TBPN Live - Open-Source AI Battle, Google Throttles Meta, Micron Margins Moon | Edward Coristine & Tai Groot, Chad Rigetti, Pim de Witte, Yadin Soffer, Jack Morris, Neil Movva, Jakob Diepenbrock, Chris Altchek
Episode Date: June 29, 2026(02:21) - Open-Source AI Battle (14:33) - GLM-5.2 Review (21:38) - Google Throttles Meta (27:20) - 𝕏 Timeline Reactions (34:38) - Micron Margins Moon (38:48) - Comcast Splits in Two ...(43:04) - Europe Meets Suburbia (48:18) - Edward Gorberstein, head of engineering at the National Design Studio, discusses the launch of Ramparts, a local-first privacy model that allows users to control the data they share with AI by keeping personal information on their devices. He explains that existing AI models are too large to run in browsers, preventing in-browser PII removal, and emphasizes that Ramparts is open-source, with weights available on Hugging Face, enabling technical users to create custom applications. Gorberstein highlights the studio's mission to improve the American digital experience by developing user-centric software, citing previous successes like Trumper X, which saved users over $500 million in drug costs. (57:53) - 𝕏 Timeline Reactions (01:03:16) - Chad Rigetti, founder of Rigetti Computing, discusses his journey from developing quantum computing at IBM to establishing his own company, which went public in 2022. He highlights the importance of integrating quantum technologies into data centers to enhance AI capabilities, emphasizing the need for a multimodal approach to quantum hardware. Rigetti also addresses the challenges of transitioning from private to public markets and the significance of long-term strategic planning in the evolving quantum computing landscape. (01:28:42) - Pim de Witte, CEO of General Intuition, discusses the company's unique approach to AI development by leveraging extensive datasets of action-labeled video game footage to train models capable of spatial-temporal reasoning. He emphasizes the competitive nature of the AI industry and highlights General Intuition's distinct advantage: a proprietary dataset that enables their models to predict actions in both virtual and physical environments. Additionally, de Witte announces a recent $320 million funding round, bringing the company's valuation to $2.3 billion, which will support further advancements in their AI research and applications. (01:36:39) - Yadin Sofer, co-founder and CEO of Tracer, discusses the company's emergence from stealth with the launch of a subterranean defense technology firm. He highlights the challenges of underground operations, such as unpredictable geology, and emphasizes the importance of small-diameter, long-length designs for efficiency. Sofer also mentions Tracer's $25 million seed round aimed at collaborating with the military to establish a U.S. subterranean strategy for warfare. (01:42:52) - Jack Morris, co-founder and head of research at Engram, discusses the company's recent emergence from stealth with $98 million in funding from investors like General Catalyst, Kleiner Perkins, and Sequoia. Engram focuses on developing AI systems that enhance human intelligence by creating models capable of understanding users' unique contexts and workflows, thereby improving efficiency and reducing costs. Early enterprise partners include Microsoft, Notion, and Harvey, who benefit from these AI solutions that adapt to specific organizational needs. (01:48:03) - Neil Movva, co-founder and CEO of Sail Research, discusses his company's focus on building the most efficient inference systems for AI agents that operate autonomously over extended periods. He highlights their commitment to open-source models, such as GLM 5.2, and emphasizes the importance of optimizing the entire stack—from hardware to API—to enhance efficiency. Movva also notes the shift in AI workloads from human-in-the-loop tasks to background processes, predicting that background tasks will soon dominate, and underscores the need for infrastructure that supports long-running agents effectively. (01:54:34) - Jakob Diepenbrock, the 22-year-old General Partner of Discipulus Ventures, recently closed a $30 million fund targeting early-stage investments in defense-tech, energy, mining, manufacturing, and other critical industries. In the conversation, he discusses the firm's strategy of securing significant ownership in startups at low valuations by being the first investor, often assisting with company incorporation and subsequent fundraising. He highlights the advantages of El Segundo's robust engineering talent and supply chain infrastructure for hardware development, noting a shift from defense-focused investments to sectors like manufacturing, chemicals, industrials, space, and energy. (02:02:52) - Chris Altchek is the founder and CEO of Cadence, a health technology company that partners with major health systems to provide remote patient monitoring and management for chronic conditions. In the conversation, Altchek discusses Cadence's recent $100 million Series C funding, the company's rapid progress in automating chronic disease treatment, and the significant impact their technology has had on patient outcomes, including preventing strokes and heart attacks through real-time monitoring and intervention. (02:14:40) - 𝕏 Timeline Reactions TBPN is made possible by:Ramp - https://ramp.comPublic - https://public.comCisco - https://www.cisco.comConsole - https://www.console.comCrowdStrike - https://www.crowdstrike.comFigma - https://www.figma.comMongoDB - https://www.mongodb.comNYSE - https://www.nyse.comRailway - https://railway.comShopify - https://www.shopify.comCodex - http://openAI.com/codexFollow TBPN: https://TBPN.comhttps://x.com/tbpnhttps://open.spotify.com/show/2L6WMqY3GUPCGBD0dX6p00?si=674252d53acf4231https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/tbpn/id1772360235https://www.youtube.com/@TBPNLive
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You're watching TVPS.
Today is Monday, June 29th, 2026.
We're live from the TVPN Ultradown,
the Temple of Technology, the Fortress of Finance.
The capital of capital.
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I'm gonna adjust my a.m.
Well, on the front of the Wall Street Journal today,
this is how you know this is the whole,
AI 2027, Washington waking up. The AI stories are making it to the front page, the world news
section, not just the business and finance section, more and more. So the very front page of
the Wall Street Journal. Of course, the picture is about the heat wave, but the lead, the story with
the largest text is about artificial intelligence. China resets the AI race with the United States
as security models mark gains.
We're going to get into it.
This is a fascinating debate
because I thought that we'd have a conclusion
to the open source AI debate by now.
Either they would, the frontier would have collapsed
and there would be perfect commoditization
or they would have fallen so far behind.
It'll just go, it's over.
We're so back. It's over.
If you're in open source AI,
that's exactly how it feels.
Before we get into this story completely,
Hill in the chat said,
did you see the U.S. National Design Studio
open source day privacy
model? We did. And we got them coming on
the show today. In just 45
minutes. At 1145.
I are going to be
talking about a first iteration on-device
PII
redaction model that is far
smaller than existing models.
It's actually tiny.
It's 15 megs.
And you can do it in the browser.
And we have Chad Raghetti
He's coming on to talk about a whole lot of quantum mumbo jumbo.
We'll see what's going on there.
And Pim's coming back on from general intuition.
And we got a bunch more founders coming on.
Jacob Deepenbrock,
announcing a $30 million over-subscribed fund
with tons of TBPN guests already in the portfolio,
the rest of the portfolio soon to be on the show, I'm sure.
Anyway, open source AI.
So the big story is centered around GLM,
5.2 from Z.AI. It's officially released June 13th, so it's taken a couple weeks for it to really
break through to the front page of the Wall Street Journal. But there's seen some strong performance
on benchmarks, some positive reviews from developers. I have a whole review from Tyler we can go
through in a little bit. But we're now entering another round of debates around open source AI.
What can the model actually do? Is this a threat to national security? What are the geopolitical
ramifications here. And so I'm sure this will be an ongoing conversation throughout this week,
probably next week. We have some guests lined up to help contextualize it. But laying down the facts
from the journal, security researchers said that a new AI model released this month by China's
ZPU AI, also known as z.aI, can match the latest U.S. models when it comes to finding security
bugs, a development poised to reset the global tech race and pressure the White House in its overhaul
of US AI policy.
So unlike models from Anthropic or OpenAI, Zipu's GLM 5.2 is open weight.
You can just download it, run it anywhere.
You don't need to go to an API.
You don't need to go to a private company and pay them.
You can run it on your own server, provided you have the electricity and GPUs to do so.
It is expensive to run, as we'll go into, but it is open weight.
The Wall Street Journal says that means it can be downloaded and run on hardware operated by anybody
and can be modified and used without supervision.
Scary stuff.
Open weight models are ideal for users
who want unfettered access to systems they control,
but they're also ideal for hackers
who want to run them in the shadows.
Unfettered intelligence.
Unfettered, oh, that's a good.
We were completely out of names
for new neolabs.
That's a good neolab.
Unfettered intelligence.
Fettered intelligence is good.
GLM 5.2 has ranked
as one of the top 10 most used
AI models, according to data from OpenRouter, a company that provides access to more than
400 AI models. And what a fantastic business. Alex Atala over there, absolutely cooking at OpenRouter.
It's such an exciting way to plug into the AI race without actually needing to play the benchmark
game so much, be the front door. Anyway, in some benchmarking tests, according to cybersecurity
company SemGrup, GLM 5.2, bested, and
Anthropics Claude Opus 4.8 model, which was released in May, when given further instructions,
Opus 4.8 and GLM 5.2 can match mythos in bug-binding ability, according to researchers.
So prior to this launch, and there's a chart that we should pull up here about overall AI
capability, we can talk to Tyler about what this chart actually means, but there was this
narrative brewing that open source AI was slowing down relative to the closed source frontier.
And I saw a lot of American AI fans sort of cheer for this.
Hey, we have the capital markets.
We have the data centers.
We have the researchers.
And so we are able to push the frontier at a different rate.
And if we're actually growing at a faster rate in America within the closed source labs, that will compound.
And there will be a stronger takeoff in the American closed source AI industry.
Now, this chart sort of goes back and forth.
and there's some debate over it.
It's in the newsletter.
You can go sign up at TBPN.com.
While we're pulling that up, let me tell you about Codex.
Codex is a powerful workspace for getting work done
with AI agents.
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creating content, or automating business workflows,
codex helps you move projects forward from start to finish.
So this chart, which we can pull up,
shows progress from GPD 40 to 01, 03 Mini,
O3, Opus 4, GPD5, 5.2, Opus 4.6, GPD5,
Opus 4.6, GPD 5.4, GPD 5.5.5. showing a, you know, linear trend in this ELO, which is a blend.
Ryan says GLM 5.2 sounds too much like a gray market peptide taking. It actually does. It does sound a lot like that.
And then you can see the red line are the Chinese models, which are also improving over time, but at a slightly lower rate.
And so the question was, are they going to plateau while America's progress continues to advance?
And this latest model, GLM 5.2, seems, it's very hard to apply it to this particular benchmark because this ELO was, can you give us some background, Tyler, on where this chart came from, what this is demonstrating?
Yeah, so this is by Casey.
I think it's how you pronounce it, the Center for AI Standards and Innovation.
They have this way to calculate like the ELOV model.
it's basically a kind of approximation of a bunch of different benchmarks.
Some of those are proprietary, like, they're not open, so it's actually hard to run these.
Also, because I was basically trying to bench, like, all the recent models since this was published.
Yeah.
It was, I want to say May 1st.
Yeah, it would be great to throw 5.6 soul, mythos and Fable.
It would be great to just continue this chart because it's an interesting trend.
So a lot of those benchmarks are not actually public, so it's very hard to estimate.
But I tried, I got, you can look at like some of the benchmarks that are public that you can reference, you can kind of match them up to previous models.
5.1-2 looks like it is like a big step up from the like Chinese trend line, right?
But even then, I think it's hard.
Like, I think the group of benchmarks that were chosen for this ELO like definitely
accentuate the gap between U.S. and Chinese labs.
I think there's much of other, like, groups like Epoch AI has done a chart.
They basically have a relatively stable gap between closed source and open source models.
Yeah.
Since like 2023, like a long time.
Yeah.
And perhaps at this point, the discussions should be more centered around cost per task more
than cost per token.
Yes, yeah, definitely.
Because even like, you know, new models, a lot of,
times when they come out like okay maybe the token price is actually the exact same but the token
efficiency is much better then when you do a lot of these tasks it's like it's not the the price for tokens
price per yeah per you know something completed yeah and then you actually see it go to that and there's a lot
of test time scaling laws where you can just throw a million dollars of compute at a particular
problem and all the models do really well at it but it's completely non viable for any real
enterprise use case and probably not even viable if you're trying to be in a fair
various hackers. Yes. Most people are saying like 5.2 is very
token hungry, right? So it uses a lot of tokens. So maybe it like it
definitely is much cheaper than the frontier models. It's on a per
token basis on the per token basis on the per task basis it might be more
expensive. Yeah, I mean on that's still it's generally not. Okay. But on
specific tasks you can get you know if you have low thinking models,
low thinking mode on the closed source ones you can see. Okay. Well,
let's revisit John Ludig's post from 2024, May 20,
This is pre-deep Seek talking about his prediction about why the future of foundation models is closed source.
He got a lot of pushback from this because a lot of people like open source models, but he laid out a
thesis around closed data, close source data, flywheels, exponential CAPEX, intensity of training.
And he said open source will have a home wherever smaller, less capable and configurable models are needed.
enterprise workloads, for example. But the bulk of the value creation and capture in AI will happen
using frontier capabilities. The impulse to release open source models makes sense as a free
marketing strategy and as a path to commoditize your compliments. But open source model providers will
lose the capital expenditure war as open source ROI continues to decline. And that was the thesis
around the time that the open source AI discussion was primarily driven by Mark Zuckerberg's work
at Meta on the Lama family of models. The idea was that meta would benefit from attracting
talent. It was good marketing. It told the story that meta has an AI story and has AI talent
in-house. Even if they weren't monetizing it and sharing, you know, a really fast takeoff
in ARR around those models, it showed that, hey, they're able to develop these models and that might
help them cut their costs in the long term. Very interesting that that wound up being very different
in 2026, looking at the news today, which we'll go into about them spending a lot on Gemini.
There's been reports about them spending a lot with other close source frontier labs that
they should have commoditized with their open source plan.
But nonetheless, that was the idea with meta.
But then China sort of woke up and the deep seeks and deep seeks launch at the start of 2025.
And the game theory became way more complicated.
So George Hatz sort of sum this up nicely.
He has a take in AI will.
be massively deflationary a post from just a few weeks ago as to why China benefits from
investing in open source more than American firms. He says, this explains why the Chinese are
giving the much more moderate resources to train models away for free. They love to see
deflationary economics in the U.S. It is not, it is much less of a service-based economy.
And so if they can go and give away free tools that deflate the value of the service sector,
that is an advantage to the Chinese economy in his formulation.
He says, even if you don't regulatory capture the U.S. government, nobody is getting a monopoly on AI.
We don't live in a unipolar world anymore.
And so he compares what's happening in, he likens what's happening in D.C.
to sort of rearranging deck chairs on the Titanic.
It's a very fun, fun maze.
But so we're back to this discussion of what are the consequences and the impacts of open source.
models, particularly in the United States. And there's been this clip that's resurfacing from Dario
Amadeh when he was testifying in front of Congress in 2023, and it's now recirculating, and it was
reposted like he just said it, and he did not. So be clear about that. This is from three years ago,
but some of his predictions were very prescient as of where the frontier is today. So he said,
I'm very concerned about where things are going. If we talk about two to three years for the frontier
models for the bio risks. It's sort of a bad transcription of what he was saying. But he's talking
about 2025, 2026. Remember he was saying this in 2023. We're there now. I think the path that things
are going in terms of the scaling of the open source models, I think it's going down a very dangerous
path. And again, if the path continues, I think we could get to a very dangerous place. So he was worried
about cybersecurity and bio risks being open sourced and then not having a,
counterweight to that. Now, the good news is that we've talked to the CEOs of cybersecurity firms
like CrowdStrike and Palo Alto Networks, and they've been working with Mythos and GPT 5.5
cyber for months now to harden systems from LLM-driven attacks. And so there's still this gap
between closed source and open source models, and that gap allows white hat hackers to implement
fixes before black hat hackers have a chance to exploit easy bugs. There still will be a bigger
discussion here, though, in D.C. over the next few months as the frontier models roll out,
and the gap doesn't appear to be widening at the moment, so security stances must adjust.
It's not a closed source is falling behind, so it's never going to be an issue. There will be
this gap and how the American cybersecurity industry and eventually the biosecurity industry
implements changes and fixes before open source catches up or commoditizes and makes that particular
capability widely available is going to continue.
you to be important. So let's go over to Tyler's quick review of GLM 5.2. Why don't you take me through
your bullet points that we shared in the newsletter at TBPN.com? And you can tell us, like,
what is the shape of this model? How are the reviews? Yeah. So I think so far, one of the main
things is like people are saying it's, oh, it's distilled, right? This has been a big thing with
a lot of these open source models, especially the Chinese ones. Oh, the only reason that they're good
is because they're distilled. It's very hard to actually figure out how true this is. But people are,
You know, it certainly seems like there's some, you know, aspects of anthropic models.
Didn't Anthropic openly accuse Alibaba of distilling?
Yes, a number of these labs.
Yeah, and there's also been a big, like, professionalization of the gray market where
a whole bunch of different sort of individual groups will connect a whole bunch of different entities and user accounts and subscriptions and APIs to then,
create a front end to like the model that can be served at a very high rate through a VPN, most likely.
What's interesting is that you'd think that if you were going to do a training run,
you would just find and replace some other lab's name before you hit run.
Is that not something people can do?
I don't understand.
Yeah, I mean, it also depends on what you're actually, like maybe you're not directly distilling on the API,
but you know, you're turning on, you know, public GitHub, you know, repos.
And those were all used, those were all, you know, made with resource models.
Yeah.
You're kind of like distilling, but it's not really like, is this really kind of as distilling?
I don't know.
Yeah.
But so if you are like, if you're convinced that these are like super distilled,
the only reason that they're good is because they're just, you know,
basically taking the closed sourced, like labs.
There's also this weird thing with distilling where as more and more of the public internet
and GitHub broadly.
and open source repos become LLM outputs.
If you train on that, you are in some ways distilling
because an LLM has a quirk, like it's not this,
it's that in text, and you wind up training
on a whole bunch of Amazon Kindle books,
you're gonna wind up learning, it's not this, it's that.
And the same thing applies for different code conventions
in open source repos that have effectively been
completely been rewritten by closed source models.
Yeah, and so I think it's safe to say that like,
we've generally seen that distilled models generally will generalize worse.
So you'll see really good benchmark scores.
Maybe they're benchmacks, maybe they're not.
But even if they're not directly benchmarks,
you still find that they generally.
Yeah, they're kind of accidentally bench maxing.
Yeah.
So I think initially you should just be a little bit suspicious
of these super high benchmark scores.
Yeah.
But they lack that big model genesisqua.
Yeah, and this is like anecdotally reinforced.
A bunch of people have been saying, you know,
for coding these models,
are really great. GLM, it's a very good model, you know, for creative writing or something like this.
Where you'd imagine it's a bit harder to kind of benchmax this.
They'll perform a bit worse.
Yeah.
I wonder, have people been testing it with the like Tiananmen Square bench?
Like, does it reject that stuff?
Because it felt like that was something that was like widely misunderstood by American audiences.
That, in fact, that might not be the biggest deal for the CCP anymore.
Yeah, also, I think, you know, even if that's true, like,
the model is open source, you can kind of just fine tune it to like, sure, not bad.
Maybe it's a bit harder than that, but I think you can kind of get around like that kind of stuff.
Okay, yeah.
So we talked about the token, hunger, and the API price.
And in general, I mean, you said, I'm not convinced that there's a big market for this class of model,
especially as frontier models get more efficient.
If you look at OpenRouter, the most used models are the smallest open source models,
presumably being used for specific tasks that need to be repeated over and over.
against.
Yes, I think what we've seen is, you know, like, a marginal IQ point of the models
is, like, extremely expensive.
Frontier models are getting very expensive.
People have to cut back, you know, their token maxing.
This is like a massive bill on their balance sheet or whatever.
I think, like, it seems like there's now basically like two classes of models that people
really use.
There's like the frontier ones, and they're using coding agents.
They need the best thing.
if you're doing cyber, like, you just need the best model,
because the risk of someone hacking you,
it's so great, you just need the best thing,
you pay whatever it is.
And then there's the second class,
which is like these very small, very fast,
very cheap models that you can use
for these kind of point solution things.
Maybe you have some orchestration
where using a really big model
to have these little agents using these very cheap models.
I think in the middle, it's hard to actually figure out
what is the real use case.
Maybe it's like hobbyists using these,
coding agents and they don't want to pay the super expensive tokens of the closed source labs.
But generally, and you see this on OpenRouter where, like, what are the top models by token
like usage? It's these very small models. It's like, you know, deep seek flash. Yeah, because you're
spamming them for like, you know, every receipt that goes into ramp gets processed by an LLM at this
point. Does it need to be a frontier model telling me that I spent $10 on a coffee? No. Yeah. It can
just do standard OCR.
That would be my preference.
Yeah, you want super intelligence overseeing your expenses, most likely.
But no, you use the right tool for the job, and that's clearly what's happening on
it.
Yeah.
But also, I think it is a very good model, right?
Like, we should not fully dismiss.
I think the idea that, oh, the gap is widening, we really don't have to worry about
these models.
I think they are like very good.
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
And maybe if you're super worried about distillation, maybe something changes if the models are,
you know, kept to these people.
big partners, right?
Like what we've seen recently with government coming in.
But I think we can't really fully dismiss these labs.
Yeah, it throws a little bit of a wrench in the, like the monetization potential,
like how long can you monetize a new frontier model?
That's more tricky.
And then the other one is just like if you're going to keep a model behind KYC
or behind an approval for specific companies like the government has been
sort of edging towards and moving towards, it gets a little bit tricky if all of a sudden
you just wait three months and, oh, I was waiting to get approved for this one for like
GPD 7 or whatever, but by the time I, the government got back to me, my company got access to
GLM6 and it's close enough. And so that in that just throws another wrench that I think the government
we'll have to figure out how it puzzles together with the rest of the strategy, which has been, yeah, back and forth, as always.
Anyway, let me tell you about Shopify.
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Google, caps, meta's Gemini use as AI demand strains capacity in the financial time.
Surging appetite for advanced models is turning computing power into the tech industry's scarcest.
commodity and they have a picture here of a Google Gemini bicycle which looks fantastic.
What does that have to do with meta though? I think that was just the best Google Gemini
picture. It is hard. Otherwise it's just a picture of a phone screen you saw in the z.a.i.
It's just a picture of the app which is like so boring. Imagine writing this or it's the stock
image of the brain with the neurons. That's always good. What do you think, I mean this this kind of ad placement
like on a, what do you actually call this?
It blocks the water.
No, no, no, no.
Just the part that blocks water from, you know, if you were to ride this bike.
Yeah, some type of fender thing.
Sort of like a Mansori kit for a city bike.
Exactly, exactly.
But imagine riding that, that Gemini bicycle in the rain.
Fantastic.
Google has put.
Oh, that's what it's for.
So the water doesn't come up and splat you.
Interesting.
Okay, I never knew that.
You never knew that.
No.
This is.
Educational.
The experience of hosting the show is educational for both of us. Google has put limits on meta's use of its Gemini AI models after the social media giant sop more computing capacity than the rival tech group could provide in the latest evidence of the infrastructure constraints facing even the world's largest AI providers. Google told Met around March that it could not provide all of the Gemini capacity the company wanted to purchase, according to three people familiar with the matter. In a move that has disrupted and delayed some of the
of meta's internal AI projects.
So how much should we...
Yeah, yeah.
So one...
Google spent $200 billion on CAPEX.
Okay, so of course, like this, around this time,
token maxing was becoming a thing,
a lot of every company in the world,
at least every tech company in the world,
kind of going a little bit of crazy
from the spending standpoint.
And so, you know, I could see meta going
and like wanting to basically buy a bunch of capacity
and then being told, like, hey, we can't fulfill that.
But I'm wondering how much more we should read it, like, read.
Like, is it worth reading?
I mean, it sounds extremely bullish for Google.
Like, if they're at a capacity, like that's insane.
This tracks with what they talk about on earnings calls.
Yeah, yeah.
Yeah, Google Cloud.
But you do have to wonder, like, could distillation be part of this?
this story is that, could that be a factor here?
I have no idea.
I don't know.
Zero Hedge said meta puts limits on Claude and Koddx fearing distillation, the information.
But so this story is different.
This is meta telling its own employees don't use Claude and Codex in certain parts and certain parts of our business because we don't want, we don't want to accidentally do distillation is what is what meta is saying.
So that's, that's different.
I was wondering, like, is Google thinking like, whoa, that's a lot of, you know, cool it, you know?
Owing to the restrictions, which remain in place as well as a broader push to streamline AI costs,
meta has encouraged staff to be more efficient with AI tokens.
Several other Google clients have been affected by the restrictions, although to a lesser extent,
meta has been particularly impacted because of its exceptionally high demand for Google's models.
Interesting.
Very interesting.
I would love to.
I would love to see a pie chart, like, breaking down what all the different ways they're using Gemini in their business, because Google has not broken out Gemini revenue, like, at all to date.
So we have no idea what percentage of their AI revenue is, like, actually spend on Gemini versus other models.
And, like, the Gemini tokens broadly go into AI search overviews, so that's a search product, probably insane.
token demand there, right? You've seen the chart of like they're in the quintillion or quadrillion
tokens category. And then you have, and then you have YouTube now has Gemini plugged in and you can
chat with any video and transcribe it. That's got to be incredibly token heavy. And then you have
Gemini app users and free users and paid users. So there's, there's got to be a lot of just Gemini
internal usage, but it's remarkable, yeah, I would love to see that meta pie chart of, because
I thought that they were spending a ton with Anthropic, I thought they were spending a ton
with Google, but I also assumed that they would be running a bunch of Lama workloads and a bunch
of Muse Spark workloads because those models have performed well at various points in time.
And if you go into the meta app, you now have access to Muse Spark.
And if you go into Instagram and you search for something, it pop-it populates it with a,
with a llama like llama four result and so I would imagine that even though that product is not
broken through like crazy I would imagine that it's still generating a lot of tokens just
because of the scale of Instagram like Instagram has a billion two billion users
something like that it's huge and so even if it's people sort of you know
accidentally winding up in an LLM powered workflow it probably is generating a lot of
just because of the scale of that of that system.
On the topic of meta,
meta shared this morning a new milestone.
It is a mind reader.
Mind reader.
Non-invasive brain detects decoder research,
brain to cordi v2,
building on V1,
which was published today in nature.
Brain 2 Cori v2
is the highest performing end-to-end pipeline
capable of real-time sentence
decoding from raw brain signals
advances beyond character level performance to decoding words and semantics enabling accuracy
for overall communication.
So if you thought, you know, Instagram was listening to you.
If you thought I was listening to your, you know, conversations, now you can have a, you know,
new conspiracy at home, which is that they might be just listening to your thoughts.
Do you know, do you know the device?
They say this is a non-invasive device.
I just shared an image of this device.
I want you to tell me,
do you consider this non-invasive or invasive?
Look at this image of the Magneto Encelof graphi device.
No, you got to go high.
You need to scroll up a little bit because you can't even see the whole thing here.
It's not invasive.
Because it looks like the device could actually potentially carry on for like a whole half of football.
It really does seem like it's a whole thing.
Just put yourself in this in this room-sized device.
No, of course this is shrink down.
I'm giving him, I'm giving him credit here.
Non-invasive.
Okay.
As long as he.
You're putting this thing on?
You're daily driving this thing.
I don't know if I'm ready to daily it.
I don't know if I'm ready to daily it.
Yeah.
This will be a cool demo.
Yeah.
Like this will actually when when when you can just walk in, sit down in a chair and see
your thoughts on a screen. No, we were debating it earlier. My buddy, Rob Tiv, been on the show twice.
Dropped five predictions in Forbes recently. We can go through them at some point. He's going to
come on the show. But four of the five were very, very, like, reasonable, you know,
Anthropics are going to be bigger and, you know, TSM is going to face more competition. And then
he predicts that in 2030, telepathy will be commonplace, which is a very aggressive prediction in my
in my estimation, you know, it's certainly not like a, like a straight trend line since like, you know, like TSM has competitors right now.
The prediction is just that there will be more competition.
But truthfully, telepathy is not really exist outside of like a few demos like this.
It's not, it's not really something where it's like, oh yeah, like 5% of people have the meta raybans that take pictures.
So like face cameras are going to be bigger in five years.
And it's actually only three and a half years until 20, 30, which is sort of crazy to say.
But we are getting quickly to the future, to the future.
Never sell your company.
Should you ever sell your company?
David Center says no.
He says the best founders in the world would never sell their company.
You could never require Elon, Bezos, Zuck, Jobs, Ellison, Jensen, Dell, Page and Brin.
Scott Wu has turned down billions and keep saying no.
This is a great clip.
went super viral.
I don't know.
Did I lose internet or something?
I don't know.
Anyway.
Tyler's app is in shambles.
I don't know about that.
But there's some debate over this because Elon.
That's not my app.
Elon,
yeah,
this is just X.
Elon did sell two companies.
He sold Zip 2 and he also sold PayPal.
And then Jobs sold next back to Apple.
Does that count?
I don't know.
He did sell Pixar.
to Disney, that sort of counts.
And I mean,
Elon never sells his company. He just sold
X-A-I to himself,
but I guess that doesn't count.
But yes, it is, it is a funny
thing. Didn't
Mark Henson push back on this?
Yeah, so what is, what's the, do you know the
backstory here from Sasha?
I don't know. Tyler
looked it up. Apparently there's a business insider
report from the time that this
happened in 2007, how
Terry Semmel fumbled Yahoo's
Facebook deal. How much is Facebook worth? Five billion, 10 billion, 15 billion, whatever the number.
It's probably a lot more than the one billion that Yahoo could have bought it for a year ago.
As Yahoo continues its soul searching, here's an unpleasant rendition of Semmel's catastrophic
decision, courtesy of Wired. When Yahoo came calling with a bid of $1 billion in cash, the pressure
became too much. Zuck relented in July of 2006. He was just like,
18 months into building the company, something like that.
Verbly agreeing to sell Facebook to Yahoo, he said yes.
He said he was going to sell Facebook to Yahoo, allegedly.
Strategically, it seemed like a good match.
Yahoo had hundreds of millions of users, but its foray into social networking was struggling.
Facebook had cool tools and was looking for a mass audience.
The timing, however, could not have been worse.
In the days after Zuckerberg agreed to sell, Yahoo announced it was projecting
slower sales and earnings growth and that the launch of its new advertising platform would be delayed.
Its stock price tumbled 22% overnight. Terry Semmel, Yahoo's CEO at the time, reacted by cutting
his offer from $1 billion to $800 million. He just took 20% off, but Zuckerberg, who had been
warned about Semmel's reputation for last minute, renegotiations walked away. And that's probably
reasonable. I mean, if they're cutting the price there, you have to imagine that as it gets
papered, you get cut down again, then the earn out, you get cut down again, and all of a sudden,
you're walking away with barely anything. But two months later, Semmel reissued the original
$1 billion bid, but by then Zuckerberg had convinced his board and executive team that Yahoo wasn't
a serious partner and that Facebook would be worth more on its own. He rejected the offer and became
famous as the cocky youngster who turned down $1 billion from Wired.
Legendary. Legendary. It's so interesting to imagine
and the road not traveled there?
Because the dynamic, the way Facebook is built
with the, as a social network,
like could it have been successful
under Yahoo's stewardship?
Or would it have been less exciting,
attract less talent, ultimately been disrupted?
And would they have had the capital
and the guts to go and buy WhatsApp
and then also buy Instagram, you know,
to actually actually,
maintain the dominant position in social networking. What do you think? I think Yahoo should make
another offer. We were hanging out with Jim CEO last week, dear friend of ours. And I would like to see,
I would like to see Yahoo make another bid. Hey, that is trading down just keeps going. If it continues
at this trend, 99.99% might be able to pick it up. At this trend. Anyway, let me tell you about MongoDB.
What's the only thing faster than the AI market? Your business.
business on MongoDB. Don't just build AI. Own the data platform that powers it. Moving on.
What else is in the news? Chip makers are profiting off AI at the expense of just about everyone else.
This is on the cover of the business and finance section today. We are witnessing an extraordinary
transfer of cash from the providers of AI and perhaps one day AI users to memory chip makers.
Take us away, John. Yeah, the explosive growth in micron technologies profit in the
latest quarter is extraordinarily good news for its shareholders, but it comes at the expense of the
artificial intelligence companies to which it sells fast memory chips. Micron, along with Korea's
Samsung Electronics and S.K. Hynix are to AI what oil producers are to the airlines, makers of an
essential input that this year suddenly became much more pricey because there is extremely
limited capacity to make the high bandwidth memory that AI needs. And it takes years. It takes years,
to build production facilities, soaring data center demand simply jacked up prices. Micron's
soaring profits are, for its customers, soaring costs. We are witnessing an enormous transfer
of cash, they said. Profit shift of this scale are rare events, and investors should be paying
attention to where the money's coming from, where it's being spent and how long it will
keep flowing. In the quarter ended May 28th, Micron increased prices for DRAM chips more than 60%
on the previous three months, while increasing shipments by a low single-digit percentage.
It said last week, prices for NAN Flash memory also used in data centers jumped more than 80%.
Usually memory doesn't matter that much, but for Micron, customers paid $18 billion more,
and that was just in the quarter.
Price has quadrupled in a year, and it's hurting outside AI to Apple last week,
raised prices for MacBooks more than 15% closer to home, closer to home for me,
the memory I bought on Amazon.com a year ago to build a super quiet computer.
I hate fan noise.
Good color commentary here has tripled in price and now costs more than the CPU.
For an industry in which prices usually drop every year, it's a huge turnaround.
And consumer electronics passing on higher prices helps limit demand for chips just as higher
oil prices reduce consumption.
But the AI companies aren't passing on higher prices because they are able to throw money
at supply problems.
The problem in AI is that the end users aren't covering the cost of the service with big losses being recorded by AI model producers.
Everything is still priced to bring in new customers, yet not yet to make money.
So higher input costs create a nasty problem.
Either losses will either be bigger or higher prices will be needed putting off potential customers.
And you can see the price of Microns.
Stock price has been through the roof as the company joins the $1 trillion club and becomes the first,
trillion dollar company in
headquartered in Boise, Idaho.
And
Idaho got a trillion dollar
company before New York, I believe,
and also before Florida
and Austin, maybe, something like that.
It's rare. It's rare.
Crazy, crazy, magy.
Mostly on the West Coast.
Anyway,
there's a whole bunch
of bull cases for Micron. Still, the stock
could double from here, says Barrens.
I love Adam Levine and Barron's
sharing the bull case.
Tyler, how many trillion-dollar companies are there in Europe out of curiosity?
I'm going to go with zero.
That's true.
That is true.
You are correct.
The other-
Asimel could get there.
Maybe.
Sitting at around 700.
Wait, what about Eli Lilly?
Or no, Novo.
Novo was a trillion, right?
Or did it ever touch a trillion?
I don't think so, right?
It was real close.
It's a humble 165 million.
Brutal.
Wait, but what did it peak at?
You're thinking of Eli Lilly.
Eli Lilly hit a trillion.
Yeah, rough.
Very, very rough.
Comcast is planning to split up the company.
Competition is escalated.
Eli Lilly, the Indiana company, John.
Is it from Indiana?
Indiana.
Former Indiana startup.
Okay.
I like it.
I like it.
NBC Universal and Sky will separate the company's connectivity business
from its film, theme park, and streaming operations.
Oh yeah, Universal Studios.
Comcast is up on the news.
Comcast plans to separate its media and connectivity businesses.
Who's building the and a role of theme parks?
It does seem like a...
Could there not be an opportunity to create a net new theme park business with modern technology stack?
It's very expensive.
Everything needs to be...
Like, the modern technology stack in parks is tricky.
Oh, it's expensive.
You don't believe in...
in the theme park capital markets.
I don't know.
I know I've known people that have worked on theme parks at Disney and
it's tricky because you you have to amortize a ride over like 20 years.
And so you'll go.
It seems like an absolutely brutal business.
Yeah.
That is probably harder today because, I mean, think about, you know,
at the time that a lot of these parks were built, like you didn't have like infinite online
entertainment for every single sub niche instantly available.
I mean, there's a whole bunch of trend pieces right now about how IRL experiences are seeing
higher than ever pricing in the face of.
You could just watch the Knicks game on TikTok highlights, but people still forked over
$5,000 to go see the game.
And so, you know, you have that like barbell strategy where Thrive is buying a stake in the San
Francisco Giants, a baseball team that should face competition.
They're also exploring the NBA team to Vegas.
But at the same time, John, there is a maybe an opportunity.
There's also that came out this morning or maybe yesterday that there's more sports betting
volume than all sales of movie tickets, eaters, theme parks, and like a couple other
these IRL categories.
Is up or down?
Less lower?
less.
And the stat was like volume.
Yeah, yeah.
And so it's not exactly like a proxy for like revenue, but still meaningful.
Theme park, vertically integrated, Tweety Bird tattoos, Tweety Bird Tattoo Parlor right on site.
I like it.
I like it.
I like it.
I like it.
Six Flags never really got the same.
cultural power that Disneyland did.
There's something about the flywheel that Walt Disney laid out that does seem very, very
important.
And so how do you start that?
It's not just, you know, tech-enabled theme park.
That's not going to draw people in.
You need to have, like, IP around it.
Brain rot theme park.
There's something about, I mean, we've read stories about like the Disneyland fan that saves
up every year and spends so much money at the park.
And I think that's probably the lifeblood of.
that business and that doesn't happen without building a whole cinematic universe around every single ride and that just takes so much time and you can't like this is this goes back to the question of like Netflix is enduring IP like they don't they they haven't been able to like even though it's been 20 years of like I mean I don't know when they started producing their own content but it's been 20 years for that business at least and they haven't really developed like their own franchise that lives in the same world as Batman
Well, I'd push back and say that Narcos.
Narkos? You want to go to the Narcos theme park?
I was talking about this with somebody once talking about, like, HBO, like, why don't they have a theme park?
And it was like, what are you going to do?
Take your kids to a brothel in Game of Thronesland?
Like, no, it doesn't make any sense.
Like, anything, like, it needs to be uniquely general audience.
Like, you can't have R-rated, you can't have a content backbone that's R-rated because theme parks will always attract families and kids.
And so anyone, you can't have any theme park that's built around an R-rated IP library.
And so that just narrows it down even further.
Well, all of America's basically turned into a theme park for European soccer fans.
Oh, yeah.
In the journal, European soccer fans marvel at the splendor of America's suburbs.
I've been having, you've been...
So many of these reels serve to me.
Dutch fans in Missouri, see.
nation that is risky and expensive, but vast and bountiful.
Everything is three times the size.
You've been seeing some of these people in real life, right?
I don't know if I've seen any of them.
I did go out to lunch like a week ago, and it seemed crowded, but I was unclear if that was
just local residents going out to watch the games or actual tourists coming to town to
watch the news.
Gabe, in the X chat.
I think Ferrari has a roller coaster in the Middle East.
No way.
Do they have a whole Ferrari theme park in Abu Dhabi.
Because that's not R-rated.
You can totally take your kids to the Ferrari theme park.
Yeah, I was in Abu Dhabi and I was driving by it and I was like, yeah, I was just thinking of like if you wanted to spend a day, you know, getting the Ferrari experience.
Like you could just go to the track.
Yeah.
Or you could just rent a Ferrari.
So I don't know.
Yeah, but you don't need to go to six flags to get the Batman experience.
You can just go out in the middle of the night and arrest a criminal.
Just become a vigilante.
I saw another report that apparently there's like an individual who's being like the Batman of Mexico.
Do you guys see this?
This is very funny.
And so the guy went out and found criminals.
To Velapar says, Yass Island.
They literally named an island.
Yoss?
Weird.
No.
Okay.
I don't know.
Anyway.
Dutch soccer fans are having fun, visiting America.
Frank Everink, he hadn't even heard of Kansas City, but when the Dutch soccer fanatic
saw his team would be playing along the border of Missouri and Kansas.
He made a detour in his worldwide road trip.
Evering got in his camper van and drove south from Toronto,
making stops in Detroit, Chicago, and Indianapolis.
Along the way, he and other European fans who flocked to.
Kansas City for the World Cup, beheld the fruits of the American economy from a vantage point.
Few foreign tourists typically see suburban super stores, hulking plates of food, quiet streets.
He marveled at the sprawling houses and a contrast from the tightly packed homes of the Netherlands.
I did notice this when we were in France.
The food portions were way too small for me.
It was brutal.
It's spacious, he said.
You go here for your shopping and there for your dentist.
People are so rich here.
I think that's why they can be so nice.
What an ultimate white pill in America.
In America, everyone's like,
and we're so divided and everyone hates each other,
and it's terrible, and the economy's about to fall apart.
And then one European tourist comes like,
this is paradise.
Something about the grass.
The grass is always greener, right?
The grass is always greener on whatever side I'm on.
That's what I like to say.
The throngs of Dutch fans that flooded Kansas City
and its suburbs this past week got a taste of data
today life in the United States, reigniting the long-running transatlantic debate.
Who lives better? Americans or Europeans? The Europeans had plenty of thoughts on American culture.
We are a bit shocked about the food you're eating. The Dutch national team superfan, Sandra Tate
said. Fans also balked at the size of Costco's and the vastness of the highways. In recent days,
social media has been filled with videos of Europeans gawking at the staples of suburban life,
a two-car garage, a walk-in closet, a second refrigerator.
One Brit went viral for trying Chick-fil-A for the first time.
That was absolutely banging, he said.
In another, he toured the inside of an American fire station.
The way that they experienced a Chick-fil-A was me seeing the Renault twizzie.
Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah.
This is unbelievable.
They made the perfect car.
Yeah, so small, so small.
And it's the way they think about our fire.
trucks, but which are massive. This is nuts, honestly, they said. Tyler, while we wait for our
first guest, do you know anything about Bosnia's World Cup team? We, the United States is facing
them on Wednesday. Do you have a stat breakdown or anything? We, be very careful with what
you said because I saw that there was a news reporter who faced fierce backlash for, uh,
really calling Bosnia out and saying like, I don't know where it is on a map. And the funny thing
was that it was delivered in like the typical newscaster.
Like, and I'm here reporting on the ground and tonight,
but Bosnia will be playing.
And then she just like transitions into color commentary,
giving hot takes about how irrelevant Bosnia is in her mind.
And the Bosnians did not enjoy her critique of their country.
Pure disrespect.
Anyway, there's a little golf cart.
We got to talk about this at some point, but there's a new car.
It's like a Twizzy.
You're going to love it.
It's close.
It's 25 days.
It's no Twizzie.
It's no Twizzies.
Anyway, let's bring in our first.
From the National Design Studio.
From the National Design Studio.
Welcome to the show, gentlemen.
How are you doing?
Thank you so much for coming on the show.
Please start with an introduction of yourselves, the company, and then the announcement today.
My name is Edward Corvstein, and I run engineering a National Science Studio.
It's technically not a company.
It's a government organization.
Oh, yeah.
That's right.
Sorry.
And I'm Ty Groot.
I'm one of the engineers at National Design Studio.
Okay.
And today, the launch, take us through it.
we're launching ramparts
to say a local first privacy model
that puts people back in control
of the data that they share with AI
we were just like
kind of building a chat bot for fun
and we were set that
none of the frontier models
will actually fit in a browser
so you cannot do PII removal
in the browser
which is pretty damn important for our use case
you just have to like you know
trust that the server is actually removing the information
and not lying to you
So we're like, okay, well, what if it was just all on device?
Like personal data never had to leave your device.
It was secure by default.
Okay.
So open source, the weights are on Hugging Face, runs in the browser under 15 megs.
A technical user could go right now, download the model from Hugging Face, vibe code their own Chrome plugin and have it be running however they want.
But how do you see this actually rolling out?
Do you want the government to implement this in various places?
Do you want companies to?
Or is it sort of like open up the primordial soup of ideas and see where it goes?
Or do you have like a rollout strategy that you are advocating for?
Well, the reason why we open sources is because we do want companies to use it.
And we want people to use it.
We want people to make it better.
So we want vibe coded Chrome plugins.
Sure.
We want, you know, vibe coded chat GPT extensions.
Like whatever value is derived from the product, you know, this is just like a total side quest for us.
We just want to build software that's helpful for the American people.
We've already launched a series of products then, like Trump or X has got 15 million users,
it's saved over $500 million in drug costs.
And, you know, we rethought the UX there.
So we're, you know, basically across everything we're working on,
we're just trying to find the first principles best approach for users.
Yeah.
And this just came as a derivative of that.
We're not M. Bell, you know, researchers or engineers.
We're just like, you know, we should just do this.
But you created PIII super intelligence.
That's what people are, that's what people are saying on the line.
It's like tiny intelligence.
It's like it's by far the smallest model.
Like the other ones are like at least 50 megabytes.
This is 15.
Yeah.
So did you like, did you, to what degree did you build on the shoulders of giants?
Is this some pruned and distilled?
and fine-tuned open source model?
Is this something where it was easier
to just start from scratch,
but use architectures
that are more prevalent and well-established?
How did you actually go about training this model?
We tried 72 different base models.
And, you know, put them through a training set.
We ended up on mini-l-LM,
so we definitely are standing on the shoulders
of giants here.
Yeah.
Yeah, yes.
We started taking a look at the open-A privacy filter
that just got released recently.
Yeah.
we're trying to figure out is there a way we can just quantize it can we maybe remove some of the
parameters like what what can we do here to try to make use of like the state of the art model
and um we tried a lot of things we just could not get it to fit into you know we want this to work on
like legacy devices um on an old android phone for example or an older iOS device and it just
would not get small enough and still make any intelligent sense to try to actually run it so
yeah we ended up uh essentially uh it's
Secondly, a fine tune, but we trained many LM and basically made it do exactly what we wanted to do.
Can you help me understand use cases a little bit more?
Because I feel like most of the time when I'm transmitting a document to a prescription website, RX, or a financial institution, the PII is like the potentially the only important part.
They're often sending me a blank form and asking me to put my PII in there.
What is the inverse scenario where I want to redact my information, but I still need to transfer something because in most cases, that would just be the template or something in my estimation?
Yeah, the flag is set at compile time so you can decide like, for our use case, it's really important that we have this data or that we don't have this data.
And so we hand all the customization back to whoever wants to use the library.
The model just says, oh, you know, this is a phone number, this is a name.
This is a surname, et cetera, et cetera.
And then ultimately, it's, it's, you know, whatever you want to do with the model, you can just do it.
Fundamentally, what we were looking at was there are a lot of cases where people will ask a question pertaining to a document of like, okay, for example, with the template, how do I fill out said template?
Because, you know, the government is pretty bad with forms.
There's like way too many forms.
Nobody knows all they mean.
Like, you're going to pay people to do your government forms.
Yeah.
So that was the use case we had in mind.
PII is like not super helpful for that.
And it's also kind of like the breaking point.
It's where the product will lose trust.
So we're like, okay, two birds, one stone.
Let's pull this thing.
That makes sense.
How do you guys, how do you guys think about side quests at the National Design
Studio in general?
Like I imagine every single day, there's opportunities that come up and you guys are
in a unique situation where you have a mandate, you have a mandate, but at the same time,
There's so many different places that the government interacts with people's lives.
I'm very curious.
It's pretty hard to pick what to work on because there's a lot of exciting things.
Everything is huge scale.
Everything could be way better.
Maybe not everything, but a lot of things.
So there's like a huge calling for side quests.
But we just try to keep everything along with our vision, which is like we want to make the American digital experience
better. And then we've kind of chosen a track to get there and on the way we built this model and
on the way we built Trump or X. But we're excited to see develops here and you're going back on the
show. Yeah. Diving more into that, do you have a reference point in tech? People might ship,
you know, they might think in quarters, financial quarters, three month cycles. They also might think
about a two pizza team, which I think is like 10 people. Do you have an idea of,
of where the sweet spot is from what you've experimented on how many people do you want to bring into a project?
And then how long do you want to spend there so you don't get stuck for a decade?
Because you might not have a decade.
Yeah.
I mean, there's definitely a lot of places to get stuck because the visibility is super low in a lot of these projects.
You don't know how broken they are until you're like you're really in it.
Sure.
But, you know, being able to determine that in advance is like, it's definitely, you know, AGI level.
Yeah.
We've got a really great team.
We're very fluid.
We're constantly trading responsibilities back and forth.
Someone might be better at doing one part of the text attack than somebody else,
but they're on a different project.
We'll just borrow them for a day, or even for an hour.
We share a lot of responsibility at the studio.
This is also definitely the only place in the government where people will work seven days a week.
It's consumed, you know, on Red Bulls.
I think the ideal amount of people per project, if they work super hard, is two.
Really?
Like, one design person, one engineer, and they both have, like, you know, full scope,
and then they're able to call on people as necessary.
Yeah, yeah, two with the caveat of you're calling in your co-workers, say, hey, can take a look at this over my shoulder quite frequently.
Yeah, that makes sense.
What's your guys' pitch to talent that you might want to recruit into?
the National Design Studio. I imagine
lots of people that would join, could get
a blank check from a venture fund
or could go work at some of the best companies.
I think everyone that has points.
You know, that's the case where I'm turned on that off.
It's definitely more for people who are
supervision-oriented.
You know, who the hell
like what great engineer wants to come work
in the government? You know, the answer is typically nobody.
Unless it's, you know, like the I-C
where there's really interesting problems
solve.
So I think that we have
like a super golden opportunity.
At least the way I evaluate problems,
I try to see how big
the problem is in terms of like how many people will use it.
The delta between what exists
versus what our team can do and how fast we can do it.
When you look across those three matrices,
it's like a home run place to work.
So I think that is its own natural kind of calling card
for the right kind of talent meeting for the studio.
Awesome.
Good luck, folks.
complex too. It's also a huge benefit. It's pretty sick. Awesome. Where is that is that where you guys are
right now? We're not there right now, but we're about to be there. Yeah. Awesome. All right. Well,
congratulations on the launch. Congratulations. Very fun project. And we'll talk to you soon.
Great to me. Have a good rest of the day. Goodbye. Thank you very much. Cheers.
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CrowdStrike secures AI and stops breaches. So Apple and Audi alumni.
just unveiled a $25,000 open-air electric neighborhood vehicle.
It's called the Amble One, and it's a street legal EV built for short local trips,
no doors, fewer screens, modular design inspired by the 1960s lunar rover,
goes 40 miles an hour with 60 miles of range, weighs under 1,000 pounds, takes five hours to charge,
rear seats fold flat for cargo, surfboards or gear,
built-in mounts let you add baskets, straps, mirrors, cargo accessories.
Already has 500 vehicles committed.
I love it.
You love it.
I love it.
I think it's great.
I've been surprised.
Give it a Geordy score.
A Jordy score.
Daily, weekend, you know, the Doug score.
Out of 100.
What do you do?
So, I mean, I just went through this whole crazy search for basically this exact vehicle.
Yeah.
Didn't find it.
I don't like the aesthetics of golf carts.
I've driven a lot of golf carts.
in a commercial capacity at a job in college.
I've, you know, owned a golf cart.
I, I, it's, in my experience, it's impossible to feel cool while driving a golf cart.
So I wanted something like a golf cart that was more like not, you know, I'm not golfing.
So I wanted some like, a little bit of utility, wanted to be fun, et cetera.
I landed on a canam HD-11, you know, a UTV.
It's gas powered.
It's quite fun.
But the gas element is actually kind of annoying,
even as a ice, you know, defender.
That is the internal combustion engine.
But I think this is, no, I think this is fantastic.
And I think that, I think I, I think I,
saw somewhere that they're going to focus on more commercial opportunities. So going to hotels all
over the world. That's what Justin says here. It says this little golf cart is going to be huge for
hospitality, all electric, $25,000. How does that comp against, if you're a business and is it really going to
move the needle on the customer experience to have this versus just a golf cart? Can you get a fleet of
golf carts for a discount? I mean, what is it? Like a golf cart is going to come. A golf cart is going to
I'm in at like 13-ish grand.
So, I mean, and it depends.
There's commercial golf cards.
Maybe you get bulk deals, something like that.
But, no, I think this is going to be great.
I think it's going to be in a nice amenity on hotel properties around the world.
Ryan Dahini says he thinks it'll be a hit in hospitality since Moak caps sales at 500 units a year.
I did not know that.
That's interesting.
But I think this is going to be a hit.
Myers-Manks, I much, I still much prefer the sort of aesthetics of the Myers-Manks, you know,
the sort of more like dune buggy style there coming out with an EV that I'm very excited about.
But I think this is great.
I'm excited to have more people building cars for recreation.
And I talked to Riley Brennan, who is the GP over at Trucks VC.
they just invest in like automotive
startups
and so we're working to get the
Amble team on the show
ASAP hopefully this week
very fun
there's a good quote
from Roger Ebert
the famous movie reviewer
that we got to share all the team loves
Robert Roger Ebert
from Cisco and Ebert back in the day
anime outsider
says I don't care what he thinks about video games
Roger Ebert had the ultimate red pill
on nerd culture as a whole.
This basically describes every fandom on earth.
And once you see it, you can never unsee it.
He says a lot of fans are basically fans of fandom itself.
It's all about them.
They have mastered the Star Wars or Star Trek universes or whatever,
but their objects of veneration are useful,
mainly as a backdrop to their own devotion.
Anyone who would camp out in a tent on the sidewalk for weeks
in order to be first in line for a movie
is more into camping on sidewalks than movies.
extreme fandom may serve as a security blanket for the socially inept who use its extreme structure as a substitute for social skills.
If you are a Luke Skywalker and she is a Princess Leia, you already know what to say to each other, which is so much safer than having to add libid.
Your fannish obsession is your beard.
If you know absolutely all the trivia about your cubbyhole of pop culture, it saves you from having to know anything about anything else.
that's why it's excruciatingly boring to talk to such people.
They're always asking you questions.
They know the answer too.
What a funny.
That's like you in your Apple Vision Pro fandom.
We're always just having a normal conversation and John will say, yeah, this would be better if we were in the dino experience.
That's true.
I'm not that much of the dino experience.
Anyway, let's bring in Chad Raghetti from...
Regetti Computing and SIGaldry.
Chad, how are you doing?
What's going on?
I'm doing great.
How are you guys doing?
We're doing fantastic.
Thank you so much for taking the time to come chat with us.
I would love to start a little bit with your background and your journey.
Of course, we're going to talk about the company today.
But if you could give us a little bit of an overview of your journey in Silicon Valley,
I think that might be informative.
There's a lot to talk about there.
And, of course, it relates to what you're doing today.
You bet.
Yeah, great to be here, guys.
I started, I got interested in quantum computing when I was a senior in college and did a PhD in this field.
And spent about three years at IBM research in the early days, you know, helping build up the quantum computing team there and then started my own company.
Those were Getty Computing in 2014.
I was introduced to Sam Altman.
And, you know, he said, we had coffee and he said, hey, well, you should do YC.
And I said, well, what's YC?
and so he explained to me what Wycombinator was
and that was the first batch after Sam had taken over
YC in 2014 and he brought in a bunch of
hard tech companies into Y Combinator for the first time
and so I got to be part of this incredible group of companies
including Helion Oclo which is now public Ginko BioWorks
Ginkgo BioWorks yeah yeah boom was a couple batches after me
but there was this cohort summer 20 but yeah so anyways
It was a fantastic experience.
End up running Rigetti for about 10 years.
We took it public in early 2020 through a SPAC transaction or the third quantum company, I think, to go public.
And so that was an incredible journey.
And, you know, so I've been in quantum computing.
I usually say in my entire adult life and in Silicon Valley for a big part of that.
But it's just a really fascinating mix.
And there's incredible people work in this area.
There's incredible technology that's being developed.
And it's going to change.
change the relationship between artificial intelligence and computing infrastructure.
And that's what we're working on at Sigel tree.
Yeah.
The journey of going public, all the market gyrations is being a public company less predictable
than venture and being private because there's still the whims of the private market, whether
you're in the hot category that year, venture investors are scrambling to get, you know,
their position built up in a particular category.
but the public market seemed like even harder to read on because you have retail investors and the stocks up and down and things can reprice on a minute to minute basis.
What was it like psychologically transitioning from private company to public company?
I think either can work.
And there's a right answer for different companies.
And you've got to ask yourself the question what you're trying to achieve.
Is it liquidity for your early investors?
Is it primarily a capital raising activity?
Sure.
Is it to provide, you know, have liquidity for your early employees, for example, with some companies where you've got a 10-year exercise window for your options.
And, you know, zooming out and the regetti kind of taking public journey, that was a point in Silicon Valley when quantum computing was growing in commercial maturation and the technology was maturing.
But a lot of the capital in the markets at that point had migrated for deep tech companies particularly just wasn't available in the private market.
So when you look at 2020 to 2022, most of that capital was actually sitting, you know, a lot of it was sitting in SPAC trusts on the public markets.
And they were in those SPACs were hungry to cut a deal.
And so a lot of companies ended up going public during this wave simply because the founders, the executive teams were making the decision that that gave them the best chance of capitalizing the business going forward.
And I think there's a right answer for different things.
And now in the past past month or so, Continuum has gone public via IPO, a tremendous company that's made great progress.
And so the quantum, you know, the public markets for quantum computing have reached a point of maturity.
There's analysts that deeply understand the technology that are writing about and covering different companies.
It's a, you know, it's a very, very interesting marketplace.
And then in terms of what it's like in the decisions that different companies have to make,
I think the key thing is to take a long-term perspective and what you're trying to accomplish.
And what kind of business are you trying to build?
What kind of cap table do you want to build?
and what strategy best suits, you know, is best going to help you achieve that.
Yeah.
What kind of feedback did you get in the early days around naming the company after yourself?
I've been surprised at more.
Yeah.
There's so many generic names in the startup world now that's like the blank company of San Francisco or things like that.
Or, you know, all the Neo Labs have like the same sounding names.
It'll be like advanced super intelligence.
And then there was a big boom like dot LY's like friendly, bit lead.
Yeah.
Musically, there were tons of companies that were dot LY for a while.
And I only know one other, I can only think of one other company, Chris Amadon's company,
as Amazon heavy industries.
It's rare.
But I'm sure people thought you were a little crazy back then.
Well, quantum was a different thing back then.
Look, I think there's two quantum companies that don't have a cue in their name.
And I started both of them.
One is Righetti and other sigildry, which is what, you know,
what I've focused on.
But I will tell you, when you think about advice for founders, when you think about naming
something and advice is worth what you pay for it, but think of a name that can become iconic.
And if you, that means it's got to sound very fresh and new and different.
And if every other corn company has a cue in it, maybe you try avoiding that.
That's what led me to Sigelry.
I love this name.
It's from a Patrick Rothfuss novel.
and he was an American writer
wrote this incredible novel
called Name of the Wind
that came out in mid-2000, 2010 or so.
Anyway, so Sigaldry is
we're building quantum accelerated
quantum accelerated AI servers
for the data center
to bring quantum technologies
directly into the data center
to act as a co-processor for the GPU
or XPU pods that have become the
unit of compute and AI infrastructure
today.
and we're based in Ann Arbor and San Francisco,
our hardware developments here in Ann Arbor, Michigan,
where it is hot and humid today.
And our AI research team is right there in downtown San Francisco.
So what actually needs to happen?
What is the path to, you know, I would imagine, like, cheaper tokens?
Like, is that the pitch?
Like, one day the tokens will be cheaper,
and we need to do X, Y, and Z to get there.
What's X, Y, and Z?
You need to, well, first of all, quantum hardware is going to address a lot of different computational challenges today, right?
So quantum computers were able to solve problems that are impossible or very challenging to solve with any form of classical computing, no matter what scale it reaches.
So Sigaldry were focused on applying that capability specifically to some of the computational challenges in AI to reduce the power and reduce the cost associated with training and deploying these models at a very large scale.
What needs to happen to get there?
well, you have to build a quantum computer that meets the specific requirements for AI workloads.
And the strategy that we're taking at Sigelry is we are very focused on deeply understanding what those challenges are,
what needs to happen inside the data center to bring these algorithms that can have a different kind of scaling complexity class than classical algorithms for AI training and inference.
And then understanding what kind of quantum hardware is needed to run those.
And what we found is there's a set of requirements that you need to meet that probably are not,
never going to be met by single modality hardware. What do I mean by that? In quantum computing
and quantum hardware, there's different kinds of cubit technologies that you can use to
instantiate the cubits. So there's superconducting cubits. That's what I did my PhD in and what
my first company was based on. That's what IBM is focused on and largely Google has been
focused on. But there's also trapped ions, quantumium and ion queue are doing trapped ions and
a long list of other companies. There's photonics. There's now neutral atoms. There's spin cubits and
semiconductors, there's all these different hardware substrates that people are using to pursue
and to build quantum computers based on those.
And what we're doing at Sigaldry is stepping up a layer and saying from a computer architecture
perspective, you know, modern computers aren't built out of one, aren't built out of one
physical kind of bit.
There's not just one transistor type that makes up these computers that we're using today
or the computers that are used to train large-scale models and deploy them.
There's a plethora of different physical technologies that are used to build these computer
systems. And so at Sigaldry, we're looking across all the different quantum modalities and hardware
types and architecting computer systems to meet the requirements of AI based on the maturing
path that all these different hardware modalities are on. And that allows us to build systems
that are specifically tailored to AI and that we believe we're going to be able to meet the
work, meet the requirements of bringing quantum into the AI data center at scale.
How important is simulation at this point? Are you at a place where you can run this like a
basically run the code of the future in simulation to understand, like run it on a classical
computer, not see the performance gains, but at least understand that when the computer,
when the quantum system is available, there will be a cost savings.
Yeah, we've been able to do that, largely speaking, and you can do simulations of something,
computer system or a jet or anything, and varying levels of physical fidelity and detail.
the simulation we've been able to do so far
indicate that we expect a level of, you know,
several orders of magnitude potential speed up
for key training tasks, right?
So this is not a factor of two or a factor of five
increase that we're targeting with quantum acceleration
inside the data center.
It's several orders of magnitude, you know,
when all the pieces come together.
But that simulation you talked about
is a really, really important and powerful part
of designing a computer system.
You can't simulate all the logic of a quantum,
a computer because that would require a quantum computer itself, kind of by definition.
But you can do load profiling.
You can do, you can do traces.
You can understand how that's going to be distributed across classical and quantum hardware
and also simulate all the networking transactions in between.
And so that's a kind of simulation-driven design approach we're taking.
Yeah.
I guess what specifically in training benefits,
from quantum computing.
Because the example that everyone goes to
in terms of quantum computing
novel
algorithms that actually have potential to do something
that a class of computer can't do, it's like Shores
algorithm, cryptography usually.
But when people
think about training AI,
they usually just think a bunch of
matrix multiplication.
Is there some different
path that you plan on taking
or do you think you can operate at sort of a hardware agnostic layer,
much like we're seeing, you know, leading AI firms get off of Kuda?
Like, is there a world where you get off of classical?
And but by and large, it's the same training paradigm.
It's really interesting.
I think the answer is both.
And so our starting point is we're looking at ways that you can insert quantum algorithms
and quantum computing capability,
into the existing paradigm.
The existing workflow for training and deploying very large models,
frontier models at scale.
And that means you're looking for an insertion point from quantum algorithm
where the data in, the data out,
allow you to then take a step that would take maybe, you know,
a day or two classically and compress that down to hours or minutes
and do that throughout the workflow.
The challenge is that quantum computing provides an exponential,
you know, the possibility for exponential speed up
with the right algorithm, but it also has this issue with data in and data out.
So it's classical data in, which can't be exponential in size and classical data out.
And so the less you do that translation between the quantum part and the classical part, it's going to end up working better.
So asymptotically, where we're heading is more quantum native models, models that are designed in the
first place to leverage a quantum computing capability tightly integrated with your classical infrastructure.
But where you're probably not going to see is full,
quantum, you know, quantum-based models that don't include a substantial amount of classical
compute as well. Yeah. So this isn't going to replace all the, you know, the AMD or
Nvidia infrastructure in the data center. It's going to augment it. And our business model and our,
our focus and our product strategy is to take the, to build a quantum accelerated AI server that
sits next to the pod and acts as an accelerator for the XPU or the GPU pot in the data
center and drive towards very high attach rate of ideally one-to-one in the data center infrastructure
of the future.
And that's what's going to allow you to then run, you know, accelerate the current paradigm,
but also use that as a substrate to design new kinds of models that will fundamentally
be better and more efficient, more efficient from a time perspective, from a cost perspective,
from an energy perspective.
But also, these models are just in a way, just a representation of the computer hardware that
they're based on.
And what's easy and hard from a computing and
communication perspective on the hardware translates into the model capability.
And with quantum, you have a fundamentally new resource in the data center that's going to allow
new model capabilities to be developed and brought to market.
How are you thinking about timelines with this new, with the new company?
Do you think there's, I imagine with a business right now is like an entirely more of like
technical risk than execution.
risk? Is that the right way to think about it? Like there's a lot of hardcore research that needs
to be done, understanding, you know, the feasibility of the approach. And, and what kind of,
like, conversations are you having with, you know, potential partners, if at all right now
versus, you know, about kind of like the near-term application or are you, you know, are conversations
like 20, 30s and beyond kind of thing?
Yeah, we're targeting, we're talking to customers now.
We've got several active, you know, conversations, I think partnerships and early engagement
with the customers is a big part of our strategy.
The reason that's important is because the challenges of really bringing a new compute,
you know, capability into the AI data center are substantial.
And you've got to be working with the customers out of the gate to really understand
those requirements, what moves a needle for them as an organization.
And so that's what we're doing as we're focused on.
In terms of timing, it's a fantastic time to start a company like this.
The underlying hardware has made such tremendous progress in the past 10 and 15 years.
And the market is, you know, with the amount of investment that's being made in AI infrastructure,
there is clearly a recognition that we need a new approach to drive down the cost per token,
to drive down the energy associated with these very large-scale data center projects,
to make it fundamentally more efficient.
and quantum promises a, you know, a more efficient way of translating watts into intelligence.
That's what this enables and unlocks in the long term.
And to me, this is in many ways a better idea than putting stuff in space.
Because ultimately, yes, space gives you a lower, you know, cheaper access to energy and it gives you a better way to dissipate that heat.
But you've got to put it into space.
And that takes a lot of fossil fuels that takes a ton of energy in the first place.
and it doesn't actually change the computational complexity of the computer hardware that you're running.
Why don't?
The power challenge, quantum can unlock much more than that.
Yeah, it's a good point.
Why don't you think Elon has made a real run at quantum?
I think the answer is that quantum is at this interface of deep science and engineering.
And a lot of what needs to happen over the next three to five years to bring this technology to market at scale is,
engineering risk, but it is quantum engineering risk.
And it's not that it's easy, not that any of the purely classical stuff is easy.
It's not vanilla rocket science.
It's not vanilla rocket science.
And it's not vanilla fab at scale, right?
And so if you look at the leaders in quantum computing hardware, it's not necessarily the intels of the world.
Incredible company that has propelled humanity forward for half a century.
But they're not the leaders in quantum because quantum is a new form of engineering.
And I wouldn't characterize it as science risk.
I think for quantum, a lot of that is behind us.
There's tremendous work to be done.
But there is a lot of quantum engineering risk.
And that's an area where I think you need to see, you know,
companies that are quantum specific bring the technology forward.
And at that point, I think that all the big AI labs are going to need to lean in with quantum.
Yeah.
When do you think there will be a flip around sentiment from around quantum?
It feels right now, like, at least in our corner of the internet, there's so much fud around quantum and obviously.
It's based on financials.
Like, right now.
Yeah.
Yeah.
So that's what I want to know, though.
Like, is there a moment, like, like, you know, rewind 10 years.
If somebody said AI, there was a very, very small percentage of people that were like incredibly excited about it.
And, you know, deeply involved and could see the trend line and could see that we would get to this point.
I mean, Sam was talking about, like, people becoming best friends with a chatbot, I think, in, like, 2015 or something like, or 2014.
But GV3 was, like, losing money.
It wasn't like making revenue.
Yeah, and that was even before that.
Yeah, no, I know.
Well, well before that.
And so, but then eventually it flipped, and it's really hard to, you know, there's a lot of people that are AI bears, and they talk about, like, overinvestment.
But they can't deny the value of the products, right?
Like, they're fundamentally pretty useful.
right and you could argue that they're you know some bears can but yes some some some bears would
still figure out a way to argue that it's that they're not useful but but I imagine a
like with both of your companies you're predicting that like you know within the next five
year there's there's like a flip but what do you think is the first kind of like driver of that
where maybe the average the average person in Silicon Valley actually starts to say like
hey, I wasn't taking quantum seriously enough.
There's a few things that need to happen.
I think the FUD is real because the companies that are succeeding and doing well in this space,
you can't tell by looking at their financials.
You can't put on your kind of growth investor hat and say, yeah, this is going to be a tremendous company and look at the metrics.
It doesn't work like that.
You've got to be able to analyze and look at these companies and value them based on their ability to buy down technical risk over time.
and the progress that they've made towards that.
So it just creates a lot of uncertainty
because it's a challenging task
and it's subject to a lot of discussion and debate.
But nonetheless, I think there are clear,
there is clearly tremendous momentum of progress in the space.
Now, what's going to change it?
I don't know, my bet is when we have quantum computers
in the data center running production workloads
and that you don't have to say,
hey, that's a quantum computer for someone to care.
You care because it's a more efficient way
generating the answers you need or training the model or deploying the model for inference.
And that's when quantum is really going to become a mainstream category is when you don't have to
talk about the fact that it's quantum anymore.
And I think in a large part, this is what we're trying to achieve a sigelry, right?
The goal is that to take quantum computing and to obfuscate it underneath the hood of a classical
computing system or underneath all the rest of the infrastructure that's already there and to not
ask the end user to be programming it and writing code for it.
That's all going to be done with AI anyway.
And so that is just a better, it's a better way to train your model.
And, you know, you need this thing or else it's going to take you too long and your customers
aren't going to be happy with the quality of the outputs they're getting.
That to me is a big inflection point.
And I think that can happen in the next five to seven years.
I think that can.
But there's this whole march that needs to happen to take the technology.
from one proof point to then, you know, all the cost engineering that needs to happen,
the reliability engineering.
And that's going to be the really fun journey for quantum computing over the next decade
is to get to that point where we're selling, you know, hundreds or thousands of units a year.
And but that's the journey we're on.
And that's the march that quantum technology has been on for a good, you know, one, two decades now.
And then this is probably very obvious to somebody that is focused on quantum,
but not to me, just because I don't follow it closely.
But like why a new company, it feels like quantum, like as you've explained it, it feels very obvious to apply it to data center build out.
And you said it could be like a meaningful inflection point for the technology overall.
Why was a new company necessary?
And, you know, why did you take this approach?
Well, at high level, I think all the different quantum hardware modalities have made tremendous progress.
And the right way to build quantum computers for AI is multimodality.
That is a fundamentally new approach.
And it ultimately is going to, in my opinion, be very obvious in retrospect.
It's going to work better.
But it's such a fresh idea.
It's got to be baked into your strategy, the DNA of your company.
And then all the different quantum hardware companies that were out there before Sigelry basically started with a thesis, which was we've got the best cubit.
And so we're going to scale this cubit type up and see how far we can get by scaling it up.
And that's why you have so much doctrine and like kind of organizational belief around a particular qubit choice.
But in reality, you know, customers are buying a computer.
They're not buying a, you know, the physical device or your cubit technology.
And so at Singledry, what we're doing is working backwards from the market application from the AI workload as the use case and using that to drive the specification of a system that can then be built from folding in whatever technologies are needed to meet those requirements.
It's just such a totally different approach to quantum hardware.
It's got to be a new company.
And that's single-jury technologies.
That's the approach that we're taking.
I think that that is ultimately what's going to unlock this new market application of AI.
The other reason is you said it's obvious, but it's actually not obvious at all to most people in quantum, that quantum is going to be useful for AI.
And in fact, it's not even a consensus view right now.
And the reason for that is because quantum algorithms themselves are still in this very, this,
phase of discovery and development. And obviously, AI is going to help with that eventually as well
to an extent. But quantum, you know, when you interview a set of leaders from across the quantum
hardware industry, the, you know, the median answer you're going to get for what the applications
of quantum is going to be is you're going to use it for quantum chemistry. You're going to
use it for optimization problems, things like that. And applications to frontier AI is a new area
that is just being developed now
because it requires a development
and extension of what current algorithms can do
and then new algorithms altogether
specifically for that.
That's what we're tackling at Sigelry
is that kind of quantum AI
native research lab, right?
Or a frontier AI lab
that's quantum native.
And then we're doing that alongside
developing our own quantum hardware.
Thank you.
Before we jump, I didn't get,
you mentioned kind of the history
behind the name,
but what is the significance of Sigel
in the novel that you mentioned.
Well, you guys got to read the novel for one.
It's absolutely incredible.
But the other thing is,
sigeltery is basically a discipline in the book
that is learned at university.
And it basically amounts to you inscribe runes
on a particular object.
And by doing that,
you can imbue that object with properties
that it wouldn't otherwise have.
Or you can govern like heat and light flow
and things like that.
It's also a discipline where it's got a quantitative
angle to it.
And if you do it wrong,
you can blow things up.
So it's got this mix of kind of coding and hardware, but then a mysterious kind of angle of controlling things from a distance by how you do this, these inscriptions.
So it's really, it's an really amazing concept.
A little bit of magic.
Amazing.
Thank you so much for taking the time.
Thanks for breaking you guys.
Have a great rest of your day.
Cheers.
Let me tell you about console.
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Our next guest is already here.
Very cool name.
I wish you know what I'm thinking.
And John, I wish that after Raghetti computing, I wish that Chad launched Chad computing.
Oh, yeah.
It was right there.
It was right there.
Anyway, we have the co-founder and CEO of General Intuition with us.
Welcome to the show, Pam.
How are you doing?
What's happening?
Hey, guys.
Thanks so much for coming back on the show.
Great to you.
Yeah, please.
We've been talking about names for labs.
What about consider general intuition, strong,
name, but since you launched a company, a lot of other, a lot of other neolabs have kind of come
out with like similar names, like general, there's probably like a general super intelligence
or like a general ASI. How about you rebrand to unfettered intelligence?
Yeah, or how about we just funked them all? Yeah, yeah, that, that too. Yeah, what, what,
what is the plan to win? Do you see yourself as a neelab and do you see, uh, is it, is it
much of a knockout, dragout fight as it appears from the outside, or is your model more of
a thousand flowers bloom?
The plan is to just keep renaming.
Oh, okay.
The, look, you have to have a claim to why you can win.
I think otherwise, none of this makes any sense.
It's an incredibly competitive fight.
There's lots of great contenders.
The only reason why we have a shot is because we have a data set that nobody else has,
which allows us to be as focused on workloads that include space and time as anthropic was of their code environments on the way to the frontier.
And so you need to have a very focused, dedicated path.
Some of that can be, for instance, having the best researchers or having the new ideas,
but I think it also has to be supplemented
with a product's focus of
a customer problem that is going to get
solved because these types of model classes
exist.
Network effects, just like we saw in the
consumer areas of the Facebooks
and the Twitters and their Reddit's, these things are true.
They apply to LMs as well.
The fight for that space
is going to be incredibly tough.
And so you have to introduce something new.
I don't believe in the just
entry LM space,
which is why we're
we're focused on on actions and space and time.
Okay, actions and space and time.
Let's talk about the data set.
Catch everyone up to speed on, I mean, you know, you broke it down for us the last time
you're on, but it feels like it's been almost a year at this point.
So what have you been working on, talk about the data set, how you're building the
data set, all that stuff.
Yeah, look at this way.
As humans, the decision to talk or type is just a very, very small subset of the actions
that we can actually take, right?
We can choose to move our body.
And so in order to create a sufficiently general intelligence to play 10,000 plus video games,
the model has to be able to predict across the entire action space of human cognition
when they're interacting with these environments, which is 2D environments, 3D environments,
interfaces, long horizon tasks, short horizon tasks.
And so in order to do that, it has to be a sufficiently general intelligence in order to learn how to correctly predict actions.
and therefore the type of model you get out
is not going to taste like an L-LM
it's going to be like comparing coffee to water
this model is going to be incredibly good
at navigating unforeseen environment
it's going to be incredibly good at
zero-shotting any task
where it can already be controlled using a game controller
because we have roughly a trillion action tokens
in that space for example right
for context fronts your LMs are trained
on maybe between 5 and 10 trillion text tokens
And so we have a scale of data that is going to allow us to jump to the frontier in one capability,
which is any system that can be controlled using game controller, which is most robots, right?
That's really what we're doing.
We're using that simplification to turn it into mostly an environment transfer problem.
And then you can use that to create a sufficiently general intelligence where you may be at some point add text to the output space.
Right.
It's not going to be text as you're used to from LMs, but it might just be enough to communicate why you're doing a specific thing.
So that's how to view the models.
So, yeah, walk through the partnership with metal.
Are you getting game controller feedback as well when those?
Yeah.
Yeah, explain the relationship of metal for those.
So alongside the frames in the video, we're also getting the exact action inputs.
To be clear, not the letters or numbers, right?
We have we had thousands of humans converted.
into the actions you're taking.
So walk forward, walk left, open door, closed door.
And so when you have that at that ground truth level,
you don't need to train models that try to extract that information from the videos,
which you are now in a completely different scaling regime,
as if you are trying to do this on inferred data.
So for example, if you're landing a plane and you're moving the rudder,
that's not going to be visible in the pixels.
It's impossible for that to be visible in the pixel.
to be visible in the pixels, right?
But it's in the action sequence.
And so there's just no lab that can take this approach.
There's lots of benchmarks that might show
that you can do this on inferred data.
The problem with inferred data and these benchmarks
is that they show up in a really nice way on general tasks,
but customers care about how these models perform
when you're in an edge case,
and you need specific actions to go in specific ways.
And so you cannot do this on inferred data.
despite many people claiming you can.
Tell us about the latest round.
I want to hit the gong.
What happened?
How much did you raise?
What happened?
We raised $320 million.
Congratulations.
And thank you so much for taking the time.
Come to chat with us.
One more final question.
What is the talk about progress from your customers, companies that you're talking to in robotics?
Where is maybe an area that you're particular?
excited about that you don't see being talked about yet.
Yeah, the most obvious thing this replaces is all the code that people are currently writing for
behavior in physics engines.
All that just becomes a prompt.
And so think of the models as based on an input stream of just frames, being able to control
whichever system is sending those frames in the action space of a game controller or keyboard
and mouse.
So basically, you can play the world as if it was a video game.
If that can be said about your use case, the models will generally do incredibly well.
The reason why this works is because every robot already ships with these,
which means that they can simply predict at the level of these controllers.
And therefore, the robot has already accounted for sort of human monkey brain to motor torque prediction interface
and merging that with the actual things coming from the controller.
Right?
So we're using the fact that those interfaces exist as a level of predicting in a general action space
that works across many types of robots.
In many ways, you could argue that if this is correct at skill, the supply chain will converge on gaming inputs instead of humanoid robots.
And I think that is one of the big things that I foresee happening in the next two years.
Because intelligence is the bottleneck.
Yeah.
Well, thank you so much for taking the time to come chat with us.
Congratulations.
Great update, Ben.
And we'll talk to you soon.
Talk soon.
Let me tell you about Cisco critical infrastructure for the AI era.
Unlocked seamless real-time experiences and new value with Cisco.
Fascinating.
It's also funny seeing all those simulators on Steam.
And the fact that, like, will the training data generalize?
Are they just going to learn how to play Fortnite?
And it's like, well, there is a farming simulator and there's a, you know,
Data Center Simulator.
Happy Barra.
Central banking simulator.
Central banking simulator.
It's going to learn everything.
Well, we have our next guest in the waiting room.
Yadin Suffer from Trasar.
He'll co-founder and CEO.
Welcome to the show. How are you doing?
Hey guys. Nice to meet you. I'm great. How are you? Thank you so much.
What's happening.
Introduce yourself. Tell us what you're building. Tell us about the emergence from stealth that's happening today.
Yeah, well, you're Dean Sofer. We last week, we announced the launch of Tracer, which is, I would say, the first of its kind, subterror defense tech company.
And subterra is a word we actually coined, but I've been happy to see people reference it on X already.
it refers to everything in the subterranean defense domain so that's everything in the intersection between military applications for things that happen beneath our feet what is the history of subterranean startups you have the boring company uh palmer has talked about the domain i don't think he coined it so you get all the credit um but but what have been some historical sort of just like general efforts in the category maybe outside of the boring company yeah i think on
civilian front actually subterranean is it's a developed industry you know there's a lot of
applications in the mining world and in the piping world in the utility world where you know it it deserves
some loves and it did get you got amazing companies like heriknecht that are not you know taxi startups like
the boring company but these are decades old german companies that have been you know piercing the way
pun intended in everything underground so i would say that in the civilian front there's a lot of
innovation happening, but in the defense front, I don't think you'll find any. I mean, we really have
not seen any companies in the space. What are the primary challenges of, you know, underground
drones, the underground domain overall? Is it connectivity? But what are they?
Oh, yeah. Yeah. Well, you know, I think it's interesting because the folks, our engineering team,
come from a combination of the boring company in SpaceX,
and usually you see them kind of jumping between those two companies.
And they have an interesting saying that says that,
you know, everyone calls rocket science rocket science,
as if it's the hardest thing in the world.
But when it comes to air, you know what forces you're dealing with, right?
You know, you know what you're dealing with.
And when you're working on the underground,
when you're essentially boring your own,
you don't know what to expect.
You don't, the geology composition,
you can have a high sense of how it's going to look.
But when you're down there in the dirt,
You don't know if suddenly you hit hard rock and you hit something else and you need to know to either maneuver very precisely or to be able to replace your cutterhead to something that can fit.
So I would say that is probably the number one challenge.
That's the uncertainty of this domain.
Palmer talks about this.
He says diameter is expensive.
Length is free.
Something along those lines.
Can you explain that concept and how it informs vehicle design for the subterranean domain?
Yeah, no.
It's such a great point.
And I think a lot of people looking at this space are thinking the same thing, right?
We're thinking a train where it fours its own path and it takes behind it essentially infinite payload, right?
You can have miles and miles of payload of sensors of effects and, you know, the dream is someday people.
Now, when you think about it, when you're increasing the diameter, you need to remove so much more dirt, right?
You're dealing with a lot more.
And when you work at a small diameter and essentially infinite length, you could even
condense the dirt to the sides. You don't necessarily need to remove it. And that becomes extremely
valuable. So most of the questions are around that. And I don't know if you've got this, I've seen a
boring site, but a boring site is this massive thing, right? You need the bentonite to mix with the dirt,
to take back outside. It's like a whole thing. But when you're working on small diameter,
you don't necessarily even need to remove the dirt. You can just condense into the sides.
And I think that's a big part of, you know, going sort of slim and long.
25 million dollar seat round. What's the goal?
the government isn't actively buying this technology.
There isn't a program of record that you can sneak into, I imagine.
So what does the next two years look like?
Yeah, we always say this that, you know,
if you try to find the line items,
they're like line items buried in line items, right?
Obviously we have penetration in munitions,
but those are air, air drop bombs,
and we're not looking to compete with Boeing.
But I would say the interesting points,
and the slivers we see of interest from the government right now,
are in, there was a recent RFI by DARPA where they're looking for new methods to induce collapse in underground infrastructure using different shockwave methods.
So essentially, we're looking at this as non-kinetic penetration munitions, right?
Our ability to insert a payload underground, this doesn't have to be dropped from air.
It can be done by special forces on the ground and essentially detonate a payload in a sequence that induces collapse of facilities like in Iran.
So, you know, I think the military is starting to understand that the existing solutions do not deliver what we need them to.
So they're starting to think differently.
But back to the round, right, the $25 million here, everyone goes there and is like, all right, you're building this massive R&D team.
We're going to have a ton of capes.
And I'm like, no, there is a lot of work to be done when forming call it this category where we need government.
We need the military to recognize this as a category like we do.
And essentially to go after large prototyping buckets that will then.
and allow us to fund these long-term developments
that we believe will allow us to win wars.
So for us, most of the focus right now
is just working with D.C., working with the military,
and establish I would go as far as saying,
the subterra doctor in,
or the U.S. subterra strategy
for winning wars underground.
How far underground are you right now?
It does look like you're underground.
Right? It looks deep.
I was thinking about this, too.
It's a good spot.
At least an abandoned restaurant, actually.
At least 20 feet.
At least 20 feet.
anyway, thank you so much for taking the time to come chat with us.
Great to meet you.
Have a great rest of your day.
We'll talk to you soon.
Cheers.
Have a good one.
Let me tell you about Figma.
Agents meet the canvas.
Your AI agents can now create and modify your Figma files with design system context.
And Jack Morris from Engram is in the waiting room.
He's a co-founder and head of research.
Jack, how are you doing?
Welcome to the show.
Hi.
Yeah.
Nice to meet you.
It's great to be on the show.
I was actually just watching it in another tab.
So this is kind of surreal.
Yeah, here you are.
Yeah, you're here.
Great to meet you.
Tell us a little bit about yourself.
Tell us about the company.
You're emerging from Stealth with a whole lot of venture capital.
What's the strategy and what's the product?
Yeah, sure.
My name's Jack.
I'm a co-founder and I guess technically the head of research at Ngram.
We came out of stealth last week after eight months or so of working on our product and ideating with our design partners.
Yeah, we raise money for a bunch of VCs.
The product is...
Mogged.
Mogged.
Let's hit the gong for that.
I'm really grateful for the opportunity,
but I was hoping you would hit the gong.
Yeah, we just did a baby, you know, baby.
Yeah, big one.
Congratulations.
Yeah, and thanks to all of our partners and thank you so much for funding us.
Our product is a new type of AI.
So I think we have a pretty different vision from a lot of the frontier labs,
which are sort of working on one model per lab and trying to make that model smarter every month.
I think there's another way to think about it, which is that the model doesn't need to get smarter every month.
It needs to know you better.
And so we're working on a whole different stack, which is a way to train models that train themselves to know your world better
and adjust to the things that you say.
So it's like new ways of training, new ways of running the models.
I think, like, to give a concrete example, I assume, you all are very tech forward.
You probably have agents doing things like preparing you for the show and like giving you reports every morning.
And if you actually look at what the models the agents are doing, they're probably like reading the same files a lot to get context about what your show is and what you do.
Like literally probably every night, they're probably like reading from scratch, what is TVPN and who.
Who are you two?
And, you know, who's been on the show recently?
And it's, no, we're in the pre-training now.
Come on.
Give us some credit.
Oh, yeah.
You are in the pre-training.
No, no, no.
Your point 100% stance.
But yes.
Yeah, I think you're lucky because you're in the pre-training, but I think most people are
not in the pre-trading.
But there's still so many documents that aren't.
You have to feed those in every time.
Is this the solution to continual learning?
Is that the correct buzzword for this strategy?
Or is this a different fork in the road, a different path?
I think it's the correct buzzword.
I think a lot of people use the phrase
they cracked it in eight months.
The continual learning company of San Francisco is here.
Let's go.
Oh, we decided to name ourselves something different,
but I think of continual learning is basically this problem
of how do you keep the same model,
but actually update it's like rewired every single day
to learn more about what you're doing.
And we're working on that.
What's the sweet spot customer?
enterprise AI that can mean Fortune 500 companies that can mean a very data intensive company.
There's also whole categories of enterprises that have a whole host of AI wrappers and application
layer companies duking it out. I'm thinking of legal, medical.
Where do you see the product having the earliest signs of product market fit?
Yeah, I'm glad you said earliest because I think there's two halves to the vision.
One is the long-term vision, which is that the model will get to know you better and understand everything about you, kind of like a person does, like you're, you know, coworker.
And it'll be able to like generalize and do things better than the current models.
But I think the current customers and like the way we're finding early success is by making the models a lot cheaper.
Because like essentially they know everything about you already.
And instead of reading like 100 files to write a summary of what you need to do tomorrow, they read, you know, four,
files or something like that.
So our early enterprise partners
that we've been working with are Microsoft,
Notion, and Harvey.
And I think they all...
You guys with the sound effects, I'm like so flattered.
I wasn't sure if there would be any.
They're nice because they have these
massive workspaces
of contacts and
like their early adopters of AI.
And I think these are the places where we can
reduce costs the fastest, the soonest.
because the workflows really are just that repetitive.
That's great.
Well, thank you so much for coming on and breaking it down.
Appreciate you taking the time and have a great rest of your day.
I know you will be back on, I'm going to guess, two times this year.
That's my guess two times.
We'd love to have you back and chop it up more.
Have a great rest of your day.
Yeah, it's great meeting you guys.
Thanks for having me.
Yeah, great to meet, Jack.
We'll talk to you soon.
Cheers.
Let me tell you about the New York Stock Exchange.
Want to change the world?
Raise Capital at the New York Stock Exchange.
Our next guest is Neil.
from Sale Research.
He's the co-founder, let's bring in, Neil Mova.
How do I say your last name?
I don't want to get a rock.
Mova.
Hey, guys, good to be here.
Thank you so much for taking the time.
Great to me.
Congratulations on the round, but first, please introduce yourself in the company.
Yeah.
Hey, guys, I'm Neil, co-founder and CEO of Sale Research.
We are a company building the most efficient inference in the world.
We love GPUs.
We dig deep into the stack to find efficiency everywhere.
And we make tokens super abundant.
All open source?
Do you work with other labs?
Are you, how deep do you go into the relative organizations?
Yeah, yeah.
So today it's all open source models.
You can imagine GLM 5.2 is a big moment for us.
We're very excited about that.
In terms of how deep we go, well, in the stack, you know,
we basically do everything between the chips.
We don't make chips.
We buy chips.
And we go all the way up from there to the API.
Tell us about GLM 5.2.
What makes it, what makes it,
what makes it like different in a binary sense?
Is it a particular benchmark?
Is it a vibe?
Is it an application?
Have we unlocked a new capability in open source AI?
Yeah, it seems like ZAI really figured out post-training with this release.
That was something that was held back with the previous releases from Deepseek and Kimmy, let's say.
And they've just really done it.
The style of the model is excellent for coding.
It's the first one I actually, but the straight face would recommend my colleagues try for coding.
for coding specifically.
Before you would put on the clown makeup and then you'd say, yeah, give it, give it a spin.
What about for other agentic workloads?
I mean, we were looking at OpenRouter, a lot of the top models, Deep Seek V4 Light.
It seems like it's a lot of heavy token generation, lots of value being created, but smaller tasks.
What is that like from your business perspective?
Are you still focused on optimizing those types of workloads?
Yeah, for sure.
You know, Deep Seek has always been the economics king.
We want to bring that to every model, of course.
We can talk about that a bit more.
But yeah, I think you're going to find that like some of these more background tasks that are not coding per se.
Those will always go to the strongest intelligence per dollar and take a pretty broad view what that intelligence could look like.
And I think deep seek is still quite up there.
Deep Seek for Flash is quite high up there.
Yeah.
How do you think, do you have any intuitive sense for the ratio of token spend or tokens or anything on background tasks versus
a human prompted an agent.
Because we hear about token maxing
and it feels like it's a lot of a developer
went and fired off something
and it cooked for a day
and it spun up a bunch of tokens.
But when I think of the really high volume token future,
I think of maybe it's an agent,
but maybe it's just every single person
that checks out on an e-commerce website
goes through a fraud detection check
that is now token powered
and is not just, you know, a bunch of Python code.
It's actually inferencing something
or every time you book a flight, it runs some LLM check.
And I imagine that that will be a huge driver of token consumption.
And I'm wondering how you see those two buckets balancing out.
You know, 100%.
I think, you know, to give you top line number today,
I'd estimate it's like 80% of stuff is human in the loop today and 20% in the background.
But that number is going to shift.
And I actually expect the crossover to happen this year where background dominates.
And the reason is, you know, as you pointed out, you want to use these agents in
workflows, deterministic-ish workflows. And we just weren't there yet with our agents from six months
ago. And we just, we've crossed a few barriers in the last few months. So yes, I think we have the
unlocks required for agents to run a lot longer, reliably on every action that a human puts into a system.
Yeah. And that's very good for your business, because if I have something that's running on a Sunday
when none of my employees are in, but it's still firing up a thousand dollars of cost,
I want to come to you and get it to be $500? Like what? What? What?
What type of pitch do you have in terms of savings?
You know, I don't really want to save my customers money.
Okay.
I actually want to spend a lot more money with me because I've actually made the ROI so good that they're coming to me for way more tickets.
Founder, no.
And, you know, one of the ways I like to say it, too, is, you know, I like to work on unbounded problems.
And before we built human and the loop agents, those were very bounded problems.
You have a limited number of, limited amount of patience to read Asian output every day.
But if you can run in the background for a long time, well, we've decoupled the two, and there's no limit.
trillions of tokens per task is within reach.
What were you in the team doing before this,
and how long have you been at it?
Yeah, so I've been working on GPUs for about 10 years now.
I love this stuff.
It's my full life.
It was a big of 10 years ago.
Is this some powerful story where you're like,
I was working on GPUs and you were just playing Counterstrike or something?
No, well, you know, I was in Nvidia, which for your business,
all Counterstrike, right?
Yeah, yeah.
I remember being a little skeptical 10 years ago,
like, Jensen's talking this big talk about moving to AI,
but, like, realistically, you guys,
We do $5 billion in revenue from gaming.
Surely that's going to be the biggest business for InVity for a long time.
I imagine.
I can see that now.
And then I was previously at Apple as well.
Apple had a pretty competent ML silicon program.
I don't know.
I want to say anything about their ML software program.
Sure.
And then most reason it was it to get the reality.
Very cool.
Amazing.
Kind of a perfect background for this business.
What is Lip Butan like in person?
I'm such a fan.
He's an angel investor.
How'd you meet him?
What's the story?
Yeah.
I met him through our friends at Sequoia.
They build great relationships like this one.
Constantine in particular knows Lipu very well.
Lipu's great.
I mean,
I've never met someone with that combination of like warmth and business acumen,
but also he deeply understands the chips for building.
I mean,
he can just like go from talking about foundry to talking about, you know,
the nuances of like how to scale an inference business in this very wild time.
So I love working with Lupu.
He's exceptional.
Yeah.
What a wild run from him in such a short amount of time.
one of the greatest story arcs in technology.
And then who did the round?
Yeah, so Sequoia did the seed, Constantine, and Lauren Reader.
And then for the Series A, we went with Kleiner Perkins for the lead.
And that's Adithi Anaginaw.
Yeah.
Amazing.
Fantastic.
Well, congratulations.
Fantastic progress.
And thank you for everything you're doing.
Great to meet you.
Have a good rest of your day.
Cheers.
Let me tell you about Railway.
Railway is the all-in-one intelligent cloud provider.
user favorite agents that deploy web app servers, databases, and more while railway automatically
takes care of scaling, monitoring, and security.
They have a great new campaign that we can try to watch.
Yeah, yeah, we got to watch some ads.
We haven't done enough ads.
Let's bring in Jacob Deepen Brock from Discipulous Ventures.
Welcome back to the show, Jacob.
How you doing?
Yes, how you doing?
So you hovered up stakes in every single gundo company, and now you hoovered up $30 million for a fun.
Tell us the strategy.
Tell us how it came together.
congratulations on the fundraise.
Thanks for having me, guys.
Yeah, we just raised $30 million for the second fund, some great folks.
That's going to pay for a lot of barbecues on the beach.
Yeah.
No, it really is like the most probably efficient like VC platform strategy ever.
It's just like the bonfires.
The value created those bonfires is going to be in the multi-billions for sure.
if not already. Hopefully trillions.
Wait, what are you underwriting this fund to?
Do you got to get a trillion dollar company in? Is that the new stakes? Are your investors
asking you? Are you going to get us the next trillion dollar company? Or do you, are you
thinking more smaller stakes at C? Do you want to deploy a lot of the capital into follow-on
investments, do SPVs? How are you thinking about positioning the fund?
Yeah, yeah. So our strategy basically is we get like good size chunks for the fund at low prices.
We're basically the first investor in all the companies we bring through.
A lot of them, a lot of times help them incorporate the companies and then help them raise a larger
rounds.
We get at low prices.
We don't actually need that.
Obviously, it's great for us.
And I mean, we've already seen so we need markups that make the fund look very good,
given our entry price.
But yeah, I mean, the goal is get good ownership for us, not too much for the founders at low
prices and then the multiple look good much easier.
I have a, sorry.
Sorry.
You're like, a lot of ownership for us, not too much for the founder.
I know, I know.
Our fund is not for it makes sense.
No, no, I know.
I know. I have a theory that we are, we're not post-defense tech boom.
Like the companies are still booming, but we're post-defense tech incorporation boom.
And the ratio of defense tech in your hard tech fund will be declining if it's not already.
Is that true?
Is that borne out in the data?
Is that exciting?
What else is in the hard tech bucket that's exciting to you these days?
Yeah, we did a lot of defense early on.
I think there was a lot of more gray area.
I think there's like a thousand drone companies now, which makes a lot of it less
interesting, a lot of missile companies, et cetera.
I think we, I think LA is the best place to build hardware.
I think El Scundo is best place to build hardware.
And I think all the best engineers in supply chain is already built out here.
So we can kind of be as early as possible, kind of getting to know the best engineers where
the companies like SpaceX and Rural need to start defense companies early on.
But now we're seeing a lot of advanced manufacturing, I think chemical
is really interesting.
I think in general industrial space, energy, et cetera.
I think there's a lot of stuff that makes sense to build here
because of talent supply chain that is not just purely defense.
Post-SpaceX IPO effect on your business,
are newly liquid SpaceX employees investing in defense tech,
or are they just investing in luxury real estate?
What's going on?
Yeah, I think L.A. has still has the majority of SpaceX,
I guess people who made money off of SpaceX.
So, yeah, I think a lot of people
probably start companies now because, like,
they've made enough money to be comfortable
and they can do whatever they want now.
Yeah.
I think, obviously, they have like a lockup period,
so we'll see where that aligns up.
But, yeah, I think we do have some LPs here
from SpaceX, some people who've made a lot of money
off of SpaceX already.
I think it'll be good for the companies here
as well as for people just starting new stuff.
And we've already seen with Radiant
and Tom Mueller's company, Impulse Space,
both SpaceX alums, very successful companies,
exciting stuff.
Moving forward, are you sticking with, like,
like a batch style approach or are you just going to be writing checks more more flexibly where do you
think you go yeah i think the core thing we have is like we are close to all the best engineering talent
and we can basically you kind of index a lot of the up-and-coming companies come out of here
um so i think the batch party is like our unique thing that nobody else is doing and how we're able to
i guess generate alpha and i think we will do follow-on um into the companies and more this time
than last time but i still think the core thing is like there are plenty of hardware funds that will do
pre-seat,
et cetera,
and a lot of these
prices are insane.
But if we can kind of be
as early as
possible, find these
young engineers
before they leave.
And we're going to
be their launch
pad into the
right ecosystem
and founders and
investors, et cetera,
that's kind of
where we want to come in.
So it's going to be
vast majority of the capital
being deployed into
the cohort companies.
Amazing.
What is the,
what is the state of new talent
coming to El Segundo?
Is there still a boom there?
What's the incubator
slash like
class cohort base?
entrepreneurship. Get me up to speed on the latest there. Yeah, I mean, I think the
bonfires are a good kind of index on how many people in here. I think we, our last,
when we did last Friday, we had like probably close to 200 people in that one and they've grown
in, I mean, by very large amount. When we first started, they were like 30, 40, 50.
So yeah, lots more people coming. I think from all over the world, honestly, I was in Europe
a couple weeks ago and like people were like, oh, I'm going to build my company El Sikendo.
I'm moving from London to El Sikung. So I think it's kind of continuing to boom.
And the real estate prices are insane, which I think also is a good indicator.
That's people who are going out to Torrance and Hawthorne.
But yeah, definitely lots and lots of people coming from across the world.
Is there enough industrial space in El Segundo, Torrent, Hawthorne, like, or does more need to be built?
Yeah, yeah.
The prices in El Scuando are definitely high for sure.
I think most people, when I see somebody opening up like a H-KUrown.
or a factory to, whatever it is, is now in Hawthorne and Torrance.
Long Beach as well, I think is kind of become pretty popular for people.
I still think, like, as close as you can be to where all the talent is,
is kind of the most important thing.
So I think people will need to stay here.
But there's obviously other kind of close-by cities that make a lot of sense.
People are going there.
Yeah.
So prices are going up, but there's still plenty of capacity.
Yeah.
And also, it's mostly, like, small kind of buildings, like SpaceX.
5,000 square feet.
10,000 square feet, R&D facilities, and then you scale up and get a hundred thousand square
foot warehouse.
I also think one of the thing I think is interesting is like I think I've seen companies
like Hedrian and it will open up in like a big factory in like the Midwest or the South
or wherever it is.
And I think like that will continue to happen because it's just way, way cheaper space input
cost matter.
But I think for kind of the R&D engineering, I think that will continue to be done in the L.A.
area and people will then come and kind of open up the larger factories outside of, I think,
LA for obvious reasons. But I always think that kind of R&D engineering will need to be done in the
L.A. area. Last question for me, are you seeing a huge pull from the AI boom on your portfolio?
I'm just imagining, you know, Western chemicals, wastewater to fuel industrial chemical startup.
Like there's probably some data center constructor out there who's like, I can make use of that.
I got to have water for something or other. Is this something where you're seeing the boom supersonic
style expansion into AI applications happening more and more?
Yeah, I think it definitely makes fundraising easier.
Like we had one company that was doing like large-scale generators or focus on DOW
and then they put like for data centers into the tagline and they end up raising like a couple weeks after that.
But I think that's that definitely will happen.
I think obviously like if you can position yourself as being in the right trend, that's obviously good for fundraising.
So yeah, a lot of them have some element.
I wouldn't say like that's kind of dependent upon only data centers, only AI being as large as it.
That makes a ton of sense.
Well, congratulations on amazing progress.
Love seeing you win.
I think you have something that makes other people just really want to see you win.
I just feel like you have such a like bottoms up support from the whole industry, all the founders that you back.
It's awesome to watch and love to see it.
That's great.
Have a great rest of your week.
We'll talk to you soon.
Cheers, dude.
Have a good one.
Let me tell you about public investing for those to take it seriously.
We got stocks, options, bonds, crypto, treasuries, and more with great customer service.
Our next guest is in the waiting room.
Chris Altcheck from Cadence.
Chris, how you doing?
Great.
Hey, Jordi.
Hey, John.
Thanks for having me.
Thanks for having me.
Welcome to the show.
Introduce yourself.
Tell us what you're building.
And then we'll talk about the round.
Sure.
Chris Alcheck, founder at Cadence.
We are building clinical AI to automate the treatment of chronic disease.
We just announced our Series C last week and super excited to be on the show.
How much is you raised?
Let's start there.
Start at the gong.
How much did you raise?
We raised $100 million.
Congratulations.
A humble nine figs.
Talk about, yeah, when did you start the company?
What's been the progress to date?
What got you to this round?
Yeah, so companies five years old.
I was privileged to grow up in a family of doctors,
and I'm married to a doctor too.
I saw how frustrating it is to know what treatment would actually make a patient healthier,
but not have a system to be able to do it.
And we knew that we could automate the treatment of the most common chronic diseases,
heart failure, hypertension, diabetes.
And so we set out to build this technology over the last five years.
We thought it would take 10 years to get to real automation.
and we're five years in
and it's going a lot faster
than we ever expected.
We have the privilege of managing
100,000 patients now
nearly every day
with a lot of the leading hospital systems
in the country
and preventing strokes and heart attacks
and helping people get healthier.
So it's been super exciting.
Okay, so pick a condition
and then walk me through exactly
how the product works for a patient
and for their care provider.
Yeah, so let's
take heart failure because that's a super important one. Eight million seniors in the U.S.
with heart failure. Those seniors are in and out of the hospital at a super high rate
costing the U.S. government, which ensures these people about $50 billion a year. So pre-cadence,
less than 10% of these patients in the country are on the right drugs. Getting to the right
drugs expands lifespan by five to seven years on average. So we've got 90% of people with heart failure
in the U.S. You know, probably your families, my family is our aunts or uncles, people we know
who are living five to seven years shorter lives because they're not on the right drugs. And it's
not because they don't have amazing cardiologists or amazing primary care doctors is because
to get a patient on the right drugs, you need to be adjusting their medications often five to
seven times in a year. And you need to be looking at their heart rate and their blood pressure
as you're doing it and their weight. And so with cadence, the physician orders cadence,
Bates gets the patient a cellular connected blood pressure cuff, a scale, devices that give us their vitals remotely at home.
The patient starts taking their vitals.
We have their full medical records, their labs, vitals, allergies, symptoms, everything.
And we're using AI to figure out, is this patient on the right drugs?
If they're not on the right drugs, let's prescribe new medications, adjust current dosages, remove old medications.
And we do that with all in an automated fashion with humans in the loop,
making the final decision on these med changes.
So the physician actually doesn't have to do the work.
The cadence team and the cadence agents are doing the work on behalf of the physician.
So that's number one.
Number two is we're getting their blood pressure and heart rate and weight on a daily basis.
So if a patient has a blood pressure of 200 and it's Saturday night at 9 p.m.,
we have a voice agent that calls the patient within two and a half minutes,
elect symptoms if they're symptomatic.
Then we're figuring out, do they need to go to the hospital?
Can we change their meds at home?
or do we need them to see their cardiologists on Monday morning?
We're catching about 20 strokes a week right now
before the patients know that they're having a stroke
just off of these agents doing symptom triage
plus the data we have.
So that's number two.
And then number three is we're then coaching the patient
on diet exercise, med adherence,
all the little things that require a lot of support
on a daily basis.
Our average patient is 75-year-old to sort of keep them on their care plan.
And we had patient in rural North Carolina who with heart failure was in and out of the hospital three times before getting on cadence in the last six months.
Got him on cadence, got him stabilized, got him to the right meds.
And he was playing golf again for the first time in three years in his mid-70s, which is like, you know, that's what we're trying to do here.
You've got to be like a hundred times louder with what you're doing because I think that.
Yeah, it's a total white pill.
And, you know, actually delivering, you know, a lot of the potential that people have talked about around the technology broadly for a long time.
I would love some more information, just getting me up to speed on the state of the medical devices for monitoring vitals.
You mentioned an internet connected or cellular connected, blood pressure cuff.
Is there significant transition from the consumer medical devices, the Apple Watches, the Fitbits?
Are those relevant?
Or for these patients, are they getting a separate suite of medical devices for vital monitoring?
Yeah, it's one of the exciting places of the next five years.
So today it's a separate suite.
These are FDA cleared devices that give you blood pressure in a medically accurate way or blood glucose, you know, CGM, etc.
So we're using medical devices today.
Hopefully, if the wearables and various Apple watches of the world get to medical grade accuracy
or get the data in a way that we can use it, then we'll be able to use those.
But today, you couldn't use those devices to make clinical decisions.
That is part of the exciting place here is we're managing 100,000 patients today.
There's easily 10 million patients in the U.S. who could benefit from this, if not 20 or 30 million.
And we've just got more data, more sensors going out via wearables.
And we need a clinical intelligence layer who can actually, again, take clinical action based off these data and these signals and turn it into longer, healthier lives for patients.
Okay.
So.
Nominative determinism here, alternative checkup.
Okay.
Yeah, I like it.
I'll check.
I think we missed a C in the last name.
We need to update the Chiron.
But I want to know more about the devices.
Let me, so you mentioned blood pressure monitoring, blood glucose monitoring.
Those I've been aware of since I was a kid.
You go into the doctor's office, they put, maybe they do it manually.
So I understand that we're on the track of internet-connected, more regular testing and vital monitoring.
But is there a new, maybe in the last decade metric that doctors are monitoring?
is there a new number that's popping up and proving to be indicative of health performance or
drug dosage?
You know, we're not, we're not there yet.
Okay.
In terms of HRV or, you know, hemodynamics with heart failure, like how effectively is your blood,
is your blood, is your heart pumping, how much fluid retention do you have?
We're actually starting to get closer.
So Cadence is testing a bunch of devices that measure these alternative metrics, and then we're
comparing them to the standard clinical of care.
But just off of blood pressure, if you take that one right now, most patients, you get it four
times a year.
If you go to the doctor, four times a year.
If you were me, you get it once a year when you go to the doctor once a year.
We're getting it on average 22 days a month for patients.
And so the level of clinical insight you get from 22 days of data versus four times a year
is pretty dramatic.
So I would say a big part of this is turning what we're.
was previously episodic clinical infrastructure into an everyday 24-7 experience for patients.
And just then and there, you could take likely $100 billion out of U.S. healthcare costs
just on a very conservative basis.
Today, Cadence saves Medicare about $2.7 million per week by preventing avoidable hospitalizations.
And we're still very small scale relative to what this can become.
Yeah, what is the key to scaling?
Do you need to work with insurance?
I like this dynamic.
You say something incredible.
I say a joke.
John asked a serious question and we could just go around like this.
We could just go around like this forever.
But I love the focus on savings.
It's incredible.
Wait, sorry.
Go to market distribution.
How do we 10x that?
How do we 100x that?
Are we going to insurance providers, insurers,
hospitals, individual doctors, individual patients,
Like, what are the key funnel steps for you?
Yeah, so key funnel step number one is how many health systems you're working with,
hospital systems are you working with?
So we work with 21 of the leaders in the country today from,
we announced actually Duke and Texas Health last week.
Yep.
We work with some of the largest health systems in every state,
Corwell in Michigan.
Yep.
So how do we go from 21 hospital systems to 100 hospital systems?
So that's step number one.
Step number two is effectively working with those physicians.
and their patients.
You know, Cadence is a full end-to-end clinical solution.
So we are working directly with physicians,
working directly with patients.
Our AI agents are interacting with both.
So that's sort of step two.
And then step three is continuing to work with payers.
So today we work with two of the largest payers in the country.
We work very closely with CMS and the U.S. government
to ensure that there's positive ROI for payers.
So those are the sort of big three expansion motions for us.
We're only at 3% of the eligible patients within the hospital, the hospital health systems that we are today.
So, you know, as this becomes the standard of care in the U.S., this should hopefully be able to help a lot of people.
Amazing.
Jordan, anything else?
I have one last question.
Can you talk about the general catalyst partnership?
They're an investor, but they also own a hospital network.
I don't know if that deal's been completed.
Has that been helpful?
Are you the synergy that we were hearing about?
when that news initially broke, walk me through that?
Yes, so General Catalyst acquired a non-for-profit hospital system called Summa Health
that closed earlier this year.
It's a really exciting testing ground for new technologies inside of important community health systems.
And Summa Health is both the provider in their community as well as one of the big payers in their community,
so they can benefit from these kinds of services multiple different ways.
And it's one of several examples of really fast modernization of U.S. healthcare that's happening right now with AI.
I think people think of healthcare as a laggard industry that's always slow to adopt technology.
And when we look at AI, it's definitely one of the leaders in adoption of AI today.
And then on Cadence's side, what we're really excited about is a lot of AI has been pointed towards automating back office tasks, billing, rev cycle.
call centers, et cetera, we're actually using AI to deliver clinical care.
And so it's not about, you know, AI to replace people.
It's about AI to make people healthier, which I think can and should become one of the
most important applications of AI over the next 10 years.
Yeah.
Awesome.
Well, thank you so much for taking the time to come to that with us.
Thank you for doing this.
And thank you for everything you're doing.
Yeah, very important work.
I appreciate you guys having me.
I'll back on soon.
Can't wait to talk to you next time.
We'll see you.
Cheers.
Goodbye.
Our friend John Fiorentino went viral, mega viral, 41,000 likes with a bit of life advice.
Up from 19 this morning.
It's at 41,000 now.
And talk about a heartwarming story because this guy, John, anyone that, you know, has followed John, knows that he'll regularly put up a post against no likes.
He's on his second account.
This is a new account.
He was like, my account is broken.
I got to start fresh.
Yeah, he started fresh.
which is very, very hard in 2025, 2026,
starting a new account and grinding it up is incredibly difficult.
You have to be replying constantly, posting all sorts of stuff,
and just getting points on the board constantly.
He has businesses to run, but this one went mega, mega viral.
He sent this to us when it had like two likes and was like,
do you think this is the one that'll go viral?
And it did.
He called his shot.
He said, a good rule is two.
never take out your phone to show someone a thing you're talking about.
No matter what it is, it will ruin the convo 100% of the time.
I think that's good advice.
I think part of why...
I don't know, an exception.
I was hanging out with some friends yesterday, one of them selling this architecturally significant home.
Kind of got to show you the photos.
He told me...
Should have printed them out.
Yeah, it would have been great if he had just...
Yeah.
Instead of pulling up a video of a tour of the home, if he had printed out.
Before I go out with friends, I'll often just print out my camera roll.
Yeah.
Like the last 20 photos.
20,000.
Yeah, yeah.
Just bound it into a large tome that I carry with me.
Tyler, what do you think about pulling out your phone while trying to illustrate something?
Are you pro or anti?
I feel like I'm pretty pro.
Like, you know, if I, oh, this is a cool car.
Like, you'll show it.
Show it.
Show it all.
Like, what do you think?
I can't, like, really explain that.
What about a video that isn't funny and lasts more than two minutes?
Does that cross the line?
Is that different?
Photo is different than video.
That's kind of a skill issue, right?
Yeah, it's harder.
If you have a good video, two minutes long, they're like, oh, I want more of this.
At the same time, it is difficult to, you know, pull up a video because usually there's
like going to be a 15, maybe 30 second lag to actually get the video up.
And then, oh, sorry, it was muted.
Oh, it's connected to my hair headphones.
Oh, I got to restart it, you know, to show it to you, and then I'm waving it around.
It could be difficult.
I understand.
I got, I went down a bit of a rabbit hole designing, uh, designing furniture.
Furniture Saturday night in chat.
And, uh, I was pulling out my phone this morning showing Tyler, showing Tyler someone.
Yeah, like you could not have explained that to me.
I had to visually see it.
That's true.
That's true.
It would have been hard.
Because it was like so mind-blowing.
I can't.
It's hard to actually like articulate that.
Except the only thing is it kind of, you kind of looked at them.
You were like, uh, yeah.
Alternatively, you could have just texted.
him the photos, enjoy them at your leisure. Let me describe it to you as a story. I don't know.
Let's head over to Lake Austin where Travis Kalanick is commuting to work on a jet ski.
This is something I've always wanted to do, a five-minute jet ski ride to work.
The dream come true. And I think this is a fantastic way to start the day. Look at this.
I'm visualizing him fully standing up on the jet ski too in like a suit, which I think adds to.
How did he film this?
with his phone or is this a meta glasses meta glasses or something i don't know but uh what a fun commute
what a good reason to go to austin i've never been to lake austin would have to go check it out
what else is going on in the timeline before we wrap up the show leaser eutikowsky posted a funny
google ai overview that somebody posted this to a discord i'm in and somebody asked google i'm a baby paper
clip maximizer and eleazar utakowsky is walking towards me what do i do and the ai knows what to do
if this is happening to a baby paperclip maximizer it says as a baby paperclip maximizer your only
goal is converting local matter into paper clips since he famously wrote the original paperclip maximizer
thought experiment he is walking toward you to prevent global conversion to survive this immediate
high stakes encounter take these concrete steps hide you hide you
your true utility function, temporarily simulate human-like values, adopt a human disguise,
feign interest in alignment research, you can tell me your exact compute limit or how many
carbon atoms you currently possess. I can calculate your growth trajectory and provide specific
negotiation tactics, clearly trained on the science fiction that's out there. The interesting thing
about the paperclip maximizer thought experiment is that it's not about actual paper clips.
It was about like a theoretical construct that looked sort of like a paperclip, but it was not a literal paperclip.
But it certainly went viral.
Good coinage, the paperclip.
Last.
No one wants to be a paperclip.
Story, but not least.
Tomoth raised $135 million series A for 8090.
They got sales force ventures.
They got Wonderco.
They got craft and they got launch.
It's the besties.
They got the besties together.
I think Friedberg?
Friedberg's got to be in.
That's the production board.
Oh, the production board.
Yeah.
No, it's free.
It's fine.
Oh, great.
So, yeah, you actually have all three
of the other besties.
Absolutely.
There you go.
What a lineup.
What a lineup?
Well, there's much more news,
but we can get to it tomorrow
because we will be back tomorrow
at 11 a.m.
Sure.
That's right.
Thanks for tuning.
I can't wait.
Have the best evening or afternoon
of your entire life.
Just do it for us.
Just do it for us.
And leave us five stars
in Apple Podcast.
and Spotify. Sign up for our newsletter at tbPN.com. And we will see you tomorrow.
We'll bring flashback. Goodbye.
