it's just got a linguistic foundation right at the beginning. Thirdly, it's a collective linguistic. And it's not an individual language learner. It's every book ever written. That's right. So there are some really fundamental differences. Including 14 of my books that are now in a class action suit.
Starting point is 00:29:19 Just thought I would tell you that. Absolutely, right. So these are important differences. So start with the last thing that we got, right, which is language, and ignore what every other organism has, which is this, if you like, homeostatic, sentient form of existence pre-language. Right. Wait, wait, wait, so where are you taking us with that?
Starting point is 00:29:44 So, okay, so get to just say that and not take me somewhere. Okay, so this, now this lead. It opens this whole debate about what we mean by an LLM, a large language model, an AI being intelligent without being alive. And I'm asking you, do they dream? They definitely don't dream. Definitely don't dream. So does that limit where it can take us relative to where we can go ourselves? Okay.
Starting point is 00:30:11 So we were talking about this before. I mean, you should repeat that earlier offline. That point you made, because I think it's an interesting one about what you can do. with language. So offline when David and I were talking, I said that with language, I can explain anything to you, no matter what it is, that if I can find the right words, and you know those words, right? It doesn't make a difference. What it is that I'm trying to convey to you, I can do it. And that is extremely powerful. And then you said what? Yeah, so we were talking about the recent thing in the last week that everyone's talking about,
Starting point is 00:30:51 which is LLM solving a mathematics problem, the singularities of the Navy of Stokes equations, this kind of stuff, right? This dynamics of fluids. And there was this long last, you know, an outstanding question with a prize behind it about some properties of these equations, which is do they blow up and so on,
Starting point is 00:31:12 do they have singularities in them. And so out comes in LLM recently, and at considerable expense, I mean, tens of millions of dollars, thousands of agents, it finds a solution. But it's doing it by being fed text. Not geometry. It doesn't have a visual apparatus.
Starting point is 00:31:33 So what does that mean that we can solve math problems by only being trained on language, and that's what we were talking about. And I think what we've discovered, the interesting thing about purely linguistic intelligence, if you like, an LLM, is that you can solve almost any problem with it,
Starting point is 00:31:49 but you solve it very inefficiently. Right. And then you gave the example of eating soup, which I thought was brilliant. Well, yeah, you could eat a bowl of soup with a fork. You could. Slowly. There you go.
Starting point is 00:32:04 Enough time, enough energy. You can solve math problem with language. Enough time, enough energy. And human intelligence is based on a tough world where you don't have enough time and you don't have enough energy. That's why we invented all these other languages to solve problems. It's a very important distinction.
Starting point is 00:32:22 Plus, we have a billion years testing ground to make it happen efficiently. Exactly. Because if we only got smart doing LLMs, we would have burnt our energy load hundreds of thousands of years ago. We would have never gotten to where we are. Yeah, we have a lot of knowledge sitting in the dark. But that's...
Starting point is 00:32:44 But that's an important point about why I don't like calling them intelligence, because they're very capable. They can solve problems. But for human beings, you don't call someone intelligent just because they're capable. If I said, you know, Gary, could you pass me that glass of water and you got him, ran around the room 20 times and then gave it to me? We'd all say, that's kind of weird. What's Gary doing?
Starting point is 00:33:09 What's his problem? He achieved the, solve the problem, right? gave me the water. Yeah, at the end, you got the water. And I think a lot of what they're doing now is getting up and running around the room 20 times. And people are calling it intelligence because it solves the benchmark.
Starting point is 00:33:24 Just call it Gary. No, just call it capability. So that could implode because it could exceed our capacity to deliver the energy it needs to solve that problem. Exactly. So there could be an upper limit,
Starting point is 00:33:37 a functional upper limit, short of tapping the sun directly like we tap a camera. Keg. But see, if we were truly intelligent, if we were truly intelligent, then we would use this as a motivation to create that energy. No, I got a better answer. Go ahead.
Starting point is 00:33:56 If the AI were truly intelligent, it would figure out how to do it without less energy. Less energy. There it is. No, you're right. That's it. I got a mic drop there. What happened to my plastic mic? What happened?
Starting point is 00:34:09 You dropped it. Okay. Wait, and mic drop. There you go. By the way, do you just carry around on microphone? No, I just have stuff in arms reach in my office. You discuss things called complementary and competitive, cognitive artefacts. There's way too many syllables.
Starting point is 00:34:29 I didn't invent my fault. And where does AI sit in which column? Cognitive and... No, complementary and competitive, cognitive artifacts. As two separate. Yes. Yeah. Got it.
Starting point is 00:34:43 So take us there. Okay, so this goes back. In fact, to a French philosopher, Henry Bergson, who debated relativity with Einstein, as you know, right in the 20s. But in 1907, he writes this book, Creative Evolution, right? And he says, we shouldn't be called homo sapiens, wise humans, right? Which came from Linnaeus.
Starting point is 00:35:03 We should be called homo faber, humans that make things, humans that make tools. And Bergson's whole theory was what makes humans different to the extent that we are, is we not only make tools, but we make tools to make tools. True. Right? So that has been somewhat neglected in this discussion of intelligence, right?
Starting point is 00:35:24 Because in some sense, you can't really think of human intelligence without thinking about painting, symbols, writing, various kinds of calculating tools and artifacts. So that's the background, and that has its own development. A quick question. Yes, we have a pulsable thumb. yes, we make tools. Why should that alone distinguish anything
Starting point is 00:35:47 when we don't know if whales had opposable thumbs would they be making tools themselves? They just can't. But we do know that if we did not have opposable thumbs, we would make opposable thumbs so that we could make other stuff. I'm just saying,
Starting point is 00:36:08 are we in the week? Just because they don't, doesn't mean they wouldn't, if they could. That's true. I mean... That's a good sense. And there's a lot of debate about this.
Starting point is 00:36:17 I mean, there was a lot of early discussion I remember on language, which is whether or not the reason why other primates don't speak is there's some anatomical constraint. And if that wasn't in place, perhaps they would have evolved language. Oh, the position of the larynx. That sort of debate. Exactly. It evolved to be in a lower position.
Starting point is 00:36:34 Exactly. So breathing. It was a genetic mutation, basically, that enabled this. That's nature. So that's where it begins, right? This idea that, So I got very interested in that idea. And there's archaeologist, French archaeologist, André Goulin.
Starting point is 00:36:50 And he said, what are tools about? And he said there are, it's an additional memory system is what he said. He said we've got genetic memory stored in our genomes. You've got learnt memory stored in our brains. And you've got cultural memory stored in language, art, stuff. And so he actually argued, he went further than Bergson. He said, to be and... to be anthropogenic
Starting point is 00:37:13 is to be technogenic. He views them as indissoluble. Look at that. That somehow technology and humanity are kind of wrapped together in some way. So that's where I jump off with this kind of mathematical theory of tools.
Starting point is 00:37:30 And the basic idea is that there are tools which I call complementary things that enhance our ability to reason like a map. We talked about it a lot. I think you might even have an abacus in here. Yes, there is an abacus.
Starting point is 00:37:45 Yeah, around somewhere. Okay, but that's a good example of what I call complementary. And it helps you reason. If you don't have it, as we know from studies of abacus schools, these kids can then do that calculation. Don't even need it. That's right. Don't even need it.
Starting point is 00:38:01 It's in their head. So this is the key point. The abacus is a scaffolding for thinking better. Look at that. Right? So now in the competitive case, these are tools that don't scaffold anything, they replace it. So take a GPS versus a map.
Starting point is 00:38:16 Interesting. So the idea is so you can develop this kind of theory. Oh, no. And it says that if you outsource completely, you lose the ability to reason. We're becoming dumber and dumber. The smarter we become. The smarter we become, the more stupid we become. Yeah, because we're replacing the accrued knowledge.
Starting point is 00:38:34 Oh, no. Wait, wait, wait, wait, wait, pause, pose. What? I have to restate what you said just so I believe I understand it. In the case of the abacus, the abacus is a means to calculate, and this becomes autonomic within me, and then I do it, but the act of doing it is implicitly in reference to the abacus that trained me. Now, also, we have at least two or three generations of people still on Earth
Starting point is 00:39:06 who know how to read maps, and they can translate what's on a map to where they are in the world. There are no maps anymore. It's just GPS barking at you. Turn left, turn right. So up ahead on the right. And you're saying, we are handicapping a generation of people
Starting point is 00:39:26 who do not know how to read maps, even how to orient a map, or what the legend is on a map. They have no idea. But why is that a bad thing? Okay, so it's interesting. So we've got... Did I get it right?
Starting point is 00:39:39 Exactly, right. Okay, okay. So we need more vocabulary here than just intelligence, right? So we have, let's just introduce some terms. One is capability. So using a GPS or using a map, both make you capable. They both help you to navigate. No problem.
Starting point is 00:39:55 So benchmarks on AI are testing capability. They can do it. They can calculate. They can solve problems. They can navigate. Good, right? So that's capability. Then there's competence.
Starting point is 00:40:07 Different. Competence is, okay, give me the GPS. Yes. Now navigate. And that reveals dependence. And so what we're doing is we're moving into a world to when you say, does it matter? As long as you always have it. Yes. And you're not interested in competence, but only capability. Oh.
Starting point is 00:40:27 Right. And the problem is that gives you wise to a world of total dependence on the provider of your capability. Correct. And that provider, who will not be named in this conversation, because we know who they are, don't necessarily have our best interests in mind. Absolutely. So I went through this intellectually some years ago. I'm old enough to have, I think I'm older than you,
Starting point is 00:40:49 to be formally trained, formally trained on a slide rule. Okay? It must have been the last year that happened because between that year and the next, the four-function calculator dropped in price from $200 to $40. So it became the price of like a textbook. And so thenceforth, they stopped teaching you the slide rule.
Starting point is 00:41:12 And I got a slide rule here too. This was my high school slide rule. All right. Now, there's a lot of sort of mathematical insights into the design of a slide rule. And you learn about logarithms implicitly. And then this is made a plastic. But earlier, I have a vintage model. you know, this, they used to make these out of elephant tusk.
Starting point is 00:41:39 And I think this is just wood. But anyhow, in my high school, you had a holster with your... And the bigger the slide rule, the more precise you can be in your measurements. So we'd be walking down the... This math class ain't big enough for the two of us. But here's my point. My intellectual challenge was if I never see a slide rule again
Starting point is 00:42:06 because a calculator renders it obsolete, what am I missing? And I said to myself, if I'm always near a calculator, you're missing nothing. I'm missing nothing. And let me move on to some other thing that requires my intellect to solve.
Starting point is 00:42:24 So that was my coming of age to embrace a calculator and release the slide rule to the dustman of history. So yeah, In fact, when Hewlett-Pack had made their first affordable calculator, all of the slide rule companies went out of business. The same year, 1973.
Starting point is 00:42:44 Yeah, right, that's when that's it. That's it. So there is something missing, though. So, right, so one possibility, it's a bit like vitamins, like vitamin C. You might say, you know what? I can't synthesize it myself, but it'll always be in the environment until you sail and get scurvy. So one possibility is we do find ourselves in a case or a situation where we don't have access to the technology and then we're useless because we've outsourced it all.
Starting point is 00:43:10 Apocalyptic Earth. Well, just dumbass earth. No, you know, a power cut. A power cut. It doesn't take much. But the other one that's interesting is that the intuition that you built, which relates exponentials to multiplication and what the slide rule does, that kind of interesting, that came out of using that, is useful beyond that solving that particular problem in arithmetic.
Starting point is 00:43:37 And that's where it becomes deep for us, because we don't know whether or not some of these things that we're learning by using these analog devices doesn't somehow diffuse into everything else we think about and develop a stronger intuition. And that's beyond losing the capability because there's a power cut. So, okay, let's throw this forward. How many generations, if just one generation, will it take
Starting point is 00:44:01 if we outsource all of these sort of capabilities to an AI for us to be as dumb as a rock. Yeah. So in the... That's a depressing question. So I can tell you that in the mathematics, there's a key distinction to be made. And that is that if you learn first,
Starting point is 00:44:21 let's just do it hypothetically, the slide rule, and then move to the calculator, your memory kind of helps you out. Yes. So if you take it away, you still have, in some sense, some intuition for how that works. But if you began with the calculator, that is, you never learned the logic behind the calculation, then you're lost.
Starting point is 00:44:42 And I think what we're entering now is a world where all of these kinds of things are being outsourced. And you'll never acquire the... Here's what I found. I'm sorry, I was just going to say, it sounds to me like what you're saying is these analog devices are mapping onto our brain. That's what they are doing. Whereas the other devices are replacing the brain and creating dependency. Because just not to get inside baseball here, but a slide rule implicitly trains you to think about what's called significant figures in a calculation.
Starting point is 00:45:18 I think about that all the time, deal. I'm just saying. Significant figure. So you do this and there's only certain number of figures you carry with. into the next calculation. Is it 3.6784 or 3.68? Okay? Because you can't carry that many decimals forward by this device.
Starting point is 00:45:44 But it tells you that often those other decimals are not relevant to the major point of the calculation you're conducting. I saw someone do a calculation on the slide rule, and they somehow believed that all the digits that were returned on the calculator were important and wrote down every single digit without having a clue how irrelevant they were. And so that was just ignorance. It is. This idea, I think, I don't know if it was Bertrand Russell who said, so approximation is the supreme sophistication.
Starting point is 00:46:17 Learning when something matters and when it doesn't. Yes. When these decimal places, when you can think about powers of 10 or approximation is a part of our intelligence. In graduate school, we have a recurring, it's like a seminar. it's called back of the envelope universe, right? You just ask a question. Blunt questions, like how many pianos are in the world?
Starting point is 00:46:40 Well, how would you estimate that? You say, well, how many have you seen? What have you been to? How many people? Are they making more? You don't have to know the exact number. But get an approximate number and know how to make approximations. If you don't know how to do that,
Starting point is 00:46:53 you're a victim of false precision in the world, distracted by what you think is real when in fact it's a distraction on your path to the truth. And this gets to a concept which I think is for humans as important as intelligence and that is the notion of intelligibility
Starting point is 00:47:13 not intelligence but intelligibility which is about understanding things. And that's the other point. If you're in the world of capability, prediction and utility are all that matters. In the human world, is about making the universe and the world intelligible. We want to understand it.
Starting point is 00:47:32 Different game. On that point, if we don't outsource the capabilities and we retain a large chunk of what intelligence we possibly do have. Wishful thinking. I know. Are we going to, at some point, solve the problems, the big problems, the universe, why, how, what? Are we going to get there, or are we just going to be clutching at thin air?
Starting point is 00:47:54 Or thin space? fully outsource, you mean? If we fully outsource? Yeah. But if we retain, if we have an outsource completely, and if we retain some intelligence, do you think we're capable enough? Because you have said human intelligence
Starting point is 00:48:05 potentially unlimited. Yeah, what do you mean by that? Okay. Yeah. So, well, this gets back to Bergson and the others on tool use. So humans are always hitting limits. Yeah. I mean, Neil just talked about the slide rule.
Starting point is 00:48:20 You can't do that with your fingers. No. Okay. And this gets to why we use tools. There are things we can't do. We build them. We understand how they work, and they solve problems
Starting point is 00:48:28 that we couldn't, in some raw state, to solve. So, in that sense, an LLM and AI, is just a tool like any other. And it's important to understand what kind of tool it is,
Starting point is 00:48:38 because this tool is a tool that needs tons of data. Most of our tools don't. Good point. I don't have to feed the slide rule to get my answer, correct?
Starting point is 00:48:50 A little bit. And they're very good, and we can unpack this, doing high dimensional problems where lots of variables matter so think about protein folding it turns out protein folding lots of variables matter
Starting point is 00:49:02 and so doing the molecular dynamics the full computation modeling yeah it's just too computationally expensive and so LLM's come along these models actually they're not LLMs, they're different kinds
Starting point is 00:49:16 of networks, deep neural networks and they're good at doing high dimensional problems and so they help us so they do protein folding And a lot of problems are going to turn out to require high dimensional representation. Lots of variables matter.
Starting point is 00:49:29 And they're going to help us solve the problem. Just to be clear, so everyone's on the same page. When you solve a problem, the number of variables can be thought of as a dimension, how many dimensions need to be accessed to get the solution. And multivariate problems require vastly more computing power. However, is that really intelligent? or just brute force?
Starting point is 00:49:55 Yeah, so tell me the difference between the AI solution to the protein folding. Previously, we had really powerful computers, give them the protein folding problem. What did the AI deep learning neural nets, what was that able to accomplish that just sheer computing power wasn't prior? So there's two factors here.
Starting point is 00:50:20 One is, and I'm going to go a bit, nerdy on you guys. Bring it on. We like it. This is a nerd safe space. Okay, this is, okay, I'm going to say it. Is that when you do these full physics simulations of a protein to get it
Starting point is 00:50:33 to fold, so you're looking at all the bonds formed between all the atoms. This has something called a scaling relation, which is that the amount of computation increases non-linearly. It goes up quadratically. So double the size more than doubles the amount of computational
Starting point is 00:50:49 effort. Okay. Now it turns out, because of architectural feature of these AI models, when you increase the scale of a problem, it scales linearly. Oh. It has a much more efficient scaling property, this architecture. So things that would not have been computationally feasible with the full physics become feasible with the deep neural net. That's a very important point. Well, that answers it right there. And that's basically the answer. That's alpha-fold three. These are alpha-fold. The deficit company, we've had a couple of guys from there.
Starting point is 00:51:24 Yeah, they were on the shelf. Now, the other factor, though, is not just the scaling, which is a slightly more subtle, is that you can feed all sorts of different data into these models. So in the physics simulation, it's just the physics. But in the folding,
Starting point is 00:51:39 it's not just the physics and chemistry, it's the evolutionary history. And so you can put all sorts of different data and drop it into these black boxes. And that's the second source of that advantage over physics. Wow. I'm Brian Futterman, and I support StarTalk on Patreon.
Starting point is 00:52:09 This is StarTalk with Neil deGrasse Tyson. Occasionally, I lose sleep on this very thought. Are humans intelligent enough, however you want to define it, to completely understand the universe with no stone left unturned? And if we're not in the individual, in the collective, might we be? I don't have to invent calculus because Isaac Newton did. I stand on his shoulders. And we just keep ascending this ladder incrementally.
Starting point is 00:52:48 Can we incrementally become super intelligent? Or is this the work of an AI that can train on itself and then just bullet past all of us to contemplate the cosmos? So I think we already know that we have limits. I think the protein folding case gives us that arm. that there was no theory. Well, that was a scale problem. It was a scale problem.
Starting point is 00:53:14 Not how deeper is you're thinking. But I would argue that all of our hardest problems are scale problems. And then let's give an example, because it relates to this concept of emergence, right? So we wouldn't have been able to do simulations of large numbers of particles unless we had fluid dynamics, right? So we found a way of making it more comprehensible. And we don't have to track every particle. Every particle. To say that more precisely, the laws of fluid dynamics allow us to not have to track every single molecule of the fluid.
Starting point is 00:53:46 We treat it in an ensemble, like the gas laws. The gas laws are blunt equations that describe pressure, temperature, volume of gas. We're not tracking what the particles are doing. In principle, if you did, you should get those formulas out. But we don't have to because we have the macroscopic description. So continue. Exactly. And most of human understanding, once we hit this barrier given by the lower level, in that case, particles, but you could be this case. It could be, I'm feeling unhappy, or I love you. This is a macroscopic description of a very large chemical system inside my body, right? And that's what we do every time. And we consider that understanding, a form of understanding, right? Now, it turns out there are problems like protein folding that we could. There was no metroscopic description.
Starting point is 00:54:39 We had to worry about all the molecular interactions. Oh. You see? And so this particular tool helped us to solve the problem where there wasn't an emergent theory that would solve the problem. Okay, so now this is AI being our agent in that quest. It's not AI running amok becoming a superintelligence on its own. No, that's right.
Starting point is 00:55:01 It's AI as a tool to deal with irreducibly high-dimensional, Which I'd like to think our future relationship with AI is precisely that in every way that best serves us, not one where it becomes our overlord. In recent decades, there's been a lot of discussion, especially in modern astrophysics, from information theory. Is there a limit to how much information is in the universe? Can we somehow create more than that? Does that information go away? because the entropy seems to be a clock
Starting point is 00:55:34 that we cannot stop where the universe approaches ever greater entropy in the future than it does in the present or in the past. Do any of your calculations touch on this? Yes. So two different ways. One is about the fundamental limits
Starting point is 00:55:50 to computation, what gets called the thermodynamics of computation and that takes us to quantum and all that. So right, there is a fundamental energetic limit. So that would be the quantum computer would be, in principle, the most efficient computer we can conceive. Exactly.
Starting point is 00:56:06 Whether or not we're there yet. Exactly. And then there's the other entropic limit, which is the cost of calculating with a classical von Neumann computer, the kind of computers that we all have are iPhones and so on. So we have these massive data centers. They're consuming megawatts of energy.
Starting point is 00:56:26 But gigawatt. Big gigawatt. They're boiling the plane. all to make your emails better. But it's okay because they're going to solve climate crisis. Eventually, this is fascinating, that's the whole thing in itself, right? Once they've melted the planet, they, for self-survival purposes, they're going to figure it out.
Starting point is 00:56:46 They're going to work out. It's not just being a co-pilot to your writing. So that's the other entropic problem. So again, I mean, a long story here. Maybe I want to, can I just give a little narrative here? I think it's useful history. one. You're a guest.
Starting point is 00:57:01 Okay. So trying to make sense of what is going on in the current moment in terms of these kind of energy-guzzling AIs. There's a useful comparison to the Industrial Revolution and to ecology. So most of the history of life is predator and prey. That is how energy got transferred. You ate something.
Starting point is 00:57:25 Okay. In parallel, in the Carboniferous period, and the Mesozoic period back there hundreds of millions of years ago, fossil deposits are being left in the earth, becoming coal seams, becoming petroleum and natural gas. And that energy is not accessible to us, just there. Then the Industrial Revolution happens. And we get steam engines, and they get more and more efficient.
Starting point is 00:57:51 And what steam engines do is they liberate all of this energy that was buried in the earth. Just to be precise, only when they discovered coal could do that. Exactly. Beautiful, clean coal. You can't beat it. Otherwise, you just burn wood. That's right.
Starting point is 00:58:09 Vastly less efficient. Yes, the energy packing capacity of wood versus coal is no contest. No context. I think the calculation is you could burn all of the standing forests of the world and provide enough energy for the current population for six months. Wow. That's pretty serious. That's it.
Starting point is 00:58:28 And by the way, before we knew about thermonuclear fusion, we said, well... It's a hoax. No. The sun, you know, the sun is, like, really efficient. And we knew there's a lot of carbon in the universe. It must be a lump of coal. It must be a big lump of coal. Because it was efficient, and it could go a long time.
Starting point is 00:58:46 That was our first calculations where maybe the sun is made of coal. Man, somebody should tell our president that right now, and maybe we'd get to renewable fuels. Continue, I interrupted. Yeah, so, right. So we discovered... super energy-dense, power-dense materials. Power means you could liberate it fast, like in a nuclear reaction.
Starting point is 00:59:04 Okay. So the world changed. It went from being networks of predators and prey. Highly constrained by interaction to all of a sudden this massive high-energy dense archive that we could access. Okay. That's the energy world.
Starting point is 00:59:20 So let's talk about the information world. Nearly all the information we have we get from talking like this. It's a bit like ecology. It's predators and pray, right? It's like, oh, I'm going to tell you a fat. You could read a book. Problem is with reading books.
Starting point is 00:59:32 You read, like, I don't know, maybe 250 words a minute. Over your lifetime, if you're lucky, you read a few thousand books. That's how it works. So what happens? So a thousand books. Let's use the number of thousand books. So just like in the Cambrian, right, or the Carboniferous, rather, and in the Mesozoic, where fossils were being deposited in the earth, we've been depositing tax in libraries.
Starting point is 00:59:54 starting in ancient Sumer all the way to the present. So we have now ordered hundreds of millions of books deposited. And it's mostly in the present. Mostly in the present. The rate of book publication has grown exponentially
Starting point is 01:00:09 over the decades. Yeah, okay. However, the knowledge also covers all of our past because we've discovered our past in the present and deposited that information in the depositories you're talking about.
Starting point is 01:00:22 Exactly, but here's the thing. So this is why the LLM is interesting. The LLM is like the steam engine. I see where you're going. Because what happened is... It's mining. It's mining, exactly. It's liberating that energy, which is our literature, which is our language, which is our thoughts and cultures and everything that we are, all in one depository.
Starting point is 01:00:45 That it can now go in the same way we went in and dug for coal, it can go in and get all of that very, very quickly and turn it into power. Exactly. Wow. Exactly. But this time, conceptual power. Right. Mechanical power.
Starting point is 01:01:00 Exactly. So there's this strict analogy between, if you like, the fossil deposit and as you say, the cultural deposit, the steam engine liberated the energy deposit. The transformer architecture liberated the conceptual deposit. Look at that.
Starting point is 01:01:14 Now, both of them produce what economists call euphemistically externalities. In other words, they pollute. Mm-hmm. So that's the problem with the Industrial Revolution. It produced its smogs, right? It generated a huge amount of entropy in the environment, just as these data centers and transformers
Starting point is 01:01:33 are producing a huge amount of entropy in the environment. Right. So there's this very interesting parallel. And wait a minute. And the culture. Look at that. They're creating entropy not only in the environment, but they're creating entropy in the culture itself.
Starting point is 01:01:48 Yes. Wow. Yes. So that's a really interesting point. In the conceptual space. Right. The disorder. is not just thermal,
Starting point is 01:01:57 it's knowledge-based. It's basically crap. No, it's misinformation. No, we call it AI flop. Yeah, look at that. So this is, there's a very weird thing going on here. Just to be clear, in the Industrial Revolution, not all coal or oil deposits were equally as refined.
Starting point is 01:02:14 Equally, I mean, different sources of oil in the world are not as good. It's not a uniform deposit. No, correct. No, you're absolutely. You have light sweet crude. You have tar sands. You have, yeah.
Starting point is 01:02:28 Go ahead. Now look what happened. So we created, so out of the Pennsylvania, out of these deposits, come all the big corporations of another era of out. BP, Shell. And the steel companies that use the coal. Exactly. So now what's happening? U.S. steel.
Starting point is 01:02:45 Well, we have our analogs. We have Anthropic. We have open AI. These are the mining companies of our time. Look at that. generating the kind of entropy that you were discussing. Now, what's weird here that is worth discussing is that coal is depleted, natural gas is depleted,
Starting point is 01:03:06 but in principle, knowledge is not. Right? But there's a difference, which is that we can foul that knowledge with the entropy in concept space. Right. That's your point. Now, you could have done that with coal deposits, but it would be difficult.
Starting point is 01:03:22 Yeah, and why would you? Right. But now, unfortunately, we can take this knowledge, synthesize it, and put back crap. Right. And that's a, so it's different and similar in rather interesting ways. Well, is the crap because it doesn't know how to do it, or is the crap because so much of what we do have in the library is just horseshit? I mean, just because it's a book doesn't mean it is correct or even contributes to the greater good of us all. and the LLM doesn't know that
Starting point is 01:03:55 because it's not trained at a university to be able to sift the wheat from the chaff. It just, they're just words statistically associated with other words and outcomes. It's a probabilistic aggregation. Oh, I like that. But the difference is
Starting point is 01:04:13 the crap that's in our libraries is an example to us of our journey and how we got to where we are. are. So they become guardrails so that these are the mistakes, the thoughts, the things that we know, that is horse crap. Whereas the LLM without, if we didn't know those things, it would give us that.
Starting point is 01:04:37 And we just say, oh, here we are. Wait, if I say, what should I do with a witch? It goes back and finds all the literature on what you do with witches. Witches. Or you should obviously burn them. Burn them. And this is how you burn them. Right.
Starting point is 01:04:49 Whereas when you go to the library, you find out, Oh, the witch trials were an attack on women. Tell me about context. Well, this is, I've been working on papers on mathematical ability in these machines based on this notion of the chronology of the development of the concept. So one really important difference between humans and these things is that we learn at school using a curriculum, right? You typically learn what a number is before you learn, like a natural number or an integer,
Starting point is 01:05:23 before you learn a fraction. And then you learn fractions typically before you learn pie, real numbers. And you learn that typically before you learn algebraic geometry or group theory or something more refined. So there is a sequence. It's understood we learn incrementally using a curriculum. These models learned everything all at once. There is no curriculum.
Starting point is 01:05:45 Another question is, what does that mean for how we do math and they do math? math. And it means lots of things for how we do math and they do math. And one of the things it means is this, which is that they basically find very complicated what we would call heuristics, rules of thumb, approximations actually, for solving problems that we solve exactly using algorithms. Let me make that explicit. So when I learned how to do long division, right, assuming as I did it right, I'd get the right answer, right? You have to learn how to do it right, but it's, always be right regardless of the scale. The current best models, LLMs, will not get it right
Starting point is 01:06:25 regardless of the scale, guaranteed. They'll get it wrong at large scale. They'll get long division wrong at large scale. If you have too many digits, because they're using heuristics, right? And so part of our training was to learn these rules piecewise through a curriculum. Their mode of learning is giving rise to a situation where, despite the fact they look great, at large scales, they're going to confabulate. Wow, look at that. And make wrong answers. And we're not going to be smart enough
Starting point is 01:06:55 because we've outsourced to them to know the difference. Well, this is what Jeffrey Hinden was saying, that they're overconfident. Yes. So they're expecting now us to just take that for granted as the answer. Yeah, I always loved Douglas Adams, like Hitchhaggers Guide's Guide to the Galaxy.
Starting point is 01:07:11 And they build this supercomputer and they ask you, what's the meaning of life, the universe and everything? So what's the answer? And the answer is 42. Yeah. And you think, what's that mean? What does that mean? We're now in a world where we could be told. That 42 is the answer.
Starting point is 01:07:26 And we wouldn't know what it meant. Right. Do you think the universe will allow a superintelligence to be created, to evolve, and therefore solve the mystery of the universe, and hopefully it's not 42? And that would presumably be an alien somewhere. Yeah. So we... So I have problems with the concept of super intelligence.
Starting point is 01:07:48 I would just say. If you buy my definition, which is making hard problems easy, it's not clear to me that the path we're on now is about making hard problems easy. I think it's about solving some hard problems, but doing it in a very convoluted way,
Starting point is 01:08:02 which I do not consider superintelligence. That's number one. In terms of... I'm subscribed to the idea of kind of universal Darwinism. Now, do mean universal. Granted. You need permission,
Starting point is 01:08:17 and I just gave them permission. and that in most life forms, however different they would be, would be living under conditions of scarcity. That's sort of prerequisite for evolution in the theory, actually, because to compete for scarce resources. And so, oddly enough, they will look more like us in their intelligence than they might look like LLMs. Now, it could be that that alien intelligence is all that's left
Starting point is 01:08:44 once those AIs have devoured the life forms that built them, in which case they will be more like LLMs. But I think it's an important point to note that under the conditions that evolution takes place, you want to be intelligent by having small amount of data and quite restricted experience of the world and making a decision relatively quickly so that it actually enhances your survival.
Starting point is 01:09:09 And not using megawatts of energy to come to the solution. So we can imagine a planet where the environment shifts with some frequency. Like, let's say you could program this so that you're always forcing an evolutionary change. The organism never stays happy. It finally settles in. You give it some assault.
Starting point is 01:09:35 Make sure you don't kill them all because that's what happens most of the time. But there's some portal that it can move through and start evolving. Is it inevitable that that will lead to what we call intelligence? Or just more appendages or more senses or more, does that give us the superintelligence that we're thinking, the biological superintelligence?
Starting point is 01:09:57 So the open question is why we didn't just stay bacterial. That worked pretty well. They outnumber us. It's still working. Still working. Still works. Still working. We're dependent on it.
Starting point is 01:10:09 Yeah. And the way to think about this is that there is a fundamental limit to how information can be acquired. by an evolutionary process. Because a mathematical theory tells us that you can only put one bit of information into a genome every generation. And as you get bigger,
Starting point is 01:10:29 you get more energetically efficient, but your generation time gets longer. So at large scales, it takes more and more time to get a bit by selection into the genome. Why? Because the way bits get put into life forms is through differential,
Starting point is 01:10:47 survival. Yes? So imagine you had to learn my name. But why is it only one bit? Why can it be a suite of bits? Yeah, because selection would get confused about which bit it put in. It would be confused about which bit was important for the survival in the next step. Got it.
Starting point is 01:11:03 So for it to know the difference, it has to be one in. So it's like a brick at a time. Brick at a time. It's a brick at a time. So when you're very small, like a microbe, a brick at a time can be fast. But as you get bigger and longer lived, that's slow. So what did we do? We evolve brains.
Starting point is 01:11:19 So brains can add bits more quickly than genomes can add bits. That's why we have brains. So there's two things going on. We get bigger to get more efficient energetically, but it makes us slower evolving, which makes us have to have brains to pull information from the world when the world changes. So there is a kind of underlying ratchet
Starting point is 01:11:42 towards what we would call higher complexity, and therefore towards greater intelligence. Wow. That's great, though, because that means out there somewhere is probably another intelligence along the same tract as we, but maybe there's a variable that they didn't encounter
Starting point is 01:12:02 that keeps them from killing each other, destroying cultures and enslaving one another and all of these stupid things that we do, and maybe they're just so much more advanced because they don't retard their own advancement. Although everything he said about a species moving through derives from, in most cases, competition. And that's limited resources.
Starting point is 01:12:30 What creates that other stuff that I was just... And that's our reptilian brain. God damn it! You were onto something for a little bit there. I'll tell my head something. No. Well, it does make it sound like there's some kind of plan. Plan?
Starting point is 01:12:50 Yeah, rather than it's just random occurrence. Plan? Some kind of. Well, there are trends. You could say there are trends in evolution. I mean, the question to your observation, Chuck, is, at this point where we could transcend the competitive basis of evolution by building AI, could we?
Starting point is 01:13:12 that's the way could we that's the pathway unfortunately it's not what we're doing yeah it's not what we're doing right man
Starting point is 01:13:23 man this is I tell you it's so much easier to tell dick jokes probably not it's probably not probably not what one last point
Starting point is 01:13:35 how long have you been at the Santa Fe Institute about 20 years oh that's a long time it is a big part of your career it is a big part it is my career And they're famous or infamous.
Starting point is 01:13:43 Yeah, famous. You didn't hear what I was about to say. For dangling people at the edge of what is known and exploring places that are just on the surface crazy sounding, but might be something profound. So that's still kind of an operating principle? Yeah, I think the history of science is risk, and then it got institutionalized.
Starting point is 01:14:10 Yeah. And it became a bureaucracy that was enforcing norms. And SFI wants to be heterodox. The Sanofi Institute. And that's a different environment. To be in a high-risk environment is a little bit going back to the time of early science. I was about to say, you're just taking aback to when science was found in the Wild West. And people were just like, hey, try this.
Starting point is 01:14:35 We should do this. Try this. Try this. Smell that. Smoke that. Right. Right, exactly. And so that sounds like it could be quite fertile
Starting point is 01:14:44 for people on the frontier with powerful imaginations for what could be true. Yeah, I mean, I think now, because of all these tools that are solving technical problems, what we have to cultivate is amazing question askers. That is what remains for humans, right? Because it's like you don't need to be good at arithmetic once you've got a calculator.
Starting point is 01:15:09 probably don't have to be good at calculus anymore, but you have to be able to ask good questions. And that environment is something different. So on that point, let's land this plane on a quote from a poem by the German poet Rainer Maria Rukke, I think I'm pronouncing it right. Okay. Here it goes. As quoted in my alien book, Take Me to Your Leader.
Starting point is 01:15:35 Be patient toward all that is unsolved. involved in your heart and try to love the questions themselves. That's a great quote. Yes. That's beautiful. And right after that, she said, be a vase of making your talk. You couldn't help.
Starting point is 01:15:58 Professor, thank you. Thank you so much. You had another tour of duty on StarTalk. Wonderful to be with you guys. Yeah, too much. Too much to think about. Now we've got to think about, I can't even, I'm out for two months now. How do we find you? Are you online?
Starting point is 01:16:16 Oh, you find me. You find me at the Santa Fe Institute. You can find me at David C.crackhour.com. There you go. Okay. Find me anywhere. Just keep up with you because we're doing fun, interesting things. Thank you. And I have a special appreciation for your evolutionary biology background
Starting point is 01:16:33 because I work here as an astrophysicist in a museum famous for its evolutionary biology. And so I have an extra little osmotic attachment to your... Thank you. It's wonderful being with you guys. Your people keep him working. Chuck. Always a pleasure. We're good here.
Starting point is 01:16:53 Gary? Pleasure, my friend. All right. This has been another installment of StarTalk Special Edition. And we're going to call this the intelligence installment. Are we or are we not? Until next time, keep looking up.

There aren't comments yet for this episode. Click on any sentence in the transcript to leave a comment.