Talkin' Baseball (MLB Podcast) - 489 | Which Teams Have Beaten Vegas?

Episode Date: May 18, 2022

Jomboy, Jake, & Plouffe are checking in on the preseason over/under lines to see which teams have already conquered their expectations Go to https://getroman.com/TALKIN today, and if you’re prescribed, get $15 off your first month of ED treatment Visit https://athleticgreens.com/baseball to get a FREE 1-year supply of immune-supporting Vitamin D AND 5 FREE travel packs with your first purchase. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Hello and welcome to Talking Baseball. It is the midweek episode, and we're here to check in to see how teams are doing compared to how Vegas said they should be doing. Anorin scores, Red Man. It's a little like Jack Harleck. So do I. Hello and welcome to Talking Baseball presented by Seatkeek. My name is Jimmy.

Sitting next to me is Jake in California. We got Trevor Plooping behind the dish producers. BPD. This episode was almost a monthly staple last year, and it's the first time we're doing it this year. I'm excited because it helps us just check in with who's over-delivering and under-delivering, according to what Vegas and ourselves thought they would be doing. It's the over-under-check-in.

Trev, are you worded, excited? What are your emotions going in? into this look around the league. So I did a little gander at our over-under sheet from the beginning of the year. I did not look at the sheet that we have now in front of us, which has like the predictions and like what people need to go to fulfill the over-unders. So I'm kind of in the dark as to how we've done. I think last year, if I'm not mistaken, I think Jake took the title.

Is that right? I think I had it throughout the year and then like last month of the season I shot the bed I'm pretty sure yeah Trev you did you got 17 right last year I got 15 Jake got 13 did I know that and just tee it up maybe but listen

wow we um we this isn't blind I guess it is blind we do research we do the TPPs so a lot of the stuff that we predict I think it's it's more informed than other stuff you're going to see and hopefully this shows that I'm not sure if it does but I like to think that. Jake, what's up, bro? Trevor James, BPD, everyone and their pets.

Hope you guys are having a fantastic day. I'm doing well. I'm excited to get in here. We learn things along the way. I know there's some fun stuff for the teams with the hot starts that are going to be like, hey, like you already, you didn't win the war, but you kind of did. like if you just keep your skis going down the mountain

like you're on track for a really good year and it might be funny to see teams that maybe we've been overreacting or underreacting to that may be right on pace of what we expected. So excited to go in there and excited to see, you know, I kind of mentioned this last episode we just hit the point where like I think the train's out of the station. The season started.

you're in, you're out, you had a bad start, you had a good start. Two, three teams, four teams are about to flip the script. There's about to be a couple teams that turn it on or find it. Or opposite end of the spectrum, you have a bad injury, you have a bad month, something happens. You know, the baseball season is a roller coaster. We're six weeks in. Someone's about to have an awful six weeks.

Someone's about to have an incredible six weeks. I don't know who it is, but I'm going to be. excited to find out. Jim? I'm excited too. I really wanted to see the teams that are, have an easy shot at this point. Obviously, it's early and there's a ton of baseball left, but I'll just, I'll just tee it up for you right away. What if I told you, Trevor Plouffe, that the Jake's Diamondbacks, Jake's snakes, could go, could win at a 397 clip the rest of the season, go 50 and 76, and hit the over.

That's a bad rest of the way. And they would hit the over. And we all agreed on the under. They win 50 more games out of their next 126 games, and the over's hit. I saw Toro Lavello today on MLB Network, and he was talking about pitching, how excited he was about it before the year.

I think that's something we missed, I guess, on them. Brent Strom effect. But that's a good one to start out with. We didn't give Jake Snakes a lot of credit, but they came out hot. They're not even the most, whatever you would say, least amount of wins needed for the over on the list.

Baltimore Orioles, we all agreed the under. 62 and a half, we said, under, under, they've been pesky. Jake's been telling you. No, he has not. 49 wins, and they hit the over out of their next 126 games. Jim, by the way, and I don't know if you're, if you are feeling this or not feeling this, the Orioles are actually right on path.

They were, the over under was 62 and a half. Right now they're projected for 63 wins. Yeah. So, I mean, you say that, but the Orioles are right where Vegas thought they'd be. It's true. But it's still, I don't know, it's likely. I thought it was a lock. We all agreed.

I think if they lose tonight, they're projected for the under. And with these teams that we, Vegas projected for the very low win totals. You know, they've, you talked about, you know, a decently hot start for these guys, has them on track to go over. But remember, with a decently hot start, that means there's probably a month here.

It's going to be pretty bad last year. You want to hear the Orioles worst month? Let's hear it. How many wins do? Four and 24. That's a bad month. That's a bad month to baseball. So there are months like this that can still happen on either side.

I guess that's what we're kind of highlighting a little bit today. But four and 24 last year, that's a 143 winning percentage. It was in August in case you were wondering. And guess what? They bested it by one win, May. They went five and 23. So they had two really tough months last year. Wouldn't surprise me if we maybe saw some of the same.

Not rooting for that. Yankees on pace for 120 wins. That's interesting. Probably feels low. I lock that up. Feels low. Hey, I think we're doing pretty well as a unit. When I started counting, I think there's actually we had a lot of games.

A lot of teams we all agree with one, two, three, four, five, six, six, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16 teams that we, the three of us all agreed on the outcome. I'm marking them whether if we are right or wrong. And on near the top here. Yeah, I see you on the sheet here. You're about to get all reds. Yeah. So let's see.

One, two, three, four, five, six, seven. All right. Seven. So far on path. Pace to be wrong. and nine to be correct. I'd like a better percentage out of us. Hopefully we get back to that.

Well, the good news is the Orioles are there as wrongs. We all agreed they would take the under, the Orioles and the DeBacks. They are on pace for the over, but it's very, very close on the Orioles. And DeBacks, they're kind of on pace for the over. But Jake, you think the Orioles will taper off

and hit the under still? I guess that's kind of one of the eye-opening things. You know, I've had a really weird relationship with the birds this year. It goes back to my college days. My roommate, Nick, our buddy, the mailman, he put a bird feeder outside our college dorm room window. It sucked. The birds showed up every morning, and they were loud as shit. It was a nightmare.

The Orioles this season, kind of the same thing. I was being mean to them. I was like, you guys are a joke of a franchise. I hate what you did to left field. Why aren't you more competitive? Where's Adley? Where's Grayson? Adly was her.

I know. Then I watched the Orioles product this year, and it was kind of fun. They were pesky. And I guess seeing this now, that they were pesky and feeling better, but they're still on track for where they were. And then when Trev drops a stat, like they are a team that went four, four for 21 last year or whatever it was, I'm worried about my O's.

I'm still, if I had to, like, if you gave me the option to change, I'd still keep the under there. Okay. What about your debacks? The D-backs, Jim, sometimes you need to fade the fade. Okay. And they're my favorite team in the National League West right now. Yep.

And they brought him Brent Strom. Favorite team. Pitching guru. In the National League West right now. Okay. All right. Let's think about this. I actually just posted a picture that proves I've been a D-Backs fan for life.

You'd like it. No, the D-Backs, and I think this is one of the fun conversation. So they're off to a 500 start. Now, we do have to be nervous, right? Like, we've seen a lot of teams. The Mariners always jump out before this Mariners' like actual good run. They had that Encanaccioan team that got hot,

and then the wheels just fell off. It doesn't feel like that with the snakes. You're still scared of the NL West. Like, let's be honest. If they run into some Dodgers Padre series, they could be having a tough time. They are getting incredible pitching performances that if their pitching stands anywhere in this realm,

they're going to be like a 70 win ball club and good for my snakes with their over under coming into the season with 66 and a half. And we all sit under. I mean, I don't know what you guys were. James, you and I were nice enough to say, well, we hope they don't lose 100 games, though. Yeah. Jake wanted them dead. No, no, no. It was the fading the fate.

It's like if I win the bet, then I win money. But if they go over the bet, that means my snakes had an incredible season. and that's what they're on track. We'll move up the list here a little. The Colorado Rocky, 68 and a half was there over under. We all agreed over. We thought they had some fighting them. They are 17 and 18 right now,

but that has them on pace for the over by 10 games. Decent. They would need to go 52 and 75 the rest of the way to hit the over. I think that's doable. What do you guys think? I'm happy with us there. I think they got some fight. Just needed some more home games.

I'm trying to remember why we thought that they would make it happen. I know they signed Chris Bryant in the off season. And were we just saying like they're going to, this is a team that's going to, a lot of shit was talked about their front office. And somehow they're going to win enough games where it makes like what they're doing like palatable. Is that why we did that?

Because I'm curious. It was because in 2020. the Colorado Rockies, Colorado Rockies, they had a 74-win team. Like, they finished a couple games back of the New York Mets last year. Yeah.

And I mean, they didn't, you know, they were 48 and 33 at home. So, yeah, I think it was just kind of like a 74-win team. And remember, we looked at their roster and were like, oh, like Gritchick's there. Jose Iglesias. All right. Like, you know, they did story out, Brian in,

and you were like, I wonder where that ends up. Their rotation isn't ugly. Like, if they didn't pitch in Corse Field, like the Colorado Rockies rotation of Marquez, Freeland, Senzatella, Gomber. Like, those guys give you an effort. Sorry, I left you out, Chad Kool, who's having the best season of all of them.

But, yeah, I mean, the Rockies were positioned, and they added Kelsey Winger. like they were going over. Maybe that was it right there. We didn't even know about Connor Joe back in the day. We didn't even know about him. Connor Joe. Conor Joe.

James automatically has written him off because of the two first names. But that's my favorite guy. I don't know how to feel about this. I don't know how to feel about this. I'm happy for Kelsey, but I don't know. Is this sustainable? They're playing 600 ball at home still, Jake. Do you know that? Yeah.

They figured out something there. out of the other teams are tired and miserable. That's what I got from Trevor Story. Trevor Story saying it was exhausting to play a course. It was kind of like, whoa, you're one of the most in shape athletes in the world. He has really, he's got a great bod. Hey, before we go on, if you were wondering when the time to buy Trevor Storystock is, it's now, because if you don't get it now, it's going to be going up.

He's about to get it going for them. Okay. Love that guy. No, it gets it going for me. When your wiener works? Yeah, I guess, I don't know. No, no, no. That doesn't get it going.

It's already going if that's the case, right? Nice defense. Double. Doubles. A good arm at third base. I'm going to look at some Trevor Plouf, third base highlights, and get Roman ready. You think you're going to enjoy those?

Yeah. Okay. Jake's going to go look at that, see if he gets boned up. If he doesn't, he'll go to get Roman. com slash talking today. Now, Trave, I don't want to blow up the spot too much of this baby. But did you see what was texted to us? There's a baby that just got born into the world. His name is Roman ready. There's a last first in the middle name. Roman. Middle name is R-E-D-D-D-Y.

Could have been like that. I saw it. I like it. I like it. I think that was like the last maiden name or something. It may be unbelievable. Truly unbelievable. I mean, if this This kid doesn't secure like a deal. Yeah. Now it's a waste. Yeah. Well, his dad was Roman ready when they made him. But 52% of men ages 40 to 70 will experience some form of ED.

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Just go to get roman.com slash talk and complete an online visit. Take care of your ED without leaving your home. Complete an online visit today to connect with a U.S. licensed healthcare professional and take care of it. The code is get roman.com slash talking $15 off your first month of ED treatment if you're prescribed. So I'm looking at the bottom here. Every team that was projected to win less than 70 games,

Trevi of your hand up. I don't think we can say for 100% certainty that the dad was Roman ready because I believe there are times that can you make a baby not fully ready? Yeah. I'm not sure. Yeah, for sure. Okay. Every team that was projected to win less than 70 games is on pace for the over. And I think that might be some funky math because we've played so few games. You'd have to be really bad. Say that again? every team that was projected under 70 wins is on pace for the over. Gotcha. The Pirates, the Rockies, the debacks, and the Orioles. Yeah.

They're on pace for the over. But there was a team projected for 70 and a half wins and they're on pace for the under. And I'm a little surprised. I didn't realize things were going this poorly. Must be the last couple games. I know they just lost a three games set. The Oakland Athletics, they are on pace

for the under right now. They've won 15 games. They've lost 23. Yeah, I guess I think the last couple series really twisted that. They just lost three in a row. That probably hurts them in this tight percentage game. In this tight percentage game, yeah.

And yeah, they had a little funk there. One, two, three, four, five, six. They had a sneaky nine-game loser in the middle of their season. Damn. But yeah, outside of that, They've been an okay product. But yeah, you know, I took the over on them just to kind of buck you guys

because I was like, I don't know, Oakland, they put out a decent product sometimes. It really hasn't been there. Their offense is last in the league and a lot of things. They're triple slashing last in the AL, which is bad. And I guess why I kind of got excited is they're pitching. Their pitching's always kind of played. They're six in the AAL. they're just getting nothing, nothing offensively right now.

And, you know, tick, tick, tick, tick. When does Frankie Montas watch start, you know? It's already started. Here's an interesting stat for them. A couple different ones. At home, we know what's going on with the lack of attendance there. A lot of people are saying it's an FU to the ownership. They're five and 13 at home.

That's not what you want. want to be at home. You know, you usually want to feel good there. Five and 13, not it. And another fun stat, they're not good in one run games or blowouts, three and seven and one run games and two and five in blowouts, a blowout, meaning five plus run separating. So they just win regular old games and mostly on the road. So if you're looking to bet, that's your avenue right there. Regular games on the road. Okay, that's a great betting advice. The Rangers, they are also, they were a pretty low projection from Vegas, and they're on pace for the under, also of only one 15 games.

We all agreed it was the under. It was set at 74 and a half. We didn't think it was this year for them yet. They would need to win 60 more games and with the Angels playing good ball. And I think the Mariners being ahead of them, as well as the Astros being the Astros. I just think that is going to fall. short. Shari, Texas Rangers. They've been okay in May, 8 and 5 in May.

Not good in one-run games, which kind of makes sense. We knew that the pitching wasn't exactly there this year. And Simeon, Marcus, you're a stud. I need you to remember that. Go do your thing, player. Yeah, I guess Oakland and Texas is a little surprising both ways. I'm surprised Texas is as close to their overrunner as they are, and I'm surprised Oakland is as far from where they are.

As the season's gone, Texas has gotten better, Oakland's gotten worse. Math. Math. All right. Can I switch gears instead of just going up the chart here to a team that has locked? They're locked, like we're saying, a lot can happen here, and there's one team that is just fully locked. There's no way.

Oh, I know what you're going to say. I know it. There's just, I will, you know, sever a limb. The Cincinnati Reds. have not won a 10th game yet. They are 9 and 26. They had their over under at 74.5. We all agreed no way.

That's the under. We're the smartest guys in the room. They're on pace for 41 wins. They would need to go 66 and 61 the rest of the way. So they lose. Yeah, it's the under. That's locked. And we're all smart.

The first lock of the year we get it right. Go us. Yeah, I mean, I'm pretty happy with that. I'm glad we did the turkey math on that to all land on the under. Because you're right, Jim. I mean, if you had to pick two teams that are locked, I mean, the Cincinnati Reds are one. And then it's kind of the New York Yankees.

But I would, you can't, but that's tough. make you losses are hard you can't make up losses like they have lost 26 games yeah in such a short window so yeah they went they went one in 21 recently in a 22 game stretch um that was you know middle of april beginning of may one in 21 yeah the next closest for me would be the the tigers who they would really really need to turn it on they had them at 77 and a half wins. I took the over. I thought Hinch and Baez and some of,

I don't know if we did it before after the Meadows trade. I just thought they'd have some spunk and spark. Trev, you took the over. Jake, you took the under. You're looking good there. They're on pace for 58 wins. I mean, they're not locked,

locked, but I put a fingernail on the line. I said 500 for sure. I thought there was going to be a weak ale central. I thought some of the young guys, guys, the starting pitching might take a step forward. I like the hobby bias signing. But yeah, it hasn't happened offensively.

Spencer Torkelson hasn't done it. Really nothing's gone right for them. I could see them going on a little run, you know, throughout the season. But to get to that, the over is going to be pretty tough. Need a good month to make it tight. They kind of did the same path last year with the bad start and bounce back. we'll see if they've got a little bit of that formula. There's another team that has that formula that's hoping for that.

And that's the Atlanta Braves. Yeah. The Atlanta Braves to hit the over need to go 75 and 51 the rest of the way. That's a winning, it's a 595% winning percentage. 595. That is the most out of any team, barely, just above the Dodgers, but needed to hit the over. And I don't think that's impossible for the Braves. We saw the Cardinals go on a crazy stretch last year.

We saw the Braves go on a crazy stretch last year. And I don't think that's impossible, but almost a 600 winning percentage for the last, you know, what, four and a half months of the season? It's a lot. It's a lot. Sometimes I think maybe it's good that the Mets got off to this big start in front of them because now they know they got to play catch up

and they got to go go do some things. So maybe forces the hand. Not that Anthopolis needs anybody to force his hand. We know that he's willing to just make a new outfield at a whammy did that last year. I think the Braves are a good bet. Maybe not to a 600 of the rest of the way, but they're a really good bet to fire off like the last three, four good months here. You know, they've just kind of been middling around,

like offense has been about league average. pitching's about league average. They just need to get everyone kind of on the same page, feeling healthy. I think Rosario, I know that he only came in at the end of last year, but I think, like, you know, having him around is good for your team. Acuna back kind of, like, battling and groin issue, like, put him on the aisle, get him healthy. Like, I wouldn't worry about the May if I'm the Atlanta Braves, you know, knowing what we knew what they did last year, like, let's go get everyone healthy

and then get everyone ready for the stretch run. I think there's a good run of baseball on this team for sure. It's one you look at on this list, and you're like, it's tough. But you also know if they can crank out a 15 and 5 or like a 20 and 7 month, which this team is fully capable of, this team, this roster is still stacked. They just haven't shown any signs of it yet. So you just, I don't know. I mean, they pushed it almost as far as they could go last year.

You know, they hit the trade deadline. They're right around 500. I mean, Peter Moyland, who covers the Brave, said, you know, they had two series there, where if they won them, they'd be buyers. If they lost them, they'd be sellers. They won them. They were buyers, and the rest is history. So, yeah, I mean, they're playing with fire a little bit, but also they,

Trev, they've still got the horses in the back that it feels like it's going to happen at some point this year. I think it's just going to be a question. Is it June? is it August? Is it September? September. Oh, yeah. I mean, this team is still stacked. It took until August last year to get going. 12 and 14 in April, 13 and 12 in May, 13 and 15 in June, 14 and 13 in July. So really, there's the middling club. August comes around 18 and 8.

That was their big month. They went 16 and 10 in September. Another nice month there. So, yeah, I mean, I, I, Twitter and the Braves. Like I'm, you know, I follow a few people there, Braves Twitter. They're not happy right now. And I get it, but I think that they should, you know, learn from the past a little bit,

a little bit of patience with this team. I think it's kind of expected, man. You win the World Series. We were hoping they, you know, weren't going to be hung over from it. But if you saw the parade at all, you knew they're probably going to be hung over. A little bit. Eddie Rosario got laser eye surgery? Yes.

So he's going to hit 700 when he comes back. I need to get that. That's wild. One time I went, I was struggling in AA. I swore was not my fault. It was just my eyes. So I went to the optometrist. And he's like, uh, your eyes are perfect.

So find another reason why you suck. That stinks. I was really hoping he was like, dude, there's a cornea or what are you getting your eye? Stigmatism. But there wasn't. it was just me not being good. I'm going to go through some teams projected to win more than 100 games right now

on pace. The Dodgers on pace to win 104 games. They're gross. You're the only one to be over there, James. At 97 and a half, I just said, how the heck can teams win that many games that year and year out? But you're on it, James.

I got a lot that I'm not, though. So I appreciate the love. Astros They're on pace for 103 Yeah That's a tough one for you, Jakey boy You took the under there That was 91.5 and you were

What happened? My mariners are kind of letting me down I mean I was drinking the Halo Kool-Aid I even got you guys on the bus for that But yeah I mean Seattle Kind of currently throwing up A little bit of a Dutteroo this season

I don't like that Less tie France, more win France, you know. Ooh. That's a good one, Jake. All those ties, Trev. Yeah. Trev got it eventually. Figured it out.

The Brewers on pace to win 104. Padres on pace to win 101. Mets on pace to win 104. Man, the Padres. They're really sneaking up on everyone. What's going on? Padres have this very similar record to the Mets. You were really good last year.

They had just epic collapse. Don't you remember that? Epic. Epic. Sound off in the comments. I mean, that's, I don't know another word to describe it. It was a fucking disaster collapse.

I don't know. That's what I was going to say. Or maybe I was going to say like epic. Bro, you know, L.A. baby. Epic. You guys better get used to the slang. You're coming out here for the All-Star game. Oh, man.

My freshman year of college, we were looking for a couch for a dorm room. And this guy was selling one on the side of the street. and he was like, you guys play any long games? I just came back from this, a PE convention. They taught us some of these epic long games.

It was the first time I heard someone use, it's much more normal now. It's first time I ever heard someone use epic like that. And I just was like, what the fuck are you saying, dude? Epic long games? But now people have used epic, you know, in non-epic terms.

They've used epic in the wrong way. Let me go over there. month to month last year for you guys. April 15 and 12 May 19 and 9 that's a nice start 15 and 12 in June so you're talking great start right there July 12 and 14 okay we're going to have one month like that August 11 and 15 September was the big one six and 19 that's epic that's an epic collapse there's no real other way to say that yeah BPD there's also six and a nine in that too So, Hell yeah.

Yankees on pace to win 120 And the Angels on pace to win 102 right now They could have a losing record the rest of the way And still hit the over I guess that's interesting How many teams can have a losing record The rest of the way and still hit the over? With like a winning record would be the caveat because

Yes, yes, yes. I think right now it's kind of them in Treves Minnesota twins. Mm-hmm. Yeah. How about that? I got you guys on that train, by the way. I put you guys on that train.

You're welcome. Joe Ryan Express, that's what they're calling it. I think you got us on that train. Thank you, Trevor. I think it was also, I think we also talked ourselves into, like, they were going to go to it.

It was their front offices, like last year of their contracts or something shit. And we were like, yeah, let's go. We did that before the garrarrow. trades and the geo trades and all the trades they made. We did that thought process. We were like, wait, Trev told us that if the GM doesn't make moves or have a good season,

like he's out, so he's going to just fucking do some weird shit to try and throw it out the wall. And that is how you convinced us. That's correct, Trevor. Thank you very much for convincing us. Twins can go 61 and 65 the rest of the way and still hit the over and finish with a winning race. record. Where was your guys biggest miss on this? I'm kind of looking at mine here.

If you got to redo one pick, which one? I think the Mets, I took the under. I said they were going to win 89 games. Wow, losers. Yeah, so to Trabb, that's probably my biggest miss. Oh, unfortunately, it looks like I did go over. and then it's just I changed it at the last minute. You took the under on the Yankees, Trev?

That's probably your biggest miss. It's a tough one for me. We all took the under on the Reds, right? Yes. Yeah. That's good. I think I took the under on the Yankees. That's a tough one.

Yeah. Does you just say that? Yeah. But you can repeat it. It is tough. I'm having a tough. You guys are very much delayed for me right now. How about Toronto and the Chicago White Sox?

Both those teams right around 500 right now, a lot of expectations. I don't think anyone expected the Yankees to look like this early on. The Rays are going to raise. Do we even need to look at their over-under? I'm assuming they're projected for the over. Blue Jays are on pace for the under? Currently, yeah.

They've gone through a little bit of a funk lately. Them and the White Sox. talent. Man, that Blue J-Zap, all I did was say how good I thought they were and how they were the most stacked, like, lineup. But I also said it's very hard to be the favorite of the off-season and also like a young team. People were so mad.

So mad. They were the team of the off-season where if you had any inkling of doubt, people were just like, you're a hater. I think it's hard. It's hard. Baseball's hard. It's a hard sport. Watch Trevor Ploof's 2015 highlight reel that I watched to get Roman ready.

Baseball's hard. There's only one defensive play in there Wasn't electric I'm gonna be honest Well the hits were electric Type in defensive highlights Yeah bro I mean I think I made a few plays at least I don't know it wasn't trying to be flashy out there

Dude me and DJ you know Jets We were just trying to get the play made Close your eyes Close your eyes and remember your best play what is it You'd think on it think on it Well I tell everyone about that In 2015 no in your whole career and Major League best defensive play.

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Again, that is athletic greens.com slash baseball to take ownership over your health and pick up the ultimate daily nutritional insurance. So I know we love you, Athletic Greens. This is a little more Roman than Athletic Greens. I found a better highlight reel. We just got a Trev Grand Slam off of Oakland pitcher. Oh, Sunny Gray. Sunny Gray.

Whoops. Out of the housing. I bang it. Don't leave that thing up there. And then... Quit hogging him. I saw a defensive play I liked. I mean, it was...

What's the name of the YouTube? Trevor Plouffe, 2015 Twins Highlights, HD from the Oakland fan. And yeah, I mean, my guy's just kind of diffy, dude. Making plays behind Gibi, made a nice play behind Trevor May. Whoops, a little taste of you guys. I feel you guys are making fun of me right now. A little bit.

No. This is awesome. I think you asked me to think my best defense to play and I love when the episode turns to me. You're so thick, dude. I made a play going into the seats. Shaw? Get out of here. Trev.

You fucking hammer this homer. Two, two game in the 11th inning. Yeah, walk off. Yeah. 3-1 pitch from Shaw. He goes little like slider on you, 3-1. cutter yeah you hammer it don't look at the ball at all just immediately look to your boys in the dug yeah and you're thick as shit so thick how come in blitzball you don't use your batting stance that

you used in 2015 well because blitzball i learned in each sport i try to learn from the best and with blitz ball i just try to learn from jake story alley yeah so he's my inspiration there i appreciate the love guys you know i think travel was a good ball player nothing bad Best ball player, but he's a good ball player. Shit, Shaw. That's what I say. Oh, here's a defensive highlight. First and third, slice down the line, falls to your butt, come up.

Go the long way to first. Yeah, don't, let's stop talking about me, guys. Come on. Anything else we have touch on here? Any other teams? I would like to touch on when you broke up Chris Young's no hitter with that triple to right. Yeah, actually that came, that play just came back onto my feed.

because the picture there, my guy Brace, the team photographer for the twins, he got a great shot of that and like a great skyline view. And it's the cover of a book now about baseball in Minnesota. Oh, yeah, I was going to ask if you saw that baseball in Minnesota with Trevor Plouf on the cover. When you think about baseball, Minnesota, you know who you think of. I need every copy of that book. Specialty. Dude, is this Shane Green?

Shane Green, what are you doing? Trev, you were too thick, Shane Green threw you a 75 mile per hour, 02 looper curve. That's gone, Shane. I got a few off Shane Green, I think. What a dumb bitch. Put that in the dirt.

I always thought he was really good and could be like a legit closer. Like you had good stuff. But then I always hit him, then I realize like if I'm hitting him, maybe he isn't who I think he is. if that makes any sense. But he's had a good career.

I don't mean to take that away from you, Shane. It looks like we got a situation developing. Joe's McFly has a power drill and is looking at us really mean and there's like three editors, producers behind him with bats. Oh, they're coming for us? So I'm worried about what we did.

Let's finish up on some of the over-unders. Boston Red Sox currently sprinting towards their under 85 and a half. They're currently seven games below five Hyundai. Did you see this one? This is your play. Yeah, that's the one I liked.

Yeah. That's a strong arm. You get a strong arm to make that throw. Deep in the hall. Down the line. The Boston Red Sox, I went on to say, I don't know where it was. You don't know baseball there here. I said they're going to be a 500 ball club.

I didn't really believe in the pitching staff. And although that hasn't been their problem this year, it's been mostly offensive for them. Will Middlebrooks, my guy, my friend. He texted me afterwards and he said 500 ball club and sent one of those like emoji faces, like disappointed face. Wow. That's a good disappointed face.

Are they right? Yeah. Yeah. But it's looking like I'm right. And then now they're talking about like possibly Xander getting traded and like, holy shit, what a turn of events. Like this is a team that like surprise a lot of people last year and was supposed to come back and do the thing.

Alex Cora, blah, blah, blah, blah, just hasn't happened for them. San Francisco Giants at 85 and a half. Cardinals at 84 and a half. Some of these in hindsight just feels so ridiculous. We all agreed on those two. That's nice. Treve, I do owe you one apology, it looks like. There's one note that Jake convinced him for Trevor on the Kansas City Royal 74.5.

They're currently on pace for a 58 burger. So that feels on me right now. I don't, I've got a speech for a lot of these teams. My royal speech right now is concerned. There's that saying, fool me once, shame on me, fool me twice. I don't know the rest of saying, but if Jake convinces you of something, you're a fool, that's the other part of that.

I think he helped us out, help me out on the twins. And he helped me out on the angels. 35% of your homers came with two strikes, Trev. Wow. Bad ass. so badass you want to know why because vlo got me out good vlo got me out that's not the one that slop up there i could hit that with the best one i played with football my entire life i was ready to hit slop if you were bringing the slop up to the fucking plate

yeah how many first pitch homers you think you have not a lot 15 is that a lot i don't know what the percentage is yeah maybe that's a lot i don't know I think it's just under 15%. I think it's your most count? 13%. 3 and 2 is probably your count with the most homers.

Like my click math there? I guess to stop talking about me now. Okay. No, I think first pitch is your, you know, it's a pitch you see the most often. You definitely are going to see it first pitch. Every single at bat has a first pitch. Not everyone has a full count.

Yeah. So way to go, Treve. What do we learn today? We learned that the Reds have locked the under. The Mets, Yankees, Dodgers have, I think they'll hit the over pretty easily. And the Braves have the hardest path to reclaiming the over. They've got to go 600 the rest of the way. also that the offseason is just who cares like yeah you want to sign good players but you got to come play ball

whoever wins the off season usually doesn't win the season that's a nice stats that exist that don't matter think you should go back into twitter sphere or whatever see if you can search certain time frames and say who won the off season well the blue jays did it in like 20 the ra dicky trade they did a bunch of other trades that year, too. The Blue Jays. The Mets won the offseason the year before or this year? Mets could have won it this year in the NL. The Marlins, when they got Burley and...

Yeah, you should probably do it both sides. It should be an A.L. and an NL winner. The Marlins definitely had a year where everyone hopped on them. It was when they got Burley and some other people. I forget who. Jose Reyes. Jose Reyes. Everyone was all over them.

They didn't do good. They only sign them to sell the team baseball. Adrian Gonzalez. Oh, that was a big trade to the Dodgers. Carl Crawford. Nick Ponto. For the Red Sox. That was a team that, quote, unquote, won the offseason.

It did not work out. So, yeah, but the Mets are, I think the Mets won the NL off season this year and they're looking pretty good. Yeah. So, that's the episode today. Parting words, Jake? I guess I was going to do a, who do you think is going to flip the script next. And I mean, you start looking. Flip the script.

You start looking Phillies, Mariners, J's, White Sox. Those would be kind of your winning type teams. And now all I can think, of is I want to hear Nick Ponto's story, so I don't know. All right, that means we're going to end the show. I got a lot of them. Also, I watched the show today called High Heat. Oof.

What a show. You and Mad Dog Beefing again, dude? Holy. I don't want anything to do with that guy. I was just, I've been watching more MLB Network lately because I'm just, you know, get my baseball fill and that show came on. It was like, you know what I watched to get my baseball field? Baseball today, Chris Rose, Trevor Ploose.

One day through Friday. That's love. Well, the truth is I only, I, I, I, um, DBR quick pitch. And somehow this, this got on my DVR. Jake does a really good Rousseau. You want to do it? Get off to know what everybody! Exactly what he sounds like.

John, boy. I don't know if he's a child, is it, boy? He said Joe DiMaggio didn't have a hitting coach. Jake sucks. Dude, he probably did, though. Boop-bo-bo-bo-bo-bo-bo-bo-bo. Oh, do.