Stuff You Should Know - Short Stuff: Tulipmania
Episode Date: April 2, 2025The world experienced its first economic bubble when the Dutch went bonkers for tulips in the 1630s. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information....
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iHeartRadioApp, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Hey, and welcome to The Short Stuff.
I'm Josh, and there's Chuck and Jerry sitting in for Dave, and this is Short Stuff about
Tulip Mania.
That's right.
Tulip Mania was perhaps the first financial bubble to happen and then burst.
And we should probably talk a little bit
about what an economic bubble is, don't you think?
Yeah, it's where the price of a good or an asset
or something like that, let's just say item,
goes sky high, way, way, way beyond any reasonable value
that it should have.
And that's because of exuberant trading.
And the more exuberant the trading is,
the more people get sucked in by it,
and they wanna make some money too,
so more people start investing
and the prices keep going higher and higher and higher.
That's the first part of the bubble.
There's another less happy side of the bubble too.
That's right, because as anyone who's ever been to a bubble rave or played bubbles with
your kids or just adult friends who enjoy bubbling, that bubble's going to burst.
They all will eventually.
And that's what happens with an economic bubble too.
The price will drop usually pretty quickly and a lot of people start selling off very
quickly and those who get out early enough can usually avoid it but every single time someone is
gonna be left holding that asset that is all of a sudden not worth much of
anything and a lot of times people have invested their entire life savings in
this stuff a lot of times they bought this stuff on credit and all of a
sudden this thing isn't worth that much money and they're in real real financial trouble.
Yeah, it's a bad scene.
And so like you said, all the way back in the 17th century, people consider the first
economic bubble to have surrounded tulips and tulip bulbs in Holland.
That's right.
And when you said tulip mania, that's really what it was called.
You weren't just being cheeky.
No, that's what it's referred to, I'm sure, among economists, among historians, among
the Dutch, among podcasters.
It's called tulip mania.
That wasn't just me being funny.
So a little bit about tulips, native to places like Kazakhstan and Eastern Europe and the
Himalayas.
They don't look like the tulips in their original form that we think of today, but they have
been cultivated over the years and, you know, cross-bred to where they look like they look
like tulips now.
These beautiful, we even have tulips popping up here in Atlanta already this spring.
And they're lovely.
They're grown from bulbs and they're, I don't know about
how easy or hard it is, but they, like I said, are cross-bred to create new and exciting
varieties and colors.
Yeah. So Tulips first arrived in Holland around 1600. The Dutch East India Company was moving
spices and exotic goods from the East to Europe, Holland in particular. And tulips
arrived and for the first couple decades they were, you know, if you were a plant
enthusiast you probably had a tulip in your collection. If you were very, very
rich and just wanted to show off how cutting-edge you were you might have
some tulips in your garden. But they weren't a big deal until 1634.
And the reason they became a big deal almost overnight
was because those same upper classes and nobility
in Holland decided that tulips were now a status symbol.
And that if you didn't have tulips growing in your garden
and you were a member of the aristocracy or nobility,
you were a total loser with a capital L.
That's right.
So in this case, you had, economically speaking, you had a big time demand all of a sudden,
but not only was it a big time demand, it was a big time demand of people that had a
lot of money.
So the price went through the roof very, very quickly. A bulb, a single bulb,
one tulip bulb would fetch 2,000 florin. And just to put it into perspective, what you
could buy back then for 2,000 florin, 16,000 pounds of cheese, 250 tons of beer, a couple
of hundred sheep or maybe 16 grown oxen.
And they were paying prices in today's dollars.
Thank you, Investopedia, for doing this weird translation.
But in today's dollars, for a single tulip bulb,
they were paying 50 grand, 150 grand,
even sometimes for the rarest varieties,
up to a million dollars for a single bulb.
Yeah, that 50, you do 150 grand, that was like day to day stuff.
Right.
That's what a single tulip bulb would go for.
Bulb!
It was nuts.
Even at the time, there were people who were watching this
and they were like, this is crazy.
They're tulips for God's sake.
Yeah, they're writing out a giant check with a feathered pen, and they're just like,
I can't believe I'm paying this amount of money for Tulip.
Exactly.
I say we take a break and come back and talk
some more about Tulip Mania.
["Tulip Mania Theme Song"]
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9th, subscribe to Lava for Good Plus on Apple Podcasts. Okay, Chuck.
So we were just talking about how crazy expensive a single tulip bulb was in Holland in the
1630s.
Single tulip bulbs.
Right.
So some people among the wealthy
would use like significant portions of their fortune,
of their wealth to buy tulips and just grow them.
They weren't reselling them, they weren't doing anything.
They were buying tulips and growing them.
They were spending half of their net worth
to buy tulips just to show off, right?
At some point, people started saying like,
I think that if I start buying tulips
and then selling them for a higher price,
I could really make some money.
And as a matter of fact, I can start speculating
where I will go into futures contracts with people
and say, hey, I'll sell you X number of tulips
in three weeks for X number of dollars,
because I'm betting that the price is gonna go down,
but you're betting that the price is gonna go up,
let's see who wins.
And speculation is one of the main drivers essentially
of an economic bubble.
Like it's crazy that the single bulbs are going for that,
but once people started speculating
and creating like instruments and futures contracts
based on that crazy high price,
that's when it really started to get troublesome.
Yeah, for sure.
They were actually sold on the Dutch Stock Exchange.
And these were, you know, some wealthy investors,
but everybody got in on the gang, like,
the gang? The game.
Just regular middle- working class people,
even like people of the lower classes, they started cashing in everything they could,
selling their houses in some cases, selling the tools of their trade that they were previously
making money on to invest in these tulips. And you know, what's gonna happen is that eventually
it's gonna burst and it did so less than two years
after this frenzied investment stuff started in 1636.
Yeah, the bubble burst because some people,
like we said earlier, that there were some people
who were like, this is crazy.
And even some speculators and people who were invested
in tulips were like, this is not going to last much longer.
I'm going to get out.
And as more people started to decide to get out,
you can trigger a panic.
And if you trigger a panic, all of a sudden the bubble bursts
and the price just drops precipitously.
And that's what happened with the tulip mania bubble.
A bunch of people who had large stocks of tulip bulbs
when the price dropped almost overnight
were ruined financially.
They had, say, hundreds of thousands of dollars
worth of tulips that they'd paid hundreds of thousands
of dollars for that were now worth hundreds of dollars.
And it was a bad jam for anybody who was caught
with tulip bulbs when the bubble burst
Yeah, I mean it affected the wealthy
Obviously in some cases but it also affected a lot of those people that were looking to get wealthy and did sometimes
You know get make a lot of money during this, you know less than two-year period
But you know that like I said some people sold their homes and all of a sudden they don't have a home and they're stuck
With all these tulips. Yeah the trades and people who you know sold their homes and all of a sudden they don't have a home and they're stuck with all these tulips.
The trades people who sold their tools because they were like, hey, I'm in the tulip game
now.
I don't need these iron working skills or tools.
All of a sudden they couldn't even go back to that trade because they didn't have the
stuff they needed to do it.
And the people who bought those future contracts were the people that were really, really in
trouble, right?
Yeah, because again, you're saying, I will buy a thousand tulip bulbs in four weeks at, you know, a million dollars.
And when the bubble burst and those tulip, the thousand bulbs were now worth a thousand dollars,
and you're on the hook to pay a million,000,000 for them, those speculators were
like, I'm sorry, I'm not doing this.
Or they can't.
Yeah, they might not have been able to any longer.
But the suppliers who had these tulip bulbs and were technically owed $1,000,000 regardless
of what the tulip bulbs were worth, they won their bet.
But they still, the buyers would not pay the suppliers.
And that's what really created this huge financial crisis.
And it got bad enough at first, the Dutch governments of the big cities.
And I think the, the monarchy did not get involved.
They did not want to get involved.
The courts were like, we're not going to hear any cases because these are
bets as far as the law is concerned and a bet isn't legally binding.
But it was so bad.
The Dutch economy was in such tatters
because so many people had gotten into tulips, Chuck,
that they just, like you said,
trades people just sold their tools,
people sold their houses.
The regular economy that was built on that kind of work
and stuff like that,
it sagged, it was unmaintained during this tulip mania.
So it was a big problem that the Dutch had.
So finally, some of the higher ups got involved
and tried to figure this out.
Well, they tried to, yeah, not to much effect,
but the courts finally said,
all right, we have to do something here. So why don't we work out a deal where the traders pay 10% of the contracts face value?
But nobody was happy with that because the suppliers were still losing tons of money the buyers still
were in bad shape because the value of those tulips just you know plummeted and
10% of a future contract was a lot more than they were worth now.
And so, you know, nobody really won in the end, and it wrecked the Dutch economy for, you know,
it took a couple of decades to sort of naturally heal itself back to where it was.
Yeah, that's what the Dutch government ultimately decided to do is nothing,
and it just had to mend itself naturally as people got back to work and people
sold their tulip bulbs for way less.
But they did sell their tulip bulbs because the Dutch were still, and are
still kind of crazy for tulips.
Oh yeah.
They, I read that they still pay higher prices than other countries for tulip
bulbs because people just know that the Dutch are crazy for tulips and they'll
pay it.
And I guess every, about this time of year, just know that the Dutch are crazy for tulips and they'll pay it.
And I guess every, about this time of year, every year, the Dutch countryside just explodes
in color.
Yeah, it's gorgeous.
And I can also recommend a classic Conan O'Brien bit.
When he used to go on location and do remote stuff, he has a very, very funny one from, I believe, his like first iteration
of his show where he and Andy went to Amsterdam and went out with a camera to the tulip farms
in the tulip markets. It was very, very funny. I'm sure you can still find it.
Thanks, man. Thanks for the recommendation. You got anything else?
I have no other recommendations other than plant tulip bulbs.
They're gorgeous.
Yeah, and beware economic bubbles.
Yeah, that too.
Short stuff is apt.