Strict Scrutiny - The Supreme Court's Second Amendment Mess
Episode Date: November 13, 2023Kate, Melissa, and Leah recap the arguments in United States v. Rahimi, the case about the constitutionality of gun regulations, featuring diss tracks by KBJ.Listen to "How SCOTUS gutted our gun laws,..." our episode on the 2022 decision that started this madness Follow us on Instagram, Twitter, Threads, and Bluesky
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But we have a history and traditions test.
I guess I'm a little troubled by having a history and traditions test
that also requires some sort of culling of the history
so that only certain people's history counts.
So what do we do with that?
Isn't that a flaw with respect to the test? Welcome back to Strict Scrutiny, your podcast about the Supreme Court and the legal culture
that surrounds it. We are your hosts. I'm Kate Shaw. I'm Leah Littman. And I'm Melissa Murray.
And last week, the court heard the big Second Amendment case, the United States versus Rahimi.
And that argument is going to be our primary focus for this episode.
Now, we did not talk about Rahimi a lot in our last episode
because we were recapping other cases.
But don't worry.
We carved out a good long time to talk about Rahimi on this episode
because, predictably, we have some thoughts.
We also have a good long court culture segment with a lot of updates on the Fifth Circuit. Since
we think that context is helpful to understanding the basics of Rahimi, and spoiler, the Fifth
Circuit is now invoking the ghost of Robert Bork. Of course. Okay, stay tuned. We will get there.
Bork did not, however, come up in the Rahimi oral argument, so I guess small blessings. So let's begin with a recap and let's remind people of the basics of
Rahimi. Rahimi involves a challenge to a federal law, 18 U.S.C. section 922 G.8, which prohibits
the possession of firearms by people subject to domestic violence restraining orders. We should
also just make brief note of the facts of the case since they came up at oral argument, and I think
they do actually really matter here. So the respondent in the case, Zaki Rahimi, assaulted
his ex-girlfriend with whom he has a child in a parking lot. He fired a gun at witnesses who saw
this happening. The state subsequently imposed a domestic violence restraining order on him.
And after a subsequent shooting spree, which involved him shooting on five separate occasions,
police searched Rahimi's home and they found there both firearms and the
restraining order that prohibited him from possessing those firearms. One of the places
where he went on the shooting spree was a Whataburger. And I just want to say, if you're
from Texas, you don't defile the Whataburger in that way. You just don't. And that was one of five
public discharges of a weapon that happened subsequent to the entry of the DV restraining
order against him. So not surprisingly, in light of all this, he was convicted for violating the statute that prohibits those under DV restraining orders from possessing firearms. for determining whether laws are consistent with the Second Amendment. In the course of
invalidating New York's firearm licensing scheme, the court in Bruin said that if a law infringes
the right protected by the Second Amendment, the government will prevail only if it can demonstrate
that the law falls within the nation's tradition of firearm regulation. The question here is,
how does this test actually work on the ground? At what level
of generality do you have to show that a law is part of the nation's tradition of firearm regulation?
Do you have to show that there's the same kind of regulation or it's sort of in the spirit of
past regulation? Totally unclear. So the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit held the
law unconstitutional and said it violated the Second Amendment. And the Fifth Circuit essentially
said there's no tradition of prohibiting domestic abusers from having guns, so this law isn't within
the nation's tradition of firearm regulation. And of course, that theory would blow up an awful lot
of firearm regulations, since a lot of current firearm regulations didn't exist in the 1700s.
Bans on guns on the subway or at summer camp, for example, didn't exist. Bans on obliterating the
serial number on your gun, bans on ghost guns, bans on high capacity magazines, et cetera, et cetera.
None of these will have historical twins. And there is a reason for that. So no one at the
founding or in 1868, when the 14th Amendment was ratified, was filing off serial numbers,
or for that matter, using automatic weapons, which is, you know, in a nutshell, the reason
the Bruin test is so insane. Firearms are
fundamentally different today than they were 200 years ago. New firearms may require new kinds of
restrictions. And in addition, society has changed our conception of who is dangerous, what is
dangerous, that has also changed. We also have a lot of evidence today and studies on the risk of
violence when firearms interact with certain kinds of
conduct. And Bruin, by its terms, seems to throw all of that by the wayside, right? It really seems
to say arguments about the policy rationales of gun laws or the reasons we might need to devise
new interventions, none of those arguments are on the table. The only thing you can look at when
ascertaining the constitutionality of a gun law is the gun laws of yore. That's the entire inquiry. So the federal government's theory
sought to limit the extent to which this psychotic version of the Bruin test might apply. So in the
court's Second Amendment decisions, the court has maintained that all law-abiding responsible
citizens enjoy the Second Amendment right to keep and bear arms, i.e., if you're not law-abiding responsible citizens enjoy the Second Amendment right to keep and bear arms,
i.e., if you're not law-abiding or not responsible, then the Second Amendment doesn't apply to you,
and regulations disarming you are perfectly fine. And at times, the government argued that the state
doesn't need analogies that are squarely on all fours with earlier regulations if it can demonstrate that a law is within
a safe harbor in Bruin, like the person is, for example, not a law-abiding responsible citizen.
And the government continued to argue more generally that you don't have to show a very
specific on all fours analogy, aka historic twin. All you have to do is simply hew to these
general principles like the Second Amendment is
consistent with disarming dangerous individuals, and that by itself would be enough. So in a very
subtle way, it seemed like Solicitor General Prelogger might have been trying to turn the
history and tradition test into a history and principles test, which might save this law.
But critically, it would not save this really dangerous line of
thinking, which puts all of the eggs in the history basket. And again, in a basket carried
by nine individuals, none of whom is trained as an actual historian. Just again, bringing that up.
So let's start with some overall thoughts about the oral argument. One big bottom line takeaway
is that it does seem likely that the court will reverse the
Fifth Circuit and say that the law is valid on its face, though it might, and I think very likely will,
hold out the possibility that there could be subsequent cases where, you know, the law might
be applied to particular people who bring what are known as as-applied challenges, and in those
applications, the law could be deemed unconstitutional. But this was a facial challenge.
The Fifth Circuit had held that the law was unconstitutional in its entirety.
And that seems likely to me to be reversed.
And to be sure, that matters a lot.
It would be genuinely disastrous for the federal government to lose its power to take guns
away from abusers.
And so reversal here is really important.
But in many ways, the biggest thing that will come out of this case could end up being not just what happens as to this DV disarmament provision, but more broadly,
what the court says about the meaning of and the nature of the legal test that will determine
whether other firearms regulations are constitutional. All right, so why exactly do we
think this is where they are headed with this case? Well, at one point, Justice Barrett seemed
to suggest that this case is
relatively easy for the government. So let's play that clip now.
So you've invoked the consensus among the states, tradition of dangerousness,
and I don't think you'd get a lot of pushback because this is violence,
after all, domestic violence. What about more marginal cases?
And at another point, even Justice Gorsuch was kind of like, yeah, this West Circuit thing, IDK, man, I don't know. This is a little weird. Let's hear him.
You mentioned the self-defense duress necessity concerns in your opening, but this is a facial challenge, right?
So we have to ask, is it unconstitutional in any application?
And that would include cases where those circumstances don't
exist. We don't have to address those in this case, do we? So that statement references the
distinction between upholding the law in general on its face and, you know, what Kate referred to
as as applied challenges, you know, some people saying that the law couldn't be applied to them
in particular. And Justice Gorsuch seemed to be pushing to have the Supreme Court resolve as
little as possible, you know, given that it seemed to be headed toward upholding this regulation.
And that led to this exchange with the Solicitor General.
And along the same lines on the facial challenge aspect of it, do we need to resolve C2? Justice Alito was asking, given that the defendant, the plaintiff before us, the respondent,
sorry, has been adjudicated under C-1, and we actually have a finding of a credible threat.
The dangerousness argument seems most apparent there, and we don't know much about how all
states administer C-2 regimes.
So I agree that this is a facial challenge and the court
could confine its analysis to C1. I guess I would make just two responses to that. One is to say
that I think it's going to be difficult for the court to avoid the C2 issue. We ourselves have
a pending petition where the Fifth Circuit has invalidated an application of the statute in a
C2 context. So unless you want to see me here again next term on this issue. Always delighted
to see you, Jen.
The issue has been fully briefed and we think it's an important part of the statute.
Just by way of reference, you know, C-1 is a provision that applies to domestic violence restraining orders that include a finding that a person represents a credible threat to the physical safety of another.
And that was the kind of restraining order at issue in Rahimi, where C-2 says this provision also applies to domestic
violence restraining orders that explicitly prohibit certain uses of force. And because
Rahimi just involved the first of these, C-1, but the federal government would obviously like the
court to make clear that C-2 is also constitutional. You know, it's unclear what exactly is going to be
happening. And our favorite father of daughters, Brett Kavanaugh, also seemed to be with them on
this and also inclined to rule for the government.
So basically, the real question here is, anyone going to disagree with the decision that upholds this law?
Some people really want to.
Like I was going to say, not to be outdone by Thelma and Louise, it seems like Clarence and Sam are prepared to drive this convertible off of a cliff.
So Justice Alito, at oral argument, focused on some of the inherent problems of domestic violence, restraining or protective orders. in which the family court judge who has to act quickly and may not have any investigative
resources faces a he-she, he-said-she-said situation and the judge just says, well,
I'm going to issue an order like this against both of the parties. Do you agree that that occurs?
No, I think that that is largely a mischaracterization of what is happening.
And here's another.
One more question.
The Alameda County Public Defender's amicus brief says that some restraining orders are permanent.
Is that true?
And if that is true, how do you justify a permanent prohibition, even if any danger has disappeared.
I just want to call out here when Justice Alito name-checked the Alameda County Public
Defender's Office brief. Again, this is just such a little thing that they love to do.
The Alameda County Public Defender's Office is headed by Brendan Woods, who is the first
Black chief public defender in Alameda County, which includes Oakland, California. And Woods has been very clear about the impact of the
criminal justice system on minority communities in his long tenure in that office. And this brief
discussed how restraining orders, at least in California, may actually extend beyond the
qualifying conduct and often are imposed with limited procedural protections, all of which
often accrue in ways that disadvantage underrepresented minorities. And these are
all incredibly good points, but probably points that should really be directed to the California
legislature. Instead, it was in this brief, and Justice Alito decided to invoke the brief
in full, as you heard. And it reminded me of when the Bruin majority invoked the public
defender's brief about the selective enforcement of gun rights. And I just really want PD offices
to think about the ways that their arguments are being co-opted by conservatives to advance a
really conservative agenda that could really give a fuck about communities of color. Like,
literally, just think about it for a minute. Like, not everything has to be in the brief.
It's such a good point.
And, you know, look, I mean, to maybe stay the obvious, we obviously share frustration
with this court's refusal to give real effect to things like equal protection values or
lots of criminal procedural protections.
Like, we are 100% on board.
But channeling that frustration, all of it through the Second Amendment, seems really, really dangerous. I think that's a phenomenon that we're observing here in the last
two big gun cases. And who knows? Like if these briefs continue to be filed, the court is going
to seize upon them, at least the conservative justices, as sort of convenient allies in their
efforts to ever expand gun rights. I mean, like, Justice Alito, if you cared about process,
you could do this through, wait for it, the due process clause.
You don't have to expand the Second Amendment to help people.
Don't know her, he says.
What is a due process clause?
I do not know.
Anyway.
So back to Alito's concerns about process.
So DiMaior jumped in to make clear that whatever the issue
with restraining orders and procedural protections might be, none of that was really at play in this case.
Just to be clear, none of the situations that Justice Alito is pointing to are the facts of
this case, correct? Or the facts of this statute? That's right. So I... And the constitutionality
of this statute is what's at issue. So I have to say, I don't know whether Justice Alito and Justice Thomas are going to disagree
with the bottom line result in the case or instead try to narrow the court's opinion
as much as possible to mean that basically no other gun regulation or very few other
gun regulations might be valid.
But earlier in the argument, Justice Thomas kind of entered the argument by suggesting
maybe the record is just a little too thin to determine whether Rahimi is dangerous.
So here he is on that.
Counsel, would you take a few bit of your time to recount exactly what happened below in this case, not in the district court, but in state court?
I think what's what does matter is we're assuming dangerousness or irresponsibility, take your pick.
And we have a very thin record, and I'm trying to get a sense of what actually happened in this case.
And the chief had this to say on that topic.
Well, to the extent that's pertinent, you don't have any doubt that your client's a dangerous person, do you?
Your Honor, I would want to know what dangerous person means.
Well, I mean, someone who's shooting, you know, at people. That's a good start.
So, that's fair.
Even the chief seemed to be saying TLDR. Seriously, Clarence? Like, did you not hear about the Whataburger? Come on. But at other
points, the Chief Justice seemed almost hostile to the federal government. And there was one
particularly cringe-inducing moment where the Chief seemed to fault the federal government for,
wait for it, relying on the Supreme Court's earlier pronouncements about the Second Amendment. So
let's play that clip.
Thank you, counsel. I guess to get back to the beginning. So why did you use the term
responsible if what you meant was dangerous? Okay, so the chief is basically saying,
why did you use our word, the word we made part of the legal test? Justice Scalia, in the Heller majority
opinion, literally said the Second Amendment, quote, elevates above all other interests the
right of law-abiding responsible citizens to use arms in defense of hearth and home.
All the federal government did here was use Justice Scalia's language. And the Chief Justice
is like, why did you do that? Why would you use that word? It was like, for some reason,
I couldn't stop thinking about the Princess Bride. I do not think that word means what you think it means.
But I just genuinely didn't know whether to worry about Robert's memory going or like to celebrate
that there is more grist for our shadow boxing with Justice Scalia as a big theme of the term
kind of notion. But I couldn't understand why he pressed her on just using the court's
own language.
Scalia's words are no good here anymore.
Take that and go.
Maybe that's what he was saying.
I mean, when you're too conservative for Justice Scalia, we really...
But that's where we are.
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On to the legal test. So given that it appears somewhat clear about the outcome the court is going to reach, that is, they are actually, it seems, going to uphold this law.
The real question is, how are they going to do it?
How are they going to get there?
Bruin said what the court said, right?
If you were going to look at contemporary laws, you have to think
about them in tandem with these historic regulations. Are they consistent with those
historic regulations? And the question here is going to be, are they going to try and cabin
that test in general for all cases or say something narrower? Like you don't need a
specific analogy when you're determining whether citizens are responsible or law-abiding.
Who knows?
We don't know.
It felt to me like the court is not going to admit that it made a fundamental error and it created this mess and chaos by what it said in Bruin.
Well, I mean, there are five men on this court, so that's true.
Yeah, yeah, it does.
That's who asked. We didn't do this.
I didn't take a left turn there. that the Supreme Court, in its infinite wisdom, definitely knew and said in Bruin, but that the Fifth Circuit somehow and all the other courts, maybe, or at least some of them,
striking down all manner of other gun laws, also fundamentally misunderstood.
So I can't imagine the court itself taking any responsibility for this chaos,
but it is possible at least that it says some vaguely constructive things about the level of generality
at which this historical inquiry has to be conducted. There's a possibility of some real
tension where maybe you have Justice Thomas and Justice Alito writing separately to say like,
no, Brune said what it said, like we meant what we said, you know, like these courts are onto
something, who knows. But I mean, I think the reality is everybody knows Brune created this
chaotic mess, even if the Supreme Court pretends otherwise.
The court is just the guy in the banana suit being like, we're all trying to find the guy who did this crazy thing, blowing up every sensible and needed firearm regulation. But
it's certainly not us, right? It's all on the Fifth Circuit. And it felt like to me,
some justices were not willing to just go along with that whole, oh, we're just clarifying what
we said in Bruin move. Instead, they seem to be pushing for more acknowledgement that what the Fifth Circuit did and some of what this court said in Bruin
should not be how this works, even if some of the court's analysis in Bruin suggested it could have.
Well, to be very clear, I think there are only a handful of justices on that tip,
which may lead us to a very interesting place. Yes. So Justice Kagan very much invited Solicitor General Prelogar
to just go off on Bruin's many methodological errors.
So let's play that clip here.
General, there seems to be a fair bit of division
and a fair bit of confusion about what Bruin means
and what Bruin requires in the lower courts.
And I'm wondering if you think that there's any useful guidance
in addition to resolving this case, but any useful guidance we can give to lower courts
about the methodology that Bruin requires be used and how that applies to cases even outside of this one? Yes, I think that there are three
fundamental errors in methodology that this case exemplifies and that we are seeing repeated in
other lower courts and that this case provides an opportunity for the court to clarify that Bruin
should not be interpreted in the way that Respondent is suggesting. The first error we see
is that Respondent has asserted here and and other courts have embraced the idea, that the only thing that matters under Bruin is regulation.
In other words, you can't look at all of the other sources of history that usually bear on original meaning.
And I don't think that that can be squared with this court's precedence, starting with Heller, which consulted a wide variety of historical sources, the same kind of evidence we've come forward with here about English practice, state constitutional precursors, treatises, commentary, state judicial decisions.
All of that is relevant evidence about the scope of the Second Amendment right, and I think the
Court could make clear that it's not a regulation-only test. Second, I think that looking just
at regulations themselves, one of the fundamental problems with how courts are applying Bruin
is the level of generality at which they're parsing the historical evidence. Court after court
has looked at the government's examples and picked them apart to say, well, taking them one by one,
there's a minute difference between how this regulation operated in 1791 or the ensuing
decades and how Section 922 provisions operate today. And I think that comes very close to requiring us to have a dead ringer when Bruin itself said that's not necessary.
The way constitutional interpretation usually proceeds is to use history and regulation to identify principles,
the enduring principles that define the scope of the Second Amendment right.
And so we think that you should make clear that courts should come up a level of generality
and not nitpick the historical analogs that we're offering to that degree.
And third and finally, I think that in many instances, courts are placing dispositive weight
on the absence of regulation in a circumstance where there's no reason to think that that was
due to constitutional concerns. So for example, here we don't have a regulation disarming domestic
abusers. But there is nothing on the other side of the interpretive question in this case to
suggest that anyone thought you couldn't disarm domestic abusers or couldn't disarm dangerous
people. And in that kind of context, I think to suggest that the absence of regulation bears
substantially on the meaning of the Second Amendment is to take a wrong turn.
You can almost hear the contempt in Justice Kagan's voice when she asks this question,
right? She refers to, quote, the methodology just dripping with contempt that Bruin requires.
Like you could hear the air quotes around the term methodology. And that was one of many
excellent moments from this argument. She also did give Prelogar a softball to, you know,
ask for the moon in getting the
court to clean up its mess. But... Well, okay. So can we talk about this for a minute?
I think it's probably entirely appropriate for Prelogar to do what she did as an advocate,
right? So she basically said, you all are perfect. You announced a very excellent test.
It's these lower court knobs who have completely botched it.
And now you need to correct them and tell them about what your actual excellent test means on the ground.
Please set the record straight for these morons.
The Fifth Circuit has misunderstood your infinite wisdom.
And I mean, seven out of ten, right? I mean, like, I get it,
you're constrained, like, you can't go all the way off, but I wish you'd gone a little bit off
and just been like, dudes, this test is bonkers. Like, have you seen what's happened? Like, this
isn't just the Fifth Circuit, like, Fifth Circuit's to Fifth Circuit, but part of this is on you. Like this test is a bad deal.
No, obviously, like it would have been nice to have someone say like, you fucked up. You said
some crazy shit, right? And like now we are seeing the consequences of that. So maybe you should
revisit it and admit your mistake. But you know.
So but we're law professors, so we can say that solicitor general pre-logger is the
solicitor general of the united states and she's got to go back and we never have to go so we'll
just say it for her we'll be her anger translators there we go this test is crazy and bonkers and
literally no advocate in the world should have to defend this nonsense i know yeah she really is a
saint just for having to stand up there with a straight face and just defend this monstrosity of the test.
You did great work, sweetie.
You're doing great, sweetie.
Everyone else is misunderstanding it and that's a problem.
So just please clarify.
I mean, she said it with a straight face.
They're just jealous of you.
They're jealous of you.
You're perfect.
Yeah. So someone who was kind of unwilling to go along with that facade among the justices who wanted to push back on this idea that the Bruin method was in fact a method that, you know, could be cleaned up was the cleanup queen, Justice Jackson, who was not willing to go quietly into the night with the whole, oh, Bruin was onto something. we just need to clarify it. Instead, she was like, I do not think so, you clowns,
you are not going to get away with this one. So let's walk through how KBJ kind of upended
this oral argument by pointing out repeatedly everything that is stupid about this test.
Early on in the argument, she directly went at this question about the level of generality you have to look for in a historical tradition and the problems inherent in that approach.
So let's hear her there.
Can I ask you a question about that, though?
I guess I'm trying to understand whether we can really be analyzing this consistent with the Bruin test at the level of generality of dangerousness. I wonder whether we need to be taking into account
how historically domestic violence in particular was treated, so that if we had evidence that,
you know, men who engaged in domestic violence historically were actually not perceived as then dangerous from the standpoint of disarmament.
What would we do with that in this situation?
And then when the federal government said that you don't need an exact prototype, but simply some trend or evidence of disarming dangerous individuals, Justice Jackson came back with this banger.
What's the point of going to the founding era? I mean, I thought it was doing some work,
but if we're still applying modern sensibilities, I don't really understand the historical framing.
And Justice Jackson was not finished. Here she is in the Sari Adam section of the questioning,
where each justice takes turns with Solicitor General Prelogger.
Justice Jackson?
Yes, and just to clarify in response to what you just said to Justice Barrett,
the determination of dangerousness would be evaluated based on what
modern legislatures think counts as dangerous. We're not
bound to what qualified as dangerous back in the day.
It's almost like Justice Jackson was committed to making this legal test,
right, no matter what these clowns were going to say. And then Justice Jackson had what I thought
was just this absolute banger of a hypothetical getting at the absurdity and in some ways,
like cruelty of the Bruin test. And finally, let me just ask you
prospectively, from the standpoint of a legislator today,
I mean, we've been talking about sort of the retrospective view of this, you know, when
there's an existing gun control measure that's being challenged, how do we determine by looking
at history whether or not it's constitutional?
But let's say I'm a legislator today in Maine, for example, and I'm very concerned about what has happened in that community and my people, the constituents are asking me to do something.
Do you read Bruin as step one being go to the archives and try to determine whether or not there's some historical analog for the kinds of legislation
that I'm considering. No. And just the prospect of imagining the legislature, who is very concerned
about their community, like really badly wants to do something to improve people's lives and help
everyone. The court is telling them, like, go to the archives and see if you can find an analogous
gun regulation. It's just crazy. And I think, was this the only allusion to Louis Gimene? I think so. Yeah. Right. I mean, like you absolute ghouls.
Remember in Bruin, Justice Alito went absolute apeshit when Justice Breyer actually talked about
the mass shootings that had occurred in the lead up to Bruin and how legislators
need to do things in order to stem all of those mass shootings and violence. And Justice Alito
is like- I think Buffalo in particular, he took umbrage at the invocation of.
Justice Alito is like, why are you mentioning that, right? These gun regulations couldn't
have affected that. No point. But Jackson obviously was not in any way cowed. And she
continued in the seriatim portion of the argument with Rahimi's lawyer. She continued to press on
the problems with anchoring this approach to history, and specifically her discomfort with a history of disarming people based on race.
But we have a history and traditions test. I guess I'm a little troubled by having a history
and traditions test that also requires some sort of culling of the history so that only
certain people's history counts. So what do we do with that? Isn't that a flaw with respect to the
test? Oh, is there flaw with respect to the test?
Oh, is there another way you could read this?
Amazing.
Can't be.
Very interesting.
Can't be.
I have to say throughout this argument, which I was listening to live, I was contemplating
the possibility of new intro music for the show that was like a mashup of like Justice
Jackson just dripping with disdain for Bruin and coming at this historical approach.
But it did make me think, and I think, Melissa, this is kind of what you were alluding to,
is there a possibility she will write separately to take on the Bruin method? And let's say she
wants to, is the pressure to cobble together a majority to cabin the Bruin method, including
justices who join that majority opinion and like want a history and traditions
approach, will that pressure be too strong a disincentive to do that? I hope not. Please
write a concurrence diss track, Justice Jackson. Like the world needs to hear this. Like just,
yeah, because I thought this was the point she was like, this was the point we have made over
and over again about emphasizing these moments of history that are literally about prioritizing moments of democratic deficit. And she's like,
wait, wait, wait, we're doing this for black people by relying on a method where we thought
black people were three fifths of a person. Oh, that seems right. Like that seems incredibly
normal. I mean, someone should say it. And so yes, it'd be great to have a majority here. It'd
be great to uphold the law, but someone should still separately write to say this test is bonkers and ridiculous.
I totally agree. And I just feel like the pressure for the courts to uphold this law on its face is
so strong, right? She is not going to peel off someone from that majority opinion by pointing
out the errors of Broome. Maybe, right, you don't get like a majority for some like method. But I
just feel like if you're unwilling to clean up your mess, Supreme Court, it's not her job to do that and
like go with this stink in order to, you know, get the court to do the right thing. I don't know.
But that's just me. There was another moment from the argument. This was, you know,
KBJ had done her work basically murdering the Bruin test. And it seemed like Justice Kagan
was like, you know what, I would like to murder Bruin test. And it seemed like Justice Kagan was like,
you know what, I would like to murder Bruin too. I would like in on this murder game. So let's hear
that. Do you think that the Congress can disarm people who are mentally ill, who have been
committed to mental institutions? Setting aside an enumerated powers problem, so they're in the
District of Columbia or something like that. There's definitely a tradition for restricting sale or provision of weapons to the mentally ill. All the examples
that the government has cited are late. They're post-Civil War sources, I think, for that.
If not, so I think maybe is the answer to this. I'll tell you the honest truth, Mr. Wright. I feel
like you're running away from your argument, you know, because the implications of your argument
are just so untenable that you have to say, no, that's not really my argument. I mean,
it just seems to me that your argument applies to a wide variety of disarming actions, bans, what have you, that we take for granted now because it's so obvious that
people who have guns pose a great danger to others and you don't give guns to people who
have the kind of history of domestic violence that your client has, or to the mentally ill or what
have you. So I guess, you know, I guess I'm asking you to clarify your argument, because you seem to
be running away from it, because you can't stand what the consequences of it are.
The Kagan line of you're running away from your argument, because the implications of that
argument are untenable, reminded me so much of her line from
the CFPB case where she just kind of mocked Noel Francisco for saying like, okay, you have this
legal theory, but whenever I present you with the implications, you just say, oh, that's too
important or whatever for me to stick to the theory. And she seems to be making that same
point here. I just love this tag team here. I mean, they are the Roxy Hart and Velma of this
whole situation right now. It's like Chicago Murderers
Row. Love it. This is
what I want. Exactly.
Only thing that would have made it better
if Justice Sotomayor had jumped in.
She seemed really quiet in this.
I couldn't tell where she was on this.
You know, this is part of the benefit of having
three amazing justices.
They're like, girl, hydrate. We got this.
Exactly. Go hydrate, Sonia't have to be full throttle all the time. Exactly.
Go hydrate, Sonia.
Go have a Gatorade.
It's cool.
We got this.
Fix your wig, find your light, right?
And like next argument.
All right, we're almost done bringing you clips,
but we have like another small bundle of clips
before we step back and reflect on
what's going to happen with the Bruin Method
and whether anything here will fix the problem.
So let's play Solicitor General Prelogger's closing, in which she basically told the court,
despite her extreme decorum throughout the argument and in this closing,
I think the clear message she was sending is that the implications of this are on you.
And so here she is.
My friend began his argument this morning in response to a question
from Justice Kagan saying that he does read Bruin to require the government to come forward with a
precise historical analog in order to justify a modern day firearms regulation. I think that is
a clearly incorrect reading of Bruin. Unfortunately, it's a profound misreading that many lower courts
have been adopting. And I think that it's important for the court to understand the destabilizing consequences of that reading in the lower courts.
Just last week, a court invalidated Section 922G1, the felon prohibition statute, on its face, as applied to the most violent and horrific crimes imaginable, on the theory that the government didn't have a sufficiently precise historical analog to justify a permanent ban on felons. Many courts now, several district courts, have credited as applied
challenges to Section 922G1 by armed career criminals who have multiple convictions for
aggravated assault, drug trafficking, armed robbery, clearly violent crimes, because we don't have a
sufficient historical analog disarming those subject to precisely those crimes at the founding.
And a court has also invalidated on its face the provision of federal law that prohibits possession of firearms with obliterated serial numbers,
again on the theory that we don't have a founding era analog that is sufficiently precise that says you have to serialize firearms possession.
I think that those are clearly untenable results.
They are profoundly destabilizing, and Bruin doesn't require them. Once the court corrects the misinterpretation of Bruin,
then I think the constitutional principle is clear. You can disarm dangerous persons.
And under that principle, Section 922G8 is an easy case. This was an excellent diss track,
right? It was basically you guys still needed an anger translator. This was an excellent diss track, right? It was basically, you guys suck at
tests. It still needed an anger translator. Exactly. That's what I wanted her to say.
You guys suck at making tests. Like, you're terrible at making up tests.
At least she seemed to convey that if the court doesn't do something to rein this test in,
then the consequences really do lie at the feet of the court. And so she seemed to be putting a
choice to them.
And I think it resonated.
You know who would have loved this?
You know who would have really loved this?
Justice Stephen Breyer would have been like, yes, inject this into my veins.
He would have loved this rebuttal.
Pour one out for our homie Steve.
Okay.
That's right.
I hope he was listening somewhere.
She went on discussing concerns relevant to the facts of this case and its implications.
And the third reason why Section 922G8 should be an easy case is because it does guard against a profound harm.
A woman who lives in a house with a domestic abuser is five times more likely to be murdered if he has access to a gun.
And it's not just the harms in the home. It extends to the public and to police officers as well. I was struck by the data showing that armed that domestic violence calls are the most dangerous type of call for a police officer to respond to in this country.
And for those officers who die in the line of duty, virtually all of them are murdered with handguns.
TLDR, basically, the Fifth Circuit is a methodological error.
And I kind of think she's right.
Like, let's make a shirt.
That's a shirt.
That's some merchandise right there.
The Fifth Circuit is a methodological error.
Yeah.
Invite me to the Fifth Circuit Judicial Conference.
I will wear that shirt.
Amazing.
No one is inviting you or any of us to the Fifth Circuit Judicial Conference. It's a dare, Kate.
It's a dare.
It's a dare.
If you dare.
Cowards. They wouldn't do that.
Exactly.
I actually thought this was very similar to her opening.
Let's hear a little bit about her opening.
I mean, we've covered a lot, but what's one more clip in Clipper Palooza?
Let's do it.
Mr. Chief Justice, and may it please the court.
Guns and domestic abuse are a deadly combination. As this court has said, all too often, the only difference is going to be cool with ratcheting up the level of generality and here just like relying on a general principle,
you know, inferred from history, whereas, you know, when it might instead require specific
examples, because I think the court will, in other cases, revert back to requiring more specific
analogies, where the challenge wouldn't be so adored and ridiculous and subject the court to
public ridicule. This is something,
a dynamic that Michael Dorff has called the originalism two-step, you know, where justices
kind of go back and forth between relying on very specific historical practice and insisting that's
necessary and other times ratcheting up the level of generality and relying on general principles.
And the pressure to go up a level of generality here is so strong given the evidence, but, you
know, that is outside the Bruin
method, right? As we noted at the outset. And so you're going to have this weird situation
where the court's approach to Bruin method is potentially dictated by these offstage considerations
and stuff the court doesn't talk about, like the evidence linking guns and domestic violence to
death. But there isn't going to be a rule that says, here's when specifics are required and
here's when they're not. The court probably won't even acknowledge when it does something different.
So you will still have some courts like the Fifth Circuit testing the limits and boundaries of what the court will do and allow the Fifth Circuit to
get away with. And to me, that's just a recipe for chaos and disaster. Yeah, I totally agree.
And I think it's important. That's an important counterpoint to some of the sort of size of relief
that the court is likely to uphold this law that seemed to characterize the initial reception of the argument. It seemed like, okay, this law is going to stand. And so actually,
the court is not quite as unhinged as people had feared. And I don't think that's true at all.
They're going to uphold this law, and the method is still an unbelievable disaster. And that,
I think, is actually the most important takeaway here.
I mean, if you're listening to mainstream media, like they're trumpeting this as a major victory,
a major victory for women. And again,
I hate to be the turd in the punch bowl, but let's just do it. Like, it's a muted victory,
if it is a victory. And like, obviously, we'll celebrate when they uphold this law. And I think
they will. But this test is going to live on. And it's going to do incalculable damage to women all
around the country. And it's not just a test that's used for guns. Like this is the test that was also used in Dobbs. So
there's a way in which this case is not just a follow on to Bruin, it's also a follow on to
Dobbs. And they seem to have no appetite for correcting it. Yeah. But the court is not done.
They apparently had such a good time with the Rahimi argument, they decided they wanted to
take more gun cases. They couldn't possibly just rule in favor of the government, likely, in a gun case without
essentially doing some offsetting work to underscore that they still really are enthusiastic
about the Second Amendment and the NRA's vision of it, and essentially what a jurist once called
the hoax perpetrated on the country by the NRA. And that is not just our take.
That was Warren Burger.
Remember him?
Noted liberal squish.
Rhino, former chief justice of the United States.
So let's roll this gem from the archives,
because we're supposed to do history and tradition now.
And so this is how we do it.
And we can do it too, bitches.
If I were writing the Bill of Rights now,
there wouldn't be any such thing as the Second Amendment.
Which says?
That a well-regulated militia being necessary for the defense of the state, people's rights to bear arms.
This has been the subject of one of the greatest pieces of fraud, I repeat the word fraud, on the American public by special interest groups that I have ever seen in my lifetime.
As an aside, Justice Stevens really loved that clip.
Well, obviously, the court has changed a lot since 1991, when Chief Justice Berger gave
that interview to Charlene Hunter-Gault just last week.
The court granted cert in NRA versus Vulo.
And in that case, the NRA is arguing that it's being discriminated against.
Specifically, it argues that the head of the New York Department of Financial Services
induced banks and insurance companies to avoid doing business with the NRA
because of the NRA's unpopular views.
And here's the rub.
This is a qualified immunity case.
So just like, just better and better. Of course, they're
going to say the one time where officials are not entitled to qualified immunity is when they are
regulating the NRA. And FYI, NRA, maybe the New York Department of Financial Services isn't
inducing anyone. Maybe banks and insurance companies just aren't that into you. Think about it. The court also granted cert in Garland versus Cargill. And the question
here is whether the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, and Firearms Regulation of bump stocks is authorized
by federal law. The National Firearms Act prohibited the transfer or possession of any
new machine gun, and the ATF interpreted machine gun to include bump stocks,
which are devices designed and intended to permit users to convert a semi-automatic rifle so that
the rifle can be fired continuously with a single pull of the trigger, discharging potentially
hundreds of bullets per minute. Perfect for a mass shooting. And I guarantee the major question
doctrine will make a surprise appearance, maybe
not even a surprise appearance here. Oh, yeah, for sure. Right. Chevron, right. Kill Chevron,
major questions, right. Fever, dreams against the administrative state coupled with guns. It's just
like a little bit too much to spark joy. The Venn diagram is strong here. Yeah.
So let's briefly cover the two other cases the court heard last week, and then we will turn to some court culture.
The first of those cases was Department of Agriculture, Rural Development, Rural Housing Service versus Kurtz,
which is a case about whether the United States has waived its sovereign immunity under the Fair Credit Reporting Act. Sovereign immunity is the idea that governments like the United States or state governments are generally immune from lawsuits
without their consent. The question here is whether the U.S. consented to be sued in lawsuits brought
under the Fair Credit Reporting Act. The justices seem to be trending in favor of saying the
government could not be sued, and that might produce a strange bedfellows lineup because the Democratic appointees and Justice Gorsuch, those justices seemed to think that actually lawsuits could be brought. The government had waived its immunity. So maybe you do have Gorsuch and the Democratic appointees, I think was kind of exemplified in this clip where he somewhat uncharacteristically, actually really uncharacteristically deferred to another justice.
So let's play that exchange here.
And there may be other provisions in which it's more narrowly applied here.
But why does that pertain to N and O is my question.
So I'm being too slow in getting to this.
You are.
Let's get to the statute before us.
Utility air.
May I?
Please.
Utility air was a very special case in which the court decided that if you just plugged the definition in, the entire regulatory scheme would collapse.
So the first part of the court's decision was utility air?
So all I'm saying is that that, nowhere near this case. I mean, I understand that the government likes
sovereign immunity and that waivers of sovereign immunity are, you know, not all that common.
But this is not a utility air scheme where essentially the court found that it was
inconsistent with the entire rest of the statutory scheme. Recognizing a cause of action here is not inconsistent with the entire
rest of the statutory scheme. I'm sorry about that. Well, no, I appreciate that. And that's
my question, too. So please. There was a humorous moment where the justices did not want to be
deprived of their precious seriatim time. That's the time when the justices get to take turns
asking questions after the free-for-all portion
of oral arguments where any of them can ask at any time.
So let's roll that clip.
Thank you, Mr. Snyder.
Oh, my God.
Whoa.
We also got a nice window into the story
Decisis is for Suckers energy
that continues to dominate this court. There are a lot of important decisions from the 1970s and the 1980s that use a method
of statutory interpretation that is probably not the one that we would use if those questions came
before us today. You think we should just disregard all those? They're all fair game. Are they all fair game?
I think it's open to certainly litigants to argue that the court should, the statute should be something different. Well, the answer to that question has got to be no, right, Mr. Josh?
I mean, we're not going to throw out all our precedents because we've decided that there's
a better way to interpret statutes.
I think there's just like a lot to be written about this, you know, what they're going to do,
what they're talking about doing, and what actually comes out in the writing in some of these statutory cases. Because as you know, they love telling us, they're all textualists now.
Well, I guess some of them have like repudiated that a little bit, Justice Kagan in particular,
but there's obviously a, you know obviously an avowed textualist majority
on the court. But there are a lot of statutory cases out there where very, very different modes
of interpretation were used. And I don't know, are they really so disinterested and precedent,
they're just going to throw all that out the window because those cases did not sufficiently
hew to the text of statutes? I don't know. But I do think there's a sort of intertemporal
statutory interpretation problem that keeps coming up in these oral statutes. I don't know, but I do think there's a sort of intertemporal statutory interpretation problem that keeps coming up in these oral arguments,
and I don't know if the court has yet decided how to address it.
I'm guessing no. The court also heard oral argument in Rudisill v. McDonough,
which is about the rules for veterans who obtain education benefits under two separate programs,
the Montgomery benefits under the Montgomery GI Bill and the post 9-11 GI bill.
And basically, it's about what happens when someone is eligible for benefits under both
programs.
Do you have to first use the benefits under the less generous program first, or can you
go immediately to the most generous benefits?
So it's basically like when you have two forms of insurance and who gets to tag in first,
the generous insurance or the
really meager insurance. It seems here that the court is going to say that the veterans are
eligible for the more generous benefits and can use those more generous benefits first.
But interestingly, the court did not have very kind words for the government's argument here.
So let's hear this clip from the Chief Justice.
I know there must be something wrong with the way, at least on this point, because it doesn't
make any sense. But the reason that the petitioner here has this particular difficulty is that he
served an additional tour of duty after 9-11, in addition to what he had served before 9-11.
Now, if you have somebody who just joined up after 9-11 for the same period as the petitioner served,
the petitioner is getting fewer benefits than the person who only served one tour of duty for the same length,
because if he served just
the post-9-11 for whatever, three years, he would get three years. But because this petitioner had
served additionally beyond his period of post-9-11, he doesn't get the full benefit of the post-9-11
benefits. So there must be something wrong there because that would not make any sense.
And Justice Sotomayor.
The only problem with that answer,
it doesn't really answer Justice Kagan's question.
Her hypothetical suggested, I think,
that it's irrational to think that Congress would say,
if you wait and take the one month, you'll get 12. But if you
decide to take the one, not take the one month and switch over immediately, that you're going
to lose those 12 months. That's what's basically, I think, the irrationality.
It just seems utterly arbitrary.
And the Chief Justice again.
Well, but that still doesn't make all that much sense because he's getting those other benefits
because he had an additional, a couple additional tours of duty.
So maybe, you know, he's entitled to both of them.
But because of this other provision there, he can't get both at the same time. But it seems to me to be a pretty raw deal to say you're going to lose.
You're entitled. If you hadn't done anything other than the 9-11, you would be entitled to this.
But because you served additional period of time, you don't get the whole 9-11.
You've got to exhaust this other less generous plan first.
Thank you for your service, gentlemen and ladies.
OK, so should we move on to some court culture? Yes. Sure. We figured we would take a peek at what
is going on in the Fifth Circuit, kind of in light of the Rahimi argument that was, you know,
the biggest event last week. And we know we brought you a Fifth Circuit deep dive a few weeks back.
But honestly, that circuit just does not seem to sleep because we already just a few
weeks later have a lot we need to bring you up to speed on. So we're going to talk about two cases
that were argued in the Fifth Circuit just last week. One case the Fifth Circuit heard oral
argument in was the contraception case, Deanda v. Becerra. This is a case we have previously
talked about. It's Judge Kaczmarek's contraception case, in which the court said that the Title X program was unconstitutional because it violated parents'
rights, and particularly a regulation that allows minors access to contraception.
The federal government said that the plaintiffs didn't have standing, since it wasn't clear
whether the plaintiffs' children would seek to access contraception or use Title X to do so. So
that's the standing argument. And
seems like a pretty sensible argument, but not for the Fifth Circuit. Judge Haynes suggested that
maybe the normal rules of standing don't apply in parental rights context. Because the whole point
is you don't know what your kid's going to do on something like this.
When the government's lawyer pointed out that the parent challenging the program didn't identify his daughter's age,
the judge suggested that it doesn't matter.
Before they're 18, more than likely, they're going to be old enough and in a position to get pregnant.
They're also going to be in a position where people are wanting to have sex
with them. Okay. Whoa. Okay. Very, very normal. Not at all. And speaking of not very normal,
we also got more than one invocation of Robert Bork, since Robert Bork is apparently treated as
governing legal authority in the Fifth Circuit. So Robert Bork was Ronald Reagan's nominee for the Supreme Court. He was a judge on
the D.C. Circuit and former Solicitor General during the Nixon administration, during which
he became Acting Attorney General after other officials refused to fire the special prosecutor
investigating Nixon. But Bork was like, sure, I'll do it. Bork had previously been an academic
where he had criticized, among other things, Roe versus Wade and the Supreme Court's decision in Griswold protecting the right to
contraception and Marbury versus Madison. And the Senate decided not to confirm him.
And this is the guy the Fifth Circuit is invoking. So here's the first indication.
One of the major purposes of the Title 10 program, and certainly that's become very clear in the light of the most recent regulation,
is to make sure that adolescents receive services, including prescription contraceptives,
and that their parents not be notified. That seems to me to be Judge Bork in 1982, sort of
1983, kind of sort of, I guess, speculated or thought that that might be the purpose.
But now we know it is because of the new regulation.
Here's the second.
I mean, let's put it this way. Here's here's what Judge Bork said in 1983.
And because good things come in threes, they did it a third time, though we won't play that.
And the guy doing these invocations is Judge Kyle Duncan. And I guess, you know, we are on to late stage textualism, where textualism now means discerning what Robert Bork. I think that's actually a hugely important
data point. Yes, it's like the fantasy SCOTUS, like the one where Robert Bork was chief justice.
Yeah, yeah. I think that's the court the Fifth Circuit thinks it lives under.
And they're just deciding cases as though that's the state of the world. Okay, so we also wanted
to play two clips of some of the judges summarizing the claim that Judge Kazmarek ruled for, and that the Fifth Circuit is definitely open to ruling for.
So here's one.
It's my understanding periods can start pretty young.
Not five, but some even, I think, eight or nine-year-olds get their periods.
So it's not 15.
Ten is pretty common. So it is not that old that these young
girls need to be to be old enough to get pregnant should they have this interaction with this other
guy that they're trying to, again, get medicine, get advice, deal with the fact that they had the sex and address that, whatever it is.
And he's trying to avoid that pathway because once she's gone and had sex with someone,
she's not a virgin when she gets married. And again, I'm not myself judging that. I'm simply
saying he would on his religion, and I respect that.
And here's another. If she did receive contraceptives without my knowledge, that
interferes in a dramatic way with my ability to parent, because the child now has a means of
engaging in sexual activity and avoiding certain consequences of it in that.
Are you there, God? It's me, the Fifth Circuit. Like, why don't, why doesn't anyone know how
menstruation works? Also, like, why don't they know how consent works? Like, if you're eight or
nine, you cannot legally consent to sex. If you are a minor, right, in some cases, you cannot,
like, or even if you're a woman who just has sex,
you are not or shouldn't be thought of as just being like, okay, and therefore you can become
pregnant, right? That is not just accepting the consequence of having sex. I just can't get over
just sort of the general like, I heard a thing about periods once. I mean, that's the part. I'm
just like, what? Just like, go ask a physician.
Like, go to, like, but this is the thing.
They don't trust experts.
Anyway.
The Fifth Circuit also heard oral argument in the Emtala case, Texas versus Becerra.
This is the case where the state of Texas is arguing that health and human services guidance to hospitals under the Emergency Medical Treatment and Active Labor Act is illegal. That guidance says that Medicare-funded hospitals must make available medication abortion
if that is required to save a patient's life or stabilize their health or care.
And the federal government has said that EMTALA preempts Texas's abortion ban
to the extent it prohibits that kind of care.
And of course, the state of Texas is like, I don't think so,
ma'am. I don't think so. Nope, nope, nope. And of course, a district court in Texas invalidated
that guidance. And that case is now being reviewed by the Fifth Circuit. And of course,
the Fifth Circuit is like, well, Texas allows abortions to save the life of the pregnant person.
So we're done. We've covered EMTALA's
requirement that we stabilize care. Done. 10 out of 10. But to be clear, that is not Texas actually
allowing abortions to protect the life or health of pregnant individuals is absolutely not happening
on the ground. The federal government's lawyer brought this up in the oral argument, and this
is a topic that we're going to be taking up at more length next week.
These are just details, Kate.
These are meaningless details.
Everyone knows what's happening.
Women's lives, specifically.
Those are the meaningless details.
Details.
Details.
Tiny stuff.
So during the EMTALA argument, we got some fetal personhood curious comments like this one.
I'm not plucking them out of the statute.
You're plucking something out of thin air and saying it's in the statute.
I'm not saying it's not. I'm just saying you've got this language in the statute that actually
addresses the stabilizing care that has to happen with a pregnant woman, and it has to care for the
unborn child. And the federal government's lawyer responded by saying, you know, the statute requires
care for individuals and people and the fetus is not a person. But the challenger's lawyer, you know, the lawyer challenging this
guidance, likened the guidance and requiring stabilizing care, you know, in the context of
abortions. The challenger's lawyer likened that to organ transplants and was like, well, I'm told
it doesn't allow doctors to go out and take someone's organ if a patient needs an organ
transplant and that would stabilize them, which once again calls to mind fetal personhood, since it is equating fetuses with living, breathing people
whose organs would be taken away. And again, this is happening within two years of DAPs.
Yeah, the Fifth Circuit wants to get to actually enshrining fetal personhood in the Constitution
very, very quickly. I don't think the Supreme Court wants to go quite that fast, but I think
the Fifth Circuit is just gracing the wheels. Sort of related, definitely related court culture to
touch on, we have a development in the medication abortion case. This is the case in which Judge
Matthew Kusmerich, who has already come up in this episode, ruled that mifepristone is essentially an
unauthorized drug. The Fifth Circuit rolled that back somewhat, but did impose very serious limits
on mifepristone, one of
the drugs in the medication abortion protocol. So there is a petition pending in the Supreme Court
from the federal government and also the drug manufacturer asking the court to review the Fifth
Circuit opinion. And there was also a conditional cross petition pending that was filed by the
anti-abortion doctors. And they basically tell the court it shouldn't grant the cert petition,
but that if it does grant cert, it should also grant their petition challenging the parts of the Fifth Circuit opinion that ruled against them.
Because obviously they do want to shoot the moon and see if they could get the Supreme Court to embrace the Kaczmarek, no Mifepristone for anyone rule.
So that's essentially background.
Now for the latest development.
So a group of states have now filed a motion to intervene in the district court.
And this could potentially delay the Supreme Court taking the case. The states are arguing that they have standing,
even if these individual plaintiff doctors and organizations don't have standing,
including for reasons like they have just learned that their residents are traveling out of state
to access Mifepristone elsewhere. And so they have a concrete stake in the court's disposition of
this Mifepristone legality question. And as we've
discussed previously, the individual plaintiffs' standing arguments in this case are so atrocious
that even this court might find that there is no standing, which would mean the challenge can't go
forward, which would be very good news and definitely legally correct. But this development,
I think, opens up the possibility that the Supreme Court could say the individual plaintiffs don't
have standing, but the district court and the Fifth Circuit could very quickly thereafter come back and say, here, these states have standing to essentially bring the same claim.
It's also possible the Supreme Court will sit on this case until the district court acts on the motion to intervene.
I am not sure what the sequencing will be. least for now, Mifepristone remains available. So there are not short-term implications for access,
but it is an unbelievable mess in terms of sort of what the procedural future of this case and
its trajectory looks like. It also, to my mind, I think, opens up the possibility of real manipulation
of timing with the 2024 presidential election in view. And that makes me, I was already nervous
about that with this case. I'm sure John Roberts is thinking about it.
And I think this move by the states only further empowers the court to control the timing. So let's maybe unpack that just for a second, you know, because we had been expecting this case would make its way to the Supreme Court's docket this year, which means there would be a decision by July 2024, i.e. before the presidential election.
But let's say the court holds on to this petition until the district court acts on the motion to intervene. That could push the case to next year, i.e. after
the presidential election. And so the court would not be in a position of issuing some highly
problematic opinion about access to medication abortion with maybe some crazy separate writing
arguing that the Comstock Act also prohibits contraception right before a presidential election where voters could actually go to the polls and express like, we want politicians who
are not going to be appointing judges or justices who do these things. We want politicians who would
actually protect reproductive rights. And the possibility that the court would learn from Dobbs,
oh, right, like we actually don't want to do this stuff in the lead up to an election is,
I think, really terrifying. It's almost like the Chief Justice is like,
I can't control Sam and Clarence, but I can control time. Yes.
And I will. I will control this calendar. Like this is his one superpower, and he's probably
going to lean into it. But you know what, Chief Justice, we're going to keep reminding people that
what comes after the election is the same as what could have come before. They're just putting it off anyway. It's not just Marie Kondo
who loves mess. The Supreme Court loves mess, as Kate has suggested. And it also loves a messy
cert docket. So we got some cert petitions in cases challenging bans on gender affirming care.
And the United States has intervened and filed a brief urging the court
to take the case. So yikes. We did have some good news. So there were elections and Ohio
passed issue one enshrining protections for reproductive rights in the state's constitution
via direct democracy. This was, we should say, despite the concerted efforts of the Republican
Party, the state
Republican Party, to throttle the processes of direct democracy.
You know, first they called a special election to try and change the threshold for amending
the Ohio Constitution.
That failed.
Then they changed the actual ballot question so that instead of the text of the amendment,
it contained, you know, what people described as like an incredibly hostile description
of the amendment containing the word unborn child and referencing only abortion when in fact the amendment covered a range of reproductive decisions like contraception and fertility treatments.
But guess what?
None of those efforts worked.
The amendment passed anyways.
As a great justice, Samuel Alito, once said, women are not without electoral or political power.
Thank you, Sam.
You are right.
And you have literally fueled the rage of an entire generation.
You, sir.
Hats off to you.
And yet, Americans United for Life responded with a statement saying that, quote, the results in Ohio are a reminder of the moral danger of majoritarianism, of allowing the strong to victimize the weak.
So too much democracy is a bad thing, especially when women are doing the democracying.
Do their husbands know they're voting?
Let's find out.
Speaking of democracy bad, the Ohio house is reportedly considering a proposal to eliminate
court's jurisdiction over cases concerning issue one in ohio which would make you know that new
state constitutional protection for reproductive rights potentially unenforceable in court it's
like you know let's put this back to the democratic process well but again like you have like small
segment of progressives and the left like urging the left to consider jurisdiction stripping given how hostile the federal courts are. And it's like, you know, conservatives, Republicans lose one issue via direct democracy. And it's like, okay, we're going to Democratic Justice for the open state Supreme Court seat.
They also flipped the Pennsylvania Court of Appeals to make that court more progressive.
So these were races we were watching really closely.
Those are great results.
Also, Andy Beshear in Kentucky beating Daniel Cameron.
And we talked about Daniel Cameron last year because there was a major case that Daniel Cameron as AG of Kentucky had brought regarding abortion
and just really glad that he is not going to be in a position to be the governor of Kentucky.
That's right. And if we are listing other highlights from the night, both houses of Virginia flipped blue.
I don't think people were totally sure how either of those houses was going to end up,
and both turning blue is a very, very big deal.
So those nights are scary. But occasionally,
like there's good news. And this was one of them. But they are also a reminder that like,
if you want good news, you should start doing things now. And I have to say, like in the lead
up to this election, like I was feeling really nervous, you know, like Michigan, we had the
reproductive rights ballot initiative on the ballot last year. And I felt like, okay, like,
I kind of knew and had some sense for like, what I could do, I could go like door knocking and like
talk to people about the ballot initiative.
But the reality is, is, like, there are things to do every year.
And, like, you have to figure out what those things are.
And it's probably time to start doing them now.
We're going to stay on this hustle forever.
Like, or else.
Yes.
That's how they win.
We just have to keep.
We can't get tired.
It's got to.
We've got to do the same thing that Justices Jackson, Kagan, and Sotomayor are doing.
Taking turns.
Letting one lady stay hydrated
while the other two do the work. And that's what we're doing here on Sticks Courtenay.
So I think we'll leave it there. The court is going to be off next week, resting up for whatever
fresh hell they have planned for the December sitting. So we are going to be doing extra
hydration and calisthenics. So we are prepared for the December sitting. But we do have a special
episode in store for you next week that is about a case or really a couple of cases that are not in the Supreme Court, but they are related to Dobbs and
they are really, really important. So stay tuned for that. At Crooked, we love Kari Yuma and their
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