Strict Scrutiny - SCOTUS Just Barely Preserves Birthright Citizenship
Episode Date: June 30, 2026In their second emergency episode in two days, Leah, Melissa, and Kate break down the Court’s final day of the term and folks, it’s a doozy. We’ve got America’s preeminent “father of daught...ers” Coach Brett Kavanaugh’s majority opinion allowing states to exclude trans women and girls from female sports teams, a massive blow to campaign finance law, and the survival of birthright citizenship by the skin of the 14th Amendment’s teeth. To top it all off, we got an Alito retirement fakeout courtesy of NPR.Get tickets for STRICT SCRUTINY LIVE on November 6th in Washington, DC: Crookedcon.comBuy Melissa’s book, The U.S. Constitution: A Comprehensive and Annotated Guide for the Modern ReaderBuy Leah’s book, Lawless, now out in paperbackFollow us on Instagram, Threads, and BlueskyFor a transcript of an episode of Strict Scrutiny please email transcripts@crooked.com
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Mr. Chief Justice, I please support.
It's an old joke, but when I argue, man argues, they're going to.
two beautiful ladies like this, they're going to have the last word.
She spoke not elegantly, but with unmistakable clarity.
She said, I ask no favor for my sex.
All I ask of our brethren is that they take their feet off our necks.
This is another emergency episode of strict scrutiny, your podcast about the emergency
that is the Supreme Court that came within one vote of rescinding the Constitution,
and our entire post-Civil War constitutional order.
With that intro, we're your host.
I'm Leah Littman.
I'm Kate Shaw.
And I'm Melissa Murray.
And let's start off with a top-line overview.
So this morning, the Supreme Court held five to four
that the United States Constitution exists.
I wrote a whole book about it, so can confirm.
Well, at least the Constitution exists sometimes
because this decision means that five people,
five fucking people on the Supreme Court,
decided that the proposition
that the Constitution says what it says is actually meaningful. That's it. Just five people, five to four.
We are literally doing constitutional law by a single vote, and we're doing it on literally the most
straightforward constitutional question ever. Recall back in January 2025 when one of the first
district judges, I'm probably going to say his name incorrectly, I think it's Judge Kuhnauer,
Reagan appointee out in Washington, had this to say about the president's birthright
order rescinding birthright citizenship for the children of undocumented immigrants and the children
of immigrants who are here on temporary statuses? Quote, where were the lawyers when this decision was
being made? I have difficulty understanding how a member of the bar could state unequivocally that this
is a constitutional order. It just boggles my mind. Where are the lawyers on the Supreme Court?
That's where some of those lawyers were, in fact, on the United States Supreme Court. And if we sound
really alarmed, this is incredibly alarming. It honestly, I don't think is an overstatement to say
the system is hanging by a thread, a wisp. Donald Trump came within a single vote of getting
the Supreme Court to say that the 14th Amendment does not, in fact, guarantee birthright
citizenship. It came within a single vote of adopting a completely off-the-wall theory of
citizenship that a few years ago, three years ago, five years ago was understood to be the province,
exclusive province of right-wing cranks and cooks. A theory that says that some people born in the
United States are not citizens, even though the Constitution clearly says that all persons born in the
United States are citizens. This is all to say, listeners, that we know that there are those in the
media who are telling you that this is a huge victory that you should be applauding the Supreme
Court for standing up to the president, standing up for the Constitution, and the rule of law.
And I'm just not going to sugarcoat this.
This is great that this happened, that the people who were impacted by this executive order now have some clarity about their circumstances.
But I don't know that this is the unalloyed victory that people are claiming it is.
We are literally a single vote away from the United States Supreme Court undoing reconstruction.
Like, it's go time, people.
It is time to wake up.
Here is how Justice Katanji Brown Jackson described the position that made.
to garner four votes in this case. Quote, for all the talk about the detestable Dred Scott decision,
the government and the principal dissent propose a return to its core tenet. That's not overstating
things, like what she just said. This is literally a court where there are more than one member
who is ready to double down on a return to white supremacy and Dred Scott. Like that is where we are.
not an unvarnished victory. This is actually a real problem. But please tell me again how much
we should celebrate the court upholding the Constitution by a single vote. Should we also apologize
to the justices for being so critical of them? Probably can't wait to hear those takes either.
The other headline for today, and this is less significant, but still worth noting,
is that Brett Kavanaugh wants you to know that he is, in fact, a total tool. And it's nine to
nothing on that. So Coach Kavanaugh had quite a day. He authored a deeply transphobic opinion
saying that both federal law and the federal constitution don't protect trans people from
discrimination, at least in the context of sports because sports. He also authored an opinion that
eviscerated a campaign finance law that was designed to prevent corruption, to prevent the super
rich from circumventing limits on how much they can contribute directly to a candidate, which means
that a single-rich individual can now single-handedly give over half a million dollars to a
candidate directly because freedom isn't free and free speech.
Elon Musk sits somewhere stroking a hairless cat.
And and and, while all of that was happening in House Kavanaugh, there was briefly a story
that NPR broke about how friend of the pod, Sam Alito, had announced his retirement.
And while we were like, told you so, it only took 20 minutes before NPR retracted that story.
because, and this is just rank speculation on my part, everyone knows that the first rule of the Supreme Court is that you don't step on the court's news cycle.
When John G. Roberts noted institutionalist manages to corral for other people to properly read the Constitution, you must devote the requisite amount of time to applauding and glazing the court for standing up for the Constitution and the rule of law.
You do not make it all about you, Sam.
At least not Tuesday.
Maybe by week's end, things will look different.
But because for this emergency episode, we cannot focus on the prospect of Sam Alito's retirement.
We will instead focus on Scotus saying trans people are second-class citizens,
Scotus opening up even more spending in elections that invites corruption.
And Scotus demonstrating that five out of nine, which is not a great percentage of just
can read the Constitution. Okay, that is a lot to cover on this emergency episode. Let's get to it.
We're going to need a bigger podcast. We're going to need a bigger court. And if you have not swung on court
reform, I just don't know what to say to you. What are you even doing? What are you even doing?
Please, please just listen to this episode. Okay. We will start with birthright and then we will talk
about how the court eviscerated part of the 14th Amendment on the very same day it issued birthright
and how it made one more effort to fuck with the upcoming midterm elections by clearing the way for more money in politics and political corruption.
All right. So again, you may have seen all of the headlines or much of the commentary about how the Supreme Court invalidated the president's executive order by a six to three vote.
It's kind of true, not as nuanced as it should be. And more importantly, those takes obscure something that is way more significant.
This court held by only a five to four vote that the president's executive order, which denied
birthright citizenship to those who are born in the United States to undocumented immigrants
or individuals who are here on temporary statuses are not citizens.
And that only five people on the court believes that an executive order saying such a thing
violates the Constitution.
That means that what these six to three headlines do not convey is that Brett Kavanaugh,
noted institutionalist in the manner of John G. Roberts and a father of daughters says that while a
statute that Congress passed in the 1940s prohibits the president from denying birthright citizenship
to some people born in the United States, the Constitution itself does not. So shorter,
Brett Kavanaugh, Congress can if it wants to repeal birthright citizenship tomorrow and allow the
president to do the same. So this is big Justice Thomas' energy.
This is Brett Kavanaugh effectively inviting Congress to do the damn thing. And, you know, I know we've talked a lot about recent books that say that, you know, this court is all about empowering Congress. Is this what they were talking about? Because do not want this kind of empowerment.
You did tell me, Kate, that we were going to get this reveal this week. This is it. Oh, oh how it came. So reactions to it being 5'4, in my view, it should be an absolute scandal.
Rarely does the court do something that surprises me. I thought 7-2, maybe 6-3, and oh, M.G, it is 5-4. And that is obviously an invitation to just try it again. Just by way of comparison, the Supreme Court's initial decision affirming birthright citizenship in Wong Kim Ark was 6 to 2. That case was decided two years after Plessy v. Ferguson upheld separate but equal segregation.
This court is to the right white wing of the Plessy court.
Yeah.
And this court today has moved the Overton window faster than the speed of light.
I mean, it took decades for the right-wing legal movement to successfully mobilize in order
to overturn Roe and Chevron and Humphrey's executor.
It took them a long time to generate the material and then the votes to do that.
And that's also true about a lot of maybe like, you know, second-tier priority list items.
Lemon, end of the voting rights act, affirmative action, and more. I mean, second tier for the
conservative legal movement. Those took time. This happened in the span of like 18 months, which is
terrifying, and it is not how constitutional democracies are supposed to work.
So I want to go back to the oral arguments in Trump versus Barbara. So after that oral argument,
I think we all felt pretty confident that there was a sizable majority. And I think we also said
that the fact that this wouldn't be unanimous was a real travesty, but we are mostly talking about
Alito, maybe Thomas, like, you know, putting on their Fox Grandpa hats and Fox Grandpying on this decision.
Neil Gorsuch seemed really skeptical at oral argument.
And here he is.
Solicitor General John Sauer.
You sure you want to rely on Won Kim Ark?
I mean, just so that to me was surprising.
The other thing that I think is really surprising is the way this is being covered in the mainstream media with so many people ignoring the
The 5-13, really 5-4 outline and just focusing on this top line, the court saves birthright
citizenship, which we knew was going to happen, but it seems especially egregious given how divided
the court was.
And it's like, just sit with that for a moment.
There are four people on this court who are ready to say that just so Lee citizenship does
not exist for the children of certain immigrant groups, like just for heritage Americans, I
guess. I mean, but like, we are really there. We are one vote away from it. And not just media,
but frankly, Democratic leaders, they too are all over the statements that the Supreme Court
has a firm birthright citizenship and isn't this great for the rule of law. Now, I mean, like,
this is such a great opportunity for those people to begin thinking about, like, we actually need to
move forward to the midterm elections. We need to start taking this seriously. We are in a
democratic crisis and lots of things need to be on the table. Strengthening Congress, also
disempowering this court from what it is doing. And instead, we're just getting these outrageous
takes. All to say, the birthright citizenship issue is not going to go away. Brett Kavanaugh literally
breathe new life into it. Like put him on the Sistine Chapel. We are one vote away from making
this happen. And the Supreme Court has literally licensed more advocacy around.
this issue. This is not settling a question. This is Dobbs part two. They're just going to figure out
how to do this through legislation and this is going to continue going. So nothing is really
settled here. Do not rest easy. There's more to come. Yeah. And Trump, so his appointees, maybe can't
all read the Constitution, it's not clear how well his SCOTUS math kind of works, but he seems to
maybe think that he is actually able to get Congress to pass a prohibition to do the
through legislation, what he tried to do through executive order, and that that would fly. And at least
right now, on the narrowest of votes, that is not the case. But nevertheless, he took to truth social,
soon after the opinion, to post, we can easily make it up in Congress through legislation. Congress
should start today. So I think to the point you were just making, like, this is very much not,
like, a defeat that we should say inters the issue for all time. They are going to continue to try.
Is he wrong, though, Kate? I mean, if you can redistrict Congress and an entirely
different direction and hold the line on the Senate, maybe this does happen in two years or four
years. Oh, you could get it. I don't know that you, yeah, it's definitely possible you can get it
through Congress, but you still have the five who say this is unconstitutional, so you need to
flip a vote. Well, and just on that five holding the line, do we know that the chief justice
would hold the line? He reversed course on the Voting Rights Act three years ago, saying section two
is constitutional and prohibits unintentional discrimination only for three years later to be like,
Maybe not.
And I will say I'm not going to defend John Roberts, but like, you know, that Ellen versus Milligan was short.
It was grudging.
This is, it would be very hard for him to go back on the lengthy majority opinion that he has drafted that says the history is clear and definitive.
But I don't know.
He won't be chief forever either.
Yeah.
Speaking of chief, I think that that separate writing from Brett Kavanaugh makes clear that Brett Kavanaugh makes clear that Brett Kavanaugh wants to be chief.
Such a pick me.
Kavanaugh says the Constitution doesn't mandate birth rights.
but because Congress has legislated to create birthright citizenship, that invalidates the executive
order. And that's what, you know, Trump's sort of slight misunderstanding seems to rest on.
But Kavanaugh absolutely did not need to write anything about the constitutional question.
He could say the statute that Congress has passed forbids this executive order full stop.
I actually have such a hard time, except for maybe through this theory, you just floated, Leah,
that he just wants to be chief.
Because he actually, like, if he were a good colleague and maybe like wanted to,
to give some cover to the chief and Amy Coney Barrett,
who did vote with the Democratic appointees
to strike down the order.
Could have joined them, right?
Like, I am sure they're going to take a ton of incoming
from, like, Maga Hordes,
who will be furious that the court has thwarted the president.
He did not do that.
But even if he wasn't going to, like, vote with them,
he could have just, like, said nothing
about the constitutional question
and, like, just written about the statute.
I just, I cannot fathom why he decided to write
and also to write this, like,
shitty half-baked few paragraphs
that he wrote about the constitutional.
issue, which he says is complicated, but then like doesn't actually treat in any complex fashion.
So anyway, wants to be chief, I guess is the TLDR.
From someone who really wants to be liked by both sides. I mean, like, so doesn't this succeed?
He's part of this five to four majority, sort of, that upholds this statute. I mean, grudgingly, but he's there.
You have people saying that he's the deciding vote to uphold birthright citizenship.
And yet he opens up this window for the mess.
Fateful to continue prosecuting this issue. He gets to have it both ways.
Yeah, maybe. And gets to be Chief Justice, maybe.
Maybe. So his opinion in this case reminded me of his opinion in the Affordable Care Act case when he was on the D.C. Circuit. Because in that case, he did not have the balls to come out and say, this law is obviously constitutional under existing precedent. Instead, he said the Anti-Injunction Act prevents a court from hearing this change.
because it's a tax under the Anti-Injunction Act.
But then, of course, wouldn't say that it's also a tax under the Constitution.
It's like he recognized he couldn't go forward with saying this law is constitutional and
still get a Supreme Court appointment.
But he also couldn't at that time bring himself to do something so hackish.
And so here it's like, I want to get credit for invalidating this executive order, but also I have
further career aspirations.
Big auditioning behavior.
And so I'm just going to sort them out this way.
Big auditioning energy.
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down two. See you there. Okay, let's talk a little bit maybe about the Roberts majority opinion
in addition to the scandalous fact that it was only four or five justices. A couple things to say.
One, I sort of alluded to this. I have to admit, I had sort of an unsettling feeling while I was
reading it, which was that the Robert's opinion was pretty good. Like the history seemed right.
It was pretty well done. And then I was like, what is this feeling I'm feeling? And then I got to
the last page and saw the citation to Martha Jones and her book. And I realized he had probably,
he and his clerks had read it closely and it really informed his recounting of the history.
and that, I think, made it all make sense.
Okay, so I said a nice thing about the Roberts opinion.
Now, let me counter that.
Actually, that's a nice thing about Martha Jones and Kate Mazur and the anarchist brief that they authored.
I know.
They did a great deal.
They really did.
The Chief did a great job heap eating it.
Right, exactly.
I don't think Robert cited Mazer, but Jackson definitely did.
But in any event, the other thing I wanted to ask in a very different spirit about John Roberts is, like, does he read the opinions that he writes when he writes when he writes other opinions?
I actually couldn't get my head around the cognitive dissonance
just between Robert's opinions like this week.
So it was unclear whether he had read his own opinion in Slaughter,
allowing the president to fire an FTC commissioner
when he wrote Cook, which was issued on the same day,
that offers like a massive carve-out against an opinion in slaughter
that said like basically no ifs, answer, buts,
the president has all the power to fire.
So that was confusing.
And then here, I'm not sure if he read his full-on embraces,
of Andrew Johnson in the Slaughter opinion before his discussion of reconstruction in Barbara,
the birthright citizenship case, because he is talking about the Civil Rights Act of 1866,
which predates the 14th Amendment. It contained language very similar to what ultimately
ended up in the Constitution in the 14th Amendment. All persons born in the United States and not
subject to any foreign power are citizens of the United States. And then he says the specter of
dreads got loomed over the efforts. And, you know, it was decided to do this not just by statute,
but through constitutional amendment. And he talks about opponents to the 18th
Civil Rights Act. I'm just like, I wonder whether all of the deep historical reading he did might
have mentioned that the 1866 Civil Rights Act was actually vetoed by President Andrew Johnson,
who is like subjected to Robert's warm embrace in the slaughter case. The act passed over Johnson's
veto, and I just felt like, again, the cognitive dissonance between those two accounts was really
hard for me to get over. Well, more cognitive dissonance from this court,
I mean, you're asking, does John Roberts read his decisions and sort of think about the inconsistencies between them?
Like, does Brett Kavanaugh read his own concurrence slash dissent and the opinion that he joins?
I mean, like, there's a lot of dissonance between these two.
So here is the Kavanaugh concurrent slash dissent in Trump versus Barbara.
Quote, The Constitution is an enduring document and its principles were designed to and do apply to modern conditions and developments.
The original constitutional principles do not change absent a constitutional
Amendment, but the relevant principles, both the rules and exceptions alike, must be faithfully
applied not only to circumstances that they existed in 1787, 1791, and 1868, for example,
but also to modern situations that were unknown or unanticipated by the Constitution's framers.
Big if true, also, how does this now relate to the rest of your concurrence?
He's a living constitutionalist in the right circumstances, Melissa, and he's now told us that.
And your other decisions. I mean, just, again.
Well, and specifically the Second Amendment, because here in Barbara, he is inviting himself to make open-ended judicial exceptions to the Constitution based on policy considerations saying there are changed circumstances when in the Second Amendment, the court's jurisprudence, including Kavanaugh, fails to account for how firearms look a lot different today than they did 200 years ago.
And on that point, the court just granted cert and will decide next term whether the Second Amendment allows governments to prohibit owning an AR-15.
or other semi-automatic rifle.
Well, James Madison had an AR-15, so I'm sure it'll be fine.
Basically.
I mean, you're talking about the second amendment.
I think you could also say the same thing about his 14th Amendment jurisprudence.
Like, if you took an originalist view of the 14th Amendment and the 15th Amendment in the voting rights cases,
it is race-conscious.
It's explicitly race-conscious.
And Coach Kavanaugh is always about race neutrality.
So, I mean, it's super selective.
It's super itinerant and whatever.
Here we are.
So we need to talk about the girls are fighting. So in particular, Justice Jackson and Justice Thomas are fighting again some more. And Justice Jackson's concurrence here takes Justice Thomas, who wrote the principal dissent to the woodshed. And separately, we are going to need to talk about Justice Thomas. Okay, great. So Justice Jackson writes, quote, despite his longstanding endorsement of a colorblind constitution, yes, girl, Justice Thomas.
Real personal.
Real personal, real fast.
Despite his longstanding endorsement of a colorblind constitution, Justice Thomas now surprisingly
suggests that the citizenship clause was a race-conscious remedial measure, relating only
to freed slaves such as Dred Scott and those who shared with them certain characteristics.
Justice Thomas' telling elides the entire point of the second founding, and she could have just stopped
there.
But she continues.
The reconstruction amendments were an anti-cast, anti-subordination reset.
for the nation, not a mere spot treatment for the dark stain of slavery. KBJ, the 14th Amendment
is not a tied pen, you tools. Like, this is a real thing. Like, it's basically oxyclean
for this whole nation, and we need to get on that. And I love that she pointed out how Thomas, again,
is always ready to invoke race when it suits him and always ready to be race neutral when he
wants to. Yeah. Yes. She also has a couple of just, like, savage footnotes. She basically says,
Justice Thomas thinks and says and is right that the court has not always, you know, made good on the promise of equal citizenship, guaranteed by the 14th Amendment. And then she writes in a footnote, I suspect that Justice Thomas and I disagree about when and how that promise of equal citizenship has been denied by this court. My list is long and sadly only getting it longer. And she offers a very long list, the most recent installment of which is Louisiana versus Calais. A list that begins with civil rights cases in Plessy versus Ferguson. This is the through line. She is.
draws. Students for Fair Admissions is in there too.
Milliken, Karamot, too. She wants
all the bangers. She wants every. Yeah.
And I just, I love this. This is
the kind of anti-canon that she is willing into being. It's going to
take a long time, like no beating around the bush about that.
But I really think that she is like starting to lay the
foundations. And anyway, there's one more footnote in footnote 53.
There are a lot of footnotes in the Jackson, separate concurrence.
I mean, she joins in full, but she writes a lot also.
And she says, there are myriad ways in which the court's
adherence to color blindness is mistaken, some of which I have addressed in other opinions.
And she says, one wonders how the outcomes in the above cases, that long list of like terribly
misguided opinions might have differed had the court like the government and the principal
dissent today relied upon the fact that the 14th Amendment was enacted to ensure that black
Americans are not treated as second class citizens. So where was the energy you're bringing today,
Justice Thomas, in students for fair admissions or Calais or any number of other cases?
So in light of the vote count, I was left wondering what the vote count on CERT was.
Specifically, was this the Chief Justice thinking, I am going to grant CERT and get an easy layup and win for the Supreme Court's PR?
Or was it the dissenters granting CERT because they wanted to bulldoze birthright citizenship?
I don't know.
I love the idea of Chief Justice John Roberts thinking that he's.
is the Jalen Brunson of the court, and he's going to do this.
And I think it might have been the dissenters.
In light of the vote count, it could have been.
Justice Thomas's principal dissent, ooh, we, wow, we need to talk about it.
So the dissent ends with this quote.
I am not sure that today's opinion will stand the test of time.
The citizenship clause added greatly to the dignity and glory of American citizenship.
Today's opinion devalues that citizenship.
So first of all, let's go back to the idea that the citizenship clause only applies to black Americans and their descendants.
And therefore, rank xenophobia is anti-racist.
That's basically the energy here.
And going forward, that's where we've got to come back.
This will not stand the test of time.
This is an invitation to keep pushing on this and to make this happen again.
Like, let's recycle our shitty arguments about same-sex marriage.
marriage and use them against birthright citizenship.
Okay, we should also say a word about the Alito descent, which no one joins and which really
is in Fox News.
Maybe it's very hard to know what is happening this week.
So maybe we'll know more by Thursday or, you know, by next week.
But in any event, it really reads as a Fox News segment in Century Schoolbook font.
That is the Supreme Court opinion font.
I mean, like truly, the second sentence is like sneers about, quote, birth tourists.
It then launches this screed about, quote, a long period during which a codery of actors,
executive branch officials, states and cities, and a variety of private groups sent the message
to would-be immigrants that our immigration laws would not be taken too seriously.
This message, coupled with ineffective or unenthusiastic enforcement, spurred massive illegal immigration.
It also kind of goes like full great replacement theory, talking about the grotesque results
of a child born here to a birth tourist being automatically a citizen.
and warning about the intensifying trend of, quote, the overall foreign-born population of the United States.
It's really a shocking document.
It's actually a real take for someone who is the descendant of Italian immigrants.
Indeed.
I mean, I was actually kind of shocked by this, again, recognizing the real politic here.
I mean, this man, his father, wasn't his father, like, came from Italy?
He's not that far removed from coming over.
And yet, you know, we're talking about birth tourism.
I mean, everyone came from somewhere else, my guy, except the Native Americans, my guy.
Yes.
So I expected that in today's episode, we would have to talk about the fact that even though the court told the president he can't unilaterally nullify birthright citizenship, we would have to remind people that the court created the need for this decision, staging the media fawning over them by basically drawing this out and then insisting that the federal government bring it back to them.
I thought we'd have to situate this case alongside many other cases where the justices told the president what he can do, including his racist immigration agenda, including the decisions we talked about last week, canceling TPS or giving the president a giant loophole to evade all of asylum law or racial profiling and immigration enforcement and so on.
I thought we would have to spend time situating this case along the many cases that did nullify provisions of the reconstruction amendments like the courts of voting rights decisions out of Alabama, the one we are about to talk.
talk about nullifying the 14th Amendment's equal protection guarantee for trans people, at least in
the context of sports, nullifying equal protection principles applicable to the federal government,
allowing the president to smear Haitian nationals with vile racist statements, saying the president
isn't subject to provisions in the 14th Amendment, varring insurrectionist from office until Congress
says he is. And instead, the focus is how they came within one vote of nullifying the edifice
of the post-Civil War constitutional order. And the world I was envisioning was already bad enough,
But now there are four votes against the 14th Amendment.
And again, for all of the Democratic elected leaders who still are not on the Supreme Court reform train, it cannot be up to the court which provisions of the Constitution get enforced, which groups have constitutional rights.
It shouldn't be up to the court whether to give the president a hall pass from the Constitution, federal laws.
Like, am I supposed to be grateful that the court in its benevolence would enforce the 19th Amendment and not allow a state to tell me I can't vote tomorrow?
No, and we shouldn't do the same when they do that for birthright citizenship by one vote.
I mean, how many votes do we think the challenge to the law that purports to override the 19th Amendment would get on this court?
I mean, I think that a state legislature could probably muster a couple of votes.
I mean, one thought I just had while you were talking, Leah, is that, you know, I think Trump is probably not going to try to seek a third term.
But like, I feel like he would have at least two and maybe as many as four votes for the 22nd Amendment, not meaning what it very clearly says, that he can.
cannot serve a third term. So I very much hope we never have to test that proposition.
All right. Let's pivot. This wasn't the only big decision that we got today. Obviously,
this will be the focus for many traditional media outlets. There are other really bad decisions here,
and we should talk about them. Let's start first with the other things that the court had to say
about the 14th Amendment and our nation's constitutional reset in favor of equality. Or maybe not.
equality-ish. Maybe not. Okay, and I'm actually going to hop off here because this week is nuts.
So I'm going to let you guys land the emergency episode plane, but I will be on the term recap.
We're going to record later this week. It'll be in your ears on Monday. And so I will be able to weigh in on the transathletes cases on that episode.
So, all right. Bye, guys. Well, let the wild rumpus begin, Leah.
Yeah. So we talked a lot about this case when it was argued and we basically called this. So no surprise.
for us. Here, the court by a 6 to 3 vote held that federal law that bars gender discrimination
in the context of educational institutions Title IX and the Constitution allows states to exclude
trans women and girls from female sports teams. So technically, the decision on the Title
9 question is actually unanimous, and it is 6 to 3 on the second question, the constitutional
question about whether or not this violates the 14th Amendment's equality mandate. The reasoning,
though, on the Title IX issue is very different in the majority opinion and the concurrence
on the judgment. So we're going to tease that out. Basically, the majority opinion says that
Bostock, which was the court's decision saying that Title VII, which prohibits discrimination
on the basis of sex and employment, also prohibits discrimination on the basis of gender identity.
That was a decision written by Neil Gorsuch.
The court here held that Bostock does not apply to school sports programs that are covered under Title IX.
And the rationale for that, as authored by Coach Kavanaugh, seems to be because sports.
Okay.
So Kavanaugh says that Title IX protects against discrimination solely on the basis of biological sex, maybe just in the sports context, a phrase his opinion uses seven times.
Here's some of the quote unquote reasoning.
Justice Kavanaugh says, quote, we also must recognize the distinctiveness of competitive sports, obviously.
Isn't that in the Constitution?
Didn't James Madison play on a pickup basketball team and get?
Well, it turns out Brett Kavanaugh is going to say that's in the Constitution, so get ready for that.
He also says, quote, Title VII concerns employment, whereas Title IX, as relevant here, focuses on sports.
The two factual contexts are vastly different.
they don't pay you for sport. Oh, wait, they do pay you for sports after my decision in Alston.
Yeah, so the Democratic appointees concur with the result, but again, don't sign on to that reasoning.
I think the bigger story, as we were just alluding to, is the court's six to three equal protection holding,
where the court said the state bans didn't violate the equal protection clause because biology and also sports.
My reading is that the court decided they were going to give a pass to sex discrimination under the equal protection clause because they don't,
much care for trans people, at least in the context of sports. The court seems to have carved
out an exception from a general rule in their equal protection jurisprudence, which is that
there can be what are known as as applied challenges. As applied challenges are where a plaintiff
argues the law is unconstitutional as applied to them and maybe a few other people like them,
even if the law isn't unconstitutional as applied to everyone. And the structure of the plaintiff's
argument here was that the state laws aren't unconstitutional as applied to cis women, but they
are as applied to some trans women. The court acknowledges that as applied equal protection
challenges are generally available but fail here because they would require individualized
exemptions, even though that is what as applied challenges do. Although the court did say
that that's just true in the sports context, at least for now, I want to give more of a sampling
of Kavanaugh's reasoning here. So just more of a flavor of where we're going. He says,
quote, sports are different from, say, a typical employment or educational opportunity.
He then goes on to say, in the distinctive sports context, again, sports are so distinctive,
the states may treat all biological males the same and treat all biological females the same.
He then continues, quote, especially in the sports context, moreover, an enormous practical
and administrability problem would arise.
So this is, I guess, the kind of sports are different exception, maybe, but maybe they're not that different.
and we're just going to ride sports to its inevitable conclusion.
I think this is the kind of reasoning that Justice Sotomayor had in mind when she wrote to explain her dissent on the equal protection issue,
where she was also joined by justices Jackson and Kagan.
Justice Sotomayor wrote, quote,
The majority extends great sympathy to those it favors, the young, cisgender girls and women who play sports.
Because the majority, however, inflicts a hardship on those it disfavors.
without giving them the fair and full opportunity the Constitution requires to litigate their contentions.
I respectfully dissent, right?
Of course, this is the guy who coaches his daughter's basketball team coming up with this because sports, because girl sports, because the WMBA.
Just stepping back here, the state policies here don't subject trans men to the same restrictions, only trans women.
that is sex discrimination, which helps to see how, in their anti-trans fervor, the court watered down the prohibition against sex discrimination by making it easier for states to get a pass on sex discrimination.
So we should underline that because inevitably when we talk about these cases, we get a load of online stuff from alleged feminists who argue that we are getting this all wrong, that equality for trans people ultimately undermines women.
equality, FYI, it's the same set of precedence. So when they undermine sex equality and the jurors
prudential foundation for sex equality for trans people, it invariably trickles down to women as well.
So our fates are linked here, and it's not anti-woman to be in favor of rights for trans people.
The same foundation undergirds all of our rights. And this is not to take the focus away from the
horrible effect this decision will have on trans people. It is, again, just to underscore, to the extent
you think this is the issue of one group, you are very, very wrong. And just to give you a
flavor, here are some of the things Kavanaugh wrote about sex discrimination writ large.
He said states are not required to conduct an individual by individual comparison. Again,
writing about the classification that was targeted at trans women and trans girls. On intermediates,
scrutiny, the standard applicable to sex discrimination. He wrote, quote, it permits a sex-based
classification that, as here, is not invidious, but rather realistically, reflects the fact that the sexes
are not similarly situated in certain circumstances. I personally don't want Brett Kavanaugh
deciding how men and women are inherently different and using that to decide what sort of sex
discrimination is permissible. Voting.
Right, exactly, exactly. You know, he adds that some sex discrimination is okay because of, quote,
those physical differences between men and women that are enduring.
I will just say, I mean, it was so on brand for this court, for John Roberts to give this
opinion to Brett Kavanaugh, like sports, father of daughters, first man to have an all-female
chambers, probably has season tickets to the WNBA.
I don't know.
But like, it was just so on brand.
The Kavanaugh majority opinion also concludes that in addition to the law being a permissible
form of sex discrimination. I don't know how it can be sex discrimination and be permissible,
but I'm willing to be enlightened. The law does not discriminate on the basis of gender identity.
And again, this is giving such Mullen versus Doe vibes. Like if we call the discrimination a different
thing, is it really the discrimination we thought it was probably not. Like this is the same way
the president's racism against Haitians was sort of transmogrified.
into just rank xenophobia that was permissible, bad, but nonetheless permissible,
instead of being unconstitutional and impermissible racism.
Justice Kavanaugh writes that the law doesn't discriminate on the basis of gender identity
because the laws here simply classify on the basis of biological sex.
So biological sex apparently Trump's transphobia and is not the same as transphobia.
So there you are.
So good to know.
Can I just note one more thing here?
Yeah.
This decision, I think, is rightly a more nymphic.
narrow decision than it could have been. He could have blown up everything could have said that
Title IX affirmatively requires the inequality of trans people, and he stops short of saying that.
So I guess that's good. But I don't think you can divorce this decision from the larger context
that it will occupy. And that broader context is this administration. So this administration
has been on a tear with anti-trans executive orders. Executive orders that will
threaten the funding of hospitals that provide gender affirming care to minors, that will rescind
federal funding from places that provide gender neutral bathrooms or that allow trans people
to use the bathroom of their choice. And I just want to point out, we have seen this before,
where this administration takes a relatively narrow decision of this court, take, for example,
SFFA versus Harvard, and saddles up and rides it like C-Biscuit, pushing the envelope on that very
narrow decision to a place that the court did not sanction, endorse, or imagine, or maybe they
imagined it, but they certainly didn't write it. So we have seen this administration through its
executive orders use SFFA versus Harvard to underwrite the dismantling of DEI programs,
which were not part of the court's decision in SFFA versus Harvard. At no point did the court
say that private institutions could not take steps to remedy the underrepresentation of certain
groups within their ranks through affinity groups or the like. But this administration has gone
on a tear about that and they will do the same thing with this decision. They will take this decision
that's very narrow in the context of women's sports and they will push the envelope on it to
basically require the marginalization and liminality of trans people in every facet of American life.
You heard it here. Yeah. And this is something you and I are writing about. So stay tuned on that.
I just wanted to give listeners a sense of what Brett Kavanaugh thinks the 14th Amendment does.
Apparently, Brett Kavanaugh thinks the founders who made the 14th Amendment wanted state officials in schools to inspect kids' genitalia but did not want birthright citizenship, at least for certain individuals.
This is a wild take on the 15th Amendment.
Why I'm in trouble is surprised.
But I guess this is where we are.
And Brett Kavana also wanted to make sure that you knew, despite upholding this discrimination against trans people and offering a bunch of reasons about when and why sex discrimination is okay, that he is still a nice guy.
So toward the end of his opinion, he writes, quote, we are acutely aware of the difficulties sometimes faced by boys who identify as girls and by girls who identify as boys in middle school, high school, and beyond.
And we greatly admire the desire of all students, including transgender students such as BPJ, who want to participate in sports.
That's a redo on Scermetti.
Like, we're not as bad as we were in Scermetti.
Like, we get it.
It's a problem.
But you don't get gender affirming care.
Tennessee can ban it.
You know who doesn't want to be a nice guy, though?
Do we need to talk about Clarence Thomas again?
Let's go.
So he wanted you to know he's not a nice guy.
He wrote a concurrence to say that, quote, all men and boys who identify as girls, men and boys with gender dysphoria are not women or girls, even if they believe that they are.
I'm honestly shocked.
that Justice Alito did not join that concurrence.
Restraint. Growth.
It's probably too busy pressing send on his retirement announcement and just forgot to join.
Just joking. We don't know.
Anyway, despite Justice Kavanaugh wanting you to know that he really is a nice guy, despite his opinion, which is rife with trans erasing language, we have to talk about the trans erasing language.
So, like, let's go there.
So Justice Kavanaugh writes, quote, in recent years, some biological males who identify as female have sought to play on women's or girls sports teams.
And then he notes whether schools can, quote, maintain women's and girls sports for biological females is perhaps in question because of that influx of non-real non-women or whatever he's talking about.
So there's definitely some trans erasing stuff and some transphobic stuff going on here.
The opinion repeatedly refers to biological males and biological.
females. Indeed, right after the passage in which he assures us that he is a really, really nice guy,
he writes, quote, but in conducting the equal protection inquiry, we must also account for the
effects on girls who are forced to compete against biological males in sports. Will no one think
of the daughters? Such a nice guy. I wanted to briefly give a shout out to our listeners who flagged
for us that this morning on the SCOTUS blog, live blog of opinions, a commentator suggested that
strict scrutiny was going to have a field day with Coach Kavanaugh having the opinion in
West Virginia versus BPJ only for that comment to quickly be erased and taken down. Well, I mean,
I'm just going to say, whoever was on the SCOTUS blog, they listen and they know us because we did
have a field day. Yes. Yes. So one last opinion we got in the National Republican Senate Committee
versus FEC while birthright came within one vote of nullifying multiracial democracy. In this case,
the justices managed to coppled together six for undermining democracy.
Right. The court here struck down what are known as limitations on coordinated expenditures.
Federal campaign finance law limits the amount of money that an individual can directly contribute to a candidate, at least for now.
Those limitations are called contribution limits. In order to make sure that individuals cannot evade or circumvent those contribution limits, federal campaign finance law, at least before today, limited the amount of money that political parties could effectively directly contribute to.
you a candidate because federal law allows an individual to donate much more to political parties
than to individual candidates. You see the loophole. Yeah, and that limitation is called the
anti-coordination measure. It prevents parties from coordinating with a candidate how the party spends
money given to the party, which in effect prevents the party from handing over the money
and decisions about how the money is spent to a candidate. Just to put this more concretely,
individuals can give $7,000 to a candidate directly, but they can give more than $40,000
to a national party committee and $10,000 to a state party committee, specifically every state
party committee. So if you allow the parties to funnel all of the money that is given to them
to the candidate directly, then rather than being limited to giving only $7,000 to a candidate
directly, a single individual can give $551,300, effectively to a candidate directly.
Seems like a lot.
All right. Here's a summer.
of the majority opinion in this case. And this is a summary that Justice Kagan offered in her
dissent in which she was joined by the other two Democratic appointees. Justice Kagan summarizes
it thusly. Quote, for those who think there's too much of it in this country, for those who
would prefer even more money to be pumped even more easily into politics despite the danger
of corruption, this overruling is for you. Big KBJ energy. This is like KBJ and Snyder. This is an opinion
only this court would love.
Yes.
Yep.
Okay.
The overruling, obviously, is a reference to the fact that the court had previously upheld coordination limits in a decision known as Colorado 2.
You know who was ready to strike down the coordination limits all the way back in Colorado, too?
I have an idea.
I think you do.
Justice Thomas.
So, yes, this majority is continuing its trend of making Justice Thomas and Justice Scalia descents into the actual law.
You just have to wait for it.
Just hold on, folks. You'll make it happen. I think KBJ is like, this isn't the energy. This is the energy. One day they're going to come back around to me. Yes. We hope. Right. Yeah. One can dream. As Justice Kagan wrote, quote, almost to flaunt the point, the analysis gives pride of place to Justice Thomas's dissent in that case. If only the rest of the majority had been there to join him. And then she goes on to add a KBJ-like list where she notes, quote, today's decision thus can join the parade of those recently overruling established law because of a new majority's new outlook on.
a consequential matter. Here the subject is campaign finance law. And then she goes on to list
Citizens United. McCutcheon, federal election commission versus Ted Cruz for Senate, Davis
versus federal election commission. And Justice Kagan described what she called, quote,
an important point for the American political system about this decision, which is, quote,
that the majority also, again, jettisons a rule needed to protect our democracy's integrity. And in the
process, it generates a, quote, legal regime increasingly unable to stop political corruption
and thus to preserve our institution's democratic legitimacy.
Basically, shorter Elena Kagan, this is a decision only my emotional support billionaire
could love.
Yep.
Just stepping back to consider the context here, I don't know who's not aware of this, but we do
have some upcoming midterm elections, and those midterm elections are going to play out
in the face of a broken and hard.
hobbled voting rights act, a broken and hobbled, voting rights act that this court broke and hobbled.
And we also now can add to the pile the continued demolition of anti-corruption campaign finance laws,
as well as the president having the ability to fire members of the federal election commission.
So this seems like a perfect storm for the upcoming midterms that was completely generated by a trifecta.
of this court's decisions.
So, mission accomplished, I guess.
We did it, John.
I don't know.
Again, we talked about this in our live show in New York City with Ellie Mistal.
And I will just say for my own part, I was never one that was totally on the court reform bandwagon.
Like, I favored some reforms, but not whole scale.
I think this term has broken even me to the point where we have to talk about court reform
as a pro-democracy measure.
Like, this court is kind of off the rails and out of control
and needs to be reined in,
whether that is through things that Congress can do,
like expanding the number of justices
or limiting the terms of justices
or stripping the court of jurisdiction over certain issues.
But all of these questions need to be on the table
and for elected officials to sort of poo this
and just like, we're just going to get better representatives
and senators.
We're going to pass better law.
without thinking about where these laws are going when they're challenged is just so one-sided and dumb.
Just get real. I mean, in addition to the list, Melissa rattled off, the fact that the court came within one vote of voting against the Constitution itself and the foundation of our post-Civil War multiracial democracy order, I don't know how that wouldn't move you.
We'll talk about this this summer. I'm not going to spoil what we have in the works, but I will just note that I, too, have changed my mind on some Supreme Court reforms, and I look forward to talking about that.
this summer. Yeah. You've radicalized us, guys. You've radicalized us. Oh, yeah. The swing I have swung.
Can we talk about the retirements real quick, though? Just the, yeah, the retirements that maybe
weren't. So I personally am choosing to believe that Sam Alito will refuse to retire just
despite NPR, which was the organization that initially reported his retirement, and that we will
retake the Senate and Elizabeth Prelager will replace him. As we mentioned, NPR posted a story today about how
Alito is retiring. A few signs that maybe this might have just been a little early rather than
premature.
Exactly. Exactly. The internet's way back machine indicates that the story was supposed to be posted
on Friday, the day before the holiday weekend. And the retraction is specific in that it says,
quote, neither Justice Alito nor the Supreme Court Public Information Office has announced his
retirement, which is a framing about a lock of announcement. And I just know in my bones,
this guy is going to retire at the least convenient time for us when we have scattered and are trying to take a vacation.
I just know it in my bones.
That's what he does.
That's what he does.
Always the worst.
Also, several listeners noted, Clarence Thomas was spotted on the hill yesterday and refused to answer any questions about why he was there.
Separation of powers.
Right.
Exactly.
Exactly.
Springboard isn't political, though.
Yeah.
I mean, apparently, according to reports, he's incredibly jocular and, like, seemed to be having a great time, as one does, when one ventures across the street to the Capitol.
Yeah.
Imagine how great a time he would have had had they actually gotten five votes for nullifying the Constitution.
I wonder if he's down in the Senate basement, dialing for dollars.
Like, guess what, folks?
New factor's going to drop.
He didn't rule it out.
He didn't rule it out.
Should we
Should we end on this note?
I think it was great to talk about it with you
because I was feeling pretty not great.
I was so angry.
I cannot even describe the screams I was screaming.
The scream you scrumped.
The posters and the commentators on television
and otherwise I had some real feels.
I did go on Alicia Menendez's show
and remind everyone that there are no laurels
for this court here.
I am very glad you did because not everyone was communicating that thought.
Well, I'm glad that we're here to correct the record.
And folks, this is not the last you will hear of us, just the last you'll hear of us today on this podcast.
We, of course, have lots of work to do to recap this panger of a term.
And we will do that this week.
So stay tuned.
And we will be back in your earholes bright and early on Monday.
to hit all the themes, all the highlights and lowlights of October term 2025.
Indeed.
Maybe will we have an emergency episode if Alito retires?
I think TBD, it depends a little bit on where we all are and if we can make it happen.
Good to know.
All right.
Well, we'll put this in the group chat.
Yeah.
And, of course, we'll call on all of our favorite Alito clerks to wax lyrical about the great man.
I laughed.
Thanks, Melissa.
I've got a big roll of decks.
All right.
Leah Lippman and Melissa Murray, signing off.
Out.
Out.
Stick Scrutiny is a Cricket Media production.
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