Tangle - Your questions, answered.
Episode Date: January 19, 2024A reader mailbag. As we mentioned in yesterday's newsletter, Tangle founder and Executive Editor Isaac Saul is currently on a trip through Bolivia. We decided to use that small disruption to our d...aily coverage to catch up on a bunch of reader questions we've been trying to respond to. Isaac and the team worked on these questions together over the last week or two. Let us know what you think, and remember, if you want to have a question answered in the newsletter, you can reply to this email (it goes straight to our inbox) or fill out this form.You can read today's podcast here and today’s “Have a nice day” story here.You can also check out our latest YouTube video about misinformation and fake news that has spread like wildfire in the three months since Hamas’s attack on Israel and the subsequent fighting in Gaza here.Today’s clickables: A few notes (0:43), Quick hits (0:52), Today’s story (2:21), Biden’s presidency (2:50), Media bias (11:50), IDF sexual violence against Palestinians (13:42), “Reincorporate" Taiwan (16:33), Picking winners v. actual issues (17:23), Fall of Minneapolis (18:42), Immigrants seeking asylum (19:02), Fanni Willis allegations (20:19), Kevin McCarthy (23:14), Overpopulation (25:32), Have a nice day (29:46)You can subscribe to Tangle by clicking here or drop something in our tip jar by clicking here. Our podcast is written by Isaac Saul and edited and engineered by Jon Lall. Music for the podcast was produced by Diet 75. Our newsletter is edited by Managing Editor Ari Weitzman, Will Kaback, Bailey Saul, Sean Brady, and produced in conjunction with Tangle’s social media manager Magdalena Bokowa, who also created our logo.--- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/tanglenews/message Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Breaking news happens anywhere, anytime.
Police have warned the protesters repeatedly, get back.
CBC News brings the story to you as it happens.
Hundreds of wildfires are burning.
Be the first to know what's going on and what that means for you and for Canadians.
This situation has changed very quickly.
Helping make sense of the world when it matters most.
Stay in the know. CBC News.
Based on Charles Yu's award-winning book, Interior Chinatown follows the story of Willis Wu,
a background character trapped in a police procedural who dreams about a world beyond
Chinatown. When he inadvertently becomes a witness to a crime, Willis begins to unravel a criminal web, his family's buried history, and what it feels like to be in the spotlight.
Interior Chinatown is streaming November 19th, only on Disney+.
The flu remains a serious disease.
Last season, over 102,000 influenza cases have been reported across Canada, which is nearly double the historic average of 52,000 cases.
What can you do this flu season?
Talk to
your pharmacist or doctor about getting a flu shot. Consider FluCellVax Quad and help protect
yourself from the flu. It's the first cell-based flu vaccine authorized in Canada for ages six
months and older, and it may be available for free in your province. Side effects and allergic
reactions can occur, and 100% protection is not guaranteed. Learn more at flucellvax.ca.
From executive producer Isaac Saul, this is Tangle.
Good morning, good afternoon, and good evening, and welcome to the Tangle Podcast,
a place where you get news from across the political spectrum,
some independent thinking, and a little bit of our take. I'm your host for today, John Law.
Today is Thursday, January 18th, and we're going to be doing something a little different today.
We're actually going to be responding to some reader questions that have been coming in.
Before we get into all that, as always, we'll start off today with some quick hits.
First up, amid an intensifying series of Israeli airstrikes in the Gazan city of Khan Yunis,
Israel's Defense Minister Yoav Galant said it was planning to wind down military operations in the south of Gaza and begin more targeted operations in the north.
Number two, Pakistan carried out airstrikes in Iranian territory on Thursday morning
in response to an Iranian airstrike in Pakistan on Tuesday.
Both countries said they were targeting their own nationals in the attacks.
Separately, U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken announced that the State Department
will be designating the Houthis as a foreign terrorist group starting next month.
Number three, a second trial between former President Donald Trump and writer E. Jean Carroll
is underway in New York to decide how much money Trump must pay Carroll for comments he made in 2019 denying he sexually assaulted her.
On Wednesday, the judge presiding over the trial threatened to remove Trump from the courtroom
for his disruptive remarks during the proceedings. Number four, a new study found that the Greenland
ice sheet has lost 20% more ice than was previously thought, heightening concerns
about ocean circulation patterns and sea level rise. And number five, China's population declined
for the second year in a row with low birth rates and a spike in COVID-19 deaths driving the trend.
As we mentioned earlier this week, Tangle founder and executive editor Isaac Saul is currently on a trip through Bolivia.
We decided to use that small disruption in our daily coverage to catch up on a bunch of reader questions that we've been trying to respond to.
Isaac and the rest of the team worked on these questions together over the last week or two. Let us know what you think. And remember, if you want to have a question answered in the newsletter, you can reply to any one of those newsletters
that go out daily, or you can write to Isaac himself at Isaac at ReadTangle.com. Julie from
Austin, Texas wrote, I read your article, What Good Did Trump Do for America? My question is, what good did Biden do for America?
Karen from Denver, Colorado wrote,
A while ago you did a column on the good things Trump accomplished.
Would you consider doing a column on the good things Biden accomplished?
It seems both sides tend to say everything the other side does is bad.
And an anonymous reader from Woodbury, Connecticut wrote,
How can you say Joe is an okay president?
What has he done for Americans?
Everything, every last thing he has done has made our lives worse.
Could not disagree more on this.
He is absolutely the worst, and has made life disproportionately worse for the most downtrodden.
I enjoy you and the way you present the news.
Please keep up the good work.
Alright, so these are three versions of the same question, but there are dozens of others like them that I get asked all the news. Please keep up the good work. All right, so these are three versions of
the same question, but there are dozens of others like them that I get asked all the time. So I'm
going to give my response to it some extra attention. First, it's a lot easier to assess
a president's time in office once it's over, and especially after some time has elapsed. Many
policies presidents implement do not have an immediate impact. It can take years or even
decades to really say whether they were wise or not. I've made this same point in some reviews
of Trump's presidency that we've done. There's also the question of what makes a good presidency.
To me, there are three elements. Number one, is the country doing well based on traditional
metrics and traditional framings? Number two, does a president do what they say they're going to do?
Fundamentally, I think a good president follows through on any agenda they ran on,
and a president should be graded highly for doing what they said, since they got elected by
Americans to do those things. Number three, is there a strong argument that what they've done
has been a net positive for American society? So in order to answer the question of what Biden has done well,
I'm going to ignore the bad things and failed promises of the Biden administration,
focusing exclusively on the good. So what's the case for Biden? Let's start with judging Biden
through the traditional lens by which many presidents are graded. First, the economy. I know,
I know, that might sound like lunacy given such poor economic sentiment, but Biden can make a strong case. The United States has had the best inflation-adjusted recovery from the pandemic of any major economy, and we are the biggest global economy.
And that's not some labor participation trick.
The share of working-age Americans with a job is higher right now than at any point during the Trump administration.
Wages are now rising faster than prices.
GDP growth remains strong.
A record number of small businesses have started under Biden.
The coveted soft landing looks like it's not only here, but might even be better than
we could have hoped for.
Also, the stock market had a great year, which is good news
for roughly 61% of American adults who own stocks. A good stock market doesn't just mean growth for
wealthy investors, corporations, and the 1%. It also means growth for the middle class, investors,
retirees, and those still planning to retire. There's also violent crime. The murder rate went
up during the Trump administration, and last year it took one of the biggest drops in U.S. history, now on track to be 15% lower than it was in 2022, and far below Trump's last year in office.
Crediting a drop in violent crime to Biden is far from straightforward, but presidents who are typically overseeing skyrocketing violent crime get dinged, so we should acknowledge this as a plus in the spirit of fairness.
get dinged, so we should acknowledge this as a plus in the spirit of fairness.
Energy production is something Biden does have more control over. Even while passing one of the biggest climate change bills in U.S. history, a promise kept to his supporters which he deserves
credit for, Biden is overseeing a boom of production in American natural gas and crude oil.
Both are at all-time highs, and the U.S. is once again exporting a record amount of energy,
something past presidents have all been praised for. Finally, despite the ballooning debt, the budget
deficit is actually down. In fact, it is $1.4 trillion lower in 2023 than it was in Trump's
last year in 2020. There is a long way to go to reform federal spending, but Biden can genuinely
say he has the country heading in the right direction to fix our debt problem. So that's traditional metrics. On fulfilling campaign promises,
one of Biden's biggest legislative accomplishments as president so far is the $1 trillion infrastructure
plan. Many Republicans who voted against the measure now boast about it in their districts
because it provided funding for popular initiatives like repairing roads, bridges, and railways,
and bringing high-speed internet to rural communities. It also funded low-emission public provided funding for popular initiatives like repairing roads, bridges, and railways, and
bringing high-speed internet to rural communities. It also funded low-emission public transportation
projects and clean water initiatives all across the country. On top of being a pretty popular
piece of legislation, the 2021 bipartisan infrastructure deal was a central promise
kept to his supporters, and something his predecessor could not get done. Medicare
started to negotiate drug prices for 10 major drugs, something Trump said he was going to get done but never
actually did. Biden and Democrats, and some Republicans in Congress, actually did get it done,
and that policy change is something Biden told supporters he would do. Here are some other things
he said that he'd do that Republicans might not like, but do represent a promise kept to his
supporters. He created incentives for states to pass red flag laws and expanded laws that prevent people convicted of
domestic abuse from gun ownership with the passage of the Bipartisan Safer Communities Act.
And while the number of mass shootings rose slightly in 2023, overall gun deaths were down
8 to 10 percent. The Inflation Reduction Act, which is more aptly a climate change bill,
10%. The Inflation Reduction Act, which is more aptly a climate change bill, included $369 million to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 40% in the next seven years, fulfilling his promise to
supporters of making a massive investment to fight climate change. The Respect for Marriage Act
officially guaranteed all states will recognize same-sex marriage. He pardoned thousands of people
convicted of simple marijuana possession. He appointed federal judges at a record pace over his first two years in office,
and also appointed Ketanji Brown Jackson, the first Black woman on the Supreme Court.
He attempted to cancel student loans, a campaign promise, and despite failing to do so wholesale,
he has succeeded in forgiving billions of dollars of loans for 3.6 million borrowers.
And while Americans are pretty split about unions, Biden has promised,
and bragged, about being the most pro-union president in history. He largely walked the
walk there, not just protesting with unions, which was unprecedented, but also overseeing
both huge growth in union membership and big wage increases for members of unions,
and for non-member workers too. Has Biden been good for the country? These
achievements are harder to identify, but I'm trying to focus on some policy wins for Biden
that I think are very likely a net positive for the country and that have had at least some
bipartisan support. Atop this list is the Chips and Science Act, which provided funding to produce
semiconductor chips for a lot of popular consumer goods, such as automobiles and cell phones.
The bill is both
creating jobs and allowing the U.S. to manage its own supply chain for home-growth, high-tech
products independent of China and Taiwan. It is one of the things he's done that has received the
most bipartisan support in Congress, and voters who know about the policy view it very positively.
He also signed the Burn Pits Bill, or the Promise to Address Comprehensive Toxics Act,
which helped veterans who have been long suffering from the effects of inhaling toxins
caused by the burning of trash on military bases.
Republicans initially blocked the bill but backed down after an intense public backlash.
Biden helped usher in the Electoral Count Reform Act on a bipartisan basis,
a bill that clarifies the vice president's role in counting
electoral votes and is designed to make it harder for federal lawmakers to challenge the outcome of
presidential elections. When we covered the bill passed with bipartisan support in response to
January 6th, I called it the kind of rational and incremental reform that stabilizes our election
process. There are also a lot of things Biden has gotten or should get praise for from the right.
Consider this piece from conservative columnist Mark Thiessen in which he highlights the following,
the killing of a top ISIS leader, the strengthening of restrictions on China's
access to advanced technology, strengthening diplomatic ties with South Korea and Japan,
increasing military competition with China and military aid to Taiwan, signing a GOP-sponsored
crime bill to oversee Washington,
D.C., the debt ceiling deal with Republicans, continuing support of Ukraine and rallying
allies to the cause, clearly standing with Israel after the October 7th attacks.
I'll add to that list of things Republicans might like that Biden has also invested heavily in local
law enforcement, expanded the southern border wall, and is fighting off legal challenges from
the left to better crack down on illegal immigration. To me, all of the above taken
together make the case for Biden's presidency. And many of these points are why, despite my
many criticisms of his administration, I think it's very hard to argue he has been a terrible
president or the worst president in history, as some readers and pundits say.
We'll be right back after this quick commercial break.
All right, this next question is from Julian in New York City.
Noticed in a lot of the writing on the Israel-Hamas war, people on both sides tend to proclaim that the mainstream media is horribly biased against their side and not reporting this
accurately.
I mean, that's a running theme in a lot of political opinion pieces, but it seems
particularly prevalent with this conflict.
I know you did a whole thing on that specific story about the hospital bombing, but since
the Israel-Palestine thing and media bias seem to be the two things you think a lot
about, I was wondering, are you actually seeing a particular bias overall, one way or the
other?
Or is it just that everyone's mostly in their own little bubble?
Or are there biases that are widespread but more complicated than pundits seem to think?
I think it's the last one.
The distribution of bias is very complicated,
and your view depends entirely on where you're getting your information. Interestingly,
this conflict isn't demonstrating the typical right-left media bias divide we tend to see,
but actually the bias of Western media outlets. That usually looks like less focus on Palestinian
deaths, devaluing of Palestinian lives via language choices,
or an overemphasis on Western intelligence sources and Western politicians for quotes.
The Intercept published a great article exploring the language choices made by outlets like the New
York Times, often criticized for having an anti-Israel bias, and I think they demonstrated
pretty convincingly that the bias actually runs against Palestinians. But again, it really depends on
where you look and how you're thinking about it. There are a lot of non-Western media outlets like
Al Jazeera that receive a great deal of attention, but I think clearly publish content that does not
tell the full story. Israelis are notoriously skeptical of outlets like BBC, which they think,
despite it being a Western news source, has a strong anti-Israel bias, and there are entire
organizations dedicated to calling out anti-Israel bias in newsrooms. This next question comes from
Khalil in St. Paul, Minnesota. You've written a lot about Hamas's sexual violence on October 7th.
What about the sexual violence perpetrated by members of the IDF against Palestinians?
This is a fair call-out. To defend myself for a moment, what made the
October 7th attacks so unique, and what still does, is just how much carnage was carried out
in a single day. So to the degree that our coverage might have not fairly addressed crimes by IDF
soldiers throughout this conflict, I do think it's fair to note that there were far more reports of
sexual violence levied against Hamas from that one single day than have been levied against the IDF in the three and a half months since. Still, it is worth noting, and I
don't think it's whataboutism to do so, that the Israeli military has been credibly accused for
decades of sexual harassment and violence against Palestinians. A paper that we're going to link to
in today's episode description is one of the most in-depth reports I've seen recounting and collecting the
various accusations against the IDF and other Israeli security forces like jail guards over
the years. These allegations are not particularly new. There's a similar paper from 2015 about the
torture of Palestinian men in Israeli prisons, including sexual violence and harassment.
Unfortunately, all throughout the West, including in the U.S., where some police are
also trained by Israeli forces, reports of sexual violence against prisoners are abound. These
reports are also common in times of war. And allegations have come out more recently, too.
In December, PLUS 972 magazine reported on prisoners released as part of the prisoner
exchange with Hamas and others who were released around the same time but unaffiliated with that deal. There were reports of torture and prisoners being beaten to death. One prisoner,
a Palestinian journalist named Lama Katir, said Israeli soldiers threatened to rape her and her
children, then strip-searched her and taunted her. To put it simply, the only way to dismiss
these allegations is to devalue the voices of Palestinians and ignore hundreds of people
telling fairly consistent stories over the last decade, something I'm not going to do.
There are other troubling reports too, such as the former State Department official who said
Israel shut down a Palestinian NGO after it reported the rape of a child, or the Israeli
military official who is in prison after being convicted of raping a Palestinian woman and assaulting others.
In 2020 alone, the IDF received 1,542 complaints of sexual assault, according to the IDF,
including 26 allegations of rape. Of course, I'm not going to sit here and pretend every action is the same. There are varying degrees to what these soldiers have done, which differ from what Hamas
fighters have done. In many cases, Israel itself is
identifying and prosecuting people over these allegations, and in other cases, they're covering
it up. But it is absolutely true that members of the IDF have for years been accused and convicted
of heinous sexual violence against Palestinians. This next question comes from Keith in Barnwell,
South Carolina.
I think it is highly significant that Premier Xi told President Biden directly that he intends to reincorporate Taiwan, and soon.
Also, the delay in disclosing that detail of their conversation troubles me.
You've mentioned it twice, but other than that, no one seems to think this is a big deal.
Am I overreacting?
Breaking news happens anywhere, anytime.
Police have warned the protesters repeatedly
get back. CBC News
brings the story to you as it
happens. Hundreds of wildfires
are burning. Be the first to know what's going
on and what that means for you
and for Canadians. This situation
has changed very
quickly.
Helping make sense of the world when it matters most.
Stay in the know.
CBC News.
The flu remains a serious disease.
Last season, over 102,000 influenza cases have been reported across Canada,
which is nearly double the historic average of 52,000 cases.
What can you do this flu season?
Talk to your pharmacist or doctor about getting a flu shot.
Consider FluCellVax Quad and help protect yourself from the flu.
It's the first cell-based flu vaccine authorized in Canada for ages six months and older, and
it may be available for free in your province.
Side effects and allergic reactions can occur, and 100% protection is not guaranteed.
Learn more at FluCcellvax.ca. Unfortunately, I don't think this is an overreaction. In fact, I think this has the
potential to be the story of 2024. I have no doubt Xi is going to attempt to follow through on his
language. And given that Taiwan just elected a leader who is ardently opposed to reunification,
the stage is set for a serious showdown. If Xi were to attempt to act on this, it would be far
more disruptive and dangerous on the world stage than Russia's invasion of Ukraine or the latest
fighting in Gaza. Our next question comes from Elizabeth in Fort Worth, Texas. She asks,
regarding voter psychology, do the chances
a candidate has of winning an election influence voters more so than issue alignment? I wonder if
voters care more about whether they pick the winner than supporting who best represents their
beliefs. It's not a wager, you know. There's no reward for picking the winning candidate or even
the underdog. As far as I know, there's very little evidence voters are trying to pick the
person who's going to win. Based on what voters tell us, most do genuinely pick their candidates
based on political preferences. Other things that tend to matter are sharing personal backgrounds,
like being from the same place, or religious views. That being said, there are closely related
dynamics here. I think it is true that a lot of people don't want to vote for a candidate that
has no chance, and the media often determines favorites preemptively.
That media hype, attention, and free press for the favorite choices ultimately helps
cull the herd of presidential candidates, leaving voters with a small handful of people
who might actually have a chance to win.
For instance, you can probably name 5, 10, maybe even 20, if you're really paying attention,
people who are running for president in 2024.
But hundreds of candidates have filed for the 2024 election, as is common for every presidential election.
Pat from St. Paul, Minnesota writes,
Have you ever watched the Fall of Minneapolis documentary? Does it make you question the veracity of the George Floyd narrative? I have not. However, I think you're the 10th or 11th reader to ask me about this documentary, which makes me want to cover it. So I'll put it on my to-do list.
Marcy from Texas writes, are there immigrants seeking asylum who, after being denied,
are then released into the country? If so, how and why?
Immigrants who seek asylum and are denied do not get released into the country. Most often,
they get deported back to the country they came from or somewhere else. In fact, under President
Biden, many asylum seekers are being deported before their claims are even heard. An asylum
seeker isn't automatically deported after having their claim denied, but it is the most common outcome. Some asylum seekers who are denied can appeal to an immigration
judge or to the Board of Immigration Appeals, BIA, which is basically the immigration high court.
But if an asylum seeker is processed, appears before an immigration court, and is denied asylum,
they are not going to be let go into the U.S. When you read about migrants seeking asylum
who get released into the country, you're reading about migrants who have not yet had their claims
processed. This is why I'm always talking about the need to ramp up the number of immigration
judges and courts in the U.S. The biggest issue with our current system is the massive backlog
of cases, and the fact that people waiting to get their asylum cases heard will often get released
into the U.S. with an immigration date months or years away. Even though many of those migrants actually
do show up for court, plenty don't. This next one is from Rachel in Denver, Colorado. She says,
I'm struggling to understand why the alleged affair between Fannie Willis and Nathan Wade
is a charge being filed in court, their colleagues,
and consenting adults. While sleeping with a co-worker is messy and harmful to any partner or spouse, is it really a chargeable offense? And the fact that Wade may have spent the money he
made through his position as special prosecutor on vacations for the two of them does not seem
scandalous to me at all. Isn't spending money from work what people do? Is Trump's defense team
grasping at straws and stalling, or am what people do? Is Trump's defense team grasping
its straws and stalling, or am I missing something? I think you're glossing over the most significant
details. Is it scandalous for colleagues to be in a relationship? No, not necessarily. What if
those colleagues are government employees? It's a little more delicate, but it's not a scandal by
itself, and there are no federal rules against it. A high-profile government employee in an
undisclosed relationship with a subordinate who received a high-profile appointment over other
more experienced colleagues during that relationship? Yeah, that's a problem. In the
private sector, we would call giving an employee preferential treatment because of an undisclosed
relationship an HR violation and maybe even grounds for termination. In the public sector, it's a scandal,
and potentially corruption. And importantly, neither Fannie Willis nor Nathan Wade are being
charged with anything in court. However, defendants in Willis' interference case against Trump are
using it against her. Here are the basics. In February of 2021, Fulton County, Georgia,
District Attorney Fannie Willis began investigating allegations of former President Donald Trump's interference in the state's election.
In the fall of 2021, she appointed Nathan Wade as a special prosecutor in that case,
despite Wade having little experience prosecuting criminal cases in the Atlanta area,
according to the Washington Post. Then, earlier this month, Willis was subpoenaed to appear at
Wade's divorce proceedings, leading the legal team for Michael Roman, a co-defendant in Trump's election interference
case, to file to have the case thrown out due to a conflict of interest.
That motion is likely to slow down the proceedings, but it's a little ridiculous to request to
have the whole case thrown out on those grounds.
Conversely, it's also ridiculous to suggest that any relationship between Wade and Willis
is irrelevant.
And it's even more ridiculous to suggest that any criticism about Willis' appointment of Wade
is racial, as Willis has. Ultimately, the relationship and Wade's appointment are not
legal issues, but district attorneys are half-lawyer and half-politician, and it's really
bad politics for Willis. The personal allegations against Willis are going to slow down her case
against Trump and his co-defendants, and they make for some very bad optics for a district attorney
who has already had her share of missteps. And unless she changes tack in how she responds to
the criticisms, Republican Georgia Governor Brian Kemp may be forced to respond, and that would
really have an impact on the state's case. It's definitely a real issue for Wade and for Willis,
and Trump's legal team is smart to press it. have an impact on the state's case. It's definitely a real issue for Wade and for Willis,
and Trump's legal team is smart to press it.
This one is from Jeff in Orange Park, Florida. He says,
As fair, thorough, and impartial as you are, I'm amazed that you missed the real reason that former Speaker McCarthy lost his position. Here it is. After reaching across the aisle and getting
bipartisan support for his extension that Sunday,
he went on CBS's Face the Nation and blamed the Democrats for the near shutdown.
That caused the Democrats to vote as a bloc against him during his recall proceedings.
His interview was right after an interview with two members of the House Problem-Solving Caucus,
a Republican and a Democrat, wherein they said that they had ways of protecting Speaker McCarthy and would use them.
I doubt that Speaker Johnson will make the same mistake.
He hasn't so far.
How did you miss that?
I actually don't think we got this wrong.
It's true that McCarthy shot himself in the foot by trashing Democrats on the Sunday morning shows.
It's also true that Democrats said they were considering bailing him out throughout the process,
but they never gave any real indication that they were going to do that.
If anything, it seemed more like they were trying to keep their options open as they
watched the potential motion to vacate unfold. I sincerely doubt Democrats would have rescued
McCarthy from being removed even if he hadn't made those comments, given that many Democrats
thought it would look terrible for Republicans to have to go through another speaker fight.
I think they were mostly right about that. The dysfunction in the House was good for them
politically, and back then there were even fever dreams that enough
dysfunction could lead to a Speaker Hakeem Jeffries or a moderate Republican House Speaker.
Also, one of the things I said about McCarthy was that his downfall was due in part to the
promises he made that he couldn't keep. I focus mainly on his promises to the House's
conservative conference, but his relationship with Democrats also falls squarely into that category.
To your point, though, I'll say two things.
One, I think McCarthy could have saved himself by cutting a deal with Democrats,
something he refused to do.
And two, he didn't really need the whole caucus.
If McCarthy had just gotten a dozen or so Democrats in his corner,
he likely could have stayed in power,
though it certainly would have significantly complicated his leadership role to have been rescued by the opposition party. To that end,
you are definitely right that one possible way for McCarthy to have stayed in power would have
been to treat Democrats better in general, and that he bungled that.
We'll be right back after this quick break.
We'll be right back after this quick break.
Finally, we have a pair of questions regarding population growth and environment.
Nick from Denver, Colorado writes,
In a country that is quickly becoming overpopulated, wouldn't declining birth rates be a positive thing?
Living space in major cities is becoming limited and expensive, and with our current population numbers, we are quickly burning through the nation's and planet's resources.
Harry from Pompton Plains, New Jersey writes,
Saul and Ari, we hit a billion around 1800, two billion around 1900, and since then we have quadrupled our population.
With technology, we're feeding most.
I believe there are costs, the climate for one.
There are probably others.
It might not hurt us to slow down a bit. I have to grant you, my wife and I had two children, so I contributed. I'm just
wondering if it might be beneficial to think of two as healthy, and maybe a way to let the
population decline at least somewhat. I'm wondering if eight billion might be too much.
Ari took the lead on this question, since he contributes a lot to Tangle's environmental
coverage, and it was partially addressed to him. We received a lot of polite and confrontational feedback to this
answer to a reader question through all channels. In questions submitted through our online form,
replies to Isaac's personal inbox, and in comments on the article. And all that confrontational
feedback raised variations on the same point, which is best summarized by this excellent piece
of graffiti I read on a Chicago sidewalk 15 years ago. The only two things capable of infinite growth are capitalism and a brain
tumor. Which is to say that, of course, nothing is. If we, like a mass of cancer cells, attempt to
grow indefinitely, then, like a cancer, we will eventually consume all of our resources and kill
our host, i.e. the Earth. That's a fair point. Bombastically made,
but still, we've structured a global society around national economies that function on the
presumption of sustained growth, which is ecologically impossible to maintain indefinitely.
That means that either the laws of ecology will have to change, or our global economy will,
and I believe that humanity will adapt and learn to thrive with a sustained,
non-increasing population because adapting is what we do. I think we're still a few decades
off before we get to economically sustaining a steady population, and in order to get there,
I believe we'll make compoundingly more small changes in our global consumption habits.
I believe that because we are already making them, and through continued adaptations and
innovations, we can mitigate some of the worst effects of our global population's sustained
growth.
I also believe we'll be unable to divert some of those effects, which, not to celebrate
the morbid, will involuntarily curtail some of our population growth.
Which gets us to the heart of the matter.
Can we reach a sustainable population level voluntarily before we suffer a species-level
catastrophe?
It's a wicked problem with many factors and subsequent questions, many of which are hard
to face and answer. What size and scope of deadly effects of resource scarcity are tolerable? How
tolerable is a global underclass, a status quo in which most of the global population growth is
occurring in countries that have the lowest standards of living, and ergo lowest consumption
habits, and how do we sustainably raise it? How do we model and forecast our growth in a way that allows
for and even encourages innovation? And perhaps most importantly, can we shift our economy towards
one that asks for prosperity growth without population growth? For the developing world,
the problem is very complicated. But for the U.S., there's plenty of reason to believe that
we can have a stable population with an economy based on efficiency gains and not population growth.
As we originally said, and to be fair to Isaac, we don't want to be too far under the replacement
rate. But as many of you wrote in to point out, we also don't want to be too far past it.
The global ecology and global economy are both vitally important to our species advancement,
Global ecology and global economy are both vitally important to our species advancement,
and I can't resist noting that both words are rooted in the same Greek word, oikos, or house.
We have to get our house in order without sacrificing either the ecology or the economy.
Everything I just wrote could be the beginning of a 400-page book exploring the topic,
but I'll skip right to the book's likely conclusion. Advanced global economies are getting to the point where they can thrive without population growth, but we aren't quite there yet, and we'll probably need to
make both many technological advancements and normalize some global immigration to get to the
point where we're consistently maintaining a population at or below Earth's carrying capacity.
All right, that is it for all the reader questions today. Because we gave that section a lot of time,
we're skipping under the radar end numbers and we're heading straight into our have a nice day
section. In Tokyo, Japan, a global city of wealth, culture, and fine food, there is an out-of-place
site next to the city's chic cafes that often causes passersby to do a double take. A tiny
unattended produce stand,
with weather-beaten wood tables bowing under the weight of stacks of carrots, potatoes,
and mandarin oranges, sits in a quiet alley. Odder still, payment for the produce is on the
honor system, and most of the items offered are priced at 100 yen, or about 70 cents.
Then, there's the stand's target demographic. A handwritten note on the stall reads,
Dear Young People,
I came here from Hiroshima with nothing,
lived on watermelon for a month,
but couldn't ask my mom for help.
30 years on, I grow plenty of vegetables,
the note continues.
Tomo-chan is on your side,
so don't worry about the future.
The generous offering is an oasis
to the often stressed and overworked young people in Tokyo.
Lonely,
struggling financially, working my way through school is hard. You've become like a second mother to me, an appreciative customer said in a note left at the stand. CBS News has this story,
and there's a link to it in today's episode description.
All right, everybody, that is it for today's episode. As always, if you'd like to support
our work, please go to readtangle.com and sign up for a membership. Isaac should be back on the
mic on Monday, and it's been a real pleasure hosting all week. Hope you guys have a great
weekend. Talk to you soon. Peace.
Peace. our social media manager. Music for the podcast was produced by Diet 75. If you're looking for more from Tangle, please go to readtangle.com and check out our website.
Based on Charles Yu's award-winning book, Interior Chinatown follows the story of We'll be right back. web is family's buried history and what it feels like to be in the spotlight. Interior Chinatown is streaming November 19th, only on Disney+.
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