TBPN Live - Open Source vs. Closed Source, Memory Chips Eat AI Profits, Comcast Restructures | Diet TBPN

Episode Date: June 29, 2026

Diet TBPN delivers the best of today’s TBPN episode in 30 minutes. TBPN is a live tech talk show hosted by John Coogan and Jordi Hays, streaming weekdays 11–2 PT on X and YouTube, with ea...ch episode posted to podcast platforms right after.Described by The New York Times as “Silicon Valley’s newest obsession,” the show has recently featured Mark Zuckerberg, Sam Altman, Mark Cuban, and Satya Nadella.TBPN is made possible by:Ramp - https://ramp.comPublic - https://public.comCisco - https://www.cisco.comConsole - https://www.console.comCrowdStrike - https://www.crowdstrike.comFigma - https://www.figma.comMongoDB - https://www.mongodb.comNYSE - https://www.nyse.comRailway - https://railway.comShopify - https://www.shopify.com/Follow TBPN: https://TBPN.comhttps://x.com/tbpnhttps://open.spotify.com/show/2L6WMqY3GUPCGBD0dX6p00?si=674252d53acf4231https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/technology-brothers/id1772360235https://www.youtube.com/@TBPNLive

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:01 Well, on the front of the Wall Street Journal today, this is how you know this is the whole AI 2027, Washington waking up. The AI stories are making it to the front page, the world news section, not just the business and finance section, more and more. So the picture is about the heat wave, but the lead, the story with the largest text is about artificial intelligence. China resets the AI race with the United States. as security models mark gains. We're gonna get into it. This is a fascinating debate because I thought that we'd have a conclusion
Starting point is 00:00:39 to the open source AI debate by now. Either they would, the frontier would have collapsed and there would be perfect commoditization or they would have fallen so far behind. There'll just go, it's over. We're so back. It's over. If you're in open source AI, that's exactly how it feels.
Starting point is 00:00:58 The big story is centered around GLM 5.2 from Z.AI. It's officially released June 13th, so it's taken a couple weeks for it to really break through to the front page of the Wall Street Journal, but there's seen some strong performance on benchmarks, some positive reviews from developers.
Starting point is 00:01:15 I have a whole review from Tyler we can go through in a little bit, but we're now entering another round of debates around open source AI. What can the model actually do? Is this a threat to national security? What are the geopolitical ramifications here? And so I'm sure this will be an ongoing conversation
Starting point is 00:01:30 throughout this week, probably next week, we have some guests lined up to help contextualize it. But laying down the facts from the journal. Security researchers said that a new AI model released this month by China's Zipu AI, also known as z.a.I, can match the latest U.S. models when it comes to finding security bugs, a development poised to reset the global tech race and pressure the White House in its overhaul of U.S. AI policy. So unlike models from Anthropic or OpenAI, Zipu's GMs, G. LM 5.2 is open weight. You can just download it, run it anywhere. You don't need to go to an API. You don't need to go to a private company and pay them. You can run it on your own server, provided you have the electricity and GPUs to do so. It is expensive to run, as we'll go into, but it is open weight. That means it can be downloaded and run on hardware operated by anybody and can be modified and used without supervision. Scary stuff. Open weight models are ideal for users who want unfettered access to systems they control. But there are They're also ideal for hackers who want to run them in the shadows.
Starting point is 00:02:34 Unfettered intelligence. Unfeitered. Oh, that's a good. We were completely out of names for new neolabs. That's a good neolab name. Yeah. Unfettered intelligence. Unfettered intelligence is good.
Starting point is 00:02:47 GLM 5.2 has ranked as one of the top 10 most used AI models, according to data from open router, a company that provides access to more than 400 AI models. And what a fantastic business, Alex Atala over there. Absolutely cooking at OpenRouter. It's such an exciting way to plug into the AI race without actually needing to Play the benchmark game so much be the the front door Anyway, in some benchmarking tests according to cyber security company Semgrep GLM 5.2 Bested Anthropics Claude Opus 4.8 model, which was released in May when given further instructions
Starting point is 00:03:25 Opus 4.8 and GLM 5.2 can match mythos in bug binding ability according to researchers. So prior to this launch, and there's a chart that we should pull up here about overall AI capability. We can talk to Tyler about what this chart actually means. But there was this narrative brewing that open source AI was slowing down relative to the closed source frontier. And I saw a lot of American AI fans sort of cheer for this. Hey, we have the capital markets. We have the data centers. We have the researchers. And so we are able to push the frontier at a different rate. And if we're actually growing at a faster rate in America within the closed source labs, that will compound and there will be a stronger takeoff in the American closed source
Starting point is 00:04:11 AI industry. Now, this chart sort of goes back and forth, and there's some debate over it. It's in the newsletter. You can go sign up at tbPN.com. While we're pulling that up, let me tell you about Kodex. Codex is a powerful workspace for getting work done with AI agents. Whether you're writing code, analyzing data, creating content, or automating business workflows, Codex helps you move projects forward from start to finish. This chart, which we can pull up, shows progress from GPD 40 to 01, O3, Mini, O3, Opus 4, GPT 5.2, Opus 4.6, GPD 5.4, GPD 5.5.5. showing a, you know, linear trend in this ELO, which is a blend. Ryan says GLM 5.2 sounds too much like a great market peptide taking.
Starting point is 00:04:56 actually does. It does sound a lot like that. And then you can see the red line are the Chinese models, which are also improving over time, but at a slightly lower rate. And so the question was, are they going to plateau while America's progress continues to advance? This latest model, GLM 5.2, seems, it's very hard to apply it to this particular benchmark because this ELO was, can you give us some background, Tyler, on where this chart came from, what this is demonstrated. Yeah, so this is by Casey. I think it's how you pronounce it. The Center for AI Standards and Invasion. They have this way to calculate like the ELOV model. It's basically Approximation of a bunch of different benchmarks. Some of those like are proprietary like that they're not open. So it's actually hard to run these also because I was basically trying to bench like all the recent models since this was published. Yeah, it was I want to say May 1st. Yeah, it'd be great to throw 5.6 soul mythos and
Starting point is 00:05:50 Fabel all. It would be great to just continue this chart because it's an interesting So a lot of those benchmarks aren't actually public, so it's very hard to estimate. But I tried, I got, you can look at like some of the benchmarks that are public, that you can reference, you can kind of match them up to previous models. 5.2 looks like it is like a big step up from the like Chinese trend line, right? I think the group of benchmarks that were chosen for this ELO definitely accentuate the gap between US and Chinese labs. I think there's much of other like groups like Epoch AI has done a chart. They basically have a relatively stable gap between closed source and open source models. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:06:30 Since like 2023, like a long time. Yeah. And perhaps at this point, the discussion should be more centered around cost per task more than cost per token. Yes, yeah, definitely. Because even like, you know, new models, a lot of times when they come out, like, okay, maybe the token price is actually the exact same. But the token efficiency is much better. So then when you do a lot of these tasks, it's like, it's not the price for tokens, price per, per, you know, something completed.
Starting point is 00:06:57 Yeah. And then you actually see it go down. And there's a lot of test time scaling laws where you can just throw a million dollars of compute at a particular problem and all the models do really well at it, but it's completely non-viable for any real enterprise use case and probably not even viable if you're trying to be a nefarious hacker or something. Yes. Most people are saying like 5.2 is very token-hungry, right?
Starting point is 00:07:18 So it uses a lot of tokens. So maybe it definitely is much cheaper than the frontier models. On a per token basis. On the per token basis. But on the per task basis, it might be more expensive. Yeah, I mean, on that's still, it's generally not. But on specific tasks, you can get, you know, if you have low-thinking models, low-thinking mode on the closed-source ones, you can see.
Starting point is 00:07:36 Well, let's revisit John Ludig's post from 2024, May 2024. This is pre-deep Seek talking about his prediction about why the future of foundation models is closed source. He got a lot of pushback from this because a lot of people like open source models, but he laid out a thesis around closed source data, flywheels, exponential, capex intensity of training. And he said, open source will have a home wherever smaller, less capable and configurable models are needed. Enterprise workloads, for example. But the bulk of the value creation and capture in AI will happen using frontier capabilities. The impulse to release open source models make sense as a free marketing strategy and as a path to commoditize
Starting point is 00:08:24 your compliments, but open source model providers will lose the capital expenditure war as open source ROI continues to decline. And that was the thesis around the time that the open source AI discussion was primarily driven by Mark Zuckerberg's work at Meta on the Lama family of models. The idea was that meta would benefit from attracting talent. It was good marketing. It told the story that Meta has an AI story and has AI talent in-house, even if they weren't monetizing it and sharing a really fast takeoff in ARR around those models, it showed that, hey, they're able to develop these models, and that might help them cut their costs in the long term. Very interesting that that wound up being very different in 2026, looking at the news today,
Starting point is 00:09:11 which we'll go into about them spending a lot on Gemini. There's been reports about them spending a lot with other closed source frontier labs that they should have commoditized with their open source plan. But nonetheless, that was the idea with meta. But then China sort of woke up and the deep seeks and deep seeks launch at the start of 2025. And the game theory became way more complicated. So George Hatz sort of sum this up nicely. He has a take in AI will be massively deflationary a post from just a few weeks ago as to why China benefits from investing in open source. more than American firms. He says, this explains why the Chinese are giving the much more
Starting point is 00:09:49 moderate resources to train models away for free. They love to see deflationary economics in the U.S. It is not as much less of a service-based economy. And so if they can go and give away free tools that deflate the value of the service sector, that is an advantage to the Chinese economy in his formulation. He says, even if you don't regulatory capture the U.S. government, nobody is getting a on AI. We don't live in a unipolar world anymore. And so he likens what's happening in D.C. to sort of rearranging deck chairs on the Titanic. It's a very fun, fun piece. So we're back to this discussion of what are the consequences and the impacts of open source models, particularly in the United States. And there's been this clip that's resurfacing from Dario Amadeh when he was
Starting point is 00:10:36 testifying in front of Congress in 2023. And it's now recirculating and it was reposted like he just said it. and he did not, so be clear about that. This is from three years ago, but some of his predictions were very prescient as of where the frontier is today. So he said, I'm very concerned about where things are going. If we talk about two to three years for the frontier models, for the bio risks,
Starting point is 00:11:01 sort of a bad transcription of what he was saying. He's talking about 2025, 2026, remember he was saying this in 2023, we're there now. I think the path that things are going in terms of the scale of the open source models, I think it's going down a very dangerous path. And again, if the path continues, I think we could get to a very dangerous place.
Starting point is 00:11:20 So he was worried about cybersecurity and bio risks being open sourced and then not having a counterweight to that. Now, the good news is that we've talked to the CEOs of cybersecurity firms like CrowdStrike and Palo Alto networks, and they've been working with Mythos and GPT 5.5 cyber for months now to harden systems from LLM-driven attacks. And so there's still this gap between closed source and open source models, and that gap allows white hat hackers to implement fixes before black hat hackers have a chance to exploit easy bugs. There still will be a bigger discussion here, though, in D.C. over the next few months as the frontier models roll out, and the gap doesn't appear to be widening at the moment, so security stances must adjust. It's not a closed source is falling behind, so it's never going to be an issue. There will be this gap and how the American cybersecurity.
Starting point is 00:12:12 industry and eventually the biosecurity industry implements changes and fixes before open source catches up or commoditizes and makes that particular capability widely available is going to continue to be important. So let's go over to Tyler's quick review of GLM 5.2. Why don't you take me through your bullet points and you can tell us like what is the shape of this model? How are the reviews? Yeah. So I think so far one of the main things is like people are saying it's oh it's distilled right. This has been a big thing with a lot of these open source models, especially the Chinese ones. Oh, the only reason that they're good is because they're distilled. It's very hard to actually figure out how true this is. It certainly seems like there's some, you know, aspects of anthropic models. Didn't
Starting point is 00:12:56 anthropic openly accuse Alibaba of distilling? Yes, a number of these labs. Yeah, and there's also been a big, like, professionalization of the gray market where a whole bunch of different sort of individual groups will connect a whole bunch of different entities and user accounts and subscriptions and APIs to then create a front end to like the model that can be served at a very high rate through a VPN most likely. What's interesting is that you'd think that if you were going to do a training run, you would just find and replace some of the other lab's name before you hit run. Is that not something people can do?
Starting point is 00:13:38 I don't understand. Yeah, I mean, it also depends on what you're actually, like, maybe you're not directly distilling on the API, but, you know, you're turning on, you know, public GitHub, you know, repos. And those were all used, those were all, you know, made with with resource models. Yeah. You're kind of like distilling, but it's not really like, is this really count as distilling. I don't know. Yeah. But so if you are like, if you're convinced that these are like super distilled, the only reason that they're good is because they're just, you know, basically taking the closed sourced, like labs. There's also this weird thing with distilling where as more and more of the public internet and GitHub broadly and open source repos become LLM outputs. You, if you train on that, you are in some ways distilling because an LLM has a quirk, like, it's not this, it's that in text, and you wind up training on a whole bunch of Amazon Kindle books, you're going to wind up learning, it's not this, it's that. And the same thing applies for different code conventions in open source repos that have effectively been completely been rewritten by closed source models. Yeah. And so I think it's safe to say
Starting point is 00:14:41 that like we've generally seen that distilled models generally will generalize worse, right? So you'll see really good benchmarks, maybe they're benchbacks, maybe they're not. But even if they're not like directly benchmarks, you still find that they generally. Yeah, they're kind of accidentally benchmaxing. Yeah. So you should always, so I think initially you should just be a little bit suspicious of these super high benchmark scores. Yeah. But they lack that big model genesis quo. Yeah. And this is This is like anecdotally reinforced. A bunch of people have been saying, you know, for coding these models are really great.
Starting point is 00:15:11 GLM, it's a very good model, you know, for creative writing or something like this. Where you'd imagine it's a bit harder to kind of bench max this. I wonder, have people been testing it with the like Tiananmen Square bench? Like, does it reject that stuff? Because it felt like that was something that was like widely misunderstood by American audiences,
Starting point is 00:15:31 that in fact, that might not be the biggest deal for the CCP anymore. Also, I think, you know, even if that's true, like, the model is open source, you can kind of just fine tune it to, like, not that. Maybe it's a bit harder than that, but I think you can kind of get around like that kind of stuff. Okay, yeah. So we talked about the token, hunger, and the API price. And in general, I mean, you said, I'm not convinced that there's a big market for this class of model, especially as frontier models get more efficient. If you look at OpenRouter, the most used models are the smallest open source models, presumably being used for specific tasks.
Starting point is 00:16:06 that need to be repeated over and over again. Yeah, I think what we've seen is, you know, a marginal IQ point of the models is like extremely expensive. Frontier models are getting very expensive. People have to cut back, you know, their token maxing. This is like a massive bill on their balance sheet or whatever. It seems like there's now basically like two classes of models that people really use.
Starting point is 00:16:26 There's like the frontier ones and they're using coding agents. They need the best thing if you're doing cyber, like you just need the best model because, you know, the risk of someone hacking you, It's so great. You just need the best thing. You pay whatever it is. Yeah. And then there's the second class, which is like these very small, very fast, very cheap models that you can use for these kind of point solution things.
Starting point is 00:16:46 Maybe you have some orchestration where using a really big model to have these little agents using these very cheap models. Yeah. I think in the middle, it's hard to actually figure out what is the real use case. Maybe it's like hobbyists using these coding agents and they don't want to pay the super expensive tokens of the closed source labs. You see this on OpenRodder where, like, what are the top models by token, like, usage? It's these very small models.
Starting point is 00:17:09 It's like, you know, Deep Seek Flash. Yeah, because you're spamming them for, like, you know, every receipt that goes into ramp gets processed by an LLM at this point. Does it need to be a frontier model telling me that I spent $10 on a coffee? No. Yeah. It can just do standard OCR. That would be my preference. Yeah, you want super intelligence overseeing.
Starting point is 00:17:32 your expenses, most likely. But no, you use the right tool for the job, and that's clearly what's happening on it. But also, I think it is a very good model, right? Like, we should not fully dismiss. I think the idea that, oh, the gap is widening. We really don't have to worry about these models. I think they are, like, very good.
Starting point is 00:17:50 And maybe if you're super worried about distillation, maybe something changes if the models are kept to these big partners, right? Like what we've seen recently with government coming in. But I think we can't really fully dismiss these Yeah, it throws a little bit of a wrench in the like the monetization potential, like how long can you monetize a new frontier model? That's more tricky. And then the other one is just like if you're going to keep a model behind KYC or behind an approval for specific companies like the government has been sort of edging towards and moving towards, it gets a little bit tricky if all of a sudden you just wait three months and oh I was waiting to get approved for this one for like GPD 7 or whatever but by the time I the government got back to me my company got access to GLM 6 and it's close enough and so that
Starting point is 00:18:50 in that just throws another wrench that I think the government will have to figure out how it puzzles together with the rest of the strategy which has been yeah back and forth as always Google Caps, Meta's Gemini use as AI demand strains capacity in the financial time. Surging appetite for advanced models is turning computing power into the tech industry's scarcest commodity. And they have a picture here of a Google Gemini bicycle, which looks fantastic. What does that have to do with meta? I think that was just the best Google Gemini picture.
Starting point is 00:19:27 Google has put limits on meta's use of its Gemma. AI models after the social media giant sop more computing capacity than the rival tech group could provide in the latest evidence of the infrastructure constraints facing even the world's largest AI providers. Google told Meta around March that it could not provide all of the Gemini capacity the company wanted to purchase, according to three people familiar with the matter, in a move that is disrupted and delayed some of meta's internal AI projects. So how much should we...
Starting point is 00:19:56 Yeah, yeah. So one... Google spent $200 billion. on cap-ex? Okay, so of course, like, around this time, token maxing was becoming a thing, a lot of every company in the world, at least every tech company in the world,
Starting point is 00:20:10 kind of going a little bit of crazy from the spending standpoint. You know, I could see meta going and, like, wanting to basically buy a bunch of capacity and then being told, like, hey, we can't fulfill that. But I'm wondering, is it worth reading? I mean, it sounds extremely bullish for Google. Like, if they're at a capacity,
Starting point is 00:20:27 this tracks with what they talk about on, on earnings calls. Yeah, yeah. Yeah, Google Cloud. But you do have to wonder, like, could distillation be part of this story? Is that, could that be a factor here? I have no idea. I don't know.
Starting point is 00:20:44 Zerohead said meta puts limits on Claude and Koddx, fearing distillation, the information. But so this story is different. That's different. This is meta telling its own employees don't use Klaude and KodX in certain parts and certain parts of our business because we don't want, we don't want to accidentally do distillation. Oh.
Starting point is 00:21:04 Is what Meta is saying. So that's different. I was wondering, like, is Google thinking like, whoa, that's a lot of, you know, cool it, you know? Owing to the restrictions, which remain in place as well as a broader push to streamline AI costs, meta has encouraged staff to be more efficient with AI tokens. Several other Google clients have been affected by the restrictions,
Starting point is 00:21:23 although to a lesser extent, meta has been particularly impacted because of its exceptionally high demand for Google's models. Interesting. Very interesting. On the topic of meta, meta shared this morning a new milestone. It is a mind reader. Mind reader.
Starting point is 00:21:41 Non-invasive brain-detects decoder research, brain-quarty v2, building on V1, which was published today in Nature. Brain 2-Corty v2 is the highest performing end-to-end pipeline capable of real-time sentence decoding from raw brain signals. advances beyond character level performance to decoding words and semantics enabling accuracy for overall communication. So if you thought Instagram was listening to you, if you thought I was listening to your, you know, conversations, now you can have a, you know, new conspiracy at home, which is that they might be just listening to your thoughts. Do you know the device? They say this is a non-invasive device.
Starting point is 00:22:24 I just shared an image of this device. and I want you to tell me, do you consider this non-invasive or invasive? Look at this image of the Magneto Encelophagraphi device. No, you got to go high. You need to scroll up a little bit because you can't even see the whole thing here. It's not invasive. Because it looks like the device could actually potentially carry on for like a whole half of a football. It really does seem like it's like just put yourself in this room-sized device.
Starting point is 00:22:56 advice. No, of course this will shrink down. I'm giving him, I'm giving him credit here. Non-invasive. Okay. As long as he... You're putting this thing on? You're daily driving this thing. I don't know if I'm ready to daily it. I don't know if I'm ready to daily it. This will be a cool demo. Yeah. Like this will actually, when when you can just walk in, sit down in a chair and see your thoughts on a screen. No, we were debating it earlier. My buddy, Rob Tavs, been on the show twice. Uh, dropped five predictions. in Forbes recently. We can go through them at some point. He's going to come on the show. But four of the five were very, very, like, reasonable, you know, anthropic's going to be bigger.
Starting point is 00:23:36 And, you know, TSM is going to face more competition. And then he predicts that in 2030, telepathy will be commonplace, which is a very aggressive prediction in my, in my estimation, how Terry Semmel fumbled Yahoo's Facebook deal. How much is Facebook worth? Five billion, $10 billion, $15 billion, whatever the number, it's probably a lot more than the $1 billion that Yahoo could have bought it for a year ago. As Yahoo continues its soul searching, here's an unpleasant rendition of Semmel's catastrophic decision, courtesy of Wired. When Yahoo came calling with a bid of $1 billion in cash, the pressure became too much.
Starting point is 00:24:18 Zuck relented in July of 2006. He was just like 18 months into building the company, something like that, verbally agreeing to sell Facebook to Yahoo. He said yes. He said he was going to sell Facebook to Yahoo, allegedly. Strategically, it seemed like a good match. Yahoo had hundreds of millions of users, but its foray into social networking was struggling.
Starting point is 00:24:39 Facebook had cool tools and was looking for a mass audience. The timing, however, could not have been worse. In the days after Zuckerberg agreed to sell, Yahoo announced it was projecting slower sales and earnings growth, and that the launch of its new advertising platform would be delayed. Its stock price tumbled 22% overnight. Terry Semmel, Yahoo's CEO at the time, reacted by cutting his offer from $1 billion to $800 million. He just took 20% off, but Zuckerberg, who had been warned about Semmel's reputation for last minute, renegotiations walked away. And that's probably reasonable.
Starting point is 00:25:13 I mean, if they're cutting the price there, you have to imagine that as it gets papered, you get cut down again, then the earn out, you get cut down again, and all of a sudden you're walking away with barely anything. But two months later, Semmel reissued the original $1 billion bid, but by then Zuckerberg had convinced his board and executive team that Yahoo wasn't a serious partner and that Facebook would be worth more on its own. He rejected the offer and became famous as the cocky youngster who turned down $1 billion from Wired. Legendary.
Starting point is 00:25:42 Legendary. It's so interesting to imagine the road not traveled there Because the dynamic, the way Facebook is built as a social network, like could it have been successful under Yahoo's stewardship? Or would it have been less exciting, attract less talent, ultimately been disrupted? And would they have had the capital and the guts to go and buy WhatsApp and then also by Instagram, you know, to actually maintain the dominant position in social networking? What do you think? I think Yahoo should make another offer. I would like to see Yahoo make another bid. Hey, that is trading down. Just keeps going. If it continues at this trend. If it goes down 99.99% might be able to pick it up. At this trend. Anyway, chip makers are
Starting point is 00:26:32 profiting off AI at the expense of just about everyone else. This is on the cover of the business and finance section today. We are witnessing an extraordinary transfer of cash from the providers of AI and perhaps one day AI users to memory. chip makers. Take us away, John. Yeah, the explosive growth in Micron Technologies profit in the latest quarter is extraordinarily good news for its shareholders, but it comes at the expense of the artificial intelligence companies to which it sells fast memory chips. Micron, along with Korea's Samsung Electronics and S.K. Hynix are to AI what oil producers are to the airlines, makers of an essential input that this year suddenly became much more pricey. because there is extremely limited capacity to make the high bandwidth memory that AI needs,
Starting point is 00:27:21 and it takes years to build production facilities, soaring data center demand simply jacked up prices. Micron's soaring profits are, for its customers, soaring costs. We are witnessing an enormous transfer of cash, they said. Profit shift of this scale are rare events, and investors should be paying attention to where the money's coming from, where it's being spent and how long it will keep flowing. In the quarter ended May 28th, Micron increased prices for DRAM chips more than 60% on the previous three months,
Starting point is 00:27:52 while increasing shipments by a low single-digit percentage. It said last week, prices for NAN flash memory also used in data centers jumped more than 80%. Usually memory doesn't matter that much, but for Micron, customers paid $18 billion more, and that was just in the quarter. Prices quadrupled in a year, and it's hurting outside AI2. Apple last week raised prices for MacBooks more than 15% closer to home for me, the memory I bought on Amazon.com a year ago to build a super quiet computer. I hate fan noise. Good color commentary here has tripled in price and now costs more than the CPU. For an industry in which prices
Starting point is 00:28:33 usually drop every year, it's a huge turnaround. In consumer electronics, passing on higher prices helps limit demand for chips just as higher oil prices reduce consumption. But the AI companies aren't passing on higher prices because they were able to throw money at supply problems. The problem in AI is that the end users aren't covering the cost of the service with big losses being recorded by AI model producers. Everything is still priced to bring in new customers, yet not yet to make money. So higher input costs create a nasty problem. Either losses will either be bigger or higher prices will be needed putting off potential customers. And you can see the price of Micron's stock price has been through the.
Starting point is 00:29:12 the roof as the company joins the one trillion dollar club. Tyler, how many trillion dollar companies are there in Europe out of curiosity? I'm going to go with zero. That's true. NBC Universal and Sky will separate the company's connectivity business from its film, theme park, and streaming operations. Oh yeah, Universal Studios. Comcast plans to separate its media and connectivity businesses. Who's building the and a role of theme parks? It does seem like Could there not be an opportunity to create a net new theme park business with modern technology stack? It's very expensive. Everything needs to be like the modern technology stack in parks is tricky.
Starting point is 00:29:58 You don't believe in the theme park capital markets. I don't know. I know I've known people that have worked on theme parks at Disney and it's tricky because you have to amortize a ride over like 20 years. And so you'll go. It seems like an absolutely brutal business. Yeah. That is probably harder today because at the time that a lot of these parks were built, like you didn't have like infinite online entertainment for every single sub niche.
Starting point is 00:30:27 Yes. But. I mean, there's a whole bunch of trend pieces right now about how IRL experiences are seeing higher than ever pricing in the face of. You could just watch the Knicks game on. TikTok highlights, but people still forked over $5,000 to go see the game. And so, you know, you have that barbell strategy where Thrive is buying a stake in the San Francisco Giants, a baseball team that should face competition. They're also exploring the NBA team to Vegas. But at the same time, at the same time, John, there's also that stat that came out. There's more sports betting volume
Starting point is 00:31:05 than all sales of movie tickets, needers, theme parks. and like a couple other these IRL categories. Is up or down? Less. Less. And the stat was like volume. Yeah. And so it's not exactly like a proxy for like revenue, but still meaningful.
Starting point is 00:31:29 Tumoth raised $135 million series A for 80-90. They got sales force ventures. They got WonderCo. They got craft and they got launch. It's the besties. They got the besties together. You think Friedberg, Friedberg's got to be in? That's the production board.
Starting point is 00:31:48 Oh, the production board. Yeah, that's Friedberg's fun. Oh, great. So, yeah, you actually have all three of the other besties. And we will see you tomorrow. Goodbye.

There aren't comments yet for this episode. Click on any sentence in the transcript to leave a comment.