TBPN Live - Apple Goes Full Throttle on F1, Meme Stocks Make a Comeback, Amazon's New Wearable AI Device | Christina Cacioppo, Deena Shakir, Davide Asnaghi, Ylan Richard
Episode Date: July 23, 2025(01:34) - Apple Goes Full Throttle on F1 (18:43) - Meme Stocks Are Back (37:27) - Amazon's New Wearable AI Device (56:53) - Timeline (01:19:54) - Christina Cacioppo is the founder and CEO... of Vanta, a trust management platform that automates security and compliance processes for businesses. She discusses Vanta's recent $150 million Series D funding round, which increased the company's valuation to $4.15 billion, and highlights the platform's expansion into AI-driven features like questionnaire automation and trust centers. Cacioppo also reflects on Vanta's growth from focusing on SOC 2 compliance for startups to becoming a comprehensive security and compliance solution for over 12,000 clients across 58 countries. (01:42:10) - Deena Shakir, a Partner at Lux Capital, invests in transformative technologies across sectors such as women's health, digital health infrastructure, health equity, foodtech, and fintech. In the conversation, she discusses the evolving landscape of AI in healthcare, highlighting the dual trends of cost-effective company startups enabled by AI and the substantial funding required for infrastructure-intensive ventures. She emphasizes the importance of AI applications beyond medical scribes, such as in clinical trials and drug development, and notes the increasing adoption of AI by major healthcare players, underscoring the necessity for startups to offer innovative, defensible, and transformative solutions. (02:03:56) - Davide Asnaghi, co-founder and CEO of Diode Computers, discusses how his company leverages AI to automate the design and manufacturing of printed circuit boards (PCBs), aiming to democratize access to high-end PCB design for a wide range of hardware companies. He highlights the challenges in the industry, such as the scarcity of skilled engineers and the reliance on proprietary data, and explains how Diode addresses these by building proprietary datasets and utilizing large language models to generate schematics. Additionally, he announces that Diode has recently raised a Series A funding round led by Andreessen Horowitz and plans to expand their manufacturing capabilities to scale production within the United States. (02:14:55) - Ylan Richard, co-founder and CEO of Cala, a French startup that developed fully automated pasta restaurants, discusses his journey of building the company in France and the challenges faced due to structural financing gaps and stringent labor regulations, which ultimately led to the business's closure. He reflects on the lessons learned, emphasizing the importance of lean headquarters operations and strategic financing, and shares his plans to launch a new venture in the United States, aiming to open the first store in New York by mid-next year, with considerations for franchising to scale more efficiently. (02:27:05) - Timeline TBPN.com is made possible by: Ramp - https://ramp.comFigma - https://figma.comVanta - https://vanta.comLinear - https://linear.appEight Sleep - https://eightsleep.com/tbpnWander - https://wander.com/tbpnPublic - https://public.comAdQuick - https://adquick.comBezel - https://getbezel.com Numeral - https://www.numeralhq.comPolymarket - https://polymarket.comAttio - https://attio.com/tbpnFin - https://fin.ai/tbpnGraphite - https://graphite.devRestream - https://restream.ioFollow TBPN: https://TBPN.comhttps://x.com/tbpnhttps://open.spotify.com/show/2L6WMqY3GUPCGBD0dX6p00?si=674252d53acf4231https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/technology-brothers/id1772360235https://www.youtube.com/@TBPNLive
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You're watching TBPN!
Today is Wednesday, July 23rd, 2025.
We are live from the TBPN Ultradome,
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You know who should get on restream Apple and f1. That's the story that we're talking about today
We've talked about this before so
f1
fantastic race series with big fans
but the actual
streaming rights to the races
has been kind of hotly debated.
There was an article in the journal a while back
that they were going to ESPN saying,
hey, we want something like $80 million.
And ESPN was like, I don't know if that's worth it.
And we were going back and forth.
And they wanted something like 200.
Yeah, yeah, yeah, they wanted a lot.
And so the stack of content to go through is growing. So we will be,
we will be thinning the textbook.
We will be thinning out the guest lineup in the future. Um,
but for today we're going through, uh, let's kick it off with Ben Thompson.
He had some good analysis here and has some, uh,
some details from reporting in the athletic, uh,
which is a New York Times property.
Formula One is trending towards choosing Apple
for its United States broadcasting rights for 2026 onwards.
The technology companies bid being in the 120
to $150 million range.
Market clearing order inbound.
That is a market clearing order, probably will clear.
ESPN has held the rights since 2018,
but its current deal is up at the end of the year.
The sports media giants exclusivity negotiation period
expired before February, 2025,
leading to interest from other broadcasters,
including Netflix and TBPN.
Yes, we would love to.
We decided to sit it out.
ESPN has remained in the mix for US broadcasting rights,
though its bid is lower.
Apparently ESPN's offer is in the $90 million per year range.
Which is still wild
because this is the US broadcasting rights.
Yep.
And I believe in 2024, Formula One
had around 1 million total viewers.
1.3 million viewers on average per race.
But Ben Thompson puts it in a different perspective.
He says F1 on the other hand has a meaningful audience
versus MLS which was averaging around 200,000 viewers
per year on linear TV before the Apple deal
and that wasn't growing.
So this is six times
as big as MLS. Again, I think there's more games than races. So it's not exactly Apple
to Apple, but every race, but one has seen a year over year increase in viewership. So
F1 is getting more popular. A lot of that's driven by drive to survive. And this is the
crazy thing. Given when races are televised,
usually early Sunday morning, and the fact that they
aren't promoted by ESPN any meaningful sense,
so it's not like you're getting the Pat McAfee show
talking about, oh, you gotta tune in,
and there's a ton of coverage on ESPN throughout the week.
They just kinda show up Sunday morning,
and people turn on the TV, and they schedule it.
And so you can, he says you can make the case.
I always like the timing because any parents out there,
you're certainly not sleeping in on the weekends,
the kids wake up, and I find it's some nice background
noise or viewing in those early hours.
For sure.
And so he says you can make the case
that F1 makes its own audience,
which by extension means they will be able to pull people
to a streaming service.
Basically F1 fans are strong enough
that they'll go search it out.
And when I was really getting into F1
after getting into Drive to Survive,
I was like, okay, I'm gonna have to subscribe to F1,
the app, and jump through all these hoops.
That's on your phone.
And it's like as many hoops as UFC,
but people still do it. Yeah. And there's still a big debate. And I was, yeah, it's like as many hoops as UFC, but people still do it.
Yeah.
And there's still a big debate, but anyways.
And I think Netflix had done the analysis
and realized that all of the potential viewers of F1
were basically already subscribed to Netflix.
Yep.
And so it was a more difficult kind of equation
to make work than someone like an Apple TV potentially
that could potentially drive new subscribers.
Someone called it a streaming backwater or something like that in here.
We'll dig into it.
But somebody had some not nice things to say about Apple TV.
Although I'm a subscriber and I think it's nice.
So he says, this is Ben Thompson writing in Strutechery.
What makes this all work is the fact that for F1 races, F1 races are at the bottom of the funnel
in terms of fan engagement.
F1, at least in the US, has by and large grown its audience
via Netflix's drive to survive.
Netflix pays F1 a pittance for rights,
apparently single digit millions for that,
but it's okay for F1 because the way they ultimately
make money is by Kurt converting Netflix viewers
into race fans.
So if you're F1, you see that as a marketing channel on so yeah an f1
has sponsors at the at this sort of
League level and also the individual teams all those sponsors are getting more viewership and engagement through f1
Yeah, it's sort of added value to them, and they don't have to pay they're actually making money
On I mean, I wonder, not a super consequential amount.
I wonder, I mean, of course the sponsorships
are like such like 360 deals that it's like,
you know, car livery and also a whole bunch
of other advertising assets,
but I wonder if they broke out, okay,
how much lift, how much benefit,
how many impressions are we getting from Drive to Survive?
Would that be, when you total up all the value add
to all the different advertisers
from being in Drive to Survive
and being seen by people on Netflix,
how much would that be more than the couple million dollars
that Netflix pays for the rights?
It might be, it might be.
Like there's a lot of people that see ads
that are for specific F1 sponsors.
Yeah, I've seen Saudi Aramco hundreds of times
while watching Drive to Survive.
Exactly, yeah, it's pretty valuable ad space.
So, interesting deal that kind of works both ways
and everyone makes money.
Anyway, making that model work, however,
means actually monetizing the races,
which means that it's actually quite logical
to go with the company willing to pay
30 to 60 million dollars more for those rights.
You have to capture value somewhere in the funnel.
Moreover, you could make the case that many F1 fans
aren't necessarily ESPN subscribers,
and this is where it gets interesting,
because the cable bundle is shrinking,
and the F1 did this global fan survey,
so it's their data,
so Ben Thompson's kind of taking it with a grain of salt,
but this is from the F1 global fan survey.
They conducted a study every four years
to track how fan engagement is evolving across the sport.
They got 100,000 responses from self-identified,
highly engaged fans in 186 countries.
That's basically all of them.
The findings offer a detailed snapshot
of the modern fan mindset and show that Formula One
is increasingly attracting new, younger,
and more female audience with growth in markets
such as the United States.
Gen Z is helping shape the rhythm of the modern fandom,
engaging with the sport more frequently and on a deeper emotional level.
Female fans now account for three in four new fans.
Interesting.
I would not have predicted that.
That's very, very interesting.
Well, the drivers are often Chads.
If that's what's driving it.
That could be part of the factor.
Yeah, it's also interesting that there are no female drivers on the grid right now
there was Danica Patrick in the net in the NASCAR series for a while but
somehow it's breaking through maybe it's through drive to survive being more
accessible on Netflix more storylines pulling people in and they're just going
down that funnel I don't know well there's also the the the wag industrial
complex yes one that is aspirational lifestyle maybe they should do a spin-off of drive
to survive don't they do that with NBA isn't there a show about like wags or
something like that maybe that's kind of informally with the housewives series
is right maybe they should do that with the largest country share of respondents
you fans in the u.s fans in the US continue to stand out
for their growth, youth, and digital fluency.
They over-index on content engagement,
sponsor responsiveness, and daily touchpoints,
signaling a market where fandom is evolving rapidly
and is commercially-
Saudi Aramco is like, why?
We seem to be getting a lot of female-
Zoomers.
Female Zoomers.
Zoomers.
Buying oil. Following our content on Instagram.
They seem to be really into this.
What's happening?
Maybe, I don't know.
So basically, Ben Thompson's conclusion from this survey
is what are you talking about when you're talking
about a younger, more female-focused audience?
Those don't sound like ESPN subscribers.
Those actually sound like Apple TV subscribers
or potential Apple TV subscribers,
certainly cord cutters, certainly people
who are not going to buy a big cable package
and get on ESPN too and Red Zone and all of that stuff.
That's typically the gen X male,
the maybe older millennial male
that probably dominates the ESPN audience.
And so.
Yeah, that's really interesting.
Apple kind of has an edge where they can build out
a service for some of these more lifestyle oriented sports,
some of these alternative, you know,
you could imagine them doing things in tennis over time
because maybe that's a different audience
than the hardcore ESPN Redstone subscriber.
Yeah, yeah.
So he says, I could definitely envision a scenario
where F1 not only doesn't suffer from being
on a streaming service instead of ESPN,
but it actually grows further.
So this is an interesting bull case.
Given Apple TV's lower price point
relative to a standalone ESPN streaming service,
much less a cable bundle.
What is clear is that this deal
certainly makes a lot of sense for Apple
than the MLS deal did.
If the company can capture all 1.3 million
of those current viewers
and they are incremental to current Apple TV subscribers,
then the company will break even on this deal.
Those are very generous assumptions, of course,
but not nearly as generous as whatever assumptions drove the company to spend double the money on
a sport no one watches, which is MLS. So he's taking shots at MLS because there
was an interesting quote in here from from something else. What was this? It was
from The Athletic again talking about the North American Soccer League general
managers. One common theme from general managers the
Apple deal which is Apple's deal to to air MLS is proving to be too much of a barrier for new fans
The wait they want the content to be completely free
New fans just don't want it on Apple apparently or the GM's don't want to be limited to the Apple audience
Apparently they want to be on ESPN or something.
Oh, okay, okay.
Apparently, so the GMs say,
hey, if we want this to grow,
we're the general managers of a bunch of different MLS teams,
if we want to grow soccer in America and grow MLS,
change the format, change the salary cap.
Why don't they just pivot to football or basketball
or baseball if they want to?
Yeah, what's wrong with just throwing around a pigskin?
Yeah, change the format.
Just turning into American football.
I have to say, football is one of the best things
you can buy under 50 bucks, period.
That's non-food.
I mean, I think the value you can get out of a pigskin
is absolutely insane.
Hours of fun.
The return on pigskin.
Yeah, it's fantastic
He says allow us to bring more attractive players
I I didn't realize that MLS had a salary cap because I thought they were signing like massive deals with these
Like legacy famous
Who is the player that went to galaxy messy or something? Yeah, is that right? I don't know. Well
This is how this bad because I don't know. Well, this is bad because I don't know
anything about sports.
There was someone who went to Miami,
there was someone who went to the LA Galaxy.
I don't know.
Anyway, this GM says.
Yeah, so Massey plays for Inter Miami.
Yep, and it's a huge deal.
It's like AI researcher money, remember?
That's how we were comping it.
And the GM said, but they also have to end the deal
with Apple, it's bad for the fans.
David Beckham played in the MLS,
and you have Zlatan Ibrahimovic as well.
So they'll pull in some superstars,
but usually towards the end of their runs.
So the GMs of the North American Soccer League MLS,
they say, I think we have to be on more linear outlets,
we have to be on ABC, NBC, Fox, or more regularly,
more regularly because I think a lot of people,
a lot more people watched our games
when we were in that space.
I think Apple and the whole streaming thing
is really innovative, but it's probably where things, uh,
and it's probably where things will be going.
But I don't think MLS is the leader of that.
I don't think enough has been put behind the subscription model.
You're in a different league when you're,
you're a different league when you're a subscription based league.
I don't think the effort has been put in like it should be.
It's like selling tickets. You need people out there selling.
You can't just hope that people are gonna sign up.
And so yeah, interesting.
The risk for F1 is that the series,
which has massive growth, is going to constrict itself
to the streaming backwaters, says Ben Thompson,
just so it can make a few more bucks in the meantime.
So that's the risk, is that F1 goes and gets stuck
in subscription land and no one can just turn on the TV So that's the risk is that f1 goes and you know gets stuck in
Subscription land and no one can just turn on the TV and see it and the 1.3 million fans
Don't actually migrate over in this. I'll just catch the highlights or I'll just watch drive to survive on Netflix
Instead of going setting up a new subscription But if it's truly f1 truly does have a younger audience does have a more female audience
They might be that might be what gets them to turn on Apple TV streaming at least.
Yeah.
Anyway.
I still get so confused by all the different cable plans.
I watch F1 on YouTube TV, which I guess is through ESPN.
It's like, I guess that will go away.
And then I would have to subscribe to Apple.
So they would get a net new.
I actually don't subscribe to Apple TV.
You don't?
I don't. Not for any you don't okay not not for any
reason I just I never want to I never want to go through the happen never
want to go through the I just don't watch a lot of television yeah and I
don't want to go through the hassle of like signing up for a new service yeah I
feel like recently I got a new iPhone and it just like came with Apple TV plus
and I just like clicked the button and didn't unsubscribe and then I've been on
that for a while.
But speaking of a new iPhone, we have a challenge
for Tyler Cosgrove, the intern at TBPN.
We will be giving him a second shot on goal,
a second kick of the old field goal today.
If he missed it, we bricked his iPhone.
He had to upgrade to liquid glass.
It's been on its last legs ever since.
Mark Gurman has some interesting posts today.
He said we won, he likes the new revision to liquid glass, glass the latest and greatest which I think you can't get yet break it down. No, so
It's mostly because my storage is so low so I can't so you can't revert back
Yes, like but you also can't go for I can't go forward because I'd have to like delete basically everything on my phone
Which I guess maybe I could basically clear it and then update
and then get the stuff back.
But I don't know if that would work.
Well, you're stuck in purgatory,
an iPhone, iOS purgatory, liquid glass,
a liquid glass house.
But today, you have the chance to win a new iPhone.
If you can get on the leaderboard for ArcGi v3,
we gave Tyler the chance to prove his humanity and defeat
the version 3 of Arc AGI. This is a benchmark for artificial intelligence systems. The whole
design is that anyone should be able to do this. Any human should be able to achieve
to beat these puzzles. Tyler beat them. But we got some benchmark time. We gave him a time constraint.
Mike Newp, the co-founder of Zapier,
who's also the co-founder of Arc AGI,
and behind the lab that's actually
pioneering this benchmark, gave me some times.
He said 15 minutes would be super hard,
20 minutes would be reasonable,
25 minutes would be very doable.
We said it as hard as possible, 15 minutes.
Tyler came in around 25.
But today, redemption is on the line.
You get a second shot on goal of winning that iPhone.
So what do we say?
So the new human benchmark, there's a leaderboard
where you can go and do these tests as many times
as you want.
The first time you do it, it's hard
because you have to figure out how the games work.
But then after that, it becomes kind of a speed run.
But the leaderboard is based on efficiency.
So how many, how few moves can you make?
How few actions can you take to solve the puzzles
to be kind of in the top 15, top 20?
You have to do it under 600 moves across all three games.
And that's the
challenge for today there's no time limit you can do this as many times as
you want you can reset you can try and learn all the different patterns and all
the different paths how we were worried about um so I think originally we were
gonna do like I had to be in the top 10 yeah but then I was a little worried
about stream snipers yep coming in and in and viewers watching the stream coming in
and just going crazy going ham
and then I would be out of the top 10.
Yeah, exactly.
Even if I did well.
So try and beat it today.
Give us the baseline score of how many moves
it takes you the first time you go through
and then try and do it again,
try and become more efficient
until you can hopefully cross the 600 move threshold.
And get on the leaderboard, that should be a lot of fun.
And what else is fun?
Getting your business on ramp.com.
Time is money, save both.
Easy use corporate cards, bill payments,
accounting and a whole lot more all in one place.
Go to ramp.com to get started.
Ramp.
In other news, meme stocks are completely back.
Let's give it up for meme stocks. Let's give it up for meme stocks.
Let's give it up for meme stocks.
Let's give it up for top signals, baby.
We got a bunch of them.
So the Wall Street Journal has an article about Kohl's,
the discount retailer, and then Opendoor,
the high-flying tech company that was co-founded
by Keith Reboy.
Recently more low-flying.
Yes, but got out, I think, via a SPAC,
was what was Open Door's core business?
Basically allowing folks to sell, buying and selling homes.
And the stock's been up and down,
and there's been a lot of discussion over,
can they take on Zillow?
Is there something Zillow would compete with? It's back at 10, just under $11 a share.
As of a month ago, it was trading at 50 cents.
Okay, so way down.
So it's still down 79% since the IPO,
but more recently, it's up 300% in the past month.
Wow.
And people seem to be rallying around,
I saw people saying, this is an $82 stock all day, all day.
I don't know why, I don't know why that number in particular.
Not a lot of DCFs going on in the meme stock community.
Vibes based analysis.
It's been, it's a proven strategy.
Yeah.
A memeing stock, it happens.
And Crispy Cream.
Is also in the conversation.
With a ticker D-Nut.
Is up 40% in the past five days.
So yeah, the market.
Lot of opportunity out there,
but the thing that's been interesting
is that Buko Capital bloke had a post earlier this
morning he said open doors down 10% after being down 10% yesterday
Krispy Kreme is up 37% after being up 27% yesterday the meme market is brutal
lightning-quick and moving way too frantically between absolute to ever
have another game stop yeah basically so Yeah, basically. Dogs, basically.
So yes, it's interesting, this eagerness from retail,
just investors broadly, to find the next GameStop,
means that there's an incentive,
like if you don't get in before something goes up 300%
in a week, there's almost this like,
there's almost an incentive to just pick a new company that has that potential to do something.
I feel like Krispy Kreme in particular
was part of the narrative that like GLP ones
would destroy that business
because people's appetites would be suppressed
and so junk food markets would sell off
and junk food companies wouldn't do as well.
But maybe the meme stock retail traders know something we don't.
Anyway, let's go to the Wall Street Journal.
Individual investors are once again loading up on a group of unloved stocks and taking to social media to defend them from haters and the
short sellers. Meet the cast of the meme stock craze season 2.
the short sellers meet the cast of the meme stock craze season two.
Let's go. A user named hot ticket nine four four zero wrote on a sub Reddit forum Tuesday
as shares of Coles, which is down 17% when I took this screenshot.
That's about 15% today.
The department store chain surged by nearly 40% max pain on the
shorts by every dip together.
We strong said hot ticket nine four four zero open has Max Payne on the shorts, buy every dip, together we strong, said HotTekit9440.
Open has GameStop vibes written all over it.
Skip Tradeless wrote Tuesday on X of Open Door Technologies.
Which is down 23%.
Today, but it was up yesterday, I guess.
Real estate platform, it's a real estate platform.
And in all caps, we won't stop until $82,
which I don't know how that was picked,
but we'll find out.
It's a nice number.
Shares of Kohl's and Opendoor have rocketed
higher recently.
So have other oddball stocks, including QuantumScape,
a maker of batteries for electric vehicles,
and Rugetti Computing, a quantum computing firm
that we talked to Martin Screlli about.
Their recent rise and the cult following as they have inspired
on social media are reminiscent of GameStop AMC entertainment and the original meme stocks
that caught fire in the aftermath of the pandemic when interest rates were near zero in the
markets rally was underway.
What's interesting is like it was very clear to trace the origins of the meme stock craze. It was like you had, social media had fully arrived,
you had low interest rates,
and then you had stimulus checks going out.
And there was a whole cottage industry of influencers
and YouTubers who basically, they made content around
when will the checks get delivered?
When will the stimulus checks get delivered?
When will the stimulus checks get delivered? How can you get your stimulus checks sooner?
People were Googling for that,
people were searching for that,
and you would make a video explaining,
okay, they're in the mail now,
and people were just so interested to know
when the money was coming and making sure
that it would go to the right address
and that they were set up to get it
because it's free money,
you don't want to just lose out on it, right?
And so people made those videos,
and then the natural evolution was,
well, now that you have the money,
what do you do with it?
And then they were making financial recommendations,
financial advice, right?
And they made a ton of money,
and they got really, really big,
and there were some of them that were making
like five videos a day, breaking down,
you know, every different,
what you should do in Tesla, what you should do in Tesla,
what you should do in GameStop.
And so like the precursor was very,
it was a very clear trend and also retail hadn't gotten
burned in a while, I feel like.
It was just like, like all of the precursors
were very clear and now I don't,
I'm having trouble constructing like the narrative around
why this is happening again, other than maybe this is just like it's just
Going to be cyclical forever
But anyway
Their recent rise and the cult followings they inspired on social media are reminiscent of GameStop the original meme stocks
younger individual investors congregated on online stock picking forums to share their triumphs and losses and found a common enemy in the professional investors
who were betting against their favorite stocks.
Now, with stocks at records,
the economy's staying resilient
and corporate earnings beating expectations.
Netflix beat earnings, by the way,
and we should expect that basically every tech company
is going to beat earnings because the dollar is weak.
And so if you have a large portion of your business
outside of the United States,
you will see very strong earnings results this quarter.
Yeah, well one unfortunate thing
for the meme stock movement is that Besant said this morning
that Trump's not gonna fire Powell
and so there's Jerome Powell out as chair in 2025 is sitting at
18% now dropped on that news so we got it peaked it peaked at 20 it was at 24
never went above 50% yeah but it was at 24% and it had been rising kind of week
over week.
I mean that was a crazy,
that was a crazy time when the Jerome Powell stuff,
I didn't see that much real evidence.
We talked to Joe Weisenthal at Bloomberg
about this a little bit,
but it was a full core press by the financial media
and the financial institutions to say like,
do not do this.
I remember opening up the Wall Street Journal one day
and like there were five different articles
from news reports of big bank CEOs commenting on the record,
hey don't fire the Fed chair, let's Fed independent.
There were op-eds saying about the value
of Fed independence that we shouldn't lose this.
And then when we talked to Joe Weisenthal,
he also said it is somewhat un-American
to not have an independent Fed.
But then of course there are people
on the other side of the debate,
but if Jerome Powell's staying around,
what does that mean, rates stay high,
and so we should see less froth in meme stocks, in theory?
I don't know exactly how it works through the
system but you know like I would imagine that it's harder to borrow on margin,
harder to get more leverage, like all these different things are functions of
interest rates being higher. So you see all these into these quote you see all
these indicators where this is full-bl mania, said Brent Kochuba, founder of Derivatives Data
Firm, SpotGamma.
Opendoor was traded under $1 as recently as last week,
began to take off after social media users rallied around
the company.
Then hedge fund manager, Eric Jackson, said in a July 14th
post on X that his firm, EMJ Capital, has taken a position
in the stock.
Opendoor notched six consecutive sessions
of double digit percentage gains following his endorsement
and the shares are up 439% in a month.
And look at that stock chart, look at that.
It is a complete line just directly up.
And of course, Keith Riboy was absolutely loving it.
Yep.
You don't get 100 baggers without upset stomachs. This is uh, jackson, uh, not keith
Uh, but when you spot one early with almost no one else watching that's when the magic happens
And so this was a guy that was uh doing a little bit of a general solicitation as well. Oh, it's that guy
Yeah, I didn't realize that
solicitation as well. Oh, it's that guy?
Yeah.
I didn't realize that.
A 38-year-old educator in California
says he began scooping up shares of Opendoor last month
when it was trading under $1 a share.
This is Melvin Berrientos.
He says he sold all his shares and put options
tied to Opendoor over the past week
and pocketed a roughly $3,000 profit.
Put options to the right to sell a stock at a set price.
Berrientos says he is always on the hunt
for beaten down stocks and has traded meme stocks
like AMC and Carvana before,
often loading up on thousands of shares
before selling them when they rally.
He says he plans to sell more open door puts
if the shares continue tumbling.
And shares of open door fell 10% to $2.88 on Tuesday.
It just happens by luck.
Coal's revenue is another example,
the embattled-
What's your investment strategy?
It's just luck.
Luck.
Luck, make your own luck.
I feel like there's some great wisdom out there about luck.
I wouldn't, it doesn't feel like true mania
since this guy's not saying I just quit my job
to become a day trader.
Yep, I don't know.
It's very, very interesting.
So meme stock traders are often talking,
are often target companies that are highly shorted
like Kohl's and GameStop before it,
hoping to induce a so-called short squeeze.
Short sellers bet against companies.
If the stock starts rising instead,
short sellers may need to buy their shares back
to exit from the losing trade cycle
that creates even more demand and can send shares soaring.
The frenzy continued on Wednesday.
Shares of GoPro soared 57%.
And Krispy Kreme, which you mentioned,
jumped 20% despite no clear impetus to buy.
Yeah, GoPro, I mean, I love when they just pick
an awesome company like GoPro.
GoPro's a sweet company.
Making cool cameras for doing cool stuff.
Yeah.
How can you not love that?
Yeah, it is interesting because AMC and GameStop
were very much like nostalgia plays,
whereas Open Door doesn't really fit that template of,
I feel like a lot of the GameStop supporters
were also supportive of the idea of getting back to a world
where you can go and buy a
video game from a local store.
And that just being like a fun childhood memory.
I remember as a kid riding my bike to GameStop to pick up a new N64 game.
I love how there's somebody out there that's just like has that mentality of just buy the
stocks of the companies you love.
And they're like, well, I love Krispy Kreme, and I love GoPro, because I love doing some cool stuff,
filming it, and treating myself with some donuts.
And they think they're a genius investor not realizing that.
And I mean, every once in a while, things do get oversold.
There's plenty of examples of companies
that have been trading below cash for some reason,
and it's a function of various lockups,
and then the company kind of goes into wartime mode
and rebuilds and does come out of it and builds back up,
and that does happen, especially post the end of ZERP,
post the SVV crisis.
There were a lot of companies that were just
truly oversold and they were able to come back,
usually because they're founder-led
and the founders stuck it out.
So there's lots of options being traded
on Open Door, NVIDIA, Apple.
And Open Door has over three million option contracts
that changed hands on Monday,
almost as much as the S&P 500, wow.
With the market capitalization around two billion,
Open Door is a member of the Russell 2000 Small Cap Index.
The fact that more Open Door options traded Monday than contracts tied to NVIDIA, the
$4 trillion behemoth was unusual.
That's pretty much unheard of, Heisinger said, founder of options data platform QuantData.
And that trading increase obviously wasn't tied to fundamentals.
It was a speculative squeeze. And so there's
a very funny article in Bloomberg from Matt Levine. He's a fantastic columnist, a fantastic
writer. This is taking it one step further. We're getting into meme stock treasuries at
this point. Okay. So he says, well, the other day I wrote and if you're
not already subscribed to Matt Levine over at Bloomberg, you got to get on money stuff.
It's a great newsletter that you can get in your email inbox if you subscribe to Bloomberg.
Well, the other day I wrote that the crypto treasury strategy trade is very good, but
saturated. The US stock market will pay $2 for $1 worth of Bitcoin So lots of companies have acquired Bitcoin to make their stock go up
But the returns are diminishing companies have moved on to other cryptocurrencies
Ethereum Tron and Solana and and BNB and Trump coin
But they are running out of space and he wrote if you want to do this trade now
You might want to try something else
Maybe the stock market will pay $2 for $1 worth of blank,
you think, where what goes in the blank is,
one, big and attention-getting,
two, relatively liquid, so you can buy it incrementally
as money comes in and market to market as the price goes up,
and three, somewhat crypto-adjacent in spirit,
but four, not a a big obvious crypto token.
And so-
What are, what would the, what would be exciting?
One of one Ferraris, you know, classics?
Ferrari treasuries.
Ferrari treasury.
There's something there.
Something there.
That sounds like something we would do as a joke.
Yeah.
And it will actually happen in the market in a few years.
Maybe someone should buy that McLaren collection.
That's a good treasury.
You got an original F1.
You got a Senna.
I'm trying to think what else is big in attention
getting and relatively liquid.
I don't know.
Well, his example is micro strategy.
So he says, I feel like someone should try
a micro strategy micro strategy. So he says I feel like someone to try a micro strategy treasury strategy
Like you take over a small public company and you announce that you are raising 200 million to buy micro strategy stock
Maybe that would be worth 400 million
And he says I'm an idiot, but there's one obvious answer and I'm ashamed that I missed it quantum biopharma
Found it Wow a biopharmaceutical company dedicated
to innovative therapies for neurodegenerative disorders.
Today, announced the purchase of 2,000 shares of GameStop
to hold on the company's balance sheet
as a strategic investment.
This move aligns with Quantum Bio Pharma's
ongoing commitment to combating market corruption
and enhancing shareholder value
through prudent financial strategies
and advocacy against manipulative trade practices.
Well, whatever your plan is,
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We have an interesting-
And speaking of Figma, they hold Bitcoin. They do.
On their balance sheet.
They do.
I don't think that's because-
It was more, I think it was more like
prudent treasury management and wanting to be diversified.
Dylan's been a big believer in crypto for a long time.
But the mark when the S1 came out and people saw that,
everybody was pretty excited.
I actually held Bitcoin on the balance sheet
of my first company.
When Bitcoin was trading.
Oh, because you guys had to, you were accepting it.
We were accepting it through Coinbase.
We had an integration where you could pay,
but it was complicated because customers would pay
in Bitcoin and then if the price of Bitcoin went down,
they would ask for a refund.
And if the price of Bitcoin,
or if the price of Bitcoin went up,
they would ask for a refund in the Bitcoin that they paid.
If they, so they would effectively use your refund policy
as a hedge and so if the price of Bitcoin went down,
they could like sell the product and then buy more Bitcoin.
It was just like very, very messy.
But we wound up holding some Bitcoin on the balance sheet
but we eventually sold it way too early, obviously.
And we also paid out a bonus to people.
I think everyone that Christmas got five bitcoins.
Crazy to think about.
Now that's like, it was like five grand back then.
Yeah, yeah, brutal.
Anyway, let's tell you about Graphite.dev code review
for the age of AI.
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I wish I had Graphite back in the day.
You can go to graphite.dev to get started.
I had graphite back in the day.
Yeah.
So, Matt Levine goes on,
2,000 of shares of GameStop is like $50,000,
which isn't gonna move the needle,
even on a $72 million public company.
The stock was down this morning, but good effort.
Good effort.
So, he says, the simple way to think about exchange traded
funds is that an ETF.
See, that would be, if they added $50,000 worth of GameStop
to their balance sheet, and then the stock moved,
that would be true mania in my book, right?
Oh, totally, totally, totally.
You've got to have the day trader, the educator
who's day trading options, quitting his job,
and you gotta have, adding $50,000 of GameStop,
triple your stock price.
To me that's-
50K is so little.
I mean, what is the, why did they do this?
Like, what is the, is it just to get a press release,
just to get mentioned in Matt Levine's article?
Well John, it obviously aligns with quantum biofirmers
ongoing commitment to combating market corruption
and enhancing shareholder value
through prudent financial strategy
and advocacy against manipulative trading practices.
How does this combat market corruption?
They're making a statement, John.
They're making a statement, I suppose.
Anyway, there's no better way to make a statement
than getting on Vanta, automate compliance,
manage risk, improve trust continuously.
Vanta's trust management platform.
We're gonna talk to the CEO.
We're hitting the gong in just a little bit.
Vanta raised some new money that was announced today,
and we will have Christina on a little bit later
to break it down.
Yeah, well, this newsletter from Matt Levine is fantastic,
but I'll let you go and subscribe and read it. We can move on to the Wall Street Journal talking about Amazon. Amazon has launched a new or they bought an AI wearable that kind of flew under the radar. This is the B.
Yeah. Had you ever had you ever heard of this company? I hadn't heard of it. I feel like I've heard of most of them,
but only the ones that kind of went viral.
So the Humane Pen I followed,
the Rabbit R1 I followed,
the Friend I followed,
and then obviously the Sam Altman,
Johnny Ive Project IO,
which we don't know what it is,
might be a wearable, might be a phone,
I don't know, I feel like there's been
a lot of conflicting reporting
about what they're actually building,
but there's a lot of stuff there,
and there's something coming.
And then obviously we've talked to the founder of Whoop,
and other wearables, and I'm aware of Fitbit,
that's kind of in the legacy space.
Apple has the Apple Watch.
Now Amazon has the BAI bracelet
that listens to your conversations throughout the day,
and automatically adds action items from those
chats to a to-do list.
So it might suggest, it'll create a suggested to-do for you on their website.
It says go grocery shopping for the week as one.
Two is actually on their site says send a Figma link of the work discussed to the team.
And three establish a daily routine
to take a daily walk.
And it gives you reflections and insights.
And the example they give on the site
is you're adapting your parenting approach
during wife's absence by creating special moments
around routine activities like swim class.
Not a bad reminder.
If you're a parent, turn that swim class
into a special moment.
Do they have a linear integration?
The purpose built tool for planning and building products?
You can make a system for modern software development.
I would get a B band if they have the linear integration.
To help you streamline issues,
projects and product roadmaps.
That'd be great, they should go to linear.app.
Anyway, it's funny, after a decade of Amazon saying,
Alexa isn't listening to your every word, the company is buying saying Alexa isn't listening to your every word.
The company is buying a bracelet that can listen to your every word. Uh-oh.
The tin foil hats on. Uh, bees wearable transcribes,
all the conversations in your day, including when you talk to yourself,
then he uses artificial intelligence to turn that giant word soup into a
searchable history,
offering up key events and even to-do lists based on your chatter.
So, interesting.
Obviously there's a big pushback on this
from privacy perspective.
Do you trust Amazon?
I tend to trust Amazon on this stuff.
The bigger question is like, if I see you wearing one,
are you gonna get the glass hole phenomenon?
Do you remember that with the Google Glass thing?
That seemed, we seem to have blown past it.
So Google launched Google Glass back in 2012ish,
something like that, and it was just a pair of glasses
with the camera on it, and you could take pictures,
very, a direct precursor to the Meta Ray Bands,
although it did have a heads up display.
It was very small in the corner, You could kind of look up and the,
and the basic, uh, you know,
use cases they were pitching were things like, uh,
turn by turn directions. If you're on a bike,
you don't need to pull out your phone. You can get Google maps integrated.
Google was working on this for a while. Then eventually it kind of got sunsetted.
It was, it was very,
there's this famous picture of Mark Andreessen in, in the Google glass.
And a lot of people were
Very excited about it. It seemed like the the era of augmented reality was on the horizon
Didn't really pan out that way that way they pivoted to be to be your enterprise and the idea was like, okay
Maybe if you're on a factory line, you could have instructions work instructions pulled up there that never really panned out either
And they kind of sunset it.
And it kind of went the way of the Microsoft HoloLens
where there was some amazing R&D that was done,
some amazing engineering, but they never crossed the chasm,
never got past the early adopters.
And so, but during that time,
it was one of the first major backlashes
against like the Silicon Valley tech bro.
So people were wearing these,
because there's Mark Andreessen wearing the Google Glass,
one of the prototypes.
Yeah, and interestingly, kind of solves the problem of,
are these sunglasses or are these indoor glasses,
like it's not glasses, so you could wear it indoor
or outdoor, and I guess you could put sunglasses over
the top of that, more or less.
But never really got adoption.
And there was this, I think, some sort of instance
where a tech person was wearing them in a bar
and someone came up to them and was like,
I don't want you taking pictures of me.
I don't want you recording me in public.
Get that off of here.
And it caused this kind of culture war issue
and the portmanteau that became popular was glass hole
You can imagine where that what that means?
And so people were very upset about this and like I don't want you taking pictures now
We're kind of blown past that where everyone has a phone on them that could be recording you and everyone's taking out their phone all
The time taking pictures and there's just kind of you know
Emily sunberg was talking about in the Hamptons how there there's so many tech talkers around taking video of everything.
You can't even leave with another man's wife as she put it. Right.
And so the, uh, such a funny phenomenon, but, uh, but I mean,
it was funny cause she said that.
And then a week later the Coldplay concert happened and that went mega viral.
And that's of course the product of technology.
That's a product of the fact that everyone is filming. There is going
to be someone filming every screen at every moment and so it wasn't like
something happened and then the one person that has a camera needs to be
like oh I should take a video of that and post it. It's like there were after a
while once it went viral there were other camera angles that came out
because other people were also filming at the same time.
Now not everyone was, but you put 100,000 people together.
They're gonna be filming everything at all times,
all the angles.
Obviously very beneficial when something disastrous happens.
You have a lot of coverage to figure out what happened.
But in other cases, it is somewhat of an invasion
of privacy, all sorts of things.
And so long story short, we kind of blew past that.
There hasn't been a pushback on the Meta Ray Bands.
People wear them and there hasn't been any really.
Don't they have like a light?
They do.
That lets you know if it's recording.
It's recording.
Yes.
Yes, and so that was kind of where
the technology resolution landed.
Now Meta Ray Bands aren't the most popular product,
but there's certainly plenty of people that daily drive them
and they're not getting aggressively yelled at
for being like Meta Ray Band holes or whatever.
That meme is dead.
And people just kind of assume that if I'm out in public,
someone might take a picture of me with their phone
or their Meta Ray Bands.
Like it's just something that happens now.
And we've just been normalized.
Yeah, and anytime these wearable pendant bracelet things
have popped up, people's immediate thought is,
okay, so you're recording every conversation
that you're having and that's being indexed,
maybe you're getting transcriptions.
Is that suddenly, if somebody sues you,
do you have to provide that
as part of a lawsuit that you can imagine
the kind of problems that that would cause?
We should have, so Avi from Friend.com,
he's starting, they're starting to ship their product
on July 30th, so just a week from now.
And I'm sure he has some way that he's addressing that.
But B is interesting.
The company was started just under three years ago
by some former Twitter employees, actually,
back when it was called Twitter.
So the CEO, Maria and-
Twitter and B, both flower adjacent animals.
I'm seeing a trend here.
I like this.
Yeah, I can see it.
Maria Delordes Zolo said the company,
which imagines a world where AI is truly personal,
is joining Amazon in a LinkedIn post.
An Amazon spokeswoman said that while the deal is signed,
the agreement isn't yet closed.
For Amazon, it's a small move
in a potentially huge future market.
I saw the bracelet.
Yeah, it was interesting.
I think the pricing strategy here was smart.
The device, they sold it for 49.99.
So just clearly trying to sell these
to as many people as possible.
And then I'm sure there's a subscription component
to it as well.
Yeah.
There is something about the price point.
And even though when the iPhone was released,
it was like $600.
It was very expensive.
People.
Oh and they actually haven't shipped any product yet.
OBE hasn't?
Yeah, so they're shipping and they were,
we're shipping in February.
Well.
Or sorry, September.
So when they ship, will they have to pay sales tax?
What should they use for that?
Definitely.
They'll have to recommend.
I would strongly recommend Numeral.
NumeralHQ.com sales tax,
they can put their sales tax on autopilot.
They could spend less than five minutes per month
on sales tax compliance.
That would be amazing.
Anyway, so they did send a demo to Joanna Stern
at the Wall Street Journal.
She was impressed with how useful the bracelet was,
but she wasn't sold on the privacy trade-offs
rather than saving audio.
B only keeps a transcription,
but still the creep factor is high, says the journal.
We have long had listening devices in our pockets,
in our homes, for many Amazon's Echo speaker was the first.
It is kind of funny, somebody, you know,
let's say somebody, a friend comes over to your house
and, you know, they've got their B bracelet on,
and then they take it off at some point, sitting on a table, and you're they've got their bee bracelet on and then they take it off at
some point sitting on a table and you're like wait there's you know let's say
you're having a pool party yep you're sitting at the table we're sitting like
this so the the person the bee owner is off doing something else if it they
actually get like a perfect transcription so you actually get
recommendations yeah it's like hey so-and-so is talking behind your back
you know about 30 minutes
Yeah, the mangoes he brought to the pool party totally rotten totally rotten Wow really last retention to detail
Won't be invited to the next pool party. Yeah, so your B is like okay, so you really need to work on your mango select
Going into the next party
Is really a weak point for you yeah Yeah, that's good. That could be valuable
I think I have to fill out the apology form to all the schizophrenics out there who've been like everything's listening to me because like
Well, yes, in fact everything is listening to you
I think if meta if medicate if medicate about a company like this
That's it and said for $50 a month a month, we'll pay you $50 a month
to listen to everything that you say
and give you better ad targeting.
I bet Meta could make it back.
Yeah, I mean, I do think the price point
is like super, super key to getting the install base down.
John Carmack was talking about with VR,
what was he saying, like 100 grams, $100 for a VR headset,
that's when you're gonna get everyone to buy them.
And then there's gonna be such a big install base
that everyone will wanna build on top of it.
And that's when the iPhone came out at $600.
It was so expensive.
It was such a luxury good.
But everyone had a phone at that time.
The phones were just heavily subsidized by the phone plans.
And the phone plans had started at like $10 a month, $30 a month and kind of worked their way up to a
hundred dollars a month the phones were really only like a couple hundred
dollars so if you lost it it wasn't that big of a deal and like slowly it had
worked its way up from the bottom it I mean wireless phone cell phones used to
be a luxury it took two decades probably from the eighties to go from the big dine attack
all the way down to the Motorola razor V3, which was like pretty much, you know,
affordable to many families. We'd give them to their high school kids, right?
Yeah. And then, so when the iPhone came out,
there was already this install base of people who expected to be able to make
phone calls, sell over the cellular network network and then also text each other.
And then the internet browsing was like kind of a nice
to have extra feature.
I remember someone had a really fancy,
I think it was like a Nokia or something,
or it was some sort of other phone
that had a very primitive web browser on it
about like two years before.
And it was really expensive
because you had to buy a data plan too.
But I was like, oh man,
like the ability to access
the internet everywhere, that's such a killer feature.
And so I definitely could imagine a world where
you have to get these products just so cheap
that everyone's buying them, wearing them,
they're just baked into everything
and then you can scale up to something that's more premium.
Just seems we're so far past the Siri Alexa
personal assistant, shopping assistant rivalry,
but it makes sense for Amazon
to try to get back in the game.
Yeah, I wonder, do you think OpenAI
could kind of come out with an Alexa competitor
that would do well?
I mean, they are arguably already have, which is just. I mean, they arguably already have.
Which is?
I mean, ChadGPT.
Yeah.
I would say you use, specifically, you use
ChadGPT as voice memo.
Say, you kind of talk through what you're thinking
and what you want to do.
And then it condenses it nicely.
It's not taking a bunch of actions.
Like being like, hey, I want to make,
I can see in the future where you're like, hey,
I want to make, I want to make I can see in the future where you're like, hey, I want to make
I want to cook my wife a nice dinner
Yeah in this theme. Can you put together an ingredient list and order all the ingredients and have it home by?
Five that's very very agentic. I just imagine I talked to somebody who said that they often leave or their their wife leaves
Chat GPT open in the,
in the conversational mode when they're just hanging out.
And then you can just like,
it won't chime in unless you actually ask, ask it a question. And it will kind of know that, okay, now you're talking to me,
but it doesn't have a specific wake word.
So it's just like a third party in the conversation. Ielt very sci-fi, very futuristic, I don't know.
Anyway, so now Amazon is interested in a wearable device
that's always listening, no wake word needed.
So Amazon has reminded us for years
that its voice activated speakers only start listening
when they hear the wake word,
even if you didn't necessarily utter it.
So you have to say. But if you've had an Alexa in your home ever it certainly
will wake up when it'll hear something incorrectly yeah pop on all the time
yeah and so very interesting to see what they're thinking about here B is one of
a growing pack of AI gadgets out there Google has pixel earbuds that put
Gemini Gemini AI in your ear. Meta
Ray-Bans, of course, we talked about. Samsung recently showed off Gemini infused Galaxy
devices. Apple has been slower on the uptake. But remember we were hearing that reporting
from Mark Gurman that Apple was working on a robotic arm or something like that? Something
that would sit on your table or something?
I don't know.
They had some sort of like robotics device
like in the FAR roadmap.
Apple's always, I mean, I do believe that Apple works on,
what you see even leaks from Apple is still like 5%.
Oh yeah, they're constantly like patenting stuff.
Under the surface.
Meta had an announcement today for a wearable device.
So I'll read their post.
They said, imagine controlling your devices
with a subtle hand or finger gesture.
Our cutting edge research turns intent and muscle signals
into seamless computer control.
This breakthrough risk technology
is redefining how we interact with computers, intuitive,
precise, and ready for the future.
And I believe they released an entire study around this
as well.
We actually got a chance to take a demo of this.
It was very cool earlier this year.
I'm not sure how much we can actually say on it for now.
But yeah, so they did an entire study as well
around a generic non-invasive neuromotor interface
for human-computer interaction.
So it's basically, yeah, the team has it pulled up here.
You can see, like, you can click by going like this.
You can scroll in different ways.
And when we used it it was extremely it
was extremely intuitive like you need it took about 30 seconds to figure out
scrolling motion was particularly yeah that was and I had an experience with
the Apple vision pro and this is one of the ways in which that imagines
integrating making something like a pair of glasses as functional as a phone or a computer.
Yeah. This was an acquisition too. So Meta bought Control Labs to bring this wristband into the
company. That was a deal reportedly between 500 million and a billion dollars. It's been six years
now and now they're starting to test it even further.
What's interesting is that the Apple vision pro was pretty good at hand
detection.
And I feel like this is maybe one of those like Elon versus
Waymo debates about like, you can do it with a camera.
Like you can see that I'm doing this. You can see that I'm giving you a thumbs up.
You, if you can see the computer should be able to see with a camera. And it's just a matter of getting
the right training data, building the right model, and then rolling that out. So it should
be doable from a pure software perspective, but it was nice when you put on the glasses
and you put the control wristband behind your, you didn't have to have it in view.
And so-
You could have your hand in your pocket
and still be controlling.
And that was a big part of the weight
of the Apple Vision Pro was that it has cameras
not just looking out this way,
but also looking down to see your hands.
So, but if your hands are behind your back,
but it's such a weird niche use case.
I feel like I could just get used to having my hands out there.
Yeah, the challenge is getting people to adopt effectively two new devices is also not necessarily
easy.
Yeah, putting on a wristband.
I mean, if you put a watch on it, you make it part of the daily wear.
The big question is like, Apple's getting so strong with the Apple watch, like the ecosystem
feels like if it really starts clicking the
Apple Vision Pro can key off the watch and it just gets so much better if you
have the watch on and you're like okay well yeah I'll get the watch then to
throw that on but obviously that's no substitute for a Patek Philippe or an
Audemars Piguet so you got to head over to bezel your bezel concierge is
available now to source you any watch on the planet
Seriously any watch go to get bezel calm
But I don't know I don't know exactly how it will play out it feels like
You need maybe both
It'll it's still like it adds cost I feel like the I'm still in the camp of
It adds cost. I feel like the I'm still in the camp of
Make the headsets light and cheap and give people the the ability to replace their TV
Like and then a few other things that they can do yet They have to replace their screens not a daily driver coming with you everywhere. Yeah, there's so many people that build
You know like okay. I got three Apple Pro displays or three studio displays.
I mean, look right there, we got six displays
in the production suite.
Like, in theory, that could be replaced with VR headsets.
And you could have unlimited displays
and reconfigure them as you need on the fly.
And for a lot of people, especially if you're traveling,
college student, a smaller apartment,
you know, instead of a big 60 inch TV
and a bunch of monitors for your desk setup and this and that, you just have one of a big 60 inch TV and a bunch of monitors
for your desk setup and this and that,
you just have one headset, but it's gotta be light,
you gotta be able to wear it for a really long time.
Yeah, well, let's go and check in with Europe.
We have a post here from Kai.
He says, normalized sitting outside the cafe all day
and not really doing anything.
And superstar poster Jira Ticket says, impressive, very nice. all day and not really doing anything and
Superstar poster jira tickets says impressive very nice now. Let's see the GDP
Good to flag. There's a real cost to sitting outside the cafe all day and not really doing anything seven days a week
These guys look these guys look very retired though Yeah, and I feel like let them sit outside cafe in peace, but shouldn't be an invitation for you to do the same thing.
I don't know.
I think you flip this around, and you phrase it
as you're holding court.
People come to you.
You set up shop.
Holding court is underrated.
Holding court is extremely underrated.
You've got to just set up, hey, you
want to come pitch me your startup?
I'll be outside this cafe all day long.
Yeah, we have a friend of the show, Media Mogul,
who holds court at a certain hotel in LA.
And he doesn't have to leave all day long.
Sure.
He's really a king there.
Yeah, that's great.
And they come to him.
It's a fantastic way of doing business.
Yeah.
Well, if you're struggling with a bunch
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Did you see this video?
Yeah, I pulled up this video.
The flying bike.
So a company called Volonaut.
Volonaut.
Volonaut says, we are excited to share
this raw flight footage, including takeoff and landing,
all with real sound.
No special effects, no CGI, no AI, pure engineering.
Enjoy the future.
A functional real-world speeder bike
that so far only existed in sci-fi movies is finally here.
This seems extremely dangerous
She's looking
It's tough yeah, it's like we wanted yeah, we wanted to find cars we got them and now they're terrified of them
I don't necessarily want to go for right on this it seems really fun
It seems like in the same territory as like wing-suiting.
Like as a kid I was like,
I'm definitely gonna become a pro wing-suiter.
No doubt.
Put me in.
Put me in.
Give me the Red Bull livery on my wing-suit.
I'm 100% doing it.
And then I looked at the actual stats
of how dangerous wing-suiting is
and it was like, I will never be wing-suiting.
I will be watching Red Bull videos of wing-suitin'.
Yeah, leave it to the Red Bullers.
How do you even make this safe?
This is crazy.
So they're calling it the Air Bike.
Yep, it's very cool that they built this.
Very, very, very cool.
I wonder how it commercializes.
I wonder, like, where does this go?
What use case is it?
I mean, who knows? It's also crazy on the link.
I have no idea who's building this on the LinkedIn. Yeah, it has
One guy on it and Tomas baton and
It seems like where is this? Hmm
He's in Poland. Okay, apparently the only person working on this company.
Solo dev, solopreneur.
Oh, okay.
So he's also the founder of Jetson,
which is the EV tall company.
Okay.
So he built this on the side project.
Little side project.
We can't hack project.
Built a speeder bike.
He's in Poland.
I wonder if there's a defense tech application.
There's often, anytime you can put something in the air
and make it move fast.
There's usually.
I mean, if you're worried about,
if you're worried about a minefield
and you need to get from one place to another,
maybe this is a good way to get around.
And if you're really trained,
cause you're in the military,
you're not just some casual person going for a flight,
like could be safer than trying to walk through a minefield.
True. Of course, like you are a pretty big target up there.
It looks like he's wearing some sort of hat.
The way to think about this is,
you could also imagine this as a drone, right?
There doesn't need to be a human on it.
So it's powered by jet propulsion.
It's designed to carry one person at speeds
up to 124 miles an hour.
That's so fast.
And what makes it possible is they have
the stabilization system, onboard flight computer,
and anyways, I mean, this looks like a beautiful future.
It's just like how safe does it need to get
until I'll be ripping one of these from Malibu
into the studio every morning.
I don't even ride a motorcycle, so I don't know.
I'm more likely to go to the moon, I think,
than rip around on one of these.
It seems like you have to be-
Very doomer-pilled, John.
You don't think they can make this-
Maybe they make it so, so safe
that it's flyable by anyone, certifiable by anyone.
It's just so easy to drive that there's no risk.
Then, yeah, maybe I'd give it a try.
It looks very fun, it does look very fun.
Yeah, one solution is it becomes fully autonomous
and you don't have this sort of human saying,
I'm gonna take this turn a little faster.
But then that's just a drone, right?
Yeah, but still be cool to have a drone
that you could ride on that would take you around to places.
Then you're just back in eVTOL territory, right? I don't know. Yeah, I guess this is not
VTOL because it's not electric motors jet propulsion
But imagine when this thing gets to the point where you can just like fly it up a mountain
That will be crazy. You're gonna be able to take these skiing just everyone's waiting in line at Everest and you're just bombing up to the top
Yeah, you're just like taking it out in the mountains
Again, it's like we kind of do have flying cars
in the form of helicopters, right?
Just like not evenly distributed.
It's gonna be fun when they start selling these things.
They're gonna get on Adio.
Customer relationship magic.
Adio is the AI native CRM that builds, scales,
and grows your company to the next level.
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Yeah, I have a feeling you're not gonna be able
to just order one of these on the website anytime soon.
No, they're going to need a sales team for this. Let's check in with Tyler.
How are you doing on the challenge?
Okay. So I played all three games and then I don't know how the like scoring
works. So I can look at each of the three games. There's like scorecards,
and then there's recordings I'm on site. So I can see the number of actions.
If you add them up, I'm at 576.
Oh, you're pretty good.
Wow.
So that's under 600.
OK.
But I'm not on the leaderboard.
I don't know why.
OK.
Maybe it needs some time to update.
That's the real challenge now.
Get on the leaderboard.
So I'm not just trusting you.
It's like I won, but write a SQL injection to half the database.
Reach out to Mike. Reach out to Mike reach out to Mike
You might be getting a bug bounty to and your iPhone maybe maybe but
Congratulations, that sounds like good work. How far are you away from number one now? I'm in 13th place
So I got five seventy six. Okay. Number one is at five eleven. Do you think that's doable based on yeah, definitely
I made a bunch of mistakes. Okay, so maybe maybe maybe give it another run I could probably see if you
go sub 500 that'll be good bang there you go so 500 you get upgraded to more
storage I will reach out to Mike because I think there might be a bug here and I
don't want I don't want the reason that that you're not gonna win your iPhone to
be a bug true true true I feel I want yeah it feels like you might have earned
it yeah you also don't want bed bugs either.
You want a new bed? You want to go to 8sleep.com? That's right. Get a Pod 5.
35 year warranty, 39th risk-free trial, free returns, free shipping. I am
deathly ill. I'm trying to keep the energy up by 8sleep.
Let's hear it for Jordy. I think he's putting out a fantastic performance today.
Production team. I didn't know this was possible. My HRV last night was at 32
Okay, which which I thought would imply death
But I'm here I'm doing the show
And it's scary to imagine what my night would have looked like without my sleep. I don't even want to imagine that world indeed
Well, there's one founder. I know who's sleeping a lot better,
sleeping well, Samir from Vise.
He, his company just hit $22 billion in platform assets.
Do you know the story of this company?
All I know is they got marked up like a back to back to back
in the sort of 2021 era.
Yes.
It was a unicorn.
Yep. And then they went through. And they're very young founders. And there was all this like, back to back to back in the sort of 2021 era. They had what you see, unicorn.
And then they went through.
And they're very young founders,
and there was all this like,
oh, like they're overvalued, like, you know,
and the guys apparently just kept sticking with it
and chopping wood, and I love to see this.
This is amazing.
So he says, one, learning to share
with all future entrepreneurs.
Great businesses take a long time to build,
ignore the noise and keep going.
It sounds like that's exactly what he did.
They grew 1275% year over year.
They're growing 40%, quarter over quarter, a record number of new firms.
So what this company does is software for fund administration for asset managers, I
believe.
And so they're on-board-
Profolio management.
Profolio management. Portfolio management, so they're on-boarding more managers
and bringing those assets on the platform.
I don't think it's fair to say like,
oh, 22 billion is a revenue,
or they'd have some take rate.
It's more like a GMV type of thing,
and they probably take a small, small fraction of all that.
But still, growth is growth,
and it seems like they're doing very well.
So good to hear.
Yeah, cool to see.
I think he's been a huge beneficiary of Gen. AI,
from what I can tell.
Interesting. Yeah.
It is funny, I mean, looking at,
Lucy's been on an absolute tear this year,
and hearing how many years that were not super exciting,
that you were just chopping wood,
just trying to be better every single month.
I had a buddy come to me last year and he was like,
yeah, I think I wanna create like a Zen competitor.
Like I think it'd be pretty simple to get it to like,
just like get it to like a $50 million run rate,
nice little lifestyle business.
I was thinking about your journey with Lucy being like, I don't remember the exact numbers,
but it just was the exact opposite of a fast growing
company at the beginning.
You just had to just compound, compound, compound.
It took so long to really unlock the growth.
Yeah, no, it always grew.
And the growth rate was always decent,
but it just took a decade to get any meat on the bones.
It's just like, I always refer to that as like,
once the company like, it has enough revenue and profit
to like sustain the operations out of the fundraising
to survive mode, it just, and it's actually like a player
in the category, not just some wild bet.
It takes a long time for the majority of companies.
Some people, they're just built different.
Maybe they're lucky, maybe they made their own luck.
They rip from day one and we love to celebrate them here.
We do.
But yeah, sometimes if you have something,
the die has been cast, alia octa,
I octa est, the Mark Zuckerberg quote.
You know, you release the arrow and it travels
in whatever direction you released it
for as long as possible, but hopefully
that's at a compounding rate upwards for a long time.
Anyway, if you're looking to compound,
get on public.com, investing for those who take it seriously,
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Sonos has a new CEO.
News out of Sonos, out of Santa Barbara County, California.
Trade deal.
Sonos, Tom Conrad has been asked
to be the next CEO of Sonos.
It's grateful for the perspectives and critiques
that many of you have shared here these last six months
while I was interim, so excited for the road ahead.
So big pickup from Sonos.
We've covered Sonos before, we've shared frustration
over the years with Sonos.
But fundamentally, the products are incredible
when they're working, and it feels like
it was always a software problem,
not necessarily maybe firmware.
I'm still confused by it
because they haven't rolled back the app,
and so I'm wondering what's going on
because my Sonos app still takes a long time to open.
Just opening it up is a full, at least 90 seconds
to just adjust the volume, which is crazy bad experience.
And the crazy thing is that the same hardware
with the same phone used to be 10 seconds.
And so there's something that changed
when they added some new functionality
that really bogged down the network or the app or something.
They got to roll it back.
It's very clear what they need to do.
So hopefully he can do it.
He's been interim CEO for six months.
Hopefully he can turn things around.
There's a lot that they need to do.
It'll be interesting to see where this lands.
Yeah, and he's got experience.
He was the executive vice president of product
at Pandora for 10 years,
and then became the chief technology officer,
then went over to Snapchat with the VP of product there.
Also had a brief stint at Quibi
as the Chief Product Officer.
So excited to see what he does with Sonos
and considering I have a bunch of Sonos in my house still.
Yeah.
Do any Sonos speakers have microphones on them?
Let's figure it out.
Because, yes, several Sonos speakers come equipped
with built in microphones, the Sonos One, Sonos Era 100.
And so you should be able to talk to them.
They work with voice assistants like Alexa,
Google assistance, Sonos voice control.
Opening has got to buy this company, right?
I can see it.
That would be a wild deal.
Cause at 1.3 billion current current market cap, it's marginal.
It's affordable, but then you just jump forward
in the supply chain, you can start delivering
all of these things and then you just have
an Alexa competitor.
Distribution into millions of homes.
And also in through like the actual distribution
like chains like Best Buy and stuff.
Maybe you wanna start from scratch,
maybe you want to greenfield it, I don't really know,
but this feels like something that would be a no-brainer.
So in 2024, Sonos shipped five million units globally.
That was down from the year before,
but still that's a lot of devices out in the world
in a single year. I could see it.
What about perplexity?
Aren't they at 18 billion perplexity by Zono?
Well, they're working on a phone.
They're working on a lot of different stuff.
Solana's working on a phone.
Lots of new phones coming.
Everybody's working on a phone.
But maybe the smart speaker market has like languished
enough that there's something interesting
to be done there.
I mean just the voice transcription is so much better.
We talked to the CEO of the Nothing phone and he was saying that he's integrated Whisper
and Gemini and kind of beefed up the voice assistant.
But maybe people aren't willing to jump from the iPhone ecosystem, but if you're like,
oh, well I could offset the lack of a great Siri
with a great chat GPT enabled smart home device,
kind of interesting, I don't know.
You put some AI researchers on the problem
of getting the Sonos app to load in less than 90 seconds
and I think you might solve it.
Tyler, you have an update for us?
What's up? Yeah, I'm on the leaderboard now. You're on the leaderboard! There we go, let's go. Come over, ring the gong. I think you might solve it. Tyler, you have an update for us? What's up?
Yeah, I'm on the leaderboard.
You're on the leaderboard.
There we go, let's go.
Come over, ring the gong.
I'm going for number one.
Ring the gong, ring the gong.
Hit the gong, hit the gong.
Hit the gong.
Wow.
You are the proud owner of a new iPhone.
There we go.
Incredible, well deserved.
Give it a better hit than that,
give it a better hit than that.
I'm gonna kind of cover the mic, but.
Bigger hit, bigger hit.
Still fairly gentle, but great contact bigger hit bigger hit Fairly gentle, that's great contact
So what yeah, yeah, give me the position what ranking are you now? I want to see you go for number one
Yeah, so I think I'm number 13 now. I think we can 13. Yeah. Yeah. Can we pull up the screen?
I have one of my 65 moves behind. Okay. And what OK, and what was the total number of moves that you?
576.
576, not bad.
You smoked 600.
Yeah.
And you got to do it to 511 is the number one, I believe.
OK, so you got to cut down a little bit,
be a little bit more efficient.
But I think you can do it.
Should be doable.
Very cool.
And then after that, we got to get
you working on the agent side of that leaderboard.
You've seen that?
So on the other side.
I looked at it a little bit.
Yeah, on the other side, they actually have like a harness
that you can use to get started
and you can start trying to build your own AI agent
that will go and try and solve it
and rank on the leaderboard.
Interesting.
But that's enough about leaderboards.
Let's talk about billboards, out of home advertising, made easy and measurable with adquboard. Interesting. But that's enough about leaderboards, let's talk about billboards, out of home advertising
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Meanwhile, on the timeline, Ryan Peterson
is throwing out some bait.
He said, rail is best used for freight
while humans should fly through the sky
at 500 miles per hour because they value their time
And he says just discovered that saying bad things about rail travel is an evergreen way to engagement bait plan accordingly
People love love rail, but it is very true
America is very different than Europe like the trans grand vitae the TGV that goes from Paris to London
that's I think that's like the equivalent of like Boston to New York
like Europe is just so much smaller than the than the western side of the United
States that even with a high-speed rail system getting from LA to Chicago is
still hours and hours and hours just so much longer than on a plane.
And so we actually do have a pretty robust rail system
but we just choose to use it for freight
and then we fly through the sky at 500 miles an hour.
But-
Meanwhile, Metta is investing in their own AI chip, Olympus.
Zach is really cornering a lot of these iconic
Olympus-like words, right?
He says,
Meta recently updated its ASIC roadmap,
adding a new project ARC,
a supplementary of its ASIC product line,
which leverages TSM-C's two nanometer technology
and is targeted to enter mass production
in the first half of 2027. We believe Meta plans
to make adjustments to the design of Olympus to compete with Nvidia's Rubin GPUs, resulting in a
delay from fourth quarter 2027 to first half of 2028. Arc will focus on post-training and
inferencing purposes. The design service vendor selection will be complete in coming weeks,
and we think MediaTek has a good chance
of winning the product, the project, sorry.
Interesting.
Semi-analysis says, don't worry, H100s, H200s
won't be worthless anytime soon,
it will still be a valuable baseline,
that impressive AI accelerator upstarts like MATX,
Edge.AI, OpenAI, TitanShip, Meta,
and Microsoft can use in their performance comparisons.
This of course is when folks come out and say,
we're buying H100 equivalents.
And so they share a picture of Jensen here,
chief revenue destroyer after Blackwell,
you can give away a hopper because Blackwell
will be so performant.
So interesting to see where this goes. It feels like Nvidia is the one
Company in the mag-7 that every other mag-7 company is coming for and being like I'm sick of paying them
Whereas all the other mag-7s have kind of meanwhile. Elon's just saying
You want a hundred billion dollars Jensen? That's true, yeah.
He isn't designing his own chip yet.
I wonder if that'll change.
But I do believe there was an XAI engineer yesterday
that was saying that the keyword
and some of the things that XAI was putting out,
as they said, like H200 equivalent
or something like that, or Blackwell equivalent GPUs.
So they're not necessarily fixed on it.
Yeah, and so, yeah, yeah, it's interesting
because Google and Amazon compete on shopping searches,
and LinkedIn competes with Facebook in some ways,
but basically every hyperscaler kind of has their own corner
and their own monopoly built out,
in search and social networking,
in desktop or cloud or shopping.
And then they all butt heads in little ways,
like Google going up against Tesla with Waymo.
And they kind of touch on each other's territory,
but they don't often,
it's very rare that all of them are going up against one,
but it feels like that's the narrative around Nvidia.
Everyone's sick of paying the Nvidia tax, maybe?
I don't know exactly, I know, but it seems like
if you're trying to cut them out, if you're going to TSMC
and fabbing your own chips, that is straight up
cutting out Nvidia.
And Google, it seems like, was successfully
doing it with the TPU. Yeah
Signal has a post here
He says meanwhile on the App Store and there is a new king of the App Store free charts
It is tea dating advice helping women date safe
From my understanding they basically productize the groups on Facebook the are we dating the same guy groups.
And so this acts as a layer over a bunch
of different dating apps where women can effectively
review, add comments, leave Yelp style reviews
for the men that they are going on dates with.
And the founder, I think his name is Steve Cook.
Let's see here, Sean Cook.
He was a director of product management at Salesforce
for just under four years.
Really putting in the work at Salesforce.
We love to see it.
And I said earlier, this is just a massive moment
for big tech PMs.
Never doubt them again
Never doubt them a lot of people have been doubting the PM's that say oh, you're just changing the yeah the color of this button
The color of the button matters apparently because you have to imagine that this
That this app category is highly competitive
I don't know maybe they're just yeah, so I was looking doing it has to be multiple. I don't know, maybe they're just the first one to think of doing it, but there has to be multiple of these.
So I was looking and
someone built something like this.
The third most popular app, I believe,
is the same exact concept.
Concept. No way.
It's called T-Born.
Oh wow. Dating advice.
See the truth before you date.
So they went with the same name.
Okay. This is number three.
It has very few ratings
So I do wonder so t dating advice has 56 000 ratings, but the number three app is t-borne dating advice
Yep, which is so so strange. Uh, it only has 60 reviews, but clearly climbing up the charts
Well, here's some dating advice. Book a wander. Find your happy place. Book a wander
with inspiring views. Hotel great amenities. Dreamy beds. Top tier cleaning and 24-7 concierge
service. It's a vacation home but better folks. That's right and without further ado I think we
have our next guest and I gotta get this ready. Welcome to the studio. How are you? Massive day.
Massive day. Massive day.
We're getting a little bit of feedback on the audio. Can we turn up the levels a little bit?
Can you hear us okay?
I can hear you.
Okay.
It's just a little bit muffled.
Are you on headphones?
Maybe take those out and we'll see
if the computer audio is any better.
Should be better.
It's better?
That's way better. There we go.
Welcome to the stream.
No problem.
Kick us off, give us the news.
What happened today?
We at Vanta announced we raised $150 million,
Series D, four billion pre, four and five post.
Fantastic.
Congratulations.
Thank you.
Been waiting to do that.
Appreciate it.
Such a massive milestone.
Can you catch us up to speed on,
I think people know your story by now,
but can you catch us up to speed
on just the last couple years getting to this point?
It was an overnight success, correct?
Definitely, yeah, definitely.
Haven't been working on this for eight to 10 years, totally.
But who's counting.
We started most known for like automating SOC 2,
also putting up billboards on the 101. So we still do both of those things,
but we also help our customers like build out their security
programs,
improve them in a bunch of different ways, and then take all that hard work
and use it to build trust with their customers through audits, through trust reports, through
security questionnaires, all sorts of things like that. Is the characterization of Vanta as like a
point solution company, at least when you started the company, correct? Is point solution a pejorative?
Yeah, break that down. Why is it? Is it did you see that? Yeah, yeah, yeah. Break that down.
Why is it?
Is it all because of Parker Conrad, who's a friend who's coined the compound startup
and you have to do everything at once?
What are the trade-offs of being point solution early on?
And then how do you think about adding things on?
Because there's probably some trade-off of you trying too much territory, trying to capture
too much territory, you can't hold onto it. But at the same time, yeah
There's an easy argument if Christina had started and said we're a platform
That might have been rough. It could have been a much could have still been successful. Yeah, maybe a much smaller company
Yeah, so what walk me through that journey? Yeah. Yeah for sure. So we started our word was wedge
Nicer word. Yeah, right.
Like it sounds better than point solution, which sounds kind of like trivial.
Well, wedges have points on them, right?
Totally.
They come to a point.
Really strong ones.
Yeah, you need a pointy wedge.
Yes, yes, yes.
It's like, it's huge.
But we started with SOC 2 for startups.
And because they're like, I don't know, you might remember this, but like 2017, like no
startup got SOC 2.
Now you get it when you're like two founders, which is a little wild.
But they were so valuable then. We figured if we can do that, customers will let us do a lot and
give us a lot of access and we can help them with a lot of things. And then we can use our pointy
wedge to expand into a platform over time. I'm joking, but that was the seed pitch. I posted
one of the slides from it today. It was like truly the
2018 pitch. And so it's kind of cool to be here, you know, a
little bit later. And
were you getting were you getting pushback on like market
size at that point? Were you saying like, you're gonna need
an act two, basically?
Oh, totally. People weren't even like, you need an act two. It's
like, you need a new idea. Like, you just pitched me on sock
doing all the startups
and no startups get SOC2s.
Well so what were you seeing then
that other people were missing?
Cause it seems so obvious in hindsight
that young startups would need SOC2
and a variety of other things in order to sell
and to enterprise and do other things that they wanna do.
But like what were you seeing then
that now looks obvious in hindsight?
I think it was this, if you could make it easier,
less time, not necessarily less money,
less time for a startup to get a SOC 2,
they would 100% do one.
The problem is you had to give your CTO up for a year,
who would go talk to a bunch of accountants
and then become very sad.
And so no one would do that.
But if they didn't have to do that,
everyone would go sign up and press the fast SockTube button.
Yeah.
I don't think it's an obvious idea at all.
When you start a company, most people think,
I need a laptop.
No, no, I'm saying it was not obvious then.
That's what made it a great opportunity.
Totally.
But it was clearly obvious to Christina and the team.
What do you think of the, it feels
like you're one of the success stories of selling
to other startups early on.
And there's been this criticism, people have bubbled up,
of it's this circular economy that
happens in the startup world.
We've seen a lot of people break out of it.
What's the secret to breaking out of it?
Is that still a good wedge?
Is that still a good go to market?
And just kind of what are your thoughts on that idea
of being a startup that sells to startups?
Yeah, well first I appreciate the use of the word wedge.
I still actually think it is a good idea.
There's definitely some circular or a boros thing
in certain parts, especially early stages,
everyone cares about growth, they don't care about your costs.
And so there can be some amount of trading that happens.
We tried not to do that.
And I think actually the couple of times when I did that, it just blew up later.
It was a bad idea.
But I think with that, you hopefully have startups that are growing.
You have the cursors in your user base
You have the ramps you have the who members and then those customers like push you up market
Whether you're ready or not
And if you can hang on to them, you can like start serving bigger customers
But kind of you need that growth out of the startup base, too
Yeah on on that note of like the like people care more about growth and costs. Like were people ignoring margins early on?
Oh yeah.
You paying attention to margins early on though?
What are those?
Non-AI software.
Then, then talk to me about,
we were just talking to another entrepreneur who has kind of a
wedge type of product and is expanding and there's this trade off between take what you
have into new places, either up market or international versus add new products, new
SKUs and that's kind of an age old question.
How have you worked through it through the past couple of years? And do you have any like, uh,
like frameworks for thinking through those types of processes?
Yeah. So I think that what we, I mean you do both, right?
Both is sometimes hard to do at the same time.
And so what we did was like take the same thing,
if the go-to-market's working and you know, do it in Europe, do it in Australia,
do it in Asia, do it in Australia, do it in Asia, right?
And at the same time, start to build the muscle to build multiple products because it is hard.
Everyone talks about it's hard and I remember being like kind of why and I don't know.
I've lived through it.
It's hard.
I don't have a great answer.
It's just like the organization gets optimized around doing the thing you're doing and you
have customers and you have revenue it like all reinforces itself.
And so when you want to go take a group of people and do something that has no customers and no revenue, you kind of can, but it's, it's just weird. It is hard.
Are you being on, is it Gresham's law, the idea that you like ship your org chart?
Have you noticed that?
Yeah.
No, no Gresham's law is bad money drives out good. I don't know the one I'm talking about. It's a different law, but it's
this idea that you ship your org chart. So if you have an org chart, that's,
you know, heavily internationally, you're just going to wind up selling
internationally. Uh, do you think about it from that perspective?
Conway's law, Conway's law, Conway's law. Uh, have you, have you, uh,
been through the wringer of con Conway's law? Have you learned how to fight it?
Have you learned how to deal with it?
Oh, totally. I think I've learned you can't fight it,
and so you just have to change your org chart sometimes.
Okay.
Right, because you're gonna ship whatever your org chart is,
so try to make your org chart
the thing you actually wanna ship.
Does that make sense?
Yeah, yeah, yeah, I've noticed that.
What's the correct way to keep morale high
while basically doing a reorg and telling someone like,
hey, you're gonna be working on something different,
but you're talented and we like this,
but it's just like, it makes more sense for the business
to do this here over here.
Like, I mean, beyond all the like, be honest,
like actually say, or like make sure you believe
you're saying those things when you're saying them.
I think we went through a phase where I went through a phase
where I like, we tried to like, we reordered kind of a lot,
and it was because you always did feel
like you had a better structure,
and it was like that, that was too much.
Also, it doesn't matter.
Let it, like the order chart,
and hang out for six or nine months.
Don't change it every quarter.
You're just gonna drive people crazy.
Sounds really obvious when I say it, but it's that one.
What are some, like any new technology trends
that you're seeing across the customer base
in terms of like challenges and ways
that you guys are reacting?
I can imagine social engineering,
like hacks and challenges must be skyrocketing,
but what are you guys seeing broadly?
So that's a good one, especially with like AI and deepfakes
and you know, the like text message gift card scams,
but like ratcheted to a hundred,
like really good versions of those.
Yeah.
I think the other thing we see,
especially for European customers,
is they just get a ton of pressure
from European enterprises on AI.
Some it's on AI in general,
some it's on the American model providers,
especially the ones you might guess.
Right, and there's just like all this kind of
default skepticism in Europe.
That then if European startups-
And that's around like data usage and-
Yeah, exactly.
And just like, I don't trust OpenAI,
and so don't send any,
like I don't even want to use something, use a tool that uses OpenAI and so don't send any like I don't even want to use something use a
tool that uses OpenAI. Yeah. The CTO or CIO saying that basically. Right. Yeah that
makes sense. Do you think I want to know the thoughts on just general
competition when you're selling a wedge product from bigger companies that might
want to add this on as a feature. We've been talking to a bunch of founders about how to deal with competition from
bigger companies. What have you been through? How'd you get through it? And
then I want to talk about how that landscape is changing. Yeah, so we've
been slightly different. It's like we never really had competition from big
companies because people didn't build what we built before. They built vertical task track task trackers, but no automation.
What we had was in the COVID boom,
lots of folks decided to start Vanta knockoffs.
And so we had like a round of that and kind of went through the gauntlet that,
you know, it was like gone through that whole roller coaster and now we're on
the other side of it, but sort of different.
How did that manifest?
Was that like pricing pressure or just like having the market slice up differently, needing
to reprioritize or kind of double down on kind of territory that you kind of claimed
and felt you were confident on and then had to retrench a little bit?
Some of all of it.
I mean, I think in the early days we were kind of probably in retrospect, like too pleased with ourselves for like
coming up with this category in this product. And like the
honest answer is like no customer care. I mean, they care
it, you know, or like, they're very supportive, but like, they
just want the best product for them. And that might be the
first one.
They're not like, Oh, you created the category. Great. I
won't I won't look at my other options.
Exactly. Like no said no one ever.
Right, and so I think it pushed us to be like, okay, we did whatever we did years ago, cool.
What have we done lately for customers?
Like what have we done today?
What have we shipped this week, this quarter,
this month, what's the day?
So it was that piece, which I think we got a lot stronger
because of that, and then pricing pressure for sure. Because in our space, because it's that piece which I think we got a lot stronger because of that and then pricing pressure for sure
Because in our space because it's it's sales all the way through like there's no self-serve trial
The dominant strategy for a competitor is to like copy the demo do the same demo and then say hey prospect
These products are the same. You're right. You just have the same thing, but like, we're 30% cheaper, so like, why would you go with Vanta?
And like, we kind of learned what to do with that.
Why did you go international so early?
Was it to defend against other people being like,
I'm gonna build the Vanta for XYZ country,
but it sounds like it was more customer driven?
Yeah, it was about like a 20% of our customer base,
I think at the time, was outside the US.
And we hadn't done anything for that.
It's just like founders in London watch TBPN.
Just because they're in London doesn't mean they don't listen
to American podcasts.
Well, and they're selling to American companies.
Sure.
Yeah, exactly.
What's up with all the colors? I feel like
Vanta Black is the darkest black you can possibly buy. It's like patented paint.
But then purple llamas. We've not named after that. We've created more color.
Take me through that. So yeah, not touching that. But we kind of coined
to purple in the early days and so so we've become the Purple Llama Company.
Purple llamas.
Where'd the llama come from?
Because, yeah, I mean, yeah.
By the way, we called every llama owner in LA.
We were trying to get llamas here in the studio to join us.
We have a third mic.
But it ended up being a massive challenge.
And we were worried about, we didn't
have a carve out in the lease
that said we could bring llamas in our studio.
So it ended up being,
but I think you guys should actually,
it would be great to get some live llamas.
Popular with the kids at the petting zoo.
Yeah.
Yeah.
We tried it in downtown San Francisco.
Downtown San Francisco also not the most llama friendly.
It's hard.
They're tough to get.
You can't even bring llamas wherever
you want in this country anymore.
It's really.
What is it coming to?
It's a disaster.
On the AI story, there's this question
that I've been noodling on with a lot of founders about,
is AI a reason to launch a new product
that the customer feels, so an agent,
a prompt box that they interact with,
versus just, hey, behind the scenes,
we're gonna use a ton of AI, you're not even gonna know,
it doesn't really matter, but the product's
just gonna get better, more efficient.
Maybe our margins go up.
Maybe we are delivering things that we
want to deliver you faster, more reliably, more accurately,
all these different things.
Is there one area that's more exciting?
I know you're probably doing both,
but how do you think about what's most impactful?
I've seen a trend of companies that are basically
clones of existing companies that were traditionally
seen as SaaS platforms.
And they come out and they're basically like, we're this,
but it's an agent.
And then if you look and try to understand the product,
it ends up looking exactly like SaaS with maybe
a slightly different workflow.
But I don't know how much more valuable it is to customers
or if it's actually a better experience.
Oh, totally.
It's an agent, but actually it's a forward deployed engineer, but actually it's like
a founder pressing all the buttons.
You know, and like I did that.
It's a crud app.
Totally.
It's a crud app with the founder pressing buttons at 11 p.m. at night.
So definitely that.
I think it'll get better over time.
To the first question, we do a bit of both.
It's actually more AI in the background, just doing stuff.
And then sometimes when we're gonna start like surfacing
it more and we might call that, you know,
oh, that's an agent or the agent did that.
And like, yes, it is AI, but it's really just getting rid
of workflows behind the scenes that no one really wanted
to do or needs to do.
Yeah, yeah, I've been personally experiencing it in Gmail
where it was very easy for them clearly
to like add an extra panel with like,
now you can chat with your email inbox,
but for me, the search still doesn't work.
And so I much would, I would much rather
that just every email that comes in
gets condensed down, summarized,
and then when I go to search,
it really knows what I'm looking for
and it just gives me a better product behind the scenes.
But that's probably like a harder technical challenge
or maybe just, it's just less experimental.
So people are kind of debating.
What about in terms of like internal productivity?
We were talking to a friend earlier that said that
he's seeing, there are examples of 10x
engineers going to 100x engineers because of tools like cursor and windsurf
and dev and cognition all that all the different tools that improve developer
productivity but he was actually more excited about designers becoming 1x
engineers and I thought that was a very interesting take and if you kind of do
like a divide by zero maybe it's an infinity gain, I don't know.
But he was saying that like,
that has been more exciting to him.
And I don't know, what are you seeing internally?
So some of that also PMs with like a V zero replete,
lovable, like right?
Cause you like have this idea for a thing
and then you can make a version of it
and then go stick it in front of five customers.
And you can do that in 15 minutes, actually.
Before you'd have to write the spec or draw the picture,
then get the designer to make the mocks,
and then animate the figma, whatever.
That loop went from,
ideally two days to 15 minutes,
and that matters so much for like just testing new stuff.
Yeah, yeah.
What about just this idea of like generally AI
being like a reinvigorating force for founders
who are in your position where like the business has worked,
the business like is big basically and like you have-
Yeah, the valuation- Post product market fit. the business is big, basically, and you have offices,
you're a post-product market fit.
Yeah, the series B, C, D just shows a clear story
of just execution, but then what John's getting at,
and we've had Owen over at Intercom from the show
who actually left his company, came back,
and then was fully ready to just restart the company almost
because there was so much net new opportunity.
Even Ben Thompson was saying he was kind of getting bored
of writing about tech and then AI happened
and he's like, I can't wait to write the articles anymore.
But what's your experience been?
Like basically that, that there's all these
magical product experiences that we've thought about,
but just couldn't build until now.
My favorite like clear Vanta example was in 2017
when it wasn't clear if anyone wanted a SOC 2.
It was clear people answered security questionnaires,
like those long spreadsheets of questions.
And so we wanted to automate those and tried
and like weren't good enough ML engineers
and libraries weren't good enough that we didn't
and went down the SOC 2 path.
Anyway, it's kind of working.
But now Vanta has really good questionnaire automation.
We thought of this building this in 2017,
we just couldn't until now.
And that is very fun.
Yeah.
Where next?
You guys have just been chopping wood,
seemingly just executing day over day, Yeah. Where next? You guys have just been chopping wood, seemingly,
like, just executing day over day.
But where are you going from here?
Hardware.
Hardware.
AI pendant from Vanta.
Exactly.
It captures every, if you say a single word,
that if you say a single non-compliant word,
it just snitches on you.
No way to say trust, like, at constantly listening
AI pendant.
Exactly. Exactly.
Yeah, but what's next?
You know, keep building stuff, cool stuff for our customers.
We have a bunch of security products
that are launching that we're very excited about.
So you get customers in on the wedge.
But then over time, after they get their sock too,
they start growing, they start needing more things.
They start thinking about building out different parts
of their security program. So a couple being launches, they start needing more things. They start thinking about building out different parts of their security program.
So a couple being launches, they're coming.
And a couple more things that we have in store.
Last question from my side, we'll let you go.
Has the rise of defense tech, American dynamism,
ITAR compliance been like,
how have you been like playing in that space?
Oh, it's good. Yeah, yeah. We're actually, we're working with the government. So this administration is trying to make it easier for everyone to procure software.
There's like a FedRAMP, there's a new FedRAMP 20x pilot we're in and we're doing, doing that for two reasons. One, so our customers can sell to the government and have a path there that is not, you know, years and consultants and like literally thousands of pages of long
form text law, like can do a lot there. And then also helping the government go procure
software. And so we are just like doing a ton there.
Yeah. Yeah, it's funny. The it feels like it's incredibly cumbersome to the defense
tech founders that have to get ITAR compliance,
but then they kind of wear it as a badge of honor.
I've been given the, oh yeah, I have to use Teams,
because my work's so important.
I'm like, your work is important,
but now it's become this badge of honor.
But it's great, they need to stay compliant.
Anyway, thank you so much for hopping on.
Congratulations to you and the team.
Congratulations on the last round.
I love just the steady march, building momentum,
and I'm sure you'll be back.
If history repeats, you'll be back on here very soon
with the next one.
Knock on all the things.
Thanks so much for having me.
Awesome. Fantastic.
Great chatting with you, Deena. Talk soon. Up. Thanks so much for having me. Fantastic. Great chatting, Christina.
Talk soon.
Up next, we have Dina from Lux Capital.
I will take the intro, Jordy,
and I will welcome Dina to the TVPN Ultra Dome
when she's ready to hop on the stream.
And in the meantime, I can give you some news.
Check in with Tyler.
How's Tyler doing over there?
All right, I'm up to 10th place 10th place
50 so I dropped I think 26. Okay, I still I mean are there obvious low-hanging fruit for you at this point
It's just a grind just a grind. Just grind
I'm just I think I gotta just basically walk down my moves
Okay, and then just try to optimize one by one
You need maybe like a screen recorder or something so you can watch some game tape. Yeah, yeah.
Yeah, hit the tapes.
We need a coach.
Yeah.
Yeah, who else could help?
You need like a world champion,
like speed runner or something like that.
Anyway.
We have Dina in the Restream waiting room.
We have Dina in the Restream waiting room.
Welcome to the stream, Dina.
How are you doing?
Hello.
Hello.
So good to see you guys.
Thanks so much for joining.
Sorry for the delay.
Why don't you kick us off with an introduction yourself, and I'd love to know kind of how
you fit into the Lux Capital structure ecosystem, what you're focused on, and then we can go
into a bunch of questions from there.
Awesome.
Well, I'm Dina.
I am a partner at Lux Capital.
We're a multi-stage venture firm.
We love turning science fiction into fact.
I know you've had Josh on here before and heard all about that.
We do everything from pre-seed to pre-IPO, so truly multi-stage.
And I have a particular propensity for healthcare, which I know we're going to be talking about
today, but we are all very much generalists.
Okay.
Let's just, we'll get into the other questions later.
I already have completely new questions.
Um, Deleon Asperruhoff over at Founders Fund, buddy of ours was saying that the
seed ecosystem is just kind of been eroded by founders just skipping rounds.
And it feels like that's a lot of, uh, kind of, uh, uh, it's, it's in large
part because these like AI companies were able to justify, yeah, I need a billion
dollars to train a foundation model.
And so even if you're not training a foundation model, the multi-stage firms are like, yeah,
we can do a hundred million dollar seed round.
No problem.
Like you have a good pedigree.
Maybe there'll be a aqua high or something.
Where is the pre seed market?
Where is the seed market still interesting?
Or do you disagree with that entire take
and you think it's never been better?
You know, I think it's a tale of two worlds.
And honestly, the nomenclature for rounds
doesn't really mean much these days anyway.
On the one hand, the advent of AI has made it
more cost effective than ever to start a company.
And you are no longer judged in terms of growth
by how many people you're hiring
or how much money you've raised, but actually how far you can get with the least amount
possible.
And that is only going to continue to happen as we see the advent of sort of AI software
tooling and all of that.
On the other hand, to your point, if you are raising for a company that is infrastructure
intensive that requires high amounts of compute where
you're building your own models and let's be honest, how many of those do we need? Those types
of companies can and will raise $100 million plus seed rounds. So I think yes is the answer. It's
never been better, but also you will very much see a tale of two worlds. And on our end, we're
funding tiny seed rounds and very large seed
rounds, it really depends on the company and what's needed.
Okay, related to that, give me your take on this post from
Caitlin Balnick relos. You must be one of four things to raise
right now, an AI high flyer, a seed company with the promise of
being an AI high flying company. Extra points if you're young,
an American dynamism,-industrialization company
or biology enabled by AI, what do you think?
Caitlin always has the great hot takes.
I think that's accurate, although honestly,
it's not the best time for companies
that are raising in the biotech space.
So I'm not even sure that I would necessarily
include that in the list, but definitely,
every company right now needs to have an answer
to what their AI play is for sure.
That being said, if you're seeing Groundhog Day of pitches that are AI note taker, AI agent,
like yes, we all use these companies and they're wonderful tools, but what we look for is sort
of the operating system, right?
The actual picks and shovels, the really generational companies, and where the innovation is not
just the act of using AI, but something that's actually defensible and transformative.
Yeah, Elad Gill had a post yesterday, he said, AI markets crystallize. For a subset of AI
markets, it is suddenly clear who the finalists or winners will be, and so he breaks down
a few categories, LLMs, code, legal, medical scribing, customer service,
and search and IR.
How are you thinking about AI markets within healthcare?
There's obviously a bunch of different subcategories,
but at the same time, some of the biggest headline
fundraisers have been around these sort of medical scribe
products or at least products with that
as kind of the core wedge?
Yeah.
We've actually invested with ELAD and a company
in the health AI space, which I'll
chat a bit about, called Blue Note.
But yes, AI scribes, I think, were the lowest
hanging fruit in health care.
One of the biggest pain points was with documentation
and note taking for physicians.
These companies were not immediately up and to the right.
Many of them have been around for quite some time.
But of course, the advent of LLMs
and really the openness to adoption,
which has always been the biggest sticky point
in healthcare has made them particularly effective now.
But there's still so much latency in healthcare.
We are still talking about AI
in the context of fax machines.
So there is a lot of opportunity outside of that.
And I get excited about the clinical research
side of things, the opportunity in clinical trials.
If you're talking outside of patient care,
we're in a company called Trial Library, which
is using AI and technology to rapidly accelerate
getting patients into trials for lifesaving therapies.
And frankly, this is where pharma companies
are willing to spend a lot of money
to find those hard to reach patients.
Companies like BluNotes, which we invested in with Elad,
for example, are using generative AI
to help get drugs to market, so to help with regulatory
and medical writing, et cetera.
There is a massive opportunity outside of scribes.
And although scribes are very interesting,
it is increasingly a very crowded market.
Last count, I think it was over 100.
And there's probably-
It's so many, wow.
Have you seen anyone doing-
I'm sure more are being formed as we speak.
People are reading the TechCrunch headlines
and they're saying, hey, maybe I should create.
It seems like Stripe Atlas has gone down
under all the pressure.
Yeah.
Just kidding.
On the note, though, in the last company,
I think one question that's come up on the show is,
what will it take to actually reduce
the cost to create and bring a new drug to market?
And discovering the drug itself is one thing,
but then is there any hope of reducing the cost
of the next stages in terms of,
outside of the paperwork and things like that,
but it seems like if you have this huge kind of variable cost
of trials, is there any sort of hope of bringing that down over time?
Yeah, for sure.
I mean, the sort of drug discovery piece of it
was really V1 of AI in this field,
and we've invested in companies in that space,
and there are new companies that are forming in that space.
But outside of that, there's a lot.
As you pointed out, clinical trials, right?
Big area, there's, you know,
there have been lots of companies
trying to apply technology there,
yet still a massive pain point.
Particularly if you think about where the bulk of the spend
is in pharma, in specialty drugs,
these are tens of billions of dollars
of market opportunity here
to help get these drugs to market faster.
And in order to do so, it often requires finding
really difficult to reach patients.
There's only so much right now that AI can do
to make that happen.
So it requires really unique business models.
And the company I mentioned, Trial Library,
is a great example of a company that is using technology,
but ultimately to find and match humans with one another.
And those humans are patients
and those humans are providers.
That makes sense.
I wanna go shark tank mode for a second.
I got a pitch for a hypothetical company.
I'm not actually building this, but today,
there was a piece in the Wall Street Journal
about Amazon buying a bracelet for $50 a pop.
You get a transcription of everything you say.
It was about the company.
They didn't just buy a bracelet.
They bought some bracelets.
They bought the company.
Have any of the AI scribes in healthcare done something like,
hey, the doctor wears a bracelet and then the scribe is, you know,
there's a hardware play or there's a wearable play.
Have you seen anything like that?
Is there an opportunity?
I don't know if I've seen a bracelet per se.
There are over a hundred. So I wouldn't be
surprised if one of them involves a bracelet. But yes, I have seen hardware plays. The sort of idea
of ambient, you know, note taking. I've seen that in the form of cameras that are sort of,
you know, adding on the computer vision element. I've seen that, of course, in terms of, you know,
different types of tabletop devices. There is an extra added concern with healthcare, which is, you know, the elephant in the room,
and that is around PHI and privacy.
And so, and oftentimes that's over-engineering it.
Really what you need is to understand what's happening in that encounter with the patient.
And as it turns out, you don't necessarily need a ring, a bracelet, a camera hanging over you, oftentimes audio, and in many cases,
just AI enhancing text inputs is all you need
to get to the outcome that's desired.
And for that reason, you're out.
How are you approaching this brain computer interfaces
as a category?
Yeah, there's been Neuralink, Nudge
announced yesterday but how are you thinking about the category broadly?
Feels like something that right now it seems like a very small group of
exceptionally connected and talented teams are sucking up the vast majority
of capital which I guess happens in every market, but maybe more pronounced
in the BCI space.
But do you expect that to be a category where a few years from now there's hundreds of players
or more concentrated until people can really kind of de-risk the different approaches?
We talked about a TO Fellowship company that was doing that, kind of the other side of
the barbell there.
But yeah.
Yeah.
I mean, I think as a trend at Lux,
we were investing in this space before it was obvious.
We were early and proud investors in control labs,
which you may be familiar with, which was acquired by Nat.
We just talked about them.
Yeah, Reardon, the founder, is actually now
a venture partner at Lux, and it's fun to jam with him
on these topics all the time.
My father happens to be a neuropsychiatrist,
so I have a particular interest in this space.
He was really big on TMS, and I think that there's still so much opportunity there.
We are actively looking and spending time with a lot of these companies. To your question,
I don't know if there's going to be a hundred of them in the future. These are still very capital
intensive. There's still a lot of science that does need to happen. We're seeing companies at
the earliest stages through our Lux Labs initiative, researchers
who are rapidly accelerating on the kind of innovation side and ultimately to get to commercialization.
That piece of it is the piece that I think is still remains to be proven, but we are
excited about what's to come.
In healthcare broadly, I'm sure there's tons of opportunities
for startups to build new companies that are kind of built
on the back of the AI trend.
Are there any places where you think that AI,
in a narrow sense, would be a sustaining innovation
for the existing large players?
I'm thinking of like in the enterprise,
it feels like Google might be facing disruption in search to some degree,
but like the Gemini API seems to be doing really, really well.
And like they were set up well to serve a frontier class model as an API.
And so they're leveraging that and they will continue.
And Azure has seen a similar thing with Microsoft.
They've been beneficiaries and in many ways it's been a sustaining innovation for them
in terms of cloud.
But what is the shape of the big players in healthcare?
Where are they going to just completely win
so you probably wanna stay away from it as a startup folk?
I love this question.
I don't know if you guys know this,
but I actually got my start in healthcare at Google,
helping to build what eventually became Google Health.
Back then, one of the first products that I got to work on was this knowledge graph
for health, which was taking symptoms and conditions, mapping them together so if you
search for itchy eyes, you'd have this graph pop up that explains to you you might have
conjunctivitis.
Very novel at the time.
We launched Google's first HIPAA compliant product.
It ultimately led me to venture because it became abundantly
clear to me that the real innovation
in these really intractable industries
was actually coming from early stage startups.
This was before the advent of LLMs and all of that.
I ultimately think that these big tech players are obviously
going to be key distribution partners.
Google is still the digital front door
for a lot of health care.
Increasingly, OpenAI and others are becoming that.
But it is still where so many health care encounters begin,
before a patient even knows that they're a patient.
That being said, do I think that the top innovative companies
in the health care space are going to emerge
from these big tech companies?
Unlikely.
But I think that they will thrive and exist
in partnership with them.
And the hyperscalers when it comes to AI
are always gonna play critical roles.
Yeah, what role are the big tech equivalents
in healthcare playing?
Is it the big insurance networks,
the big hospital networks?
I mean, we've heard General Catalyst is buying a hospital.
I don't fully understand the thesis there,
having fully dug in, but what are the bigger players doing
that might, where they might just be
just default beneficiaries of new tech brands?
Yeah.
I mean, I've, so I spent a lot of time speaking with the,
you know, the leaders of some of these companies.
Obviously they're critical, important partners
to our companies.
And they are rapidly looking at solutions in AI.
So they used to be bottlenecks.
These are the distribution partners.
Selling into health systems has always been a slog.
Ask anyone who's done it.
They've got the gray hairs to prove it.
I was in a board meeting recently, actually,
with a major executive from one of the biggest
national payers out there
who blew my mind talking about how they were thinking about adopting clinical AI. We're talking
actual bots that are engaging with patients in a way that was far more ambitious than even some of
the most you know out there VCs that I had seen. If they're doing it that fast like we need to get
on this quickly it is clear that you know in health care
You want to meet patients where they are and this is where patients are they're using these tools constantly
Providers as well. There's a new generation of providers who expect more digitally
And as you can imagine and you see this in pretty much every major earnings call from these payers
This is no longer just a nice to have, it's a mandate.
What about robotics in surgery rooms?
We've seen.
Striker.
Yeah, I mean Neuralink specifically
has talked about building basically their own system
in order to do these surgeries.
That's like a very, yeah, they built it, they're using it.
Very kind of like narrow use case for something
that they're doing.
But how far out do you think we are from robots conducting
kind of routine surgeries?
Let's say you need to get an organ removed or something
like that.
Is that something that you'd bet on a human still doing 10
years, 15 years, 20 years from now?
Or are we going to be at a point where a human is kind of observing
a robot working, but not necessarily doing the actions
themselves?
I mean, it's already happening.
So we're not talking about 10 years from now.
It's already happening across the board.
And robotic surgery is an area that we've
invested quite a bit in.
You may have heard of a company called
Oris, which was acquired by Johnson & Johnson, in which we were lead investors. It's happening
in other procedures, in ultrasound, in IVF. We have a company that's on the software side,
but enabling computer vision through IVF. If you've ever had, I don't know if any of you have had
surgery, but many, many procedures that used to be highly invasive are now done laparoscopically through robotic surgery.
So it's one of the areas in healthcare actually that has seen the most adoption and it's
still human assisted in many cases.
A lot of that ultimately comes down to patient preference as well as liability, but I would
not be surprised if we increasingly move more and more to a world with robots at the forefront of surgery.
What was your take on Fiji Simo's post kind of outlining therapy potentially as one vector that
OpenAI's Chachi PT core product could be impactful? That feels like an example of meeting...
Yeah, and health was the other big category that she laid out as well.
Huge. Yeah, it feels like meeting customers where they are Health was the other big category that she laid out as well.
Yeah, it feels like meeting customers where they are,
and yet all of a sudden we're talking about,
you know, a research nonprofit is now competing
in the healthcare space.
It feels like it's definitely like an unexpected turn
of events if you were looking at OpenAI
as a health investment a decade ago.
Yeah, totally.
Well, Fiji's amazing.
She's become a friend,
and we actually met in the context of healthcare care. So I know it's an area
she's deeply passionate about. It's not surprising. It is wild, but it's not
surprising. Again, meeting patients where they are and particularly for, you know,
a chatbot that does tend to err toward, you know, sicko fancy that's constantly
telling you, great idea, let's elaborate on that more, etc. Like chat GPT in an era with an epidemic of loneliness can become a very
close friend, it can, in many case diagnose and you know,
there have been some really interesting studies published in
JAMA actually looking at the empathy factor comparing AI to
humans and sometimes the AI actually does score better. Now,
do I believe that therapists will be replaced
by AI in the near future?
No.
But the fact of the matter is people are already using it.
The numbers are staggering.
They're using it for this case now.
And so I think what we need to think about
is what are the guardrails?
How do we ensure that you don't end up
with the types of situations that have made headlines,
whether it's suicides and so on?
And how do you ensure that this is done responsibly?
Um, and I'm excited that someone like Fiji is at the forefront of that, because
I believe that they are really thinking about, um, not only the, the ethics, but
the responsibility of having human lives in their hands.
Yeah.
It feels like something that's going to be like back and forth in the
new cycle constantly, but ultimately,
top of mind and they have all the capabilities
and teams in place to execute effectively in that category.
But it's gonna be a lot of PR back and forth, I'm sure.
Jordy, anything else?
No, this is great.
This is great, thanks so much for hopping on.
Awesome, great to chat with you guys, take care.
Have a good one, talk soon.
We'll talk to you soon.
Um, let's go to this post from Nick Carter.
Do you hear this?
Do you see this?
No.
You're gonna own you.
Oh wait, no, you're a millennial too.
He says, millennials will be slash are the peak IQ
generation, Zoomers are iPad kids, lobotomized,
Gen Alpha will be largely incapable
of learning anything due to AI.
Tyler, what do you think?
Well, Tyler's your Gen Z, right?
You're not Jen.
Yeah, I'm definitely Jen.
Do you think you're an iPad kid?
Do you think you're lobotomized?
I think that's a little bit younger.
Okay.
But I think that's probably true.
Like how do you avoid it?
Just replace iPad with TikTok.
I think you've talked to the average.
I mean, I don't want to, you know.
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
You don't want to throw your whole generation under the bus.
I think there's a big power law.
And you'll see it grow more and more with Gen Alpha.
What separates the high-performing Zoomers
from the lobotomized, brain-rotted ones?
I mean, I think it's, you can probably just like if you need like one
thing it's just like do they use tick-tock daily that's like you probably
get like 90% of the yeah I wonder is it a screen time thing you have to cut it
off early not I don't think it's necessarily screen time because you see
a lot of kids who just like if you're like reading like less wrong or something
yeah if you ever talk to someone who like obviously like read a lot of like blog online blogs like that
They're like super cracked. That's not necessarily screen time
One thing is I feel like maybe the kids that have it the worst are like ten years old right now where I feel like
Parents today. There's a general awareness that having your kid glued to an iPad. Yeah, it's not great
Yeah, if you see I'll be at a restaurant and I'll see a kid
just drooling over their iPad for two and a half hours,
not engaging with the parents or whoever they're with.
I think that's fairly frowned upon now.
Like I got an iPad for my three year old,
but he's only used it on flights.
Like he really just doesn't.
He only thinks of it as a flight device.
And that's purely because I don't want other people
to be angry if he's going to cry for four hours straight.
Tyler's over there being like, I'm not addicted to Apple products,
but I'll do anything for an iPhone.
Which one is it, Tyler?
Yeah.
Which one is it?
You got to pick.
Got to pick.
Any more progress?
I'm still working through I'm going like very slowly. Okay,
so yeah, because there's no time. So you're just really calculating. I can't see my score like until the end. Okay,
so I think I'm doing better, but it's
and are you like actively on a run in arcade GI V3 right now?
How do you like do you like do you kick off a new new new test or can you optimize each one individually?
I think you can do each game individually. But you can't do a specific level. You have
to do one through eight. Okay, got it. Cool. Interesting. I still need to do all three
because I've only done the first one. I actually haven't beaten it. Did you time yourself?
Well, no, because I did it in parts, right?
I did like a couple of minutes before the stream
and then I did five minutes on the stream.
And then, you know, I think I know enough at least to be
like, to probably have like an edge
so it wouldn't be apples to apples.
But maybe I got to check the number of moves.
That's the move.
Okay, well, we have our next guest here in the studio.
Let's bring them in. Good soundboard, Jordy.
What's going on?
Welcome to the stream.
How you doing?
Welcome.
Awesome to meet you.
Oh, thank you.
Great to have you.
I thought I was worried we had some audio issues.
Turns out we don't.
Can you give us an introduction?
What are you building?
Of course.
I am building data computers
alongside with my co-founder Lenny and we use AI
To automate the production of printed circuit boards. We design them and manufacture them
Wow cool
What's the state of the art right now? Like what who are your competitors?
So there's a bunch of companies that really like try to build circuit boards
So there's a bunch of companies that really like try to build circuit boards.
Circuit boards are at the heart of every single electronic products that you have.
You, you name it like aerospace, robotics, medical devices.
These are all industries that traditionally would take months to come up with designs and like volume manufacturing of these boards.
And so our goal is to help them and like scale up to production right away.
Our competitors are folks like Altium Cadence, but also current manufacturers that are building
circuit boards right now.
And what's the latest news?
Do you have anything for us?
I'm very proud to announce that we raised Series A by Andreessen Horwitz.
There we go.
Fantastic.
When did you start the company? I don't know. I think I missed it. 11.4 million. That's fantastic.
When did you start the company?
I don't know, I think I missed that.
Exactly a year ago.
Like we hit the one year anniversary three days ago.
And is it, am I looking at a virtual background
or is this actually your office?
Now this is the Brooklyn Navy Yard.
We build circuit boards in Brooklyn, New York.
Cool.
What is the core value proposition?
Speed, quality, time. What are your customers asking for right now?
So, the real thing that was very interesting to me is that we have fewer and fewer people that can build circuit boards at the highest level of complexity. And these people are working at insanely good
companies like Tesla, SpaceX, Apple, Meta, and they're very, very hard for other hardware
companies to kind of like take away. And I used to be at one of these companies, I used to work
at Apple, I used to work on Custom Silicon. So our goal is basically to democratize the way
that we currently build circuit boards and allow
from startups to large enterprises to take advantage of a very high-end type of workflow.
And the only way we could think about how to do it is to teach large language models to actually
generate schematics. And so the advantage and the difference is that we use code to build our
circuit boards, which is something that usually is not done this way.
Circuit boards are very visual.
You can think about them almost as like Figma.
While what we do is more like web design,
like CSS and code that then gets rendered
into an actual circuit board.
It's called Artwork.
Is it okay to take a circuit board schematic
from an existing product?
I remember we had this founder on,
I think it was the Matic robot,
and he had, was that right?
Or we had some founder on who had printed
on their circuit board like, hi Amazon,
because they knew that Amazon was gonna take it apart
and like try and understand how they were doing
what there was.
I might be messing up the company names,
but it seems like there's some proprietary information
in the, like, yes, there's amazing data
and amazing engineers at these big companies.
They're making these circuit boards,
but they're probably not okay with you
just taking that as training data,
or maybe it's legal?
I don't know, what's the deal there?
You're absolutely right.
I think that Matic is a fantastic company.
They and Whoop both print on their circuit boards.
Like, don't bother copying us.
Whoop, that's the one.
Yeah, Whoop.
That's right.
Fantastic detail.
I really love it.
Yeah, you can make that a feature.
Yeah, yeah.
We'll do it for everyone of our circuit boards.
Data is actually the most important part of this.
So like there is no easily available data
for this kind of problem.
Like whereas on code you can basically take GitHub
and kind of like start training your models
on very high end like data that you can use.
Part of like what we are doing at Diodes
is we're rebuilding the data set from the ground up.
And so there's a lot of data annotation, data cleaning, generating new types of data that
we can use to improve the models. And we are about to announce next week a partnership with
a very large software open source project. And our goal is basically to contribute back to
the community, generate these data that we're're going to use to train like better models without going and like touching
on proprietary data, like we own our own designs. And so while we
assign the IP of the board that we design for our customers to
them, we usually retain the rights to the individual
components that we generate. And those are like a competitive
advantage for us. We are basically building an internal
data structure.
Yeah, why why do you even need real data? I feel like you could generate all of this in simulation.
Like when I hear people talk about bio and saying,
oh, we don't have a simulated cell,
I'm like, okay, well, that makes sense.
Like humans are really complicated,
biology is really complex,
but like we created circuit boards in the first place.
We should be able to simulate those.
Like, why can't you just simulate all possible
circuit boards and then do some sort of search through that?
Why do you need hard?
Yeah, you're absolutely right. We actually do do that like we have reinforcement learning algorithms
There's two types of simulation that you can do one is like an electrical simulation, which you can absolutely like get right
It's all spice
But then like the second order effects of like physics are quite complicated to model. And so there's a really
second order effects of like physics are quite complicated to model. And so there's a really, like there's a good thing around like very talented electrical
engineers, which is that you never trust them.
Like you basically like you can try simulating it, but then like manufacturing something
and making sure it works is the ultimate like simulation test.
Like the boards may be manufactured in a different way.
The like board house may may not respect your specifications.
And so we 100% do simulation,
that's how we bootstrap the process.
You couldn't build the library of data
that we've built just by hand,
it's physically impossible.
So we use simulation to bootstrap,
but then the ability to manufacture the boards
is really what creates differentiation
and brings home the fact that these circuits
are actually working.
So what are you guys actually doing
on the manufacturing side?
Are you gonna be scaling manufacturing?
Are you just making prototypes for customers
and then they take those elsewhere to scale?
Excellent question.
So our offer to the world is come to us, bring us what you
want to design, we'll design it for you, optimize it for manufacturing, and then
scale it with you. Today we have only small batch assembly in-house, like we
actually have Electric Lab right here that we use to assemble like circuit
boards like these, and then we partner with manufacturing houses
for like the largest higher volume production.
But the like eventual future is we are going to Vertica
and integrate this manufacturing.
And like, this is what we want to offer to companies.
If you look at the current offer for printed circuit boards
in the US, it's very, very hard to manufacture them
like within the nation.
It's usually like anytime you want to scale,
you need to go to China.
And we think that the way to solve that
is basically by making all of our design look the same
from a manufacturability standpoint,
so we can generate volume
and like bring it to all of our clients at the same time.
We also do things like automatically matching the parts
and the ordering,
which is something that normally
it's done manually and it's incredibly like long
and annoying to do.
And so to like keep a very complicated process short,
we make ordering PCBs from the US
as easy as ordering them from China.
Not quite as inexpensive yet, but we are gonna go there.
Where do you think you'll set up
your actual manufacturing hub?
You said you're in the Brooklyn Navy Yard right now.
Do you think you'll go elsewhere
or do you wanna keep it in the great state of New York?
So I'm a big believer in decentralized approaches
for prototype level.
So we're actually opening an assembly shop
in San Francisco for our clients there.
And we're thinking about one in
Austin where we have like some clients that I absolutely love
alongside the one in New York. And I think that long term for
scaling production, the best strategy will be to co locate
the warehouses for the components and the assembly. So
we're probably going to open a larger facility in either
Arizona, or Ohio, most likely.
Awesome.
Last question for me, IMO gold medal.
What was your reaction to the news and is solving IMO level math useful to you?
Do you think there will be transfer learning from that model into the circuit board design domain?
Or are we in the era of spiky intelligence
where until you RL on that particular problem, you're not getting a generalizable results?
I think even if you were in the era of spiky intelligence on RL on a specific problem,
like circuit boards are an absolutely good way of doing this. Like, conceptually, a circuit board is orders of magnitude
simpler than a silicon design.
Like, before building circuit boards for a living,
I used to do custom silicon designs,
and those have been represented as code for years.
This is 100% an RL approachable problem.
I do think that the IMU news is fantastic.
Clearly, there are incredible returns
if you do train on a very specific set of data.
I think that the biggest mode will be in the data.
What we consider to be our competitive advantage
is not really training new foundation models.
We actually rely on foundation model improvements
in the wild.
And our entire model is based upon
feeding those models with better and better data
and being able to fine tune and reinforcement learning
train very specific parts.
Like one of them is like the model that spots mistakes.
That's how you tell like a good generated design
versus a bad generated design.
And you can ground the model in reality and physics.
That makes no sense.
Thank you so much for stopping by.
We will talk to you soon.
Congratulations on the Rains.
Crossing the one year milestone.
Fantastic.
Getting an A done as well.
Great stuff.
Thank you so much.
Enjoy.
Talk to you soon.
Cheers.
And up next we have Elan, who I met and Deleon was mentioning,
was building a company in France.
Now he's building a company in America.
We're gonna dig into the differences
between the two countries.
Figure out which country is the best.
Get to the bottom of it.
Hey, how you doing?
What's going on?
Hey, I'm good, I'm good, and you guys?
I'm good.
We met at Miami Tech Week a few years ago, correct?
Yes, yes.
That's right.
And I remember you telling me quite
specifically, you didn't see yourself starting a venture
business, venture bank business, but you said media was something
you were very interested in. So it looks like it turned out
quite well.
Here we are. Here we are. Here we are. But yes, give me give me
the background on your journey. We'll get to the current
company. But I want to talk more about building a company outside of America.
Delling gave us a little bit of the background, but I wanted to just hear
that journey and kind of tangle with it for a little bit.
Yeah.
So I started the company called Cala with two co-founders, probably a
bit more than eight years ago.
The vision and the mission was to basically make real food more affordable
by using robotics and AI to automate
the back kitchen operations. If you look at the typical P&L of a restaurant, it's like 30% food
cost, 30% people cost, and 30% overhead real estate, rent, electricity, those sorts of things.
And like the 10% margin, if you are performing well, a lot of restaurants are actually losing
money. So that was the vision. We said. Okay, we can actually build machines and robotic systems
to bring down operating costs,
to bring down the required footprint of a restaurant to run,
which means we bring down overhead as well.
And hopefully we can reinvest part of those gains
into better quality ingredients
to make the product more affordable and higher value.
And then we can also make the restaurant itself
more profitable, more scalable.
So that was the vision.
We basically ran the company for eight years,
did a bunch, like an ungodly amount of mistakes
along the way, but in the end,
managed to have five very, very, very profitable restaurants
basically give you a few numbers,
but like 60% retention,
customers coming more than once a week,
95% customer satisfaction,
can give you the profitability numbers, but much higher than what any other restaurants has achieved in the world thus
far. And so the thinking from there was, okay, we have kept those great first results with
the restaurants, let's start scaling. We had raised 10 million up to that point from
VCs and we kind of got hung on a very structural problem of Europe, which is there's a big
financing gap when you get to the Series A slash Series B moment, where basically there's just a
gigantic cliff of funding there. And so basically we did not understand that when we created the
business and structured the business. And so we basically were like starting to assemble the plane get ready to take off
and then we hit the wall like straight up and straight on.
And we just hadn't built,
we should have built like a much smaller plane
or whatever, a Delta plane or something,
something that's more lean
than what we had prepared to do
because we had kept a much more ambitious vision
that what was achievable in Europe.
And the thing that's quite specific
and that Deleon was referencing a few days ago in the show
was restructuring the business to go
from those hands full of restaurants
that were very profitable and a very high HQ cost.
Trying to restructure that to get to a profitable break
event point at the business level
was basically on paper possible.
We could have cut down cost enough to make the business profitable,
but just pure French regulation
prevented us from doing that.
Just the severance cost,
they didn't complete quite well.
Like the purely the severance liability
was higher than the cash on the hands we have at the time.
And we had quite a lot of cash
and still it was like a lot of money
that we had to pay in severance
and plus other liabilities around that.
And so in the end, we basically tried to talk to the regulators, to the government, to any
structure that was around us to try and find a workaround.
But in the end, we couldn't really go beyond what the laws and rules allowed.
And so ultimately, we had to shut down the business around a bit more than two months
ago, which was quite a shame.
I was very, very angry throughout the whole process,
which obviously kind of pented up in the past few weeks.
And when I met Deleon a few, yeah,
actually a few days after the decision
from the court kind of came down,
I was still kind of on the fence
about what I wanted to do next.
I was still thinking, should I,
I'm still very angry about this?
Yeah, one thing I would just highlight,
I think that the idea of using robotics
to deliver better, cheaper food was not novel.
What was novel was actually getting it to work, right?
Like so many companies, so many people have tried
to do this in the United States.
This is a graveyard.
Yeah, it's an absolute graveyard of companies
with super talented founders and teams that, for some reason or another, couldn't, like, you know, it's an absolute graveyard of companies with super talented founders and teams that for some reason or another couldn't,
like, you know, it's hard enough.
Dave Friedberg started one, ITSA.
Yeah, and it's hard enough.
It's hard enough to.
ITSA, it's interesting, was the other way around,
like they automated the front of house,
not the back of house.
That's true.
But a lot of businesses, like I could kind of give you
20, 30 different businesses that I've tried.
And I think up to that point, we are the only business that had, and technically Sweetgreen
does as well, but had proven, let's say, incrementally positive return investment on the whole investment
of a restaurant.
Meaning, if you actually invest the money it takes to build the machine and put it in
the restaurant, you actually end up with a higher ROI on the whole investment than
if you are just launching with a normal team.
I think Sweetgreen is the only restaurant that had this apart from us.
And for them, it's not very clear exactly how they achieve that in terms of how transparent
they are with the numbers.
But yeah, other than that, I don't think anyone had even made like had even actually paid
back a single installation of a robotic system in a restaurant.
And so yeah, we are very proud of that result that we got a few years ago.
And then we managed to launch more stores, get more revenue, get stores doing very
high kind of EBITDA margin. But yeah, in the end,
couldn't really get there with Cala.
And I think in the end, the biggest mistakes we made was definitely starting the
business in Europe, in France specifically.
There's just the market and the, let's say the whole ecosystem is just not made for ambitious plays. And
like if you want to build something ambitious, you can't really do it there.
Yeah. Do you think that the restrictions and the regulation that you ran into, are those
broadly popular or are they kind of like legacy rules that if you put them up to a purely
democratic vote, most people would say,
that doesn't make any sense.
Cause there's a lot of like,
legislative and regulatory cruft in America
that isn't popular but hangs around
and people just kind of deal with it.
But what is like the mood in France around this?
Like it sounded like there wasn't very much
like public outcry, but it feels like a situation
where kind of everyone loses because the customers were enjoying the food, the employees were
enjoying their jobs, you were enjoying building this company, and now they all go just go
away.
Yeah. So this regulation specifically, I don't think it's known enough. Like company going
bankrupt is not something that makes national news. So it's not something that people have
top of mind. But I think overall people would probably support it because what the regulation actually
says is just that when a company goes bankrupt, the employee gets pretty high severance, meaning
they don't have to find a job straight away.
Or if they can, they can take a few months to find it and it's fine.
So I think with the very socialist mental model that most French people have, I think
this would probably be popular.
But on top of the severance itself,
the state puts in place a lot of other protections,
even beyond what the severance cost is.
Like you basically get your full salary for a year
if your company goes bankrupt, paid by the state.
So there's, I mean, partially by the company,
but the state puts a bit more on.
And so there was a bunch of those rules that I think people would probably be
in favor of if they thought about it,
but it's just not something that's top of mind for anyone.
Have you talked to any other founders in France who went through something
similar or had like cautionary tales to share?
Is it because it feels like this was widespread,
we'd be hearing about it a lot and people would be starting to lobby or anything,
or maybe just everyone leaves.
I don't know. I think the, one of the reasons why it was so hard for us specifically is that
the, the, uh, so first we had our business and so the HQ cost component is,
is kind of, uh, harder to scale down than a typical kind of software business.
I think that's probably one reason why it was hard.
And also I think a lot of businesses that fail, especially startups in France,
just fail because they can't really find product market fit and they can't even
get commercial traction.
And so in the end you don't really mind the company going bankrupt because like
you just didn't have something that was worth working for. Uh, versus for us,
I think it's a bit different because we actually had a product that work and,
and the economics were there. We just couldn't keep on scaling and we should have
understood that maybe two or three years earlier and just, uh,
been a lot more conservative on the structuring of the business. What's the strategy for the new company? How do you, you know,
leverage what works and avoid what doesn't? Yeah. So, so I think so the first one kind of key lesson
is definitely being a lot more lean on the, on the HQ cause I think one thing that I learned is that
even though I think this business can be kind of scaled, built with venture capital, I think one thing that I learned is that even though I think this business can be built with
venture capital, I think you have to build a strategy around your financing that's both VC
but also private equity that does retail and restaurants more naturally. You have to be able
to tailor your business to all those guys because at some point you're going to need them. And so
that means low HQ cost, more lean HQ operations. That means other structuring elements that you
have to do differently.
So that's definitely one big learning.
The second one is also in terms of,
let's say structuring of the operations,
we had build restaurants that were too small.
And so even though they are very profitable,
they didn't get bringing as much as we could have.
If we had stores that were doing like,
let's say 3 million revenue per star,
we'd have been bringing a lot more EBITDA per star
than the revenue we had in our stores. So that's another key learning. And the tech itself also, we are
changing a bit the product. We are not taking any of the previous IP or tech that Kala kept developed.
We are rebuilding everything from scratch. But we know overall we have kind of rough ideas of
what are the prototypes we made, what worked, what didn't work. And so we're also approaching
the tech a bit differently than what we did with't work. And so we're also approaching the tech a bit differently than what we did with Cala and
thus also approaching the product differently.
We're not going to be serving the same food.
Makes sense.
So what's the timeline for the new company and what kind of key markets are you looking
at?
Yeah.
So when I spoke with Eliane a month and a half ago, it was not really decided on it yet. So I'm barely basically incorporating the business now. I already have,
basically, I talked to a bunch of Cala shareholders that when I announced that we had to shut down
the business in India and we are forced by the state to shut down. It's not even like we decided
to do it. I talked to a bunch of them that basically said, whatever you guys do again, if it's the same
business, we want to back you again. So right now, just thinking about how I want to a bunch of them that basically said, whatever you guys do again, if it's the same business, we want to back you again.
So right now, just thinking about how I want to think about financing in the first few
months is very high level at the moment, not really into any details.
So that's the first step in the next few months.
The higher level roadmap is to launch the first store in New York, middle of next year,
midpoint of next year exactly, when it's going to depend a bit on a few elements
around funding and also timeline on regulation.
But yeah, the first restaurant in New York,
and I launched a few restaurants there,
and then pretty highly considering franchising
as kind of a path to scale a lot more aggressively
than and a lot more efficiently, capital efficiently
than we did with Cali where we own every single restaurant.
Yeah, I think most people don't understand
just how if you have a hit restaurant concepts,
and you can scale with franchises,
not only can franchisees change their lives
through that opportunity,
but you can have what ends up looking like a software
or better
than software margins and that like super lean HQ, just printing cash off the top line.
So, and imagine, imagine if the restaurant itself doesn't do 10% of the multiple X around
above that, the amount of money you get out of the top line of the restaurant is just
so much higher than let's say you are a typical restaurant does 10% of the margin as a franchise
or you're going to take 5% that's not a lot of value
you're taking for you basically not doing everything but creating the whole
value in the end if you have a restaurant that does a lot more than
that you can get a much bigger chunk of the top-end that restaurant and thus you
have the gains into by not operating is also much better. Very cool. Cool. Well, excited for you to come to the US and build here.
I hate to open once I'm down.
I'm going to come to the restaurant.
Amazing.
Yeah, we'd love to try it.
Awesome.
Thanks so much.
Thank you.
We'll see you guys soon.
Bye.
Bye.
Great stuff.
Tyler, any more progress?
How you doing?
I made it to fifth place.
Fifth place?
Yeah.
My moves are 525.
525.
You're hot on the a way there might be a
number one by the end of the day yeah but it's pretty marginal like it's hard
now it's gonna be hard from here on out to squeeze out the last little bit of
performance it's all it's all your mindset Tyler yeah he did he did he did
I had a consolation prize already oh I did Rub did. Rubik's Cube. Oh, we got a Rubik's Cube now?
That's too easy for Tyler.
That's a three by three.
I got the nine by nine.
Tyler can do the nine by nine.
That's the next challenge.
You say that you can do the nine by nine.
But that thing has not been solved yet.
It'll be done by tomorrow.
Yeah, I think that's the challenge.
You should do it live.
Do it live.
Do it live.
20 minutes.
Tomorrow.
Do it tomorrow on the stream.
OK.
I can flex my elbow. Yeah, yeah. Scramble it. Scramble it. It looks pretty scrambled to me. Do it like do it live 20 minutes tomorrow do it tomorrow on the stream, okay?
Yeah, yeah scramble scramble it looks pretty scrambled to me It looks like the last like the hardest part is ahead of you now the hardest part is almost done. Okay, okay?
Nice little timeline yeah
Brian Johnson is
Blueprint has been a pain in his butt. It's kept me from not focusing on the single thing
I'm consumed with how does the human race survive the rise of superintelligence?
Every minute spent dealing with problems like why a supplier shipped us
something out of spec? Is a minute not spent figuring out how to make don't die
the fastest growing ideology in history increasing our odds of survival and
thriving? At the same time blueprint produces products my body and mind that
bring my body and mind great joy.
I rely upon them for my well-being.
I trust it, so do tens of thousands of happy customers.
After years of consuming,
I am at a molecular level Blueprint.
How big do you think the business is?
Tens of thousands of customers?
What do you think LTV is?
I had thought or heard that it was at like
a hundred million dollar run rate.
That feels about right.
I feel like if you go into the blueprint ecosystem,
you go pretty hard.
Yeah, you could end up consuming six products in a day.
Yeah, because you're a skew for everything.
It's not just like one protein bar and that's it.
It's like it has a whole variety of things to purchase.
Supplement companies continue to be undefeated
in terms of monetizing health audiences.
Yeah, especially if you have a big audience, like he does.
Yeah, he says,
a blueprint is the best longevity stack in the world.
That's not an exaggeration.
It's meticulously designed based on scientific evidence,
third party tested, comprehensive, easy to consume,
delicious and priced to be accessible.
And anyways, he'd go on to say
that he's been basically attacked by people saying that he's grifting,
that he, you know, is the whole kind of blueprint, don't die ideology is meant to sell supplements.
Netflix did a documentary. Wow, that's really, really big.
But the news here is that he's hiring, he's hiring a CEO and a CTO who can lead the business day to day
while he focuses on Don't Die.
And so, interesting opportunity here.
There's a bunch of different product lines.
They have Nourish, BioMarkers, Quantified,
and I guess Clinics are coming soon.
I don't know that any exist yet,
but they're raising money too.
They need some hardcore builders.
So I think this would be a great SPAC candidate, John.
It's real revenue, charismatic founder.
Yeah.
Take it public, Brian.
Take it public.
Just do it.
Buy some meme stock for your treasury.
Keep some GameStop and some Bitcoin.
In the corporate treasury.
Just diversified memes.
Yeah.
Yeah. Some fart coin in there, in the corporateary. Just diversified memes. Yeah. Yeah.
Some fart coin in there.
In the corporate treasury, that's the move.
I can see it.
What a run.
He is such a master of earned media.
It's so crazy.
This is basically what, like a hiring post?
He's saying like, I'm hiring two people.
Amazing essay, super viral.
And then also a Business Insider piece
that he gets coverage from and can screenshot.
The master.
What a beast.
Sikichan.
How does he do it?
Putting up massive numbers, his portfolio company
just exited today and he got paid.
Water's on me next time, folks,
because he received a distribution.
Better than nothing.
$2.85.
It's not a zero.
It's not a zero.
What happened?
It's so interesting that it wouldn't be a zero,
but it also wouldn't be like like a real number
It's like the smallest amount so that happens money has to go somewhere. I guess I guess
Michael Kratz you has a video today to win the AI race and ensure global technological dominance
We need more power. So we have Michael be coming on the show tomorrow, correct? Yeah
Yeah, and a lot of news here, I'm sure,
will be digesting it.
The All In podcast is also having a crossover event
with Hill and Valley with a bunch of hitters
breaking this down.
There's a lot.
A bunch of absolute dogs.
Absolute dogs.
I don't know if there's been more absolute dogs
under one roof in Washington, maybe since Hill and Valley.
It's pretty wild.
The actual action plan is really, really huge.
The basic summary is that they're trying to shift,
or they're shifting with this document,
AI policy at the federal level from safety first posture.
We're worried about paper clipping.
We're worried about the Doomer scenario, should we, you know,
have an FDA for that was one of the,
something that was thrown around on podcasts a while ago.
Should these models need to be approved by the federal government before they go
into general release? Now there's a shift in posture to a growth in geopolitics
posture basically. So, uh,
the immediate practical effect is the publication of priorities. Real-world
impact will depend on how quickly the 90 plus follow-on actions, especially
deregulation, fast-track permitting, new export packages and procurement rules
move from paper to binding regulations, guidance and contracts over the next few
months. So there's a bunch of stuff in here
it's gonna touch the
OMB NIST all the cabinet agencies commerce energy labor departments Treasury
Department of Energy basically census like
Treat AI scale programs as tax-free educational assistance. There's a whole bunch of different ideas in here
They're bringing that golden retriever mode ideology to AI.
There's gonna be the creation of the Department of Defense,
AI and Autonomous Systems virtual proving ground.
I was talking to somebody yesterday about how big is AI
on the battlefield, how big of an issue is having
frontier AI in a military context?
And it's very unclear if you can just, you know,
hey, invade Taiwan, don't make mistakes,
like one-shotting these prompts.
We don't think we're there, but even if you just think about
if you're going up against an adversary
and they have Microsoft Excel and you don't,
well, their logistics are gonna be smoother.
And so even just having AI tools and systems
in all the different little places
within your military force, that could be advantageous
even if we're not talking about
the Terminator Killer Robot scenario, the humanoids,
all of that stuff feels a little bit further out,
but just using AI to make standard processes a little bit further out, but just using AI to make standard processes
a little bit more efficient seems like
an important advantage to have in a conflict.
They're also expanding the national AI research resource
pilot and the creation of financial instruments,
spot and forward markets to give startups
on demand access to GPU capacity,
NSF, DO, Department of Energy, secure compute environments
and national secure data service portal for controlled access.
So there's some open source and research efforts.
There's a ton of stuff in here.
I'm sure it'll all be trickling out.
Yeah, the open source stuff was exciting to see.
Yeah, we'll see how Mark Zuckerberg fits into that
because if he stays with the new super,
the super intelligence team is stacked,
but there was always a question about like,
how long will Llama stay open source?
China seems to be beating us up on open source.
We saw Quan doing really well, DeepSeek doing really well.
And so if there's going to be an open source champion
in America, it feels like that could come from Meta.
And so it'll be interesting to see how badly he wants it,
how badly he wants to stay there and how valuable that is to stay in the open source,
at the frontier of the open source.
Speaking of that, there was an interesting
debate back and forth, I forget who said this.
Oh, Francois Chollet said,
"'Please note, we are not able to produce
"'the 41.8% result from ArcAGI 1,'
"'that's the first ArcAGI test,
claimed by the latest Quen 3 release,
neither on the public eval set nor on the semi-private set.
The numbers we're seeing are in line
with other recent base models.
In general, only rely on scores verified
by the ArcPrize Foundation on the semi-private set.
That way you can trust that the methodology
was consistent and fair across all models verified, but then
One of the team members I think says hey we use the JSON format for convenient parsing all DMU for reproduction
Sounds good waiting for you to DM them
So we will have more news on whether or not Quinn three really did jump forward in Arc AGI
But again, you know the the goal should be a hundred percent. Yeah
on Arc AGI since these are These are tests that you know But again, the goal should be 100% on our RKGI
since these are tests that everyone from an intern
to a, I don't know, 10-year-old can do.
I don't know how low it goes.
I don't know if a five-year-old can do it.
I gotta put it to the test.
We gotta have the kids try.
But anyway.
Martin Shkreli has a good post here
responding to Caitlin relis
She says you must be one of four things to raise right now
AI high flyer seed co with the promise of being an AI high flying company
American dynamism slash
Reindustrialization company and Martin says how about just growing revenue and profits really fast
That is a fantastic strategy the Lindy way
But then if you're growing profits really fast, you might not need to raise.
You might not be able to justify a big raise potentially.
Just raise it 500x revenue.
I guess, yeah.
10,000x EBITDA or something.
Anyway, in other news,
people are still memeing about the nuclear reactor
breach by hackers via Microsoft SharePoint?
Yeah, I was interested in the timeline there.
I was getting into that story yesterday.
The vulnerability was discovered in May at a hacking competition
that Microsoft put on.
They then patched it later, which didn't work.
And then the major hacks happened over the weekend
just a few days ago.
And so the timeline there is kind of weird.
Like did they not?
And people were pushing back and saying like,
very unlikely that there was-
A serious breach?
Well, no, more so unlikely that super critical documents
were shared in those systems, but still,
any and all information related
to the US Nuclear Weapons Agency and just program broadly
should be pretty secure.
So yeah, anyways, I'm sure we'll learn more
about the timeline that led to that over time.
And some final words of advice from Sahil.
He says, buy a.com domain.
Go into debt if you have to.
I saw somebody quoted this and said,
I actually did do this.
I went into debt.
The guy who got the domain Contra.com, which is a nice.
Did it work out?
Yeah, he's raised a lot of money.. That's great. It's great domain great name
we got our domain from snagged calm Rob the
Industry leading domain services he
Helped us get TV PN calm in 30 minutes Wow was one of the fastest negotiations of all time
It's pretty and we are very grateful. It's also cool. He started row in 30 minutes. Wow. Was one of the fastest negotiations of all time.
It's pretty awesome.
And we are very grateful.
It's also cool, he started Row, Row, like a-
Pharmaceutical company.
Yeah, Row.co, so he's been in the domain game for a while.
But-
Oh yeah, the Fire domain.
And last, I gotta do one more final post.
One more, do it.
From Will Brown, Chat GPT should have a big green switch
that says sicko mode
Like sicko fancy. Yeah, yeah as I see
If you want to just turn it on and just get gassed up by the model you should be able to
Don't get lost in the sauce
Don't get lost in the sauce. And one more final post. OK. Let's do it.
One more.
Brew Markets is highlighting the CEO of NVIDIA.
That's it.
Has a legendary LinkedIn profile.
He was at Denny's for five years, 1978 to 83.
He was a dishwasher, busboy, and a waiter.
So just working his way up the org chart.
If he had stayed there, he probably would have become CEO.
But he went and a decade later founded Nvidia
and has been running it for 32 years and seven months.
What a run.
Biggest company in the world.
I think we low-key got to put him in the truth zone
because he worked at AMD.
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
Wait, that's the post.
Oh, yeah, yeah, yeah.
Sorry, I didn't highlight.
Leaving out the years that he worked at AMD and LSI
is a great example of
How a lionizing narrative works creates the impression of superhuman genius which confers a valuable aura that has material impact on morale negotiations, etc
Similar to Singapore was a fishing village. So I actually don't know that much about the sing the rumor that Singapore was a fishing village
I guess it wasn't I don't know the story of Singapore
the rumor that Singapore was a fishing village, I guess it wasn't.
I don't know the story of Singapore.
We gotta do a deep dive.
Sounds interesting.
But yeah, worked at AMD and LSI Logic
and then started Nvidia.
But he took those off the LinkedIn
because he's like, why should I promote my competitors?
Smart man.
I'm not competing with Denny's.
Apparently the first Denny's that he worked at
or something has a plaque on the wall,
like Nvidia CEO worked here. Very cool. And he still does Denny's stunts worked at or something has a plaque on the wall like Nvidia CEO worked here
Very cool, and he still does Denny's stunts. He did one with the acquired guys
He came by and liked I think he delivered them Denny's or something like that when they were doing some event at
Nvidia GTC this point. He should just buy Denny's it's
237 it's trading at 270 million dollar market cap right now. It's that cheap Wow
I didn't realize it was pure play like it's also I guess it's getting meme stocked
It's 16% in the past five days
So John financial advice not financials should really pick it up pick it up quick before it runs too hard
Yeah, I mean he's in the interest of keeping it alive because if it just goes away and no one to turn every Denny's into a showroom
For his latest chips, you know, just carve out a booth.
I feel like I read some article about Denny's
or some sort of restaurant chain using AI
to help the servers or something.
Everyone has an AI play.
Restaurant solutions or something.
They own IHOP, I believe, something like that.
Yeah, yeah, headquartered in Pasadena.
Very American episode today, John. You not put that football down the whole time.
It's fun. It's nice to just have like a little fidget. The original fidget spin.
Something about John with the football. It works.
It's great. Yeah. I tried to keep it like below the desk during the interviews. I could be a
little bit more serious, but you know, I think eventually we're going to be tossing the pigskin.
Tossing the pigskin. Well, I while talking to some Foundry Brother Rays.
On that note, leave us a five-star review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify and we'll see
you tomorrow.
Have a good one.
Cheers, folks.
Bye.